Demographic Report
Transcription
Demographic Report
Eanes ISD Demographic Report April 2013 Phone: 512-346-9330 www.deskmap.com Eanes Independent School District April 2013 Demographic Study Board of Trustees Dr. James Kallison - President Rob Hargett – Vice President Dr. Colleen Jones – Secretary Ellen Balthazar – Trustee Mike Frost – Trustee Ronna Martin – Trustee Beau Ross – Trustee Superintendent Dr. Nola Wellman – Superintendent Eanes ISD Demographic Study April 2013 A. Introduction & Summary Introduction Summary Page 3 3 4 B. Demographics Population & Household Trends Racial-Ethnic Trends Age Trends School Aged Children Trends Household & Family Income Tends Households & Children Trends Marital Status Trends Adult Education Attainment Population by Employment Mosaic Household Types 8 9 10 11 13 14 16 17 18 19 20 C. Student Analysis Planning Zones Student Analysis Methodology October 2012 Student Distribution Change in Distribution: October 2008 to October 2012 21 21 21 23 29 D. Growth Issues Factors Influencing Future Growth Future Development 33 33 35 E. Student Projections District-Wide Enrollment Projections Campus Enrollment Projections Capacity Analysis Planning Zone Enrollment Projections 40 41 44 57 64 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 2 Section A - INTRODUCTION DeskMap Systems, Inc., a consulting company based in Austin, was retained by the Eanes Independent School District (hereinafter referred to as "EISD") to produce a demographic study. The study will provide the District with information necessary to plan for future needs. Included are an analysis of population, housing and related trends, and the factors that will affect population change in the area. This information was utilized in producing enrollment projections by grade for the District. The study report is divided into several sections: The Demographic section of the report has been prepared to “tell the demographic story” of the Eanes ISD geographic area, including the characteristics of the people and population of the area and of the school district itself. The Student Analysis section includes maps displaying the District’s planning zones and the residential location of each student in the District. Student counts by planning zone from earlier demographic studies were compared to those in fall 2012. The Growth Issues section reports on the factors that will influence future enrollment growth and contains information on current and planned developments within the school district. The Student Projections section contains detailed enrollment projection tables for the school district for each grade over a ten-year period. In addition to district-wide enrollment projections, enrollment projections were also produced for each campus and each planning zone. This section also includes an analysis of capacity at each campus. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 3 SUMMARY DEMOGRAPHICS The demographics section includes several categories of analysis with data tables and graphs. A few of the key categories are as follows. Population. The total population within the boundaries of EISD was estimated to be 37,084 in 2012. Households. The households within EISD are growing but not as fast as the population, thus the average population per household in 2012 was estimated to be 2.54 and by 2017 it is projected to be 2.55. Racial-Ethnic Trends. The racial-ethnic trends of the District are projected to be about the same over the next five years with a slight increase in the Asian population and a slight decrease in the White population. Age Trends. The average age in EISD was 37.33 in 2010 and the estimated average age in 2017 is 39.90. School Aged Children Trends. Early Elementary to Late Elementary aged children ages 5 to 9 and Late Elementary to Middle School aged children ages 10 to 14 are each projected to increase as a percentage of children between 5 and 18. High School aged children 15 to 18 are projected to decline as a percentage of children between 5 and 18. Overall children are aging through but there is some evidence of a resurgence of children in the younger years. STUDENT ANALYSIS Student Distribution. The student enrollment was analyzed geographically to determine the density of students in the district by planning zone. The two largest planning zones were the same ones as those in the previous study. Student Distribution. Student distribution from October 2008 was compared to that of the October 2012 student database to derive the enrollment change by planning zone for each grade group. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 4 Student Distribution. Five planning zones grew by more than 40 students during this time period. The fastest growing planning zone was 01. This planning zone grew by 129 students during the time period, an increase of 39.9%. Student Distribution. There were 13 planning zones that had a negative growth during this time period. GROWTH ISSUES Housing. Housing developments in the EISD area were studied to determine which areas of the District are the major growth sites. Four active or planned residential projects were identified and mapped. Housing. The four new projects together represent about 100 additional dwelling units in the District. Housing. Of the 4 projects in the current analysis, two of the developments are higher density. STUDENT PROJECTIONS District Projections. Two scenarios were developed for the District-wide enrollment projections. Each is based upon different economic and residential growth assumptions. The Conservative Scenario is based on current economic conditions and is useful for budgeting and staff planning. More robust economic conditions and greater building activity were assumed to derive enrollment projections under the Moderate Scenario. Campus Projections. Enrollment projections were produced for each of EISD’s current campuses for the next ten school years. A capacity analysis was developed comparing the campus capacities to the campus enrollment projections. Planning Zone Projections. Enrollment projections were also produced for each of EISD’s 36 planning zones by grade for 10 years. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 5 ENROLLMENT PROJECTION SUMMARY A summary of the enrollment projections at the district-level is displayed on the following page. A description of the enrollment projections is provided in Section E Student Projections along with detailed projections by district and campus. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 6 Eanes ISD District-Wide Enrollment Projections Conservative Scenario Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Totals: Pct Chg: 2012 555 522 557 604 608 635 577 584 627 632 623 666 638 7828 2013 532 609 543 579 620 622 635 598 584 652 632 625 667 7898 0.9% 2014 541 583 634 564 594 635 626 658 597 601 652 633 625 7943 0.6% 2015 547 593 606 659 580 608 636 648 656 629 602 654 634 8052 1.4% 2016 551 600 617 630 677 593 609 659 648 689 627 603 654 8157 1.3% 2017 551 604 612 629 639 685 590 620 659 681 689 628 603 8190 0.4% 2018 552 604 616 624 638 646 682 601 619 693 681 689 629 8274 1% 2019 552 605 617 628 633 645 645 694 601 649 692 682 690 8333 0.7% 2020 553 605 617 629 637 640 644 656 694 632 648 693 683 8331 0% 2021 553 606 618 629 637 644 639 656 656 729 632 650 694 8343 0.1% 2022 554 606 618 630 638 645 643 651 656 690 729 632 650 8342 0% 2020 556 618 634 651 664 670 692 711 755 684 697 739 725 8796 0.2% 2021 556 618 634 651 664 675 685 708 713 793 685 700 743 8825 0.3% 2022 556 618 634 651 664 675 690 700 710 750 796 688 704 8836 0.1% Eanes ISD District-Wide Enrollment Projections Moderate Scenario Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Totals: Pct Chg: 2012 555 522 557 604 608 635 577 584 627 632 623 666 638 7828 2013 534 617 549 587 627 628 653 603 588 661 636 627 673 7983 2% 2014 545 593 649 578 609 647 648 682 606 614 665 640 634 8110 1.6% 2015 552 606 624 684 600 629 667 677 685 646 619 669 647 8305 2.4% 2016 556 614 637 657 710 620 648 696 681 719 650 622 675 8485 2.2% 2017 556 618 630 654 670 722 634 662 698 716 721 652 626 8559 0.9% 2018 556 618 634 647 667 681 736 648 663 734 719 723 656 8682 1.4% 2019 556 618 634 651 659 678 696 753 650 696 736 721 728 8776 1.1% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 7 Section B - DEMOGRAPHICS The demographics section of this report has been prepared to “tell the demographic story” of the Eanes ISD geographic area. This overview integrates narrative analysis with data tables and graphs. This section is designed for easy reading and there are some tools provided in the tables that make this easier. Change over time: Several trend tables will have a column that indicates a change over time. Generally this begins with the last census and includes the current year estimate, a five year projection and if available, a 10 year forecast. The output will be a percentage change up or down. This quickly indicates the direction overall the variable appears to be taking. Color Coding: Both the "Change over Time" and "Comparative Indexes" columns are color coded to easily spot any change and the direction of that change. Change: Increasing Index: Above Ave Stable Ave Declining Below Ave. Indexes: Some variables will have a column called "Comparative Index." An index is an easy way to compare a study area with a larger area. For this report, all comparisons are with the state of Texas. The indexes can be interpreted as follows. Indexes of 100 mean the study area variable is the same as its base area. Indexes greater than 100 mean the study area variable is above the base area. The higher the number, the greater it is above the base. Indexes less than 100 mean the study area variable is below the base area. The lower the number, the greater it is below the base. Note: This section was developed using the DecisionInsite system. It integrates several demographic data sources together to provide 10 different categories of analysis, or “insites”, into the district, including demographic as well as beliefs and practices data. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 8 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 9 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 10 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 11 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 12 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 13 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 14 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 15 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 16 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 17 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 18 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 19 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 20 Section C - STUDENT ANALYSIS PLANNING ZONES The District has been divided into 36 planning zones. No new planning zones were added during this study period. The map on the following page displays the 36 EISD planning zones. STUDENT ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY The October 2012 student population was analyzed geographically to determine the concentration of students in each planning zone and the general distribution of the students within the District. A database containing current student information for the entire district was obtained from EISD. The student addresses were used to locate each student on a digital map database of the District. Computer mapping software was used to locate the addresses of the students on the map database. Some student addresses were automatically found on the database by the software, but other addresses had to be researched to determine the approximate location. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 21 Planning Zones 29 29 Elementary Schools Middle Schools High School 360 ' ( 02 02 02 02 02 02 11 11 11 11 11 10A 10A 09 09 28 28 12A 12A 03 03 03 03 03 01 01 13 13 13 13 13 12B 12B 08A 08A 08A 08A 08A 07 07 10B 10B 14A 14A 14A 14A 14A 12C 12C 05 05 06 06 14B 14B 14B 14B 14B 14B 08B 08B 08B 08B 08B 04 04 04 04 04 04 16 16 15 15 West West Lake Lake Hills Hills 17 17 17 17 17 Lost Lost Creek Creek 18 18 360 ' ( 19 19 22 22 22 22 22 21 21 21 21 21 Rollingwood Rollingwood 20 20 Eanes ISD 23 23 27 27 24 24 Planning Zones ' ( 1 ' ( 25 25 25 25 25 360 30 30 30 31 31 31 31 Prepared By DeskMap Systems, Inc. Prepared Prepared By By DeskMap DeskMap Systems, Systems, Systems, Inc. Inc. Inc. Prepared Prepared By DeskMap Systems, Inc. Prepared By ByDeskMap DeskMap Systems, Inc. http://www.deskmap.com (512) (512) (512) 346-9330 346-9330 346-9330 http://www.deskmap.com http://www.deskmap.com 26 26 OCTOBER 2012 STUDENT DISTRIBUTION The number of students by grade in each planning zone as of October 2012 is displayed in the following table. From this table it can be determined where the largest concentrations of students reside as well as areas where very few students reside. In October 2012 there were 7,865 students enrolled in EISD. Of these, 584 students had addresses that were outside of the school district’s boundaries. Children of EISD employees accounted for 168 of the out-of-district students. Others were student transfers from neighboring districts. Similar to previous demographic studies, there were two planning zones with a significantly larger number of students. These planning zones and their student counts are described as follows: Planning Zone 18, part of the Forest Trail Elementary attendance zone, had 854 students in October 2012. This area gained 42 students from a total of 812 students in October 2008. Planning Zone 18, located south of Bee Cave Road and west of Capital of Texas Hwy, includes the Lost Creek subdivision. Planning Zone 24, located in the southeastern part of the school district, had 601 students in October 2012. The area gained 97 students from a total of 504 students from October 2008. This planning zone is part of the Cedar Creek Elementary attendance zone. There were only 4 planning zones with 50 or fewer students. Planning Zone 21 had the smallest number of students with only 24 students. The map that follows the table displays the residential locations of all students in the District. This map is followed by three others which display residential locations of Elementary (EE to 5th grade), Middle School (6th through 8th grade) and High School students. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 23 Eanes ISD Students by Grade by Planning Zone Fall 2012 Planning Early Kinder- 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th Total Zone Ed. garten Grade Grade Grade Grade Grade Grade Grade Grade Grade Grade Grade Grade Students 2 29 42 36 38 39 39 33 38 30 37 40 23 26 01 452 2 42 27 30 33 29 48 27 38 36 33 31 37 46 02 459 0 7 4 5 9 5 5 6 8 8 7 5 5 7 03 81 2 30 27 29 27 33 25 28 26 46 29 38 40 35 04 415 0 1 2 2 3 3 6 5 3 3 5 4 10 7 05 54 0 2 1 6 8 4 3 5 7 8 10 6 10 11 06 81 0 3 0 1 3 4 4 3 5 1 9 5 5 9 07 52 0 7 4 7 9 7 8 8 8 13 1 1 8 5 08A 86 0 3 4 11 6 6 10 3 1 7 6 4 3 3 08B 67 0 28 21 21 19 27 35 23 21 25 24 12 23 18 09 297 0 22 26 23 19 25 15 22 15 24 13 17 17 25 10A 263 0 5 12 9 8 9 12 9 11 12 14 6 14 8 10B 129 0 8 6 10 8 9 8 8 2 9 5 7 8 5 11 93 0 3 3 2 6 3 6 3 9 7 1 6 6 5 12A 60 1 5 4 8 5 6 3 9 3 4 3 7 3 5 12B 66 0 7 13 10 12 13 13 8 7 7 10 8 10 4 12C 122 0 3 5 9 10 9 5 10 15 11 16 12 17 7 13 129 0 9 6 15 21 10 23 8 11 12 12 8 14 8 14A 157 0 11 10 16 13 10 19 10 7 12 16 14 14 13 14B 165 4 17 17 13 17 18 15 9 9 12 22 25 20 14 15 212 0 1 3 2 5 5 7 6 3 6 5 8 8 6 16 65 1 1 2 2 5 2 7 2 3 5 4 5 5 5 17 49 8 75 50 53 63 69 69 51 69 74 77 58 79 59 18 854 0 4 5 5 8 4 4 4 2 3 2 0 5 4 19 50 0 12 9 13 11 11 5 7 8 9 3 14 7 12 20 121 0 0 1 2 2 3 2 0 1 1 2 3 4 3 21 24 3 15 16 16 26 27 21 29 23 23 22 24 32 23 22 300 2 30 24 40 34 28 25 35 26 21 25 28 33 29 23 380 3 45 53 36 50 43 50 44 44 46 57 43 40 47 24 601 1 8 12 11 14 17 10 16 15 12 8 11 11 9 25 155 0 6 9 10 11 4 11 10 9 11 9 9 10 15 26 124 2 22 12 14 12 32 25 37 27 23 34 36 33 30 27 339 4 15 18 20 18 16 23 22 21 19 24 27 22 33 28 282 3 26 24 28 28 34 27 25 27 36 31 24 20 34 29 367 0 9 9 9 8 10 12 12 11 8 7 17 6 12 30 130 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31 0 Total in District 38 511 481 524 569 574 600 537 533 584 583 563 602 582 7,281 Out-ofDistrict 1 44 41 33 35 34 35 40 51 42 50 58 64 56 584 Total Students 39 555 522 557 604 608 635 577 584 626 633 621 666 638 7,865 Note: "Out-of-District" students include transfer students and children of EISD employees. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 24 Planning Zones 29 29 Elementary Schools Middle Schools High School 360 ' ( 02 02 02 02 02 02 Elementary Students MS Students HS Students 11 11 11 11 11 10A 10A 09 09 28 28 12A 12A 03 03 03 03 03 01 01 13 13 13 13 13 12B 12B 08A 08A 08A 08A 08A 07 07 10B 10B 14A 14A 14A 14A 14A 12C 12C 05 05 06 06 14B 14B 14B 14B 14B 14B 08B 08B 08B 08B 08B 04 04 04 04 04 04 16 16 15 15 West West Lake Lake Hills Hills 17 17 17 17 17 Lost Lost Creek Creek 18 18 360 ' ( 19 19 22 22 22 22 22 21 21 21 21 21 Rollingwood Rollingwood 20 20 Eanes ISD 23 23 27 27 24 24 Total Students ' ( 1 ' ( 25 25 25 25 25 360 30 30 30 31 31 31 31 Prepared By DeskMap Systems, Inc. Prepared Prepared By By DeskMap DeskMap Systems, Systems, Systems, Inc. Inc. Inc. Prepared Prepared By DeskMap Systems, Inc. Prepared By ByDeskMap DeskMap Systems, Inc. http://www.deskmap.com (512) (512) (512) 346-9330 346-9330 346-9330 http://www.deskmap.com http://www.deskmap.com 26 26 Planning Zones 29 29 Elementary Schools Middle Schools High School 360 ' ( 02 02 02 02 02 02 Elementary Students 11 11 11 11 11 10A 10A 09 09 28 28 12A 12A 03 03 03 03 03 01 01 13 13 13 13 13 12B 12B 08A 08A 08A 08A 08A 07 07 10B 10B 14A 14A 14A 14A 14A 12C 12C 05 05 06 06 14B 14B 14B 14B 14B 14B 08B 08B 08B 08B 08B 04 04 04 04 04 04 16 16 15 15 West West Lake Lake Hills Hills 17 17 17 17 17 Lost Lost Creek Creek 18 18 360 ' ( 19 19 22 22 22 22 22 21 21 21 21 21 Rollingwood Rollingwood 20 20 Eanes ISD 23 23 27 27 24 24 Elementary Students ' ( 1 ' ( 25 25 25 25 25 360 30 30 30 31 31 31 31 Prepared By DeskMap Systems, Inc. Prepared Prepared By By DeskMap DeskMap Systems, Systems, Systems, Inc. Inc. Inc. Prepared Prepared By DeskMap Systems, Inc. Prepared By ByDeskMap DeskMap Systems, Inc. http://www.deskmap.com (512) (512) (512) 346-9330 346-9330 346-9330 http://www.deskmap.com http://www.deskmap.com 26 26 Planning Zones 29 29 Elementary Schools Middle Schools High School 360 ' ( 02 02 02 02 02 02 MS Students 11 11 11 11 11 10A 10A 09 09 28 28 12A 12A 03 03 03 03 03 01 01 13 13 13 13 13 12B 12B 08A 08A 08A 08A 08A 07 07 10B 10B 14A 14A 14A 14A 14A 12C 12C 05 05 06 06 14B 14B 14B 14B 14B 14B 08B 08B 08B 08B 08B 04 04 04 04 04 04 16 16 15 15 West West Lake Lake Hills Hills 17 17 17 17 17 Lost Lost Creek Creek 18 18 360 ' ( 19 19 22 22 22 22 22 21 21 21 21 21 Rollingwood Rollingwood 20 20 Eanes ISD 23 23 27 27 24 24 Middle School Students ' ( 1 ' ( 25 25 25 25 25 360 30 30 30 31 31 31 31 Prepared By DeskMap Systems, Inc. Prepared Prepared By By DeskMap DeskMap Systems, Systems, Systems, Inc. Inc. Inc. Prepared Prepared By DeskMap Systems, Inc. Prepared By ByDeskMap DeskMap Systems, Inc. http://www.deskmap.com (512) (512) (512) 346-9330 346-9330 346-9330 http://www.deskmap.com http://www.deskmap.com 26 26 Planning Zones 29 29 Elementary Schools Middle Schools High School 360 ' ( 02 02 02 02 02 02 HS Students 11 11 11 11 11 10A 10A 09 09 28 28 12A 12A 03 03 03 03 03 01 01 13 13 13 13 13 12B 12B 08A 08A 08A 08A 08A 07 07 10B 10B 14A 14A 14A 14A 14A 12C 12C 05 05 06 06 14B 14B 14B 14B 14B 14B 08B 08B 08B 08B 08B 04 04 04 04 04 04 16 16 15 15 West West Lake Lake Hills Hills 17 17 17 17 17 Lost Lost Creek Creek 18 18 360 ' ( 19 19 22 22 22 22 22 21 21 21 21 21 Rollingwood Rollingwood 20 20 Eanes ISD 23 23 27 27 24 24 High School Students ' ( 1 ' ( 25 25 25 25 25 360 30 30 30 31 31 31 31 Prepared By DeskMap Systems, Inc. Prepared Prepared By By DeskMap DeskMap Systems, Systems, Systems, Inc. Inc. Inc. Prepared Prepared By DeskMap Systems, Inc. Prepared By ByDeskMap DeskMap Systems, Inc. http://www.deskmap.com (512) (512) (512) 346-9330 346-9330 346-9330 http://www.deskmap.com http://www.deskmap.com 26 26 CHANGE IN DISTRIBUTION: OCTOBER 2008 to OCTOBER 2012 Student distribution from October 2008 was compared to that of October 2012. During this time period, Eanes ISD’s total enrollment increased by 6.8%. The following table indicates how enrollment has increased or decreased in each planning zone during that time period. Information is provided for elementary, middle school and high school students as well as for the total number of students living in each planning zone. There were five planning zones that grew by 40 or more students (Planning Zones 01, 09, 18, 24 and 29). Planning Zone 01 increased by the greatest number of students with an increase of 129 from October 2008 to October 2012. This zone is located in the far western part of the district to the north of Bee Cave Road and includes the Senna Hills subdivision. Planning Zone 24 grew by 97 students from October 2008 to October 2012. This zone is located in the southeastern part of the school district. Planning Zone 09 increased by 47 students. This zone is located to the west of Capital of Texas Hwy in the northern part of the district and contains two large apartment complexes. Planning Zone 29 increased by 45 students from October 2008 to October 2012. This planning zone is located to the north of Cuernavaca Road and adjacent to Lake Austin. Planning Zone 18 grew by 42 students. This zone is located south of Bee Cave Road and west of Capital of Texas Hwy and includes the Lost Creek subdivision. With a total of 854 students, this area also is the planning zone with the largest number of students. A large number of planning zones had enrollment declines from October 2008 to October 2012. Of the 36 EISD planning zones, 13 declined in enrollment. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 29 A thematic map follows the table and displays student enrollment growth and decline within the school district. The high-growth planning zones are colored dark green. Enrollment in these planning zones increased by 40 or more students from October 2008 to October 2012. There were five planning zones that increased by more than 40 students. The planning zones that grew by 15 to 39 students are colored light green on the thematic map. The planning zones that are colored light yellow had no student gain (zero) or may have increased by up to 14 students. The planning zones that are colored light orange had a loss between 1 and 14 students from October 2008 to October 2012. Enrollment declined the most between October 2008 and October 2012 in the planning zones colored red. There were 5 planning zones that had a loss of more than 15 in the number of students during this time period. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 30 Eanes ISD Enrollment Change by Planning Zone; Fall 2008 to Fall 2012 E le m e nt a ry M iddle S c ho o l H igh S c ho o l Planning ( E E t o 5 t h) ( 6 t h t o 8 t h) Zone F a ll 2 0 0 8 F a ll 2 0 0 8 F a ll 2 0 0 8 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08A 08B 09 10A 10B 11 12A 12B 12C 13 14A 14B 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 148 178 38 168 24 44 31 52 29 144 124 75 50 24 28 38 60 86 69 69 9 21 376 19 36 7 116 141 207 62 36 122 106 156 50 0 85 108 20 119 19 30 10 17 11 44 45 32 26 15 12 21 33 43 39 60 16 11 158 6 34 12 72 76 110 32 19 81 74 75 23 0 90 143 27 159 26 31 15 35 17 62 69 34 29 23 17 33 36 46 45 89 24 12 278 19 42 9 75 125 187 40 32 109 106 91 37 0 257 3,200 133 1,721 230 2,442 Out Of District Total T o tal ( 9 t h t o 12 t h) S t ude nt s E le m e nt a ry M iddle S c ho o l H igh S c ho o l T o tal N um e ric P e rc e nt ( E E t o 5 t h) ( 6 t h t o 8 t h) ( 9 t h t o 12 t h) S t ude nt s C ha nge in T o t a l C ha nge in T o t a l F a ll 2 0 0 8 F a ll 2 0 12 F a ll 2 0 12 F a ll 2 0 12 F a ll 2 0 12 S t ude nt s S t ude nt s 323 429 85 446 69 105 56 104 57 250 238 141 105 62 57 92 129 175 153 218 49 44 812 44 112 28 263 342 504 134 87 312 286 322 110 0 225 211 35 173 17 24 15 42 40 151 130 55 49 23 32 68 41 84 79 101 23 20 387 30 61 10 124 183 280 73 51 119 114 170 57 0 101 101 22 100 11 20 9 29 11 69 61 32 19 19 16 22 36 31 29 30 15 10 194 9 24 2 75 82 134 43 30 87 62 88 31 0 126 147 24 142 26 37 28 15 16 77 72 42 25 18 18 32 52 42 57 81 27 19 273 11 36 12 101 115 187 39 43 133 106 109 42 0 452 459 81 415 54 81 52 86 67 297 263 129 93 60 66 122 129 157 165 212 65 49 854 50 121 24 300 380 601 155 124 339 282 367 130 0 129 30 -4 -31 -15 -24 -4 -18 10 47 25 -12 -12 -2 9 30 0 -18 12 -6 16 5 42 6 9 -4 37 38 97 21 37 27 -4 45 20 0 39.9% 7.0% -4.7% -7.0% -21.7% -22.9% -7.1% -17.3% 17.5% 18.8% 10.5% -8.5% -11.4% -3.2% 15.8% 32.6% 0.0% -10.3% 7.8% -2.8% 32.7% 11.4% 5.2% 13.6% 8.0% -14.3% 14.1% 11.1% 19.2% 15.7% 42.5% 8.7% -1.4% 14.0% 18.2% n/a 620 7,363 223 3,520 133 1,787 228 2,558 584 7,865 -36 502 -5.8% 6.8% Note: "Out-of-District" students include transfer students and children of EISD employees DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 31 Planning Zones 29 29 Elementary Schools Middle Schools High School 360 ( ' 02 02 02 02 02 02 11 11 11 11 11 10A 10A 09 09 28 28 12A 12A 03 03 03 03 03 01 01 13 13 13 13 13 12B 12B 08A 08A 08A 08A 08A 07 07 10B 10B 14A 14A 14A 14A 14A 12C 12C 05 05 06 06 14B 14B 14B 14B 14B 14B 08B 08B 08B 08B 08B 04 04 04 04 04 04 16 16 15 15 West West Lake Lake Hills Hills 17 17 17 17 17 Lost Lost Creek Creek 18 18 Eanes ISD Change in Number of Students by Planning Zone Fall 2008 to Fall 2012 Loss of 15 or more students Loss of 1 to 14 students Increase of 0 to 14 students Increase of 15 to 39 students Increase of 40 or more students Prepared By DeskMap Systems, Inc. Prepared Prepared By By DeskMap DeskMap Systems, Systems, Systems, Inc. Inc. Inc. Prepared Prepared By DeskMap Systems, Inc. Prepared By ByDeskMap DeskMap Systems, Inc. http://www.deskmap.com (512) (512) (512) 346-9330 346-9330 346-9330 http://www.deskmap.com http://www.deskmap.com 360 ' ( 19 19 22 22 22 22 22 21 21 21 21 21 Rollingwood Rollingwood 20 20 23 23 27 27 24 24 ' ( 1 ( ' 25 25 25 25 25 360 30 30 30 31 31 31 26 26 Section D - GROWTH ISSUES FACTORS INFLUENCING FUTURE GROWTH Planners, demographers, and other urban professionals often use the words “growth and development”; but these terms can be sometimes vague and ambiguous. A more thorough understanding of the definition of these terms is appropriate to explain exactly what is being discussed, but equally important is an understanding of the forces that cause the growth or decline, the relationships that exist between these forces, and exactly how they can, or cannot, affect student enrollment. These individual forces are known as the “components of growth” or elements, which can be isolated, identified, and described to better explain and measure the relationships between these factors and how they intertwine to stimulate the dynamics of community life. The components of growth or decline are: population student enrollment housing employment land use changes It is the changes in these components over time and how they impact the community that are of primary interest for planning purposes. Normally the economic growth of an area is defined in terms of job growth and by the character of the labor force. It is typically the growth of jobs that retain and attract population. Population growth has two components: 1) natural increase (the net increase of births over deaths of the native born population). These are native-born locals who stay within the area as they mature to adults because of increased job opportunities and the quality of life within the area. Another component of population growth is 2) migration, or those new people who move into the area (or from out of the area) from other parts of the state, country, or other parts of the world because of employment opportunities or other desirable qualities that the area may possess. It is the increase in people, which stimulates a demand for housing growth, either single family, multifamily apartments, or mobile units. And ultimately, it is the families who occupy these housing units that produce the children that create the student enrollment demand that is of interest for this report. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 33 Urban growth (even in a predominantly rural area) typically refers to the land use of a community and how the land changes as raw land is converted to real estate that supports urban activities. Land use categories are subsets of different land types that result as raw land is converted into various types of development to support urban activities. These include: housing/residential – single-family, multi-family/apartments, condominium, mobile/manufactured dwellings commercial - retail, office, parking lots and facilities industrial – warehouse, business park, manufacturing, natural resource processing recreational – parks, open space, historic areas, wildlife refuge areas, environmentally sensitive or protected areas institutional – medical; educational; federal, state, or local government; military installations; tax exempt/ free enterprise zones (usually all are tax exempt properties) transportation/infrastructure – streets, freeways, roads, railroad, airports etc. vacant, undeveloped, agricultural, raw land This development is the end result of the interactions between the components of growth. These interactions are complicated and interrelated economic, sociological, and supply/demand processes that are: a) unique to the immediate location; b) present within the county; c) or present in the larger, regional area. Any of these or any combination of these forces may stimulate growth within the school district. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 34 FUTURE DEVELOPMENT Future residential development in the District is typically a significant factor impacting school enrollment. Knowing where the development will occur is necessary for school planning. EISD RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENTS DeskMap Systems, Inc. identified current and planned housing developments within EISD. Where possible, the activities and plans for each major development were obtained through interviews with a representative of the project. The type of information about each project included total lots, the number of lots still available, home price information and who the target market is or the age group of most of the homebuyers. The representatives of each development were also asked what stage the development is in and an anticipated completion date. The analysis focused on potential growth sites, those developments that may have the greatest impact on school enrollment. The findings have been factored into the enrollment projections. A summary of the residential projects is provided in the following table. Additional information is also provided on each development at the end of this section. A map follows the table displaying the location of each housing development. Eanes ISD is moving increasingly toward build-out. Available land for development is scarce and expensive. Future school enrollment will be impacted more by the regeneration of existing neighborhoods and perhaps, to a lesser extent, multi-family housing. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 35 Growth Sites in Eanes ISD Elementary Development 1 Greene at Toro Canyon Planning Attendance Total Units Comments & Status Zone Zone Units Remaining of Development About 4 3 lots sold and under construction and one home built for sale. 61 92 homes completed. Several homes under construction. About 7 A project of 49 acres with 11 lots from one to four acres. 32 28 4 homes sold. Two other homes built and for sale. 206 About 100 Type single‐family 2 Seven Oaks 3 single‐family Seven Wins condominium 4 Villas at Davenport Approximate single‐family single‐family condominium Total Housing Units 12A 28 3 9 Bridge Point Valley View Barton Creek Bridge Point 10 153 11 Source: DeskMap Systems, Inc. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 36 29 29 6 6 # # 33 44 # # 09 09 28 28 02 02 01 01 22 # # 6 6 # # 11 12A 12A 13 13 12B 12B 08A 08A 10B 10B 05 05 04 04 10A 10A 03 03 07 07 6 6 11 11 06 06 2244 @ ? 14A 14A 12C 12C 360 8 7 14B 14B 08B 08B 16 16 15 15 17 17 19 19 18 18 Eanes ISD Planning Zone Boundary 6 6 Elementary 6 6 Middle School 6 6 High School 21 21 6 6 6 6 20 20 27 27 Development Development 1...Greene at at Toro Toro Canyon Canyon 1...Greene 2...Seven Oaks Oaks 2...Seven 3...Seven Wins Wins 3...Seven 4...Villas at at Davenport Davenport 4...Villas 23 23 6 6 Growth Areas # # 22 22 6 6 6 6 6 6 24 24 25 25 1 8 7 26 26 30 30 31 31 DeskMap Systems, Inc. (512)346-9330 www.deskmap.com NEW RESIDENTIAL PROJECTS Detailed information is provided in this section on the active residential housing developments in Eanes ISD. Greene at Toro Canyon The Greene at Toro Canyon is a gated community of 10 homes located on Toro Canyon Road off of Westlake Drive. The development is close to build-out with 6 homes built and occupied. One home has been built and is for sale. Three lots have been sold and homes are under construction. This housing development is in Planning Zone 12A in the Bridge Point Elementary attendance zone. Seven Oaks Seven Oaks, a 153-lot subdivision, is located north of Bee Cave Road in the northwestern portion of the school district. The custom homes in Seven Oaks are priced between $1.5 and $3.5 million. As of April 2013, there were 92 completed homes and several other homes were in various stages of construction. The Seven Oaks subdivision has been underway for a number of years and development is likely to continue at a slower pace due to the price and size of lots. This housing development is in Planning Zone 28 in the Valley View Elementary attendance zone. Seven Wins Seven Wins is an 11-unit project located off of River Hill Road at Calle Caliche and Seven Wins Drive on a 49-acre tract. The development will be single-family homes on one to four-acre lots. Lot prices range from $600,000 to more than $1 million. Prices are likely to be $2 to $3 million or more. As of April 2013, home construction has been slow. A few lots have been sold and about 7 lots remain to be sold. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 38 This development project is located in Planning Zone 3 in the Barton Creek Elementary attendance zone. Villas at Davenport The Villas at Davenport, previously referred to as San Clemente at Davenport, is a gated community of 32 garden home lots. The development is located in the Westlake Drive/Bunny Run area. Presently 4 homes have been built and sold and two other homes have been built and are for sale. This subdivision was announced in the summer of 2011 and has been slow to develop. High prices and other considerations are likely to cause the development to grow at a slower pace. The Villas at Davenport are in the Bridge Point Elementary attendance zone in Planning Zone 9. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 39 Section E - STUDENT PROJECTIONS DeskMap Systems projected Eanes ISD’s enrollment by grade over a 10-year period. Two scenarios were developed for the District-wide enrollment projections. Each is based upon different economic and residential growth assumptions. These scenarios are called the Conservative and Moderate Scenarios. Four major factors drive district-wide student enrollment projections. include: These Recent Kindergarten enrollment trends, modified by live birth data. Changes in the grade level cohorts of students served as it moves across the years. Changes in out-of-district enrollment. Changes in the number of dwelling units within the District. District-wide projections are disaggregated to school projections based on the historical patterns of: School draw rates from one school to another. School-to-school transfers. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 40 DISTRICT-WIDE ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS District-wide enrollment projections by grade are displayed in the following tables. The enrollment projections do not include Early Education students. CONSERVATIVE SCENARIO DeskMap Systems developed projections under the Conservative Scenario based upon currently known developments and economic conditions. The Conservative projections are useful for budgeting and staff planning. Enrollment figures for 2012 are actual enrollments from October 2012 but may differ very slightly from 2012 figures in other tables in this report. MODERATE SCENARIO More robust economic conditions and greater building activity were assumed to derive enrollment projections under the Moderate Scenario. District-wide figures for the Moderate Scenario follow the Conservative Scenario. Note: All of the enrollment projections displayed in this report are for late October of each year rather than the beginning of the school year. This is to remain consistent with the Texas Education Agency’s Public Education Information Management System (PEIMS) official date of late October for reporting school district enrollment data. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 41 Eanes ISD District-Wide Enrollment Projections Conservative Scenario Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Totals: Pct Chg: 2009 466 528 569 536 548 590 572 560 610 623 646 628 591 7467 2010 495 535 566 601 564 569 583 621 578 653 627 649 633 7674 2.8% 2011 484 537 569 598 625 585 569 616 615 624 660 627 652 7761 1.1% 2012 555 522 557 604 608 635 577 584 627 632 623 666 638 7828 0.9% 2013 532 609 543 579 620 622 635 598 584 652 632 625 667 7898 0.9% 2014 541 583 634 564 594 635 626 658 597 601 652 633 625 7943 0.6% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 2015 547 593 606 659 580 608 636 648 656 629 602 654 634 8052 1.4% 2016 551 600 617 630 677 593 609 659 648 689 627 603 654 8157 1.3% Page 42 2017 551 604 612 629 639 685 590 620 659 681 689 628 603 8190 0.4% 2018 552 604 616 624 638 646 682 601 619 693 681 689 629 8274 1% 2019 552 605 617 628 633 645 645 694 601 649 692 682 690 8333 0.7% 2020 553 605 617 629 637 640 644 656 694 632 648 693 683 8331 0% 2021 553 606 618 629 637 644 639 656 656 729 632 650 694 8343 0.1% 2022 554 606 618 630 638 645 643 651 656 690 729 632 650 8342 0% Eanes ISD Conservative Scenario Out Of District Grade 2009 K 36 1 36 2 42 3 44 4 40 5 36 6 29 7 36 8 42 9 48 10 66 11 60 12 58 Total 573 2010 40 30 37 35 45 51 38 41 49 68 60 75 66 635 2011 44 38 32 40 38 42 55 39 41 62 66 56 75 628 2012 44 41 33 35 34 35 40 51 43 49 60 64 56 585 2013 44 40 41 33 35 34 40 40 51 49 49 60 64 580 2014 44 40 40 41 33 35 40 40 40 49 49 49 60 560 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 2015 44 40 40 40 41 33 40 40 40 49 49 49 49 554 2016 44 40 40 40 40 41 40 40 40 49 49 49 49 561 2017 44 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 49 49 49 49 560 Page 43 2018 44 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 49 49 49 49 560 2019 44 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 49 49 49 49 560 2020 44 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 49 49 49 49 560 2021 44 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 49 49 49 49 560 2022 44 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 49 49 49 49 560 Eanes ISD District-Wide Enrollment Projections Conservative Scenario Not Including Out of District Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Totals: Pct Chg: 2009 430 492 527 492 508 554 543 524 568 575 580 568 533 6894 2010 455 505 529 566 519 518 545 580 529 585 567 574 567 7039 2.1% 2011 440 499 537 558 587 543 514 577 574 562 594 571 577 7133 1.3% 2012 511 481 524 569 574 600 537 533 584 583 563 602 582 7243 1.5% 2013 488 570 502 546 585 588 595 558 533 603 583 565 603 7319 1% 2014 497 543 594 523 561 600 586 618 557 552 603 584 565 7383 0.9% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 2015 503 553 567 620 539 575 596 608 616 580 553 605 585 7500 1.6% 2016 507 561 578 591 637 552 569 619 608 640 578 554 605 7599 1.3% 2017 507 564 573 590 599 645 550 580 619 632 640 579 554 7632 0.4% Page 44 2018 508 565 576 585 598 607 642 561 579 644 632 640 580 7717 1.1% 2019 508 565 577 589 593 606 605 654 561 600 643 633 641 7775 0.8% 2020 509 566 578 589 597 601 604 616 654 583 599 644 634 7774 0% 2021 509 566 578 590 598 605 599 616 616 680 583 601 645 7786 0.2% 2022 510 567 579 590 598 605 603 611 616 641 680 583 601 7784 0% Eanes ISD District-Wide Enrollment Projections Moderate Scenario Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Totals: Pct Chg: 2009 466 528 569 536 548 590 572 560 610 623 646 628 591 7467 2010 495 535 566 601 564 569 583 621 578 653 627 649 633 7674 2.8% 2011 484 537 569 598 625 585 569 616 615 624 660 627 652 7761 1.1% 2012 555 522 557 604 608 635 577 584 627 632 623 666 638 7828 0.9% 2013 534 617 549 587 627 628 653 603 588 661 636 627 673 7983 2% 2014 545 593 649 578 609 647 648 682 606 614 665 640 634 8110 1.6% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 2015 552 606 624 684 600 629 667 677 685 646 619 669 647 8305 2.4% 2016 556 614 637 657 710 620 648 696 681 719 650 622 675 8485 2.2% 2017 556 618 630 654 670 722 634 662 698 716 721 652 626 8559 0.9% Page 45 2018 556 618 634 647 667 681 736 648 663 734 719 723 656 8682 1.4% 2019 556 618 634 651 659 678 696 753 650 696 736 721 728 8776 1.1% 2020 556 618 634 651 664 670 692 711 755 684 697 739 725 8796 0.2% 2021 556 618 634 651 664 675 685 708 713 793 685 700 743 8825 0.3% 2022 556 618 634 651 664 675 690 700 710 750 796 688 704 8836 0.1% Eanes ISD Moderate Scenario Out Of District Grade 2009 K 36 1 36 2 42 3 44 4 40 5 36 6 29 7 36 8 42 9 48 10 66 11 60 12 58 Total 573 2010 40 30 37 35 45 51 38 41 49 68 60 75 66 635 2011 44 38 32 40 38 42 55 39 41 62 66 56 75 628 2012 44 41 33 35 34 35 40 51 43 49 60 64 56 585 2013 44 41 41 33 35 34 48 40 51 56 49 60 64 596 2014 44 41 41 41 33 35 48 48 40 56 56 49 60 592 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 2015 44 41 41 41 41 33 48 48 48 56 56 56 49 602 2016 44 41 41 41 41 41 48 48 48 56 56 56 56 617 2017 44 41 41 41 41 41 48 48 48 56 56 56 56 617 Page 46 2018 44 41 41 41 41 41 48 48 48 56 56 56 56 617 2019 44 41 41 41 41 41 48 48 48 56 56 56 56 617 2020 44 41 41 41 41 41 48 48 48 56 56 56 56 617 2021 44 41 41 41 41 41 48 48 48 56 56 56 56 617 2022 44 41 41 41 41 41 48 48 48 56 56 56 56 617 Eanes ISD Moderate Scenario Not Including Out of District Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Totals: Pct Chg: 2009 430 492 527 492 508 554 543 524 568 575 580 568 533 6894 2010 455 505 529 566 519 518 545 580 529 585 567 574 567 7039 2.1% 2011 440 499 537 558 587 543 514 577 574 562 594 571 577 7133 1.3% 2012 511 481 524 569 574 600 537 533 584 583 563 602 582 7243 1.5% 2013 490 576 508 554 592 594 606 563 537 605 587 567 609 7388 2% 2014 501 552 608 537 576 612 601 634 566 559 609 591 574 7520 1.8% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 2015 508 565 583 643 559 596 619 629 638 591 563 614 598 7706 2.5% 2016 512 573 596 616 669 579 600 648 634 664 594 567 620 7872 2.2% Page 47 2017 512 577 589 613 629 681 586 614 651 661 666 596 570 7945 0.9% 2018 512 577 593 606 626 640 689 600 616 678 663 668 601 8069 1.6% 2019 512 577 593 610 618 637 648 705 602 640 681 666 672 8161 1.1% 2020 512 577 593 610 623 629 645 663 708 628 642 683 670 8183 0.3% 2021 512 577 593 610 623 634 637 660 666 738 630 644 688 8212 0.4% 2022 512 577 593 610 623 634 642 652 663 694 741 632 648 8221 0.1% CAMPUS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS Campus enrollment projections were developed and are based upon the current campus grade configurations. The campus enrollment projections were produced for each grade for a ten-year period. The campus enrollment projections for the Conservative Scenario are presented first followed by the Moderate Scenario. Enrollment projections by grade for each campus for the next ten school years are displayed on the following pages. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 48 Eanes ISD Elementary School Enrollment Projections Conservative Scenario Barton Creek ES Grade 2009 K 75 1 87 2 75 3 75 4 83 5 99 Totals: 494 Pct Chg: 2010 73 85 88 81 83 81 491 -0.6% 2011 79 82 89 89 90 85 514 4.7% 2012 81 81 87 88 90 89 516 0.4% 2013 85 89 85 89 92 92 532 3.1% 2014 86 93 93 86 93 95 546 2.6% 2015 87 95 97 94 90 96 559 2.4% 2016 88 96 99 99 99 93 574 2.7% 2017 88 97 98 100 101 100 584 1.7% 2018 88 97 99 99 102 102 587 0.5% 2019 88 97 99 100 101 104 589 0.3% 2020 88 97 99 100 102 103 589 0% 2021 89 97 99 100 102 104 591 0.3% 2022 89 97 99 100 102 104 591 0% Bridge Point ES Grade 2009 K 96 1 106 2 121 3 131 4 131 5 150 Totals: 735 Pct Chg: 2010 115 108 121 136 135 137 752 2.3% 2011 80 133 114 130 143 141 741 -1.5% 2012 111 105 136 127 127 149 755 1.9% 2013 101 132 109 143 128 130 743 -1.6% 2014 102 118 138 114 143 131 746 0.4% 2015 103 120 124 144 115 147 753 0.9% 2016 103 121 126 130 145 118 743 -1.3% 2017 103 121 124 129 130 147 754 1.5% 2018 103 122 124 127 129 132 737 -2.3% 2019 104 122 124 127 127 131 735 -0.3% 2020 104 122 125 127 128 129 735 0% 2021 104 122 125 127 128 129 735 0% 2022 104 122 125 128 128 129 736 0.1% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 49 Eanes ISD Elementary School Enrollment Projections Conservative Scenario Cedar Creek ES Grade 2009 K 57 1 64 2 85 3 83 4 61 5 76 Totals: 426 Pct Chg: Eanes ES Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 Totals: Pct Chg: 2009 81 84 95 86 87 78 511 2010 62 71 73 88 85 68 447 4.9% 2011 77 68 80 83 86 87 481 7.6% 2012 86 85 61 84 88 88 492 2.3% 2013 82 93 88 64 88 89 504 2.4% 2014 83 89 96 91 67 89 515 2.2% 2015 84 90 92 100 95 67 528 2.5% 2016 85 92 93 96 105 96 567 7.4% 2017 85 92 93 96 98 105 569 0.4% 2018 85 92 94 95 98 98 562 -1.2% 2019 85 92 94 96 97 98 562 0% 2020 85 92 94 96 98 98 563 0.2% 2021 85 92 94 96 98 98 563 0% 2022 85 93 94 96 98 98 564 0.2% 2010 83 100 97 102 87 95 564 10.4% 2011 95 88 104 105 108 96 596 5.7% 2012 87 92 104 111 108 103 605 1.5% 2013 93 94 96 110 115 111 619 2.3% 2014 94 99 99 101 113 116 622 0.5% 2015 95 101 104 103 104 115 622 0% 2016 95 102 106 109 107 106 625 0.5% 2017 95 102 104 108 111 107 627 0.3% 2018 95 102 105 107 110 112 631 0.6% 2019 95 102 105 107 108 111 628 -0.5% 2020 96 102 105 107 109 109 628 0% 2021 96 102 105 107 109 110 629 0.2% 2022 96 103 105 107 109 110 630 0.2% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 50 Eanes ISD Elementary School Enrollment Projections Conservative Scenario Forest Trail ES Grade 2009 K 84 1 107 2 105 3 97 4 108 5 105 Totals: 606 Pct Chg: 2010 86 89 109 108 108 106 606 0% 2011 84 86 97 113 109 107 596 -1.7% 2012 104 87 87 107 112 112 609 2.2% 2013 92 110 91 91 110 114 608 -0.2% 2014 94 98 115 95 94 112 608 0% 2015 95 100 102 121 97 95 610 0.3% 2016 96 101 104 107 124 99 631 3.4% 2017 96 102 104 107 108 125 642 1.7% 2018 96 102 104 106 108 109 625 -2.6% 2019 96 102 104 107 107 109 625 0% 2020 96 102 104 107 108 108 625 0% 2021 96 102 105 107 108 109 627 0.3% 2022 96 102 105 107 108 109 627 0% Valley View ES Grade 2009 K 73 1 80 2 88 3 64 4 78 5 82 Totals: 465 Pct Chg: 2010 76 82 78 86 66 82 470 1.1% 2011 69 80 85 78 89 69 470 0% 2012 86 72 82 87 83 94 504 7.2% 2013 80 92 74 83 88 86 503 -0.2% 2014 82 86 94 76 84 92 514 2.2% 2015 83 88 87 96 77 88 519 1% 2016 83 89 89 90 98 81 530 2.1% 2017 84 89 90 90 90 100 543 2.5% 2018 84 89 90 91 91 93 538 -0.9% 2019 84 90 90 91 92 93 540 0.4% 2020 84 90 90 92 92 94 542 0.4% 2021 84 90 90 92 92 94 542 0% 2022 84 90 91 92 92 94 543 0.2% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 51 Eanes ISD Elementary School Enrollment Projections Conservative Scenario Totals Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 Totals: Pct Chg: 2009 466 528 569 536 548 590 3237 2010 495 535 566 601 564 569 3330 2.9% 2011 484 537 569 598 625 585 3398 2% 2012 555 522 557 604 608 635 3481 2.4% 2013 533 610 543 580 621 622 3509 0.8% 2014 541 583 635 563 594 635 3551 1.2% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 2015 547 594 606 658 578 608 3591 1.1% 2016 550 601 617 631 678 593 3670 2.2% 2017 551 603 613 630 638 684 3719 1.3% Page 52 2018 551 604 616 625 638 646 3680 -1% 2019 552 605 616 628 632 646 3679 0% 2020 553 605 617 629 637 641 3682 0.1% 2021 554 605 618 629 637 644 3687 0.1% 2022 554 607 619 630 637 644 3691 0.1% Eanes ISD Secondary School Enrollment Projections Conservative Scenario Hill Country MS Grade 2009 6 286 7 297 8 321 Totals: 904 Pct Chg: 2010 291 321 305 917 1.4% 2011 292 310 314 916 -0.1% 2012 306 299 316 921 0.5% 2013 313 319 294 926 0.5% 2014 304 328 315 947 2.3% 2015 312 318 323 953 0.6% 2016 305 327 314 946 -0.7% 2017 295 312 325 932 -1.5% 2018 329 302 310 941 1% 2019 314 337 300 951 1.1% 2020 311 321 335 967 1.7% 2021 308 319 319 946 -2.2% 2022 310 315 317 942 -0.4% West Ridge MS Grade 2009 6 286 7 263 8 289 Totals: 838 Pct Chg: 2010 292 300 273 865 3.2% 2011 277 306 301 884 2.2% 2012 271 285 311 867 -1.9% 2013 322 279 289 890 2.7% 2014 322 330 282 934 4.9% 2015 324 330 334 988 5.8% 2016 304 332 334 970 -1.8% 2017 295 308 335 938 -3.3% 2018 353 298 309 960 2.3% 2019 331 357 300 988 2.9% 2020 333 335 359 1027 3.9% 2021 331 337 337 1005 -2.1% 2022 334 336 339 1009 0.4% Westlake HS Grade 9 10 11 12 Totals: Pct Chg: 2010 653 627 649 633 2562 3% 2011 624 660 627 652 2563 0% 2012 632 623 666 638 2559 -0.2% 2013 652 632 625 667 2576 0.7% 2014 601 652 633 625 2511 -2.5% 2015 629 602 654 634 2519 0.3% 2016 689 627 603 654 2573 2.1% 2017 681 689 628 603 2601 1.1% 2018 693 681 689 629 2692 3.5% 2019 649 692 682 690 2713 0.8% 2020 632 648 693 683 2656 -2.1% 2021 729 632 650 694 2705 1.8% 2022 690 729 632 650 2701 -0.1% 2009 623 646 628 591 2488 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 53 Eanes ISD Secondary School Enrollment Projections Conservative Scenario Totals Grade 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Totals: Pct Chg: 2009 572 560 610 623 646 628 591 4230 2010 583 621 578 653 627 649 633 4344 2.7% 2011 569 616 615 624 660 627 652 4363 0.4% 2012 577 584 627 632 623 666 638 4347 -0.4% 2013 635 598 583 652 632 625 667 4392 1% 2014 626 658 597 601 652 633 625 4392 0% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 2015 636 648 657 629 602 654 634 4460 1.5% 2016 609 659 648 689 627 603 654 4489 0.7% 2017 590 620 660 681 689 628 603 4471 -0.4% Page 54 2018 682 600 619 693 681 689 629 4593 2.7% 2019 645 694 600 649 692 682 690 4652 1.3% 2020 644 656 694 632 648 693 683 4650 0% 2021 639 656 656 729 632 650 694 4656 0.1% 2022 644 651 656 690 729 632 650 4652 -0.1% Eanes ISD Elementary School Enrollment Projections Moderate Scenario Barton Creek ES Grade 2009 K 75 1 87 2 75 3 75 4 83 5 99 Totals: 494 Pct Chg: 2010 73 85 88 81 83 81 491 -0.6% 2011 79 82 89 89 90 85 514 4.7% 2012 81 81 87 88 90 89 516 0.4% 2013 85 90 86 89 94 93 537 4.1% 2014 87 94 95 89 95 97 557 3.7% 2015 88 96 100 98 94 98 574 3.1% 2016 88 97 102 103 104 98 592 3.1% 2017 88 98 100 103 106 106 601 1.5% 2018 88 98 101 102 107 108 604 0.5% 2019 88 98 101 102 105 109 603 -0.2% 2020 88 98 101 102 106 107 602 -0.2% 2021 88 98 101 102 106 108 603 0.2% 2022 88 98 101 102 106 108 603 0% Bridge Point ES Grade 2009 K 96 1 106 2 121 3 131 4 131 5 150 Totals: 735 Pct Chg: 2010 115 108 121 136 135 137 752 2.3% 2011 80 133 114 130 143 141 741 -1.5% 2012 111 105 136 127 127 149 755 1.9% 2013 101 132 110 145 128 132 748 -0.9% 2014 103 120 139 118 147 133 760 1.6% 2015 105 123 126 148 119 153 774 1.8% 2016 106 125 129 135 149 124 768 -0.8% 2017 106 125 128 133 135 152 779 1.4% 2018 106 125 129 132 134 138 764 -1.9% 2019 106 125 129 133 133 136 762 -0.3% 2020 106 125 129 133 133 135 761 -0.1% 2021 106 125 129 133 133 136 762 0.1% 2022 106 125 129 133 133 136 762 0% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 55 Eanes ISD Elementary School Enrollment Projections Moderate Scenario Cedar Creek ES Grade 2009 K 57 1 64 2 85 3 83 4 61 5 76 Totals: 426 Pct Chg: Eanes ES Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 Totals: Pct Chg: 2009 81 84 95 86 87 78 511 2010 62 71 73 88 85 68 447 4.9% 2011 77 68 80 83 86 87 481 7.6% 2012 86 85 61 84 88 88 492 2.3% 2013 82 95 88 65 89 90 509 3.5% 2014 84 90 98 93 69 90 524 2.9% 2015 85 92 94 104 98 70 543 3.6% 2016 85 93 95 99 110 100 582 7.2% 2017 85 94 95 98 102 111 585 0.5% 2018 85 94 96 98 101 103 577 -1.4% 2019 85 94 96 98 101 102 576 -0.2% 2020 85 94 96 98 101 102 576 0% 2021 85 94 96 98 101 102 576 0% 2022 85 94 96 98 101 102 576 0% 2010 83 100 97 102 87 95 564 10.4% 2011 95 88 104 105 108 96 596 5.7% 2012 87 92 104 111 108 103 605 1.5% 2013 93 97 98 111 116 110 625 3.3% 2014 95 103 103 105 115 118 639 2.2% 2015 96 105 110 110 109 118 648 1.4% 2016 97 107 112 117 114 111 658 1.5% 2017 97 108 111 116 120 115 667 1.4% 2018 97 108 111 114 118 121 669 0.3% 2019 97 108 111 115 116 120 667 -0.3% 2020 97 108 111 115 117 118 666 -0.1% 2021 97 108 111 115 117 119 667 0.2% 2022 97 108 111 115 117 119 667 0% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 56 Eanes ISD Elementary School Enrollment Projections Moderate Scenario Forest Trail ES Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 Totals: Pct Chg: 2009 84 107 105 97 108 105 606 2010 86 89 109 108 108 106 606 0% 2011 84 86 97 113 109 107 596 -1.7% 2012 104 87 87 107 112 112 609 2.2% 2013 92 111 92 93 111 115 614 0.8% 2014 94 98 118 98 96 114 618 0.7% 2015 96 100 105 126 102 99 628 1.6% 2016 96 102 107 111 130 104 650 3.5% 2017 96 102 105 110 113 132 658 1.2% 2018 96 102 106 108 112 115 639 -2.9% 2019 96 102 106 109 110 114 637 -0.3% 2020 96 102 106 109 111 112 636 -0.2% 2021 96 102 106 109 111 113 637 0.2% 2022 96 102 106 109 111 113 637 0% Valley View ES Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 Totals: Pct Chg: 2009 73 80 88 64 78 82 465 2010 76 82 78 86 66 82 470 1.1% 2011 69 80 85 78 89 69 470 0% 2012 86 72 82 87 83 94 504 7.2% 2013 80 94 74 84 89 87 508 0.8% 2014 82 87 96 76 87 94 522 2.8% 2015 83 89 90 99 78 91 530 1.5% 2016 84 90 91 93 102 83 543 2.5% 2017 84 91 92 93 94 105 559 2.9% 2018 84 91 92 93 94 97 551 -1.4% 2019 84 91 92 94 94 97 552 0.2% 2020 84 91 92 94 95 97 553 0.2% 2021 84 91 92 94 95 98 554 0.2% 2022 84 91 92 94 95 98 554 0% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 57 Eanes ISD Elementary School Enrollment Projections Moderate Scenario Totals Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 Totals: Pct Chg: 2009 466 528 569 536 548 590 3237 2010 495 535 566 601 564 569 3330 2.9% 2011 484 537 569 598 625 585 3398 2% 2012 555 522 557 604 608 635 3481 2.4% 2013 533 619 548 587 627 627 3541 1.7% 2014 545 592 649 579 609 646 3620 2.2% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 2015 553 605 625 685 600 629 3697 2.1% 2016 556 614 636 658 709 620 3793 2.6% 2017 556 618 631 653 670 721 3849 1.5% Page 58 2018 556 618 635 647 666 682 3804 -1.2% 2019 556 618 635 651 659 678 3797 -0.2% 2020 556 618 635 651 663 671 3794 -0.1% 2021 556 618 635 651 663 676 3799 0.1% 2022 556 618 635 651 663 676 3799 0% Eanes ISD Secondary School Enrollment Projections Moderate Scenario Hill Country MS Grade 2009 6 286 7 297 8 321 Totals: 904 Pct Chg: 2010 291 321 305 917 1.4% 2011 292 310 314 916 -0.1% 2012 306 299 316 921 0.5% 2013 325 323 297 945 2.6% 2014 317 343 321 981 3.8% 2015 329 335 340 1004 2.3% 2016 328 348 333 1009 0.5% 2017 319 337 346 1002 -0.7% 2018 360 328 335 1023 2.1% 2019 344 370 327 1041 1.8% 2020 341 354 369 1064 2.2% 2021 337 351 353 1041 -2.2% 2022 340 347 349 1036 -0.5% West Ridge MS Grade 2009 6 286 7 263 8 289 Totals: 838 Pct Chg: 2010 292 300 273 865 3.2% 2011 277 306 301 884 2.2% 2012 271 285 311 867 -1.9% 2013 328 279 291 898 3.6% 2014 331 338 285 954 6.2% 2015 338 341 345 1024 7.3% 2016 320 348 349 1017 -0.7% 2017 315 325 352 992 -2.5% 2018 376 320 328 1024 3.2% 2019 351 382 323 1056 3.1% 2020 351 357 386 1094 3.6% 2021 348 357 361 1066 -2.6% 2022 350 353 361 1064 -0.2% Westlake HS Grade 9 10 11 12 Totals: Pct Chg: 2010 653 627 649 633 2562 3% 2011 624 660 627 652 2563 0% 2012 632 623 666 638 2559 -0.2% 2013 661 636 627 673 2597 1.5% 2014 614 665 640 634 2553 -1.7% 2015 646 619 669 647 2581 1.1% 2016 719 650 622 675 2666 3.3% 2017 716 721 652 626 2715 1.8% 2018 734 719 723 656 2832 4.3% 2019 696 736 721 728 2881 1.7% 2020 684 697 739 725 2845 -1.2% 2021 793 685 700 743 2921 2.7% 2022 750 796 688 704 2938 0.6% 2009 623 646 628 591 2488 DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 59 Eanes ISD Secondary School Enrollment Projections Moderate Scenario Totals Grade 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Totals: Pct Chg: 2009 572 560 610 623 646 628 591 4230 2010 583 621 578 653 627 649 633 4344 2.7% 2011 569 616 615 624 660 627 652 4363 0.4% 2012 577 584 627 632 623 666 638 4347 -0.4% 2013 653 602 588 661 636 627 673 4440 2.1% 2014 648 681 606 614 665 640 634 4488 1.1% DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 2015 667 676 685 646 619 669 647 4609 2.7% 2016 648 696 682 719 650 622 675 4692 1.8% 2017 634 662 698 716 721 652 626 4709 0.4% Page 60 2018 736 648 663 734 719 723 656 4879 3.6% 2019 695 752 650 696 736 721 728 4978 2% 2020 692 711 755 684 697 739 725 5003 0.5% 2021 685 708 714 793 685 700 743 5028 0.5% 2022 690 700 710 750 796 688 704 5038 0.2% Capacity Analysis Campus enrollment projections were compared against the campus capacities to determine the current and future facility utilization of each campus. The capacity analysis is based on 100% of Program Capacity for each campus. Program Capacity is derived for each campus by subtracting the classrooms for special programs from the total classrooms to determine the number of available homeroom classrooms. The special programs classrooms include classrooms for music, art, special education, gifted and talented, intervention services, and English as a Second Language. Small classrooms that do not have the capacity for instruction of at least 22 students must also be considered. The capacity analysis is provided using both the Conservative and Moderate Scenarios. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 61 Eanes ISD Elementary School Capacity Analysis Moderate Scenario Barton Creek ES Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: 2009 494 540 46 2010 491 540 49 2011 514 540 26 2012 516 540 24 2013 537 540 3 2014 557 540 -17 2015 574 540 -34 2016 592 540 -52 2017 601 540 -61 2018 604 540 -64 2019 603 540 -63 2020 602 540 -62 2021 603 540 -63 2022 603 540 -63 2009 735 766 31 2010 752 766 14 2011 741 766 25 2012 755 766 11 2013 748 766 18 2014 760 766 6 2015 774 766 -8 2016 768 766 -2 2017 779 766 -13 2018 764 766 2 2019 762 766 4 2020 761 766 5 2021 762 766 4 2022 762 766 4 2009 426 449 23 2010 447 449 2 2011 481 449 -32 2012 492 449 -43 2013 509 449 -60 2014 524 449 -75 2015 543 449 -94 2016 582 449 -133 2017 585 449 -136 2018 577 449 -128 2019 576 449 -127 2020 576 449 -127 2021 576 449 -127 2022 576 449 -127 2009 511 537 26 2010 564 537 -27 2011 596 537 -59 2012 605 537 -68 2013 625 537 -88 2014 639 537 -102 2015 648 537 -111 2016 658 537 -121 2017 667 537 -130 2018 669 537 -132 2019 667 537 -130 2020 666 537 -129 2021 667 537 -130 2022 667 537 -130 Bridge Point ES Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: Cedar Creek ES Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: Eanes ES Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 62 Eanes ISD Elementary School Capacity Analysis Moderate Scenario Forest Trail ES Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: 2009 606 628 22 2010 606 628 22 2011 596 628 32 2012 609 628 19 2013 614 628 14 2014 618 628 10 2015 628 628 0 2016 650 628 -22 2017 658 628 -30 2018 639 628 -11 2019 637 628 -9 2020 636 628 -8 2021 637 628 -9 2022 637 628 -9 2009 465 493 28 2010 470 493 23 2011 470 493 23 2012 504 493 -11 2013 508 493 -15 2014 522 493 -29 2015 530 493 -37 2016 543 493 -50 2017 559 493 -66 2018 551 493 -58 2019 552 493 -59 2020 553 493 -60 2021 554 493 -61 2022 554 493 -61 2009 3237 3413 176 2010 3330 3413 83 2011 3398 3413 15 2012 3481 3413 -68 2013 3541 3413 -128 2014 3620 3413 -207 2015 3697 3413 -284 2016 3793 3413 -380 2017 3849 3413 -436 2018 3804 3413 -391 2019 3797 3413 -384 2020 3794 3413 -381 2021 3799 3413 -386 2022 3799 3413 -386 Valley View ES Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: Totals Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 63 Eanes ISD Secondary School Enrollment Projections Moderate Scenario Hill Country MS Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: 2009 904 1000 96 2010 917 1000 83 2011 916 1000 84 2012 921 1000 79 2013 945 1000 55 2014 981 1000 19 2015 1004 1000 -4 2016 1009 1000 -9 2017 1002 1000 -2 2018 1023 1000 -23 2019 1041 1000 -41 2020 1064 1000 -64 2021 1041 1000 -41 2022 1036 1000 -36 2009 838 1000 162 2010 865 1000 135 2011 884 1000 116 2012 867 1000 133 2013 898 1000 102 2014 954 1000 46 2015 1024 1000 -24 2016 1017 1000 -17 2017 992 1000 8 2018 1024 1000 -24 2019 1056 1000 -56 2020 1094 1000 -94 2021 1066 1000 -66 2022 1064 1000 -64 2009 2488 2500 12 2010 2562 2500 -62 2011 2563 2500 -63 2012 2559 2500 -59 2013 2597 2500 -97 2014 2553 2500 -53 2015 2581 2500 -81 2016 2666 2500 -166 2017 2715 2500 -215 2018 2832 2500 -332 2019 2881 2500 -381 2020 2845 2500 -345 2021 2921 2500 -421 2022 2938 2500 -438 2009 4230 4500 270 2010 4344 4500 156 2011 4363 4500 137 2012 4347 4500 153 2013 4440 4500 60 2014 4488 4500 12 2015 4609 4500 -109 2016 4692 4500 -192 2017 4709 4500 -209 2018 4879 4500 -379 2019 4978 4500 -478 2020 5003 4500 -503 2021 5028 4500 -528 2022 5038 4500 -538 West Ridge MS Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: Westlake HS Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: Totals Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 64 Eanes ISD Elementary School Capacity Analysis Moderate Scenario Barton Creek ES Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: 2009 494 540 46 2010 491 540 49 2011 514 540 26 2012 516 540 24 2013 532 540 8 2014 546 540 -6 2015 559 540 -19 2016 574 540 -34 2017 584 540 -44 2018 588 540 -48 2019 590 540 -50 2020 589 540 -49 2021 591 540 -51 2022 593 540 -53 2009 735 766 31 2010 752 766 14 2011 741 766 25 2012 755 766 11 2013 743 766 23 2014 747 766 19 2015 754 766 12 2016 743 766 23 2017 755 766 11 2018 738 766 28 2019 736 766 30 2020 736 766 30 2021 737 766 29 2022 737 766 29 2009 426 449 23 2010 447 449 2 2011 481 449 -32 2012 492 449 -43 2013 504 449 -55 2014 516 449 -67 2015 530 449 -81 2016 568 449 -119 2017 572 449 -123 2018 565 449 -116 2019 565 449 -116 2020 564 449 -115 2021 565 449 -116 2022 566 449 -117 2009 511 537 26 2010 564 537 -27 2011 596 537 -59 2012 605 537 -68 2013 619 537 -82 2014 623 537 -86 2015 622 537 -85 2016 625 537 -88 2017 627 537 -90 2018 631 537 -94 2019 628 537 -91 2020 629 537 -92 2021 630 537 -93 2022 630 537 -93 Bridge Point ES Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: Cedar Creek ES Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: Eanes ES Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 65 Eanes ISD Elementary School Capacity Analysis Moderate Scenario Forest Trail ES Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: 2009 606 628 22 2010 606 628 22 2011 596 628 32 2012 609 628 19 2013 608 628 20 2014 609 628 19 2015 610 628 18 2016 632 628 -4 2017 643 628 -15 2018 626 628 2 2019 628 628 0 2020 627 628 1 2021 627 628 1 2022 629 628 -1 2009 465 493 28 2010 470 493 23 2011 470 493 23 2012 504 493 -11 2013 503 493 -10 2014 514 493 -21 2015 519 493 -26 2016 530 493 -37 2017 546 493 -53 2018 539 493 -46 2019 541 493 -48 2020 543 493 -50 2021 544 493 -51 2022 545 493 -52 2009 3237 3413 176 2010 3330 3413 83 2011 3398 3413 15 2012 3481 3413 -68 2013 3509 3413 -96 2014 3555 3413 -142 2015 3594 3413 -181 2016 3672 3413 -259 2017 3727 3413 -314 2018 3687 3413 -274 2019 3688 3413 -275 2020 3688 3413 -275 2021 3694 3413 -281 2022 3700 3413 -287 Valley View ES Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: Totals Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 66 Eanes ISD Secondary School Capacity Analysis Moderate Scenario Hill Country MS Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: 2009 904 1000 96 2010 917 1000 83 2011 916 1000 84 2012 921 1000 79 2013 928 1000 72 2014 951 1000 49 2015 959 1000 41 2016 951 1000 49 2017 937 1000 63 2018 946 1000 54 2019 957 1000 43 2020 972 1000 28 2021 951 1000 49 2022 946 1000 54 2009 838 1000 162 2010 865 1000 135 2011 884 1000 116 2012 867 1000 133 2013 895 1000 105 2014 945 1000 55 2015 1005 1000 -5 2016 988 1000 12 2017 954 1000 46 2018 977 1000 23 2019 1006 1000 -6 2020 1044 1000 -44 2021 1023 1000 -23 2022 1025 1000 -25 2009 2488 2500 12 2010 2562 2500 -62 2011 2563 2500 -63 2012 2559 2500 -59 2013 2583 2500 -83 2014 2524 2500 -24 2015 2537 2500 -37 2016 2599 2500 -99 2017 2628 2500 -128 2018 2718 2500 -218 2019 2740 2500 -240 2020 2683 2500 -183 2021 2730 2500 -230 2022 2728 2500 -228 2009 4230 4500 270 2010 4344 4500 156 2011 4363 4500 137 2012 4347 4500 153 2013 4406 4500 94 2014 4420 4500 80 2015 4501 4500 -1 2016 4538 4500 -38 2017 4519 4500 -19 2018 4641 4500 -141 2019 4703 4500 -203 2020 4699 4500 -199 2021 4704 4500 -204 2022 4699 4500 -199 West Ridge MS Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: Westlake HS Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: Totals Totals: Capacity: Open Seats: DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 67 PLANNING ZONE ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS Enrollment projections were developed for each of the 36 planning zones in Eanes ISD. These projections were produced for each grade in each planning zone and were produced for a ten-year period starting with school year 2013-14 using the Conservative Scenario model. Planning zone enrollment projections have been provided in digital format. DeskMap Systems, Inc., 715 Discovery Blvd., Suite 310, Cedar Park, TX 78613 Page 68