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Foreword Competition in the ICT sector is increasingly taking the shape of service platforms offering telephony, internet access and television programmes. Triple play offers a concrete illustration of the convergence between telecommunications, the internet and the media industry. It consequently raises a large number of questions regarding the strategies of various industry players and the viability of their business models, as well as regulatory frameworks and antitrust policies. This issue's Dossier provides a range of contributions that tackle these major questions. Following on from the Dossier are two papers chosen from a selection of the best contributions presented at the EURO CPR conference held in March in Seville. Other papers from this selection may be published in our forthcoming issue(s). Lastly, this issue of COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES offers a series of Features, rounded off by several book reviews, on a diverse and varied range of topics that should prove of interest to our readers. We hope that you enjoy this issue, Edmond Baranes Editor Yves Gassot Publishing Director Call for papers Dossiers No. 63 – 3rd quarter 2006 Bundling strategies and competition in ICT industries Editors: Edmond BARANES & Gilles LE BLANC Bundling strategies and its effects on competition is now a well-established research topic in industrial economics. Since the late 1990's, the technological "convergence" of voice, video, and data services, the telecom sector has offered a rich experimental field for bundling proposals. This special issue aims to confront recent advances in the economic theory of bundling with the specific experiences and perspectives of the telecom industry. We welcome theoretical papers, as well as empirical contributions based on practical case studies, on the following issues: bundling and competition policy, the implication of bundling strategies on competition and market structure, bundling and innovation, bundling and network effects etc. Papers addressing these questions with applications or illustrations in the software or media industries will also be considered. Please send proposals to: edmond.baranes@univ-montp1.fr - leblanc@ensmp.fr th No. 64 – 4 quarter 2006 Reviewing the Review Editors: Yves GASSOT & Gérard POGOREL This Dossier will examine the evidence, alternatives and possible trade-offs concerning the most critical elements of an evolving future Electronic Communications regulatory framework. The current Electronic Communications regulatory framework has now been in place for almost three years, and the European Commission should, in the very near future, produce an analysis of what worked well within the current framework and what needs to be changed to account for technological and economic evolutions in the electronic communications market. This issue will run parallel to the Review, examining the most crucial issues surrounding it and looking forward to a modern, market-oriented regulatory framework that delivers optimal benefits to consumers and industry alike. We will look at competitive scenarios, particularly the status of access vs. network based competition and whether the present regulatory framework provides adequate incentives to genuine network based competition. We will also look at the lessons to be learnt from the experiences of different EU Member States, and discuss how to deal with local institutions and contingencies in setting up a competition development strategy. "Emerging" technologies, NGNs, and their status in competition policy and the rationale for regulation or non-regulation are also a topic of major concern. Analyses of EU trends and unresolved questions, including VoIP, FTTH, xDSL and converging services, will be provided. This issue will also examine the decision criteria for defining and coping with emerging technologies. Strategic choices in regulation are to be defined within a dynamic industry process. This section will deal specifically with relevant markets, focusing on the range of overall assessments of present guidelines, and assess whether or not it is appropriate to remove regulation from retail markets. The issue will include a look at clustering possibilities and how to account for the phenomenon of convergence on the one hand, and how to move forward in the direction of an internal market for electronic communications on the other. Is the definition of Europe-wide relevant markets (versus national markets) a necessary step to deal with with Europe-wide operators? What should be the nature of competitive remedies, and who should decide on them? Does this perspective imply changes in the balance of competences between NRAs and the European Commission? The following general questions will also be addressed: • How should legal evidence be administrated in a dynamic and future-looking environment? • How can "more competition and less regulation" be achieved? How can regulatory frameworks be simplified? How can the closer alignment of ex ante regulation and general competition rules be achieved? How can the burden of regulation be shared and what kind of incentives/organisation would induce players to comply? Please send proposals to: y.gassot@idate.org - pogorel@enst.fr As far as practical and technical questions are concerned, proposals for papers must be submitted in Word format (.doc) and must not exceed 20-22 pages (6,000 to 7,000 words). Please ensure that your illustrations (graphics, figures, etc.) are in black and white - excluding any color - and are of printing quality. It is essential that they be adapted to the journal's format (with a maximum width of 12 cm). We would also like to remind you to include bibliographical references at the end of the article. Should these references appear as footnotes, please indicate the author's name and the year of publication in the text. Coordination and information Sophie NIGON s.nigon@idate.org +33 (0)4 67 14 44 16 No. 62, 2nd quarter 2006 Contents Dossier Media industry facing convergence Introduction Bernard GUILLOU, André LANGE & Rémy LE CHAMPION ....................... 11 Spectrum Management and Broadcasting: Current Issues Martin CAVE ................................................................................................ 19 DRMs, Innovation and Creation Olivier BOMSEL & Anne-Gaëlle GEFFROY ................................................ 35 The Role of Public Service Broadcasters in the Era of Convergence A Case Study of Televisió de Catalunya Emili PRADO & David FERNÁNDEZ ........................................................... 49 Traditional paradigms for new services? The Commission Proposal for a 'Audiovisual Media Services Directive' Alexander SCHEUER .................................................................................. 71 Three scenarios for TV in 2015 Laurence MEYER ........................................................................................ 93 Opinion Interview with Evelyne LENTZEN, Chairman of the CSA of the French Community of Belgium Conducted by Rémy LE CHAMPION ......................................................... 111 Articles Alternative Wireless Technologies Status, Trends and Policy Implications for Europe Sven LINDMARK, Pieter BALLON, Colin BLACKMAN, Erik BOHLIN, Simon FORGE & Uta WEHN de MONTALVO....................................................... 127 The Scope of Economic Sector Regulation in Electronic Communications Alexandre de STREEL ACKNOLO ............................................................. 147 Features Regulation and Competition Does Good Digital Rights Management Mean Sacrificing the Private Copy? Ariane DELVOIE ......................................................................................... 171 Firms and Markets IPTV markets New broadband service promising to upset the balance of the TV market Jacques BAJON.......................................................................................... 175 Technical Innovations Mobile Television Peter CURWEN .......................................................................................... 183 Can DRM Create New Markets? Anne DUCHÊNE, Martin PEITZ & Patrick WAELBROECK ....................... 197 Public Policies Internet Governance, "In Larger Freedom" and "the international Rule of Law" - Lessons from Tunis Klaus W. GREWLICH ................................................................................. 209 Book Review Alban GONORD & Joëlle MENRATH, Mobile Attitude Ce que les portables ont changé dans nos vies by Marie MARCHAND ................................................................................ 217 Debra HOWCROFT & Eileen M. TRAUTH (Eds), Handbook of critical Information Systems Research - Theory and Application by Jean-Gustave PADIOLEAU ................................................................... 220 Dan REINGOLD with Jennifer REINGOLD (Eds), Confession of a Wall Street Analyst: A True Story of Inside Information and Corruption in the Stock Market by James ALLEMAN................................................................................... 221 Thomas SCHULTZ, Réguler le commerce électronique par la résolution des litiges en ligne - Une approche critique by Jean-Pierre DARDAYROL ..................................................................... 224 The authors ................................................................................................. 227 Announcements .......................................................................................... 235 Dossier Media industry facing convergence Spectrum Management and Broadcasting: Current Issues DRMs, Innovation and Creation The Role of Public Service Broadcasters in the Era of Convergence A Case Study of Televisió de Catalunya Traditional paradigms for new services? The Commission Proposal for a 'Audiovisual Media Services Directive' Three scenarios for TV in 2015 Introduction Bernard GUILLOU MediaWise+, Paris André LANGE Observatoire européen de l'Audiovisuel, Strasbourg Rémy LE CHAMPION Université de Paris II C onvergence was the hype concept, which everyone praised in the late 1990s and became a quasi dirty word with the dot-com crash. However threatened they might have felt at the time by the forthcoming end of the established patterns for production, aggregation and distribution of media content, most media companies did actually resist the trend which led, in some well-known cases, to stringent financial and industrial streamlining. With hindsight, this rise and fall can now be understood as the product of overly optimistic expectations regarding the speed of the take-off and uptake of new media, fuelled by a disproportionate flow of speculative funds. There were, however, a number of voices at the time insisting that tangible industrial prospects and trends were to be discerned beyond the hype. Those voices nurtured ongoing changes in the patterns of media content production, aggregation and dissemination. These changes include the digitalization of transmission networks, the surge in the number of options for distributing data, sound and pictures to the home, primarily via mobile and DSL networks and the ease with which content can be produced, manipulated and uploaded for widespread distribution thanks to the internet. When asked to edit the Dossier of this issue of COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, it seemed to us that the time had come to consider the various issues facing the media industry and its regulators in an environment less burdened by hype yet, in many ways, far more cumbersome than the climate described by yesterday's aspiring gurus. Of course, we are well aware that hype, glitz and glamour are still part of the show. Watching the COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 11. 12 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 Consumers Electronic Show earlier this year in Las Vegas, where Tom Hanks and Robin Williams shared the stage with Bill Gates, Larry Page (Google) and Terry Semel (Yahoo) served as a reminder that conduits/devices are nothing without the content and social representations that they help to formulate and deliver. A month later, at the GSM Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, music artists and TV producers attracted the biggest crowds in an industry keen to position itself as a prime network for content delivery. Backstage, media companies, internet players and networks operators are nevertheless busy moulding new business models that should help to define a truly connected world and shape our daily lives to an extent that we are still struggling to assess. Broadband networks now reach almost 50% of homes in the world's most advanced countries and the stage is set, with the development of 3G/4G (point to point) and broadcast mobile networks, for the reception of video programmes on mobile devices. Video via the internet is the fastest growing segment in terms of both offer and use, with seminal internet players jumping on board to exploit the trend and extend the reach and scope of their portals. Key to the emergence of the somewhat fuzzy concept of internet 2.0, content production is popping up everywhere in the guise of blogs, vlogs, community-driven material and seems to be competing directly with established media companies in the battle for attention and audiences. For media companies, the time has certainly come to "buy in" to convergence, namely to face up to the disintegration of their traditional approach to content production and distribution, the repositioning of their content production and publishing functions to consider multimedia distribution, and the reality of content "repurposing." That may encourage these companies to redefine their business models traditionally based on direct payment for packaged products, license revenues derived from intellectual property rights and ad-financed schemes, not to mention the license fees enjoyed by public broadcasters relatively safely to-date. More specifically, these companies have to devise a set of new strategies to better combine these various sources of revenue, reflecting the type of product that they create and distribute, their geographic scope and their investment capacity. This is a daunting task, as it requires a wealth of technological know-how, strong brands and, in most cases, an international presence. Key movements have included strategic acquisitions by media companies in the network field, like BSkyB's purchase of Easynet, the alternate telecommunications provider, in the UK, with the implicit ambition of broadening the scope of services offered as bundles, including video on Introduction 13 demand (VOD) and internet access. In most cases though, media companies have opted for partnerships to develop their presence in new media fields. Although established as a standalone initiative with a will to distintermediate that new distribution market, the movie on demand service Movielink, launched by the U.S. studios in 2002, is now available on a variety of broadband platforms. In Europe over 50 VOD services are now available, proposing catalogues of feature films, music videos, documentaries and TV programme archives. Partnership is the way to test products, strike temporary exclusivities and benefit from cross-branding and cross-marketing efforts. Such alliances are volatile, as the balance in the value chain is far from solid. From the media companies' point of view, network economics call for a wide distribution of their key content. However, problems are arising as it becomes increasingly difficult to secure shop space with distributors, making it necessary to establish a direct presence to acquire some negotiation power. Strategies in this area are multiple: U.S. networks like CBS have launched their own channel (a combination of original and past programming) on the web. In Belgium, Belgacom has acquired the football league rights to position itself as a broadcaster, while the cable operator Unity Media has pursued the same strategy in Germany. BSkyB has developed downloadable software for mobile phones, aimed at bypassing the operators' menu and fostering pure Sky-only sessions. News Corp. has heavily invested in community sites, where it will gradually increase professional content, monetize its audience and set up cross platform deals with advertisers. DVB-H, already tested in Italy and Norway by public broadcasters and supported by some important European pay-TV operators, may also represent a way for broadcasters to provide services directly to mobile receivers without depending on telecommunications operators. For media companies, particularly those involved in content aggregation, the drive towards convergence does not stop on the doorstep of households. A lot is at stake for players in the consumer electronics and computer industries, pay-TV providers and network operators when it comes to gaining a leading edge in setting-up home networks, which may be used in the future to store, exchange and view all content using a wide variety of devices located in different rooms. As a growing number of options for receiving broadband and digital TV services become available, at least in cities in developed countries, and as unbundling regulation opens the local loop in most countries, the battle for control over that new gateway is shifting to the home; and it may not be merely gimmicky to use the name Media Centre to summarize this shift. The evolution obviously raises a large number of 14 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 economic, social, cultural and regulatory issues, which go far beyond the strategy analysis we have briefly described above. Some of these issues are addressed in the papers collected for the dossier. While convergence - along with related tools and services - is often summarized as the trend of accessing content any time, anywhere and on any device, this definition in turn begs the key questions of what type of content is available, at what direct/indirect price and by whom is this accessed? Information is, or should be, in the famous words of Arthur Sulzberger: "All the news that's fit to print". In the electronic world, there is still place for editorial judgment and some form content regulation, but exercising it has become a very difficult challenge. Information, in a world where search engines play a growing role in the way internet users access content on the web, is apparently everywhere, but lacks the contextualising framework that most media users, for better or for worse, rely upon. Convenience, ease of access and blogging may not necessarily go hand in hand with the "vibrant market of ideas" that is recognized as a necessity in modern democracies. The ongoing debate in the scientific and cultural communities about the value of Wikipedia shows there might be a price to pay for such convenience, which cannot yet be determined. In this respect, it is worth noting that some public broadcasters, endowed with specific objectives in the field of creation and culture in its widest sense, have actively developed their presence and offering in the field of emerging media. The BBC has certainly made its mark and remains a pioneer. It has established a massive presence on the web, with thousands of general interest and niche sites. The UK public broadcaster has also created new channels in the digital world, distributed on all platforms, and should be a leading player in the on-demand programming universe when it launches its "catch-up" service in the near future, enabling viewers to watch TV programmes they may have missed. Such development drives are not only dominated by big broadcasters, as shown in the paper by Emili PRADO and David FERNANDEZ. After identifying the new functions that a public broadcaster must deal with when considering the transformations linked to technological advances and the globalisation of the media space, the authors show how the regional broadcaster Televisio de Catalunya has embraced these challenges. Their analysis is a convincing example of how a small public broadcaster with a mix of political determination, financial commitment and innovative drive can rise to the challenge of competition, without neglecting its primary mission of serving the public interest. Introduction 15 However, moving into new digital services can jeopardise the financial health of public broadcasters, as the examples of not only Televisio de Catalunya, but also the BBC, tend to illustrate. This general interest principle is clearly at stake when addressing the issue of the affordability of access to content and networks. Convergence brings, in essence, more options to those who already tend to enjoy the widest potential access to content and delivery capacity, namely urban dwellers. As the information society spreads its wings, it is also giving birth not just to one, but to a variety of "digital divides," which governments are proving increasingly keen to address with specific policies, either industrial or social. This may put governments at odds with regulatory authorities, as indicated in the contribution by Martin CAVE. This paper, which addresses the issue of spectrum management in relation to broadcasting in the United Kingdom, shows that spectrum allocation issues that have been dealt with relatively smoothly in national regulation and international coordination summits to-date, are now bound to generate conflicts. Mobile operators are seeking to get part of the UHF spectrum to broadcast TV once this is no longer used by traditional broadcasters for analogue distribution. The paper analyses the implications of the digital switchover for all the parties and the ways in which this spectrum might be allocated, noting that Ofcom's view may clash with the position adopted by broadcasters in that respect. The "net neutrality" debate, currently very hot in the USA, is another illustration of the new regulatory issues that may arise with the development of the market and opportunities for segmentation according to prices and expectations. Balancing industrial innovation and equality of access is never an easy act, as economic externalities are difficult to quantify. It is therefore not surprising that the construction of new infrastructures, (such as the optical FTTH networks, currently pitched by Deutsche Telekom in Germany and supported by the government) or the rapid dissemination of video content on the web, challenges the existing regulatory schemes. More than ever before regulation is a shaky political exercise where a balance struck at any time between content providers and network operators, between infrastructure and service, between suppliers and consumers, can be rapidly threatened by the next disruptive technology. Personal Video Recorders may seem a natural improvement on the classic VCR, but this does not prevent advertising-supported channels from considering these devices as the most dangerous innovation to hit the 16 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 market for years. The same goes for the seemingly inexorable, internetdriven end to an era of production, distribution and use of content organized by the Intellectual Property Rights doctrine. Networks and services need content, content needs to be monetised and monetization depends on terms of use, which are defined by rights owners. As Olivier BOMSEL and Anne-Gaëlle GEFFROY remind us in their paper on Digital Rights Management systems, this empirical framework has more or less secured the efficiency of the market for cultural goods and stimulated creation to-date. Copyright is no more, but no less than the definition of a particular property right, namely to define the principles of exploitation and reproduction (in particular) of cultural contents. In this sense, Digital Rights Management systems seem a benign tool for enforcing that claim in a digital world, where everyone can be seen, from the copyright owner's point of view, as an agent of an illicit reproduction and retransmission. Bomsel and Geoffroy argue that DRMs are, as software applications, cultural creations. They are therefore protected legally but bear, for their owners' benefit, the outstanding power to define the nature of relations within the vertical distribution chain, to-date protected from real public scrutiny. As seen in France during the discussion on the transposition of the European Directive on copyright, this is an issue that certainly merits debate. Alexander SCHEUER's paper on the European Commission's policy in the field of audiovisual services is a useful reminder on the series of reflections in Brussels leading to the Directives on Television Without Frontiers (TWF), on E-Commerce, which covered interactive video services such as VOD, and the famous 2002 Telecom package. It usefully reminds us of the Green Paper on convergence dating from 1997 and the various options it listed to deal with the issue, including the gradual build-up of a comprehensive regulatory framework for existing and new services. Key principles are now well established: the principle of separation between content and transport regulation, technological neutrality as regards content regulation and the distinction between linear and non-linear services. A new proposal for the revision of the TWF directive is now on the table which is indeed, as Scheuer points out, a piece of "convergent regulation" largely drawn up to address the development of non-linear services and video content on the web. Most European countries and the UK see to have adopted divergent positions on this proposal, as the latter considers many protections built-into the proposal (such as the vigilant protection of minors and the prohibition of surreptitious advertising) to be fully inapplicable in the on-demand, decentralized internet world. It is obvious that the Commission is showing no inclination to strengthen its content policy scheme and it has Introduction 17 proposed a lighter set of rules for non-linear services. However, compared to traditional broadcast services, the resources and associated costs needed to effectively "control" internet and mobile video content are deemed excessive by operators and service providers, when other legal tools are already applicable. Moreover, given that the Commission has reaffirmed its commitment to the principle of the "country of origin", some countries may want to secure the maximum flexibility to attract service providers and associated jobs as seen in the audiovisual field,. The interview with Evelyne LENTZEN, President of the Conseil Supérieur de l'Audiovisuel de la Communauté Française de Belgique, clearly illustrates the complexity of the regulators' task in the audiovisual industry today. Regulators have a varied set of goals encompassing cultural issues, pluralism, diversity, original creation, not to mention questions of taste and decency. They must take into account the social fabric of the nation, and at the same time cannot ignore the dynamics of convergence, internationalization and content dissemination. Lentzen is prompt to identify the keys pillars and priorities of the regulator's mission and to discard the temptation to micro-manage the sector, particularly when she talks of the allocation of production grants. Lentzen also recognizes that the current regulatory frameworks suffers from a serious hole, insofar as it does not deal with the distributors and aggregators; which now play a central role in the service selection, the choice offered to consumers and the development of home networks. Along with media companies, network operators, governments and regulatory agencies, there is one player, who can give a thumbs up or down to the whole process of content distribution over a wide variety of networks: the consumer. Expectations of consumers are high, but there have been very few studies, apart from glowing accounts of market tests and some visionary tech-oriented fairy tales, of consumers'/viewers' preferences, their patterns of use and the consequences of these patterns at a macroeconomic level. Laurence MEYER tackles these issues in her paper, the substance of which comes from an extensive prospective study on the future of television recently written by the author. Thanks to the scenarios she draws for the deployment of the wide array of new services we are promised, she vividly demonstrates that convergence really means something to the media! Spectrum Management and Broadcasting: Current Issues Martin CAVE Warwick Business School, Warwick University, UK Abstract: Broadcasting policy has traditionally been supported by a 'command-andcontrol' system of assigning frequencies for terrestrial transmission, but this link is being eroded by the emergence of other technologies – cable, satellite, IPTV, mobile broadcasting - and by the emergence of multi-channel television, which is facilitated by digital terrestrial television. The switch off of analogue terrestrial transmission is being achieved through significant government intervention, but with diverse intentions relating to the use of the freed spectrum. It is argued, however, that the trend to liberalise spectrum policy is strong, and that this will promote the liberalisation of broadcasting. Key words: : spectrum management; broadcasting policy; digital switchover H istorically, broadcasting relied exclusively on spectrum, which fell under the control of public agencies, and was itself in Europe particularly heavily controlled by governments, through public ownership of broadcasters, limitation on entry and supervision of content 1 . Before the explosion of spectrum-using technologies of the last 20 years, shortage of frequencies often acted as an alibi used to stop the development of new services, usually with the enthusiastic support of existing broadcasters. That era is now decisively ended, through the interaction of several simultaneous changes. • New convergent platforms are now in place that deliver broadcasts using a range of technologies: analogue and digital terrestrial, satellite, cable and ADSL using telecommunications companies' copper wires; the latter two 1 This paper will focus on video entertainment (i.e. TV) although a discussion of audio (i.e. radio) would have similar features, except that it would be writ smaller (and later). That is to say, close control of radio via regulation and command and control spectrum policy survived the advent of television. As with digital television radio is now expanding, according to competitive standards, but discussion of a radio 'digital switchover' is much less well advanced. COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 19. 20 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 do not use frequencies in the conventional sense (although their emissions can cause interference problems). • The variety of services has exploded from the handful available twenty years age to a multi-channel world that supports itself not only through government or licence-fee payments and advertising (the old methods), but also through pay services; moreover, viewers can buy services 'on demand' and avoid advertising material through personal video recorders. • The growth of mobile or, more generally, wireless communications has demonstrated the value of the spectrum for which those services compete with broadcasting; this has created pressures to switch terrestrial broadcasting from analogue to digital technologies, which are about five times more efficient in their spectrum use. In the longer term, it may lead to the abandonment of terrestrial broadcasting completely, in favour of wirebased networks and satellite distribution, which uses less valuable spectrum and is less expensive over wide areas. This article traces the interaction between spectrum management and these factors, firstly by reviewing spectrum management techniques applied to broadcasting, and then developments in transmission technology, especially digital switchover. Spectrum management and broadcasting: past and present Public policy in the field of spectrum allocation has exercised a powerful influence on broadcasting. Governments used their power to assign spectrum as an auxiliary instrument for controlling the number and identity of broadcasters. Traditional spectrum management techniques suited this purpose very well. These techniques are known as 'command and control' and have operated in essentially the same way since the first global convention for coordinating spectrum use in 1906. Under the system, spectrum blocks are allocated through international agreement (global or regional) to broadly defined services. National spectrum regulatory authorities (traditionally government departments, now increasingly independent agencies) subsequently assign licences for use of specific frequencies within these allocations within their jurisdictions (CAVE, 2002, p. 55). M. CAVE 21 This regulatory task involved an inherently complex balancing act in a range of dimensions, in each of which there are many conflicting considerations. Key factors included: Interference Transmissions interfere with one another unless sufficiently separated in terms of frequency, geography and time. Regulators must strike a balance between reducing the extent of harmful interference, through careful planning, and enabling new and potentially valuable new services to enter the market. International co-ordination The effective use of radio spectrum in one country will typically require careful co-ordination with neighbouring countries, to mitigate the extent of harmful interference. Investment in equipment Most radio equipment can operate over only a limited range of frequencies, and so relies on predictable access over time to defined frequency bands. Stability in spectrum assignments to encourage investment in equipment can slow the place of spectrum re-use. Increasingly, technical specifications are agreed internationally to reap economies of scale in production. Spectrum regulators need to balance stability and international harmonisation with responsiveness to new technologies. The problems of co-ordinating broadcasting spectrum are particularly severe, since broadcasting is a 'one-to-many' communications technology, which is efficiently done with high power over a large area. This inevitably creates the risk of interference with broadcasters in neighbouring areas or countries. This problem was vividly exposed in the United States in the 1920s when a Court ruling denied the Government the power to control access to spectrum. The resulting free-for-all, in which radio stations progressively turned up their power to resist interference from others, led to a 'Tower of Babel' and eventually to the Radio Act 1927, which gave the Secretary of Commerce power to authorise and control access to spectrum. The resulting problems are resolved in the age of television broadcasting by international agreements, which set out in great detail which transmission at what power are permissible from which specified sites. Thus analogue 22 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 terrestrial television broadcasting in Europe is governed by agreements reached in Stockholm in 1961. An equivalent plan for digital television broadcasting in currently being developed for approval at a Regional Radio Conference (RRC) in Geneva in 2006. Subject to these constraints, each national spectrum authority assigns frequencies to particular broadcasters. In the United Kingdom, for example, analogue and digital terrestrial TV transmissions currently use 368 MHz of spectrum within the band 470-854 MHz. The spectrum is split into 46 frequency channels, each composed of 8 MHz of spectrum. The following bands are used: - 470 to 590 MHz (channels 21 to 35), - 598 to 606 MHz (channel 37), - 614 to 854 MHz (channels 39 to 68). (To complicate matters, channel 36 is allocated to radar for historical reasons.) Each channel can be used to broadcast either one analogue TV service, or one digital multiplex – carrying six or more separate TV services – from a given transmission site. There is a maximum of 11 channels used at a transmission site (five for analogue TV channels, and six for DTT multiplexes). At such sites there are still seemingly 35 frequencies (46 minus 11) lying idle. These empty frequencies are interleaved with the frequencies used for the analogue and digital services. Some of the empty interleaved frequencies channels cannot be used because they would cause interference with the channels that are used or with adjacent transmitters; some, however, could be made available to broadcasters or other users. Satellite broadcasting also requires spectrum for two purposes – to uplift signals to the satellites and to broadcast signals direct to home (DTH). As signal strength from the medium-powered satellites currently in use if fairly low, frequencies must be cleared of alternative services to allow signals to 'get through'. A further feature of satellite broadcasting is that, because transponders have a multinational footprint, and because uplift and reception can be in different countries, the spectrum authority in the country where the signal is received may have no jurisdiction over the provider of transmission services. While command and control has been used almost universally for managing broadcasting frequencies as well as others, attention has turned in several countries to the alternative of using market mechanisms to allocate and assign spectrum. A start has been made in this process with the use of auctions to assign licences, especially for third generation mobile M. CAVE 23 services, but the market agenda extends to 'secondary trading,' namely the exchange of ownership of spectrum or spectrum licences that have already been issued, accompanied by the opportunity for the existing or new licence to change the use of the spectrum – often known as liberalisation, subject, of course, to international obligations. The U.S. and UK spectrum management agencies have supported, and to some degree introduced, secondary trading and liberalisation (FCC, 2002; Ofcom, 2005a). The European Commission recently proposed that all spectrum used for terrestrial broadcasting and fixed and mobile wireless communications should be tradable and flexible. (EC, 2005a). This is being realised particularly through a policy known as WAPECS (wireless access policy for electronic communications services, a Commission Communication on which is expected in mid 2006 (RSPG, 2006). The implications of this policy (which currently has, at best, minority support from the member states) would be major. It would mean that a substantial swathe of frequencies would be available for a range of possible uses. As well as mobile telephony, these include mobile broadcasting and wireless broadband, both 'broadcasting' technologies providing 'broadcasting' services, but in a non-traditional form. Mobile broadcasting has had several trials in Europe and elsewhere, but fully fledged commercial services are still in their infancy 2 . Given the small screen high levels of definition are not required, so that, roughly speaking, the spectrum for one terrestrial channel can transmit three services. It is not known yet which frequencies are best suited for mobile broadcasting, across a range which, in the UK, includes spectrum used for digital audio broadcasting (in which BT, Microsoft and others are developing a wholesale mobile broadcasting service), the so-called L-band at 1452-1492 MHz (which the UK spectrum regulator, Ofcom proposes to auction in 2007), and spectrum freed by the analogue broadcasting switchoff described below. A similar range of technological opportunities applies in other countries. The European Commissioner for the Information Society and Broadcasting has noted the development of plans for mobile broadcasting in a number of countries and suggested that action might be needed to make reception available within the EU as a whole (REDING, 2006). However, the discussion above suggests that it may be premature to seek either to 2 The European Radio Spectrum Policy Group (RSPG) is preparing an opinion for the European Commission on spectrum for mobile multimedia services in the field of broadcasting. The RSPG is a group of national spectrum regulators that advises the Commission. 24 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 standardise the technology or to harmonise spectrum allocations for mobile broadcasting. Wireless communications technologies such as 3G (developed to higher speeds via HDSPA), fixed CDMA and Wi-Max are also capable of downloading or streaming broadcasts to individual (mobile or fixed) customers. This point-to-point technology is inherently more expensive than point-to-multi-point broadcasting technologies, but services are now or will soon be available. In the face of these competing claims on spectrum should spectrum regulators (government departments on independent agencies) adopt an administrative or command and control approach, or should they allow the market to decide via auctioning of spectrum among competing users and uses, and secondary trading with flexible use? The Commission's proposals are set out above. But the UK has already opted for a predominantly marketbased regime. As in other countries, in the UK broadcasting policy generally drove spectrum allocation rather than vice versa. Channels were added as and when broadcasting policy dictated, despite the availability of extra spectrum. The emergence of digital terrestrial transmission has been highly directed process. The only significant departure was the 'unauthorised' emergence in 1988 of direct to home (DTH) broadcaster Sky, which used a Luxembourgbased satellite and did not initially require a broadcasting licence from the regulator or a wireless telegraphy licence from the UK Government. But following the merger with its 'approved' rival BSB, BSkyB too came into the regulatory fold. Highly detailed planning of broadcasting frequencies was undertaken by the broadcasters themselves or their regulators. This has led to what is recognised as efficient outcomes, in the sense that the spectrum was used intensively, but complaints abounded over its distribution among different broadcasters. The regime also lacked any mechanism as to how to deal with issues of the assignment of more spectrum, except with traditional means 3 . 3 Market mechanisms had been used previously in the UK to allocate commercial broadcast licences via a competitive tendering process. The object competed for was not a spectrum licence alone, but a package involving both favoured access to viewers and the availability of spectrum, conditional to the performance of specified public service broadcasting obligations. Thus a 'bundle' was auctioned; as a result the value of the spectrum license alone was not transparent. M. CAVE 25 Following the explicit legalisation of spectrum trading in the European Union in 2003 under the new regulatory arrangements, the UK Communications Act of 2003 placed on Ofcom, the newly integrated (broadcasting and telecommunications) regulator, the duty of seeking optimal use of spectrum, and laid the basis for the introduction of secondary trading and change of use of spectrum, in addition to the auctions of spectrum already used for primary issues. Prior legislation had also permitted the spectrum agency to levy an annual payment for spectrum use on private or public bodies, which became known as an 'administered incentive price'. This was notionally designed to represent the value of the spectrum in an alternative use – its 'opportunity cost' – and to encourage economy and efficiency in spectrum use (Ofcom, 2005d). Public service broadcasters in particular continue to oppose what they call a 'spectrum tax'. Ofcom quickly developed a Spectrum Strategy Framework (Ofcom, 2005a) and Implementation Plan (Ofcom, 2005b), together with a series of measures to accommodate trading. The strategy envisaged a speedy switch from 'command and control' to market methods, which by 2010 would account for 70% of assigned spectrum (see table 1), another 4-10% being licence exempt 4 . Table 1 - Use of different spectrum management techniques a) Spectrum below 3GHz 1995 2000 2005 2010 Command & Control 95.8% 95.8% 68.8% 22.1% 1995 2000 2005 2010 Command & Control 95.6% 95.3% 30.68% 21.1% The Market 0.0% 0.0% 27.1% 73.7% Licence Exempt 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% b) Spectrum between 3GHz and 60GHz The Market 0.0% 0.0% 61.3% 69.3% Licence Exempt 4.4% 4.7% 8.2% 9.6% Source: Ofcom (2005a) p. 36 The UK is clearly an extreme case, where tradability of spectrum will extend to public sector uses (such as additional spectrum required for the emergency services) in the future. Other administrations may nevertheless 4 Licence exempt spectrum can be used by anyone abiding by power restrictions. Wi-fi 'hot spots' are a good example of current licence exempt use. Due to the interference problems noted above, licence exempt spectrum is not suitable for wide area broadcasting. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 26 find it increasingly difficult to arbitrate not between competing firms producing the same service, but between competing users providing quite different services. The trend of spectrum management more generally is likely to favour market methods. This is now discussed in relation to the transition from analogue to digital terrestrial broadcasting. Digital switchover The key spectrum issue facing broadcasters in 2006 involves proposals to switch off analogue transmission and move to digital technologies. Each of terrestrial, satellite and cable transmission modes can be realised in both analogue and digital formats, but in the latter two cases, the technological choice resides almost exclusively with the platform owner. However, because analogue terrestrial has been responsible for the universal service delivery of television to viewers without access to other platforms, the switch to digital terrestrial transmission has been the product of a complicated interaction of public policy, regulation and commercial incentives. As well as expanded capacity, digital transmission offers other advantages such as much greater interactivity. Table 2 - Digital TV penetration rates (% of households) in a number of countries, end 2005 Total UK France Germany Italy Netherlands Poland Spain Sweden USA Japan Cable 68.9 34.7 28.9 36.0 11.4 17.9 27.6 44.5 50.3 59.1 10.5 4.3 6.7 0.0 5.3 0.4 5.6 9.6 25.3 7.2 Satellite 32.0 21.6 17.8 20.2 3.1 17.5 15.4 20.6 24.2 33.1 DTT 25.2 6.9 4.2 14.9 2.3 0.0 5.2 13.3 0.5 17.9 IPTV(*) 0.2 1.9 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.9 (*) Delivered by DSL or equivalent technology Source: Screen Digest This particular form of digital switchover (or digital transition or analogue switchoff) is occurring or planned all over the world. Thus Japan has set a switch-over date of 2011. Legislation has recently been passed in the U.S. M. CAVE 27 requiring analogue switch-off on 17 February 2009 5 . Some data on the penetration rates of digital TV in a number of countries are given in table 2. In Europe, the European Union has adopted a target date of 2012 and a final date of 2015 for completion of the switchoff on analogue terrestrial, but member states have in many cases adopted more exacting targets (see table 3). Table 3 - European digital switchover timetables for terrestrial transmission Country Austria Belgium Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Netherlands Malta Poland Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom Target Date 2010 2012 no date set 2017 2011 2012 2007 2010 2008 2010 2012 no date 2006 2006 2012 no date set no date set no date set 2014 2010 2012 2015 2010 2008 2008-2012 Other details No decision yet Aug 07 – all of country Berlin switched off 2003. No decision yet SO starting in 2012 Market to decide No decision yet No decision yet 2012 target May start earlier by region In progress Region-by-region Source: European Union May 2005, partially updated April 2006 Germany achieved the first regional switchover in 2003, in Berlin, a heavily-cabled area. In mid 2006 switchover was half completed and the target date of 2010 seems attainable. France has now set 2010 as the switchover date. Italy has now delayed the switch-over target to 31 December 2006, but this is quite impracticable. Finland has a completion date of August 2007, and Sweden of 2008, with a 50% target by the end of 2006. Experiences in the UK are discussed below. 5 For further analysis of developments through the world, see CAVE & NAKAMURA (2006). 28 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 One consequence of the switchover to digital terrestrial is that, for a transitional period, both analogue and digital platforms have to be used at once. The length of the period is under government control, but the turnover of customer premises equipment – televisions, VCRs, etc. – of which there may be three or more per household – is a slow process, and provision may have to be made to encourage the acquisition of digital set top boxes by slow adopters. In Italy, which has a switch over target date (almost certainly unrealistic) of the end of 2006, the government is offering set top box subsidies of 40 euros per household, effectively restricted to DTT boxes – which has led to charges of illegal state aid. Nonetheless, the possible 'spectrum dividend' associated with analogue switch-off has encouraged most governments of richer countries to seek a digital switchover of terrestrial transmission, which both brings the advantages of digital television (more channels, interactivity) and releases valuable spectrum that can be assigned to other users, either by command and control or market methods 6 . But some obstacles have to be overcome before alternative uses can be implemented. In particular, the Geneva RRC of May/June 2006 (or a subsequent authorised meeting) must agree that released spectrum can be used for other purposes than broadcasting. If such alternative uses are authorized, it will be on the footing that this may not cause more interference than broadcasting, and would receive no more protection from interference than broadcasting. The European Commission has solicited from an opinion on the EU spectrum policy implications of the digital dividend the Radio Spectrum Policy Group (RSPG) 7 . This follows its May 2005 Communication, which sets out the Community policy objectives for the transition and notes that it is important not to unduly constrain the re-use of the freed bands for new and innovative services (EC, 2005b). Debate in the UK has been particularly intense as a result of the legislative obligation in the Communications Act 2003 to ensure that digital coverage will replicate that attained by analogue transmission, and by the conflicting interests of broadcasters, many of whom, including the pay 6 Some estimates of the value of free spectrum in Europe can be found in HAZLETT et al (2006). 7 See footnote 2. M. CAVE 29 satellite broadcaster BSkyB and analogue channels that currently face competition in respect of some households only from four other analogue channels, are likely to be adversely affected by DTT. The UK had also achieved the highest levels of digital penetration in Europe by mid-2006 (over 70%), especially of DTT in the form of Freeview, comprising of forty channels, largely non-pay. This favourable background for a switch-over followed a lengthy debate, which began in September 1999 when the UK government first announced its ambition to switch off the analogue TV signal and move to digital transmission. It said that the digital switchover could start as early as 2006 and finish by 2010, although the precise date would depend on the behaviour of broadcasters, manufacturers and consumers. The government also announced that switchover would not take place unless the following conditions were met: • Everyone who could watch the main public service broadcasting channels in analogue form (i.e. 98.5% of households) could receive them in digital. • Switching to digital was an affordable option for the vast majority of the population. The target indicator of affordability was defined as 95% of households having access to digital equipment before switch-over, generally taken to mean that 95% of households would have adopted digital TV before switchover occurred. A plan soon crystallised to carry out the switch-over on a region-by-region basis The cost of converting receivers was expected to vary according to several factors, including: - the amount of digital equipment a household already has, - how much additional equipment the household wishes to continue to use after switchover, - their platform and equipment choices, - their service choices, - prevailing prices in the year(s) they make their purchases. However, as the switch-over will not be voluntary for some people and, for most, affordability will be a major issue, there must be some minimum, one-off cost with which consumers feel comfortable. The cost of conversion for a house with only one TV where a new aerial is not required is estimated at EUR 60-110, while the cost for a house with two TVs and one VCR may be as high as EUR 110-220. 30 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 In research commissioned by the government, most households without digital TV said they were likely to convert of their own accord within the next few years. However, this left some 20% of households who currently intend to remain analogue only. Independently of whether they could receive a DTT signal, three-quarters of this group said they would adopt digital if they knew switch-over was imminent, while the remaining quarter (5% of all households) said they would never be willing to convert. The group least willing to convert to digital TV was not a coherent cluster with clearly defined socio-economic or demographic characteristics. Instead it tended to have a variety of reasons for remaining with analogue TV. A household's propensity to adopt digital television frequently reflected its attitudes towards TV and multichannel TV in particular. Consumers least willing to adopt digital television tended not to value TV as a medium, or alternatively felt that more TV channels would have a negative impact on society. Some others believed that digital TV had little to offer over and above the analogue TV offering; while some mentioned issues such as cost and difficulty of use. In accordance with normal practice, the UK Government presented a justification of the switchover policy in the form of a cost-benefit analysis (DTI, 2005). The analysis evaluates the costs and benefits to the UK of completing a digital switchover involving the switch-off of all analogue signals. This scenario is compared with continuing both the analogue and digital transmissions. The analysis focuses on the quantifiable effects of switchover, including environmental effects. The non-quantifiable effects of switchover such as the public service aspects of the DTV project are not discussed and the distributional aspects of the project are not examined in detail. The consumer costs of switchover include the net cost of set conversion, which will be achieved by purchasing a set top box (STB). However, the aggregate cost of purchasing STBs overestimates the economic cost of switchover, as some of these consumers will have been very close to buying into digital, even if the switchover were not to take place, i.e. they value digital TV at some level between the cost of the STB and zero. To model this, it has been assumed that the implicit demand curve for STBs is a straight line from the cost of as STB to zero, and therefore the average valuation by consumers is half the cost of the STB. One of the key consumer benefits associated with switchover is the value of increased DTT coverage to previously un-served areas, areas that it was M. CAVE 31 impossible to reach using digital signals during dual transmission. Consumers will also benefit from the release of fourteen channels of clear spectrum when analogue transmission ceases. The economic value of this extra spectrum depends on the use to which it is put: generally it is estimated that it will be of more value if it is used for mobile telecommunications rather than television. However, because of risks and uncertainties associated with the use of using spectrum for mobile telecoms, the cost-benefit analysis is based on the assumption that the released spectrum is used for digital television services. The key producer benefit from switchover is the cost saving from decommissioning analogue transmitters, as the cost of running, maintaining and fuelling such sites will no longer have to be borne. It is assumed that any producer surplus arising for the operators of the new services on released spectrum will be competed away. The cost-benefit analysis shows quantifiable benefits in the region of £1.1 – £2.25 billion in net present value (NPV) terms 8 . Sensitivity analysis gives results that are reduced under some assumptions, but remaining substantially positive under most likely combinations of assumptions. The model shows that the outcome in terms of NPV is most sensitive to estimates of the value of extended coverage of DTT services and released spectrum. The UK government has taken on a commitment to ensure a level of coverage of public service broadcast signals equivalent to that currently available with analogue broadcasting. However, this could be achieved by various means: by directly mandating public service broadcasters to transmit in particular ways, or indirectly by placing enforceable burden on relevant broadcasters to meet a specified availability target, in whatever way they chose; the latter approach would contemplate the possibility of a variety of technologies being employed to provide coverage - DTT, cable, satellite, DSL and other technologies. Broadcasters with a universal coverage obligation would have an incentive to seek out the cheapest combination from a commercial standpoint. Such harnessing of incentives has clear advantages. Moreover, any preference for a single platform inspired by 8 The NPV is the capital sum available today which is equivalent to the expected stream of net benefits. 32 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 regulator or government would, if accompanied by explicit or implicit state subsidies, raise issues of possible state aid 9 . Following a lengthy consultation, Ofcom finally decided to mandate DTT as the means of providing universal digital coverage for public service broadcasting multiplexes, although commercial multiplexes were free to make their own choices, so long as coverage did not decrease (Ofcom, 2005c). Even this prescriptive solution left open a number of trade-offs among the objectives of a) coverage (raising the level by small amounts) above the current 98.5% available using digital technologies, b) power levels (which determine the number of channels available or a particular multiplex), c) the cost of additional transmitters, and d) the risk that the option adopted would be subject to delays. The variant that emerged victorious in 2005 was one which allowed more channels to be broadcast by using a particular mode of operation (known as 64QAM). This means that, as digital switch over progressively occurs throughout the UK regions, analogue transmitters will fall silent at each of the current 1154 sites. All of those sites will be used for DTT, in place of the 80 sites currently used, at lower power, to achieve a 70% coverage. The UK would thus effectively replicate its existing analogue networks, but with a six-fold increase in capacity. This leaves open the question of how the liberated spectrum will be used. Ofcom has established a digital dividend review (DDR) review to investigate stake-holders' views and to establish a methodology for valuing alternative applications. Its starting point is that auctioning the spectrum for flexible use is the most likely way forward, but other considerations could override this. UK broadcasters, however, would prefer an allocation of the freed spectrum to them, which would support two or more national digital multiplexes in addition to the six already in operation. Proposals have been put forward to use the additional spectrum for high definition television (HDTV), which requires approximately four times as much spectrum as normal definition broadcasts. As a result of these requirements, the released spectrum would support only a handful of HDTV services, and it seems more efficient to provide such services using the less expensive spectrum utilised by satellite broadcasting, or by cable or DSL. 9 This is a particular danger following the Altmark case, in which the European Court specified a need for competitive tendering to be used where possible to finance projects with public subsidies. Note that the Commission concluded that the switch-over accomplished in Berlin involved state aid, because of its lack of technological neutrality. M. CAVE 33 The UK debates are of particular interest because the government and regulator have both sought to bring out both the economic effects of switchover and been faced with the problem of replicating existing high analogue coverage levels. The degree of legal constraint on use of the spectrum has been low, although this partly depends on decisions made at the 2006 Regional Radio Conference in Geneva. In other member states, the spectrum regulator's freedom of manoeuvre is much lower. This applies, for example, in France and Germany, where legislative or political commitments to maintaining broadcasting use have been much stronger than in the UK. Conclusion The broadcasting sector is thus on a transition path from the old world, in which command and control allocation of spectrum and state control of broadcasting combined to supply a very limited range of non-competitive services, to one in which multiple wireless and wire-based platform supply competitive services - free to air and pay - delivered in traditional linear or non-linear fashion. Spectrum policy can either promote or delay these changes. In the UK, a liberalised spectrum policy is likely to permit new broadcasting services, fixed or mobile, to come to the market, provided they can outbid other users for the spectrum. In other countries, spectrum policy associated with switchover is tending to exclude competition with alternative uses. Within this framework, the spectrum regulator, in combination with the broadcasting regulator, can either promote new broadcasting competition, or assign released spectrum to existing broadcasters, of either the commercial or public service variety. Unfortunately, the political economy of broadcasting regulation is such that released spectrum is often given to incumbents, which typically have great political influence. This may not be enough, however, to sustain the broadcasting status quo. The momentum behind new services such as mobile broadcasting is very strong. Other frequencies spectrum released as part of the digital dividend can provide them. IPTV is becoming established, using DSL. Even conservative spectrum regulation will struggle to turn back the tide of new broadcasting services. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 34 References CAVE M. & K. NAKAMURA (2006): Digital Broadcasting: Policy and Practice in the Americas, Europe and Japan, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham. CAVE M. (2002): Review of Radio Spectrum Management, London; HM Treasury and DTI. DTI (2005): Cost-Benefit Analysis of Digital Switchover, Department of Trade and Industry. EC: - (2005a): Communications: a market-based approach to spectrum management in the European Union. - (2005b): Communication in Accelerating the transition from analogue to digital broadcasting COM (2005) 204 FCC (2002): Spectrum Policy Task Force Report HAZLETT T.W. et al (2006): 'The social value of TV band spectrum in European countries', INFO 8:2 pp. 67-73. Ofcom: - (2005a): Spectrum Strategy Framework - (2005b): Spectrum Strategy Framework: Implementation Plan – Interim Statement - (2005c): Planning options for digital switchover: statement - (2005d): Spectrum Pricing - (2006): Digital Dividend Review REDING V. (2006): Television is going mobile – and needs a pan of European policy approach, Speech 06/15 DRMs, Innovation and Creation Olivier BOMSEL & Anne-Gaëlle GEFFROY CERNA, Ecole des Mines de Paris Abstract: DRMs are intellectual property institutions. They transpose the empirical principle of copyright, which implicitly recognizes that specific ownership rules should be attached to non scientific creation, into the digital era. The legal protection of DRMs, a private means of enforcing content excludability, participates in the "privatization" of copyright protection. This, in turn, means that a proprietary software — governed by intellectual property rights, reinforced by public law — becomes the key to the vertical relations shaped by exclusive copyright. DRMs consequently represent a major stake in the competition to capture network effects in the content distribution vertical chain. Key words: copyright, distribution, DRMs, network effects D igital Right Management systems (DRMs) are commonly perceived as technical nuisances invented by content owners to prevent consumers from fully enjoying the enhanced benefits offered by a digital age. This ridiculous function explains the painful roll-out of DRMs, which can, in the best case scenario, be dismantled by avant-garde information technologies such as media players, laptops, broadband open networks and peer-to-peer software. The content industry is renowned for shying away from innovation, and for running to court to protect its rents. Everyone recalls how ruthlessly the studios sued the consumer electronics industry thirty years ago in an attempt to block the roll-out of VCRs. And how, in the end, they lost and were forced to adapt as a result. From an economic standpoint, it is widely accepted that innovation proceeds through a Schumpeterian destructive-creation whose effect is to abolish rents from obsolete systems, thanks to inventive technical or economical solutions. That vision implicitly applies to physical distribution systems for content, such as music records or DVDs, justifying the massive circumvention allowed by innovative information technologies. DRMs are often seen as a harmless trick to block that process. In fact, DRMs are intellectual property institutions. They transpose the empirical principle of copyrights, which implicitly recognizes that specific COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 35. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 36 ownership rules should be attached to non scientific creation, into the digital era. Those rules constitute the economic basis of the creative industries that provide expensive, useful and enjoyable mass consumption information goods. Unlike patents, creative goods are not rendered obsolete through scientific innovation or additional creation. They therefore need to be effectively protected; otherwise the innovation process is distorted by false signals of intellectual property theft. In other words, the destructive-creation process leading to economic innovation should not be biased by systematic creative property destruction. Yet it is because there are two sets of industries involved in the process. On the borderline between innovative and creative industries, the story of DRMs clearly illustrates the conflict of interests inherent to that situation. Copyright principles Cultural contents are the only information goods that are simultaneously experience goods. Their experience dimension — one needs to consume them before gaining knowledge of them, nobody knows their market in advance — has far-reaching implications in terms of production, marketing and financing. We will not look at this topic in greater detail here, focusing instead on the information dimension of DRMs. However, it is worth remembering that their consumption via experimentation makes contents economically different from many functional information goods such as software programs or patents. As information goods, contents have been characterized since the seminal paper of Arrow in 1962 by the two major properties of public goods: non-rivalry and non-excludability. The consumption of a non-rival good by an additional person does not decrease the amount available for others. Given the nullity of its marginal cost, it should be priced at zero to reach maximal social welfare. A good is non-excludable when it is impossible to prevent someone consuming it, even when s/he does not pay anything for it. Nonexcludability induces a deficit of incentives to create as producers anticipate underpayment. Incentives to create can be re-established in two ways. A first possibility is to reward content producers through public remuneration schemes based on tax revenues or levies on ancillary products. The second solution is to rebuild excludability on contents. Copyright laws reward content owners with O. BOMSEL & A.G. GEFFROY 37 exclusive rights to reproduction, distribution, representation, adaptation and translation, but for a limited period. This is the result of a trade-off aimed at maximizing social welfare, balancing incentives to create that would require infinite protection against the benefits of cultural diffusion that would require no protection at all. Private Technical Protection Measures (TPMs) supplement copyright laws with self-enforcing access and copy control measures. Access control measures enforce consumers to pay to access content. The general idea is simple: the information good is bundled with some private good that gives its properties of excludability and rivalry to the entire bundle (VARIAN,1998). The content may be bundled either with physical supports (books, newspapers, tapes, CDs, DVDs) or with tickets (concerts, movie projections, pay-TV broadcasts) to form what Watts (2000) calls "delivery goods and services." Concurrently, copy control measures define consumers' freedom of use. These technical protection measures are not only private, but also cooperative: they have to be adopted simultaneously by the content industry, its distribution networks – including, of course, terminal equipment - and end consumers. The exclusive copyright system is the result of these two principles: a public principle (copyright laws) and a private principle (TPMs). Copyright laws not only constitute the basis of content protection, but also inform the industrial organization of content industries. They enable a better allocation of decision rights along the different segments of the vertical chain. Vertical selection and financing mechanisms are based on exclusive copyright. This is also necessary to segment content markets into different territories and versions. DRMs: a digital copyright principle Digitization embodies the theoretical public good nature of contents in a highly concrete form: each copy is an original and each consumer a potential broadcaster. This change of status has turned into a social phenomenon, with the surge of broadband networks and PC equipment as content distribution systems. Copyright issues have changed: the number of potential diffusion channels is growing together with threats to content owners' revenues and incentives to create. Moreover, the massive content circumvention trend questions individual prosecutions in terms of costs and No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 38 of social acceptance. Following the 1996 WIPO Treaties, the European Union and the United States adopted digital copyright laws, EUCD 1 and DMCA 2 , that shifted the balance of the exclusive rights system with a "radical innovation," namely the legal protection of DRMs. Digital Rights Management systems (DRMs) refer to digital access, copy and redistribution control mechanisms for copyrighted contents such as music, video or text. They can be used either on physical supports (like DVDs) or on purely digital files. DRMs control access to digital content files: they are the entry ticket bundled with digital songs, texts and movies that make them excludable. Early examples of DRMs like the Serial Copy Management System for digital audiotapes or the Content Scrambling System (CSS) for DVDs were just copy restriction tools. But DRMs can also control the freedom attached to digital contents. They assign a pre-defined and self-enforcing set of uses to each item of digital content covering rights to view (hear), modify, record, excerpt, translate into another language, keep for a certain period, distribute, etc. Given how hard it is to sue individual circumventors, without DRMs each consumer would exercise completel control over the exploitation digital files. The legal protection of DRMs — a private means of enforcing content excludability — is part of a "privatization" of copyright protection. This makes proprietary software, governed by intellectual property rights and reinforced by public law, crucial to the vertical relations shaped by exclusive copyright. Content distribution systems Contents are distributed to the end consumer through systems consisting of delivery infrastructures (physical retail, broadcast, broadband, mobile etc.) and via terminal equipment. All devices that enable consumers to select, receive, render and store contents, be they fixed or mobile, are pieces of content distribution systems. According to this definition, contents and all delivery equipment are complementary goods. The systemness (Rosenberg, 1994) of digital content distribution comes from the need for technical interoperability between each link of the vertical chain. 1 EUCD: European Copyright Directive (22 May 2001). 2 DMCA: Digital Millennium Copyright Act (1998) O. BOMSEL & A.G. GEFFROY 39 All types of information systems are subject to powerful "network effects" - also called bandwagon effects - whereby users' benefits increase with the number of users. Network effects include "direct" effects, which are directly proportional to the number of users (fax or telephone services), and "indirect" effects mediated by a market such as complementary products, for example: the music ringtone industry indirectly benefits from GSM network effects; while MS Windows indirectly benefits from the effects of the internet network. Moreover, direct network or bandwagon effects also occur in experience or fashionable goods such as contents, where the testing of the good by early adopters increases its value for other consumers. For each Harry Potter fan, the utility of the movie increases with the number of fans s/he can exchange with. LEIBENSTEIN (1950) was the first economist to stress the importance of bandwagon effects on the demand function. ROHLFS (1974) modelled the network effects through an aggregated demand curve. He showed that there is a critical mass of subscribers below which a network cannot be sustainable. Before this mass is reached, any resignation brings the willingness-to-pay of the remaining members under the price of the service. Any equilibrium is instable. Once critical mass is reached, the utility of all consumers stands above the price of the network. Moreover, every new consumer brings additional utility to all the others. The main issue is consequently how to achieve critical mass? One rule of thumb is to subsidize early adopters. What tends to vary tremendously are the means of subsidy selected and the economic signals given by the subsidy. The subsidy may occur across services within the same network. In the U.S. fixed telecoms sector, long distance calls were overcharged while local calls were subsidized to provide "universal service", namely no price discrimination for geographically isolated consumers. The subsidy may also occur through vertical relations within networks. In Europe, GSM telephone operators have been able to charge fixed networks high termination fees for fixed-to-mobile calls, while the regulated fixed networks have been powerless to retaliate. The money transfer resulting from high interconnection charges 3 has been partially passed onto consumers through handset subsidies. Network effects in mobile networks have resulted in large-scale substitution of fixed calls by mobile. 3 About €19 billion for the UK, France and Germany between 1998 and 2002. BOMSEL, CAVE, LE BLANC, NEUMANN, 2003. 40 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 In many cases, cross-subsidies occur along the content vertical distribution chain. Piracy or copyright circumvention can be a form of crosssubsidy: the utility of the distribution industry increases thanks to the availability of free content. YU (2003) and VARIAN (2004) both refer to the history of U.S. copyright law in the 19th century. After independence, newspapers and books were massively imported. In each state, local newspapers lobbied for a copyright law. The first federal Copyright Act voted in 1790 was limited to works by U.S. citizens. Between 1800 and 1860, the publishing industry expanded thanks to royalty free (and already markettested) English books. Along the same lines, the U.S. refused a bilateral treaty on copyright proposed by England in 1842. By 1880, however, as American authors (Hawthorne, Irving, Poe, Beecher-Stove, Twain, etc.) began to gain popularity, editors started to complain about unfair competition with from pirated foreign authors whose books could be sold more cheaply. As a result, the Congress voted in the International Copyright Act in 1891 that expanded copyright provisions to foreign authors. This short story shows how industrial conflicts can surge in the enforcement of copyright protection: vertical cross-subsidies from content circumvention play a major role in the roll-out of distribution systems. The innovative nature of digital distribution is twofold. Firstly, while in physical distribution, the costs of logistics are fully supported by the retail network, in digital systems, the consumer has to invest in terminal equipment to access content. Such equipment has to be rolled-out in huge mass consumption markets showing network effects. Secondly, "private" copyright protection measures have to be rolled-out together with equipment and content, which means that TPM have to be adopted by all the vertical players. While vertical conflicts around TPM adoption have always arisen, their resolution is far more complex — and more crucial — when several systems involving many sets of firms compete together to capture network effects. DRMs on dedicated content distribution systems We use the term "dedicated" for content distribution systems like the physical retailing of CDs or DVDs, radio or television where terminal equipment does not provide any utility beyond content consumption. Network effects on these networks are mediated by contents. Moreover, the prior consent of content owners is required (PICKER, 2004). Whenever content owners choose a standard, whether encrypted or not, network O. BOMSEL & A.G. GEFFROY 41 effects promote it, as this standard allows consumers to access a larger range of contents. Digital dedicated distribution systems such as digital satellite or digital cable have benefited from the initial roll-out of the TV sets. The latter benefited from the "free-to-air" distribution model for audiovisual content. In other words, consumers accepted the need to buy TV sets because they offered access to free contents. The free-to-air model is based on the network effects associated with two-sided market platforms, through which the consumers of one side (the viewers) can be valued by the clients of the other (advertisers). As information goods, contents can easily be structured into two-sided information platforms, decreasing their utility for consumers with ads, but making it possible to broadcast them for free (ROCHET & TIROLE, 2004). The more viewers, the more advertisers, the more resources available for new content, etc. Once TV sets were in place, pay content services were rolled-out together with marginal additional equipment (set-top-boxes) subsidized by distributors. In such systems, content has always been in a position to monitor the network effects and therefore, to impose technical standards for delivery and protection on the vertical chain of distributors. Such systems will benefit from more flexible DRMs in the future, to allow contents to circulate within an authorized home network. The rapport de force of contents and their interest in such a roll-out should favour a surge in suitable solutions. DRMs on the internet In the beginning no one knew what the internet would be used for. Yet every time the networks were boosted by additional capacity, application followed the roll-out, rather than preceding it. However, since its beginning, the internet has been driven by one-to-one communication applications. Email, web services, instant messaging, e-commerce and network gaming take advantage of the two-way communication potential of the network. Those applications generate direct network effects that pull the broadband rollout. Peer-to-peer (P2P) applications have emerged in this context as a way of sharing content, but also, and even predominantly, as a way of circumventing copyright. These applications offer new uses for broadband services and use circumvention as a roll-out subsidy (BOMSEL et al, 2004) 42 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 On internet networks, content owners have less bargaining power to impose protection measures on their vertical partners. Firstly, indirect network effects mediated by content are no longer conditional to the prior consent of content owners. The huge range of contents available on P2P networks provide indirect network effects that benefit and subsidize the rollout of broadband networks (Internet Service Providers) and to all broadband complementary equipment (PCs, microprocessors, modems, software, music and video players). Secondly, internet networks are not dedicated to content distribution: PCs are multipurpose pieces of equipment, for which content consumption is only one of a wide range of applications. Moreover, they are pulled by one-to-one communications that provide strong direct network effects. Internet players consequently are under no obligation and stand to gain nothing from accelerating the pace of DRM roll-out. On the contrary, they have a vested interest in trying to impose their proprietary DRM standard, while benefitting from the wild compatibility of P2P formats like MP3 or DivX. These strategies have led to incompatibilities in DRMs between digital offers and mobile players that are slowing consumers' adoption of DRM-based online distribution. Moreover, they may incite consumers to circumvent DRM technologies or to use P2P networks. In this vicious circle, before the standards war is over, no equipment manufacturer can afford to launch a content players that does not accept circumvented MP3 files (Sony tried to launch a digital music player solely compatible with its DRMs files, but quickly gave-up this suicidal strategy). The on-line digital music market illustrates the reasons behind and results of incompatible DRM systems. Four major players are trying to impose their proprietary DRM standard. Two of them, Sony and Apple, refuse to license their DRM technology to other digital music distributors and portable players' manufacturers. Their proprietary DRMs (Apple Fair Play and Sony Open Magic Gate) secure a complete music distribution system composed of an internet music store, a media player and mobile players. Real Networks and Microsoft are pursuing the opposite strategy, namely trying to attract as many music stores and portable players manufacturers as possible to their own DRM technology (WMA DRM and Helix). Helix is open and Microsoft sells very cheap licenses for its WMA. Given its large market share, Apple's proprietary strategy induces major incompatibility issues between on-line music stores and mobile players. O. BOMSEL & A.G. GEFFROY 43 DRM system roll-out issues The P2P problem: innovation versus creation Massive circumvention via P2P networks is the major obstacle to the roll-out of DRMs. "Copyright respectful" digital offers cannot compete with easily accessible free contents. While free-to-air models decrease the utility of the consumer with ads, P2P offers the same product as paying content, with greater choice and flexibility of use. In addition, because it increases the utility of devices, P2P kills incentives for equipment manufacturers to loyally secure their products. However, many voices have been raised in opposition to DRMs for the sake of P2P technologies. DRMs have been accused of impeding innovation in digital technologies and networks. While the argument of P2P and DRMs being technologically incompatible does not stand, it is disputable that the cross-subsidization of new distribution systems by free contents may end up benefitting creative industries in the long term. The reference often cited for this long-term benefit is the large VHS market opened up by VCRs. However to what extend can innovation be promoted at the expense of incentives to create? The evolution of U.S. court decisions on copying technologies shows that, with digitization, a new line has been crossed. In the famous 1984 Betamax case, Universal Studios and Walt Disney accused Sony Corporation of infringing their copyrights. Arguing that individuals' use of VCR (Video Cassette Recorders) would seriously damage their revenues, especially from advertising, they wanted the production and importation of VCRs to be prohibited. In a narrow vote the Supreme Court ruled in favor of Sony, considering that "time shifting" (recording television broadcasts for later viewing) was fair use. Moreover, as VCRs were primarily used for that purpose, selling them was not considered to be copyright infringement, despite their potentially unauthorized uses. An interpretation of this judgment could be that the VCR technology's potential infringement on copyright was considered to be overridden by the overall benefits of innovation. However, this logic changed with the judgement on the (secondary) liability of P2P software providers for copyright infringement. In 2001 and 2003, the U.S. courts found two centrally mediated P2P systems (Napster and Amster) liable, as they materially contributed to copyright infringement. European courts applied the same logic. This trend was clearly confirmed in the MGM versus Grokster case. In the beginning, the U.S. Court of Appeals 44 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 applied the Sony-Betamax guideline and found no secondary liability of the decentralized peer-to-peer software providers for their users' copyright infringement. The decision focused on the non-infringing uses of P2P networks (exchange of non copyrighted material) and on the lack of control of P2P vendors over infringing uses. In June 2005, however, the Supreme Court ruled that P2P software providers could be held liable for copyright infringements committed by their users if they actively encourage that infringement. Three criteria were then defined to judge such active inducement of infringing uses: the marketing of infringing uses, the lack of a technology to fight them and the place of infringement in the business model. This decision led to the closure of the Grokster company 4 . Compatibility issues A second obstacle to the roll-out of DRMs is their incompatibility. This is intrinsically linked to the existence of P2P networks. Manufacturers would be more inclined to make DRMs compatible, if P2P networks did not already provide this service through circumvented compatible contents. Moreover, the incompatibility of DRMs incites consumers to seek circumvented contents on P2P networks. This vicious circle fully benefits equipment manufacturers. The impact of the incompatibility of DRMs on consumers is not unanimously considered negative, as it may result in a price decrease: if there are no network effects, incompatible vertically integrated systems face more elastic demand than compatible components (MATUTES & REGIBEAU, 1988). However, consumer surplus may not be superior to cases where systems are compatible. Indeed, compatibility increases variety, enabling consumers to mix and match (MATUTES & REGIBEAU, 1988). However, in the case of incompatibility, consumers remain free to accept or refuse each distributor's offer. This rule mostly applies to dedicated networks similar to broadcasting. The rule applies as long as the consumer can chose between different integrated systems. In the second stage of a dynamic game, incompatibility may indeed lessen competition and prices may rise as one system may win 4 In Europe, the last decision on decentralized P2P software liability found no liability. The 2002 BUMA vs. KaZaa case, Amsterdam Court of Appeals, later affirmed by Dutch Supreme Court, considered that the KaZaa software was not used for "exclusively" infringing purposes. O. BOMSEL & A.G. GEFFROY 45 the market (KATZ & SHAPIRO, 1994). This monopolization depends on the existence and strength of network effects. In the case of incompatible systems offering contents over the internet (as in the case of on-line music), network effects are mainly mediated by contents. They depend on the differentiation level of the content offering and on the range of contents that each system may provide. If one platform monopolizes all the on-line offerings of digital contents, the range of content variety accessible through digital distribution may be endangered. Another possible scenario, once the standards war is won, is that a DRM standard may start to be licensed as a monopoly in the vertical chain. However, this monopolization may not happen as every system benefits from strong indirect network effects provided by… compatible circumvented contents. Moral hazard in content distribution As equipment and software manufacturers are the only beneficiaries of ineffective DRMs, it can be assumed that incompatibility is a source of "moral hazard" in digital content distribution 5 . Moral hazard means that these distributors are not doing their best to maximize the returns of their principals. Such moral hazard distorts the competition with distribution systems that protect copyright, gives out wrong signals to the market and misorients investment. In broadcast networks, the contents monitor the utility of the system. In this case, there is little moral hazard attached to content protection within the system itself. The hazard may come from new digital recording equipment able to store contents in an open format through the analogue hole, and from the competition with open architecture systems that promote the diffusion of P2P files. This competition is forcing broadcasters into a race to roll-out DRMs due to a rise in content utility. This is why the launch of HDTV in Europe will be aimed at stuffing the analogue hole and enforcing consumers to record images in encrypted formats. Another example is the subsidization of set-top-box DVRs to promote the content recording through adapted DRMs. 5 Moral hazard occurs in a vertical relation where one party pursues its private interests at the other's expense. One example of moral hazard is drivers that behave carelessly when they know that the insurance company will pay for all of the damages. Moral hazard may deter players from engaging in mutually beneficial transactions. It reduces welfare by blocking such efficient vertical transactions. Moral hazard is also a source of market failure. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 46 The consequences of moral hazard in internet-based content distribution are more serious for content that has no alternative digital distribution channel. Video content is massively distributed through digital broadcast systems, so it can withstand (even unfair) competition with broadband. However, digital music depends heavily upon the internet 6 . This is why the compatibility of music DRMs is such a controversial issue. Conclusion The paradox is that imposing DRM interoperability to protect copyright for cultural goods somehow calls into question the copyright of individual DRMs. Existing reverse engineering provisions for compatibility do not apply to DRMs: complex reverse engineering processes could not follow the fast pace of renewals of these security tools. Mandatory licensing, mandatory disclosure of DRMs interoperability information and public standardization are the different solutions available to public authorities willing to impose interoperability on DRMs. Critical issues are then the choice of the players that will support the costs of interoperability and the effective security of interoperable DRMs. The problem can be seen as the internalization of the negative externalities of incompatibility. The general principle in such cases is that the beneficiaries of the moral hazard pay the costs of interoperability. However, the lack of interoperability is not the only source of moral hazard. Interoperability will not be enough to ensure that copyright is respected or to achieve fair competition between content distributors. The solution should also imply the containment of illegal P2P networks and the implementation, probably at the hardware level, of efficient DRM protection able to discriminate between copyrighted and non copyrighted content. This is the only way to restore the content monitoring of indirect network effects in open communication systems. 6 Mobile telephony is indeed an alternative, but fixed broadband networks are far more convenient. O. BOMSEL & A.G. GEFFROY 47 References BOMSEL O., CAVE M., LE BLANC G. & NEUMANN H. (2003): "How mobile termination rates shape the European telecom industry", Cerna, Ecole des Mines de Paris. BOMSEL O.; LE BLANC G., CHARBONNEL J. & ZAKARIA A. (2004): "Economic Issues of Content Distribution", Riam Contango Project, Cerna, Ecole des Mines de Paris. KATZ M. & SHAPIRO C. (1994): "Systems Competition and Network Effects," Journal of Economic Perspectives. LEIBENSTEIN H. (1950): "Bandwagon, Snob, and Veblen effects in the Theory of Consumers' Demand", Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 64, no. 2, May 1950. MATUTES C. & REGIBEAU P. (1988): "Mix and Match: Product Compatibility Without Network Externalities", Rand Journal of Economics, 19 (2), 219-234. PICKER R. (2004): "From Edison to the Broadcast Flag: Mechanisms of Consent and Refusal and the Propertization of Copyright". ROCHET J.C. & TIROLE J. (2004): "Two-Sided Markets: An Overview". ROHLFS J. (1974): "A Theory of Interdependent Demand for a Communications Service," Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science. ROSENBERG N. (1994): "Inside the blackbox", Cambridge University Press. VARIAN H.: - (1998): "Markets for Information Goods". - (2004): "Copying and Copyright". WATT R. (2000): Copyright and Economic Theory. Friends or Foes?, Edward Elgar Publishing. YU P. (2003): "The Copyright Divide", Michigan State University. The Role of Public Service Broadcasters in the Era of Convergence A Case Study of Televisió de Catalunya Emili PRADO & David FERNÁNDEZ Autonomous University of Barcelona, Spain Abstract: The development of the convergence process has several implications in the reconfiguration of the media landscape. Public services broadcasters have new opportunities to fulfil their public service duties in a new competitive environment, which involves developing new applications on new platforms. Televisió de Catalunya, the public service broadcaster (PSB) of Catalonia, has developed a clear strategy in this new convergent environment, applying its traditional know-how to new interactive and digital media according to its public mission and getting positive feedback. Key words: convergence, public service broadcasting, interactive TV, bandwidth, 3G services, multimedia and digital divide. C onvergence in the television industry is continuing at a steady pace. Although we are in a period of transition, some of the features that will characterise the future can clearly be seen through the windows of today. Convergence represents the second major transition for public service in Europe. The first transition was the drastic change in its identity caused by the break-up of monopolies and the establishment of mixed systems. The television system has been shaped by the tension between regulation and technological innovation. From a technological perspective, television was conditioned in its early days by the limitations of the radio spectrum and the technical characteristics of transmission by Hertzian waves. It consequently began its activity with a reduced number of channels available and with coverage that could be adapted to state borders. From a regulatory perspective, the medium was modelled according to the government's general conception of television. As television was an instrument of extremely high strategic value, the state established the conditions of its usufruct. The prevailing trend in Europe was followed in Spain. This involved establishing a model to offer a public television service COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 49. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 50 in the form of a state monopoly. These public companies coordinated one, two or three channels, depending on the country and the period. Such channels were guided by three principles: to inform, to educate and to entertain. Solid public systems were formed out of these raw materials. Television took on a highly central role as an ideological apparatus of the state. It played an important part in processes of socialization, education and political participation. Television became the backbone of the modern state due to its functions in creating consensus and cultural homogenization; and in constructing and defending national identities. Europe, distribution of offerings 2004-2005 (%) 35 30 32 EUROMONITOR 27 25 20 14 15 9 10 4 5 5 4 4 SPORT OTHERS 0 FICTION INFORMATION INFO-SHOW SHOW GAME-SHOW CHILDREN Source: Euromonitor 1 Technological innovation eliminated the constraints that had prevented the number of channels from increasing. Television was seen to be big business on the other side of the Atlantic. Pressure from economic sectors interested in operating in the television sector consequently led to a process of deregulation. This brought about the introduction of mixed television systems in which public and private operators coexisted, or rather, competed. 1 EUROMONITOR is a permanent observatory of television in Europe. It has been in operation since 1989 and was set up by a group of European researchers (Paolo Baldi, Ian Connell, Claus Dieter Rath and Emili Prado) at the request of the VQPT service of the RAI. Until 1995, its headquarters were in Geneva. In 1995, it relocated to the Autonomous University of Barcelona where it has been managed by Emili Prado. The team at the headquarters includes the lecturers Matilde Delgado, Núria García and Gemma Larrègola as researchers. The observatory undertakes regular reports for the main television operators in Europe and North America, scientific publications and academic seminars, programming workshops with the industry and advises the regulatory authorities. E. PRADO & D. FERNÁNDEZ 51 The resulting increase in the number of channels led to a situation of high audience fragmentation - which is not the same as segmentation. This was due to the fact that the increase in supply under market law did not lead to greater variety in contents. Instead, in general terms, a high degree of uniformity of offerings was registered. This was due to the same weapons being used in competition between operators. EUROMONITOR data on the combined offerings of the general-interest, public and private channels in the five main European television markets (the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy and Spain) is conclusive. Almost three quarters of the offerings are concentrated in only three macro-genres. The identity crisis in public service broadcasting began to emerge and the debate over the role of public television in a mixed model came to the fore. A short time later, digitalization and the convergence that ensued, burst onto the scene; leading to a redefinition of the role of public service in the digital era. Challenges for public television in the framework of convergence Public television had to redefine its role during the first transition from a monopoly to a mixed system. However, most of the changes were brought about in what can be called the traditional functions of public service. There is already ample European doctrine on the mission of public television. Several organisations (the European Broadcasting Union, the European Commission, the European Parliament and the Council of Europe) have issued or promoted reflections and guidelines in this field. Since the nineties, this reflection has been combined with new requirements, arising from the prospects presented by digitalization. Some of this doctrine is included in: the Delors White Paper (1993), the Bangemann Report (1994), the Tongue Report (1996) and the High Level Group of Experts Report (1998). Obviously, each transition stage presented different kinds of challenges. In the first transition, the challenge consisted of defining public television's function in the context of competition. However, the prevailing model of television still followed the traditional template, with the channel predominating. This distribution system involves a flow of contents. Regulations can be applied to this system, to determine the menu available for consumption by a regional population. The second transition involved 52 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 digitalization, leading to total technological convergence. The television was to be integrated with "everything digital and the internet". During this transition the traditional template became blurred. Contents were to predominate. Users would be able to access stores to obtain the contents they liked. This represents a move from flow television to stock television. In other words, users surf to find cultural products - in this case television products - rather than the products being transmitted directly to the users. This change in perspective affects the entire communication system. However, it is most clearly evident in public television. Public television has to readapt its strategies so that it can continue to fulfil the functions of a public service, in the context of a much wider range of offerings. In addition, it now has to readapt to a complete change in the rules of the game. It can no longer depend on the support of national communication policies regulating the circulation of products or establishing the characteristics that such products should have. Moreover, it has to become an active agent in the communicative context. Now it not only coexists in this context with other operators from its own market, but also with operators from all markets. The context not only includes television, but all the other media that make up the convergent communication system. MORAGAS & PRADO (2000) drew up a list of the functions that public television needs to undertake if it aims to bring its democratic legitimacy up to date in the digital era. Below are the functions that can be considered updates of traditional functions: - guaranteeing democracy (and defending pluralism), - stimulating citizen participation (a political function), - a cultural function, - guaranteeing identity, - ensuring the quality of scheduling and contents, - an educational role, - a social and social welfare function, - maintaining regional balance, - promoting economic development, - acting as a driving force for the audiovisual industry, - providing a source of creative innovation and experimentation, - a humanist and moralistic function, - spreading and socializing knowledge. The functions listed above are fairly conventional. From now on, we need to add other functions derived from the new situations that have arisen due E. PRADO & D. FERNÁNDEZ 53 to the technological transformation and globalisation of the Information Society. Among these functions, we can highlight: • Mediation and credibility in the face of the many available channels and sources. To play the role of mediator, public television must be protected from external interference and guarantee its credibility democratically. • Guaranteeing universal access for everybody. In a context where everything is digital and online, there is space for both free access information and for a sizeable proportion of conditional access. In addition, the internet does not reach all segments of the population. Public television should guarantee universal access to important information and major communication products. Such products should not be exclusively reserved for users who can pay for them or people with online access. • Producing information that is socially necessary. In market conditions the production of socially necessary information is not guaranteed. Instead, information that is economically viable is produced. Therefore, if we want an Information Society for everyone, public communication systems need to produce socially necessary information. • Acting as a guide and mediator in the face of the wide variety of information on offer. The user has access to a vast amount of information that makes it difficult to carry out an effective selection from all of the programmes and services available. The electronic programme guide has arisen as a public service function to provide people with the information needed to make an informed choice. • Balancing and curbing new communication-telecommunication oligopolies. The public sector should counterbalance the extraordinary concentration in the audiovisual system. This concentration is caused by convergence. In the face of this situation, public television should be a guarantee of plurality. Thus, public television stations should be financially, technologically and professionally solid. In addition, they should guarantee the plurality of their contents and democracy in decision-taking. • Acting as a driving force in the processes of convergence between the communication sector and other social sectors, such as: culture, education, health, social welfare, etc. Public televisions should expand their communication activity beyond television to respond as multimedia communication institutions. They will only be able to fulfil their mission in this way: without being restricted in the increasingly narrow space kept for the medium of television in a context where "everything is digital and on line". No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 54 To fulfil these functions, public television needs to organise its activities to attain at least the following objectives: • Offer a wide range of varied, high quality programmes that reflect the common denominator of good taste and provide unbiased information with educative, cultural or entertaining contents that are of interest to the public. • Ensure that all types of programmes can reach everybody. In no case should services and programmes of cultural and national importance be limited so that they only reach well-off groups. • Coordinate offerings of programmes that reflect the tastes of both the majority and the minorities. This will contribute to creating social cohesion, regional balance and a sense of belonging, particularly among minorities. • Undertake to have a strong national production base. This will provide programmes that reflect national values and the near environment better than foreign products. This will help to contribute to sustaining and revitalizing national culture and the characteristics of its identity. Furthermore, it will help to promote the audiovisual sector and the economy. • Form a complex communicative institution that acts on all available platforms. To fulfil these objectives, public television needs to be viewed by a large enough audience to be able to exercise a social influence, to influence its competitors by example and to justify the investment that it receives. The specific case of Televisió de Catalunya Specificities of the Catalan market and the position of Televisió de Catalunya Identity is a key factor in Catalonia. This is reflected in the region's cultural idiosyncrasies and, in particular, in the region's own language, Catalan. This language shares both the social and communicative space with Spanish. Catalonia is an integral part of the Spanish television market, which has been established on a national scale since its beginnings in 1956. However, regulations did not bring about the emergence of Televisió de Catalunya E. PRADO & D. FERNÁNDEZ 55 (TVC) until 1984. In fact, the channel started its experimental transmissions in September 1983, a few months before a law 2 allowing the creation of public regional broadcasting corporations controlled by Spain's autonomous governments. TVC finally started regular transmissions on January 16th 1984, a few days after the law was approved (PRADO & LARRÈGOLA, 2005). This is a public channel that has coverage in the Autonomous Community and is broadcast entirely in Catalan. In addition, the public state television makes regional broadcasts in this language. There are also other examples of local television, which are mainly in Catalan. The total number of broadcasts in Catalan currently accounts for less than 30% of the television market. Convergence has occurred at the same time as globalisation, which represents both a considerable challenge and an opportunity for small, stateless nations like Catalonia. It is a challenge because it leads to a huge increase in the communicative opportunities of citizens. However, it also represents an opportunity as the cultural proximity factor, the main asset of media such as TVC, acquires strategic importance in the sector. Convergence involves the emergence of new production and transmission methods, as well as new consumer practices to which the media have to adapt. In addition, public television must adapt in accordance with its mission and functions. Its boundaries are extended in the digital era. All of this is occurring in an environment that is hostile towards public TV due to pressure from the private sector to increase deregulation; and the restrictions on public TV's participation in the advertising market. This process coincides with the transition to a totally digital environment, the starting point for convergence and for a reconsideration of the role of public service television. As a result of convergence, this role has broadened in content and form. New functions have been added and it has been extended via new platforms. This involves a change of environment, as some of the initial barriers in traditional analogue television, such as the lack of radio spectrum, disappear when competing in a market with bigger audiences. Catalonia also has a unique characteristic in the framework of the Spanish TV market. This is the presence of a regulatory authority, the 2 Ley 46/1983, de 26 de Diciembre, reguladora del tercer canal de televisión, Boletín Oficial del Estado n. 4, de 05.01.1984. 56 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 Consell de l'Audiovisual de Catalunya (Catalonia Broadcasting Council), with broad competences in this territory. This authority was created in 1996 3 and its remit was reinforced in 2000 4 . This represents the most advanced example of an independent authority, since there is no national authority and only a few regions, like Navarre and Andalusia, have a similar institution, although with a minor degree of competences. The spread of convergence Convergence today is based on the technological opportunities provided by digitalization. This is expressed in many ways. Some of these are clearly reflected in the case of TVC. We should therefore examine the role of technological convergence in the process of transforming TVC and its parent company, Corporació Catalana de Ràdio i Televisió (CCRTV). We should take into account that: technological convergence is a necessary, but nonsufficient condition by itself, because the 'present and the future of any communication technique depends less on the characteristics of each particular technique than on a series of different variables including economic factors (installation cost, subscription cost), political factors (the degree of intervention by the state as an agent) and social factors (habits and uses)' (DE MIGUEL, 1993: 54). Technological convergence must therefore be combined with other perspectives such as economic, regulatory and social convergence. In the specific case study dealt with in this paper, our analysis focuses on technological convergence and the convergence of services, corporate convergence and processes of social convergence that TVC is involved with in its role as a public service. Finally, it is also necessary to show the financial framework of all these processes. Technological convergence and the convergence of services Four factors are of central importance within the wide field of activities covered by technological convergence. Digitalization is the first of these factors, as it affects both internal production processes and signal transmission. The second factor is the level of interactivity developed in the 3 Llei 8/1996, de 5 de juliol, de regulació de la programació audiovisual distribuïda per cable, Diari Oficial de la Generalitat de Catalunya n. 2232, de 19.07.96. 4 Llei 2/2000, de 4 de maig, del Consell de l'Audiovisual de Catalunya, Diari Oficial de la Generalitat de Catalunya n. 3133, de 05.05.00. E. PRADO & D. FERNÁNDEZ 57 different products. The third aspect is the extent of the services' coverage. This is an essential condition if a service has to reach a considerable proportion of the population. Finally, bandwidth is an essential condition for using advanced convergent services. Digitalization The digitalization process for television has several different levels. The first level is the digital production of TV contents, including the filming and recording of information, and the subsequent editing of this material. Secondly, digitalization is involved in transmission through the different platforms available. Finally, the reception of a broadcast is a stage that involves the user's response to the requirements of the media and of the electronics industry. We will discount this final stage, in which the role of one TV network has a secondary - though present - role. This section of the paper therefore focuses on the digitalization process involved in production and transmission. In terms of production, TVC is at an advanced stage of updating all of its analogical equipment and replacing it with new digital-based hardware. This process is occurring at different speeds in most of the television networks in the main television markets worldwide. Interestingly, TVC is developing its own integrated system of production and digital archiving. The software for this system is called DigitionSuite. It was developed by TVC's technological subsidiary, TVC Multimèdia. After group restructuring, this subsidiary was renamed Activa Multimèdia Digital. This software combines content recording, video editing, asset management, archives and play-out all in a digital format and in one programme. TVC therefore works with its own production software. It has also marketed this software to other companies in the sector such as IB3, the Balearic Islands' regional television station. In this way TVC has also promoted technological transfer. Due to digitalization, which made convergence possible, there are now many technological platforms for transmitting audiovisual signals. Catalan public television was one of the first suppliers of thematic channels for the two digital satellite channels, Canal Satélite Digital and Vía Digital, which appeared in the Spanish market in 1997. These thematic channels arose in the context of an emblematic business project for the development of the Information Society in Catalonia: Media Park. This is a benchmark audiovisual production centre in the region. TVC has provided funding, and acted as a partner and content company for Media Park since it was 58 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 founded in February 1996. Originally, TVC had a 17.59% share in Media Park. In this respect, TVC has always maintained the importance of contents as a key element in the framework of convergence. It demonstrated this stance in its clear strategic positioning during the "football war" between Spanish television networks from 1996 to 1997. This battle was fought to acquire the rights to broadcast the Spanish football league matches, which are a guaranteed way of increasing audience share. TVC ended up controlling 20% of shares in the company Audiovisual Sport, which ultimately became the manager of these property rights. Other shareholders included: Sogecable, the owner of Canal Satélite Digital; and Antena 3 Televisión, one of the Spanish free-to-air private television networks. In the end, this gave TVC a notable position in controlling a key content. However, it also represented a sharp drop in the company's value, when the market prices of football rights were rationalized after hyperinflation in Spain at the end of the 1990s. TVC made its first Digital Terrestrial Television (DTT) broadcast in 1998, despite the lack of adequate DTT set-top boxes in the market. In 2002, it moved onto a simulcast stage, combined with the analogue transmission required by Spanish Law on DTT introduction. When the pay platform Quiero TV went bankrupt, in situations similar to those of On Digital in the UK, Spanish DTT was left in limbo. Only about 200,000 set-top boxes for DTT existed, which Quiero TV had distributed. However, boxes could not be found in the shops, even though the law required operators to begin their DTT broadcasts using this technology. Within six months of On Digital going bust in the UK, the BBC led the launch of a new platform called Freeview. Spain, on the contrary, lacked the response and leadership of such a strong national public service broadcaster. The DTT situation in Spain at this time involved some simulcast broadcasts of the programs transmitted in analogue. These had very little audience potential. In this context, TVC, as a public service broadcaster, assumed part of the responsibility for DTT and headed the project TDT Micromercats (DTT Micromarkets). Between 2003 and 2004, this project analysed a series of new technological services, both for contents and interactive services, through a pilot test carried out with 70 families in the Barcelona area. The central Spanish government gave impetus to DTT when it approved the Plan de Impulso de la Televisión Digital Terrestre, DATA (Plan to E. PRADO & D. FERNÁNDEZ 59 Promote Digital Terrestrial Television) in June 2005 5 . This plan included distributing the frequencies that were originally attributed to Quiero TV among the current operators of analogue television. In addition, the analogue "switch off" was brought forward from 2012 to 2010. Towards the end of 2005, the operators began to offer new contents. This coincided with Christmas sales campaigns, in which DTT set-top boxes were one of the top presents. By the beginning of 2006, there were around a million units in Spain 6 . In this context, TVC started up a new broadcast, Canal 300, which uses its archive of contents, adding to its analogue offerings, namely the general-interest TV3, K3/33, a complementary channel that has a combined content of programmes for children and young people, culture and sports programmes; and 3/24, a channel providing 24 hour news. Thus it has made an effort to develop new contents. The regional, private multiplex concessionary, the Godó group has not made a similar effort. It only broadcasts the programmes from its analogue channel, City TV, in simulcast and consequently only uses 25% of its concession. However, public Catalan television has not stopped at the traditional concept of television. Early on, it established its presence on the internet. The first TVC web site was set up in 1995 (www.tvcatalunya.com). This was one of the first Spanish state media to become established on the Net. Subsequently, the project was reformulated. From 2002, its objectives and approaches were expanded. Specific portals were created for the following areas: news (www.telenoticies.com), sport (www.elsesports.net), music (www.ritmes.net), and children's content (www.3xl.net). The main framework was kept for the rest of the network's contents. This involved incorporating both audio and video format contents. Advantage was taken of the synergies created by the integration of the online newsroom in the workflow of the public television and radio newsroom (FRANQUET et al., 2006). Most of these contents are available online since 2004, using the service '3 a la carta' (www.3alacarta.com). This service won the Promax 2005 World Gold Award for the best interactive service of a television channel. After transferring the experience from the television to a web environment, another step forward was taken. This involved integrating 5 Ley 10/2005, de 14 de junio, de medidas urgentes de impulso de la televisión digital terrestre, de liberalización de la televisión por cable y de fomento del pluralismo, Boletín Oficial del Estado n. 142, de 15.06.2005. 6 "Vendidos ya en España un millón de descodificadores para la TDT" (A thousand DTT st decoders sold already in Spain), La Vanguardia Digital, February 21 2006. See: http://www.lavanguardia.es/web/20060221/51234268973.html 60 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 these and television services with the mobile phone through an SMS alert service. After this first contact with the mobile telephone, the next step was natural: to adapt and develop contents for third generation mobile telephones. Such contents were developed from August 2004 through the mobile operator Amena, which offers the programming for TVC's main channel, TV3, live to its 3G telephone clients. TVC is the first television operator to offer this service in Spain. This experience is due to be expanded on in 2006 with a new project that has the following partners: the telecommunications operator Tradia, the technological company Nokia, and Telefónica Móviles, the leading mobile phone operator in the Spanish market. In addition, TVC plans to develop interactive applications using this platform. It also plans to adapt the on demand internet video service '3 a la carta' for third generation mobile platforms. Interactivity The development of interactive systems that can be applied to television has also been of interest from the outset; since the creation of TVC Multimèdia in 1998. TVC Multimèdia has been functioning under the CCRTV Interactiva (CCRTVi) umbrella since 2001. It was specifically created to develop new distribution media. The objective was to ensure: "the presence and competitiveness of the Corporació Catalana de Ràdio i Televisió, as well as its content and mission, in the new interactive media in existence today. These interactive media include: the internet, interactive digital television channels, teletext, mobile telephones and all those media that technology will allow in the future" (CCRTV, 2002: 101). From the beginning, the corporation committed itself to applying interactive systems to its first thematic channels, which are described above. This occurred as these channels were being created. TVC differentiates between three lines of activity in this field. The first involves interactive meteorology services. The second involves those services that fall under Automatic TV and the third business includes remaining interactive television services. The meteorological services are developing applications that are both multiplatform (TV, Internet, WAP, SMS, PDA and UMTS) and multi-format (Flash, Real, Windows Media and Quicktime). Such applications are used in connection with a climatic database from which the service's own digitalised file is created, containing data obtained via satellite. Thanks to the European Union's MLIS project, these services are available in eight different languages. TVC Multimèdia participated in this project, alongside partners such as TV Cabo, World On Line, Weather World Prod. and Alice Prod. (PETIT & ROSÉS, 2003). E. PRADO & D. FERNÁNDEZ 61 Automatic TV is a hardware and software platform that automates content publication for television head ends. These include the SMS messages that the channel receives from viewers. Automatic TV created the first interactive television experience on channel TVRL in Lausanne, Switzerland. Other interactive television services involve the conceptualisation, development, editing and maintenance of content. In contrast to the majority of companies in this field, TVC Multimèdia is part of a television group. This gives it a greater degree of knowledge about the medium in which its applications will subsequently be implemented. Its projects include electronic programme guides (EPG), TV sites and interactive thematic channels. The company has also developed its own interactive service, HandData. This is a managing and broadcasting system for digital television. This software has been sold to other operators and has therefore contributed to obtaining financial returns. TVC's early and determined commitment to interactivity is not comparable to that of the British giant, BSkyB. However, generally speaking, its commitment has been pioneering and noteworthy in the realm of Spanish television, which even today appears to shy away from the development of added-value services. This enterprising spirit has aided the acquisition of know-how, which has enabled these services to be supplied to other national and international telecommunication companies. National companies include: Vía Digital, Canal Satélite Digital; Digital+, a product of the merger between these two companies; the cable platform Ono; and TV Castilla La Mancha. International companies include: Canal Plus Technologies in France, Mediaset in Italy, and NTV or TV Cabo in Portugal, for whom it developed a thematic meteorological channel with related interactive services. This is a field in which it has acquired extensive experience and in which it developed its latest project, Sam, a virtual weather reporter (www.meteosam.com). This virtual meteorologist is already being shown on television, the internet and the mobile telephone services of companies such as Telefónica Móviles. Since 2002, the commitment to interactive applications within the limits of DTT, in the framework of the TDT Micromercats project, has increased. The first applications for this platform have been introduced. These include: informative tickers, navigation bars, on line chatting, competitions and onscreen, navigable news and weather services. All these applications have been developed on Multimedia Home Platform (MHP). This platform was accepted in Spain as the standard protocol for interactive applications by virtue of an agreement among the main analogue TV companies and the 62 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 most important equipment manufacturers in February, 2002. Motivated by a desire to cover all of the market's technological niches, TVC Multimèdia has also developed applications for other technological platforms, such as: Open TV, Media Highway, Liberate or Microsoft TV. Additionally, the company is an active participant in groups that develop these systems, including MHP Implementers Group or Liberate Pop TV. After this pilot project and following the momentum caused by DTT broadcasting since the end of 2005, TVC has already begun to offer certain services that were tested in the pilot study on its digital channel, TV3. These services include both autonomous interactive services, and interactive services related to high-interest programmes, such as broadcasting the games of F.C. Barcelona, Catalonia's flagship football team. The objective is to make these new, value-added services attractive and well-known. Penetration Televisió de Catalunya was founded to be a market leader and in order to attain its public service objectives. It has been largely successful in this endeavour. As regards public service, the objective of accumulating the highest audience share is not the only leitmotiv in TVC's development and programming strategies, although its programming is quite competitive. This is demonstrated by the fact that its general-interest channel, TV3, had the second highest audience share in the region in 2005, pulling in a 20.3% share. This was only one point behind the national private television channel, Telecinco, which has double the budget of the public channel, and is in line with that of other national broadcasters. The group of TVC channels with free-to-air broadcasting has a 25.7% share. Its market penetration is therefore quite significant in such a competitive market, which includes four national, free broadcast channels. Another channel, Cuatro, which is the old analogical Canal+, now offers free-to-air broadcasts. There is also an autonomous private channel operator, City TV, based on the Italian deregulation model i.e. it broadcasts a network of various local frequencies, and over one hundred local broadcasters in all of Catalonia, as well as the competition of digital platforms by satellite, cable and ADSL. As far as the internet is concerned, TVC and its various brands have a solid and indisputable position in the Catalan-speaking market. In addition to having the highest market share, TVC is also the leader in product development (FRANQUET et al., 2006), adding content leadership to technological improvements. E. PRADO & D. FERNÁNDEZ 63 Bandwidth TVC's role in bandwidth development in Catalonia is secondary, as it is not a telecommunications company. Nevertheless, it is important to highlight its participation in bandwidth development projects. One of these is i2Cat, a pilot project promoted by the Catalan autonomous government on the Internet2 network. TVC has become involved in the development and testing of advanced applications and high-quality audiovisual content across the latest generation of networks, through which it even broadcasts in highdefinition. One of the most noteworthy subprojects within the i2Cat project is Dexvio. This is an experimental gateway that unites television through the Internet, with material from TVC and CCRTV Interactiva among others, and shared viewing spaces (ALCOBER, MARTIN & SERRA, 2003). Some of the services described above also promote internet bandwidth. One of these is the video on demand (VOD) '3 a la carta' application, whose expansion to IP TV services is being considered. TVC's offer for the Microsoft Windows Media Center services should also be mentioned as one of the most recent company applications. Corporate convergence The process of corporate convergence follows the logic of services convergence. A competitive position, offering essentially similar services or products in the same market, leads to convergence among different players. Players are expanding constantly due to this external growth. Thus, corporate convergence refers to alliances and unions between companies, by means of different cooperation processes, which can take different forms: vertical integration, horizontal integration, multimedia integration, acquisition, mergers, alliances, joint-ventures, etc. The concept can also be applied to the processes of organic diversification within a firm, to broaden its field of action field within the new convergent space. This phenomenon is frequently claimed to be new. However, historically, 'the first characteristic of innovation in the communication field is that it is located at the crossroads of many industrial activities' (FLICHY, 1980: 31). This has been demonstrated by the history of the first cultural industries, like cinema, radio or record companies. Convergence, in the form of alliances, has played an important role in TVC's development strategy. The Federación de Organizaciones de Radio y Televisión Autonómicas (FORTA - Federation of Autonomous Radio and 64 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 Television Organisations) is at the heart of strategic alliances. This federation groups together other Spanish regional channels and currently has eleven associated regional television stations that broadcast to over 37½ million Spaniards. According to the latest official statistics 7 , this represents 85.2% of the country's population. The group's objectives are to achieve economies of scale that are not possible in their smaller regional markets. This enables them to compete with national television stations. The federation's work has included joint production projects, such as TV-movies, the sale of advertising packages, and, above all, the acquisition of audiovisual rights, especially broadcasting rights for the football league, the indisputable king of sports in Spain. Moreover, national empathy with the other two historical Spanish communities, Galicia and the Basque Country, was reflected in the strengthening of an alliance with the autonomous channels in those regions and the start-up of the satellite channel Galeusca in 1996. This channel was distributed via PanamSat to Latin America, a historic destination for many Spanish immigrants. The channel included content in the languages of Catalonia, Galicia and the Basque Country and selected material from the programme schedules of the three autonomous, public television stations. Nevertheless, political interests redirected the project to the broadcasting of one of TVC's own channels, TVC Sat, through Vía Digital, a platform that uses the Hispasat satellite and thus enables it to reach the same target. The TVC Sat experience was also repeated with TVC Internacional, aimed at the Catalan communities in Europe and transmitted through the Astra satellite. This channel subsequently joined the offering of the Canal Satélite Digital platform using the same satellite. Other alliances that were developed with the private sector made a fullyfledged entry into the convergence field. One example of this is the case of Vía Digital, the Spanish satellite platform created in 1997 with the backing of the leading telecommunications operator, Telefónica. Public Catalan television initially had a 5% share in this platform. It also contributed various television channels produced directly or through Media Park, a company that also had shares in the platform. This contribution included various channels: Teletiempo, the thematic weather channel; Club Super3, the children's channel; and TVC Sat, previously mentioned. This was a very controversial 7 Information taken from the National Statistics Institute, pertaining to January 1st 2005 and consulted on March 11th 2006. See: http://www.ine.es/inebase/cgi/um?M=%2Ft20%2Fe260%2Fa2005%2F&O=pcaxis&N=&L=0 E. PRADO & D. FERNÁNDEZ 65 step at the time given that, in spite of its public status, the company had opted to position itself - just like other public services, such as its own TVE, the State's public television – as one of the two contenders in the sky battle. TVC later pulled out of this project by selling its shares, resulting in a heavy capital loss. On the other hand, its positioning with Vía Digital did not hinder its collaboration with Canal Satélite Digital, the competing digital platform. In addition to TVC Internacional, TVC produced the following programmes for Canal Satélite Digital: Sputnik, the music channel, Canal Méteo, the weather channel, and Fútbol Mundial, a thematic football channel produced from the Media Park facilities in collaboration with Canal+. The Sogecable group, controlled equally by Prisa, Spain's largest media group, and by the French group Vivendi, headed the Canal Satélite Digital platform. In any case, the absolute maintenance of TVC's position in the value chain is what stands out from all these alliances. It did not want to enter into other close links of the chain through convergence, as it was convinced that its know-how lay in content production and management. Content had been highlighted by the Green Paper on the Convergence of Telecommunications, Media and Information Technology Sectors, and the Implications for Regulation as one of the bottlenecks in the process due to its scarcity. In fact, TVC's only incursions into outside fields have been in the area of technology, where technological systems and applications were created by its subsidiary, TVC Multimèdia, when the market was unable to meet company needs. Thus, this expansion of the original core business, which was brought about by the current situation, occurred in a timely fashion. The company's management has promoted organic growth, avoiding corporate culture management problems similar to those seen in other cases, including the paradigm of AOL-Time Warner (GERSHON & ALHASSAN, 2003). Social convergence Social convergence mainly consists of a model for applying the Information Society's policies, which are usually gathered under the label of the fight against the digital divide. This is one aspect of convergence that private participants tend to leave in the hands of the authorities. By extension, public broadcasting services are also involved in this process of social convergence. 66 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 As a public service, TVC promotes public access in the Catalan market to new converging services. It creates content for a familiar public and offers programmes in Catalan, whereas private initiatives in Catalan are unusually stifled by market limitations. It does this with its own vision and from a Catalan perspective on world events, while also featuring information about the Catalan reality. It has consequently become an online social reference, stimulating the creation of communities such as the one it has brought together around its various interactive services. These communities have over 600,000 subscribers, representing almost 10% of the Catalan population and about 30% of the region's entire online community. From the individual perspective of citizenship, the web - which is seen as a new market by the economists and firms involved - takes the form of a new social space for connection and public expression. In this sense, one of the main characteristics of social convergence is the de-construction of communities, which are normally de-territorialized. Although the role of infrastructure is essential in a virtual community, it is important to remember that 'technological features do not ensure effective communication, and technological connection alone does not create a community' (HARASIM, 1993). In this sense, it seems that the feeling of community is also developed in another way in cyberspace, from the previous community, that is based on physical proximity (GOCHENOUR, 2006). The creation of appealing content that transfers this ability to attract to one's own technological infrastructure is one of the ways in which TVC, as a public service, attempts to fight the digital gap. Its motivation lies in the fact that "the absence of online public services offering content and services that are viewed as useful by citizens will continue to limit the diffusion and adoption of the Web as a widespread household tool" (FRANQUET et al., 2006). The group's latest internet development, És a dir (http://esadir.com/), is part of this effort. És a dir is a translation and consultation tool for the Catalan language that helps users understand much of the Web's content, which is primarily in English. Nor has TVC abandoned the promotion of all the converging tools that are part of the Information Society project via its traditional analogue transmission platform. One of the flagships of this project was the Cataluny@XXI programme. Manuel Castells was this programme's consultant and member. He is a prestigious sociologist whose trilogy, The Information Age, is key in understanding the web society. In the course of its 20+ year existence, TVC has acquired extensive expertise in managing linguistic aspects of its content. It has consequently become a benchmark for the audience that uses Catalan as its reference E. PRADO & D. FERNÁNDEZ 67 language. This community is not just limited to Catalonia, but extends to some areas of neighbouring Spanish regions, Andorra and the south of France. Financial divergence This panorama has its Achilles heel in the financial situation of the company. Since its creation, the financing model of TVC has emulated that of Televisión Española (TVE), the former state monopoly. Revenues come from two main sources: public funding and advertising rates. Those rates have been in decline since the introduction of private national channels in early 1990s and the rising competence of satellite and cable TV. In a political framework of budget adjustment, public funding did not grow sufficiently. Together, these factors led to a situation of deficit multiplication. By the end of 2004 TVC's debt amounted to over EUR 923 million, the highest deficit among Spanish autonomous broadcasters. It is granted by the autonomous government. The public Catalan TV has responded positively to its new public service functions in the framework of the information society. However, its financing model has remained frozen since its origins, and has failed to adapt to the structural changes in such a dynamic sector. This situation has created a vicious circle in terms of rising debt levels since the financial costs of borrowing are continuously increasing the debt, independent of TVC's management skills. This vicious circle requires public intervention to eradicate the debt and establish a sustainable financing model based on a contract-program. Resources have not grown at the same level as the expenses derived from the new functions assumed in the digital environment, a new source of debt for CCRTV, despite the revenues generated by new segments of activity. Conclusions TVC's experience shows that public television can respond to the challenges arising from convergence. As it cannot respond in any other way, its response is partial, and conditioned by the regulatory situation that determines its manoeuvrability. Reforms to this legislation, such as the reform of the regulatory authority, the Consell de l'Audiovisual de Catalunya; or the creation of a Ley General del Audiovisual (General Audiovisual Law) 68 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 that puts together all the fragmented legislative texts, represent a step forward. However, the law for reforming the Corporació Catalana de Ràdio i Televisió is still pending. This law should provide public television with a mission that is adapted to the new challenges of convergence, a funding system that is sufficient and sustainable, a programme contract that details the objectives in a pluri-annual spectrum, and an organisational system that protects public television's political independence. The new challenges can only be effectively addressed in this way. In the absence of this normative framework, the activity carried out on the converging front can be described as very positive. TVC has addressed the need to obtain a massive audience, with scheduling that in general terms reflects the parameters involved in quality television. Its offering has diversified to serve specific audiences. Thematic channels have been created to ensure the presence of public options within the proliferation of specialised channels. It has been a pioneer in software and hardware development, originally in response to new converging demands. In turn, this has enabled it to obtain new sources of funding from selling these applications to other companies. TVC has also been a pioneer in adopting digital terrestrial television technology. It has a proactive attitude to R&D and has implemented experimentation that helps it to design efficient services within the potential of this technology, and possibly to contribute to the nondiscriminatory socialization of the Information Society's services. It began to undertake activities dedicated to internet applications, with and on the Net, from an early stage. In short, TVC has acted decisively in the converging industrial context, so as not to be left on the fringes of major concentration deals. It has participated in some of these operations to protect its interests as a public television broadcaster. This public condition has allowed the CCRTV to play a pioneering role in this new process of convergence. In terms of the negative implications of TVC's transition to the digital era, it seems mandatory to mention the corporation's financial situation. Some of its high debt is part of the holding's attempts to promote the Information Society and push the audiovisual industry forward – creating a social benefit that can not be demanded of any private firm - and demonstrates the necessity of the public TV broadcaster as a driving force in the first steps of the process. However, this also calls into question its long-term development model. It is also the main reason for lobbying the autonomous government to pass a law designed to establish a definitive financing model to fulfil the functions of a public service. E. PRADO & D. FERNÁNDEZ 69 References ALCOBER J.; MARTIN R.M. & SERRA A. (2003): 'Internet2 a Catalunya: la Internet del vídeo", Quaderns del CAC, 15, p. 27-32. CCRTV: - (2002): Informe Annual 2001, Barcelona: CCRTV [http://www.ccrtv.com/doc/informe_2001.PDF] - (2005): Pla d'activitats 2006, Barcelona: Direcció General CCRTV [http://www.ccrtv.com/pdf/PlaActivitats2006.pdf] DE MIGUEL J.C. (1993): Los grupos multimedia. Estructuras y estrategias en los medios europeos, Barcelona: Bosch. EUROPEAN COMMISSION (1997): Green Paper on the convergence of the telecommunications, media and information technology sectors, and the implications for Regulation - Towards an information society approach, Brussels: European Commission. FLICHY P. (1980): Les industries de l'imaginaire: pour une analyse économique des media, Paris: Institut National de l'Audiovisuel. FRANQUET R., RIBES X., SOTO M.T. & FERNÁNDEZ D. (2006): Assalt a la Xarxa. La batalla decisiva dels mitjans de comunicació online en català, Barcelona: Col·legi de Periodistes de Catalunya (forthcoming). GERSHON R.A. & ALHASSAN A.D. (2003): "AOL/Time Warner and WorldCom: Corporate Governance and the Effects of the Deregulation Paradox", paper rd presented at the 53 Annual International Communication Association (ICA) Conference, San Diego, May 26th. GOGHENOUR P.H. (2006): "Distributed communities and nodal subjects", New Media & Society, 8(1), p. 33-51. HARASIM L.M. (1993): "Networlds: Networks as Social Space", L.M. Harasim (Ed.) Global Networks. Computers and International Communication, Cambridge, Mass: The MIT Press. MORAGAS M. & PRADO E. (2000): La televisió pública a l'era digital, Barcelona: Pòrtic. PETIT M. & ROSÉS J. (2003): 'TVC Multimèdia, pol d'innovació en la producció audiovisual", Quaderns del CAC, 15, p. 21-26. PRADO E. & FRANQUET R. (Eds) (2006): Televisió interactiva. Simbiosi tecnològica i sistemes d'interacció amb la televisió, Barcelona: Consell de l'Audiovisual de Catalunya. PRADO E. & LARREGOLA G. (2005): "TV3: una televisión de calidad y audiencias masivas", in Pérez Ornia J.R. (Ed): El Anuario de la Televisión 2005, Madrid: GECA. Traditional paradigms for new services? The Commission Proposal for a 'Audiovisual Media Services Directive' Alexander SCHEUER Rechtsanwalt, gérant de l'Institut du droit européen des médias (EMR) Saarbruck/Bruxelles Abstract: For over 10 years the European Community has strived to develop suitable and proportionate answers to the phenomenon of convergence in its audiovisual regulatory policy. This article outlines the regulatory process at an EU level since the early 1980s as far as media, telecommunications and Information Society services are concerned, and analyses some of the most relevant policy papers specifically related to the adoption of the EC legal framework for the media in the digital age, before focusing on the preparatory phase leading up to the adoption of the Commission proposal for a Directive on "Audiovisual Media Services", issued in December 2005. In addition, the core of this proposal for a revised "Television without Frontiers" Directive, i.e. the extension of its scope to cover new media services provided in a non-linear manner and the introduction of a graduated regime of regulation with a lighter-touch approach in view of such services, is presented along with the main lines of debate among stakeholders. Key words: Convergence, digital television, new audiovisual media services, EU media regulatory policy, revision of TWF Directive, electronic communications, broadcasting. "Nul vent fait pour celuy qui n'a point de port destiné." Michel de MONTAIGNE, Les Essais – Livre II (1580), Chapitre I, "De l'inconstance de nos actions" "Lumos!" J.K. ROWLINGS, Harry Potter F or the ICT industries, convergence has, for a number of years, not just meant something, but everything, an impression that was especially strong at the end of the 1990s. Today, we are finally witnessing the market launch of a number of new services in the audiovisual domain, or, at least, the establishing of new business models for services that were mostly already available. What makes such developments both interesting and important, not least from a media policy perspective, is the fact that they might be regarded as a point of crystallisation of different aspects of convergence. From a technological angle, the arrival of highcapacity broadband digital subscriber lines and the upgrading of mobile COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 71. 72 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 networks to 2,5 G and 3,0 G have made it possible to use even more digital networks for a number of services, including audiovisual media, besides the existing networks, i.e. digital cable, satellite and terrestrial (van LOON, 2004). This, to a large extent, goes hand in hand with the availability of multifunctional terminal equipment that can be used for either of the traditionally separate activities, i.e. for communications/information and media purposes. The "e" and "m-families" can be taken as examples: eCommerce, eCinema, eLearning, mCommerce, mobile media, etc. For users in the UK, France or Italy, for instance, it is a reality that different providers of Video-on-Demand services (VoD) are available, offering digital films and series libraries and extending their offerings both in terms of quantity and genres (BERGER & SCHOENTHAL, 2005). Against this background, the present article firstly aims to outline the starting point for the European Commission and how subsequent steps looked at the time they were taken, as well as the Commission's audiovisual regulatory policy and its approach to handling the phenomenon of convergence. The article will then move on to describe the actual Proposal for a Directive on "Audiovisual Media Services", particularly with a view to the rules foreseen for "new services." European media, telecommunications and eCommerce law and policy General background European media policy was born in the early 1980s, mainly in response to the imminent launch of cable and satellite broadcasting networks. As in a parallel process at the Council of Europe level, this development led to the adoption of a legal instrument enabling the transmission of television programmes on a pan-European scale, i.e. the Directive "Television without frontiers" (TWFD) of 1989 (EEC, 1989). Efforts by the European (Economic) Community to liberalise the telecommunications market took as a starting point the divergence of national standards regarding terminal equipment, namely the telephone, mainly supplied by state enterprises under their monopoly in the telecommunications and postal sector at the time. This led to the adoption, by the Commission of the European Communities, of Directive 88/301/EEC in 1988 (EEC, 1988). Steps aimed at liberalising A. SCHEUER 73 services were soon to follow, bringing an end to the monopolies of the incumbent providers, through the enactment of Directive 90/387/EEC by the Council (EEC, 1990). Subsequently, after this first wave of liberalising measures, taken in an "analogue environment", regulatory policy was faced with the advent of digital technologies such as ISDN (EC, 1994). In the mid-1990s, when the first review of the TWFD was underway, the Commission prepared for the publication of a Green Paper on Convergence, adopted at the end of 1997 (Commission, 1997). New services already being a reality, particularly the internet and digital carriage media, which were both combining text, graphics, video and audio ("multimedia"), the need was felt to discuss the conclusions to be drawn from the technical convergence induced by digitalisation and, more specifically, its impact on regulatory policies. Since the results of this discussion process were not immediately apparent, not to mention new legislation, which was still to be prepared, we shall look at the key features of the current and subsequent legislation at that time, before returning to the next wave of essentially telecommunications-based legislation to be passed in 2002. According to Directive 97/36/EC, which amended the TWFD in 1997 (EC, 1997), an approach was maintained which, in some ways, was seen as technologically neutral: both analogue and digital transmission of television broadcasting were covered and the provisions were applicable regardless of the transmission network used 1 . However, its scope of application was restricted to television programmes directed at the public, meaning that a point-to-multipoint transmission is essentially required to be underlying the conveyance of the service (ECJ, 2005), and communications services on individual demand were explicitly excluded. This distinction, however, was questioned during the legislative process, particularly by the European Parliament, which considered that Video-on-Demand services should also be covered by the Directive's rules; the question whether TWFD should apply to broadcasting over the internet was left without any explicit answer 2 . 1 Art. 1 lit. a) reads: "(a) 'television broadcasting' means the initial transmission by wire or over the air, including that by satellite, in unencoded or encoded form, of television programmes intended for reception by the public. It includes the communication of programmes between undertakings with a view to their being relayed to the public. It does not include communication services providing items of information or other messages on individual demand such as telecopying, electronic data banks and other similar services;" 2 Similarly, at a later stage, the decision whether the TWFD or the eCommerce Directive should apply to "broadcasting over the Internet" has not been taken in a formal way: in the reasons of motivation accompanying the Commission's proposal for the eCommerce Directive it was stated that 'simulcast' was to be covered by TWFD. 74 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 Shortly afterwards, the differentiation between broadcasting and on-demand services was reinforced, when the so-called "Technical Standards Transparency" Directive was amended, in particular by Directive 98/48/EC (EC, 1998). This time, a definition of "Information Society services" was introduced, in Art. 1 point 2, which provides: "'service', any Information Society service, that is to say, any service normally provided for remuneration, at a distance, by electronic means and at the individual request of a recipient of services. For the purposes of this definition: - 'at a distance' means that the service is provided without the parties being simultaneously present, - 'by electronic means' means that the service is sent initially and received at its destination by means of electronic equipment for the processing (including digital compression) and storage of data, and entirely transmitted, conveyed and received by wire, by radio, by optical means or by other electromagnetic means, - 'at the individual request of a recipient of services' means that the service is provided through the transmission of data on individual request. An indicative list of services not covered by this definition is set out in Annex V. This Directive shall not apply to: - radio broadcasting services, - television broadcasting services covered by point (a) of Article 1 of Directive 89/552/EEC." See also Annex V 'Indicative list of services not covered by the second subparagraph of point 2 of Article 1': "[...] 3. Services not supplied 'at the individual request of a recipient of services' Services provided by transmitting data without individual demand for simultaneous reception by an unlimited number of individual receivers (point to multipoint transmission): (a) television broadcasting services (including near-video on-demand services), covered by point (a) of Article 1 of Directive 89/552/EEC; (b) radio broadcasting services; (c) (televised) teletext." In this case, the respective services are characterised by the fact that they are provided at a distance, by electronic means and at the individual request of a recipient of services. This definition subsequently also formed the basis for determining the scope of application of the eCommerce Directive, to be enacted in 2000 (EC, 2000). In the telecommunications sector, liberalisation was then brought forward with the so-called "1998 A. SCHEUER 75 package." This legislative framework was primarily designed to manage the transition from monopoly to competition and was therefore focused on the creation of a competitive market and the rights of new entrants. The question to be raised in this context is: what was the motivation for the European Community to follow these regulatory paths? At this point, it is useful to come back to the "Convergence Green Paper" of 1997, and its successor, the Communication on the follow-up to the consultation process initiated by it, issued by the European Commission in 1999 (Commission, 1999a). At the end of 1997, the same year the first revision of the TWFD had been finalised, the Commission presented a Green Paper proposing several ways of reacting to the challenges posed to regulatory policy by digitalisation and convergence at a European level. The first option consisted of building on current structures, i.e. developing future regulation along the existing instruments and extending them prudently to new services where required. The second option was to develop a separate regulatory model for new activities, to co-exist with existing telecommunications and broadcasting legislation; and the third was to progressively introduce a new regulatory model to cover the whole range of existing and new services. According to the Commission, the key messages emerging from the consultation held on the basis of the Green Paper, as summarised in the March 1999 Communication, included: "Separation of transport and content regulation, with recognition of the links between them for possible competition problems. This implies a more horizontal approach to regulation with: Homogenous treatment of all transport network infrastructure and associated services, irrespective of the types of services carried; A need to ensure that content regulation is in accordance with the specific characteristics of given content services, and with the public policy objectives associated with those services; A need to ensure that content regulation addresses the specificity of the audiovisual sector, in particular through a vertical approach where necessary, building on current structures; Application of an appropriate regulatory regime to new services, recognising the uncertainties of the marketplace and the need for the large initial investments involved in their launch while at the same time maintaining adequate consumer safeguard." (emphasis added) The aforementioned eCommerce Directive, proposed by the Commission in February 1999, was the first concrete example of implementation of the 76 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 guidelines given in the Convergence Communication, as it opted for a sector-specific approach to Information Society services. Afterwards, in view of rapidly changing technologies, convergence and the new challenges of liberalised markets, the need was perceived to enact a single, coherent new framework, that would cover the whole range of electronic communications. Building on the 1999 Review and intense debate among European institutions, Member States, regulatory authorities and stakeholders, the legislator adopted the so-called "2002 regulatory framework" covering electronic communications networks and services. This is concerned with the carriage and provision of signals, but is explicitly not applicable to the content conveyed via such services (EC, 2002) 3 . The package of Directives on electronic communications of 2002 is intended to ensure technological neutrality, i.e. irrespective of the former "nature" of a given network – in the past, the telephone lines used for voice telephony, the cable networks installed in order to convey broadcasting programmes, both on an exclusive basis – all networks and, accordingly, all services provided over them (except for those referred to above) should be treated identically. Graph 1 – Regulation of networks and services according to EC law 3 Art. 2 lit. c) reads: "'electronic communications service' [...] exclude services providing, or exercising editorial control over, content transmitted using electronic communications networks and services; it does not include information society services, as defined in Article 1 of Directive 98/34/EC, which do not consist wholly or mainly in the conveyance of signals on electronic communications networks;". A. SCHEUER 77 This leads to the current status of EC legislation in the media, electronic communications and Information Society sectors. There is a layer of regulation on infrastructure, applicable to electronic communications networks, and a layer of regulation covering services, across the different sectors. However, where content-related offers like broadcast programmes are at hand and in the case of Information Society services, the regulation on electronic communications services is not to be applied (graph 1). Graph 2 - Distinction between different "content" services according to EC law After painting a picture of European regulation in the media and ICT sectors, and explaining the current differentiation, in the Community's acquis, between the regulation of electronic communications and contentbased services, on the one hand, and the distinction made in the latter field between television broadcasting services and Information Society or eCommerce services, on the other (graph 2), we shall now focus on tracing the process that led to the Commission's proposal to amend the TWFD. Specific In principle, as mentioned at the beginning of this paper, the last revision already involved a discussion, among other issues, of the necessity to broaden the TWFD's scope of application in view of the (then) "new services." Nevertheless, the compromise reached between the European Parliament and the Council (and the Commission), foresaw not to include webcasting or VoD in the Directive. It was deemed premature to regulate 78 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 such emerging markets as the impact of such regulation would be difficult to predict. However, the revision-clause in Art. 26 TWFD nevertheless stipulated that "the Commission shall [...], if necessary, make further proposals to adapt it [the Directive] to developments in the field of television broadcasting, in particular in the light of recent technological developments." At a Member State level, vigilance was also to be exercised to prepare for legislative initiatives made necessary by technological changes. According to Recital no. 8 TWFD, "it is essential that the Member States should take action with regard to services comparable to television broadcasting in order to prevent any breach of the fundamental principles which must govern information and the emergence of wide disparities as regards free movement and competition;" (emphasis added). It has been said that the revision of a legal act starts, at the latest, with its adoption. This seems particularly true for the TWFD, not least when bearing in mind the aforementioned "review programme" already implemented in the text of the revised Directive. Later, in view of the Convergence Green Paper which was regarded by many as highly influenced by the Commissioner responsible for the Information Society at the time, , and as a certain counter-weight, the Commissioner responsible for Education and Culture nominated a High Level Group of professionals from the audiovisual sector to investigate into, and present proposals on, the impact of technological and business changes for the media industries and related Community policy. Their report, presented in October 1998 (HLG, 1998), argued that the regulatory framework should be coherent and clear, and that steps should be taken to avoid a situation whereby two different sets of rules with an entirely different purpose would apply to the same service. The Commission, in its Communication entitled "Principles and Guidelines for the Commission's audiovisual policy in the digital age", published in December 1999 (Commission, 1999b), and thus published after the Follow-up Communication on Convergence, stated that one principal of regulatory action is to target technological neutrality. This term is explained as follows: "Technological convergence means that services that were previously carried over a limited number of communication networks can now be carried over several competing ones. This implies a need for technological neutrality in regulation: identical services should in principle be regulated in the same way, regardless of their means of transmission." Apparently, the ground had been well-prepared to enter into a debate on the review of TWF. However, the pace of discussion slowed considerably mainly due to the end of the "internet hype" and the crisis in (television) A. SCHEUER 79 advertising revenues in 2001. "Convergence", having been considered in all its implications for many years, suddenly no longer seemed an issue that required immediate action – due to a lack of concrete business models and the slowed-down or postponed market entry of service providers. Moreover, the Andersen study, dated June 2002 (ANDERSEN, 2002), which examined the different possible economic and technical developments in the media sector through 2010, had come to the conclusion that whatever trends would predominately characterise the audiovisual market in the next years, no immediate legislative measures were required. The three main trends identified by Andersen were – formulated as case scenarios – (1) businessas-usual, (2) interactivity and (3) personalisation. According to the study's authors, the different scenarios would lead to differences in the way market players like broadcasters, infrastructure operators, content providers etc. would participate in the value chain in the future. In scenario (2) and (3), traditional broadcasters as "content packagers" would be negatively affected to the greatest degree compared to other players. Interestingly, analysis and interpretation of the study focused on the prognosis that nothing fundamental would change until the year 2005. This was perceived as a "relief" in terms of the alleged pressure on politics to take action. In March 2002, the Member of the European Commission responsible for Education and Culture (now: Information Society and Media), Viviane Reding, presented three options for addressing the relevant issues: (A) the comprehensive, complete overhaul of the Directive, (B) a moderate revision, which would be restricted to specific parts of TWFD only, and (C) the preparation of a Working Programme which, at a later stage, could lead to initiating a review process. The presentation of these options was to be seen in the context of the obligation, imposed on the Commission by Art. 26, to present a report on the application of TWFD at the end of 2002. Read between the lines, it transpired that the Commissioner was favouring option C. This, of course, was a position that put a significantly different emphasis on the approach to be followed than previously signalled, particularly in 2000 and at the beginning of 2001. At that time, reflecting the numerous calls by the European Parliament to extent the scope of a revised directive, the aim of a future EC audiovisual policy instrument was sketched as to embrace all forms of electronic media, hence the notion "Content Directive" was introduced into the debate. When, on January 6th 2003 the Commission adopted the Fourth Report on the application of the "Television without Frontiers" Directive (Commission, 2002), it annexed a work programme for 2003 to it, which set out topics and initiatives including a public consultation, for the review. 80 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 Remarkably, the question of whether the Directive's scope of application should be extended, was not dealt with at all. As phrased by the former Chef of Cabinet of Commissioner Reding, this, of course, did not prevent a great number of stakeholders from submitting their opinion on this subject matter, with preferences almost equally distributed among those in favour and those against adapting the scope to cover new services. The Commission's bilan of the 2003 Consultation was presented in its Communication entitled "The Future of European Regulatory Audiovisual Policy", published in December 2003 (Commission, 2003). There, the following conclusion is drawn: "In the medium term, nevertheless, the Commission considers that a thorough revision of the Directive might be necessary to take account of technological developments and changes in the structure of the audiovisual market. The Commission will therefore reflect with the help of experts (in focus groups) whether any changes to content regulation for the different distribution channels for audiovisual content would be necessary at Community level in order to take account of media convergence at a technical level and any divergence of national regulation which affects the establishment and the functioning of the common market. The mandate of the group shall be based on the existing framework. Any intervention would have to ensure the proportionate application of content rules and the coherent application of relevant policies considered to be connected to this sector, such as competition, commercial communications, consumer protection and the internal market strategy for the services sector." While the reference to "the medium term", understood as a self-restraint by the then acting Commission so as not to prejudice the political agenda of its successor nominated in 2004 shortly after the enlargement of the EU, and the approach formulated, i.e. to restart a reflection and consultation phase, are the most obvious reservations made; in substance, however, the moment seemed to have come to seriously consider revising TWFD. In autumn 2004, the so-called Focus Groups – convening under the presidency of the Commission and invited to be led, in their discussion, by working papers prepared by it – consequently started to debate the policy options eventually to be recommended for future regulatory action. On the basis of these reflections, the Commission drafted so-called "Issue Papers" in order to open up the 2005 Consultation to all stakeholders, and to be able to present the input received at the Audiovisual Conference "Between Culture and Commerce" under British EU presidency in autumn 2005 (the "Liverpool Conference"). A. SCHEUER 81 The new Commission also sought to set the above activities in a larger framework, having recourse to the Lisbon agenda. In its i2010 initiative, adopted in June 2005 (Commission 2005a), the Commission outlined i.a. the following policy priority aiming at "A European information society for growth and jobs": "- To create an open and competitive single market for information society and media services within the EU. To support technological convergence with "policy convergence", the Commission will propose: an efficient spectrum management policy in Europe (2005); a modernisation of the rules on audiovisual media services (end 2005); an updating of the regulatory framework for electronic communications (2006); a strategy for a secure information society (2006); and a comprehensive approach for effective and interoperable digital rights management (2006/2007). [...]" (emphasis added) Before and after the Liverpool Conference, different versions of drafts, focusing on the definition component in a revised TWFD, were in circulation. These drafts were apparently, in first instance, mainly inspired by the work done by Focus Group 1, and foresaw an extension of the scope of a future instrument. A remarkable amendment, though, was made post-Liverpool, i.e. that the definition of services falling under a new Directive should be more strongly focused on services of a mass media character. We will come back to this point later on. It seemed that for all those involved in the discussion – both the stakeholders and the institutions competent in the upcoming legislative exercise – at this stage it was important, first, to verify whether some issues of perceived consensus were likely to be acceptable for the majority of interested persons, and, secondly, to test how big opposition might become in areas which could encounter a foreseeably intense debate. An example of the latter kind of debate, obviously most interesting in the present context, was the degree to which the scope of application would be extended in order to cover new services. On December 13th 2005, the European Commission officially adopted the proposal for a Directive on Audiovisual Media Services (Commission, 2005b). Besides the Committee of the Regions and the European Economic and Social Committee who will be consulted, it is now up to the Union's organs European Parliament and Council 4 to take a position in the legislative process. 4 This contribution will not elaborate on past EP or Council positions. In essence, it shall suffice to recall that the Parliament has constantly renewed its request for enacting a new directive which should cover new media services, see e.g. Resolution of 6 September 2005, A6- No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 82 1988 1989 1990 1994 1995 1995 1996 1997 1997 1998 1998 1998 19971999 1999 1999 1999 2000 2002 2002 2003 2003 2004 2005 2005 2005 Chronology of general and specific media and ICT policy developments Liberalisation of TTE Adoption of "Television without Frontiers" Directive Liberalisation of Telecommunications Services (ONP) Liberalisation of Satellite Communications Start of First Review of TWFD Use of Cable Networks for Liberalised TC Services Liberalisation of Mobile Communications Adoption of Amendment to TWFD Convergence Green Paper Full Liberalisation of Voice Telephony Services "Technical Standards Transparency" Directives High Level Group ("Oreja"-) Report Telecommunications Package (i.a. Separate Legal Structures for Owners of TC and Cable Networks) Convergence Communication (Follow-up) Start of Telecommunications Review Communication "Principles and Guidelines for the Commission's Audiovisual Policy in the Digital Age" Adoption of eCommerce Directive Electronic Communications Package (i.a. Framework, Access, and Universal Services Directives; Frequency Decision) th 4 TWFD Application Report (incl. Working Programme) First Consultation on TWFD Review Communication "The Future of European Regulatory Audiovisual Policy" Focus Groups on TWFD Review Communication "i2010" (i.a. TWFD Review, 2006 Electronic Communications Review, Spectrum Management Policy) Second Consultation on TWFD Directive (Issue Papers and Liverpool Conference) Commission Proposal for a "Audiovisual Media Services" Directive (AMSD) Discussion of the draft Audiovisual Media Services Directive Primary objectives and definition of scope According to the motivation put forward in the Commission's proposal, Member States rules applicable to activities such as on-demand audiovisual 0202/2005 ("Weber Report"). The Council stressed the importance to have a technologically neutral approach when regulating content services, and underlined that the content of interactive media should be regarded a new audiovisual phenomenon. Consequently, the Commission was requested to consider possible adaptations of the regulatory framework in order to safeguard cultural diversity and a healthy development of the sector. For more information, see A. Roßnagel, [2005] EMR book series vol. 29, p. 35 (41). A. SCHEUER 83 media services contain disparities, some of which may impede the free movement of these services within the EU and may distort competition within the Common Market. Reference is made, in this respect, to Art. 3 eCommerce Directive, which allows Member States to derogate from the country-of-origin principle – that is the general approach to regard a service, legally rendered in the Member State where the provider is established, to be freely circulated across the EU without interference by the receiving Member State – for specific public policy reasons. "Legal uncertainty and a non-level playing field exist for European companies delivering audiovisual media services as regards the legal regime governing emerging on-demand services, it is therefore necessary [...] to apply at least a basic tier of coordinated rules to all audiovisual media services." (emphasis added) Those arguments are triggered by the requirements laid down in Art. 49 in conjunction with Art. 55 EC, i.e. that the Directive will facilitate the free provision of services, and, thus, serve to demonstrate that a legal measure has to be adopted in order to overcome hindrances resulting from divergences in the national rules. The recitals go on to state that the importance of audiovisual media services for societies, democracy and culture should justify the application of specific rules to these services. Further on, the Commission refers to two principles contained in Art. 5 EC. In accordance with the principle of proportionality, on the one hand, it proclaims that the measures provided for in the Directive represent the minimum needed to achieve the objective of the proper functioning of the internal market. The Commission thinks that non-linear audiovisual media services have the potential to partially replace linear services. Nevertheless, the recitals state, non-linear services are different from linear services with regard to the choice and control users can exercise and with regard to the impact they have on society. This would justify imposing lighter regulation on non-linear services, which only have to comply with the basic rules provided for. In view of the principle of subsidiarity, on the other hand, action at a Community level is seen as necessary in order to guarantee an area without internal frontiers as far as audiovisual media services are concerned. The legislative proposal, according to its recitals, intends to ensure a high level of protection of objectives of general interest, in particular the protection of minors and human dignity. The EC Treaty, in its Arts 151 and 153, stipulates the obligation of the Community to take into account, when acting, cultural aspects, in particular in order to preserve and enhance the diversity of cultures; in addition, it has to strive for a high level of consumer protection. With regards to the former, the Directive sets out that non-linear services should also promote the production and distribution of European No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 84 works, where practicable, and thus actively contribute to the promotion of cultural diversity. As far as the the latter is concerned, it is deemed both necessary and sufficient that a minimum set of harmonised obligations is introduced in order to prevent Member States from derogating from the country-of-origin principle with regard to protection of consumers in the areas harmonised in the Directive. The same kind of consideration is made when it comes to other public policy objectives, such as the protection of minors, the fight against incitement to any kind of hatred, and violation of human dignity concerning individual persons. With regard to several objections, communicated for many years when the extension of scope was under debate, the following passages might be read: "This Directive enhances compliance with fundamental rights and is fully in line with the principles recognised by the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union, in particular Article 11 thereof. In this regard, this Directive does not in any way prevent Member States from applying their constitutional rules relating to freedom of the press and freedom of expression in the media. [...] No provision of this Directive should require or encourage Member States to impose new systems of licensing or administrative authorisation on any type of media. [...] None of the provisions of this Directive that concern the protection of minors and public order necessarily requires that the measures in question be implemented through prior control of audiovisual media services." In short, the Commission intends a future Directive: • To have a broader scope of application: the Directive should be formulated in such a way that all audiovisual media services are covered, whatever their mode of delivery ("regulatory convergence"; it is the content that matters when specific general interest objectives have to be attained, therefore the approach of technological neutrality is chosen); • To lay down basic requirements that all of those services must respect while at the same time introducing a certain graduation, within the body of rules of the Directive, taking account of the character of different audiovisual media services, particularly their influence on the viewer or user ("lighter touch regulation" for television-like "non-linear" services, VoD for instance). For present purposes it is important to clarify how the future scope of application shall be designed. Here, Art. 1 of the draft Audiovisual Media Services Directive (AMSD) is to be looked at, which contains the guiding definitions. According to Art. 1 lit. a), "audiovisual media service" means a A. SCHEUER 85 service as defined by Arts 49, 50 EC the principal purpose of which is the provision of moving images with or without sound in order to inform, entertain, or educate, to the general public by electronic communications networks within the meaning of Art. 2 lit. a) of Directive 2002/21/EC (Framework Directive). This general definition is accompanied by definitions of "television broadcasting" and "non-linear service". The former means a linear audiovisual media service where a media service provider decides upon the moment in time when a specific programme is transmitted and establishes the programme schedule. A non-linear service is defined as an audiovisual media service where the user decides upon the moment in time when a specific programme is transmitted on the basis of a choice of content selected by the media service provider. It is clear that one also has to consider the definition of media service provider in order to identify the exact scope of application, both ratione materiae and ratione personae. The term "Media service provider" refers to the natural or legal person who has editorial responsibility for the choice of content of the audiovisual media service and determines the manner in which it is organised, Art. 1 lit. b). The notion of broadcaster is then defined, more narrowly, as the provider of linear audiovisual media services. Thus, the Directive will be applicable to: - audiovisual content (moving images) of a mass media character (to inform, entertain, or educate) being provided to a general audience (numerous participants of a non previously defined group) by any kind of network; - where the activity is an economic one (service in the meaning of the treaty); - where editorial responsibility over a specific programme is exercised (schedules; selection of choice of content) by a media services provider; - irrespective of whether the moment in time when the programme is accessed is determined by the broadcaster (linear service) or the viewer (non-linear service). Linear and non-linear services, on the one hand, are distinguished according to the degree in which the viewer exercises control over the moment in time and the kind of programme s/he is watching. In cases where s/he depends on a constant stream of programmes, arranged according to a schedule, by a provider, a linear service, i.e. a television broadcast, is at stake. Where the user is free to chose what specific content offer s/he is viewing, and when, the offer will be regarded a non-linear service. 86 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 Basically, the demarcation line follows the well-known models of NVoD and VoD, at least as long as the former is made available only at time slots that are not so short as to be negligible. On the other hand, in the case of non-linear services, it remains to be defined whether the AMSD or the eCommerce Directive should be applied. Relevant elements here are whether an audiovisual media service is rendered, which means that there have to be moving images of a mass media nature in the form of a programme that can be characterised as the principle or main content encountered. Therefore, in cases of the mere inclusion of a small number of audiovisual files on a webpage, where this is of an insignificant proportion compared to the rest of the content put online, where no editorial responsibility is exercised, or where it will not be intended to inform, entertain and educate, the regime of the eCommerce Directive will be applicable (graph 3). Graph 3 – Audiovisual media service vs. Information Society service A. SCHEUER 87 Open debate within EC institutions, at Member State level and with stakeholders Following the publication of the Commissions's proposal, a discussion recommenced over whether a future directive on audiovisual content really should cover "new services" – services that have only emerged in recent years or are still to be launched. Supposedly, there is some familiarity with related arguments: some claim that regulation would be premature, particularly when it comes to mobile media or internet services. Moreover, in a similar vein, it is argued that it would be disproportionate to apply the traditionally strict "broadcasting" regulation to new forms of audiovisual content distribution. Sometimes these arguments are a bit irritating, to say the least. The fact that a graduated level of detail in regulation has been foreseen is exactly the answer to concerns that new services would be regulated over-heavily. The fact that the service at hand must represent an economic activity that entails a certain mass media appeal ("television-like offer", "principal purpose") excludes both purely private initiatives, as well as non-media services from being covered by the proposed rules. On the contrary, it seems difficult to understand why minimum requirements regarding the protection of minors, consumers, and personal integrity should not be relevant, at least in principle, to any kind of audiovisual media service. Critics also question whether the distinction between linear and nonlinear services has been formulated adequately and whether this really is "future-proof". Here, the arguments will very much depend on the preconditions one might want to set for the future audiovisual landscape in Europe. Indeed, coming back to the interactivity and personalisation scenarios, forecast by Andersen in 2002, technical development appears to offer viewers an even wider range of possibilities to individually select the kind of media information they are interested in. So, the question is rather whether there will be many linear services left by 2010 (and especially beyond), by which point the Directive will have been implemented into national law in the majority of Member States. Presumably, in particular highly attractive commercial general interest channels and public service television broadcasts will remain as essentially linear services, which means that only the smaller part of the proposed provisions, i.e. the basic tier with reduced restrictions on the pursuit of the activity, will show relevance for the majority of services rendered in the audiovisual sector. In this respect, the draft directive is not technologically neutral when it differentiates, internally, between the two kind of services to be covered; therefore, it might be reassessed if future progress in technology could render it interesting for No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 88 some providers to switch from one level of regulation to another by adapting the underlying technical parameters accordingly. Apparently, especially telecommunications operators and multimedia companies, and their respective associations or lobbying groups, are rather discontented with the Commission's proposal – the same holds true for newspaper and magazine publishers. This tendency could be observed as early as the Liverpool Conference. It is often argued that general law, acts on defamation, advertising standards in horizontal Community instruments (e.g. the Unfair Business Practices Directive of 2005), or legislation on the protection of minors in criminal law for instance, would be sufficient. Yet this still leaves open the question of whether operators/providers and users/viewers are better off with a clear legal framework based on the principle of country-of-origin control – or not. By contrast, Member States and particularly the European Parliament, seem to be preparing for an early consensus on the fact that the Directive's scope will be expanded. In mid-may, the Council held an exchange of views on the draft text for the first time, and, in a most cautiously worded statement, said tendency was confirmed. However, the UK government has reiterated its preliminary negative position on several occasions, and it is difficult to predict how many other Member States might liase to this opposition. From the European Parliament's committee on culture and education, having the lead for this dossier, there have been reported signs of a broad agreement to follow the Commission's approach. At the beginning of June, all competent committees held a joint hearing. The ambitious timetable of the EP foresees the following steps: a draft report will be presented at the Culture Committee meeting in July, the report presented at that meeting will be adopted in October and the EP Plenary will be called to vote on the proposed report in December in its first reading. Résumé and outlook The revision of the TWFD has finally become reality. After a decade of discussion on how European audiovisual policy should react on the convergence issue, a concrete proposal has been tabled by the Commission that largely follows the trends already indicated at the end of the 1990s. The aim is to ensure technological neutrality when adopting "convergent A. SCHEUER 89 regulation" and to foresee graduation in the level of conditions set for linear and non-linear services through a differentiated regulatory approach. In such an environment as in the field of ICT and media – nowadays showing clear tendencies towards convergence both in terms of internal structures (vertical integration) and the extension of business activities across sectors, with a constant high pace of technological and economic changes –, any prognosis of future market conditions, on which the European legislator must also, to some extent, base its approaches, is generally suspected to be misguided. However, the Community must now decide whether it need to play an active role in shaping the future of the audiovisual media landscape, not least in order to protect recognised standards of public interest objectives in all audiovisual media services. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 90 Bibliographic References ANDERSEN (2002): "Outlook of development of the Market for European audiovisual content and of the regulatory framework concerning production and distribution of this content". http://ec.europa.eu/comm/avpolicy/docs/library/studies/finalised/tvoutlook/tvoutlook_fi nalreport.pdf BERGER K. & M. SCHOENTHAL (2005): Tomorrow's Delivery of Audiovisual Services – Legal Questions Raised by Digital Broadcasting and Mobile Reception, European Audiovisual Observatory (Ed.), IRIS Special. EC: - (1997): Directive 97/36/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 30 June 1997 amending Council Directive 89/552/EEC on the coordination of certain provisions laid down by law, regulation or administrative action in Member States concerning the pursuit of television broadcasting activities, OJ EC [1997] L 202, p. 60. - (1998): Directive 98/48/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 20 July 1998 amending Directive 98/34/EC laying down a procedure for the provision of information in the field of technical standards and regulations, OJ EC [1998] L 217, p. 18. - (2000): Directive 2000/31/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 8 June 2000 on certain legal aspects of information society services, in particular electronic commerce, in the Internal Market (Directive on electronic commerce), OJ EC [2000] L 178, p. 1. - (2002): Directive 2002/21/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 7 March 2002 on a common regulatory framework for electronic communications networks and services (Framework Directive), OJ EC [2002] L 108, p. 33. EEC: - (1988): Commission Directive 88/301/EEC of 16 May 1988 on competition in the markets in telecommunications terminal equipment, OJ EEC [1988] L 131 p. 73. - (1989): Council Directive 89/552/EEC on the coordination of certain provisions laid down by law, regulation or administrative action in Member States concerning the pursuit of television broadcasting activities, OJ EEC [1989] L 331 p. 51. European Commission: - (1994): Commission Decision 94/796/EC of 18 November 1994 on a common technical regulation for the pan-European integrated services digital network (ISDN) primary rate access, OJ EC [1994] L 329 p. 1. - (1997): Green Paper on the Convergence of the Telecommunications, Media and Information Technology Sectors, and the Implications for Regulation – Towards an Information Society Approach, COM (1997) 623 final. (1999a): Commission Communication "The Convergence of the Telecommunications, Media and Information Technology Sectors, and the Implications for Regulation – Results of the Public Consultation on the Green Paper [COM(97)623]", COM(1999) 108 final. A. SCHEUER 91 - (1999b): Commission Communication "Principles and Guidelines for the Commission's audiovisual policy in the digital age". http://ec.europa.eu/comm/avpolicy/docs/library/legispdffiles/av_en.pdf - (2002): Commission Communication "Fourth Report on the application of the 'Television without Frontiers' Directive", COM(2002) 778 final. - (2003): Commission Communication, "The Future of European Regulatory Audiovisual Policy". http://ec.europa.eu/information_society/eeurope/i2010/docs/launch/com_audiovisual _future_151203_en.pdf - (2005a): Commission Communication "i2010 - A European information society for growth and jobs". http://europa.eu.int/information_society/eeurope/i2010/docs/communications/com_22 9_i2010_310505_fv_en.pdf - (2005b): Commission Proposal for a "Audiovisual Media Services Directive". http://ec.europa.eu/comm/avpolicy/docs/reg/modernisation/proposal_2005/com2005646-final-en.pdf European Court of Justice (2005): ECJ, case C-89/04, Mediakabel, judgement of 2 June 2005, nyr (ECJ 2005). According to this judgement, "television broadcasting" includes Near-Video-on-Demand (NVoD) services. HLG (1998): Report from the High Level Group on Audiovisual Policy, chaired by Commissioner Marcelino Oreja, "The Digital Age: European Audiovisual Policy". http://ec.europa.eu/comm/avpolicy/docs/library/studies/finalised/hlg/hlg_en.pdf (van) LOON A. (2004): "The end of the broadcasting era", Communications Law, no. 5, p. 172. Three scenarios for TV in 2015 (*) Laurence MEYER IDATE, Montpellier Abstract: By offering three visions of the future of television through 2015, this article aims to highlight some of the socio-economic changes that the television sector may experience in the long term. It highlights the structuring impact that PVR could have on the sector, as well as the upheavals that may arise from a new paradigm of internet TV. It also highlights the options now open to TV channel operators wishing to set up a mobile TV service and the threats facing mobile telecommunications operators in the development of this market as a result. Key words: television, forecast, media usages. T he TV sector is currently in turmoil and is only gradually sizing up the challenges and opportunities presented by in the rise of IPTV, the growth of VoD services, the emergence of TV services distributed on a P2P basis via the internet, the phenomenon of video podcasting and usergenerated contents, the expected success of PVRs and multimedia PCs (Media Centres) and the forthcoming launch of commercial mobile TV offerings based on the DVB-H standard in Europe. In view of the large number of ongoing changes, the future of TV sector not only looks uncertain, but is also sure to see major changes. These transformations are forecast both on the level of the programme offering to be marketed to television viewers in the long term, and the characteristics of television consumption ten years down the line. (*) This article is based on the results of an IDATE multi-client report entitled "TV 2015: the future of TV financing in Europe" headed by Laurence Meyer and published in 2005. One of the aims of this report was naturally to offer a vision of television in the future. This exercise drew on a certain number of prerequisites and consequently began by offering a definition of television. The report subsequently focused on analysing key factors in the evolution of the sector. Finally, it examined the mid-term objectives of the various players in the TV market, the challenges facing them, the conflicts and converging interests of these players in terms of their objectives and finally their strengths and weaknesses. Once this groundwork had been covered, several long-term growth scenarios for television were described, each accompanied by a statistical forecast. COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 93. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 94 From this point of view, trying to set the scene for the future of television would seem to be one of the best ways of anticipating the changes that forthcoming decade may bring. Such an approach avoids reducing the outlook to a single "futurist" vision that may appear either overly simplistic or excessively complex and thus open to criticism! The main objective of this article is consequently to present three growth scenarios for TV through 2015. It begins with an analysis of factors of change that may drastically alter long-term television consumption. The paper goes on to describe various scenarios and finally examines a few of the economic changes that may be experienced by the TV sector. TV, Europe's favourite medium In major European countries exposure time to the media is currently approaching 10 hours per day! Despite the emergence of new digital media and competition from other "major media" (radio, the press, magazines and cinema), Europeans still have the highest exposure to television. Statistics published by the EIAA (European Interactive Advertising Association) at the end of 2004 show that TV remains the leading electronic form of entertainment for Europeans. In fact, time spent watching television accounted for one third of total time devoted to the media on a daily basis in Europe, while the internet only accounted for 20%. Media consumption of Europeans in 2004 20 17,8 15,6 15 10,8 10 5,4 4,3 5 0 Radio TV Internet Presse Magazine Source: EIAA – Media Consumption study 2004 L. MEYER 95 Are TV channel operators under threat? Although it still enjoys a special status in the eyes of most viewers, the TV service as we know it today, that is to say mainly broadcast terrestrially, by cable or via satellite and based on linear TV programming, now seems to be under threat. The TV sector is effectively facing a range of changes and potentially disruptive factors that are likely to upset the current market balance. This article focuses on the factors of change that may revolutionise television consumption in the long term, and are thus likely to play a part in the midlong term challenges and opportunities related to the higher household penetration of tools and equipment promoting the emergence of concepts such as personal TV, mobile TV, home networks and "Egocasting" 1 . Personal TV: the next step? With the number of VOD services growing and the equipment of TV households with PVRs, new generation set-top boxes and PC Media Centres increasing, TV should be less and less synonymous with the linear programming imposed by TV channel operators in the future. The world of TV will, on the contrary, steadily move into the era of personal programming. Television viewers should then control their own consumption. They should be in a position to consume what they want, when they want and, depending on advances in portability and mobility, they should soon be in a position to watch TV programmes wherever they want too. Mobile TV turns into a reality Since the beginning of 2003 most mobile telecommunications operators have been offering video via their multimedia portals and for downloading. Streaming services, which emerged at the end of 2003, were seen as a 1 This term was adopted by IDATE after its appearance in an article written by Shelly Palmer, Chairman of The Advanced Media Committee of the National Academy of Television Arts and th Sciences (NATAS), published on August 11 2005, entitled "The Age of Egocasting" (http://advancedmediacommittee.typepad.com/emmyadvancedmedia/2005/08/the_age_of_egoc .html ). Notwithstanding this quote, the term Egocasting was used for the first time by the historian Christine Rosen in an essay entitled "The age of Egocasting". (http://www.thenewatlantis.com/archive/7/rosen.htm ) 96 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 second stage in the development of mobile video. The third stage will be that of mobile TV broadcast on traditional TV networks designed for telephones or other pieces of mobile equipment such as PDAs, for example. Most mobile TV offerings are currently in the pilot phase. Over the course of the next two years the number of commercial offerings based on the DVBH standard nevertheless looks set to grow. During this transition period, and despite the existence of "competing" equipment (PDAs, laptops, mobile TVs, as well as multimedia personal players of the iPod variety), the telephone should play a central role in individuals' electronic entertainment consumption, notably as far as the consumption of audiovisual programmes is concerned. Mobile TV is effectively seen by telecommunication operators as a strategic activity: against a background of falling fixed telephony revenues, video and TV enables these operators to contemplate an increase in their ARPU, especially as the results of several surveys have revealed high levels of consumer interest in this type of offering. The inevitable rise of internet TV The internet is obviously a key factor in the long-term evolution of the TV sector: over 60% of European households are almost certain to have a broadband internet connection by 2015. Moreover, the emergence of an "alternative universal TV" on the internet, via the growing number of vlogs, personalised TV platforms, video search engines, streaming software programmes based on peercasting, and audiovisual programmes specially designed for web-based distribution (web reality programmes, for example), would seem inevitable. Vlogging and podcasting: two booming online trends The phenomenon of blogging on the internet is exploding, and blogs using video, vlogs, are now beginning to appear. The vlogger community is still relatively small compared to the world of blogging. It is nevertheless beginning to take shape via the use of tools such as, for instance, the video RSS aggregators FireANT and Videora 1.0 or the Vlogdir directory, which "tracks" vlogs on the internet. L. MEYER 97 Like blogs, vlogs cover highly diverse topics ranging from cookery lessons to mini-reports on local film festivals, not to mention the broadcast (or, for that sake, narrowcast) of family events and personal videos. On top of podcasting 2 , vlogging makes it possible to envisage the development of a new TV model enabling the diffusion of "hyper-specialised" contents to communities of users interested in specific topics. Thanks to the use of a video RSS aggregator, podcasting effectively empowers users to build a "personal TV" programming schedule. Programmes can subsequently be transferred to their digital personal multimedia players for deferred viewing. An expanding offering of online TV services Parallel to vlogs, an offering of video and TV services, marketed by the major media groups and web-based players, is developing rapidly on the internet. The major media groups are devising specific programmes for the internet, which are often free. Catalogue owners like Disney and Warner Bros have also moved into the online distribution (free and/or P2P) of some of their programmes. The big internet brands such as Yahoo! and AOL are also very active in that field. VOD services offering TV programmes are also spreading over the internet. In fact, legal software applications for downloading films and TV programmes based on P2P distribution systems are emerging, as are streaming and personalised TV software based on peercasting (Open Media Network - OMN), Broadcast Machine Software and Veoh Networks etc.). Towards a new paradigm for TV? The internet TV offering should improve in the years to come. Several factors would seem to support this trend: • It is in the interest of TV channels: broadcasting their service on the internet represents a way of "catching back" their audience, and, for 2 Podcasting is a way of distributing audio and video files via the internet that uses the RSS and Atom syndication formats. Podcasting enables users to automate the downloading of audio or video programmes, notably to their digital personal players or to the hard disk of their PC, enabling them to view these files immediately or at a later date. 98 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 commercial TV channels, of limiting the financial risks of a massive transfer of investment in televised advertisements to the internet • In general terms, players from the IT world such as Microsoft, Intel and Apple are working towards the adoption of a new TV model based both on the digital home network and on the distribution of universal TV programmes via the internet. • TV distribution systems based on streaming and P2P, such as those using RSS feeds, make it possible to envisage the growth of innovative personal TV services that should, in theory, be cheaper to produce. Over the next few years, and parallel to today's TV offering, the TV sector could consequently move towards a new alternative growth model, characterised by: - the boom of a video programme offering created by television viewers on the internet, - the enhancement of online video and TV services developed by major media groups, - the recognition of P2P and podcasting as serious alternative channels for distributing TV over the internet. Home networks - a prerequisite The set up of multimedia domestic networks in households based on data exchange on the one hand and pooling the functions of all pieces of electronic household equipment on the other, would seem to be a prerequisite for future changes to the television paradigm as we know it today. Home networks effectively form the basis of a new, open environment for media consumption and an ecosystem, in which consumers are set to have easy access to protected multimedia content 3 from the internet or other sources at any time from their homes. To achieve this, consumers should use a remote control, as well as a PC (a central unit and adaptors) and a series of domestic electronic devices (televisions, laptops, PMCs, MP3 players, portable games consoles, smartphones etc.) synchronised with the PC. These will be seamlessly interoperable and networked using a wireless technology (belonging to the WiMAX family). 3 And notably to TV programmes. L. MEYER 99 The generalisation of home networks lies at the heart of the philosophy adopted by companies such as Intel, Microsoft and Apple and many other players in the IT and consumer electronics world, as well as a large number of internet access providers and cable operators when it comes to building the future of television. It consequently forms the core of their short and midterm growth strategies. Three scenarios for the future The scenarios below have been developed bearing in mind that changes in the field of TV in the long term will be guided more by transformations in end demand, regulation and commercial innovations than by the availability of technologies. Each of these scenarios thus takes television consumption by individual viewers as a starting point, which is re-contextualised in the larger framework of overall media usage. Of course, the scenarios also take technological changes into account and are therefore firmly rooted in a climate of convergence. SCENARIO 1: "TV in complete freedom" Usages and equipment By 2015 access to TV services should be almost ubiquitous; namely it should be possible for viewers to watch a news bulletin, an episode of their favourite series or a live show in any location and at any time, provided that they have a piece of digital receiving equipment, preferably mobile. Ownership of a piece of mobile multimedia equipment will also have become relatively widespread, whether this be dedicated to receiving audiovisual services (TV, video, music, video games etc.) or a latest generation mobile telephone. In view of the richness of the offering both in equipment and in mobile services and content, a large number of Europeans should subscribe to a mobile TV offering. The penetration of mobile TV should reach 50% of the population by 2015, and 80% of subscribers will use this service every day for almost one hour on average! Under these conditions, the reference point 100 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 in the TV market in terms of marketing should no longer be the household, but the individual: the TV market will consequently have entered the age of individual TV. Underlying market structures and business models Although the changes described above do not seem very "revolutionary," this scenario nevertheless assumes a few major developments in the structure of the TV market and the related business models. In this scenario, the mobile TV consumption by subscribers is set to grow significantly, amounting to around one hour per day. In terms of the service offering, changes concern the mobile TV market where two types of offering will compete with each other: - the terrestrial offering organised by mobile telecommunication operators and mainly targeting mobile telephones; - the satellite offering for television sets and laptops, marketed by pay TV platform operators in conjunction with consumer electronic equipment manufacturers. This offering is rich and particularly well segmented: • Satellite pay TV platform operators offer a "best of mobile" of fixed services, as well as an offering of specific content and services adapted for mobility. • Mobile operators market a linear TV offering based on the DVB-H standard, as well as original and innovative programmes on demand via 3G networks. This scenario assumes no major upheavals to existing business models: • The model for mobile pay TV is similar to that of fixed pay TV via satellite. • The most significant change involves TV advertising, which sees the rise of interactive and mobile advertising. L. MEYER 101 Scenario 1 – Usage of various media in 2015 2005 240 Fixed TV Radio (in minutes / day) Average time of use 180 120 Internet 60 Pre-recorded TV programmes Video games Magazine Mobile TV Newspapers Music 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Daily reach (in % of population) 2015 240 Fixed TV (in minutes / day) Average time of use 180 Radio Internet 120 Mobile phone 60 Pre-recorded TV programmes Mobile TV Magazines Video games Newspapers Music 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Daily reach (in % of population) NB: The time devoted to the press, magazines, music, radio, TV and video games refers to the time spent reading, listening to or watching these media excluding the internet. Pre-recorded TV programmes refers to the time spent watching DVDs, VHS cassettes, pre-recorded programmes on a PVR and programmes accessible via VOD. Source: IDATE 102 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 SCENARIO 2: "Welcome to the age of Egocasting" Usages and equipment This second scenario is based on the fundamental hypothesis that the internet has become the favourite medium of a large section of the population by 2015, and notably of target consumers under the age of 45 years old. TV should no longer be at the centre of media consumption: as society plunges into the culture of hyper-personalisation, television viewers will no longer subscribe to the "formatted" programmes that most TV channels will have continued to offer. They will switch to vlogs, personalised TV platforms 4 , and the VOD services available on the internet, which not only deliver more original content (multimedia), but also allow viewers to contribute to the topics that concern or interest them. TV should thus have entered the age of Egocasting. The video and TV offering on the internet has been taking shape and expanding since 2005 thanks to the efforts of internet players including the big brand names, software solution providers and TV producers, who are bidding for their own "survival." Against this background the audience for "traditional" TV channels should drop significantly. Mobile TV fails to attract consumers, who prefer to opt for the podcasting model for nomadic video consumption, notably thanks to: - ever cheaper ways of accessing broadband internet (by 2015, over 85% of households will have broadband access); - the availability of an expanded range of multimedia players of the iPod variety on the market as of 2006. Consumers will also be particularly drawn to home network offerings structured around PCs or PVRs and marketed by internet access and IT equipment providers. By 2015 45% of households should consequently be equipped with a PC Media Centre, and over half should have a multimedia home network. 4 Aggregators of RSS video or streaming software programmes enabling users to access an enhanced TV offering via a P2P distribution system. L. MEYER 103 Scenario 2 – Usages of various media in 2015 2015 240 Internet (in minutes / day) Average time of use 180 Fixed TV 120 Radio Pre-recorded TV programmes 60 Mobile phone Newspapers Video games Magazines Mobile TV Music 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Daily reach (in % of population) Source: IDATE Underlying market structures and business models As regards the underlying market structures and business models, this scenario points to far-reaching changes. First of all, a series of "exogenous" events have taken place favouring the "domination" of the internet: • Between 2005 and 2015 the public authorities have taken steps to ensure that the internet network becomes multi-casting, or that P2P is now largely used as a means of distributing TV via the internet. • IT and consumer electronics players have launched a series of concerted initiatives to promote the benefits of digital multimedia home networks and the PC Media Centre. • As of 2006-2007 wireless fixed alternatives to DSL (WiMAX and its derivatives) make it possible to cover certain populations that had been served poorly or not at all by traditional broadband technologies. This second scenario subsequently assumes the emergence of a universal alternative TV offering: - distributed on a peercasting basis via the Internet, 104 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 - structured around on the big internet brands using powerful search engines and programme guides, - providing a TV offering from across the world consisting of niche programmes and vlogs, webTV, VOD services etc. It also calls for strong growth in the VOD offering available on the internet, as well as via cable and ADSL networks. This VOD offering should be available for both television sets and PCs. The offering includes a non-linear version of the programmes shown by TV channels, as well as VOD services launched by independent cinema and audiovisual producers wishing to recoup on their catalogues. Against this background the free-to-air TV market will also face its fair share of problems. These difficulties should mainly be related to the drop in overall TV audience figures and a major flow of televised advertising spending to the internet. As a result, this market segment should enter a period of major restructuring, especially given that, unlike in the first scenario, the mobile pay TV market will not materialise, as consumers are likely to prefer the "iPod model." In terms of business models, this second scenario assumes a few major upheavals. These drastic changes are mainly linked to the emergence of the "alternative universal TV" offering on the internet. This new offering should effectively call into question a certain number of the golden rules defining how the TV sector operates: - notably by enabling television consumers to contribute to the programme offering; - or by assuming global distribution for TV programmes; - or by attributing a strategic role to TV guidance tools, as they become the only way of "capturing" television viewers. Moreover, TV enters the age of Egocasting, which: - sees the advent of the consumption of audiovisual programmes on demand whose copyrights are stipulated by their owners; - leads to an evolution in advertising towards a business model dominated by rigorous measurement, highly selective targeting and personalisation of the message. This model specifically assumes that advertising spending will be concentrated on programme access platforms, and that the latter will redistribute advertising revenues L. MEYER 105 according to the popularity of the various programmes and services that they "host." SCENARIO 3: "The reign of TV portals" Usages and equipment This third scenario is based on the assumption that over the 2005-2015 period, a large number of television viewers have been attracted to the concept of personal TV enabled by PVR and VOD services. TV has consequently entered the age of personal TV. Television consumption has therefore become largely non-linear. In 2015 personal TV can be consumed at home, as well as in mobile contexts. As a result, the mobile TV market should be structured on the basis of two models: - the iPod model based on the use of portable PVRs, - the model of the real-time broadcasting of TV programmes centring on the use of the mobile telephone or special devices equipped with a hard disk. Thanks to marketing initiatives by consumer electronic manufacturers, which saw the DVD player market run out of steam in 2005, the household rate of equipment in PVRs (or DVD player/recorders with a hard disk) has taken off rapidly in Europe, especially since the pay TV platform operators (via satellite, cable or ADSL) were very quick to latch onto this trend. In 2015 60% of TV households should consequently have the option of customising their TV consumption and watching most TV programmes on a slightly deferred basis or after having recorded them (on their fixed or portable PVR). Against this background, the major media brands should move fast to position themselves, so that they continue to be the "reference" not only for real-time TV consumption, particularly on a live basis, but also in a universe of TV consumption on demand. 106 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 Underlying market structures and business models Although this scenario may appear more to follow on from current trends, it still assumes several significant changes in terms of market structure and related business models. From a usage point of view, the key change lies in the fact that on average, 45% of time in front of a TV screen will be spent watching recorded programmes, deferred broadcasts or on demand offerings. Moreover, the time devoted to TV, fixed or mobile, should rise overall, whereas the TV audience, in real or non real-time, should remain concentrated around the big TV brand names. Lastly, in households that have started using VOD services, consumption should increase dramatically from 2005 levels. At the initiative of major media groups and TV channel operators, the fixed digital TV offering should be restructured around television portals that create a unique environment for each major TV brand, that should enable not only: - access to the linear programme offering, - but also access to a non linear version of these programmes. These portals will naturally be interactive. Moreover, they should enable viewers to access a range of services, and notably relational marketing campaigns and interactive advertising. They should also include a sophisticated audience loyalty system, often developed in partnership with advertisers. As a result, control over television portals would seem to be of key strategic importance for the big media brand names, not only to capture television viewers, but also as a fresh source of revenues. In terms of business models, this third scenario also assumes several fundamental changes. With the boom in personal TV, the TV business is set to evolve significantly by moving towards a model that directly finances a TV programme, instead of a programme grid. This transformation implies new economic and financial relations between producers, TV channel operators and TV platform access operators. The boom in personal TV notably assumes that players in the sector are in a position to renew the model of TV financing based on advertising by building a new kind of relationship with advertisers. By entering the age of personal TV, television is effectively breaking with the advertising model based on broadcast slots. Personal TV should consequently promote the L. MEYER 107 emergence of new forms of TV advertising including product placement, the financing of programmes by brands, split screens and targeted interactive advertising. More generally, the coming of the age of personal TV should be synonymous with a boom in interactive television, leading to the enhancement of programmes, as well as more direct links to television viewers. Scenario 3 – Usages of various media in 2015 2015 240 Fixed TV (in minutes / day) Average time of use 180 Internet 120 Radio Pre-recorded TV programmes Mobile phone 60 Video Music games Mobile TV Magazines Newspapers 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Daily reach (in % of population) Source: IDATE These changes not only imply the development of new business and financial relations between advertisers and TV channels, but also involve rapid changes to the competences of the main protagonists in the television sector. With the generalisation of VOD offerings, the business of broadcasting in particular should steadily evolve towards that of a "TV programme aggregator or distributor." It will no longer be a question of linear TV programming, or of maximising audience share throughout the day, but of maximising TV programme "sales" via a television portal that is "recognised" by TV viewers. TV channel operators should consequently become non linear content vendors. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 108 Conclusions By offering three visions of the future of television, its usages and associated business models, this article highlights the importance of the opportunities and challenges facing the TV sector over the next 10 years. It should also enable us to understand that the future of TV depends on a large number of factors whose combined effects will, in the end, be extremely difficult to apprehend. The reality of 2015 is probably situated at the crossroads of the three broad visions described above, with several variations of these scenarios potentially feasible. Without being able to describe exactly how the TV sector will look in ten years time, it is nevertheless safe to say that TV is evolving towards a new paradigm whereby television consumption will be less linear and more interactive, personal and nomadic. Stages in the European television industry 1930 1930 -- 1980 1980 Age of... Channel operator’s strategic goal... Public analogue TV Inform, Cultivate, Entertain 1980 1980 -- 1995 1995 Commercial analogue TV Maximise viewing audience 1995 1995 -- 2005 2005 Multichannel digital TV Optimise coverage 2005 2005 -- ... ... 2010 2010 -- ... ... Personal TV Egocasting Help viewers (re)find "their" programmes Maintain audience Production Programming Key activites Assembly Programm access guide Creation / Talent Challenges Controlling frequencies Programme supply (control over broadcasting rights) Appeal and marketing service offerings Source: IDATE Media brand Cost control and name clout (ability evolution of existing to generate demand) business model Opinion Interview with Evelyne LENTZEN Chairman of the CSA of the French Community of Belgium Interview with Evelyne LENTZEN Chairman of the CSA of the French Community of Belgium Conducted by Rémy LE CHAMPION C&S: Does a homogenous model for regulatory bodies exist in Europe? Evelyne LENTZEN: The first regulatory bodies for broadcast content were founded in the mid 1980s, on the morrow of the growth of private radio and television stations and the collapse of public broadcasting monopolies. The parliaments and governments of European countries subsequently decided that it would be appropriate to entrust the monitoring – including the implementation of rules set by the legislator – of a sector situated at the crossroads of human rights and fundamental freedoms to an autonomous body (independent of political and economic powers). In many cases the structure of the administrative authority was selected. Although the exercise of these functions is far from homogenous and in some cases, limited, these authorities all share the power to award authorizations licenses, to monitor broadcasters' respect of legal conditions and to impose sanctions in cases where obligations are not fulfilled. Luxemburg is an exception to this rule. There are currently over one hundred regulatory bodies worldwide. It goes without saying that they are not all the same. Their internal structure, the way that their authorities and staff are appointed, their financial and human resources, as well as their various competences differ according to how they fit in with existing state structures, the administrative practices of these states, market structures, the political choices of parliaments and governments etc. Most regulatory authorities regulate both the public and the private sectors, but this is not the case with all bodies. The German Landesmedienanstalten, for example, are only competent in private broadcasting. Diversity is consequently a fact in the world of regulation. COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 111. 112 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 C&S: Would it be desirable to have just one regulatory body and what would such an organisation look like? EL: The regulatory authorities form part of the history of each democratic state. It would be vain to hope that the logic of the unitary State, for example, could be imposed on a federal State or vice-versa. C&S: In some countries, like the United Kingdom and Italy, a single body is responsible for all of the electronic communication sectors, whereas in others a clear line is drawn between telecommunications and audiovisual regulation. Is this distinction likely to continue in the age of convergence? EL: There are all types of configurations: from the coexistence of several bodies for broadcast content to the so-called "convergent" regulator. A "convergent" regulator with a varying range of competences covering both the audiovisual and telecommunications sector is not necessarily a "sole" regulator. The number of regulatory bodies with joint content-infrastructure competences has been rising for several years. This is more or less the case in at least eight countries in Europe (Belgium, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Spain, Finland, Great Britain, Italy, Switzerland and Slovenia). National, traditional circumstances play a key role. There was, for example, no regulatory authority for telecommunications before the Italian AGCOM was founded. Structural simplifications, consisting of merging several authorities into a single body, have also been undertaken in Austria, Belgium (the Flemish community), Ireland, Norway and Switzerland, for example. It was acknowledged at the EPRA (European Platform of Regulatory Authority) that the creation of a single or convergent body for telecommunications and audiovisual did not necessarily go hand in hand with a convergent vision of communication regulation. Internal decisionmaking structures provide some indication of this AGCOM has, for example, two commissions that deal with infrastructures-networks and servicesproducts separately. The advantages and drawbacks of "convergent" regulatory authorities, or even single bodies, are often discussed. It is worth remembering that the cultures and public interests in the audiovisual and telecoms sectors industries differ significantly. This is undoubtedly where the greatest difficulty lies (not to merely regulate content with the economic rules applied to infrastructures). In several countries another difficulty also undoubtedly lies in the level of political independence of telecommunications regulatory bodies, which is generally lower than that of audiovisual regulators. Interview with E. LENTZEN 113 The case of the federal States opens up another perspective, namely that of cooperation. As a result, the Belgian audiovisual regulatory authorities are organised at the community (regional) level, competent in questions of culture, while the telecommunications regulatory authority has been created at the national level. At a first glance, this would consequently appear to represent a content-infrastructure breakdown. However, the laws of the French-speaking community, for example, have granted competences in terms of infrastructures to the regulator, namely the Conseil supérieur de l'audiovisuel. In fact the "Cour d'arbitrage" (constitutional court) has always considered the competences of Belgium's communities in terms of broadcasting and television, are "Not to be linked to a specific form of broadcasting or transmission. It enables the communities to regulate the technical aspects of transmission that are an accessory to the field of broadcasting and television. Responsibility for regulating other aspects of the infrastructure, notably including the waves policing, falls to the federal legislator." It has also stated that, "Recent technological developments have meant that the fields of broadcasting and television on the one hand, and telecommunications on the other, can no longer be defined according to technical criteria such as the underlying infrastructure, the networks or the terminals used, but naturally according to content-related and functional criteria," and that "Broadcasting that includes television can be distinguished from other forms of telecommunications insofar as a broadcast programme distributes public information that is destined, from the broadcaster's point of view, for all or part of its audience and is not of a confidential nature. Services that provide individualised information, on the other hand, characterised by a certain degree of confidentiality, do not come under the jurisdiction of broadcasting and are monitored by the federal legislator." The Court goes on to say that, "The main characteristic of broadcasting and television is that it provides public information to the entire audience […], which also includes broadcasting at individual request. Broadcasting activities are not losing this feature just because a wider choice of programmes is offered to television viewers and audiences due to advances in technology." The Court concluded that the federal authority is not the only authority competent to regulate networks and electronic communications infrastructures, and that there is, "An absolute necessity to ensure that the federal authority and the communities cooperate" 1 to manage shared electronic communication infrastructures. The "Cour d'arbitrage" set a deadline for this cooperation, which has now expired, without any such cooperation being organised by the governments in question to-date. 1 Judgements 128/2005 of July 13th 2005, 7/90 of January 25 1990, 1/91 of February 7 st th 1991, 109/2000 of October 31 2000 and 132/2004 of July 14 2004. th th 114 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 C&S: What are the regulatory problems that you see with the accentuation of the trend towards convergence in each country, as well as on a European level? EL: There was a time, not so long ago, when infrastructures like co-axial cable networks and hertzian over-the-air networks were used to transmit television and radio broadcasting services and when other networks such as fixed networks were used to transport voice and data. Networks have become less specialized. The convergence in question is that of infrastructures and networks. The European Union fixed new rules for all infrastructures in the 2003 New Regulatory Framework for electronic communication infrastructures and associated services: services or networks that transmit communications electronically, whether they be wireless or fixed, carrying data or voice, internet-based or circuit switched, broadcasting or personal communication, are all covered by a set of EU rules that became applicable on July 25th 2003. Moreover, we can see that the growing number and convergence of infrastructures has not lead to an increase in the amount of original content available. The same broadcast contents are offered on all platforms. One of the regulatory questions, that needs to be addressed quickly in my opinion, involves the function of the service distributor, which is not defined on a European level. The function of service aggregation and delivery to the consumer can effectively be distinguished from the functions of media service provider or broadcaster (editorial responsibility for the choice of audiovisual content and determination of the manner in which it is organised) and network operator (signal transmission: compression and transport). These functions can be integrated in a single market player. The differences and interplay between these three functions form a multimedia value chain that is schematized by the consultants of Arthur Andersen as shown below 2 . Although the network operator only has technical responsibility for signal transmission and the media service provider or broadcaster exercises 2 Arthur Andersen, Outlook of development of the Market for European audiovisual content and of the regulatory framework concerning production and distribution of this content, June 2002, p. 60. Interview with E. LENTZEN 115 editorial responsibility in the choice of content organisation, what responsibility is borne by the service distributor that establishes commercial contacts with the public? Do distributors of broadcasting services bear only a technical and commercial responsibility, similar to that of internet services providers who are subject to laws on intermediary service providers covered by articles 12 onwards of the "Electronic Commerce" Directive? Or do they also have a social responsibility due to the assembly and aggregation of the audiovisual contents of the offering that they market to the public? Moreover, the simplification and articulation of the European rules on content (whether audiovisual or not) would be most welcome. Similarly, ensuring the suitability and interaction of services and networks in a regulatory environment that is contradictory in some aspects would be highly useful at the various levels of decision-making. Clarification of what legislators expect from regulation, self-regulation and co-regulation would also be constructive. Furthermore, it seems to me that we must move resolutely towards greater co-operation on a European level. C&S: How does collaboration and coordination take place between regulatory bodies on a European level? EL: Regulatory bodies very quickly sought to contact their foreign counterparts and the authorities responsible for regulating other sectors (mainly those bodies competent in terms of infrastructures and competition). These organisations have set up a large number of forums to promote meetings and debates. As far as bilateral relations are concerned, a number of cooperation agreements have been signed. This is the case, for example, between the CSA of the French-speaking community of Belgium and the French CSA 3 , as well as between the Swiss authority (OFCOM) and its Canadian counterpart (CTRC). There are also trilateral agreements linking the three biggest regulatory authorities in Europe: the CSA in France, OFCOM in Britain and the DLM in Germany. The European Commission and the Council of Europe are also promoting forms of bilateral assistance. The French CSA is consequently supporting and assisting the Polish (KRRiT) and Lithuanian (CRT) authorities, while the Italian body AGCOM is doing the same for the CRA of Bosnia-Herzegovina, 3 For the record, the name "Conseil supérieur de l'audiovisuel" comes from Belgium; it was adopted in France in 1989, two years after the creation of the CSA of the French-speaking community of Belgium. 116 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 the German LFK of Baden-Württemberg is assisting the council of Latvia (BCL) etc. The European Platform of Regulatory Authorities (EPRA) was founded in April 1995. It now brings together 48 regulatory bodies from 40 different countries. The aims of the EPRA are to exchange experiences and information and to host a forum for the discussion of practical solutions to legal problems concerning the interpretation and application of audiovisual regulation. Its bi-annual meetings are devoted to debates on topical issues 4 via presentations of "national" case studies and summaries of surveys by member organisations. The "European" nature of EPRA is to be understood in the broadest sense of the term since authorities from countries such as Turkey and Israel are members. Alongside EPRA, regional institutions have, over the years, acquired a certain importance. Founded in 1997, the Mediterranean network of regulatory authorities covers 13 bodies from 11 countries (Albania, Cyprus, France, Greece, Israel, Italy, Malta, Morocco, Portugal, Spain and Turkey). This network has the dual mission of acting as a forum for exchange and discussion, as well as to strengthen historical and cultural links between Mediterranean countries. Regulators in Nordic countries have also established contacts at a regional level. The regulatory authorities of a certain number of central European countries are feeling the need to share their experiences at special meetings. The European Commission has fallen into the habit of inviting regulatory authorities to the various consultations and meetings that it organises. It is effectively down to the regulatory authorities to ensure the effective application of national legislation, which has itself transposed the TWF directive. The European Commission has gone a step further by creating a high level group of regulatory authorities. The European Commission's proposal of December 2005 reflects this "privileged" relationship. European authorities are stakeholders in another forum, Broadcasting Regulation & Cultural Diversity (BRCD), founded in 2004 at the initiatives of the Catalan authority and open to producers, universities, governments etc. C&S: Why are there so many forums and meetings? 4 The main topics dealt with at the last EPRA meeting in May 2006 were political advertising (case study and monitoring), the revision of the Television Without Frontiers directive and the proposed directive on audiovisual media services (part of the meeting was devoted to advertising and especially questions related to sponsoring and product placement), the reform and convergence of regulatory authorities (from a hands-on perspective). Interview with E. LENTZEN 117 EL: It is quite simply because the mission of regulatory authorities, at the crossroads between human rights and fundamental freedoms and political and economic interests, is not an easy one. The in-depth knowledge of legislation, technological changes and company profiles, as well as the protection of fundamental public interests that is required make regulatory authorities one of the public mechanisms belonging to what I would call the "fine-tuning" of democracy. Perhaps these authorities are, or will become, one of the ramparts of democracy. Only the future will tell. It is worth remembering that it is the impact of radio and television on public opinion that has led European and national legislators to set limits to initiatives in these fields, on their free distribution and freedom of expression. It is a result of this impact that legislators have entrusted regulatory authorities with the task of ensuring that these rules are fairly applied. C&S: Are regulatory bodies sufficiently well-equipped, both on a legal and an operational level, to manage media concentration and promote pluralism? EL: Although not all regulatory authorities are competent in this respect, they all share these concerns. National systems are complex. Many legal and regulatory rules and regulatory instruments exist, and they generally involve the Competition Council. For "convergent" authorities, it is a question both of ensuring pluralism in the service offering to give the public access to a wide range of information sources and of ensuring that this plural offering has access to infrastructures and networks under transparent and non-discriminatory conditions. This involves analysis of both the wholesale and the retail markets. Thanks to our function of authorising and monitoring the sector – and sometimes related sectors – regulators have relevant information on the property structure of service providers or broadcasters, service distributors (or aggregators) and network operators regardless of the platform in question, and we try to keep this information up to date 5 . Overviews are regularly provided by the EPRA 6 which, in 2000, set up a database that EPRA members complete with information on the services that they authorise. This is no easy task in view of the growing number of television services on offer (almost 4,000 at the beginning of 2006 according to figures from the European Audiovisual Observatory). The high-level group of regulatory authorities and the European Commission also decided to set up a shared database last year. 5 We regularly publish the results of our analysis. 6 The Dutch regulatory authority has published an excellent summary of the situation in Europe. 118 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 The analysis of the balance sheets and financial statements of companies and groups – media service providers or broadcasters, service distributors and network operators – is interesting from this point of view, as it provides information on the breakdown of revenues, including those from advertising. Information on the market and audience shares of television services and channels comes from audiometric institutes that use their own methods of collecting and analysing data. In addition, there are specific questions of multimedia cross-ownership and relocations. This latter question is on the agenda for discussion of the revision of the TWF Directive, with 13 states (out of the 25 European Union members) requesting that relevant criteria (such as the target audience) be taken into account in establishing territorial competence. The question of targeting audiences and markets needs to be considered in a different way to the success of the foreign services and channels, mainly from neighbouring countries, that are available via cable, hertzian, satellite or other networks. We also pay a lot of attention to the "bottlenecks" in terms of access to content and infrastructures. This includes questions of "single sellers" and "single buyers," notably as far as sports rights are concerned. C&S: Beyond collecting and processing information, beyond all of the analyses and conclusions that you may come to based on the numerous sources at your disposal, which notably reveal that concentration in the sectors in question has increased over the last decade, are you equipped to face this phenomenon? EL: The response is mixed. Every regulator you ask will give a different answer. Yet all will agree that free of expression is the cornerstone of our democratic political systems and that the public's freedom to access a pluralist offering ("the plurality of independent media reflects the diversity of the largest possible range of opinions and ideas" 7 ) is a key objective of our regulatory activity, as is the protection of human rights and fundamental freedoms, which include the protection of minors, of human dignity and of consumers' rights. All regulators will also agree that it is not for them to interfere with the editorial responsibility of media service providers-broadcasters or in the investment/disinvestment decisions of companies. This is our scope for action. The means at our disposal are stipulated by regulatory provisions on a European and national level: establishing that a 7 Article 7 §1 of the decree by the French-speaking community of Belgium of February 27 2003 on broadcasting. th Interview with E. LENTZEN 119 player holds a dominant position and initiating a procedure of assessing the broadcasting services offering and adopting remedies on the one hand; and defining and analysing relevant markets in terms of infrastructures and electronic communications networks, identifying powerful operators in these markets and implementing remedies on the other. At the CSA of the Frenchspeaking community in Belgium, we are involved in both processes. The results should be seen in a year from now. C&S: Do regulatory authorities have real power to promote cultural diversity? EL: Cultural diversity is also an international challenge and the Broadcasting Regulation & Cultural Diversity (BRCD) was set up in a bid to rise to this challenge. C&S: How can you reconcile economic nationalism with concentration on a global scale? EL: Each player has its own territory. Regulatory authorities act in the framework of national or "regional" laws as far as federal states are concerned. It is not the role of regulatory authorities to protect any form of economic nationalism or to support global concentration. Most of us do not have economic competences strictly speaking, but are more culturally oriented. Corporate groups do not all have regional or national boundaries as far as their investment/disinvestment horizons are concerned. The latter follow their own sector-based or financial logics, whether these be "rational" or not. Whenever I am asked to describe the role and missions of the CSA in the audiovisual industry, I like to use the image of a triangle whose three sides are: - players in the multimedia value chain (media services providers or broadcasters, distributors and public and private operators), - the legislator (parliament and government), - and the public. As for the CSA, it is situated in the middle of this triangle and has to interact with all three sides. These are two-way interactions. We are also a centre for observing the audiovisual landscape where roles are played and sometimes exchanged, where alliances are formed and broken, where interests overlap and conflict and where creativity seems continuously unlimited. 120 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 This is naturally a complex position: we do not aim to attempt to usurp the role of other players too. Should we seek to do so, we would be rightly stopped. C&S: Isn't the disparate economic influence of audiovisual, telecommunication and information technologies players likely to lead to distortions in competitiveness and competition in the emerging markets born of convergence? EL: It is clear that the financial resources of groups of network operators cannot be compared with those of service producers, including multimedia players. The growth in networks, their convergence, their strategies that now privilege "triple" and even "quadruple" play, technological uncertainties regarding the choices of the public, or the majority of the public, the debate over the future of fixed and mobile communications, the challenges and opportunities of portability and HDTV, the advent of new players that do not necessarily have a past as engineers or financiers etc; all upsets the analytical framework. However, we must admit that nobody has ever sold or rented access to an infrastructure or network to the public without contents related to the offering. This is the rock 'n roll that sells offerings, not the copper pair. Although there are "emerging" networks and infrastructures in the transmission of video contents, these contents are the same as those found on networks traditionally dedicated to broadcasting, although their presentation, their form and their consumption are changing or diversifying. A goal in football remains a goal in football whether it be broadcast via coaxial cable, a fixed network, via satellite, a hertzian network or the internet, whether it be broadcast on your television screen in your living room or via GSM, whether it be transmitted in an analogue or a digital format. The same applies to other examples such as audiovisual works and advertisements. Incumbent telecommunication players are currently experiencing this phenomenon. These players need non data contents (programmes). They have to learn that, "Providing animated images, accompanied by sound or otherwise, with a view to informing, entertaining and educating the general public," on a linear or on demand basis, fulfils the conditions dictated by the responsibility inherent in their role in shaping public opinion. The stakes are, and will remain, cultural. Regardless of how old or new networks develop, it is our collective responsibility that these networks transmit contents that continue to "speak to" or "resemble" our communities of citizens under similar conditions. The European Commission was aware of this when it decided to separate the transmission regulation from that of content. While taking into account Interview with E. LENTZEN 121 the links existing between them, notably to guarantee media pluralism (e.g. the possibility of reserving a frequency for a radio service, "must carry" obligations, the regime of conditional access to digital radio and television services) and to apply the principle of technological neutrality to all electronic communication networks and infrastructures. The Commission's proposal to transform the "Television Without Frontiers" directive into the "Media Services" (linear and non-linear) directive stems from the same concern. It could undoubtedly be judiciously completed to further establish the future of rules related to content in general (the protection of minors, human dignity and consumers, the integrity of national or European works etc.) in a world where how audiences access services is undoubtedly diversifying more rapidly than their consumption habits. The playing field is wide open at all levels. There are questions concerning all issues from appropriate regulatory measures, financing structures and "success-guaranteed" investment choices to growth factors and the future consumption habits of young people. All this demonstrates the importance of maintaining and developing public service broadcasters: the criteria of programming and the assessment of public service channels follow more complex logics and are more anchored, by virtue of their management contract, in social objectives. A pluralist public service that is balanced and strong reflects our communities of citizens and speaks to our head and our heart, has clear perspectives for the future in a field in which nobody has resigned themselves to relying totally on the rules of the market. If this service is able to remain focused on the values and missions previously defined in a clear contract with the government, rather than obsessed with successive fads like its private competitors, it will be far better prepared to offer the public original and meaningful content in the virtually unlimited offering that is set to unfold in the digital age. C&S: Will regulatory bodies try to jointly influence the European Union's legislative process and notably the revision of the TWF directive? EL: Regulatory bodies are far from absent and mute in the European Union legislative process. Their positions with regard to the future directive on content and media services that is supposed to replace the TWF directive are not always those adopted by their States or governments. Within the EPRA, the reform process is very often approached via questions such as the field of application of the future directive and the competence of regulatory authorities in the field of services on demand (non-linear), the principle of the country of origin and the determination of criteria linking to a jurisdiction, advertising, the protection of minors and human dignity, ways of supporting the production of European and national works, etc. 122 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 At each EPRA meeting a representative of the European Commission and the Council of Europe present an overview of the discussions and decisions or recommendations adopted in each of these institutions. The high-level group of regulatory authorities aims to strengthen its cooperation with the European Commission in the application of the directive and its adaptation to technological advances and the markets. Information consequently circulates and the positions adopted by the various parties become known. However, there are no joint positions or declarations by regulators. It has been clearly decided that the EPRA will not act as the regulators' "spokesperson". C&S: In January 2006 the RTL group moved TRL-TVi from the French-speaking community of Belgium to Luxemburg, arguing that obligations to conform to the TWF directive, which states that a channel can only have a licence in a single country, and the regulatory framework of the French-speaking community in Belgium were too restrictive. Other cases oppose the Swedish authority and the British regulatory body OFCOM. Should European Union regulation make it possible to deal with this kind of relocation? EL: In the framework of the 15th EPRA meeting held in May 2002 in Brussels, the CSA conducted a survey of the situation in over 35 states, a survey that revealed the extent of targeted content and advertising practices and their impact. Various scenarios could consequently be deduced from these results. In the European Union four waivers to the principles of freedom of reception can be cited in the preambles and articles of the TWF directive and the decisions of the European Court of Justice. These procedures are nevertheless long, involved and off-putting as a result. Throughout the consultation process of the revision of the TWF directive, the CSA of the French-speaking community of Belgium underlined the fundamental role played by establishing territorial competence. This is one of the reasons why the European Union is able to act in the audiovisual field to ensure free competition between services (and not contributing to concentration) and to promote the free circulation and expansion of the content offering (and not its impoverishment). However, it has to be said that the country of origin principle, which lies at the heart of the European directive, as the Commission reminds us, is applied blindly in some cases, although the conditions laid out in the directive no longer correspond to the reality of the situations in markets that are becoming increasingly international. The failure to account for cases in which the least restrictive location is chosen ultimately leads to the absurd Interview with E. LENTZEN 123 situation whereby most of the European broadcasting industry could be regulated by the UK, Luxemburg or even France. For small and medium-sized countries – especially those neighbouring a large, linguistically homogenous market – the risks of companies relocating and targeted content and advertising practices are calling into question the equation between freedom to set up a service and of circulation, the maintenance of an audiovisual industry within their borders and safeguarding the diversity of ideas, opinions and cultures, all vehicles of freedom of expression. The proposed directive on "media services" that is supposed to replace the TWF directive offers no appropriate response to at least 13 states that have expressly asked the European Commission to review its text with regard to this question. In the French-speaking community of Belgium, the criteria of targeting entirely or mainly public broadcasting was reflected in legislation. Why shouldn't the same thing happen on a European level? C&S: What do you think of the systems set up in Austria, Hungary and Denmark where the regulatory authorities also manage funds to support audiovisual production? EL: Personally, I don't believe that the regulatory function should include the management of a fund to support audiovisual production. This leads to editorial choices that are based upon other competences and could run the risk of interfering with our other missions. In French-speaking Belgium, our role is defined by legislation as to check whether the authorised broadcasters are contributing to audiovisual production on a prorata basis according to their turnover either via coproductions or via payments to the Centre for film and audiovisual production. It is also the responsibility of the CSA to determine the basic rate of the annual contribution paid by each broadcaster, but not to manage the Centre for film and audiovisual production. But, as I have already said, all of these regulatory models exist and are relevant in terms of individual national situations. C&S: Should mobile telephony now be considered as a separate media and how should it be regulated as such? EL: As I have said, mobile telephony is seen as a channel - an infrastructure – that is used to transport data and video content. 124 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 Mobile telephony operators are consequently subject to the rules related to networks and infrastructures. If they also produce the audiovisual content that they carry, they are subject to laws related to media services, which in this case are non-linear. The question that is not asked as such regards their role as a service distributor has not yet been debated on a European level. This is the solution that has been selected by the French-speaking community of Belgium. Articles Alternative Wireless Technologies Status, Trends and Policy Implications for Europe The Scope of Economic Sector Regulation in Electronic Communications Alternative Wireless Technologies Status, Trends and Policy Implications for Europe (*) Sven LINDMARK Chalmers University of Technology Pieter BALLON TNO-ICT and SMIT, Vrije Universiteit Brussel Colin BLACKMAN Independent consultant and editor Erik BOHLIN Chalmers University of Technology Simon FORGE SCF Associates Uta WEHN de MONTALVO TNO-ICT Abstract: Besides 3G, a number of alternative wireless technologies (AWTs) have emerged. Such AWTs create new growth opportunities, but may also constitute a disruptive threat to existing networks and their supporting communities. The objectives of this paper are firstly to map AWTs' deployment and current trends, drivers and bottlenecks in Europe; and secondly to identify policy implications for Europe. Specifically, we consider: WLAN / Wi-Fi, UWB, WiMAX, Flash OFDM, UMTS-TDD and mesh / ad-hoc networking technologies. Policy recommendations relating to R&D encouragement, stimulating competition and encouraging market entry, spectrum allocation and standardsetting are brought forward. Key words: mobile communications, Wi-Fi, WiMAX, Ultra Wide Band, mesh and ad-hoc networks, UMTS-TDD, Flash OFDM, Europe, policy. (*) This paper is based on the results of the "Mapping European Wireless Trends and Drivers" (MEWTAD) project led by E. BOHLIN, conducted for the European Commission – Joint Research Center – Institute for Prospective Technology Studies. See the forthcoming IPTS Technical Report (BOHLIN et al., 2006). Please note that the findings presented herein are solely the personal opinions of the authors, and should not be construed to represent the opinions of the European Commission. The authors would like to acknowledge Jeroen HERES, Annemieke KIPS, Mildo van STADEN, Richard TEE, Silvain de MUNCK and Willem-Pieter van der LAAN, all from TNO, for extensive data gathering and processing. COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 127. 128 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 T he European telecommunications and electronics industry has enjoyed outstanding success in the second generation (2G) of mobile telecommunications. In a relatively short time period, European players have established leading positions in system, handset, and operator levels of the player system. As in all lucrative industries, this lead will not be left unchallenged. In the ongoing transition to thirdgeneration (3G) mobile communications, and perhaps even more so in the coming fourth generation (4G), Asian and American players are going ahead with new initiatives. A plethora of competing (and complementing) wireless technologies and solutions, often stemming from the computer industry, have entered the scene. For short, these are denoted alternative wireless technologies (AWTs). In some areas, notably wireless LAN applications (WLAN) for offices, homes and "hot spots", they have already reached substantial usage and diffusion. Other alternative technologies – including WiMAX, UWB (Ultra Wide Band) and meshed and ad-hoc networks – show promising signs of fulfilling existent and growing user needs. Clearly, diffusion and usage of AWTs may contribute to provide high-quality public services and promote quality of life, constituting an opportunity. On the other hand, if AWTs succeed, there is a risk that the leading European position will be seriously challenged, resulting in lost growth and job opportunities. Hence, there is a strong and urgent need to thoroughly research the usage of AWTs, as well as the trends and drivers currently catalysing their diffusion, also in relation to the newly adopted "i2010" policy framework for the information society. The objectives of this paper are to map AWTs' development, deployment and usage in Europe as well as their current trends, drivers and bottlenecks; and, given the current i2010 policy framework, to identify policy options and implications for European Union (EU) and member states (MS). In principle, the concept of AWTs includes all emerging wireless technologies with the exception of established cellular technologies. However, due to the number of countries to be covered, it was beyond the scope of this research project to cover all such technologies. The set of technologies selected was based on an early evaluation of their presumptive impact upon the presently dominant cellular paradigm. In sum, the AWTs covered in this paper are those existing in the market today and/or on their way towards standardisation or in (advanced) R&D stages and/or potentially presenting a challenge to traditional business models in the mobile market. Specifically, we consider the following: - short-range protocols (WLAN /Wi-Fi, and UWB) S. LINDMARK et al. - 129 longer-range protocols (WiMAX, Flash OFDM and UMTS-TDD 1) meshed and ad hoc networking The rest of this paper is structured as follows. The next section presents an overview and analysis of the availability and usage of the main AWTs in the EU, as well as operators' strategies. The subsequent section analyses the main drivers and barriers for their diffusion and the European position with respect to AWTs. The final section identifies implications of AWTs for the EU over the next 10 years, in terms of the policies required for their evolution, diffusion and competition. AWTs in Europe This section summarises our observations regarding AWT activities in Europe. The extent of AWT diffusion for all 25 EU member states and, in a more limited form, for the 4 candidate countries was mapped out 2 . Clearly the most dynamic markets, in terms of the variety of AWTs being used or deployed, are situated in Western Europe and Scandinavia. France, while Germany, Ireland, the Netherlands, Sweden and the UK present the most diverse European markets in terms of AWTs, with almost all AWTs under review being deployed or used. Unsurprisingly, WLAN (in the form of WiFi) is the most mature AWT on the market. The availability and usage of AWTs other than Wi-Fi are far more incidental. However, despite the limited and fragmented nature of the diffusion of these AWTs, there is a certain dynamism related to them in many countries. table 1demonstrates that, while UWB and Flash OFDM are marginal or non-existent on the EU market, (pre)WiMAX, Mesh/Ad-hoc technologies and UMTS-TDD are available or being deployed in many, or even most, EU member states. 1 UMTS-TDD is considered as an alternative mode of operation of the common UMTS-FDD standard. As it can, for example, operate in unlicensed spectrum, UMTS-TDD is regarded here as a potential AWT. 2 Data sources for the targeted information were non-confidential, publicly available or publicly verifiable. To gather them, extensive desk research activity was carried out, involving academic and consultancy sources, official country- and region-specific data, the business press, specialized web information, and corporate information provided by the main AWT providers in each country. In addition, a series of in-depth telephone interviews were conducted with country experts for each of the 25 EU countries. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 130 Table 1 - Overview of selected AWT activity in EU25 (as of mid-2005) Country Austria Belgium Cyprus Czech Rep. Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden UK UWB WLAN (pre) WiMAX commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial commercial deployment commercial Flash OFDM UMTS TDD use use trial use use trial commercial trial trial commercial commercial deployment commercial commercial commercial trial commercial commercial Mesh / Ad-hoc use commercial commercial use trial commercial deployment deployment commercial deployment trial use commercial commercial commercial trial commercial use use commercial deployment commercial Note: The activity stated relates to the most advanced use encountered in a country. Table 2 summarises our observations on the main service providers and main usage of AWTs in the EU as encountered during our research. This overview demonstrates that AWTs are mostly being used as substitutes for fixed broadband connectivity (i.e. in the case of being positioned as 'wireless or portable DSL'), but also as substitutes for mobile or at least for nomadic iInternet connectivity. The likelihood of AWTs actually constituting a considerable threat to (traditional) operators' positions is very much dependent upon the types of actorsplayers driving the service offering, as well as on their strategies. For non-operators, i.e. in case of the individual provision of hotspots and the establishment of (free) wireless zones, the strategies encountered in the European market are: - communitarian: offerings by communities of individuals; - location-based: municipalities and universities wishing to increase the attractiveness of their location or site; - commercial: aimed at indirect returns from increased sales of other products or services (hotels, etc.). S. LINDMARK et al. 131 For new entrant operators, such ase.g. new generations of WISPs, their strategies can be labelled as: • Niche-player strategy: in segments of the business market; or providing rural and remote coverage; • Mass-markets strategy: - serving consumer and small business markets in urban areas (creamskimming or competing head-on with existing networks); - serving consumer and business markets in large areas with underdeveloped infrastructure. Finally, established operators' strategies vis-à-vis AWTs can be summarised as: - pre-emption strategy: often by the acquisition of small new entrants, in order to discourage or preclude entry by other operators; - non-cannibalisation strategy: deployment in small niches where no overlap exists with traditional activities; - integration strategy with small scope for AWTs: integration of AWTs into the overall operator offering (for niche use); - integration strategy with large scope for AWTs: integration of AWTs into the overall operator offering, with AWTs constituting a considerable part of the value proposition. Table 2 - Provisioning and usage of AWTs in Europe (mid-2005) Technology UWB WiFi / WLAN (pre)WIMAX Provisioning Usage Both civilian and military testing, but no current provisioning Offered mostly by established mobile and fixed operators. Other providers include new entrant hotspot providers, municipalities, universities, hospitality providers, communities, and individuals Offered by established mobile and fixed operators as well as by new entrants Still in stage of research and technological testing Internet and intranet access in WiFi hotspots and zones. Also widespread in-house private use Flash OFDM Trialled by established mobile operator Mesh/ ad hoc Offered mostly by communities of individuals. Other providers include new commercial service providers Offered by new entrant network providers, as well as by established operators UMTS-TDD Fixed and nomadic wireless access in rural areas and urban centres. Aimed at both the business and the residential markets The mobile data trial using Flash OFDM was apparently aimed primarily at the business market. Data transport and Internet access, mostly for free Fixed and nomadic wireless access, mainly in urban centres No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 132 In shorten, established operators have taken the lead in the deployment and exploitation of AWTs throughout most of Europe, as shown by table 2. These operators are mainly using pre-emption, non-cannibalisation or limited-scope integration strategies. This suggests that there are at present constraints in Europe against AWTs being used by other actors players and in other ways, even though in some countries there are considerable nonoperator and new entrant activities. Assessment of European position In order to assess the impact of AWT and identify the relevant policy actions, we briefly conduct the following analysis. Firstly we identify the main drivers and barriers for AWT diffusion in Europe. Secondly, we assess Europe and European actors' position with respect to AWTs. Thirdly, we identify the need for policy change in a number of key areas. Table 3 - General AWT drivers and bottlenecks Drivers Bottlenecks Poor fixed broadband infrastructure development in many small cities, towns, rural and remote areas across Europe. Government incentives, programmes and public-private partnerships to stimulate broadband connectivity. Competition in Wi-Fi markets, e.g. because of relatively low prices of Wi-Fi deployment, driving prices down and ensuring relatively high coverage in a number of countries. Success of private in-house WLANs, which might stimulate the usage of public WLANs. Emerging integration of AWT and mobile capabilities in dual mode handsets. Falling hardware prices and backhaul costs. Limited number of licensed operators in some markets, creating incentives for new stakeholders to enter national markets using AWTs. New applications and possibilities such as VoIP over wireless, deployment of AWTs on trains etc. Expected expansion of WiMAX with mobility characteristics. Lack of interconnection and roaming agreements, especially between new AWT operators. Pricing models of public hotspot access in many EU countries still oriented towards occasional use, limiting scope of AWTs to business market. Licensing regimes in many EU countries imposing limitations on spectrum availability, deployment, handoff and integration of AWT cells, and generally allowing technical experiments with AWTs but no market experiments. Persistent standardisation problems. Lack of user-friendliness in access, authentication and billing procedures. Lack of structural advantages (in terms of speed or cost) over fixed broadband, and therefore a lack of incentives for AWTs in areas with welldeveloped fixed broadband infrastructure. Potential saturation and congestion of unlicensed spectrum in prime locations. Limited amount of terminals and other certified equipment in the market. Lack of customer education, i.e. in terms of differences between mobile and various AWTs. Lack of content applications. S. LINDMARK et al. 133 Table 3 summarises general drivers and bottlenecks at the level of general developments in markets, technologies and regulations – as highlighted by nearly 30 interviewed country and technology experts. In conclusion, there are strong forces at play, making it likely that one or several AWTs will have a substantial impact, even in the mid-term future, with WLAN leading the way. General barriers, such as the limited number of terminals and content applications, a lack of interconnection and roaming are likely to be gradually overcome, further driving diffusion of AWTs. However, a cursory analysis of the European position with respect to AWTs also reveals a number of weaknesses. AWTs have no real place today in European telecommunications and media – nor do they yet form a part of an overall strategy for communications. AWTs are not understood by mass markets, nor are AWT capabilities and positioning well understood by EU industry and technical centres of expertise. Moreover, licensing regimes in many EU countries impose limitations on spectrum availability, deployment, handoff and integration of AWT cells, generally allowing technical experiments with AWTs, but no market experiments. In some ways the European telecommunications sector is still counteracting the proliferation of AWTs, or at least mainly considering it as complementary to cellular technologies. Although this paper shows that traditional operators are most active in the deployment and exploitation of AWTs throughout most of Europe, this is mainly a result of defensive preemption, non-cannibalisation and limited-scope integration strategies. As long as incumbents enjoy strong profitable positions in cellular, there are no true incentives for them to promote alternatives. Similarly, the European supplier industry holds a very strong position in cellular, while it has been a follower of – or even resisted – WiMAX, WiFi and other AWTs. In fact, both cellular operators and suppliers probably view AWTs as a major threat. From an industrial policy viewpoint, it is then tempting to protect the strong position in cellular through adopting a restrictive approach to AWTs, since a rapid transition to AWTs from cellular would disrupt the current European dominance in 2G and 3G. In conclusion, it seems that in Europe AWTs, at least in their 'independent' form, are in a weak market position with no champions, promotion or financial muscle. However, AWTs are being promoted by other communities, particularly outside Europe. Failure to firmly grasp the potential of AWTs might leave Europe far behind in mobile technologies, behind Asia and – unthinkable two years ago – even behind the USA. In the latter region, the IT industry (not No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 134 least, component suppliers like Intel) strongly promotes AWTs; Wi-Fi and WiMAX are drawing new strengths in municipal networks and emergency services networks, as well as being exploited in research as the platforms for health and elderly care. In the former region, government-led promotions of AWTs are reformulating national infrastructures and market players. Globally, the most advanced AWT market is probably South Korea in terms of WLAN diffusion, for instance. South Korea is currently bringing together "mobile" and "broadband" with development of the "Portable internet" using a home-grown AWT, WiBro, as its carrier infrastructure. AWTs are an important component of South Korea's critical path for achieving a ubiquitous network society ("U-Korea"), and for sustaining industrial competitiveness – the "IT 839 Strategy". Other Asian countries also seem determined to move quickly into wireless technologies other than and beyond 3G (see further BOHLIN et al., 2006). Taken together, these trends and bottlenecks, and the relative European weakness vis-à-vis AWTs, suggest that European industry and policy are somewhat locked into the predominant cellular wireless technology. As welldocumented in technology management literature (UTTERBACK, 1994; CHRISTENSEN, 1997), technology-conservative incumbents are likely to invest in R&D and innovation in sustaining technologies, and neglect the potentially disruptive ones. Since innovation processes are evolutionary and path-dependent, positive feedbacks may lead systems to be locked into inferior technologies (see DAVID, 1985; ARTHUR, 1989), whereby potentially superior technologies may not take off and diversity may be blocked and reduced (EDQUIST et al., 2005). Here we may have such a lock-in situation at the level of the European sectoral system of innovation. At the very least, this situation requires a review of the current policies with respect to AWTs. This will be the topic of our final section. Policy implications On June 1st, 2005, the European Commission adopted a new strategic framework – "i2010: European Information Society 2010" – to foster growth and jobs in the information society and media industries. i2010 aims to integrate, modernize and deploy EU policy instruments to encourage the development of the digital economy, including regulatory instruments, research and partnerships with industry. In i2010, the Commission outlines three policy priorities and objectives: (1) the completion of a Single S. LINDMARK et al. 135 European Information Space offering affordable and secure high-bandwidth communications, rich and diverse content and digital services, which promotes an open and competitive internal market for the information society and media; and (2) strengthening Innovation and Investment, with worldclass performance in research and innovation in ICT by closing the gap to Europe's leading competitors, to promote growth and more and better jobs; (3) achieving an Inclusive European Information Society that provides highquality public services, enhances quality of life, and promotes growth and jobs in a manner that is consistent with sustainable development (CEC, 2005). Clearly, diffusion and usage of AWTs may contribute to objectives (1) and (3) of the i2010, i.e. to achieving an Inclusive European Information Society that provides high-quality public services and promotes quality of life, thus constituting an opportunity. AWTs are proliferating and offer considerable potential for service and business model innovation. AWTs fill the gaps left by cellular, extending to the areas of life that cellular does not reach. For some applications they offer lower costs, faster rollout compared to mobile and, in addition, higher bandwidth. AWTs offer potential for increased competition as well as for connecting rural and less-developed areas. This needs to be accommodated by policy. On the other hand, and relating to objective (2) of the i2010, if AWTs succeed – and given a current lock-in – there is a risk that the leading European position will be seriously challenged, resulting in lost growth and job opportunities. This risk is heightened by the fact that the European ICT sector is under-investing in R&D compared to the US and Japan 3 . In line with modern innovation research, we suggest that policy should ensure that negative lock-in situations are avoided. EDQUIST et al. (2005) suggest three general policy options for how this objective can be achieved. Firstly, policy should keep technological rivalry alive by supporting alternatives, through support for alternative R&D for example. Thus, there is a need to re-think R&D policy with respect to AWTs. Secondly, diversity could be introduced to industry through the provision of, and support for, firm entry and survival of new firms. In addition to a more traditional competition policy perspective – where competition means lower prices – new entrants bring new capabilities, cognitive frames, ideas, products, services, and technologies to the market, which is especially 3 IDATE and OECD as cited in CEC (2005). 136 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 relevant under circumstances of technological and market uncertainty 4 . Consequently, there is a need to rethink competition policy and to stimulate new entrants. A necessary condition for entry when it comes to radio communications is the availability of frequency spectrum and licensing regime allowing for new entries. This has been identified as a major blocking mechanism for AWT diffusion in Europe, and hence there is a need to rethink spectrum policy. Thirdly, common infrastructures, in particular gateway technologies and standards, could provide common bases for the development of new varieties of products and services at other levels (although closing technological opportunities at some level). Research has also shown strong links between the support of successful standards and the success of supporting firms and regions (cf. GSM, VHS and TCP/IP) 5 . Perhaps there is still time for Europe to take back some of the initiative in standardisation, and perhaps policy can support this. In summary, four main policy areas will be discussed below: R&D policy, policies for competition and new entries, spectrum policy and standardisation policy. These areas do not include the full range of policy issues in need of further consideration. A choice had to be made for the purposes of this paper. For a fuller treatment of such issues, consult BOHLIN et al. (2006). R&D policy Our research indicates that, in addition to under-investing in ICT-related R&D in general, Europe seems to invest even less in AWT-related R&D versus the main competing regions of the world (the U.S., Japan/South Korea). As mentioned above, to achieve "world-class performance in research and innovation in ICT by closing the gap to Europe's leading competitors" (CEC, 2005), Europe needs to specifically target the AWT gap. Here, timing is of crucial importance since, in the presence of pathdependencies and positive feedbacks, there is a "narrow policy window 4 Admittedly, the relationship between competition and innovation is ambiguous also in telecommunications (BOHLIN et al., 2004). 5 See e.g. GRINDLEY, 1995; CUSUMANO et al., 1997; SHAPIRO & VARIAN, 1999. See also LINDMARK, 2002, for the GSM case. S. LINDMARK et al. 137 paradox" (DAVID, 1987), suggesting that government has only a short period for effective intervention before the industry is locked into a specific technology. In order to keep technological alternatives alive in Europe, and to accelerate the catching-up process, we propose the following R&D support actions. A suitably structured and EC-led funded programme of research and demonstrator implementations should be set up and mobilised. Firstly, a European Alternative Radio Network Research Programme should be established as a matter of urgency. It should cover several well-defined areas, with study projects for university laboratories and industrial precompetitive consortia, with all results being in the public domain. The release of classified military research in this area should be urgently sought for Europe's advantage 6 7 . Secondly, we suggest the formation of a European Radiocommunications Research Institute – ERRI – as a further initiative to pursue the full promise of the new directions in radio. ERRI would be a European research and development centre for AWT radio technologies and networking architectures. Jointly funded by industry, national governments and the EC, the first phase of rapid set-up and early growth could be through a joint programme of projects distributed across existing universities. This would form a launch pad for the second phase, of setting up a permanent institute with its own faculty and facilities at one site. ERRI would have twin research roles, of primary and applied research, to form an international centre of excellence. 6 In addition, there are existing EC e-initiatives that could be harnessed to provide part of the above, in particular the eMobility Technology Platform. If this is not possible, then an alternative high-level group specifically for AWT – a kind of European 'skunk works' to develop AWT – could be created. Moreover, the EU's interest in broadband deployment could also be harnessed for certain AWTs, if any political barriers raised by xDSL incumbents to wireless access can be overcome. 7 Specifically, we propose that the programme's main research lines should include: (1) radio propagation analysis; (2) networking processes and architectures for inter-working and interfacing to other (existing) networks; (3) analysis of mesh networking algorithms; (4) analysis of techniques for sharing spectrum based on non-frequency-constrained propagation; (5) cognitive radio systems for SDR; (6) spatial and directional signal multiplexing and enhancement; (7) human interface research for rich capability but easy-to-use handsets and terminal devices; (6) socio-economic analysis of user demand for new services; (8) analysis of handset operating systems for secure hosting of multimedia applications; (9) analysis of security threats; (10) content and media transmission and management; (11) tracking of AWT development globally; and (12) self-organising operator-less ad-hoc networks for disaster situations, with robust self-configuration. 138 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 It would also be useful to build a range of European test beds at a national (or EU) level, that would aim to stimulate the economy by proving technology and, most importantly, to educate both the work force and society in general. The intention would be to promote the knowledge base of the economy. On top of this, we suggest large demonstrator projects (size decided by the number of MS participating at national and local levels), which would revolve around four main initiatives: (1) a pan-European wireless broadband network infrastructure (EWBNI), mainly functioning to provide a robust broadband infrastructure platform at low cost, and on which vertical application networks could be based; (2) a European citizen-alert network (CAN), perhaps using a mesh infrastructure; (3) a European Emergency Services Infrastructure Network (EESIN), accessible only by emergency services, with an architecture for robust operation in all situations; and (4) a European recovery network for attacks and disasters (ERNAD), a temporary network to be set up instantly whenever and wherever infrastructure fails, following natural or man-made disasters. Policies for competition and new entries Our research has shown that AWTs in Europe are presently almost monopolised by traditional operators, partly for defensive purposes. This is, in turn, likely to hamper the dynamism of AWTs in Europe. Clearly there is a case for policies enabling new players to enter the market, or at least for preventing concentration. To create an active AWT-based communications market, it will be critical to form conditions of freedom of market entry for new players without restrictive practices, be it in inter-working – physical attachment, protocols at network or at application level – or in related areas such as media content, or in dependencies such as the software for 'media players' and operating systems. Regulation has to maintain a level playing field for competition, in market conditions where world-class players are seeking vertical integration. This means expanding regulation models for the areas of: - media/broadcast-multicast and content in all areas including protection of minors, digital rights management, ownership of multiple media, etc.; - telecommunications; - financial transactions and banking. S. LINDMARK et al. 139 In the systems interface area, we also need to see open interface standards published down to chipset level. For instance, SANDVIG et al. (2004) note that access to development of mesh networking over Wi-Fi is now constrained by secrecy among manufacturers of network card chipsets, a highly concentrated industry. None of the dominant chipset suppliers in the Wi-Fi markets make available any interface specifications. This effectively bars any user-driven innovation, a central force for innovation in the area of mesh networking. A related area for policy decisions is the assurance of interconnection access by the new entrants to existing networks – be they fixed or mobile with internet access. Issues of roaming, interconnection and termination charges must be considered, with cost-based pricing to prevent monopolistic margins on interconnect activity. AWTs could then provide strong local loop competition. Assuring connection of any-to-any covers several areas including: • Open access: required also at application level with AWTs for mobile services. • Mandated mobile exchanges: ensure that operators of all kinds have common internet access. Requires creation of mobile exchanges – a key element of a converged network to integrate AWTs – and would also open the way for mobile content competition. • Ownership restrictions: for different types of networks, allowing and even forcing the sharing of infrastructures according to dynamic financial models. • Pricing models: a major barrier to AWT introduction (especially by cellular mobile operators) is their associated pricing model. This extends into interconnection and the billing settlements, with termination and roaming agreements. • Naming and addressing: resolving conflicts over naming and addressing is a key aim for open access. AWTs in Europe sit in the area of three address spaces – Internet logical addresses (URLs), fixed number plans, and mobile number plans. The latter two vary by country, but are usually differentiated. Suggested solutions for mobile-internet access include the ENUM scheme for mapping a PSTN telephone number into a typical Internet Uniform Resource Locator (URL), i.e. an e-number. • Universal service: providing universal service with equal provision and access for all citizens is open to question in a mobile broadband world. 140 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 • Emergency number obligations: many AWT-based public services providing voice are likely to have to comply with the requirement for connection of the emergency services in each MS. Finally, it should be mentioned here that regulation and competition policy are not the only measures to stimulate new players to enter the fields of AWT. New AWT-based services and product innovation could be stimulated by setting up and incubating AWT start-ups, which should be a major priority leading to positive effects in terms of market experimentation and learning. Spectrum policy The present study has shown that AWTs are being experimented with and combined with other wireless and cellular technologies, but that this is being hindered by restrictive frequency allocation mechanisms. How can these be addressed by spectrum policy? The first issue is a rethinking of policy for spectrum allocation at the highest levels for Europe, Member States, and globally in order to incorporate AWTs adequately. And now is the time, as the issues are under debate today within the ITU forum. However, this gradual slow process via the WRCs is at a critical juncture, and inadequate for the rapidly evolving and increasing number of new wireless technologies. For propagation distances to be optimised, AWTs may need to have frequency bands currently taken by broadcast, mobile cellular, or the military. By WRC-07, it would be judicious to have reconsidered the current allocation of spectra in view of the economic benefits of AWTs for Europe, and of abandoning existing frequency plans. Such a move requires a socio-economic basis for planning (FORGE et al., 2005), and work so far points to a far wider usage in which AWTs would form a major part. It is, moreover, important to note that spectrum will also be affected by the advances in signal processing – both of sharing, with new spread spectrum techniques, and of compression, so that very high data rates (Gigabits per second) can be substituted for by increasing processing power. Recent research (FORGE, 2006; FORGE & BLACKMAN, 2006; FORGE et al., 2006) indicates that the economic application of the spectrum as a key resource factor will have a profound impact on future growth and development in Europe in terms of employment in the high-technology manufacturing and support industries, and on user industries and levels of S. LINDMARK et al. 141 consumer spending. This will be especially significant as our dependence on various forms of pervasive or ubiquitous communications and computing builds the world of 'The internet of Things' following the tenets and trends indicated in the EC's AMI (Ambient Intelligence) programme. Spectrum is thus a key factor that will lead our economy to new models and rules, perhaps those of a 'tele-economy', as considered in certain World Bank studies. Hence, models of its management based on open access to a commons are worth serious consideration. Consideration of spectrum policy for AWTs must take into account two key factors: firstly, spectrum availability must be matched against technology type, and here we must balance the social and commercial importance of existing services. Secondly, the form of spectrum allocation needs to be decided, be it a single choice or a mix of several (managed award as in a 'beauty contest', and/or competing market bids and resale in a secondary market, and/or open unlicensed bands). The use of unlicensed bands is perhaps the most promising perspective today and is behind the successful rollout of WiFi. Further bands will be needed to support WiMAX, ZigBee and other short-range technologies including Near Field Communications for body area networks. Policy directions will need to be considered carefully, against a background of vested interests, to decide what will be required over the next decades in frequency allocation. To conclude, spectrum needs to be given to AWTs as part of any policy to support them, or else they will stall – just as mobile cellular did in the USA for almost four decades after 1947. Standardisation policy For the AWT market emerging over the next decade, far more than standards for simple air interface and network-level protocols are required, if the applications that run over AWTs are to interwork seamlessly 8 . So far, our current AWT standards have largely been formed in the fora developing the IEEE 802 series (USA). A simple policy of harnessing these air interface and physical connection standards is perhaps to be preferred for rapid 8 On a general note, for standards policy, a key point has been made by South Korea, which often takes a contrarian view on standards in order to be first in a new technology. This could be applied to the AWT standards scene in Europe. 142 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 industrial advance, which will avoid unprofitable conflict, time and money in redundant standards-setting. Building on the IEEE 802 standards series at a basic communications protocol level, we can illustrate useful standards-setting by moving up the seven-layer model to build complete systems that can be easily integrated into a broadband wireless network. They may be selections of existing standards in some cases. Domains to be covered would include: - network Air interfaces, network protocols and network operations, and the key network entities and their operational behaviour; - handsets – any usefully defined software characteristics such as operating system calls, form and use of microbrowsers to display content, etc.; - session and application processes at the internet level for mechanisms and protocols; - content and media standards to enable common distribution mechanisms for content ingest and delivery; - security mechanisms and overall architecture. Thus, building on the IEEE 802 series, European standards efforts (in ETSI and other groups) could also well be marshalled to attack a higher, more sophisticated level of AWT operation. This would enable European industry to go forward rapidly in AWTs in the areas of: (1) a high-level, behavioural model of the network architecture for mesh networking, with strategies for use of participating nodes, and for inter-working with existing network types; (2) definition of the main operations in a self-organising or adhoc network for a mesh architecture following the high-level model – the processes and policies of management for awareness and adaptive response, with choice of existing standards where appropriate. A security model and architecture to accommodate the high-level network model, which runs end-to-end from content servers through all network types into handsets, will also be needed. However, standardisation of technical developments for inter-working is not enough. There must be regulation to enforce standards usage – for example, integrated naming and addressing, and specifically security measures. Towards an integrated AWT policy The rapid growth of AWTs means that focusing on a single wireless technology, which is just on cellular mobile, at a policy, research and S. LINDMARK et al. 143 industrial level, is not only inappropriate, but is also likely to result in Europe being left behind by Asia and North America in these key enabling technologies. Assuming a linear development of successive generations of the one dominant technology can no longer be a valid approach. Instead, it is likely that a number of technologies will co-evolve, and that many new operator models will develop as well. At present the operator-centric model dominates the AWTs, but opportunities for future non-operator-centric business models are likely to grow, as competition intensifies. As the AWT contenders enter the market, they broaden the horizons of applications as well as multiplying the networks and access available to the citizens, so that applications impossible with cellular technology can be made available ubiquitously. Drawing lessons both from Europe's successful fostering of GSM and from the less successful third generation of cellular wireless technology, and considering the approaches being adopted in other regions of the world, there is a strong argument in favour of Europe adopting an integrated approach to the policy and regulatory issues arising from AWTs. However, these are sensitive issues and care needs to be taken in striking the right balance between a command-style dirigiste intervention, which would not fit culturally with MS, and a repeat of the experience with previous European programmes, which took a long time to organise and fund, but achieved little or nothing to show for this. In spite of the difficulties, and since the significance of AWTs is likely to be downplayed if left to current market forces and those players dominated by interests in conventional fixed wire or cellular mobile technologies, the key policy conclusion of this paper is that a comprehensive and systematic European approach for AWTs is justified, one which will be appropriate to embracing all radio technologies and considering how they fit together. Thus the policy would not be implicitly oriented just towards mobile cellular, with a few limited and random efforts in areas such as RFID where strong lobbying by industry groups publicises such technologies. We would have an explicit commitment to examine all AWTs – because an AWT take-off in Europe at an industrial level, in order to go beyond the importation of systems and equipment from overseas for local service operations, will require a policy of actively promoting innovative development through the support of a multitude of technologies and complementary solutions. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 144 References ARHUR B. (1989): "Competing technologies, increasing returns and lock-in by historical events", Economic Journal, 99(1), pp. 1116-1146. BOHLIN E., GARRONE P. & ANDERSSON E. (2004): "Investment, Innovation and Telecommunications Regulation: What is the Role of the NRA?", paper presented at the Seminar on Competition in Telecommunications, organised by Post- och telestyrelsen, 28 September 2004. Available online at: http://www.mot.chalmers.se/citisen/project11.asp. 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(1999): "The art of Standard Wars", California Management Review, 41(2), Winter, pp. 8-32. UTTERBACK J. (1994): Mastering the Dynamics of Innovation: How Companies can Seize Opportunities in the Face of Technological Change, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA. The Scope of Economic Sector Regulation in Electronic Communications Alexandre de STREEL ACKNOLO (*) Faculty of Economics, University of Namur Abstract: This paper proposes a market-based approach relying on a combination of selection criteria and antitrust methodology to determine the scope of economic regulation and its balance with competition law. It suggests a clarified three criteria test related to the presence of high non-transitory and non-strategic entry barriers that are mainly of an economic nature, the absence of dynamic competition behind those barriers and a crosschecking criterion related to the insufficiency of antitrust remedies to solve the identified problems. The paper recalls the importance of using use antitrust methodology adapted to the characteristics of the sector and also suggests some clarification of the regulation of emerging markets. This article draws a distinction between retail services and the underlying wholesale infrastructures, and proposes that all wholesale access products used for the provision of similar retail services should be dealt with in the same way, independently of the infrastructures in question (the old copper pair or an upgraded VSDL network). The paper concludes that only wholesale access products used to provide new retail services should possibly escape regulation. Key words: Regulation, electronic communications, market failures, balance between antitrust and sector regulation and emerging markets. T his paper proposes an efficient test to determine the scope of economic regulation in the electronic communications sector and the balance between regulation and antitrust law. The suggested test is based on economic methodology, as well as its practice in the European Union. The first section of the paper studies the rationale for public intervention. It starts by listing the reasons for such intervention (market failures) and then characterises the differences between the means of intervention (sector regulation and antitrust law). The second section proposes a test to determine the scope of economic regulation by recalling the approaches (*) Acknowledgements are made to Allan Bartroff, Richard Cawley, Peter Johnston, Paul Richards and the participants of the EuroCPR 2006 conference for their very helpful comments and discussions. COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 147. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 148 currently followed in Europe and in the United States, by advocating a particular option in the European context and a clarification of the regulation of emerging markets. The final section rounds up the paper with some conclusions. Rationale for public intervention Market failures justifying public intervention It is generally agreed that public authorities should aim to maximise the welfare of their citizens and markets are supposed to be the best means to ensure such welfare maximisation. Thus, governments should intervene only when the functioning of markets does not deliver this objective. Economists distinguish between three types of market failure (See also Australian Productivity Commission, 2001; MOTTA, 2004, Chapter 2). The first type of failure is the presence of an excessive market power (such as a monopoly operator), which may lead to over-pricing and/or too little innovation. Excessive market power is mainly due to the presence of entry barriers. In economic literature, there are two opposing views (McAfee et al., 2004; OECD, 2006) to the controversial concept of entry barriers. The narrow (Stiglerian) view limits the barriers to the absolute cost advantages of incumbents (such as access to the best outlets in town, the presence of consumer switching costs, or any type of legal barriers), but excludes all entrants' costs that have also been borne by incumbents (for instance high fixed and sunk costs 1 ). The broad (Bainian) view extends the concept of barriers to all factors that limit entry and enable incumbents to make a supranormal profit and hence includes absolute cost advantages, as well as economies of scale and scope. In telecommunications economics literature, this first market failure corresponds to the one-way access (or access) model, which concerns the provision of bottleneck inputs by an incumbent network provider to new entrants (ARMSTRONG, 2002; LAFFONT & TIROLE, 2000; VOGELSANG , 2003). 1 The European Regulators Group defines sunk costs as: "Costs which, once incurred, cannot be recouped, e.g. when exiting the market. Examples for sunk costs are transaction costs, advertising expenses or investment in infrastructure for which there is no or little alternative use': Revised Common Position of May 2006 on remedies ERG(06) 33, p. 127. A. de STREEL ACKNOLO 149 The second market failure is the presence of an externality (like network externality or tariffs-mediated externality), which may lead to underconsumption in cases of positive externality and over-consumption in cases of negative externality 2 . For instance, less than the optimal number of customers may decide to join a network if new customers are not compensated, when joining the network, for the increase in welfare that they offer existing customers. In telecommunications economics literature, this second market failure corresponds to two-way access (or the interconnection) model, which concerns reciprocal access between two networks that have to rely upon each other for call termination (ARMSTRONG, 2002; LAFFONT & TIROLE, 2000; VOGELSANG , 2003). The third market failure is the presence of information asymmetries (such as the absence of knowledge of price), which may lead to under or over consumption. For instance, the very high prices of international roaming may partly be due to insufficient knowledge of the price and techniques of such a service. In addition, each type of market failure may be structural and result from the supply and demand conditions of the market, or may be behavioural and artificially (albeit rationally) 'manufactured' by firms, leading to the two-by-two matrix illustrated below 3 . Since the decline of the Structure-ConductPerformance paradigm in industrial economics, it is now recognised that structural and strategic market failures are closely linked and that market structure influences the conduct of firms as much as their conduct influences market structure (SUTTON, 1991). Yet it remains possible (and useful when choosing between the different instruments of public intervention) to identify the causes of non-efficient market results and to distinguish between structural and strategic market failures. However, this table is only a stylised and static view of the market and is consequently constitutes more of a starting point for raising relevant questions about the scope of public intervention, rather than a check list to provide definitive answers. Indeed, telecommunications markets are intrinsically dynamic and a rationale based on static view that does not sufficiently take into account investment incentives may lead to inappropriate 2 The European Regulators Group defines network externality as: "The effect which existing subscribers enjoy as additional subscribers join the network, which is not taken into account when this decision is made": ERG Revised Common Position on remedies, p. 126. 3 Several potential behavioural market failures have been identified by the European Regulators Group in its Revised Common position on remedies at Chapter 2. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 150 and over-inclusive public intervention. For instance, a high level of market power when taking a static view may be welfare enhancing when taking a dynamic view because it stimulates investment. Thus, it will not justify intervention, provided they are some constrains in the long term as explained by SCHUMPETER (1964) in the theory of creative destruction. Conversely, public intervention may be welfare detrimental from a static view, but welfare enhancing from a dynamic view. For instance, the support of less efficient entrants may be justified to give these players time to consolidate their customer base and become more efficient over time 4 . Table 1 - Market failures susceptible to public intervention Structural/non-strategic Excessive market power One way access (access model) Externality Two way access (interconnection model) Information asymmetry Behavioural/strategic Cell 1 - High and sunk fixed with uncertainty - Important absolute cost advantages (like switching costs, legal barriers) Cell 2 - Reinforcement of dominance - Vertical leveraging - Horizontal leveraging Cell 3 - Network effects - Two-sided markets Cell 4 - Strategic network effects like loyalty program or tariff mediated externality Cell 6 Cell 5 Moreover, it is also important to look at the origin of market power and to intervene more stringently in the case of monopolies acquired under legal protection, but take a laxer approach to monopolies acquired under competitive conditions (there was competition for the market, although there is no competition in the market) along the lines of the 'original sin' rationale 5 . 4 ERG Revised Common Position on remedies, p. 78 noting that: "In some cases however, 'inefficient' (e.g. small-scale) entry might be desirable as short-run productive inefficiencies may be more than outweighed by the enhanced allocative efficiencies and long-run (dynamic) advantages provided by competition". See also the Annex of the ERG Revised Common Position on remedies and DG Competition Discussion Paper of December 2005 of Application of Article 82 of the Treaty to exclusionary abuses, para 67. 5 This view was defended in the Opinion of the Advocate General Jacobs in Case C-7/97 Bronner v MediaPrint [1998] ECR I-7791. It was also implicitly suggested by the European th Commission at Article 13(2) of DG Information Society Working Document of April 27 2000 on a Common regulatory framework for electronic communications networks and services available at: http://europa.eu.int/information_society/topics/telecoms/regulatory/maindocs/miscdocs/index_en.htm. This working document added the following text to the current definition of SMP: "And, where (a) undertaking has financed infrastructure partly or wholly on the basis of special or exclusive rights which have been abolished, and there are legal, technical or economic barriers to market entry, in particular for construction of network infrastructure; or (b) the undertaking concerned is a vertically entity owning or operating network infrastructure for delivery of services to A. de STREEL ACKNOLO 151 The choice of legal instruments to deal with market failures To tackle these different market failures, public authorities dispose of several legal instruments (in particular competition law, sector regulation, consumer law) that they must combine in the most efficient way. In fact, the scope of each legal instrument varies across jurisdictions. In the European Union, the scope of competition law (Articles 81-86 EC) is independent of sector regulation. Competition law has a constitutional value and applies to all market segments. An antitrust authority may consequently intervene in addition to the intervention of a sectoral regulator 6 . On the other hand, the scope of sector regulation 7 is dependent on competition law. Sector regulation applies when competition law remedies prove insufficient to solve a market failure problem (Recital 27 of the Framework Directive). However, it is difficult to determine when sector regulation has an added-value (i.e. is more efficient in dealing with market failure) compared to antitrust law because both instruments have converged over time in the electronic communications sector. Competition law has been applied extensively to maintain level competition, but also to increase such level 8 and has become a sort of 'regulatory antitrust'. Conversely, sector regulation is now based on antitrust methodologies 9 and has become sort customers and also providing services over that infrastructure, and its competitors necessarily require access to some of its facilities to compete with it in downstream market." (my underlining). 6 Commission Decision of May 21st 2003, Deutsche Telekom, O.J. [2003] C 264/29, currently under appeal at the Court of First Instance as case T-271/03. In the United States, the Supreme Court decided in 2004 that antitrust would in practice not be applicable if sector regulation applies: Verizon v. Trinko 540 U.S. 682 (2004). For an analysis of the differences between the USA and Europe, see Larouche, 2006. For an analysis of the relationship between antitrust and sector regulation in other jurisdictions, see GERADIN & KERF, 2003. 7 Directive 2002/21/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of March 7th 2002 on a common regulatory framework for electronic communications networks and services (Framework Directive), O.J. [2002] L 108/33; Directive 2002/19/EC of the European Parliament th and of the Council of March 7 2002 on access to, and interconnection of, electronic communications networks and services (Access Directive), O.J. [2002] L 108/7; Directive th 2002/22/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of March 7 2002 on universal service and users' rights relating to electronic communications networks and services (Universal Service Directive), O.J. [2002] L 108/51. 8 Such approach has been explicitly endorsed by the Court of First Instance: Case T-87/05 Energias de Portugal v Commission [2005] ECR II-0000, para 91. 9 To regulate an operator, a regulatory agency must delineate the border of the relevant markets with competition methodology (the hypothetical monopolist test), select the market according to the three criteria test, and determine whether the operator enjoys a dominant position (as defined in competition law) in the delineated and selected market. 152 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 of 'premptive competition law' (CAVE & CROWTHER, 2005; de STREEL, 2004). As KRÜGER & DI MAURO (2003: 36) observe: "The perceived antagonism between competition and regulation is, therefore, only apparent, and it is destined to disappear. In fact, competition has already been shaping regulation: it is the latter which has been adapting itself to suit the philosophy and the approach of the former. Regulatory policy cannot be seen anymore as independent of competition policy: it must be seen as a part of a broader set of tools of intervention in the economy based on competition analysis principles. […] competition instruments and regulatory tools are complementary, rather than substitute, means. They deal with a common problem and try to achieve a common aim. The problem is always high levels of market power and the likelihood of it being abused, and the aim is putting the end user at the centre of any economic activity. Only through a combination of both tools can we ensure that market power does not distort and hamper the development of competition in the communications markets. This in turn allows end users to drive and steer such development, as well as to benefit the most of it." In practice, the two main and related substantive differences between sector regulation and antitrust 10 are that (1) the former intervenes ex-ante, hence deals with unsatisfactory market structures whereas latter (with the exception of merger control, which is admittedly very important in the electronic communications sector) intervenes ex-post, and consequently deals with unsatisfactory behaviour 11 and (2) the burden of proof for sector regulation to intervene is lower than antitrust law. The main institutional difference is that (3) sector regulation is only applied by national authorities, whereas antitrust law is applied by national and European authorities (DG Competition). As a result of the first difference (related to structure and behaviour), it is efficient for sector regulation to deal with structural market failures and competition law to deal with behavioural ones. The second difference (related to the burden of proof) makes it efficient for the factor used to select markets for regulation to be set at a very high level because once a market area is selected, intervention is relatively easy. In other words, the selecting factor should ensure that regulation is limited to markets where the risks of type I errors (false condemnation) are low and the risks of type II errors 10 On the differences between sector regulation and antitrust law, see also LAFFONT & TIROLE, 2000: 276-280; KATZ , 2004; TEMPLE LANG, 2006. 11 Paradoxically, the sectoral remedies are mainly behavioural and not structural. A. de STREEL ACKNOLO 153 (false acquittal) are high 12 . This is all the more important since the costs of type I errors are significant in dynamic markets 13 . Taking both arguments together, any possible regulation should be limited to cells 1 and 3 of table 1, i.e. structural market failures due to excessive market power and externalities. Finally, because of the third difference (related to institutional design), it might be justifiable for antitrust law to apply in addition to sector regulation in cases where NRAs have not performed their tasks adequately 14 . A test to determine the scope of sector regulation Two approaches to a general test This section of the paper focuses on a test for the first market failure (excessive market power or one-way access) and disregards a test for the second market failure (network effects or interconnection) to alleviate any confusion between two very different economic problems 15 . The distinction between these two market failures is important because the first market failure may disappear over time in electronic communications and economic regulation could be limited to network affects. In the USA, for instance, some authors suggest that Congress should reform the Telecom Act and limit regulation to interconnection issues where there are few players, leaving all the other issues (like one-way access or interconnection with many players) to antitrust law 16 . 12 I link here the burden of proof to intervene with the risks and the costs of type I and type II errors, following EVANS & PADILLA (2004) and references cited therein in footnote 5. 13 HAUSMAN (1997) valued the delay of the introduction of voice messaging services from late 1970s until 1988 at USD 1.27 billion per year by 1994, and the delay of the introduction of mobile service at USD 100 billion, large compared with the 1995 US global telecoms revenues of USD 180 billion/year. 14 As was the case in the Deustche Telekom decision. 15 For interconnection, many authors argue for a move towards a generalized bill and keep rule: DEGRABA, 2002; HORROCKS ,2005. 16 See the Draft Bill of the Progress & Freedom Foundation proposing a blueprint for and U.S. Digital Age Communications Act, available at: http://www.pff.org/daca/. This can not necessarily be transposed in Europe due to the lower penetration rate of cable and the application of the calling party principle. 154 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 For the first market failure, there are two main approaches to translating this economic rationale into legal provisions. The first approach is a marketbased test and is currently followed in Europe. It relies on a combination of antitrust methodologies and additional criteria. Thus, regulators start by defining relevant retail markets according to antitrust methodologies (adapted to sector characteristics such as its dynamism) 17 . In cases of excessive market power at a retail level, regulators move to the linked wholesale network access market(s) and select markets for possible regulation on the basis of three criteria that are deemed to indicate which markets are not efficiently policed by competition law: entry barriers, no dynamics behind the barriers, and the insufficiency of competition law remedies to deal with the perceived problem 18 . Such an approach is praised by BUIGES (2004) and CAVE (2004) because it ensures flexibility (as antitrust principles are based on economic theory), legal certainty (as antitrust principles are based on over forty years of case-law) and harmonisation (as antitrust principles are strongly Europeanised) and should facilitate the transition towards the disappearance of economic regulation and a state of affairs where competition laws is solely remaining. However, this approach is criticised by LAROUCHE (2002:136140), DOBBS & RICHARDS (2004), and RICHARDS (2006) because it is overly complicated and may contain a bias towards more regulation. The second approach is an asset-based test and is currently adopted in the United States 19 . It detects hard-core market power justifying regulation with alternative and supposedly more direct economic methods. Thus, regulators do not start at the retail level, but focus directly on wholesale network segments with high fixed and sunk costs that make them unlikely to be replicable. One variant is the non-replicable asset defined as (1) an asset that has not already been replicated on a commercial basis in similar circumstances, and (2) with no functionally equivalent commercially viable 17 On this approach, see the Explanatory Memorandum of the Commission Recommendation on relevant markets, section 3.1. 18 Recitals 9-16 of the Commission Recommendation 2003/311 of February 11th 2003 on relevant product and service markets within the electronic communications sector susceptible to ex ante regulation in accordance with Directive 2002/21/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council on a common regulatory framework for electronic communications networks and services, OJ [2003] L 114/45. 19 Note that the ERG Revised Common position on remedies refers to the non-replicable asset approach at p. 57-59 and the Recital 13 of the Access Directive links the need of regulation with the presence of bottleneck. A. de STREEL ACKNOLO 155 and being able to deliver comparable services to end-users 20 . Another broader (i.e. including more assets for regulation) variant is the bottleneck defined as: "The parts of the network where there are little prospects for effective and sustainable competition in the medium term." 21 In the end, both approaches are less different than they may seem at a first sight, as they pursue the same goal of identifying the 'parts of the infrastructure' that justify regulation due to their structural characteristics. Yet, the starting point is different and the first approach may be a little more complicated, and thus more easily manipulated. On that basis, the first-best option and most efficient test may be an asset-based approach. However, this test would not be able to cover two-way access problems, which might remain the only area of regulation in the long term. It also requires some qualification to ensure that retail markets and the principle of technological neutrality are duly taken into account. In addition in the specific context of the European Union, regulators are now used to the market-based approach and such an approach justifies stringent control by the Commission over NRAs' decisions because it relies on antitrust methodology, an area of Commission expertise. In this specific context, this paper submits that the market-based approach is a second-best that should be maintained. However, it should be clarified. A reformed and clarified market-based test The market-based approach needs to be clarified at two levels: in terms of the use of antitrust methodologies and of the three criteria test. On the one hand, antitrust principles and their underlying economic theories should be adapted to the characteristics of the legal instrument and the markets 20 Indecent and Ovum (2005: 26). In practice, the authors considered that this test implies regulation for to the fixed local loop in all Member States and might also include backhaul facilities from the Main Distribution Frame to the core network in some Member States. 21 Ofcom Final statements of September 22nd 2005 on the Strategic Review of the Telecommunications and undertakings in lieu of a reference under the Enterprise Act 2002, at Para 4.6. Currently Ofcom considers that this test implies regulation for shared and full metallic path facility, wholesale line rental, backhaul extension services, Wireless Access Network extension services and IPstream. The bottleneck approach was also favoured by SQUIRESANDERS & ANALYSYS (1999: 147). They did not define the concept, but pragmatically identified interconnection (especially termination practices), access to networks or digital gateways, local loop, distribution and access to scarce resources. For the (then) future, they also identified intellectual property rights, directory services, programming guides, and control over interfaces/web navigators. In his doctoral dissertation, LAROUCHE (2000: 359-402) also proposed to base regulation on the concepts of bottleneck and network effects. 156 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 conditions: for vertical chain of production, for Schumpeterian competition and for two-sided markets. On the other hand, the three criteria test should be qualified 22 . (1) The first criterion would be related the presence of entry barriers. As we have already seen, there are different conceptions of entry barriers and Schmalensee (2004:471) argues that the appropriate notion of entry barriers depends on the objectives of the legal instrument for which it is used. He submits that a Bainian approach is preferable for antitrust law pursuing the maximisation of consumer welfare 23 . For the same reason, a Bainian approach should be used in sector regulation. Indeed, the European Regulators Group defines the barriers to entry as: "An additional cost which must be borne by entrants but not by undertakings already in the industry; or other factors which enable an undertaking with significant market power to maintain prices above the competitive level without inducing entry". (ERG Revised Common Position on remedies, p. 124) Yet, such a notion needs to be qualified before being used as the first criterion to screen a market for regulation. Firstly, the barriers should be structural because strategic barriers (like excessive investment or reinforcement of network effects) would require idiosyncratic and episodic intervention that is better left to competition law (CAVE, 2004: 34). Secondly, the barriers should be non-transitory because transient barriers do not justify heavy-handed intervention by sector regulators. The timeframe of what is 'transitory' is difficult to decide, but should at least cover the period until the next market review (a minimum of 2 to 3 years) and possibly beyond (ERG Revised Common Position on remedies, p. 59). Thirdly, the barriers should principally be of an economic nature. Indeed, if the barriers are of a legal nature (such as a limitation of spectrum that 22 If the tests were followed, the Commission Recommendation on relevant market would be substantially slimmed down. The retail markets, the fixed core network markets and most of the mobile markets would be removed, meaning that only the fixed terminating segments and the fixed and mobile interconnection markets would be identified for further analysis by NRAs. 23 Thus, the Commission proposes a broad definition of entry barriers, stating that: "Factors that make entry impossible or unprofitable while permitting established undertakings to charge prices above the competitive level." This includes many elements like economies of scale and scope, capacity constraints, absolute cost advantages, privileged access to supply, highly developed distribution and sales networks, the established position of the incumbent firms in markets, legal barriers, and other strategic barriers to entry: Discussion Paper on exclusionary abuses, para 38-40. A. de STREEL ACKNOLO 157 cannot be traded), the best remedy consists of removing the barrier and not regulating the artificially uncompetitive market 24 . In such cases, the regulator would do better to advocate rather than intervene in the market, and to lobby the public authorities (legislator, government etc.) to remove legal barriers instead of regulating the market. Thus it is only if, and for the period when, there is no way of removing such legal barriers that the market may be selected for regulation. Fourthly and most importantly, the barriers should be so high that no effective competition may be expected. The difficult question here is how 'high' is high? The issue is whether a 'natural' tight oligopoly should be regulated 25 . To alleviate any type 1 error, this paper submits that the entry barriers should be so high that only one operator, except in exceptional circumstances, can be profitable in the market. This paper does not contend that oligopolies should be regulated because the authorities do not have sufficient information to discriminate between efficient and inefficient oligopolies, or have efficient remedies for dealing with them under the sector regime 26 and most oligopoly situations could be resolved by removing legal entry barriers. Thus, the first criterion would cover non-transitory and non-strategic entry barriers that are mainly of an economic nature and that should be so high that only one operator is viable in the market, save exceptional circumstances. To make the criterion operational, the regulatory players could opt for a two-stage approach 27 . They could start with an empirical analysis and look at the degree to which operators in Europe or worldwide have built out competitive networks in similar circumstances and under viable economic conditions. Regulators could subsequently complement this finding with a cost analysis based on engineering models that estimate the cost curve or econometric cost functions (GASMI et al., 2002; FUSS & WAVERMAN, 2002). In practice, only some fixed segments may be 24 Indeed, the European Commission is encouraging a more flexible and marked-based approach for the allocation and the exchange of spectrum: Communication from the th Commission of September 6 2005 on a Forward-looking radio spectrum policy for the European Union, COM (2005) 411. 25 As suggested by the E/IRG response to the 2006 Review, p. 22. 26 In general, remedies include transparency, non-discrimination, accounting separation, compulsory access, price control and cost accounting: Articles 9-13 of the Access Directive. 27 As proposed by CAVE (2006: 227). See also ERG Revised Common Position on remedies, pp. 59-60. 158 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 screened for one-way access regulation and no mobile segments, save exceptional circumstances 28 . The second criterion would ensure that a dynamic view is adopted and correct the static bias that the first criterion may carry. Thus regulators should assess whether the market would deliver the results of dynamic competition (i.e. innovation) despite high entry barriers; in other words, whether the market would deliver the benefits of Schumpeterian creative destruction. This may be the case, for instance, if there is ex-ante competition for the market, although there is no more ex-post competition in the market 29 . This should, however, be applied in a nuanced way. TIROLE (2004: 262) argues that if a monopoly is due to a legal monopoly, scale economies or pure network externalities, intervention is justified whereas if monopoly is due to genuine investment and innovation, regulators should forbear. The third criterion would ensure that a market is selected for regulation solely in cases where antitrust remedies prove less efficient than sector regulation to solve the identified dynamic competitive problem and recall that sector regulation is subsidiary to competition law. This criterion should be based on the same structural elements as the first two criteria and be fulfilled when these criteria are met (i.e. when there are high entry barriers that do not deliver the dynamic benefit of competition) serving solely as a crosscheck. This paper does not contend that the third criterion should be based on additional institutional elements (like the respective powers of the national competition authority relative to the national sector regulator) because such elements can vary from Member State to State, and could consequently undermine the consistency of regulation in the single market 30 . A complementing clause for emerging markets This general screening test should complemented by clear provision regarding the treatment of emerging markets given the importance of 28 For a discussion of one-way access obligation in the mobile sector: ERGAS et al.,2005; VALETTI, 2004. 29 One of the first economists to argue this point was DEMSETZ (1968). 30 See similarly in the parallel issue of the relationship between the ex ante merger control and ex post control of abuse of dominant position: TetraLaval C-12/03P [2005] not yet reported, para 75. A. de STREEL ACKNOLO 159 investment in the sector and of legal certainty for investors. To be sure, the screening test based on three criteria test already contains an investment safeguard, as the second criterion relates to dynamic considerations. However, such a safeguard may not provide sufficient legal certainty for investors 31 . To clarify the issue, the first step is to define an emerging market or service. The European Regulators Group defines the emerging market as: "Distinct from a market that is already susceptible to ex ante regulation from both a demand and a supply perspective. This means that consumers of the new service should not move their custom to currently available services in response to a small but significant nontransitory price increase in the price of the new service. In a similar manner, firms currently providing existing services should not be in a position to quickly enter the new service market in response to a price increase" (ERG Revised Common Position on remedies, p. 19). The ERG notes that such markets will normally not be selected for regulation because it isn't possible to assess the three criteria test as there is a high degree of demand uncertainty and entrants to the market bear higher risk 32 . To make the definition operational, it is useful to distinguish further between the retail services and the underlying infrastructures relied upon to provide such services. As far as retail markets are concerned, a new service does not emerge/exist when it can be included in a relevant existing market according to the hypothetical monopolist test 33 . This is the case when endusers consider the new service as substitutable for existing services, hence the new service provider is constrained in its prices (cf. box 1 of table 2). This is the case with Voice over Broadband, for instance, now that it permits 31 In any case a test based on non-replicability or bottlenecks contains nothing to protect new investment. 32 Similarly, Indepen & Ovum (2005: 3) define an emerging market as: "Any relatively new market in which there is insufficient information (for example in terms of demand, pricing, price elasticity and entry behaviour) to carry out the necessary market definition procedures and/or tests as to whether the market is susceptible to ex ante regulation". BAAKE et al. (2005: 22) take: "As the necessary condition for a new market the existence of an innovation, i.e. an increase in general knowledge regarding the possibility of manufacturing or distributing goods and services." 33 As noted by many like RICHARDS (2006), the application of the SSNIP test to emerging markets is complex because little information is available. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 160 nearly the same functionalities as voice over PSTN 34 . Conversely, a new service is considered to be emerging when this service cannot be included in a relevant existing market because end-users do not consider that this new service substitutes existing services (cf. box 2). This may be the case with the next generation of mobile broadband data services providing end users with internet access through a fast connection and with the added feature of mobility (ERG Revised Common Position on remedies, p. 20) or extremely fast fixed broadband access. Table 2: Different cases of emerging markets (*) R E T A I L Existing services No regulation in principle Box 3 W H O L E S A L E Emerging services Box 1 (incl. VoIP) Existing transmission inputs Apply standard SMP regime (market-based or assetbased approach) Box 2 No regulation ----------- Box 4 (incl. VDSL, FTTx) Mixed new transmission inputs Totally new transmission inputs Market-based approach: as in Box 3 for existing services Asset-based approach: as in Box 5 for existing and emerging services Box 5 ----------No regulation OR access holidays, depending of the characteristics of the new infrastructure (*) This figure, which distinguishes between existing and new retail markets and between existing and new wholesale inputs, is adapted from a presentation that R. Cawley did at the CICT conference in Copenhagen in December 2005. For an alternative view, see Ovum & Indepen (2005). In terms of the wholesale inputs, there are three possibilities. An infrastructure may exist (and possibly have been deployed under a legal monopoly) and be used to provide existing retail services (cf. box 3). This is the case of the PSTN network. Alternatively, an upgraded infrastructure or a new infrastructure may be used to provide both existing and new retail services (cf. box 4). This is the case with the VDSL or even the Fiber To The Curb or To The Home network (FTTx). Finally, a new infrastructure may be used solely to provide emerging retail services (cf. box 5). This was the case 34 Annex of the Communication from the Commission of 6 February 2006 on Market Reviews under the EU Regulatory Framework: Consolidating the internal market for electronic communications, COM(2006) 28, p. 4. A. de STREEL ACKNOLO 161 with the 2G network when digital mobile voice was launched at the beginning of the 1990s. Once the emerging markets have been defined, the second step is to decide upon the optimal level of regulation required in order to preserve investment incentives 35 . With regard to retail market regulation, existing services (box 1) should, in principle, be left to competition and sector regulation phased out, possibly accompanied by a safeguard period to ensure that regulation at the wholesale level is efficient in removing barriers to retail entry. Emerging services (box 2) that entail a much higher risk should be left to antitrust law alone 36 . With regard to the regulation of wholesale inputs, the case of existing transmission infrastructures (box 3) is not controversial. These inputs should be subject to the standard three criteria test. Once this test is passed, NRAs may analyse further and possibly regulate the existing transmission inputs. The case of totally new transmission inputs is not very controversial either, although it should rarely happen in practice. There are two hypotheses (box 5) 37 . The input does not, and will not in the future, meet the conditions of the screening test. In such circumstances, there is no need to intervene because the market is emerging, and more importantly, because there is no hard-core market power that justifies regulation. Alternatively, the totally new transmission input may, in the future, meet the conditions of the screening test. This situation is trickier because on the one hand there is hard-core market power that may justify regulation, but on the other hand, investment incentives need to be preserved 38 . Regulators may adopt a radical approach and guarantee the operator 'access holidays' for a certain period of time, like an intellectual property right. The optimal 35 See also Ofcom, March 7 2006, New Generation Networks: Developing the regulatory framework. 36 This was the case with the ADSL tariffs in the Commission Decision of July 16th 2003, case 38.233 Wanadoo. 37 Another sub-category may also be created between new infrastructures put in place by th incumbents and by new entrants, although such a distinction may not be relevant. 38 It can be argued that regulation will not impede the recoupment of investment risk (hence will not undermine future investment incentives), as any access regulation (and access price) should provide a premium for investment risk. However, the calculation of this premium is far from simple, as regulators face difficulties in distinguishing the ex post rewards for risky investment from monopoly rents, hence there is a possibility that the premium will be set too low. On this point, see Australian Productivity Commission (2001: 268). 162 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 length of such access holidays is difficult to determine. Indepen & Ovum (2005) propose one third of the life of the asset 39 , whereas BAAKE et al. (2005) propose a multiple stage approach whereby the situation is assessed every two to four years. Regulators may also be more interventionist and impose 'open access regulatory compacts' that leave operators the freedom to set the level of prices, but establish a structure of prices such that the operator can not foreclose its competitors in related markets 40 . The most controversial case is the mixed new transmission inputs (box 4). Some (LAROUCHE, 2006) start at the retail level (i.e. at the top of figure 1) and adopt a 'vertical approach'. They argue that box 4 should be treated in the same way as box 3 for existing services. This is the view taken by the Commission and the European Regulators Group 41 . Thus, regulators should deal equally with old and mixed new transmission inputs when they provide the same existing retail services. That may lead to further analysis, and possibly an imposition of remedies on the mixed new infrastructure, if the conditions of the three criteria test are met. For instance, if a VDSL line or a FTTH line replaces copper pairs, access regulation may continue to be imposed for the provision of existing retail services (like voice), but not for the provision of emerging services 42 . However, NRAs should be cautious not to extend existing regulation to new inputs without an articulated economic analysis. Indeed, the fact that a mixed new infrastructure has been deployed may be an indication that there is no structural market failure justifying regulation altogether. 39 Based on GANS & KING, 2004. 40 This is the approach followed in the Microsoft case, as the company is free to determine its price on the Operating System market, but it may not extend its monopoly from the OS market th to related markets: Commission Decision of March 24 2004, case 37.792 Microsoft. 41 Commission Decision of December 23rd 2005, Case DE/2005/262 (Wholesale Broadband Access in Germany), available at: http://forum.europa.eu.int/Public/irc/infso/ecctf/library. See also the ERG Revised Common Position on remedies, p. 116-118. Note that Commissioner Reding appears to have changed her mind about regulatory holidays. At the beginning, she seemed to be in favour of such approach to stimulate investment in new broadband infrastructure (REDING, 2005). Now on the basis of the data gathered in the 11th Implementation Report (Communication from the Commission of February 20th 2006, European th Electronic Communications Regulation and Markets 2005 (11 Report), COM(2006) 68) and an independent study of London Economics (2006) done for the European Commission, she seems much more reluctant to accept regulatory holidays (REDING, 2006: 4). 42 To ensure that investment in new infrastructure is not impeded, regulators may decide to regulate the access price of the mixed new infrastructure at retail minus (instead of cost plus based). A. de STREEL ACKNOLO 163 Conversely, others (Indepen & Ovum, 2005) start at the wholesale level (i.e. at the bottom of figure 1) and adopt a 'horizontal' approach. They argue that box 4 should be treated in the same way as box 5. This is the view of the U.S. Federal Communications Commission 43 . Thus the regulator should deal equally wit all new infrastructures, independently of the services for which they are used. For instance, if a VDSL line or a FTTH line replaces copper, access regulation will be lifted even to provide existing retail services (like voice). In practice To put these principles into practice, this paper suggests that regulators start by screening markets with the proposed market-based test to detect structural market failures due to excessive market power. In particular, regulators should assess whether the supposed market failures are detrimental to user welfare in the long run; and in cases of conflict between static and dynamic efficiencies, regulators should favour latter because dynamic gains and losses are generally more important than static gains and losses (de BIJL & PEITZ, 2002; Indepen & Ovum, 2005: 22). Regulators should then advance compelling arguments that the benefits of their intervention outweighs its cost. The benefit is the correction of the market failure and the consequent increase in welfare. The costs are the direct costs of designing and implementing the rules by the regulators and the regulatees and indirect costs due to type I errors (false condemnation), both of which are substantial in the electronic communications sector 44 . As cost/benefit analyses are extremely difficult to perform, especially as they involve predictions of future market developments, a qualitative argument should suffice when quantitative analysis is not possible or far too burdensome 45 . 43 Note, however, that the position of the FCC is mainly due to the important cable penetration in the USA, which has no equivalent in most of the EU Member States. 44 For the direct costs of the implementation of the European regulation, Cave estimated at a CEPT conference in April 2005 that the average costs for the initial market review at 5 million Euros per Member State. Similarly, Australian Productivity Commission (2001) notes that the Australian incumbent is the biggest consumer of legal service in the country. For the indirect costs, see note 20. 45 In particular when choosing remedies, the NRAs should carry a regulatory impact assessment showing that the anticipated benefits of the option selected outweigh its potential costs: Revised Common Position on remedies, p. 56. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 164 Conclusion To conclude, it is important that regulators have a clear and soundly economic-based test to determine the scope of economic regulation in the electronic communications sector and its optimal balance with competition law. This paper proposes a market-based approach relying on a combination of selection criteria and antitrust methodology to determine the scope of economic regulation. I suggest a clarified three criteria test related to the presence of high non-transitory and non-strategic entry barriers that are mainly of an economic nature, the absence of dynamic competition behind those barriers and a cross-checking criterion related to the insufficiency of antitrust remedies to solve the problems identified. It recalls the importance of using antitrust methodology adapted to relect the characteristics of the sector. The paper also proposes a clarification of the regulation of emerging markets and suggests drawing a distinction between retail services and underlying wholesale infrastructures. It also suggests that all wholesale access products used for the provision of similar retail services should be dealt with in the same way, independently of their infrastructure (the old copper pair or an upgraded VSDL network) and that only wholesale access products used to provide new retail services should possibly escape regulation. A. de STREEL ACKNOLO 165 References ARMSTRONG M. (2002): "The Theory of Access Pricing and Interconnection", in Cave M., Majumdar S., Vogelsang I (Eds), Handbook of Telecommunications Economics V.I, North-Holland, pp. 295-384. Australian Productivity Commission (2001): Telecommunications Competition Regulation, Final Report, AusInfo. BAAKE P., KAMECKE U. & WEY C. (2005): Efficient Regulation of Dynamic Telecommunications Markets and the New Regulatory Framework in Europe, Mimeo. de BIJL P. & PEITZ M. (2002): Regulation and Entry into Telecommunications Markets, Cambridge University Press. BUIGES P. (2004): "A Competition Policy Approach", in P. Buiges & P. Rey (Eds), The Economics of Antitrust and Regulation in Telecommunications, E. Elgar, 9-26. CAVE M.: - (2004): "Economic Aspects of the New Regulatory Regime for Electronic Communication Services", in P. Buiges & P. Rey (Eds), The Economics of Antitrust and Regulation in Telecommunications, E. 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Squire-Sanders-Dempsey & WIK Consult (2002): Market Definitions for Regulatory Obligations in Communications Markets, Study for the European Commission. de STREEL A. (2004): "Remedies in the Electronic Communications Sector", in D. Geradin (Ed.), Remedies in Network Industries: EC Competition Law vs. Sectorspecific Regulation, Intersentia, pp. 67-124. SCHMALENSEE R. (2004): "Sunk Costs and Antitrust Barriers to Entry", American Economic Review: AEA Papers and Proceedings 94(2), pp. 471-475. SUTTON J. (1991): Sunk Costs and Market Structure, MIT Press. TEMPLE LANG J. (2006): "Competition Policy and Regulation: Differences, Overlaps, and Constraints", presented at the Conference Balancing Antitrust and Regulation in Network Industries. TIROLE J. (2004): "Telecommunications and competition", in P. Buiges & P. Rey (Eds), The Economics of Antitrust and Regulation in Telecommunications, E. Elgar, pp. 260-265. VALLETTI T. (2004): "Market Failures and Remedies in Mobile Telephony", Jour. of Network Industries 5, pp. 51-81. VOGELSANG I. (2003): "Price Regulation of Access to Telecommunications Networks", Jour. of Economic Literature XLI, pp. 830-862. Features Regulation and Competition Firms and Markets Technical Innovations Public Policies Use Logics Book Review Regulation and Competition Does Good Digital Rights Management Mean Sacrificing the Private Copy? Ariane DELVOIE Cabinet Alain Bensoussan, Paris D RM, or Digital Rights Management, refers to the technology used to secure digital works and the management of access rights to those works. Through the use of four components – the encoder which encrypts the files protected by copyright, the streaming server which provides access to the files, the reader which decrypts the coding, and the management software which determines to whom the rights belong and how they are to be distributed – DRM architecture permits: - on one hand, the tracing of file users' activity, in order to verify if access to the files in question is authorized, and to determine whether the user is complying with applicable copyrights; - on the other hand, to proscribe or limit access to the digital work or copies thereof. The second of these "lock" functions was addressed in the May 22, 2001 Community Directive 2001/29/CE, harmonizing certain aspects of copyright law with apposite legal rights in the domain of software and digital information, and subsequently by the Bill on Conversion ("DADVSI") (on the matters of copyright and related digital information rights), adopted by the French Senate on May 11th 2006 and now examined by a commission composed by 7 senators and 7 members of the House of representatives in order to find an agreement on the final text as soon as possible. These two texts officially establish the protection of "effective technical measures intended to prevent or limit uses not authorized by a copyright COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 171. 172 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 owner, or owner of a related right, of a work, performance, audio recording, video recording, or program outside the software application." Do these measures sound a death knell for the right of a legal user to make a personal (backup) copy of digital materials? To be sure, the DADVSI Bill, which echoes the terms of the Directive, reaffirms the right to a private copy, which the management technology ought not to encumber 1 . However, this right to a private copy is subject to all of three conditions, two of which are completely subjective, directly inspired by Article 9.2 of the Berne Convention, namely: - the beneficiary of the right to a private backup copy must be entitled to legal access to the work in the first instance; - creation of the private backup copy should not encumber in any way the normal exploitation of the work by copyright holders; and - the creation of the private backup copy must not create any unjustified prejudice or injury to the legitimate interests of the copyright owner. What are we to understand is meant by "normal exploitation of the work"? This question is left to liberal interpretation by the judge, which may lead to contradictory rulings. The "Mulholland Drive" Affair is an excellent illustration of these contradictions in the judicial interpretation of "normal exploitation." While the Cour d'Appel (Court of Appeals) in Paris considered, in its April 22, 2005 injunction, that a private copy of a DVD could not be seen as impeding the normal exploitation of the work, the First Civil Chamber of the Cour de Cassation (French Supreme Court), in its February 28, 2006 decision, affirmed to the contrary that, taking into account the economic importance of DVD distribution toward defraying the costs of movie production, a private copy did represent an imposition on normal exploitation by the copyright holder. Thus, the French Supreme Court, in reviewing the arguments upheld by the judges in the lower court 2 , held that the economic impact of an additional (private) copy must be taken into account in the digital domain. The court did not address the conflict here with the terms of Article L.122-5 of the Intellectual Property Code (CPI), under which "the author many not prohibit copies or reproductions retained for the sole purpose of private use 1 Article 8 of the DADVSI Bill. 2 TGI Paris, 30 April 2004 (see: juriscom.net, legalis.net, foruminternet.org) , GTA July 2004. "Exploitation normale d'une œuvre numérique : vers le Fair Use américain ?", Benoît de ROQUEFEUIL, Ariane DELVOIE. A. DELVOIE 173 by the copying party, which copies are not intended for use by any other party." Indeed, the particular person who purchased the DVD and who is expected to be the copying party falling within the ambit of CPI Art. L.122-5, has no justifiable need for making multiple copies of his DVD for private use. Nonetheless, such a position on the part of the judges raises the question of the legitimacy of the tax on blank recording media 3 . As the Director of Studies and Communication of Que Choisir 4 has highlighted 5 , since "blank DVD royalty taxes are the highest in France," if it's "the place where the gamut of rights is weakest," we reach a certain paradox which leads us to look again at lowering the remuneration derived from the tax on blank media for private copies. Far from the Anglo-Saxon common law system of "precedents," our system does not allow us to treat the holding of the French Supreme Court as stating an immutable principle of interpretation of the idea of "normal exploitation of the work." To the end of alleviating these problems in interpretation, the DADVSI Bill endeavors, in its Articles 8 and 9, creates an "Authority for the regulation of technical measures" which will fix the minimum number of authorized private copies with regards to the type of work at stake, the media used for the representation of the work, and the kind of technical measure used. Any disputes with regard to mechanisms constraining the benefits of the private copy right may be submitted to this Authority by any person claiming to be a beneficiary of the right of private copy. This Authority has as its stated objective the determination of how the DRM should be applied in each case, in order to safeguard to some extent the right to a private copy while trying to arrive at a reconciliation, and, in the end, to establish either an injunction or a proscription on the part of the 3 Many European countries tax blank recording media and redistribute those imposts as royalties to copyright holders, based on the presumption that many or most copies produced on these media are of copyrighted content. 4 French Association for the protection of consumers. 5 "Copie Privée sur les DVD : l'UFC- Que choisir prêt à repartir à la bagarre en appel", Estelle st DUMOUT, ZDNet.fr, 1 March 2006 (http://www.zdnet.fr/). 174 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 person who alleges himself to be a legitimate beneficiary of the right to a private copy. Still, will an Authority composed of magistrates or independent functionaries 6 , enjoy a sufficient legitimacy and perception of authority in the digital community to carry itself as authoritative on the questions of digital rights management? 6 Article 9 of the DADVSI Bill. Firms and Markets IPTV markets New broadband service promising to upset the balance of the TV market (*) Jacques BAJON IDATE, Montpellier I PTV was unveiled in the late 1990s through VoD offers. With a base of 2.5 million subscribers, the market is currently in a phase of heightened deployment. Telecom operators, both incumbent and alternative, are taking up a position in the IPTV market, which will have an impact on all markets worldwide. IPTV is based on broadband access, and benefiting from the market's stunning growth, with TV services being offered as part of bundling strategies. It is expected to gain a sizeable share of the TV market: coverage forecasts point to 40 million subscribers in 2010. The IPTV market is still characterised by the coexistence of broadcasting and broadband services. But, this new broadband service will upset existing balances in the TV market, fuelling a trend of increasingly individualised consumption of TV services and, in the longer term, of synergies with the Internet Universe. (*) This market report, published by IDATE, provides in-depth analysis of the IPTV market and its ongoing development: technical architecture, deployment around the globe, new services and challenges. This new means of distributing TV programmes is a key growth relay for telcos which are investing massively in the TVoDSL market. As a result, not only the TV sector, but our television viewing habits are likely to be altered considerably. COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 175. 176 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 IPTV now a technical reality While using the internet protocol for video transport goes beyond the scope of fixed telecom networks, it is central to the development of IPTV services. The technical progress being made enables service deployments, as do increased broadband penetration and bitrates, multicasting and new compression standards. These various elements make it possible to step up IPTV service deployments, opening the way to enhanced offerings that include high-definition TV and dual stream systems. Added to this, more stable IPTV middleware solutions are expected to enable new players to enter the fray. Telcos investing in the market IPTV service operators are crossing over with internet access providers, whether tied to incumbent or alternative telcos. One of the top priorities for incumbents is consolidating the fixed line – seeking to compensate for the drop in market share and revenues in the telephony and internet access sectors. Alternative players, in the meantime, are working to increase their share of the market. Service bundles help increase existing customers' loyalty, and to attract new ones, and TV has now become an additional incentive to subscribe. TV services allow operators to increase, or at the very least maintain, their ARPU. State of the local market is key in shaping the offer The steady growth of the globe's broadband access base over the past few years has driven a rise in the average bitrates being offered to subscribers. The situation in each country still varies a great deal, however, in terms of coverage and degree of market competition. Local TV markets differ a great deal, depending on the level of pay-TV penetration, available TV multichannel offers and the services' digitisation. While the regulatory situation has become more clear in the Europe, the same cannot be said of the rest of the world. The ability to broadcast the most popular TV channels is still problematic in certain Asian countries, as is obtaining an IPTV licence in places like China. In the US, meanwhile, the system in place for negotiating local franchises is proving a major obstacle for the RBOCs. J. BAJON 177 Figure 1: IPTV subscribers around the globe 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2004 2005 2006 Asia 2007 Europe North America 2008 2009 2010 RoW 2.5 millions IPTV subscribers worldwide in 2005 Europe is home to more than 1 million active IPTV households, with France, Spain and Italy proving the most dynamic markets. The IPTV offers that are currently available in the United States were initially based on services marketed by local operators, and then, RBOCs launched massive network deployments. The country's IPTV viewer base totaled over 500,000 households. In Asia's most mature markets (Japan and South Korea), which are equipped with the most advanced internet structures on the planet, a range of IP services are being developed that include broadcasting of thematic channels and VoD. Nevertheless, except for PCCW in Hong Kong, whose base is over the half million mark, and in part because of the difficulty in obtaining licences, IPTV development in that part of the world remains disappointing, compared to its "high-speed" potential. Here, China and India will emerge as major growth pools. IPTV solutions provider market taking shape Solutions providers have recently begun to merge and form alliances, to be in a position to offer the most complete line of services possible. Cases in point include the Microsoft-Alcatel alliance, Siemens's take-over of Myrio, 178 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 Cisco's takeover of Scientific Atlanta, and merger between Thales Broadcast Multimedia and Thomson. A horizontal concentration, too, could well come to pass, as part of a bid to combine the provision of triple play solutions including voice solutions. Most of the first telcos to enter the market relied on in-house solutions, given that off the shelf solutions are only just now beginning to appear. Estimates indicate that roughly half of the world's IPTV operators currently rely on in-house solutions, and the other half on solutions designed by a third party. Contracting a supplier-integrator is expected to gradually become more common, and facilitate service deployments for new entrants to the IPTV market. It nevertheless remains that broad array of architectures and networks being used by telcos, and the variety of TV and video services in the marketplace, will inevitably lead to a major service integration phase. IPTV helping to enhance the TV offer… The digital, multichannel TV offer is progressing, thanks to the development of basic TV services, and the gradual inclusion of local channels and special events channels. In the long run, IPTV will allow viewers to manipulate personal content, and enable the integration of video offers from the web. Beyond the expansion and diversification of the TV offer, IPTV is also helping to boost the take-up of triple play bundles. And new services may soon see the light of day: 4 play bundles that include mobile telephony, communication tools and home networking. …and enabling more individualised TV viewing The TV sector is evolving irreversibly from a supply side economy to one driven by demand (personal TV, VoD, individual media, etc.), wherein TV viewing is less and less a linear affair, and more and more personalised and individualised. In the medium term, 25% of programmes could be watched outside the airing grid. IPTV is likely to take advantage of the growing trends of always on, open return paths and client-server architectures. This means that, after the integration of broadcasting systems on the network, thanks to multicasting, a return to unicasting (or point to point) streams could become a mainstay of the IPTV distribution market. J. BAJON 179 Critical decisions when designing a service The goals of acquiring and keep subscribers, and of increasing revenues, overlap more than they conflict. Two IPTV distribution models in particular are commonly used: the low-cost triple play that includes at least a basic multichannel TV offer, and aimed at gaining a greater share of the access market, and premium offers whose goal is to increase ARPU. A third, more flexible model is emerging by increasing the option systems offered with triple plays, and by incorporating an initial basic TV offer. For alternative operators in particular, IPTV is based on a variable cost model. One of the key elements in operating a TV over DSL service is the predominance of variable costs: fixed line access per user, set-top box, subscriber acquisition and management costs, programme costs. This marks a major break from the configuration under which operators have to deploy a new network. The technical choices too will be decisive, such as the choice between a DSL or FTTx access network, which compression standard to use, etc. Some uncertainties The quality of the IPTV stream is generally below the one obtained on other digital TV networks and, above all, fluctuates from one point in the network to another. But operators have recently made changes to their coverage policies, and technical solutions are being developed, both of which are helping to bring network reliability closer to the level offered by "classic" digital TV market standards. Operators need to ensure that they will be able to expand their service's coverage nationally, and secure access to end users. Also to mention, competition with cable networks: IPTV services are coming to occupy the same segment as cable networks, both in terms of coverage, highly concentrated in urban centres, and in terms of service policies, focusing on triple play offers. We can expect to see a strain on ARPU levels. Increased competition in the TV market, as new players enter the fray, combined with a trend of decreasing prices for bundled services, could well be detrimental to the average per subscriber revenues. This trend will only be accentuated if IPTV expands the multichannel offering, and triggers a price war. This means that the only way to maintain ARPU growth will be to continually enhance the offer. Finally, regulation remains a dark area in some markets, although positive developments are expected. 180 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 IPTV: opportunities and threats for the sector's players Incumbent telcos' business model is evolving from traffic to access provision. Becoming customers' access provider allows them to become the supplier of all services carried over a broadband network (TV, internet, telephony), and so consolidate the fixed line. The fact of including a TV offer helps boost the appeal of the access service, and so their ability to keep their customers. TV services also help generate additional revenues. The main threat lies in the loss of market share and revenues in the telephony and internet access sectors. For the competitors, namely alternative operators, depending on the degree of "control" they have over the network, a position in the TV market could, by default, include carriage of DTT offers using a hybrid STB. It may also translate into a more aggressive strategy aimed at increasing market share by enhancing their TV offer which could include a basic offer of 25 to 50 channels. In the most dynamic markets, ISPs without a TV offer run the risk of being marginalised. But internet services, and bundles that include access plus voice, still make up the core of the access market, and are still very popular with a great many consumers, particularly those who already receive a multichannel TV offer in other ways. TV channel operators may benefit from IPTV's growing popularity by increasing the licensing fees earned from pay-TV operators, and from a potential increase in advertising revenues for thematic channels. These channels could, however, elect to by-pass TV aggregators and opt for new distribution systems created by IPTV operators. The increasingly personalised nature of TV viewing will drive the programmes' rights holders to increase the value of their catalogues. This trend could become a source of added income for the channels that financed the programmes or, on the flipside, create a threat to TV channel operators' programming business. Pay-TV packagors face the greatest threat. They could suffer from the growing adoption of pick and mix channel systems, and access providers' desire to package their TV offers themselves. They may also suffer from the expansion of "free" multichannel TV offers. Most telling so far is their loss of control over the STB and related revenues. On the other hand, IPTV provides added coverage for TV packages, on satellite in particular. Even if the dismantling of TV offers poses a threat to service operators, they J. BAJON 181 nonetheless still boast major assets, namely their expertise in aggregating TV offers and their brand name clout. Cable operators too have some sizeable assets. They pioneered the double and, in some cases, triple play, boast longstanding experience in selling TV services and bundled services, and have built up substantial customer bases. As it stands, cablecos' involvement with IP is confined to its use as a new transport protocol. But, telcos marketing IPTV services are emerging as potentially fierce rivals, targeting the same clientele, and operating in a much broader financial arena. Table 1 - Range of TV/video services available via IPTV Operator Basic TV TV bouquet Pick & mix channels Local HDTV channel Special events channels PPV VOD PVR Tennis, 2004 Free FastWeb Big Brother Imagenio Home Choice Yahoo! BB Source: IDATE Tableau 2 - IPTV – opportunities and threats for operators Opportunities Incumbent telcos Alternative operators TV service operators Cablecos Maintaining their broadband subscriber base Increasing ARPU Increasing their share of the broadband and triple play markets Potential to generate added revenues Programme sales on a per-unit basis Growing ubiquity of IP in transport networks and for VoD Threats Alternative operators' aggressive strategies - Triple plays and development of VoIP services Growing competition, and the race to achieve critical mass Price wars over basic TV offers Rise of on-demand services Weight inferior of content in convergent offers Dismantling of pay-TV package operators' bouquets Emergence of new, head-on, competitor Technical Innovations Mobile Television Peter CURWEN University of Strathclyde, Scotland D ownloading content to mobile handsets can be effected either point-topoint (streamed to an individual handset via a conventional mobile network) or point-to-multipoint (via a broadcasting network as with conventional TV and radio). Virtually all handsets now come equipped with a capability to handle relatively low-speed data sent point-to-point using technology based upon GSM, such as GPRS, or upon CDMA, such as cdma2000 1xRTT. This is not well-suited for visual imagery beyond still photography, but increasingly consumers are turning to handsets with much faster download speeds that meet the definition of so-called 3G, typically the W-CDMA (UMTS) or cdma2000 1xEV-DO variants, and these largely do away with the problem of jerkiness. Furthermore, the quality of screen imagery, and in many cases the size of screens, has improved very rapidly, and a modern handset can be expected to provide a crystal-clear image. Given an almost universal familiarity with TV and mobile telephony and the increasing prevalence of handsets capable of high-speed data transfer, it is hardly surprising, therefore, that mobile TV is seen in some quarters as the next 'killer application'. Competing technologies The simplest way to provide mobile TV is to stream content along a highspeed data network. However, such networks are by no means commonplace outside Europe, provide patchy coverage even in countries COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 183. 184 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 where they are available and run at average speeds well below their theoretical maxima. The situation is certainly improving, and considerably faster networks based largely on High-Speed Packet Access (HSPA) are beginning to be launched during 2006. Pending their widespread introduction, it is evident that the service is bound to be somewhat expensive because of the download time involved and could potentially clog up the networks. For this reason, it is desirable to send TV to mobile devices via a different method, independent of existing mobile networks. The favoured solution is Digital Video Broadcast(ing) Handheld (DVB-H) technology whereby a TV signal is beamed to an additional digital TV receiver within the handset. This is based upon the well-established DVBTerrestrial (DVB-T) standard with modifications to support small batterydriven devices. The technology for integrating IP into the DVB broadcast also exists in the form of IP-datacast (IPDC) 1 . This makes it possible to use the same streaming video protocols (for example, MPEG-based) that are used on the internet for DVB broadcasts. DVB-H is currently associated primarily with developments in Europe. The European Commission, following the pattern previously used successfully with respect to GSM, for example, determined to establish a common standard that could be imposed across the EU, and the European Telecommunications Standards Institute (ETSI) accordingly adopted DVB-H as the European standard at the end of 2004. However, DVB-H is not universally popular, and has not been chosen in South Korea which, as ever, is at the forefront of technological developments. There, the favoured solution is its home-grown Digital Multimedia Broadcasting (DMB) service, based upon the DAB standard used for digital radio 2 . The underlying strategy in choosing a proprietary route was not, however, to keep the technology in-house. Rather, it was that the initial service, launched as satellite DMB (S-DMB), would be followed by terrestrial DMB (T-DMB) and then exported to Europe. In Japan there is also a desire to promote a home-grown standard, although this does not preclude the possibility that other standards such as DVB-H and DMB, which are undergoing trials there, will also establish a 1 See www.dvb.org and http://ipdc-forum.org respectively. 2 A huge amount of material on DAB, essentially in relation to digital radio broadcasts, can be found at: www.worlddab.org. P. CURWEN 185 foothold. This domestic technology is known as Terrestrial Integrated Services Digital Broadcasting (ISDB-T), and for the time being at least, there appears to be little interest in establishing it as a global standard. First adopted in December 2003, it is supported by the Japanese Association of Radio Industries and Business (ARIB). ISDB-T is designed such that each channel is divided into thirteen segments. High-Definition Television (HDTV) content fills twelve segments leaving the thirteenth free for broadcasts to mobiles – hence what is popularly known as the 'One-seg[ment]' strategy (1SEG) 3 . The USA, for its part, usually opts for technological competition, which does have the downside that the end-result can be too many choices, none of which attain the requisite scale. In this case, while it is open to technology of overseas origin, it has a domestic champion, Qualcomm, which is advocating its proprietary MediaFLO system. DVB-H and FLO technology are similar in that both are based on Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing (OFDM) and both are designed to transmit roughly fifteen frames of video per second to a Quarter VGA (QVGA) screen. Furthermore, both aim to provide four hours of continuous viewing from a single battery charge. At first sight, DVB-H appears to have the upper hand since it is being trialed by numerous operators on a worldwide basis, with each independently arranging equipment and content deals. In contrast, MediaFLO USA is not only developing its core technology and chipsets, but acquiring spectrum and building its own network. Qualcomm's plan is to replicate its marketing techniques for CDMA – that is, to licence FLO technology and sell FLO chipsets to other equipment vendors. Qualcomm claims that, for any given spectrum band, FLO will provide twice the coverage or twice the number of channels (FITCHARD, 2005), and if that proves to be the case – for now its status is merely an unproven claim 4 – FLO may prove hard to resist. There are other possibilities – for example, Singapore has chosen the Eureka 147 standard – but the main choice facing network operators is whether to stick to streaming via 3G/HSPA or adopt DVB-H, DMB or FLO or, indeed, any combination thereof. There is no guarantee that the best 3 For technical details see www.dibeg.org and www.rohide-schwarz.com. 4 As of end-2005, DVB-H had managed a best performance in trials of 16 simultaneous video channels streaming at 112 kbps and producing 15 frames per second at sub-QVGA resolutions. This was expected to improve to 384 kbps at full QVGA resolution in early 2006, roughly the same specification as for FLO, but with half the number of frames per second. 186 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 technology – assuming that any one technology can be said unequivocally to be the best – will be the most successful because, as noted, there are major vested interests involved. Streaming content Streaming content is particularly associated with the introduction of 3G and HSPA. Because 3G was widely licensed across Europe at an early stage, and DVB-H is for now unavailable, it is appropriate to include some brief examples of streaming from that region. Orange UK, for example, introduced its Orange TV service in May 2005. The downside was that potential customers had to be covered by the Orange 3G service, own a Nokia 6680 and be willing to pay GBP 10 (EUR 15) a month. It was also noted that streaming TV over 3G would potentially put the network under severe strain. For its part, attempting to skirt around these difficulties, Vodafone launched its own service – Sky Mobile TV – in conjunction with BskyB in October, providing 19 channels over the Vodafone live! with 3G network. This was provided free until the end of January 2006 when a GBP 3 to GBP 10 a month charge kicked in. It is wort noting that some of Sky One's most popular programmes were unavailable on account of difficulties in obtaining the mobile rights 5 . These difficulties can be greatly mitigated if programmes are made specifically for viewing on mobile devices, and to that end, for example, Endemol in the UK set up a mobile TV division largely dedicated to youth-oriented soap operas, comedy and 'extreme' reality shows. Streaming over 3G is likely to fill most of the void elsewhere in Europe pending the arrival of DVB-H, and to this end, for example, a joint venture involving Kanmera and the leading Swedish tabloid Expressen-TV announced the launch of live streamed TV over the Vodafone network in Sweden in November 2005. At the same time SFR in France announced plans shortly to launch 'SFR-TV-Video' over the Vodafone live! with 3G network 6 Using technology provided by Streamezzo, the service was 5 See "BSkyB in Vodafone mobile TV deal" at: http://newsvotebbc.co.uk of 17th November 2005 and BILLQUIST (2006), which noted that the service had provided six million (free) sessions in its first two months. 6 See "SFR to offer mobile TV" at: www.dmeurope.com of November 16th 2005. The trial appears to have ended up involving SFR, Canal+, Nokia and Tower Cast and using the Nokia 7710, with the 500 participants watching on average for 20 minutes a day. 73 per cent claimed P. CURWEN 187 initially provided free, but required the ownership of a Nokia 6630, 6680 or N70 or alternatively a SonyEricsson V600i handset. After a slow start, partly due to competing 2G technologies and the lack of dedicated W-CDMA spectrum, the USA has taken streaming to its heart in a major way. For example, in November 2005, Alltel (fresh from absorbing Western Wireless) signed a deal with MobiTV to deliver TV via mobile using the Motorola RAZR V3c. The service included live TV broadcasts and madefor-mobile content - 25 channels altogether. The cost was USD 9.99 a month plus USD 200 for the handset on a two-year contract. This service was very similar to that provided by Cingular Wireless, also with MobiTV using madefor-mobile content - 25 channels altogether. The cost was USD 9.99 a month plus USD 200 for the handset on a two-year contract. However, this really needed to be underpinned with a USD 20 a month data plan. For its part, Sprint Nextel also uses MobiTV, offering packages for USD 15, USD 20 and USD 25 a month including data charges 7 . Verizon Wireless, however, uses VCast to provide a service for USD 15 a month including data charges over its cdma2000 1xEV-DO network. The third main system that can be used for streaming is SmartVideo. As a final brief example of what is happening elsewhere, Vodafone NZ launched a mobile TV service in New Zealand in August 2005 which is available wherever there is 3G coverage for a fee of NZD3 (USD1.90) per week per channel for unlimited access or NZD1 for a single 15-minute session. Technology trials DVB-H DVB-H is mainly undergoing trials in Europe, but is under consideration on a modest scale in many other parts of the world. A Nokia Streamer - a device specifically designed for DVB-H and attached to a Nokia 7700 - was to be satisfied and sixty-eight per cent stated that they would be prepared to take out a subscription at EUR 7 a month – see TILAK (2006). 7 In September 2005, Sprint Nextel/MobiTV was awarded a technical Emmy by the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences for the delivery of standard programming over mobile networks. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 188 put on trial in Finland in October 2004 8 . However, it was the UK that was at the forefront of developments. In September 2004, O2 and NTL's Broadcast division (Arqiva) announced the UK's first usability trial of digital TV, held in conjunction with Nokia. Commencing in Spring 2005, 375 O2 subscribers in Oxford were able to access 16 TV channels via DVB-H using a Nokia 7710 9 . Almost inevitably, in practice, the trial was delayed until September 2005 and a commercial launch was not forecast to occur until 2008 due to the need to free up and licence the necessary spectrum 10 . Several other EU-based operators are anxious to be early to market once DVB-H becomes a practical proposition. For example, in Italy, TIM stated in October 2005 that it had combined with Mediaset to launch a service once DVB-H handsets became available – which turned out to be June 2006 with the arrival of the UMTS/DVB-H-enabled Samsung SGH-P920 - and to facilitate this Mediaset agreed in December to buy the infrastructure and frequencies owned by TF1's Italian subsidiary, Europa TV. In Italy, H3G and investment fund the Profit Group acquired TV broadcaster Channel 7 in November 2005. Channel 7 holds a network licence for national TV distribution via terrestrial frequencies, including the delivery of DVB-H, and this is due to commence in the second half of 2006. In France, Orange and Bouygues Télécom jointly inaugurated a trial during 2005 with 400 users over a six-to-nine month period using handsets made by Sagem, but as in other countries the commercial launch is not anticipated before 2008. Furthermore, in November 2005, a trial was initiated between Swisscom and Nokia involving a commercially available Nokia 7710 smartphone upgraded with a DVB-H receiver. Despite such developments, widespread digital services are in practice unlikely to appear in Europe until the analogue spectrum can be auctioned off for digital use that is, post-2009 - and in any event there is an issue of cost because the 8 See Global Mobile, January 14th 2004, p. 11 and www.3g.co.uk/PR/June 2004/7916 of 17th June 2004. Nokia itself is not really interested in any technology other than DVB-H, for which it has been heavily criticised by operators interested in other technologies. 9 See www.3g.co.uk/PR/Sept2004/8308 and www.telecoms.com of September 23rd 2004, and th http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk of 17 November 2005. The first results of the trial were released in January 2006, with O2 claiming that it would no longer be referring to mobile TV but rather to 'personal TV'. The results were viewed as extremely promising – no surprise there – with particular emphasis upon the unexpected finding that usage was higher in the home than elsewhere. One interesting aspect was that users considered the sixteen channels on offer to be no more than adequate – see MORRIS (2006). 10 See www.totaltele.com of September 23rd 2005. A summary table of the European trials can th be found in "Mobile TV set to be very popular" at: www.cellular-news.com of March 9 2006. P. CURWEN 189 digital signal will have to be available across an entire cellular network. Nevertheless, Nokia does not intend to wait around, and in November 2005 it launched the N92, allegedly the world's first mobile device with a built-in DVB-H receiver. Interoperability is also, as ever, a key issue. The Open Mobile Alliance is investigating common standards for mobile broadcast services to be delivered to new, larger, colour-screen handsets. This is good news for Nokia 11 , which is not only involved in the O2 trial but is involved in others in Finland (with TeliaSonera and Radiolinja using the 7710 handset), Germany, Taiwan (with Chunghwa Telecom and others using the 7710), Spain (with Telefónica Móviles 12 using the 7710) and the USA (with 'Modeo'). A large number of DVB-H trials are due to take place in Asia, including Japan, during 2006, so it is the favourite to succeed as a truly international standard.. For example, Elang Mahkota Teknologi Group and its subsidiaries PT Mediatama Citra Abadi and PT Surya Citra Televisi arranged to conduct a trial with Nokia in Indonesia during the second half of 2006, using the N92 handset 13 . Meanwhile, in the USA, the former Crown Castle Mobile Media, rebranded as 'Modeo', has already piloted a DVB-H service in Pittsburgh, and expects to be operational in the top thirty U.S. markets by the end of 2007 (JAY, 2006). DAB/DMB Given the drawbacks to streaming over 3G and the need to wait some time for DVB-H, there is also interest in Europe in building a market 11 SonyEricsson also supports the standard, and in February 2006, the two vendors agreed to co-operate on interoperability in DVB-H devices – see "Nokia, Sony Ericsson cooperate on th mobile-TV interoperability" at: www.cellular-news.com of February 14 2006. The collaboration would be based around Nokia's Open Air Interface implementation guidelines published in August 2005. 12 In February 2006, the results of the trial, also involving Abertis Telecom and content broadcast by the likes of Antena 3 and Sogecable, revealed that 55 per cent of the 500 trial users would be prepared to pay around EUR 5 a month for the service. The typical caonsumption, largely restricted to the basic package, was 20 minutes a day – see "75 per cent th of Spanish mobile users give TV the thumbs up" at: www.telegeography.com of February 17 2006. 13 See "Nokia to pilot mobile TV services in Indonesia" at: www.telegeography.com of February th 14 2006. No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 190 presence via another route. In June 2005, for example, Virgin Mobile launched a trial of its own UK service based not upon 3G or DVB-H, but on the pre-existing Digital Audio Broadcast (DAB) system in conjunction with BT Livetime - which intends to act as a wholesaler and has re-branded as 'Movio' - that necessitates a special receiver, but no new infrastructure. The underlying justification was that DAB already had 85 per cent coverage. The trial was adjudged to be a success and the service is to be launched commercially sometime in 2006 (FILDES, 2006) 14 . Some indication of the confusion about how to proceed even in Europe is evident from the fact that Bouygues Télécom has also opted to become involved in a T-DMB trial in France together with TV network TF1, broadcasting equipment maker VDL and Korea's Samsung. The handset chosen is the SGH-P900T 15 . There is also to be a test service of T-DMB in May using the LG-V9000. As noted, South Korea is keen to be a market leader where DMB is concerned. Hence, in December 2004, TU Media, 30 per cent owned by SK Telecom, partnered with the Korean Broadcasting Commission to announce the limited launch the following month of DMB with a full commercial operation commencing on May 1st 2005, at which point both SK Teletech (with the IBM-1000) and Samsung (with the SCH-B100) would have highend handsets available. Nine dual-mode S-DMB/T-DMB handsets were subsequently launched by Samsung and, in January 2006, T-DMB was made available by both KTF and LG Telecom, with SK Telecom due to follow suit in March. However, unlike with S-DMB where network operators can split the fee with sole provider TU Media, T-DMB is free for anyone with an appropriate receiver and hence is not being promoted by operators (NEWLANDS, 2005, Nov.). In December 2005, it was reported that only 1.5 per cent of mobile subscribers owned an S-DMB-enabled handset and that there was widespread dissatisfaction with poor content and service, which did not bode well for the 14 However, although the majority of users found the service to be 'appealing', they were only prepared to pay GBP 5 a month to access it whereas the providers had hoped to charge GBP 10, so 'success' is not necessarily an apt description – see "Mobile TV trial disappoints" at: th www.telegeography.com of January 13 2006. It is worth noting that only three channels were on offer. 15 See "Bouygues, TF1 and VDL select Samsung for DMB phones" at: th www.telegeography.com of February 15 2006; and "Samsung unveils mobile TV phone for th Europe" at: www.digitalmediaasia.com of February 15 2006. P. CURWEN 191 prospects for T-DMB (NEWLANDS, 2005, Dec.). This situation is inherently unstable. However, this does not appear to have put everyone off the standard since, in January 2006, Samsung announced that it would be supplying 200,000 T-DMB handsets to Beijing Jonion Digital Media Broadcasting Co. and 300,000 to Guangdong Mobile Television Media Co., with the former intent upon the first launch in China in April 2006 (TURNER L., 2006). Immediately thereafter, the Indian government announced that as India was using the same spectrum as Korea, it too would be introducing T-DMB just as soon as the government could introduce regulations to make this possible. Mobile operator Bharti agreed to launch a trial of T-DMB in Mumbai by mid-February 16 . ISDB-T In September 2005, DoCoMo announced the development of the FOMA P901iTV handset made by Panasonic, capable of receiving both analogue and digital signals. Its small 2.5-inch screen permits 2.5 hours of digital viewing, and the handset is designed such that the screen twists horizontally, leaving the other half as a handle. Since its launch in April 2006, ISDB-T users have been able to access, at no cost - assuming that they have been able to lay their hands on a scarce handset - the normal programmes available on TV as special programming for mobile devices is not permitted until 2008. In December 2005, intent upon underpinning this so-called 'Oneseg[ment]' strategy (1-SEG), DoCoMo acquired 2.6 per cent of Fuji-TV and followed this up in February 2006 by forming a limited liability partnership with Nippon-TV. Vodafone Japan is also tapping into the 1-SEG service but using the Sharp 905SH, while KDDI is doing so in conjunction with TV Asahi 17 . 16 See "India moves into mobile TV" at: www.bwcs.com of February 1st 2006. 17 See "KDDI and TV Asahi to collaborate on terrestrial digital broadcasting" at: th www.telegeography.com of March 28 2006. For some general comments on Japan see "Japanese watch TV shows on the go on cell phones" at www.telecomdirect.news of March st 31 . 192 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 MediaFLO KDDI is, predictably, unwilling to end up as second-best to DoCoMo, and it announced in December 2005 that it would be setting up a company called MediaFLO Japan, owned 80 per cent by itself and 20 per cent by Qualcomm, with a view to introducing services in 2007 based upon the latter's FLO technology (MIDDLETON, 2005). Meanwhile, in the USA where MediaFLO must realistically become established if it is to become popular overseas, some major network operators are beginning to support Qualcomm. For example, at the end of 2005 Verizon Wireless signed up to offer FLO over its cdma2000 1xEV-DO network. For its part, Motorola has yet to decide whether to opt for DVB-H or some alternative, in which case it is likely to be MediaFLO. Licensing Because mobile TV cannot sensibly be provided over unlicensed spectrum, the future of DVB-H in the EU is partly dependent upon progress with licensing. The optimum spectrum for DVB-H is is the UHF band between 470 MHz and 850 MHz. The O2 trial, for example, used a temporary test frequency in this band. Unfortunately, providing small spectrum slots for tests is quite a different matter from allocating sufficient spectrum to allow for competing broadcast networks, and since the optimum spectrum is currently largely occupied, especially by analogue transmissions which do, however, have a limited life span, licensing will largely have to wait until the spectrum is cleared. Despite this, the Finnish government announced in November 2005 that a 20-year DVB-H licence would be awarded early in 2006 to a network operator, which would be responsible for the transmission network and service management (LIBBENGA, 2005; TURNER, 2005). The licensee would be obliged to sell network capacity to other service providers. TeliaSonera was quick to register an application which specified that it would build a DVB-H network covering the Greater Helsinki area before the end of 2006, the area within the outer ring road by the end of 2007 and Tampere, Turku and Oulu commencing during 2007. However, it would also rely upon P. CURWEN streaming TV along its existing 3G network won by Digita 19 . 193 18 . In the event, the licence was Events such as this appear to have woken up the European Commission to the desirability of a pan-European strategy. Hence, in March 2006, Viviane Reding pontificated that "if we want European players to develop efficient business models […] we need a coordinated approach on spectrum policy" 20 . Needless to say, the Commission was deemed to be trampling upon the rights of individual member state regulators to determine what they considered to be in their home markets' best interests, not to mention contravening the European Commission's existing policy of technological neutrality (PATTERSON G., 2006). Releasing spectrum is anyway a somewhat different proposition in each member state because of the prior history of allocation. UK regulator Ofcom, for example, is unwilling to detail its plans until after the 2006 Regional Radio Conference when European regulators will discuss the role of different technologies. Because spectrum for DVB-H will probably not be available in the UK until the digital switchover in 2012, several years later than in the likes of Germany and Italy, operators such as Vodafone which are panEuropean will as a consequence probably have to adopt different strategies in different countries. Conclusions For the time being, the favoured method of providing mobile TV is to stream it along a high-speed data network. However, this is expensive for subscribers and would use up significant slabs of spectrum if it became very popular, and hence it is not favoured as a medium-to-long-term solution. Fortunately, a partial solution to the spectrum shortage problem will come from the improved speed of data transfer due to the widespread introduction of the likes of HSPA, and it may also be possible to use the unpaired TDD 18 See "Sonera seeks to build a mobile TV network" at: www.cellular-news.com of February 1 2006. 19 The applicants were Elisa, TeliaSonera, Telemast Nordic and Digita. The latter, a unit of st French media group TDF, won the licence, partly because it was already building a test network and partly because its status meant that there would be opportunities for content providers. 20 See "EU: Viviane Reding Member of the European Commission responsible for Information Society and Media. Television is going mobile – and needs a pan European policy approach" at: th www.noticias.info of March 8 2006. 194 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 spectrum that was issued to most winners of 3G licences. But with HSPA networks only recently beginning to come on stream, it is difficult to assess their potential impact upon mobile TV. Irrespective of any improvements in streaming, the favoured solution is still expected to mimic the broadcasting method in use for terrestrial TV, namely the transmission of programming direct from TV towers to mobile devices. Whether this will be based upon satellite or terrestrial links is as yet unclear. A quick summary comparison suggests that streaming can provide very large numbers of channels and deep indoor coverage but comparatively few subscribers; terrestrial broadcasting can reach an unlimited audience with good indoor coverage but with only 27 channels; while satellite broadcasting is particularly suitable for rural areas but indoor coverage is poor and only nine channels can be provided. It would be very helpful if the relevant spectrum bands could be adjacent as this would permit some common use of equipment, but that is certainly not going to be the case if the UHF band is used. However, an alternative was put forward in February 2006 by Alcatel whereby DVB-H would be broadcast in the 2.170-2.220 GHz 'S' band reserved for mobile satellite services across the world. The proposal, which would require some changes to the regulatory framework, involves using satellites for the primary broadcast to rural areas and a terrestrial repeater network for urban services. Thi spectrum is being used in the USA but not in Europe, and it has the advantage that, being in proximity to that being used for 3G, the latter's base stations and masts could be reused. In addition, handsets would remain acceptably small for European tastes because the aerials could be internalised. P. CURWEN 195 References BILLQUIST R. (2006): "Mobile TV promising, but technical issues still to be th resolved", at: www.totaltelecom of February 13 . FILDES N. (2006): "BT names live mobile TV/radio wholesale service BT Movio", at: th www.cellular-news.com of January 12 . FITCHARD K. (2005): "TV wars go wireless", at: www.printthis.clickability.com of th September 26 . JAY R. (2006): "Modeo to offer DVB-H services in the U.S.", at: www.telecom.com of th January 5 . LIBBENGA J. (2005): "Finland to license commercial mobile TV service", at: th www.theregister.co.uk of November 14 . MIDDLETON J. (2005): "KDDI, Qualcomm forge mobile TV venture", at: rd ww.telecoms.com of December 23 . MORRIS A. (2006): "IPWireless adds TDD option to the mobile TV pot", at: www.totaltele.com of January 18th. NEWLANDS M.: - (2005): "Survey shows Koreans not happy with DMB service", at: www.totaltele.com of December 9th. - (2005): "Operators are reluctant to market phones for the free terrestrial mobile TV services", at: www.totaltele.com of November 30th. PATTERSON G. (2006): "Mobile TV: it's gonna be hell…", at: www.telecoms.com of th March 27 . TILAK J. (2006): "French DVB-H trial reveals interest in mobile TV", at nd www.dmeurope.com of March 2 . TURNER L. (2006): "Samsung supplies first T-DMB phones to China", at: www.totaltele.com of January 9th. TURNER L. (2005): "Finland invites applications for DVB-H mobile TV licence", at: www.totaltele.com of November 15th. Can DRM Create New Markets? Anne DUCHÊNE University of British Columbia, Sauder Business School Martin PEITZ International University in Germany Patrick WAELBROECK ENST W e argue that Digital Rights Management (DRM) technologies can serve a number of marketing purposes that will make it easier for new artists to expose their products to consumers. As a result, DRM can create new markets. Introduction The music market is characterized by a high degree of heterogeneity in music tastes among consumers that vary not only with respect to music genres, but also within each genre. It is therefore difficult for a consumer to evaluate a new album from a catalogue. This is especially true for new releases about which consumers have less information. For this reason, music can be classified as an experience good that consumers need to "taste" before they can make an informed purchase decision. Successfully transmitting that information is one of the main challenges facing music producers and retailers. Record companies usually dedicate a substantial budget to the marketing and promotion of new CDs. Chuck Philips, who interviewed executives from the music industry, reports that, "It costs about USD 2 to manufacture and distribute a CD, but marketing costs can run from COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 197. 198 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 USD 3 per hit CD to more than USD 10 for failed projects." 1 The Record Industry Association of America (RIAA) elaborates on those costs: "Then come marketing and promotion costs - perhaps the most expensive part of the music business today. They include increasingly expensive video clips, public relations, tour support, marketing campaigns, and promotion to get the songs played on the radio. [...] Labels make investments in artists by paying for both the production and the promotion of the album, and promotion is very expensive." (www.riaa.org, RIAA-Key stats-Facts-Cost of CD). The nature of those costs is clearly identified in Hilary Rosen's statement in the Napster case 2 : "Record companies search out artists and help to develop their talent and their image. Much goes into developing artists, maximizing their creativity and helping them reach an audience. In addition to providing advance payments to artists for use by them in the recording process, a record company invests time, energy and money into advertising costs, retail store positioning fees, listening posts in record stores, radio promotions, press and public relations for the artist, television appearances and travel, publicity, and internet marketing, promotions and contests. Those costs are investments that companies make to promote the success of the artist so that both can profit from the sale of the artist's recording. In addition, the record company typically pays one half of independent radio promotions, music videos, and tour support. If a recording is not successful, the company loses its entire investment, including the advance. If a recording is successful, the advance is taken out of royalties, but the other costs I mentioned are the responsibility of the record company." This is the old way of doing business, which has led to the rise of a few superstars who cater for the masses. The widespread use of fast internet connections in home computing offers consumers a new way of acquiring information about new music. Indeed, after the Napster experience, it has become clear that there is a cheaper way for consumers to obtain that information, namely by searching, downloading and testing digital music files made available through Peer-to-Peer (P2P) or other file-sharing technologies. This information transmission technology is fundamentally different from traditional marketing and promotion channels, as consumers, not firms, spend time and resources to listen to new music downloaded from 1 "Record Label Chorus: High Risk, Low Margin", Chuck PHILIPS, Los Angeles Times, May st 31 , 2001 2 Quoted from a press release from the RIAA on May 25th, 2000 available on the RIAA.com website. A. DUCHÊNE, M. PEITZ & P. WAELBROECK 199 the internet. Consumers thus have the opportunity to discover new products and new artists, some of which would have been excluded from traditional distribution channels. New (or emerging) artists therefore see file-sharing and new digital distribution technologies as a low-cost way of entering the market. In a recent Pew Internet Report, based on interviews with 2,755 musicians in the USA who were asked about their opinions on file-sharing on the internet, 35 percent of respondents answered that free downloads helped their career. The main claim of this article is that new digital technologies can be used to expose consumers to newcomers' music. Marketing strategies for newcomers are likely to be different to those used by record companies distributing incumbent artists, who claim that unabated internet piracy could mean the end of the industry as a whole 3 . The availability of digital copies on the internet has given rise to two forces, which pull in opposite directions for incumbents and newcomers. On the one hand, digital copies and original CDs are mostly complements for new entrants, as consumers use copies to discover, listen to and purchase new music that they enjoy. On the other hand, copies and originals are often substitutes for incumbent artists, as a significant number of consumers copy, but do not purchase the original they already know 4 . For both groups, strategies adopted by the music industry will involve the use of Digital Rights Management (DRM) to protect digital music. DRM is a small piece of software that can detect, monitor and block the (unauthorized) use of copyrighted material. Digital Rights Management for 3 Five percent of respondents to the previous survey claimed that file-sharing hurt their career. Unlike CDs and audio tapes, digital music files that can be found on file-sharing networks can be separated from their physical support. They can be quickly compressed and exchanged over the internet, a process which is significantly faster and more flexible than renting a CD in a media library or borrowing it from a friend. Unlike traditional means of copying, file-sharing technologies provide a large scale diffusion channel that is virtually impossible to monitor, as a single copy can be downloaded by any user across the world. To deal with such a threat, record companies have been suing internet users who share copyrighted files over P2P networks freely and anonymously without the authorization of copyright owners. The number of lawsuits reached over 10,000 in April 2005. Most U.S. cases are settled out of court with a fine of USD 3,000-4,000. 4 Even for this latter group there exist complementary products such as live concerts, which make free or subsidized releases of their material an attractive promotion tool for a record company, especially if DRM can be used to collect valuable information about consumers. Record companies and artists could both benefit from the sale of complementary products by sharing revenues from these complementary products, as illustrated by the contract between nd EMI and Robbie Williams (see e.g. "Robbie signs '£80m' deal", BBC News, October 2 , 2002). 200 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 music generally includes: copy control, watermarking (a digital identification technology inserted in digital files, i.e. ex ante constraints), fingerprinting (which converts the files content into a unique identification number, i.e. ex post control), authentication and access control. Technological protection can limit the uses of music files downloaded from online retailers. The most common restrictions consist of limiting the number of computers that the user can transfer his or her files to (typically between 1 and 5), as well as the number of times a playlist can be burned on a CD-R (typically between 7 and 10). Technology companies use different DRM technologies and different audio formats. Apple's iTunes service uses the Advanced Audio Coding (AAC) format along with FairPlay DRM. Users can burn a playlist 7 times and transfer music files to up to 5 computers. They can offer their playlists for preview to other members of the community, as well as musical gifts to other subscribers of the music service. In response to Apple, Microsoft has developed its own series of DRM solutions. The first type of DRM protection is implemented in its Windows Media Audio (WMA) music format that is used by many e-tailers and works like Apple's DRM, restricting the number of CD burns and transfers to desktop computers. The most recent DRM solution, Janus, can also limit the use of a music file in time, thus enabling business models based on subscription services that do not limit the number of computers or portable players the music file can be uploaded to. In terms of business strategy model, those two types of DRM allow both rent and buy strategies. While policy-makers have given their support to DRM 5 , several academic researchers have strongly argued against it. Samuelson (2003), for instance, argues that DRM goes beyond the Copyright Act. Indeed, DRM can protect any piece of digital content, even if it is not protected by the Copyright Law such as documents in the public domain. It reduces the value of fair use and can force consumers to view content that they do not wish to (such as ads and FBI warnings). As a result of such restrictions, DRM sometimes stands for "Digital Restrictions Management." Moreover, it can potentially protect over an infinite amount of time, which is contrary to the spirit of the Copyright Act. In a sense, DRM creates the basis for an ever ongoing payment system. 5 Following the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) convention in Geneva, in 1998, U.S. Congress enacted the Digital Millenium Copyright Act (DMCA) that extends the Copyright Act. The DMCA makes it a crime to circumvent anti-DRM piracy measures built into most commercial software. A similar directive is being implemented in member countries of the European Community generating heated debate (such as the ongoing debate on the compulsory license in France). A. DUCHÊNE, M. PEITZ & P. WAELBROECK 201 DRM raises many concerns both on legal and economic grounds. The negative aspects of DRM are documented in Peitz and Waelbroeck (2005a) and Gasser (2004). We refer interested readers to these works for more information. Our article takes a complementary approach as we would like to argue that DRM can also serve as a marketing tool to allow artists to enter the market at a low cost. Whether society eventually benefits from this phenomenon is another issue. To answer that question, it is important to understand the effect of DRM on the production and distribution of digital products. Before examining this, we would like to highlight four limits to our discussion. Firstly, the choices of the DRM technology and of the digital music format will raise issues related to compatibility and two-sided markets. Indeed, the success of any DRM-based marketing strategy is linked to the success of the platform (i.e. the ability of the intermediary to license music from new and established artists), of the music player and of the format. These three dimensions are hard to disentangle, because many companies bundle them together. Secondly, we have chosen to include examples of DRM and marketing strategies, rather than a lengthy discussion of previous work on copyright. We nevertheless point interested readers to PEITZ & WAELBROECK (2003) for a review of existing literature on this topic. Finally, we will not cover the effect of DRM on cumulative creation. DRM could influence the production of new music if there were multiple rights owners, for instance if the music was sampled using older songs or mixing lines from other artists. While inadequate DRM protection could possibly make cumulative creation more difficult, DRM does not necessarily prevent subsequent use. For instance, Bechthold (2003) has argued that one could develop a "Rights expression language" that would deal with multiple rights owners. Similarly, LESSIG (2001) is a proponent of the "Copyright Commons" that uses DRM to control copyrighted works that are registered in a metadata system. DRM is then used to enforce openness. Several artists, such as Chuck D., Beastie Boys and David Byrne, have released content under the copyright commons. Finally, we will not discuss DRM-based marketing tools of incumbent artists such as versioning, personalized group pricing, targeted advertising, test trials and alternative remuneration schemes. Excellent reviews on versioning in general can be found in VARIAN (1999) and BELLEFLAMME (2005). The reminder of the article is organized as follows: we firstly discuss marketing strategies based on Digital Rights Management for new artists based on sampling. Examples of such DRM marketing strategies are provided in the following section. Although our analysis focuses on music as a digital product, several insights apply to other digital products. 202 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 DRM and the theory of sampling Music requires some form of experimentation. Although listening to new albums has always been possible (by listening to music in record stores for instance), file-sharing makes trying and sampling new music much easier. Songs are often just a click away from being listened to on a computer or portable MP3 player. Artists consequently have a new opportunity to expose consumers to their music. Many of these artists could not previously distribute their music to a large audience because revenues for CD sales would not cover the high fixed costs of marketing and promotion. The situation has changed as sampling may partly replace costly promotions on television and radio as a channel for information transmission. A number of recent articles analyze the informational role of unauthorized copies on firms' profits and strategies and on welfare. DUCHÊNE & WAELBROECK (2006) analyze the effect of increasing copyright protection on the distribution and protection strategies of a firm selling music. They model the demand for a new product that is not distributed through the traditional marketing/promotion technology by assuming that consumers can only purchase a good after they have downloaded a digital copy that includes information on the characteristics of the product. They show that increasing copyright protection not only has a direct effect on copiers, but also an indirect effect on buyers as technological protection and prices increase with legal protection, unambiguously reducing consumer surplus. PEITZ & WAELBROECK (2005b) analyze a single firm selling a variety of products that cater for different tastes. Consumers can obtain information on the individual characteristics of the albums by downloading files from P2P networks. P2P allows a user to sample and quickly find new products that he likes if cross-recommendations and other means for directed search are available. PEITZ & WAELBROECK show that for a sufficiently large number of products, firms can benefit from the sampling 6 (or matching effect) of digital copies that leads to a higher willingness to pay for the original and that dominates the direct substitution between copies and original products. If, alternatively, the firm decided to promote the product through traditional channels, it would bear the cost of such information transmission. Moreover, 6 In a survey of graduate school students, BOUNIE, BOURREAU & WAELBROECK (2005) find that over 90% of respondents discovered new artists by downloading music files, while 65% reported that, after listening to MP3 files, they purchased albums that they would not have purchased otherwise. A. DUCHÊNE, M. PEITZ & P. WAELBROECK 203 the fit would not be worse because a firm typically would not promote all products. ZHANG (2002) argues that traditional distribution technology made it easier for artists with a large audience (or stars) and harder for marginal artists to be distributed in the market. Zhang proposes a model of the music industry with two horizontally differentiated products. The star artist is pushed by a big label and the marginal artist has no backing. Without P2P, the star artist distorts demand in his/her favour. This distortion can be so large that the marginal artist is driven out of the market. Using file-sharing networks, this artist can distribute his/her songs on P2P networks. Thus marginal artists may stand to gain from the exposure effect, while stars unambiguously lose out as the current distribution technology benefits the promotion of stars. With digital copies, niche performers can reach consumers more easily. In effect, this suggests that the distribution of album sales would be less skewed 7 . Sampling and file-sharing technologies might thus reduce the stardom phenomenon and raise the amount of variety available on the market. PEITZ & WAELBROECK (2005a) point out that the two most legally downloaded songs in September 2004 in the UK were not even in the top 20 singles chart. Similarly, GOPAL et al. (2004) document changes in popularity on chart rankings in the file-sharing era. Examples of uses of DRM by entrants Since digital music is easy to share on P2P networks, several technology companies offer flexible DRM protection to maximize the potential audience of an artist who wants consumers to discover his or her work. We discuss three such offers: Altnet, MagnaTune and LastFM. 7 This argument has received wide attention, especially after the publication of an article by Chris Anderson in Wired. According to the author, "Suddenly popularity has no longer a th monopoly on profitability." (Chris ANDERSON, "The Long Tail", in Wired, Oct. 12 , 2004). Combined with sophisticated software that tracks and aggregates what consumers listen to and purchase, infomediaries can come up with recommendations that guide a consumer to discover products down the long tail that s/he would have been highly unlikely to discover through traditional promotion and distribution channels. 204 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 Altnet Altnet is the leading online distributor of licensed digital entertainment, enabling record labels, film studios, as well as software and video game developers to market and sell their media to a worldwide audience of 70 million users. Altnet powers leading Peer-to-Peer applications, internet portals and affiliate websites with access to Altnet's library of rightsmanaged, downloadable content and integrated payment processing gateway. Altnet also works with Cornerband.com, which distributes music of signed-up artists and promotes "emerging" artists on its network. Ratings are made by users of Cornerband.com. All Cornerband.com artists have control over the secure distribution of their music, including the way in which songs are downloaded, sampled and priced to the consumer. Every time a user downloads and plays a music or video file, a DRM window appears, featuring an image of the band, album cover art or other promotional material to help market the file. Each file is 'wrapped' with Altnet's secure rights management technology, which protects the content and allows the file to be sold in the Altnet Payment Gateway. Altnet licenses DRM technology from Microsoft Corporation to protect music and video files. Most of the files can be previewed for free for a fixed period of time. At the end of the trial period, the user is prompted with information about purchasing the file. Each file has an individual pricing and license agreement. Altnet applies the Altnet GoldFile Signature to the files once they are protected with DRM, allowing for greater file control and security, and making it possible to track the number of times the file is downloaded. Magnatune Prices vary according to the buyer's stated willingness to pay for a few dozen artists signed with MagnaTune. Streaming is free and the site wants to be associated with a sharing or open-source community, although consumers pay for the music they want to acquire. The suggested purchase price of an album is USD 8, but users can spend as little as USD 5 or as much as they want. Surprisingly, the average price is USD 8.93, according th to an interview with Magnatune's founder in USA Today (January 20 , 2004). MagnaTune pays artists half of the revenues generated. About 1 in 42 visitors purchases music on the site according to The Economist (September 17th, 2005), which is a better ratio than an average e-commerce site. As of October 2005, MagnaTune offers the possibility to share music with 3 friends. A. DUCHÊNE, M. PEITZ & P. WAELBROECK 205 Last.fm Last.fm offers a free streaming service based on music profiles. Song listening times are collected by a small plugin DRM program called "audioscrobbler" that builds a user's music profile. Last.fm software then finds music that a user might enjoy, builds a customized radio station called last.fm radio and finds other users with similar music profiles. The software also sends music recommendations that can be exchanged by private messages between users. The player is free, open-source and offers 128 kbs MP3 stream. Last.fm also provides a platform for new artists and labels to distribute their albums. Artist pages include the band profile, as well as various statistics such as the number of times a specific song has been played. It is also interesting to observe that Soulseek P2P service has created Soulseek Records to distribute and promote new artists initially exchanged on the file-sharing network, so that promotion on P2P networks and physical distribution need not necessarily be separated. All these examples demonstrate that new artists can make inroads into the music market through the use of digital distribution and DRM. However, it is too early to say which strategies will result in viable business models. The recent success of Artic Monkeys, who chose to distribute their songs freely on the internet on file-sharing networks, illustrates the explosive distribution potential of file-sharing technologies that make sampling much easier than checking individual websites for new music. Artic Monkeys sold more than 360,000 copies of their first album during the week after the release, a U.K. record topping that of the Beatles. Conclusion DRM should not simply be considered as a tool to protect against piracy, but rather as a key to opening up the market to new artists and improving musical offerings to internet users. The development of digital distribution technologies (digital products and information about these products) can also open the market up to info-mediaries, who promote and recommend new products to consumers and producers. For instance, some file-sharing networks already function as a two-sided platform where record companies can reach a large potential audience and select new acts more easily. Such music info-mediaries could collect detailed user information, which would, in turn, allow them to make targeted offers to users. As a result, they could 206 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 become more efficient at spotting new trends and potential stars. Moreover, the promotion of acts could be partly ensured by the music sites themselves. This would mean that music sites would take over some of the functions that belonged to the labels to-date. Although the death of big labels appears unlikely, it remains to be seen whether internet music sites will reduce their role in selecting music. The internet could enable consumers to make their own decisions, independent from the marketing strategies that are used to push some artists and neglect others, whose music is hardly, if at all, available to the public. Which of the various players in the music industry will benefit from this dramatic change remains to be seen. This paper outlines the dimensions within which the industry can adjust to offer new music as a digital product using DRM. A. DUCHÊNE, M. PEITZ & P. WAELBROECK 207 References BECHTOLD S. (2003): "The Present and Future of Digital Rights Management: Musing on Emerging Legal Problems", in: Becker, Buhse, Gunnewi, & Rump (Eds), Digital Rights Management - Technological, Economic, Legal and Political Aspects, Springer, pp. 597-654 BELLEFLAMME P. (2005): "Versioning in the Information Economy: Theory and Applications", CESIfo Economic Studies 51, pp. 329-358. BOUNIE D., BOURREAU M. & P. WAELBROECK (2005): "Pirates or Explorers? Analysis of Music Consumption in French Graduate Schools", Telecom Paris working paper in economics EC-05-01. DUCHÊNE A. & P. WAELBROECK (2006): "Legal and Technological Battle in Music Industry: Information-Pull vs. Information Push Technologies", International Review of Law and Economics, accepted for publication. GASSER U. (2004): "iTunes: How Copyright, Contract, and Technology Shape the Business of Digital Media - A Case Study", Berkman Center for Internet & Society at Harvard Law School Research Publication, no. 2004-07. GOPAL R.D., BHATTACHARJEE S. & G.L. SANDERS (2004): "Do Artists Benefit From Online Music Sharing?", Journal of Business, forthcoming LESSIG L. (2001): "The Future of Ideas: The Fate of the Commons in a Connected World", Random House. PEITZ M. & P. WAELBROECK: - (2003): "Piracy of Digital Products: A Critical Review of the Economics Literature", CESIfo Working Paper #1071. - (2005a): "An Economist's Guide to Digital Music", CESifo Economic Studies 51, 363-432. - (2005b): "Why the Music Industry May Gain from Free Downloads - the Role of Sampling", International Journal of Industrial Organization, forthcoming. SAMUELSON P. (2003): "DRM, (And, Or, Vs.} the Law", Communications of the ACM 46, pp. 41-45. SHAPIRO C. & H.R. VARIAN (1999): Information Rules, Harvard Business School Press. ZHANG M. (2002): "Stardom, Peer-to-Peer and the Socially Optimal Distribution of Music", mimeo. Public Policies Internet Governance, "In Larger Freedom" and "the international Rule of Law" Lessons from Tunis Klaus W. GREWLICH (*) Ambassador at large, Berlin Professor,Center for European Integration Studies, Bonn Member of the High level Advisors (ICT) to the UN-Secretary General I nternet governance was one of the core issues of the 2005 World Summit on the Information Society (WSIS) in Tunis 1 . The compromise arrangement reached in Tunis basically confirms the role of the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN) and the specific responsibilities and controls exercised by the United States. However, individual countries will manage their own country-code Top-Level Domains (ccTLDs). In addition, UN-Secretary General Kofi Annan was asked to convene a multi-stakeholder Internet Governance Forum (IGF) 2 , which is to have no supervisory function and will not replace existing arrangements, but should allow for a continued emphasis on global internet governance issues. The new Internet Governance Forum will have to work hand in hand with the new "Global Alliance for ICT and Development" established by the UN-Secretary General in Kuala Lumpur in June 2006. The latter provides a platform for the (*) The author is expressing his personal opinion. 1 UN/ITU (2005), "Tunis Commitment", WSIS-05/TUNIS/DOC/7-E; Tunis Agenda for the Information Society, WSIS-05/TUNIS/DOC/6(Rev.1)-E. 2 UN/ITU (2005): Tunis Agenda, para. 72. COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 209. 210 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 UN system and other stakeholders to mainstream and integrate ICT into the development agenda. "What we are all striving for is to protect and to strengthen the internet and to ensure that its benefits are available to all", declared the UNSecretary General in the opening session of the Tunis Summit 3 . Achieving these objectives implies functioning markets, rules, trust in human networks and appropriate procedural arrangements. John Rawls' "Theory of Justice" 4 has demonstrated the possibility of formulating general principles of fairness so as to supplement the "invisible hand of the market" with the visible hand of law and schemes of effective governance. Internet governance Prior to Tunis a Working Group on Internet Governance (WGIG) 5 established the following working definition: "Internet governance is the development and application by governments, the private sector and civil society, in their respective roles, of shared principles, norms, rules, decisionmaking procedures, and programmes that shape the evolution and use of the internet." This working definition of internet governance, however, is not substantive, but procedural and lacks normative depth. The WGIG has avoided tackling the normative question of what internet governance should be, what it should not be, and who should participate in effective governance. Some see the present allocation of internet resources as market based and effective; while others take directly the opposite view. For many developing countries the position of some members of the internet community who argue: "If it isn't broke, don't fix it" is perceived as perpetuating the existing distribution of internet resources. As far as the crucial role of all stakeholders in internet governance, including governments, the private sector, civil society and international organisations is concerned, the EU 6 believes that a new "cooperation model" is needed. 3 UN News Service, UN News Center, Nov. 16th 2005. 4 RAWLS J.(1973): A Theory of Justice, London p. 60. 5 WGIG (2005), "Report", Chateau de Bossey June 2005. 6 EU COMMISSION (2005): Communication from the Commission to the Council, the European Parliament, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions – Towards a Global Partnership in the Information Society: The Contribution of the European K.G. GREWLICH 211 According to the EU, existing internet governance mechanisms should be founded on a transparent and multilateral basis, with stronger emphasis on the public policy interest of all governments. The EU has underlined that governments have a specific mission and responsibility to their citizens in this respect. Prior to WSIS Tunis, the United States opposed the EU proposal, or rather what was perceived to be the EU position in the following statement: "The U.S. does not support an alternative system of internet governance based on governmental control over technical aspects of the internet. New intergovernmental bureaucracy over such a dynamic medium would dampen private sector interest in information technology innovation […].The U.S. seeks to preserve the growth and dynamism of the internet as a medium for commerce, freedom of expression and democracy against calls from Iran, Saudi Arabia, Brazil and the EU for a new level of bureaucracy to oversee and control the internet. The U.S. is committed to the expansion of the internet in an environment of political and economic freedom." The EU is not denying that the United States has done an excellent job in ensuring efficient administration of the internet. Moreover, the EU is well aware of the fact that some of the countries who are most verbal in advocating the internationalisation of the internet are those ready to inhibit free speech via the internet. Nevertheless it is the U.S. government that effectively has the sole right to decide when a new Top Level Domain (TDL) can be introduced into cyberspace. The controversy surrounding a possible new .xxx TDL for adult content has highlighted this bizarre situation. Despite concern over the .xxx-initiative expressed by the EU and other countries, it was the U.S. government that convinced ICANN to let the .xxx TDL enter cyberspace in the framework of a privileged contractual relationship (in the form of a letter written by the DOC Secretary of State), despite the fact that their content would be visible to internet-users worldwide 7 . Many representatives of civil society were dissatisfied with the discussions in Tunis and underlined that governments "played out little political games," but did not live up to their strategic policy responsibilities, to define what principles and norms should apply to the internet as a whole. Union to the Second Phase of the World Summit on the Information Society (WSIS), COM (2005) 234 final, 02.06.2005, p.8f. 7 REDING Viviane (2005), Speech – "Opportunities and challenges of the Ubiquitous World and some words on Internet Governance", (2005 Summit of the Global Business Dialogue on th electronic commerce), Brussels October 17 2005. 212 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 Elements of the process towards an effective international "rule of law" It might be helpful to remember that there has been a historical transition from the sovereignty-centred, so-called Westphalian international "law of coexistence" to the modern "international law of cooperation" 8 . The latter began to materialize in the mid-19th Century. The International Telecommunications Union (ITU), the world's oldest intergovernmental organization dating back to 1865, is an excellent example of the "international law of cooperation". "Governance" is not the final objective in terms of a "final regulatory regime," but part of a step by step progress towards an effective international "rule of law" (that also comprises of non-legal governance tools, such as "self-regulation" or "technical solutions" or "Code" 9 ). In this process individual states remain players of particular importance; but in governance reality the nation state is either competing with foreign, international and private governing authorities or working with them in joint efforts. We are currently experiencing a muddled, transitory situation, for which the term "governance" may be used as an exploratory notion. Even if the expression "cyberspace" - often used as a synonym for the internet – suggests similarities to physical space, such as land, sea, air or interstellar space, it is unlikely that a specific form of internet governance or a special "regime" for global information networks will be found. Comparing "cyberspace" to other "spaces" is misleading. As the internet clearly illustrates, the "space" created by global information networks is different in nature to physical space. It is true that, as with maritime transportation, where ships, cargos, ports and their facilities have owners, component parts of cyberspace such as communication links, satellites, computers, storage devices, data centres, routers and telephone exchanges are identifiable in terms of property. However, the seas constitute a physical space or substrate, and a special legal regime applies to them, namely the International Law of the Seas, enforced by a special court, the "Law of the 8 FRIEDMANN W. (1962): The Changing Dimensions of International Law, 62 Columbia L.R., p.1147ff. (1150); von BOGDANDY A. (2003): "Democracy, Globalisation, Future of Public International Law – a Stocktaking", Heidelberg Journal of International Law, 63 pp. 853-877 (871f.) 9 Most prominent are LESSIG L. (1999): Code and Other Laws of Cyberspace, Basic Books/Perseus; REIDENBERG J.R. (1998): "Lex Informatica – The Formulation of Information Policy Rules through Technology", in Texas Law Review, 76 (1998) 553-593; SYME S./CAMP L.J.: "Code as Governance - The Governance of Code", at: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=297154. K.G. GREWLICH 213 Sea Tribunal" 10 . As far as cyberspace is concerned, there is no such physical substrate, no legal regime applying to a particular space and no specialized international court. That does not mean that there are no elements of governance to be applied to cyberspace. The current governance of cyberspace is divided among many groups, some composed of volunteers such as the Internet Engineering Task Force (IETF), some like the World Wide Web Consortium (W3C) or ICANN, composed by a number of private and public sector entities and others entirely run by the private sector like many domain name registration bodies. International (governmental) organisations deal with policies and rules affecting access to cyberspace in the field of service liberalisation and e-commerce (WTO), cultural identity and linguistic diversity (UNESCO), intellectual property (WIPO), e-commerce and contracts (UNCITRAL) and technical standards (ITU, ISO and IEC), for instance. A distinction can be drawn between: (i) governance bodies (multi-player analysis asks the question: who is in charge of governance?); (ii) governance levels (multi-level analysis looks at the level at which governance is performed in terms of "subsidiarity?); and (iii) governance principles and tools (multi-instrument analysis asks how governance is implemented) 11 . Even if there is no full fledged regime for cyberspace, there are fragments of international governance. "Internet governance" in terms of principles would: - firstly, draw together and further refine existing general principles 12 of international law such as cooperation; fairness; comity; nondiscrimination, national treatment, most favoured nation treatment, estoppel 13 and particularly proportionality 14 and subsidiarity 15; 10 TREVES T. (1995): "The Law of the Sea Tribunal", Heidelberg Journal of International Law, 55 p. 421ff. 11 GREWLICH K.W. (2006): "'Internet governance' und 'voelkerrechtliche Konstitutionalisierung' – nach dem Weltinformationsgipfel 2005 Tunis", Kommunikation & Recht, 4 , p. 156ff. 12 e.g. CARREAU D. (1991): "Droit International", Pedone; LOWENFELD A. (Ed.) (1975-1979): International Economic Law, Matthew Bender 7 vols.; VERDROSS A. (1973): "Die Quellen des universellen Voelkerrechts", Romback, Freiburg; van HOUTTE H. (1995): The Law of International Trade, Carswell, London; KACZOROWSKA A. (2002): Public International Law, Old Bailey Press, London. 13 Estoppel is a well established principle of public international law. It is defined as a rule of evidence whereby a person is barred from denying the truth of a fact that has already been settled. Estoppel thus gives a party's partners a certain measure of confidence, since it precludes that party from "venire contra factum proprium". 214 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 - secondly, evolve additional specific substantive principles relating to both "access" and "public interest" 16: Principles relating to "access" would notably include fair use zones and the public domain, consumer needs relating to trust and digital signatures, intellectual property rights, cryptography and confidentiality, domain names, infrastructural development, the art and quality of regulation, the notion of digital solidarity and cooperation in building enabling frameworks and capacities to overcome the "digital divide." Principles relating to "public interest" would cover areas like human dignity and privacy/data protection, protection of minors, spam, security and cryptography, development, cultural identity and diversity including the "multi-lingualisation" of the internet. In this context, some insights from public economics may be helpful to better understand the concept of public goods pertaining to internet governance. At a national level – in markets and societies – it is the role of governments to provide public goods such as security, public education or public parks, and also to regulate public ills such as actual threats to health, privacy and information integrity, pollution or unfair competition. The economic characteristics of public goods (non-excludable and non-rival in consumption) are the same, irrespective of whether the public goods are local or global. Obvious examples include the global environment, global security, economic stability, health and knowledge. The openness, interdependence/interconnection and integration associated with globalization, and notably the ubiquitous internet, mean that somehow the tasks of identifying to what extent public goods are provided and public ills avoided would have to be undertaken not only at a local, but also at a global level 17 . 14 The principle of "proportionality" obliges governments to use the least intrusive measure, given the legitimate aim. This test calls for a comparison between the measure actually chosen and hypothetical alternative measures. 15 "Subsidarity" is an assignment principle that determines the optimal level at which public tasks should be performed, i.e. as close as possible to where the action occurs. 16 GREWLICH K. W. (1999): "Governance in 'Cyberspace' – Access and public interest in global communications", Kluwer Law International, p. 305ff. 17 DEEPAK N. & COURT J. (2002): "Governing Globalization: Issues and Institutions", UN University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU/WIDER), Policy Brief no. 5, Helsinki (7). K.G. GREWLICH 215 The challenge to provide public goods at the global level und to avoid public ills is one of the engines driving the process from governance to the "effective international rule of law" ("Constitutionalisation" in terms of normative principles contained in the UN Secretary General's Report "In Larger Freedom" 18 ). Another major driving force is that everyday users, or (net)citizens, urgently expect measures to deal with fraud, spam, hacking, violations of data protection. A real commitment to an open and inclusive dialogue is needed, notably on the part of those presently feel comfortable with the status quo. The prevailing currency should be engagement and persuasion, built on long term relationships and trust. 18 UN-SECRETARY GENERAL (2005), "In larger freedom: Towards development, security and st human rights for all", UN Gen. Ass. Doc, A/59/2005, March 21 2005. Book Review Alban GONORD & Joëlle MENRATH Mobile Attitude Ce que les portables ont changé dans nos vies Hachette Littératures, 2005, 282 pages by Marie MARCHAND Les auteurs disent du mobile (ou portable) qu'il est un objet à tout faire (bien ou mal) et qu'il n'est pas forcément utilisé pour ses fonctions principales. A cet égard, le portable ne fait que ressembler à tous les objets domestiques qui sont constamment détournés de leur usage (voir les travaux de Philippe Mallein sur le sujet). Les auteurs ajoutent que ce portable s'inscrit dans la gamme des objets qui disent le statut d'une personne, ce qui n'est guère différent d'une Swatch, d'une paire de Nike, d'un appareil photo ou d'un Palm au demeurant. Tout ceci est vrai et a été confirmé dans de nombreuses études sur les objets techniques et sur les objets de communication. Mais, c'est assez plaisant de se reconnaître dans les petites stratégies individuelles que les uns et les autres mettent en œuvre pour se donner l'impression qu'ils utilisent leur téléphone portable différemment de leurs amis ou connaissances, en se créant leur bulle, en branchant l'appareil dès leur réveil pour scander la journée, en téléphonant en compagnie d'autres personnes (vivent les terrasses de cafés !), etc. C'est dans cette chaîne d'objets techniques de communication et d'information (qui va du fixe au mobile, en passant par le minitel, l'internet, le palm, etc.) qu'il me semble devoir analyser le téléphone mobile et je regrette que les auteurs de Mobile attitude aient l'air de considérer qu'ils s'intéressent au premier objet technique de communication individuelle et portable, en faisant fi de la chaîne d'objets qui l'ont précédé et introduit. Mais au fond, les auteurs de Mobile attitude racontent ce "dé-paysement" à leur manière et je voudrais reprendre quelques-unes des idées forces de leur travail. Je retiendrais les idées suivantes : • Le téléphone portable est un objet technique qui comble le vide "existentiel" (la vacuité du temps, l'ennui, les temps morts, tous ces espaces interstitiels, et malheureusement, de mon point de vue, les moments de respiration, et de méditation). COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 217. 218 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 • La médiation des relations entre moi et les autres. Les auteurs vont chercher des exemples riches, qui montrent que le téléphone scande toute une vie. Dommage qu'ils n'aient pas analysé le deuil auquel ont conduit les téléphones portables qui sonnaient du haut des Twin Towers, alors que leurs porteurs étaient probablement déjà morts. Y aurait -t-il un portable après la mort ? • L'impérieuse nécessité d'un téléphone portable comme outil d'autonomie à l'âge adolescent où l'on veut être libre (ce que notait Philippe Mallein dans ses travaux déjà anciens sur le concept du "séparés ensemble"). • Sa petite note de musique qui fait de "sa" sonnerie un double de sa personne. • Les retrouvailles familiales des parents qui osent à nouveau téléphoner à leurs enfants, car avec un portable, c'est ludique. Et du coup … pas intrusif, de mon pint de vue. • Le fait que le mobile soit le plus souvent porteur d'un non-événement (T'es où ? Tu m'entends ? je ne t'entends plus !) • Le gestuel autour du portable, qui leur fait, à juste titre, penser à celui de la cigarette. • Leur analyse du regard social sur le portable ne peut manquer de me faire penser à son revers direct : le vol massif des portables, que j'aurais aimé voir pris en compte. • L'impossibilité de l'isolement, que ce soit de la voix ou du SMS, qui me rappelle les raisons - évidement indirectes - de l'assassinat tragique de Marie Trintignant pour cause de SMS mortel. • Le savoir-vivre du téléphone portable, dont les auteurs relèvent l'ambivalence, et qu'on ne peut s'empêcher de rapprocher de la "Netiquette", autrement plus contraignante. • Le concept de communauté compatissante qui est bien sûr lié au téléphone, mais qui le dépasse largement, puisque consubstantiel de nos sociétés contemporaines, tant au plan familial qu'au plan social, qu'au plan politique. …"Les foules sentimentales" qu'Alain Souchon célèbre avec les mots du poète. • Le pacte, sans cesse renégocié et mouvant, qui remplace la loi non appliquée et rigide (elle-même antinomique des communautés compatissantes). Je terminerai cette note de lecture en vous disant que j'ai beaucoup aimé l'épilogue que je vous laisse découvrir. Book Review 219 The authors claim that the mobile phone is a multi-purpose object (for better or worse), which is not necessarily used for its main function, namely telephony. In this respect, mobile phones are no different to all domestic objects, which are constantly used for another purpose to that for which they were intended (for a more detailed discussion of this topic see the work of Philippe Mallein). The authors are right when they add that the mobile phone belongs to a range of objects that reflect an individual's status, but that it is no different to Swatch watches, Nikies, cameras or Palms at the end of the day. All this is true and has been confirmed by several studies of technical and communication objects. However, it is rather pleasant to recognise oneself in the little strategies adopted by various individuals to give the impression that they use their mobile phone differently to their friends and acquaintances, by creating their own private bubble, by turning the telephone on the moment they wake up to mark the beginning of the day, by telephoning while in the company of others (three cheers for café terraces!), and so on. It is in the context of this family of communication and information tools (ranging from the fixed telephone to the mobile, via minitel, the Internet, palms, etc.) that mobile telephony should, in my opinion, be analysed. Unfortunately the authors of Mobile Attitude seem to be under the impression that they are dealing with the first ever personal and portable communication object, and do not spare a thought for the chain of objects that preceded and paved the way for the mobile phone. However, the authors of Mobile Attitude essentially have their own way of relating this "change of scene" and I would like to highlight some of their stronger concepts in their work. These ideas are that: • The mobile phone is a technological object that fills the "existential" gap (empty time, boredom, dead time, all of those interstitial spaces, which unfortunately, from my point of view, represent moments for taking stock and reflection). • The mediation of relationships between me and the others. The authors present a broad range of examples that illustrate how the mobile phone marks the pace of our entire life. What I regret is that they do not analyse the grief caused by the mobile phones that continued to ring at the top of the Twin Towers after their owners had probably already died. Will there be a mobile phone after death? • The imperative necessity of owning a mobile phone as a tool of independence for adolescents who have reached an age where one wants to be free (a point already made by Philippe Mallein in older research into the concept of "separated together"). • The mobile phone's musical touch that makes "its" ring tone a double of its owner's personality. 220 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 • Renewed family bonds with parents who dare to ring their children again because mobile phones make this fun - and suddenly not so intrusive in my opinion. • The fact that mobile phones often bear the news of non-events (Where are you? Can you hear me? I can't hear you!) • All the gestures related to mobile phones, which are reminiscent of smoking. • The authors' analysis of the social attention attracted by the mobile phone inevitably made me think of its flip side, namely the widespread theft of mobile phones, which I would like to have seen dealt with. • The impossibility of isolating oneself, whether this be from voice or SMS communications. • The good manners of mobile telephony, whose ambivalence is underlined by the authors and which one cannot help comparing to "Netiquette", which is more restrictive in a different way. • The concept of the caring community, which is of course related to the telephone, but which goes far beyond it, since it lays the foundation of contemporary society, both in terms of family-life, social interactions and political reality. • The pact, constantly renegotiated and changing, that replaces the non applied and rigid law (itself antinomic to the concept of caring communities). I would like to conclude this review by saying that I deeply enjoyed the book's epilogue, which I will leave its readers to discover for themselves. Debra HOWCROFT & Eileen M. TRAUTH (Eds) Handbook of critical Information Systems Research Theory and Application Edward Elgar publishing, 2005, 426 pages by Jean-Gustave PADIOLEAU This book provides an excellent opportunity for readers to familiarise themselves with an increasingly popular research paradigm in organization and management studies, namely critical realism. This volume is a welcome addition to the previously published works of reference (including: M. ARCHER et al., Critical Realism, Essential Readings, Routledge, 1998, London; S. ACKROYD et al., Realist Perspectives on Organization and Management, Routledge, 2000 London; Critical Realist Applications in Organization and Management Studies, Routledge, 2001, London). In a few words, critical realism aims to be an alternative research paradigm to positivism and to post-modern relativism. Realism? There is a world which exists independently of the researcher's representation of it. Critical? Social Book Review 221 sciences have an emancipatory potential. They can be critical of the social phenomena they observe. Realism favours normative judgments. This normative agenda may disturb or irritate potential readers of the Handbook of Critical Information Systems Research. The contributions include numerous neo-marxist and feminism critiques. Nevertheless, this collective work deserves attention. The Handbook of Critical Information Systems Research offers valuable insights into, for instance, the complex issues of "rationalities and emotions" and "power" in Information Systems. Economists and specialists will appreciate the provocative analysis of wide-spread phenomena, although the cases of "Is failure" and "design fallacies" merit further study. Other stimulating contributions include "management fashions and informations systems", "the ethnical turn in Information systems" and "competing rationalities." Once again, some aficionados of the "lieu commun" in positivist social science against normative judgements will disregard this challenging paradigm in progress. However, like it or not, let's recognize that the academic labour of critical realism has an emancipatory potential of liberating our closed minds. Dan REINGOLD with Jennifer REINGOLD (Eds) Confession of a Wall Street Analyst: A True Story of Inside Information and Corruption in the Stock Market HarperCollins Publishing, New York, NY, 2006, 368 pages. by James ALLEMAN Dan Reingold not only lays outs his career as a telecommunications analyst on Wall Street in this professional autobiography, but sets forth quite explicitly many of the problems with the financial services industry and the information and communications technology (ICT) sector it supported. Unfortunately, most of these problems have not been resolved by legislation arising from the scandals, accounting frauds, and deceptive practices at Enron, Qwest, WorldCom, Global Crossings, and other companies that resulted in bankruptcies, losses of trillions (yes a "t") in stockholders' value, tens of thousands of redundancies and employees losing their retirement plans and savings. Reingold takes a swipe at interlocking directorships, particularly in the case of AT&T and Citigroup, the indefeasible rights of use (IRUs) and their accounting treatment. Reingold provides details on Bernie Ebbers and the rise of WorldCom and Jack Grubman's role on the financial side, as well as Grubman's intimate relationship with Ebbers. The rise and fall of Global Crossing, Qwest, and other companies, with the aid of analysts and bankers, 222 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 are detailed in the book. In addition, the author indicts the accounting industry, particularly the quality and reliability of auditors, for whom he earlier had admiration. He points out the changes in their practices that aided and abetted the nefarious practices of the ICT sector. Reingold indicates how the investment bankers both scorn analysts and attempt to coerce, intimidate and sway them to rate their clients favorably. At the same time, many analysts were under pressure to provide advance notice to bankers of down grades in ratings. With respect to IPO's Reingold notes: "The problem was that the IPO shares were being spun, certain investors got inside information and the rest of the investing public was playing in a rigged game and didn't even know it." (p. 274). For those who lost some of the trillions of dollars in the market, the book is sure to confirm their suspicions and annoy them. More importantly, according to Reingold, the systemic problems have not been addressed. This points to additional problems, disappointments and a lack of confidence in the veracity of the stock market in the future. According to Reingold the "Chinese Wall" separating the analyst and the investment banking segment of the firm is breached – more often than one would like to think. Moreover, he stresses the importance of information, which moves the market, by millions, if not billions. Early access to this "insider" information can make fortunes for the insiders (and rarely leads to a jail term, even if offenders are caught). Reingold cites the example of Fidelity, in the days before Reg FD (Fair Disclosure), which requires all information about a company to be released to everyone simultaneously. The analysts would fly to Boston and brief Fidelity first, and then move on to others. Thus, Fidelity would get the early news on the buys and when to sell. "Trying to mimic Fidelity's stock purchase was a good strategy, one that many individuals and companies employed, but it had a major downside: if you were still in when 'FIDO' started selling, you were toast." (p. 110). Another example of the power of insider information was with Global Crossing, in which only a handful of people were privy to a briefing (p. 237) which indicated problems with Global Crossing's business plan – its stock price fell by 17 percent within two hours of the meeting. More importantly, he indicates how both Wall Street and the ICT sectors were complicit in the collapse of the ICT sector. Reingold also notes how the research arms of banks were continually pressured to support banking side deals (pp. 36, 71, 103, 104, 112), as blatant as tying analyst's compensation to the banking side revenues (p. 186) or more subtle forms of incentives or threats. He discusses how the Security and Exchange Commission's (SEC) "No-Action Letter" and knowingly looking the other way facilitated the conflicts of interest between research and banking (pp. 41, 103, 163-165 ), which have not been addressed. Book Review 223 In this easy to read and informative book, Reingold (with Jennifer Reingold, his niece) traces his career from MCI to Morgan Stanley, to Merrill Lynch, and finally, to Credit Suisse First Boston (CSFB) during the stock market's "go-go" years of the late nineties and early in this century. Along the way, he introduces many high-rollers on Wall Street and the ICT sectors – their arrogance, hubris, and conceit, but most of all their greed. In particular, his evil "twin," Jack Grubman of Smith Barney, is one of the major villains of the piece. According to Reingold, Grubman is constantly revealing privileged information after going "over-the-wall," that is, talking to the investment banking side of the business and their clients. Grubman, according to Reingold, would spread this knowledge through out the industry in order to gain status and be known as an insider (pp. 77, 71, 133, 174, 224, 285). Unfortunately, this could cost the unaware investing public, and even some of the professional investors, hundreds of millions of dollars; in one case Reingold documents, a three billion dollar swing in a day (p. 78). But yet, even when the law comes down on Grubman, he only has to pay a 15 million dollar fine, less than half of his severance package and only a small piece of his reported 80 million dollars of compensation during the period (pp. 288-289). Crime pays! But Reingold goes further than this well publicized story to criticize the fact that Spitzer or other crime fighters did not investigate how high up the ladder the corruption went; although one gets a clue in the actions of Sandy Weill, Chairman and CEO Citigroup at the time, and Grubman to cite a specific example. Michael Armstrong, head of AT&T, expressed to Weill, who was on AT&T's Board, his annoyance with Grubman's negative views on AT&T. Weill asked Grubman to "take another look" at ATT shortly before ATT spun-off its wireless business and would need an investment bank to handle the world's largest IPO. In the end Grubman raised the rating on ATT, and got his two children into the desirable 92nd. Street Y pre-school with Weill's assistance. The pre-school received a one-million dollar donation from Citigroup (a tax write-off for the firm). And, Citigroup became one of the lead bankers on the AT&T offering and made 63 million dollars for the firm (pp. 197-199). Later, Grubman returned to verbally dissing AT&T while maintaining its high "buy" rating and within a few months had lowered it by two notches. By the way, Armstrong was used to solidify Weill's power at Citigroup by helping oust his rival co-chairman. This is one, but perhaps the most well known, example cited by Reingold of conflicts of interest in the industry. Reingold's focus on the incentive structure offered by the banks and the industry is critical to the understanding of the remedies, which he does not feel the current reform captured. Every securities policymaker should read the last chapter – "Afterword" – of Confessions… to understand how the current legislation and regulations are not adequate to control and correct the practices of the finance sector. Indeed, he feels that Elliot Spitzer did not No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 224 go far enough. He failed to reach the highest level of the executive suite. The famous 1.4 billion dollar settlement with the financial industry, for example, only "punished" the firms and not the individuals involved. Indeed, it is a small sum to pay when the industry made over 80 billion dollars in profit during the period (p. 288). "I just hoped he [Spitzer] wouldn't stop at firms, but would take his crusade right to the door of individuals who broke the rules. After all… if firms are fined, the stockholders suffer. By contrast, if individual executives are punished, shareholders will benefit because executives are more likely to behave better in the future and spend more time running their companies instead of lining their own pockets." (p. 288). The research environment steadily deteriorated over this period, and it does not appear to have improved despite all the rule changes and legislation. "This job was less about analysis and more than ever about who you knew." (p. 205). This is why the last chapter of the book is so important; it provides guidance on how to rectify these issues from someone who knows the problems and conflicts intimately. As with several books on the collapse of the ICT sector and practices of its financial enablers, this book reads like a novel, except no publisher would accept it as believable. But this is not fiction and the problems, issues and conflicts remain, much to the detriment of the society and the investing public. Would that all analysts had the ethics of a Dan Reingold; regrettably, it appears they do not. Thomas SCHULTZ Réguler le commerce électronique par la résolution des litiges en ligne Une approche critique Bruylant, Cahiers du centre de recherches informatiques et droit, Brussels, 2005, 672 pages by Jean-Pierre DARDAYROL Ce livre traite des relations qu'entretiennent d'une part, la régulation du commerce électronique et d'autre part la résolution des litiges en lignes. Il est tiré de la thèse en doctorat de l'auteur. L'approche, présentée comme pluridisciplinaire, est principalement juridique. Elle s'adresse à un public de spécialistes. L'ouvrage aborde successivement trois sujets : - la théorie générale de la régulation du cyberespace en s'attachant principalement à décrire l'état du droit dans le cyberespace, les trois principaux modèles de régulation, avant de présenter la thèse de l'auteur : "le réseau : méta-modèle de régulation ; Book Review 225 - le mouvement "on line dispute resolution" qui est analysé, puis présenté comme une voie privilégiée d'accès à la justice ; - l'analyse critique et fouillée des conditions de validité d'une régulation du cyberespace par la résolution des litiges en ligne. La thèse de l'auteur - riche et large - repose sur des idées fortes : - pour les petites et moyennes transactions, les acteurs du on line dispute resolution sont bien positionnés ; - alors que les formes classiques de justice sont peu accessibles, mal adaptées et coûteuses ; - les résolutions en ligne par des acteurs déterritorialisés reposeront sur deux piliers : d'une part, "des principes fondamentaux communs" et d'autre part, l'autoexécution des accords. En face de cette innovation fondamentale, l'auteur souhaite la mise en place d'une intervention de l'Etat pour l'encadrer, notamment en cas de dérives. The book, based on the author's doctoral thesis, examines the relations between electronic commerce regulation on the one hand and online dispute resolution on the other. Although presented as multi-disciplinary, the approach adopted is mainly juridical and the book is aimed at specialist readers. The book centres on the following three topics: - a general theory of cyberspace regulation, which offers an overview of cyberspace legislation and the three main regulatory models adopted, before moving on to present the author's thesis: "The network: a metamodel of regulation"; - the trend towards "online dispute resolution," which is analysed and subsequently presented as a privileged form of access to justice; - a critical and detailed analysis of the validity of regulating cyberspace via online dispute resolution. - The author's thesis – rich and extensive – is based on strong ideas: - online dispute resolution players are well-placed when it comes to small and medium-sized transactions; - traditional forms of justice, by comparison, are inaccessible, ill-suited and expensive; - online resolutions by players outside national jurisdictions will be based on two mainstays: "fundamental common principles" on the one hand and self-enforced agreements on the other. Confronted by this radically innovative process, the author expresses his desire to see a State body set up to oversee online dispute resolution, especially if the situation drifts out of control. The authors James ALLEMAN is a professor in the College of Engineering and Applied Science, University of Colorado, Boulder. In the fall of 2005 Dr. Alleman was a visiting scholar at IDATE in Montpellier, France; previously, he was a visiting professor at the Graduate School of Business, Columbia University, and director of research at Columbia Institute of Tele-Information (CITI). Professor Alleman continues his involvement at CITI in research projects as a senior fellow. He has also served as the director of the International Center for Telecommunications Management at the University of Nebraska at Omaha, director of policy research for GTE, and an economist for the International Telecommunication Union. Dr. Alleman was also the founder of Paragon Service International, Inc., a telecommunications call-back firm and has been granted patents (numbers 5,883,964 & 6,035,027) on the call-back process widely used by the industry. Jacques BAJON is Senior consultant in Television and medias at lDATE. His missions are focused on the television and internet sphere in which he conducts strategic and sector-based studies. He is also active in the new TV services domains and follows up the roll out of new TV delivery networks. He previously worked as a freelance writer for the Eurostaf group, carrying out market research and analysis on groups in the media and telecommunications sectors. He has also gained market analyst experience from working with Ericsson. Jacques Bajon holds a post-graduate research degree (DEA) in international economics (University Paris X Nanterre) j.bajon@idate.org Pieter BALLON is senior consultant at TNO-ICT, the ICT institute of the Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research. He is also programme manager at the centre for Studies on Media, Information and Telecommunication (SMIT), Vrije Universiteit Brussel. He specialises in innovations in fixed and wireless broadband services and the political economy of telecommunications, on which topics he has published extensively. Pieter Ballon holds degrees in modern history (Catholic University of Leuven) and in library and information science (University of Antwerp). Currently he is coordinator of the cross issue "business modelling" for the various integrated projects of the Wireless World Initiative within the 6th European Framework Programme. COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 227. 228 No. 61, 1st Q. 2006 Colin BLACKMAN is an independent consultant, editor and writer specialising in foresight and analysis of information age issues. He is the founding editor of info and foresight, chief editor of Shaping Tomorrow and was formerly editor of Telecommunications Policy. He works with a wide variety of clients including the European Commission's Institute for Prospective and Technological Studies, DG Information Society and Media, the European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions, the OECD, the International Telecommunication Union and the World Bank. His recent private sector clients include European and global players in the telecommunications and energy sectors. Erik BOHLIN is currently Head and Associate Professor ("Docent") at the Division of Technology & Society, Department of Technology Management & Economics at Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg. He has published in a number of areas relating to the information society including policy, strategy, and management. He is Chair of the International Telecommunications Society, as well as a member of the Scientific Advisory Boards of COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, Info and Telecommunications Policy. Erik Bohlin graduated in Business Administration and Economics from the Stockholm School of Economics (1987) and holds a Ph.D. from the Chalmers University of Technology (1995). erbo@mot.chalmers.se Olivier BOMSEL is Professor of Industrial Economics at the Ecole des Mines and a senior researcher at Cerna, the school's Centre of Industrial Economics. His background is in computer science engineering (Ecole des Mines de Saint Etienne) and he also holds a PhD in industrial economics. Since 1997 his research has dealt with digital innovation dynamics through networks and media economics. On top of his activities at the Ecole des Mines, Olivier Bomsel is co-founder of TaboTabo Films, a media company producing films and TV series. Martin CAVE is Professor at Warwick Business School at the University of Warwick in the UK. He specialises in regulatory economics and is the author of numerous articles. Martin Cave is also co-editor of the Handbook of Telecommunications Economics (Elsevier, 2002 and 2005) and of Digital Television (Edward Elgar, 2006). He advises a number of regulators and is President of Thinktel, an international think tank in the field of communications based in Milan. Peter CURWEN is Visiting Professor of Telecommunications Strategy attached to the Department of Management Science at the University of Strathclyde in Glasgow and an independent author and consultant. He was previously Professor of Business Economics at Sheffield Hallam University. He has published several books on telecommunications, including The Future of Mobile Telecommunications: Awaiting the third generation (London: Macmillan, 2002) and with Jason Whalley Telecommunications Strategy: Cases, theory and applications (London: Routledge, 2004). His specialist area is mobile telecommunications, and he has published The authors 229 extensively on this subject (often with Dr. Whalley) including articles in COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, Telecommunications Policy and Info. Jean-Pierre DARDAYROL joined the CGTI (Conseil général des technologies de l'information) in 2003 as a senior advisor in the field of ICT, specialising in software industries and usage innovations. He is also a research fellow at Grenoble MSHAlpes (CNRS), President of Standarmedia and at CARSI (Carcassonne ICT summer University and Grenoble winter University). Jean-Pierre Dardyrol graduated from the Ecole polytechnique in 1972 and ENST-Paris in 1977. Ariane DELVOIE is Attorney at law in Paris, Senior associate in the Alain Bensoussan Law Firm. Specialized both in consulting and litigation in computer agreements issues and intellectual property law in France as in the common law countries. She is author of numerous articles related to IT news, notably in: la Gazette du Palais des technologies avancées, l'Informatique Professionnel, ExpertIT News, I-Date, Information & Systèmes. She regularly participates in seminars and conferences and also provides in-house training. Ariane-delvoie@alain-bensoussan.com Anne DUCHÊNE is currently a post-doctoral fellow at the University of British Columbia and is due to take up a position as assistant professor at Drexel University in autumn 2006. She earned her PhD from CERAS-Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées, after graduate studies at University of Paris I - La Sorbonne. Her current research focuses on intellectual property rights, and more specifically on internet piracy, agency relationships in the patent industry and the (dis)functionning of patent offices. David FERNÁNDEZ graduated in audiovisual communication from the Autonomous University of Barcelona. He is currently working on his PhD at the GRISS in the Department of Audiovisual Communication and Advertising at the University of Barcelona. In this context David Fernández is investigating several research projects related to cultural industries, online media, peer-to-peer communication and interactive television services, as well as other projects on traditional media. He has also developed a career as a journalist and a producer in the press, radio, television and the multimedia sector. Simon FORGE has some 30 years of experience working in the information industries on projects in telecommunications and computing, specifically exploring new wireless and computing technologies and potential futures, outcomes and strategies for markets, products, companies, countries and regions. He recently led a European Commission study on future spectrum usage for EU input to the ITU WRC07 deliberations (downloadable, http://fms.jrc.es) for EC/JRC/IPTS and DG Info Soc and has studied policy, legal and economic issues of open source software on behalf of the EC as input to EU policy formulation on OSS. He is currently leading a study of 230 No. 61, 1st Q. 2006 the legal and commercial aspects of Grid computing industrialisation. Previously, Simon Forge managed delivery of IT and telecommunications systems as Director of IT Development for Consumer and Business Products for Hutchison 3G UK, developing mobile multimedia products. He holds a Ph.D, in digital signal processing, a MSc and a BSc in Control Engineering, all from University of Sussex, UK, is Chartered Engineer and M. IEE, and sits on the editorial board of the Journal Info. Anne-Gaëlle GEFFROY is currently a Ph.D student at CERNA, the Centre of Industrial Economics of the Ecole des Mines de Paris. She also holds a batchelor's degree in economics from the Ecole Normale Supérieure. Anne-Gaëlle Geffroy's research focuses on the economics of DRMs and addresses issues such as compatibility and standardization, vertical relations in the media chain and digital copyright laws. Klaus W. GREWLICH is Professor of International Law & Communications at the Center of European Integration Studies at Bonn University. He is also a member of the high level ICT-Policy Advisors to the Secretary General of the United Nations in New York. From 1990 to 1995 Prof. Grewlich was Executive Vice President (International Business) and a board member of Deutsche Telekom. From 1996 to 1998 he was Director General and a board member of an Industrial Federation in Brussels. In 2001 Prof. Grewlich was appointed Ambassador of the Federal Republic of Germany after serving in Baku, New York and Bukarest. kwgr@gmx.de Bernard GUILLOU has been active in the field of international media and telecommunications for nearly thirty years, with a particular focus on regulation, industry development and the strategies of multimedia companies. In 2003 he founded Mediawise+, a strategic advice and research firm serving key players in those two industries. Prior to this Guillou spent a number of years with the Canal+ pay-TV group, firstly as Director of International Development and subsequently as Group Director of Corporate Strategy. Prior to joining Canal+, Bernard Guillou was head of the video services division at the Prospective and Economic Studies Unit of France Telecom. He is a member of the Editorial Committee of COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES and the Euro-Conference for Policy and Regulation. He is the author and co-author of three books on the strategies of multimedia companies and broadcasting regulation in Europe and the USA. He holds degrees from the Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales and the Paris-Dauphine University. Rémy LE CHAMPION is an associate professor at the University Paris II and a researcher at CARISM. He holds a Ph.D in economics from the University Paris X, as well as a post-doctorate from Keio University in Tokyo, Japan. He was previously a visiting researcher at the Columbia Institute for Tele-Information in New York, USA, and headed the research department of the Conseil Supérieur de l'Audiovisuel in France. He currently works as an independent expert for the European Commission. His research interests include media economics and new media (TV, programming, The authors 231 LPTV, press). He is the author of numerous publications, and most recently Télévision de pénurie, télévision d'abondance, with Benoît Danard, La télévision sur Internet, with Michel Agnola. remylc@noos.fr Evelyne LENTZEN is currently President of the Conseil supérieur de l'audiovisuel (CSA) in Belgium. Before taking up this post in 1997, Ms. Lentzen was editor-in-chief of the Centre de recherches et d'information socio-politique (CRISP), a Belgian research centre whose activities are devoted to the study of political and economic decision-making in Belgium and in Europe. Ms. Lentzen holds a B.A. in politics from the Université libre de Bruxelles. Sven LINDMARK is assistant professor and head of the Division of Innovation Engineering and Management at Chalmers University of Technology, where he lectures on the management and economics of innovation in the ICT sector. He holds MSc and Ph. D degrees in Industrial Management. His research interests include a broad range of innovation-related issues, including industrial and technological change, standardization, innovation systems and the diffusion of innovations and forecasting. He has worked extensively in the field of mobile communications, including studies on the history of the sector, mobile internet services in Japan and Europe, 3G and 4G mobile systems, barriers to the diffusion of mobile internet services and the evolution and state of the Swedish telecom innovation system. Marie MARCHAND has studied the field of new information technologies and their impact on corporate strategy for many years. After managing France Telecom's market forecast department, she was subsequently appointed marketing director at Cap Gemini. She has taught at Stanford University and is now a consultant. In this capacity she works with large corporations to help them adapt their strategies to the generalisation of the internet and to use if as a management tool in their daily business. Laurence MEYER joined IDATE in November 1998 as senior consultant in the Media Economics department. She specialises in structural analysis, sector-based economic forecasts and the evaluation of public policies. As projects director at IDATE, Laurence Meyer's missions are primarily focused on the different domains of the Television world, the mid-term risks and potential in this sector (Digital TV, Interactive TV, IPTV, Personal TV and VOD services, …). In this context, she is frequently involved in Europe-wide strategic missions. Previously, she was a consultant at the French economic study and forecasting company B.I.P.E. where she monitored the different Communication markets. This experience has also endowed her with skills in the Cinema, Internet and Telecommunications for audiovisual services sectors, as well as in the field of Consumer Electronics. Laurence Meyer is an economic engineer and holds a post-graduate professional diploma (Magistère) from Aix-Marseille II University of Economics (1991). l.meyer@idate.org 232 No. 61, 1st Q. 2006 Jean-Gustave PADIOLEAU is associate professor at University Paris-Dauphine and senior researcher at GEMAS-Fondation Maison des Sciences de l'Homme (Paris). He has written several academic books and articles and regularly contributes to newspapers and reviews such as Les Echos, Libération and Le Débat. He is also a member of COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES Scientific Committee. Martin PEITZ is Professor of Economics and Quantitative Methods at the International University in Germany. Martin Peitz received his doctorate in economics from the University of Bonn. He is an associate editor of Information Economics & Policy, a research fellow of CESifo and ENCORE, and has published numerous articles in leading economics journals. His current research focuses on the media, entertainment, and telecommunications markets, as well as the understanding of reputation in markets. Emili PRADO is Professor of Audiovisual Communication at the Autonomous University of Barcelona and a research associate at the University of California, Berkeley. He is the director of EUROMONITOR and USAMONITOR (Television International Observatories), which been doing research on TV programming since 1989. He is the Director of the Image, Sound and Synthesis Research Group (GRISS), which is working on various projects ranging from the consumption of screen-mediated communication to the acoustic model of credibility, interactive television and political communication. He has been a visiting professor at the universities of Quebec, Montreal, Sao Paulo, Bordeaux and Pisa. Alexander SCHEUER completed studies in law at the University of Saarland, Germany, (1987-1993), and the Catholic University of Leuven, Belgium, (1990/91). In 1994 he was appointed Vice-General Manager of the law section of the EuropaInstitut at the University of Saarland. From 1997 to 2000 Alexander Scheuer was Vice-General Manager of the Institute of European Media Law (EMR), in Saarbrucken/Brussels, where he became General Manager and member of the Executive Board in 2000. The same year, he was admitted to the bar. Scheuer is a member of the Advisory Committee and of the IRIS' Editorial Board, both at the European Audiovisual Observatory, Strasbourg. In 2003 he became a member of the Scientific Advisory Board of the Voluntary Self-Regulation of Private Televisions in Germany (FSF), Berlin. Alexander Scheuer has also written and contributed to a large number of studies and other publications on European media law. Alexandre de STREEL ACKNOLO is a lecturer at the economic faculty of the University of Namur (Belgium) and a researcher at the law department of the European University Institute of Florence (Italy). His research interests focus on electronic communications regulation and competition policy. From 2000 to 2003 he was an expert at the European Commission, where he was involved in the negotiation of the new regulatory framework. Alexandre de Streel has published extensively on this topic in both telecommunications and antitrust reviews (World Competition, European Competition Law Review, Journal of Network Industries, Info, The authors 233 Cahiers de droit europeen, Journal des Tribunaux de droit europeen). He holds a degree in law (University of Brussels) and in economics (University of Louvain). Patrick WAELBROECK is a lecturer at Télécom Paris - Ecole nationale supérieure des télécommunications. He earned his Ph.D from the University of Paris La Sorbonne. He also holds an M.A. from Yale University and is a Fulbright alumnus. His current research proposes both empirical and theoretical perspectives on internet piracy and technological protection in creative industries. Uta WHEN de MONTALVO is senior researcher and advisor on Information and Communication Technology (ICT) policy at TNO (Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research). Previously, she worked as a research officer in SPRU – Science and Technology Policy Research and as a programmer for IBM UK Ltd. She holds a DPhil in Science and Technology Policy from the University of Sussex (UK). Her research focuses on new ICT services with a special interest in business models for location-based services and spatial data policy. ITS News Message from the Chair Dear ITS members, As I write this message the concluding event of the 16th ITS Biennial Conference in Beijing, which took place on June 12th-16th 2006 has just drawn to a close. The conference captured our hearts and minds, and its participants will cherish many fond memories of Chinese hospitality and elegance. The event took place in the best possible spirit of ITS: scientific interchange, new research results, professional networking and new friendships. The theme of the ITS 16th Biennial Conference was "Information Communication Technology (ICT): Opportunities and Challenges for the Telecommunications Industry." The conference was hosted by the Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications (BUPT). The principal conference organisers were Professor Ting-Jie LU, Dean, School of Economics and Management at BUPT, together with ITS Board member Professor Xu Yan, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. Just before the conference in Beijing, ITS convened its annual board of directors meeting. The ITS Committees (Conferences & Seminars, Finance, Marketing & Promotions, Membership and Nominations, Publications, and Strategic Planning) each reported on their respective activities and results. The most important decision taken at the ITS Board meeting regarded the location and hosting of the next biennial conference. I am pleased to announce that the 17th ITS Biennial Conference will be held in Montreal, June 24th-27th, 2008, and will be co-hosted by the University of Sherbroke and TELUS. The principal organizers will be Professor Anastassios Gentzoglanis from the University of Sherbroke and Stephen Schmidt from TELUS. ITS will be in good hands with these able and dedicated friends – TELUS is a long standing supporter of ITS, and Professor Gentzoglanis presented his first ITS papers COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 235. 236 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 back in 1989! We are confident that these colleagues will make the next conference a hallmark event in keeping with the spirit of ITS. ITS is also pleased to welcome a new board member. Professor Hitoshi Mitomo, Waseda University, joined the ITS board in April 2006. At the ITS Board meeting in Beijing, several ITS board members were also re-elected for a period of six years additional service including James Alleman, Loretta Anania, Erik Bohlin, Hidenori Fuke, Gary Madden and Xu Yan. New roles and responsibilities have emerged in the ITS board and related support functions: - Vice Chair: Brigitte Preissl; Strategy Chair: Xu Yan; Marketing and Promotions Committee Co-Chairs: Andrea Kavanaugh and Patricial Longstaff; Web Development Committee Chair: Stephen Schmidt. We would like to highlight the ITS board’s decision to create a new committee to focus on web development and provided additional support for our website. TELUS has already done much to make our website appealing and useful. ITS is thankful for the many hours of service and creative contributions offered by this new team. ITS is also proud to be associated with its corporate sponsors and society members, whose support is critical to the vitality of our organization. In particular, on behalf of the society, I wish to acknowledge our appreciation and extend our thanks to: Arnold & Porter, BT, BAKOM, Deutsche Telekom, France Telecom, IDATE, Infocom, KT, NERA Economic Consulting, NTT DoCoMo, Telecommunications Authority of Turkey and TELUS. ITS would struggle to fulfil its mission without commitment on the part of government and industry. To be effective, ITS depends on hearing from our members and public. Please let us know how we can continue to most effectively serve your professional interests and ambitions. For more information on ITS, visit our website (www.itsworld.org). I look forward to working with you and hope to see you at a future ITS event. Best wishes, Erik Bohlin ITS Chair International Federation for Information Processing Seventh International Conference Human Choice and Computers (HCC7) An International Conference in remembrance of Rob Kling SOCIAL INFORMATICS: AN INFORMATION SOCIETY FOR ALL? Maribor (Slovenia), September 21-23, 2006 Venue: HCC7 moves to Maribor (Slovenia) A decision to organise the HCC7 Conference in Nova Gorica was made under the assumption that a new Congress Centre would be open by September 2006. It has turned out that the opening of the Centre will surely be delayed and the conference would thus have to take place at four different locations in the city. To avoid that and to provide better working conditions for the conference participants, a decision has been taken to move the conference to Maribor. Information, Accommodation and Registration on-line All information regarding the Conference Frame and the Programme, as well as the online registration form and the accommodation indications may be found at http://www.hcc7.org Scope of the Conference Human choice and computers, Computers and Society, Social Informatics, are terms referring to a similar preoccupation: How is the human being and its societal environment kept in the centre – How to build up an “Information Society for All” [UNESCO, 2002], [eEurope, 2002] when developing our more and more complex ICT (Information and Communication Technology) systems? Questions regarding programme and organization Respectively mailto: jberleur@info.fundp.ac.be and: franci.pivec@izum.si COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 237. Call for papers If you would like to contribute to a forthcoming issue of COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, you are invited to submit your paper via email or by post on diskette/CD. As far as practical and technical questions are concerned, proposals for papers must be submitted in Word format (.doc) and must not exceed 20-22 pages (6,000 to 7,000 words). Please ensure that your illustrations (graphics, figures, etc.) are in black and white - excluding any color - and are of printing quality. It is essential that they be adapted to the journal's format (with a maximum width of 12 cm). We would also like to remind you to include bibliographical references at the end of the article. Should these references appear as footnotes, please indicate the author's name and the year of publication in the text. All submissions should be addressed to: Sophie NIGON, Coordinator COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES c/o IDATE BP 4167 34092 Montpellier CEDEX 5 - France s.nigon@idate.org - +33 (0)4 67 14 44 16 http://www.idate.org