housing needs assessment - Tooele County Economic Development
Transcription
housing needs assessment - Tooele County Economic Development
2011 HOUSING NEEDS ASSESSMENT: TOOELE COUNTY PREPARED BY JAMES WOOD 3/9/2011 PURPOSE OF THE STUDY This study was prepared by James A. Wood for the Tooele County Office of Economic Development. The purpose of the study is to address the affordable housing needs of Tooele County, the Unincorporated County and the county’s seven municipalities; Grantsville, Ophir, Rush Valley, Stockton, Tooele City, Vernon and Wendover. This study presents the characteristics of the current housing stock and the housing market in the study area. The State of Utah recognized in House Bill 295 (State Statute 10-9-307, 17-27-307, 62A-9-138, 6328-11) that the availability of moderate income housing is a statewide concern that requires municipalities and counties to propose a plan for moderate income housing as part of a general plan. “Moderate income housing” is defined as housing occupied or reserved for occupancy by households with a gross household income equal to or less than 80 percent of the median gross income of the county. In Tooele County the median income for a household of four was $65,600 in 2010 (Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development). Moderate income housing is therefore defined as housing that is affordable (housing and utility costs, utility costs apply to renters only, do not exceed 30 percent of household income) for a household with an income of $52,480. The spirit of the statute is to ensure that households who desire to live in Tooele County should not be excluded from living in the county simply because they are moderate or low income households. The statute states “municipalities should afford a reasonable opportunity for a variety of housing, including moderate income housing to meet the needs of the people desiring to live there…and to fully participate in all aspects of neighborhood and community life.” This housing analysis complies with the statute which requires an estimate of the “existing supply of moderate income housing” and the “need for moderate income housing for the next five years.” In addition to the requirements of the statute, the study relies on the Utah Affordable Housing Manual, published by the Department of Community and Economic Development to identify data needs and provide an analytical framework. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS Purpose of the Study ......................................................................................................................................... 2 Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................................... 4 I. Housing Supply Conditions: Characteristics of Housing Inventory ...................................................... 8 Summary of Current Housing Conditions ............................................................................................. 14 II. Housing Demand: Demographic and Economic Conditions ............................................................. 15 Demographic Trends ................................................................................................................................. 15 Economic and Employment Trends ....................................................................................................... 16 Summary of Tooele County Economy ................................................................................................... 18 III. Housing Affordability .............................................................................................................................. 19 Affordability Calculations ......................................................................................................................... 19 Affordability for Existing Owner Occupied Housing .......................................................................... 21 Affordability for Median Income Households ...................................................................................... 21 Affordability for Moderate Income Households................................................................................... 24 Affordability for Low Income Households ........................................................................................... 26 Affordability for Extremely Low Income Households ........................................................................ 28 Affordability of New Residential Housing ............................................................................................. 30 Rental Housing Affordability ................................................................................................................... 33 Appendix ........................................................................................................................................................... 46 Statistical Housing Profiles: Cities and Unincorporated Salt Lake County ....................................... 47 VITA – James Wood ................................................................................................................................. 56 Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ¶Utah’s affordable housing legislation (HB295) does not mandate that a community’s housing market meet the homeownership desires of all moderate, low and extremely low income households. Rather the legislation encourages a community to provide a “reasonable opportunity for a variety of affordable housing for moderate income households.” The results of this housing needs analysis show that the Tooele County housing market satisfies the language of HB295. The county’s housing market has a substantial number of homeownership opportunities for moderate income households while affordable housing opportunities for low and extremely low income households are primarily met by the county’s affordable rental housing. Housing Affordability in 2010 ¶Housing affordability in Tooele County is derived from home sales and new construction data (see below). For example, over the past five years 59.6 percent of all existing homes and condominiums sold in the county were affordable to moderate income households. Over the same period 13.6 percent of all existing homes and condominiums sold were affordable to low income households. Percent of Existing Homes and Condominiums Sold That Were Affordable to Moderate and Low Income Households 2006-2010 Tooele Co. Tooele City Grantsville Total Existing Units Sold 4,337 2,788 639 Number Affordable To Moderate Income 2,584 1,878 279 % Affordable 59.6% 67.3% 43.7% Number Affordable to Low Income 589 449 57 % Affordable 13.6% 16.1% 8.9% ¶New homes and condominiums were also affordable to moderate income households. Forty-nine percent of all new homes and condominiums built in Tooele County since 2006 were affordable to moderate income households. In Grantsville City nearly 66 percent of new homes and condominiums were affordable to moderate income households. Percent of New Homes and Condominiums Sold That Were Affordable to Moderate Income Households 2006-2010 Tooele Co. Tooele City Grantsville Total New Homes Sold 1,342 414 375 Number Affordable To Moderate Income 662 187 247 % Affordable 49.3% 45.3% 65.8% Affordable Housing Needs Assessment ¶Compared to most counties, especially urban counties, Tooele has a very affordable housing inventory. The local housing market is performing well in providing affordable housing to those households in Tooele County with incomes above 50 percent AMI. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 4 ¶Only six percent of all homeowners in Tooele County have severe housing cost burdens (paying more than 50 percent of income for housing). Tooele County has the lowest percentage share of severely cost burdened homeowners among seven major counties in Utah; this low percentage of cost burdened owners indicates a relatively affordable housing market. Percent of Home Owners and Renters with Severe Housing Cost Burden Owner Box Elder 6.3% Davis 6.3% Salt Lake 9.6% Tooele 6.0% Utah 8.6% Washington 10.7% Weber 7.0% Source: HUD CHAS 2009. Renter 11.4% 14.8% 19.5% 20.0% 21.1% 16.8% 17.9% Moderate Income Households ( =<80% AMI) - In 2010 the number of housing units (owner and rental) affordable to moderate income households totaled 9,600. In the same year there were 7,600 homeowners and renters with incomes at 80% or less AMI. Hence, for moderate income households the supply exceeds the demand by some 2,000 units, indicating a very affordable housing market. ¶For those households with incomes below 50 percent AMI ($32,800 for family of four) there is a deficit of affordable housing. Low Income Households (=< 50% AMI) – In 2010 the number of housing units (owner and rental) affordable to low income households totaled 3,550. The number of households with income less than 50 percent AMI in 2010 was 4,750. Consequently the demand for low income housing exceeds supply by 1,200 units, i.e. a deficit of 1,200 units. Extremely Low Income Households (=<30% AMI) – In 2010 the number of housing units (owner and rental) affordable to extremely low income households was less than 1,000 units. The number of extremely low income households was 2,850. There is a deficit of at least 1,500 units for extremely low income households. ¶The housing deficit or shortage of affordable housing for those households at 50 percent or less AMI forces these households to take on higher housing costs. These households end-up in higher cost housing which results in higher cost burdens. ¶Nearly two-thirds of all low and extremely low income households are renters. The rental inventory provides most of the affordable housing for those households under 50 percent AMI. Tooele County currently has 16 affordable housing projects with a total of 760 units; these units account for 21.1 percent of the rental inventory. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 5 Low Income Tax Credit Communities in Tooele County Apartment Community Willow Creek (Senior) Grantsville Apartment Orchard Park (Approved Credits) Clark Street Apartments Old Mill Stansbury Somerset Gardens (Senior) Oquirrh View Apartment (Senior) Canyon Cove Senior Housing (Senior) Remington Park Retirement (Senior) Lake View Apartments Valley Meadows Address 236 West Plum Street Subsidy City Units Grantsville RD Senior 20 63 83 278 West Main Grantsville RD 515 Country Haven Lane Grantsville Tax Credit 334 East Clark Street Grantsville Tax Credit 24 160 East Hilary Lane Unincorporated Tax Credit 128 143 North 400West Tooele RD Senior 28 16 552 North 270 East Tooele RD Senior 178 East Vine Street Tooele HUD Senior 21 495 Utah Avenue Tooele RD Senior 72 742 North 100 East Tooele Tax Credit 76 582 North Shay Land Tooele Tax Credit 40 11 130 Scattered Sites Tooele Tax Credit 232 W. Fenwick Lane Tooele Tax Credit Westwood Mesa 780 West 770 South Tooele Tax Credit 22 Landmark Apartments 350 West 400 North Tooele HUD 52 Briarwood Apartments 145 Gardenia Way Wendover RD Family 32 Tooele Public Housing 5 Tooele CROWN Tooele Gateway Apartments Five-Plex Total *Does not include the proposed Orchard Park. Source: Utah Housing Corporation and Tooele County Housing Authority. 760* ¶Forty-three percent of all renters in Tooele County have moderate housing cost burdens and twenty percent have severe housing cost burdens. At least 50 percent of those with severe cost burdens are households at less than 30 percent AMI. A disproportionate share of those with severe housing cost burdens are single-parents with children. ¶The greatest need is for family rental units at less than 50 percent AMI. The number of renters with household income below 50 percent AMI and experiencing a severe housing cost burden is estimated at 700 renters. ¶Tooele County Housing Authority administers 215 Section 8 vouchers. The waiting list is now at 2.5 years and increasing due to the recession. The need for affordable low income rental units is also confirmed by the 100 percent occupancy of the 98 subsidized units owned by the Tooele County Housing Authority. ¶Over the next five years the number of households in Tooele County will increase by at least 2,500. In order to meet the needs of these new households and improve affordability for existing low and extremely low income households an additional 350-450 affordable (<50% AMI) rental housing units will be needed over the five-year period. The additional rental units will be located, depending on demand and land prices, between Tooele City, unincorporated county and Grantsville City. ¶While Wendover has an ample supply of affordable owner and rental housing the critical housing need for the city is an improvement in the quality of housing. The city’s housing inventory is near substandard and has significant levels of overcrowding. A small tax credit apartment project (less than 20 units) and some Crown homes on scattered sites would help improve housing quality and choice. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 6 Special Needs Populations ¶Five of subsidized apartment projects in Tooele County are Senior housing apartments with a total of 220 units. The Senior rental market has sufficient affordable units to meet current demand. Senior projects are not recommended. Low Income Senior Rental Projects in Tooele County Units Type Willow Creek 83 RD Senior Somerset Gardens 28 RD Senior Oquirrh View Apartment 16 RD Senior Canyon Cove 21 HUD 202 Remington Park 72 Tax Credit Total 220 Source: HUD, Tooele County HA and Utah Housing Corporation. ¶There are, at most, 900 households in Tooele County that have a disabled person and have incomes below 80 percent AMI and pay more the 30 percent of their income for housing. Owner households account for 460 of these households with disabled persons and renter households account for 440 households. Thirteen percent of all renters have some type of disability. Therefore, any new apartment projects should provide or set aside 5 percent of project units as accessible units. Housing advocates and policymakers should be sensitive to the need and availability of accessible, affordable rental units. ¶The 2010 point-in-time headcount of homelessness in Tooele County shows that there were four homeless families with children. All of these families were sheltered. There were two families without children and one was unsheltered. The chronically homeless estimate was 8 individuals with 2 sheltered and 6 unsheltered. It is likely the homeless population has increased in 2011 with the severity of the recession. Tooele County’s unemployment rate has risen from 3.7 percent in January 2008 to 8.7 percent in January 2011. Coordinated efforts between county officials, nonprofits and religious organization are recommended to address the housing needs of the homeless population. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 7 I. HOUSING SUPPLY CONDITIONS: CHARACTERISTICS OF HOUSING INVENTORY Housing Inventory - 2010 By the end of 2010 Tooele County had nearly 19,000 occupied dwelling units in its housing inventory. Eighty-two percent of these dwelling units were owner occupied and 18 percent were renter occupied Table 1.1. Tooele City accounts for 54 percent of owner occupied units in the county and 56 percent of renter occupied units. Unincorporated Tooele County ranks second in concentration of housing. The unincorporated county has 4,153 owner occupied units and 750 renter occupied units. Unincorporated Tooele County is the location of 27 percent of all owner occupied dwelling units in the county and 22 percent of the rental units. Table 1.1 Housing Inventory: Tooele County and Cities – 2010 Share of Total County Occupied Inventory Units Tooele County 18,975 100.0% Grantsville 2,840 15.0% Ophir 19 0.1% Rush Valley 166 0.9% Stockton 207 1.1% Tooele City 10,230 53.9% Vernon 114 0.6% Wendover 496 2.6% Unincorporated 4,903 25.8% Source: Estimates by James Wood. Owner Occupied 15,575 2,450 16 138 179 8,332 86 221 4,153 Share of County Inventory 100.0% 15.7% 0.1% 0.9% 1.1% 53.5% 0.6% 1.4% 26.7% Renter Occupied 3,400 390 3 28 28 1,900 28 273 750 Share of County Inventory 100.0% 11.5% 0.1% 0.8% 0.8% 55.9% 0.8% 8.0% 22.1% In Tooele County owner occupied units account for 82 percent of the housing units and rental units account for 18 percent of the inventory Table 1.2. Statewide rental units account for about 25 percent of all housing units, significantly higher than Tooele County. For most cities the number of rental units ranges from 15-20 percent of the occupied inventory. The one exception is Wendover where rental units outnumber owner occupied units. In 2010, fifty-five percent of all occupied units in Wendover were rental units. Table 1.2 Tenure by City and County - 2010 Total Occupied Units Tooele County 18,975 Grantsville 2,840 Ophir 19 Rush Valley 166 Stockton 207 Tooele City 10,230 Vernon 114 Wendover 496 Unincorporated 4,903 Source: James Wood. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Owner Occupied 15,575 2,450 16 138 179 8,332 86 221 4,153 Share of City’s Inventory 82.1% 86.3% 84.2% 83.1% 86.5% 81.4% 75.4% 44.6% 84.7% Renter Occupied 3,400 390 3 28 28 1,900 28 273 750 Share of City’s Inventory 17.9% 13.7% 15.8% 16.9% 13.5% 18.6% 24.6% 55.0% 15.3% Page 8 Residential Construction 2000-2010 During the past decade residential construction in Tooele County has had similar pattern to statewide trends; acceleration in new homebuilding spiking in 2005 Table 1.3. However, in one respect the experience of Tooele County is different. Most cities and counties in and near the urban area hit all-time highs in new residential construction during the housing boom from 2004-2007. But in Tooele County the number of building permits issued for new residential units did not reach record levels in the 2004-2007 boom. The peak years for Tooele County were established in the late 1990s when the number of permits issued for three consecutive years (1997-1999) ranged between 1,000-1,015 units; 22 percent higher than the 832 permits issued during the recent housing boom. This was a time of very high homebuilding activity in Tooele City and the unincorporated area. Demand was driven primarily by the affordability of single-family housing in Tooele County. Housing prices in Davis and Salt Lake County had increased by over 50 percent in the mid-1990s giving the Tooele County housing market a significant price advantage. Consequently, developers responded to market demand with affordable housing projects in Tooele County resulting in nearly 4,000 housing units added to the inventory in a four-year period (1997-2000). Home building seems to have touched bottom in 2009 when only 186 permits were issued. In 2010 that number moved-up to 260 due in large part to 85 new rental units. Single-family construction was down in 2010 to 173 units from 183 units in 2009. Table 1.3 Building Permits Issued for All Types of Residential Units Tooele Tooele County City Grantsville Unincorporated 2000 914 615 117 182 2001 735 501 65 169 2002 620 351 57 212 2003 379 169 58 152 2004 568 221 67 280 2005 832 221 179 432 2006 692 254 194 244 2007 557 150 168 239 2008 236 77 26 133 2009 186 61 32 93 2010 260 128 32 100 Total 5,979 2,748 995 2,236 % Share 100.0% 46.0% 16.6% 37.4% Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. New residential construction since 2000 has been heavily concentrated in detached single-family homes. Of the nearly 6,000 new dwelling units built in the past ten years 5,159 have been singlefamily homes, Table 1.4. The unincorporated county has been the location for 40 percent of these new homes. From 2000-2010 there were building permits issued for 2,132 single-family homes in the unincorporated county. Tooele City issued permits for 2,101 new single-family homes during the decade. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 9 Table 1.4 Building Permits Issued for New Single Family Homes Tooele Tooele County City Grantville Unincorporated 2000 756 487 95 174 2001 551 331 62 158 2002 480 222 53 205 2003 359 149 58 152 2004 533 186 67 280 2005 695 178 157 360 2006 660 235 184 241 2007 535 133 165 237 2008 234 77 25 132 2009 183 60 30 93 2010 173 43 30 100 Total 5,159 2,101 926 2,132 Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. The number of permits issued for multifamily owner occupied units (condominiums, town homes and twin homes) was only 218 for the decade Table 1.5. Ninety percent of these multifamily owner occupied units were in Tooele City. Since 2005 very few condominiums have been built in the county. Table 1.5 Building Permits Issued for New Condominium, Town Home and Twin Home Construction Tooele Tooele County City Grantsville Unincorporated. 2000 37 22 13 2 2001 39 39 0 0 2002 37 37 0 0 2003 17 15 2 0 2004 22 22 0 0 2005 43 43 0 0 2006 17 15 2 0 2007 4 2 2 0 2008 0 0 0 0 2009 2 0 2 0 2010 0 0 2 0 Total 218 195 23 2 Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. The number of apartment units receiving building permits has been more than double the number of condominium units Table 1.6. Over the ten-year period 521 apartment units received building permits, a 9 percent share of total permits for new dwelling units. Between 2006 and 2009 no apartments were built countywide. Eighty-five apartment units received building permits in 2010. Tooele City is the location of the greatest concentration of new apartment construction with 373 units since 2000; 72 percent of all apartment units. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 10 Table 1.6 Building Permits Issued for Apartment Units Tooele County 72 120 88 Tooele City Grantsville Unincorporated. 2000 72 0 0 2001 120 0 0 2002 88 0 0 2003 0 0 0 2004 64 8 0 56 2005 92 0 20 72 2006 0 0 0 0 2007 0 0 0 0 2008 0 0 0 0 2009 0 0 0 0 2010 85 85 0 0 Total 521 373 20 128 Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Existing Homes Sales Activity 2000-2010 As is typically the case the number of sales of existing homes and condominiums has exceeded new residential construction Figure 1.1. For example, since 2000 existing real estate sales totaled 8,782 units compared to 5,979 new units Table 1.7. Ninety-four percent of all sales of existing homes and condominiums were detached single-family homes. Sales activity peaked in 2006 with 1,308 existing homes sold. The 644 units sold in 2010 was the lowest level of activity since 2002. From peak in 2006 to low point in 2010 sales of existing homes and condominiums dropped by 50 percent. In contrast the decline in new residential construction was considerably steeper, falling 78 percent from peak to trough. Figure 1.1 Permits Issued for New Residential Construction and Sales of Existing Homes and Condominiums 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 New Home Construc tion Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Existing Home Sales Page 11 Table 1.7 Sale of Existing Homes and Condominiums Tooele County Single Family Condos 2000 427 5 2001 519 13 2002 609 25 2003 745 55 2004 836 44 2005 1,086 81 2006 1,218 90 2007 941 84 2008 628 54 2009 629 49 2010 607 37 Total 8,245 537 Source: Wasatch Front Regional MLS. Total 432 532 634 800 880 1,167 1,308 1,025 682 678 644 8,782 Unfortunately the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) data does not provide sales data for unincorporated Tooele County. But subtracting sales data for Tooele City and Grantsville City indicates that the number of homes and condominium sales in the unincorporated county was approximately 1,800 for the ten-year 2000-2010 period. Tooele City has had 5,351 single-family homes sales and 449 condominium homes sales while Grantsville City has had 1,165 homes sales and only 15 condominiums sales since 2000 Tables 1.8 and 1.9. Sales activity for both cities and the county show a similar pattern; acceleration of sales from 2000 to 2006 when a peak was established then a four to five year decline pushing activity down to the lowest levels since 2002. Table 1.8 Sale of Existing Homes and Condominiums Tooele City Single Family Condos Total 2000 334 3 337 2001 360 11 371 2002 396 22 418 2003 476 54 530 2004 543 40 583 2005 707 71 778 2006 831 81 912 2007 607 66 673 2008 386 42 428 2009 374 27 401 2010 337 32 369 Total 5,351 449 5,800 Source: Wasatch Front Regional MLS. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 12 Table 1.9 Sale of Existing Homes and Condominiums Grantsville City Single Family Condos Total 2000 40 1 41 2001 62 1 63 2002 69 1 70 2003 84 0 84 2004 112 0 112 2005 159 1 160 2006 171 1 172 2007 142 6 148 2008 102 2 104 2009 101 1 102 2010 123 1 124 Total 1,165 15 1,180 Source: Wasatch Front Regional MLS. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 13 Summary of Current Housing Market Conditions ¶New residential construction in Tooele County has dropped to a 15-year low. In 2009 building permits for all types of residential construction were issued for 183 units and in 2010 for 260 units. ¶New single-family construction continued to decline into 2010. In 2009 permits were issued for 183 single-family units. In 2010 the number of permits fell to 173. ¶In 2010 permits were issued for 85 new apartment units in Tooele City. These are the first apartment units developed in Tooele County in five years. ¶Like new residential construction the level of sales of existing homes and condominiums in Tooele County has also declined dramatically due to the recession. Sales have dropped from 1,300 in 2006 to 644 in 2010, a 50 percent decline. ¶With the recession the median sales price of single-family homes in Tooele County, Tooele City and Grantsville have fallen back to near their 2006 levels. In 2010 the median sales price of a singlefamily home in Tooele County was $168,000, in Tooele City $150,000 and in Grantsville $193,250 Table 1.10. Table 1.10 Median Sales Price for Existing Single-Family Home Tooele County Tooele City Grantsville 2005 $138,000 $129,000 $157,000 2006 $163,900 $152,500 $184,500 2007 $194,000 $180,000 $239,000 2008 $189,450 $175,000 $204,500 2009 $175,329 $159,800 $220,000 2010 $168,000 $150,000 $193,250 Source: Wasatch Front Regional Multiple Listing Service. ¶The median sales price for new single-family homes has remained relatively stable for the county despite the recession. The sales price has fluctuated within a narrow range of $185,000 to $197,800. In Tooele City the median price of a new home has fallen from $199,000 in 2008 to $171,250 in 2010 Table 1.11. Table 1.11 Median Sales Price for New Single-Family Homes Tooele County 2006 $197,791 2007 $189,690 2008 $190,600 2009 $185,000 2010 $188,600 Source: New Reach. Tooele City $186,300 $193,300 $199,000 $175,000 $171,250 ¶For the apartment market the estimated vacancy rate is 6.2 percent. The median rent for a one bedroom unit is $485, for a two bedroom unit $650 and a three bedroom unit $685. Housing profiles for each city are provided in the Appendix. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 14 II. HOUSING DEMAND: DEMOGRAPHIC AND ECONOMIC CONDITIONS Demographic Trends Recently released Census data show that Tooele County is one of the fastest growing counties in Utah. Since 2000 the population of the county has increased by nearly 17,500 people, an increase of 42.9 percent Table 2.1. The most rapidly growing area of the county is the unincorporated portion that includes Stansbury Park. In the past ten years the population of Stansbury Park has more than doubled, increasing from 2,385 to 5,145; an increased of 115.7 percent. Census data show that two cities lost population during the past decade; Wendover with a 8.9 percent decline in population and Rush Valley with a 1.3 percent decline. Tooele County ranks third among Utah’s 29 counties in the rate of population increase since 2000. Only Wasatch and Washington County grew at a faster pace Table 2.2. Tooele County’s population increase is driven by three factors: (1) proximity to Salt Lake County and its employment base of 550,000, (2) affordable housing opportunities and (3) economic and employment growth of Tooele County. Table 2.1 Population Change in Tooele County and Cities Tooele County Grantsville Ophir town Rush Valley town Stansbury Park CDP Stockton town Tooele City Vernon town Wendover Balance of Tooele County Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2000 40,735 6,015 23 453 2,385 443 22,502 236 1,537 7,141 2010 58,218 8,893 38 447 5,145 616 31,605 243 1,400 11,558 % Change 42.9% 47.8% 65.2% -1.3% 115.7% 39.1% 40.5% 3.0% -8.9% 61.9% Table 2.2 Top Five Counties by Population Growth 2000-2010 Percent Change Wasatch 54.7% Washington 52.9% Tooele 42.9% Utah 40.2% Duchesne 29.5% Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Absolute Change 8,315 47,761 17,483 148,028 4,236 Page 15 Economic and Employment Trends In addition to demographic growth the demand for housing is closely correlated with local economic conditions. Tooele County again is one the fastest growing counties in the state in terms of job growth Table 2.3. In the past ten years the number of jobs in the county has increased from 11,130 to 15,674; a 40.8 percent increase. As Figure 2.1 shows almost all of this employment growth occurred during the 2005-2007 period. About 15 percent of the employment growth in the county, during this period, was due to location of the 1.2 million square foot Wal-Mart Distribution Center in Grantsville in 2006. The distribution center employs over 700 workers. Table 2.3 Top Five Ranked Counties by Change in Nonfarm Employment (Counties with over 5,000 Employment) 2010 County 2000 (July) % Chg. Duchesne 4,764 7,242 52.0% Uintah 9,261 13,116 41.6% Tooele 11,130 15,674 40.8% Washington 33,579 45,804 36.4% Summit 15,228 18,991 24.7% Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services. Absolute Change 2,478 3,855 4,544 12,225 3,763 Figure 2.1 Nonfarm Employment in Tooele County 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 20 10 20 08 20 06 20 04 20 02 20 00 19 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 0 Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 16 The largest private investment in Tooele County in recent years is Allegheny Technologies $460 million titanium plant in Rowley. The facility opened in late 2009 and employs over a 100 people in Tooele’s manufacturing sector. Allegheny Technologies uses magnesium from another large employer in Tooele County—US Magnesium—to produce titanium Table 2.4. Extractive industries located around the Great Salt Lake provide relatively high paying jobs for the local labor force. In addition to extractive industrial Tooele has two large firms engaged in the treatment and disposal of hazard and low level waste; EG&G Defense Materials and Envirocare of Utah, which is part of Energy Solutions. The largest employer in Tooele County is the Department of Defense. The Tooele Army Depot stores and demilitarizes weapons and provides support for Deseret Chemical Depot which store chemical weapons. Dugway Proving Grounds is the third DOD facility in Tooele County. This facility tests and stores chemical and biological weapons for the U.S. Army. The presence of these DOD facilities increases government employment making government the largest employment sector in Tooele County. Nearly one-third of all jobs in the county are in the government sector Table 2.5. Table 2.4 Major Employers in Tooele County - 2010 Major Employer Employment Department of Defense 1,000-1,999 Tooele School District 1,000-1,999 Wal-Mart 1,000-1,999 EG&G Defense Materials 500-999 US Magnesium 250-499 Tooele County 250-499 Detroit Diesel 250-499 Envirocare of Utah 250-499 Mountain West Medical 250-499 Source: Department of Workforce Services. Table 2.5 Nonfarm Employment by Sector in Tooele County Total Employment Tooele County Mining 69 Construction 534 Manufacturing 1,487 Trade 1,827 Transportation/Utilities 1,024 Information 216 Financial Activities 343 Professional/Business Services 2,552 Health Care/Private Education 1,226 Leisure and Hospitality 1,270 Other Services 364 Government 4,533 Total 15,445 Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment % Share Tooele 0.4% 3.5% 9.6% 11.8% 6.6% 1.4% 2.2% 16.5% 7.9% 8.2% 2.4% 29.3% 100.0% % Share State 0.9% 5.9% 9.5% 15.6% 4.0% 2.5% 6.0% 12.6% 12.7% 9.3% 2.9% 18.1% 100.0% Page 17 Tooele City is the location for over half of the employment in the county Table 2.6. The extractive and hazardous waste industries and two of DOD installations are located in the unincorporated county. Table 2.6 Nonfarm Employment by City – 2008 Nonfarm Employment Tooele County 15,526 Tooele City 7,870 Grantsville 2,399 Wendover 232 Unincorporated County 5,025 Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services. Summary of Tooele County Economy ¶The Tooele County economy has experienced relatively high rates of employment growth. The county rank third among Utah’s 29 counties in rate of employment growth from 2000-2010. ¶Tooele County’s location and geography play an important role in the economy. Close proximity to Salt Lake County supports residential development. I-80, which runs just north of Tooele City and Grantsville, makes the county attractive to distribution facilities (Wal-Mart). The Great Salt Lake provides jobs in the chemical extraction industry. And finally the undeveloped open space is suitable for hazardous and low level waste treatment and chemical and biological testing. ¶The county’s unique qualities, a bedroom community with a heavy presence of DOD, distribution and mining employment provides a solid economic base for the county with prospects of above average economic growth. The expected economic growth will support additional demand for housing and the need for affordable housing in the county and major cities. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 18 III. HOUSING AFFORDABILITY In 2010 Tooele County had an estimated population of 58,200. Housing for this population includes 15,575 owner-occupied units and 3,400 renter-occupied units. Since 2000 the owner- and renteroccupied housing inventory has increased by nearly 6,000 units; a 43 percent increase in occupied dwelling units. Owner-occupied units have increased by 5,400 units and renter-occupied units by 520 units. Affordability Calculations HUD provides median income estimates for counties Table 3.1. Using these estimates the price level of affordable homes was determined for median-, moderate-, low- and very-low-income households in Tooele County Table 3.2. These price estimates were derived based on the following assumptions: 30 percent of gross income devoted to housing, 3 percent down payment, prevailing mortgage rate, and property taxes, homeowner’s insurance and mortgage insurance of 12 percent of total mortgage payment Table 3.3. Table 3.1 Household Income by AMI Level for Tooele County Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Median $56,800 $56,900 $59,900 $64,700 $65,600 80% AMI $45,440 $45,520 $47,920 $51,760 $52,480 50% AMI $28,400 $28,450 $29,950 $32,350 $32,800 30% AMI $18,450 $17,070 $17,970 $19,410 $19,680 Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah and HUD income estimate. Table 3.2 Affordable Home Prices by Income Category for Tooele County Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Affordable Price Range for Household at: Median Income 80% AMI 50% AMI $209,237 $167,357 $104,619 $211,082 $168,900 $105,541 $242,197 $183,628 $114,725 $265,874 $210,218 $131,386 $288,772 $226,519 $141,574 30% AMI $68,035 $63,360 $68,903 $78,831 $84,944 Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah and HUD income estimate. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 19 Table 3.3 Affordability Calculations for Tooele County Median 80% AMI 50% AMI 30% AMI Income Available for Housing @ 30% of Income $65,600 $52,480 $32,800 $19,680 Income Available Monthly $19,680 $15,744 $9,840 $5,904 $1,640 $1,312 $820 $492 $1,460 $1,168 $730 $438 $280,109 $219,723 $137,327 $82,396 2010 After Taxes , Home Insurance, Mortgage Insurance Mortgage Interest Rate Amount of Loan Financed Down Payment $8,663 $6,796 $4,247 $2,548 $288,772 $226,519 $141,574 $84,944 Income Available for Housing @ 30% of Income $64,700 $51,760 $32,350 $19,410 Income Available Monthly $19,410 $15,528 $9,705 $5,823 $1,618 $1,294 $809 $485 Maximum Home Price 2009 After Taxes , Home Insurance, Mortgage Insurance Mortgage Interest Rate Amount of Loan Financed Down Payment $1,440 $1,152 $720 $432 $257,898 $203,911 $127,444 $76,466 $7,976 $6,307 $3,942 $2,365 $265,874 $210,218 $131,386 $78,831 Income Available for Housing @ 30% of Income $59,900 $47,920 $29,950 $17,970 Income Available Monthly $17,970 $14,376 $8,985 $5,391 $1,498 $1,198 $749 $449 $1,333 $1,066 $666 $400 $234,931 $178,119 $111,283 $66,836 Maximum Home Price 2008 After Taxes , Home Insurance, Mortgage Insurance Mortgage Interest Rate Amount of Loan Financed Down Payment $7,266 $5,509 $3,442 $2,067 $242,197 $183,628 $114,725 $68,903 Income Available for Housing @ 30% of Income $56,900 $45,520 $28,450 $17,070 Income Available Monthly $17,070 $13,656 $8,535 $5,121 $1,423 $1,138 $711 $427 Maximum Home Price 2007 After Taxes , Home Insurance, Mortgage Insurance Mortgage Interest Rate Amount of Loan Financed Down Payment $1,266 $1,013 $633 $380 $204,750 $163,833 $102,375 $61,459 $6,332 $5,067 $3,166 $1,901 $211,082 $168,900 $105,541 $63,360 Income Available for Housing @ 30% of Income $56,800 $45,440 $28,400 $18,450 Income Available Monthly $17,040 $13,632 $8,520 $5,535 $1,420 $1,136 $710 $461 $1,264 $1,011 $632 $411 $202,960 $162,336 $101,480 $65,994 Maximum Home Price 2006 After Taxes , Home Insurance, Mortgage Insurance Mortgage Interest Rate Amount of Loan Financed Down Payment Maximum Home Price $6,277 $5,021 $3,139 $2,041 $209,237 $167,357 $104,619 $68,035 Source: Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 20 Affordability of Existing Owner Occupied Housing Housing affordability has improved in recent years in Tooele County as interest and mortgage rates have declined due to the recession. In order to assess the current availability of affordable owneroccupied housing, five years of data from the Wasatch Front Multiple Listing Services were analyzed regarding affordability for median-, moderate- (80% AMI), low-income (50% AMI) and extremely low income (<30% AMI) households. Real estate sales data were used to infer the affordability of owner-occupied housing in Tooele County. Due to insufficient data on several small cities in Tooele County the affordability analysis is limited to Tooele County, Tooele City and Grantsville. Affordability for Median-Income Households The analysis of home sales showed that between 2006 and 2010 there were 4,337 existing singlefamily and condominiums units in Tooele County Table 3.4. Over the five-year period an average of 82.6 percent of all homes sold were affordable to the median income household; a very high level of housing affordability. Surprising, 81 percent of all single-family homes sold were affordable. See Table 3.3 for calculations of prices and affordability. For example, in 2010 a median income household could afford a home priced at $288,772. As mentioned with the drop in mortgage rates affordability has improved. In 2007, 71 percent of all single-family homes sold were affordable to the median income household but by 2010 the share had increased to 94 percent. Housing affordability in Tooele City is very similar to the county. Ninety percent of all existing homes and condominiums sold were affordable to median income households Table 3.5. Of the 248 condominiums sold in the city all were affordable. Grantsville has a lower level of affordability with 68.5 percent of all existing homes and condominiums sold affordable to median income households Table 3.6. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 21 Table 3.4 Number and Share of Housing Units Sold that Were Affordable to Median-Income Households in Tooele County Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Single-Family Homes Total Units Affordable Sold Units 1,218 980 941 672 628 493 629 558 607 572 4,023 3,275 Affordable Share 80.5% 71.4% 78.5% 88.7% 94.2% 81.4% Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Condominiums Total Units Affordable Sold Units 90 89 84 80 54 54 49 49 37 37 314 309 Affordable Share 99.0% 95.2% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 98.0% Combined Single-Family Homes and Condominiums Total Units Affordable Affordable Year Sold Units Share 2006 1,308 1,069 81.7% 2007 1,025 752 73.4% 2008 682 547 80.2% 2009 678 607 89.5% 2010 644 609 94.6% Total 4,337 3,584 82.6% Source: Wasatch Front Regional Multiple Listing Service. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 22 Table 3.5 Number and Share of Housing Units Sold that Were Affordable to Median-Income Households in Tooele City Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Single-Family Homes Total Units Affordable Sold Units 831 760 609 455 387 332 376 375 337 337 2,540 2,259 Affordable Share 91.5% 74.7% 85.8% 99.7% 100.0% 88.9% Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Condominiums Total Units Affordable Sold Units 81 81 66 66 42 42 27 27 32 32 248 248 Affordable Share 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Combined Single-Family Homes and Condominiums Total Units Affordable Affordable Year Sold Units Share 2006 912 841 92.2% 2007 675 521 77.2% 2008 429 374 87.2% 2009 403 402 99.8% 2010 369 369 100.0% Total 2,788 2,507 89.9% Source: Wasatch Front Regional Multiple Listing Service. Table 3.6 Number and Share of Housing Units Sold that Were Affordable to Median-Income Households in Grantsville City Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Single-Family Homes Total Units Affordable Sold Units 171 111 142 59 102 63 101 84 123 121 639 438 Affordable Share 64.9% 41.5% 61.7% 83.1% 98.4% 68.5% Source: Wasatch Front Regional Multiple Listing Service. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 23 Affordability for Moderate-Income Households (80% AMI) Moderate income households also experience a high level of housing affordability in Tooele County. Nearly 60 percent of all homes and condominiums sold in the county between 2006 and 2010 were affordable to moderate income households Table 3.7. In 2010 the price affordability threshold for a moderate income household was $226,519. That is any home price below $226,519 was affordable to a moderate income household. Condominiums, although not a large share of the market, were very affordable. Of the 297 condominiums sold over the five-year period 95 percent were affordable. Sixty-seven percent of all existing housing units sold in Tooele City were affordable to moderate income households but affordability drops in Grantsville Tables 3.8-3.9. Only 43.7 percent of all housing units sold were affordable. Although Grantsville is less affordable than Tooele City when compared to most other cities in Wasatch Front Counties, housing in Grantsville is very affordable. Table 3.7 Number and Share of Housing Units Sold that Were Affordable to Moderate-Income Households (80% AMI) in Tooele County Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Single-Family Homes Total Units Affordable Sold Units 1,218 636 941 430 628 282 629 441 607 498 4,023 2,287 Affordable Share 52.2% 45.7% 44.9% 70.1% 82.0% 56.8% Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Condominiums Total Units Affordable Sold Units 90 87 84 74 54 51 49 48 37 37 314 297 Affordable Share 96.6% 88.0% 94.4% 97.9% 100.0% 94.6% Combined Single-Family Homes and Condominiums Total Units Affordable Affordable Year Sold Units Share 2006 1,308 723 55.3% 2007 1,025 504 49.2% 2008 682 333 48.8% 2009 678 489 72.1% 2010 644 535 83.1% Total 4,337 2,584 59.6% Source: Wasatch Front Regional Multiple Listing Service. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 24 Table 3.8 Number and Share of Housing Units Sold that Were Affordable to Moderate-Income Households (80% AMI) in Tooele City Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Single-Family Homes Total Units Affordable Sold Units 831 533 609 231 387 229 376 330 337 317 2,450 1,640 Affordable Share 64.1% 37.9% 59.2% 87.8% 94.1% 66.9% Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Condominiums Total Units Affordable Sold Units 81 80 66 58 42 41 27 27 32 32 248 238 Affordable Share 98.8% 87.9% 97.6% 100.0% 100.0% 95.9% Combined Single-Family Homes and Condominiums Total Units Affordable Affordable Year Sold Units Share 2006 912 613 67.2% 2007 675 289 42.8% 2008 429 270 62.9% 2009 403 357 88.6% 2010 369 349 94.6% Total 2,788 1,878 67.3% Source: Wasatch Front Regional Multiple Listing Service. Table 3.9 Number and Share of Housing Units Sold that Were Affordable to Moderate Income Households in Grantsville City Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Single-Family Homes Total Units Affordable Sold Units 171 73 142 31 102 31 101 53 123 91 639 279 Affordable Share 42.6% 21.8% 30.3% 52.4% 73.9% 43.7% Source: Wasatch Front Regional Multiple Listing Service. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 25 Affordability for Low-Income Households (50% AMI) Low-income households could afford only 13.6 percent of the combined detached single-family homes and attached condominiums sold in Tooele County since 2006 Table 3.10. The housing price threshold for affordability in 2010 was $141,574. Affordability was much higher in 2010. Thirtyone percent of all homes sold were affordable to a low income household and 86 percent of the 32 condominiums sold were affordable. The decline in housing opportunities is to be expected as income levels drop. Nevertheless Tooele County maintains a relatively high level of affordability even for low income households. For these household there are ownership opportunities. In Tooele City 16.1 percent of all existing housing units sold were affordable to low income households and in Grantsville—again a lower level of affordability—8.9 percent of housing units sold were affordable Tables 3.11-3.12. Table 3.10 Number and Share of Housing Units Sold that Were Affordable to Low-Income Households (50% AMI) in Tooele County Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Single-Family Homes Total Units Affordable Sold Units 1,218 94 941 68 628 30 629 107 607 189 4,023 488 Affordable Share 7.7% 7.2% 4.8% 17.0% 31.1% 12.1% Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Condominiums Total Units Affordable Sold Units 90 25 84 12 54 10 49 22 37 32 314 104 Affordable Share 27.7% 14.2% 18.5% 44.9% 86.5% 33.1% Combined Single-Family Homes and Condominiums Total Units Affordable Affordable Year Sold Units Share 2006 1,308 119 9.1% 2007 1,025 80 7.8% 2008 682 40 5.9% 2009 678 129 19.0% 2010 644 221 34.3% Total 4,337 589 13.6% Source: Wasatch Front Regional Multiple Listing Service. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 26 Table 3.11 Number and Share of Housing Units Sold that Were Affordable to Low-Income Households (50% AMI) in Tooele City Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Single-Family Homes Total Units Affordable Sold Units 831 77 609 21 387 24 376 91 337 147 2,450 360 Affordable Share 9.3% 3.4% 6.2% 24.2% 43.6% 14.6% Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Condominiums Total Units Affordable Sold Units 81 22 66 8 42 12 27 17 32 30 248 89 Affordable Share 27.2% 12.1% 28.6% 63.0% 93.8% 35.9% Combined Single-Family Homes and Condominiums Total Units Affordable Affordable Year Sold Units Share 2006 912 99 10.9% 2007 675 29 4.3% 2008 429 36 8.4% 2009 403 108 26.8% 2010 369 177 48.0% Total 2,788 449 16.1% Source: Wasatch Front Regional Multiple Listing Service. Table 3.12 Number and Share of Housing Units Sold that Were Affordable to Low Income Households in Grantsville City Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Single-Family Homes Total Units Affordable Sold Units 171 11 142 2 102 2 101 18 123 24 639 57 Affordable Share 6.4% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% 8.9% Source: Wasatch Front Regional Multiple Listing Service. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 27 Affordability for Extremely Low-Income Households (=<30% AMI) Housing markets have very few owner occupied units affordable to extremely low income households. In 2010, a four-person households with an extremely low income had an income below $19,860 and the housing price threshold was $84,944. Only 2 percent of all housing units sold in Tooele County were affordable to extremely low income households Table 3.13. In Tooele City 2.2 percent of homes sold were affordable but in Grantsville only 4 of 639 unit sold were affordable to very low income households Tables 3.14-3.15. Table 3.13 Number and Share of Housing Units Sold that Were Affordable to Extremely LowIncome Households (=<30% AMI) in Tooele County Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Single-Family Homes Total Units Affordable Sold Units 1,218 17 941 12 628 4 629 12 607 34 4,023 79 Affordable Share 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 1.9% 5.6% 1.9% Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Condominiums Total Units Affordable Sold Units 90 2 84 0 54 0 49 0 37 5 314 7 Affordable Share 2.2 0 0 0 13.5% 2.2% Combined Single-Family Homes and Condominiums Total Units Affordable Affordable Year Sold Units Share 2006 1,308 19 1.5% 2007 1,025 12 1.2% 2008 682 4 0.6% 2009 678 12 1.8% 2010 644 39 6.1% Total 4,337 86 2.0% Source: Wasatch Front Regional Multiple Listing Service. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 28 Table 3.14 Number and Share of Housing Units Sold that Were Affordable to Extremely LowIncome Households (=<30% AMI) in Tooele City Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Single-Family Homes Total Units Affordable Sold Units 831 15 609 5 387 3 376 9 337 26 2,450 58 Affordable Share 1.8% 0.8% 0.8% 2.4% 7.7% 2.4% Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Condominiums Total Units Affordable Sold Units 81 2 66 0 42 0 27 0 32 4 248 6 Affordable Share 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 2.4% Combined Single-Family Homes and Condominiums Total Units Affordable Affordable Year Sold Units Share 2006 912 17 1.9% 2007 675 5 0.7% 2008 429 3 0.7% 2009 403 9 2.2% 2010 369 30 8.1% Total 2,788 64 2.2% Source: Wasatch Front Regional Multiple Listing Service. Table 3.15 Number and Share of Housing Units Sold that Were Affordable to Extremely Low Income Households in Grantsville City Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Single-Family Homes Total Units Affordable Sold Units 171 0 142 0 102 0 101 0 123 4 639 4 Affordable Share 0% 0% 0% 0% 3.2% 0.1% Source: Wasatch Front Regional Multiple Listing Service. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 29 Affordability of New Residential Single-family and Condominiums Units According to New Reach, a local real estate consulting firm, 1,342 new single-family homes and condominiums units have been sold in Tooele County since 2006 Table 3.16-3.18. Over this period 74.3 percent of all new homes sold were affordable to median income households and 49.3 percent were affordable to moderate income households. These data indicate a high degree of affordability of new homes. For moderate income households 44.9 percent of all new homes were affordable, a total of 532 homes. Eighty-three percent of all new condominiums units were affordable, a total of 130 units. Unfortunately the data from New Reach are not disaggregated below $150,000 therefore it is not possible to estimate new housing affordability for low and extremely low income households. Table 3.16 Number and Percent of Combined New Homes and Condominiums Affordable to Median and Moderate Income Households – Tooele County Total New Homes and Condominiums Closed 2006 405 2007 357 2008 232 2009 194 2010 154 Total 1,342 Source: New Reach. Affordable to Median Income Household Number of Homes and Condos Percent of Closed Total Closed 242 59.7% 229 64.1% 200 86.2% 179 92.2% 148 96.1% 998 74.3% Affordable to Moderate Income Households Number of Homes and Percent of Condominiums Total Closed Closed 138 34.0% 111 31.0% 111 47.8% 161 82.9% 141 91.5% 662 49.3% Table 3.17 Number and Percent of New Homes Affordable to Median and Moderate Income Households – Tooele County Affordable to Median Income Household Total New Single-Family Homes Closed 2006 348 2007 343 2008 191 2009 178 2010 126 Total 1,186 Source: New Reach. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Number of Homes Closed 194 223 159 165 120 861 Percent of Total Homes Closed 55.7% 65.0% 83.2% 92.7% 95.2% 72.5% Affordable to Moderate Income Households Percent of Total Number of Homes Homes Closed Closed 90 25.9% 106 30.9% 72 37.7% 147 82.6% 117 92.9% 532 44.9% Page 30 Table 3.18 Number and Percent of New Condominiums Affordable to Median and Moderate Income Households – Tooele County Total New Condominiums Closed 2006 57 2007 14 2008 41 2009 16 2010 28 Total 156 Source: New Reach. Affordable to Median Income Household Number of Percent of Total Condominiums Condominiums Closed Closed 48 84.2% 6 42.9% 41 100.0% 14 87.5% 28 100.0% 137 87.8% Affordable to Moderate Income Households Number of Percent of Total Condominiums Condominiums Closed Closed 48 84.2% 5 35.7% 39 95.1% 14 87.5% 24 85.7% 130 83.3% New homes and condominiums in Tooele City have a similar degree of affordability. Since 2006 327 (78.9 percent) of the 414 new homes and condominiums built in Tooele City were affordable to median income households and 187 (45.2 percent) were affordable to moderate income households. Table 3.19 Number and Percent of Combined New Homes and Condominiums Affordable to Median and Moderate Income Households – Tooele City Total New Homes and Condominiums Closed 2006 97 2007 128 2008 69 2009 73 2010 47 Total 414 Source: New Reach. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Affordable to Median Income Household Number of Homes and Condos Percent of Closed Total Closed 67 69.1% 80 62.5% 61 88.4% 72 99.0% 47 100.0% 327 78.9% Affordable to Moderate Income Households Number of Homes and Percent of Condominiums Total Closed Closed 23 23.7% 35 27.3% 25 36.2% 63 86.3% 41 87.2% 187 45.2% Page 31 Table 3.20 Number and Percent of New Homes Affordable to Median and Moderate Income Households – Tooele City Affordable to Median Income Household Total New Single-Family Homes Closed 2006 88 2007 114 2008 60 2009 69 2010 39 Total 370 Source: New Reach. Number of Homes Closed 67 74 52 69 39 301 Percent of Total Homes Closed 76.1% 64.9% 86.7% 100.0% 100.0% 81.4% Affordable to Moderate Income Households Percent of Total Number of Homes Homes Closed Closed 23 26.1% 30 26.3% 18 30.0% 61 88.4% 37 94.9% 169 46.0% Table 3.21 Number and Percent of New Condominiums Affordable to Median and Moderate Income Households – Tooele City Total New Condominiums Closed 2006 9 2007 14 2008 9 2009 4 2010 8 Total 44 Source: New Reach. Affordable to Median Income Household Number of Percent of Total Condominiums Condominiums Closed Closed 0 0.0% 6 42.9% 9 100.0% 3 75.0% 8 100.0% 26 59.0% Affordable to Moderate Income Households Number of Percent of Total Condominiums Condominiums Closed Closed 0 0.0% 5 35.7% 7 77.8% 2 50.0% 4 50.0% 18 40.9% No new condominiums have been developed in Grantsville since 2006. Nevertheless the data on new detached single-family housing show that 86 percent of new homes were affordable to median income households and 65.8 percent were affordable to moderate income households Table 3.22. Again a relatively high level of affordability for new homes. Table 3.22 Number and Percent of New Homes Affordable to Median and Moderate Income Households – Grantsville City Affordable to Median Income Household 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Total New Single-Family Homes Closed 97 124 69 39 46 375 Number of Homes Closed 85 98 59 36 46 324 Percent of Total Homes Closed 87.6% 79.0% 85.5% 92.3% 100.0% 86.4% Affordable to Moderate Income Households Percent of Total Number of Homes Homes Closed Closed 58 59.8% 76 61.3% 37 53.6% 31 79.5% 45 97.8% 247 65.8% Source: New Reach. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 32 Rental Housing Affordability in Tooele County Tooele County’s rental housing market has a high degree of affordability. There are 16 subsidized projects in the county with a total of 760 units, accounting for 21 percent of all occupied rental units in the county. In terms of subsidized units as a percent of occupied rental units, Tooele County ranks first among Utah’s 29 counties. Summit and Washington Counties rank second and third and each have about a 15 percent share of subsidized rental units. Statewide the share is only 7.5 percent. Table 3.23 Low Income Tax Credit and Subsidized Rental Communities in Tooele County Apartment Community Address Subsidy City Units Willow Creek (Senior) 236 West Plum Street Grantsville RD Senior 83 Grantsville Apartment 278 West Main Grantsville RD 515 20 Country Haven Lane Grantsville Tax Credit 63 334 East Clark Street Grantsville Tax Credit 24 128 Orchard Park (Approved Credits) Clark Street Apartments 160 East Hilary Lane Unincorporated Tax Credit Somerset Gardens (Senior) 143 North 400West Tooele RD Senior 28 Oquirrh View Apartment (Senior) 552 North 270 East Tooele RD Senior 16 178 East Vine Street Tooele HUD Senior 21 495 Utah Avenue Tooele RD Senior 72 76 40 Old Mill Stansbury Canyon Cove Senior Housing (Senior) Remington Park Retirement (Senior) Lake View Apartments Valley Meadows Tooele CROWN Tooele Gateway Apartments Westwood Mesa 742 North 100 East Tooele Tax Credit 582 North Shay Land Tooele Tax Credit Scattered Sites Tooele Tax Credit 11 232 W. Fenwick Lane Tooele Tax Credit 130 780 West 770 South Tooele Tax Credit 22 52 32 Landmark Apartments 350 West 400 North Tooele HUD Briarwood Apartments 145 Gardenia Way Wendover RD Family Tooele Public Housing Five-Plex Total *Does not include the proposed Orchard Park. Source: Utah Housing Corporation and Tooele County Housing Authority. 5 760* Five of the subsidized projects are for Seniors. These five projects have a total of 220 units. Table 3.24 Low Income Senior Rental Projects in Tooele County Units Type Willow Creek 83 RD Senior Somerset Gardens 28 RD Senior Oquirrh View Apartment 16 RD Senior Canyon Cove 21 HUD 202 Remington Park 72 Tax Credit Total 220 Source: HUD, Tooele County HA and Utah Housing Corporation. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 33 A recent survey of the classified advertisement in the Tooele Transcript showed the median one bedroom rental rate in Tooele County was $485, the median two bedroom rental rate was $650 and the median three bedroom rate $685. These estimated market rents are all below the 50% AMI target rents of HUD, which are used for tax credit units. The HUD 50% AMI net rents are $565 for a one bedoom unit, $660 for a two bedroom unit and $750 for a three bedroom unit. The fact that market rents are between 40-45% AMI indicates an affordable rental housing market. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 34 Tooele Gateway Apartments 1200 North 300 West Tooele Total Units 160 130 Tax Credit Units, 30 Market Rate Units Year Built 2002, 2003 Two Bedroom One Bedroom Category One Bath Three Bedroom Two Bath Number of Units 90 70 Average Rent $675 mkt. $775 mkt. Average Sq. Ft. 910 1,150 Rent/Sq.Ft. $0.74 $0.67 A/C Dishwasher W&D Hookups Private Balcony Cable Ready Clubhouse Swimming Pool Covered Parking Yes yes yes yes yes yes Yes yes Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 35 Lakeview Apartments Homes 742 North 100 East Tooele, City Total Units 76 All Tax Credit Units Year Built 1999 Two Bedroom Category One Bedroom Number of Units 24 36 16 Average Rent Average Sq. Ft. tax credit 695 tax credit 780 tax credit 1,080 One Bath Three Bedroom Two Bath A/C Dishwasher W&D Hookups Private Balcony Cable Ready Clubhouse Swimming Pool Covered Parking yes yes yes Yes yes no no yes Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 36 Landmark Apartments 350 West 400 North Tooele, City Total Units 52 Year Built 1981 Type of Project Section 8 Two Bedroom Category One Bedroom Number of Units 13 26 13 Average Rent 30% of inc. 30 % of inc. 30% of inc. Average Sq. Ft. na 875 na One Bath Rent/Sq.Ft. Three Bedroom Two Bath na A/C Dishwasher W&D Hookups Private Balcony Cable Ready Clubhouse Swimming Pool Covered Parking yes no no yes yes no No yes Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 37 Valley Meadows 600 West 600 North Tooele, City Total Units 40 Year Built 1999 Type of Project Tax Credit Category Two Bedroom One Bedroom One Bath Three Bedroom Two Bath Number of Units 32 8 Average Rent tax credit tax credit Average Sq. Ft. NA NA Rent/Sq.Ft. 890 1,035 A/C Dishwasher W&D Hookups Private Balcony Cable Ready Clubhouse Swimming Pool Covered Parking yes yes yes yes yes no No yes Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 38 Westwood Mesa 780 West 770 South Tooele, City Total Units 22 Year Built 1985 Type of Project Tax Credit Two Bedroom Category One Bedroom Number of Units 2 (for disabled) One Bath Three Bedroom Two Bath 14 6 Average Rent tax credit tax credit Average Sq. Ft. 865 1,000 Rent/Sq.Ft. A/C Dishwasher W&D Hookups Private Balcony Cable Ready Clubhouse Swimming Pool Covered Parking yes yes yes yes yes no no no Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 39 Old Mill 160 East 6700 North Tooele County Total Units - Phase I, 56 units, Phase II 72 units Type of Project - Tax Credit Year Built - 2005 Category Two Bedroom One Bedroom One Bath Two Bath Number of Units Three Bedroom 128 A/C Dishwasher W&D Hookups Private Balcony Tot Lot Covered Parking yes yes yes yes yes garage Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 40 South Willow 211 South Hale Grantsville Total Units - 18 Year Built - 1971-74 Type of Project - Family RD 515 Category One Bedroom Number of Units Average Rents Two Bedroom One Bath Two Bath Three Bedroom 18 RD Market Rate $550 A/C Dishwasher W&D Hookups swamp room A/C no no laundry rm Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Private Balcony Tot Lot Covered Parking no yes yes Page 41 Grantsville Family Apartments 284 West Main Grantsville Total Units - 20 Year Built - 2005 Type of Project – RD515 Two Bedroom One Bedroom Category Number of Units Average Rents Square Footage One Bath Three Bedroom Two Bath 8 30% of income 850 12 30% of income 1,050 A/C Dishwasher W&D Hookups Private Balcony Cable Ready Clubhouse Swimming Pool Covered Parking yes yes yes yes yes no no yes Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 42 Briarwood Apartments 145 Gardenia Way Wendover Total Units - 32 Year Built – Pre-1980 Type of Project – RD Family Project Two Bedroom Category One Bedroom Number of Units Average Rents Square Footage 32 30% of income Unk One Bath Three Bedroom Two Bath A/C Dishwasher W&D Hookups Private Balcony Cable Ready Clubhouse Swimming Pool Covered Parking yes no no no no no no no Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 43 Willow Creek 236 Plum Grantsville Total Units - 83 Year Built – 1980-1990 Type of Project – RD Senior Category One Bedroom Number of Units Average Rents Square Footage 83 30% of income Unk A/C Dishwasher yes no W&D Hookups no Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Two Bedroom One Bath Private Balcony yes Cable Ready no Two Bath Clubhouse no Three Bedroom Swimming Pool no Covered Parking no Page 44 Conclusions for Housing Affordability ¶Tooele County, Tooele City and Grantsville City have ample ownership opportunities for median, moderate and low income households. These housing opportunities extend to both existing homes and new homes. ¶Rental housing is also affordable to moderate and low income households due to the 733 units in Tooele County that are subsidized or assisted through tax credits, vouchers or project based units. ¶The housing inventory of Tooele County, Tooele City and Grantsville satisfies HB295, Utah’s affordable housing statute. The statute reads “municipalities should afford a reasonable opportunity for a variety of housing, including moderate income housing to meet the needs of the people desiring to live there…and to fully participate in all aspects of neighborhood and community life.” Such housing opportunities are available in Tooele County. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 45 APPENDIX Housing Profiles VITA – James Wood Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 46 Tooele County Housing Profile - 2010 Total Housing Units Occupied Units Owner Occupied Vacant Units Renter Occupied Vacant Units Number of Affordable Owner Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Affordable to =<50% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Number of Affordable Renter Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to 30% to 50% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to =<30% AMI Household 19,700 18,975 15,575 500 3,400 225 6,500 5,100 31.7% 1,400 8.7% 3,100 950 26.2% 1,550 42.7% 600 Percent of Total Rental Units 16.5% Source: Derived from HUD CHAS 2000, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah and New Reach. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 47 Grantsville Housing Profile - 2010 Total Housing Units 2,925 Occupied Units 2,840 Owner Occupied 2,450 Vacant Units 65 Renter Occupied 390 Vacant Units 20 Number of Affordable Owner Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Affordable to =<50% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Number of Affordable Renter Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to 30% to 50% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to =<30% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Source: Derived from HUD CHAS 2000, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah and New Reach. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment 960 750 30.0% 210 8.3% 400 100 24.3% 175 42.6% 125 30.0% Page 48 Ophir Housing Profile - 2010 Total Housing Units 33 Occupied Units 19 Owner Occupied 16 Vacant Units 11 Renter Occupied 3 Vacant Units 3 Number of Affordable Owner Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Affordable to =<50% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Number of Affordable Renter Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to 30% to 50% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to =<30% AMI Household 7 5 18.5% 2 7.4% 3 0 0.0% 3 100% 0 0.0% Percent of Total Rental Units Source: fromfrom HUD CHAS of Bureau Economicof and Source:Derived Derived HUD 2000, CHASBureau 2000, Business Research, University of Utah and New Reach. Economic and Business Research, University of Utah and New Reach. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 49 Rush Valley Housing Profile - 2010 Total Housing Units 179 Occupied Units 166 Owner Occupied Vacant Units Renter Occupied Vacant Units Number of Affordable Owner Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Affordable to =<50% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Number of Affordable Renter Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to 30% to 50% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to =<30% AMI Household 138 9 28 4 83 43 29.0% 40 27.2% 16 4 12.5% 4 12.5% 24 Percent of Total Rental Units 75.0% Source: Derived from HUD CHAS 2000, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah and New Reach. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 50 Stockton Housing Profile - 2010 Total Housing Units 223 Occupied Units 207 Owner Occupied 179 Vacant Units 8 Renter Occupied 28 Vacant Units 8 Number of Affordable Owner Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Affordable to =<50% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Number of Affordable Renter Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to 30% to 50% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to =<30% AMI Household 139 81 43.3% 58 31.0% 36 12 33.3% 12 33.3% 12 33.3% Percent of Total Rental Units Source: Derived from HUD CHAS 2000, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah and New Reach. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 51 Tooele City Housing Profile - 2010 Total Housing Units 10,602 Occupied Units 10,232 Owner Occupied Vacant Units Renter Occupied Vacant Units Number of Affordable Owner Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Affordable to =<50% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Number of Affordable Renter Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to 30% to 50% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to =<30% AMI Household 8,332 260 1,900 110 3,625 2,825 32.9% 800 9.3% 1,620 700 34.8% 650 32.3% 270 Percent of Total Rental Units 13.4% Source: Derived from HUD CHAS 2000, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah and New Reach. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 52 Vernon City Housing Profile - 2010 Total Housing Units 118 Occupied Units 114 Owner Occupied 86 Vacant Units 4 Renter Occupied 28 Vacant Units 0 Number of Affordable Owner Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Affordable to =<50% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Number of Affordable Renter Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to 30% to 50% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to =<30% AMI Household 56 24 25.5% 32 34.2% 24 0 0.0% 4 14.2% 20 71.0% Percent of Total Rental Units Source: Derived from HUD CHAS 2000, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah and New Reach. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 53 Wendover Housing Profile - 2010 Total Housing Units 542 Occupied Units 496 Owner Occupied 221 Vacant Units 36 Renter Occupied 273 Vacant Units 12 Number of Affordable Owner Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Affordable to =<50% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Number of Affordable Renter Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to 30% to 50% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to =<30% AMI Household 165 24 9.3% 141 54.8% 280 81 28.4% 127 44.5% 72 25.2% Percent of Total Rental Units Source: Derived from HUD CHAS 2000, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah and New Reach. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 54 Unincorporated Tooele County Housing Profile - 2010 Total Housing Units 5,078 Occupied Units 4,903 Owner Occupied 4,153 Vacant Units 107 Renter Occupied 750 Vacant Units 68 Number of Affordable Owner Units 1,465 Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household 1,348 Percent of Total Owner Units 31.7% Affordable to =<50% AMI Household Percent of Total Owner Units Number of Affordable Renter Units Affordable to 50% to 80% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to 30% to 50% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Affordable to =<30% AMI Household Percent of Total Rental Units Source: Derived from HUD CHAS 2000, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah and New Reach. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment 117 2.7% 721 53 6.5% 575 70.3% 77 9.4% Page 55 VITA JAMES A. WOOD P.O. Box 58107 Salt Lake City, Utah 84158 Phone: (801) 581-7165 (office), fax (801) 581-3354 (801) 583-0392 (residence) EDUCATION University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah; B.S. Finance, June 1967. University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah; Graduate Student in Economics, 1970-1974. MILITARY EXPERIENCE United States Army, Military Intelligence 1968-1970; Vietnam 1969-1970. EMPLOYMENT EXPERIENCE 2002 to present, Director, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. 1975 to 2002, Senior Research Analyst, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah. 1975 to present, private consultant, James A Wood & Associates, Salt Lake City, Utah. 1974-1975 - Legislative Aide on economic issues for Senator Frank E. Moss, Washington, D.C. 1972-1974 - Research Analyst, Bureau of Economic and Business Research. 1970 (summer) - Accountant, Jacobsen Construction Company, Salt Lake City, Utah. 1966-1967 - Accountant, Utah Idaho Sugar Company, Salt Lake City, Utah. ADVISORY COMMITTEES AND BOARDS Ex-Officio Member of the Board of Trustees Downtown Alliance Salt Lake City. Committee Member of Revenue Assumption Committee, State of Utah. Board Member of NeighborWorks Salt Lake City President of Wasatch Economic Forum 2008-2009 Advisory Board Member of the Salt Lake County Housing Trust Fund 2009-2011 Board Member Salt Lake Home Builders Association Member Salt Lake County Consortium Housing (HOME) Committee UNIVERSITY RESEARCH STUDIES AND PUBLICATIONS “Nonresidential Construction: Past, Present and Future”, Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 70 Number 2, Summer 2010. “Utah’s Home Building Industry: Recovery and Challenges”, Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 70 Number 1, Spring 2010. Residential and Nonresidential Construction Trends and Forecast for Utah and Wasatch Front Counties. David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Summit Materials, May 2010. Utah’s Sports Sector: Economic Activity and Impact. David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Utah’s Sports Commission. February 2010. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 56 “Utah’s Housing Market: Present Perspective, Future Prospects”, Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 69 Number 1, Spring 2009. A Review of the Proposed Home Run Grant Program, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Utah’s Housing Action Coalition. February 2009. Economic Impact of Bonding for Capital Facilities in Utah, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Commissioner’s Office of Higher Education. January 2009. The Economic Impact of Thanksgiving Point on the Utah County Economy. David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Thanksgiving Point Foundation. November 2008. Foreclosures in Utah Likely to Hit Record. David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Foreclosure Prevention Taskforce, October 2008. Economic Baseline Study for Vernal and Ashley Valley, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Tightline Community Resources, September 2008. Pathways Project: A Study of the Cost of Services for Chronically Homeless Individuals in Salt Lake County. Funded by Utah State Department of Community and Culture, August 2008 The Changing Structure and Current Baseline of the Davis County Economy, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Davis County Community and Economic Development, June 2007. Competitive Role of Commercial Development at West Bench, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Kennecott Land. January 2007. An Analysis of the Land Use and Value of Weber State University’s Mountainside Parcel, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Weber State University. Co-authored with Frank Lilly. December 2006. The Changing Structure and Current Baseline of Draper City, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Draper City Office of Economic Development. Co-authored with Frank Lilly. September 2006. West Bench Economic Impact: Economic, Demographic and Fiscal Analysis, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Kennecott Land. Co-authored with Pam Perlich. Octorber 2005. Economic Impact of Affordable Housing: Construction, Rehabilitation and Assistance Programs, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Utah Housing Coalition, September 2004. “The Utah Economy: Outlook and Review”, Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 64, Numbers 1 and 2, January/December 2004. Affordable Housing in Utah Cities: New Construction, Building Fees and Zoning. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for Fannie Mae Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 57 Utah Partnership Office, Utah Housing Corporation, Envision Utah and The Olene Walker Housing Trust Fund, June 2003. Changing Economic Structure of Salt Lake City=s Central Business District, 1990 to 2002. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Prepared for The Downtown Alliance of Salt Lake City, 2002. AThe Impact of Changing Economics and Demographics on the Characteristics of New Homes and Housing Densities (Part II)@, Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 61 Numbers 9 & 10, September/October 2001. AUtah=s Residential Construction: A Look at Past and Present Construction Cycles (Part I)@, Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 61, Numbers 1 &2, January/February 2001. A Demand and Use Analysis of Research Park Land and Buildings 2000 to 2015. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Report prepared for University of Utah Administration. Co-authored with Jan Crispin-Little, May 2000. ASingle-Family Construction Bucks Trend@, Utah Construction Report, Volume 42 No 2. April, May, June 1999, published by Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. AA Closer Look: Nonresidential Construction in Utah 1985 to 1998@, Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 59, Numbers 5 and 6, May/June 1999. AResidential Construction Remains Surprisingly Strong@, Utah Construction Report, Volume 42 No 1. January, February, March 1999, published by the Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. AConstruction Value Reaches New High@, Utah Construction Report, Volume 41 No 4. October, November, December 1998, published by the Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. ARetail Trends and the Need for Downtown Revitalization@, Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 58, Numbers 11 and 12, November/December 1998. Gateway Retail Development and Downtown Revitalization. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Report prepared for Boyer Company and Salt Lake City Council, October 1998. "Overview of Construction and Housing in the Utah Economy", Economic Report to the Governor, 1998. Utah Technology Finance Corporation: Economic Development Policy and Economic Impacts. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Report prepared for Utah Technology Finance Corporation, June 1998. “ “Housing Prices and Affordability in Utah", Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 57 Numbers 5 and 6, May/June 1997. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 58 Demographic and Economic Trends for Utah, U.S., the Rocky Mountain Region and Hermes' Market Areas. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Report prepared for Hermes Associates. Coauthored with Jan Crispin-Little. March 1997. "Housing Price Trends in Utah 1980-1996", Economic Report to the Governor, 1997. Impediments to Low and Moderate Income Housing in Unincorporated Salt Lake County and Selected Municipalities. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Report for Salt Lake County Office of Economic Development and Job Training. December 1996. The University of Utah Research Park: A Review of Policy and History. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Report prepared University of Utah Research Park Administration, December 1996. Demographic and Economic Trends and Forecasts for Utah and Idaho. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Report prepared for Oldcastle Materials. Coauthored with Jan Crispin-Little. February 1996. "Construction Cycles in Utah" Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 55 Numbers 11 and 12, November/December 1995. "Losing Ground: Housing Affordability and Low-Income Renters in Utah", Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 55 Numbers 9 and 10, September/October 1995. "The Performance of Wage Rates in Utah 1982-1993" Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 55 Numbers 3 and 4, March/April 1995. Coauthored with Kenneth E. Jensen, Utah Department of Employment Security. Demographic, Economic and Export Statistics for the Salt Lake City Airport Authority. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Reported prepared for Salt Lake Airport Authority. May 1995. A Study of the Custom Fit Training Program. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah. Report prepared for Utah State Office of Education. Coauthored with Jan Crispin-Little. March 1995. "Utah Wage Levels" Economic Report to the Governor, 1995. Coauthored with Kenneth Jensen. "Management of State Trust Lands in Washington County" Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 54, Numbers 7 and 8, July/August 1994. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1994. "The Changing Demographic and Economic Structure of Washington County, 1970-1993." Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 54, Numbers 1 and 2, January/February 1994. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1994. An Economic Analysis for the Management of State Lands in Washington County. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for the Division of State Lands and Forestry, Department of Natural Resources, State of Utah, March 1994. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 59 "Economic Impact of Utah Housing Finance Agency's New Residential Mortgage Programs" Utah of Economic and Business Review, Volume 53, Numbers 11 and 12, November/December 1993. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah December, 1993. Economic Analysis for the Salt Lake Courts Complex. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for the Division of Facilities and Construction Management, Department of Administrative Services, State of Utah, October 1992. "Economic Well-Being of Utah Households: 1979-1989" Utah Business and Economic Review, Volume 52, Numbers 4 and 5, April/May, 1992. Coauthored with R. Thayne Robson. Bureau of Economic and Business Review, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, May 1992. Economic Impact of the Utah Technology Finance Corporation on the Utah Economy. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Coauthored with Jan Elise Crispin. Report prepared for the Utah Technology Finance Corporation, State of Utah, 1992. "Manufacturing in the West Since World War II." Utah Business and Economic Review, Volume 51, Number 3, March 1991. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1991. "Utah's Adjustment to Declining Defense Budgets." Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 50, Numbers 11 and 12, November/December 1990. Coauthored with Jan Elise Crispin. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1990. "Utah's Electronics Industry." Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 50, Number 9, September 1990. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1990. Electronics Target Industry Study. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for the Division of Business and Economic Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, 1990. "Report on Women-Owned Business in Utah." Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 50, Number 3, March 1990. Coauthored with Rose Ann Watson. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1990. Report on Women-Owned Business in Utah. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for the Women's Business Development Office, Division of Business and Economic Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, 1990. "Utah Housing Finance Agency: The Economic Impact of Mortgage Programs for New Residential Units." Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 49, Number 9, September 1989. Bureau of Economic and Business Review, University of Utah, 1989. Economic Impact of Utah Housing Finance Agency Programs on the Utah Economy. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for the Utah Housing Finance Agency, 1989; annual report 1989 to present. "Utah's Aerospace Industry." Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 49, Number 8, August 1989. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1989. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 60 Utah's Aerospace Industry. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Coauthored with John Brereton. Report prepared for the Division of Business and Economic Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, 1989. The Economic Impact of a Catastrophic Earthquake on Utah's Financial Institutions. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for the Division of Comprehensive Emergency Management, Financial Institution Emergency Preparedness Committee, June 1989. Public Education and Economic Development. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for the Division of Business and Economic Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, 1989. The Characteristics and Potential of the Health Care and Weight Control/Fitness Industries of St. George. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Prepared for St. George City, October 1988. Economic Profile Summit County/Park City. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report Prepared for Summit County/Park City Chamber of Commerce and Visitors Bureau, September 1988. The Economic Impact on Utah of the U.S. Petroleum Corporation's Wax Processing Plant. Report for the Division of Business and Economic Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, October 1987. Projected Employment Growth Rates for State Government. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for Wallace Associates, Salt Lake City, Utah, October 1987. A Proposal for US West Advanced Technologies. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Coauthored with Jan Elise Crispin and Shipley Associates. Prepared for Division of Business and Economic Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, 1987. "The Utah Housing Market: Demographic and Economic Trends." Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 47, Number 3, March 1987. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, March 1987. Utah as a Location for Frozen Prepared Food Manufacturing. Bureau of Economic and Business Research University of Utah. Prepared for the Division of Business and Economic Development, State of Utah, 1986. Capital Flow in Utah. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1986. Report prepared for Governor's Economic Development Conference, February 1986. The Strategy and Economic Impact for the Development of a Western Town in Moab Utah. Report prepared for the Division of Business and Economic Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, June 1985. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 61 "The Changing Conditions of The Salt Lake County Apartment Market." Utah Economic and Business Research, Volume 45, Number 3, March 1985. Bureau of Economic and Business Research University of Utah, 1985. "Utah's Expanding Service Sector," Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 44, Number 9, September 1984. Coauthored with Constance C. Steffan. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, September 1984. Electronics Target Industry. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for the Division of Business and Economic Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, September 1984. "Salt Lake County Apartment Construction Activity," Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 44, Number 6, June 1984. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1984. Service Sector Target Industry Study. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, May 1984. Coauthored with Constance C. Steffan. Report prepared for Division of Business and Economic Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, May 1984. Survey of Utah's Exporting Firms. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1983. Report prepared for the Division of Business and Economic Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, 1983. Market Feasibility Study for Apartment Development. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for Triad Utah, December 1983. Market Feasibility Study for Luxury Condominiums. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for Triad Utah, October 1983. "Natural Resource Development and Small Business Opportunities in the Uintah Basin." Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 43, Numbers 4 and 5, April/May 1983. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1983. Natural Resource Development and Small Business Opportunities in the Uintah Basin. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for the Small Business Development Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, June 1983. "The Electronics/Information Processing Industry in Utah," Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 42, Number 10, October 1982. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1982. The Electronic Components and Information Processing Industry and State Industrial Development Programs. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1982. Report prepared for the Division of Business and Economic Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, 1982. "Utah Homebuilding: Decline, Structural Changes, and Demand Factors." Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 42, Number 9, September 1982. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1982. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 62 "Utah's Thrust Belt: Exploration, Development and Economic Impacts." Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 41, Number 1, January 1981. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1981. Demand for Cold and Frozen Storage in Utah and the Mountain States. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for the Division of Business and Economic Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, 1980. Proposed Industrial Park Development in Grand County. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Report prepared for Division of Economic and Industrial Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, October 1979. Utah Labor Market Conditions for Manufacturing Assemblers and Electronic Technicians 1979. Coauthored with Randy Rogers and Ronda Brinkerhoff. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1979. Utah: A Profitable Location for Headquarters and Administrative Office Facilities, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, September 1979. Report prepared for Division of Economic and Industrial Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, 1979. Utah Demand for Bricks 1978, 1985, 1990. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Coauthored with Mark Linford. Report prepared for Interstate Brick, Entrada Industries, July 1979. Market Feasibility Study for Kaolin Clay Production in Utah. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, May 1979. Coauthored with Mark Linford. Report prepared for Office of Small Business Development, Department of Community and Economic Development, State of Utah, 1979. Utah: A Profitable Location for the Machinery Industry. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1978. Report prepared for Division of Industrial Development, Department of Development Services, State of Utah, 1978. "Demand for Housing in Salt Lake County." Real Estate Activities in Salt Lake Davis, Weber, Utah and Cache Counties, Fall 1978. Utah Real Estate Research Committee and Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1978. An Analysis of the Clay Roofing Tile Market in Utah. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1978. Report prepared for Interstate Brick, Entrada Industries, March 1978. Sandy: An Economic Profile and Land Use Requirements. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah. Coauthored with John Brereton and Randall Rogers. Report prepared for Sandy City Planning Office, January, 1977. Demand for Selected Steel Products. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, October 1976. Coauthored with Dwight Israelsen, Robert Wood and Randall Rogers. Report prepared for Steelco Corporation, Salt Lake City, Utah, 1976. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 63 A Study of the Economic Potential of the Great Salt Lake State Park. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, September 1976. Coauthored with John Brereton and Janet Kiholm. Report prepared for Division of Parks and Recreation, Department of Natural Resources, State of Utah, 1976. Married Student Housing Survey. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, August 1976. Report prepared for Housing Management, University of Utah, 1976. "The Changing Composition of the State Budget," Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 36, Numbers 4 and 5, April/May 1976. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1976. "Utah Building Activity 1970-1975." Real Estate Activities in Salt Lake, Davis, Weber, Utah and Cache Counties, Fall 1975. Coauthored with Kathy Watanabe. Utah Real Estate Research Committee and the Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1975. "Condominium Developments in Utah," Utah Economic and Business Review, Volume 34, Number 9, September 1974. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, 1974. Electronics Industry: Location Potential in Utah. Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah, June 1973. Coauthored with Jean H. Hanssen. Report prepared for the Division of Industrial Development, Department of Development Services, State of Utah, 1973. Tooele County Housing Needs Assessment Page 64