Click here - Alpina Capital
Transcription
Click here - Alpina Capital
pe ne t r a t i on c onne c t i ons ne ta dds ARPU S e l e c t e dWi r e l e s sMe t r i c s| F our t hQua r t e r2014 Ve r i z on AT&T S pr i nt T Mobi l e T r a c F one USCe l l ul a r NT e l os E BI TDA Selected Wireless Metrics For the Fourth Quarter 2014 Traditional Carriers Sprint T-Mobile US Cellular MVNO TracFone Verizon AT&T VZ ATT S TMUS USM NTLS AMX 108,211 120,554 44,655 43,501 4,760 449 26,006 Net Additions (000) 2,067 1,905 440 1,542 86 (8) 102 Covered POPs (MM) 297.0 297.0 –– 288.0 32.0 5.9 –– Ticker NTelos Overall Subscribers (000) EBITDA ($MM) $ 7,654 $ 5,240 $ 1,034 $ 1,451 $ 96 $ 31.4 $ 72 LTM EBITDA ($MM) $ 35,219 $ 25,068 $ 6,034 $ 4,715 $ 365 $ 132 $ 655 55.34 $ 42.04 $ 58.90 $ 48.26 $ 60.10 $ 52.35 $ 20.00 CCPU –– –– –– - –– 30.64 –– CPGA –– –– –– - –– 1,086 –– Churn 1.4% 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 3.6% 4.2% Monthly Per-Subscriber Metrics ARPU EBITDA $ $ 23.58 $ 14.49 $ 7.72 $ Note: Metrics are for retail subscribers only. Page 1 1.7% 11.12 $ 6.73 $ 23.29 $ 0.92 Selected Reported Connection Metrics Total Connections (000) 4Q '14 Reported Connections (000) Verizon AT&T Sprint T-Mobile US Cellular NTELOS Tracfone Postpay 102,079 75,931 29,495 27,185 4,200 139 - Prepay 6,132 44,623 15,160 16,316 560 310 26,006 Total 108,211 120,554 44,655 43,501 4,760 449 26,006 Verizon (31.1%) AT&T (34.6%) Sprint (12.8%) T-Mobile (12.5%) US Cellular (1.4%) NTELOS (0.1%) Tracfone (7.5%) Postpay Connections (000) Prepay Connections (000) Verizon (5.6%) Verizon (42.7%) AT&T (40.9%) AT&T (31.8%) Sprint (13.9%) Sprint (12.3%) T-Mobile (15%) T-Mobile (11.4%) US Cellular (0.5%) US Cellular (1.8%) NTELOS (0.3%) NTELOS (0.1%) Tracfone (23.8%) Page 2 Selected Reported Connection Metrics 4Q '14 Reported Net Adds (000) Postpay 1,986 854 30 1,379 52 (8) - Verizon AT&T Sprint T-Mobile US Cellular NTELOS Tracfone Prepay 81 1,051 410 (87) 34 (0) 102 Total Net Adds (000) 2,500 Total 2,067 1,905 440 1,790 86 (8) 102 2,000 Verizon 1,500 AT&T 1,000 Sprint T-Mobile 500 US Cellular - NTELOS (500) #REF! (1,000) Postpay Net Adds (000) 2,500 4Q '14 3Q '14 2Q '14 Prepay Net Adds (000) 2,000 1,500 Sprint 500 T-Mobile US Cellular - NTELOS 500 Sprint T-Mobile - US Cellular (500) NTELOS Tracfone 4Q '13 4Q '14 3Q '14 2Q '14 1Q '14 4Q '13 (1,000) Page 3 4Q '14 1,000 AT&T 3Q '14 AT&T Verizon 1,000 2Q '14 Verizon 1,500 1Q '14 2,000 (500) 1Q '14 4Q '13 Tracfone Selected Wireless Metrics Verizon ($MM, except per-unit measures) 3/31/13 6/30/13 9/30/13 12/31/13 16,728 $ 17,078 $ 17,516 $ 3/31/14 6/30/14 9/30/14 12/31/14 17,987 $ 18,078 $ 18,356 $ Operating Revenues ($MM) Service $ Equipment 17,711 $ 18,209 1,813 1,953 1,924 2,421 1,870 2,387 2,480 4,222 982 945 959 993 1,022 1,018 999 1,018 19,523 19,976 20,399 21,125 20,879 21,483 21,835 23,449 Cost of services and sales 5,651 5,799 5,652 6,546 5,856 6,742 7,043 9,184 Selling, general & administrative expense 5,448 5,666 5,801 6,261 5,644 5,649 5,698 6,611 Depreciation and Amortization 2,006 2,047 2,060 2,089 2,061 2,107 2,139 2,152 13,105 13,512 13,513 14,896 13,561 14,498 14,880 17,947 6,418 6,464 6,886 6,229 7,318 6,985 6,955 5,502 Other Revenues Total Revenues Operating Expenses Total Operating Expenses Operating Income Segment EBITDA $ Retail Connections Retail Net Additions Retail Churn Retail postpaid ARPU % smartphone phone base $ 8,424 $ 8,511 $ 8,946 $ 8,318 $ 9,379 $ 9,092 $ 9,094 $ 7,654 98,930 100,124 101,150 102,799 103,330 104,637 106,156 108,211 720 1,038 1,061 1,653 549 1,427 1,525 2,067 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 56.28 $ 56.48 $ 57.26 $ 56.96 $ 57.64 $ 57.05 $ 56.81 $ 61% 64% 67% 70% 72% 75% 77% Page 4 55.34 79% Selected Wireless Metrics AT&T ($MM, except per-unit measures) 3/31/13 6/30/13 9/30/13 12/31/13 3/31/14 6/30/14 9/30/14 12/31/14 Operating Revenues Data $ 5,125 $ 5,356 $ 5,509 $ 5,729 $ - $ - $ - $ - Service Revenues 9,937 10,014 9,951 9,931 15,387 15,148 15,423 15,074 Equipment Revenues 1,629 1,921 2,020 2,777 2,479 2,782 2,914 4,785 16,691 17,291 17,480 18,437 17,866 17,930 18,337 19,859 Cost of Services and Equipment 10,180 10,770 10,982 12,576 10,882 11,568 11,855 14,619 Depreciation and Amortization 1,835 1,843 1,875 1,915 1,931 2,035 1,965 2,010 12,015 12,613 12,857 14,491 12,813 13,603 13,820 16,629 4,676 4,678 4,623 3,946 5,053 4,327 4,517 3,230 Total Operating Revenues Operating Expenses Total Operating Expenses Operating Income EBITDA $ Covered POPs (MM) Total Subscribers (000) Net Adds (000) Churn Total ARPU $ 6,511 $ 6,521 $ 6,498 $ 5,861 $ 6,984 $ 6,362 $ 6,482 $ 5,240 284 284 284 284 297 297 297 297 107,251 107,884 109,460 110,376 116,014 116,634 118,650 120,554 291 632 989 809 1,062 634 2,007 1,905 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 46.89 $ 47.67 $ 47.49 $ Page 5 47.58 $ 45.98 $ 43.41 $ 43.71 $ 42.04 Selected Wireless Metrics Sprint 3/31/13 ($MM, except per-unit measures) 6/30/13 9/30/13 12/31/13 3/31/14 6/30/14 9/30/14 12/31/14 Net Operating Revenues Total Sprint platform $ 7,100 $ 7,242 $ 7,126 $ 7,151 $ 7,096 $ 6,937 $ 6,755 $ 6,608 Total Nextel platform 176 116 181 171 159 150 135 124 Equipment revenue 813 820 710 1,161 999 1,106 1,039 1,701 8,089 8,178 8,017 8,483 8,254 8,193 7,929 8,433 Cost of services 2,171 2,292 2,327 2,248 2,106 2,049 1,988 1,902 Cost of products 2,293 2,298 2,153 2,731 2,038 2,158 2,372 2,952 Selling, general and administrative 2,230 2,294 2,356 2,444 2,273 2,193 2,199 2,545 Depreciation and amortization 1,393 1,526 1,448 1,470 1,224 1,212 1,232 1,259 632 88 187 123 23 248 2,007 9,042 8,372 9,080 7,764 7,635 8,039 10,665 490 558 Total net operating revenues Net Operating Expenses Other, net - Total net operating expenses 8,087 Operating Income (Loss) Adjusted OIBDA 2 $ Subscribers (000) 1,395 (864) $ 1,294 (355) $ 1,206 (597) $ 1,053 $ 1,837 $ 1,793 (110) $ 1,370 (2,232) $ 1,034 45,958 45,878 46,909 47,059 45,175 44,452 44,215 44,655 Prepay 15,701 15,254 16,003 16,222 15,257 14,715 14,750 15,160 Postpay 30,257 30,624 30,906 30,837 29,918 29,737 29,465 29,495 580 (292) (276) 380 (595) (723) (237) 440 Prepay 568 (486) 84 322 (364) (542) 35 410 Postpay 12 194 (360) 58 (231) (181) (272) 30 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% Net Adds (000) Postpaid Churn Postpaid ARPU $ 63.67 $ 64.20 $ 64.28 $ Page 6 64.11 $ 63.52 $ 62.07 $ 60.58 $ 58.90 Selected Wireless Metrics T-Mobile 3/31/13 ($MM, except per-unit measures) 6/30/13 9/30/13 12/31/13 3/31/14 6/30/14 9/30/14 12/31/14 Net Operating Revenue Contract $ 3,263 $ 3,284 $ 3,302 $ 3,317 $ 3,447 $ 3,511 $ 3,670 $ 3,764 Prepaid 503 1,242 1,594 1,606 1,648 1,736 1,790 1,812 Roaming and other service 239 230 242 246 242 237 224 294 Equipment Sales 606 1,379 1,467 1,581 1,448 1,600 1,561 2,180 66 93 83 77 90 101 105 104 4,677 6,228 6,688 6,827 6,875 7,185 7,350 8,154 1,109 1,327 1,444 1,399 1,464 1,453 1,488 1,383 Cost of equipment sales 886 1,936 2,015 2,139 2,286 2,215 2,308 2,812 General and administrative 737 1,028 1,039 2,096 2,096 2,151 2,283 2,333 Customer acquisition 769 819 894 - - - - - Depreciation 755 888 987 997 1,055 1,129 1,138 1,090 42 49 12 57 2 (725) 84 103 4,298 6,047 6,391 6,688 6,903 6,223 7,301 7,721 379 181 297 139 962 49 433 Other Total Operating Expenses Network Other Total Operating Income (Loss) EBITDA $ Covered POPs (MM) 1,469 $ 1,265 $ 1,344 $ 1,239 (28) $ 1,088 $ 1,088 $ 1,088 $ 1,451 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 288 35,117 35,718 36,390 37,371 39,159 40,169 41,959 43,501 Net Adds (000) 111 601 672 981 1,788 1,010 1,790 1,542 Churn--Postpay 1.9% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% Subscribers (000) ARPU--Postpay $ 54.07 $ 53.60 $ 52.20 $ 50.70 $ CCPU 25.00 26.00 25.00 24.00 – CPGA 319 332 307 Page 7 317 50.48 $ – 49.32 $ 49.84 $ 48.26 - - - - - - Selected Wireless Metrics US Cellular 3/31/13 ($MM, except per-unit measures) 6/30/13 9/30/13 12/31/13 3/31/14 6/30/14 9/30/14 12/31/14 Net Operating Revenue Service $ Equipment 996.3 $ 911.0 $ 862.3 $ 825.1 $ 853.6 $ 843.5 $ 851.1 $ 849.8 85.4 84.2 76.9 77.6 72.2 114.3 149.4 159.0 1,081.7 995.1 939.2 902.7 925.8 957.8 1,000.4 1,008.7 Cost of Services 216.3 192.3 177.4 177.4 180.6 187.1 199.8 202.4 Cost of Products 241.7 217.1 193.4 346.8 270.5 272.0 307.9 342.4 Selling, General and Admin. 420.1 404.1 410.5 442.7 395.6 404.3 397.5 394.6 Depreciation 189.8 202.6 201.0 210.4 167.8 148.3 149.0 141.0 12.4 (240.0) 0.2 (244.2) (96.4) (3.6) (2.3) 4.7 Total Operating Expenses Contingencies and Other Total Operating Income EBITDA $ Covered POPs (MM) Subscribers (000) Net Adds (000) Churn ARPU $ 1,080.3 776.0 1.5 219.1 203.7 $ 181.7 982.4 933.2 (43.2) $ 157.9 (30.5) $ (64.3) $ 918.0 1,008.1 7.8 79.2 1,051.8 (50.3) $ 94.4 1,058.3 (51.4) $ 95.3 (49.6) $ 96.1 31.8 31.8 31.8 31.8 31.8 31.8 31.8 32.0 5,005 4,968 4,875 4,774 4,684 4,653 4,674 4,760 (2) (45) (71) (97) (80) (30) 21 86 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.0% 1.6% 1.6% 57.63 $ 57.45 $ 58.36 $ Page 8 57.05 $ 60.19 $ 60.32 $ 60.92 $ 60.10 Selected Wireless Metrics NTELOS Holdings Corp. 3/31/13 ($MM, except per-unit measures) 6/30/13 9/30/13 12/31/13 3/31/14 6/30/14 9/30/14 12/31/14 Revenues Subscriber Revenues $ Wholesale/Roaming Revenues, net Equipment Revenues 71.8 $ 73.2 $ 74.2 $ 74.7 $ 74.6 $ 73.3 $ 72.6 $ 71.2 47.6 46.7 56.7 47.1 40.0 37.9 37.2 37.9 7.5 6.6 9.8 19.3 - - - - 119.3 119.9 130.9 121.8 122.1 117.8 119.6 128.3 Cost of Sales - Equipment 44.5 42.6 46.5 51.0 47.3 47.4 56.9 63.2 Customer Operations 31.0 30.0 32.2 37.5 34.1 31.3 26.4 27.4 Corporate Operations 7.9 7.8 8.2 8.4 9.7 9.2 8.6 14.2 83.4 80.3 86.9 96.9 91.2 88.0 91.8 104.8 Total Operating Expenses Total EBITDA $ Ending Subscribers Net Additions Monthly Blended Subscriber Churn ARPU $ 37.4 $ 41.2 $ 45.6 $ 26.7 $ 33.9 $ 34.4 $ 32.8 $ 31.4 451,000 454,800 457,100 464,600 468,000 458,100 457,200 448,900 11,400 3,800 2,300 7,500 3,400 400 (900) (8,300) 2.8% 2.7% 3.1% 3.1% 3.0% 2.8% 3.1% 3.6% 53.87 $ 53.82 $ 54.29 $ 54.11 $ 53.31 $ 52.79 $ 52.88 $ 52.35 CCPU 29.16 27.75 29.56 33.29 31.33 29.17 25.46 30.64 CPGA 918 1,062 1,045 1,003 877 1,048 1,137 1,086 Page 9 Selected Wireless Metrics Tracfone 3/31/13 ($MM, except per-unit measures) Revenue $ 1,514.0 6/30/13 $ 1,491.0 9/30/13 $ 1,494.0 12/31/13 $ 1,543.0 3/31/14 $ 1,659.0 6/30/14 $ 1,711.0 9/30/14 $ 1,726.0 12/31/14 $ 1,756.0 Operating Expenses Cash Depreciation Total Operating Income (EBIT) EBITDA $ Subscribers( 000) Net Adds (000) ARPU Churn $ 1,446.0 1,335.0 1,289.0 1,424.0 1,441.0 1,503.0 1,569.0 1,684.0 9.0 10.0 9.0 12.0 8.0 9.0 8.0 17.0 1,455.0 1,345.0 1,298.0 1,436.0 1,449.0 1,512.0 1,577.0 1,701.0 59.0 146.0 196.0 107.0 210.0 199.0 149.0 55.0 68.0 $ 156.0 $ 205.0 $ 119.0 $ 218.0 $ 208.0 $ 157.0 $ 72.0 23,230 23,038 23,043 23,659 25,511 25,519 25,904 26,006 838 (192) 5 616 1,852 8 385 102 19.00 $ 3.7% 19.00 $ 4.1% 20.00 $ 4.1% Page 10 20.00 $ 3.6% 19.00 $ 3.8% 21.00 $ 3.8% 20.00 $ 4.0% 20.00 4.2% Selected Wireless Metrics Contacts: Rural Wireless Association, Inc. Alpina Capital, LLC Alpina Capital, LLC 10 G Street, NE Tanya Sullivan Scott Soden Ed Moise Suite 710 RWA Executive Director Managing Partner Managing Partner 100 Jackson Street, Suite 101 1521 Washington Avenue Denver, CO 80206 New Orleans, LA 70130 Phone: (303) 242-5758 Phone: (303) 242-5756 Fax: (303) 484-5180 Fax: (303) 484-5180 scottsoden@alpinacapital.com edmoise@alpinacapital.com Washington, DC 20002 Phone: (202) 551-0025 DC office: 202-551-0025 Fax: (202) 371-1558 Mobile: 703-772-2235 http://ruralwireless.org/ tsullivan@ruralwireless.org http://www.alpinacapital.com This report is provided to members of the Rural Wireless Association, Inc. (RWA) by Alpina Capital, LLC (Alpina) and RWA. It is intended to be used for informational purposes only and as a benchmark for RWA’s members’ wireless operations. It is not a solicitation, recommendation or offer to buy or to sell securities of any kind. Except as expressly authorized by RWA and Alpina, you may not copy, reproduce, transmit, sell, display, distribute, publish, broadcast, circulate, modify, disseminate or commercially exploit the information contained in this report, in printed, electronic or any other form, in any manner, without the prior express written consent of both parties. You also agree not to use the information provided in this report for any unlawful purpose. Information in the report may change from time to time and may be updated without notice. Neither RWA nor Alpina warrants that the information contained in this report is accurate or complete. Copyright © Rural Wireless Association, Inc. and Alpina Capital, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page 11