EM Tyre Supply Shortage – How it is Affecting us
Transcription
EM Tyre Supply Shortage – How it is Affecting us
EM Tyre Supply Shortage – How it is Affecting us Tony Cutler AusIMM Open Pit Operators’ Conference 18-19 September 2012 Disclaimer: Otraco Technical Publications are produced by OTRACO International Pty Ltd. They are intended to provide general information and general advice on topics related to earthmover tyres and rims and are current at the time of publication. The contents do not constitute specific advice and should not be relied upon as such. Formal advice should be sought in particular matters. This document and any attachments are subject to copyright. No part of them may be reproduced, adapted or transmitted without the written permission of OTRACO International Pty Ltd. Global Tyre Industry - Categories EM Tyre Market Large/Ultraclass EM Tyres Commodity Prices (what makes mining go ‘round) Commodity Price as Tyre Demand Indicator EM Tyre Supply vs. Demand EM Tyre Manufacturers – “Big-3” • Michelin – – • Bridgestone-Firestone – – • to 63” radial only to 63” mainly radial, some bias ply (eg. big FEL) Goodyear – – to 63” (currently trialling) mainly radial, some bias ply EM Tyre Manufacturers – Tier 2 • Yokohama & Toyo – – • to 57” radials in small sizes, bias ply for large Belshina – – • to 57”; mainly bias ply, radials being developed Titan – – to 63” nylon radial casing EM Tyre Manufacturers – Tier 3 • Tier 3 – – – Chinese, 1 Eastern Europe, Indians entering Many to 57”, some plan 63” Mainly bias ply, radials being developed • Guilin / Torch • Triangle • Shifeng • Haian/Luan • Taishan • Shandong Boto • Others Tyre Life • Actual vs Expectation • 57” & larger (190t+) – – – • Big-3: Tier 2: Tier 3: 100 50-75 20-50 51” & smaller (to 150t) – – – Big-3: Tier 2: Tier 3: 100 80-100 50-75 Big-footing Trucks Truck class Examples Standard Tyre size Optional Tyre size Ease of Upgrade Benefit 180t Cat789C, Kom730, 37.00R57 40.00R57 Very easy Great LiebherrT252 140t Cat785 33.00R51 36.00R51 Difficult Great 90t Cat777 27.00R49 30.00R51 Difficult Great 220t Cat793F 40.00R57 50/80R57 Medium Necessary 220t MT4400AC 50/80R57 40.00R57 Very easy Negative 295t Kom930E-II 53/80R63 55(56)/80R63 Unsure Good Usage Side Strategies L o w b en efit H ig h b en efit H igh cost M in e o p timisatio n X H igh cost (eg . close or d ef er h ig h cost m in es or m in in g areas & elim in ate or d ef er lon g or h ig h sp eed h au ls) P u rch ase e xtra cle an u p mach in e s X X R e tre ad s (> 2700x49 siz e ) o n h au ltru cks F le e t o p timisatio n X (eg . m oth b all h au ltru ck f leets th at are n ot tire ef f ic ien t) M A I N X B ias p ly tire s (if n o t match e d to ap p licatio n ) H au lro ad stab ilisatio n X (in clu d es d u st s u p p res sion ) X R e tre ad s (to 2700x49 siz e ) o n h au ltru cks Imp ro v e min e co n d itio n s X (eg . road , b en c h , ram p , load & d u m p X R e tre ad s o n au xiliary e q u ip me n t X area d esig n & m ain ten an c e) B ias p ly tire s (if match e d to ap p licatio n ) X X CO ST ($ ) X N itro g e n fill X T K P H man ag e me n t X (b en ef it is site p res s u re con trol d ep en d an t) (eg . tru ck sc h ed u lin g , T K P H m od u les ) E L E M E N T S C o n v e rt to smalle r (b u t b e tte r av ailab ility) tire siz e (cos t is m ac h in e d ep en d an t) C o n v e rt to larg e r tire siz e (c os t is m ac h in e d ep en d an t) Imp ro v e su p p ly ch ain man ag e me n t X (eg . relation s h ip s , p ric in g , trac kin g d eliveries) R e p airs X (rep air sy s tem is im p ortan t; Imp ro v e tire main te n an ce X (eg . p ress u res , in s p ection , m atch in g ) ex ten d rep air p aram eters ) C h an g e cu ltu re : fro m p ro d u ctio n to tire co n se rv atio n X (eg . train in g of m an ag ers & su p ervis ors) Imp ro v e min e o p e rato r tire aware n e ss X (eg . train in g , in c en tiv e s c h em e) X X X R e claim su itab le scrap p e d tire s S e le ct o p timu m tire sp e cificatio n fo r th e ap p licatio n X Low cost (in c lu d es m atc h in g s p ec if ic ation s b y ax le) Low benefit T A R G E T B E N E F IT (in te rm s o f tire c o n s e rv a tio n /re p la c e m e n t) H igh benefit Low cost Tyreless (Substitute) Options • Haultruck/loader substitutes – Bucketwheel excavator/mobile conveyor – Inpit crusher/conveyor system • Mobile • Fixed – Truck lift • Tyred Dozer substitutes – Tracked dozers In Pit Crushing Mobile system • Conveyer system required • Easy transport & fast setup Truck Lift System Open Pit Hoisting Systems • Giant truck elevator • Payload capacity (300 ton plus) • Reduced truck fleet investments • less tyres • Reduced transport time • Extendable bottom loading station End of Presentation - Thank You Reducing Your Tyre Costs Tyre Prices EM Tyre Plants Belshina Titan Bryan plant, Ohio, USA Yokohama EuroTire Chinese Michelin Vitoria plant, Spain China Indian Bridgestone Shimonoseki & Kitakyushu plants, Japan Goodyear/Toyo Nippon Giant plant, Tatsuno, Japan Goodyear Topeka plant, Kansas, USA Michelin Lexington plant, South Carolina, USA up to 27.00R49 size up to 37.00R57 size up to 40.00R57 size up to 59/80R63 size Other long-term manufacturers New manufacturers Michelin Jacaranda plant, Campo Grande, Brazil Effects • Handful of miners with sufficient tyre supply – – • Tyre contracts from 3yr out to 9yr Miner investment in tyre moulds Two year wait period new trucks – – • 7,000+ trucks (90-360t) shipped past 24mth %Growth: Ultraclass >90t >150t >220t >190t New mines struggling to get tyres – – Alternative brands to supplement Big-3 MiningCo / TyreCo JV’s EM Tyre Demand • Growing proportion of large haultrucks – – • 290-360t (ultra-class): 63” tyres 220-255t: 57” tyres Mining expansion – – – – • Africa Asia South America Australia, Canada New mega-projects – Moatize Mozambique, Oyu Tolgoi Mongolia, Olympic Dam Australia Lessons • Benefit from past 15 year’s experience • Elastic demand; inelastic supply • Lock in improvements we have made • Long term tyre supply agreements • Warranties Things to Stay Focused On • Tyre selection • Tyre maintenance • Tyre operation • Tyre awareness • Tyre supply agreements • Recycling Supply Outlook • Shortfalls (since 2004) – – • Eased with GFC (Aug 08) Back again in earnest Problematic supply sizes – – – – • Small to mid-size haultrucks (90-150t) Large haultrucks (180-255t) Ultra-class haultrucks (>300t) Mid-size loaders 63” tyres – • New entrants, but Michelin & Bridgestone have solid lead Other brand(s) as major player? – Chinese / Other?