Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study
Transcription
Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study
Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study March 31, 2014 STAFF Larry Ward Executive Director Troy Maggied Planning Program Manager Ed White Economic Development Program Manager Katherine Burk Assistant Planner James Winters Associate Planner Ben Gultch GIS Specialist COMMISSIONERS Grant County Larry Wolf* Eileen Nickels Jerry Wehrle Green County Arthur Carter* Nathan Klassy Mike Doyle Iowa County David Bauer* Shirley Barnes Todd Novak Lafayette County Jack Sauer* Timothy McGettigan Table of Contents Introduction ....................................................................... 4 Study Area .......................................................................... 5 Housing Demand ................................................................ 7 Demographic Trends ..................................................................... 7 Population................................................................................ 7 Ethnicity ................................................................................... 9 An Aging Population ............................................................. 10 Employment & Income Trends ................................................... 14 Employment........................................................................... 14 Income Trends ....................................................................... 15 Female Poverty Numbers ...................................................... 17 Housing Supply ................................................................. 17 Households .................................................................................. 17 Occupancy Status ........................................................................ 18 Foreclosures........................................................................... 21 Owning versus Renting .......................................................... 22 Housing Conditions ..................................................................... 24 Age of Housing Stock ............................................................. 24 New Home Development Trends .......................................... 26 Elevated Lead Blood Levels.................................................... 26 Housing Affordability .................................................................. 27 Fair Market Rents .................................................................. 28 Wisconsin Rent Guidelines .................................................... 28 Conclusion ........................................................................ 29 Housing Recommendations ........................................................ 32 Richland County Jeanetta Kirkpatrick* Robert Neal Smith * denotes County Board Chair P.O. Box 262 Platteville WI 53818 p: 608.342.1636 • f: 608.342.1220 e: info@swwrpc.org www.swwrpc.org 2 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study About SWWRPC Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission (SWWPRC) is an extension of local government in Southwestern Wisconsin. We provide low-cost expert planning and economic development services to the county, city, village, and town governments of our five-county jurisdiction (Grant, Green, Iowa, Lafayette, and Richland counties). We assist our local communities to save both time and money while planning for the future. SWWRPC is one of nine Regional Planning Commissions in the State of Wisconsin and was created by an Executive Order in 1970. Over 85% of our budget comes from funding outside the region, with the SWWRPC bringing in over $14 million of economic development funding alone. We have leveraged these self-generated funds to help our counties and their communities save costs and prevent redundancy while preparing for future challenges. SWWRPC Vision We envision a southwestern Wisconsin that has met its full potential. A place that is recognized for its resilient and diverse economy, high quality of life, and distinctive Driftless landscape. It will be a place where interconnected bonds between individuals and organizations form strong communities of inclusion and cooperation. Southwestern Wisconsin will be a place where the richness of the land contributes to the healthy lives of its residents and visitors—and the stewardship of our natural resources is a shared and valued responsibility. Our region will be a place that fosters innovation and creativity, inspiring and empowering thinkers and doers. With deep respect for the traditions that built southwestern Wisconsin, we strive to create the best possible region for tomorrow. SWWRPC Mission The Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission collaborates with communities and organizations to build capacity within southwestern Wisconsin, serving as advocates for its residents. We create opportunities and develop dynamic solutions to the challenges facing the region. We foster growth by supporting innovative endeavors that provide tangible benefits to those we serve. We believe in the bold vision of southwestern Wisconsin and work to build the region’s future. Neighborhood Housing Services of Southwestern Wisconsin Neighborhood Housing Services of Southwestern Wisconsin (NHSSW) has been a regional leader in housing and community development for over 30 years. NHSSW is committed to educating residents in affordable housing services, revitalizing area communities, and building sustainable partnerships to build social capital. NHSSW is committed to incorporating healthy and sustainable principles into every facet of their operations and throughout their lines of business. NHSSW has administered and successfully executed several Neighbor Works green grants through our CBO and Multi-Family Lines of Business and are currently administering a CBO Green Grant designed to explore feasibility and make ready for the Neighbor Works Green Organization designation. 3 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Introduction In October of 2010, Southwestern Wisconsin was one of 45 regions in the United States to receive federal funding to plan for economic vitality and regional growth. This project, titled Grow Southwest Wisconsin, was a grassroots planning initiative led by Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission (SWWRPC). Grow Southwest Wisconsin was largely successful because of its public outreach. Over the course of the planning process, 36 public meetings were held with over 100 participants, and over 100 additional participants were surveyed. These meetings were divided into nine distinct topic areas, each mapping an approach to subject matter critical to the region. Housing was one of those nine topics areas. Neighborhood Housing Services of Southwestern Wisconsin (NHSSW) has provided housing related services to Southwestern Wisconsin for over 30 years. NHSSW offers a neighborly approach in providing low-cost affordable housing services including: community organizing, home loans, foreclosure intervention, homebuyer education, affordable housing construction, and senior housing. In addition to providing valuable insight through to the housing group, NHSSW was awarded a technical assistance grant made possible through Grow Southwestern Wisconsin. This grant allowed SWWRPC and NHSSW to collaborate on a number of initiatives to improve housing issues across the region. This document, Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study, specifically provides statistical and narrative data identifying a housing profile in Southwestern Wisconsin. The Study describes the current situation related to housing markets, home ownership, and affordability challenges. Nationally, changing demographics are shaping the housing market for years to come. Southwestern Wisconsin communities must realize the local demographic shift to prepare and accommodate for the changing housing markets. The emerging housing needs include: senior-assisted housing, rental housing, more low- to moderate-income housing, and multi-family homes. Each county and municipality will experience different housing needs, which will determine new policies and programs offered. For more information visit the Grow Southwestern Wisconsin website: www.growsouthwest.org 4 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Study Area The Study Area includes the counties of Grant, Green, Iowa, Lafayette, and Richland along with selected cities in the region, such as County Seats, Communities of Higher Education and other selected cities (Figure 1). The following items were analyzed to determine the workforce housing needs of the Study Area: Housing Demand Employment & Income Trends Housing Supply The analysis reviews trends in each county, the county seats, Communities of Higher Education, selected cities in Richland County, and cities that make up the Wisconsin River Corridor. Counties Grant County Green County Iowa County Lafayette County Richland County County Seats Darlington Dodgeville Lancaster Monroe Richland Center Communities of Higher Education Fennimore Platteville Richland County Cities Cazenovia Lone Rock Viola Wisconsin River Corridor 5 Arena Avoca Blue River Boscobel Muscoda Woodman Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Figure 1 - Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study - Study Area 6 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Housing Demand Demographic Trends Population According to the USDA Economic Research Service (ERS), the number of people living in non-metropolitan1 counties now stands at 46.2 million. The population dynamics produces a landscape pattern where 15 percent of U.S. residents are spread across 72 percent of the land area of the U.S. The ERS conducts research related to the relationship between population change and the socioeconomic well-being of rural and small-town residents, the aging population, and the changing geography of migration. In addition, population change is uneven across rural and small-town America. Despite these non-metropolitan counties losing population between 2010 and 2012, they nevertheless experienced rates of population growth above the national rate of 1.7 percent.2 Tables 1 through 5 include the 2010 population, population projections for 2020 and 2030, and the growth rate from 2010 to 2030. The population of the Study Area was 146,594 in 2010. The Study Area’s population is expected to grow 8.1 percent by 2030, while Wisconsin will grow 12.1 percent. Table 1 - County, Population Projections County Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Study Area Total Wisconsin United States 2010 2020 2030 51,208 52,420 52,960 36,842 39,270 42,125 23,687 25,035 27,105 16,836 17,355 17,720 18,021 18,275 18,575 146,594 152,355 158,485 5,686,986 6,005,080 6,375,910 310,384,000 335,605,444 361,680,000 Growth Rate 2010 - 2030 3.4% 14.3% 14.4% 5.3% 3.1% 8.1% 12.1% 16.5% *Source: 2010 Census, State of Wisconsin DOA Population Projections Table 2 - County Seat, Population Projections County Seat 2010 2020 2030 Growth Rate 2010 - 2030 Darlington Dodgeville Lancaster Monroe Richland Center Average of Total 2,451 4,693 3,868 10,827 5,184 5,405 2,455 5,010 3,745 11,140 5,300 2,445 5,500 3,570 11,450 5,415 -0.2% 17.2% -7.7% 5.8% 4.5% 5,530 5,676 3.9% *Source: 2010 Census, State of Wisconsin DOA Population Projections Non-metro counties include some combination of: open countryside, rural towns (places with fewer than 2,500 people), and urban areas with populations ranging from 2,500 to 49,999 that are not part of larger labor market areas. 2 http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/rural-economy-population/population-migration.aspx#.UvPBtfldXT8 1 7 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Table 3 - Communities of Higher Education, Population Projections City 2010 2020 2030 Growth Rate 2010 – 2030 Fennimore Platteville Average of Total 2,497 11,224 6,861 2,535 12,340 2,555 13,180 2.3% 17.4% 7,438 7,868 9.9% *Source: 2010 Census, State of Wisconsin DOA Population Projection Table 4 - Richland County Cities, Population Projections City 2010 2020 2030 Growth Rate 2010 - 2030 Cazenovia Lone Rock Viola Average of Total 314 888 477 560 305 905 500 305 930 530 -2.9% 4.7% 11.1% 570 588 4.3% *Source: 2010 Census, State of Wisconsin DOA Population Projection Table 5 - Wisconsin River Corridor, Population Projections Growth Rate 2010 – 2030 City 2010 2020 2030 Arena Avoca Blue River Boscobel Muscoda Woodman Average of Total 1,456 637 434 3,231 1,299 185 1,207 1,540 660 435 3,255 1,225 195 1,660 715 435 3,245 1,150 195 14.0% 12.2% 0.2% 0.4% -11.5% 5.4% 1,218 1,233 3.5% *Source: 2010 Census, State of Wisconsin DOA Population Projection In non-metro counties the USDA ERS and U.S. Census calculate urban and rural areas based on minimum population density requirements3, proximity to larger labor markets and other factors. Both the Census and USDA ERS agree a territory must encompass at least 2,500 people to qualify as an urban area, population less than 2,500 is considered rural. Therefore in 2010, there were 103,975 people living in the rural areas of the Study Area, while 42,619 live in urban areas (see Table 6). Due to U.S. Census methodology, Lafayette is considered rural only. Darlington’s population, the county seat of Lafayette, falls just under the 2,500 minimum at 2,451 in the 2010 U.S. Census. Table 6 - County, Urban and Rural Population Percentages County Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Study Area Total 2010 Population 51,208 36,842 23,678 16,836 18,021 146,585 Urban 18,185 14,657 4,756 0 5,021 42,619 *Source: 2010 Census 3 8 http://www.census.gov/geo/reference/ua/urban-rural-2010.html Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study 2010 % Urban 35.5% 39.8% 20.1% 0.0% 27.9% 29.1% Rural 33,023 22,185 18,931 16,836 13,000 103,975 2010 % Rural 64.5% 60.2% 80.0% 100.0% 72.1% 70.9% Ethnicity Figure 2 displays the Hispanic population growth experienced in the Study Area from 2000 to 2010. In 2000, only 4 percent of Wisconsin’s population was Hispanic, but by 2010 this number grew to almost 6 percent of the statewide population. The Hispanic population in the Study Area grew one percent from 2000 to 2010. Figure 1 - County, Hispanic Population Change Percent of Total Population Hispanic Population as a Percentage of Total Population 2000 to 2010 7.00% 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% .00% 5.91% 1.32% 0.55% 0.89% 3.60% 3.10% 2.79% 2.05% 1.42% 0.93% 0.55% 0.32% 2.00% 0.64% County 2000 2010 *Source: 2000 Census, 2010 Census Figure 3 displays the Native American population growth rate in the Study Area from 2000 to 2010. Wisconsin’s total Native American Population is only 1.33 percent in 2010, a slight increase from .80 percent in 2000. Richland County has the highest percentage of Native American with the other counties close behind. All counties experienced growth in the Native American population since 2000. Figure 3 - County, Hispanic Population Change Percent of Total Population Native American Population as a Percentage of Total Population, 2000 to 2010 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 1.33% 0.82% 0.37% 0.11% 0.34% 0.18% 0.44% 0.40% 0.11% 0.11% County 2000 *Source: 2000 Census, 2010 Census 9 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study 2010 0.54% 0.21% 0.39% 0.14% An Aging Population Age demographics continue to change dramatically in the United States, and southwest Wisconsin is no exception. The older population is growing rapidly, and the aging of the “Baby Boomers” born between 1946 and 1964 (and who began turning age 65 in 2011), are accelerating this growth. The large population of older Americans will be more racially diverse and better educated than previous generations. Another significant trend is the increase in the proportion of men age 85 and over who are veterans. This older generation will face challenges such as a higher percentage of functional limitations in activities of daily living and a greater likelihood of having a disability. This trend will have consequences on the demand for health care services, particularly in the area of long-term care.4 Wisconsin’s senior population, defined as those 65 and older, will hit 15 percent in 2015, up from 13 percent in 2000. 5 The aging population will affect the Wisconsin housing markets in coming years. The aging population will drive demand for assisted living facilities, other senior-friendly housing such as single-level housing and housing that is near medical facilities and transportation. If those facilities are not available, the seniors may move to areas with available resources. The data shows that the population 65 years and older is increasing in the counties, but it is decreasing in the county seats. One explanation could be counties will see an influx of seniors who own vacation homes in the Study Area, but live elsewhere like Madison. The vacation homes are located in the county, but not the county seats. As the senior population begins to retire, they may decide to sell their city homes and move permanently to their vacation homes. The occupancy status section displays the occupied status in each county. A good percentage of those vacant homes are vacation homes, particularly for Richland County. The Study Area’s senior population grew since 1990 as seen in Figure 4. The population trend of seniors in the selected cities of the Study Area can be seen in figures 5 through 8. Figure 4 - County, Percent of Population 65+ Percent of Total Population Percent of Population 65 Years and Older, 1990 - 2010 20.0% 18.0% 16.0% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Study Area Wisconsin United States County 1990 % 2000 % 2010 % *Source: 1990 Census, 2000 Census, and 2010 Census 4 5 Federal Interagency Forum on Aging Related Statistics, http://www.agingstats.gov/agingstatsdotnet/main_site/default.aspx State of Wisconsin Department of Administration (DOA) Population Projections 10 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Figure 5 - County Seat, Percent of Population 65+ Percent of Total Population Percent of Population 65 Years and Older, 1990 - 2010 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Darlington Dodgeville Lancaster Monroe Richland Center Total County Seats 1990 % 2000 % 2010 % *Source: 1990 Census, 2000 Census, and 2010 Census Figure 6 - Communities of Higher Education, Percent of Population 65+ Percent of Total Population Percent of Population 65 Years and Older, 1990 - 2010 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Fennimore Platteville Total Municipality 1990 % 2000 % 2010 % *Source: 1990 Census, 2000 Census, and 2010 Census Figure 7 - Richland County Cities, Percent of Population 65+ Percent of Total Population Percent of Population 65 Years and Older, 1990 - 2010 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Cazenovia Lone Rock Municipality 1990 % 2000 % *Source: 1990 Census, 2000 Census, and 2010 Census 11 Viola Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study 2010 % Total Figure 8 - Wisconsin River Corridor Cities, Percent of Population 65+ Percent of Total Population Percent of Population 65 Years and Older, 1990 - 2010 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Arena Avoca Blue River Boscobel Muscoda Woodman Total Municipality 1990 % 2000 % 2010 % *Source: 1990 Census, 2000 Census, and 2010 Census In order to understand the dynamic shift in population, it is also necessary to understand the distribution of various age groups in the Study Area. The age structure within communities is a vital element of the future workforce supply, as well as the need for workforce and senior-friendly housing. Additionally, this graph illustrates those aged 35 to 64 are the highest percentage of the population in each county, which has implications for those turning 65 in the coming years. Figures 9 through 13 displays the age groups in the Study Area. The label for 35 to 64 years is noted on each graph. Figure 9 - County, Population Age Groups Percent of Total Population County, Population Age Groups 50.0% 40.0% 43.1% 43.8% 35.7% 40.7% 40.2% 40.0% 40.5% Study Area Wisconsin 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Municipality under 5 5 to 14 *Source: 2010 Census 12 39.7% Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study 15 to 19 20 to 34 35 to 64 65 and Older United States Figure 10 - County Seats, Population Age Groups Percent of Total Population County Seat, Population Age Groups 45.0% 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 40.0% 34.3% 31.2% Darlington Dodgeville 32.8% 30.4% Lancaster Monroe 30.0% Richland Center Total Municipality under 5 5 to 14 20 to 34 15 to 19 35 to 64 65 and Older *Source: 2010 Census Figure 11 - Communities of Higher Education, Population Age Groups Percent of Total Population Communities of Higher Education, Population Age Groups 45.0% 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 29.3% 22.3% 19.6% Fennimore Platteville Total Municipality under 5 5 to 14 *Source: 2010 Census 13 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study 15 to 19 20 to 34 35 to 64 65 and Older Figure 12 - Richland County Cities, Population Age Groups Percent of Total Population Richland County Cities, Population Age Groups 38.0% 36.9% 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Cazenovia 36.4% 33.1% Lone Rock Viola Total Muncipality under 5 5 to 14 20 to 34 15 to 19 35 to 64 65 and Older *Source: 2010 Census Figure 13 - Wisconsin River Corridor Cities, Population Age Groups Percent of Total Population Wisconsin River Corridor Cities, Population Age Groups 60.0% 52.5% 50.0% 41.3% 41.5% 40.0% 40.2% 43.1% 49.7% 38.2% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Arena Avoca Blue River Boscobel Muscoda Woodman Total Municipality under 5 5 to 14 20 to 34 15 to 19 35 to 64 65 and Older *Source: 2010 Census Employment & Income Trends Employment Table 7 displays the unemployment rate for 2010 and 2012 in order to provide a snapshot of the employment trends in each of the five counties. Lower unemployment and strong labor market trends positively impact housing markets as consumers are able and more willing to invest in home ownership. This trend creates a housing market of more homeowners than renters, which consumes less of household income than renting, as is described in the “Home Ownership" section. The 2012 unemployment rate decreased since 2010 for each county. 14 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Table 7 - County, Workforce Development County Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Study Area Total Wisconsin United States 2010 Unemployment Rate 7.2% 8.3% 7.6% 7.0% 8.6% 7.7% 8.3% 9.6% 2012 Unemployment Rate 5.8% 6.4% 6.2% 5.6% 6.0% 6.0% 6.9% 8.1% *Source: Department of Workforce Development An additional snapshot of the employment trends can be presented with the type of employment in the Study Area. The Wisconsin Worknet summarized the 2011 top Industry sub-sectors, top employers, and number of employees within each county. The data suggests a diverse employment sector across the region ranging from Education, Government, Manufacturing, Agriculture, and others. The tables for each county are available in Appendix A. As a brief summary, Iowa County’s top industry sub-sector is non-store retailer6, driven largely by Lands’ End. Grant County's top industry sub-sector is Education Services with the University of Wisconsin – Platteville and Southwest Wisconsin Vocational Technical Institute. Green County has four employers that have 500 – 999 employees. The County of Lafayette is the biggest employer in that county. In Richland County, the top six employers have 250 to 500 employees, and so there is no definitive employer. Income Trends Comparing the 2010 per capita personal income with previous years illustrates the dramatic changes for the Study Area, since 2000. In 2000, Wisconsin’s overall per capita personal income was significantly higher than that of the counties in the Study Area, however this gap shrunk in 2010. Lafayette County experienced an impressive percent change with 54.5 percent growth. Green County had slightly lower percent change with 34.9 percent, yet still higher than Wisconsin’s 33 percent. While the actual per capita personal income may not be as high as the Wisconsin average or National average of $39,791, each county per capita personal income significantly increased. Table 8 - County, Per Capita Personal Income County 2000 2010 Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Study Area Average Wisconsin $22,291 $26,913 $25,463 $20,749 $20,971 $23,277 $29,141 $32,750 $36,298 $37,639 $32,056 $31,765 $34,102 $38,755 Percent Change 46.9% 34.9% 47.8% 54.5% 51.5% 46.5% 33.0% *Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) 6Non-store retail refers to selling of goods and services outside the confines of a retail facility. This generally refers to electronic commerce – online shopping. 15 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Income is one of the single most important factors influencing quality of life in relation to well-being and health for individuals, communities and households. Income levels indicate the ability of people to purchase essential and nonessential goods and services. The median household income ranges from $43,222 to $53,051 in the Study Area, compared to a median household income in Wisconsin of $50,401. Figure 14 graphs the median household income distribution for each county in the Study Area. Figure 14 - County, Median Household Income Distribution Grant County 11% 7% Green County 4% 18% 6% Iowa County 5% 6% 17% 10% 13% 12% Median Household Income $45,748 Median Household Income $53,051 15% 5% 9% Median Household Income $51,740 16% 11% 11% 12% 22% 15% 22% 17% 23% Richland County Lafayette County 12% 10% 5% 6% 6% 11% 15% 13% Median Household Income $48,231 7% 13% Median Household Income $43,222 11% 12% 12% 21% 22% 18% 19% Household Income Distribution Categories Less than $10,000 $10,001 - $14,999 $15,000 - $24,999 $25,000 - $34,999 $35,000 - $49,999 $50,000 - $74,999 $75,000 - $99,999 $100,000 or more *Source: Selected Economic Characteristics 2008 - 2012 American Community Survey 16 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Female Poverty Numbers One in three women in America live in or near poverty, which is 42 million women along with 28 million dependent children. These women are struggling while working and providing for their families. “They’re doing it all, yet they and their families can’t prosper and that’s weighing the U.S. economy down.”7 Families headed by a single adult are more likely to be headed by women, and these female-headed households are at a greater risk of poverty. Almost 31% of households headed by a single woman were living below the poverty line – nearly five times the 6.3 percent poverty rate for families headed by a married couple, nationally.8 Table 9 provides estimates9 for number of people living below the poverty level and the number and percentage of female-headed households below the poverty level in the Study Area.10 Table 9 - County, Estimated number of Female-Headed Households County Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Study Area Total Number of Households used for Estimates 46,753 35,984 23,449 16,577 18,002 140,765 Estimate of Households below Poverty Level Female Householder, No Husband Present 6,232 3,248 1,682 1,507 2,071 14,740 1,303 812 262 238 517 3,132 Percent of Female Householder in Poverty 20.9% 25.0% 15.6% 15.8% 25.0% 21.2% *Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Housing Supply The availability of adequate housing is necessary to attract and retain a qualified and diverse labor force. Appropriate housing also plays an important role in contributing to residents’ financial security and quality of life. This report provides direction as to the types of housing that are likely to be needed in the future as the basis for developing appropriate strategies relating to housing mix, density, and community form. Households In addition to population numbers, total number of households illustrate another component of an areas’ economic vitality. The number and characteristics of household members affect the types of relationships and the pool of economic resources available within the household.11 Since 1990, nationally household compositions shifted from the common combination of householder, spouse, and natural and/or adopted children to householders living alone in 2000.12 Then in 2010, a greater number of adults lived in shared households13. Adults and families coped with Shriver Report on Female Poverty http://usnews.nbcnews.com/_news/2014/01/12/22254801-new-report-says-millions-of-women-atrisk-of-falling-into-poverty-economic-ruin?lite 8 Poverty in the United States: A Snapshot http://www.nclej.org/poverty-in-the-us.php 9 The American Community Survey estimates the number of occupied housing units by multiplying the number of ACS addresses by an estimated occupancy rate at the census block level. 10 The numbers are only estimates obtained from the 2006 – 2010 American Community Survey based on income from the previous 12 months. 11 Population Reference Bureau http://www.prb.org/Publications/Reports/2012/us-household-change.aspx 12 http://www.census.gov/prod/2005pubs/censr-24.pdf 13 Shared households is a process by which people join or combine households. The additional adults are not householders, their spouses, or cohabitating partners. 7 17 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study challenging economic circumstances over the course of the recession by joining households or combining households with other individuals or families.14 An additional household combination is multigenerational (3 or more generations), which consist of the householder, child, and grandchild generations. Multigenerational households increased faster than two-generation households in 2000. The data in table 10 demonstrates that 3,561 total households were added in the Study Area from 2000 to 2010. Only 656 total households are expected to be added between 2010 and 2015. Since 2010, total households are not increasing at the same rate as in 2000. What implications does this mean for the Study Area? Are more adults living in shared households? Are there more multigenerational households? Richland and Lafayette County are expected to decrease in total households by 2015. Grant County will grow, but only by .02 percent and Green County will have the highest change with a 1.86 percent increase in households. Table 10 - County, Projected Change in Total Households County Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Study Area Total Wisconsin United States 2000 2010 2015 18,465 13,212 8,764 6,211 7,118 53,770 2,084,544 105.5 million 19,109 14,820 9,624 6,424 7,354 57,331 2,279,768 116.7 million 19,115 15,383 9,843 6,377 7,269 57,987 2,347,919 118.6 million Percent Change 2000 - 2015 3.52% 16.43% 12.31% 2.67% 2.12% 7.84% 12.42% 12.63% *Source: 2000 Census, 2010 Census, ESRI 2015 Projections Occupancy Status Housing tenure refers to the conditions under which property is occupied. The two basic forms of occupancy is renteroccupied and owner-occupied. However, not all housing units in a community are occupied. Occupancy status is analyzed by looking at the percentage of occupied units to vacant units, and is another indicator of economic vitality in the Study Area. However, "vacancy" refers not only to empty houses available for sale, but also those available for rent, rented but not occupied, sold but not occupied or units seasonal use, recreational or occasional use, units temporarily occupied by people who live elsewhere, provided that the place of residence is not offered for rent or for sale, and additional homes used farm for seasonal farm labor. Figures 15 through 19 display the percentage of occupied and vacant homes in the Study Area.15 The region average is 89.4 percent. Figure 15 and 16 displays the occupancy status for the five counties and county seats, respectively. Considering Richland County and Richland Center have low occupancy rates of the county and county seats, detailing the exact type of vacancy is necessary. After reviewing the types of vacancy, it can be seen that Richland County’s low occupancy rate is due to a disproportionately high 9.8 percent seasonal use (see Table 11). Units for rent or sale are under 2 percent each. Excluding the seasonal use percentage, Richland County would have a 92.8 percent occupied status. Woodman exhibits a low occupancy status also. There are a total of 112 housing units in Woodman, 77 are occupied, and 35 are vacant. However, 32 of the 35 vacant homes are for seasonal use. Four additional cities have significantly high unoccupied rates; Cazenovia, Woodman, Muscoda, and Avoca. Cazenovia’s high unoccupied rate could be attributed to Richland County’s high seasonal use. Additional research is necessary to understand the underlying condition in Woodman, Muscoda, and Avoca. http://www.census.gov/prod/2012pubs/p60-242.pdf Due to large occupancy rates, the charts only display from 75 to 100 percent for all figures except for Wisconsin River Corridor, which displays 65 to 100 percent. Charts were created in this manner to allow greater visibility of data. 14 15 18 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Figure 15 - County, Occupancy Status County County Occupancy Status 89.9% 93.8% 89.1% 91.4% 82.9% 89.9% Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Study Area Total 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0% 100.0% Percent of Occupied and Vacant Homes Occupied % Vacant % *Source: 2010 Census Figure 16 - County Seat, Occupancy Status County Seat Occupancy Status 91.9% 92.8% 91.9% 94.3% 90.4% 92.7% Municipality Darlington Dodgeville Lancaster Monroe Richland Center Total 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0% 100.0% Percent of Occupied and Vacant Homes Occupied % Vacant % *Source: 2010 Census Figure 17 - Communities of Higher Education, Occupancy Status Municipality Communities of Higher Education Occupancy Status 92% Fennimore 94.9% Platteville 94.2% Total 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0% Percent of Occupied and Vacant Homes Occupied % *Source: 2010 Census 19 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Vacant % 100.0% Figure 18 - Richland County Cities, Occupancy Status Municipality Richland County Cities Occupancy Status 83.6% Cazenovia 88.7% Lone Rock 91.5% Viola 88.4% Total 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0% 100.0% Percent of Occupied and Vacant Homes Occupied % Vacant % *Source: 2010 Census Figure 19 - Wisconsin River Corridor, Occupancy Status Wisconsin River Corridor Occupancy Status 87.8% Arena 75.2% Municipality Avoca 88.5% 91.4% 82.3% Blue River Boscobel Muscoda Woodman 68.8% 86.6% Total 65.0% 70.0% 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0% 100.0% Percent of Occupied and Vacant Homes Occupied % Vacant % *Source: 2010 Census Table 11 - Richland County & Richland Center, Type of Vacant Units Total Housing Units Total Vacant For rent Rented, not occupied For sale only Sold, not occupied For seasonal, recreational, or occasional use For migrant workers Other Vacant Richland County 8,868 1,519 172 6 142 19 % of Housing Units 17% 1.9% 0.1% 1.6% 0.2% Richland Center 2,613 252 115 5 47 5 % of Housing Units 9.6% 4.4% 0.2% 1.8% 0.2% 872 9.8% 21 0.8% 3 305 0.0% 3% 0 59 0.0% 2.3% *Source: 2010 Census 20 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Foreclosures Housing foreclosures impact communities in several ways: by causing declines in property values and physical deterioration, health and safety issues, and an increase in displaced households. There are other impacts such as increased vandalism and crime, but are more prevalent in Metro areas. “Research in Chicago found that the cost of a single foreclosed home to a municipality can range from a few dollars up to as much as $34,000.”16 According to the UW-Extension Center for Community and Economic Development, which tracks foreclosures in Wisconsin, the region had 474 foreclosures in 2011 up from 328 in 2006. Figure 20 displays the number of foreclosure cases for each county from 2006 to 2011 and region average, which is the most current foreclosure data. For most of the counties, 2010 seen an exceptionally high number of foreclosures. One noticeable trend is foreclosures are not dropping in Grant as in the other counties. Two reasons given for foreclosures to continually rise include an eroding labor market and available programs to assist homeowners with their mortgage. These two examples require further research in each county, Grant County in particular. Figure 20 - County, Number of Foreclosure Cases Number of Foreclosure Cases Total Number 200 150 2006 100 2007 2008 50 2009 2010 0 Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Region Average 2011 County *Source: UW Extension Center for Community & Economic Development Table 12 details the market trends with the current median list price and homes for sale by county as of January 2014. The most current county foreclosures numbers are in Figure 20. Table 13 through 16 details the market trends, which include median list price, number of foreclosures, and number of homes for sale.17 Table 12 - County, Current Market Trends County Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Study Area Average Wisconsin Median List Price $112,000.00 $138,950.00 $144,900.00 $124,900.00 $99,900.00 $124,130.00 $139,900.00 Homes for Sale 226 231 216 97 94 172.8 30,688 *Source: RealtyTrac UW – Extension Cooperative Extension Wisconsin Housing Profile, http://learningstore.uwex.edu/Wisconsin-Housing-ProfilesP1582.aspx 17 Foreclosures, median list price and number of homes for sale were homes listed when accessed in January 2014. 16 21 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Table 13 - County Seat, Current Market Trends City Median List Price Darlington Dodgeville Lancaster Monroe Richland Center Total/Average $122,436.36 $119,000.00 $142,450.00 $128,400.00 $109,900.00 $124,437.27 Number of Foreclosures 1 6 12 6 83 108 Homes for Sale 29 68 30 84 55 266 *Source: RealtyTrac Table 14 - Communities of Higher Education, Current Market Trends City Median List Price Fennimore Platteville Total/Average $89,900.00 $99,900.00 $94,900.00 Number of Foreclosures 19 Homes for Sale 8 18 45 37 53 *Source: RealtyTrac Table 15 - Richland County Cities, Current Market Trends City Median List Price Cazenovia Lone Rock Viola Total/Average $86,860.42 $85,800.00 $119,657.50 $97,439.31 Number of Foreclosures 18 38 10 66 Homes for Sale 14 21 4 39 *Source: RealtyTrac Table 16 - Wisconsin River Corridor, Current Market Trends City Median List Price Arena Avoca Blue River Boscobel Muscoda Woodman Total/Average $261,630.77 $76,640.00 $82,175.00 $111,228.00 $88,560.00 $110,800.00 $121,838.96 Number of Foreclosures 2 0 17 28 17 2 66 Homes for Sale 13 5 4 25 5 3 55 *Source: RealtyTrac Owning versus Renting According to the Housing Assistance Council (HAC), there is a shortage of rental options in rural communities as defined by the U.S. Census, and as demographic shifts occur there is likely to be a growing demand for rental housing. Additionally, rural renters often have much lower incomes than rural homeowners, with nearly one-third of rural and small town renters living below the poverty level, compared to just 7 percent of rural homeowners. Racial and ethnic minorities are more likely to rent than non-white Hispanics in non-metro counties.18 18 22 National Low Income Housing Coalition, http://nlihc.org/article/affordable-rental-housing-rural-america Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Tables 17 through 21 display the percentages of owners and renters in the Study Area. The counties' overall percent of renters ranges between 20 and 22 percent, below the national average of 28.4 percent19. However, Grant County is the outlier with 26.3 percent, which may be due to the communities of higher education. As Students and younger adults are more prone to rent than to buy a home. Students plan to temporarily plan in these communities and it is not realistic to purchase a home. This is evidenced by the high number of renters in Platteville, which is considerably higher than any other community in the Study Area. Table 17 - County, Owning versus renting County Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Study Area Total Wisconsin United States Total population in occupied housing units: 47,311 36,437 23,473 16,716 17,685 141,622 5,536,772 300,758,215 Owned Owned with a Renter free and mortgage occupied clear or a loan 23,766 11,104 12,441 21,925 6,659 7,853 13,902 4,687 4,884 9,431 3,870 3,415 9,671 4,157 3,857 78,695 30,477 32,450 3,044,716 919,680 1,572,376 153,443,527 47,834,966 99,479,722 Owner - with & without a mortgage Renter 73.7% 78.4% 79.2% 79.6% 78.2% 77.1% 71.6% 66.9% 26.3% 21.6% 20.8% 20.4% 21.8% 22.9% 28.4% 33.1% *Source: 2010 Census Table 18 - County Seat, Owning versus renting County Seat Darlington Dodgeville Lancaster Monroe Richland Center Total Total population in occupied housing units: 2,353 4,622 3,772 10,660 5,007 26,414 Owned with a mortgage or a loan 1,103 2,563 1,991 5,171 2,332 13,160 Owned free and clear 457 684 826 2,022 860 4,849 Renter occupied Owner - with & without a mortgage Renter 793 1,375 955 3,467 1,815 8,405 66.3% 70.3% 74.7% 67.5% 63.8% 68.2% 33.7% 29.7% 25.3% 32.5% 36.2% 31.8% Renter occupied Owner - with & without a mortgage Renter 685 4,469 5,154 71.8% 47.2% 52.7% 28.2% 52.8% 47.3% *Source: 2010 Census Table 19 - Communities of Higher Education, Owning versus renting City Fennimore Platteville Total Total population in occupied housing units: 2,433 Owned with a mortgage or a loan 1,211 Owned free and clear 537 8,471 2,851 1,151 10,904 4,062 1,688 *Source: 2010 Census 19 23 National Low Income Housing Coalition, http://nlihc.org/article/affordable-rental-housing-rural-america Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Table 20 - Richland County Cities, Owning versus renting City Cazenovia Lone Rock Viola Total Total population in occupied housing units: 311 888 477 1,676 Owned with a mortgage or a loan 152 472 262 886 Owned free and clear 74 163 97 334 Renter occupied Owner - with & without a mortgage Renter 85 253 118 456 72.7% 71.5% 75.3% 72.8% 27.3% 28.5% 24.7% 27.2% Renter occupied Owner - with & without a mortgage Renter 230 201 82 890 48 31 1482 84.2% 68.2% 81.1% 67.7% 83.8% 83.2% 74.3% 15.8% 31.8% 18.9% 32.3% 16.2% 16.8% 25.7% *Source: 2010 Census Table 21 - Wisconsin River Corridor, Owning versus renting City Arena Avoca Blue River Boscobel Muscoda Woodman Total Total population in occupied housing units: 1,456 632 434 2,753 297 185 5,757 Owned with a mortgage or a loan 905 259 231 1,367 158 106 3,026 Owned free and clear 321 172 121 496 91 48 1,249 *Source: 2010 Census Housing Conditions Age of Housing Stock Older housing stock in rural areas may not have basic amenities or up-to-date standards, and therefore require restoration or higher maintenance costs. Tables 22 through 26 list the percent of housing stock by construction period.20 The definitive era for construction of the Study Area's housing stock is before 1949, with a few exceptions. In Arena, Muscoda, and Platteville the majority of structures were built between 1950 and 1979. A majority of Lone Rock homes were built after 1980. Table 22 - County, Percent of Housing Stock by Construction Period County Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Study Area Total Wisconsin United States Built Prior to 1949 40.9% 42.0% 44.3% 52.6% 45.6% 43.7% 31.1% 22.3% Built 1950 to 1979 39.0% 33.5% 26.8% 31.7% 31.4% 33.8% 41.4% 44.9% Built 1980 - 2000 20.1% 24.5% 29.0% 15.7% 23.0% 22.5% 27.6% 32.8% *Source: Census 2000 Table 23 - County Seat, Percent of Housing Stock by Construction Period 20 24 The data is from the 2000 Census because the 2010 Census does not contain updated year structure built. Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study County Seat Darlington Dodgeville Lancaster Monroe Richland Center Total Built Prior to 1949 52.4% 41.3% 50.9% 39.8% 30.6% 20.1% Built 1950 to 1979 37.0% 32.7% 32.9% 39.6% 40.3% 37.0% Built 1980 - 2000 10.6% 26.0% 16.1% 20.5% 29.1% 42.9% *Source: Census 2000 Table 24 - Communities of Higher Education, Percent of Housing Stock by Construction Period City Fennimore Platteville Total Built Prior to 1949 40.5% Built 1950 to 1979 37.3% Built 1980 - 2000 22.2% 27.0% 46.9% 26.0% 36.4% 43.7% 19.9% *Source: Census 2000 Table 25 - Richland County Cities, Percent of Housing Stock by Construction Period City Cazenovia Lone Rock Viola Total Built Prior to 1949 61.9% 36.6% 68.0% 49.8% Built 1950 to 1979 16.3% 25.1% 24.6% 23.2% Built 1980 - 2000 21.9% 38.3% 7.4% 27.0% *Source: Census 2000 Table 26 - Wisconsin River Corridor, Percent of Housing Stock by Construction Period City Arena Avoca Blue River Boscobel Muscoda Woodman Total Built Prior to 1949 29.1% 41.5% 52.8% 39.2% 29.4% 55.0% 38.1% *Source: Census 2000 25 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Built 1950 to 1979 38.5% 25.2% 25.9% 35.8% 37.9% 26.3 33.5% Built 1980 – 2000 32.4% 33.2% 21.3% 25.0% 32.7% 18.8% 28.4% New Home Development Trends Figure 21 shows the number of new home construction since 2009 for the unincorporated areas of each county. New home data is not available for the years 2010 and 2013 for Green County. This data demonstrates the trends in new construction. Lafayette issued more permits in 2013 than in the last 4 years. Iowa’s number of permits issued have declined since 2009. Richland County permits have not fluctuated like the rest of the Study Area. Figure 21 - County, Number of New Home Permits Number of New Home Permits Total Number 50 40 30 20 10 0 Grant Green 2009 Iowa 2010 2011 Lafayette 2012 Richland 2013 *Source: County Zoning Departments Elevated Lead Blood Levels among Children 6 and Under Lead poisoning is a concern in older homes, mainly homes built before 1978 contain some lead-based paint. Lead poisoning is a concern for both children and adults because breathing or eating anything that contains lead can cause serious health problems. Young children can experience learning, behavior, and health problems. Lead poisoning is preventable by testing the home for lead paint, removal of exterior and interior lead paint, removing carpet that may be contaminated, and additional measures. Considering the number of older homes in the Study Area, lead paint is a concern. Table 27 displays the elevated blood level of lead measure, which represents the percentage of lead tests on children under age 6 that tested positive for lead poisoning in the Study Area.21 Outside of the cities of Milwaukee and Racine, all children under age 6 attending a well-child clinic are screened to determine if they are at high risk of exposure to lead poisoning; children are tested only if they are considered at high risk. The table shows the only data collected on elevated levels of lead in blood in children 6 and under, and is not considered a random sample.22 However, the numbers are useful to review the prevalence of elevated blood lead levels in each county. The number screened is not consistent for each county. Table 27 - County, Prevalence of Elevated Blood Levels County Grant Green Iowa Lafayette Richland Study Area Total # Screened 726 507 236 209 280 1,958 # Tested Positive 7 6 3 3 5 24 % Test Positive .96% 1.18% 1.27% 1.44% 1.79% 1.23% *Source: County Health Rankings 21 22 26 This measure is not based on a complete or random sample and should be interpreted with caution. County Health Rankings - http://www.countyhealthrankings.org/ Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Housing Affordability Table 28 examines the housing affordability gap for the five county seats based on data specific to each county and specific indicators using the following bullet points as assumptions. An affordable home should not cost more than 2.5 times the annual household income. Area Household Median Income (AMI)23 Moderate income is suggested to be between 60 and 80 percent of the Area Median Income Median list price24 & median annual rent25 Using Lancaster as an example Owner Occupied County Area Household Median Income (AMI), = $41,311 60% of the AMI = $24,787 Median list price = $142,450 Affordable mortgage would be 2.5 times $24,787 = $61,968 Subtract $61,968 from the median list price $142,450 = $80,483. The same methodology is used for the 80% of the AMI = $33,049 Renter Occupied The same methodology is used for the renter occupied affordability gap. The average rent for each county multiplied by 12 to arrive at the annual rent. After reviewing the housing affordability gap table several suggestions begin to form. First, more housing for moderate income households would benefit each county seat. The moderate income households are at 80 percent of the area household median income. For Lancaster, more housing priced at $82,622 would be beneficial. Darlington has the most affordable rent out of the Study Area, while Dodgeville has the most affordable owner-occupied housing. Second, assisting borrowers to meet the affordability gap by developing programs that educate borrowers and/or aid with down payments or saving for a down payment. Table 28 - Housing Affordability Gap Area Household Median Income Area Household Median Income (60%) Median List Price Affordable Mortgage Affordability Gap - Owner Occupied Area Household Median Income (80%) Median List Price Affordable Mortgage Affordability Gap - Owner Occupied Median Annual Rent Affordable Rent Affordability Gap - Renter Occupied Darlington $42,333 $25,400 $122,400 $63,500 ($58,900) $33,866 $122,400 $84,666 ($37,734) $5,748 $7,619.94 $1,871.94 Dodgeville $51,107 $30,664 $119,000 $76,660 ($42,340) $40,886 $119,000 $102,214 ($16,786) $7,776 $9,199.26 $1,423.26 Lancaster $41,311 $24,787 $142,450 $61,968 ($80,483) $33,049 $142,450 $82,622 ($59,828) $6,108 $7,435.98 $1,327.98 Monroe $41,197 $24,718 $128,400 $61,795 ($66,605) $32,958 $128,400 $82,394 ($46,006) $7,236 $7,415.46 $179.46 Richland Center $33,750 $20,250 $109,900 $50,625 ($59,275) $27,000 $109,900 $67,500 ($42,400) $6,312 $6,075.00 ($237.00) **Usually the median sale price is used, however only the median list price was available and used for this calculation. 23 Area Median Income (AMI) is the dollar amount where half the population earns less and half earns more RealtyTrac, http://www.realtytrac.com/home/index2, accessed January 2014. 25 Areavibes.com was used to determine the housing score, a combination of factors were used including: median home values in relation to median household income, as well as median rent values in relation to median household income for renter occupied dwellings. Also included were appreciation rates for average home prices for the previous 10 years. The score is then calculated based on comparisons to both state and national averages. 24 27 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study As stated previously, financial experts recommend that housing should consume 30 percent or less of a household’s monthly income. Table 29 used the recommended 30 percent, $50,000 median household income, and four different percentages of median income to provide an illustration for affordable mortgage payments. A $50,000 median household income was used considering the regional average is $48,398 and to calculate with a round number. Table 29 - Sample Household Incomes and Affordable Housing Payments Percentage of Median Household Income 30% Toward Housing Monthly Amount 60% $30,000 $9,000 $750 80% $40,000 $12,000 $1,000 100% $50,000 $15,000 $1,250 120% $60,000 $18,000 $1,500 Fair Market Rents - By County The Fair Market Rents (FMR) is a concept used by the Housing and Urban Development (HUD) to determine how much rent is covered by the government for those tenants who are part of Section 8, as well as other governmental institutions. HUD publishes FMRs and Income Limits for how much program administrators will subsidize housing units, and the maximum incomes that tenants may not exceed in order to qualify for subsidized housing on an annual basis. FMR is defined as the dollar amount below which 40 percent of the standard quality rental housing units are rented. They are calculated for each county on an annual basis using a combination of Census and American Community Survey data such as local economic conditions and housing demand. Table 30 shows the 2014 FMRs for each county.26 Green and Lafayette County have the lowest fair market rents. Table 30 - County, Fair Market Rents County Efficiency Grant $437 Green $404 Iowa $522 Lafayette $404 Richland $419 1 Bedroom $484 $494 $560 $488 $468 2 Bedrooms $637 $637 $757 $637 $596 3 Bedrooms $810 $871 $980 $867 $764 4 Bedrooms $987 $1,128 $1,012 $931 $789 *Source: Huduser.org Wisconsin Rent Guidelines There are publicly funded programs available to sponsor the development of affordable rental housing. The Low Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) was enacted as part of the Tax Reform Act of 1986 in order to encourage production of affordable multi-family rental housing for low-to-moderate income households. Tax credits make development of affordable units feasible by increasing investor/owner down payment in a housing development by lowering mortgage and financing costs, therefore allowing lower rents. In Wisconsin, the Tax Credit Program is managed by the Wisconsin Housing and Economic Development Authority (WHEDA), which annually sets guidelines for determining rent limits based on a project’s target population by household income. Guidelines are based on percentage of county median income (CMI). The WHEDA LIHTC for each county are listed in Appendix B.27 26 HudUser http://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/fmrs/FY2014_code/select_Geography.odn WHEDA http://www.wheda.com/root/uploadedFiles/Website/Business_Partners/Property_Managers/ Other_Reports/14_Standard%20MTSP.pdf 27 28 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Conclusion Like the state and the country, the five county Study Area experienced abnormally high levels of unemployment and property vacancy coming out of the recession. However, over the past two years the region’s unemployment rate has been dropping and the region has been posting consistent job gains. A majority of these gains have come in the education and health, trade, transportation and utilities, and the manufacturing sectors - a sector identified as a high growth industry in the Study Area. Below is a summary of the strengths and weaknesses in the Study Area. Counties Grant: Strengths o Highest population and population projections to grow over the next couple decades o Highest number of household projections Concerns o Second lowest per capita personal income & median household income o Lowest number of owner-occupied housing o Highest number of female-headed householders below the poverty level o Second highest number of foreclosures o Second highest number of homes for sale o Second highest number of individuals aged 65 and older Green: Strengths o Highest number of occupied housing o Second highest population and second highest population projection over the next couple decades Concerns o Lowest per capita personal income o Highest number of unemployment rates o Highest number of foreclosures o Highest number of homes for sale Iowa: Strengths o Lowest number of individuals aged 65 and older o Lowest median list price Concerns o Second lowest number of occupied housing o Second highest unemployment rate Lafayette: 29 Strengths o Lowest unemployment rate o Lowest number of females below poverty Concerns o Lowest population, lowest population projections and household projections o Highest number of housing stock built prior to 1949 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Richland: Concerns o Lowest median household income o Lowest number of occupied housing o Highest median list price o Second lowest number of population and households o Highest number of individuals aged 65 and older o Second highest number of housing stock built prior to 1949 County Seats Darlington: Strengths o Lowest number of homes for sale o Second most affordable housing at 80 percent of area median income Concerns o Lowest population numbers o Lowest population projections o Second lowest number of owner-occupied housing o Highest number of housing stock built prior to 1949 Dodgeville: Strengths o Smallest housing affordability gap o Lowest number of individuals aged 65 and older o Second highest number of population numbers o Second highest number of occupied housing o Second highest number owner-occupied housing o Second lowest number of foreclosures o Second lowest number of housing stock built prior to 1949 Lancaster: Strengths o Highest number of owner-occupied housing Concerns o Second lowest population number o Second lowest population projections o Second highest number of vacant properties o Biggest housing affordability gap at 60 and 80 percent of area median income Monroe: 30 Strengths o Highest population o Highest number of population projections o Highest number of occupied housing o Lowest number of homes for sale Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Richland Center: Strengths o Second smallest housing affordability gap o Second highest number of population o Lowest number homes built prior to 1949 Concerns o Lowest number of occupied housing o Lowest number of owner-occupied housing o Highest amount of individuals aged 65 and older o The only city to have a renter-affordability gap Communities of Higher Education Strengths o Platteville’s population will grow by 17% o Platteville has a low population of residents 65 years and older o Both cities have an occupied status above 92% Concerns o Will lose population o Fennimore has a low number of homes for sale o Platteville has 47% owner-occupied rate Richland County Cities Strengths o Viola will gain population Concerns o Cazenovia will lose population o Cazenovia has a high number of residents 65 years and older o All three cities have an occupied status below 92% o Viola only has 7% of housing stock since 1980 Wisconsin River Corridor 31 Strengths o Arena is expected to gain population o Most residents fall into the 35 to 64 age group for all six cities Concerns o Muscoda is expected to lose population o The occupancy status ranges from 68% to 91% o Boscobel City has a high number of foreclosures o Avoca has 68% owner-occupied rate o On average homes were built prior to 1949 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Housing Recommendations This study provides direction for identifying housing types likely to be needed in the future and as a basis for developing appropriate strategies related to housing markets, home ownership, and affordability challenges. This study allows for agencies to understand the current conditions in the Study Area and focus their programs for each county or municipality based on the local data and their program goals. A program implementation table is presented first, then a series of housing concerns that emerged during the study and which should be addressed first are highlighted below. Agencies could utilize the table below as a foundation for next steps of program implementation within various jurisdictions. The table highlights selected jurisdictions within the Study Area where standard housing programs could occur based on data from this study. Foreclosure intervention highlights areas that had high foreclosures or increasing foreclosure rates, such as Grant County. The impact of homebuyer education is thought to reduce mortgage default rates, but could be developed to encourage renters to move towards homeownership. For that reason, the jurisdictions highlighted under the homebuyer education had higher percentage of renters than homeowners. The jurisdictions highlighted under the home improvement loan program were selected based on percentage of houses built prior to 1949. This table is a starting point and should be discussed further within specific agencies. Table 31 - Housing Programs and Jurisdictions Implementation Housing Programs Jurisdiction Foreclosure Intervention Grant County Green County Richland Center Lone Rock Boscobel Homebuyer Education Green County Lafayette County Darlington Richland Center Lone Rock Boscobel Home Improvement Loan Program Lafayette County Darlington Lancaster Fennimore Cazenovia Viola Blue River Woodman Senior Housing Richland Center Fennimore Viola The first concern is to address the owner-occupied housing affordability gap evident in the County Seats. The housing affordability gap is considerably extensive, the gap ranges from $42,000 to $80,000 at 60 percent area median income (AMI), with Lancaster at the higher end of the range. The average income disparity between the county seats is roughly $17,000, Richland Center AMI is $33,750. One approach would be more housing at the “mortgage” price, which may be difficult to build houses at that price. Another approach is recognizing the buying capacity of the residents and develop programs that would educate borrowers and/or aid with down payments or saving for a down payment. Education programs would be a means to help borrowers succeed as homeowners and to remedy problems that impede borrowers’ abilities to pay their mortgages. Homeownership education and counseling gives consumers more information or guidance that will improve their decision making when it comes to purchasing a home, managing their finances, and handling obstacles that may limit their ability to make monthly mortgage payments. The second concern is the type of housing crucial for the various jurisdictions. There is opportunity to create more affordable workforce housing for individuals, possibly renters who are looking for housing near their workplace at their income levels. New development or more workforce housing options are needed in Dodgeville and Monroe due to increased population projections. The new development must include units that will be accessible to those households earning at or below the area median income. The communities of higher education may need more rentals options due to high percentage of renters. Multi-family homes are essential to creating more diverse housing options, considering single-family homes make up 81 percent of all housing types in the Study Area. 32 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study The third concern is the 65 and older population in Richland Center, Fennimore, and Viola, since this age group comprised more than 20 percent of the individual city’s population. A next step would be an analysis of available senior housing compared to senior population projections. These areas experiencing a growing elderly population need to ensure community support and assistance is available, including identification of land and parcels appropriate for development of senior living facilities. The fourth concern is population projections and availability of housing units. Green County population is expecting to increase by 14 percent by the year 2030. Municipalities with high population projections include: Dodgeville, Monroe, and Platteville. In addition, Green County, Monroe, and Platteville have a small percentage of vacant housing units. Housing demand will need further research in these areas to accurately forecast the amount and type of new homes needed. Net new households, net change in vacant units and second homes, and net removals from the existing stock are the three components that need to be researched further in these areas. Finally, within the municipalities, officials should review public subsidies available for low income housing and utilize them to interest developers. The municipalities may also want to look closely at current zoning requirements in order to identify impediments to development. Southwestern Wisconsin communities must realize the local demographic shift to prepare and accommodate for the changing housing markets. The emerging housing needs include: senior-assisted housing, rental housing, more low- to moderate income housing, and multi-family homes. Each county and municipality will experience different housing needs, which will determine new policies and programs offered. 33 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study References 1. 2000- 2011 annual foreclosure data by county. (02, May 12). Retrieved from http://fyi.uwex.edu/housing/2012/05/02/2000-2011-annual-foreclosure-data-by-county/ 2. Affordable Rental Housing in Rural America. (26, April 13). Retrieved from http://nlihc.org/article/affordablerental-housing-rural-america 3. AreaVibes, Apartment locator. Retrieved from Areavibes.com 4. County Health Rankings & Roadmaps. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.countyhealthrankings.org/ 5. ESRI 2015 Projections (ESRI) 6. Final FY 2014 fair market rent documentation system. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/fmrs/docsys.html&data=fmr14 7. Hobbs, Frank. United States. U.S. Census Bureau. Examining American Household Composition: 1990 and 2000. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 2005. Web. <http://www.census.gov/prod/2005pubs/censr24.pdf>. 8. Housing affordability. (n.d.). Retrieved from https://www.nahb.org/page.aspx/category/sectionID=1292/print=true 9. Kamp, K., & Ghena, J. Wisconsin Partnership for Housing Development, (2011). Market Study for the City of Richland center and Richland County 10. Local area personal income. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?ReqID=70&step=1 11. Mykyta, Laryssa, and Suzanne Mccartney. United States. U.S. Census Bureau. Sharing a Household: Household Composition and Economic Well-Being: 2007 - 2010. Washington, D.C.:, 2012. Web. <http://www.census.gov/prod/2012pubs/p60-242.pdf>. 12. New report says millions of women at risk of falling into poverty, economic ruin. (12, January 14). Retrieved from http://usnews.nbcnews.com/_news/2014/01/12/22254801-new-report-says-millions-of-women-at-risk-offalling-into-poverty-economic-ruin?lite 13. Population & migration. (13, May 13). Retrieved from http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/rural-economypopulation/population-migration.aspx 14. RealtyTrac, Local level foreclosure resource. Retrieved from http://www.realtytrac.com/statsandtrends/wi/greencounty/monroe/?address=Monroe%2C%20WI%20&parsed=1&ct=monroe&cn=green%20county&stc=wi 15. U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2006 - 2010, Selected Population Tables 16. U.S. Census Bureau; American Community Survey, 2008 - 2012, Selected Economic Characteristics; using American Factfinder 17. U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Summary: 2000, Census US Profile, Web, Washington, D.C. 18. U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Summary: 2010, Census US Profile, Web, Washington, D.C. 19. Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development, (2012). Local area unemployment statistics. Retrieved from website: http://worknet.wisconsin.gov/worknet/dalaus.aspx?menuselection=da 20. Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development, (2012).County summary files. Retrieved from website: http://worknet.wisconsin.gov/worknet/downloads.aspx?menuselection=da&pgm=County Profile 21. "Wisconsin MLS Listings, Wisconsin Homes." Wisconsin MLS Listings, Wisconsin Homes. N.p., n.d. Web. 21 Feb. 2014. 22. Wisconsin Population & Household projections. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.doa.state.wi.us/divisions/intergovernmental-relations/demographic-services-center/projections 23. Wisconsin standard multifamily tax subsidy project estimated maximum income and rent limits. (18, December 13). Retrieved from http://www.wheda.com/root/uploadedFiles/Website/Business_Partners/Property_Managers/Other_Reports/1 4_Standard MTSP.pdf 34 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Appendix A Top Employment Sectors The following tables list the Top Employment Sectors with number of jobs, the top employers and number of employees as mentioned in section 1.2.1 Workforce Development Data. Grant County Sector Education Services Food Services & Drinking Places Executive, Legislative, and General Government Nursing and Residential Care Facilities Top Employers University of Wisconsin - Platteville County of Grant Southwest Health Center, Inc. Milprint Walmart Nu-Pak, Inc. Southwest Wisconsin Vocational Technical Institute WI Secure Platteville Public School School District of Boscobel Area Jobs 2,454 1,114 991 717 # of Employees 500-999 500-999 250-499 250-499 250-499 250-499 100-249 100-249 100-249 100-249 Green County Sector Nonstore Retailers Educational Services Food Manufacturing Data Processing, Hosting, and related services Top Employers Monroe Clinic, Inc. Colony & Brands, Inc. School District of Monroe S C Data Center, Inc. County of Green Monroe Truck Equipment, Inc. Kuhn North America, Inc. Ipacesetters, LLC Walmart LSI, Inc. - New Glarus 35 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Jobs 1,048 1,060 967 suppressed # of Employees 500-999 500-999 500-999 500-999 250-499 250-499 250-499 250-499 100-249 100-249 Iowa County Sector Nonstore Retailers Educational Services Machinery Manufacturing Nursing and Residential Care Facilities Top Employers Lands' End, Inc. Cummins Emissions Solutions Inc. Upland Hills Health, Inc. County of Iowa Walmart Dodgeville School District Vivid, Inc. Mineral Point Public School American Players Theatre Iowa-Grant School District Jobs 3,394 687 550 402 # of Employees 1,000 or more 500-999 250-499 250-499 100-249 100-250 100-251 100-252 100-253 100-254 Lafayette County Sector Educational Services Food Manufacturing Executive, Legislative, and General Government Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable goods Top Employers County of Lafayette Lactalis USA, Inc. Darlington Community School District Mexican Cheese Producers, Inc. Betin, Inc. Shullsburg Creamery II, LLC School District of Black Hawk Merkle-Korff Industries, Inc. School District of Argyle Shullsburg Public School 36 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Jobs 452 suppressed 343 228 # of Employees 250-499 100-249 100-249 100-249 50-99 50-100 50-101 50-102 50-103 50-104 Richland County Sector Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting Manufacturing Government Retail Top Employers Rockwell Automation, Inc. County of Richland Schreiber Foods, Inc. The Richland Hospital, Inc. Richland School District Walmart S & S Cycle, Inc. Morningstar Foods, LLC Foremost Farms USA Co-Op Schmitt Woodlands Hills, Inc. 37 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study Jobs 1,754 1,507 1,169 1,138 # of Employees 250-499 250-500 250-501 250-502 250-503 250-504 100-249 100-249 100-249 100-249 Appendix B Rent Guidelines The following tables list the Wisconsin Housing and Economic Development Authority (WHEDA) Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) rent guidelines for each county as mentioned in section 2.3.2. WHEDA uses the County Median Income (CMI) to determine the rent guidelines. Grant 30% CMI 40% CMI 50% CMI 60% CMI Efficiency $309 $413 $516 $619 Green 30% CMI 40% CMI 50% CMI 60% CMI Efficiency $353 $471 $588 $706 Iowa 30% CMI 40% CMI 50% CMI 60% CMI 38 Efficiency $378 $504 $630 $756 Lafayette 30% CMI 40% CMI 50% CMI 60% CMI Efficiency $325 $434 $542 $651 Richland 30% CMI 40% CMI 50% CMI 60% CMI Efficiency $309 $413 $516 $619 1 Bedroom $331 $442 $553 $663 1 Bedroom $378 $504 $630 $756 1 Bedroom $405 $540 $675 $810 1 Bedroom $348 $465 $581 $697 1 Bedroom $331 $442 $553 $663 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study 2 Bedroom $398 $531 $663 $796 2 Bedroom $453 $605 $756 $907 2 Bedroom $486 $648 $810 $972 3 Bedroom $459 $613 $766 $919 3 Bedroom $524 $699 $873 $1,048 4 Bedroom $513 $684 $855 $1,026 4 Bedroom $585 $780 $975 $1,170 3 Bedroom $561 $748 $935 $1,122 4 Bedroom $626 $835 $1,043 $1,252 2 Bedroom $418 $558 $697 $837 3 Bedroom $483 $645 $806 $967 4 Bedroom $540 $720 $900 $1,080 2 Bedroom $398 $531 $663 $796 3 Bedroom $459 $613 $766 $919 4 Bedroom $513 $684 $855 $1,026 39 Southwestern Wisconsin Regional Housing Study