snapshot report
Transcription
snapshot report
Car yCommuni t yPl an SNAPSHOT REPORT June2013 Snapshot Report TOWN OF CARY COMMUNITY PLAN June 2013 Table of Contents Introduction ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 1 About this Project .................................................................................................................................................................................... 1 About this Report ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 2 Purpose.................................................................................................................................................................................................. 2 Organization ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 2 About the Town of Cary .......................................................................................................................................................................... 3 Regional Context ................................................................................................................................................................................. 3 Local Context........................................................................................................................................................................................ 4 Community Life ................................................................................................................................................................................... 7 People ........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 7 Fiscal and Economic Health .................................................................................................................................................................. 9 Homes & Neighborhoods..................................................................................................................................................................... 14 Cultural Arts & Preservation ................................................................................................................................................................ 17 Recreation & Community Facilities ................................................................................................................................................... 20 Education ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 22 Public Safety ........................................................................................................................................................................................... 24 Health ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 26 Natural Environment & Utilities ...................................................................................................................................................... 28 Open Space, Parks, and Greenways .................................................................................................................................................. 28 Water ........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 30 Waste ........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 33 Air .............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 35 Energy....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 37 Built Environment & Mobility........................................................................................................................................................... 39 Development .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 39 Transportation ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 42 Appendix of Maps.............................................................................................................................................................................. 47 Introduction 1 Introduction About this Project The Town of Cary has for decades been one of the premier communities in North Carolina and the Southeast. Every year it receives accolades and is recognized as one of the best places to live in the country. Cary has been evolving, and in many ways has become a world-class community, keeping pace with local, regional, and global changes. The fabric of the community is constructed around the themes of growth, excellence, and innovation, while continuing to value and protect the qualities that make this place unique. What should Cary be in 2040? Cary today is remarkable, but what will the Cary of tomorrow look like? In order to answer that critical question, it is important to have a clear and comprehensive vision for the future, and a clear policy framework to guide decisions to achieve that future. That’s what this project is about - - creating a Cary Community Plan to serve as a blueprint for purposefully attaining the future that Cary wants to achieve. The Cary Land Use Plan that guides decision-making for land development in Cary was adopted in 1996. It has served the Town well, as the quality of the community attests. But over time, in response to changing conditions and new circumstances, the 1996 Plan has gone through multiple amendments. Between 1998 and 2012, the Town developed and adopted seven additional plans (see lower right sidebar). Together these eight individual plans currently serve as Cary’s comprehensive plan, which now stands as a collection of loosely connected individual component parts. It has become clear that the compelling need now is to undertake a comprehensive update to the entire Comprehensive Plan and all its component parts. The community has a choice to make – what should Cary be in 2040? And the Imagine Cary planning process is focused on answering that question with stakeholders who have an interest in the Town’s future. Drawing upon community ideas and input, and a considerable body of information about growth and demographic trends, this process will result in a new integrated and visionary plan. The Imagine Cary planning process charts out a course for developing a community-wide vision, acknowledging and addressing policy trade-offs related to that vision, and developing new growth and policy frameworks to implement the new vision. That’s what this project is about - - creating a new comprehensive plan for Cary. The Cary Community Plan will set out a comprehensive vision and policy framework to address a number of critical community planning issues: land use and development, transportation, housing and neighborhoods, community health, parks and recreation, utilities, the natural environment, and cultural and historic resources. CARY’S EXISTING COMPREHENSIVE PLAN ELEMENTS 1. Vision Element 2. Town-Wide Land Use Plan, including eight Special Area Plans 3. Parks and Recreation Master Plan 4. Growth Management Plan 5. Affordable Housing Plan 6. Comprehensive Transportation Plan 7. Open Space Plan 8. Historic Preservation Master Plan 2 SNAPSHOT REPORT About this Report PURPOSE Part of the initial work to craft the Cary Community Plan is development of this report that includes key information about demographics, development, public services and facilities, community programs, health, arts and culture, and other comprehensive planning topics. The purpose of this report is to provide a strategic “snapshot” of information that is critical for the community to have as a base understanding as we move through this planning process. This report will help citizens and business representatives understand the existing conditions and trends, and the future challenges/opportunities that will be critical for informing the long-range planning discussion for the Town. It focuses on two overarching questions: What are the major regional and national trends that Cary will need to address over the long-term? How well positioned is Cary to address these trends? What are the key local planning issues that could have significant impacts on Cary’s future? This report is not meant to be an exhaustive study of all the issues that might be associated with these topic areas. It is also not intended to provide an exhaustive analysis of the information presented. Rather, the purpose is to present a brief “snapshot” of select information for each topic. The report is not only intended to help inform community discussion, but also to spark discussion and further investigation, as together we explore these topics during the course of Imagine Cary. ORGANIZATION This report is purposefully concise to highlight critical information that “tells the story” of Cary today in an easily readable format. It is organized into the following sections: ABOUT THE TOWN OF CARY Regional Context Local Context SNAPSHOT TOPICS: 3 MAIN CATEGORIES Community Life (People, Economic & Fiscal Health, Homes & Neighborhoods, Cultural Arts & Preservation, Recreation & Community Facilities, Education, Public Safety, Health) Natural Environment and Utilities (Open Space, Parks, & Greenways, Water, Waste, Air, Energy) Built Environment and Mobility (Development and Transportation) Introduction About the Town of Cary REGIONAL CONTEXT For over a hundred years, the small Town of Cary, North Carolina, was a rural crossroads community. With a rich heritage of farming as its economic base, generations of Cary residents called this place home. The paradigm shift for Cary started with the creation of the Research Triangle Park (RTP) in 1959. North Carolina’s visionary leaders created a new future for North Carolina that would draw upon the strengths and synergies between North Carolina’s academic, government, and industry bases. RTP would grow and thrive, attracting research-oriented companies that could employ the highly-educated local work force while being engaged with research being conducted by the Triangle’s premier universities. Cary’s proximity to RTP, along with development of a series of highly attractive residential communities to provide quality living environments for employees of the new companies, resulted in Cary’s population growing from about 3,000 in 1960 to 135,000 fifty years later in 2010. Cary began as a small, rural crossroads community. Accordingly, a fundamental understanding of Cary’s regional context and history is critical to discerning the probable impact of current conditions and trends on the future of Cary. The proximity of the Research Triangle Park is still dominant, but the nature of RTP itself is changing; RTP recently adopted a new master plan in 2012. Cary’s geography for much of its 50-year growth seemed virtually limitless, and the Town rapidly expanded its footprint as the population grew. But now the boundaries to Cary’s outward growth are set. Cary’s outward growth is constrained by the corporate limits of adjacent jurisdictions, or agreed-upon jurisdictional lines on all sides. We now know exactly where the future outer boundaries of Cary’s jurisdiction will be 50 years from now, because they are now permanently in place. Cary is completely surrounded by the jurisdictional authorities of (clockwise) Raleigh, Garner, Holly Springs, Apex, Chatham County, Durham County, Research Triangle Park, Morrisville, and Raleigh-Durham Airport. These communities have to work together to assure a quality and resilient future. In recognition of the importance of this configuration of jurisdictions, and the effect that decisions of one jurisdiction can have upon another, the regional planning agency for this part of NC - - the Triangle J Council of Governments - - created an entity called the Center of the Region Enterprise (CORE). This is one of the key focus points for the current regional context, in that CORE is looking at growth management and land use issues within this multijurisdictional area that will affect Cary and need to be taken into consideration as Cary considers its policy options and opportunities. The Center for Region Enterprise (CORE) is a partnership of jurisdictions evaluating land planning and economic opportunities in the heart of the Research Triangle Region. 3 4 SNAPSHOT REPORT Another key regional consideration is transportation planning. Decisions about major transportation systems are inherently regional. Many roads are the province of the State of North Carolina, and decisions about major new corridors and improvements, for all modes including roadway, transit, pedestrian, and bicycles, are also made by the regional Capitol Area Metropolitan Planning Organization, a regional organization covering Wake County and beyond. Water resources (and wastewater treatment systems) can only be viewed within a regional context. Jordan Lake provides water to Cary and multiple other communities, and allocation of supply among communities is subject to regional and state discussions and negotiations. Cary’s footprint straddles a key geologic feature: the ridge line separating two major river basins - - The Cape Fear River Basin, flowing west from NC Highway 55, and the Neuse River Basin, flowing east from NC 55. Wastewater treatment facilities, pump stations (and force mains), and wastewater plant discharge options are all subject to regional and state policy considerations because of this topography. Public education is a critical public service provided to Cary’s student population by the Wake County and Chatham County School Districts. The Town has a limited role in the provision of public education, but has a critical stake in the quality of these systems; maintaining educational excellence is important both for the academic achievement of students and for maintaining the Town’s reputation for academic excellence that ultimately impacts local economic development and quality of life. Finally there are the economic and fiscal issues that link Cary to its regional context and its neighbors. Job and business recruitment, retail and recreation trends, and cultural identities all have regional aspects to the consideration of policy choices. What this means is that, on some fronts, Cary is master of its destiny, can focus exclusively on the needs and preferences of Cary residents and businesses, and is in unilateral control of policy directions. But for many other issues, the Cary Community Plan must take into consideration the regional context, and the projected impacts of regional trends on this community. LOCAL CONTEXT Cary is the place “where better living begins.” It is safe, vibrant, attractive, diverse, focused on achievement, and inspiring. For years it has received awards for being one of the best small communities in the nation. It offers excellent recreational amenities, high quality residential neighborhoods, good paying jobs, and access to regional employment and shopping. For years, Cary has built upon its assets, taking advantage of the Town’s unique location in the Triangle to create a nationally recognized community of excellence. The Town prides itself on being not only a great place to live and work, but also providing the most efficient and effective public services. Innovation and efficiency are the cornerstones of the Town’s operations. Stewardship Jordan Lake is a critical asset to the Cary and the greater Triangle Region. It provides the source water for many municipal water systems and is a unique recreational amenity for outdoor enthusiasts. TOWN 2012 ACCOLADES ONE TOP PLACES TO LIVE U . S . – Money Magazine OF THE IN THE 2ND BEST PLACE FOR BUSINESS A N D C A R E E R S – Forbes #1 REAL ESTATE MARKET TO WATCH F O R – Inman News 5TH MOST FRUGAL CITY – Coupons.com 7TH AMONG CITIES WITH THE MOST COLLEGE-EDUCATED RESIDENTS – Based on research by the NY Times 6TH IN CITIES FOR STAYING YOUNG – RealAge HOME OF THE #1 MULTINATIONAL WORKPLACE IN THE WORLD: SAS I N S T I T U T E – Fortune Introduction of not only public dollars, but public land, air, water, and energy resources are important goals of the community. Sustaining current resources for the benefit of future Cary generations is a part of the culture and is evidenced through programs to improve energy efficiency, reduce waste, reclaim and reuse water, and protect ribbons of greenways and open spaces throughout Town. This planning effort focuses not just on the Town of Cary, but more appropriately on Cary’s entire land planning area. The Project Base Map, located in the Appendix, illustrates the boundaries of Cary’s land planning area. This area is a boundary that outlines the outermost extent of where the Town of Cary may grow in the future. According to agreements with neighboring jurisdictions, Cary cannot extend beyond this boundary. The land planning area consists of four distinct geographies: 1. Town of Cary Corporate Limits – This is the formal area known as the Town of Cary. The Town provides utility services within this area and plans and zones for all land within the Town limits. Residents living in Cary pay town taxes and can vote for Town Council members. 2. Town of Cary Extraterritorial Jurisdiction (ETJ) – These are special planning areas granted jointly by the Town and Wake County as permitted by the State of North Carolina. ETJ areas lie outside of the Town’s corporate limits. The purpose of ETJ in North Carolina is to allow for municipalities to plan for areas that may become part of the community’s corporate limits in the foreseeable future and that may require public utility services, such as potable water and sanitary sewer. Properties in the ETJ are planned and zoned for by the Town of Cary; however, residents living in the ETJ are not Cary citizens and they do not pay Town taxes, nor can they vote for Town Council members. The ETJ does have representation on the Town of Cary’s Planning and Zoning Board. 3. Town of Cary Urban Services Boundary – These are special planning areas designated by Wake County for the Town of Cary and the other 11 municipalities in the county. Cary’s Urban Services Boundary is a geographic area contiguous to the Town’s corporate limits and ETJ in which Wake County has determined that the Town may someday provide public utilities. 4. Chatham County – Town of Cary Joint Planning Area – Chatham County does not define formal Urban Services Areas for its municipalities. However, the Chatham-Cary Joint Land Use Plan, adopted June 2012, effectively identifies the portion of Chatham County that might someday be served by, or is eligible to be served by the Town of Cary for public utility services. This area is included within the Cary land planning area. 5 6 SNAPSHOT REPORT Owners of properties located within the ETJ, Urban Services Boundary, or the portion of the Chatham County-Town of Cary Joint Planning Area included in the Cary land planning area are eligible to request public utility service and incorporation into Cary’s Town limits. The Project Base Map, located in the Appendix, illustrates these four geographies and the entire land planning boundary. Community Life Community Life People CURRENT TRENDS RAPIDLY GROWING POPULATION Over the past two decades, the Town’s population has tripled, from 43,858 in 1990 to 135,234 in 2010, making Cary the seventh largest city in North Carolina. Population growth is expected to continue, but likely at a slower rate. Current estimates for January 2013 put the population at 144,000. By 2040, the Town’s population is expected to increase by more than 49,000 to 193,000 residents. However, that represents a modest annual growth rate averaging about 1.1% over the period. Cary’s population tripled between 1990 and 2010. CARY IS THE 7TH LARGEST COMMUNITY I N N O R T H C A R O L I N A . – 2010 Census AGING POPULATION By 2030, one in five Americans will be over the age of 65, with life expectancy increasing to 82.6 years in 2050. By 2050, the number of Americans over the age of 85 is expected to triple from 5.4 to 19 million. In keeping with these national trends, Cary’s population is getting older. The fastest growing segment of Cary’s population is nearing retirement age. Between 2000 and 2011, the percentage of persons over 55 as a portion of the Town’s population increased from 12% to 18%, and the number of people aged 25-44 decreased from 39% to 31%. CARY’S MEDIAN AGE IS THE 3RD OLDEST OF THE 14 LARGEST CITIES IN NORTH CAROLINA, SURPASSED ONLY BY ASHEVILLE AND GASTONIA. – 2010 Census In 2011, the Town’s median age was 36.7—up from a median of 33.7 in 2000. DIVERSIFYING POPULATION The number of people who identify as Hispanic/Latino or Asian in Cary has been steadily increasing over the last decade. From 2000-2010, the percentage of the population who identify as Hispanic/Latino increased from 4.3% to 7.7%, and those who identify as Asian increased from 8.1% to 13%. Combined, these groups now make up over 20% of Cary’s population. Though the Hispanic population remains lower than state and national averages, the Town’s Asian population is the fastest growing population in Cary and is well above state and national levels. As defined by the U.S. Census Bureau, the largest concentration of Hispanic/Latino residents in Wake County is located in the area east of downtown Cary. This area is also the 6th highest concentration in North Carolina. Cary’s population is becoming more diverse. 7 8 SNAPSHOT REPORT SMALL MILLENIAL POPULATION Millenials or “Generation Y” is the age group generally born between 1980 and 2000, and the largest generational cohort in America today. This cohort has exhibited different market preferences and lifestyle choices than previous generations. But compared to national and state averages, the Town has a much lower number of residents between ages 20-29. This is the one national population trend that is not tracking in Cary. DECREASING HOUSEHOLD AND FAMILY SIZE Marital Status at Age 18-28, by Generation, US (Percent) Mirroring state and national trends, Cary’s average household and family size have been decreasing. Though both averages remain slightly higher than state and national averages, the Town’s average household size decreased from 2.69 to 2.61, and family size decreased from 3.18 to 3.15 between 2000 and 2010. In contrast, the number of people who have never been married increased from 23.5% to 28.2% and the number of people living alone increased from 21% to 23.9% for the same period. National projections anticipate that by 2025, the number of single person households will equal family households (i.e., households with two or more related people) and that by 2050, the overwhelming majority of households will be single occupancy households. The U.S. birthrate is also projected to drop from 1% in 2010 to 0.25% by 2035. HIGH INCOME AND LOW POVERTY Median household income is significantly greater in Cary than national and state averages. In 2010, median household income in the Town was $95,126, compared to a state median of $49,618, and the national median of $53,177. Less than 5% of Cary residents have an income below the poverty line, compared to the state percentage of 16.1%. Millenial: 1980-2004 Generation X: 1961-1980 Baby Boomer: 1943-1964 Silent: 1925-1945 (GENERAL YEAR RANGES FOR GENERATIONS – OVERLAP IN YEARS REFLECTS DIFFERENT OPINIONS ON AGE CUT-OFFS FROM DIFFERENT SOURCES) SOURCES American Community Survey, 2011 US Census Bureau, 2010 and historical Future Challenges and Opportunities CHANGING PREFERENCES As the face of Cary changes, so may the preferences of the new population. Aging seniors, empty nesters, couples without children, millenials, and single person households may demand different housing types, public services, and lifestyle options than provided in the past. These trends may have an impact on how we design our community for the future. ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES FROM A GROWING AND DIVERSE POPULATION As the population continues to grow and diversify, there may be opportunities to capitalize on the increasing diversity and culture found in Cary, allowing the Town to thrive in a changing economy and world. Community Life Fiscal and Economic Health CURRENT TRENDS ECONOMY BASED ON ACC ESS TO RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK Cary is located at the center of the thriving Research Triangle Region, accessible to our highly-skilled regional labor force (especially talent in the information services sector); major research universities; Research Triangle Park (RTP), and Raleigh-Durham International Airport. RTP is a major regional economic driver, with a large concentration of pharmaceutical and information services firms. Cary has attracted spin-off businesses that chose to locate near RTP and has capacity for more economic growth, with land available for development and/or redevelopment in the future. Partly as a result of its excellent location, Cary has been able to attract large corporate and administrative offices, as well as retail businesses and other types of industries. These diverse businesses employ about 60,000 workers within the Town of Cary. Wages are relatively high and unemployment low in Cary and throughout the Triangle, when compared with other regions. Employment in Cary expanded by 26% (12,000 jobs) between 2002 and 2007, compared with only 7% in the Triangle region as a whole during this same period. Thus, Cary remains a competitive location for business and has an increasing share of the region’s employment base. DIVERSE EMPLOYMENT B ASE Cary has a relatively diverse economic base, with six sectors each having more than 10% of the job base. Information Services is the largest employment sector in Cary, accounting for 20% (or one-fifth) of all jobs located in Cary. Retail trade is the second-largest in Cary, accounting for 16% of all jobs. Many of the retail jobs are concentrated in shopping centers like Cary Towne Center or in smaller strip centers. There is not as yet a significant retail concentration within the downtown area, and the lack of downtown retail, dining and entertainment has been identified by some as a challenge to business recruitment and resident satisfaction. Professional, scientific, and technical services constitutes the third largest industry within Cary, with 13% of all jobs in the Town. This sector incorporates a broad range of businesses engaged in engineering, research and development, consulting and other activities. The SAS business park is an Icon of Industry in Cary. 9 10 SNAPSHOT REPORT UNIQUE CONCENTRATION OF INFORMATION SERVICES BUSINESSES While Cary’s economy is diverse, the Town’s economy is somewhat dependent on the Information Services (IT) sector. This sector not only holds the largest number of jobs in Cary, it is also highly-concentrated in the Town. A “location quotient” analysis compares the share of jobs in each economic sector within Cary to their respective shares within the Triangle regional economy. The analysis shows the extent to which jobs are concentrated within Cary for each sector of the economy. Based on this analysis, it was determined that Information Services is the only sector for which Cary has a unique concentration when compared with the region. At a measure of nearly 5.0 (or five times the average concentration of these jobs than the region as a whole), Cary has an unusually high concentration of Information Services jobs, even though the Triangle itself has a relatively high share of these jobs on a national basis. Thus, one of the nation’s largest concentrations of IT jobs is in Cary. While this finding confirms Cary’s competitive advantages for attracting this industry, it also implies a potentially vulnerable dependency. For example, many of Cary’s workers also live and shop in Cary, generating spin-off for retail and services in the local economy. If something happens to slow growth or even precipitate a decline in the IT sector, Cary could feel the negative effects of such downturns more than other communities do. CARY HAS ONE OF THE NATION’S LARGEST CONCENTRATIONS OF INFORMATION SERVICE JOBS IN THE NATION. Location quotients illustrate that the concentration of information service businesses in Cary is strong, even in comparison to the Triangle Region. CHALLENGE OF MAINTAINING CONCENTRATION OF IT BUSINESSES Information Technology and other companies have located in suburbanstyle office parks in Cary and throughout the region, and this trend is likely to continue in the near-term. However, there is some question as to whether IT and other companies will continue to select locations in traditional business parks, or if there is a long-term shift underway to more “urban,” mixed-use locations that cater more to the needs and preferences of technology workers. Research Triangle Park (RTP) is itself undergoing a planning and visioning process to ensure that it remains competitive for attracting companies over the long-term. In discussions with technology-oriented companies, a number of key factors were identified relating to site selection, including local labor resources, real estate opportunities, cost of doing business, and technology site requirements. Cary’s office parks continue to satisfy the needs of technology companies in most respects. In terms of amenities and site requirements, there is no “one size fits all” preference among companies, where the desired amenities depend on specific industry and employee demographics. Greater Distance to Amenities from Work (restaurants, dry cleaners, daycare…) Lower Productivity Levels for Office Workers Due to Longer Trips for Errands Community Life For example, the IT companies that have located in Cary tend to have more of an engineering component and employ senior people in their 40s and older, often with families. In Cary, companies tend to look at the bottom line and the key issue with amenities is the relationship between proximity and productivity. Where coffee shops, restaurants, dry cleaners, day care, and other facilities are located nearby, employers see improved productivity because there is less time spent out of the office during working hours. Some tech workers also work from home several days of the week. Thus, the traditional single-use office park model may be changing to include more amenities for workers and to accommodate companies’ desire to improve productivity levels. WEALTH AND AMENITIES IMPORTANT FOR ATTRACTING BUSINESS Cary’s high quality of life and high-value business environment have helped the community attract and retain corporate tenants. Parks, biking trails, schools, and open space are often cited by business owners as important public amenities that have helped to establish Cary’s high quality of life. High-quality housing and attractive single-family neighborhoods have also helped to attract and retain businesses. Certainly Cary’s strong regulatory environment has helped to ensure that development in the Town meets the highest standards for quality. Many developers and large corporations appreciate that, while there are more restrictions on development in Cary, the end product retains a higher value. Furthermore, the Town has a policy of negotiating financial incentives for large companies which helps overcome some of the cost of doing business in Cary. BARRIERS TO ENTRY FOR SMALL BUSINESSES At the same time, the restrictive development environment may also inadvertently create more barriers for small businesses and entrepreneurs that wish to enter the Cary market. Interviews with local small business owners suggest that smaller businesses may be at a disadvantage in relation to meeting local development requirements. While larger developers and businesses have the time and resources to work through land development regulations, small businesses do not have the same resources. Thus, the Town’s regulatory environment may act as a “double-edged sword” in establishing an attractive physical environment for business while also presenting a challenge to smaller companies. DOWNTOWN AND COMMERCIAL DISTRICTS CHALLENGED Throughout its evolution, Downtown Cary remained consistent in size in comparison to the growth that has propelled the community forward. Today, representatives of business and the community have noted the need for more dining and entertainment options in Downtown Cary, and the desire for downtown to become more of a destination. The challenge for attracting a destination market, however, is downtown’s relatively isolated location (2-3 miles from major commuter and transportation routes such as Interstate 40) and lack of exposure. Meanwhile, Cary Town Center and other shopping centers have struggled due to rapidly increasing competition from emerging and expanding retail commercial nodes and lifestyle centers throughout the region. Permanent occupancy at Cary Town Center has fallen to 70%, despite the best efforts of center management. Cary has focused efforts on improving downtown to establish a defined “heart” of Cary. FORMAL STRUCTURE FOR ACHIEVING ECONOMIC D EVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES The Town funds an Economic Development official, housed at the Chamber of Commerce. This approach has worked well in providing a direct link between the Town and the business community, and the Town has been very successful in recruiting large corporate tenants. Economic development objectives are oriented primarily to enhancing the tax base for Cary. 11 12 SNAPSHOT REPORT In addition, the Town funds a Downtown Development Director on a contract basis to oversee redevelopment within the downtown area. There is no entity dedicated specifically to recruiting and assisting small businesses and entrepreneurs in Cary. CONSERVATIVE FISCAL POLICIES The Town of Cary has instituted relatively conservative fiscal policies over the years which have helped the community sustain its financial health and retain its ability to accommodate growth. At the same time, the Town derives a significant share of its revenue from property taxes, which have expanded along with the growth in property development. As the Town builds out, revenue growth will slow while costs will continue to increase. Ensuring sufficient revenue growth to meet local service demands will become the key fiscal challenge facing Cary in the future. CONSERVATIVE POLICIES TIED TO FISCAL HEALTH For example, the Town utilizes low revenue growth projections as a basis for programming capital improvements and operations. The Town also maintains high reserves to ensure the community has sufficient “rainy day” funds available during a downturn. The Town’s pensions are nearly 100% funded. Partly as a result of these policies, the Town of Cary maintains a very high, AAA credit rating. ECONOMIC STRENGTH AIDS FISCAL HEALTH The Town’s fiscal health also benefits from a strong and diverse business base, which has grown in support of residential infrastructure development and services. While there is no perfect “mix” of residential versus commercial, the key is to maintain commercial values and ensure there is sufficient revenue growth to meet operational obligations over the long-term. As development and population growth slows, so will valuation growth rates. This will be a challenge in the future as the rate of revenue growth from property taxes slows, while town operational costs continue to increase. CONSTRAINTS ON REVENUE GROWTH LOOMING IN THE FUTURE SOURCES U.S. Census Bureau U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis N.C. Department of Commerce, Division of Employment Security Cary’s revenue base has expanded over time in tandem with its population. However, overall revenue growth is slowing as the rate of growth slows and the overall tax base stabilizes. At build out, the Town will be much more dependent on rising property tax revenues from existing land uses, whether due to increased values for existing property, redevelopment and densification of existing less-developed sites, and/or increases in the property tax rate. NAI Carolantic Realty As the chart to the right indicates, the annual growth rate in Cary’s property valuations historically has shadowed overall annual population growth rates, so there is an inferred correlation between growth in property tax base and growth in revenues. Research Triangle Regional Partnership Southern Growth Policies Board CompTIA (I.T. Industry Association) Urban Land Institute Town of Cary Brookings Institution Randall Gross, Development Economics Dr. Michael Walden, N.C. State University Fitch Ratings Local Business Stakeholder Interviews Community Life DECLINING SALES TAX REVENUES While property tax revenues have continued to increase (albeit at slowing growth rates), sales tax revenues have temporarily declined in absolute terms since peaking in 2008. Certainly the national economic recession is partly to blame for declining sales tax revenues, but lower-than-expected performance among Cary’s retail centers (due mainly to rapidly increasing regional competition), also plays a role. Town of Cary Sales Tax Revenues Actuals Through FY 2011, Estimates for FY 2012 and Budget for FY 2013 As shown on the graphic to the right, Cary levies several sales taxes. The one-cent sales tax revenues increased gradually between 1989 and 2008, when they reached their peak. Revenues from the two halfcent sales tax peaked in 2011. The half-cent tax was only introduced in 2003 and revenues also peaked in 2008. Since 2008, growth in sales tax revenues has generally stagnated. Future Challenges and Opportunities ECONOMIC DIVERSIFICATION AND CONTINUED GROWTH While Cary’s economy is diverse, there is a significant dependence on the information services sector. Impacts to information service jobs could not only affect this industry, but other businesses that support information service businesses. Understanding the locational needs of target industries is a critical first step in maintaining the Town’s unique cluster of information service businesses and in continuing to diversify economic growth in Cary. AFFLUENT BUT AGING MARKET BASE The Town’s workforce is highly skilled and aging. In order to continue to provide an attractive local workforce for business recruitment and retention, attracting new talent to the town may become increasingly important in future years if current population trends continue. Enhancements to the community may be needed to offer a lifestyle that young professionals desire. BALANCING REGULATION AND SMALL BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT Regulation is both one of the reasons for the high quality of development found in Cary and possibly responsible for restricting small business growth. Finding the right balance between these two factors will be a challenge. CHALLENGING ENVIRONMENT FOR RETAIL AND DOWNTOWN SUCCESS The regional retail market has posed a challenge to Cary’s aging retail centers. Efforts to develop a strong downtown that offers destination services also is challenged by the distance from downtown to major regional roads/highways. DEFINING FUTURE GROWTH The Town’s tax structure is heavily dependent upon property valuation. As growth slows in future years due to limited land available for development, there will be a need to address declining revenue growth and continued increases in public costs due to inflation to maintain Cary’s high level of services over the long term. 13 14 SNAPSHOT REPORT Homes & Neighborhoods CURRENT TRENDS HIGH VALUE HOUSING STOCK Cary has a reputation for having high quality housing and neighborhoods. That value is reflected in the cost of housing. Cary’s median housing price in 2011 was $301,900, 33% higher than median housing prices in Wake County and 98% higher than median housing prices in North Carolina. PREDOMINANCE OF SINGLE-FAMILY DETACHED UNITS The majority (73%) of housing units in Cary are singlefamily units, including townhomes. However, the proportion of single-family units as a percentage of the total housing stock decreased slightly from a high of 75% in 2007. SLIGHT INCREASE IN TOWNHOMES AND MULTI-FAMILY STOCK Much of Cary’s housing stock is high quality single-family housing in master planned developments. Multi-family housing units comprise 26% of the housing stock in Cary, and have increased modestly as a percentage of the total stock of housing since 2007. These shifts reflect changes that are occurring in the national housing market. This trend is reflected in the sale of townhomes in Cary. In 2000, the sale of townhomes represented 8.8% of all housing sales and increased to 23.6% of total sales in 2011. CHANGES IN HOUSING PREFERENCES The National Association of Homebuilders report that there has been a national decline in the size of new single-family homes, and this trend is expected to continue. While Cary’s housing stock will continue to be traditional housing for families, changes in households, such as the surge in Cary’s aging population, growth in single person households, and the buying preferences of the millennial generation, may create a shift in demand for different housing types that reflect their needs and lifestyle preferences. These include smaller homes/lots to reduce maintenance costs and time, and closer proximity to services and shopping. The majority of housing in Cary is single-family; however, the percentage of multi-family units in Cary has grown. STRONG HOMEOWNERSHIP AND INCREASING RENTAL VACANCY RATES Homeownership is stronger in Cary when compared to state averages. About 72% of housing units in Cary are owneroccupied, with approximately 28% occupied by renters. Statewide, 67% of homes are owner-occupied and 32% are rental. Vacancy rates in Cary are increasing, from approximately 5.3% in 2000 to 6.4% in 2011. In 2011, rental units had a significantly higher vacancy rate (7.9%) than owner-occupied units (1.2%). Community Life 15 MODERN BUT AGING HOUSING STOCK Many housing units in Cary are relatively modern, with 83% of units built in or since 1980. However, approximately 17% of the housing stock was built prior to 1980, and is now more than 30 years old. Many of these aging homes may be in need of repair, especially those houses which may be occupied by elderly, disabled, and low- and moderate-income individuals and families. The Town provides housing rehabilitation program grants to eligible property owners in older neighborhoods with aging homes in poor condition. By 2020, nearly 37% of the town’s housing stock will be 30 years old or older and the demand for programs to assist with housing rehabilitation may increase. HOUSING AFFORDABILITY CHALLENGES The median value of a single-family owner-occupied house in Cary is $301,900. Fair market rates for rental units in Cary average $878 for a 2-bedroom unit, $1,137 for a 3-bedroom, and $1,412 for a 4-bedroom unit. Housing costs continue to outpace inflation and wage growth in the community. Older neighborhoods in Cary offer housing that is more affordable than other parts of Town. Over the past decade, considerable strides towards preserving and creating affordable housing options for low- and moderate-income individuals and families have been made. The Town has developed 235 units of affordable single-family and over 500 affordable multi-family units through the utilization of public funding, collaborations with nonprofit organizations and public-private partnerships. Despite the Town’s investment in affordable housing units, affordability of housing remains a challenge for many Cary residents. In 2007, over 45% of jobs held by Cary residents were in occupations that place people in moderate, low, and very low income households, meaning that they may likely struggle to afford fair market rents or median price mortgage payments in Cary. NEIGHBORHOODS Cary’s neighborhoods are largely comprised of master planned developments that have Homeowner’s Associations and offer amenities to local residents, such as sidewalks, trails, neighborhood parks, club houses, and golf courses. Older neighborhoods located in and surrounding the downtown area of Cary are the locations for much of the more affordable housing found in the town. These areas have been a focus for housing rehabilitation and new affordable housing initiatives in recent years. SOURCES American Community Survey, 2007- 2011 US Department of Housing and Urban Development, 2013 US Census Bureau, 2000 Cary 2020 Affordable Housing Plan Cary Planning Department Staff National Association of Homebuilders 16 SNAPSHOT REPORT Future Challenges and Opportunities MISMATCH BETWEEN CURRENT HOUSING SUPPLY AND PROJECTED FUTURE DEMAND Cary’s current supply of traditional large-scale single-family homes may not meet the needs of all future Cary residents, especially as the population changes and demand increases for townhomes, patio homes, multi-family, multigenerational, handicap accessible and elderly housing and accessory units. While family-oriented single family homes will continue to dominate, other choices may be needed to meet changing household needs. MAINTAINING NEIGHBORHOOD AMENITIES AND LEADERSHIP Recruiting and retaining neighborhood leaders and advocates is often a challenge for neighborhoods as the homes and community mature. Likewise, it can become difficult to maintain the quality of the neighborhood and amenities as homes age and change ownership and Homeowners Associations evolve over time. INVESTMENT IN EXISTING HOUSING STOCK As Cary’s neighborhoods and homes age, a critical challenge will be to maintain the quality of the Town’s housing stock to avoid disinvestment and decline of homes and neighborhoods. INCREASING AFFORDABILITY Much of Cary’s housing stock is beyond reach for many local worker households. As the region grows and transportation systems become more congested, it may be important to find ways to make housing affordable to local employees to reduce the potential loss of employees and residents to neighboring jurisdictions. LOCATION OF NEW HOUSING As the Town’s population increases and changes, the Town will need to consider where new housing will be located. Since the Town’s geographic growth limits are set and new growth areas are limited, it likely will be a challenge to identify the appropriate locations for new homes that best meet the needs of an aging and diversifying local population. Community Life Cultural Arts & Preservation CURRENT TRENDS ECONOMIC BENEFITS FROM ARTS & CULTURAL OFFERINGS Cary boasts a wide offering of cultural and arts activities, events, and facilities including performing arts, visual arts, and cultural/ethnic programs. These offerings are made possible through partnerships between various organizations and the Town of Cary. More than 60 arts and cultural organizations are listed in the Town’s database and the Town has direct and indirect partnerships with 26 organizations. In fiscal year 2013, 25 organizations received grants from the Town of Cary for arts and cultural activities and pursuits. These arts and cultural activities and facilities are well attended and are reaping significant economic benefits for the Town. For example, since opening in July 2011, the Cary Arts Center has recorded an average monthly attendance of approximately 11,500 visitors. Cary’s Koka Booth Amphitheater hosts world class performances. A 2012 study estimated that the total economic impact of nonprofit arts and culture organizations and their audiences in the Town of Cary in fiscal year 2010 was nearly $9.2 million. These activities provided approximately 400 full-time jobs and event-related spending by arts and cultural audiences totaled approximately $5 million. CARY ARTS CENTER HAS 11,500 VISITORS MONTHLY - Town of Cary Cultural Resources TOWN OF CARY CULTURAL ARTS PROGRAMS AND FACILITIES Performing Arts Applause! Cary Youth Theatre Concerts Classes Visual Arts Gallery Exhibitions EARLY HISTORY OF THE TOWN The area now known as Cary was first settled primarily by small subsistence farmers in the mid-1700s. More settlers arrived in the ensuing decades and by the mid-1800s, the railroad had come and a small merchant community was established. Around 1850, local landowner, businessman, and staunch Methodist, Allison Francis (Frank) Page became the first postmaster, railroad agent, and mayor. Also around this time, Samuel Fenton Cary, a national temperance leader, and U.S. Congressman from Ohio, visited the area at least twice and was well-received by the locals. Frank Page began calling the area “Cary” in his honor. The name stuck, and in 1871 the Town of Cary was officially incorporated. In 1870, Frank Page, Adolphus Jones, and Rufus Jones established Cary Academy at the southern terminus of what is now Academy Street. The Academy’s excellent reputation drew boarding students from around the state, thus beginning Cary’s long and continuing association with academic excellence, and fueling Cary’s growth into the 20th century. Public Art Classes and Programs Cultural/Ethnic Programs African-American Celebration Diwali Eid Festival Ritmo Latino Kwanzaa MLK Jr. Dreamfest Sister Cities Facilities Cary Arts Center Page-Walker Arts and History Center Koka Booth Amphitheatre Sertoma Amphitheatre in Bond Park 17 18 SNAPSHOT REPORT IMPORTANT HISTORIC RESOURCES Within Cary’s planning jurisdiction, there are currently three types of special historic designations: properties listed individually on the National Register of Historic Places, properties listed as contributing to a National Register Historic District, and properties designated as Cary Historic Landmarks. The Town currently owns 11 historic properties both downtown and Townwide. These properties will provide opportunities for historic preservation, education, and restorative/adaptive uses of the property and buildings. These sites will provide the venue for artisans and artists to “tell the story of Cary’s history” through period arts and crafts, story-telling, re-enactment, and living history, a working farm, marrying art and history through the balance of preservation and restoration. The following four properties are listed individually on the National Register of Historic Places: Page-Walker Hotel (now Arts & History Center) Nancy Jones House Utley Council House Ivey-Ellington-Waddell House The Page-Walker Hotel and four other properties are also designated and celebrated as Cary Historic Landmarks: Guess-White-Ogle House Dr. John Pullen Hunter House Carpenter Farm Supply Complex (2 buildings) Cary First Christian Church Cemetery Three National Register Historic Districts are located in the Town: Cary (downtown), Carpenter, and Green Level. These districts cover more than 315 acres in different historic parts of the community. In addition, Cary’s Historic Resources Inventory contains an additional 200+ noteworthy historic (pre-1969) buildings scattered throughout the town. NEW FRAMEWORK FOR HISTORIC PRESERVATION The Town of Cary is served by Wake County’s Historic Preservation Commission through a 1994 interlocal agreement. The Town’s Land Development Code currently has no ordinances that require preservation of any historic building. The Town of Cary’s Historic Preservation Master Plan was adopted in 2010 to provide a framework for the development of the Town’s first formal preservation program, serve as a guide for proactive preservation decision-making, and provide a comprehensive, coordinated approach to historic preservation. Historic District Downtown Size (Acres) 30 Carpenter 210 Green Level 75 Contributing Resources 30 historic dwellings, assorted outbuildings, old Cary High School 3 general stores, 15 dwellings, various commercial and transportation buildings, institutional buildings, outbuildings 2 stores, church, 3 dwellings and outbuildings, 2 farms, Green Level landscape The Cary Art Center celebrates the Town’s history and serves as a valuable cultural resource. SOURCES Arts and Economic Prosperity IV in Wake County, NC, 2012 Town of Cary staff and website, 2013 Public Art Master Plan Parks, Recreation, and Cultural Resources Master Plan Town of Cary Cultural Resources Staff Community Life Future Challenges and Opportunities MEETING DEMAND FOR FUTURE ARTS/PROGRAMMING As the community and the region grow, increasing demand for cultural arts programming and facilities to host those programs may require additional resources to fund new arts initiatives. CREATING NEW OPPORTUNITIES IN DOWNTOWN The focus on downtown development and revitalization could include creating active outdoor community gathering and event spaces to accommodate festivals and special events, and development of an arts district. MAINTAINING EXISTING FACILITIES Community facilities that serve the arts and culture needs of the community will need continued attention over time. Maintenance and upkeep of the town’s existing facilities is critical to preserving the arts and culture industry in Cary. INCORPORATING ART INTO THE PUBLIC REALM To infuse the art culture into the everyday experience of Cary’s residents and workers, public art could be incorporated in the development of the Town’s infrastructure, transportation, and parks and recreation system per the Public Art Master Plan guidelines. PRESERVATION AND ADAPTIVE REUSE Planning for the adaptive reuse and preservation of Town-owned historic buildings is another opportunity to invest in local cultural heritage. Models for this already exist in Cary, including the Page-Walker Center and Cary Arts Center. OPPORTUNITIES FOR INCREASING HISTORIC PRESERVATION EFFORTS The opportunity exists for the Town to encourage preservation through the continued implementation of the Historic Preservation Master Plan adopted in 2010. 19 20 SNAPSHOT REPORT Recreation & Community Facilities CURRENT TRENDS STRONG DEMAND FOR RECREATION AND COMMUNITY FACILITIES There is a good distribution of indoor facilities in the Cary area, with approximately ninety-five percent (95%) of Cary residents within three miles of an indoor recreation facility. The Town’s facilities are in strong demand, as are some of the private recreation facility providers such as the Cary YMCA, Triangle Aquatic Center, and others. A survey of Cary residents, conducted as part of the needs assessment for the Town’s 2012 Parks, Recreation & Cultural Resources Master Plan, revealed that making improvements and/or renovating existing facilities is a high priority. Adding an outdoor aquatic center and new indoor recreation space are also key priority areas. As identified in the Town’s 2012 Parks, Recreation & Cultural Resources Master Plan, the current indoor recreation center level of service is approximately 0.5 square feet of space per resident, which is somewhat low compared to other comparable communities, which typically range from 1 to 2 square feet per resident. Recreational facilities and programs in Cary are in high demand by residents. 2008 TO 2011 SENIOR CENTER OF EXCELLENCE - North Carolina Division of Aging and Adult Services EXTENSIVE PROGRAMMIN G FOR FITNESS AND WELLNESS Cary offers an extensive range of recreation programs and classes from arts and history to fitness and sports. Top programming needs of high importance for Cary as identified in the 2012 Parks, Recreation & Cultural Resources Master Plan include: Cultural arts programs Town sports leagues, camps and clinics Adult recreation Science, technology, engineering, and math Aquatics instruction Environmental education Specialized programs for people with disabilities The Town continually works to review existing programs and align those with community desires and available resources. TOWN OF CARY RECREATION AND COMMUNITY CENTERS Bond Park Community Center Cary Senior Center Herbert C. Young Community Center Middle Creek Community Center Community Life 21 DRAWING VISITORS WITH MAJOR V ENUES In addition to its array of recreation and community facilities, the Town has aggressively pursued and established itself as an amateur sports destination, drawing visitors to Cary’s major sports venues: Cary Tennis Park, USA Baseball National Training Complex, and WakeMed Soccer Park. In 2011, these three facilities together served an estimated 455,000 people with a total estimated economic impact of $6.2 million. 2011 Estimated People Served 2011 Estimated Economic Impact Cary Tennis Park 240,000 $1.4 million USA Baseball National Training Complex 55,000 $2.7 million WakeMed Soccer Park 160,000 $2.1 million Major Sports Venue Cary offers nationally recognized recreational amenities. SOURCES Town of Cary GIS Data, 2013; Cary Parks, Recreation & Cultural Resources Master Plan, 2012; Town of Cary Parks and Recreation Staff; and the Greater Raleigh Convention and Visitors Bureau. FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES PROGRAMMING FOR A GROWING AND DIVERSIFYING POPULATION The Town currently offers a wide range of recreation programs and facilities. Looking to the future, the Town may need to monitor the market and adapt its programming to meet the needs of a growing and changing population, with a particular focus on the Town’s aging population. Potential areas for enhanced programming in the future include therapeutic and specialized recreation for seniors, fitness, heritage, environmental education and science, technology, engineering and math education. Potential new facilities to consider include farmers markets, spray grounds, dog parks, and community gardens. EXPANDING AND EVOLVING COMMUNITY CENTERS A diverse range of new recreational spaces are needed to satisfy the growing demand for courts and fields across Town. There is a need to redefine the Service Model for new Community Centers to consider a larger multigenerational, multipurpose center. Potential facilities would include a mix of components such as indoor leisure aquatics, fitness components, gyms, and multi-purpose spaces for flexible programming. MANAGING COMPETITIVE SPORTS VENUES The Town must continue to work to manage and market its competitive sports venues so that they remain financially sustainable, continue to attract regional and national events, and are considered an asset by all citizens. LOCATIONS OF FUTURE RECREATION AND COMMUNITY FACILITIES An ongoing challenge is to meet the growing demand for diverse indoor recreational and community space. Locating these facilities, particularly larger venues that may attract visitors from outside of Cary, near community centers that provide retail, restaurant, and lodging services could encourage local spin-off economic development. Easy access via transit, bicycle, and for pedestrians should be considered when siting and designing of these new facilities. ACCESSIBILITY OF FACILITIES Accessibility of recreational and community facilities could be improved by siting and designing new venues to provide easy access via transit, bicycle, and for pedestrians. 22 SNAPSHOT REPORT Education CURRENT TRENDS STRONG ENROLLMENT IN PUBLIC SCHOOL The Wake County and Chatham County School systems have the responsibility and authority to provide public K-12 educational services for citizens in their respective counties. In 2011, the Cary student population totaled 39,741. Nearly 85% of these students are enrolled in public school, and slightly more than 15% are enrolled in private schools, charters, or are homeschooled. The high number of public school students possibly reflects parent satisfaction with the quality of the public education provided to Cary’s students. There are 20 elementary, 6 middle, and 4 public high schools located within the Town’s corporate limits, all in the Wake County School District portion of Cary. Because High quality public education has always been an important school assignments are not based on municipal limits, these component of Cary’s quality of life. schools serve the Wake County residents of Cary as well as residents in other surrounding Wake County jurisdictions. Likewise, some Cary students are assigned to schools located in surrounding jurisdictions. Students in the Chatham County portion of Cary attend Chatham County Schools. Charter and private school options are also available in the Cary area. Six private schools are located within the Town, as are a number of active homeschooler groups. HIGH EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT Cary has a long history of highly-educated citizens. In 2011, 84% of Cary’s residents had at least some college, 62% had achieved a college degree, and 24% had achieved a graduate or professional degree. While these numbers have declined slightly in recent years, they are still higher than state and Wake County percentages. The percentage of population achieving a college degree in Wake County was 48% and in North Carolina it was 27%. CONVENIENT ACCESS TO HIGHER EDUCATION Cary is located in close proximity to numerous higher educational institutions. Public universities in the vicinity include North Carolina State University in Raleigh, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill, and North Carolina Central University in Durham. Wake Technical, Durham Technical, and Central Carolina Community Colleges are located nearby. Wake Tech’s Western Wake Campus is located in Cary. Private institutions in the area include Duke University, St. Augustine University, William Peace University, Shaw University, and Meredith College. Numerous private technical schools are located proximate to Cary. 62% OF CARY RESIDENTS HAVE AT LEAST A COLLEGE DEGREE COMPARED TO 48% IN WAKE COUNTY AND 27% IN NORTH CAROLINA. - American Community Survey Community Life PARTNERSHIPS TO IMPROVE SITING OF SCHOOLS Cary has a history of partnering with the Wake County Public School System to improve the siting and location of schools within the Town of Cary. The two jurisdictions have worked together to jointly locate school sites with parks, greenways, and community centers. The Town has also provided in-kind assistance to the Wake County Public School System to acquire land for several school sites in Cary. These are important collaborations that can reinforce longrange planning goals for the Town. SOURCES Town of Cary Administration Future Challenges and Opportunities MAINTAINING A QUALITY EDUCATIONAL SYSTEM AS GROWTH CONTINUES AND DEMOGRAPHICS CHANGE An excellent public education system is a critical component of maintaining Cary’s quality of life and competitive economic advantage. As growth and demographic changes occur in the future, it will be important to maintain the quality of the local public education systems. COORDINATION BETWEEN THE TOWN AND EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTIONS The Town of Cary plays several key roles related to the school district and its facilities in the Town. It directs development review for new schools and school expansions to ensure that new school facilities meet the Town’s development and appearance standards; helps to secure joint use agreements for parks and gymnasiums; and provides community support and volunteerism by providing School Resource Officers for middle and high schools. While the Town does support local schools, decisions related to school policies and school development are ultimately the jurisdiction of the school districts. Coordinated partnerships between the Town and educational institutions are critical for maintaining high quality schools into the future. 23 24 SNAPSHOT REPORT Public Safety CURRENT TRENDS ONE OF THE SAFEST CI TIES IN THE NATION For nearly two decades, Cary has been designated one of the safest mid-sized cities in the nation. Cary’s police department has received national accreditation status through the Commission on Accreditation for Law Enforcement Agencies (CALEA) for the past twenty years. This year (2013), Cary ranked as the third safest mid-sized city in the nation. Cary is also the first community in North Carolina to receive a Certificate of Advanced Meritorious Accreditation under the Gold Standard Assessment, and the Accreditation with Excellence Award. Cary’s public safety is provided through the Town’s Police and Fire Departments that provide law enforcement, fire suppression, emergency medical service, and technical rescue services. Cary’s EMS is an accredited volunteer and paid ambulance service. Cary has been recognized as one of the safest mid-sized cities in the nation for 20 years. The Police Department is comprised of 187 sworn officers and 41 civilian members, and the Fire Department has 225 personnel. The Town’s public safety focus is to provide efficient and effective delivery of services to keep Cary one of the nation’s safest cities. Cary’s Fire Department has achieved a Class 3 Public Protection Classification from the Insurance Service Office (ISO). The purpose of ISO is to give insurance companies a uniform system on which to base their insurance premiums. The department is also accredited by the Commission on Fire Accreditation International (CFAI). DECENTRALIZATION OF SAFETY SERVICES The Town is pursuing opportunities to decentralize public Cary’s first responders provide excellent service to residents and safety services in targeted geographic areas to maximize reach high priority calls within minutes. partnerships with the community and provide better service. Fire safety service is provided through seven existing fire stations. Fire Station #8, set to open in the summer of 2013, is the latest station to house fire and police personnel in the same facility; a police district office will be located there. GOOD EMERGENCY RESPO NSE TIMES Response times for highest priority calls are within five minutes for police responders and for first responder fire department apparatus. Community Life CITIZEN INVOLVEMENT Success of public safety services in Cary is partially due to the cooperative relationship between public safety providers and the Town’s citizens. There are several opportunities for citizens to engage in public safety programs, including the Citizens Police Academy, Community Watch, Business Watch, and the Cary Certified Emergency Response Team. SOURCES Commission on Accreditation for Law Enforcement Agencies Town of Cary Police and Fire Department Staff, 2013 Future Challenges and Opportunities CAREFULLY MONITOR SERVICE DEMANDS FOR GROWING COMMUNITY As development occurs and the Town’s boundaries expand into the land planning area, it is critical for public safety providers to analyze the distribution and concentration of staff and facilities to ensure compliance with adopted performance goals. PUBLIC SAFETY FOR AGING POPULATION Cary’s aging population could potentially place greater demand on emergency management services as the health of residents declines over time. Accordingly, per capita public safety costs may increase in concert with demand. Monitoring these trends to keep pace with changing demands will be critical in planning for future equipment and personnel needs. FOSTER COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT TO PROVIDE BETTER SERVICE Fire and police would like to continue to increase opportunities for citizens to be involved in public safety services. A focus on relationships and the ability to work collaboratively toward mutually desired outcomes will become increasingly important to keep Cary safe. Engagement can include feedback on the development of departmental business plans. SEEK OUT EFFICIENT SERVICE OPTIONS Cary is surrounded on all sides by jurisdictions that have their own public safety programs. The Town could explore and take advantage of all operational and cost effective benefits that may be derived from external agency agreements (i.e., agreements with neighboring public safety providers, such as Morrisville, Apex, etc.). 25 26 SNAPSHOT REPORT Health CURRENT TRENDS GENERALLY HEALTHY CO MMUNITY For the fourth year in a row, Wake County has been named the “Healthiest County” in North Carolina by the University of Wisconsin’s Population Health Institute and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. This partnership assesses the health of counties in all 50 states using a standard formula. 2012 Health Outcomes and Health Factors Wake County Statistics 2012 Health Outcomes Premature deaths 5,212 Poor or fair health 12% Public health is monitored by the Wake County Human Services Department for the purpose of identifying community health problems and to inform, educate, and empower people to improve health conditions. Adult smoking 15% AREAS FOR IMPROVEMENT Adult obesity 26% Physical inactivity 18% Excessive drinking 15% While Wake County is very healthy on average, there are trends showing that health risk factors are increasing for Wake County residents, and for Cary. The County’s Public Health Quarterly Report cites the following key areas for improvement: Obesity is on in the increase- since 2006, 25% more Wake County residents are obese. The percent of obese children ages 2-4 has begun to decrease in Wake County; however, obesity in school age children (ages 5-11 years) is on the rise. Children in poverty in Wake County increased from 11% in 2008 to 15% in 2010. Violent crime in Wake County is five times higher than the national benchmark. Due to the ratings of Cary’s public safety, this may not reflect crime statistics for the Town of Cary. Excessive drinking is a problem - 15% of Wake county adults participate in heavy or binge drinking compared to 13% of adults in North Carolina for 2004-2010. This is twice the national benchmark. Sexually transmitted infections increased from 365 per 100,000 population to 394 to 100,000 population between 2008 and 2009 – this is five times higher than the national benchmark. Physical environment in Wake County ranks 93rd out of 100 counties because of unhealthy environmental conditions based on air pollution, access to recreational facilities, limited access to healthy foods, and the number of fast food restaurants. The county has responded by setting out strategic goals to improve critical health issues by June 2014. Fighting obesity is a priority target. 2012 Health Factors Low income households with limited access to healthy foods Fast food restaurants as percent of all restaurants 6% 52% NEARLY 40% OF WAKE COUNTY RESIDENTS SAID THAT THE REASON FOR NOT ENGAGING IN PHYSICAL ACTIVITY WAS A LACK OF TIME. - Wake County Public Health Quarterly Report % of Obese Children Ages 5-11 Community Life ACCESS TO HEALTHY FO ODS Increasingly, health professionals are learning that our food environment factors--such as proximity to food stores and restaurants, food prices, food and nutrition assistance programs-- have an impact on health outcomes. The U. S. Department of Agriculture has devised several instruments to identify geographic areas that are “food insecure,” meaning locations that do not provide low income populations with proximate access to food. Cary is fortunate to not have any food insecure areas in the Town limits, but areas do exist in Raleigh directly east of Town. There is a growing movement to provide access to healthy locally grown foods through farmers markets and community supported agriculture (CSAs). Cary is home to several farmers’ markets, including the Cary Downtown Farmer’s Market, the Waverley Place Farmer’s Market, and the Western Wake Farmer’s Market in Cary. Offering healthy recreational choices is one way to improve public health outcomes. SOURCES Wake County Human Services Public Health Quarterly Reports (2012) 2010 Wake County Community Assessment USDA Food Research Atlas USDA Food Environment Atlas Future Challenges and Opportunities IMPROVING HEALTH OUTCOMES THROUGH LAND PLANNING The design of future developments, both residential and non-residential, can have an impact on the health outcomes of residents and workers, especially when development provides options for biking and walking. There is an opportunity to consider health implications as part of the built environment planning process. IMPROVING ACCESS TO RECREATIONAL AMENITIES It is a goal of Cary’s new Parks, Recreation, and Cultural Resources Master Plan to cultivate outdoor, connected, green, walkable spaces. Tying these spaces to residential and commercial centers provides additional opportunities for recreation and exercise. ENHANCING AWARENESS OF LOCAL RECREATIONAL AMENITIES Not all of Cary’s recreational programs and facilities are fully utilized, possibly due to lack of awareness of facilities and services that provide healthy recreational offerings for residents. IMPROVING ACCESS TO HEALTHY AND LOCALLY GROWN FOODS Cary’s residents have adequate access to healthy food. As the community grows, it may be a challenge to ensure that proximate access to healthy food sources is provided to new residents. 27 28 SNAPSHOT REPORT Natural Environment & Utilities Open Space, Parks, and Greenways CURRENT TRENDS DISTRIBUTED YET CONNECTED SYSTEM OF HIGHQUALITY PARKS The Town of Cary’s system of parks and open spaces cover approximately 1,835 acres (2.8 square miles). Another 430+ acres of parks are planned for the future. This network of existing and planned parks are distributed across the community and include a range of sizes from smaller parks that serve neighborhoods to larger metro and community parks that serve a broader population. PARKLAND DEDICATION WITH RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT Dedication of parkland has been required with single– family development for many years in Cary. Recently, with the 2012 Parks, Recreation & Cultural Resources Master Plan effort, this requirement was extended to apply to multi-family development to ensure that all types of new residential development will provide an equitable share of parkland needed for the future. Cary has land-banked hundreds of acres of open space and natural areas for future generations. Existing Greenspace Acres Existing Parks (not including venues) 1,136 Greenway Corridors 180 Natural Areas 519 Existing Subtotal PROTECTION AND MANAGEMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES Cary has made a commitment to protecting and managing areas that are ecologically important and have a high wildlife habitat value. In addition to the Town’s nature preserve that includes a nature center, the Town has 519 acres of natural areas and buffers that have been protected. These areas are set aside to conserve significant natural or cultural resources, wildlife habitat, landscapes, and open space, or provide enhanced aesthetics/buffer. They typically include dedicated watersheds or natural/non-developed areas, and their use for recreation is a secondary objective. The Town manages these areas with emphasis on environmental protection, nonmotorized access, outdoor education, and connections to other open space and trails. 1,835 Planned Future Parks 432 Future Total 2,267 Number Existing Number Planned Mini Parks 4 -- Neighborhood Parks 11 15 Community Parks 4 5 School Parks 5 2 Metro Parks 2 1 Existing and Future Parks Preserve 1 -- Total 27 23 Natural Environment & Utilities CONNECTED AND EXPANDING OPEN SPACE AND GREENWAY NETWORK Cary’s network of greenways ties together park sites to form a cohesive park, recreation, and open space system. The Town currently has 70 miles of paved greenway located within 180 acres of open space. Another 137 miles are proposed for future expansion of the greenway network, and the Town has set a goal of budgeting for the construction of at least two miles of greenway per year. Greenways (including street side trails and sidewalk connectors) Miles Existing 70 Proposed 137 Although the Town has shown a commitment to greenway construction that rivals any other community in North Carolina, the citizens of Cary continue to demand greater connectivity and linkage to other communities as well as to other regionally important trail systems. As such, the Town of Cary plays a crucial role in connecting regional, statewide, and national trails, including the American Tobacco Trail and the East Coast Greenway. TOTAL 207 According to the Town’s 2007 trail user counts, total estimate usage on any given Saturday or Sunday for the greenway system is 10,756 users and 1.1 million users over the course of a year. The typical Cary resident uses a trail 8 times on weekends during a year. Resources Master Plan, 2012; and Town SOURCES Town of Cary GIS Data, 2013; Cary Parks, Recreation & Cultural of Cary Staff. Future Challenges and Opportunities BALANCED, GEOGRAPHIC-BASED PARK DEVELOPMENT Providing a geographically balanced parks system will be a continuing challenge for the Town. While there is a need to develop new parks in western Cary which is experiencing rapid growth, there is also a need to redevelop parks and greenways across different parts of Town, particularly in Cary’s urban core. Since the Town has landbanked a number of park sites and obtained greenway easements as part of the development review process, this will facilitate the development of future parks and greenways. PROTECTING AND CONNECTING HIGH VALUE OPEN SPACES Many ecologically diverse and environmentally sensitive areas still exist in Town that are not currently protected. Opportunities exist to protect and connect these areas to maintain their ecological value and to provide active stewardship and management of these areas as the community evolves over time. GREENWAY CONNECTIVITY There are opportunities to connect and complete a system of trails that could serve the entire Cary community, linking parks, open space, schools, and other public facilities to residential, commercial, and employment areas. Ensuring that greenways are well maintained, and that the user experience is safe and seamless across the entire greenway network will be a challenge for future greenway planning. 29 30 SNAPSHOT REPORT Water SUFFICIENT WATER RESOURCES Cary’s water is supplied through water allocations from Jordan Lake, which is a federal multipurpose reservoir operated by the US Army Corps of Engineers, and owned by the State of North Carolina who controls the allocations. The Town jointly owns, but solely operates, the Cary/Apex Water Treatment Facility, located in Apex (Cary owns 77% and Apex owns 23% of the facility). The facility serves 200,000 people in Cary, Apex, Morrisville, RTP South, and RDU Airport. Cary’s service area includes over 160,000 people, 97% of which are in Wake County. Cary has over 62,000 potable water connections and water use is divided roughly 70%/30% between residential and commercial use. INCREASING WATER DEMAND AND FACILITIES The Cary/Apex Water Treatment Facility currently has a maximum day capacity of 40 MGD (million gallons per day). Current peak day demand is 29 MGD, but projections show an expansion is necessary to meet future needs through 2032 (see chart to the right). Design and permitting for the expansion of the facility to 56 MGD are currently underway, with the expansion anticipated to be complete by 2017. The Cary/Apex Water Treatment Facility serves more than 200,000 customers. IMPROVING WATER EFFICIENCY AND CONSERVATION Cary has experienced a gradual decline in water use since 1996 when the Town initiated a water conservation program, both actual and weather-adjusted. To date, the average yearly residential water use has declined 26%, from 75 to 57 gallons per capita per day. While the two recent droughts, in 2002 and 2007, had a significant impact, Cary has also developed a “culture of conservation” that influences customers’ water use. This is in part evidenced by the new water meters recently installed by the Town, which wirelessly relay water use information to a central utility data center. This allows customers to track their water use and receive warnings when monthly water use exceeds a certain amount through the online Aquastar Web Portal. Maximum Day Treated Water Demand Forecast for the Cary/Apex Water Treatment Facility shows adequate capacity through 2032. Natural Environment & Utilities INCREASING SEWER INFRASTRUCTURE Cary’s sewer system collects 5 billion gallons of waste annually, through 890 miles of sewer lines and force mains. The Town owns and operates two wastewater treatment facilities, one in each of two Neuse River drainage basins: the 12 MGD North Cary Water Reclamation Facility and the 12.8 MGD South Cary Water Reclamation Facility (WRF). To serve new development, a new 18-MGD Western Wake Facility is being designed in Western Wake County to serve areas of Cary, Apex, and Morrisville. Projections show there is sufficient total wastewater treatment capacity through 2060, assuming wastewater strengths do not change significantly over time. Considered as a whole, the total required wastewater treatment capacity in 2060 is projected to be 44.5 MGD and the theoretically Cary is the first community in the State to offer available capacity is 46.4 MGD, leaving 1.9 MGD of excess reclaimed water to residents and businesses. capacity (96 percent utilization). However, the North Cary WRF capacity will begin to be exceeded by 2030 and by 2060 it will have a capacity deficit of 2.5 MGD. Therefore, while overall capacity in the Town is sufficient, long-term planning will be needed to address the capacity gap at the North Cary WRF. INTRODUCTION OF RECLAIMED WATER The Town of Cary is the first in the State to offer reclaimed water (i.e., treated wastewater) to residents and commercial businesses for uses such as irrigation, power washing, vehicle washing, street sweeping, industrial uses, manufacturing uses, and dust control at construction sites. Currently the Town has 24 miles of reclaimed water lines, with 715 connections. In 2014, the system will extend to serve the Thomas Brooks Park (site of the USA Baseball national training center). Town of Cary Water Demand by Land Use Type Single Family Residential Uses 218 gpd/unit Multi-family Residential Uses 116 gpd/unit Institutional Uses 214 gpd/acre Commercial Uses 1,142 gpd/acre Industrial Uses 376 gpd/acre STORMWATER MANAGEMENT To address watershed protection, including the protection of streams and wetlands in Cary, the Town has adopted a Stormwater Management Plan and numerous ordinances and standards. The Town remains committed to minimizing and mitigating impacts from stormwater runoff impacts by requiring new developments to incorporate stormwater best management practices. The Town maintains stormwater infrastructure within the public right-of-way and on Town-owned property. A recent review of the Town’s policies show that Cary is meeting or exceeding its regulatory requirements with less staff and funding than many other municipalities. SOURCES Town of Cary Public Works Utilities Staff Town of Cary – Long Range Water Resources Plan, Stormwater Management Plan, and Reclaimed Water Distribution System Master Plan 31 32 SNAPSHOT REPORT Future Challenges and Opportunities COORDINATED LAND USE AND INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING As mentioned above, Cary will need additional water supply by 2035, and the greater Triangle region will need a new water source in the 2050-2060 time frame. A continued increase in coordination between neighboring communities presents opportunities for resource and facility optimization, along with the challenges of managing more complex partnerships. AGING INFRASTRUCTURE Just as housing and commercial developments are aging in Cary, so is the infrastructure network that services them. For instance, the Town has over 1,500,000 linear feet of storm drain pipe in the Public Right of Way that was installed between 1835 and 2012. Maintaining this aging stormwater infrastructure will require additional resources as the years go by. PREDICTING AND MANAGING WATER USE Predicting future needs remains an ongoing challenge for the Town, with variables such as the community’s vision for water resource management, customers’ choices regarding water use (especially irrigation), and the increasing efficiency of water-using appliances and fixtures all effecting water management and supply. ADDRESSING FLOOD PRONE STRUCTURES Future policies and programs will need to stay ahead of flood prone structures. While the Town does not allow new development in the flood plain, many existing single-family homes are located in flood plain areas, posing health and safety risks for residents. INCREASING SERVICE COSTS While water conservation measures reduce water supply capacity needs, the cost to provide these services likely will increase over time. Overall, these costs can be reduced through conservation measures but may still result in increasing costs to the consumer. STRATEGIC RESOURCE MANAGEMENT Strategic resource management is possible with the integration of community planning, water resources management, utility planning, and development. For example, stormwater models of each watershed can be used to determine the current condition of the watershed, evaluate the impacts of proposed developments, and identify opportunities for integrated rainwater capture, water reuse, and water quality management. Natural Environment & Utilities 33 Waste CURRENT TRENDS ADEQUATE SOLID WASTE FACILITIES The Solid Waste Division of the Town of Cary, which is part of the Town’s Public Works and Utilities Department, oversees three waste programs for the Town of Cary—solid waste, recycling, and yard waste. The division provides service to over 35,700 single family homes, 8,800 multifamily residences, and 526 small businesses. The Town collects and manages over 61,000 tons of material annually from these three programs. Along with weekly solid waste and yard collections, and biweekly recycling collections, the Town also provides special curbside collections for electronics, used cooking oil, appliances, bulky waste, used motor oil and filters, dead animals, and extra cardboard. The Town also operates the Citizen’s Convenience Center; a staffed dropoff center (open 362 days a year) that accepts yard waste, residential bagged and bulky waste, appliances, recyclables, computers and electronics. Cary provides efficient solid waste service utilizing automated garbage trucks that maximize staff time and safety. Cary disposes its solid waste at the South Wake County Landfill, and has a 25 year agreement (signed in 2008) with the County to accept the waste. Cary’s yard waste is composted by McGill Environmental at their facility in Chatham County, and the recyclables are processed by Recycle America at their Material Recovery Facility in Raleigh. The Town is paid market value for the recyclable material, with a base floor price of $18 a ton. Percent Diverted from Landfill IN 2008, CARY COLLECTED 700 TONS OF RECYCLED MATERIAL A MONTH; IN 2012, THAT NUMBER INCREASED TO 900 TONS A MONTH INCREASED COLLECTION OF RECYCL ED MATERIALS The community has a strong commitment to recycling. By replacing the 18 gallon recycling bins with either a 65 or 95 gallon recycling cart in 2009, the Town made it more convenient for its customers to recycle. In 2012 the Town expanded the types of materials it collects to include lids, shredded paper, metal pots and pans, and paperboard egg carton/cup trays. With the increased cart capacity and additional materials, the Town has increased from 8,467 tons of recyclables collected in 2008 to 10,811 tons in 2012. Amount of waste diverted from the landfill through recycling has been on an upward trend since 2006. SOURCES Town of Cary Solid Waste Staff 34 SNAPSHOT REPORT INCREASING WASTE REDUCTION EFFORTS Annually, the Town hosts several special events that emphasize waste reduction, recycling, and proper disposal. These events include the Compost Giveaway, where citizens can receive free compost (created from the yard waste collected by the Town); Household Hazardous Waste Collection Day, a partnership with Wake County where citizens bring household hazardous waste and electronics for proper disposal and recycling; and the America Recycles Day Paper Shred, which offers citizens free on-site secure shredding of sensitive documents. In 2012, the Town piloted a compost program at the Lazy Daze Arts and Crafts Festival to expand its waste reduction efforts Tons per Person per Year Amount of waste collected From Cary residents has been declining since 2006. Future Challenges and Opportunities MEETING FUTURE DEMAND As the Town’s population increases, challenges and opportunities will continue to arise regarding the Town’s ability to meet new service demands while still maintaining a cost effective program. Innovative ways to reduce solid waste and to improve efficiency in collection practices will be essential to the program. Natural Environment & Utilities 35 Air CURRENT TRENDS IMPROVING AIR QUALITY Ground level ozone is North Carolina's most widespread air quality problem, particularly during the warmer months. Ground level ozone can be unhealthy to breathe – particularly for children, the elderly, people with respiratory problems or heart disease, and even healthy adults who work or exercise outdoors. It also can damage trees and crops. To monitor ground level ozone and other pollutants, Congress passed the Clean Air Act in 1970, which divided the states up into regions and established standards for six air pollutants. Cary is part of the RaleighDurham-Chapel Hill area. Each area is tasked with meeting the standard set for each of the pollutants. Areas that meet the standard are called “attainment areas,” while areas that do not are called “non-attainment areas.” Improving air quality in the Triangle Region is largely dependent upon improvements to our regional transportation system to reduce vehicle emissions and ground level ozone. Among other requirements, when an area is designated nonattainment, the EPA requires transportation conformity, which means that local governments must demonstrate that planned road infrastructure expansion (new roads, road widening, etc.) will not result in vehicle nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions that produce ground level ozone over the allowable level. If this cannot be shown, the area loses federal highway construction funds. Conformity applies to transportation plans, transportation improvement programs, and projects funded or approved by the Federal Highway Administration or the Federal Transit Administration. New industries wishing to locate in non-attainment areas or existing industries planning to expand often need to add more expensive control equipment, which can hamper industrial growth. MAINTAINING COMPLIANCE AND ATTAINMENT STATUS Ten years ago, the Triangle was considered a “nonattainment area” for ground level ozone, but in 2007 the Triangle was redesignated from a “non-attainment” to a “maintenance” area for ground level ozone pollution. It is anticipated that the EPA will raise the current ozone standard in July 2013, to levels that will again make the Triangle a nonattainment area. For this reason, efforts to lower regional ground level ozone levels are critical for the Town to maintain its ability to obtain federal transportation funding in the coming decades. The Triangle is considered to be NOx-limited, meaning that reducing NOx emissions is believed to be the most effective way to reduce ground level ozone levels. In our region the largest source of NOx is from on-road transportation, cars, and trucks. Other sources of NOx come from combustion from power plants, industries, and equipment. Cary lies in the Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill Area for measuring federal air quality attainment standards. 36 SNAPSHOT REPORT IMPROVING EMISSION EFFORTS Although technological improvements, such as vehicles with higher miles per gallon rates, will reduce NOx emissions, other efforts are also needed. As such, Cary has been working with other local government agencies on initiatives to reduce the amount of vehicle emissions in the area. One effort is the Triangle Clean Cities Coalition, which is comprised of local and state government agencies, private companies, non-profit organizations, and interested individuals who are dedicated to accelerating the use of alternative fuels and advanced transportation technologies in the Triangle region. The Town also participates in the Triangle Air Quality Partnership, which is a partnership to accelerate the use of alternative transportation fuels such as biodiesel, ethanol, natural gas, propane, and electricity. SOURCES Triangle Air Quality Partnership NCDENR Division of Air Quality Town of Cary Sustainability Staff Future Challenges and Opportunities AVOIDING NON-ATTAINMENT STATUS Coordinating land use decisions and transportation planning will be critical as part of the Town’s effort to reduce the number of vehicle miles traveled by Cary residents. Strategies to help reduce the number of NOx emissions are necessary to ensure the Town continues to be eligible for public transportation funding. Natural Environment & Utilities 37 Energy CURRENT TRENDS FOCUS ON TOWN ENERGY USE Total Energy Use Duke Energy Progress Inc. provides electric service for Cary residents while PSNC Energy supplies residents with natural gas. In 2011, the Town conducted an inventory of energy use for Town facilities. The inventory tallied all energy, costs, and emissions associated with Town buildings, vehicles, equipment, and streetlights. The study found that the Town spent just over $8.3 million on energy costs in 2010. Specifically, the Town utilized: 67,759,011 kWh of electricity 543,667 therms of natural gas 23,506 gallons of propane 693,421 gallons of fleet fuel The Town is working on several grant-funded initiatives, like energy efficiency retrofits in buildings, LED street lights, highefficiency ball field lighting, and hybrid vehicles that will inform its approach toward achieving energy reduction goals. This graph illustrates total energy use by sector for Town-owned properties and vehicle fleets. DECREASING ENERGY USAGE In a concerted effort to reduce energy usage and costs, the Town adopted a Strategic Energy Action Plan in 2012. The Plan establishes an energy reduction goal with associated strategies to actively improve energy practices in order to lower costs and reduce emissions that contribute to environmental pollution. The Plan’s overall energy reduction goal is a 13% reduction in energy use from the projected “Business as Usual” energy use estimate by 2020. If achieved, this would result in a reduction of 7,000 metric tonnes of carbon dioxide per year. In order to achieve the overall reduction goal, the Town is looking to make the following reductions in these specific areas: Types and Cost of Town Energy Usage Electricity Natural Gas Propane Fleet Fuel TOTAL: $6,555,339 $433,387 $72,525 $1,254,149 $8,315,400 Fleet—Increase average miles per gallon for town fleet by 20% and reduce miles driven by 5% for an anticipated savings of $470,000. Buildings—30% reduction in energy use for an anticipated savings of $846,000. Water & Wastewater—3% reduction in energy use across these two categories for an anticipated savings of $267,000. ANTICIPATED SAVINGS FROM TOWN ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES: $1,583,000 PER YEAR. The Town of Cary has initiated an effort to reduce energy use of Town facilities and vehicle fleets. 38 SNAPSHOT REPORT INCREASING ENERGY OPTIONS The Town has been increasing the number of solar generation facilities, both public and privately owned. In 2007, the Town began exploring the idea of installing renewable energy generation equipment at various locations on Town properties. This exploration led to a public-private partnership between the Town and FLS Energy. The first installation from this partnership, completed in December of 2012, was a 1.8 MW system installed on 8 acres of unused land at the South Cary Water Reclamation Facility. The Town receives rental revenue on this land yearly, does not have to maintain the land, and by providing the land for the solar development helps FLS Energy to generate enough power to run over 172 homes. The Town has the option to work with FLS Energy to evaluate future similar projects. The Town is also installing its first town-owned solar installation and solar thermal hot water heater through the construction of Fire Station #8. This is the Town's first “green-built” project and will serve as a pilot for other potential initiatives; it includes sustainable features like: The solar farm, located at the Town’s South Cary Water Reclamation Facility, has the capacity to generate 1.89 megawatts of electricity, or enough energy to power nearly 200 homes. Solar assist hot water heating Photovoltaic panels on the roof to collect and store energy from the sun Plumbing designed to tie into the Town's reclaimed water system Finally, in August of 2012 the Town began a two-year electric vehicle (EV) charging station pilot project, to evaluate three kinds of charging stations put in place for public use. The pilot is intended to evaluate the ease of use for the charging station user, ease of use by the Town in tracking and administrating, durability, and reliability. The hope is that, at the end of the pilot, the Town will have sufficient information to decide if this is a service that citizens and Council want or need at Town-owned locations. Shown here is one of three different types of EV charging stations installed in Cary. Five charging stations have been installed in the Town to date. SOURCES Town of Cary Sustainability Staff Town of Cary Strategy Energy Action Plan Future Challenges and Opportunities PUBLIC ENERGY REDUCTION GOALS Meeting the Town’s energy reduction goals will be a focus over the next decade to cut down on energy costs, while continuing to meet the community’s needs. The provision of training and resources to assist Town staff in using and evaluating various energy-saving technologies and the exploration of other cost effective, renewable energy alternatives will be important for reaching this goal. ADVANCING ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND RENEWABLE ENERGY IN CARY Opportunities exist to encourage and promote energy efficiency in the development of private homes and businesses. The extent to which energy efficiency efforts expand beyond the Town’s Strategic Energy Plan goals is contingent upon the support of the community. Built Environment & Mobility 39 Built Environment & Mobility Development CURRENT TRENDS PREDOMINANT LAND USE IS RESIDENTIAL Cary has a history of growth that has rapidly changed the Town’s boundaries and environment over the last several decades. The Town can be described as a suburban community offering a mix of high quality master planned communities, business parks, and retail centers. Land in the Town’s planning area is broken down into the following categories: Single Family Detached and Attached Residential: 38% Other residential categories: 3% Vacant and Agricultural: 22% The Cary we know today is a reflection of decades of purposeful Greenspaces (including publicly owned parks and planning that has resulted in quality development and open spaces and private greenspaces, such as property a unique sense of place. owned by Homeowners Associations): 9% Public and QuasiPublic (including uses such as public institutions, religious facilities, utility providers, etc.): 8% Commercial and Industrial: 5% Office: 3% The Existing Land Use map located in the Appendix illustrates the geographic distribution of land uses in the planning area. Existing Land Use (Parcels within the Land Use Plan Boundary) Acres Residential: Single Family Detached Vacant Greenspace (Public & Private) Public/Quasi-Public Agriculture Commercial Office Residential: Multi-Family Residential: Single Family Attached Residential: Manufactured Home Industrial Right of Way Total 19,429.1 8,114.6 4,511.8 4,415.4 3,492.0 2,351.5 1,743.9 1,426.0 446.9 237.9 230.8 6,339.9 52,740 LIMITED SUPPLY OF LAND AVALIABLE FOR FUTURE GROWTH Land in the Cary planning area that can be developed is limited. As of January 2012, the Cary land planning area had 35,549 acres of land that could be considered developed or committed (77% of total land planning area), 999 acres of development in the pipeline (2% of total land planning area), and 9,766 acres of undeveloped land (21% of total land planning area). For the Town of Cary, the amount of land developed or committed was equal to approximately 89% of land in the Town, and the land available for development was equal to approximately 11% of the land in Cary. The Potential Development Areas Map located in the Appendix illustrates the locations of these areas. 40 SNAPSHOT REPORT One measure used to understand the potential for development in the future is a buildout analysis. While it is unlikely that every parcel in the land planning area will be developed, it is a useful analysis for understanding the extent of development potential. Based on the current land use plan and other studies, the Town has capacity for an estimated 91,810 residential dwelling units and 232,094 people. Full buildout of the land planning area was estimated to add 22,209 single-family dwelling units and 11,053 multi-family dwelling units that could accommodate approximately 82,890 additional people. Residential Development Single Family Units Multi Family Units Total Units Total Estimated Population* Currently Developed 44,174 14,329 58,503 149,204 In the Planning/ Entitlement Process 3,495 2,983 6,481 15,545 Development Potential of All Remaining Land (not in process) 18,714 8,115 26,829 67,345 Potential Full Buildout 66,383 25,427 91,810 232,094 *Pertains to the entire Planning Area, including county subdivisions Nonresidential Floor Space Currently Developed Square Feet (Millions) Office Institutional Commercial Industrial Total 1.24 7.1 9.6 6.9 36.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 2.2 2.6 4.2 1.3 19.1 9.8 14.3 8.3 57.5 In the Planning/ Entitlement Process Development Potential of All Remaining Land (not in process) 1.4 In addition to capacity for additional residential development, the current Land Use Plan allocates some areas to future 11.1 nonresidential development. Full buildout of the land plan could mean an additional 25.0 12.5 million square feet of office space, 2.7 Potential Full Buildout *Pertains to the entire Planning Area million square feet of institutional space, 4.7 million square feet of commercial space, and 1.4 million square feet of industrial space. To put in perspective, the average grocery store is approximately 50,000-75,000 square feet. Combined with existing development, the Town has capacity for approximately 57.5 million square feet of nonresidential space based on the current land use plan. While these buildout estimates illustrate that the Town has capacity for new growth and development, in practice, development on greenfield (i.e., undeveloped) sites is likely to rapidly diminish after about 50% of the remaining land is consumed. This is due to site constraints, the real estate market, willingness of landowners to develop, and other factors. At current rates of land consumption, it is expected that greenfield residential growth will diminish drastically in about 10 to 12 years and greenfield nonresidential growth will diminish in approximately 20 to 24 years, or less, depending on residential growth and land consumption. INCREASING OPPORTUNITIES FOR INFILL DEVELOPMENT AND REDEVELOPMENT As new development on greenfield sites slows, infill development and redevelopment will likely increase, especially as buildings age and reach the end of their useful life cycle. Typical timelines for redevelopment, renewal, and enhancements of different types of real estate are as follows: Retail structures are typically rebuilt every 10-20 years Class B & C offices are typically rebuilt every 15-30 years MAJOR DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS UNDER REVIEW OR RECENTLY APPROVED Residential Collins Grove Townhomes The Franklin Apartments Glencroft Townhomes Holland Farm Subdivision Peninsula at Amberly Phillips Place Townhomes Southerlyn Subdivision Tryon Place at Cary Parkway Nonresidential Cary High School Expansion Searstone Medical Office Building Village Square Shopping Center SAS Campus Mixed Use Parkside Town Commons Phillips Chatham Pointe Built Environment & Mobility Class A offices are typically renewed every 20-40 years Multi-family residential is typically renewed every 20-40 years Single-family residential homes are typically upgraded every 25-50 years AGING BUILT ENVIRONM ENT Today, the Town has approximately 3,579 single-family units and 454 multifamily units that are more than 40 years old—these units may be candidates for reinvestment and renewal. In 30 years, this is expected to jump to 18,261 single-family units and 4,388 multi-family units that are more than 40 years old, meaning that a significant portion of the Town’s housing stock will be aging and in need of reinvestment. Likewise, today Cary has approximately 8.2 million square feet of nonresidential space that is more than 25 years old (including 2.5 million square feet of retail and 9 shopping centers), and in 30 years that will jump to approximately 37.2 million square feet of nonresidential space (including 11.2 million square feet of retail and 30 shopping centers). These trends indicate that the community’s structures are aging and reinvestment and redevelopment will become increasingly important to maintain their quality. SOURCES Town of Cary GIS Data, 2013; and Town of Cary Planning Department Future Challenges and Opportunities ADAPTING LAND USE AND DEVELOPMENT PATTERNS As land supply to support future growth becomes more limited, developers will start to look for opportunities to accommodate new development on infill sites, and may need to place more emphasis on redevelopment and/or intensification of underutilized areas. Moreover, as the Town’s demographics change, it may be necessary to plan new development and redevelopment to better accommodate and support aging and smaller households. This may mean more options for different housing types, low-maintenance communities, housing in closer proximity to services, and increased options for different modes of transportation. RETAINING AREAS FOR NON-RESIDENTIAL USES Because Cary is a desirable place to live, pressure for housing development is outpacing non-residential demand. In order to retain areas for future non-residential development to support neighborhoods and provide employment opportunities for residents, it may be important to monitor and address the conversion of areas slated for nonresidential uses to residential uses. TRANSIT ORIENTED DEVELOPMENT While plans for future commuter rail service in the Triangle Region are not fully in place, regional planning efforts have identified a rail system that includes three transit stations located in Cary within the Maynard Loop. How land is developed around these potential transit station sites will have a direct impact on the success of the rail service in Cary and the region, and the potential for increasing economic development opportunities around station sites. FUTURE OFFICE/COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT MODEL As business models change and employment centers evolve to succeed in our 21st century environment, it may be likely that land planning models for business development will have to change. Cary’s history of producing high quality office and business parks may not be the sole model for future business development. This will be determined by target industries being recruited to the area, and their real estate preferences. The Town could monitor market changes and identify balanced approaches to meeting land planning and economic development goals. 41 42 SNAPSHOT REPORT Transportation CURRENT TRENDS GOOD ROADWAY SYSTEM WITH PLANS FOR IMPROVEMENTS ROAD PLANNING IS A REGIONAL ISSUE Cary is in a very transportation rich location within the larger Triangle region. With I-40 to the east and north, US 1 / US 64 to the south, and now NC-540 to the west, Cary has access to a lot of the important regional highways. For transportation planning purposes, Cary is part of the Capital Area Metropolitan Planning Organization (CAMPO), which handles long-range transportation planning for Wake County and parts of Johnston, Harnett, Granville, and Franklin Counties. The current long-range transportation plan for the Capital Area is the 2040 Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP), which guides the vision and infrastructure investment decisions for the region. The 2040 MTP was prepared along with the Durham-Chapel Hill-Carrboro Metropolitan Planning Organization (DCHC MPO), which includes Durham, Orange, and parts of Chatham Counties. The 2040 MTP includes improvements and new roads in the Triangle region, including Cary. The MTP improvements in Cary are shown in the adjacent map (also provided in the Appendix). LIMITED ROAD CONGESTION The Town of Cary has made significant investments in quality roadways in the past and the positive results can be seen today. In 2010, Cary had 243 centerline miles of roadways, and most of the major roadways in Cary were uncongested during the afternoon peak travel time; only 18 lane-miles (3% of the total) were experiencing congestion in 2010. PROJECTED INCREASES IN CONGESTION Type of Facility Centerline Miles Lane Miles Congested Lane Miles Hours of Delay 2010 2040 243 716 18 (3%) 8,458 280 971 88 (9%) 25,629 The regional travel demand model (TRM) is used to estimate future (2040) conditions on roadways in Cary and the surrounding Triangle area. This model includes planned transportation projects (including road, transit, and regional rail improvements), as well as expected changes in population and employment. The TRM has 280 centerline miles of roadway in 2040 for Cary. According to TRM estimates, many segments of the regional freeway system in Cary will be at or over capacity in 2040; however, traffic projections for the roadway network across Town show most facilities operating under or just reaching capacity, much better than most areas in the Triangle region. In 2040, 88 lane-miles of roadway in Cary (9% of the total) are estimated to experience congestion either in the morning or afternoon peak hour. The chart on the next page shows the TRM’s projected growth in households, population, and employment in Cary between 2010 and 2040. The chart also shows hours of delay on roadways, which is projected to increase more than households, population, and employment as a percentage of 2010 levels. Built Environment & Mobility MORE COMMUTERS COMING TO CARY THAN LEAVING CARY 2010 and 2040 Comparison of Growth in Households (HH), Population (Pop), Employment (Emp), and Travel Delays in Cary and Adjacent Areas Cary sees more commuters come into the Town everyday than leave the Town to commute to other locations. Additionally, about 18% of Cary residents work at various locations in Cary. Most of the commuters leaving Cary head east, many to Raleigh, but about 16% of Cary residents commute to Durham or Chapel Hill; 48% of the commuters into Cary come from unincorporated areas and cities not named specifically on the map. On the journey-to-work flow map, blue lines indicate where Cary residents go to work, and red lines indicate where Cary workers are coming from. The data come from the Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics dataset, which is a US Census product for work location data. The maps below show which destinations are reachable in five minute bands for a trip starting in downtown Cary in 2010 and in 2040 based on TRM data. 2010 PM Peak Hour Travel Time Contours 2040 PM Peak Hour Travel Time Contours *Color represents five minute travel time bands from downtown Cary 43 44 SNAPSHOT REPORT AWARD-WINNING BIKE AND PEDESTRIAN FACILITIES The Town of Cary is a recognized leader in pedestrian and bicycle planning and facilities. The Town has been awarded bronze-level distinction as both a BicycleFriendly Community and a Walk-Friendly Community, making it one of only three North Carolina communities to receive both national designations. The map shown to the right and included in the Appendix identifies existing bicycle and pedestrian facilities in the planning area. Based on a popular web service, Walkscore, Cary overall has an average score of 38 out of 100. Walkscore measures whether services, destinations, and residences are within walkable distance to each other. The low walkscore for the Town indicates that even though the Town has made significant efforts to develop pedestrian facilities, destinations are spread out and residents have to commit significantly more time and effort to walk to destinations rather than drive. Type of Facility Sidewalks Greenways Bicycle Lanes Sharrows Wide Outside Lanes Existing Miles 400 70 20 5 40 Bicycle and pedestrian facilities are located throughout the Cary land planning area, as illustrated here. See the full size map in the Appendix for more detail. POLICIES SUPPORT WALKING AND BIKING The Town also has policies and programs in place to support walking and bicycling, including: Complete streets policy Bike parking ordinance Education programs (staff training, general classes, PSAs, newsletters) Encouragement and enforcement programs Bicycle & Hike Map with Bicycle Rider’s Guide Connectivity ordinance Sidewalk request program with construction funding ($500K to $1 million annually) WALKING AND BIKING USED MORE FOR RECREATION THAN COMMUTING Cary’s pedestrian and bicycling facilities are used more for recreation than daily commuting. According to American Community Survey estimates, 1.34% of Cary residents walk to work and 0.28% bike to work. EXTENSIVE GREENWAY NETWORK The Town has an extensive greenway network of 70 miles, placing the town third in North Carolina behind only Raleigh and Charlotte in total greenway mileage. Additionally, Cary residents consistently place greenways as one of the most important Town infrastructure investments. The greenways in Cary attract an estimated 1.1 million users on weekends annually. Built Environment & Mobility HIGH QUALITY TRANSIT SERVICE C-Tran is the main transit service in Cary, but Triangle Transit also operates three routes in Cary. Triangle Transit is the regional transit provider for the Triangle and operates service that connects major cities in the area. Triangle Transit operates regular service throughout the day in many locations and express service during morning and evening commutes that connects major destinations. C-Tran connects to Triangle Transit routes and to Raleigh’s Capital Area Transit (CAT) routes. C-Tran operates six fixed-routes with service Monday through Saturday, 6:00 am to 8:00 pm. Most routes have a 30-minute frequency at peak times, and all routes have a 60-minute frequency at off-peak times. Fare for a one-way fixed-route trip is $1. DEMAND-RESPONSIVE SERVICE C-Tran also operates demandresponsive service for seniors and C-Tran offers six fixed routes in Cary. individuals with mobility limitations requiring curb-to-curb service. Demand-responsive services provide access to in-town destinations, and the surrounding communities of Raleigh, Durham, Chapel Hill, Morrisville, and Apex. Fares vary between $1 and $6 depending on time and destination. Ridership has been slowly increasing for the demand-responsive service. INCREASING RIDERSHIP SATISFACTION Ridership has grown an average of 25 to 40% annually since the introduction of fixed-route service in 2006, and the fixed-route system provided nearly 250,000 trips in 2012. The highest ridership is on Route 6, which provides service to Raleigh. The second highest ridership is on Route 5, which provides service south to Crescent Commons. Over this time period cost per rider has been consistently decreasing as well. Based on rider survey responses, rider satisfaction is very high. Recent improvements include the completion of electronic farebox installation and automated passenger counters, and the full implementation of real-time bus arrival information, completed in April 2013. 45 46 SNAPSHOT REPORT ONGOING REGIONAL TRANSIT PLANNING INITIATIVE The Triangle region is currently considering regional rail projects and an expansion of bus transit services. These projects are envisioned to be partially funded by a ½-cent sales tax that each of the three major counties in the Triangle must approve. Durham and Orange Counties have both approved similar sales tax increases, but Wake County has not held a vote on the tax. The regional transit initiative involves a doubling in local bus services and new regional commuter and light rail projects to connect the region’s cities. One element of the rail initiative is envisioned to be commuter rail service that has high-capacity passenger trains operate express service between major destinations during the morning and afternoon commutes. The second element of the rail initiative will be two light-rail systems (LRT) in the Triangle connecting Raleigh, Cary, and Morrisville; the other Durham and Chapel Hill. The first phase would be limited to Cary to Raleigh only. LRT service would be highcapacity, high-frequency throughout the day. The Town of Cary would have three light-rail stops within Town boundaries, including a stop in downtown, with one on the border with Morrisville. Future Challenges and Opportunities DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES The changing demographics of Cary have the potential to shift transportation preferences and choices. An increasingly diverse and aging population will likely have different personal mobility needs. Transit service, especially demandresponsive service, can help seniors “age in place.” Additionally, younger people nationally may be exhibiting different transportation preferences than previous generations – more desire for transit, walkability, and bikeability, and less reliance on automobile use. ENVIRONMENTAL AND FISCAL CHALLENGES Coupled with the changing preferences of younger and older users are external economic and environmental factors that may change transportation in the future. One element of this is the increasing cost of infrastructure, especially retrofits, and factors like rising energy costs and gas prices. These increasing costs are met with constrained budgets for infrastructure investment. A range of strategies may be considered to help reduce future environmental and fiscal costs, including more efficient use of existing infrastructure; promoting multimodal options and connections; working with employers on Transportation Demand Management (TDM) techniques, and enhancing the use of technology for mobility choices and options. INFRASTRUCTURE MANAGEMENT A future change in transportation will be shifting from development and building of infrastructure to system management and maintenance. As the transportation network continues to become more complete, there are diminishing returns for new construction costs for delayed maintenance; transportation funds may be better spent managing use of existing facilities more efficiently rather than construction of new facilities in some cases. REGIONAL CHANGES Projected future travel demands on roadways are anticipated to exceed available capacity in the Triangle region and in critical areas in the Town. Hours of traffic-related delay in Cary are expected to triple. Additionally, regional light-rail and commuter rail initiatives may present significant opportunities for Cary residents, but also pose new challenges. The delay in Wake County voting for the sales tax is a challenge for transit because the expected revenue from the sales tax would fund regional rail and also a doubling of bus service. How Cary responds to the changing regional transportation environment may help determine its future success. BALANCING THE NEEDS OF DIFFERENT USERS Multimodal options involve tradeoffs between different options that benefit different types of users. For example, at intersections, the needs and desires of motorists, pedestrians, and bicyclists may not align. Balancing the system to ensure functionality for all users requires choices. Continuing to build out pedestrian and bicycle infrastructure is important to create a full network, but this will need to be balanced with the needs of motorists. Built Environment & Mobility SOURCES Town of Cary Planning and Engineering Departments American Community Survey Travel Demand Model – CAMPO Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Model – US Census Walkscore.com 47 48 SNAPSHOT REPORT Appendix of Maps Base Map – Cary Land Planning Area Existing Land Use Map Development Status Map Composite Transportation System Map Existing Pedestrian and Bicycle Facilities CAMPO 2040 Metropolitan Transportation Plan Projects in Cary (Draft)