Report Template - Recinto de Arecibo
Transcription
Report Template - Recinto de Arecibo
Imagine the result Energy Answers Arecibo, LLC PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Amendment for NO2 During Startup Periods For the proposed Arecibo Renewable Energy Project Arecibo, Puerto Rico Barrio Cambalache, Arecibo, Puerto Rico Submitted February 2012 Energy Answers Arecibo Renewable Energy Project Arecibo, Puerto Rico PSD Air Quality Modeling Amendment for NO2 During Startup Prepared for: Energy Answers Arecibo, LLC Prepared by: ARCADIS 801 Corporate Center Drive Suite 300 Raleigh, North Carolina 27607 Tel 919.854.1282 Fax 919.854.5448 Our Ref.: NCENRGY1.0005 Date: February 2012 Table of Contents 1.0 Introduction 2 2.0 Project and Site Description 2 3.0 Approach 3 4.0 Source Description and Operating Scenarios 3 4.1 Boiler Operating Load Scenarios 4 4.2 Boiler Startup and Shutdown 4 4.3 Other Sources 5 4.4 Pollutants Evaluated 6 5.0 Modeling Methodology 6 5.1 Receptor Arrays 7 5.2 Source Input Data 7 6.0 Model Results for Evaluating Significance 9 6.1 Identifying the Significant Impact Area (SIA) 10 6.2 Full (Cumulative) Impact Analysis 10 6.2.1 Background Air Quality 11 6.2.2 Off-Site Source Inventory 11 6.3 Evaluating 1-hour NO2 Cumulative Impacts 13 7.0 Environmental Justice 13 8.0 References 15 Figures 2-1 Project Location Map 2-2 Site Location Map 2-3 Site Layout With Emission Points A Emission Rate Calculations B Air Modeling Files on DVD Appendix i Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions 1.0 Introduction Energy Answers Arecibo, LLC (Energy Answers) is proposing to construct and operate a 77 megawatt (MW) renewable energy facility at the former site of the Global Fibers paper mill in Barrio Cambalache, Arecibo, Puerto Rico, referred herein as the Arecibo Renewable Energy Project (AREP). Energy Answers prepared an application for PSD permit to construct, including an ambient air impact analysis using air dispersion modeling methods. The PSD application with a dispersion modeling analysis was submitted to EPA Region 2 in February 2011. Following EPA’s release of an updated version of the AERMOD dispersion model, a revised air modeling analysis was submitted in July 2011 per the request of EPA Region 2. A revised modeling analysis was submitted in October 2011 to address a change in potential emissions of condensable particulate matter and also to address comments to the July submittal. Potential elevated emissions of Nitrogen Oxides (NOx) and Carbon Monoxide (CO) during startup were subsequently evaluated in a submittal titled PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis – Amendment for Startup Periods (February 2012). Subsequent changes to the potential emission rate of NOx during startup periods warranted further analysis, which is the focus of this submittal. The modeling analysis was completed in accordance with the modeling protocols submitted in May 2011 and September 2011 (PM10/PM2.5 Addendum) and approved July 5, 2011 and October 11, 2011. 2.0 Project and Site Description The facility will be located in Barrio Cambalache, Municipality of Arecibo, Puerto Rico. Figure 2-1 shows the location of the site on the island, and Figure 2-2 provides the location of the site on a United States Geological Survey (USGS) topographic map. The approximate UTM coordinates for the facility are 742.688 km E and 2,042.698 km N (UTM Zone 19) with the design plant grade at approximately 20 feet (3.2 meters) above mean sea level (MSL). The facility will be built such that the waste receiving, waste processing, and energy recovery operations are conducted within the boundaries of the site. The topography in the immediate vicinity of the site is generally flat. The shoreline is approximately 1 mile to the north. To the south, the terrain becomes hilly and eventually mountainous (complex). A review of USGS 7.5-minute quadrangle map indicates that most of the surrounding terrain within 5 kilometers (km) of the site is below the proposed stack height. A scaled design site layout is provided in Figure 2-3. 2 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions The nearest Class I area to the proposed plant site is the Virgin Island National Park on the Island of St. John, located approximately 125 miles to the east. 3.0 Approach This air quality analysis begins with a preliminary analysis of the significant increase in potential emissions from a proposed new source. The results of the preliminary analysis are compared with accepted interim significant impact levels (SIL) to determine whether a full impact analysis is necessary and, if so, to define the area where the analysis must be completed. If the preliminary analysis indicates that predicted ambient air impacts are below the SIL, it is deemed insignificant or de minimis, and no further analysis is required. Should potential air quality impacts exceed the SIL, a full impact analysis must be conducted with respect to the NAAQS and PSD allowable increments, including off-site emission sources. Per the approved protocol, and consistent with prior modeling analyses submitted for this project, an 3 interim SIL of 7.5 µg/m for the 1-hour NO2 is used. 4.0 Source Description and Operating Scenarios The proposed AREP will have the following air emission sources: • Two (2) spreader-stoker boilers with a maximum heat input rating of 500 MMBTU/hr each, equipped with three (3) 167 MMBTU/hr No 2 Fuel Oil-fired burners each; • One (1) cooling tower, with 4-cells (air-cooled condenser type); • Fly and bottom ash transfer, processing and storage operations; • Three (3) Storage Silos (lime, pulverized activated carbon, flyash); • One (1) diesel fuel-fired emergency generator; and • One (1) diesel fuel-fired emergency firewater pump Energy Answers proposes to install advanced air quality control systems that qualify as the Best Available Control Technology (BACT) for its operations. Independently operating air quality control systems will be proposed for each boiler, consisting of the following technologies: 3 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions An activated carbon injection system to remove heavy metals, including mercury and dioxins/furans; A Turbosorp Dry Circulating Fluid Bed Scrubber system to remove acid gases using lime injection A fabric filter (baghouse) to control particulate emissions (including metals); and, A regenerative selective catalytic reduction (RSCR) system for reducing emissions of NOx and CO. 4.1 Boiler Operating Load Scenarios Under normal operating conditions, the boilers are expected to operate at an average heat input rating of 500 MMBTU/hr each. For the purposes of this air quality impact analysis, 500 MMBTU/hr is defined as the 100% load scenario. This analysis includes multiple scenarios where one boiler is undergoing startup while the second is operating at 80%, 100%, 110% load corresponding to 400 MMBTU/hr, 500 MMBTU/hr, 550MMBTU/hr, respectively, or is inactive. In October 2011, Energy Answers submitted the PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis (Revised PM10/PM2.5 Analysis) to USEPA Region 2 which addresses each of these operating scenarios under normal operating conditions. There are no changes to normal operating conditions from what was modeled in October 2011. Details for potential air quality impacts during normal operations are given in that report. This analysis represents a revision to startup conditions only. 4.2 Boiler Startup and Shutdown The proposed AREP will use No. 2 fuel oil for startup and shutdown, and intermittently during short-term plant upsets in order to maintain boiler temperatures. Each boiler unit will be started up using auxiliary burners firing No. 2 fuel oil (ultra low sulfur content) to preheat the flue gas until the temperature can be maintained at or above 1800°F. At that point, processed refuse fuel (PRF) will be introduced into the boiler. Energy Answers estimates that a cold start will take approximately 7 hours. Although Energy Answers initially thought that the RSCR could be brought on line prior to firing the fuel oil burners, the vendor has indicated that the RSCR will not begin to effectively control both NOx and CO during the startup period. This is because the temperature of the boiler flue will not be sufficient to enable proper atomization of ammonia for NOx reduction. There are also concerns that the flue during startup will have a cooling 4 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions effect on the catalysts for some portion of the startup period so they will not support the chemical reactions necessary for controlling NOx. Emission calculations for startup periods have been adjusted to account for these uncertainties, conservatively assuming that no control by the RSCR is achieved during startup. The revised emission calculations for startup are given in Appendix A. For the purposes of this modeling demonstration, the emission rate of NOx during startup was conservatively developed assuming that the oil burners our operating at 400 MMBTU/hr continuously for the entire 7 hour period. Due to the change in the predicted maximum emissions of NOx from previous estimates, potential impacts of NO2 on a 1-hour average are provided. Shutdown is expected to take an estimated 6 hours or less to complete. During shutdown events, the general procedure will be to stop feeding PRF and fire fuel oil until the burnout of remaining PRF is completed and the grates are clear. Fuel oil burners will begin firing when PRF feed has stopped. Energy Answers will take measures to minimize emissions during shutdown by keeping the air quality control system functioning until the grates are cleared of PRF and PRF burnout has been completed. Emissions during the shutdown process are not subject to change at this time. No additional limits from the proposed BACT for normal operations are requested for shutdown. Therefore, no additional modeling has been completed for the shutdown periods. Modeling was completed for four potential startup scenarios: one each for the emissions while one boiler is undergoing startup and the second boiler is inactive, or operating at 80%, 100%, and 110% load. Energy Answers proposes to accept a timeof-day (TOD) restriction for initiating startup of either boiler. Startup will begin between 7:00 AM and 12:00 PM only. Also, simultaneous startup of the boilers will not occur. It is understood that this proposed TOD limit is consistent with the recent EPA guidance memorandum (USEPA 2011) issued for the purposes of conducting the air quality impact analysis for the 1-hour NO2 and SO2 standards pursuant to the PSD permitting requirements. 4.3 Other Sources Emissions from the following sources have not changed from the October analysis: Cooling Tower Ash Processing Operations 5 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions Storage Silos Firewater Pump Emergency Diesel Generator Fugitive Emissions. Therefore, please reference the PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis (Revised PM10/PM2.5 Analysis) submitted in October 2011 for further details on emission calculations, assumptions and model input information for these listed sources. 4.4 Pollutants Evaluated The Facility will have a potential to emit CO, NO2, SO2, PM, PM10, PM2.5,VOC, Lead, Beryllium, Fluoride, Mercury, Sulfuric Acid Mist, MWC Organics, MWC Acid Gases and GHG. With the exception of lead, each of these is projected to exceed the applicable PSD significant emission rate (SER) threshold. Potential emissions from the facility are below the applicable PSD SER levels for all other PSD regulated pollutants listed in 40 CFR Subpart 52. Accordingly, the facility is subject to the PSD air quality impact analysis requirements for CO, NO2, SO2, PM10 and PM2.5. There are no applicable ambient air standards for the other constituents and, therefore, no air quality modeling impact analysis is required. This analysis focuses on emissions of NOx during startup periods. 5.0 Modeling Methodology The modeling analysis was completed in accordance with the modeling protocols submitted in May 2011 and September 2011 (PM10/PM2.5 Addendum) and approved July 5, 2011 and October 11, 2011. Details regarding the model selection, land use classification, receptor grid specifications, meteorological data set, receptor grid arrays, Good Engineering Practice (GEP) stack height analysis, building downwash parameters, and the background ambient air concentrations used for this analysis can be found in the protocol documents and prior submittal dated October 2012. Energy Answers used the most current version of EPA’s AERMOD (11353) dispersion model to predict ambient concentrations in simple, complex and intermediate terrain. The AERMOD Modeling System includes preprocessor programs (AERMET (11059), AERSURFACE (updated January 2008), and AERMAP (11103)) to create the required input files for meteorology and receptor terrain elevations. AERMOD is the recommended model in USEPA’s Guideline on Air Quality Models (40 CFR Part 51, Appendix W) (USEPA 2005). 6 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions Per the recommendation of USEPA and the approved modeling protocol, one year of meteorological data (August 1992 to August 1993) obtained from the Puerto Rico Energy Power Authority (PREPA) facility in Cambalache Barrio (located within one mile of the proposed AREP site) was used. The onsite parameters, as well as the National Weather Service (NWS) surface and upper air input files for AERMOD were prepared using the AERMET utility. Further details regarding the meteorological data can be found in the May 2011 protocol. 5.1 Receptor Arrays Coarse and fine grid receptors grids are used to evaluate potential impacts. The dense grid is a Cartesian system that covers of 8 km by 8 km in area centered at the proposed project location. Receptors begin at the project boundary. Receptor spacing from the project boundary is specified as follows: Inner grid = 25 m spacing out to a distance of 200 m; Second grid = 50 m spacing out to a distance of 400 m; Third grid = 100 m spacing to 0.5 km; Fourth grid = 500 m spacing out to a distance of 4 km; Outer grid = 1,000 m spacing out to a distance of 8 km. The coarse grid also includes a polar coordinate grid extending out to 24 km from the center of the project location. Grid radials are spaced every ten degrees and rings are placed at 1-km intervals beginning 2 km from the project location center. Receptor elevations are assigned using the EPA’s AERMAP software tool (version 11103), which is designed to extract elevations from USGS National Elevation Dataset data at 1 degree (approximately 90 m) resolution in GeoTIFF format (USGS 2002). While 7.5minute DEM data would be preferable for better resolution, these data are not available for Puerto Rico. The one degree datum is acceptable internationally and adequately captures changes in elevation such as the mountainous region southwest of the subject site. 5.2 Source Input Data The air dispersion model program AERMOD requires the input of certain site-specific data to produce results that are representative of the actual site conditions. These data include stack coordinates, height, diameter, emission rates, exit temperature and exit velocity. The primary sources of emissions at the new facility are the boiler units. The 7 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions boiler emissions will be exhausted from a tall stack which contains two identical flues (one for each of the two identical boilers). The two identical flues will be adjacent to each other within an outer concrete shell. Table 5-1 provides a list of these data for the maximum, (110% firing rate), average (100% firing rate), and minimum (80% firing rate) operating scenarios. Note that the emission rates represent the worst case emissions regardless of the fuel mix including the proposed supplemental fuels. Emission rates from normal operating conditions remain unchanged from the October 2011 analysis PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis (Revised PM10/PM2.5 Analysis). Figure 2-3 shows the approximate location of each modeled emission point. Table 5-1 Source Input Parameters – Normal Operations Source ID Vent # Stack Diameter (m) 110% Boilers 1 & 2 P-5 (each unit - P-6 100% 95.52 2.13 80% normal ops) (a) Load Stack Height (m) Exit Velocity (m/s) Temperature (K) NOx (g/s) 32.17 434.82 5.53 29.09 429.82 5.04 22.35 424.82 4.05 Gen P-16 (c) 10 0.152 99.4 779 0.032(c) Firepump P-17 (c) 10 0.152 49.2 708 0.016(c) A 50% operating factor is applied to the emergency generator and fire water pump to reflect a 30 minute duration of routine equipment testing. Whereas the flues were merged for the modeling analysis submitted in October 2011 for normal operations, each flue is modeled separately for the purposes of this demonstration for startup. This was necessary since it is no longer appropriate to merge flues when the exit velocities differ appreciably as they will during startup. The following four startup conditions were identified and modeled: 1. One boiler in startup; The second boiler inactive (0% load) 2. One boiler in startup; The second boiler at minimum (80%) load. 3. Once boiler in startup; The second boiler at average (100%) load. 4. One boiler in startup; The second boiler at maximum (110%) load. 8 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions Emission rate data and stack flow and temperature data for the boiler startup phases are provided in Table 5-2 and in Appendix A. Table 5-2 Source Input Parameters – Boiler Startup Stack Height (m) Stack Diameter (m) Exit Velocity (m/s) Temp (K) NOx (g/s) 95.52 2.13 21.93 416 8.64 6.0 Model Results for Evaluating Significance Following USEPA guidance (USEPA, 1990), a preliminary analysis was conducted to determine if the NOx emissions from the proposed facility during startup resulted in a significant impact on ambient air quality. A time of day restriction is requested for initiating the 7 hour startup, beginning between 7:00 AM and 12:00 PM. Table 6-1 provides maximum results for startup under the multiple scenarios. Results in Table 61 are limited to the 1-hour NO2 due to the relatively short period that the boilers undergo startup. Table 6-1: Model Results - Significant Impact Levels Evaluation – Boiler Startup 2nd Boiler Operating Level Averaging Period Class II SIL (µg/m3) Maximum Concentration (µg/m3) UTM Northing (meters) UTM Easting (meters) Distance from Stack (meters) 110% 1 7.5 86.6 742302.13 2043051.00 619 100% 1 7.5 87.0 742352.13 2043051.00 594 80% 1 7.5 86.8 742352.13 2042951.00 1452 0% 1 7.5 60.0 742352.13 Includes a 0.8 default ambient ratio per March 01, 2011 Modeling Guidance Memo.. 2042951.00 1452 Parameter NO2 a (a) Since maximum impacts of NO2 on a 1-hour basis were found to exceed the SIL, an additional full impact multi-source analysis is required. The full impact analysis for NO2 on a 1-hour average is discussed in the following sections. Note that the annual averaging periods are not relevant when modeling startup conditions and, therefore, are not evaluated as part of this demonstration. 9 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions 6.1 Identifying the Significant Impact Area (SIA) Considering the probabilistic form of the standard and commentary provided in the March 1, 2011 USEPA memo regarding intermittent emissions and the overly conservative representation of intermittent emissions when modeling them as if they occur every day over the 1-year period (as in this case), there is a heightened degree of conservativism when evaluating SIA distances for NO2 during startup. As discussed in the referenced memorandum, the over-estimation is due to the improbable circumstance that the maximum emissions during the startup process occur on the worst-case meteorological hour when in fact, the facility is restricted to only 32 startups per year for both boilers combined. The calculated maximum SIA distance for this analysis is approximately 9 km based on the distances for the maximum, or highest first-high, 1-hour impacts among the various load scenarios as determined from the preliminary impact analysis. Note that the Ambient Ratio Method (ARM) is applied for the SIA evaluation. 6.2 Full (Cumulative) Impact Analysis A cumulative air modeling analysis was completed in accordance with EPA’s Guideline on Air Quality Models (40 CFR 51 Appendix W) to demonstrate compliance with the 1hour NAAQS for NO2. This 1-hour cumulative modeling analysis is required following the SIL evaluation described above in which potential concentrations of NO2 were found to exceed the respective interim SIL on the 1-hour averaging period as shown in Table 6-1. In the cumulative modeling analysis, emissions from existing off-site sources and representative background concentrations are included to assess the ambient impact at the receptor location within the SIA. The 8th highest daily 1-hour maximum concentration at each receptor (98th percentile) was used for comparing the impacts to the 1-hour NO2 NAAQS. If the full impact analysis indicates a potential modeled exceedance, the determination as to whether the proposed facility may potentially cause or contribute to this modeled exceedance may be based on both spatial (at locations where the SIL is exceeded) and temporal (at the time of a potential modeled exceedances in terms of year, month, day, and hour) conditions. This is demonstrated (where necessary) by using the MAXDCONT report generated by AERMOD. 10 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions 6.2.1 Background Air Quality Background air monitoring data must also be evaluated for the purposes of conducting a cumulative (full) impact analysis for demonstrating that potential emissions do not result in an exceedance of the NAAQS. Per USEPA recommendation and the approved modeling protocol, the most recent three years of background data is referenced for the 1-hour NO2 impacts. For the purposes of this analysis, a tiered approach was followed in accordance with the recommendations made in the March 1, 1 2011 guidance memorandum (USEPA 2011). The following tiers were used for developing a conservative representation of background concentrations for conducting the cumulative 1-hour assessments (as described in the modeling protocol approved by EPA): Tier 1: Maximum 1-hour value in recent 3 years; Tier 2: 3 year average of the maximum 1-hour values in each year of the most recent 3 years; Tier 3: 3 year average of the 98 percentile of the daily maximum 1-hour concentrations of NO2. th The tiered approach provides a mechanism for progressively evaluating ambient concentrations using a simple conservative assumption (Tier 1) to a more data intensive statistical computation (Tier 3). For this analysis, a background value of 65.2 3 µg/m is used for NO2 calculated from the most recent 3 year period (2005-07) from the monitor in Catano (Monitor ID 72-033-0008) according to the Tier 2 approach. This value is unchanged from the value used for the October 2011 analysis. 6.2.2 Off-Site Source Inventory Per the EPA’s Draft New Source Review Workshop Manual (October 1990), the scope of the off-site sources that must include in a cumulative impact analysis, starts by defining the SIA. This was done in the process of completing the SIL evaluation described above. Initial air dispersion modeling in the February 2011 PSD application indicates that the predicted maximum impacts for NO2 that are equal to and greater 1 The modeling protocol included an additional tier, but based on comments in the EPA approval letter of July 5,2011, only three tiers are included. 11 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions than the interim 1-hour SIL occurred out to a distance of approximately 11 km from the site. As a result, major and minor facilities within this distance from the site were identified and incorporated in the full impact analysis, and the major sources that are located within an additional 50 km past the pollutant-specific SIA distance must be evaluated. The process of identifying potential off-site sources included in this analysis started by consulting the PREQB Air Quality Division and USEPA Region 2. Energy Answers reviewed permit files, including copies of the air permits and permit applications. Energy Answers also coordinated with PREQB on obtaining necessary modeling input data directly from some of the sources via data requests made by PREQB. In addition to these efforts, the EPA’s Air Facility System and National Emissions Inventory databases were searched for major sources in the modeling inventory area. The offsite source inventory is unchanged from the inventory used for the October 2011 analysis. The following sources were previously determined to have an insignificant concentration gradient in the AREP project study area. Please refer to the October 2011 modeling analysis for further details regarding the AERSCREEN evaluation of these sources completed in support of this conclusion. Table 6-2: AERSCREEN Model Results for Sources Located to the South of the Central Mountain Range Source Location Distance to Maximum Concentration (m) Approximate Distance to Project Area (m) Cemex de Puerto Rico, Inc. Ponce 477 49,000 Destilleria Serralles Ponce 1,376 51,200 Ecoelectrica LP Penuelas 6,550 53,600 PREPA Costa Sur Guayanilla 3,780 51,200 12 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions 6.3 Evaluating 1-hour NO2 Cumulative Impacts Multisource modeling was completed for all receptors used in the preliminary analysis. The MAXDCONT utility is relied upon for determining whether the proposed AREP is a 3 significant contributor (i.e. contributing 7.5 µg/m or more) to the cumulative impact at th the times and locations of predicted exceedances. The 8 highest value is taken, adjusted by a factor of 0.8 per the Tier 2 Ambient Ratio Method (ARM), and then added to the background concentration. In executing the model, the adjustment per the ARM 3 3 was made by specifying a threshold value of [(188 μg/m – 65.2 μg/m ) ÷ 0.8 = ] 153.5 for the MAXDCONT report. As discussed in Section 6.2.1, the background value is taken as the 3-year average of the maximum 1-hour values measured between 20052007 at the monitor in Catano, PR. A review of the MAXDCONT table indicates that there are no modeled exceedances of the standard at the receptors and times when the potential AREP impacts are significant. When exceedances are predicted to occur, the proposed AREP is shown to have an insignificant contribution. A secondary model run was executed for each startup scenario in order to demonstrate that the proposed AREP does not cause or contribute to a potential exceedance at th rankings lower than the 8 highest. The additional runs were limited to include only the th receptors where potential exceedances continued to occur at rankings below the 8 highest. This was done so that the model output files were kept to a reasonable and manageable size. This modeling analysis confirms that the proposed AREP will not cause or contribute to a violation of the NAAQS during any of the startup scenarios at the proposed emission rates. All model input and output files are provided on DVD in Appendix B. It should be noted that the results reported in the MAXDCONT tables show exceedances at different levels and locations than the October 2011 analysis because the receptor field in this analysis was not limited to only those where Energy Answers is significant. All receptors as described in Section 5.1 were included. 7.0 Environmental Justice Energy Answers prepared an Environmental Justice Evaluation for the proposed AREP, which consolidates several analyses and public outreach efforts made in and around the Arecibo area. This evaluation is supplied to EPA under separate cover at the time this report is submitted. The Environmental Justice study was performed following the EPA guidelines and definitions. The EPA defines the concept of environmental justice as the fair treatment and meaningful involvement of all people 13 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions regardless of race, color, national origin, or income with respect to the development, implementation, and enforcement of environmental laws, regulations, and policies. The main purpose the analysis is to evaluate whether the community that the proposed project will be located is an environmental justice community given its race and/or origin or rather that the proposed community is considered economically disadvantaged when compared to other areas. Energy Answers has taken extensive measures related to Public Outreach, which are described in the Environmental Justice Evaluation. Additionally, Energy Answers prepared an environmental justice study as part of the Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) for the development of the proposed AREP. These studies were performed in compliance with the Environmental Quality Board, “Regulation for presentation, evaluation, and procedures of environmental documents,” Regulation No. 6510. The proposed AREP is located in Cambalache and the predicted maximum impacts from the proposed AREP during startup are located in the immediate vicinity of the facility (within 1452 meters of the boiler stack – see Table 6-1). The findings of the Environmental Justice Evaluation submitted to USEPA Region 2 in October 2011 indicate no disproportionate impacts are predicted to occur in the low-income barrios around Arecibo. The findings of this evaluation are consistent with the conclusions drawn from the October 2011 analysis. 14 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions 8.0 References Auer, August H. Jr. 1978: “Correlation of Land Use and Cover with Meteorological Anomalies.” Journal of Applied Meteorology, pp 636-643. 1978. Alaska Department of Environmental Conservation (ADEC). 2009. “ADEC Guidance re AERMET Geometric Means.” Revised April 7, 2009. PREQB, 1993. “Source Specific Acidic Deposition. Impacts for Permit Applications,” L. Sedefian. March 4. PREQB. 1997. Policy DAR-1: Guidelines for the Control of Toxic Ambient Air Contaminants. November. PREQB. 2006. PREQB DAR-10: Guidelines on Dispersion Modeling Procedures for Air Quality Impact Analyses. May. Schulman, et al. 1997. “The PRIME Plume Rise and Building Downwash Model,” Addendum to ISC3 User’s Guide. November. United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA). 1980. “A Screening Procedure for the Impacts of Air Pollution Sources on Plants, Soils and Animals.” EPA 450/2-81-078. December 12. USEPA. 1987. Ambient Monitoring Guidelines for Prevention of Significant Deterioration, EPA-450/4-87-007. Revised May 1987. Research Triangle Park, NC. USEPA. 1990. Draft EPA NSR Workshop Manual: PSD and NonAttainment Area Permitting Manual. October. USEPA. 1995. User's Guide To The Building Profile Input Program. EPA-454/R-93038. Revised February 8, 1995. USEPA. 1996. PCRAMMET User’s Guide. EPA-454/B-96-001. OAQPS, Research Triangle Park, NC. USEPA. 2000. Meteorological Monitoring Guidance for Regulatory Modeling Applications. EPA-454/R-99-005. OAQPS, Research Triangle Park, NC. 15 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions USEPA. 2004a. User's Guide for the AMS/EPA Regulatory Model – AERMOD. EPA454/B-03-001. September. USEPA. 2004b. User's Guide For The AERMOD Terrain Preprocessor (AERMAP). EPA-454/B-03-003. October. USEPA. 2005. Guideline on Air Quality Models. November. USEPA. 2008. AERSURFACE User’s Guide. EPA-454/B-08-001. OAQPS, Research Triangle Park, NC. USEPA. 2010a. Notice Regarding Modeling for New Hourly NO2 NAAQS. Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards (OAQPS), Air Quality Modeling Group (AQMG). February 25. USEPA. 2010b. Modeling Procedures for Demonstrating Compliance with PM2.5 NAAQS. Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards (OAQPS). Memorandum from Stephen D. Page to Regional Air Division Directors dated March 23, 2010. USEPA. 2010c. General Guidance for Implementing the 1-hour NO2 national Ambient Air Quality Standard in Prevention of Significant Deterioration Permits, Including an Interim 1-hour NO2 Significant Impact Level. Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards (OAQPS). Memorandum from Anna Marie Wood to Regional Air Division Directors dated June 28, 2010. USEPA. 2010d. Applicability of Appendix W Modeling guidance for the 1-hour NO2 National Ambient Air Quality Standard. Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards (OAQPS). Memorandum from Tyler Fox to Regional Air Division Directors dated June 28, 2010. USEPA. 2010e. Guidance Concerning Implementation of the 1-hour NO2 NAAQS for the Prevention of Significant Deterioration Program. Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards (OAQPS). Memorandum from Stephen D. Page to Regional Air Division Directors dated June 29, 2010. 16 Energy Answers PSD Air Quality Modeling Analysis Revised for NO2 Startup Emissions USEPA. 2010f. Guidance Concerning the Implementation of the 1-hour SO2 NAAQS for the Prevention of Significant Deterioration Program. Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards (OAQPS). Memorandum from Stephen D. Page to Regional Air Division Directors dated August 23, 2010. USEPA. 2010g. General Guidance for Implementing the 1-hour SO2 National Ambient Air Quality Standard in Prevention of Significant Deterioration Permits, Including an Interim 1-hour SO2 Significant Impact Level. Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards (OAQPS). Memorandum from Anna Marie Wood to Regional Air Division Directors. USEPA. 2010h. Applicability of Appendix W Modeling Guidance for the 1-hour SO2 National Ambient Air Quality Standard. Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards (OAQPS). Memorandum from Tyler Fox to Regional Air Division Directors dated August 23, 2010. USEPA. 2011. Additional Clarification Regarding Application of Appendix W Modeling Guidance for the 1-hour NO2 National Ambient Air Quality Standard. Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards (OAQPS). Memorandum from Tyler Fox to Regional Air Division Directors dated March 1, 2011. United States Geological Survey (USGS). 2002. The National Map – Elevation, Fact Sheet 106-02. http://egsc.usgs.gov/isb/pubs/factsheets/fs10602.html, U.S. Department of the Interior. November. 17 Figures I AT L A N T I C O C E A N SITE LOCATION Dorado Isabela Aguadilla Camuy Hatillo Loíza # * Vega Baja Manatí Toa Baja Arecibo San Juan Fajardo Carolina Moca Luquillo Toa Alta Aguada Rincón San Sebastián Morovis Lares Añasco Río Grande P u Ciales Utuado e r t Las Marías Jayuya Corozal o R i Comerío Orocovis o Juncos Ceiba Naguabo Cidra Adjuntas San Germán Humacao San Lorenzo Aibonito Villalba Cayey Coamo Yauco Yabucoa Peñuelas Cabo Rojo c Caguas Mayagüez Maricao Gurabo Naranjito Ponce Patillas Juana Díaz Salinas Lajas Maunabo Guayama Santa Isabel 0 10 20 Miles PROJECT NUMBER: CITY:NOVI DIV/GROUP:ENV DB: PIC: PM: TM: TR: Arroyo Guánica ENERGY ANSWERS INTERNATIONAL, INC. ARECIBO, PUERTO RICO PROJECT LOCATION MAP FIGURE 2-1 I TM: TR: SITE LOCATION 0.4 0.8 PM: 0 PROJECT NUMBER: CITY:NOVI DIV/GROUP:ENV DB: PIC: Miles SITE LOCATION ENERGY ANSWERS INTERNATIONAL, INC. ARECIBO, PUERTO RICO # * SITE LOCATION MAP P P uu ee rr tt oo R R ii cc oo FIGURE 2-2 Appendix A Emission Rate Calculations APPENDIX A ENERGY ANSWERS ARECIBO Potential Emissions Calculations During Startup Firing No. 2 Fuel Oil Time Elapsed 0 - 7 hours: Average Heat Input 400 MMBTU/hr No. 2 Fuel Oil Heating Value: Fuel Use Rate - 80% load: Pollutant % Load 80 Flow (ACFM) 166,126 (DSCFM) 99,610 Temp (F) 290 140000 BTU/gal 2857 Gal/hour Emission Factor lb/1000 gal lb/hr Emission Rate g/s mg/dscm ppmvd PM Filterable 2.0 5.71 7.20E-01 0.4337 --- PM10 PM10 PM10 PM2.5 PM2.5 PM2.5 SO2 NOx VOC Filterable 1.0 1.3 2.3 0.25 1.3 1.55 0.213 24 0.2 2.86 3.71 6.57 0.71 3.71 4.43 0.61 69 0.57 3.60E-01 4.68E-01 8.28E-01 9.00E-02 4.68E-01 5.58E-01 7.67E-02 8.64E+00 7.20E-02 0.2168 0.282 0.499 0.05421 0.282 0.336 ------- ------------0.6 90 0.78 5.0 --- 14.3 --- 1.80E+00 0.329 --- 31 5.60E-04 2.75E-03 4.20E-04 4.20E-04 4.20E-04 8.17E-04 3.73E-02 4.80E-02 1.26E-03 8.40E-04 4.20E-04 2.36E-04 3.33E-04 4.20E-04 3.30E-03 2.10E-03 7.97E-02 1.40E-03 1.60E-03 7.86E-03 1.20E-03 1.20E-03 1.20E-03 2.34E-03 1.07E-01 1.37E-01 3.60E-03 2.40E-03 1.20E-03 6.74E-04 9.51E-04 1.20E-03 9.43E-03 6.00E-03 2.28E-01 4.00E-03 2.02E-04 9.90E-04 1.51E-04 1.51E-04 1.51E-04 2.94E-04 1.34E-02 1.73E-02 4.54E-04 3.02E-04 1.51E-04 8.50E-05 1.20E-04 1.51E-04 1.19E-03 7.56E-04 2.87E-02 5.04E-04 Condensable Total Filterable Condensable Total CO Ammonia Slip - 10 ppmv @ 7%O2 - 5.5- 7.0 hr HAP Arsenic Benzene Beryllium Cadmium Chromium Ethylbenzene Fluoride Formaldehyde Lead Manganese Mercury Methyl Chloroform Naphthalene Nickel POM Selenium Compounds Toluene Xylenes Notes: 1) Emission factors taken from AP-42 "Compilation of Air Pollutant Emission Factors", 5th edition, Tables 1.3-1 and 1.3-2. 2) Sulfur content = 15 ppmw Appendix B Air Modeling Files on DVD