Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October
Transcription
Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October
Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 SUMMARY SUMMARY ............................................................................................................................ 3 LIST OF ACRONYMS AND ABREVIATIONS .................................................................. 4 LIST OF TABLES .................................................................................................................. 5 LIST OF GRAPHS ................................................................................................................ 6 FOREWORD ......................................................................................................................... 7 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................. 8 1. 2. GENERAL INFORMATION ..................................................................................... 9 1.1. The legal environment ...................................................................................... 9 1.2. Practise licences per category .......................................................................... 10 1.3. Evolution of borrowers ................................................................................ 11 1.4. Evolution of the permanent staff ................................................................. 12 FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS ............................................................................. 13 2.1. Evolution of deposits ..................................................................................... 14 2.1.1. Evolution of depositors .................................................................................. 14 2.1.2. Evolution of the amount of deposits ............................................................ 15 2.2. Evolution of loans .................................................................................................. 16 2.2.1. Number of loans beneficiaries ..................................................................... 16 2.2.2. Amount of loan granted by DFIs ............................................................... 17 2.2.3. Average amount per loan ............................................................................ 18 2.2.4. Evolution of the gross outstanding loans .................................................. 19 2.2.5. Outstanding debts .......................................................................................... 21 2.2.6. Rates of loans reimbursement ...................................................................... 23 CONCLUSION ..................................................................................................................... 25 ANNEX .............................................................................................................................. 26 3 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 LIST OF ACRONYMS AND ABREVIATIONS APHEDD : Association of human Promotion and Environmental protection for a Sustainable Development (Association pour la Promotion de l’Homme et la protection de l’Environnement pour un Développement Durable) AssEF : Women Association for Mutual aid (Association d’Entraide des Femmes) CBEC : Beninese Savings and Credit Union (Caisse Béninoise d’Epargne et de Crédit) CPEC : Cooperative for Promoting Savings and Credit (Coopérative pour la Promotion de l’Epargne et du Crédit) CSSFD : Supervisory Unit of Decentralized Financial Structures FECECAM : Federation of Mutual Agricultural Savings and Credit Cooperatives (Fédération des Caisses d’Epargne et de Crédit Agricole Mutuel) FINADEV SA : Financial Development SA ID : Initiative Développement MFI : Microfinance Institution MCEC : Savings and Credit Unions and Cooperatives (Mutuelles et Coopératives d’Epargne et de Crédit) MC : Christian Savings and Credit Union (Mutualité Chrétienne) MCA-BENIN : Millennium Challenge Account-Benin MEF : Ministry of Economy and Finance (Ministère de l’Economie et des Finances) QRMS : Quarterly Report on the Microfinance Situation NGO : Non Governmental Organization PADME : Association for Promoting and Supporting the Development of Micro Enterprises (Association pour la Promotion et l’Appui au Développement des Micro Entreprises) PAPME : Agency for Promoting and Supporting Small and Medium size Firms (Agence pour la Promotion et l’Appui aux Petites et Moyennes Entreprises) SA : Corporation (Société Anonyme) DFS : Decentralized Financial Structure DFI : Decentralized Financial Institution 4 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 LIST OF TABLES Table 1 : Number of licenses issued as at December 31st, 2010 .................................................... 20 Table 2 : Number of DFIs authorized as at December 31st, 2010 ................................................ 22 Table 3 : Evolution of the DFIs’ Clients (July-09 to Dec-10) …............................................... 23 Table 4 : Quarterly number of permanent staff (July-09 to Dec-10) ........................................ 24 Table 5 : Quarterly change in the number of depositors (July-09 to Dec-10) ........................ 27 Table 6 : Quarterly change in the number of loan beneficiaries (July-09 to Dec-10) ........... 28 Table 7 : Quarterly change in the amount of loans granted by DFIs (July-09 to Dec-10) ....... 29 Table 8 : Quarterly change in average amount per loan (July-09 to Dec-10) ........................ 31 Table 9 : Quarterly gross loan (July-09 to Dec-10) .................................................................. 32 Table 10 : Quarterly change in outstanding loans (July-09 to Dec-10) .................................... 33 5 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 LIST OF GRAPHS Figure n° 1 : Evolution of the number of DFIs’ depositors in the fourth quarter of 2010 .................. 14 Figure n° 2 : Evolution of deposits collected by all MFIs in millions FCFA ....................................... 16 Figure n° 3 : Evolution of the volume of loans granted by type of DFIs (July-09 to Dec-10 million FCFA) .............................................................................. 18 Figure n° 4 : Evolution of the quarterly gross outstanding loan in million FCFA (juil-09. to Dec-10) ...................................................................................................... 21 Figure n° 5 : Quarterly evolution of outstanding debts (Jan-June-10) ............................................ 22 Figure n°6 : Quarterly evolution of the rate of outstanding debts (July-09 to Dec-10) ................... 23 6 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 FOREWORD Microfinance has become an essential tool in the implementation of strategies to eradicate poverty in Africa and in the world. The financial micro-services are accompanying elements for growth and boosting the local economy and individual activity. The Decentralized Financial Institutions (DFIs) focused on poverty can improve their efficiency by reducing financial exclusion, unemployment and therefore constitute a reduction of poverty. The provision of financial services to vulnerable strata of the society is vital to break the vicious cycle of poverty, since it lead for an increasing of employment, income, consumption and the power of those low income people. Financial services enables vulnerable households to improve their living conditions and access to new kinds of resources (large amount) through special mechanisms. The grant of increasing loan amounts in accordance with the request of the borrowers shows that DFSs starts to be successfull as their success is closely linked to their clients well being. Therefore, there is a need that to improve the DFIs products in order to gain a marginal social impact. A growing number of low-income people now have access to a range of more extensive financial products. Some funding models have largely proven successful and spread rapidly. The CSSFD through this issue, once again thanks the various industry partners who support and encourage the publication of the newsletter, especially the MCA-Benin and the DFIs, without whom this work would have not been possible. Louis BIAO Acting Coordinator 7 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 INTRODUCTION M icrofinance is a community finance oriented towards the economically active population excluded from traditional banking system. It contributes alongside the other instruments for reducing poverty to improve the national economy. In Benin, the microfinance sector is made up of forty-seven (47) Decentralized Financial Institutions (DFIs), operating through two hundred and twenty to three (223) representations. The legal status of MFIs in Benin is made of three (03) great categories which are: the Savings and Credit Mutuals and Cooperatives (MCEC), Direct Credit Institutions and Loan component Institutions. In 2010, the financial intermediation activity experienced a crisis which although mastered by the measures adopted by the government for the closure and freezing of assets of these illegal deposits collection institutions impacted the financial sector in general and especially Benin microfinance. In this context, the aims of the CSSFD through this issue of the quarterly newsletter is to show the outlook of the sector by the interpretation of some indicators contained in the DFIs statistics and other activity indicators for remediation and monitoring sector. It gives stakeholders the prowesses and declines performed by the Decentralized Financial Institutions (DFIs) in the fourth quarter of 2010. It also provides information on the existing legal framework in Benin and the new instructions of the BCEAO as at December 2010, relating to the implementation of the new legal framework for MFIs in the WAEMU member countries awaiting adoption in Benin. The data compiled and analyzed are those of the quarterly statistics provided by the DFIs that have received authorization from the Minister of Economy and Finances (MEF). 8 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook 1. October - December 2010 GENERAL INFORMATION This section provides information on the new legal framework for DFS, the state of the formalization in the microfinance industry and analyzes the evolution of the number of customers, the penetration rate and the employment situation in the last quarter. 1.1. The legal environment At the end of the quarter under review, several orders were made by the BCEAO and came into force in the microfinance sector in Benin and in the WAEMU sub-region. These are the instructions: - N°. 016-12-2010 on the financing of fixed assets and investments by the DFIs; - N°. 017-12-2010, related to the organization of internal control within the DFIs; - N°. 018-12-2010, relating to the requirement for DFIs to produce an annual report; - N°. 019-12-2010, concerning the establishment of a security or solidarity fund within institutions networks of savings and credit mutuals or cooperatives; - N°. 020-12-2010, related to the quarterly indicators submission by the DFIs to the Minister in charge of finance, the BCEAO and the WAEMU Banking Commission; - N°. 021-12-2010, defining type of DFIs allowed to use the light version of GAAP. These instructions issued by the BCEAO in December 2010 are expected to be applied from January 1, 2011 to strengthen the legal environment governing the activities of decentralized finance. In the same context, some of the OHADA Uniform Acts, including those applicable in the financial sector have undergone a review in December 2010. These include: - The Uniform Act on the right of cooperatives; - The Uniform Act organizing securities. These provisions are now legally applicable although the process of approval and promulgation of the new legal framework has not yet enacted. 9 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook 1.2. October - December 2010 Practise licences per category There is a difference between the number of DFIs authorized and the number of licenses issued; this situation needs to be clarified. Indeed, we must recall that the DFIs under convertion must proceed to the renewal of their convertion (autorization) every five years (Art.7 of the Act) and the DFI organized in a network are required to request and obtain a license for all their based structures affiliated (Art 38, 41, 44, 46). Therefore, the renewal of an agreement means an increase in the number of licenses without change in the number of authorized DFIs. Also when a central organization gains recognition for one of its core branch, it increases the number of authorization issued by the Minister of finance without impacting the number of authorized DFIs. Table 1 : Number of licenses issued as at December 31, 2010 Number of licenses Years 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Number of Agreement signed 2 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 8 1 17 Number of granted agreements ( including the central organizations agreements) 4 0 75 61 23 17 12 2 3 6 0 3 206 Total 6 0 77 61 25 17 13 2 3 7 8 4 223 Total of granted licenses 6 6 83 144 169 186 199 201 204 211 219 223 Source : CSSFD Data base The first table shows the number of licenses issued by the Minister of finance since 1999 which is 223 as at December 31, 2010 while the second shows that the number of DFIs approved since 1999 is 47 on the same date. During the fourth quarter, the Minister of finance has issued four (04) licenses in microfinance activity to community funds non-affiliated to a network with one (01) association and three (03) Savings and Credit Mutuals or Cooperatives. 10 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 Table 2 : Number of authorized DFIs as at December 31, 2010 Years 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total 2 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 8 1 17 Associations (including the CVECAs) (a1) 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 8 1 16 Private companies (SA et SARL) (a2) 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 6 2 2 2 0 2 3 6 0 3 30 Confederations* (b1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Federations*(b2) 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Unions* (b3) 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 5 2 2 2 0 2 2 6 0 3 27 0 0 69 56 20 14 11 0 0 0 0 0 170 3 0 74 58 22 16 11 2 2 6 0 3 197 6 6 14 16 20 22 23 25 28 35 43 47 Number of DFIs under agreements (a=a1+a2) Number of Mutuals and Cooperatives (b = b1+b2+b3+b4) Mutuals or cooperatives non-affiliated to network-Unitary Funds - (b4) PM : Number of grassroots funds affiliated to network (b5)y PM : Total number of grassroots funds (b4+b5) Total (a+b) Source : CSSFD Data base 1.3. Evolution of customers The growth recorded in the second and third quarters reflecting the recovery in financial intermediation activities with an increase in the quarterly growth rate in the number of clients of MFIs by 6.5% and 6.9% is fully amortized at the end of December 2010 to give a negative fluctuation of 8.6% or 1,439,096 against 1,574,287 customers in September 2010. 11 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 Table 3 : Evolution of the DFI customers (July-09 to Dec-10) jul-09 oct-09 jan-10 apr-10 jul-10 oct-10 sept-09 dec-09 mar-10 jun-10 sept-10 dec-10 MCEC 966 182 980 482 989 740 1 053 131 1 093 215 913 702 DIRECT CREDIT 274 073 283 795 282 218 300 136 349 764 387 175 99 681 110 121 110 352 118 839 131 308 138 219 1 339 936 1 374 398 1 382 310 1 472 106 1 574 287 1 439 096 0.6% 6.5% 6.9% CREDIT BATCH CREDIT ALL THE DFIs Fluctuation 2.6% -8.6% 4.7% Annual drift Source : CSSFD Data base The clientele of MFIs has experienced an annual growth of 64,698 from 1,374,398 in December 2009 to 1,439,096 in December 2010. A growth which corresponds to an annual change of 4.7% at as December 2010. This growth is attributable to the dynamism of the services offered by MFIs to their clients. It must be noted that the DFIs’ direct credit customers and microfinance component projects have experienced an annual growth of respectively 103,380 and 28,098 customers bringing their respective drift to 36.43% and 25.52%. This enabled strong evidence of awareness and customer satisfaction of these two forms of institution. Conversely, the opposite phenomenon is observed at the level of savings and credit mutuals or cooperatives, which recorded a decrease of 66,780 customers. What is a negative annual drift of 6.81% as at December 2010. 1.4. Evolution of the permanent staff Employment generated by the DFIs in Benin grew recorded a growth in the annual drift by 17.2% representing the recruitment of 350 new employees in customer service for these institutions. At the end of December 2010, the total staff of DFI is 2383 against 2033. The table below shows the number of employees in the sector has experienced 17.2% as at December 2009. 12 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 Table 4 : Quarterly number of permanent staff (July-09 to Dec-10) juil-09 oct-09 jan-10 apr-10 jul-10 oct-10 sept-09 dec-09 mar-10 jun-10 sept-10 dec-10 1 072 1 136 1 260 1 354 1 393 1 257 DIRECT CREDIT 872 827 827 812 819 905 CREDIT BATCH CREDIT 95 70 121 165 186 221 2 039 2 033 2 208 2 331 2 398 2 383 -0.3% 8.6% 5.6% 2.9% -0.6% (in millions FCFA) MCEC ALL THE DFIs Fluctuation Annual drift 17,2% Source : CSSFD Data base It must be stressed that the 2.9% growth of the previous quarter fell slightly by 0.63% in the fourth quarter of 2010 and reached 2,383 jobs distributed among the three (03) categories of DFIs. However, an increase in the figures is noted in some categories. So, 905 jobs as assets for direct credit DFIs by a drift of 10.50% and was 221 assigned to microfinance component projects representing 18.82%. These efforts have been reduced by the poor performance of Savings and credit mutuals and cooperatives whose annual drift is negative by 9.76%. This downward trend noted at the MCEC is attributable to relief and multiple reforms mesures inside the largest mutual network in Benin, FECECAM with the reduction of its former principal or secondary branches. 2. FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS This section is dedicated to the analysis of financial operations performance indicators of thirtyseven (37) MFIs operating in the financial sector in Benin and has regularly sent quarterly statistics after their first year of operation. Indicators for deposits collected and loan portfolio will be reviewed. 13 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook 2.1. October - December 2010 Evolution of deposits This is the section reserved for the presentation of the quarterly changes in the number of depositors and the amount of deposits. 2.1.1. Evolution of depositors Statistics of the fourth quarter of 2010 show that the number of applicants fell by -8.3% compared to the previous quarter. The annual drift as at December 2010 was up to 17.5%. This rate brings the number of depositors at the end of this period to 1,473,095. The graph of the evolution of the number of depositors in the sector between September 2009 and December 2010, posted on its portion of a 2010 a peak in the third quarter for a total of 1,605,497 depositors. It should be emphasized that growth began in the first quarter of 2010 remained strong through the third quarter. The number of depositors increased from 1,276,680 in January to 1,605,497 in September 2010, then fell by 8.2% in the quarter under review. Figure n° 1 : Evolution of the number of DFIs’ depositors in the fourth quarter of 2010 Source : CSSFD Data base 14 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 Table 5 : Quarterly change in the number of depositors (July-09 to Dec-10) MCEC DIRECT CREDIT CREDIT BATCH CREDIT ALL THE DFIs Fluctuation jul-09 oct-09 jan-10 apr-10 jul-10 oct-10 sept-09 dec-09 mar-10 jun-10 sept-10 dec-10 862 923 220 287 86 212 1 169 422 910 403 252 404 91 388 1 254 195 925 455 255 337 95 888 1 276 680 1 177 793 272 745 111 790 1 562 328 1 210 612 271 646 123 239 1 605 497 7.2% 1.8% 22.4% 2.8% Annual drift 1 027 089 312 104 133 902 1 473 095 -8.2% 17.5% Source : CSSFD Data base 2.1.2. Evolution of the amount of deposits The deposits are the second source of income for savings and credit mutuals and cooperatives. The transformation rate credit allowed is 80% under Article 54 of Order No. 98-60 of February 9, 1998. The amount of deposits collected by all the DFIs sector is 57.678 million in December 2010. Against 59.217 million as at September 2010. Only the direct credits DFIs have recorded a positive variation of 21.3% for the period under review. However, this performance is not sufficient to reverse the dissaving of the users of Savings and Credit Mutual and Cooperatives (-6.9%) as well as NGOs and Microfinance Component Projects (-4.5 %). In annual drift as at December 2010, the savings collected by the DFIs increased by 8.3%. 15 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 Figure n° 2 : Evolution of deposits collected by all MFIs in millions FCFA Source : CSSFD Data base 2.2. Evolution of Loans This section is devoted to analyzing the performance of the DFIs through some indicators including the number of beneficiaries of loan, outstanding loan, the volume of loans granted, the average amount per loan, outstanding debts, the reimbursement rates and recovery rates. 2.2.1. Number of Loans beneficiaries The number of DFIs loan beneficiaries edged up 0.4% between the third and fourth quarter of 2010. This variation corresponds to the entry in the DFIs of 709 new customers in the economically active credit portfolio in the industry. The period reviewed has recorded in terms of annual drift as at December 2010 a decrease of -2.9%, from 204,334 recipients in December 2009 to 198,345 in December 2010. The number of direct credit DFIs has evolved of 18.90% to the increase in the acceptance of 23,892 new borrowers followed by the savings and credit mutuals and cooperatives and loan component projects, respectively by, -33.3% and -56.9%. The decline since the third quarter of 2010 was linked to the introduction of new provisions for a more rigorous application of new funds to fight against the dishonest borrowers. 16 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 Table 6 : Quarterly change in the number of loan beneficiaries (July-09 to Dec-10) jul-09 oct-09 janv10 apr-10 jul-10 oct-10 sept-09 dec-09 mar-10 jun-10 sept-10 dec-10 MCEC 50 284 61 312 38 168 62 550 46 432 40 869 DIRECT CREDIT 114 289 126 435 120 456 125 835 143 255 150 327 CREDIT BATCH CREDIT 13 869 16 587 12 480 10 897 7 949 7 149 ALL THE DFIs 178 442 204 334 171 104 199 282 197 636 198 345 14.5% -16.3% 16.5% -0.8% 0.4% Fluctuation -2.9% Annual drift Source : CSSFD Database 2.2.2. Amount of loan granted by DFIs The period of December 2010 grew by 26.7% representing 42,204,000 million of loans granted against 33,307,000 in the previous quarter. The annual drift of 11.6% achieved in December 2010 confirms the recovery of economic activities. Table 7 : Quarterly change in the amount of loans granted by DFIs (July-09 to Dec-10) (in millions FCFA) MCEC DIRECT CREDIT CREDIT BATCH CREDIT ALL THE DFIs Fluctuation Annual drift jul-09 oct-09 jan-10 apr-10 jul-10 oct-10 sept-09 dec-09 mar-10 jun-10 sept-10 dec-10 9031 17660 1376 28067 13948 22350 1534 37832 8264 16703 1418 26385 14893 19431 1426 35751 10200 21348 1760,0 33307 14048 26585 1571 42204 34.8% -30.3% 35.5% -6.8% 26.7% 11.6% Source : CSSFD Database Note that the analysis of the indicator through the figure hereafter, reported that direct credit institutions are positioned in the frontline with 5.237 million loan, followed by the savings and credit mutuals and cooperatives up to 3.848 million. NGOs and microfinance component 17 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 projects come in last place with a decrease of -189 000 000.. Figure n°3 : Evolution of the volume of loans granted by type of DFIs (July-09 to Dec-10 million FCFA). Source : CSSFD Database 2.2.3. Average Amount per Loan The table below shows the evolution of the average loan per borrower. Table 8 : Quarterly evolution in average amount per loan (July-09 to Dec-10) (in FCFA) Amount of average loan per borrower Fluctuation Annual Drift Source : CSSFD Database 18 jul-09 oct-09 jan-10 avr-10 juil-10 oct-10 sept-09 dec-09 mars-10 juin-10 sept-10 déc-10 157 289 185 147 17.7% 154 202 -16.7% 179 397 16.3% 14.9% 168 529 -6.1% 212 780 26.3% Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 The ratio is the comparison of the total loans granted to the total number of loans. This indicator provides information on the one hand the ability of an institution to save money and on the other hand information on the economic level of the greater number of the institution’ target. The goal of microfinance is to make available to economically active workers and rejected by the conventional financial system, basic financial services. This mission implies the presence of low-income populations in the loan portfolio of DFIs and therefore, the average amount per loan low enough and tailored to the needs of this target. The average amount per loan has evolved by jerks and jumps from July 2009 to December 2010. In the last quarter of 2010, the average ratio of loan is 212,780 CFA francs, up 26.3% from the previous quarter. The quarterly change is the most important of the period, to an average of 7.5% and an annual drift as at December 2010 estimated at 14.9%. This trend shows that the DFIs offer huge amount of loans and denotes a certain distance from DFIs’ original target. The goal of reducing loans management costs focused on by the DFIs deviates from the mission of poverty reduction by targeting the poor advocated by stakeholders including promoters, donors and government. 2.2.4. Evolution of the gross outstanding loans Outstanding loans determine the volume of credits and outstanding non-reimbursed debts held by the DFI’ borrowers. It provides information on the financial input of the institutions to the functioning of the economy reducing thereof poverty. 19 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 Table 9 : Quarterly gross outstanding loans (July-09 to Dec-10) (in millions FCFA) MCEC DIRECT CREDIT CREDIT BATCH CREDIT ALL THE DFIs Fluctuation jul-09 oct-09 jan-10 apr-10 jul-10 oct-10 sept-09 dec-09 mar-10 jun-10 sept-10 dec-10 26 591 30 997 3 328 60 916 33 330 35 219 3 698 72 246 18.6% Annual drift 34 222 23 539 4 044 61 805 -14.5% 36 152 33 845 4 296 74 293 20.2% 38 575 34 580 4 753 77 908 4.9% 37 702 40 493 4 742 82 937 6.5% 14.8% Source : CSSFD Database During the period under review, the gross outstanding loans ranged from 6.5% upwards compared to the previous period. The rise of the gross loan reflects the resumption of commercial activities in the second quarter of 2010 after the fall of -14.5% at the beginning of the year. The gross loan ranged from 72,246,000 to 82,937,000 between December 2009 and December 2010 corresponding to a 14.8% annual drift of rise. During 2010, the gross loan of direct credit institutions has been expanded (5,274,000) taking over that of the MCEC (4,372) in front of the credit component DFIs (1044000). 20 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 Figure n° 4 : Evolution of the quarterly gross outstanding loan in million FCFA (juil-09. to Dec-10) Source : CSSFD Database 2.2.5. Outstanding debts During the period under review, the outstanding debts have trended upward to reach a threshold of 8.4% from the amount of 3,990 million FCFA in the third quarter to an amount of 4.326 million CFA francs in the fourth quarter of 2010. . Table 10 : Quarterly evolution in nonperforming loans (July-09 to Dec-10) (en millions FCFA) MCEC DIRECT CREDIT CREDIT BATCH CREDIT ALL THE DFIs Fluctuation Annual drift jul-09 oct-09 jan-10 apr-10 jul-10 oct-10 sept-09 dec-09 mar-10 jun-10 sept-10 dec-10 1956 1443 175 3574 1085 1599 231 2915 -18.4% 933 1341 288 2563 -12.1% 1209 1925 303 3438 34.1% 1302 2374 315 3990 16.1% 1290 2672 363 4326 8.4% 48.4% Source : CSSFD Database 21 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 The annual drift in the month of December 2010 shows a rate of 48.40% in continuous progress on the three (03) quarters of 2010. This increase observed since the end of the first quarter reflects a continued deterioration of the loan portfolio of all DFIs. Figure n° 5 : Quarterly evolution of outstanding debts (Jan-June-10) Source : CSSFD Database Concerns about the increase in the amount of outstanding debts are backed by the rise of outstanding debt rate to 5.5% in the fourth quarter of 2010 against 4.2% in the first quarter of that year. The overrun of the basic accepted standard of 0.5 points in the microfinance sector shows a poor performance in the sector. The portfolio of savings and credit mutuals or cooperatives meets the standard and is 3.5% while the direct credit DFIs and credit component projects have crossed the 5%, respectively, 2.1 and 3.3 point for values of 7.1% and 8.3%. 22 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 Figure n° 6 : Quarterly evolution of the rate of outstanding debts (July-09 to Dec-10) Source : CSSFD Database 2.2.6. Rates of loans reimbursement The third quarter was characterized by a high rate of loan repayment by borrowers of all DFI, estimated at 91.8% with a quarterly change of 7.9% over the previous quarter. The annual drift as at December 2010 of this rate is 0.4%. NGOs and loan component projects showed 97.9% repayment of their due loan portfolios. A rate that puts this group of DFIs in first place followed by the direct credit institutions to a 90.9% rate. The lowest rate for the quarter was 86.6% recorded by the savings and credit mutuals and cooperatives. 23 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 Table 11 : Quarterly evolution of the reimbursement rate (July-09 to Dec-10) (in millions FCFA) MCEC DIRECT CREDIT CREDIT BATCH CREDIT ALL THE DFIs Fluctuation jul-09 oct-09 jan-10 apr-10 jul-10 oct-10 sept-09 dec-09 mar-10 jun-10 sept-10 dec-10 85.7% 92.1% 94.0% 90.6% 85.7% 93.7% 94.9% 91.4% 90.8% 87.0% 95.2% 91.0% 90.8% 85.5% 95.6% 90.6% 86.6% 87.7% 80.8% 85.0% 86.6% 90.9% 97.9% 91.8% 0.9% -0.5% -0.4% -6.1% 7.9% Annual drift 0.4% Source : Base de données CSSFD The repayment rate of the microfinance sector grew by 6.7 points between September and December 2010. It went from 85.0% to 91.8%. 24 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 CONCLUSION D uring the period under review, it is observed an evolution of mixed indicators of the sector that reflects the disruption experienced by the business environment during 2010. While deposits recorded a downward trend, there is a resurgence of release of funds in a context where the level of outstanding debt is experiencing a gradual increase to exceed the accepted standard of 5%. This situation that characterizes disturbances related to the crisis of illegal money placement institutions at the same time denotes disturbances related to preparations of presidential elections scheduled for March 2011. It should be remembered that the slowdown of economic activities impact negatively on the loans’ repayment. The risk of the sector on the gross outstanding loan is based on direct credit institutions that hold more than 80% of the loan portfolio. Indirectly, the direct credit DFIs have collected in the form of prior savings before granting loan for almost 40% of the deposits of the year which places them second line only behind the 52% recorded by the MCEC. The rate of outstanding debt as noted in the sector is recorded by the category of microfinance component projects and NGOs (8.3%). Despite the crisis, the sector in its dynamics could ever find the resources of its regeneration and continue its walk towards sustainability and poverty reduction through the ongoing actions of the different stakeholders involved. 25 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 ANNEX 26 ANNEXE-1 ANNEXE-2 ANNEXE-3 Quarterly Microfinance Outlook October - December 2010 EDITORIAL, EDITION AND READING STAFF COORDINATION EDITION Louis BIAO Janvier Nonfodji AHOUANSOU (Acting Coordinator of the Unit of (Programmer Keyborder / SSI) Supervision of the Decentralized Financial Ahouansou_janvier@ymail.com Institutions ) - Louis_biao@hotmail.com READING TEAM SUPERVISOR Leslie F. H. HOUESSOU Stanislas E. d’ALMEIDA BACO Awaou épse BABA-MOUSSA (Statistics and ICTs Officer) Chédrack YELOUASSI almeistanislas@yahoo.co.uk Serge B. EGNONSE KADOSSOSSI Janvier Nonfodji AHOUANSOU EDITOR Romuald DJOÏ Roméo S. ZOMAHOUN TCHALA Jacques ATCHEDE (Statisticien / SSI) - tchalazme@yahoo.fr Benoît DJOSSOU. EDITORIAL STAFF TRANSLATION Chédrack YELOUASSI Christophe DJOSSOU (Statistican / SSI) - cheyelo@yahoo.fr Financed by MCA - Benin GRAPHIC DESIGNER Serge B. EGNONSE KADOSSOSSI (Systems Analyst / SSI) egnonebaudouin@yahoo.fr 30