China - The Deal
Transcription
China - The Deal
EYES ON WO R L D M A R K E T S The Next Phase China in the Driver’s Seat A More Level Playing Field Means More Growth Ahead for M&A in China Advising Chinese Middle-Market Companies Prax Capital: The Future of Private Equity in China Product Quality in China: A Simple Solution The Great Call of China China’s New Government—and Individual—Investors Real Estate for a Growing China Are Rmb-Denominated Private Equity Funds in China Here To Stay? China’s Anti-Monopoly Law Passes Go Private Equity and M&A Activity in China A supplement of Winter 2007 C H I NA 4+)16-1%7564%/-%7564-%%,4%-1)/+-704%<-/%1%(%,-/),-1% 2/20&-%<)', )37&/-')10%4.1+/%1(-1/%1(4%1'))40%1;21(74%571+%4;1(-%6%/;%3%1 %<%.,56%1 %/%5;5-% ):-'2 21%'2 )6,)4/%1(5 )9 $)%/%1( 249%; ,-/-33-1)5 2/%1(2467+%//28)1-%276,*4-'%3%-19)()1,%-/%1(71-5-% #! #! )1)<7)/% SRR facilitates global expansion and creates value for companies and their investors through the application of a well-tested set of differentiated capabilities that address strategic, operational and financial objectives. We understand that these objectives must be aligned for long-term success and increased shareholder value. -1%1'-%/3)4%6-21%/(8-524;)48-')5 " 18)560)16%1.-1+ 3)4%6-21%/64%6)+;)4*240%1')03428)0)16 )5647'674-1+741%4271( %/7%6-21-1%1'-%/3-1-215 -5376)(8-524;24)15-')48-')5 EYES ON WORLD MARKETS ! # ! 42.)4()%/)45)48-')53428-()(6,427+,6276-5-75255(8-52450)0&)4//26,)45)48-')53428-()(6,427+,6276-5-752551' EYES ON WORLD MARKETS CHINA CONTENTS 5 China in the Driver’s Seat 8 A More Level Playing Field Means More Growth Ahead for M&A in China Now an established economic powerhouse, China breaks new financial ground—while more firmly directing foreign investors within its borders. Lawrence Chia, Deloitte managing partner of M&A Transaction Services, China, and Alan Alpert, senior partner of M&A Transaction Services at Deloitte Tax LLP, weigh in on what to expect in the year ahead. 10 Advising Chinese Middle-Market Companies 12 Prax Capital: The Future of Private Equity in China 13 Product Quality in China: A Simple Solution 14 Real Estate for a Growing China 15 The Great Call of China 16 China’s New Government—and Individual—Investors 18 Are Rmb-Denominated Private Equity Funds in China Here To Stay? Former U.S. Senator Adlai Stevenson III and Leo Melamed, chairman emeritus of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, discuss their new 50-50 U.S.-China joint venture advisory firm, and their Chinese clients’ goals. China Managing Partner Jeff Yao says that backgrounds in industry rather than finance, and willingness to volunteer services to Chinese entrepreneurs, are helping to win the competition for deals. Francis Bassolino, managing director for the China operations of Alaris Consulting, examines the reasons for China’s manufacturing woes and questions if prices are high enough to support the production of quality products. China Real Estate Opportunities plans to build, renovate and manage commercial properties across China for the long term, says Managing Director Richard David. Donald W. Tang, vice chairman of Bear Stearns, shares his thoughts about the prospects for financial service firms in China. Cadwalader, Wickersham & Taft LLP’s Mark Roppel explains why China Investment Corp. is an important development for global private equity, and why China’s individual investors are soon to be an international force. Philip Anderson and Bolei Zhan of INSEAD’s Rudolf and Valeria Maag International Center for Entrepreneurship uncover the advantages and risks associated with Rmb funds, along with some lessons that can be learned. 20 China’s Anti-Monopoly Law Passes Go 22 Private Equity and M&A Activity in China Practical Law Company’s Sara Catley analyzes China’s first comprehensive Anti-Monopoly Law and its implications for foreign investors. Graphical data from Asian Venture Capital Journal shows the unstoppable growth of Chinarelated M&A and private equity transactions. C H I NA Publisher’s Letter Dear Readers, This year-end issue of The Deal’s Eyes on World Markets series may be our best look at China yet, with articles taking full stock of the dimensions of China’s emergence onto the world stage. Our lead story highlights ways China’s economic success has lured investors and changed their risk calculations—we also profile a groundbreaking China fund of funds firm and detail the ways that investors are facing continued government scrutiny of their deals in China. Next, Deloitte’s Lawrence Chia and Alan Alpert review why, exactly, 2008 is likely to be another strong year for China M&A and private equity. In the article following, former U.S. Senator Adlai Stevenson III and Leo Melamed, the founder of financial futures and former head of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, then share their insights on the new Chinese clients seeking strategic and financial assistance. From there, profiles of Prax Capital and China Real Estate Opportunities reflect the different ways Western and Chinese practices are merging on the ground in China. Then Alaris’s Francis Bassolino examines how due diligence needs to change in China to ensure that products made there are safe. Meanwhile, Mark Roppel, partner at Cadwalader, Wickersham & Taft LLP, discusses how China Investment Corp. and Chinese interest in overseas investment through Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor schemes could change global finance significantly. Rounding out the issue, Bolei Zhan and Philip Anderson of INSEAD profile the intriguing new prospect of Rmb-fundraising by international firms for private equity investments in China. PLC then summarizes the key provisions to China’s first comprehensive Anti-Monopoly Law and its implications for foreign investors. Finally, we present data on recent M&A and private equity transactions from Asian Venture Capital Journal. I would like to thank all our expert contributors who make this a comprehensive overview of China dealmaking. Look out for us in 2008, when our expanded lineup of Eyes on World Markets reports uncover the new realities, dynamics and dealmakers shaping emerging markets throughout every corner of the globe. Sincerely, Lisa Balter Saacks VP Publisher, International & Custom Media The Deal LLC Eyes on World Markets: China is a sponsored supplement produced by the Custom Media division of The Deal LLC. 105 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016 107– 111 Fleet Street, London England EC4A 2AB www.TheDeal.com VP Publisher, International & Custom Media: Lisa Balter Saacks European Sales: Graeme McQueen, Managing Director Editor & Writer: Catherine Gelb Editor & Project Manager: Marielena Santana Design & Production: Paul Colin, Cezanne Studio For more information on The Deal’s custom media supplements and reports, contact Lisa Balter Saacks at +1.212.313.9326 or email lbalter@TheDeal.com EYES ON WORLD MARKETS CHINA in the Driver’s Seat By Catherine Gelb A s 2007 draws to a close, China’s economy is still growing at more than 11 percent according to official figures. While economic slowdown looms in the United States, and uncertainty pervades markets in Europe, investors are looking to China as a new global economic force. A global force it is. China’s trade surplus with the world reached over $210 billion in October according to China’s Ministry of Commerce, higher than the over $177 billion surplus registered for the full year in 2006. China’s foreign exchange holdings reached over $1 trillion in September, according to China’s statistics bureau. These inflows have combined to give China’s government, companies and individuals cash to invest at home and abroad. Of course, they have also put pressure on China’s currency, the renminbi (Rmb), and sparked calls for China to right global financial imbalances. According to the International Monetary Fund, China’s gross domestic product growth accounts for nearly a fifth of global growth by market weights—and more than a third if purchasing-powerparity measures are used. “The Chinese economy is clearly growing strongly and should continue to do so,” says Mark White, a director at Hong Kong-based KGR Capital, which recently launched a China fund of funds (see sidebar, next page). So, China’s growth story is here to stay, and irresistible. What happens in China now affects global capital flows. Investors are taking notice. Cross-border and domestic transactions branch out Data from Asian Venture Capital Journal reveal both the scale and the size of recent investment activity. Private equity capital under management increased by $5 billion just in the first half of 2007. M&A volume has ranged between $15 and $20 billion in each of the three full quarters of 2007. Deals are increasing in size and domestic M&A is on the rise. Foreign investors are looking at a wider spectrum of industries than ever. Observes Maurice Hoo, partner at Paul Hastings, “Several years ago there was an initial rush to invest in Internet and then in media companies. Today, you see a much wider range of deals” in sectors related to economic growth such as retail, energy (especially alternative) and resources. One example that generated excitement in the private equity industry this year was the buyout of Shuanghui Group, the Henan-based meat processor represented by Paul Hastings, by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and CDH Investments. Changing risk assessments—and norms Against this backdrop, risk assessments among investors are changing. One of the risks being reevaluated is that of China’s currency. Hoo notes that because of the persistent strength of the Rmb, “investors perceive less currency risk.” Though convertibility is still an issue, analysts agree that the value of the Rmb is not a bubble, even if the domestic stock market might be. Thus, valuation is now analyzed separately from that of the currency. “Quite a few investors want deals denominated in Rmb,” Hoo says. Of course, it is still unclear how an investor might get such Rmb converted to bring out of the country. Right now, it is a caseby-case situation. Even if the economic currency risks have subsided, the political risks remain: KGR Capital’s White says, “One of the issues the KGR China fund is tracking is the discussion between U.S. and Chinese officials over the value of China’s currency.” KGR sees the Chinese as taking a more moderate stance than the U.S. official line and believes that a more measured pace of appreciation of the Rmb is desirable from the Chinese perspective (and that the rhetoric from the U.S. side is directed at the U.S. domestic audience). Another set of shifting risks involves China’s A-share market, which has C H I NA been simultaneously competing with, and providing an exit platform for, acquirers and investors in China. Public demand for equity not only gives Chinese companies more choices when it comes to raising capital, it is exerting strong upward pressure on prices. The rise in prices has not only made it more challenging to strike a deal, in some cases it has invalidated a deal after the agreement is signed. Because of the comparatively lengthy government approval process for foreign investment, Hoo explains, “From the time an agreement is signed until the various government departments finish their review process, the share price of the target may have quadrupled or even quintupled.” China’s securities regulator recently withheld approval of another Goldman investment, this one in Fuyao Glass, on the grounds that Goldman’s offer price, by the time the government finished its review, was no longer market. At the same time, the performance of the stock market encourages domestic M&A—and creates exit opportunities for investors, an example of which was the merger of leading electronics company Gome with China Paradise. The November faltering of the domestic stock market, after rising several hundred percent over two years, exposes another stock-market-related risk. Analysts, however, expect the market to remain high in the medium term. All this points to another way that China is playing a global role. International investors frequently complain that laws and regulations in developing countries are not meeting “international norms.” Hoo observes, “What we’ve seen in China is that international investors have adjusted their risk profiles and educated their investment committees back home.” For example, two years ago, private equity buyers would invest primarily in offshore entities. Since last year, the government has made it difficult to restructure ownership of Chinese companies offshore, and now private equity investors are learning to invest directly in Chinese entities under Chinese law. Hoo says, “We went to educate clients—some bit the bullet, others held back.” Those that held back are behind the curve a year later. “Now they have all realized they have to learn. An international norm is a collective decision, and China is a participant in shaping that decision.” The government’s ongoing— prominent—role For instance, the government recently revised the “catalogue” that categorizes foreign investment in certain industries as “encouraged,” “restricted,” or “prohibited.” Other new rules by the Chinese central government discourage “flips” of short-term preIPO investments and encourage longer term investments, foreign investment in industries like alternative energy, or in under-invested parts of the country. The government is attempting to direct investment in general toward highervalue-added industries. Matias Miao of InterChina Consulting comments in a recent research note, “As the experiences of Japan and South Korea suggest, this will be no easy task. It will require significant changes among foreign investors, Chinese companies and the government. But China’s transformation into a world export power suggests that the will and potential for such change are there.” n Even as the government has allowed new financial institutions and instruments to A New Opportunity KGR Capital’s China Fund of Funds China’s rapid financial modernization has made it possible for Hong Kong-based KGR Capital to launch a China fund of funds—something that many global investors may never have imagined possible as recently as five years ago, when KGR Capital was founded. In 2002, three investment banking colleagues from investment bank Jardine Fleming—John Knox, Nick George and Christopher Rampton—set up a firm to focus on companies with investments in Asia. Today, KGR has $350 million under management and offices in Hong Kong and London. “The firm’s performance has exceeded our expectations,” says Director Mark White, who joined the firm in 2005. KGR was at the right place at the right time. China has been engaged in rapid capital market liberalization over the past several years. The number of hedge fund managers focusing on Greater China—Hong Kong, Taiwan and the mainland—or on Greater China-based companies listed in New York or London, has grown tremendously. KGR maintains strict definitions for the 10-15 China-focused funds it selects for its portfolio. The fund is new, so it has EYES ON WORLD MARKETS emerge, it has tried to centralize approval authority over foreign investments and acquisitions. Investors and companies can no longer rely on local government relationships to get deals approved. to develop a track record and prove the robustness of its methodology, and the company is continually reevaluating the funds in its portfolio. “Our competitive advantage is our close monitoring of the situation,” says White. “This is vital in such a rapidly evolving area. We must stay close.” In addition to fund performance, the company also notes changes in personnel or any other relevant operational issues in evaluating whether to keep a fund in the portfolio. Reflecting the continuing evolution of China’s financial sector, China hedge funds currently do not follow the full range of typical hedge fund strategies—for instance, there is only a very limited fixed-income market in China. The result is a preponderance of equity-related funds. The biggest question KGR gets asked, White says, is whether these are hedge funds or long-only funds that go up and down with the market? He points to the fund’s encouraging backtest, which “clearly shows a decrease in volatility,” and says that hedging within the funds in which KGR invests is significant. At the same time, White says, “the value of the fund’s concept will be proven when it weathers a difficult period.” In fact, the recent two months have been choppier—both the Hong Kong and mainland Chinese stock exchange rose and then dropped dramatically. !%$!$ ! ! %$ $ &%&# "#%! $ %!# !'# C H I NA China A More Level Playing Field Means More Growth Ahead for M&A in By Catherine Gelb W hat a difference a year makes for mergers and acquisitions in China. Just one year ago, regulatory uncertainty appeared likely to dampen foreign investors’ enthusiasm for China, but 2007 has turned out to be a much more active year than expected for M&A and private equity—private equity fundraising in particular continues at a steady pace. According to Mergermarket.com, in 2006, there were 799 M&A deals in China, for a total of $94.6 billion. By the end of October 2007, there were 528 deals, worth $63.7 billion. In 2006, according to Asia Private Equity Review, private equity fundraising for China reached $4.6 billion; through the first half of 2007, fundraising had already reached $4.3 billion. While it’s likely that M&A activity may be lower in 2007 than 2006 in terms both of value and volume, important regulatory groundwork was laid in 2007 to justify confidence in a resumption of the longterm upward trend in 2008. Leveling the playing field This time last year, China had also just passed the deadline for the phase-in of the country’s last major World Trade Organization commitments. China’s WTO entry was, in effect, a five-year transition period during which China issued rules to level the playing field for foreign and domestic commercial enterprises. This level playing field means that foreign investment in new sectors has been facilitated and encouraged, says Deloitte’s Lawrence Chia, managing partner of M&A EYES ON WORLD MARKETS Transaction Services, China. “Coupled with that,” he says, “new laws have been adopted in the last year which have reduced regulatory constraints to some extent.” China has also clarified uncertainties about the rules for conducting transactions using offshore vehicles. Meanwhile, the number of available targets is increasing in China, Chia says; and with an economy growing annually at 9 to 10 percent, resisting the slowdown many had predicted, it is no surprise that the compounded annual growth rate for announced M&A deals has been at 20 percent. Chia’s colleague Alan Alpert, senior partner of M&A Transaction Services at Deloitte Tax LLP, observes as well that the momentum engendered at least in part by the government’s regulatory moves has been significant. “There is clearly an appetite for deals in China,” Alpert says, pointing to the record amount of new private equity funding raised for China so far this year. Additionally, the growth of the private equity industry in China is an important development for the country’s overall development at macro levels and should lead to better transparency and efficiency in financial markets, Alpert notes. New regulatory landscape China’s new corporate income tax law, which takes effect January 1, 2008, is just one of the several recent laws that have clarified the investment environment for M&A. The effort to “unify and harmonize” corporate taxes to a single 25 percent rate is another consequence of WTO entry, Chia says. China has had in place different tax rates for foreign and domestic companies, Chia explains. Foreign investors have also been entitled to numerous tax breaks and holidays depending on their location in China or their industry or activity. The WTO calls for the same “national treatment” to be granted to foreign and domestic firms. The new tax law is intended to achieve this goal. “This is a positive development,” says Chia. “We expect that there will be more activity—mergers of foreign and Chinese enterprises, and Chinese enterprises merging with Chinese enterprises.” Furthermore, he says, “as a result of the tax reform, the M&A tax rules should achieve uniformity between domestic companies and those that are foreign owned—companies formed under Chinese law and resident for Chinese tax purposes—which previously was not the case.” The State Administration of Taxation is expected to release additional tax guidance on mergers, acquisitions and reorganizations in China as a result of the corporate tax reform. Another important development has been the passage of the new Partnership Law. The law sets out rules for limitations of liability, which should boost the private equity industry, Chia observes. The law also encourages the use of renminbi-denominated investment funds and eliminates double taxation of partners and partnerships. At the same time, some laws have imposed restrictions on certain types of deals, or investments in Chinese companies, by foreign participants in certain industries. For example, the new anti-monopoly law, which takes effect August 1, 2008, gives the government the power to prevent acquisitions of Chinese entities that will result in dominance in a single market. This is standard competition policy applicable to domestic and foreign buyers alike—potentially more discriminatory to foreign investors is the provision in the law that states that acquisitions by foreign buyers may be subject to national security review, although a definition and other specifics are yet to come. Also, in late 2006, China’s government released a rule giving the Ministry of Commerce power to review inbound cross-border deals that occur in strategic industries that affect “national economic security” or involve the acquisition of well-known Chinese brands. However, to the extent that these rules are clarified and made consistent by forthcoming implementation guidance, they should not be a great impediment to future transactions. A marketplace immune to global fluctuations These legal and regulatory developments have had more of an impact on China’s M&A marketplace than has the recent global credit crunch. Deloitte’s Chia says that this has a lot to do with the kinds of deals that are done in China: many are equity deals, in which the investors have minority stakes (a minority investment does not require leverage to pay off shareholders because there is no change of control). Chia also comments that because of the booming Chinese economy, and strength of the Rmb, “there is liquidity in the marketplace right now.” In fact, Chia says that this liquidity “is opening up opportunities for Chinese investors” to search for deals outside of the country. The Chinese government has been encouraging the large Chinese companies to do exactly that: acquire businesses overseas which can enhance their position. Even as Chinese investors are increasingly looking abroad, Asia is looking like a more attractive destination to investors in comparison to the West, which is still experiencing the effects of the recent financial turmoil in the credit markets. Alpert comments, “The impact of the U.S. and EU credit markets on the availability to finance deals, has caused a slowdown in private equity deals in those markets. So global private equity investors are going to Asia since deals in Asia are not as leveraged or not leveraged at all. Therefore, the impact on China of the U.S. credit crunch may be positive. It could generate more deals.” What to expect in 2008 Overall, Chia believes that investors should expect 20 percent growth in investment activity for the next several years. “Given the liquidity in the market, the new funds coming in, and the changes in regulations,” he says, “there is no reason to expect a slowing of the current pace.” He also expects deal size, already on the rise, to continue to increase. Of course, the challenges of seeing a transaction through in China still exist. It is still difficult to gain access to accurate “The impact on China of the U.S. credit crunch may be positive.” data, for example, and the length of time it takes to close a deal is still longer than in the U.S. or other developed markets, but the improvement in regulatory clarity has made a difference, Alpert says. Chia highlights other observations about the M&A environment heading into 2008. First, he says, “On the corporate side, foreign investors are less likely to form joint ventures. They tend to establish wholly foreign-owned ventures. This is because these companies have become more comfortable in China due to the favorable regulatory environment.” Alpert adds that the private equity field is becoming more competitive, and notes that “this may be a good sign, because it suggests that the government is recognizing the value of private equity by making a more level playing field for private equity investing.” He says the Chinese government’s ambitions to spur innovation within domestic Chinese companies will probably help keep private equity welcome in China. If they are serious about having Chinese companies make up 50 of the Global Fortune 500, he says, the expertise of private equity can be helpful to make these companies become globally competitive. Finally, Chia and Alpert agree that Chinese interest in overseas acquisitions will continue in 2008 and beyond. Chia identifies financial services, energy and resources as the main focus for Chinese outbound investment. Chia notes that as the frequency of outbound acquisitions increases, China will need to continue to liberalize its own M&A regulations to remain competitive. With China’s WTO implementation efforts nearly completed, there is an impetus for Chinese companies to be globally competitive. This is why Chinese companies are making investments abroad, acquiring technology and resources, management expertise and new products, and why they will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. n Secondly, China is currently enjoying a global account surplus, so, Chia notes, “it has become easier to get money out of China, and paradoxically harder to bring it in. This has meant that foreign investors are thinking differently about how to structure deals.” A third set of observations concern private equity investments. “Private equity investors are now asking, ‘What’s the right way to do this deal?’ They can choose to joint venture or form a strategic alliance—they no longer assume that they will go it alone,” Chia says. C H I NA Advising Chinese Middle-Market Companies HuaMei Capital Co. (HMCC), a financial services advisory firm based in Chicago with three offices in China, began operations earlier this year. It is a unique 50-50 U.S.-China joint venture. The company’s founders, former U.S. Senator Adlai Stevenson III and Leo Melamed, Chairman Emeritus of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, discussed HMCC’s goals in a recent conversation. Q: What is HuaMei Capital’s approach to China transactions? Stevenson: HuaMei represents China’s first investment in the U.S. financial services sector. It straddles the culture gap. It is half owned by China Merchant Securities (CMS), a full-service Chinese investment bank. CMS has 71 branches in 28 cities throughout China and 1,700 employees, providing HuaMei with an unequalled footprint in China for origination and execution of transactions. Melamed: We personally vetted the idea of a middle-market intermediary with many senior government officials in China and members of the financial community. In all cases we received a high degree of encouragement with the clear understanding that the middlemarket in China is in need of the kind of services HuaMei can provide. based on contracts and distrust. China produces engineers; we produce lawyers. Leo and I are both lawyers. We have to step out of our roles as lawyers when we are negotiating deals in China, and then step back in when we negotiate in the United States. Melamed: In China, business is based on relationships, and these take years to establish. Fortunately the two of us have extensive, longstanding relationships we have developed over many years.We have a certain amount of built-in credibility. When we deal with a Chinese client, there is a trust factor that makes it easier for them to talk to us and explain what they are looking for. Q: What kinds of deals are you seeing most frequently? Melamed: We’re seeing a whole range of deals—from technology, to healthcare, to 10 E Y E S O N W O R L D M A R K E T S agriculture, to toll roads, to every other sector of business—there is no limit to what we see in China. Recent statistics show that the number of middle-market M&A transactions in Asia has climbed tenfold since 2003. There are thousands of companies without the wherewithal to find help, whether they need financing or a distribution partner outside of China, or some other strategic need. The same is true in the United States. If a company is below the radar screen, how do they go about finding a Chinese counterpart? This is where we can help. Stevenson: Chinese companies have come to us seeking assistance for foreign acquisitions as well as for inbound investment. Initially, we had more than 50 Chinese companies approach us that were seeking strategic and financial investment from foreign sources. We are seeing tremendous potential for deal origination. Q: What do Chinese companies look for in a target? Melamed: In strategic deals, Chinese companies are seeking a partner to help with distribution for their products. They need a partner to showcase their wares to the world. They are looking for strong brands—with marketing capabilities, and of course name recognition. Q: In what ways does HuaMei’s identity as a joint U.S.-Chinese company benefit its clients? Stevenson: The Chinese system is based on ethics and trust, while our system is Leo Melamed Adlai Stevenson III Stevenson: As we call on middle-market companies throughout China, we find they all want to expand, but they are not sure what to do. Part of our business is to help them develop strategies and alternatives. Q: What are the opportunities for U.S. sellers and transaction partners in terms of Chinese outbound investment? Stevenson: We are beginning to experience Chinese companies seeking to diversify outside of their borders. We expect Chinese outbound activity to grow rapidly. Melamed: In terms of outbound investment, we have seen the highprofile investments like in the Blackstone Group—this is the kind of deal that attracts notoriety, but there is an enormous amount of Chinese investment into the United States and other countries that doesn’t get front page attention. Q: What are some of the factors fueling this outbound investment activity? Stevenson: China’s huge foreign exchange reserves are one reason; another is the desire for strategic investments. Chinese firms are diversifying their holdings and taking advantage of the weak dollar to make financial and strategic investments. Melamed: From what I have read, in the third quarter of this year alone, China’s outbound investment increased 186 percent—38 contracts worth $907 million. Since January 2003 in China alone, there have been 337 M&A deals worth $39 billion—this is but the tip of the iceberg. It’s exactly what Adlai says: there are many, many opportunities. Q: What recent activities exemplify HuaMei’s approach? Stevenson: We’re advising one Chinese company that seeks a foreign equity investor. In taking on that assignment we also took on an additional assignment to help the company arrange financing for the purchase of the company’s products by its customers in China. We also found a potential joint venture opportunity for the same client. One client … three potential deals. Q: Do you anticipate any nationalist backlash against Chinese M&A activity in the United States? Stevenson: The answer is no. State and local governments are eager to attract Chinese investment. The City of Chicago has opened an office in Shanghai. Mayor Richard M. Daley is a frequent visitor to China. Our public schools are teaching Chinese. I suspect that in time, more members of Congress will also see China as an opportunity and recognize that the U.S. is now dependent upon China to finance its deficits. Most of HuaMei’s transactions are middle-market and not contentious. Melamed: For anyone who thinks about it, business between our two nations is a good thing for the American public and, good for China. We both need trade and investment to grow our economies. We need each other. n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rax Capital The Future of Private Equity in China By Catherine Gelb I ndependent firm Prax Capital, based in Shanghai with an experienced foreign and Chinese staff, knows what it takes to be a successful private equity firm in China. The firm was founded in 2003 and now has about 20 professionals with a mixture of Western and Chinese expertise. The founders each have more than a decade of experience in China in industrial enterprises. Prax has a fully invested growth capital fund of around $20 million from 2004, a $150 million growth capital fund set up in 2006 that is 30 percent invested, and a 50 percent-invested real estate fund of $100 million (with a target of $150 million) that is open to investors. In the growth capital funds, the firm typically makes investments of about $10 to $30 million over 3 to 7 years in companies with sales of $10 to $125 million. The firm looks for management quality, proven technologies and scalability. In real estate, the fund looks to capitalize on the growth of the residential markets in tierone and tier-two Chinese cities. opportunities by offering higher prices as a weapon. The competition can get ugly because the business isn’t worth that much.” The firm insists on quality investments. Yao says this is one reason Prax prefers to create deals by building relationships, over several years if necessary, rather than relying solely on advisers or colleagues in the industry. What makes Prax Capital different from other private equity funds operating in China, says China managing partner Jeff Yao, is the founding partners’ strong manufacturing backgrounds. “When we look at a potential investment, it is not purely from a financial angle. We understand factories. … We speak their language, and know what they need. Trust is easier to build. When we see the factory—we do not take the standard half-hour tour. We spend tremendous time investigating any problems and seeking out areas where we can help improve the company’s operations.” “We demonstrate our ability to add value.” Such an approach is crucial in China’s increasingly competitive private equity environment because, says Yao, “So many new private equity firms fight for 12 E Y E S O N W O R L D M A R K E T S One of Prax Capital’s strategies is to offer help without requiring a return, Yao explains. “We demonstrate our ability to add value. For one company, we sent our people to France four times over two years, because we realized they needed a lab for their product.” The fund did so without informing the company’s management team. The grateful management team subsequently agreed to Prax’s investment offer. Another competitive advantage is Prax Capital’s efficiency in evaluating a potential investment. Yao also says the company provides flexible terms. “Many local Chinese companies don’t use international standards. They don’t understand the reasons behind many of the terms—such as requiring veto power over certain decisions.” Prax Capital’s first investment in Tianneng Batteries is a good example of how the fund operates, Yao says. Tianneng, the leading producer of leadacid batteries for electric bicycles, was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange earlier this year. It was an attractive investment for the fund for several reasons. First, Tianneng was the top producer in an industry with potential for significant growth in markets across China. Also, its financial reports were good and showed net margins in the double digits. Prax Capital helped the battery maker in several important areas. First, the firm put Tianneng in touch with an environmental consulting firm that helped raise the manufacturer’s environmental compliance to international standards. Prax also helped improve the relationship between the company and the village in which it operated. Though management came from the local village, Tianneng’s success sparked resentment. On the firm’s advice, Tianneng set up a fund together with the local government to help aid the village’s welfare and education systems. Pax was also integrally involved in Tianneng’s IPO, and even partnered with Tianneng on its road show in Europe. All of this went far beyond what would be expected for what is now a little over a 4 percent stake. Also, says Yao, Tianneng’s management still calls for help. This is true of many, if not most, of the firm’s investments. Prax Capital’s real estate fund operates slightly differently because of the different nature of the industry. For example, its investment in the Peng Ching development in central China took advantage of a favorable offshore legal structure that simplified legal and tax requirements. The firm was able to offer financing to ensure the deal could be completed ahead of schedule. The Chinese government has placed a priority on developing technologically sophisticated, competitive Chinese companies. Prax Capital is working toward the same goal—and is willing to go the extra mile to achieve its goals. For this reason, the firm’s approach is likely to prove profitable for some time to come. n Product Quality in China A Simple Solution M attel’s mea culpa and prostration before consumers and politicians caused—dare I say—a Chinese fire drill within the boardrooms of many U.S. companies. Quality and sourcing managers, along with corporate counsel, were called into these boardrooms to define and defend their procedures to protect companies from quality lapses, such as the use of lead paint on children’s toys. Unfortunately for some and fortunately for others, the crux of the issue is rather mundane. There is no smoking gun or sinister villain at work, but really just two simple problems: first, a lack of resources for managing and monitoring our supply of consumer and industrial goods; and second, a focus on ever lower prices, particularly in commoditized markets. In short, too few people are monitoring too many suppliers in a now-lengthy and often complex supply chain. For dealmakers this represents an opportunity and a challenge. First, the bad news. Many sellers of commercial and industrial products have a limited understanding of the actual content of many of the products that they sell. Product engineers may have generated technical specifications that drive the vendor selection and production processes—but not always. Often, buyers come to Asia with a product that they want to copy or modify, without a drawing or detailed specifications of the product. Moreover, even when buyers are armed with detailed specifications, the overriding need to reach certain price points drives buyers and sellers to compromise on quality. In many hyper-competitive markets such as more generic consumer goods—toys—the need to meet price points is dire. The incentives and market MADE IN CHINA By Francis Bassolino dynamics drive bad behavior, and quality can suffer. The good news is that overall, the majority of goods produced in China meet global requirements, and the procedures and costs for monitoring product quality are well known and effective, if implemented and sustained. Those companies that want and need to ensure content and quality specifications will need to hire (or re-hire) qualified support teams that can document, implement and monitor rigorous quality control procedures. These additional steps will increase costs but this incremental cost to achieve the desired level of quality is measurable. The question is not, “Can China make quality products?” Rather, it is, “Is the price high enough to support the production of quality products and do we have systems in place to make sure that our vendors meet commitments?” The recent media attention on product recalls could put a damper on demand for many products that our children would have played with during this year’s holiday season. By and large, however, the economic rationale for manufacturing in China is so strong—and the actual level of risk moderately low—that next year at this time, children and parents will be playing with quality products from China. To be sure, companies with higherprofile products that experienced recent quality problems will need to increase scrutiny and monitoring in the short term, but the long-term impact on sourcing in China will be negligible. Indeed, for lower profile products such as components that consumers don’t see, it is business as usual, albeit with a greater focus on management of the supply chain. There will be little interruption in the supply chains for inputs over the long term, and China will continue to be a major sourcing hub. The press and our politicians continue to criticize “China quality,” but consumers continue to buy “Made in China” and there has not been any marked decrease in trade between China and the United States. Deal flows—M&A activity and foreign direct investment—have continued apace; there has been no reduction in traffic, number of, nor size of transactions. The main result of the recent events appears to be a heightened awareness and willingness to probe deeper into the supply chain and define the content of products produced in China. More deal teams will now conduct due diligence that documents sub-contractor processes, defines commodity sources, and outlines potential risks in the supply chain. This level of detail will now be required to satisfy investor demands. The bottom line is this: quality is a function of cost and management. If we are willing to pay for quality products and if we have adequate management oversight, we will likely find safe, highquality products in China. If we push too hard for impossible pricing and we stop monitoring what the suppliers do, we will receive low-quality goods. Manufacturers in China can produce quality product. The question is, are we willing to pay a reasonable price for reasonable quality? Based in Shanghai, Francis Bassolino is the managing director for the China operations of Alaris Consulting, an advisory firm that helps companies solve issues related to operations and strategy. For more information, visit www.alarisconsulting.com. n C H I NA 13 Real Estate for a Growing China I reland-based Treasury Holdings, one of the country’s leading property developers, set up China Real Estate Opportunities Ltd. (CREO) in 2005 with the goal of “becoming a substantial component of China’s real estate market,” says managing director Richard David. Only two years later, CREO, which is listed on the AIM market in London, has a £500 million (over $1 billion) portfolio of rental and development properties located primarily on China’s booming east coast, in Beijing, Shanghai and smaller Qingdao in Shandong Province. In contrast to some other foreign real estate investors, particularly Western companies, which focus mainly on financial benefits of real estate investment in China, “CREO is a genuine real estate company,” David says. The company is committed to operating in China for the long term. He adds that Treasury Holdings, CREO’s founder, has always been a strong advocate of holding properties for long-term value. In China, CREO adds value by renovating existing properties and bringing Western-style management to both existing properties and those that the company develops itself. As an indicator of CREO’s commitment to China, Richard Barrett, one of the founders of Treasury Holdings, relocated there when CREO set up a permanent office in 2004. Holding for long-term value Media reports over the past year have detailed the many attempts by the Chinese government to try to slow runaway growth and investment in real estate. David says, “the government is concerned about speculation, given the recent increase in pressure on the 14 E Y E S O N W O R L D M A R K E T S By Catherine Gelb renminbi,” China’s currency. The focus of this real estate speculation, particularly by foreign investors, has been towards high-end residential property. Domestic Chinese investors have also accumulated local land banks of properties that are not developed. have retail sales been growing at about 20 percent per year for the last few years, but Richard David says that more than a thousand foreign retail brands entered the Chinese market in 2006—more than entered China in the previous 12 years combined. CREO’s long-term approach to its holdings is not what the government is targeting with its recent restrictions, but the government’s new rulemaking is sometimes a case of “crushing a peanut with a sledgehammer,” David says. “Over the past six to 12 months, there has been little in the way of regulation that has been new,” he says. “But as in any immature market, companies confront change at every turn; situations change because of the constant growth. So of course policies and regulations present challenges.” CREO has had to adjust business strategies as government regulations shift. Logistics and distribution have been opened up to foreign participation as well. One of CREO’s Beijing property developments is a logistics facility next to the Beijing airport. The company’s on-the-ground staff of 50 in three offices, in addition to Barrett, is indispensable in helping the company adjust to this changing regulatory environment. Through hands-on building and maintaining of local relationships, the company has the flexibility to respond to frequent changes, David explains. Building for China’s growth CREO’s goal of seeking strongly performing properties has focused the company on developments that support some of the most rapidly growing parts of China’s economy. In the last three years, China has opened up key parts of its economy to foreign operators as it complies with its World Trade Organization commitments. One of these newly opened sectors is retail. Not only David points to CREO’s City Centre project in one of Shanghai’s regional hubs as representative of the company’s goals in China. It is an existing property with a retail shopping center and two office towers. The company is also developing an adjoining site that will add significantly to the center’s retail space and add a third office building. When it is completed, it will be one of the largest shopping centers in Shanghai. The location of City Centre is one of the site’s key advantages. It is located in an area with high disposable income, and in a part of the city that is slated to become a logistics hub for distribution of goods and services to the north, west and south of the city. The site provides the company with “an opportunity to enhance asset growth by increasing gross floor area, through refurbishment, and by bringing Western-style management. These are fundamental goals across our portfolio,” David explains. They are also goals that are broadly consistent with the government’s priorities for the development of China’s real estate market, and should serve the company well as it branches out to other cities throughout China. n The Great Call of China Donald W. Tang, vice chairman of Bear Stearns, shares his thoughts on China’s economic and financial development and the prospects for Bear Stearns and other financial services firms in China. Worldwide private capital deal volume has reached over $700 billion Roughly $350 billion is focused in emerging markets With over 150 private equity funds investing in developing nations Q: What are the prospects for China’s emerging globally oriented companies to play important roles in international transactions? Tang: I think we are going to see the emergence of more Chinese companies with the scale and sophistication to be global leaders in their industries and an increasing number of them participating in international transactions. Agreements such as Bear Stearns’ recent strategic alliance with CITIC Securities are just the beginning of the cooperation between leading Chinese and U.S. companies. Q: What recent achievements in the development of China’s economic and financial sectors position the country’s companies for further success internationally? Tang: China’s economy and financial sector are progressing on many fronts. The domestic capital markets have exceeded expectations in terms of overall sophistication as well as the valuations that many companies are receiving. The regulatory and share reform that have prompted this have opened up vast Donald Tang reserves of capital for use by local firms. This will accelerate their development into internationally competitive enterprises. Also, China’s leadership has seriously embraced a fuller model of economic development stressing sustainability and innovation, rather than just pursuit of GDP growth. This is very encouraging and should help foster successful companies bringing value to their respective industries. At the same time, we’re seeing a serious commitment to enforcing higher standards for quality and corporate governance. While this is going to be a long-term process, the experience of the past two decades really demonstrates China’s ability to affect an enormous amount of positive change in a very short timeframe. Q: What opportunities do you foresee in the coming months and years for Bear Stearns and other foreign financial firms in China’s rapidly modernizing capital market? Tang: We feel that our recently announced strategic alliance with CITIC gives us an ideal platform for working in China. Bringing together Bear Stearns’ leading capital markets expertise with the resources and business network of a domestic leader like CITIC, is, we feel, a positive way to develop the new financial products and services to meet the evolving needs of the Chinese market. After all, China’s markets have shown again and again, across many industries, that a Western-model usually will not work. Only the companies that can deliver top products and services combined with a deep understanding of the Chinese consumer will succeed. Differentiate your firm from the numbers and be the ONE Partner with The Deal to showcase your firm’s success in emerging markets with our Eyes on World Markets Series. With access to our global audience of senior level business executives, The Deal’s Eyes on World Markets reports leverage our award-winning editorial to showcase your company’s international expertise and experience. Connect with our hard-to-reach dealmaking audience, provide relevant and actionable information, and establish your firm as a thought leader with our 2008 lineup of customized reports: Gulf Cooperation Council Publish Date: Week of March 31 India Publish Date: Week of April 28 Islamic Finance Publish Date: Week of May 19 China Publish Dates: Week of July 7 and Dec 15 Latin America Publish Date: Week of Sept 29 Europe Publish Date: Week of Oct 20 Africa Publish Date: TBA For more information on how your firm can participate, contact Lisa Balter Saacks at +1.212.313.9326 or lbalter@thedeal.com or Graeme McQueen at +44.207.936.9692 or gmcqueen@thedeal.com C H I NA 15 China’s New Government and Individual Investors C hina’s government, corporations, and even individuals are flush with cash and are looking outside of the country for opportunities. The government recently set up a sovereign wealth fund, China Investment Corporation (CIC), and is encouraging its large, state-owned companies to make strategic acquisitions in a wider range of industries than ever before. Chinese domestic individual investors are also gradually being allowed to invest in securities markets overseas. A new sovereign fund Of the many developments that deserve dealmakers’ attention, says Mark Roppel, managing partner of the Beijing office of Cadwalader, Wickersham & Taft LLP and partner in the firm’s corporate M&A department, CIC could be the most significant. “CIC has the potential to change the landscape for private equity,” Roppel says. “It could become by far the largest leveraged buyout fund in the world.” China announced its plans to set up a sovereign wealth fund at the end of 2006. The country registered $1.4 trillion in foreign exchange reserves in September, the result in part of its record trade surplus, which reached $27 billion in October. (Foreign exchange reserves also reportedly have flowed in to take advantage of China’s dramatic stock market increase, which rose more than 100 percent this year, before dropping nearly 20 percent in November.) Most of these reserves are being held in U.S. Treasury securities, euros and other conservative investments. The government is hoping that CIC will help 16 E Y E S O N W O R L D M A R K E T S By Catherine Gelb it diversify away from U.S. government securities, says Roppel. The falling dollar means China’s holdings are losing value. Press reports indicated that wrangling among government ministries, particularly the Ministry of Finance and People’s Bank of China, delayed CIC’s formation. It was formally established in late September as a government-owned entity, with $200 billion. This makes it larger than Singapore’s Temasek fund, Roppel points out, though about onethird of its funds were reportedly spent to acquire China Huijin Investment Co., the government entity that helped recapitalize China’s four large stateowned banks several years ago and now owns shares in the banks. Nevertheless, CIC represents a bold move into uncharted territory for China. In the past, Roppel explains, China’s overseas investments were largely in the resource sector. They were high-profile acquisitions in mining, oil and gas made by Chinese state-controlled companies; most of China’s investments overseas have been in Africa, South America and Central Asia. “These were generally strategic investments to secure control over resources,” Roppel says. China seeking returns What makes China Investment Corporation different from China’s past overseas forays, Roppel observes, is that “CIC is purely an investment vehicle, with the goal of making money.” Its initial investments have also been in a new area for China’s overseas investments—financial services institutions. In May, months before CIC’s formal launch, it made a high-profile, $3 billion investment for 9.3 percent of the Blackstone Group, just prior to Blackstone’s IPO. Then, in August, CIC’s now-subsidiary, Central Huijin, helped fund the purchase by China Development Bank of a 3 percent stake in Barclays Bank of the U.K. Mark Roppel The financial services sector appears to be newly attractive territory for China’s strategic investors as well: CITIC Securities recently exchanged $1 billion investment stakes and entered into a joint venture with Bear Stearns. And in late October, China’s Industrial and Commercial Bank (ICBC) bought a 20 percent stake in South Africa’s Standard Bank for $5.6 billion. There were even press reports that ICBC and Bank of China had approached Temasek about purchasing Temasek’s 17 percent stake in the U.K.’s Standard Chartered plc. Political implications All of these recent investments raise an interesting question. “The investments are all for minority stakes. But what will the reaction be in the United States if CIC—or any other Chinese investor— takes a large stake in a major bank?” Roppel asks. Chinese companies traditionally have made few controlling acquisitions in the United States because there are relatively few resource companies for sale here, but another reason for the absence of large acquisitions by China in the U.S. may be China’s awareness of possible political opposition to large-scale investments. An example the Chinese often cite is the failure of China National Offshore Oil Co. to win its bid for Unocal Corp. in 2005. “The pushback from the United States appears to have discouraged China from seeking control acquisitions in U.S. companies,” Roppel says. It is also driving Chinese leaders to pledge openness and transparency in CIC’s operations. Vice Minister of Finance Li Yong even promised in early November that CIC would avoid investments in foreign airlines, telecommunications or oil firms. China is not alone in treading cautiously: Middle Eastern sovereign funds and government investors are making similar assertions. Roppel says, “The Chinese are puzzled— all of their major banks received large pre-IPO investments by U.S. financial institutions, and many of these U.S. institutions saw several-hundredpercent returns.” They can’t understand why their financial institutions should face opposition to similar investments in the U.S. So far, of course, Chinese financial investments haven’t. The problem is the investments’ performance. Roppel points out that Blackstone’s share price is down significantly from its IPO price, and the Barclays’ investment is down as well. This has sparked severe criticism in China of the wisdom of CIC’s investments. Which way will CIC go? Given that CIC’s mandate is apparently solely to make positive returns on its investments, another question arises, says Roppel: “Which way will CIC go? Will it invest mainly in other firms, or will it decide to compete with private equity houses? It will be interesting to see.” CIC has been hosting a parade of private equity funds and bankers who would be eager to help CIC source its own deals. “It is somewhat analogous to the situation in the United States twenty years ago, when pension funds started more aggressively making their own investments.” More recently in Canada, he cites the record-setting leveraged buyout of Bell Canada by the Ontario Teachers Pension Plan and Providence Equity Partners for nearly $50 billion. In the short term, Roppel predicts, there will be no control investments anytime soon. In the meantime, he says, analysts will be watching to see whether CIC “CIC has the potential to change the landscape for private equity.” sticks with financial sector investments or branches out into industrials or other types of investment. It may well be doing so: in late November, CIC announced it would take a $100 million stake in China Railway’s IPO. The new Chinese individual investor Even as the government and the country’s largest companies make ever bigger bets abroad, Chinese investors are starting to take advantage of the Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor (QDII) scheme to diversify their own holdings. China’s national savings rate is somewhere around 50 percent, and real interest rates on household deposits have been negative for some time. The result is that money has poured into China’s stock markets, “which can’t absorb all of the funds,” says Roppel. Unfortunately, the choices for retail investors in China are limited for the most part to these two options. execute. One reason for this enthusiasm may have been that the government allowed fund originator China Southern Fund Management to raise funds to invest 100 percent in overseas equities, where previous funds had been restricted to overseas investments largely in fixed income products. China Southern was also allowed to accept investments in amounts as low as Rmb1000 (about $130). The original allocation to China Southern was $2 billion, but it was massively oversubscribed, Roppel says, to the tune of $6 billion. As a result, the government increased the quota allocation to $4 billion and gave the green light to another three funds to raise $4 billion each. Unfortunately, the recent decline in foreign equities markets has meant that these QDII funds are trading below their original investment prices. As a result, Roppel says, interest in the funds has cooled off—for now. “Assuming markets pick up, there still could be a large influx of Chinese retail investment,” he says. In short, Chinese investors of all stripes seem poised to make their investment power felt in markets around the world. All they need now is for those markets to stabilize enough to offer attractive returns. n When Cadwalader attorneys worked on the pilot QDII deal last year with Hua’an Fund Management and Lehman Brothers, there was less interest among Chinese domestic investors for these kinds of QDII funds. The domestic stock market was booming, the renminbi, China’s currency, was rising, and the returns on the QDII funds were relatively modest. Less than a year later, Roppel says, “there was a huge appetite for investment” in a QDII fund that Cadwalader helped C H I NA 17 Are Rmb-Denominated Private Equity Funds in China Here To Stay? O n August 8, 2006, a tremor struck China—but not in the form of an earthquake. China’s government announced a new regulation with potentially far-reaching effects on entrepreneurs and the private equity community. On that date, the government declared that a locally registered company would henceforward need approval from the Ministry of Commerce for stock acquisitions by special purpose vehicles (SPVs)— offshore holding companies—and said that such approval would expire after a year if the company did not complete an IPO. Companies owned by SPVs would also require approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission to go public on a foreign stock exchange. The new rules—intended to keep China’s most successful companies from listing on foreign stock exchanges—are not only forcing investors to look at exits through listings in China, but private equity partnerships are also evaluating whether to raise funds denominated in Rmb. This usually means reaching out to local limited partners, because of currency restrictions and unclear guidelines for overseas LPs under new rules. Finding Chinese LPs can be difficult, despite the explosion in China’s wealth and currency reserves over the past decade. Andy Tang, managing director of DFJ DragonFund China, explains that “The notion of limited partnership is still 18 E Y E S O N W O R L D M A R K E T S By Bolei Zhan and Philip Anderson relatively new and the legal framework for it is still not as clear as, say, in the United States.” He says, however, it is only a matter of time. China veterans such as Tang point to local governments, industry-focused funds, and high net worth individuals as future LPs. Some city governments already have their own investment funds, such as Tianjin’s Bohai fund, capitalized at an estimated 20 billion Rmb. Governments may have requirements that funds invest locally; other funds, “Having an Rmb fund gives an investor a distinctive competitive edge.” like that of the Suzhou Industrial Park, may require investments in certain industries. Also, “a short-term mindset makes it harder to convince people to park their money with us,” says York Chen, president of iD TechVentures. Inexperienced investors may also be wary of private equity funds, since fraud has been a persistent problem in China. Rmb-denominated private investment funds are not new; the novelty is Rmb funds raised by private equity firms based outside China. “This is a natural progression of a vibrant domestic private equity market,” comments Chris Rowland, managing partner for 3i China. “Anything that will support the development of the market in China is definitely good. It is certainly not a surprise, and neither is it a threat to 3i; we welcome the emergence of Rmb funds.” Rmb funds offer several potential strategic advantages. Says Michael Zhu, vice president of Gobi Partners, “Having an Rmb fund gives an investor a distinctive competitive edge. The time advantage achieved with an Rmb fund is critical when fighting to secure the good deals.” Furthermore, the appreciation of the Rmb has made it more attractive relative to the U.S. dollar, and administration costs are lower when every transaction can be conducted in Chinese. The “guanxi factor” can also make a difference. “Some of these funds have the city government’s money in them, which means portfolio companies stand to profit from local policies and tax benefits, not to mention the other advantages that a relationship with the city government can bring about,” says Tang. In addition, having an Rmb-denominated fund can offer venture investors more choices. “Traditional industry firms may not achieve the same high growth rate as technology firms, but they can guarantee a more stable return over a longer period of time,” argues Edward Leung, managing partner of iD TechVentures. “These companies have a greater need for renminbi, compared to U.S. dollars.” However, along with these advantages, Rmb funds face a number of risks. “We haven’t seen a successful venture capital cycle from the investment stage to an exit on the local market so far,” says iD TechVentures’ Chen. “There are only two boards where you can go public at this moment, located in Shanghai and Shenzhen,” notes his partner Leung. “They have a long waiting line and the waiting companies also have to go through an approval process, though the new board being planned will help to increase options for exit.” Zhu notes that the immature limited partnership mechanism may mean that the relevant government authorities may be unsure of how to apply the new rules when disputes arise. Adds DFJ Dragonfund’s Tang, “The investment entities must be structured carefully to avoid or reduce double taxation.” The important aspect is how foreign LPs can participate in the fund,” Chen said, explaining that the 2003 law offers hints on how to go about raising an Rmb fund. Whether an Rmb fund makes sense will vary from company to company. For example, 3i’s Rowland contends that as both a general and limited partner in China, “We are in a unique position. As an existing investor in China, we can recycle Rmb as we exit from our investments,” he says. “In that sense, we can build up our own Rmb capital and not have to do any fund-raising. That lets us avoid regulatory uncertainties.” “Portfolio companies stand to profit from local policies and tax benefits.” In addition, Rmb funds are still relatively small for firms that specialize in growth capital or buyouts. Says Rowland, “Since 3i makes investments that may average $40 or $50 million, we are definitely looking at much larger fund raising than what’s out there so far in the China market. We are reviewing and monitoring developments.” Meanwhile, iD TechVentures is raising its first Rmb fund, which York Chen expects to close soon. The firm’s relatively long experience in China makes it comfortable being a pioneer of Rmb fundraising by a non-Chinese general partner. The firm began by carefully analyzing the entire legal framework for such funds. “Legal opinions about how a Rmb fund can be structured may vary among the different law firms,” Chen warns. “It is important to review what’s do-able and what’s not. The partnership law was just put in place on June 1, 2007, and a lot of things are still unclear, especially with regard to the implementation details. The next step for iD TechVentures was to evaluate potential limited partners for the fund. Chen, Leung and their associates spoke with limited partners who already had experience in China and to large enterprises that are starting their own investment arms. Says Chen, “The overseas LP community practice is very mature—there’s a definite process and procedure in place—but for the local Chinese LP, this is a learning process. The relationship between the LP and GP is still not as clear-cut as what you would have in the overseas market. Local LPs also want to participate in GP operation, so it is not a 100 percent handoff. Many are short-term driven, so one must be very prepared for such requests. You have to be ready to discuss some unconventional practices, such as a seat in the investment committee, only investing in a certain area, or LPs holding equity stakes in the GP company. I had to learn to anticipate potential changes, obstacles,” he said, and had to prepare to compromise. Determining how to recoup financial returns raised unexpected issues. Says Chen, “For a company with foreigninvested capital, there is a need to understand how one does an exit once the Rmb fund has been raised. If you have foreign LPs, it is not a pure Rmb fund—you still need approval when the fund goes about investing in local companies, though the approval only needs to be done in the municipal or provincial level.” He adds, “You also have to think about how foreign LPs get their money out.” Cross-border exchange requires government approval and there is a 10 percent withholding tax for foreign LPs, he says. approvals can take between 3 to 6 months. For this reason, building relationships with potential Chinese limited partners should start long before a firm starts raising an Rmb fund, not only to ensure the alignment of interests, but also to build up negotiation skills before embarking on the government approval process. Andy Kung, general partner of CTC Capital, predicts that more and more general partners will hire “a hybrid team that has experience in dealing with renminbi and U.S. dollar funds.” In the future, private equity firms may raise separate funds targeted at China in Rmb and in U.S. dollars, to gain flexibility in responding to future changes and investment choices. However, conflicts of interest might pose problems for this approach. “How can you justify to an overseas LP that you are using the funds from the Rmb fund to invest in this deal versus its fund?” asks Kung. Rowland of 3i points out that despite considerable uncertainty, Rmb funds are here to stay. In addition to the lack of a full investment-to-exit case, “We also don’t know yet whether there will be other sources of exit. Instead of going public, what about trade sales? Would the companies welcome strategic buyers? How vibrant would that be?” he asks. Because of these unknowns, he estimates, “It will be about a period of three years before we will see a proliferation of Rmb funds, but this is definitely a natural progression and will not fade away.” n Philip Anderson is the director of INSEAD’s Rudolf and Valeria Maag International Center for Entrepreneurship, where Bolei Zhan is the director for China. The primary lesson Chen would pass on to others investigating this path is, “Be flexible with the time frame, and it is better to be conservative.” The Ministry of Commerce and other government C H I NA 19 CHINA’S ANTI-MONOPOLY LAW PASSES GO By Sara Catley C hina adopted its first comprehensive AntiMonopoly Law (AML) on August 30, 2007. The AML, which has been over a decade in the making, will come into effect from August 1, 2008. “The adoption of the AML is an important milestone for China in its journey as a market in transition,” says Michael Han of Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer. The AML also marks an important milestone for foreign investors in China. “The two key merger control jurisdictions for large transactions have traditionally been regarded as the U.S. and EU; we can now expect China will soon join them,” says Jane Newman of Simmons & Simmons. Martyn Huckerby of Clifford Chance LLP agrees: “The AML represents a wholesale reform of the Chinese antitrust regime and is likely to have a more significant impact on transactions relating to China than any other recent Chinese law.” Against that background, this article summarizes the key provisions of the AML and considers its implications for foreign investors. The Key Provisions The AML covers three classic antitrust areas: * Monopoly agreements * Abuse of dominance * Merger control “Most provisions derive from European or German antecedents and are generally in line with international norms,” says Freshfields’ Han. However, it is clear that the U.S. approach to competition analysis has been considered in some areas, such as vertical price agreements and efficiencies. “In addition, some of the provisions have arguably distinctive ‘Chinese characteristics’ and it will be interesting to see how these manifest themselves in the implementation and enforcement of the law,” adds Han. 20 E Y E S O N W O R L D M A R K E T S Perhaps most noteworthy of these Chinese characteristics is contained in article 1 of the AML, which sets out its purpose: “... promoting the healthy development of the socialist market economy”. In addition, the AML contains novel provisions to prevent government bodies misusing their powers to restrict competition. Monopoly agreements The provisions dealing with monopoly agreements are broadly similar to those under article 81 of the EC Treaty and Section 1 of the Sherman Act. Agreements, decisions or other concerted conducts that eliminate or restrict competition are prohibited unless a relevant exemption applies. Undertakings are prohibited from entering into “horizontal” monopoly agreements (that is, agreements with their competitors) relating, among other things, to price-fixing, limiting output or sales volumes and allocating sales or purchasing markets. Undertakings are also prohibited from entering into “vertical” monopoly agreements (that is, agreements with those above or below them in the supply chain) that fix resale prices or limit minimum resale prices. Monopoly agreements that fix maximum resale prices are not expressly prohibited. However, in practice they may still be caught as the AML Enforcement Authority will have the power to prohibit other horizontal and vertical monopoly agreements. There are exemptions for various monopoly agreements that do not materially restrict competition in the relevant market and allow consumers to share in the benefits, including: * Researching or developing improved technology * Improving product quality or efficiency * Environmental protection In addition, monopoly agreements that safeguard legitimate interests in foreign trade and foreign economic cooperation (that is, export cartels) are also exempt, regardless of their effect on competition. The State Council also has the power to stipulate further exemptions. The AML Enforcement Authority can confiscate gains and impose substantial fines of between 1 percent and 10 percent of turnover for breach of these provisions. There is some scope for leniency where undertakings come forward to report monopoly agreements on their own initiative and it will be interesting to see how this develops. Abuse of dominance The AML prohibits undertakings from abusing dominant market positions that enable them to control the terms of supply or affect the ability of competitors to enter the market. Much like article 81 of the EC Treaty, the AML includes a nonexhaustive list of abuses including unfair pricing and unjustified refusals to deal and exclusivity requirements. Determining whether a particular behavior constitutes abuse will require the new Chinese antitrust authorities to exercise judgment in determining what constitutes “unfair” or “unjustified,” and it will take time for a clear practice to emerge. What constitutes dominance depends on a number of factors, including market share, competition in the market and barriers to entry. However, there are rebuttable presumptions of dominance where one undertaking controls half of the market, and of collective dominance, subject to a safe harbor for undertakings that control less than one-tenth of the market, where two undertakings together control two-thirds of the market or three undertakings together control threequarters of the market. As with monopoly agreements, the AML Enforcement Authority has the power to confiscate gains from abuse of dominance and to impose substantial fines of between 1 percent and 10 percent of turnover for breach. Merger control The AML Enforcement Authority can prohibit or impose restrictive conditions on “concentrations” (such as mergers and acquisitions) that have the effect of eliminating or restricting competition. Undertakings are required to notify and obtain advance clearance from the AML Enforcement Authority for concentrations that meet certain thresholds. These are to be specified in implementing regulations before the AML becomes effective. Review by the AML Enforcement Authority can take up to 180 days, during which the concentration cannot be implemented. The AML Enforcement Authority has the power to require undertakings to unwind concentrations that are implemented in breach of the AML and may also impose fines of up to Rmb500,000 (around $70,000) for breach. National security review Where the concentration involves foreign investors (for example, where it involves the acquisition of a domestic undertaking by foreign investors), there is provision for a separate national security review. “There has been media speculation about whether the Chinese government will use this power to prevent foreign takeovers of Chinese companies on national security grounds,” says Clifford Chance’s Huckerby. “This seems unlikely, as there are substantially similar provisions under the existing regime. In addition, Chinese government officials have said that it is possible that such review may in practice be confined to key industries considered as requiring state control, such as defense, energy, telecommunications, coal and transport,” Huckerby adds. There can be no guarantees however: “There will be a lot of pressure on the new regulators to use the AML to protect domestic companies from competition and limit foreign investment. That pressure exists in the U.S. and Europe as well, but the competition authorities there generally resist it successfully,” says MJ Moltenbrey of Freshfields. “It may be harder for the Chinese authorities to do so, because they will have multiple policy and regulatory roles,” she concludes. Administrative monopolies The AML protects certain monopoly activities of enterprises in statecontrolled industries that involve the national economy and national security. However, it also contains provisions that prevent administrative authorities and similar bodies abusing their administrative power in ways that damage competition (for example, by restricting access to local markets). The AML does not give direct rights of redress to undertakings in relation to abuse, but the chief officer and other persons directly responsible for the breach will be subject to disciplinary sanctions. “It is only as the implementing rules are issued, and the new system comes into operation, that the remaining areas of uncertainty will be resolved,” concludes Simmons & Simmons’ Newman. Sara Catley is an analyst with Practical Law Co., the U.K.’s pre-eminent provider of legal know-how, transactional analysis and market intelligence for business lawyers. For more information, visit www.practicallaw.com. China’s Current Antitrust Regime A number of anti-competitive behaviors, including false advertising and price manipulation, are already prohibited under existing rules in China. Implications for Foreign Investors However, the existing rules are piecemeal, and found in a number of different sources including the Anti-Unfair Competition Law, the Price Law and the Foreign Trade Law. “As China is viewed as one of the most important emerging markets, no foreign multinational company can afford to risk the potential adverse consequences to their business arising from a failure to comply with the AML,” says Moltenbrey. In addition, a number of different bodies have overlapping jurisdiction in relation to monopolies. In practice, this means that the legal sanctions for certain practices are unclear and there can be confusion in relation to the enforcement process. Foreign companies with significant market share in China will need to review their operations in light of the AML. Conduct that could be characterized as contrary to the AML should be carefully examined and clear records of any justification for such conduct should be kept. It is not entirely clear what will happen to these enforcement bodies under the new regime. As a practical matter, once the AML comes into force, the new merger control timetable will mean that undertakings will need to involve counsel at an early stage in proceedings to avoid delay. The new regime may also have an effect on deal structuring. China’s The AML leaves a number of important areas, such as notification thresholds for merger control, to secondary legislation. In addition, there is uncertainty as to how the regime will work in practice in a number of areas. For example, the AML prohibits monopolistic conduct not just inside but also outside China where it has a restrictive effect on competition in China. It is unclear how wide an interpretation will be put on these provisions in practice. For an overview of the current regime, see the chapter on China by MJ Moltenbrey and Michael Han of Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer in the PLC Cross-border Competition Handbook at www.practicallaw.com/9-206-5033. New Antitrust Regulators The Anti-Monopoly Law (AML) requires the State Council to establish two new regulatory bodies: * The Anti-Monopoly Commission: responsible for organizing, coordinating and guiding anti-monopoly work. Its duties are to include formulating policy, organizing investigations, formulating and promulgating guidelines and coordinating enforcement work. * The AML Enforcement Authority: responsible for enforcing the AML. It is to have extensive information and investigation powers, including powers of search and seizure, together with the power to enter into agreements with undertakings in the course of investigation about measures to eliminate the effects of monopolistic conduct. In addition, it will have the power to delegate its responsibilities if necessary to local government authorities in China. C H I NA 21 Private Equity and M&A Activity in China The figures on this page show the unstoppable growth of Chinarelated M&A and private equity transactions over the past three years. Overall capital raised grew almost five times between 2004 and year-end 2006, according to Asian Venture Capital Journal; just in the first half of 2007, funds raised for China increased from $14.7 billion to almost $20 billion. Overall M&A volume grew 44 percent between 2002 and 2006, and total volume of $55 billion in 2006 is on track to be exceeded in 2007. Private Equity Market Overview $7,269* $19,880* Capital Under Management 20000 *Only 1st half data is available 6000 New Funds Raised * Q1-Q3 $14,680 15000 $5,233 5000 10000 4000 $8,660 $7,330 3000 5000 $2,320 2000 0 1000 2004 $884 5000 0 2004 2005 2006 Investments Made 10000 Number of Deals Disclosed Deals *Q1-Q2 219 174 8000 407 328 2007 *Q1-Q3 2007 $4,011 3000 $10,102 $9,435 2006 Trade Sale/M&A Exits 4000 12000 2005 $2,718* $2,523 $8,206* 2000 322 242 6000 1000 $595 4000 0 $2,395 2000 0 40000 35000 2004 157 118 2004 2005 PE/Venturebacked IPOs 2006 2007 *Q1-Q3 $33,876* 50000 30000 2006 2007 M&A Market Overview 60000 $38,484 2005 M&A Volume $55,443 Number of Deals Disclosed Deals *Q1-Q3 1,295 948 $45,083 25000 40000 $54,372* $38,515 20000 30000 15000 $10,098 10000 20000 $6,560 5000 0 2004 2005 2006 Source: AVCJ Database, Nov 2007 2007 10000 0 2004 22 E Y E S O N W O R L D M A R K E T S 2005 2006 2007 Creating Value For Clients Since 1981 ChinaVest is a merchant bank founded in the early 1980’s by American investment bankers Headquartered in Shanghai with offices in Beijing, Hong Kong, San Francisco, and New York On-the-ground team in China; Chinese and Western staff Deep and broad network within Chinese business community and government Completed M&A deals with domestic companies and Fortune 500 international corporations Ё߯˖ҢЁϔᆊ䰙⾕Ҏ䌘ᴀᡩ䌘 ݀ৌℷ䕀ᤶ៤ϧ⊼ѢЁᏖഎЎܼ⧗ӕ Ϯ᳡ࡵⱘଚҎ䫊㸠 ៤ゟѢᑈ ᘏ䚼ԡѢϞ⍋࣫Ҁ佭␃ ᮻ䞥ቅᏖঞ㒑㑺ഛ䆒᳝ҷ㸼໘ ⏅ᑺঞ〇ᅮⱘ㒘㒛㒧ᵘᴀ ഄ偏ᠢϧϮಶ䯳 ⏅ܹᑓ⊯ⱘӕϮ㔥㒰ঞᬓᑰ݇ ㋏䌘⑤ 䋶ᆠᔎ䰙ӕϮֵ䌪ⱘЁ ড়ӭԈ݀ݙৌ䖯ܹ䰙䌘 ᴀᏖഎⱘḹṕ Shanghai Beijing Hong Kong San Francisco 4th Floor Shanghai Bund No. 7 Zhong Shan Dong Yi Road Shanghai 200002, P. R.China Tel: 8621 6323 2255 Fax:8621 6329 3951 Suite 706-7, Beijing China Resources Building No. 8 Jian Guo Men Bei Avenue Beijing, 100005 Tel: 8610 8519-1535 Fax:8610 8519-1530 Room 1103, Wilson House 19-27 Wyndham Street Central Hong Kong Tel: 852-2810-1638 Fax:852-2868-3788 160 Sansome Street, 18/F, San Francisco, CA, 94104 Tel: 415 276-8888 Fax:415 276-8885 C H I NA 23 #HINA2EAL%STATE/PPORTUNITIES ,EADINGTHEWAY s s s ,EADINGTHEWAYFOR7ESTERNREALESTATECOMPANIESIN#HINA 3EVENDEALSCOMPLETEDSOFARINWORTHINEXCESSOFBILLION 3IGNIlCANTPIPELINEOFLARGESCALEDEVELOPMENTOPPORTUNITIESIN 3HANGHAITHE/LYMPICSCITIESOF"EIJINGAND1INGDAOAND FURTHERAlELD )NTIMATEKNOWLEDGEOFTHE#HINESEMARKETTHROUGH 4REASURY(OLDINGS#2%/SINVESTMENTMANAGERANDONEOF %UROPESMOSTSUCCESSFULREALESTATECOMPANIES 4REASURYHASBEENCOMMITTEDANDDEDICATEDTO#HINASINCE WITHOVERFULLTIMEPROFESSIONALSBASEDIN3HANGHAIAND"EIJING 3TRATEGICRELATIONSHIPSWITHKEYLOCALCOMPANIES s s s #2%/ISONTRACKTOREALISEITSAMBITIONOFBECOMING THELEADING7ESTERNREALESTATECOMPANYIN#HINA #HINA2EAL%STATE/PPORTUNITIES 4HE4REASURY"UILDING(UASHAN2OAD3HANGHAI#HINA 4ELWWWCHINAREOCOM 24 E Y E S O N W O R L D M A R K E T S