Implementation Plan
Transcription
Implementation Plan
ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan 11.0 IMPLEMENTATION PLAN Executive Summary: This section details ALCOSAN’s plan for the successful delivery of the Recommended 2026 Plan by September 30, 2026; and ALCOSAN’s adaptive management strategy for the development of subsequent phased improvements. ALCOSAN’s implementation schedule is outlined in Sub-Section 11.1. To meet this schedule ALCOSAN is assuming that the final version of this WWP will be approved no later than January 31, 2014. Along with the assumed WWP approval date, the implementation phase is also dependent on another key milestone regarding municipal improvements. Per the municipal orders, municipal feasibility studies must be submitted to the regulatory agencies by July 2013. These studies are expected to establish firm and enforceable flow rate projections at each ALCOSAN point of connection, and will be used by ALCOSAN to establish the basis of design for all ALCOSAN improvements. The implementation schedule assumes that the municipal feasibility studies will be approved by the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection and the Allegheny County Health Department no later than July 31st, 2014. As noted in Section 10.2, implementation of key complementary and WWTP early action projects such as initial improvements to the Woods Run Wastewater Treatment Plant are already underway. Sub-Section 11.2 includes a brief summary of the current operation and maintenance plan and how that plan will be updated as the Wet Weather Plan is implemented. A wet weather routing plan is included, covering the bypassing of the secondary treatment process during some wet weather events. Sub-Section 11.3 describes ALCOSAN’s Interim and Post-Construction monitoring program. It will support ALCOSAN’s evaluation of the effectiveness of the CSO and SSO control program in achieving the performance targets established for the Recommended 2026 Plan. ALCOSAN will expand upon prior monitoring programs to augment baseline data sets with information collected before, during and after construction of facilities, including outfall activation monitoring, in-stream water quality sampling, stream flow gauging and rainfall monitoring. ALCOSAN will also use the hydrologic/hydraulic and water quality models to measure the performance of the Program Elements detailed in Section 10. The results of these analyses will be shared with the regulatory agencies, stakeholders and the general public. ALCOSAN’s strategy for financing the implementation of the Recommended 2026 Plan and the related municipal financing of municipal improvements are addressed in Section 11.4. The Recommended 2026 Plan will result in $1.5 billion in new capital expenditures for ALCOSAN and an additional $0.5 billion in expenditures for the municipalities. Accounting for inflation, ALCOSAN and the municipalities will face capital expenditures of approximately $2.8 billion through 2026. ALCOSAN anticipates using combinations of revenue bond financing owing to ALCOSAN’s strength in the municipal bond market and pay-as-you-go funding utilizing accumulated reserve funds. The financing of the municipal improvements is beyond the scope of this document. 11 - 1 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan The “affordability” of the Recommended 2026 Plan is detailed in Sub-Section 11.5, as measured by the impacts on annual household wastewater costs and the financial capabilities of ALCOSAN and the municipalities to finance the required wet weather controls. Preliminary analysis by ALCOSAN has indicated that annual ALCOSAN rate increases ranging from 10% to 12% through the implementation of the Recommended Plan may be necessary.Wastewater costs per household are evaluated under USEPA criteria through the “Residential Indicator” which measures total annual wastewater costs as a percentage of median household income for a permittee’s service area. Annual wastewater costs representing 2% or more of the median household income are considered to impose a high burden. At a regional level11-1, implementation of the Recommended 2026 Plan will result in a Residential Indicator just over 2% (high burden) based on the median household income in the ALCOSAN service area. By definition, half of the approximate 330,000 households have incomes less than the median. ALCOSAN projects that around 100,000 households within the service area will face wastewater service costs exceeding 2.5% of their incomes and that over 60,000 households could experience costs exceeding 3% of their household incomes. Section 11.5 provides a graphical representation of these projections. At the municipal level11-2, the costs per household are projected to exceed 2% of median household income in more than 200,000 households upon implementation of the Recommended 2026 Plan. For example, the Residential Indicator for the City of Pittsburgh is projected to be 2.3%. Note that these statistics include the estimated $530 million (current dollars) for municipal system upgrades. An inter-municipal allocation of the $530 million, which could materially affect the results for individual municipalities, has not occurred. ALCOSAN’s legal and institutional capacities to implement the Recommended 2026 Plan are evaluated in Sub-Section 11.6. While ALCOSAN has the requisite authority to build new conveyance, storage and treatment facilities, their 2008 consent decree, Pennsylvania statute and existing service contracts limit ALCOSAN’s ability to mandate or implement the reduction of wet weather flows from the municipal collection systems through green infrastructure or other source reduction strategies. Under their respective PaDEP or ACHD orders, the municipalities are required to address municipal overflows and required conveyance capacities. ALCOSAN expects that PaDEP and ACHD will enforce the design flow quantities and flow rates from the municipalities that have served as the basis of ALCOSAN’s wet weather planning, and that will be updated in the feasibility studies to serve as ALCOSAN’s final basis of design. ALCOSAN is committing through this WWP to implement a multi-billion dollar public investment program over a time period that spans decades and that will occur during climatic, economic and demographic changes which are largely unknowable and uncontrollable. To deal with these uncertainties, ALCOSAN will implement an Adaptive Management strategy as described in Sub-Section 11.7. Additional regulatory requirements (e.g. future nutrient loading requirements or municipal stormwater regulations) could increase costs, reduce affordability and materially erode ALCOSAN’s ability to finance the proposed wet weather controls. 11-1 Regional level meaning ALCOSAN costs plus service-area wide average municipal costs. 11-2 Municipal level meaning ALCOSAN costs plus projected municipality specific costs. 11 - 2 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Revised water quality standards, as may emerge from USEPA’s 2012 draft recreational water quality criteria, could change the environmental endpoint for which the WWP was developed. Economic and demographic factors such as interest rates and population changes could also erode, or conversely improve the affordability of future controls. At minimum, climate change will potentially produce increased intense and atypical weather events that may defy long established scientific knowledge bases. As conditions change, ALCOSAN program reviews and adaptive management responses will be developed in coordination with the regulatory agencies. ALCOSAN is also setting forth a process for a Wet Weather Plan Update to be developed as the facilities built under the 2026 Recommended Plan come on line and are evaluated. These evaluations, coupled with the post-construction water quality monitoring results, will serve as the basis for determining whether the remaining elements of the Selected Alternative remain the best solution given then current conditions. The Plan Update will recommend the scope of additional facilities necessary to control remaining overflows to achieve the full objectives of the Clean Water Act and the National CSO Policy. 11.1 Implementation Schedule This section describes the proposed implementation schedule and construction sequencing for the Program Elements of the Recommended 2026 Plan as described in Section 10. The key milestones, priorities and criteria used to develop the implementation schedule are summarized; along with a description of several factors that can affect the implementation schedule. Along with the assumed WWP approval date, the implementation phase is also dependent on another key milestone regarding municipal improvements. As described in Section 9.3, existing municipal orders (COA or ACO) require the development of municipal feasibility studies to evaluate alternatives for elimination of SSOs and control of CSOs from municipal sewer systems. Municipal feasibility studies must be submitted to the regulatory agencies six months after the submission of the ALCOSAN WWP. ALCOSAN expects that these studies will be used by PaDEP and ACHD to establish firm and enforceable flow rate projections at each ALCOSAN point of connection (POC). Such projections will be used by ALCOSAN to establish the basis of design for all ALCOSAN improvements in the Recommended 2026 Plan and the Selected Plan. The implementation schedule assumes that the municipal feasibility studies will be approved by PaDEP and ACHD no later than July 31st, 2014. The schedule also assumes that all necessary supporting information from each approved municipal feasibility study (e.g. cost calculations, models, etc.) will be supplied to ALCOSAN by the assumed date of feasibility study approval: July 31, 2014. 11.1.1 Implementation Steps Specific projects included in each Program Element in the implementation schedule will be implemented through the following steps: 11 - 3 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Preliminary Design - This step in the implementation schedule includes the initial procurement of engineering services to perform additional studies, field investigations and preliminary engineering necessary for establishing the basis of design for the ALCOSAN facilities. (For most projects, this step can begin once the municipal feasibility studies for each tributary POC have been approved by PaDEP and ACHD, but some projects such as the WWTP expansion may be able to proceed before that approval.) The studies and investigations anticipated under this step may include topographic and right-of-way surveys, inspection of existing facilities, geotechnical investigations, hydraulic analysis and modeling, utility mapping, site assessments and sewer system evaluation surveys. Engineering plans and specifications will typically be developed to 30 percent completion and will identify the basis of design parameters including design criteria, equipment and material selection, preliminary layout plans and profiles, summary of geotechnical recommendations, process and instrumentation diagrams, preliminary coordination with utility companies and municipalities, public notification and preliminary estimate of costs. Land Acquisition, Permitting and Approvals - The acquisition of land where needed for new facilities and issuance of permits and receipt of approvals from regulatory and municipal agencies are shown to coincide with the design phase to allow bidding and construction to commence following completion of design. Final Design - Once the basis of design is established, final design includes the preparation of plans, specifications and contract documents for bidding the projects. The design-bid-build program delivery method is assumed for this implementation schedule. Construction - The construction phase scheduling includes the public bidding and award of construction contracts through completion of construction, performance testing, acceptance and initiation of operation of new facilities. 11.1.2 Description of Schedule Figure 11-1 shows the implementation schedule of capital improvements in the Recommended 2026 Plan. These projects are identified by the Program Elements defined in Section 10 and scheduling is shown in years following the assumed approval date of the WWP (January 31, 2014). Woods Run WWTP Early Action Projects – Early action projects as described in Section 10.2 are not included in Figure 11-1 as they are independent of the WWP approval and many are included in the current ALCOSAN capital improvements program. Woods Run WWTP Expansion – The Recommended 2026 Plan focuses on capture of overflows and conveyance to the WWTP for treatment. A priority is also given to the proposed plant expansion to 480 mgd (wet weather peak flow treatment capacity) as described in Section 10.3. The WWTP must be operational prior to tie in of the regional tunnel. Tunnel Dewatering Pump Station – The new pump station as described in Section 10.4 is the link between the regional tunnel and the WWTP and must be completed prior to initiating operation of any portion of the regional tunnel. Thus, the construction sequence shows completing the Tunnel Dewatering Pump Station as well as the Ohio River Segment and Facilities concurrent with the Woods Run WWTP expansion. 11 - 4 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Figure 11-1: Capital Projects Implementation Schedule for the Recommended 2026 Plan 11 - 5 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Ohio River Segment and Facilities - This segment of the regional tunnel begins at a junction shaft near ALCOSAN structure O-39 and continues downstream to a junction shaft at the WWTP as described in Section 10.5. The proposed construction sequence coordinates completion of the Ohio River Segment and associated consolidation sewers with the Tunnel Dewatering Pump Station and the WWTP expansion. Allegheny River Segment and Facilities – As described in Section 10.6 this segment of the regional tunnel extends from a shaft near ALCOSAN Structure A-22 and continues downstream to a junction shaft near ALCOSAN structure O-39. Construction on this segment of the tunnel and associated consolidation sewers will start once the tunneling portion of the Ohio River Segment is complete. Monongahela River Segment and Facilities – This segment of the regional tunnel begins at a shaft near ALCOSAN structure M-29 and continues downstream to a junction shaft near ALCOSAN structure O-39 as described in Section 10.7. Construction of this portion of the tunnel and associated consolidation sewers will start once the tunneling portion of the Allegheny River Segment is complete. The conceptual schedule and construction sequence for the Tunnel Dewatering Pump Station and the three regional tunnel segments described above are based on the following assumptions and criteria: The regional tunnel and facilities are shown to be constructed sequentially starting with the Ohio River Segment, followed by the Allegheny River Segment and then the Monongahela River Segment. This sequential approach will facilitate competitive bidding, improve quality management and provide opportunities for adaptive management of final design and construction. As each segment is completed it will be placed in operation assuming the Woods Run WWTP expansion and Tunnel Dewatering Pump Station are complete and operational. Preliminary design of the regional tunnel system and dewatering pump station will be performed concurrently to establish a uniform basis of design. Final design work for each segment is shown to be staggered with the construction phases. This sequence provides adaptive management opportunities for final design as noted above. Chartiers Creek Conveyance and Facilities – The Chartiers Creek projects focus on the control of SSOs in the planning basin, and control of selected CSOs upstream of POC C-23 in order to achieve the goal of not precluding the attainment of water quality standards, as described in Section 10.8. At the downstream end of the new relief interceptor, dry weather flows will be pumped into the existing interceptor. In wet weather, excess combined sewage that cannot be conveyed to the WWTP via the existing interceptor will be pumped into the RTB for treatment before discharging to Chartiers Creek. This work is independent of the regional tunnel construction and can commence when the design flows are established based on ALCOSAN’s receipt and review of the approved municipal feasibility studies. 11 - 6 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan The Pennsylvania Environmental Defense Fund (PEDF) consent decree requires all ALCOSAN SSOs to Chartiers Creek to be eliminated by 2019. The capital improvements in the Recommended 2026 Plan will comply with the SSO removal requirement, however, due to the extensive relief sewer construction required it cannot be completed by 2019. Multiple concurrent construction contracts will be needed just to complete it by the 2026 CD milestone. Municipal Improvements – The implementation schedule also includes another program element for the municipal improvements. These improvements will be implemented by others and are not part of ALCOSAN’s responsibility under the Wet Weather Plan, but are included for reference purposes. Design and construction of municipal improvements are expected to parallel the implementation schedule for ALCOSAN capital improvements. 11.1.3 Schedule Factors The foundation for the implementation schedule presented in this section is the Recommended 2026 Plan described in Section 10. Recognizing the implementation schedule is for planning purposes, unexpected events and uncertainties will require that this schedule be adjusted accordingly. The following list summarizes a range of uncertainties that may affect the implementation schedule: Changes to the Clean Water Act, National CSO policy; US EPA or PADEP rules, regulations, or water quality standards Changes to ALCOSAN’s NPDES permits Future judicial or administrative orders Timing of land acquisition, permits and approvals for construction Findings of preliminary design Escalation of costs Fluctuation of labor and material markets Unforeseen construction issues Changes to funding capacities and mechanisms indicated in the WWP financial assessments Changes to the assumed municipal improvements could require modifications to particular components of the WWP. Throughout implementation of the WWP, the schedule will be monitored and adjusted through periodic reviews to incorporate new data and assess impacts on all steps of the capital improvements. This is further described in Section 11.7: Adaptive Management. 11 - 7 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan This page was intentionally left blank to facilitate double-sided printing. 11 - 8 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan 11.2 Operation and Maintenance ALCOSAN has a comprehensive operation and maintenance (O&M) program to ensure consistent and reliable operation of the existing collection and treatment system. This program has been documented as complying with the CSO policy requirements for Nine Minimum Controls and numerous other Consent Decree requirements that go beyond the Policy. This subsection briefly summarizes the current O&M program and how that program will be updated as the Wet Weather Plan is implemented. In addition, since the WWP includes a proposed bypass of the secondary treatment process during some wet weather events, this subsection describes the required wet weather routing plan for future operation with the bypass. 11.2.1 Current Operation and Maintenance Program ALCOSAN’s current O&M program consists of the following: Operation & Maintenance Manuals – In accordance with paragraph 8 of Appendix I of the consent decree, ALCOSAN maintains two libraries at its treatment plant as central locations for current O&M manuals for equipment considered critical to its operations, including operation of the main sewage pumps and other pumps. In addition, manuals regarding specific pump operations are available at ALCOSAN’s remote pump stations. The manuals are catalogued in a computerized data base to provide ready access and location information. For new equipment, vendors must supply operating instructions, a maintenance summary, description and frequency of maintenance activity, lubricant list, and recommended spare parts. ALCOSAN has a procedure for cataloging and disseminating these manuals to the two on-site libraries and other appropriate locations. In addition, as new equipment is acquired, procedures are in place to add data to ALCOSAN’s computerized maintenance management database and to place recommended spare parts into inventory. MP-2 Automated Operation and Maintenance Management System - The MP-2® system is an automated O&M management system that develops work orders, documents and archives field maintenance activities, and produces reports for managerial staff. The primary use of the system is to schedule and manage preventive maintenance activities and ensure that complaints and needs observed in the field are resolved in a timely manner. Observed conditions, problems and corrective actions at critical facilities in the ALCOSAN conveyance system are documented and entered into the O&M database using an automated bar-code system known as the Dolphin® System. Automated preventive maintenance reports for ALCOSAN facilities are generated by the MP-2 system on a trimester basis in January, May and September. Both the MP-2 and Dolphin O&M database systems are used to prepare monthly, quarterly, semiannual and annual reports for regulatory agency review and compliance. The system also is used to conduct trending analyses for key operational parameters of the system, including the frequency, duration and volume of overflows. Revised Nine Minimum Control Plan – ALCOSAN submitted the Revised Nine Minimum Control Plan on February 17, 2009. The most recent agency review comments were received in June, 2011. ALCOSAN responded to all agency comments in July, 2011 but a formal approval of the Plan has not been received from the agencies. The Plan describes ALCOSAN’s 11- 9 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan implementation of the Nine Minimum Controls (NMC) in accordance with USEPA guidance documents. ALCOSAN continues to employ the NMC practices documented in this Plan. Sewage Treatment Plant Wet Weather Operating Plan – ALCOSAN’s Wet Weather Flow Sewage Treatment Plant Operating Plan was approved by US EPA in its letter of February 2, 2009, and a revised Operating Plan was approved by US EPA in its letter of June 11, 2009. This Plan documents ALCOSAN’s compliance with paragraphs 23 (Operation of Plant Influent Pumps) and 24 (Sewage Treatment Operating Plan) of the Consent Decree. The Operating Plan is not intended to be an explanation of ALCOSAN’s wastewater treatment process, but rather is focused on the operating plan to be used before, during and after wet weather flow events. The Operating Plan considers wet weather flow events to be events that increase flows to and through the regional conveyance system such as rainstorms or snow melt. ALCOSAN’s Operating Plan also addresses responses at the treatment plant necessary during those periods in which the Ohio River elevation rises through the various flood stages, referred to in the Operating Plan as river elevation events. 11.2.2 Operation and Maintenance Program Updates for Wet Weather Plan As required by the Consent Decree, ALCOSAN will prepare annual updates to the current O&M program to incorporate any new facilities which are part of the Recommended 2026 Plan that have been placed into operation in the preceding year. The annual updates will begin after the first proposed facilities from the Recommended 2026 Plan are constructed and placed into operation, and will follow a two step process: Step 1: Proposed Operation and Maintenance Practices – In the first quarter of each year, ALCOSAN will submit to EPA and PADEP, for review and comment, the proposed best management practices for the O&M of each facility that is placed into operation for the first time in the prior year. The facilities are expected to be placed into operation in accordance with the sequence shown in the implementation schedule presented in Section 11.1. Step 2: Operation and Maintenance Program Updates – Upon approval by EPA and PADEP, ALCOSAN will incorporate the proposed best management practices into each affected portion of the current O&M program which is described in Section 11.2.1. 11.2.3 Wet Weather Routing Plan Since the proposed expansion of the Woods Run WWTP includes a bypass of secondary treatment during wet weather, the CD requires a Bypass Demonstration in accordance with Appendix T and a Wet Weather Routing Plan in accordance with Paragraph 62 to be included in the WWP. Section 9.2.5 summarizes the Bypass Demonstration for the WWTP in compliance with Appendix T and the Wet Weather Routing Plan is presented below. The anticipated specific actions for wet weather operation of the WWTP at up to 480 mgd under the Recommended 2026 Plan are as described below. This preliminary plan is subject to refinement during the design phase of the WWP implementation: 11- 10 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Prior to Wet Weather Event 1. Inspect and verify raw sewage pumps in the Main Pumping Station are ready and setup for wet weather operation with pump discharges appropriately aligned to existing headworks and wet weather headworks. 2. Inspect and verify Tunnel Dewatering Pump Station is ready for service. 3. Prepare additional screening and grit removal process trains for wet weather operation; pre-fill screening channels and grit tanks and initiate operation. 4. Prepare primary sedimentation tanks for wet weather operation; pre-fill tanks and initiate operation. Verify sludge blankets in the primary sedimentation tanks are low; pump down sludge blankets if necessary. Separate waste activated sludge thickening facilities are proposed as part of the capital improvements so that co-settling of primary and waste activated sludge in the primary sedimentation tanks (current practice) is not performed during wet weather. 5. Verify wet weather disinfection process is ready for service and pre-fill chlorine contact tank if necessary. 6. Verify adequate number of aeration basins and final settling tanks are in service for operation at 295 mgd and similarly verify adequate secondary effluent disinfection is ready. During Wet Weather Event 1. Operation of the Main Pumping Station and Tunnel Dewatering Pumping Station will be automatically controlled based on water levels in their respective wet wells and flow monitoring feedback from the WWTP through the plant wide distributed control system. The Main Pumping Station may be able to handle small storms without activating the Tunnel Dewatering Pump Station. The sequence of operation of the pump stations will be developed as the controls for the regional tunnel system are further defined during design. The maximum wet weather flow pumped to the WWTP is 480 mgd under the Recommended 2026 Plan with up to 120 mgd of this flow coming from the Tunnel Dewatering Pump Station. 2. As wet weather flow exceeds 295 mgd the secondary bypass will be initiated along with the wet weather disinfection process. Automatic flow controls will maintain flow to secondary treatment at 295 mgd throughout the wet weather event. Operational experience will determine optimum process operating conditions for the aeration basins and final settling tanks (i.e., return ratios, wasting rates and sludge blankets) during wet weather conditions. 3. Operators will monitor treatment processes by field inspection and the distributed control system to verify proper operation or identify problems and take corrective action. 4. Automatic sampling and instrumentation will provide continuous feedback on chlorine residual in the wet weather disinfection process and adjust chemical dosing as necessary and provide samples for laboratory analysis of discharge quality. 11- 11 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan 5. The maximum peak flow rate into the plant during wet weather will be 480 mgd as maintained through pump speed controls in the Main Pumping Station and Tunnel Dewatering Pump Station and flow monitoring in the WWTP. After the Storm Event 1. The Tunnel Dewatering Pump Station will remain in operation at a flow rate of up to 120 mgd until the regional tunnel has been dewatered. 2. As the plant influent flow subsequently drops below 295 mgd the secondary bypass and wet weather disinfection processes will be stopped and all flow will be directed to secondary treatment. 3. The plant will remain operationally ready for wet weather operation until it is determined the storm system has cleared and there are no additional storms anticipated. 4. Dry weather operation will be restored by sequentially taking process units out-of service. Draining and cleaning operations will be sequenced to avoid excessive recycle flow and loadings on the WWTP. The Wet Weather Routing Plan for operation of the WWTP at 600 mgd peak treatment capacity under the Selected Plan is essentially the same as the Recommended 2026 Plan described above. Additional pumping, headworks and primary treatment process units are placed in-service for wet weather operation up to 600 mgd. The additional operational and maintenance measures required following the WWTP expansion will be integrated into the existing O&M procedures described in Section 11.2.1. The size of the storm event and the resulting variation of wet weather flows to the WWTP do not change the basic wet weather operating strategy to maximize full secondary treatment of flow up to the proposed capacity of 295 mgd. The key factors for successful operation of the WWTP during storm events are the preparation of process units and the transition into secondary bypass when flows exceed 295 mgd. The preparation element refers to those actions noted above as Prior to Wet Weather Event with the objective to have sufficient treatment process units in-service, or on ready standby. Smaller storms may allow for fewer process units to be placed in-service as future operating experience reveals. The transition into wet weather operation at the WWTP via the initiation of a secondary bypass for flows above 295 mgd is a function of sequencing the diversion of primary effluent to wet weather disinfection facilities. Although the detailed transition procedures will be refined during design, the operating concept is the rate of flow entering the plant will ramped up to 295 mgd via control of the raw sewage pumping rate and held until the bypass control gate located at the west end of the primary effluent channel is opened and the wet weather chlorine contact tank is placed in operation. The wet weather chlorination/dechlorination disinfection process will be designed via automatic chemical feed controls to respond to variations in wet weather flow based on flow monitoring and chlorine residual monitoring instrumentation. 11- 12 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan The regional tunnel system will provide sufficient flow storage capacity to allow for initiation of wet weather operation at the WWTP. This will be accomplished through cross connections between the existing interceptor tunnels and the new regional tunnel. These cross connections will provide select points of relief as the hydraulic grade line in the existing interceptor tunnels rises above hydraulic control elevations. Section L (Paragraphs 62.c and 62.d) of the CD requires an estimated reduction in BOD and TSS that ALCOSAN shall achieve upon implementation of the Wet Weather Routing Plan and to propose a date when such percent reductions shall become enforceable under the CD. Two methods were employed to evaluate performance criteria for the proposed Wet Weather Routing Plan; primary stress testing and water quality modeling, as presented below. Primary Stress Testing - As described in Sections 9.2.1 and 9.2.2, ALCOSAN performed full scale stress testing of the primary treatment process to evaluate hydraulic capacity and evaluate process performance at the proposed high rate operation during wet weather. The stress testing program provided a unique opportunity to obtain primary treatment process performance data without the influence of WAS co-settling. The proposed Wet Weather Routing Plan eliminates the current practice of co-settling in the primary tanks and separately handles WAS through a new mechanical thickening process prior to dewatering and disposal. This testing concluded that the primary sedimentation tanks have a unit hydraulic (peak flow) capacity of 60 mgd which corresponds to a peak surface overflow rate of 3,100 gpd/ft2. Under stress testing conditions, the primary treatment process exhibited average daily BOD removals during dry and wet weather periods of 50% and 44%, respectively; and average daily TSS removals of 68% and 61% during dry and wet weather, respectively. The TSS and BOD percent removals were subject to wide fluctuations resulting from the variation in wet weather duration and influent concentrations. However, it was observed the primary effluent TSS and BOD concentrations were less subject to fluctuations and remained approximately 50 mg/L during dry and wet weather conditions. An analysis was performed of the predicted discharge characteristics using the typical year flow model and the proposed Woods Run WWTP expansion to 600 mgd peak flow capacity under the Selected Plan. The combined effluent quality of flows receiving full treatment and flows bypassing secondary treatment during wet weather resulted in TSS and BOD mass loadings and discharge concentrations below the current NPDES monthly maximum, weekly maximum and instantaneous maximum limits for the plant. The facility was also predicted to maintain a monthly overall TSS and BOD removal of 85% or greater. Water Quality Modeling - Using the water quality model developed for the Selected Plan an hourly time series of plant flow and influent TSS and BOD concentrations was prepared for the typical year rainfall pattern including future base flows. From this model an analysis was conducted to determine the effects of primary treatment process performance (i.e., percent TSS and BOD removals) on the overall performance and quality of the plant discharges. This analysis assumed, based on historical data, that the plant effluent receiving secondary treatment has BOD and TSS concentrations at or below 10 mg/L and 15 mg/L TSS, respectively. The percent removals in the primary treatment process were varied to determine the lowest allowable percent BOD and TSS removals to maintain monthly average overall removals above 85 percent, as required in the NPDES permit. The analysis indicates the primary treatment 11- 13 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan process needs to achieve at least 25% BOD reduction and 60% TSS reduction to maintain above 85% TSS and BOD monthly average removals during the typical year. Of the two performance-evaluation methods described above the water quality modeling defines the lowest percent BOD and TSS removals necessary to maintain NPDES permit compliance. However, it must be noted that these criteria specifically apply to the typical year and do not address variations in annual rainfall conditions. For example, during years with higher rainfall than the typical year the wastewater entering the WWTP will have lower pollutant strength, which will result in lower percent removal while simultaneously meeting discharge concentrations and mass loading criteria. Thus, enforceable percent removal criteria must also account for variations in annual rainfall. It is concluded that percent removals are not the most appropriate metrics to enforce performance criteria. Rather it is suggested that the current NPDES discharges limits for concentration and mass loadings of the combined discharges from secondary treatment and secondary bypasses remain the future enforcement criteria under the CD and future NPDES permit renewals. Allowing one year for collection of WWTP performance data after the expanded plant is placed into operation, the anticipated date by which final performance criteria can be established, either as percent removals or limiting concentrations, is one year after the initiation of operation of the expanded plant. In order for the expanded plant to be placed into operation, the plant expansion must be completed and the first regional tunnel segment and points of connection must be completed and placed into operation. Based on the implementation schedule presented in Section 11.1 for the Recommended 2026 Plan, the above activities required to initiate plant operation would be completed approximately nine years following approval of the WWP. 11.2.4 Staffing In developing the Wet Weather Plan, ALCOSAN has prepared preliminary estimates of O&M costs – including labor – for purposes of evaluating and comparing various wet weather control alternatives. The actual level of staffing for O&M will be determined during the implementation of the program and gradually increased as the proposed facilities are constructed and placed into service. Operator experience gained with the first new facilities placed into service will refine the staffing plans for later facilities. At a minimum, O&M staffing will be reviewed annually as part of the annual budget process. 11- 14 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan 11.3 Interim and Post-Construction Monitoring Plan 11.3.1 Introduction The primary objective of the Interim and Post-Construction Monitoring Plan (IPCMP) is to demonstrate, via H&H monitoring and modeling of the constructed improvements and facilities, that performance criterion, as noted below, are met upon completion of the 2026 Plan. This section discusses the methods and tasks to achieve this objective. For the long term (beyond 2026), the objective is to demonstrate, via receiving water quality monitoring and modeling, that ALCOSAN CSO discharges; do not cause or contribute to nonattainment of water quality standards, are sufficient to ensure compliance with ALCOSAN’s then-current NPDES permit and additionally to demonstrate, via H&H monitoring and modeling of constructed improvements and facilities, that long term performance criterion are met. This section does not discuss the monitoring and modeling required for the IPCMP beyond the 2026 Recommended Plan. Regulatory Requirements: U.S.EPA requires CSO communities to conduct a post-construction monitoring program during and after WWP implementation “to help determine the effectiveness of the overall program in meeting Clean Water Act requirements and achieving local water quality goals 11-3.” The program should collect data that measure the effectiveness of CSO controls and their impact on water quality, and should utilize existing monitoring stations used in previous studies of the waterways and sewer system in order to compare results to conditions before controls were put in place. The program should include a map of monitoring stations, a record of sampling frequency at each station, a list of data to be collected, and a quality assurance/quality control (QA/QC) plan. In U.S.EPA’s December 2001 Report to Congress: Implementation and Enforcement of the Combined Sewer Overflow Control Policy, the Agency noted the difficulty of establishing a monitoring and tracking program for CSO control programs. “Monitoring programs need to be targeted and implemented in a consistent manner from year to year to be able to establish precontrol baseline conditions and to identify meaningful trends over time as CSO controls are implemented,” the report said. “In practice, it is often difficult, and in some instances impossible, to link environmental conditions or results to a single source of pollution, such as CSOs. In most instances, water quality is impacted by multiple sources, and trends over time reflect the change in loadings on a watershed scale from a variety of environmental programs.” The report also noted that weather conditions and rainfall totals vary significantly from storm to storm and year to year, making comparisons difficult. The proposed IPCMP recognizes these challenges and limitations of a monitoring program and will utilize updated H&H Models, supplemented by an ongoing monitoring program, to determine if performance measures are achieved. 11‐3 Combined Sewer Overflows, Guidance for Long-Term Control Plan (EPA 832-B-95-002, August 1995), p. 4-15. 11- 15 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Purpose and Scope: The IPCMP will collect data needed to determine whether CSO control measures have met the required Performance Criteria and to document stream improvements that can be attributed to implementation of CSO control measures by ALCOSAN. As part of the planning and development of the WWP, ALCOSAN developed and calibrated a H&H Model of the collection system. This model was then used to document the baseline CSO characteristics. ALCOSAN also completed a comprehensive receiving water assessment documenting water quality conditions in major CSO-impacted receiving streams. This assessment established baseline conditions for in-stream water quality data, as documented in Section 5.4. The monitoring program has been developed based upon the following scope of work: Execute Interim Monitoring: Based on the receiving water assessments, ALCOSAN identified bacteria as the primary pollutant of concern. ALCOSAN will use fecal coliform and E. coli bacteria to monitor interim baseline water quality during the construction and implementation of long term CSO control measures on receiving streams. Prepare 2024 Update to the Post-Construction Monitoring Plan: Utilizing information gained during interim water quality monitoring and the construction and implementation of the CSO control measures, the Post-Construction Monitoring Plan will be revised as necessary to better evaluate the established Performance Criteria. Prepare and Execute Post-Construction Monitoring: The collection system post construction monitoring program will determine whether CSO control measures are performing as proposed to meet its Performance Criteria. The program will also identify how ALCOSAN will collect data needed to document receiving waters improvements achieved through implementation of these control measures. Report results to State and Federal Agencies: The results of the IPCMP will be reported to the U.S. EPA and PaDEP. Upon completion of all interim and post-construction monitoring, ALCOSAN will prepare a Final Post-Construction Monitoring Report that evaluates whether the constructed projects have achieved the desired results. The following sections present ALCOSAN’s approach for tracking and reporting on the achievement of Performance Criteria. 11.3.2 Program Elements Performance Criteria: Performance Criteria are those used to assess the performance of controls so as to determine whether or not they are meeting the Wet Weather Plan goals. For the 2026 Wet Weather Plan (WWP) ALCOSAN has three performance criteria. 1. Reduction of untreated ALCOSAN CSO volume to 4,000 MG/year in a typical year 2. Control ALCOSAN CSOs near Sensitive Areas to zero or one overflows in a typical year, depending upon the specific outfall 3. Control of ALCOSAN SSOs in the Chartiers Creek basin to a long term average of one overflow every 2 years. 11- 16 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan ALCOSAN will carry out the evaluation of performance criteria by collecting precipitation and flow monitoring data beginning 12 months following the implementation and successful operation of all SSO and CSO control measures. ALCOSAN will update and validate the H&H model prepared during development of the WWP using the collected monitoring data. The models will then be used to generate appropriate simulations demonstrating “typical year” compliance with the Performance Criteria in terms of CSO and 1 overflow every 2-year by continuous simulation or design storm for SSO performance. Receiving Water Quality Measures: Water Quality Measures are those used to assess improvements in water quality of receiving streams due to implementation of wet weather overflow control measures. ALCOSAN will use bacteria (fecal coliform and E. coli) as its water quality measure. ALCOSAN will collect data to measure and evaluate improvements to instream bacteria counts that can be attributed to wet weather overflow control measures. CSO and SSO controls alone will not result in attainment of bacteria standards for water contact recreation due to numerous bacteria sources in the environment. Therefore, there are no performance criteria for bacteria as a water quality measure for the 2026 WWP. Instead, ALCOSAN will analyze trends in both dry and wet-weather bacteria values and compare them to historic monitoring data and modeling predictions to determine improvement in water quality. 11.3.3 Interim and Post-Construction Monitoring and Data Collection CSO Outfall Monitoring: During post-construction monitoring for the 2026 Plan, selected ALCOSAN CSO outfalls will be monitored for activations after each wet weather event. Approximately 20 outfalls will be monitored for activation for one year. Outfalls will be monitored either with a recording depth meter or marked with chalk and a fishing bobber placed in the overflow opening. If the chalk is washed away and the bobber has been dislodged, an overflow event will assume to have occurred. CSO outfall locations will be determined and documented in the 2024 PCMP update. SSO Outfall Monitoring: SSO outfalls will continue to be monitored during the interim and post-construction period for activations consistent with Appendix L Section 1c of the CD using a bobber/chalk method. Selected SSO monitoring locations within the ALCOSAN service area, together with their monitoring rationale, monitoring frequency, and monitoring protocols are presented in Table 11-1. These SSO outfall locations are shown on Figure 11-2. Collection System Monitoring: Flow monitoring is currently being conducted at 15 shallow cut interceptor locations and HGL levels are being monitored at 10 locations in the existing deep interceptors. These monitoring locations will continue to be operated and maintained. In addition, four depth monitors will be located in the new deep tunnel and two flow monitors on the relief interceptor for Chartiers Creek. 11- 17 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Table 11-1: List SSO Outfall Monitoring Locations Location Description Receiving Stream Monitoring Rationale Monitoring Frequency Monitoring Protocols A-45 Fairview Avenue (Verona Borough) Allegheny River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk A-82 First Street (Blawnox Borough) Allegheny River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk A-85 Powers Run (O'Hara Township) Allegheny River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk / C-21 L.B., end of Thornburg Sewer opposite Crafton Borough Sewer (Thornburg Borough) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk C-26 L.B. rear of Columbia Steel & Shafting Co, Foot of Arch St. ext (Rosslyn Farms Borough) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk / C-33 Vine Street (Carnegie Borough) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk C-38B Left Bank, at foot of Barrett Way (Carnegie Borough) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk / C-42 Right Bank, foot of Center Way (Scott Township) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk C-45 RB, approximately 30 ft. U/S of West Main St. highway bridge (Scott Township) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk / C-45A L.B., landward side of RR Culvert, approx 550 ft. U/S of highway bridge (Carnegie Borough) Chartiers Creek Continuous Bobber/ Chalk C-46 Left Bank, end of Grant Avenue near RR Bridge (Heidelberg Borough) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk / C-47 R.B., across creek from American Steel Band Company (Scott Township) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk C-48 R.B., approx 30 ft. D/S of East Railroad St. Highway Bridge (Scott Township) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk / Site ID 11- 18 Monitoring of SSO Activation ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Table 11-1: List SSO Outfall Monitoring Locations Site ID Location Description Receiving Stream Monitoring Rationale Monitoring Frequency Monitoring Protocols C-49 R.B., approx 20 ft. D/S of Collier St. Highway Bridge (Scott Township) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk C-50 L.B., approx 750 ft. D/S of Woodville Rd. Highway Bridge (Scott Township) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk C-50A R.B., approx 250 ft. D/S of Woodville Rd. Highway Bridge (Scott Township) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk C-50B R.B., approx 1400 ft. upstream of P.C.Y. RR Bridge (Scott Township) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk C-52 L.B., approx 100 ft. D/S of P.C.C. & St. L. RR Bridge (Collier Township) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk C-53 Approx 100 ft. D/S of mouth of Painters Run (Scott Township) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk C-54 Right bank, mouth of McLaughlin’s Run (Bridgeville Borough) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk C-55 R.B., approx 120 ft. D/S of Pgh. W. Va. RR Bridge (Bridgeville Borough) Chartiers Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk O-15 O-15 Outfall structure (Emsworth Borough) Ohio River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk O-16 Western Avenue (Ben Avon Borough) Ohio River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk O-17 Irwin Avenue (Ben Avon Borough) Ohio River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk O-18 Spruce Run (Ben Avon Borough) Ohio River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk O-18y Cliff Street lateral (Ben Avon Borough) Ohio River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk 11- 19 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Table 11-1: List SSO Outfall Monitoring Locations Site ID Location Description Receiving Stream Monitoring Rationale Monitoring Frequency Monitoring Protocols O-18z Ridge Ave. lateral (Ben Avon Borough) Ohio River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk O-19 Birmingham Avenue (Avalon Borough) Ohio River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk O-20 Elizabeth Avenue (Avalon Borough) Ohio River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk O-21 West Street (Avalon Borough) Ohio River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk O-22 Meade Avenue (Bellevue Borough) Ohio River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk O-23 South Fremont Avenue (Bellevue Borough) Ohio River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk O-24 Shiloh Avenue (Bellevue Borough) Ohio River Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk SMR.CS-14 Interceptor Relief at Grove Road (Castle Shannon Borough) Saw Mill Run Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk SMR.CS-50 Interceptor Relief at Smith St. (Castle Shannon Borough) Saw Mill Run Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk SMR.CS-53 Interceptor Relief at Connor Rd. (Castle Shannon Borough) Saw Mill Run Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk T-08 L.B. Turtle Creek approx 300 ft. D/S from mouth of Thompson Run (North Versailles Township) Turtle Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk T-18 Left bank under Viaduct (Wilmerding Borough) Turtle Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk T-25 Left bank approx 400 ft. downstream of Wall Bridge (North Versailles Borough) Turtle Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk 11- 20 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Table 11-1: List SSO Outfall Monitoring Locations Site ID Location Description Receiving Stream Monitoring Rationale Monitoring Frequency Monitoring Protocols T-26A Moss Side Boulevard (Municipality of Monroeville) Turtle Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk T-26B S. Pitcairn connection for Monroeville Boro, just D/S of Bridge going to Pitcairn RR yards (Monroeville) Turtle Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk T-27 Left bank under PitcairnTrafford Road Viaduct (Trafford Borough) Turtle Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk T-29 Left bank approx 600 ft. D/S of Firth Sterling Company fence (Trafford Borough) Turtle Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk T-29A Left bank approx 200 ft. D/S of Firth Sterling Company fence (Trafford Borough) Turtle Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk T-31 Right bank Brush Creek approx 250 ft. D/S from PA RR Bridge (Trafford Borough) Turtle Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk T-32 Right bank Brush Creek approx 90 ft. upstream of PA RR Bridge (Trafford Borough) Turtle Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk T-33 R.B. Brush Creek & Maple Street (Trafford Borough) Turtle Creek Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk TR-03 Larimar Ave. (Wilkins Township) Thompson Run Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk TR-04 Chalfant Run Culvert (Wilkins Township) Thompson Run Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk TR-05 Eastmont (Wilkins Township) Thompson Run Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk TR-06 Lick Run (Municipality of Monroeville) Thompson Run Monitoring of SSO Activation Continuous Bobber/ Chalk 11- 21 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Figure 11-2: Map of SSO Outfall Monitoring Locations 11- 22 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Rainfall Monitoring: A radar rainfall system has been implemented and maintained by 3 Rivers Wet Weather since April 2000 to provide high resolution, spatially distributed precipitation data for the ALCOSAN service area. The radar rainfall system accounts for the temporal and spatial distribution of rainfall in greater detail than would otherwise be possible with a traditional rain gauge network, resulting in additional accuracy and confidence in the model results. A regional network of 34 rain gauges is used to calibrate the recorded radar reflectivity and produce the precipitation data used to populate the radar-rainfall pixel grid with rainfall summed over 15 minute increments for each pixel of 1-km by 1-km (0.6 mile by 0.6 mile). A list of the rain gauge network supporting this system is provided on Table 11-2. A map of the rainfall gauge network and corresponding pixel grid for the ALCOSAN service area is provided on Figure 11-3. Table 11-2: List of Rain Gauges Supporting the Calibrated Radar-Rainfall System Site ID Location Description Monitoring Rationale Monitoring Frequency Monitoring Protocols RG1 PWSA (Montana Street) Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG2 ALCOSAN (Alcosan Lab) Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG3 Shaler Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG4 Kennedy Twp. Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG5 Upper St. Clair Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG6 Carnegie Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG7 Greentree Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG8 Lawrenceville (ACHD) Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG9 University of Pittsburgh (Pitt) Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG10 Highland Park (PWSA) Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG11 Nine Mile Run (M46) Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG12 Baldwin Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG13 Braddock (M59) Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG14 Churchill Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG15 Trafford Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge 11- 23 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Table 11-2: List of Rain Gauges Supporting the Calibrated Radar-Rainfall System Site ID Location Description Monitoring Rationale Monitoring Frequency Monitoring Protocols RG16 Castle Shannon Precipitation Monitoring Continuous RG17 Bridgeville (SFA Chartiers PS) Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge 3RWW Rain Gauge RG18 Oakdale Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG19 Penn Hills North (Sandy Creek) Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG20 Penn Hills South (Gascola PS) Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG21 Moon Twp (Flaugherty Run) Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG22 North Fayette Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG23 Findlay Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG24 Lewis Run (Pleasant Hills / Jefferson Hills) Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG25 White Oak Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG26 Elizabeth Twp. Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG27 Marshall Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG28 Plum Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG29 Bell Acres Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG30 McCandless (Franklin Park / MTSA) Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG31 Hampton Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG32 Creighton Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG33 Richland Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge RG34 Arnold Precipitation Monitoring Continuous 3RWW Rain Gauge 11- 24 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Figure 11-3: Rainfall Gauge Network and Pixel Grid 11- 25 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Water Quality Monitoring: Building upon the Receiving Water Quality Program (RWQP) used for development of the WWP, ALCOSAN will monitor bacteria (E. coli and fecal coliform) at selected water quality monitoring locations. These monitoring locations will be selected to allow for data collection needed to document stream improvements attributed to the implementation of the CSO controls. Wherever possible, sampling sites will be selected that correspond to sites sampled during the RWQP to allow for comparison. Selected monitoring stations within the ALCOSAN service area, together with their monitoring rationale, monitoring frequencies, and monitoring protocols are presented in Table 11-3. Locations of receiving stream monitoring stations are shown on Figure 11-4. Sampling will occur in three year cycles during the defined recreational period of May 1 through October 15. For the three year period of each cycle, three wet and three dry samples will be collected. Dry weather is defined by an antecedent dry weather period of 72 hours with less than 0.1 inches of precipitation with the dry weather conditions prevailing throughout the event. Wet weather events are defined as no precipitation greater than 0.1 inches in the local watershed for 48 hours followed by a minimum of 0.30 inches of rainfall (spatially averaged) over a 24-hour period along the Allegheny, Monongahela or Ohio rivers. Each sample will consist of a single vertical (SV), depth-integrated, isokinetic grab. Table 11-3: List of Water Quality Monitoring Stations Site ID Location Description Receiving Stream Monitoring Rationale Monitoring Frequency Monitoring Protocols 03049652 Allegheny River at Hulton bridge at Oakmont, 0.7 mi downstream from Deer Creek, at river mile 12.7. Allegheny River Track WQ Upstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03049674 Allegheny River near Blawnox PA Allegheny River Track WQ Upstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03049677 Allegheny River at RM 8.1 Allegheny River Track WQ Upstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03049825 Allegheny River at RM 2.5 Herrs Island Marina Allegheny River Track WQ Upstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03049832 Allegheny River at 9th St. Bridge (Transect at downstream end of Convention Center on left bank.) Allegheny River Track WQ Upstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 11- 26 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Table 11-3: List of Water Quality Monitoring Stations Receiving Stream Monitoring Rationale Monitoring Frequency Monitoring Protocols 03085290 Chartiers Creek near Bridgeville Chartiers Creek Track WQ Upstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03085500 Chartiers Creek at Carnegie at gage. Chartiers Creek Track WQ of Receiving Water See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03085550 Chartiers Creek at Thornburg at Thornburg Bridge. Chartiers Creek Track WQ Downstream of new CSO Controls See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03083903 Monongahela River at McKeesport at RM 14.7 Monongahela River Track WQ Upstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria Site ID Location Description 03085116 Monongahela River at RM 5.5** Monongahela River Track WQ Immediately Downstream of Sensitive Area 03085120 Monongahela River at Pennsylvania American Water Intake, 20 yards upstream of intake. Monongahela River Track WQ Immediately Upstream of Sensitive Area See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03085140 Monongahela River at RM 2.2 PAFBC Launch Monongahela River Track WQ Immediately Upstream of Sensitive Area See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03085150 Monongahela River at Smithfield St. Bridge on upstream side of Matrix nightclub on left bank. Monongahela River Track WQ Downstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03085154 Ohio River at RM 0.0 at the Point at Pittsburgh Ohio River Track WQ Immediately Upstream of Sensitive Area See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria O1.4 Ohio River at RM 1.4 ORSANCO Ohio River Track WQ of Receiving Water See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria O4.3M Ohio River at RM 4.3 ORSANCO Ohio River Track WQ of Receiving Water See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 11- 27 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Table 11-3: List of Water Quality Monitoring Stations Receiving Stream Monitoring Rationale Monitoring Frequency Monitoring Protocols 03085700 Ohio River at West View Water Intake, 20 yards upstream of intake. Ohio River Track WQ Immediately Upstream of Sensitive Area See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 030859515 Ohio river on the back channel near Interstate 79 Ohio River Track WQ of Receiving Water See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03085986 Ohio River at Sewickley Ohio River Track WQ Downstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03085160 Sawmill Run at Castle Shannon Saw Mill Run Track WQ Upstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03085213 Sawmill Run at Duquesne Heights at Minnotte Street Bridge. Saw Mill Run Track WQ Downstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03084400 Turtle Creek at Trafford Turtle Creek Track WQ Upstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03084808 Turtle Creek at East Pittsburgh at railroad bridge. Turtle Creek Track WQ Downstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03049819 Girty’s Run above Grant Avenue at Millvale Girty’s Run Track WQ Downstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 030859501 Lowries Run below CSO downstream of Ohio River Blvd Lowries Run Track WQ Upstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03085050 Nine Mile Run at mouth at M46 Nine Mile Run Track WQ Downstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03049810 Pine Creek at Industrial Park Pine Creek Track WQ Downstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria 03085113 Streets Run below CSO near mouth Streets Run Track WQ Downstream of CSOs See Section 11.3.3 Bacteria Site ID Location Description 11- 28 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Figure 11-4: Receiving Stream Monitoring Locations 11- 29 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Stream Flow Monitoring: ALCOSAN will make use of 12 existing United States Geological Survey (USGS) real-time flow discharge and water stage gauging stations in and around the ALCOSAN service area to monitor flow in the receiving streams. These gauges are listed in Table 11-4 and are shown on Figure 11-5. In the event stream flow monitoring is discontinued by USGS at some locations, adequate historic data is available to estimate stream flow discharge using water depth measurements. Table 11-4: USGS Stream Gauging Stations Site ID Location Description Receiving Stream Monitoring Rationale Monitoring Frequency Monitoring Protocols 03049500 Allegheny River at Natrona, PA Allegheny River USGS Gauging Station Continuous Stream Flow, Water Stage 03049800 Little Pine Creek near Etna, PA Little Pine Creek USGS Gauging Station Continuous Stream Flow, Water Stage 03049807 Pine Creek at Grant Avenue at Etna, PA Pine Creek USGS Gauging Station Continuous Stream Flow, Water Stage 03049819 Girty’s Run above Grant Avenue at Millvale, PA Girty’s Run USGS Gauging Station Continuous Stream Flow, Water Stage 03075070 Monongahela River at Elizabeth, PA Monongahela River USGS Gauging Station Continuous Stream Flow, Water Stage 03083500 Youghiogheny River at Sutersville, PA Youghiogheny River USGS Gauging Station Continuous Stream Flow, Water Stage 03084698 Turtle Creek at Wilmerding, PA Turtle Creek USGS Gauging Station Continuous Stream Flow, Water Stage 03084800 Thompson Run at Turtle Creek, PA Thompson Run USGS Gauging Station Continuous Stream Flow, Water Stage 03085000 Monongahela River at Braddock, PA Monongahela River USGS Gauging Station Continuous Stream Flow, Water Stage 03085213 Saw Mill Run at Duquesne Heights near Pittsburgh, PA Saw Mill Run USGS Gauging Station Continuous Stream Flow, Water Stage 03085500 Chartiers Creek at Carnegie, PA Chartiers Creek USGS Gauging Station Continuous Stream Flow, Water Stage 03086000 Ohio River at Sewickley, PA Ohio River USGS Gauging Station Continuous Stream Flow, Water Stage 11- 30 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Figure 11-5: USGS Stream Gauging Station Locations 11- 31 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Monitoring Schedule: Interim water quality monitoring will commence in 2015 and consist of two three year cycles. Post-construction water quality monitoring will begin in 2027 and last for three years. SSO activation monitoring consistent with Appendix L, paragraph 1c of the CD, along with rainfall and stream flow monitoring, will continue throughout the interim and postconstruction period. CSO monitoring will begin in 2027 and continue for one year. The Interim and Post-Construction Monitoring Schedule is shown in Table 11-5. Table 11-5: Interim Water Quality Monitoring Schedule Cycle 2 Stream Flow Rainfall 2029 2028 2026 CSO Activation SSO Activation 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 Cycle 1 PCMP Update Water Quality 2015 2014 Monitoring Type 2027 Post Construction Interim In 2024 if appropriate, ALCOSAN will submit proposed modifications to the Post-Construction monitoring provisions of the Receiving Water Quality Monitoring Plan consistent with paragraph 9c of Appendix Q of the CD. 11.3.4 Data Retrieval, Management and Analysis Data retrieval, management and analysis are an integral part of any monitoring program. ALCOSAN currently has a system to store, retrieve, and analyze existing data. This postconstruction monitoring program was developed to make use of the existing database to facilitate evaluation of new water quality data which will be used, along with the water quality models, to measure the effectiveness of CSO controls. The program activities are designed to ensure collection of appropriate data, establish consistency of sampling methods and data acquisition, and define performance standards for maintaining data integrity. All necessary measures will be taken to validate, track, store and manage the collected data to ensure that monitoring objectives are attained. Specific sampling protocols are administered and performed by experienced personnel familiar with sampling procedures used in support of the ongoing monitoring program for ALCOSAN. As data are generated during interim and post-construction monitoring, the program may need to be revised to accommodate alternative data collection techniques or data evaluation 11- 32 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan approaches to meet monitoring objectives. Any revisions or additions to the data retrieval or management aspects of such program will be made after consulting with PaDEP and U.S. EPA. ALCOSAN has developed a dynamic H&H model that fully integrates the hydrology and hydraulics of the combined sewer system (collection system model). ALCOSAN will utilize sound engineering judgment and best industry practices, and take the following steps, to update and utilize the collection system model to determine whether ALCOSAN has achieved compliance with the Performance Criteria. 1. Collect flow and depth data in the collection system for the 12-month post-construction monitoring period as described in section 11.3.3 2. Perform quality assurance and quality control of the data collected in Step 1. 3. Utilize the H&H Model in its previously-calibrated state and the rainfall data collected during the monitoring period, to run a continuous simulation of CSO discharges for the 12- month post-construction monitoring period. 4. Compare the continuous simulation CSO discharge outputs to the CSO monitoring data for the 12-month post-construction monitoring period to determine whether recalibration of the collection system model is needed. Model re-calibration will be not be needed if the model achieves at least the same degree of calibration as was achieved for existing conditions during the WWP development process, and there is a high degree of agreement between the model output and CSO monitoring data for activation frequency for the 12-month post-construction monitoring period. Otherwise, model re-calibration will be needed in accordance with Steps 5-7. 5. If re-calibration is needed, select two or more appropriate rainfall events from the 12month post-construction monitoring period for model recalibration. 6. Develop an initial data set for use with the model and perform successive applications of the model with appropriate parameter adjustment until there is a high degree of agreement between the model output and the CSO monitoring data for the 12-month post-construction monitoring period. In making such adjustments, the ALCOSAN will consider the inherent variability in both the collection system model and in flow monitoring data, and will exercise sound engineering judgment and best industry practices so as to not compromise the overall representativeness of the model. 7. Once the model has been re-calibrated in accordance with Step 6, ALCOSAN will verify the re-calibrated model by again utilizing the model and the rainfall data collected during the 12-month post-construction monitoring period, to run another continuous simulation for the 12-month post construction monitoring period. ALCOSAN will again compare the continuous simulation CSO discharge outputs to the CSO monitoring data for the 12-month post-construction monitoring period as described in Step 4, to determine whether additional re-calibration of the collection system model is needed. Re-calibration will be determined to be adequate if the model achieves at least the same degree of calibration, as was achieved for pre-CSO Long-Term Control conditions during the WWP development process, and there is a high degree of agreement between the model output and CSO monitoring data for activation frequency for the 11- 33 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan 12-month post-construction monitoring period. Otherwise, further re-calibration will be needed in accordance with these Steps 5-7 until the model achieves at least the same degree of calibration as was achieved for pre-CSO Long-Term Control conditions during the WWP development process, and there is a high degree of agreement between the model output and CSO monitoring data for activation frequency for the 12-month postconstruction monitoring period. 8. Once ALCOSAN has satisfactorily re-calibrated the model in accordance with Steps 5 through 7 (or shown that re-calibration is not necessary in accordance with Step 4), ALCOSAN will then utilize the original or recalibrated model (if recalibration was necessary in accordance with Steps 4-7) to run a continuous simulation of the typical year to determine whether ALCOSAN has achieved the Performance Criteria. 9. ALCOSAN shall be deemed to have achieved the Performance Criteria if: • ALCOSAN untreated CSO volume is less than 4,000 MG/year in a typical year, • ALCOSAN CSOs near Sensitive Areas overflow zero or one time in the typical year, depending on the specific outfall. • ALCOSAN SSOs on Chartiers Creek are controlled to a long term average of 1 overflow every 2 years. 11.3.5 Quality Control QA/QC will utilize many of the same procedures and processes that were developed and implemented during the development of the WWP. A summary of these procedures is given below along with references to more detailed descriptions. Water Quality: The water quality monitoring and sampling program will employ similar data quality assurance review procedures to those used for development of the WWP to ensure that program objectives are met. Internal quality control checks will be performed on field and laboratory generated measurements as summarized herein. Field Measurements: Field quality control checks consist of quality assurance (QA)/quality control (QC) samples that will be collected or prepared by the field crews and will be submitted for laboratory analysis. These samples consist of duplicates, field blanks, and equipment blanks. Acceptable control limits will be established, the data reviewed, and an assessment made of the adequacy of the quality control checks. When problems are identified; corrective actions will be discussed and implemented, as appropriate. In addition, quality control checks will be conducted in advance of, and following, the use of multi-parameter meters. Procedures will be similar to those used for the collection of data for development of the WWP. Laboratory Measurements: The laboratory will perform quality control checks on all samples analyzed, which includes sample duplicates, matrix spikes, matrix spike duplicates, control samples, and method blanks as appropriate. The laboratory will conduct quality control procedures for analytical services in accordance with their standard operating procedures and the individual method requirements referenced by U.S. EPA methods or Standard Methods 11- 34 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan (18th, 19th and 20th Editions) with acceptable control limits. Quality control check issues will be identified and corrective actions will be implemented. Data Review, Validation and Usability: All environmental measurement data and samples collected will be subjected to quality control. This is a multi‐step process where the Program Managers are responsible for verifying the data and the Quality Assurance Manager will conduct the data validation. The data generated from the sampling program will be subjected to a multi‐ tiered review process which includes: • Review of the data at the bench (laboratory) and field levels • Secondary review of field records by the Field Program Manager and laboratory analytical results by the Quality Assurance Manager to verify the data against method and standard operating procedure requirements • Screening level review of the verified data by the appropriate Program Managers for reasonableness and to identify obvious data anomalies • Validation and data usability by the Quality Assurance Manager If data does not meet QA/QC criteria, additional review of the quality control checks and any relevant laboratory bench sheets will be conducted. Upon completion of QA/QC review, the data will be flagged appropriately, identifying the limitations of the data. Data Verification: The data quality assurance review process includes a series of data verification activities that are conducted during field activities and in the laboratory. Field Activities Data Verification - The Field Program Manager will be responsible for ensuring that the samples are collected and handled according to the procedures specified. Sample collection verification includes confirming that the samples are collected with the proper equipment at the appropriate locations with the appropriate frequency using proper labeling protocol. Sample handling verification includes confirmation by the laboratory that the samples are stored in the appropriate containers with the correct preservative, that the samples were stored at the proper temperature during transport from the field to the laboratory, proper change-of-custody procedures were followed and that all appropriate information was logged on the chain-of-custody records. Laboratory Activities Data Verification - The Laboratory QA/QC Manager is responsible for verifying and approving laboratory generated data. Laboratory verification includes assessing that the procedures used to generate the data are consistent with the method requirements as specified in the laboratory’s SOPs and that the QA/QC requirements for each method are met. Examples of method requirements include verifying the calibration and data reduction procedures. Method QA/QC requirements vary by analyte. A laboratory report will be released to the Quality Assurance Manager after the data is verified and approved. 11- 35 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan Data Validation Requirements - The Quality Assurance Manager − who is not directly involved with the field program, sample collection, or analysis – will perform data validation for this program which includes the following. • Inspect the data verification and review records to ensure that no oversights were made during that process. • Evaluate the data against the project’s Data Quality Objectives. • Evaluate the data in the context of the project’s overall objectives, which include using the data collected to support the development, calibration and application of numerical assessment tools. • Communicate the data validation results to the rest of the project team. Field measurements data collection, field sample collection, sample custody, laboratory analytical results and case narrative, laboratory data reviews, and laboratory quality control data will all be checked as part of the measurement data and analytical data validation activities. After a review of the laboratory data for compliance with the established quality control criteria, qualifiers will be assigned to the data. A complete description of QA/QC procedures for water quality data can be found in ALCOSAN’s Receiving Water Quality Monitoring Plan, Revised April 2009. Rain Data: Monitoring equipment calibration, maintenance, and data quality assurance checks will be performed and/or verified by 3RWW such that monitoring accuracy is optimized, and is in conformance with the equipment manufacturers’ recommendations. CSO and SSO Outfall Monitoring: Outfall activation will be corroborated by use of independent chalk and bobber methods. In-stream Flow Monitoring: Standard USGS equipment, procedures, and protocols will apply to all long-term stream monitoring data. 11.3.6 Reporting Final Post-Construction Monitoring Report: Two years after implementation and successful operation of the 2026 plan controls, ALCOSAN will submit a final Post-Construction Monitoring Report (PCMR) to U.S. EPA and PaDEP for their approval. The report will contain the following information: • CSO and SSO Monitoring Results • Rainfall Monitoring Results • Receiving Stream Flow Monitoring Results • Water Quality Monitoring Results 11- 36 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 – Implementation Plan • Re-validation of the collection system models using afore mentioned data for the outfalls to be determined in the 2024 PCMP update. • Evaluation of CSO and SSO Control Measures (including whether or not the measures meet the Performance Criteria). • Significant Variances and Impacting Factors (with regard to verification of level of control and water quality impacts) • Re-Evaluation and Corrective Actions (if necessary) The purpose of the Final Post-Construction Monitoring Report is to document how well ALCOSAN’s entire sewer system is performing as a whole, following completion of all WWP projects, and shall include an assessment of whether the improvements are meeting Performance Criteria. In the event the final PCMR fails to demonstrate that ALCOSAN has met the established Performance Criteria; deficiencies or performance limiting factors in system design, process, operations and/or maintenance that may limit the effectiveness of the CSO control measures in achieving their intended performance will be identified and necessary corrective actions documented. 11.3.7 Summary ALCOSAN’s post-construction monitoring program will determine the effectiveness of the CSO and SSO control program in achieving its performance requirements and water quality goals. The program includes the following elements: • Implementation of a defined monitoring program designed to measure reductions in overflow activations and changes in stream water quality; • Analysis and assessment of monitoring data and/or model simulation results to determine whether implemented CSO and SSO control measures are meeting the Performance Criteria; • A monitoring schedule, monitoring locations, and associated monitoring procedures to collect data related to the Performance Criteria; • Preparation and dissemination of a revised PCMP and a final post-construction monitoring report. ALCOSAN’s IPCMP addresses the U.S. EPA and PaDEP requirements for monitoring the performance of the CSO control measures. ALCOSAN will use the Performance Criteria outlined in section 11.3.2 as performance measures to determine the effectiveness of the overall WWP CSO and SSO control measures. ALCOSAN will use existing monitoring systems, augmented as necessary, to collect and evaluate data. This includes flow and/or outfall activation monitoring, in-stream sampling and rainfall monitoring. ALCOSAN will also use the H&H Model to measure performance of the CSO and SSO control measures. ALCOSAN shall submit a Final Post-Construction Monitoring Report to the U.S. EPA and PaDEP, as required, to demonstrate performance and achievement of WWP objectives. 11- 37 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 - Implementation Plan 11.4 Financing Plan This section describes ALCOSAN’s strategy for financing the implementation of the Recommended 2026 Plan. The parallel municipal financing of improvements to the municipal collection systems is beyond the scope of this document.11-4 11.4.1 Capital Requirements Based upon the implementation schedule outlined in Section 11.1 of this document, the Recommended 2026 Plan will result in $1.45 billion in new capital expenditures for ALCOSAN and $0.53 billion in new capital expenditures for the municipalities for a total of approximately $2.0 billion through 2026. Accounting for inflation, ALCOSAN and the municipalities will face wet weather control capital expenditures of $2.8 billion over the next fifteen years. The projected annual capital requirements are shown on Table 11-6 below. Based upon the anticipated implementation schedule as detailed in Section 11.1, ALCOSAN’s annual capital needs are projected to average $144 million and to peak at around $336 million during construction. The aggregated rates of municipal expenditures shown are preliminary estimates, pending the development of specific municipal implementation schedules under the respective municipal Feasibility Studies. Table 11-6: Recommended 2026 Plan Projected Annual Capital Expenditures Year ALCOSAN Annual Cost ($ millions) Current $ 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total Average $14 $23 $37 $34 $96 $78 $149 $204 $240 $188 $141 $114 $75 $59 $1,450 $104 Inflated $15 $26 $43 $41 $118 $100 $196 $277 $336 $271 $209 $174 $118 $96 $2,020 $144 Municipal Annual Cost ($ millions) % 1% 2% 3% 2% 7% 5% 10% 14% 17% 13% 10% 8% 5% 4% 100% Current Cost Inflated $0 $1 $1 $13 $26 $38 $64 $64 $64 $64 $64 $61 $60 $11 $530 $38 $0 $1 $1 $16 $32 $48 $84 $86 $89 $92 $95 $94 $96 $19 $752 $54 % 0% 0% 0% 3% 5% 7% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 2% 100% Total Current Cost $14 $24 $38 $47 $122 $116 $213 $268 $304 $252 $204 $175 $135 $70 $1,980 $141 Inflated $15 $27 $44 $57 $151 $148 $280 $363 $425 $363 $304 $268 $214 $114 $2,772 $198 % 1% 1% 2% 2% 6% 6% 11% 14% 15% 13% 10% 9% 7% 4% 100% 11-4 The municipal orders do not address the financing of the municipal improvements. (See Paragraph 14(d) of the PaDEP COA and 15(d) of the ACHD ACO relating to the municipal Feasibility Studies). 11-38 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 - Implementation Plan 11.4.2 Capital Funding Alternative Capital Funding Options: ALCOSAN evaluated alternatives to the municipal revenue bond market as capital sources as suggested in EPA’s LTCP guidance document11-5 and other EPA guidance.11-6 As noted in the 1995 Guidance for Funding Options: “Grants will likely play only a limited role in future CSO funding. The reliance on direct federal wastewater construction grants has been replaced with a reliance on SRF loans and other local funding options.” The Federal funding situation since 1995 has not improved. Moving forward, ALCOSAN has and will continue to work with the region’s state Legislative and Congressional delegations towards workable funding for wet weather controls. Funding that has been obtained to date as USEPA Special Appropriations Projects and from Sections 219 and 206 of the Water Resources Development Act through the Corps of Engineers has been used by ALCOSAN to support projects such as direct stream inflow removals.11-7 Some options listed in the Guidance are more applicable to the municipalities than to ALCOSAN due to eligibility or funding restrictions. For example, PennVest has a $20 million limit on total financing by any recipient. The Rural Utilities Services (RUS) provides low interest loans, and limited grants for municipal water and sewer infrastructure. This program would be more applicable to the ALCOSAN municipalities with populations of less than 10,000. ALCOSAN has worked with the local RUS office towards availing the municipalities of this program. ALCOSAN’s Capital Financing Strategy: ALCOSAN anticipates using combinations of payas-you-go funding utilizing accumulated reserve funds and revenue bond financing owing to ALCOSAN’s strength in the municipal bond market. As detailed in Section 6.3 of this document, as of October 14, 2011 ALCOSAN has a rating of ‘A’ long-term (with a stable outlook) from Standard & Poor’s Rating Services and A1 from Moody’s Investors Services. As a special purpose governmental enterprise established pursuant to the Pennsylvania Municipality Authorities Act, ALCOSAN has no legal authority to establish or levy property tax assessments. Therefore, ALCOSAN cannot issue general obligation bonds. ALCOSAN’s uppermedium grade bond ratings are supported by the current contractual relationship between ALCOSAN and the municipalities wherein ALCOSAN’s revenues flow from the municipalities rather than through retail billings. As a result, ALCOSAN’s revenue bonds are arguably analogous to “double barreled” bonds as described in the EPA guidance documents. For planning purposes only, the financial modeling done in support of ALCOSAN’s affordability analysis (Section 11.5) assumes that bonds will be sold as necessary to meet 11-5 Section 4.3.3, Combined Sewer Overflows - Guidance For Long-Term Control Plan, EPA 832-095-002, September 1995. 11-6 Combined Sewer Overflows Guidance for Funding Options EPA 832-B-95-007, August 1995 11-7 See Section 10.2 of this document for additional details on some of these projects. 11-39 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 - Implementation Plan forthcoming construction draw requirements (typically annually). The actual size and timing of revenue bonds necessary to implement the Recommended 2026 Plan will be determined by the eventual construction progress on the various components of the Plan and by the conditions in the municipal bond markets, and are therefore beyond the scope of this document. 11.4.3 Annual Revenue Requirements The planning level estimated annual incremental revenue requirements resultant from the implementation of the Recommended 2026 Plan are shown on Table 11-7. Table 11-7: Projected Annual Revenue Requirements ($ millions) Year ALCOSAN Current System Incremental 2026 Plan Total Year ALCOSAN Current System Incremental 2026 Plan Total a b c d e f g 2012 $112.6 $0.0 $112.6 2030 $206.2 $177.1 $383.3 2013 $121.6 $0.0 $121.6 2031 $212.3 $178.3 $390.6 2014 $127.4 $0.0 $127.4 2032 $220.8 $179.6 $400.4 2015 $131.6 $1.2 $132.8 2033 $229.7 $181.0 $410.6 2016 $137.6 $4.3 $142.0 2034 $238.9 $182.4 $421.2 2017 $143.4 $7.2 $150.6 2035 $248.5 $183.8 $432.3 2018 $149.4 $16.0 $165.5 2036 $258.4 $185.3 $443.7 2019 $155.7 $23.4 $179.0 2037 $268.8 $186.9 $455.7 2020 $162.2 $38.0 $200.2 2038 $274.5 $188.5 $463.1 2021 $169.0 $58.8 $227.7 2039 $285.8 $190.2 $476.0 2022 $175.9 $83.9 $259.9 2040 $297.0 $191.9 $488.8 2023 $183.2 $103.9 $287.1 2041 $288.9 $193.4 $482.4 2024 $176.7 $119.0 $295.7 2042 $300.3 $195.0 $495.4 2025 $177.7 $131.5 $309.1 2043 $312.1 $196.7 $508.8 2026 $176.3 $150.5 $326.8 2044 $324.3 $198.4 $522.7 2027 $183.6 $173.6 $357.2 2045 $335.2 $198.9 $534.2 2028 $190.8 $174.7 $365.6 2046 $345.7 $197.7 $543.4 2029 $198.4 $175.9 $374.3 11-40 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 - Implementation Plan Columns “a” and “e” show the projected annual costs for ALCOSAN’s existing Regional Conveyance System and for the Woods Run Wastewater Treatment Plant, including operations, maintenance, and debt service costs. The operation and maintenance costs are inflated annually. The debt service costs include the costs of amortizing ALCOSAN’s existing debt, based upon existing amortization schedules plus projected new debt related to ALCOSAN’s Capital Improvements Program beyond the Wet Weather Plan. ALCOSAN’s current amortization schedule may be revised as ALCOSAN refinances outstanding debt in response to favorable market conditions. The current system costs also include debt service as may be incurred in the future in support of ALCOSAN’s ongoing Capital Improvement Plan. For planning purposes, ALCOSAN has assumed that ongoing capital improvements that are not related to the Wet Weather Plan will occur at an average annual cost of approximately $31 million (current dollars) based upon recent history. 11.4.4 Annual Cost Recovery As described elsewhere in this document, ALCOSAN has been proactively addressing wet weather issues since 1992. As noted in Section 10.2, ALCOSAN has invested more than $210 million in capital improvements over the past ten years in support of sewer overflow control and improved water quality. To finance these improvements, along with other cost pressures such as increased staffing to meet consent decree requirements and rising health benefit costs, ALCOSAN has increased it rates by an average of 9% annually since 2004 as shown on Table 118. Table 11-8: Rate Increase History Commodity Charge Service Charge Year Rate Increase Rate Increase 2004 $2.50 12% $5.25 12% 2006 $2.75 10% $5.78 10% 2005 $2.75 0% $5.78 0% 2007 $2.98 8% $6.27 8% 2008 $3.25 9% $6.83 9% 2009 $3.77 16% $7.92 16% 2010 $4.04 7% $8.48 7% 2011 $4.04 0% $8.48 0% 2012 $4.32 7% $9.07 7% Based upon the preliminary analysis presented herein, the implementation of the Recommended 2026 Plan would require an average annual revenue increase of at least 8% through the first full year of implementation in 2027. This projection is for illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as a wet weather plan component. Annual rates will be set in 11-41 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11 - Implementation Plan rate increases ranging from 10% to 12% through the implementation of the Recommended 2026 Plan may be necessary. ALCOSAN receives user charge revenues directly from the customer municipalities based upon a fixed service charge per account and a commodity charge (also described in Section 7.3). Additional surcharges are imposed for high strength compatible wastewater. (wastewater with concentrations of BOD5 and TSS exceeding 300 and 275 milligrams per liter (mg/l) respectively). The rates are uniform across user classes pursuant to the requirements of Section 507(d)(9) of the Municipality Authorities Act which requires “reasonable and uniform rates”. As ALCOSAN moves into the implementation of this WWP, it may choose to evaluate refinements or alternatives to the cost allocation and cost recovery structure that is represented by its current user charge system towards enhanced cost allocation or revenue generation. Such evaluations and ultimate policy directions are beyond the scope of this document. 11.4.5 Alternative Revenue Streams EPA’s 1997 financial capability guidance references four funding mechanisms and sources of funding “if loans and grants are not available or if a need exists to reduce the financial impact of CSO controls on the users.”11-8 The applicability of these revenue sources to ALCOSAN may be summarized as follows. Establish special assessment district – Unlike municipalities, ALCOSAN as a municipal authority has no legal authority to establish or levy property tax assessments ; Increase user fees –The implementation of ALCOSAN’s WWP is premised on a series of substantial rate increases; Impose / increase taxes (such as income taxes, sales taxes or property taxes) – as noted above, ALCOSAN has no statutory authority to impose taxes. Even if ALCOSAN could impose taxes, the “affordability” of wet weather controls would not improve. The portion of tax revenue attributed to residential properties would need to be factored into the calculation of annual wastewater costs per household as a component of total wastewater service costs; and Privatize wastewater treatment – To date, the option of the privatization of wet weather control facilities has not appeared to be viable or advantageous. Moving forward into the WWP implementation phase, ALCOSAN will evaluate evolving financial instruments as appropriate. 11-8 Combined Sewer Overflows – Guidance for Financial Capability Assessment and Schedule Development, EPA 832-B-97-004, Page 48 11-42 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan 11.5 Affordability and Financial Capability Assessment 11.5.1 Introduction This section of ALCOSAN’s WWP integrates the cost impacts of the Recommended 2026 Plan as detailed in Section 10 of this document with the current conditions (2010) financial and institutional assessment that was presented in Section 6. The estimated current dollar capital, operation and maintenance costs for improvements to ALCOSAN’s regional conveyance and treatment system are summarized and are also presented on an annualized basis for the period of 2012 through the 2046 planning period. In parallel with ALCOSAN, the estimated municipal costs required to upgrade municipal wet weather conveyance capacities or otherwise address municipal overflows are included to provide a full understanding of the future costs of wastewater services in the ALCOSAN Service Area. The affordability of the Recommended 2026 Plan is evaluated using the EPA defined Residential Indicator (RI) through 2046. The Residential Indicator is derived in this section by dividing the projected annual cost per household by the median household income at regional (ALCOSAN service-area wide) and municipal levels. The affordability analysis focuses on the key year of 2027, the first year after full implementation of the Recommended 2026 Plan. These projections are based upon planning level assumptions for financing strategies and revenue requirements (See Section 11.4). The impacts of the proposed wet weather program on the financial capabilities of ALCOSAN and the municipalities are also presented based upon the current conditions analysis that was presented in Section 6.0 of this document and the projected capital costs of the ALCOSAN and municipal improvements. For example, ALCOSAN’s current annual debt service payments total approximately $42 million while the projected annual debt service for the recommended program upon full implementation in 2027 is more than $210 million. In addition, there will be an additional $66 million in annual municipal debt service payments anticipated as a result of collection system improvements. 11.5.2 Key Institutional Assumptions The analyses presented herein are based upon the following assumptions as to ALCOSAN’s operating environment during the implementation of the WWP: Current Cost Allocation and Rate Structure - ALCOSAN’s current user cost allocation and rate structure described in sub-section 7.3 will continue to be utilized for this analysis. Municipal Costs Evenly Distributed Across Service Area - Estimated capital costs for municipal wet weather conveyance and other improvements are estimated to total approximately $530 million in current dollars, and it is assumed that these costs will be evenly distributed across the service area. The allocation of costs among municipalities is pending on-going development and coordination of municipal feasibility studies. For example, there are a number of costly conveyance upgrades that are exclusively or primarily located in a downstream municipality 11-43 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan for which a substantial portion of the hydraulic load may be attributed to upstream municipalities. Determination of the inter-municipal cost sharing of such upgrades will require significant time and effort on the parts of the municipalities. Current Institutional Framework - Wastewater services within the ALCOSAN service area are delivered by combinations of municipalities, municipal authorities and ALCOSAN. The municipal collection systems are typically owned and operated by a municipality or municipal authority. These sewers discharge into downstream municipal systems or into the ALCOSAN regional conveyance interceptor system. This WWP is based on the assumption that the current institutional framework will remain in place throughout the implementation of the WWP. Nonetheless, as of the writing of this Plan, the Allegheny Conference on Economic Development is facilitating an evaluation by stakeholders, the municipalities, and ALCOSAN as to the suitability of other institutional frameworks to deliver future wastewater services, including wet weather controls. Should institutional revisions occur, ALCOSAN will coordinate any necessary revisions to the WWP with the regulatory agencies. 11.5.3 Future Conditions without Wet Weather Compliance Costs ALCOSAN System Costs (Without Recommended 2026 Plan): The forces of inflation and the costs of ALCOSAN’s ongoing Capital Improvements Program will result in steadily increasing annual costs for the existing ALCOSAN regional conveyance system and treatment plant without the incremental costs of implementing the Recommended 2026 Plan. As summarized on Table 11-9, the annual costs for the current ALCOSAN facilities are projected to increase from an estimated $113 million in 2012 to $362 million in 2046. The projected costs in 2027, the first year of full operation of the facilities to be built under the Recommended 2026 Plan would be around $180 million. Table 11-9: Projected Annual ALCOSAN Costs Without Wet Weather Plan ($ millions –Including Inflation and Ongoing Capital Improvements) ALCOSAN Annual Cost 2012 2027 2046 O&M $65 $117 $237 Debt Service & Reserves $48 $62 $125 $113 $179 $362 Total The projected annual costs are shown graphically Figure 11-6. Costs are projected through 2046 according to current and historical spending patterns. The revenue requirements for ALCOSAN necessary to maintain current level of service are provided as a baseline to which Wet Weather affordability impacts and spending can be compared. For planning purposes, annual debt service revenue requirements include the current amortization schedule for existing debt refinanced in 2011 as well as payments for anticipated annual capital improvements at a average costs of $31 million (current dollars). 11-44 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Figure 11-6: Projected ALCOSAN Annual Costs for O&M and Debt Service Payments (In Millions Without Wet Weather Program Spending) $450 Annual Debt Service $400 Annual O&M $350 $300 $250 $200 $150 $100 $50 $0 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 The typical cost per household for ALCOSAN’s wastewater conveyance and treatment services has been estimated to be $260 in 2012.11-9 Without the Recommended 2026 Plan, the annual ALCOSAN cost per typical household would be projected at $400 in 2027. Municipal Collection System Cost Projections (Without Recommended 2026 Plan): Budget projections for the 83 municipalities are not available. ALCOSAN is anticipating that municipal collection system costs will increase by at least the rate of inflation for operation and maintenance. The ALCOSAN service-area-wide weighted average cost per household for municipal collection systems was estimated to be $183 in 2012, increasing to $330 annually in 2027. 11-9 See Sub-Section 6.2 of this document. 11-45 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Total Cost Per Household (Without Recommended 2026 Plan): The total cost per typical household in 2027 without the Recommended 2026 Plan and the concomitant municipal improvements would be $730 annually. As detailed in Section 7, household income is projected to increase at 2.5% annually. The ALCOSAN service-area-wide median household income of $46,400 in 2012 would therefore increase to $67,300 in 2027. Dividing the total wastewater costs by the median income yields a Residential Indicator of 1.1%. The projected costs per typical household without the wet weather controls for the planning period are shown on Table 11-10 for 2012, 2027 and 2046. Table 11-10: Regional Residential Indicator Without the Recommended 2026 Plan Cost per Household Year ALCOSAN Municipal Total Median Household Income RI 2012 1.0% $260 $180 $440 $46,400 2027 1.1% $400 $330 $730 $67,300 2046 1.4% $810 $670 $1,480 $108,800 11.5.4 Revenue Requirement Impacts of the Recommended 2026 Plan ALCOSAN Incremental Annual Revenue Requirements: The total capital costs for the Recommended 2026 Plan as detailed in Section 10 of this document are approximately $2 billion (current dollars), including approximately $1.45 billion in costs for ALCOSAN facilities and $0.53 billion for improvements to municipal conveyance capacities and other municipal wet weather controls. The projected ALCOSAN annual revenue requirements resulting from the implementation of the Recommended 2026 Plan are detailed on Table 11-11 and are shown graphically on Figure 11-7 through the 2046 planning period. Total ALCOSAN revenue requirement will roughly double for 2027, the first full year of operation for the 2026 Plan facilities from $180 million without the Plan to nearly $360 million. This amount includes $133 million in Recommended 2026 Plan debt service (not including related reserves) and an additional $27 million in incremental O&M costs (2027 dollars). 11-46 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Table 11-11: ALCOSAN Recommended 2026 Plan Estimated Annual Costs (In $ millions) Line Item 2012 2027 2046 $65 $117 $237 $0 $27 $55 $65 $144 $293 $42 $24 $0 Capital Improvement Program $0 $35 $96 Recommended 2026 Plan $0 $133 $129 $0 $168 $224 Operations & Maintenance $1 $2 $4 Debt Service $4 $19 $22 Subtotal $5 $21 $26 TOTAL $113 $357 $543 Operations and Maintenance Current System Recommended 2026 Plan Subtotal Debt Service Current Debt Incremental Debt Service Subtotal Coverage and Reserves $700 $600 $500 WWP Debt Service $400 WWP O&M $300 Exisitng System Debt Service Existing System O&M $200 $100 11-47 2049 2047 2045 2043 2041 2039 2037 2035 2033 2031 2029 2027 2025 2023 2021 2019 2017 2015 2013 $0 2011 ALCOSAN Revenue Requriements in Millions of Dollars, Inflated Figure 11-7: Projected ALCOSAN Revenue Requirements ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Municipal Incremental Annual Revenue Requirements: For planning purposes, ALCOSAN is assuming that the estimated $530 million in municipal capital investments will be funded through bonds issued by the municipalities as needed during the course of design and construction. Twenty-year bonds at a 6.5% interest rates are assumed, resulting in an incremental annual debt service of $66 million in 2027 to be allocated among the municipalities. Incremental O&M (including renewal and replacement) costs totaling 3% of the total capital costs are also assumed. For the first year of full operation in 2027, the incremental municipal O&M costs are estimated to be an additional $30 million (2027 dollars). 11.5.5 Affordability Impacts of the Recommended Program Projected Cost per Household: The projected costs per household resultant from the implementation of the Recommended 2026 Plan and the related municipal improvements are shown through the 2046 planning period on Table 11-12. The ALCOSAN cost per household will effectively double from a projected $410 for the current system to a total of $800 during the first full year of operation (2027 dollars). Projected municipal costs (ALCOSAN service-areawide weighted average) will total $545, including about $210 for the municipal improvements. It must be noted that the incremental municipal cost per household estimate reflects the diffusion of the municipal improvement costs across the 83 municipalities pending the allocation of costs among the municipalities per the assumptions described above. Adding the projected ALCOSAN costs of $800 to the projected municipal costs of $545 results in an estimated cost per household of $1,340 in 2027. Table 11-12: ALCOSAN Recommended 2026 Plan Projected Annual Cost per Typical Household Cost per Household 2012 2027 2046 ALCOSAN Current System Cost $260 $410 $770 $0 $390 $440 $260 $800 $1,210 $180 $330 $670 $0 $210 $140 Subtotal $180 $540 $810 Total $440 $1,340 $2,020 $46,400 $67,300 $108,800 1% 2.0% 1.9% Recommended 2026 Plan Costs Subtotal Municipal (weighted average) Current System Cost Wet Weather Costs Projected Median Household Income Residential Indicator 11-48 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Projected Regional Residential Indicator: The current (2012) ALCOSAN service-area-wide median household income of $46,400 is projected to increase at 2.5% annually to $67,300 in 2027. Dividing the projected annual cost per household of $1,365 by the projected MHI results in a Regional Residential Indicator of 2.0%, or a “high burden” based upon the EPA criteria. The Regional Residential Indicator is projected to stay at or above 2% through 2041, at which time the indicator is projected to fall below 2% to around 1.85% through the planning period. This slight decrease reflects the full amortization of ALCOSAN’s existing debt as of 2041. The Residential Indicator trend line is shown on Figure 11-8. Figure 11-8: Residential Indicator Trend Line through 2046 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 2012 2022 2032 2042 11.5.6 Analysis of Impacts Household Impacts: As shown in Figure 11-9, the implementation of the Recommended 2026 Plan and the related municipal improvements will result in a dramatic increase in the number of households within the ALCOSAN service area for whom annual wastewater costs will constitute a high burden. The number of households in the service area with a high burden will increase from about 4,600 households (1%) to 214,000 households (65%). The number of households with a low burden will decrease from 133,000 households (41%) to 7,500 households (2%). 11-49 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Figure 11-9: Burden Level of Households (Number of Households Rounded to Nearest 10,000) 300,000 Low Burden Number of Households Medium Burden 250,000 200,000 150,000 High Burden 100,000 50,000 2050 2048 2046 2044 2042 2040 2038 2036 2034 2032 2030 2028 2026 2024 2022 2020 2018 2016 2014 2012 0 The household impact can also be evaluated in terms of a cumulative frequency distribution of residential indicators across the service. A cumulative frequency distribution of the residential indicators by household is shown on Figure 11-10. Also shown are the relative number of households by residential indicator brackets (0%-0.5%, etc.). The data underlying Figure 11-10 reveal the following statistics relating to the impact of the Recommended 2026 Plan: The RI for the highest burden quartile of the households within the ALCOSAN service population is projected to be 2.7%. There are 81,500 households within the quartile, with a population of approximately 199,000. This population is analogous to the cities of Des Moines, Iowa; Richmond, Virginia; and Akron, Ohio; The RI will exceed 2.5% of household income for approximately 240,000 residents within the ALCOSAN service area, representing a population equivalency of the cities of Madison, Wisconsin; Orlando, Florida; and Norfolk, Virginia; and The RI will exceed 3.0% of the household income for approximately 160,000 residents, representing the population equivalent of Chattanooga, Tennessee and Jackson, Mississippi. 11-50 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan 80 100% 70 90% 80% 60 70% 50 60% 40 50% 30 40% 30% 20 20% 10 10% - 0% Residential Indicator Households in Burden Levels Cumulative Percentage The household level impacts can be shown geographically by Census block groups. Figure 11-11 maps the projected 2027 residential indicators amongst the Census block groups within the ALCOSAN service area, with seven gradations of residential indicator. 11-51 Cumulative Percentage Households (thousands) Figure 11-10: Residential Indicator Cumulative Frequency Analysis (Projected 2027) ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Figure 11-11: Projected 2027 Residential Indicators by Census Block Group 11-52 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Municipal Analysis: The above analysis was based upon the aggregated ALCOSAN service area, including uniform ALCOSAN rates and the service-area-wide weighted average municipal collection system cost. A service-area-wide uniform allocation of the projected $530 million (current) in municipal upgrades was also included. A similar analysis can be performed at the municipal level. Uniform ALCOSAN costs per household are again utilized, along with the projected municipal collection system charges for current municipal systems, based upon extrapolation of the current municipal charges. An allocation, by necessity uniform, of the projected municipal upgrades is also made. The results of the municipal level analysis is provided on Table 11-13. Table 11-13: Projected Municipal Cost Per Typical Household with Recommended Plan Municipality Total Cost per Household Projected Municipal MHI (2027) Residential Indicator (2027) EPA Score 1 Aspinwall Borough $1,180 $82,300 1.4% Mid-Range 2 Avalon Borough $1,290 $53,400 2.4% High 3 Baldwin Borough $1,500 $85,600 1.8% Mid-Range 4 Baldwin Township $1,450 $98,500 1.5% Mid-Range 5 Bellevue Borough $1,230 $56,500 2.2% High 6 Ben Avon Borough $1,010 $108,000 0.9% Low 7 Ben Avon Heights Borough $1,010 $154,500 0.7% Low 8 Bethel Park, Municipality of $1,290 $93,500 1.4% Mid-Range 9 Blawnox Borough $1,260 $57,300 2.2% High 10 Braddock Borough $1,160 $33,100 3.5% High 11 Braddock Hills Borough $1,170 $45,700 2.6% High 12 Brentwood Borough $1,490 $68,400 2.2% High 13 Bridgeville Borough $1,250 $58,300 2.1% High 14 Carnegie Borough $1,720 $66,200 2.6% High 15 Castle Shannon Borough $1,480 $72,200 2.0% High 16 Chalfant Borough $1,460 $72,700 2.0% High 17 Churchill Borough $1,310 $125,800 1.0% Mid-Range 18 Collier Township $1,440 $86,600 1.7% Mid-Range 19 Crafton Borough $1,690 $66,900 2.5% High 20 Dormont Borough $1,450 $70,900 2.0% High 21 East McKeesport Borough $1,250 $61,400 2.0% High 11-53 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Municipality Total Cost per Household Projected Municipal MHI (2027) Residential Indicator (2027) EPA Score 22 East Pittsburgh Borough $1,250 $35,700 3.5% High 23 Edgewood Borough $1,370 $88,400 1.5% Mid-Range 24 Emsworth Borough $1,450 $80,600 1.8% Mid-Range 25 Etna Borough $1,260 $52,100 2.4% High 26 Forest Hills Borough $1,360 $82,400 1.7% Mid-Range 27 Fox Chapel Borough $1,350 $324,300 0.4% Low 28 Franklin Park Borough $1,720 $195,200 0.9% Low 29 Green Tree Borough $1,300 $102,800 1.3% Mid-Range 30 Heidelberg Borough $1,550 $53,400 2.9% High 31 Homestead Borough $1,410 $36,400 3.9% High 32 Indiana Township $1,660 $131,100 1.3% Mid-Range 33 Ingram Borough $1,380 $68,800 2.0% High 34 Kennedy Township $1,110 $87,100 1.3% Mid-Range 35 Kilbuck Township $1,450 $131,000 1.1% Mid-Range 36 McCandless Township $1,220 $108,500 1.1% Mid-Range 37 McDonald Borough $1,590 $65,700 2.4% High 38 McKees Rocks Borough $1,230 $33,500 3.7% High 39 Millvale Borough $1,250 $52,200 2.4% High 40 Monroeville, Municipality of Mount Lebanon, Municipality of $1,360 $92,000 1.5% Mid-Range $1,400 $115,400 1.2% 41 Mid-Range 42 Mount Oliver Borough $1,780 $47,000 3.8% High 43 Munhall Borough $1,330 $66,200 2.0% High 44 Neville Township $1,580 $62,600 2.5% High 45 North Braddock Borough $1,460 $36,000 4.1% High 46 North Fayette Township $1,060 $100,400 1.1% Mid-Range 47 North Huntingdon Township $1,480 $76,700 1.9% Mid-Range 48 North Versailles Township $1,510 $33,100 4.6% High 49 Oakdale Borough $1,350 $86,800 1.6% Mid-Range 50 O'Hara Township $1,160 $126,500 0.9% Low 51 Ohio Township $1,290 $138,200 0.9% Low 52 Penn Hills, Municipality of $1,740 $65,100 2.7% High 53 Penn Township $1,390 $98,200 1.4% Mid-Range 54 Peters Township $1,250 $115,000 1.1% Mid-Range 11-54 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Municipality Total Cost per Household Projected Municipal MHI (2027) Residential Indicator (2027) EPA Score 55 Pitcairn Borough $1,170 $59,100 2.0% Mid-Range 56 Pittsburgh City $1,290 $55,700 2.3% High 57 Pleasant Hills Borough $1,280 $116,500 1.1% Mid-Range 58 Plum Borough $1,330 $112,600 1.2% Mid-Range 59 Rankin Borough $1,130 $25,400 4.4% High 60 Reserve Township $1,190 $86,000 1.4% Mid-Range 61 Robinson Township $1,360 $53,700 2.5% High 62 Ross Township $1,230 $87,700 1.4% Mid-Range 63 Rosslyn Farms Borough $1,590 $185,700 0.9% Low 64 Scott Township $1,160 $80,100 1.4% Mid-Range 65 Shaler Township $1,260 $92,900 1.4% Mid-Range 66 Sharpsburg Borough $1,150 $49,300 2.3% High 67 South Fayette Township $1,380 $102,300 1.3% Mid-Range 68 Stowe Township $1,450 $49,700 2.9% High 69 Swissvale Borough $1,220 $60,100 2.0% High 70 Thornburg Borough $1,010 $177,400 0.6% Low 71 Trafford Borough $1,470 $58,800 2.5% High 72 Turtle Creek Borough $1,190 $56,200 2.1% High 73 Upper St. Clair Township $1,550 $139,900 1.1% Mid-Range 74 Verona Borough $1,010 $66,400 1.5% Mid-Range 75 Wall Borough $1,310 $50,400 2.6% High 76 West Homestead Borough $1,260 $75,600 1.7% Mid-Range 77 West Mifflin Borough $1,550 $68,200 2.3% High 78 West View Borough $1,690 $75,900 2.2% High 79 Whitaker Borough $1,280 $57,400 2.2% High 80 Whitehall Borough $1,520 $96,000 1.6% Mid-Range 81 Wilkins Township $1,260 $69,900 1.8% Mid-Range 82 Wilkinsburg Borough $1,140 $44,200 2.6% High 83 Wilmerding Borough $1,260 $35,300 3.6% High 11-55 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan The impact of the Recommended 2026 Plan and related municipal improvements on the municipal costs per household can be summarized as follows: • The residential indicator is projected to exceed 2% of median household income in 40 of the 83 ALCOSAN municipalities; • The residential indicator is projected to exceed 2.5% of median household income in 19 municipalities; • The RI is projected to exceed 3% of median income in 9 municipalities; • The RI is projected to exceed 4% in 3 municipalities; • The projected RI for the City of Pittsburgh is 2.3%; • Fox Chapel Borough is projected to have the lowest RI at 0.4%; and • North Versailles is projected to have the highest RI at 4.6%. It should be noted that the results of this analysis would likely change upon the inter-municipal allocation of the municipal capital improvements. The projected 2027 residential indicator by municipality is shown on Figure 11-12. 11-56 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Figure 11-12: Projected 2027 Residential Indicators by Municipality 11-57 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan 11.5.7 Uncertainties As noted elsewhere in this document, key variables beyond ALCOSAN’s control reduce the accuracy of long term financial projections, including household wastewater costs. Through sensitivity analysis, ALCOSAN has identified six factors that could materially affect the future residential indicator. These include: the residential share of wastewater costs, total capital cost, capital cost inflation, operations and maintenance cost inflation, income growth, and bond interest rates. A default, best, and worst case scenario were simulated in order to determine the possible range of regional affordability the service area. Table 11-14 displays the inputs used to generate the best, default, and worst case scenarios for the residential indicator. The isolated effect of each input variable on the residential indicator (in 2027) is shown in the last two columns. Changes in total program capital cost have the highest impact on the residential indicator, followed by income growth rate and O&M Cost inflation. Table 11-14: Sensitivity Analysis Variables Variable Input Default Case Input Range Tested Change in RI 2027 Best Case 2027 Worst Case Capital Cost Inflation 3.1% 2.60% - 3.67% -0.04% +0.05% O&M Cost Inflation 4.0% 3.40% - 4.50% -0.09% +0.09% Income Growth 2.5% 2.10% - 2.70% -0.06% +0.13% ALCOSAN Bond Interest Rate 6.0% 5.00% - 7.00% -0.06% +0.07% Program Capital Costs ($ billions) $2.0 $1.4 - $3.0 -0.25% +0.42% The default scenario results in a projected residential indicator of 2.0% for 2027 and 1.9% for 2046. In 2027, a best and worst case scenario for all inputs suggests the possibility of a residential indicator as low as 1.5% and as high as 3.1%. The input value trends continue over time, resulting in greater uncertainty as the time horizon expands, as shown by Figure 11-13. 11-58 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Figure 11-13: Residential Indicator Sensitivity to Uncontrollable Variables 3.50% 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% Worst Case Default Case Best Case 0.00% 2010 11.5.8 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Phase 2 Analysis – Financial Capability Assessment In this Sub-Section, the analysis of the six “financial capability” indicators that were presented in sub-section 6.3 will be refined to reflect the projected impacts of the estimated $2 billion in new public investments represented by the Recommended 2026 Plan and the related municipal improvements. The six financial indicators reflect the approach used by the municipal bond rating agencies to evaluate municipal general obligation bonds, the strength of which is evaluated based upon property taxation. As a municipal authority, ALCOSAN utilizes revenue bonds, which are evaluated against the projected revenues stream from the user charges for services rendered. Therefore, the applicability of financial indicators 2 through 6 is limited to the municipalities. Indicator 1 - Bond Ratings ALCOSAN Bond Ratings – ALCOSAN recently received a rating of ‘A’ long-term with a stable outlook from Standard & Poor’s Rating Services and A1 from Moody’s for its series 2011 sewer revenue refunding bonds. Standard & Poor’s also recently affirmed its ‘A’ rating on ALCOSAN’s outstanding debt. The ‘A’ revenue bond rating is the lowest that qualifies for a “strong” rating for the EPA bond rating financial capability indicator. The Wet Weather Program and current renewal and replacement levels will require ALCOSAN to increase its debt service payments over 300% to around $170 million per year. Further, the 11-59 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan raw amount of debt ALCOSAN will take on during the implementation period, over $2 billion including existing renewal and replacement needs, will substantially increase ALCOSAN’s debt to equity ratio. The risks associated with carrying such a large amount of debt will put downward pressure on ALCOSAN’s current bond ratings. Nonetheless, ALCOSAN remains committed to maintaining its historically favorable bond ratings through timely and sufficient rate increases as necessary and the maintenance of reserve funds adequate to maintain their ratings. The ALCOSAN score under the EPA criteria will remain “strong” for a numeric score of 3. Municipal Bond Ratings – Moody’s rating methodology for municipal general obligation bonds is based off of analysis of four key rating factors: economic strength, financial strength, management and governance, and debt profile. Moody’s credit rating assessment weights economic strength at 40% of its calculation, emphasizing the property tax base as the source of bondholder security and the economy as the source of leverage that supports municipal operations. The debt burden, debt structure and composition, and debt management, of a municipality is generally weighted at 10%. Moody’s regularly monitors absolute changes by seeking significant multi-year trends in annual financial disclosure documents and notes that “while economic factors carry the greatest weight in Moody’s rating assessments, we have seen that over time, financial changes are most likely to drive rating movements”11-10. The amount of wet weather program spending marks a substantial financial change for many municipalities in the ALCOSAN service area and is likely to place downward pressure on Municipal Bond Ratings. As described in Sub-Section 6.3, eighteen of the largest municipalities within the ALCOSAN service area have rated debt, for which the population weighted average of numeric score was 2.5, or a “mid-range” EPA rating. The remaining 65 municipalities do not have bond ratings, as is typical for small towns. It is anticipated that bond ratings will worsen over the span of the Wet Weather program. However, the current bond rating EPA capability score is at 2.49, the uppermost “mid-range” value, and ratings changes are not expected to be so severe as to change the score for this indicator to “weak”. Many of these smaller municipalities are also classified as subject to a “high” burden in the affordability analysis and are also rated as weak under the other financial criteria as detailed in Section 6 of this document. In aggregate, the un-rated municipalities would likely receive a weak rating if there were to be rated based upon current conditions. This assessment, coupled with the half of a billion dollars in new capital costs suggests that an overall weak rating for the municipalities en-mass would be reasonable. Combining the ALCOSAN and municipal bond rating scores, an overall service area rating of mid-range and an EPA numeric score of 2 is assigned. 11-10 Moody’s U.S. Public Finance- general Obligation Bonds Issued by U.S. Local Governments Rating Methodology page 20. 11-60 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Indicator 2 – Municipal Debt Burden The EPA financial capability assessment considers overall net debt as a percent of property value a measure of the local government’s ability to issue additional debt. The current overall net debt calculated in section 6.3.1 was found to be $3.38 billion for the service area and total market value of real estate was assessed at $51.6 billion. This results in a current populationweighted debt burden value of 6.4%, a “weak” financial capability rating. If the municipal burden of Wet Weather costs were issued in only general obligation debt, this would result in a increase of the indicator score to more than 7.5%. Since there are 15 municipal authorities in the service area which would issue revenue bonds, the actual future burden will be somewhere between 6.4% and 7.6%. It should be noted that the cutoff for a “weak” indicator score for municipal debt burden is 5%. A debt burden around 7.5% could rightfully be called “extremely weak” and have a larger impact on the financial capability score, if the EPA criteria allowed for this magnitude to be captured. Indicator 3 – Unemployment Rate Under the EPA methodology, unemployment rates that are within one percentage point of the national average are “mid-range”. The current (April 2012) unemployment rate in the ALCOSAN service area is eight-tenths of a percentage point lower than the national average. This proximity to the national unemployment rate is consistent with the trend over the past two decades during which the Pittsburgh area closely tracked the national rate of unemployment. The total economic output of Allegheny County in 2010 was estimated at $36 billion.11-3 The $2.0 billion in wet weather spending through the eleven year period of 2014 – 2026 would be equivalent to around 0.5% of Allegheny County economic activity over the same period. While this amount of activity is significant, it is unclear what the direct effect on service area unemployment rate and MHI will be. Indicator 4 – Median Household Income Like the unemployment rate, EPA evaluates this criterion against the national value. EPA suggests that a local median household income that is within 25% of the national median household income is “mid-range” in their metric. As documented in Sub-Section 6.3, the median household income within the ALCOSAN service area is approximately 85% of the national figure. Since 1990, the in the greater Pittsburgh region has grown at around a 2.5% rate. This compares to a national income growth rate of around 2.6%11-4. If this close correlation continues through the planning period, the MHI in the ALCOSAN service area will remain with the + 25% range. 11-3 2010 Census data. 11-4 State Median Household Income Patterns: 1990 – 2010 by Proximity.com based upon US Census American Community Survey. 11-61 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Indicator 5 – Property Tax Burden The property tax burden indicator is derived by dividing property tax revenue by the assessed full market value of taxable property. Total 2009 expected property tax revenue collected for the region was around $1.11 billion and total 2009 full market property value of the region was approximately $52 billion, resulting in a calculated property tax burden of 2.14%, a Mid-Range score. A maximum annual debt service payment financed by additional property tax revenue was estimated by assuming that all WWP general obligation debt would be issued in one year with an interest rate of 6.5% and 20 year bond term. Under this assumption, additional property taxes of around $49 million would be levied for the service area at the peak of Wet Weather spending. Using this analysis, the financial capability value of property tax burden for the region would increase to 2.24%, still within the EPA “mid-range”. Indicator 6 – Property Tax Collection Rate The current property tax collection rate is 93%, which corresponds to a financial capability score of “Weak”, the lowest capability score. Property tax collection rates are not anticipated to improve in light of increased taxes used to finance municipal borrowing for Wet Weather Improvements. 11.5.9 Financial Capability Matrix Score and Implications Based on the analysis above, despite the level of investment required by the Wet Weather Program, it is anticipated that the overall financial capability score will remain mid-range after full implementation. The lack of change to the financial capability score is more indicative of limitations of the EPA methodology when applied to a diverse service area such as ALCOSAN’s. For example, the exclusion of all revenue debt from the net debt calculation removes ALCOSAN’s overlapping debt and municipal authority debt from the consideration of the municipal financial capability. Moreover, several of the criteria (municipal debt burden and tax collection rate) are already weak under the EPA criteria; however there is no provision under the EPA scoring to quantify the magnitude of the weaknesses. Nonetheless, the large capital requirements for the region will have significant impacts which may be described qualitatively as shown on Table 11-15. 11-62 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Table 11-15: Impacts on the Financial Capability Indicators Qualitative Impacts Financial Capability Indicator Score ALCOSAN Municipal 1 Bond Ratings 2.0 Worse Worse 2 Debt Burden 1.0 N/A Worse 3 Unemployment Rate 2.0 N/A Unknown – potential improvement 4 Median Household Income 2.0 N/A Unknown – potential improvement 5 Property Tax Burden 2.0 N/A Worse 6 Property Tax Collection Rate 1.0 N/A Worse Overall Score 1.67 (Sum of the scores divided by six) Implementing the Recommended 2026 Plan and the related municipal improvements will result in a high burden Residential Indictor. As seen in Table 11-16, the Financial Capability Score of 1.67 falls into the bottom of the EPA “mid-range”, being 11% above the trigger score for a “weak” rating. Therefore, the overall matrix score is “high burden.” Table 11-16: Post Implementation Financial Capability Matrix Residential Indicator (Cost Per Household as a % MHI) Financial Capability Indicators Low (<1.0%) Mid-Range (1.0 - 2.0%) High (>2.0%) Weak (<1.5) Medium Burden High Burden High Burden Mid-Range (1.5 - 2.5) Low Burden Medium Burden High Burden Strong (>2.5) Low Burden Low Burden Medium Burden 11-63 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan 11.6 Institutional Assessment 11.6.1 ALCOSAN’s Authority to Implement the Plan ALCOSAN is a body corporate and politic created in March 1946, under Pennsylvania Municipality Authorities Act (Act). The Authority is authorized to collect, transport, treat and dispose of sewage in Allegheny County, and certain adjacent areas. Key powers11-14 under the Act include: To have existence for a term of 50 years and for such further period or periods as may be provided in articles of amendment; To sue and be sued; To acquire, purchase, hold, lease as lessee and use any franchise, property To finance projects by loan, mortgages, security agreements or any other instruments; To make bylaws for the management and regulation of its affairs; To fix, alter, charge and collect rates and other charges in the area served by its facilities at reasonable and uniform rates; To borrow money, make and issue negotiable notes, bonds, refunding bonds and other evidences of indebtedness or obligations; To make contracts and to execute all instruments necessary or convenient for the carrying on of its business; To pledge revenues of the authority as security for obligations of the authority; To have the power of eminent domain; To do all acts and things necessary or convenient for the promotion of its business and the general welfare of the authority to carry out the powers granted to it; and To contract with any municipality, corporation or a public authority; Under the Act, ALCOSAN may not pledge the credit or taxing power of the Commonwealth or its political subdivisions; moreover ALCOSAN’s financial obligations are not obligations of the Commonwealth or its political subdivisions. Pursuant to the Act, ALCOSAN appears to have sufficient powers to implement the Recommended 2026 Plan as described in this document. ALCOSAN’s tenure currently extends to the year 2060 as amended in preparation for issuing the 2010 new construction bonds. 11.6.2 Limits to ALCOSAN’s Authority While ALCOSAN has the requisite authority to build new conveyance, storage and treatment facilities; the 2008 consent decree, Pennsylvania statute and existing service contracts limit its 11-14 Condensed from 53 Pa.C.S.A. 5607(d). 11-64 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan ability to mandate or implement the reduction of wet weather flows from the municipal collection systems through green infrastructure or other source reduction strategies. Under its consent decree, ALCOSAN is required to design and construct facilities sufficient for a flow volume equivalent to all of the flow that is generated in the municipal sanitary sewer systems and to design and to construct facilities sufficient to capture and treat all flows conveyed from the combined sewered municipalities to meet the requirements of the Clean Water Act, consistent with EPA’s Combined Sewer Overflow Policy. The consent decree precludes ALCOSAN from planning for source reduction from the municipal collection systems unless a municipality has constructed or is legally committed under an Enforceable Document to construct facilities or PaDEP and EPA have determined that the municipality can comply with the Clean Water Act through means other than conveying the wet weather flow to ALCOSAN’s conveyance interceptor system.11-15 Pursuant to their respective Administrative Consent Orders (ACO) with the Allegheny County Health Department (sanitary sewered municipalities) or the Consent Orders and Agreements (COA) with the PaDEP (combined sewered municipalities), each municipality required to develop a Feasibility Study to address its respective wet weather strategy. The Feasibility Studies, which would be the mechanism through which the municipalities would propose source controls, are not due under the orders until six months after ALCOSAN submits its Wet Weather Plan in January of 2013. ALCOSAN has limited institutional abilities to implement source reduction projects within the municipalities. As an authority, ALCOSAN does not have control over the municipal codes and policies covering zoning, building codes, stormwater management, etc. that would be necessary to implement an integrated source reduction program. The tight implementation timeframe that is mandated by the consent decree coupled with ALCOSAN’s lack of the jurisdictional controls in the municipalities necessary to assure the timely implementation of municipal source reduction also push towards regional wet weather control. ALCOSAN’s municipal service agreements (detailed in Section 6.6) also restrict ALCOSAN’s ability to mandate municipal source reduction. The agreements provide for uniform sewage charges throughout the service area based upon metered or estimated water consumption. There were no provisions for metering actual wastewater flows to the ALCOSAN interceptor system which would have been infeasible at the time and remains infeasible due to the large number of points of connection with the ALCOSAN system and the large number of intermunicipal connections. In addition, with the exception of the more recent agreements as detailed in Section 6.6, the service agreements imposed no upper limits on the quantity or rate of flow arriving at the points of connection with ALCOSAN. 11.6.3 Municipal Institutional Capacities The municipal feasibility studies will address municipal overflows in terms of additional conveyance capacities downstream to points of connection with the ALCOSAN regional 11-15 See paragraphs 17(a) and 18(b) of the ALCOSAN consent decree (U.S. District Court – Western PA District Civil Action 07-0737. 11-65 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan conveyance system through local control facilities or through source reductions. The municipal orders require that each municipality establish: “…with ALCOSAN the quantity and rate of sewage flow from the Municipality that ALCOSAN will be able to retain, store, convey and treat upon implementation of a Wet Weather Plan and/or LTCP” (by ALCOSAN)11-16 The ACOs and COAs do not include provisions addressing: The basis and mechanism for agency approval of the quantities and rates of sewage flows from the municipalities vis-à-vis ALCOSAN’s planning projections in the WWP; The regulatory mechanism for the coordination and finalization of inter-municipal design flows between the municipalities sharing points of connection with the ALCOSAN regional conveyance system or with ALCOSAN; PaDEP and ACHD mechanisms to enforce the design flow quantities and flow rates from the municipalities that have served as the basis of ALCOSAN’s wet weather planning and will serve as ALCOSAN’s final basis of design. ALCOSAN expects that PaDEP and ACHD will address outstanding regulatory and institutional issues relating to the municipal wet weather control efforts through follow-up administrative orders, NPDES permit requirements, Act 537 planning or other appropriate enforceable mechanism. The manner in which these issues are addressed in the years ahead may have an impact on the Wet Weather Plan, and will be addressed as part of the adaptive management strategy described in Section 11.7. As outlined in Section 6.6 of this document, ALCOSAN’s eighty-three customer municipalities appear to have the legal powers and responsibilities to provide adequate wastewater services within their jurisdictions to implement their respective municipal feasibility studies. The upgrades to the municipal collection systems required under their respective feasibility studies may however pose difficulties for the smaller municipalities. The relatively high level of turnover of municipal governing boards and their appointed managers can limit institutional commitment to long term projects such as sewer system upgrades. Of the 83 municipalities within the service area, 45 are physically connected directly to ALCOSAN’s regional interceptor system. The remaining 38 municipalities’ sewers connect to downstream municipalities who are connected to the ALCOSAN system. Of the 45 municipalities that flow directly into the ALCOSAN system, 39 convey wastewater from upstream municipalities. Due to the jurisdictions over watersheds and sewersheds being fragmented between the many small municipalities, the institutional capacity to implement intermunicipal projects that may be recommended in the feasibility studies is expected to be problematic. 11-16 Paragraph 14(c)(i) of the PaDEP Consent Order and Agreement and paragraph 15(c)(i) of the ACHD Administrative Consent Order 11-66 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan 11.7 Adaptive Management ALCOSAN is committing through this WWP to implement a multi-billion dollar public investment program over a time period that spans decades. ALCOSAN’s future regulatory compliance will be based upon the timely implementation of new wastewater systems and their successful operation in a climatic, economic and social environment which is largely unknowable and uncontrollable by ALCOSAN, the municipalities, their wastewater authorities or regulatory agencies. In short, ALCOSAN, its customer municipalities and the agencies must proceed, despite uncertainties and risks, armed with their best professional judgments and good faith and expecting proactive refinements as the implementation of the WWP progresses. This sub-section of the WWP presents an identification of trends and potential events beyond ALCOSAN’s control that could materially affect the scope or performance of wet weather controls that otherwise would be adequate to meet the requirements of the Clean Water Act, consistent with EPA’s Combined Sewer Overflow Control Policy. This sub-section also describes the adaptive management process that will be used to track implementation progress, and to address potential unanticipated trends and events. This adaptive management process may result in periodic amendments to the Wet Weather Plan, in coordination with the regulatory agencies. The development, analysis, selection and anticipated implementation of wet weather control strategies that are documented in this Plan are premised on ALCOSAN’s best understanding and professional judgment as to current and future conditions consistent with the provisions of the CD. The wet weather control facilities proposed in Section 10 of this Wet Weather Plan have been developed for the foreseeable range of conditions through the planning period (2046). Such current and future conditions bound the ranges for important variables used in the development of the Plan, including but not limited to hydrologic, climatic, regulatory, demographic and economic parameters documented elsewhere in this document. 11.7.1 Factors Beyond ALCOSAN’s Control Clean Water Act: Changes to the Clean Water Act or federal regulations promulgated pursuant thereto, the CSO Control Policy, The Pennsylvania Clean Streams Law and associated state administrative code, designated uses of the ALCOSAN receiving waters and associated water quality standards which would materially affect the scope, cost or schedule of ALCOSAN’s Recommended 2026 Plan will result in a review and modification of the Plan in coordination with the regulatory agencies. Other Emergent Regulatory Requirements: There are a number of emergent Federal regulatory initiatives which could materially affect the operation and resources of municipalities and regional wastewater authorities such as ALCOSAN. Key examples of potential regulatory mandates which cannot be fully accounted for in the development of this Wet Weather Plan include the following: Revised Water Quality Standards – The USEPA recently released for scientific views draft recreational water quality criteria which incorporate the latest research and science linking illness and fecal contamination in recreational waters since EPA’s last issued recommended 11- 67 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan water quality criteria for recreation in 1986. The USEPA anticipates publishing final recreational criteria recommendations in the fall of 2012. If PaDEP revises water quality standards to reflect EPA’s latest recommendations, the environmental endpoint for which the WWP was developed will also change. Such a change could materially impact the controls necessary to comply with the CWA and CSO Policy, warranting a review and revision to the WWP. Integrated Municipal Stormwater and Wastewater Planning – USEPA’s Office of Water issued a memorandum in October of 2011 concerning the achievement of improved water quality through integrated municipal stormwater and wastewater planning. In May of 2012, USEPA finalized an Integrated Municipal Stormwater and Wastewater Planning Approach Framework that provides further guidance in developing and implementing effective integrated plans under the CWA. ALCOSAN and its customer municipalities anticipate working with the USEPA and PaDEP in addressing all NPDES obligations in an orderly manner to identify costeffective and proactive solutions and to implement the most important projects first. As this framework is implemented by the regulatory agencies, modifications to the scope, schedule and priorities of wet weather controls that are identified in this Wet Weather Plan might emerge. Total Maximum Daily Loads – Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDL) rulings applicable to ALCOSAN receiving waters that are finalized after the development of ALCOSAN’s draft Wet Weather Plan could materially affect the scope, schedule and water quality compliance strategy of the Plan depending upon the allocation of the subject pollutant to combined sewer overflow and sanitary sewer overflow discharges in the respective TMDL. Municipal Stormwater Regulations – Nationally, there is movement to utilize the Phase II municipal stormwater permits held by the sanitary sewered municipalities as a mechanism to implement TMDLs through the use of wasteload allocations to establish stormwater end-ofpipe effluent limits. The timing of municipal implementation of their respective SSO control Feasibility Studies might also be impacted if integrated stormwater and wastewater planning were to determine that addressing stormwater impacts had greater or timelier water quality benefits than the SSO controls. Applied to the ALCOSAN sanitary sewered municipalities, new stormwater regulatory requirements would affect the municipalities’ financial capabilities if new stormwater infrastructure or capital-intensive best management practices were to be required. Nutrient Limits11-17 – There is increased awareness of and concern about the hypoxic conditions within the Gulf of Mexico attributable to nutrient loadings from the Mississippi River watershed which could lead to additional nutrient discharge limitations on publically owned treatment works (POTWs) or other forms of regulatory controls. For example, the Ohio River Valley Water Sanitary Commission (ORSANCO)’s Ohio River Sub Basin Committee for Reduction of Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico recommended that POTWs be upgraded to Biologic Nutrient Removal (BNR) or Enhanced Nutrient Removal (ENR) technologies. Paralleling this potential development, there is movement in some states towards numeric water quality criteria for nutrients. Such developments and corresponding upgrades to the ALCOSAN wastewater 11-17 ORSANCO: October 2009 Commission and Technical Committee Meeting Presentations 11- 68 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan treatment plant could constitute a significant capital investment that would erode affordability and financial capability available for wet weather controls. Sewage Sludge Incineration Rule – On March 21, 2011 EPA promulgated rules transferring the regulation of sewage sludge incineration (SSI) from Section 112 to Section 129 of the Clean Air Act. This change required the development of Maximum Achievable Control Threshold (MACT) standards for SSIs. The final rule set limits for nine pollutants under section 129 of the Clean Air Act: Cadmium, carbon monoxide, hydrogen chloride, lead, mercury, nitrogen oxides, particulate matter, polychlorinated dibenzo-pdioxins and polychlorinated dibenzofurans, and sulfur dioxide. The technical and cost implications of the MACT standards on ALCOSAN’s Resource Recovery Facility have not been determined but could represent a significant capital investment that would erode affordability and financial capability available for wet weather controls. POTW Greenhouse Gas Management – The USEPA currently regulates greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions from industrial wastewater treatment plants in their GHG mandatory reporting regulation. Should POTWs be regulated to control GHG from stationary power sources (e.g. sewage sludge incineration) or treatment processes (e.g. aeration tanks), ALCOSAN could face future capital and operation & maintenance costs which might erode affordability and financial capability available for wet weather controls. Implications – If and when federal or state requirements covering these issues and such requirements pose a material impact (positive or negative) on ALCOSAN’s ability to implement the Recommended Alternatives (Section 10) pursuant to the Implementation Plan (Section 11), ALCOSAN will coordinate its adaptive management strategies with the regulatory agencies. Climate Change: Water resource impacts of climate change have been increasingly documented in various governmental, industry and academic institution research. Western Pennsylvania lies at the interface between the Northeastern and Midwestern regions of the United States, and the potential effects are a combination of the two regions. Among the most significant impacts directly applicable to wet weather discharge controls that have been projected for Northeastern and Midwestern US in next century include11-18: Increases in precipitation and changes to seasonal variation of precipitation; Increases in frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events; Increased air temperature leading to greater evaporation rates and earlier snowmelt; Changes in soil moisture and surface runoff; and Greater in-stream flow uncertainty. The magnitude and cumulative effects of these climatologic changes vis-à-vis the currently foreseeable range of conditions through the planning period (2046) is uncertain. ALCOSAN will integrate evolving climate change predictions into its planning and design efforts. Through its ongoing flow monitoring and modeling activities, ALCOSAN will evaluate precipitation 11-18 Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States, Thomas R. Karl, Jerry M. Melillo, and Thomas C. Peterson,(eds.). Cambridge University Press, 2009. 11- 69 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan patterns and the system’s hydraulic responses thereto to identify divergences from the current understanding that could materially affect the design or performance of the wet weather controls. If ALCOSAN becomes aware of changes to wet weather flow characteristics due to climate change that could materially change the planning, design construction or performance of its proposed wet weather controls, it will coordinate with regulatory agencies as to appropriate steps to be taken, including as appropriate changes to the Wet Weather Plan. Examples of such changes include the predicted or observed variations which exceed the design or operating ranges of the proposed facilities. Changes in Municipal Flow Estimates: The wet weather control alternatives evaluated and recommended in this Wet Weather Plan are based in part upon the relevant information obtained by ALCOSAN from the Customer Municipalities pursuant to Section VI, Subsection N (Coordination with Customer Municipalities) of the ALCOSAN consent decree. As detailed elsewhere in this document, ALCOSAN has utilized municipal and regional planning agency population and development projections in projecting future system design flow characteristics. However there are a number of uncertainties regarding future municipal flows. Future municipal flows will be dependent on actual population growth and actual expansion of the area served by the sewers. These flows may be higher or lower than what was assumed for the sizing of wet weather controls. As a result, design flows for some ALCOSAN facilities may need to be revised if growth projections are revised at a future date. Another uncertainty regarding future municipal flows is a result of the timing of the Feasibility Studies. The Feasibility Studies to be developed by ALCOSAN’s customer municipalities pursuant to their respective Administrative Consent Orders (sanitary sewered municipalities) or Consent Order and Agreement (combined sewered municipalities) are not due to be submitted to the regulatory agencies until six months after the date of submittal of ALCOSAN’s Wet Weather Plan. As a result, this Wet Weather Plan is based on preliminary municipal plans and flow rates. The municipal plans and projected flow rates will not be finalized until each of these Feasibility Studies is approved by the regulatory agencies. ALCOSAN and the municipalities have coordinated concerning municipal flow projections throughout the development of this WWP. However, as a result of the timing of the completion of the municipal feasibility studies, the design approaches to some ALCOSAN wet weather controls that were described in Section 10 of this WWP might need to be revised. Given the timeframe of the Municipal Feasibility Studies, this Wet Weather Plan has also been developed with limited utilization of the provisions of consent decree paragraphs 17(b)(i) and (ii) or 18(a) )(i) and (ii) which provide flexibility for ALCOSAN to account for reductions in municipal flows to ALCOSAN due to municipal conveyance limitations or through municipality based control or treatment facilities. Notwithstanding the above uncertainties, it is ALCOSAN’s intention to ultimately utilize the municipal flow rates or quantities that are specified in the municipal feasibility studies, as modified by evolving understanding, as a key basis of design for its wet weather controls. ALCOSAN's schedule is highly dependent on receiving final flows from the municipalities and 11- 70 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan prompt regulatory approval of the feasibility studies and these flows is necessary for ALCOSAN to stay on schedule. ALCOSAN assumes that the Municipal Feasibility Studies will include each municipality’s firm and enforceable flow and flow rate projections. For planning purposes, ALCOSAN is assuming that the municipal feasibility studies will be approved by PaDEP and ACHD no later than July 31st, 2014. ALCOSAN would consider flow quantities or rates exceeding the specified municipal bases of design to constitute force majeure under the provisions of ALCOSAN’s consent decree. ALCOSAN’s Wet Weather Plan is premised upon the customer municipalities providing maintenance, renewal and replacement to their respective collection systems that will be sufficient to maintain or reduce current levels of extraneous flows. ALCOSAN anticipates that the municipal flow characteristics reported in the municipal feasibility studies will be enforced as necessary by the Allegheny County Health Department and/or the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection. As the municipalities develop their respective wet weather control strategies, it is likely that some may pursue wet weather flow reduction strategies through such steps as system rehabilitation, direct stream inflow removals and green infrastructure. These source reduction efforts would be in response to the estimated costs of providing increased municipal conveyance to the ALCOSAN system and/or local control facilities as well as in response to the growing municipal and public appreciation as to the environmental and aesthetic benefits of incorporating green controls into municipal sewerage. Conversely, ALCOSAN must consider the risk of increased municipal extraneous wet weather flows (volumes or flow rates) beyond the reasonable margins of safety that have been assumed in the development of ALCOSAN’s control alternatives. If ALCOSAN becomes aware of changes to municipal flow characteristics that could materially change the planning, design, construction or performance of its proposed wet weather controls, it will coordinate with the municipalities concerned and with the regulatory agencies as to the appropriate steps to be taken. Economic and Demographic Variables: Several economic variables beyond ALCOSAN’s control could materially affect ALCOSAN’s ability to fully implement the Wet Weather Plan as outlined in Sections 10 and 11 of this document. Capital Cost Inflation – As noted in section 7.3.1 of this document, future costs related to the construction of the recommended control facilities are inflated from the base year at an annual rate of 3.1%. The Engineering News Record’s Construction Cost Index shows an average annual increase of 4.9% for the fifty-year period of 1962 through 2011 (inclusive). The standard deviation for the period was 3%; therefore an inflation rate one standard deviation higher than the fifty-year average would be 8%. Construction inflation rates above the fifty-year average would materially impact the implementation schedule of the WWP in conformance with Section II(c)(8) of the CSO Control Policy.11-19 For example, a $2 billion (current dollar) investment in wet weather controls would result in a regional residential indicator of approximately 2% of the median household income in 2027. If inflation were to run at the fifty year average, the same 11-19 59 FR 18694. 11- 71 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan current dollar investment would result in a residential indicator of 2.14%. If inflation were to run at one standard deviation higher than the fifty-year average, the residential indicator would be around 2.5% of median household income in 2027. Debt Interest Rates and Other Financing Variables – As also documented in Section 7.3.1, an assumed interest rate of 6% is used as the base case for future debt service payments for the Affordability and Financial Capability Assessment related to the recommended wet weather controls. This rate closely matches the forty-one year (1971 – 2011) average for the Bond Buyer 20 Bond Index of municipal bonds which was 6.24%. The standard deviation of interest rates for the period was 1.8%, therefore an interest rate one standard deviation higher than the average would be around 8%. Using an 8% interest rate for a $2 billion (current dollar) program would result in a regional residential indicator of 2.15% compared to 2.0%. The peak for municipal bonds during the period occurred in 1982 when the average interest rate was 11.5%. A $2 billion (current $) program financed through 11.5% bonds would result in a regional residential indicator of around 2.5%. Material changes to the financial factors impacting the affordability of the program such as ALCOSAN’s bond rating could also require refinement to the Plan. Demographic Changes – As noted in Sections 6.5 and 7.3 of this document, ALCOSAN’s service population, typical household size and water consumption have all declined over the past twenty years. Should these trends continue or accelerate during the planning period, the overall rate base to pay for the wet weather controls will erode and, regardless of the cost allocation or rate structure, the costs per household will increase. This could result in a Residential Indicator that is significantly higher than the 2% rate presented in Section 11.1 of this report both upon the first year of full implementation (2027) and beyond as the impacts of the demographic trends compound in the future. Conversely, should the service population, household size and water consumption increase in a sustained pattern, the resultant affordability improvements will be evaluated towards increasing ALCOSAN’s wet weather control efforts. Changes to Billable Flow Composition – As detailed in Sub-Section 7.3, the quantity of billable flow received by ALCOSAN has declined by more than 26% over the past twenty years and percentage of billable flow that is attributable to residential users has increased from 65% in the mid-1990s11-20 to around 73% currently (Sub-Section 7.3). The Affordability and Financial Capability analyses presented in Sub-Section 11.5 were premised on the residential class’ share of billable flow and the volume of billable flow stabilizing. Should the flow contributions from major industrial, institutional or commercial users decline significantly, the resultant shift of costs to the residential class could materially affect the affordability of the Recommended 2026 Plan. Changes to Household Income – The Affordability Analysis presented in Section 11.5 was premised on the ALCOSAN service-area-wide median household income growing at an annual rate of 1.8% through (and beyond) 2027, the first full year of operation of the facilities constructed under the Recommended 2026 Plan. Should 2020 Census data or other economic data that becomes available in the interim indicate that the projected future incomes are 11-20 ALCOSAN Pennsylvania Act 537 Comprehensive Sewage Facilities Plan (1996) page 4-14. 11- 72 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan materially different from the assumed values, the affordability impacts will be considered towards the possible refinement to the Plan. Municipal Compliance Costs: As detailed elsewhere in this report, ALCOSAN is utilizing a working estimated cost of the municipal upgrades necessary to control or convey wet weather flows of $530 million dollars. This estimated cost was factored into the Affordability Assessment (Section 11.4). The preliminary nature of this estimate pending the completion and approval of the municipal feasibility studies must be emphasized. Should the projected municipal costs estimated in the forthcoming feasibility studies exceed this estimate, the affordability of the Recommended 2026 Plan could be materially eroded and could necessitate a revision to the Plan. Conversely, should the municipal cost estimate be significantly lower, ALCOSAN would evaluate revisions to the Plan that any increase in affordability might suggest. 11.7.2 Cost Estimation Accuracy The cost estimates for the controls that were evaluated in Section 9 and which serve the basis of ALCOSAN’s proposed control strategy were based on concepts developed to a level of detail appropriate for the selection of wet weather controls in conformance with the CSO Policy, related guidance (e.g. CSO Guidance for Long-Term Control Plan EPA 832-B-95-002 (Sept. 95)) and ALCOSAN’s consent decree. The Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering International would consider such estimates as Class 4 estimates, with an expected accuracy within plus 50 percent to minus 30 percent of the estimated cost.11-21 As ALCOSAN moves from wet weather planning into preliminary and final design phases, the uncertainty ranges for the cost estimates will narrow. Ultimately, the actual cost of projects will be determined based on bids received and change orders resulting from construction. Using the Adaptive Management approaches outlined in Section 11.7.6, ALCOSAN will refine its implementation plan to reflect the additional resources or limitations that the more detailed program cost estimates, along with actual bids for early projects, reveal. 11.7.3 Construction and Engineering Resource Availability A preliminary review of construction and engineering resource availability provided input into the proposed implementation schedule (Section 11.1). This review was intended to inform ALCOSAN and the regulatory agencies as to potential issues that could affect timely program delivery. During the previous ALCOSAN capital improvements program for the Woods Run WWTP expansion, ALCOSAN managed design engineering using in-house engineering and 11- 21 AACE International Recommended Practice No. 18R-97: “Class 4 estimates are generally prepared based on limited information and subsequently have fairly wide accuracy ranges. They are typically used for project screening, determination of feasibility, concept evaluation, and preliminary budget approval. Typically, engineering is from 1- to 15-percent complete, and would comprise, at a minimum, the following: plant capacity, block schematics, indicated layout, process flow diagrams (PFDs) for main process systems, and preliminary engineered process and utility equipment lists.” 11- 73 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan construction management staff supplemented by engineering program management and construction management consultants. Design consultant teams were formed using national and local consulting firms to complete design and prepare construction bid documents. A similar engineering and construction management approach is appropriate for the WWP implementation, albeit, at a larger scale. Assuming design engineering costs are typically around ten percent of the overall capital costs; the design costs for the Recommended 2026 Plan are in the magnitude of $150 million. With a design phase duration between five-to-seven years the annual costs for engineering services may be in the range of $20 to $30 million. It is anticipated that the national and local engineering resources in the region can support this additional engineering demand with some growth. Certain specialty design services, such as for TBM tunneling and microtunneling, will be needed to supplement the local engineering resources. Similar conclusions were reached regarding resource availability and magnitude of cost for the construction management components of the plan implementation. The regional tunnel and associated facilities represent approximately 50% of the capital improvements under the Recommended 2026 Plan. The balance of capital improvements are split between the Woods Run WWTP expansion and other planning basin improvements. A sequential approach to TBM tunnel construction as proposed for the three regional tunnel segments described in Section 10 provides a relatively even distribution of annual capital costs; maintains a more stable demand for specialized and non-specialized labor forces; and promotes competitive bidding from tunnel construction contractors. The facilities construction for the WWTP expansion and RTB in the Chartiers Creek planning basin will draw largely upon the general construction trades, but are not expected to exceed the growth capacity of construction contractors within western Pennsylvania and the surrounding region. The plan elements for construction of consolidations conduits, connections to the regional tunnel, new relief sewers and municipal collection system improvements may be one of the more challenging demands on the local construction industry. With capital costs in the order of $1 billion ($500 million ALCOSAN improvements plus $500 million municipal improvements) for microtunneling, traditional open trench pipeline construction and regulator structure modifications there is a potential shortage of utility contractors. As the program continues and the municipal plans develop it will be necessary to further evaluate the impacts of these potential limitations in the utility construction capacity. 11.7.4 Green Infrastructure Controls There is a strong regional interest in including green technologies as part of the solution to wet weather pollution in the Pittsburgh region. However, due to current institutional arrangements, ALCOSAN has limited ability to implement green technologies. This is because land uses, development and re-development activities are controlled by local municipalities and land owners. Green technologies that reduce or treat runoff from directly connected impervious areas require local control. 11- 74 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan Regional efforts to support the use of green infrastructure controls include those by the 3 River Wet Weather (3RWW) Program. This non-profit group is assembling a database and map of existing green infrastructure (GI) controls. They are also developing tools that can be used by municipalities and private homeowners to help determine where and what type of GI controls could be implemented. Other examples of regional efforts include: The Pennsylvania Environmental Council promotes protection and restoration of the environment including facilitation of collaboration, partnerships, education and advocacy for green infrastructure as part of water resources programs. The Clean Water Campaign is promoting use of green technologies and strategies through education, advocacy and civic engagement. The Green Infrastructure Network is a collaborative network of organizations and agencies that actively promote green infrastructure approaches to environmental issues. ALCOSAN has and will continue to support GI implementation in the region in several ways: Development of and participation in pilot studies, such as those in the municipality of West View and on the Bell’s Run system. Coordination and funding (with municipal involvement) of stream removal projects, such as those required in ALCOSAN’s CD as Supplemental Environmental Projects. Participation in pilot study efforts with municipalities funded by local foundations. Hosting or providing support for GI technology transfer through presentations, workshops, seminars and training sessions. Continued involvement in regional stakeholder groups interested in green technologies, such as The Green Infrastructure Network. Seeking funding for green infrastructure projects. Preparation of flyers, fact sheets and other information for public education. Hosting of ALCOSAN’s annual Open House which features extensive information through booths and displays from numerous organizations that promote use of GI. As these regional efforts evolve, ALCOSAN will maintain involvement, consider creative ways to encourage use of GI and assess how these efforts impact the Wet Weather Plan. 11.7.5 Solids and Floatables Controls Appendix G of ALCOSAN’s Consent Decree requires that ALCOSAN submit an assessment of the types and amounts of solid and floatable materials entering receiving waters as well as a plan to control solids and floatables. As of the date of submittal of this Wet Weather Plan, ALCOSAN has submitted to the Agencies a Solids & Floatables (S&Fs) Supplemental Assessment & Control Plan. The Plan includes the installation of solids and floatables control 11- 75 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan devices at six locations utilizing baffles, end-of-pipe netting, and screens. The submission is pending approval and, at this time, ALCOSAN and the Agencies are working together on an expanded S&Fs assessment that includes a short-term physical study with measurements at a number of CSOs representative of the entire service area, as well as the evaluation of various control technologies. Should the S&F plan evolve into a broader, more expensive program, the impacts of this expansion on the affordability and the implementation schedule for the Recommended 2026 Plan would be evaluated. 11.7.6 Regulatory Approvals ALCOSAN’s ability to fully implement the Recommended 2026 Plan on or before September 30th, 2026 is premised upon timely regulatory approvals of construction and discharge permits as necessary. Assumed timeliness includes but is not limited to the approval of this Wet Weather Plan and of the municipal feasibility studies no later than January 31st, 2014. 11.7.7 Adaptive Management Given the risks and uncertainties that will be inherent in the implementation of ALCOSAN’s Wet Weather Plan, ALCOSAN intends to use an adaptive management strategy. Adaptive Management, as defined by the EPA, is “the process by which new information about the health of a watershed is incorporated into the watershed management plan.” In the context of the WWP, adaptive management assumes that while the strategic goals of the Wet Weather Plan that were outlined in Section 10 of this document will remain constant, the tactical approaches to achieving the goals must be adjustable. These adjustments will be based on the combination of technical, regulatory and socio-economic changes. Periodic Program Reviews: ALCOSAN’s adaptive management process provides for progress tracking and reporting annually through the consent decree annual report and through ALCOSAN’s ongoing public participation program. Topics to be addressed may include: Schedule conformance (regulatory approval status of critical path submittals, etc.) Hydraulic loadings vis-à-vis the design flow and flow rate assumptions that were used in the development of the WWP or in subsequent design due to changing demographics, municipal collection system conditions, climate change, etc.; Emergent regulatory requirements specific to the ALCOSAN system or receiving streams (e.g. TMDLs) or in general (e.g. the promulgation of a National SSO Policy); Emergent economic and other developments and trends that could materially affect the affordability of the WWP. Changes to water quality standards and guidance that could affect the types and levels of wet weather controls necessary to meet the program objectives; Innovative and alternative technologies that could enhance water quality and/or reduce costs thereby enabling expanded control efforts. 11- 76 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan The unavailability of supplies, materials, contractors or labor necessary to implement the WWP as scheduled in the WWP due to conditions beyond ALCOSAN’s control such as a natural disaster or other emergency; and Local, state or federal legal impediments to the timely or orderly implementation of the WWP, e.g. lengthy litigation over land acquisition or inability to obtain required permits. The adaptive management process would also be activated immediately upon ALCOSAN’s awareness of trends and potential events beyond ALCOSAN’s control that could materially affect the implementation of the WWP or the subsequent performance of the wet weather controls. ALCOSAN will utilize adaptive management to preserve the affordability of the WWP. Over time, factors such as household incomes; energy, raw material and labor costs; and the cost of capital tend to revert to long-term trends. However, history shows that economic conditions and financial markets can be extremely volatile from year to year. In a given year, this volatility can have a significant impact on the financial capability of a community to finance public infrastructure improvements without economic hardship. A flexible, adaptive approach to financial capability analysis will be considered to maximize ALCOSAN’s chances of success in implementing its chosen program. ALCOSAN proposes to periodically reassess its affordability and financial capability analysis in light of any new information. Local economic conditions will be assessed including changes in household income, revenue, capital spending in response to new regulations or requirements, construction and operating costs, and ALCOSAN’s financial position and cost of capital. Adjustments to the program will be considered to either increase the rate of progress toward goals if conditions are favorable or to decrease spending to avoid economic hardship. Adaptive Management Responses: ALCOSAN will notify the regulatory agencies when it becomes aware of or foresees any of the following adverse conditions: The implementation schedule set forth in the WWP cannot be met; The design and performance assumptions used in the development of the WWP are rendered obsolete due to changing conditions; The type, size, location or scope of wet weather controls set forth in the WWP must be changed to meet the water quality goals of the WWP; Economic, demographic or other conditions change such that the ALCOSAN regional Residential Indicator projected upon full implementation of the WWP would increase by more than one tenth of one percent over the Residential Indicator that was projected in Section 11.5 of this document (e.g. from a RI of 2.0% to a RI of 2.1%); and Any other factor which could materially affect ALCOSAN’s ability to implement its Wet Weather Plan, including those described in Sub-Sections 11.7.1 through 11.7.5 of this document. 11- 77 ALCOSAN Wet Weather Plan Section 11- Implementation Plan ALCOSAN will coordinate with the regulatory agencies pursuant to Section XIII of the consent decree or other appropriate mechanism and present to the agencies: An analysis of the issues and implications posed by the condition; An analysis of the impacts on the implementation of the WWP or the efficacy of the controls; and An Action Plan to address the adverse conditions that will preserve ALCOSAN’s compliance with the financial capability and water quality requirements of the CSO Control Policy. Upon agency approval, the Action Plan will become an amendment to the WWP. 11.7.8 Wet Weather Plan Update ALCOSAN will prepare a Wet Weather Plan Update (WWPU) to evaluate the performance of the controls to be completed under the Recommended 2026 Plan and to determine the scope of additional controls necessary for remaining overflows to comply with the CWA and the CSO Policy. Based upon the September 30th, 2026 date for the initiation of operation of the controls proposed under the Recommended 2026 Plan and the schedule for implementation of the Interim and Post-Construction Monitoring Plan (IPCMP), ALCOSAN proposes to submit the WWPU on or before September 30th, 2031. Anticipated key elements of the WWPU include: 2026 Plan Performance Evaluation – The WWP Update will include an evaluation of the control facilities constructed under the 2026 Plan in terms of their respective design criteria, i.e. reduction of CSO volume, control of CSOs near Sensitive Areas and control of SSOs on Chartiers Creek. The WWPU will document the hydraulic performance of the completed facilities and remedial steps to be taken if design performance standards have not been met. Coordination with Municipal Source Reduction – ALCOSAN’s WWP Update will account for municipal flow reduction efforts which may have occurred since the development of this document, including I&I reductions in the sanitary sewered municipalities and green stormwater management practices that may have been implemented by the combined sewered municipalities. Receiving Water Quality Conditions–The WWP Update will include an analysis of the receiving water quality data collected as a part of the IPCMP. The report will include a status update on progress towards not precluding attainment with bacteria water quality standards. Evaluation of Additional Controls – Based upon IPCMP evaluation, ALCOSAN will evaluate additional controls necessary for full compliance with the CWA requirements. This will include an analysis as to cost-effectiveness of implementing the remaining components of the Selected Alternative (Section 9.6) given contemporary technical, water quality, regulatory and economic conditions. The Selected Alternative will be evaluated against other control strategies that may emerge in the future. 11- 78