Fourth Quarter FY 2014 Quarterly Update
Transcription
Fourth Quarter FY 2014 Quarterly Update
Fourth Quarter FY 2014 Quarterly Update Infineon Technologies AG Investor Relations Table of Contents Infineon at a Glance Growth Drivers Results and Outlook Disclaimer: This presentation contains forward-looking statements about the business, financial condition and earnings performance of the Infineon Group. These statements are based on assumptions and projections resting upon currently available information and present estimates. They are subject to a multitude of uncertainties and risks. Actual business development may therefore differ materially from what has been expected. Beyond disclosure requirements stipulated by law, Infineon does not undertake any obligation to update forward-looking statements. 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 2 Average Cycle Financial Targets Going forward Historical CAGR(99-14) = ~9% FY99 FY02 FY04 FY06 Revenue Growth: FY08 20% FY10 FY12 FY14 Segment Result Margin: 14.4% 15% 10% 5% 0% FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2014-11-27 FY14 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 ~15% Investment-to-Sales: 15.1% FY09 ~8% FY14 ~13% Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 3 Revenue Split by Division Q4 FY 2014 revenue: EUR 1,175m IPC €219m ATV €518m Courtesy: BMW Group CCS €142m PMM €300m OOS+C&E* €-4m * Other Operating Segments; Corporate and Eliminations. 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 4 Tight Customer Relationships are Based on System Know-how and App Understanding ATV EMS partners 2014-11-27 IPC PMM CCS Distribution partners Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 5 Infineon Holds Top Positions in All Major Product Categories Automotive semiconductors Power semiconductors total market in 2013: $25.1bn total market in 2013: $15.4bn Renesas 13.3% Infineon STMicro Freescale NXP 9.6% 7.9% 7.4% 6.5% Infineon Mitsubishi Smart card ICs total market in 2013: $2.48bn 12.3% NXP 32.3% Infineon 7.2% Toshiba 6.0% STMicro STMicro 5.8% Samsung Fairchild 5.5% SHHIC 21.7% 17.9% 16.5% 6.4% Automotive semiconductors incl. semiconductor sensors. Discrete power semiconductors and power modules. Microcontroller-based smart card ICs. Source: Strategy Analytics, April 2014 Source: IHS Inc., September 2014 Source: IHS Inc., July 2014 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 6 Table of Contents Infineon at a Glance Growth Drivers Results and Outlook 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 7 Growth in Car Production and Content-perCar Continues Unabated Global car production (cars ≤ 6t) [units m] [USD] CAGR(13-17) = 3.5% 6.0 9.0 87.4 5.7 9.2 90.4 5.9 8.6 93.7 6.4 8.1 8.1 14.7 13.9 12.7 12.4 21.3 23.1 25.0 16.2 17.0 17.4 17.9 28.1 26.7 19.5 20.0 20.3 20.8 2013 2014 2015 2016 Europe APAC ex China 97.3 6.3 13.2 North America Japan Brazil China 230 200 CAGR +2.8% 281 218 CAGR +5.2% 18.3 North America 487 429 CAGR +2.6% 21.7 Europe 492 419 CAGR +3.3% 2017 Japan China RoW Source: IHS Inc., “Annual Light Vehicle Production and Sales 2007 – 2019”, October 2014 update 2014-11-27 CAGR +2.4% 369 327 World +3.4% +3.2% 84.7 Semiconductor value per car 513 455 2018 CAGR +2.4% 2013 Source: Strategy Analytics, "Automotive Semiconductor Demand Forecast 2012 – 2021", incl. semiconductor sensors, October 2014 update Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 8 In 2013, Infineon Gained Market Share in All Addressed Product Categories 2013 automotive semiconductor market by product category ($25.1bn) Power 26% Processor 25% “Power” and “Sensors” were the fastest growing product categories with 8% and 7% growth y-y, respectively. Infineon remained market leader in “Power” with 21.3% market share. Sensors 15% Strong product portfolio in pressure and Hall sensors led to significant market share gain in “Sensors” of 1.0%-point. others* 34% Source: Strategy Analytics, April 2014. * “others” include: opto, small-signal discretes, logic ICs, nonpower analog, memory, and other. Market growth y-y Power Processor Sensors 2014-11-27 8% Infineon’s position 2013 #1 #3 2% 7% #2 21.3% 8.7% 11.4% Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Infineon’s change y-y +0.3%-pt +0.7%-pt +1.0%-pt Page 9 In Addition to Powertrain, AURIX™ Is Gaining Traction in Safety Applications Increasingly complex applications and more stringent requirements on functional safety fuel transition from 16-bit to 32-bit microcontrollers. AURIX™ continues TriCore™-based success story in powertrain applications: design-win for next-generation AURIX™ for powertrain and transmission applications at leading European Tier-1. AURIX™ enters area of safety applications: About half of all AURIX™ design-wins in FY14 already related to safety applications. Volume production of 65nm-based AURIX™ devices started at TSMC end of FY14. AURIX™ design-wins in safety applications Electric power steering (EPS). Electronic stability control (ESC). “Classical” braking, autonomous emergency braking (AEB). Camera-based object recognition. Radar-based distance warning. 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Courtesy: Bosch Page 10 Wide Adoption of Premium Features, ADAS and CO2 Reduction Drive ATV‘s Growth Vehicle production Semiconductor content per car CO2 reduction Courtesy: BMW Group ~4% p.a. ATV: ADAS* Courtesy: Bosch Comfort, Premium Courtesy: Bosch 2 – 4% p.a. ~8% p.a. * ADAS: Advanced Driver Assistance Systems. Sources: IHS Inc., Strategy Analytics, Infineon. All figures refer to mid-term compound annual growth rate of the respective market. 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 11 Increasing Inverterization Drives Demand for Power Semis in Home Appliances RC-H5 CIPOS™ Penetration of VSD* Biggest home appliances market for IGBT modules is air conditioning. [units m] Efficiency programs led and still lead to higher VSD* penetration rate. electric motor-based home appliances “Energy efficiency” labeling is key differentiator vs competition. VSD* penetration total VSD* appliances 2011 2016 420 514 ~20% ~40% 86 205 CAGR 4% 19% Source: IHS Inc., “Major Home Appliances – World 2013”, October 2013. * VSD: variable speed drive. 2014-03-24 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 12 Drives, Home Appliances and Others Show Strongest Growth Rates Drives Renewables Traction Home Appliances Others Expected growth of market segments ~10% p.a. IPC: > 5% p.a. ~5% p.a. > 10% p.a. > 10% p.a. ~10% p.a. Sources: IHS Inc., Infineon. All figures refer to mid-term compound annual growth rate of the respective market. 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 13 System Understanding Becomes Key Success Factor for Next-Gen Si-Mic Design Trends for higher number of silicon microphones Silicon microphone Acoustic performance becomes differentiator and enabler for new capabilities, e.g. command recognition, driving number of microphones per device (up to four in today’s smartphones to improve signal quality). New applications using microphones on the rise: tablets, smart watches, wearables, etc. Track record of IFX’s market share 29.8% 26.5% 16.1% 1.5% 8.8% 5.2% 7.3% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Ranking 2013 Knowles Membrane 59.1% Infineon 29.8% Omron 3.8% ADI 2.6% Wolfson 1.2% Source: IHS Inc., “MEMS Microphone Report – 2014”, April 2014. All data refer to units of silicon MEMS microphones excluding ASICs for signal conversion. 2014-05-19 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 14 PMM Aims to Outgrow Its Core Markets Power Management Computing Mobile Communications Lighting Charger Mobile devices Cell. infrastructure Expected growth of market segments > 7% p.a. PMM: > 7% p.a. ~10% p.a. Sources: IHS Inc., ABI Research, Infineon. All figures refer to mid-term compound annual growth rate of the respective market. 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 15 Strong Growth in Payment Business; Design-wins in Government ID Projects Strong momentum for Infineon’s payment business Worldwide government ID projects in all major applications Payment business grew by ~50% yearon-year in FY14. Roll-out of chip-based banking cards in China and the US will fuel further growth of this business. [units m] 426 617 530 657 680 84 145 208 259 307 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 USA China Source: IHS Inc., “Payment & Banking Cards Report – 2014”, May 2014. 2014-11-27 Infineon won contracts for government ID projects in several European as well as Asian, African and Latin American countries in Q4 FY14. With this, Infineon provides chips to more than 75% of all eID projects in Europe and to more than 70% of all ePassport projects in APAC. Infineon is present in more than 130 reference projects across all Government ID applications* in 61 countries representing 75% of the world's population. * ePassport, National eID, eHealth Card, eResidence Permit, eDriving Licence, MilitaryID and Road Toll. Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 16 CCS is Well Positioned to Grow Faster Than the Market High-end Mobile Communications Payment Government Identification IoT Security Expected growth of market segments ~0% p.a. CCS: ~5% p.a. ~10% p.a. ~20 - 25% p.a. 6 – 9% p.a. All figures refer to security microcontrollers. Sources: IHS Inc., Infineon. All figures refer to mid-term compound annual growth rate of the respective market. 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 17 Expected Growth Broadly In Line With Historical Averages ATV Courtesy: BMW Group ~8% p.a. Infineon: IPC PMM CCS ~10% p.a. 6-9% p.a. Courtesy: Siemens AG ~10% p.a. ~8% p.a. Sources: IHS Inc., Strategy Analytics, ABI Research, Infineon. All figures refer to mid-term compound annual growth rate of the respective market. 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 18 Table of Contents Infineon at a Glance Growth Drivers Results and Outlook 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 19 Q4 FY14 Was Sixth Consecutive Quarter of Year-On-Year Growth Revenue and Segment Result [EUR m] +12% 1.175 1.053 1.051 FY 2014 revenue split by product category 1.110 984 14% 148 Q4 FY13 12% 14% 16% 116 146 170 188 Q1 FY14 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY14 Revenue 2014-11-27 15% Segment Result Power embed. Control RF others Segment Result Margin Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 20 Strong Q-Q-Growth in IPC, PMM and CCS; ATV Stable Q-Q on High Revenue Level ATV IPC [EUR m] PMM [EUR m] CCS [EUR m] [EUR m] +14% 455 452 484 510 518 +11% +11% 271 197 179 185 200 238 219 252 271 300 18% 13% 12% 14% 14% 13% 12% 15% 17% 129 9% 17% 15% 18% 20% 20% 57 55 66 70 69 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY13FY14 FY14 Revenue 2014-11-27 33 27 33 40 44 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY13FY14 FY14 Segment Result +10% 20% 49 29 37 46 60 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY13FY14 FY14 12 108 121 123 6% 7% 6 8 142 8% 14% 10 20 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY13FY14 FY14 Segment Result Margin Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 21 Guidance for Q1 FY15 and FY 2015 Outlook Q1 FY15 Outlook FY 2015 (compared to Q4 FY14) (compared to FY 2014) Revenue Decline between 5% and 9% Increase of 8% +/- 2%-points Segment Result Margin Between 10% and 13% About 14% Investments in FY 2015 D&A in FY 2015 2014-11-27 (At the mid-point of the revenue guidance) About €700m (Including €60m to €70m for Kulim 2 and €20m for Qimonda IP.) About €600m Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 22 Increase of Dividend by 6 €-Cents Will Be Proposed by Management at Coming AGM Dividend payments [€-Cents] 18 12 12 Investment-to-sales ratio reduced from ~15% towards ~13%. Higher sustainable level of Free Cash Flow frees up more cash for increased dividends. 12 10 Coming AGM takes place on 12 February 2015. FY10 2014-11-27 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 23 Opex-to-Sales-Ratio Well Within Target Range S, G&A1) R&D2) [EUR m] 120 140 138 140 115 114 121 133 136 141 140 15% 122 14% 100 13% 80 60 12% 40 11% 20 0 10% Q4 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q2 Q3 General & Administration Q4 FY14 Q4 FY13 Selling Q1 FY14 R&D Q2 Q3 Q4 FY14 % of sales [rhs] 1) Target range for SG&A: „Low teens percentage of sales“. 2) Target range for R&D: „Low to mid teens percentage of sales“. 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 25 DOI, DSO and DPO in Line With Our Targets Working capital* [EUR m] Inventories [EUR m] Q4 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY14 0 -52 -100 -150 -75 -92 20 0 Q2 Q3 Inventories [days] 581 100 80 60 400 40 200 20 0 0 Q4 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q2 Trade receivables Q3 Q4 FY14 DOI* Trade payables [EUR m] 529 100 40 0 553 [days] 60 Q4 FY13 Q1 FY14 452 707 680 200 -123 518 674 80 Trade receivables 600 654 400 -16 -50 600 609 Q4 FY14 DSO* [EUR m] 600 569 648 515 560 531 [days] 100 80 60 400 40 200 20 0 0 Q4 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q2 Trade payables Q3 Q4 FY14 DPO* * For definition please see page 31. 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 26 Pro Forma Gross Cash and Net Cash Including International Rectifier Liquidity Development Gross Cash Q4 FY13 Equity-linked Net Cash 0* 0 190 Q1 FY14 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY14 ~400 ~1.700 ~2100 2232 2418 186 2073 2263 2198 0 188 2048 2279 1983 195 193 2286 108 38 Debt 2010 [EUR m] Q4 FY14 Pro forma** * The remaining outstanding convertible bonds were converted by the end of January 2014. ** Pro forma calculation incl. gross cash and net cash of International Rectifier. Payment of €83m due to the antitrust fine and €260m for the settlement with Qimonda insolvency administrator will have negative effect on Gross Cash and Net Cash of €343m in the December quarter. 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 27 Proposal of Dividend of €0.18 Will Increase Capital Returns by €202m in February Total gross capital returns history [EUR m] 1,053 In November 2013, a new €300m capital returns program with a maturity until Sep 2015 was started. 350 300 250 308 109 212 200 26 150 100 167 202 After acquisition of International Rectifier no intention to continue to issue new options or to buyback shares. 164 130 173 50 62 FY11 129 129 38 35 FY13 FY14 20 0 FY12 convertible bond buyback 2014-11-27 202 Per 30 Sep 2014, put options for buyback of 6m shares outstanding. FY15e share buyback (via put options) Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. dividends Page 28 Target: 'RoCE Above WACC' Over the Cycle RoCE* history WACC: low teens % 30% FY12: 22% 20% 27% 25% 20% FY13: 14% 27% 10% FY14: 20% 27% 17% 21% 24% 24% Q1 FY14 Q2 Q3 Q4 16% 5% 7% Q1 FY13 Q2 0% Q1 FY12 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 Capital Employed* history 2,500 [EUR m] 2,000 1,889 2,035 1,629 1,760 Q1 FY12 Q2 Q3 Q4 2,239 2,274 2,216 2,159 2,194 2,232 2,327 2,452 Q1 FY13 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 FY14 Q2 Q3 Q4 1,500 1,000 500 0 * For definition please see page 31. 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 29 FY15 Investments Ratio excl. Kulim 2 and Qimonda IP Would Be Down to ~13% Investments* D&A [EUR m] 1000 30% 887 890 800 668 600 ~600 15.0% 15.1% 453 11.9% 364 336 378 400 200 ~700** 325 428 466 514 12.9% 10% 115 0 0% FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15e Q1 20% Q2 Q3 Fiscal Year Guidance FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15e 6Y-avg % of sales [rhs] % of FY15 revenue guidance [rhs] * For definition please see page 31. ** Includes €60m to €70m for Kulim 2 and €20m for Qimonda IP. 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 30 Notes Investments = 'Purchase of property, plant and equipment' + 'Purchase of intangible assets and other assets' incl. capitalization of R&D expenses Capital Employed = 'Total assets' – 'Cash and cash equivalents' – 'Financial investments' – 'Assets classified as held for sale' – ('Total Current liabilities' – 'Short-term debt and current maturities of long-term debt' – 'Liabilities classified as held for sale') RoCE = NOPAT / Capital Employed = ('Income from continuing operations' – 'financial income' – 'financial expense') / Capital Employed DOI (days of inventory; quarter-to-date) = ('Net Inventories' / 'Cost of goods sold') * 90 Please note: All positions in ' ' refer to the respective accounting position and therefore should be applied with the positive or negative sign used in the relevant accounting table. Working Capital = ('Total current assets' – 'Cash and cash equivalents' – 'Financial investment' – 'Assets classified as held for sale') – ('Total current liabilities' – 'Short term debt and current maturities of long-term debt' – 'Liabilities classified as held for sale') DSO (days sales outstanding; quarter-to-date) = ('Trade receivables' / 'revenue') * 90 DPO (days payables outstanding; quarter-to-date) = ('Trade payables' / ['Cost of goods sold' + 'Purchase of property, plant and equipment']) * 90 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 31 Infineon is a Long-standing Member of Europe's Leading Sustainability Indices Infineon’s most recent achievements January 2014: Infineon is listed in the Sustainability Yearbook for the fourth consecutive year and according to RobecoSAM, listed among the top 15% most sustainable companies worldwide. 11 September 2014: Infineon was listed in the Dow Jones Sustainability Index for the fifth consecutive year. 2014-11-27 September 2014: Infineon was listed in the STOXX® Global ESG Leaders Indices, which serves as an indicator of the quality of Infineon’s performance in the governance, social and environmental areas (ESG). Infineon was added to the FTSE4Good Index Series in 2001 and has been confirmed as a member since then. Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 32 Financial Calendar Date Location Event 02 – 03 Dec 2014 Scottsdale, AZ Credit Suisse TMT Conference 29 Jan 2015* 12 Feb 2015 Q1 FY15 Results Munich Annual General Meeting 05 May 2015* Q2 FY15 Results 30 Jul 2015* Q3 FY15 Results 26 Nov 2015* Q4 FY15 and FY 2015 Results * preliminary 2014-11-27 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 33 Institutional Investor Relations Contact Ulrich Pelzer Corporate Vice President Finance, Treasury & Investor Relations +49 89 234-26153 ulrich.pelzer@infineon.com Joachim Binder Senior Director Investor Relations +49 89 234-25649 joachim.binder@infineon.com Holger Schmidt Manager Investor Relations 2014-11-27 +49 89 234-22332 holger.schmidt@infineon.com Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2014. All rights reserved. Page 34