2007: Goals surpassed
Transcription
2007: Goals surpassed
Presentation to Investors and Analysts Final results for 2007 | Outlook on 2008 March, 2008 2007: Goals surpassed Increase in earnings > 15% Growth investments € 525 million 2 1 Market Development 2007 Central-East Europe strong growth: - Poland, Romania, Bulgaria: - Czech Republic, Slovakia: great demand growth in revenues and earnings North-West Europe at high level: - France, Belgium: - UK, Netherlands: ongoing good development consolidation effects Germany disappointing development . USA weak development 3 2007 at a Glance Revenues: EBITDA: € 2,477.3 mill. € 551.2 mill. (06: 2,225.0 | +11%) (06: 471.9 | +17%) Profit after tax: Earnings per share: € 295.8 mill. € 3.46 (06: 218.3 | +36%) (06: 2.95 | +17%) 1) Earnings per share 2007 after hybrid coupon 4 2 Development of Group Revenues 2007 11% growth in revenues or + € 252 mill. Price effect Volume effect approx. 9% approx. 2% Product mix Price adjustments 5 Results for 2007 by Segment Revenues: € 2,477.3 mill. | +11% North America 13% Investments & Other -2% Central-East Europe 34% Central-West Europe 18% EBITDA: € 551.2 mill. | +17% North America 6% Central-West Europe 14% Investments & Other -4% Central-East Europe 51% North-West Europe 33% North-West Europe 37% 6 3 Results for 2006 by Product Group Revenues: € 2,477.3 mill. | +11% EBITDA: € 551.2 mill. | +17% Surface 6% Surface 8% Roof 19% Other - 6% Roof 25% Wall 36% Wall 52% Facade 23% Facade 37% 7 Growth through Large Acquisitions… Acquisition Revenues 06 EBITDA 06 Rationale of acquisition Arriscraft € 52.7 mill. Market entry Canada € 7.5 mill. CAN Baggeridge Complementary products € 81.0 mill. € 11.0 mill. UK Korevaar NL Strengthen our market position National market coverage € 26.5 mill. € 3.5 mill. Expansion of the clay paver segment in the Netherlands 8 4 …and Bolt-on Projects Project Region Country Type Project description Triteni CEE Romania New construction New capacity in Romania Lukovit CEE Bulgaria New construction First site in Bulgaria Dobre CEE Poland Extension Expansion of capacity in Poland Mali Idjos CEE Serbia Acquisition Extension Market entry Serbia Expansion of capacity projected RIL S.p.a CWE Italy Acquisition Expansion Northern Italy Belgium Extension Reorganization of hollow brick business Zonnebeke NWE 9 Final Results for 2007 5 Strong Improvement of Earnings in 2007 in € mill. 2006 2007 Chg. % Revenues 2,225.0 2,477.3 +11 EBITDA 471.9 551.2 +17 EBITDA margin 21.2% 22.3% - EBIT 299.6 353.1 +18 Financial results -20.2 5.3 Profit after tax 218.3 295.8 +36 -29.1 - 266.7 +22 Hybrid coupon - Profit after tax and hybrid 218.3 - 11 EBITDA Change by Segment EBITDA development 2007 in € mill. +122 +9 +17% -20 -28 -4 551 472 EBITDA 2006 Central-East Europe1) North-West Europe1) Central-West North Europe America Investments & Other EBITDA 2007 1) For organizational reasons, Finland and the Baltic States were transferred to the Central-East Europe segment as of January 1, 2007 (formerly: North-West Europe); the comparable figures from prior reporting periods were adjusted accordingly 12 6 Financial Results in € mill. 2006 Income from investments in associates Interest result Other financial results Financial results 2007 Chg. in % 26.1 27.6 +6 -48.2 -43.1 +11 1.9 20.7 >100 -20.2 5.2 >100 13 Growth Investments of € 525 mill. in € mill. 2006 2007 Chg. in % Growth investments 430 525 +22 - Bolt-on Projects 200 297 +49 - Strategic acquisitions 1) 230 228 -1 Maintenance capex 100 120 +20 Total investments 530 645 +22 Maintenance capex: 1) 61% of depreciation (€ 198 mill.) Strategic acquisitions 2006 including asset deals 14 7 Financing Growth Hybrid bond February 2007 Coupon 6.5% annually Volume: € 500 mill. Financing growth 2007 Capital increase October 2007 9.8 mill. new shares Financing accelerated growth program (13% of share capital) Volume: € 424 mill. (net proceeds) 15 Development of Net Debt +94.9 +645.6 1,159.8 -24.9 -424.1 -479.0 in € mill. -492.9 +87.4 Net Debt 31.12.2006 Gross cash flow Total investments Asset disposals Corporate dividend Capital increase Hybrid bond Working capital and other 566.8 Net Debt 31.12.2007 16 8 Balance Sheet Ratios in € mill. 2006 2007 Chg. in % Equity 1) 1,591.4 2,672.7 +68 Net debt 1,159.8 566.8 -51 43% 62% - Equity ratio Gearing 2) 1) 2) 73% 21% Hybrid (50% / 50%) - 34% Hybrid 100% debt - 49% Hybrid 100% equity including minority interest according to IFRS hybrid 100% as equity 17 Balance Sheet Structure EQUITY and LIABILITIES ASSETS 5 4 0.5 current provisions and liabilities 1.1 non-current provisions and liabilities 2.7 equity and minorities 1.4 current assets 1.0 1.1 in € bn. 3 1.1 2 1 non-current assets 2.6 3.0 1.6 0 2006 2007 2006 2007 18 9 Cash Flow Statement in € mill. 2006 2007 Chg. in % Gross cash flow 370.8 479.0 +29 Chg. in working capital -15.1 -104.8 >100 -100.2 -120.2 +20 16.6 39.7 >100 272.1 293.7 +8 Maintenance capex Divestments and Other Free cash flow 19 Working Capital in € mill. 2006 2007 Working capital 531.8 694.4 Working capital to revenues 24% 28% Increase working capital particularly due to an increase in inventories: - Consolidation effects - Central-East Europe and North-West Europe to ensure ability to deliver - Central-West Europe and North America due to weak market development 20 10 Treasury Ratios in € mill. 2006 2007 Target Net Debt / EBITDA 2.5 1.0 <3.0% EBITDA / Interest result 9.8 12.8 >5.8% EBIT / Interest result 6.2 8.2 >2.75 FFO / Net Debt 28% 48% >30% RCF / Net Debt 21% 37% >20% 21 Wienerberger Value Management ROCE 1): CFROI 2): 10.1% 13.0% (2006: 9.4%) (2006: 12.6%) WACC 2007: 7.5% 1) 2) Adjusted for non-recurring income and expenses; calculation based on average capital employed Adjusted for non-recurring income and expenses; calculation based on average historical capital employed 22 11 Dividend Recommendation for 2007 Dividend: Yield: € 1.45 Av. share price: 3.0% (06: € 1.30 | +12%) 31.12.07: 3.8% 23 Wienerberger Segments 12 Central-East Europe I Poland: - Ongoing sound growth - Maximum capacity utilization - New capacities at the end of 2008 Czech Republic: - Stable new residential construction - Introduction of premium products Slovakia: - Strong domestic demand (intended introduction of EURO for 2009) Hungary: - Uncertainty due to budget deficits - Exports to Romania/Ukraine 25 Central-East Europe II Romania: - Full utilization of Triteni plant - Strong growth from low level Bulgaria: - New plant in Lukovit - Strong growth from low level Croatia/Slovenia: - Positive market development Serbia: - Market entry through acquisition of Mali Idjos Russia: - Dynamic market - Full operation of Kiprewo I - Further sites under construction (Kiprewo II, Kazan) 26 13 Central-West Europe Switzerland: - Slight decline from high level Italy: - Slow down of market - Introduction of planed ground blocks - Consolidation RIL (Northern Italy) Germany: - 2007: New residential construction on a historical low - 2008: (Slight) recovery possible - Stable renovation market (clay roof tiles) - Exports to Poland and the Czech Republic 27 North-West Europe I France: - New residential construction stable on high level - Hollow bricks are gaining market share - Sound renovation market Belgium: - Slow down in new residential construction from high level - Reorganization of hollow brick business - Positive renovation market Netherlands: - Slightly positive development of domestic demand - Consolidation of Korevaar (clay paver) 28 14 North-West Europe II UK: - Ongoing weak residential construction market Ù trend to detached houses - Consolidation Baggeridge Acquisition of Sandtoft (clay roof tiles) - January 2008: Acquisition of a 74% stake in Sandtoft - Third largest roof tile producer in UK - 4 sites (Sandtoft, Broomfleet, Goxhill, Heckmondwike) - Revenues 2007: GBP 42 mill. Ä Sandtoft as a platform for further growth in the British clay roof tile market 29 North America Market development: - Further decline in the market expected to 1.08 mill. housing starts - Recovery not before 2009 - Long term growth market (population growth | renovation) Wienerberger: - Significant increase in earnings in 2008 due to: - Capacity adjustments in 2007 Consolidation effects Arriscraft Reorganization of Robinson Cost optimization 30 15 Summary Central-East Europe further growth expected Central-West Europe overall stable North-West Europe at a good level North America ongoing market weakness, but Wienerberger expects increase in earnings Above-average growth in EBITDA (ca. 10%) expected (EPS 2008: <10% due to capital increase) 31 Wienerberger‘s Growth Strategy 16 Wienerberger‘s Growth Model Wienerberger Bolt-on projects and strategic projects Wall | Facade| Roof | Surface Free Cash Flow Investors Growth Bolt-on projects Strategic projects / Dividend Offer attractive dividend payments to investors Payback debt Maintain healthy gearing ratios and balance sheet Maintain solid investment larger acquisitions grade rating (currently BBB / Baa2) 33 Planned Investments 2008 Bolt-on projects > € 400 mill. Strategic acquisitions ~ € 100 mill. Maintenance capex ~ € 125 mill. Total investment volume 2008 > € 600 mill. 34 17 Growth Program with Focus on Central-East Europe Construction of about 25 brick plants in Central-East Europe by 2012: - 8 plants in Russia - 17 plants in Eastern Europe: all above in - Poland Romania Bulgaria Balkans Ukraine 8 17 6 new concrete paver plants (Semmelrock) 35 Growth Program 2009+ Bolt-on Projects / Growth Projects Expansion Eastern Europe - Focus: Russia, Poland Romania, Bulgaria .Balkans, Ukraine . Strategic Projects Medium-sized acquisitions - Western & Eastern Europe, North America Development Traditional Markets - Focus: Growth of hollow bricks in Western Europe ? Market Entry India - Set-up of a strategic position € 300 mill. annually 36 18 Our Targets Remain Unchanged Above average growth in EBITDA & EPS (ca. 10% p.a.) ROCE mid-term: ≥10% (WACC = 7.5%) Maintain investment grade rating 37 Wienerberger and The Financial Markets 19 Volatile Stock Markets Fear of recession in the USA triggers uncertainty Capital market overall – especially the construction materials sector – is impacted by the current crisis in the USA Partly panic selling at the stock exchanges Share prices of companies not linked to positive business development e.g. Wienerberger 2007: earning + >15% Ä share price declined by >15 % 39 Price Development of the Wienerberger Share Since January 2007 130% Wienerberger ATX Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Construction & Materials 120% 110% 100% 90% EBITDA + 17% Share price - 16% 80% . 70% Jän.07 Jan. 07 Feb.07 Feb.07 Mär.07 March 07 Apr.07 Apr.07 Mai.07 May 07 Jun.07 June 07 Jul.07 July 07 Aug.07 Aug. 07 Sep.07 Sep. 07 Okt.07 Oct.07 Nov.07 Nov.07 Dez.07 Dec.07 40 20 Strong Growth in the Past… Growth revenues p.a. (in € mill.)1) C A GR : 13% 2.478 2.225 1.955 1.759 1.343 2002 1) 1.544 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Note: Pipelife at equity presented for all years 41 …and Even Higher EBITDA Growth EBITDA development p.a. (in € mill.) 1) CAGR : 15 % 405 428 2004 2005 472 551 335 273 2002 1) 2003 2006 2007 Adjusted for non-recurring expenditures and income 42 21 Earnings per Share 2002 – 2007 4,00 % R : 17 ∅-CAG 3,50 3,46 1) 3,02 3,00 2,54 2,67 2,50 2,01 2,00 1,57 1,50 1,00 0,50 0,00 2002 1) After hybrid coupon 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 adjusted EPS in € 43 Wienerberger is Well Positioned Wienerberger… …has very sound fundamentals …has had a strong track record for many years …has a clearly-defined strategy with focus on core business …has secured financing for future growth Wienerberger will maintain its successful growth course and continue to focus on its operating business 44 22 45 Appendix: Wienerberger Group Today 23 Profitable Product Groups in Core Business Hollow Brick (Wall) No. 1 worldwide Facing Brick (Facade) No. 1 in Europe, Co-Leader in USA Revenues: 36% EBITDA: 52% EBITDA margin: 32% Revenues: 37% EBITDA: 23% EBITDA margin: 14% Roof Tiles (Roof) No. 2 in Europe 1) Pavers (Surface) Leading position in Europe Revenues: 19% EBITDA: 25% EBITDA margin: 28% Revenues: 8% EBITDA: 6% EBITDA margin: 17% 1) concerning Clay Roof Tiles 47 Wienerberger Brick Markets in Europe 1 Europe (total): No. 1 1 Hollow Bricks: - No competing international groups - Mainly family businesses (local producers) - Wienerberger as only multinational player 33 Facing Bricks: - Family businesses (local producers) as main competitors - CRH und Hanson in selected countries 1 2 1 11 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 41 1 1 1 2 Wienerberger plants Wienerberger export markets # Marktpositionen positions with hollow bricks and / or facing bricks 48 24 Wienerberger Roofing Markets in Europe Europe (total): No. 2 in clay roof tiles Major competitors: Monier (formerly 33 Lafarge Roofing), Etex, Imerys, Terreal Some privately owned mid-size competitors in Germany Wienerberger plants Wienerberger export markets JVs Bramac (50%) and / orTondach Gleinstätten (25%) # Market positions in clay roof tiles and / or concrete roof tiles 49 Wienerberger Brick markets in North America USA: 5 major players totaling ~65% of market share Quebec Main competitors: Ontario Boral, ACME, Hanson and CRH 1 Canada: Market entry in 2007 Midwest 20% 5 1 West 3% 6 2 3 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 4 5 6 4 Northeast 7% 3 2 1 6 Southwest 20% 3 2 1 Southeast 50% 4 Note: Data below regions = share of total brick consumption within USA # Market positions with facing bricks 50 25 Wienerberger Shareholder Structure By country Switzerland 2% France 3% Other 5% 100% free float USA 32% Northern Europe 4% Germany 7% 3 larger institutional investors: - AIM Trimark Investments, CAN, owns more than 10% of the shares - Dodge & Cox, USA, Austria 17% owns more than 5% of the shares Canada 13% UK & Ireland 17% - Capital Research & Management Company, USA, owns more than 5% of the shares Status: February 2008 | 83.9 mill. shares issued 51 26