mton/year
Transcription
mton/year
“ISWA 2005” World Congress and Exhibition Cost Standardization for Methane Capture Projects in Sanitary Landfills Gabriel Blanco, Estela Santalla Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires Targets Cost standardization for three alternatives of captured biogas use: Combustion of biogas without energy use Thermal energy production for replacing packaging or natural gas Electric power production Estimate of economic indicators from standardized costs Net Present Value Internal Rate of Return Sensitivity analysis according to: Project scale (from 30,000 to 400,000 ton/year) Electricity sale price (from 0.013 to 0.06 u$S/kWh) Gas sale price (from 0.001 to 0.003 U$S/m3 NG) CERs sale price (between 5 and 8 U$S/ton CO2e) Considered costs Construction site Capture and Extraction Transport for direct use Transport and treatment Electric generation equipment Design and Engineering Operation and maintenance Project cycle for CDM Standardized Costs of Capital, Operation and Maintenance Determining standard costs in US$/(ton/year) from costs of capital, operation and maintenance of: projects in Denmark, Poland, Uruguay, Indonesia, Latvia and Argentina SL pre-feasibility studies in Colombia, Brazil, Peru, Uruguay and Mexico Comparison with standard costs of: U.S. EPA IPCC Standard costs: Torch combustion std CC (U$S/ton) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 200.000 400.000 600.000 ton/año ton/year 800.000 1.000.000 Standard costs: Thermal energy* std CC (U$S/año) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 200.000 400.000 600.000 800.000 1.000.000 ton/año ton/year *Note: In all cases, a 5,000-meter gas pipeline has been considered Standard costs: Electric power std CC (U$S/ton) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 200.000 400.000 600.000 ton/año ton/year 800.000 1.000.000 Economic indicators From standardized costs Other parameters taken into account CERs transaction costs (US$ 85,000) JE CDM verification costs (US$ 5,000/year for 21 years) Base sale price of electric power (0.0126 US$/kWh) Base sale price of gas (0.0005 US$/MJ) Base sale price of CERs (US$ 5) Discount rate (15% annual) Useful life of the project (21 years) Torch combustion 2,000,000 Costo de Capital capital Cost 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 Costo de O&M OyM Costs 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 miles de ton/año mton/year 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 0 50 y OyM capitalCosts Costos Capital andde O&M 1,800,000 Torch combustion TIRF vs ton/year and CER 25% 20% CER=U$S 5 TIRF 15% 10% CER=U$S 6 5% CER=U$S 7 0% CER=U$S 8 -5% -10% 0 100 200 300 400 mton/year m iles de ton/año 500 600 Thermal energy production 2,500,000 0.0030 Cost 0.0020 1,500,000 0.0015 1,000,000 0.0010 500,000 0.0005 mton/year miles de ton/año 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 0.0000 100 0 COE US$/MJ 0.0025 2,000,000 50 O&M and y OyM capital Costs deCapital Costos Costo de Capital capital Costo O&Mde OyM Cost COE Thermal energy production TIRF vs ton/year and CER 30% TIRF 20% 10% CER=U$S 0 0% CER=U$S 5 -10% CER=U$S 6 -20% CER=U$S 7 -30% CER=U$S 8 -40% 0 100 200 300 400 mton/year m iles de ton/año 500 600 Thermal energy production TIRF vs ton/year and MJ value Thermaltérmica Energy Energía 35% 30% 25% 0.0005 U$S/MJ TIRF 20% 15% 0.0015 U$S/MJ 10% 0.0020 U$S/MJ 5% 0% 0.0030 U$S/MJ -5% -10% 0 100 200 300 400 m iles de ton/año mton/year 500 600 Generation of electric power 0.060 0 0.000 miles de ton/año mton/year Costo de Capital capital Cost COE US$/kWh 0.010 500 1,000,000 450 0.020 400 2,000,000 350 0.030 300 3,000,000 250 0.040 200 4,000,000 150 0.050 100 5,000,000 50 y OyM capital Costos Costs Capital andde O&M 6,000,000 Costo O&M de OyM Cost COE Generation of electric power TIRF vs ton/year and CER 10% 5% CER=U$S 0 0% TIRF CER=U$S 5 -5% CER=U$S 6 -10% CER=U$S 7 -15% CER=U$S 8 -20% -25% 0 100 200 300 400 mton/year miles de ton/año 500 600 Generation of electric power TIRF vs ton/year and kWh value Generación eléctrica Electric Generation 25% 20% 0.0126 U$S/kWh TIRF 15% 10% 0.020 U$S/kWh 5% 0.040 U$S/kWh 0% -5% 0.060 U$S/kWh -10% -15% 0 100 200 300 400 mton/year miles de ton/año 500 600 Compared alternatives (I) CER=U$S 5 0.0126 U$S/kWh 0.0005 U$S/MJ 15,00% 10,00% Torch Combustión Combustion en antorcha TIRF 5,00% Energía Thermal Energy térmica 0,00% -5,00% Energía Electric Power eléctrica -10,00% -15,00% 0 100 200 300 400 mton/year miles de ton/año 500 600 Compared alternatives (II) CER=U$S 5 0.040 U$S/kWh 0.002 U$S/MJ 25,00% 20,00% Torch Combustión Combustion en antorcha TIRF 15,00% 10,00% Energía Thermal térmica Energy 5,00% 0,00% Energía Electric Power eléctrica -5,00% -10,00% 0 100 200 300 400 mton/year m iles de ton/año 500 600 Concluding Remarks Cost standardization is a useful tool for conducting pilot studies of capture projects and usage of LFG. For electric generation projects, only projects over 350,000 ton per year are economically feasible for the present kWh values and CER values of US$ 5. This value is reduced to 70,000 ton per year for values of 0.04 US$/kWh and to 150,000 ton per year for CER values of US$ 8 Thermal energy production projects start being economically feasible from 100,000 ton per year for present gas and CER values. In this context, combustion of captured biogas (without energy recovery) is the most sustainable alternative for projects under 100,000 tons per year and CER values of U$S 5/ton CO2e. In order for the electric power production to be feasible in small projects (under 100,000 ton per year) kWh either values over US$ 0.04 or CER values over US$ 8 are required. The commercialization of Certified Emission Reductions can make the economic gap reduce considerably, even though for small and medium-scale projects commercialization CER values over U$S 8 per ton CO2e are required. Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad Nacional del Centro de la Provincia de Buenos Aires Gabriel Blanco, Estela Santalla Av. Del Valle 5737 (7400) Olavarría Argentina TE / Fax: 54-2284-451055 gblanco@fio.unicen.edu.ar esantall@fio.unicen.edu.ar