PART I
Transcription
PART I
Briefing The Chilean Market March 18th, 2013 Santiago, Chile Patricio Cañete, Trade Commissioner Embassy of Canada in Chile AGENDA • • • • CHILE ECONOMIC BRIEF CANADA – CHILE RELATIONSHIP SECTOR OVERVIEW KEY CONTACTS Chile in a Snapshot • • • • • Population – 17 M (Growth rate: 1.2%) Workforce – 7.3 M (~37% women) GDP (nominal, 2012) – US$ 268 B (IMF estimate) GDP/capita (2012) – US$ 15,416 (IMF estimate) GDP annual growth (2012): 5.6% (highest OECD and second in SouthAmerica after Peru) • Inflation – 1.5% (2012) • Unemployment – 6.5 % (2012) • Life expectancy – Male 75; Female 81 years PART I : Chile’s economy Chile GDP per Capita. US$ at PPP Source: IMF (Oct. 2012) 25,000.00 20,000.00 15,000.00 10,000.00 5,000.00 0.00 Chile: World’s most open economy •Trade = 86% of Chile’s GDP (Canada’s = 67%) •FTAs with 59 markets (and counting): Canada, Mexico, USA, Central America, South Korea, the EU, EFTA, India, Singapore, New Zealand, Brunei, China, Japan, Peru, Colombia, Australia, China, inter alia; …and numerous Double Taxation Agreements including Canada but none exists with the USA •Duty-free access to 86% of world’s GDP •December 2009: joined the OECD PART I : Chile’s economy Chile’s Industrial Makeup Mining: Copper contributes around 57% of export earnings and a key factor of development. The world’s largest copper producer and exporter Forestry: Significant resources (9.1 million hectares - 22% of total area) mostly planted forests Fisheries and Aquaculture: Essential to economy. Traditionally fishmeal, now aquaculture - 2nd only to Norway in salmon production (although halved due to ISA) Agriculture: Key for employment. Big exporter of fruits, vegetables, seeds, wine, some agro-industrial products Services: Growing influence in economy as government attempts to bring greater value-added from technology. CORFO programs such as “Jump Start”. Manufacturing: Concentrated in Greater Santiago PART I : Chile’s economy Best Countries to do Business Source: Forbes Ranking Magazine, October 2011 1. Canada (4th in 2010) 2. New Zealand (3rd) 3. Hong Kong (2nd) 4. Ireland (6th) 5. Denmark (1st) 8. U.K. (10th) 10. United States (9th) 24. Chile (23rd) 26. Japan (27th) 31. Korea (30th) 32. Spain (33rd) 42. Peru (49th) 57. Mexico (55th) 60. Panama (67th) Canada-Chile Relations: Key Facts • Like-minded on democracy, human rights, open markets. • FTA since 1997 has more than tripled two–way trade ($2.46 billion in 2012). • Canada 3rd largest investor at $13.3 billion (StatsCan). Key sectors: mining, energy, financial, chemical, forestry, utilities, services, equipment. Strong CSR brand. Chile’s Total Trade - USD$ 148B Imports billion US$ Exports PART I : Chile’s economy Canada-Chile Free Trade Agreement • Entered into force in July, 1997 – Chile’s first full FTA • Comprehensive – covers trade in goods and services (including professional services), investment and government procurement • Results – increasing bilateral trade and investment • Closely follows the NAFTA model – Amending agreement will expand coverage (financial services) and include changes to the government procurement thresholds, customs procedures, and dispute settlement • Canada-Chile Partnership Framework – MOUs on S&T, Sustainable Mining, Youth Mobility, Aquaculture PART II : Canada in Chile Canadian Exports to Chile Total Exports 2011: $818.78 M; Total Exports 2012: $780.90 M. The 10 largest exports to Chile at HS2 level are ($Cda M): 2011 155.59 95.80 113.74 2012 172.56 66.11 56.40 % 10.91 -30.99 -50.41 Machinery Ores Mineral fuel its a commodity) Electrical machinery 48.39 48.27 -0.25 Fats & oils 32.92 46.92 42.50 Cereals 55.39 42.40 -23.45 "wheat nes" from $0 to $38.66 M.) Plastic 38.80 41.19 5.09 Vehicles 19.19 35.11 82.93 Inorganic chemicals 18.74 30.80 64.31 used in wood boards and in mineral processing). Explosives 15.02 19.47 29.60 (large increases in boring, sinking machinery and parts) (big decrease in molybdenum exports to Chile) (coal decreased -20% and petroleum oils in -95.42%. Not strange as (practically maintained the level) (large increase in low erucic acid) (decrease in "wheat nes" from $53.8 M to $0 and increase in another (increase regardless of lower exports of raw material and film). (large increases in dump trucks and special purposes trucks). (large increases in sodium chlorate and sulphuric acid, which are (detonators for mining explosives) Chilean Exports to Canada Total imports 2011: $1936.21 M; Total Imports 2012: $1680.44 M. The 10 largest imports from Chile at HS2 level are ($Cda M): 2011 Precious stones Fruit and nuts Copper articles Fish & seafood Beverages Wood Ores Inorganic chemicals Seeds (grain and fruit) Preserved food 878.39 351.07 144.19 102.61 100.66 64.38 49.69 31.82 25.51 36.27 2012 650.99 348.89 120.21 108.86 99.16 69.48 43.13 40.24 28.90 23.64 % -25.89 -0.62 -16.63 6.09 -1.48 7.92 -13.21 26.44 13.32 -34.8 (mainly gold and silver for refining) (mainly wine) Canadian Investment in Chile • Canada is #3 foreign investor in Chile ($13.3 B) – 1st in mining – In 2006, 2007, 2008 and 2010 Canada was the largest source of new investment in Chile and the largest overall in the last decade • Chile ranks 9th (2.2%) destination for Canadian investment abroad (5th excluding tax havens) • Canadian investment has expanded beyond mining to include financial services, transportation, utilities, chemicals and engineering services. PART II : Canada in Chile SECTOR OVERVIEW REAL ESTATE MARKET • Booming real sector – high liquidity, rising income, less available space, shortage of properties for rent… not yet a bubble! • Housing prices are expected to continue rising • Housing sales increased in 19% during 2012 – 40,491 units; US$B 1.5 billion; Green Sale – Ñuñoa (9), Santiago Centro (9) and La Reina (8) • Cons - more congestion, higher prices and greater compaction of the city REAL ESTATE MARKET • Santiago`s Office Market: – 2,658,000 sqm – 5 submarkets: Las Condes, Providencia, Vitacura, Santiago Centro and Huechuraba • Las Condes is the Business District – 54% – Low vacancy and high demand – Class A monthly rents vary US$ 25 – 34 /sqm – Class A-B monthly US$ 17 – 25 /sqm REAL ESTATE MARKET • Las Condes has the largest volume of high-rise buildings and accounts for 65% of all Class A office space in Santiago. • It has the largest number of new developments and the most expensive locations in Santiago. – Costanera Center – 64 storey tower, 2 hotels, 40,000 people floating mall – Parque Titanium – 3 new 23 storey buildings, 4 level parking • Real Estate Sector Business Currency - UF UF (Unidad de Fomento) is set daily in Chilean Pesos and indexed to the Consumer Price Index (IPC) for the previous month, which is published by the Chile Central Bank. A UF is the unit normally used for real estate transactions and valuations 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 PROJECT NAME CIUDAD VALLE LO AGUIRRE (PRADERA) CIUDAD EMPRESARIAL Y AEROPORTUARIA PUDAHUEL COSTA LAGUNA PIEDRA ROJA PROYECTO INMOBILIARIO CIUDAD PARQUE BICENTENARIO SANTA FILOMENA DE COLINA PARQUE COUSIÑO MACUL PALMAS DE VIÑA SANTA ELENA LOTEO IZARRA DE LO AGUIRRE MEGAPROYECTO COSTANERA CENTER CIUDAD EMPRESARIAL URBANYA PARQUE RESIDENCIAL EL CHAMISERO MEGAPROYECTO PUERTA DEL MAR PORTAL DE LA FRONTERA BARRIO BRISA DEL SOL SECTOR ORIENTE LA RESERVA CIUDAD CURAUMA PLAN DE INVERSION 2008 PLAN DE INVERSIONES 2005-2007 LA SERENA GOLF CIUDAD VALLE GRANDE CERRO ALVARADO CIUDAD PARQUE CHICAUMA PLAN DE INVERSION 2011 PROYECTO LAS SALINAS DE VIÑA DEL MAR PARQUE TITANIUM SANTA ROSA DE LAS CONDES SAN ALFONSO DEL MAR EL CARMEN DE HUECHURABA REAL ESTATE DEVELOPER USM$ EL BOSQUE S.A. 2000 INGENIERIA E INMOBILIARIA MANSO DE VELASCO S.A.1885 ACONCAGUA SUR S.A. 1800 INMOBILIARIA MANQUEHUE S.A. 1800 SUBSECRETARIA DEL MINISTERIO DE LA VIVIENDA Y URBANISMO 1070 MIGUEL NENADOVICH DEL RÍO 1000 CRILLÓN DESARROLLOS INMOBILIARIOS S.A. 973 QUISCAL S.A. 900 INMOBILIARIA VALLE NUEVO 850 INVERSIONES BAIONA LTDA. 838 CENCOSUD SHOPPING CENTERS S.A. 818 GESTORA DE PATRIMONIOS S.A. 800 INMOBILIARIA LAS LILAS DE PUDAHUEL LTDA. 750 EL CHAMISERO INMOBILIARIA S.A. 700 INMOBILIARIA LA CRUZ DEL MOLINO S.A. 700 DESARROLLOS UFRO S.A. 570 INGENIERÍA Y CONSTRUCCIÓN SAN ANDRÉS LTDA. 556 INMOBILIARIA LAS CANTERAS S.A. 500 PARQUES Y JARDINES LA LUZ 435 SACI FALABELLA 430 COMERCIAL ECCSA S.A 371 INMOBILIARIA LA SERENA GOLF S.A. 360 VALLE GRANDE S.A 350 P Y G LARRAÍN INVERSIONES LTDA. 345 INMOBILIARIA E INVERSIONES LAMPA S.A. 320 SACI FALABELLA 310 ILUSTRE MUNICIPALIDAD DE VIÑA DEL MAR 300 INMOBILIARIA TITANIUM S.A. 300 INMOBILIARIA EL PLOMO LTDA. 300 INMOBILIARIA MANQUEHUE S.A. 300 Private Public Partnerships Private Public Partnerships Key Players in your Industry • AOA – Asociacion de Oficinas de Arquitectos www.aoa.cl Key Players in your Industry • AdD – Asociacion de Decoradores de de Chile www.add.cl Key Players in your Industry • ADI – Asociacion de Desarrolladores Inmobiliarios http://www.adi-ag.cl Key Players in your Industry • CBC – Corporacion de Bienes de Capital www.cbc.cl MEDIA & ADVERTISING • Vivienda y Decoracion (El Mercurio) • Casas (Revista Cosas) http://www.revistacasas.cl/ • MasDeco (La Tercera) http://masdecoracion.latercera.com/ • Todo Obras www.todoobras.com Embassy Trade Team Peter Furesz Senior Trade Commissioner Patricio Cañete Trade Commissioner Gonzalo Muñoz Trade Commissioner Brenda Wills Trade Commissioner Margot Edwards Trade Commissioner (INFO-CENTRE) Loreto Moya Commercial Assistant Maria Jose Soler Commercial Assistant Renée Plouffe Trade Commissioner Vacant EDC Regional Manager Angeline Pacione EDC Associate Regional Manager Patricia Villarroel Commercial Assistant Tel.: +56-2-652-3800, Fax: +56-2-652-3915 santiago.commerce@international.gc.ca