Measures To Minimize Damage And Loss Caused By Typhoons In
Transcription
Measures To Minimize Damage And Loss Caused By Typhoons In
2013 APEC Typhoon Symposium Taipei, 21-23 October 2013 MEASURES TO MINIMIZE DAMAGE AND LOSS CAUSED BY TYPHOONS IN VIET NAM Nguyen Thi Hien Thuan Institute of Meteorology, Hydrology and Environment Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment Viet Nam Natural Hazards in Vietnam Vietnam: - One of the most disaster prone countries in the Asia Pacific region. - 80% population are exposed to disasters - Typhoons and floods are the most frequent and most devastating hazards. - About 10 TC in East Sea, 4-6 TC hit Viet Nam • Last ten years: annual economic loss equivalent to 1.5% of GDP per year and 8000 lives •Lately escalation of both frequency and severity of natural disasters, other climate extremes can be attributed to climate change • Increase in quantity and intensity of extreme-weather events (typhoon, flood, flash flood, drought, heavy rainfall); • Population growth, rapid economic development, urbanization, pressures on natural resources and climate change, have increased the exposure and vulnerability of the population to these hazards. Top Natural Disasters in Viet Nam, 1950-2012 (a) (b) N o Disaster Date (000 US$) No Disaster Date No Killed 1 Storm Sep 09 785,000 1 Storm Sep 64 7000 2 Storm Sep 06 624,000 2 Storm Nov 97 3682 3 Flood Oct 10 479,000 3 Storm Sep 53 1000 4 Storm Nov 97 470,000 4 Storm Oct 85 798 5 Storm Nov 06 456,000 5 Storm May 89 751 6 Drought Dec 97 6 Flood Oct 99 622 Damage 407,000 Temperature Changes Over the past 50 years, annual average temperature has increased 0.5oC. Winter temp increased faster than summer temp. Temp in the North increased faster than in the South. Temp inland increased faster than in coastal areas and islands. Precipitation Changes • Dry season: slight change in the North, but increasing in South; • Rainy season: decreases ~ 5-10% in the North, increase ~ 5-20% in the South; • Annual mean: increase in the South, decreases in the North; • Rainfall in rainy season in Central VN increases stronger than others, up to ~20%/50years; Change in precipitation (%) over past 50 years (IMHEN/2010) Tropical storms with Climate Change Frequency: not clear change More typhoons with higher intensity affecting Viet Nam. Typhoon track has a tendency of moving southward Typhoon season tends to end later. More typhoons with abnormal movement Case Studies of tropical storms No 1 Storm Event Typhoon Linda Loss No of Areas affected &Damage Date of Killed+ landing Missing (Mil US$) 21 provinces in Central and 360 South 02-11-97 >3000 2 (No 5) Typhoon Xangsane (No 6) 27-09-06 3 Typhoon Ketsana (No 9) 28-09-09 82 187 15 provinces in Central and South 15 provinces in Central and Central Highlands 624 785 Typhoon Linda (No 5, Nov 1997) Late tropical storm. Worst storm hit South Vietnam in 100 years Local people unexperienced against storms – fishermen offshore. More than 3000 people died and missing Loss of over 7 bil VND ~ 360 mil USD Lesson learned: -Community awareness -Capacity and rescue facilities - Disaster management Typhoon Xangsane (No 6, Oct 2006) Category 12 - 13 typhoon 82 dead and missing; loss of over 10 billion VND ~ 650 mil USD 15 provinces were heavily damaged: Da Nang City was worst affected (12,000 homes destroyed and 113,000 damaged) Typhoon Xangsane (No 6, Oct 2006, Systematic measures need to be taken: -Forecasting : longer time ahead; - Management of fishing boats - Rescue and Relief after events: Mechanism for relief mobilization - Motto: 4 resources at place: commanding , man power, facilities, and logistics Typhoon Ketsana (No 9, Sep 2009) •Category 12 - 13 typhoon •Heavy rain several days - Deep flood about 1,0-4,5m during 3 - 7 days. •Affected not only coastal but also High Lands areas •Loss: 187 lives, 16,000 bil VND Lessons: - Forecasting, communication - Deforestation -Hydropower development and management - Coordination 2013 Typhoon Wutip (No 10, Sep 2013) •Category 12 - 13 typhoon •Heavy rainfall: 400-600mm in 3 days; •Hydropower reservoirs released water for safety • Rapid increase of flood water •Loss: 14 people, 11,000 bil VND , Typhoon Wutip (No 10, 30 Sep 2013) Typhoon Nari (No 11, 15 Oct 2013) •Category 12 - 13 typhoon •Early, updated warning •Evacuated more than 120,000 people • 5 died at typhoon, ~20 died in followed flood, flash flood Typhoon Nari (No 11, 15 Oct 2013) Typhoon Nari (No 11, 15 Oct 2013) , Typhoon Nari (No 11, Oct 2013) Lessons: - Early warning - Coordination from central gov to local - Temporal evacuation before event • Emergency water release from reservoirs Disaster Management in context of Climate Change Structure Central Committee for Flood and Storm Control (CCFSC, MARD): 1990, chief coordinating body, representative of ministries and agencies, for disaster mitigation, response and relief; Provincial/City and community levels Technical agencies: National Hydromet Forecasting Center (regional, provincial centers); MARD: Directorate of Water Res.; Dike Management and Flood & Storm Center, Disaster Management Center,... Mobilization of Military and Police at place Inter. Organizations and NGOs active assistance, especially in after-event relief support Disaster Management in context of Climate Change Policies National Strategy for Natural Disaster Prevention, Response and Mitigation toward 2020 (2007). Law on Disaster Prevention and Mitigation (2013) National Committee for Search and Rescue (NCSR) National Target Program (NTP) to respond to climate change (2008) – National Climate change Strategy (2012) – National Action Plan on CC – National Committee on CC (2012, chaired by Prime Minister) Community based disaster management Strengthening forecasting capacity: facilities, equipment, forecasting models, training 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01 00 99 98 97 96 95 94 93 92 91 90 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 19 LOSSES RECORDED FROM 1990 TO 2011 Loss of proverty (billion) 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Number of Death and missing (people) 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Conclusions Disasters happen, we cannot avoid – should be well prepared Effective disaster reduction and response through multi-level, and multi-disciplinary cooperation and collaboration; Decisions based on reliable information from hazard mapping and vulnerability assessment; Good communication and an efficient exchange of relevant and reliable information; Appropriate mechanisms are in place, including policies, structure, coordination Capacity building and resources: Forecasting capability; Community: preparedness, relief and livelihood Thank you for attention!
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