Ikanos Communications
Transcription
Ikanos Communications
Ikanos Communications (NASDAQ: IKAN) May 21, 2013 1 Proprietary & Confidential SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT This presentation contains, in addition to historical information, forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations, estimates and projections about our industry and business, including but not limited to the expected growth of and opportunities in the broadband market, the company’s position in the market, any statements about historical results that may suggest trends for our business, any statements of the plans, strategies, and objectives of management for future operations or products, any statements of expectation or belief regarding the performance of our technology or products, customer demand and future technology developments, any statements of assumptions underlying any of the foregoing, management's beliefs, and certain assumptions, all of which are subject to change. Forward-looking statements can often be identified by words such as "anticipates," "expects," "intends," "plans," "predicts," "believes," "seeks," "estimates," "may," "will," "should," "would," "could," "potential," "continue," "ongoing," similar expressions, and variations or negatives of these words. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future results and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause our actual results to differ materially and adversely from those expressed in any forward-looking statement. For a further discussion of the risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements, see the Company’s periodic filings on Forms 10-K and 10-Q, as well as other reports the Company files from time-to-time with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). For the most current detailed risk factors, please review our Form 10-K for the period ended December 30, 2012 filed with the SEC on February 28, 2012 and our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2013 filed with the SEC on May 2, 2013. The Company cannot assure that the events and circumstances reflected in any forward-looking statements will be achieved or occur, nor does the Company undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking or other statements for any reason after the date of this presentation. © Ikanos Communications, Inc. All rights reserved. Ikanos™, NodeScale™ are among the trademarks owned by Ikanos Communications, Inc. Any other trademarks or trade names mentioned are the property of the respective owners. 2 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. IKANOS AT A GLANCE Leading Broadband Semiconductor and Software Provider • • • • • 3 Founded: 1999 Public: 2005 Employees: 265 Customers: • France Telecom, NTT, AT&T … • Sagemcom, Sumitomo, NEC, AVM, ZTE, ALU … • Market: NASDAQ: IKAN • Market Cap: $103M (5/10/13) • Shares Outstanding: ≈70M • Revenue: 2012 – $125.9M • Cash & Equivalents: $31.6M (3/31/13) • Short-term Debt: $5.0M Offices: • Headquarters - Fremont, CA • R&D - Red Bank, NJ; Bangalore, India • Sales – China, Taiwan, Korea, Japan, UK, France, Germany © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. Delivering the Best Broadband Experience High Bandwidth Broadband Access with Longer Reach Enables Telcos to Provide Cloud-based Services to Consumers Smart Home Gateway Enables Seamless Multi-Screen Connectivity, as well as New Revenue Streams for Service Providers End-to-end Quality of Service Enabling Superior Triple-play Consumer Experience Seamless Cloud Access 4 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. WHERE IKANOS PRODUCTS FIT TODAY Online Games Services Music and Media Library Storage & Backup Ikanos Solutions for Broadband over Copper enable high-speed access to the Digital Home Video Streams Photos and Docs Copper Fiber FTTx Ikanos Gateway for Digital Home • Entryway for triple-play content Ikanos delivers end-to-end Broadband Access solutions 5 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. Delivering Fiber Speeds at 1/10th the Cost NEW IKANOS TECHNOLOGY WILL DELIVER FIBER SPEEDS AT 1/10TH THE COST Expensive to Deploy New lines per household Fiber to the Home • $2,500 / household • 5+ years to deploy Fiber Node vs. Existing Lines Central Office Fiber Node Copper Fiber to the Neighborhood + Copper to the Home • $250 / household • Deployment over existing infrastructure Source: BusinessWeek article on FTTH in USA and OECD presentation a major US carrier on FTTN 7 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. GENERIC TELCO CASE STUDY • Telcos are under pressure from Cable TV operators to increase data rates and subscriber coverage. • Data rates for single line broadband access: • • • • Today - 32 Mbps max Announced - 75 Mbps (with vectoring) Desired - 100 Mbps Ikanos NodeScale™ Vectoring (NSV) can provide 150 Mbps! • Subscriber coverage: 55% today; 95% with Ikanos NSV! • Ikanos NSV will Enable Telcos to compete with Cable TV operators, plus enables Telcos to generate more revenue with lower OpEx… 8 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. Vectoring Continues to Gain Market Traction • Deutsche Telekom gains regulatory approval to upgrade its copper network via a process called vectoring, or VDSL2, in order to offer faster Internet. http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/09/us-deutschetelekom-regulatoridUSBRE93808520130409 • AT&T announces 30% expansion plans for its highspeed U-verse network, incorporating both fiber and vectored VDSL, to reach 33 million homes over the next 3 years. http://www.att.com/gen/press-room? pid=23506&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=35661&mapcode=corporate%7Cconsumer • BT’s Mike Galvin: “We see vectoring as one of the cornerstone technologies going forward that will extend the capability and the life of the fibre-to-thecabinet product”. http://www.zdnet.com/nbn-fibre-to-the-world_p3-7000012385/ 9 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. IKANOS’ NodeScale™ VECTORING SOLUTION IS HERE Ikanos Vectoring Transceivers Ikanos Vectoring Processor Ikanos Gateway Vectoring-Compliant Communications Processors 10 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. Infrastructure Segment Gateway Segment FTTx System – TESTING WITH TELCOS NOW Chassis/ Backplane To Backplane (Controller Card and Vector Card) Vectoring Transceiver Line Card 16 port slice 16 port DSP Vectoring Processor Card 96 port VCE 16 port slice 8Port AFE 8Port AFE 96 port VCE 16 port slice Ikanos provides >75% of silicon content on the line card Note: 192 line FTTx system shown above 11 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. Ikanos provides >95% of silicon content on the vectoring processor card TELCO MARKET OPPORTUNITY • Telcos (i.e., ADSL, FTTx including VDSL2) have majority share in broadband lines Ø >74% of Total Broadband Cable FTTH DSL FTTx • Existing copper is Telco’s major asset • Vectored VDSL will provide a significant opportunity to deliver broadband over copper to meet customer demands Source: Point Topic / Broadband Forum 12 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. IKANOS MARKET OPPORTUNITY Millions Projected Vectored VDSL deployment (lines) Existing Copper Line Creates Significant Opportunity For Upgrade 120 100 ~$1.8B 80 ~$1.5B 60 40 ~$800M 20 Note: Total opportunity includes all Broadband technologies over copper 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: Projections based on Ikanos analysis of over 50 Incumbent Carrier copper line data Carrier copper lines data from Dataxis Q2 2012 world wide statistics 13 Total Opportunity = Over 1 Billion Copper Lines © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. LEVERAGE WORLDWIDE FOOTPRINT – 400 M PORTS New Vectored VDSL Technology Creates Significant Upgrade Opportunities For Copper Networks 14 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. Next Generation Home Gateways IKANOS GATEWAY PRODUCT FOR THE HOME • Ikanos is a major supplier of Home gateway processors: • • 100M+ processors shipped Both Stand-alone & DSL integrated processors • Home media gateway is emerging as an explosive new market opportunity: • According to IHS, gateway shipments will soar 100x from 2011 to 2015. 16 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. Enabling High Quality Multi-Screen User Experience Wired Home Media Gateway Wireless Ø Wired and Wireless Connectivity • WiFi, MoCA, Powerline, Ethernet Ø Triple-play services and applications Ø Smart connection monitoring and QoS Ø Access management and premium content protection 17 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. Multiple New Revenue Opportunities for Service Providers Home Security Interactive Gaming Smart Gateway Home Automation IPTV / OTT VoIP 18 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. Orange Livebox 3.0 Triple-Play Gateway Display: Processor: Connectivity: WiFi: Ethernet: USB: Internet Telephone: Media server: Compatibility: 19 128x32 monochrome OLED Ikanos Vx185 ADSL2+, VDSL2, FTTH Dual-band 2.4 GHz 802.11b/g/n + 5 GHz 802.11a/n 4 ports GigE fully routed 2 ports USB 2.0 1 port FXS + Integrated CAT-iq 2.0 Samba, Media player UPnP 2.0, DLNA1.5 IPv4 & IPv6 and EU COC 2013-2014 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. Ikanos Business & Financial Updates Recent Product & Business Updates • Ikanos NodeScale™ Vectoring VDSL Reference Platform Delivers 110Mbps Service with Full Cancellation in OEM and Carrier Lab Trials; Receives First Design Win. • The industry-first reference chassis can also be configured in a “2x192” design providing 384 ports • Orange Deploys the New Livebox 3.0 Gateway based on Ikanos Fusiv Vx185 Integrated Gateway Processor • Triple-play IPTV services • Next generation Vector-capable VDSL • AVM Fritz!Box 7390 bonded VDSL deployed based on Vx185 (200Mbps) 21 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. INCOME STATEMENT TRENDS – (NON-GAAP) Q2-‐12 Actual Q3-‐12 Actual Q4-‐12 Actual Q1-‐13 Actual Revenue $32M $31M $32M $26M Gross Profit $16M $15M $15M $14M OPEX $17M $20M $18M $17M Net Income (Loss) $(2)M $(5)M $(3)M $(3)M EPS (Loss) ($0.03) ($0.07) ($0.05) ($0.05) 70M 70M 70M 70M Shares Outstanding 22 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. REVENUE BY PRODUCT GROUP Product Group Infrastructure Products Gateway Products Representative Products • ADSL2+ and VDSL2 • SHDSL • • • • ADSL2+ and VDSL2 SHDSL Triple-play Gateway Managed Gateway (Non-DSL) 1 – Approximate Trailing 12 Months Orders contribution; Excludes professional services. 23 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. Mix1 37% 63% Long-Term R&D Commitment in Broadband $18.0 $16.0 $14.0 $12.0 $10.0 $8.0 $6.0 $16.1 $12.5 $13.6 $12.9 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 $4.0 $2.0 $-‐ Q2 2012 Q3 2012 R&D $ 24 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. All rights reserved. Resources and Positioning For Growth Strong Balance Sheet 25 Q2-‐12 Actual Q3-‐12 Actual Q4-‐12 Actual Q1-‐13 Actual Cash and Investments $33M $33M $31M $32M Accounts Receivable $21M $20M $16M $10M Inventory $7M $6M $8M $7M Total Assets $79M $80M $74M $65M Short-‐term Debt -‐-‐ $5M $5M $5M Total Liabilities $24M $30M $27M $22M © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. Long Term Non-GAAP Financial Model 2010 2011 2012 Long-Term 37% 53% 50% 55% – 60% Research & Development 31% 39% 44% 20-25% Sales, General & Administrative 12% 15% 14% 12% Total Operating Expenses 43% 54% 58% 35% Operating Income (5%) (2%) (9%) 18% – 28% Gross Margin 26 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. All rights reserved. INVESTMENT SUMMARY • Large Customer-base with over 400M Broadband Ports Shipped • Shipping Products into Large and Rapidly Growing Markets • Technology Leadership with Continued R&D Investment • Rich IP Portfolio: 400+ Patents and Patent Applications • Service Providers Driving Adoption • Strong Balance Sheet 27 © Ikanos Communications, Inc. – All Rights Reserved. Ikanos Communications (NASDAQ: IKAN) 28 Proprietary & Confidential
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