fashion retail in 2014
Transcription
fashion retail in 2014
FASHION RETAIL IN 2014 THE TOP PERFORMING PRODUCTS & TRENDS This report illustrates the top performing apparel trends, colors, retailers and brands this year, and also reveals the top five worst-selling products and the stores with the biggest price slashes. The analysis is based on data gathered from 1 January to 4 December 2014, and takes into account more than 12 million data points from products at US and UK retailers. The two trends with the highest growth were kimonos and ripped denim, and British department store John Lewis once again topped the list of retailers with the best product merchandising and trend offering. Looking toward 2015, having the right product at the right price, and at the right time, will continue to determine retail success. TOP TRENDS Kimonos and ripped jeans have been high performing trends for 2014, both demonstrating dramatic spikes in product numbers, as well as low discounting and fast sell through. TOP 5 BEST SELLING KIMONOS TOP 5 US TRENDS 1. RIPPED DENIM 2. KIMONO 3. MIDI SKIRT 4. FLORAL DRESSES 5. CAMI DRESSES TOP 5 UK TRENDS CHIFFON FLORAL PRINT KIMONO MATALAN, $22.60 ‘ROSE MIRAGE’ KIMONO JACKET (PLUS SIZE) NORDSTROM, $79.95 SHORT KIMONO H&M, $24.95 DANIELINA KIMONO IN FLOCKED VELVET CREAM EMBROIDERED FRINGED KIMONO MISSGUIDED, $48.42 RIVER ISLAND, $56.50 TOP 5 BEST SELLING RIPPED JEANS 1. KIMONO 2. RIPPED DENIM 3. CULOTTES 4. STATEMENT OUTERWEAR 5. SKATER DRESSES MOTO RIPPED JAMIE JEANS TOPSHOP, $75.00 RIPPED BAGGY JEANS BY BOUTIQUE TOPSHOP BOUTIQUE, TOPSHOP, $110.00 EDIE EXTREME RIPPED SKINNY JEANS MISSGUIDED, $48.40 RIDLEY SKINNY JEANS WITH THIGH RIP ASOS, $50.50 ADRIANA RELAXED SKINNY JEANS BOOHOO, $40.40 Top trends for each region represent products which have had a high level of new market arrivals since 1 January 2014. Top trends had a spike in growth compared to 2013, low levels of discounting and have sold out swiftly. Ripped denim and kimonos have been the most enduring and furthest reaching trends impacting all market levels. While statement outerwear has been a hit for the UK, the US market shrunk their adoption of this trend compared to 2013. Culottes have yet to be an impacting trend for the US, though we expect SS15 to shift this. THE BEST PERFORMING RETAILERS John Lewis are the ones to beat, globally. Their fantastic marketing across all channels backs up the product offering and trend selection. The five global retailers with the highest number of full price sell-outs. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Fashion Retail in 2014 John Lewis dropped close to 154,000 new apparel products this year, taking an average of 63 days to reach sell out. Mango and Ted Baker are their most-stocked apparel brands. Despite being the fifth biggest global discounter, ASOS have the third highest level of fullpriced sell outs, and had dropped 124,000 new fashion products online by the end of November 2014. It’s been a difficult year for them, with lost inventory due to fire and currency changes working against them. THE BEST SELLING BRANDS 1 Two of the year’s top five brands are sports brands - the activewear market boom shows no sign of slowing. Nike outperformed its struggling competitor, Adidas. The best selling brands had the highest number of full-price sell outs of products which arrived online during 2014. Based on this, Nike scooped first place. Their most successful category was footwear, with over 50% of sell outs falling in this category. 29% of Nike products are currently discounted, on average by 8%. 1 NIKE ROSHE RUN 4 3 PRADA 49MM RETRO SUNGLASSES PUMA SUEDE FEMME SNEAKER HIGH Ted Baker, the second most-successful brand, did well with their bloom print, which appeared on tops, dresses, trousers, footwear and skirts. It sold well for Ted Baker at retail, as well as wholesale through ASOS, Very, John Lewis and Bloomingdales. 5 GUESS ATTIS TOTE 2 TED BAKER MIDI BODYCON DRESS IN BLOOM PRINT 5 WORST-SELLING PRODUCTS Product trends in today’s market are very precise. Consumers hone in on specifics, The products and garments which didn’t which granular data can unearth in order to avoid mistakes. Printed trousers sold well, fare so well, with no restocks and steep while printed skirts did not. discounting. Cami tops, particularly those with unflattering, wide fits, did not sell well, whereas cami dresses have. Printed maxi skirts haven’t done well either, while printed trousers have. BEAR WITH ME HAT BY NASTY GAL, REDUCED 85% LACE TRIM CAMI TOP IN GINGHAM PRINT BY ASOS, REDUCED 76% And while certain types of ‘ugly shoes’ sold well this year (Birkenstock-style flats), others didn’t. The cork heeled wedges were among the most-discounted shoe style. Women’s straw hats and printed all-in-ones/playsuits were also among the poor performers. RACHEL ROY SLEEVELESS PRINTED ROMPER AT MACY’S, REDUCED 82% DIANE PLATFORM WEDGES BY GUESS, REDUCED 77% BLACK FERN CHECK PRINT HANKY HEM SKIRT BY RIVER ISLAND, REDUCED BY 77% BIGGEST DISCOUNTERS Going into 2015, smaller retailers will struggle to compete with the aggressive discounting at large online department retailers. Product and pricing being right first time will be more critical than ever before. The ten global retailers with the highest number of reductions. 1. 6. 2. 7. 3. 8. 4. 9. 5. 10. Brands counting as those which are stocked at other retailers, not retailers’ own line brands. 1 Fashion Retail in 2014 Nordstrom’s high rate of discounting is evidence that reductions are not necessarily sign of a retailer floundering. They’ve had a stellar year, with a 3.9% lift in Q3 sales. Knowing their shopper is value-driven, they’ve built into their offprice channel, The Rack. They decided to move away from their traditional semiannual sales, to six store-wide sales periods per year. This may help move products through their lifecycle faster and avoid deeper discounts and losses at the retailer. Nordstrom have also managed to secure a younger consumer, investing in Topshop’s offering. However, their discounting rates on this line are far higher than at the Topshop’s own store. THE BIG COMMUNICATORS Neiman Marcus speak louder than any other retailer - flooding their customers with email newsletters. They’ve ranked highest for two years in a row - this is clearly a defining strategy, which their shoppers respond to. 1,200 900 600 300 0 NEIMAN MARCUS VICTORIA’S SECRET ANN TAYLOR LOFT BCBG Newsletters promoting full price stock Sales/promotional newsletters The most vocal online communicators send a huge amount of discounted offers in their email newsletters. Every single Victoria’s Secret newsletter has a promotion, be it a free gift, free shipping or discount code. Only around 9% of their emails this year promoted fullpriced, new stock! Neiman Marcus’s high level of email newsletters is thanks to their Last Call emails, drawing attention to their outlet offering. Even without these, the retailer’s main site sent 491 emails this year. BCBG have a healthier level of newness communicated in their newsletters, which are engaging and packed full of inspiring imagery. COLOR This year’s color trends have been very prescriptive, with most retailers attune to navy, pink and monochrome stories. As we head into winter, palettes have taken a sudden turn to darker and richer tones. In 2014, 63% of new products were black, white or grey, representing the basis of many retailers’ core collections, as well as forming the popular monochrome trend which survived from 2013. Navies COLORS IN FASHION RETAIL IN 2014 and pinks are the defining color trends of the year, working their way through each season. 15% of all new arrivals were navy this year, which have been prominent across each quarter. Pinks, in both pastel and bright pops of color led right through to Q3, but have been overtaken at the end of the year by reds. Neutrals and browns have provided a trendled alternative to blacks and whites, with 16% of the year’s arrivals being brown. Green, only 5% of the market, and yellow, on 1% of the market, did not make commercial impact in 2014. COLOR DATA HERE DEPICTS THE SHADES OF ALL US & UK ARRIVALS: TOPS, DRESSES, BOTTOMS, OUTERWEAR & ALL-IN-ONES. KEY COLOR TRENDS BY QUARTER QUARTER 1 QUARTER 2 QUARTER 3 QUARTER 4 ABOUT EDITD EDITD is the world leader in real-time market data and analytics with over 53 billion data points on the fashion industry. EDITD helps apparel brands like Gilt Groupe, Gap, and ASOS have the right products at the right price, at the right time. More info at www.editd.com. Fashion Retail in 2014