PDF, 4 MB - Munich Re
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PDF, 4 MB - Munich Re
Topics Risk Solutions Insurance solutions for industry Issue 3/2013 Protecting renewable energies risks Solar, wind and biomass power plants are becoming ever more valuable as sources of energy. However, even state-of-the-art power plants require comprehensive risk management. Page 4 Delay in start-up cover Setting the stage for the America’s Cup regatta Offshore energy Seamless service for oil and gas producers Column Renminbi on its way to become a lead currency editorial Dear Reader, The world is rapidly running out of fossil fuels. The future belongs to regenerative energies, also in the interest of climate protection. Nevertheless, worldwide demand for oil and gas continues to rise even as exploratory drilling and production are becoming more and more costintensive and hazardous. For decades, we have been insuring such energy risks – a field in which Watkins Syndicate, part of our Risk Solutions operating field, numbers among the global market leaders. Its energy underwriting team keeps pace with technological development and tailors its range of insurance offerings to fulfil our clients’ increasingly demanding expectations. We have also partnered the growing renewable energies industries right from the start and pioneered ground-breaking insurance solutions. At this point, one of the important objectives is to refine risk management for these installations so that sustainable energy production will also pay off over the long term for all the stakeholders. Munich, July 2013 Yours sincerely, Dr. Torsten Jeworrek Member of the Munich Re Board of Management and Chairman of the Reinsurance Committee NOT IF, BUT HOW Contents Sunny and windy The percentage of power generated from renewable energy sources is increasing all the time – both in established industrial countries and in the emerging markets. Regardless of where renewable energies are being used, comprehensive risk management is indispensable. Page 4 News2 San Francisco insures pier to be used for regatta against delays in construction 3 Renewable energies Insuring green energy properly Growth market needs adequate risk management Oil and gas Entrepreneurial style of underwriting Based on long tradition and technical expertise, Watkins offers clients seamless, efficient service Column When will we start paying in renminbi? The emergence of China’s renminbi as a lead currency is merely a matter of time Imprint and preview 4 12 18 19 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 1 News GROWTH MARKET ASIA Renewable energies NORTH AMERICA Minimising risk Energetic app from Munich Re Perilous thunderstorms Premium income for primary property/casualty insurance is a clear indicator that the economy of the Asia-Pacific region is growing – currently by an average of 11% per year. Long-term statistics from Munich Re’s GeoRisksResearch show how vulnerable the region is to natural catastrophes: since 1980, the AsiaPacific region has experienced 40% of all natural catastrophes worldwide and suffered 45% of the losses. Global demand for energy is rising, and fossil resources are becoming increasingly scarce. This causes the prices of raw materials to increase and places a huge burden on the global economy. The resultant pressure is definitely affecting our energy awareness. Efficient use of resources and sustainable climate protection will inevitably have to involve renewable energy sources. Exciting texts, pictures, videos and interactive charts – Munich Re’s app presents the opportunities and challenges involved in different renewable energies such as wind, sun and water and shows how innovative insurance solutions can support the energy revolution. The app will be available free of charge for Apple iOS and Android as of mid-June. Changing climatic conditions are having a considerable influence on the increase in severe thunderstorm losses in the USA. This correlation is documented by a scientific study covering the period from 1970 to 2009, which was carried out in connection with a cooperation project between Munich Re and the German Aerospace Center (DLR). In 2011, the current record year, severe thunderstorms in the USA caused US$ 47bn in economic losses, i.e. approximately as much as a medium-strength hurricane. Also seen from the longterm perspective, the average losses resulting from severe US thunderstorms have risen significantly, particularly since the end of the 1980s, and the fluctuations between individual years have become more extreme. >> For further information, visit www.munichre.com/en/app/ topicsrenewables >> For further information, see: www.munichre.com/en/touch/ naturalhazards Munich Re’s RiskMapper is a tool that helps clients track and analyse these hazards. Also important for achieving stable economic growth in the region, however, are long-term risk mitigation strategies such as more suitable procedures for zoning building land, improving building codes and enhancing infrastructure such as dams. >> More information at: www.munichre.com/en/touch/ naturalhazards Investments in power generation and distribution according to the New Policies scenario1 Total investment: US$ 16,900 bn Cumulative investments by the power sector in the New Policies scenario in the period from 2012 to 2035, by type. Source: IEA (2012: 195), World Energy Outlook; GD Economic Research 1 2 2 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 xisting energy measures will be E continued and improvements in energy-efficiency implemented. ther includes geothermal, O concentrating solar power and marine. Oil Nuclear Renewables Other2, 3% Bioenergy, 4% Solar PV, 7% Hydro, 9% Wind, 13% Transmission & distribution Coal Gas 0.4% 6% 36% 43% 10% 6% The cup defenders, Oracle Team USA, prepare their AC 72 racing yacht. Delay in start-up cover San Francisco on course Thrilling races with spectacular manoeuvres are in the offing in early June once the starting gun for the 34th America’s Cup sounds in San Francisco Bay. For the first time, sailing enthusiasts will be able to follow the spectacle from very close up as the race will take place within sight of the harbour pier in the north of the city. San Francisco expects five million visitors and hopes that the event will give a major boost to the local economy. Even in the run-up to the prestigious competition, San Francisco found itself in a race with time, as it had to ready part of the pier for the racing teams and the crowds of onlookers. There was a substantial risk that the city would face additional costs for contingency measures and compensation if the works were not finished by the 1 March 2013 deadline. The city wanted insurance to cover this financial risk in order to avoid any possibility that it would have to burden the taxpayers with it. The insurance contract obligated Munich Re in the event of a delay to pay for contingency measures such as moving the racing teams to a pier further away. If construction work had not been completed on time, Munich Re would also have had to pay for part of the compensations due to the America’s Cup organisers. Corporate Insurance Partner (CIP) insured the timely completion of the construction work with a novel cover tailored specifically to the needs of the City of San Francisco. As a pilot, this cover can be adapted as required and transferred to other venues. When it comes to organising large-scale athletic and cultural events, cities, towns and other communities are often confronted with the challenge of creating the infrastructural conditions required. The timely completion of buildings and sports facilities involves many risks and, in the event of delays in construction, may entail paying high liquidated damages to the organisers as well as other compensatory damages. With this cover, cities and communities can now acquire financial protection, protect their budgets against unforeseen losses and avoid burdening their taxpayers. Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 3 Renewable Energies Making renewable energies sustainable The growing focus on renewable sources of energy has seen increased investment in onshore renewable technologies across the globe. Whether wind, solar or biomass, these technologies often introduce complex risk exposures. Stephen Morris In recent years the use of renewable energy technologies to generate power has increased at an exponential rate. According to BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy (2012), for the past nine years, renew able power generation has shown double-digit growth and now represents more than 3.9 percent of global power generation. One of the factors driving this growth are the financial returns available partly funded by government support. For example, since 2002, the UK government has introduced incentives to encourage large energy providers to produce more power from renewable sources. These incentives include renewable obligation certificates, feed in tariffs (FITs), and a renewable heat incentive. The success of these measures can be seen in statistics published by the UK Department of Energy and Climate Change, which show that renewable energy electricity production reached 11.3% of total production in 2012. With the largest potential wind resource in the European Union, there remains plenty of opportunity in the UK to harness onshore wind energy. It is therefore no surprise that UK onshore wind capacity is predicted to rise from 4GW in 2011 to a level of 13 GW by 2020. Member nations of the Organisation of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) are the primary sources of renewable power generation (76% of world total in 2011), but non-OECD growth has accelerated sharply and exceeded OECD growth in percentage terms in each of the past six years. During the period 2007–2011, global market demand grew by double-digit figures. However, in 2011 slower growth in OECD regions together with a fall in prices aided growth in emerging markets. The introduction of incentives such as FITs and certificate-based obligations in non-OECD countries has also started to encourage demand and investment. A technician preparing a wind turbine for operation pauses to admire the view from his perch 100 metres above the ground. Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 5 renewable energies Transporting rotor blades often involves using special lorries and widening roads Furthermore recent reporting by a solar market research and analysis company, indicated that the Middle East and Africa, emerging Asia-Pacific and central Asia regions are set for considerable photo voltaic (PV) growth in 2013, with annual demand projected to hit 1 GigaWatt (GW) in each region. Increasingly, insurers are seeing investment growth in renewable technologies in South America, Turkey, eastern Europe, southeast Asia and southern Africa. Managing renewable energy exposures The rapid growth in renewable energy usage has resulted in a number of new risk exposures which specialist insurers such as HSB can help investors, owners and operators to manage. By their very nature, the types of risks and exposures presented by renewable energy technologies and installations differ from project to project. For instance, wind farms tend to be built on windier and more exposed sites than photovoltaic installations, which are normally built on flat sites. Insurers are most effective when they work side by side with clients throughout the process – from planning and construction right through to the operational phase of a renewable energy installation. Each phase involves different considerations and requires suitable insurance coverage. 6 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 Site planning for a renewable energy project Investors may sometimes be tempted to build an installation on undeveloped land without bothering to consider why the land is available. Involving a specialist insurer right from the outset means that clients benefit from expert advice on natural catastrophe and flood exposures. For example, a client was considering an investment opportunity and asked us for some advice. Following a survey, our risk engineer pointed out that the land had previously been used as a flood plain and would need considerable rectification work to protect it against flooding and make it usable. By collaborating with clients and using specialist knowledge and experience in managing natural exposures, insurers can help to reduce risk and inform investments decisions. Finding the right contractor The growth in renewable energy has prompted contractors with little experience in this sector to enter the market. Engaging the services of an experienced contractor with strong project management skills and previous experience in similar renewable energy projects is therefore crucial. renewable energies Foundation design and geotechnical conditions Given the size and weight of modern wind turbines, they can be erected only in cases where the geotechnical conditions are appropriate and the foundation design is reliable. There are numerous examples of inadequate foundations leading to collapse or of wind turbines being erected over mining shafts or on unstable soil. As an insurer, we look for evidence that a full assessment has been made of the geotechnical conditions and that the foundations have been properly engineered, also taking into account the prevailing exposures. The pie charts below show the percentage of losses attributable to the various risks. Photovoltaic losses by type Mechanical & electrical breakdown 22% Other28% Theft & malicious damage 28% Weather 22% Natural perils and climate conditions In any renewable energy project, consideration needs to be given to the natural environment and weather conditions, the suitability of the technology to withstand those conditions, and the risk-reducing factors which can be engineered into the design. Work on site can be restricted by climate conditions and exposure to the elements. In some regions, winters are too harsh for work to continue and these need to be taken into account in planning. During site lay-off periods, measures should be taken to preserve partially built equipment and material on site. Wind farm losses by type Mechanical & electrical breakdown 69% Other11% Theft & malicious damage 5% Weather 15% Our philosophy is to work together with clients to identify and check the potential risks, tailor our insurance solution accordingly and collaborate with our client to manage and reduce exposure. Site access and construction equipment Access to the site should be considered in planning. As wind farms, in particular, are often erected in remote locations, manoeuvring trucks along narrow roads is a common issue. Planning permission may be required to extend and widen roads for the duration of the project, and it may be necessary to remove overhead cables, traffic lights and other street furniture on the route. Once the project has been completed, it is then necessary to restore this infrastructure to its previous state. Source: HSB Engineeriing insurance claims statistics It is also essential to ensure that the right construction equipment is on hand for the project. For instance, at least one crane is needed to erect a wind farm, and the taller the towers are, the bigger the crane must be. It is necessary to plan the availability of appropriate cranes, as well as to arrange for replacements in the event of any problems. In addition, the operation of cranes and the provision of hard standing are all features which need to be taken into account. To mitigate these risks during the construction phase, we look for evidence of robust and proper planning. Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 7 renewable energies Security Proper site security is an important issue for all renewable energy installations, both during the construction phase and after the installation has started operation. Theft, particularly of copper cables and other metal components, is a concern, and some sites may be vulnerable to vandalism and arson. Good site security, monitoring systems and careful planning of materials deliveries to the site all help to reduce these security exposures. Testing and commissioning Once the installation is complete, the machinery is tested and commissioned. At this stage of the project, it is important that appropriate insurance protection is in place. The risks and exposures during this stage are limited through the use of proven machinery and techniques and by selecting a competent contractor. Risk engin eers with knowledge and experience of the technology can advise on the insurability of the equipment being considered. Once an installation begins to operate and produce power, construction-phase exposures such as foundation design and site access are superseded by new exposures such as breakdown, fire and business interruption risks. Natural perils such as lightning and windstorm and site security continue to be potential risks that need to be addressed. Breakdown According to our statistics, the most frequent losses involving wind turbines relate to breakdown, with the most common failures occurring in transformers and gearboxes. Transformer breakdowns may result from overloading individual export transformers. From a business interruption point of view, housing multiple export transformers is by far preferable in terms of reducing this risk. Warranties have an important role to play here. If a warranty is still in place, it can help protect against the material cost of equipment failure, but it does not usually afford protection against business interruption. When a breakdown occurs, sourcing the correct parts can also prove to be a problem. A robust parts inventory needs to be designed around a good risk assessment to ensure that the correct replacement parts are available quickly in areas where breakdowns are common. For example, access to spare parts for high-risk items such as transformers minimises downtime. Micro-renewables: Are they the future of renewable energy? Micro-renewables is a rapidly growing area in the UK and Ireland. The demand for small-scale renewable installations is being driven partly by private individuals’ desire to install small renewable energy installations such as photovoltaic panels on their homes. However, interest is also increasing in the agricultural sector as farmers look to maximise land use. Since their income from agriculture may vary unpredictably, renewable energies can be an opportunity for farmers to stabilise their incomes as well as offering a use for waste materials. 8 Farmers are increasingly installing renewable energy Although the risks associated with micro-renewable projects tend to be less complex than those involved in large installations, the operational risks are similar, albeit on a smaller scale. Maintenance standards are often lower than in the traditional renewable energies sector, which Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 may become an issue when warranties start to expire. For insurers, one noteworthy consideration is that investors in microrenewables tend to have less understanding of the associated risks. renewable energies Incentives – a UK example In April 2010, feed-in tariff (FIT) schemes were introduced in the UK, aimed at small-scale producers who generate less than 5 mW. These apply to wind, hydro, solar (also known as photovoltaics or PV), small CHP plants and anaerobic digestion (biomass/biogas). There are curently over 350,000 registered installations producing a total of 1,600 MW of power1 under this scheme. There are three financial benefits for suppliers under FIT schemes: −−Payment for electricity produced −−Bonus payments for exports to grid −−Reduced electricity bills The FIT scheme is fixed for 20–25 years and has led to a considerably reduced payback time on invest‑ ments. 1 Department of Energy and Climate Change – monthly central feed-in tariff register statistics 23/04/13 An experienced insurer can sometimes help source the correct parts. One client had a wind turbine model that was no longer in production, replacements were unavailable, and even the manufacturer did not have a mould for the blade. Thanks to his knowledge of the local market, our loss control engineer was able to source the correct replacement at a fraction of the cost of remodelling. All machinery and equipment requires maintenance. Having a preventative maintenance programme in place is therefore an important requirement. Monitor‑ ing equipment with defect notification systems also has a key role to play in detecting potential problems and rectifying them before a stoppage occurs. Fire risks Fire, although infrequent, usually causes extensive damage and becomes a much greater hazard for all renewable energy installations once the installa‑ tion is operational. Biomass installations, in particular, face even greater risk from fires and explosions. Fires in these tech‑ nologies generally start in hydraulics, flumes, filters, conveyors or gearboxes, but can also start in fuel sources as a result of spontaneous combustion. The UK also has a Renewable Heat Incentive that applies to all renew able heat technologies including bio‑ mass boilers, ground/air source heat pumps and solar thermal tubes. In the first stage of the incentive, pay‑ ments were made on an ongoing basis for the generation of renewable heat in commercial settings. In the second phase of the incentive, Renewable Heat Premium Payment Vouchers were introduced to provide one-off payments for domestic users. Fire detection and suppression systems are important tools for combatting this risk, but are often underinstalled. Insurers usually have a minimum recom‑ mended level, and risk engineers can discuss these aspects with clients during their site visits. Service interruption cover Many technologies require incoming power, so having back-up systems or remotely activated back-up generators on site is a positive feature that can keep fire suppression and detection systems running cor‑ rectly. Insurance cover is often sought for short transmission lines and sometimes for substations. Risks are assessed by looking at natural perils and alternative power routes and usually have a sublimit to control accumulations. What is the future for renewable energy? Within OECD countries, new renewable energy capacity is coming on line every day, future invest‑ ments are planned, and growth will continue as governments strive to meet their renewable energy commitments and diversify from more established technologies. As the sector matures and more capacity is added, the industry will need to use some of its resources to maintain existing facilities. In addition, technological advances will make it advisable to update established plants to improve productivity. The future of the Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 9 renewable energies renewable energies sector will therefore involve not only the development of new installations, but also the replacement of existing ones with more efficient technologies. As new renewable energy production targets are likely in some regions such as Europe, it would appear that the industries will continue to grow in areas where they are already established. Non-OECD countries are also beginning to adopt renewable energy as viable energy sources that provide clean and reliable power. The financial returns available make many of these regions attractive for investors, and growth is expected to exceed that of European and North American countries for many years. New technologies such as wave and tidal energy converters are undergoing research and development, and keeping abreast of these as well as responding to investors’ calls for cover for non-traditional areas of exposure all form part of our portfolio of expertise. Key points to take away With growth in the sector set to continue, insurers can add value by helping clients to understand the risks and by informing their investments decisions. The complex nature of the risks and technologies involved requires support from a specialist insurer. With vast experience in the renewable energy sector, HSB have underwriters and risk engineers with knowledge and experience in a diverse range of technologies. Using their specialist knowledge and experience in the sector’s exposures, HSB can assist clients from the construction phase right through to operation. Collaboration with clients is the key to a successful partnership. HSB work together with clients to identify the potential risks and provide insurance solutions to manage and reduce the risk exposures. Renewable energy continues to be seen as an attractive and ethically sound investment. Finance is being provided by banks and other financial institutions, and in some instances, capital is being ring-fenced to invest in the industry. Against such a sustainable future for the industry, we are responding to the challenge of offering insurance covers for renewable energy technologies and believe that insurers are an essential part of the picture. Our experienced renewable energy underwriters and risk control engineers are working and collaborating with clients to manage and advise on exposures to provide stable risk solutions and dependable service. Our Expert Stephen Morris, Power and Energy Underwriting Manager, HSB Engineering Insurance Stephen.Morris@hsbeil.com 10 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 You want to minimise risks and safeguard your innovation capacity ? Risks are becoming more complex, and new risks are constantly emerging. Companies increasingly need a strong partner to help minimise their risks and safeguard their financial and innovation capacity. Our operating field Risk Solutions will develop an individual and customised insurance solution for you. Our clients benefit from our experience, commitment, and innovative drive. You can find the right contact partner quickly and simply with our Risk Solutions Quickfinder at www.munichre.com/rs. not if, but how Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 11 OIL and GAS Energy “from the box” Worldwide demand for fossil fuels continues to rise, while the available resources are dwindling. Drilling for and producing oil and gas are becoming ever more involved, more expensive and more risky. Never has the insurance of energy risks been as important as it is today. Scattered about the Gulf of Mexico are 50,000 oil wells, 4,000 fixed installations and 72,000 km of pipelines. 12 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 OIL and GAS As one of the largest marine insurers at Lloyd’s of London, the Watkins Syndicate specialises in energy business in the offshore oil and gas sector. In addition to fixed platforms and mobile units, the Watkins team also insure construction, drilling, exploration and production risks as well as pipelines. The industry is volatile and high risk, yet oil and gas together represent 50% of global fuel consumption. The ability to insure such risks is therefore as vital to the market as it is to individual clients in providing financial protection. It is therefore important that the insurance products in this complex business are carefully tailored to meet the client’s needs. Storm risks Storms and hurricanes, especially in the resource-rich Gulf of Mexico, represent a great threat to the offshore energy sector. In 2008, Hurricane Ike made it necessary to close Texan refineries, causing gasoline shortages and enormous price hikes throughout the US. In the aftermath of Hurricane Ike and its unexpectedly high losses, insurers had to fundamentally rethink their business model. Blowout risks Approximately 46% of all losses around the globe are actually the result of blowouts, i.e. the uncontrolled release of oil and gas from a bore hole. Generally, blowouts occur following the failure of pressure control systems, but other possible causes include nat ural disasters, equipment breakdown, and human error. The most notorious example is the Piper Alpha incident in 1988, in which a missing safety valve resulted in an explosion on a North Sea platform, causing immense destruction and loss of life. Blowouts can have devastating, enduring effects. The blowout of the Indonesian natural gas well Lapindo in 2006 resulted in the eruption of a mud volcano which has continued to spout non-toxic mud ever since and shows no sign of abating. The mud covers an area of approximately 2,000 acres, and, at its peak, the eruption spewed out over 100,000 cubic metres each day. Thus far, all efforts to plug the volcano have proved ineffective. Although blowouts are not a new phenomenon – the first one was recorded in 1862 – the way the industry approaches them is continually evolving. For example, plugging the Deepwater Horizon blowout in 2010 involved technologies that had never been tried before, including static kill, in which mud and concrete are pumped into the bore hole in order to force the oil and gas back into the reservoir, in combination with bottom kill, in which two relief wells are drilled from the side. Innovation with a long tradition The Watkins Syndicate operates on a global scale, but most of their underwriting business goes through the Lloyd’s trading floor – known as the underwriting room – in London, where brokers meet face-to-face with underwriters in much the same way as they would have done three hundred years ago. The history of the London insurance market has shaped the way underwriters trade today, giving rise to a unique underwriting process characterised by innovation, service and rapid decision-making. Furthermore, the nature of the subscription market, in which risks are shared between underwriters both in syndicates and the company market, creates a competitive and entrepreneurial style of underwriting. Entrepreneurial style of underwriting The Watkins energy team spend a large portion of their day on their syndicate desk, or “box”. As the market leader, the team are often the first to be approached by brokers with an offshore energy slip. Dominick Hoare, the team’s award-winning lead underwriter, sums up his experience of the market: “We’ve been here through good times and bad times, and in times of crisis we’ve been one of the syndicates that have stepped up and carried on delivering a product, thanks to our solid financial foundation. This reliability, however, should not be confused with stagnation.” Mr. Hoare emphasises that the team’s success is based on its members’ capacity for innovation and consistent service. “The big storms of 2005 and 2008 were absolutely devastating for the energy market. Even right after Hurricane Katrina and after Ike, we were nonetheless out there trading again the next day. The energy insurance in the USA needed to be completely reengin eered, and we were the syndicate that led the market.” Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 13 OIL and GAS Seamless underwriting service ... Faster-than-average claims handling At the core of this approach lies the knowledge that good relationships with clients and brokers are key to providing an excellent underwriting product. “A service-driven focus has stood us in good stead,” says James Grainger, who has been an energy underwriter with the company for 12 years. “We provide what you might call ‘good, old-fashioned service’ and work hard to ensure there’s always someone on the box.” This is confirmed by Michaela Ryan, the youngest member of the underwriting team: “Our continual availability and good relationships with brokers help us when markets are tough.” Michaela started her career at Watkins in 2006 and is a core component in delivering the level of service which the brokers have come to expect. Underwriters also meet clients and go offshore on a regular basis to become familiar with the assets and attend courses such as rig training to ensure their knowledge is up to date. With a claims-turnaround time much faster than the Lloyd’s average, it is no surprise that the claims team is so highly regarded. Consequently, the Watkins energy team enjoy a high percentage of repeat business, approximately 90% of their book, which Alison believes “is indicative of the value of good service, both underwriting and claims handling. We provide a seamless service.” ... and claims management The high level of service also applies to Watkins’ claims team. The team is led by Alison Maxwell, who has been at Watkins for more than 25 years and is a director of Munich Re Underwriting. Highly respected in the industry, she sits on the Lillehammer Energy Claims Committee and is a member of the Lloyd’s Market Association (LMA) Marine Claims Group. Watkins’ leading role in the energy sector naturally also has an effect on the settlement of claims in oil and gas business. The team consequently has extensive ways and means of managing the claims handling process. Early in the claim life cycle, where appropriate, the team sends out a loss adjuster to assess their client’s financial situation and what it needs from its insurer, which then allows the claims team to set up a reserve. As it often takes some time for a client to get a well under control or decide whether to continue with the operation, interim payments are considered on occasion, which assist and support the assured to make sure their cash flow is protected. Paul Stratton, senior claims adjuster for offshore energy and liability claims, also considers outstanding, client-driven service to be indispensable. “We are very aware of the importance of all of our clients, and we try to turn things around as fast, consistently and accurately as possible,” he says. “A good claims service is absolutely vital to sustaining a good commercial relationship.” 14 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 Rather than dictating to clients what measures to take, for example in respect of repairs, the Watkins claims department look to work closely and in a flexible manner with the assured to ensure the best resolution is achieved for all parties. Clients may thus make modifications to the property for which the claim is being forwarded, rather than having to carry out a like-for-like repair. In order to assess these issues appropriately, the energy team uses only the best independent experts. Insight is achieved through active engagement, via the Syndicate’s in-house risk manager, with the project management teams for large offshore construction projects. So sharing knowledge and listening to the client constitute a large part of what makes the energy team a success. Analysis and pricing While the Watkins box at Lloyd’s is the centre of much of the team’s business, there is a significant amount of work involved behind the scenes. Laura Evans analyses exposures both at a risk and catastrophe level for the energy team, and her responsibility is to monitor their aggregation of different risks, ensuring that the capital base of the syndicate is not overexposed. Ms. Evans works closely with the underwriters and utilises historical data and external models to maintain an all-around overview of key assets and the market. The actuarial team work to ensure that prices are assessed on a consistent basis in this volatile environment and that the premiums reflect the risks presented. Senior pricing actuary Antony Dodson outlines the process: “We use the same parameters to look at each and every client and get everyone on an equal footing, making sure we also take into account all the possible eventualities; the twenty- or hundredyear storm, for example.” OIL and GAS Modelling The pricing process relies heavily on modelling. Jordan Tovey, an underwriting technician, explains that pricing is based on the underwriter’s experience and knowledge. As the business grows, the process is being further optimised, and the underwriter’s knowhow is being supplemented with a stochastic model. As always, however, there is a human element in these decisions. “There are certain things you can never quantify using historical data,” Antony Dodson explains. “New technology or difficult drilling areas, for example, can’t really be statistically validated by an actuary, which is why it’s important to work with the underwriters. They tend to have a very good handle on the specifics of any given risk, so our close cooperation with them helps us consistently achieve that little bit extra for our clients.” New technology remains challenging The industry will continue to change in the coming years, and Watkins, too, must adapt to shifting demands to remain at the head of the market. Construction projects are a prime example. They often involve new technologies, and the scope of insurance and the values at risk are consequently rising all the time. Floating liquefied natural gas (FLNG) operations are currently in development and, floating above an offshore natural gas reservoir, they would combine production, liquefaction, storage and transfer of LNG at sea. Such a project is a significant technological advancement on an enormous scale, and consequently the values and the risks attached to those values would be substantial, presenting a consider able challenge to the insurance market. “It is the continual evolution of technology within the industry which makes the construction sector such a dynamic area to underwrite”, explains James Flude, class energy underwriter and account manager. “Whether it is floating offshore gas plants, or subsea compression installations thousands of metres below sea level, the demands of the industry to explore new frontiers represent an opportunity for underwriters, but one which has to be approached with the appropriate balance of risk and reward.” The Ichthys construction project in Australia, combining offshore gas extraction, a subsea pipeline nearly 900 kilometres long and an onshore LNG processing facility, is on a similarly extensive scale. Such projects puts the market’s capacity to the test. Inspecting oil production equipment Dominick Hoare Dominick Hoare has worked for the Watkins Syndicate as an energy underwriter since 1994. In addition to being a Joint Active Underwriter of the energy team, he is also a member of the board of Munich Re Underwriting, the Lloyd’s Market Association (LMA) board, the LMA Marine Committee and the Joint Rig Committee. In 2012, he was voted Top Energy Underwriter by over 1,500 of his industry peers. By his own account, he is simply “lucky enough to be the senior guy, and the award was earned by the entire team”. A winning team The people involved represent a huge diversity of knowledge and experience. In addition to the members already named, the team includes James Flude, class energy underwriter and account manager, who has worked for Watkins for 14 years, five of them in Singapore. Matthew Allan, deputy underwriter, also began his career at Watkins in Singapore, while Laura Evans and Laura Jeakins have worked at the London head office for more than 11 years. Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 15 OIL and gas Storm cells moving across the Caribbean Apart from its main branch office in Singapore, Watkins also has branches in Dubai, Hong Kong and Labuan. In Singapore, Jenny Davies from Lloyd’s Asian platform handles the underwriting of energy business. She emphasises, “We are working intensively to ensure that Watkins energy provides the same quality of service and underwriting competence to brokers and clients all over the world”. What is most striking, however, is the length of their service – rather unusual in this mobile market, where high staff turnaround is the norm. Adding all the team members’ years of professional experience together yields an astonishing 75 years of experience in energy. “We don’t consciously have to try and work as a team – it just happens. There’s a lot of ad hoc communication, and we try to get together at least once a day to see what’s going on. We don’t divide the business, and nobody has dominion over one particular area; we deal with things together”, Dominick Hoare summarises. 16 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 “Our feeling of belonging to a team is the source of our “power” for the success of Watkins. This “power” will in future play an even more important role in enabling us to fulfil the needs of our clients and the rising values in energy business with our innovative cover concepts and existing capital strength.” >> F or further information, visit www.watkins-syndicate.co.uk watkins Watkins Syndicate An experienced, expert team has been underwriting the energy account at Watkins for over 15 years and is now recognised as one of the market leaders in this class of business throughout the London and international energy insurance markets. The team delivers strong technical underwriting for this demanding sector throughout the cycle. The product lines written include physical damage, operators’ extra expense, loss of production income and coverage for construction projects. Watkins also has an in-house resource for risk management which can be utilised for site surveys, asset reviews and as a client technical liaison. As a result of our diverse and unique skill set offering, our client base encompasses a broad range of operators and contractors. Whilst our primary focus is on insurance for exploration and production as well as construction activities of the oil and gas industries, we are also able to offer integrated products. Contacts: Lloyd’s Box 79 Watkins Syndicate Tel.: +44 20 7886 3900 Fax: +44 20 7886 3901 Michaela Ryan Assistant Energy Underwriter Tel.: +44 20 7886 3984 michaela.ryan@mrunderwriting.com Dominick Hoare Joint Active Underwriter & Group Energy Underwriter Tel.: +44 20 7886 3972 dominick.hoare@mrunderwriting.com Laura Jeakins Underwriting Assistant Tel.: +44 20 7886 3949 laura.jeakins@mrunderwriting.com James Flude Energy Underwriter & Account Manager Tel.: +44 20 7886 3845 james.flude@mrunderwriting.com James Grainger Energy Underwriter Tel.: +44 20 7886 3933 james.grainger@mrunderwriting.com Laura Evans Energy Technician Tel.: +44 20 7886 3963 laura.evans@mrunderwriting.com Jordan Tovey Energy Technician Tel.: +44 20 7886 3996 jordan.tovey@mrunderwriting.com Matthew Allan Deputy Energy Underwriter Tel.: +44 20 7886 3954 matthew.allan@mrunderwriting.com From left to right: Michaela Ryan, Laura Evans, Dominick Hoare, Paul Stratton, Jordan Tovey, Matthew Allan, Laura Jeakins, Antony Dodson, James Grainger and James Flude. Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 17 COLUMN Economics from a risk perspective Will we soon pay in renminbi? Dr. Michael Menhart, Chief Economist mmenhart@munichre.com China is the world’s second largest economy and biggest trading nation. Historically, whenever a country has achieved economic dominance, its currency has come to play a global role. That is what happened with the US dollar after the Second World War and with the DM and yen in the seventies. So why has China’s renminbi (RMB) not taken on a comparable role as an international currency? This depends not only on the strength of China’s economy, but especially on the level of trust placed in the currency’s stability and the efficiency and openness of the domestic financial markets. Still far to go toward opening financial markets China’s economic power speaks very clearly in favour of it. The People’s Republic has been the world’s leading export nation since 2009 and the leading trade nation since 2012. China’s share of world trade is currently about 13%. This represents a solid foundation for RMB transactions and thus also for great international demand. Trust in a currency’s stability is influenced not least by the underlying economy’s price stability and the degree of national debt. China’s rate of inflation over the last 15 years has averaged less than 2%. China’s public debt is significantly less than 50% of its gross domestic product, a ratio that is quite moderate compared to that of many other industrial states. China also has currency reserves amounting to more than US$ 3,000bn and is thus by far the world’s largest creditor. This prerequisite is therefore fulfilled. But when we come to the criterion of open and efficient financial markets, 18 the situation looks different. Particularly in comparison to the USA or Europe, China’s financial markets are underdeveloped and strongly regulated. The exchange rate of the RMB is fixed in relation to the US dollar. Access to the bond markets is strongly restricted, and the variety of financial instruments is limited. Even though China’s leadership has taken a wide variety of measures in recent years, the country still has a long way to go toward fully opening and liberalising its financial markets. China has vast dollar reserves and is crucially dependent on the stability of the US dollar – a risk that cannot be ignored in view of the USA’s immense debt, despite its current status as a “safe haven”. With the RMB as a lead currency, China could significantly reduce its dollar reserves. Transaction costs and the exchange-rate risk would be reduced China would also enjoy the same advantages as other economies that have lead currencies. Cross-border transactions could be carried out in the country’s own currency, reducing transaction costs and the exchangerate risk. As a lead currency nation, China would probably also have an interest rate advantage whenever it takes on debt in its own currency. This would enhance its political prestige, certainly an important goal for China. For the rest of the world, mostly advantages would result. The biggest potential disadvantage would be that Chinese manufacturers’ ability to export would be endangered by the probable appreciation in the Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 3/2013 value of the RMB, assuming that flexible exchange rates are introduced in the course of its becoming a lead currency. For the rest of the world, the RMB’s emergence as a lead currency would probably result mostly in advantages. An additional, free-floating currency could make the currency system more stable. Exchangerate adjustments would help to reduce global imbalances. Alternative reserve currencies would probably instil greater economic discipline in the reserve currency countries. But particularly for the USA, the rise of the RMB could also mean the diminution of some advantages which the country has hitherto enjoyed, for example, in financing its immensely deficitary balance of payments. The rise in the significance of one currency takes place at the expense of other currencies. This must be one more reason for the countries of the eurozone, despite their current problems, to place their common currency on a basis that will remain stable over the long term. A question of time The creation of efficient and open financial markets as the final prerequisite will be accompanied by adjustment costs and could temporarily heighten the Chinese economy’s susceptibility to crises. As China will nonetheless take this path over the long term, it is (merely) a question of time before the RMB emerges as a lead currency. Preview of issue 4/2013 Securing cargo In Germany, more than three billion tonnes of goods are transported on lorries each year. Properly securing cargo should be a routine procedure, but numerous accidents and high loss figures for damaged and destroyed goods tell a different story. That is why investing in solid know-how in securing loads and using packing tools pays off several times over – in terms of image, client satisfaction and long-term optimisation of the insurance premium. >> Y ou can also order Topics Risk Solutions as an e-mail newsletter at www.munichre.com/trs/en/newsletter © 2013 Münchener RückversicherungsGesellschaft Königinstrasse 107 80802 München Germany Tel.: +49 89 38 91-0 Fax: +49 89 39 90 56 www.munichre.com Münchener RückversicherungsGesellschaft (Munich Reinsurance Company) is a reinsurance company organised under the laws of Germany. In some countries, including in the United States, Munich Reinsurance Company holds the status of an unauthorised reinsurer. Policies are underwritten by Munich Reinsurance Company or its affiliated insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries. Certain coverages are not available in all jurisdictions. Any description in this document is for general information purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any product. Responsible for content Group Communications Editor Regine Kaiser Group Communications (address as above) Tel.: +49 89 38 91-27 70 Fax: +49 89 38 91-7 27 70 rkaiser@munichre.com Picture credits Cover: ddp images Inside front cover: Andreas Pohlmann p. 1: Getty Images/Pedro Castellano p. 2 (1): Getty Images/Shirlyn Loo p. 2 (2): shutterstock p. 2 (3): shutterstock/Dudarev Mikhail p. 3: picture-alliance/John G. Mabanglo p. 4: plainpicture/Aurora Photos p. 6: plainpicture/STOCK4B p. 8: ddp images p. 10: HSB U.K. Engineering p. 11: plainpicture p. 12: shutterstock p. 15: Corbis/Keith Wood p. 16: Corbis/Stocktrek p. 17: Charles Sturge p. 18: Illustration: Kevin Sprouls Inside back cover: Corbis/Ocean Editorial deadline 6 June 2013 Printed by Color Offset GmbH Geretsrieder Strasse 10 81379 München Germany Corporate Insurance Partner CIP offers holistic insurance protection for industrial and corporate clients throughout the world. The portfolio includes coverage concepts for property, energy, engineering, casualty and special enterprise risks. www.munichre.com corporate-insurance-partner@ munichre.com Hartford Steam Boiler Leading monoliner and inspection company for engineering risks. Apart from engineering covers, its range also includes specialty and engineering solutions, claims management and risk management services. www.hsb.com Tel.: +1 800 4 72-18 66 Customer_Solutions_Center@hsb.com KA Köln.Assekuranz Agentur GmbH Internationally operating underwriting agency for industrial risks, specialising in marine and group accident insurance. www.koeln-assekuranz.com Tel.: +49 221 3 97 61–2 00 info@koeln-assekuranz.com Temple Insurance Company Temple Insurance Company underwrites large industrial and risk management acounts. Our Technical and Special Risk Department provides property-casualty products directly through the Canadian broker network. www.templeinsurance.ca Toll free (North America): +1 877 3 64-28 51 Tel.: +1 416 3 64-28 51 Fax: +1 416 3 61-11 63 Watkins Syndicate 457 Lloyd’s biggest marine insurer with an extensive portfolio of solutions for accident and health, liability, cargo, marine and logistics, offshore energy, space flight, and yachts. The Watkins Syndicate operates its own department for terrorism risks. www.watkins-syndicate.co.uk Tel.: +44 20 78 86 39 00 info@mrunderwriting.com © 2013 Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft Königinstrasse 107, 80802 München, Germany Order number 302-07707