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FACT SHEETS BY COUNTRY 2 THE FACT SHEETS Each of the 16 sheets refers to one of the countries included in the study, i.e. ECOWAS (the Economic Community of West African States) countries and Mauritania. These fact sheets were designed to document the demographic section of the Africapolis database. They describe the sources and the methodology used for each country and explain, if necessary, how best to reconcile the data for optimizing an international comparison of the statistics. In order to make it also an easily consultable information tool, we have included the basic demographic indicators relative to the countries (total population, rates of growth and density of population), as well as a brief comparison between the results obtained by the Geopolis definition and by the official national definition The Demographic Sources: National Population Censuses In the French-speaking countries, the first Population Censuses (PC) date back to the middle of the 1970s, but can go back earlier in the English- and Portuguese-speaking countries. Nevertheless, in most countries, it is possible to use data from administrative counts done by the colonial governments at the end of the 1950s. About three to four PCs were carried out and published in each country between 1950 and 2005, most of them done to comply with UN recommendations of a census every ten years. In total, the area studied was covered by close to 60 counts and censuses for the period 1950-2005. Contrary to preconceptions, the importance of these sources is therefore far from negligible and, even if the countries were not equally covered or if the quality of the data is sometimes disparate, they represent first choice material for an exhaustive study of urbanization in West Africa. There has been remarkable progress in the distribution of the most recent censuses (certain data have been put on line) even though some older documents are not accessible and others have been lost because there has been no way of keeping them. Finally, the conflicts in Liberia and Sierra Leone have limited the number of censuses available for these two countries during the 1990s. 3 Table 1. Summary Table of the Demographic Sources used in the Africapolis Database Country Dates of PCs Benin Burkina Faso Cape Verde Côte d'Ivoire The Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau Liberia Mali Mauritania Niger Nigeria Senegal Sierra Leone Togo 1979, 1992, 2002 1975, 1985, 1996, 2006 1950, 1960, 1970, 1980, 1990, 2000 1975, 1988, 1998 1951, 1963, 1973, 1983, 1993, 2003 1948, 1960, 1970, 1984, 2000 1983, 1996 1950, 1960, 1979, 1991 1962, 1974, 1984 1976, 1987, 1998 1976, 1988, 2000 1977, 1988, 2001 1931, 1963, 1991, 2006 1976, 1988, 2002 1963, 1975, 1985, 2003 1959, 1970, 1981 PC: Population Census; d: demographic study ec: Electoral Census Number of Spatial Units 3,761 7,750 ? 8,540 1,802 52,000 14,000 ? 1,750 11,525 7,300 23,916 24,500 13,500 1,800 2,970 a: administrative count Other Sources (Partial Data) d 1961 a 1958, est. 2001 ec 2005 a 1965 a 1938, a 1956, d 1962 a 1955, a 1965 a 1947 ec 1992 est: Estimate by National Statistical Services. The Africapolis Database: Villages, ‘Localités’ and Localities The Africapolis database was created from a time series of statistical data provided by censuses and population counts, which were carried out in the region between 1950 and 2000. To the extent that the information is available and accessible, the population data of the Africapolis database correspond to the most disaggregate level of the PC grid, i.e., depending on the country, to that of “villages” or “localities”. The English-speaking countries (Ghana, Sierra Leone, The Gambia and Nigeria) also use the term “settlements”, a concept without any real equivalent in French. The settlement represents all categories of population centers, whatever their size and administrative status. Its use within the framework of censuses can vary from country to country and can be substituted to the term “locality” (Liberia and Nigeria). The population of villages or localities is either an integrated part of the PC results as the smallest unit of administrative partitioning or published separately (for example, the village directories of Burkina Faso or Senegal and the Gazetter of Ghana). 4 When indicated by the statistical services, these spatial units have been made explicit in the fact-sheets because they do not always represent identical population groups or spatial units. For example, the census localities in Senegal and Côte d’Ivoire correspond to levels of territorial desaggregation different: in Senegal, the locality is the sparsest part of the grid, below the village, whereas in the Côte d’Ivoire, the locality is conceived as an entity, which includes a “core village” and its hamlets (called camps). In the French-speaking countries, the “village” is an administrative unit that may or may not “absorb” its dependent hamlets, and therefore may not be a spatial unit (Côte d’Ivoire and Niger). In other cases (Burkina Faso and Mali), the village is defined territorially. On the other hand, excluding a few cases where there was some methodological trial and error before formal definitions were adopted, these definitions seem relatively stable over time at the level of each country. Ghana presents an interesting example to the extent that because the original definition was kept, an explosion in the number of listed localities occurred, going from 31,000 in 1960 to 56,000 in 1984. In some instances (census years or countries) the population data per village or locality do not exist or, if they do, there are still no reliable geographical location data to map them. The country sheets show the level of disintegration for the PC years going into the Africapolis database. The Official Definitions of “Urban” The official definitions of “urban” are expressed so that they can be compared with the results of the Geopolis methodology. Indeed, urbanization at the regional level cannot be measured with these definitions because none of the 16 countries of the area has a similar definition. The definitions often change and the terminology sometimes changes within the same document (cities, towns, agglomerations, urban centers, urban locales). National definitions in fact have no other objective than to provide a description of the urbanization appropriate to a country or its socio-economic conditions at the time. The study refers only to the definitions given in the population census reports officially published by the corresponding national statistical services. Indeed, in several countries, the statistical services responsible for analyzing census results set out the discussions and vacillations that led them to choose one definition over another. In other countries, the administrative definition used by the government is automatically adopted. A comparison between the national definitions of ‘urban’ in use in West Africa show that an exclusively demographic approach of urban has been used in the English-speaking countries, except The Gambia, over the whole period 1950-2005, with a demographic threshold that was occasionally raised during the most recent censuses. This criterion has not been selected by the French-speaking countries unless combined with other, often functional, criteria (Benin, Côte d’Ivoire, Mali, Niger, and Guinea). There the definition of “urban” is very unstable, with an increasing tendency to favor the administrative criterion. In French-speaking countries, in order to be urban (in contrast to rural areas), a locality must be the administrative center of a territorial unit (Guinea, for example) or have municipal status (Senegal, for example) and sometimes both at the same time. The implementation of decentralization programs supported by donors from the 1980s onwards seems to have clearly accentuated the use of the administrative criterion. “Urban” is thus increasingly simply assimilated to urban municipalities. 5 REPUBLIC OF BENIN A former French colony, Dahomey adopted the name of Republic of Benin in 1975. The first administrative capital was transferred to Porto Novo in 1923, but Cotonou, the population of which was not much higher in 1960, rapidly became the largest city in the country with a population four times greater than Porto Novo in 1990. Table BEN1. National Demographic Indicators (1979-2020) 1979 Population 3,331,210 2002 Population 6,803,259 2000 Population Density 2020s Population 11,336,407 1950-2000 Multiplication 55 4.2 Sources: PCs 1979 and 2002, Africapolis Database DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data The first PC in 1979 was the most belated of the region., It was preceded by an administrative census In 1960, which was the basis for a demographic survey carried out in 1961 over the whole territory (about 10% of villages were surveyed). In January 2006, the Government carried out an estimate of the population based on the electoral rolls, the data from which were available at the Arrondissement level. Population Census Population Census Population Census March 20 1979 February 15 1992 February 15 to March 1 2002 6 1979 Table BEN2. PC Territorial Divisions (1979-2002) 1992 2002 5 Departments Villages 6 Departments 77 Sous-préfectures or Urban Districts Urban Communes or Village 12 Departments 77 Communes (Souspréfectures or urban districts) 546 Arrondissements city neighborhood /Village Territorial Partitioning Soon after the country’s independence in August 1960, the old administrative ‘circles’ (‘cercles’) and subdivisions were regrouped into six departments (South East, South, South West, Centre, North East and North West) within the three geographical/natural regions of Lower Dahomey, Central Dahomey and Northern Dahomey, each divided into three to six Sous-préfectures. There were two administrative territorial reorganizations, in 1981 and in 1999. The present territorial divisions are the result of a Law of January 15, 1999, which doubled the number of departments by splitting each of them into two. The changes in territorial partitioning can be reconstructed back to 1960 as shown in Table BEN3. Table BEN3. Benin’s Departments (1960-1999) Departments 1960 North East Center North West South South East Departments 1981 Borgou Zou Mono Atacora (or Atakora) Atlantic Ouémé Departments 1999 Borgou Alibori Zou Hills Mono Couffo Atacora (or Atakora) Donga Atlantic Coastal Ouémé Plateau Source: 1960, 1981 and 1999 PCs. 7 At the level below the department, the administrative divisions and those arising from decentralization merge since the Communes today are in fact territorial subdivisions of departments. The Commune is the only level of decentralization. Another Law of January 15, 1999 changed the Sous-préfectures and urban districts into 77 Communes, sub-divided into arrondissements (the Association Nationale des Communes du Bénin [the Benin National Communal Association] was formed in 2003). The arrondissements are not Local Governments but are administrative divisions like the villages and city neighborhoods, which constitute the lowest level of territorial partitioning. Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database The demographic data come from the lists of the villages and the city neighborhoods established during the three population censuses by the Benin statistical services. The list is published with the census results by administrative district (department, Sous-préfecture or urban district, municipality or village), with villages and city neighborhoods constituting the smallest territorial unit in the census. When there is no municipality, the data are organized on two levels, that of the department and the village/ city neighborhoods. But no definition of the village is given. URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban” Over time the definition moved back and forth between an administrative and demographic approach and a functional approach with changing criteria. The 1961 demographic survey made a distinction between a “rural unit” and an “urban unit”, the latter made up of six towns defined by size and percentage of agricultural population. But later, those responsible for the census noted that it would have been more useful to include a third unit made up of “secondary centers with administrative and health services”, including the administrative centers of Sous-préfectures (INSEE, 1964, p. 3). The importance of small towns in urban growth was reaffirmed during the 1992 PC, and urbanization was described according to a typology of large, medium and small towns. In 1979, the Institut National de la Statistique et de l'Analyse Economique (INSAE) [National Institute for Statistical and Economic Analysis] had defined as a town “any agglomeration with 10,000 inhabitants or more and with at least four of the following infrastructures: P and T [Postal and Telecommunication Services], Tax Office, Public Treasury, Bank Agency, water supply, electricity, health care and a high school.” (PC 1992, vol.2, 1994, p.37). The PC analysts stress that in 1978 – or the 1979 PC, the official urbanization rate had risen to 40% because then the status of “town” followed the administrative reform that had established all regional administrative centers as urban Communes. The INSAE’s later adoption of new criteria thus caused the urbanization rate to plummet almost by half, to 26.5% (ibidem). The definition adopted in 1992 reverted to an administrative criterion based on communal status; thus “the urban Communes of which shelter at least 10,000 inhabitants (ibidem p.37) became officially urban. 8 The 2002 census adds a functional criterion to the working definition and defines “urban” “as a heterogeneous area grouping any communal administrative center with at least 10,000 inhabitants and at least one of the following infrastructures: Post Office and Telecommunications (PTT), Treasury Revenue and Tax Office, water supply system, electricity, health center, general education college, including higher secondary education on the one hand; and any Arrondissement with at least four of the infrastructures listed above and at least 10,000 inhabitants." (2002 and 2003 PCs). The map shows, for example, that the (urban) municipality of Bassila, which became an Arrondissement in 1999, was in fact made up of villages spread out over more than 70 kilometers along the border with Togo. Inversely, some official villages are actually large agglomerations that do not fit in the urban category as defined by the census categories. Some agglomerations can spread over different adjacent municipalities. Map BEN1. Municipal Boundaries and Village Distribution in Benin (2002) Table BEN4. Urbanization in Benin according to Official Definitions (1960-2005) 1961 1979 1992 2002 Number Urban Centers 6* 23 51 - of Average Size 34,833 38,422 34,435 - Urban Population 209,000 883,685 1,756,197 2,630,133 Urbanization Rate 11.14% 26.5% 35.7% 38.9% Source: PC of corresponding years, urbanization rate calculations of 1960 * the smallest, Djougou, had 9, 500 residents Measure of Urbanization according to the Geopolis Definition Map B1 – Agglomerations in Benin in 2000 (map: Africapolis/SEDET, 2008) Among the agglomerations identified in Benin, 77 had more than 10,000 inhabitants and about a third had less than 50,000 inhabitants in 2000. While the percentage of the population living in the country’s two metropolitan areas doubled between 1960 and 2000, the increment of secondary centers is out of line (the percentage of the population of these secondary towns multiplied by nine, going from 2.6 to 24.4%), which explains the focus placed by the Benin statistical services on administrative centers beneath the departmental level; in 1992, they noted an almost equal spread of the total population among the three large cities (Cotonou, PortoNovo and Parakou) and the Sous-préfectures’ administrative centers between 10,000 and 100,000 inhabitants. Table BEN5. Urbanization Indicators (1960-2020) 1960 1980 2000 2020e Geopolis Urbanization Rate 10.8 32.6 43.0 46.0 Primacy Index 1.39 2.67 3.84 4.01 8.0 15.8 17.9 17.6 3 17,512 2.8 37 15,567 16.8 67 24,007 25.09 85 37,857 28.4 % of the population living in the metropolitan areas (Cotonou, PortoNovo) Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and above Number Average Size % of resident population Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa. Table BEN6. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe Cotonou 9 21,000 78,300 164,355 358,002 591,710 911,319 1,259,633 1,607,948 Porto-Novo 3 29,100 64,000 94,116 148,178 188,926 237,263 314,272 391,282 Parakou 1 5,200 14,000 19,794 64,156 97,128 140,707 205,202 269,698 Bohicon 5 0 7,200 13,186 26,427 42,964 65,097 88,480 111,863 Djougou 1 5,200 9,500 11,620 30,508 46,605 61,024 81,075 101,125 Abomey 1 15,000 21,000 19,484 22,503 45,950 58,163 73,122 88,081 Nikki 1 0 0 10,195 16,573 26,941 42,213 63,003 83,794 Ouidah 1 13,769 19,000 21,022 26,070 31,514 36,709 52,250 67,791 Ekpé 1 0 0 8,199 11,059 14,913 30,454 47,606 64,757 Malanville 1 0 0 3,718 13,379 23,782 34,106 49,114 64,121 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. REFERENCES République du Dahomey - Enquête démographique 1961. [Republic of Dahomey – Demographic Survey, 1961] Ministère de la Coopération, INSEE service de coopération, Paris, 1964. Deuxième Population Census et de l'Habitat Février 1992. Volume II Analyse des résultats – Tome 1 Répartition spatiale migration et structure par âge et sexe. [Second Population and Housing Census, February 1992. Volume II, Result Analysis – Volume 1 Spatial Spread, Migration and Structure by Age and Sex]). INSAE, March 1994. RGPH février 1992 - Un cahier publié par département – Population [des] Villages et quartiers des villes (cartes de Sub-prefectures). [PHC, February 1992 – Portfolio published for each department – Population (of) Villages and Town Boroughs (maps of Sous-préfectures)] Institut National de la Statistique et de l'Analyse Economique, November 1994; tableau: Nombre de ménages et leurs populations par sexe selon le département, la sous-préfecture ou la circonscription urbaine, la commune ou le village. [Table: Number of households and their populations by sex according to department, sous-préfecture or urban district, municipality or village.] Troisième Population Census et de l'Habitat Février 2002- Synthèse des résultats, [Third Population and Housing Census, February 2002 – Summary of Results] Direction des Etudes Démographiques, Institut National de la Statistique et de l'Analyse Economique, Cotonou October 2003 Cahier des villages et quartiers de ville – Un cahier publié par département- [Portfolio of villages and town boroughs – a portfolio published by department] Unicef, UNFPA, DDC Swiss Cooperation to Benin and Institut National de la Statistique et de l'Analyse Economique, Cotonou, May 2004. SYLL Ousmane (Oct 2005). La décentralisation en Afrique de l’Ouest – Bénin. [Decentralization in West Africa] Master’s Thesis, Université de FrancheComté, within the framework of a Cercoop internship. www.cercoop.org/fiches/Fiche_decentr_Benin.pdf 12 BURKINA FASO Table BFA1. National Demographic Indicators (1975-2020) 1975 Population 5,638,203 2006 Population 13,902,972 2000 Population Density 2020 Population e 18,418,670 1950-2000 Multiplication 42 X 3.6 Sources: 1975 and 2006 PCs, Africapolis Database DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data The first PC took place in 1975 within the framework of the African Census Program of the United Nations’ Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA). Data for earlier periods come from the following: administrative surveys of 1949-1950 and 1955, the Demographic Survey by sample of 1960-61 (75,000 people surveyed) and the demographic census of Ouagadougou of 1962. The last two statistical sources only allow reconciliation with the 1975 PC at the national level. Censuses then took place at ten-year intervals after 1975: in 1985, in 1996 and in 2006. Burkina Faso has also carried out three intermediary demographic surveys: in 1991 over a sample of 20,064 households, in 1993 and then in 1998, in order to calculate the increase in population and to update demographic indicators. Population Census December 1 to 10 1975 Population Census October 12 1985 Population and Housing Census December 10 to 20 1996 Population and Housing Census December 10 to 20 2006 13 Table BFA2. PC Administrative Divisions (1975-2006) 1975 1996 10 Departments 44 Sous-préfectures 98 Arrondissements 7200 Villages 13 Regions 45 Provinces 351 Departments 8317 Villages/Sectors 2006 13 Regions 45 Provinces 350 Urban and Rural Communes + Commune of Ouagadougou 8600 Villages/Sectors Territorial Partitioning Not long before the 1975 PC, an ordinance of July 1974 established new territorial divisions, structured up from the village level and consisting of three other levels: the departments, the sous-préfectures and the arrondissements. Five years later, 25 sous-préfectures and 25 arrondissements were created (Decrees of April 25 and May 16, 1979). The Decentralization Laws of 1991 and 1993 created three kinds of Communes: urban Communes, rural Communes and Communes of Arrondissement in the large cities. There were several territorial partitioning reorganizations until a General Code of Local Government was adopted in 2005. A first series of laws enacted in 1998 finalized the principles used for implementing decentralization and operating the associated communal government system. At the time of the local elections in 2000, there were 49 urban Communes. The 2001 provisions turned the regions into municipalities as well, but without removing their status as administrative districts. The General Code of Local Government, which provides for the expansion of municipalization to the whole territory, was proclaimed in April 2005. This code matched the Communes’ boundaries with the operating departmental ones and thus redefined urban and rural Communes. The Communes were organized into sectors and/or villages. The urban Communes with special status (Ouagadougou and Bobo-Dioulasso) were divided into arrondissements, grouping several sectors and/or villages. The villages went from administrative subdivisions to entities integrated into the municipalization process. 14 Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database The data from the Africapolis database are established from the most disaggregate level of the 1975, 1985, 1996 and 2006 censuses, i.e. the village. These data are available as Directories or Atlases of the villages, published independently of the census results. Urban Communes Rural Communes Territorial entity with at least one Group of villages of at least 5,000 agglomeration of more than 25,000 inhabitants, generating resources inhabitants, generating resources greater greater than CFAF 5 million than CFAF 25 million The issues relating to the definition of villages were dealt with by the Burkina Faso statistical services when the Atlas of Villages was created in 1975. Established for the mapping work that prepared and followed the census operations, the Atlas is an assembly of maps indicating the location of villages. It also has a folder in which the village populations are listed alphabetically. The aim of locating the villages was to standardize the definition of the village geographically, rather than administratively or politically (chiefdoms). In 1975, 60% of villages had less than 500 inhabitants, but regional variations are considerable, going from the wide spread of villages of less than 200 inhabitants in the Goua region in Lobi-Dagari to the large villages of 2,000 to 5,000 habitants in the agricultural country of Mossi. Table BFA3. Changes in the Number of Registered Villages (1960 -2006) 1960 1975 1985 1996 2006 7,067 7,200 7,132 8,616 8,600 Note: the number of villages varies slightly depending on the statistical sources consulted. URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban” Although some criteria for defining urban centers have changed since 1960, the approach adopted by Burkina Faso was above all functional. “Localities” with infrastructures deemed necessary for urban status were called “urban”. The criterion of size was deemed less important than the “determining criteria of modernization” (1985 PC, Final Results, n.d., p.197). 15 In 1975 and in 1985, the urban localities were those of more than 10,000 residents, with distribution networks for drinking water and electricity. The number of urban centers went from 5 to 14 between the two censuses to include “some semi-urban centers from 1975, which were administrative centers of préfectures and sous-préfectures.” (1985 PC. Final Results, n.d., p.197). Among the 31 locales of more than 10,000 inhabitants in 1988, 17 were "rural" because they did not meet the amenities criterion (yet the largest has a population of 22,000 inhabitants). However the basic definition seemed unsatisfactory for 1985 since 4 locales of more than 10,000 inhabitants were added to the initial list (Nouna, Gourcy, Orodara and Réo): it was stipulated that, since they were provincial administrative centers, they “played a very important economic and social role on the regional level”, and their addition enabled the growth of the urban population to be assessed according to the overall functional approach used in 1975 (ibidem). In the volume publishing the 1996 PC, “the urban environment includes all the localities with a minimum of socio-economic and administrative infrastructures (schools, governmental institutions, water and electricity distribution networks, etc.).” The number of population was not an urban criterion, with the result that localities of less than 10,000 inhabitants or less than 5,000 inhabitants could qualify as “urban”. It should be noted that in the 1985 census, no locality of less than 10,000 inhabitants was considered urban. Nevertheless, no official list of towns was provided for 1996; and the census report noted that since the amenities thresholds were not defined by the Statistical Institute (INSD), the conceptual content of the urban environment was therefore relatively blurred. In 2006, the urban population referred to inhabitants residing in the localities considered to be towns, i.e. the 45 provincial administrative centers and the four mid-sized towns of Bitou, Niangokolo, Garango and Pouytenga. Table BFA4. Urbanization in Burkina Faso according to Official Definitions (1960-2006) 1960 1975 1985 1996 2006 Number of Urban Centers 5* 18 49 - Average Size Urban Population Urbanization Rate 72,522 56,220 - 209,874 362,610 1,011,974 2,766,383 4.7% 6.4% 12.7% 20% 20.1% Source: PC of corresponding years * Ougadougou, Bobo-Dioulasso, Banfora, Ouahigouya and Koudougou 16 Urbanization in Burkina Faso according to the Geopolis Definition Map BFA1. Agglomerations in Burkina Faso in 2000 Although constantly on the increase, as it was elsewhere in West Africa, neither the population of the two metropolitan areas nor that of the secondary centers absorbed the majority of the growth in population in agglomerations between 1960 and 2000. The percentage of the whole population residing in secondary centers is thus half that of Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana or Benin; on the other hand it is close to that of Niger. This trend is not likely to change over the next ten years. With almost 15% of the total population in 2000, the agglomerations of 5,000 to 10,000 inhabitants taken as a whole seem to be as important in terms of population distribution. (map: Africapolis/SEDET, 2008) 17 Table BFA5. Urbanization Indicators (1960-2020) 1960 1980 2000 2020e Geopolis Urbanization Rate 3.9 11.0 22.0 27.8 Primacy Index 1.14 1.74 2.59 3.03 3.1 6.6 11.0 13.33 2 15,177 0.83 16 17,941 4.38 56 22,250 10.94 93 28,678 14.48 % of population living in the metropolitan areas (Ouagadougou and BoboDioulasso) Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and above Number Average Size % of resident population Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa. Table BFA6. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration Ouagadougou NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe 10 35,481 60,246 126,044 274,067 562,264 900,064 1,365,051 1,830,038 Bobo-Dioulasso 1 35,839 52,642 86,771 157,271 259,261 349,605 479,563 609,522 Banfora 1 0 3,930 8,310 19,928 40,687 56,747 79,991 103,235 Ouahigouya 1 6,530 11,591 19,658 31,028 43,931 58,205 77,524 96,843 Koudougou 1 10,315 18,763 31,832 43,066 59,610 75,968 86,301 96,633 Tenkodogo 2 2,562 5,637 12,228 24,022 34,002 50,140 67,766 85,391 Pouytenga 1 0 0 4,571 8,741 19,249 41,635 61,748 81,861 Kaya 1 2,123 7,917 15,077 22,026 28,914 39,444 58,015 76,586 Tanghin-Dassouri 1 0 0 0 3,877 11,417 32,088 52,758 73,429 Pissila 1 0 0 0 0 5,417 22,812 40,207 57,602 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. 18 REFERENCES Republic of Upper Volta. Enquête démographique de haute Volta, 1960, [Demographic Survey of Upper Volta, 1960] Volume1, List of Localities. Institut National de la Statistique et de la Démographie. Atlas des villages de Haute Volta 1975.[Atlas of Villages in Upper Volta] Republic of Upper Volta (n.d.). Institut National de la Statistique et de la Démographie. Population Census Décembre 1975. Résultats définitifs, vol I: les données nationales. [Population Census, December 1975. Final Results, vol. 1: National Data] Republic of Upper Volta (n.d.). Institut National de la Statistique et de la Démographie. Population Census Burkina Faso 1985. Analyse des résultats définitifs. [Population Census, Burkina Faso, 1985. Analysis of Final Results] INSD, Direction de la démographie, n.d. Bureau National du Recensement. Résultats préliminaires du recensement de la population et de l’habitation (RGPH) 2006. [National Census Bureau, Preliminary Results of Population and Housing Census (PHC) 2006] Burkina Faso, April 2007. BAUCHEMIN Cris, BAUCHEMIN Estelle, LE JEUNE Gael. TABVILLES BF: Rapport de présentation. EMIUB. Document technique d’analyse, n° 2002-1. [Presentation Report. EMIUB. Technical Analysis Document, No. 2002-1] COULIBALY Daniel. Les évolutions du cadre juridique et institutionnel de la décentralisation au Burkina Faso, Note d’information. [Changes in the legal and institutional framework of decentralization in Burkina Faso, Briefing note.] On line: http://www.afrique-gouvernance.net 19 REPUBLIC OF CAPE VERDE Table CPV1. National Demographic Indicators 1991 Population 355,278 2000 Population Density 108 2000 Population 434,812 2020s Population 593,880 1950-2000 Multiplication 3 Sources: 1991 Population Census, Africapolis Database. DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data Since 1930, a population census has been carried out every ten years in this former Portuguese colony, which has been independent since 1975. The last three population censuses since independence have been supported by the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA). Census December 15 1950 Census December 15 1960 Census December 15 1970 Census June 2 1980 Census June 23 1990 Census March 16 2000 Territorial Partitioning Cape Verde is an archipelago made up of the six islands of Barlavento (the “windward” islands) in the North of the archipelago and the four islands of Sotavento (the “leeward” islands) in the South. The territory is partitioned into concelhos, freguesias (parishes or council subdivisions) and povoados or bairros. The concelho is an administrative district and the basis on which local communities are organized at the level of the 20 municipality, the municipio. In 2005, five freguesias were promoted to the rank of concelhos. Territorial organization is adapted to the archipelago’s configuration. While the large islands are made up of several administrative entities and municipalities, the smaller islands are each represented by an administrative district and only one municipality. Table CPV2. Territorial Organization in 2006 Santo Antao Island 3 concelhos Sao Nicolau Island 2 concelhos Fogo Island 3 concelhos Santiago Island 9 concelhos Brava, Boa Vista, Maio, Sal and São Vicente (Mindelo). 1 concelho each URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION: Urbanization in Cape Verde according to the Geopolis Definition Map CPV1. Agglomerations in Cape Verde in 2000 Cape Verde, the population of which living abroad is greater than the resident population, has the highest GDP per inhabitant in West Africa (>$2000 per year). In this small country, the size of the few agglomerations is increasing significantly. In 2000, three of them had more than 10,000 inhabitants; they should number eight in 2020. The capital, Praia, will not become an agglomeration of more than 100,000 inhabitants until 2010. The urbanization rate, at close to 60%, remains definitely higher than the West African average. (map: Africapolis/SEDET) 21 Table CPV4. Urbanization Indicators in Cape Verde (1960-2020) 1960 1980 2000 2020e Geopolis Urbanization Rate 15.8 25.2 39.3 57.7 Primacy Index 1.4 1.02 1.5 1.7 % of the population living in metropolitan areas (Praia) 6.5 12.7 21.8 27.1 2 2 3 8 15,750 37,250 56,982 42,863 6 12 39 58 Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and above Number Average Size % of resident population Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa. Table CPV5. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe Praia 1 10,084 13,100 21,494 37,700 61,644 94,757 127,870 160,983 Mindelo 1 7,300 18,400 28,797 36,800 47,109 62,970 78,831 94,692 Santa Maria 1 1,838 0 0 0 1,343 13,220 18,000 22,780 Pedro Badejo 1 0 0 0 0 5,302 8,492 11,682 14,872 Mindelo 1 0 0 1,939 2,677 3,414 7,095 10,776 14,457 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 0 0 1,899 5,456 9,013 12,570 São Filipe 1 0 0 3,359 4,400 5,616 7,894 10,172 12,450 Tarrafal 1 0 0 361 1,089 3,626 5,785 7,944 10,103 Porto Novo 1 0 0 0 0 4,867 5,532 6,197 6,862 São Miguel 1 0 0 1,215 2,599 4,022 4,884 5,746 6,608 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. 22 REPUBLIC OF CÔTE D'IVOIRE Yamoussoukro, once a village, was chosen as the political capital in 1983. Once promoted to the position of capital, this “new town” grew strongly: it was the fourth largest urban center in the country during the latest PHC in 1998. Côte d'Ivoire is planning to have a new PHC in November 2008. Table CIV1. National Demographic Indicators 1975 Population 6,702,866 1998 Population 15,366,672 2020s Population 25,905,447 2000 Population Density 1950-2000 Multiplication 51 X 6.1 Sources: 1975 and 1998 PCs, Africapolis Database DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data The first PC was carried out in 1975. For earlier periods, demographic data were collected during administrative censuses in 1936, 1954-56 and 1965. Data collected by the large regional surveys carried out for economic planning in the 1960s and 1970s also make it possible to calculate a certain number of demographic indicators. A new census is planned for 2008. Population and Housing Census Population and Housing Census Population and Housing Census 1975 26 Departments 135 Sous-préfectures 8265 localities April 30 1975 March 3 1988 November 21/December 20 1998 Table CIV2. PC Territorial Divisions (1975-1998) 1988 1998 19 Regions 58 Departments 58 Departments 185 Sous-préfectures 183 Sous-préfectures 8481 localities, including one municipal sector 8540 localities (core village (135 Communes )/non municipal sector + camps) 23 Administrative Partitioning The administrative grid and hierarchy have been relatively stable since the country’s independence; the territory is divided into departments and sous-préfectures. On the other hand, the number of administrative entities, especially the departments, has increased considerably since 1960 when there were four departments and 100 sous-préfectures. Also, some of these entities have changed names. The regions were only created in 1991 and there were initially ten of them (Decree of December 16, 1991). The smallest administrative division is the village – still called locality. The village is a “geographical territory made up of the core village and the camps that depend upon it. The core village is the village’s main agglomeration.” (1988 PHC, vol.3, 1992, p.10). The localities were not administrative territorial divisions when the censuses were carried out (2001 Law on Territorial Organization). The administrative partitioning does not coincide completely with the one that emerged from the decentralization policy, but the PGC reports nevertheless include both kinds of territorial divisions. The results of the 1998 PHC presented by department showed both a non municipal and a municipal sector. The decentralization policy was implemented through the first laws of 1978, and continued through a proactive policy at the end of the 1980s. But the rural environment was excluded from municipalization until the first rural municipalities (‘Communautés Rurales’) were created in 1995 and established outside the boundaries of existing municipalities (Communes). As for the regions, they became municipalities in 1991. In 2001, Abidjan was given the special status of "district", and organized into Communes, the boundaries of which corresponded to the large historic city neighborhoods. At the beginning of the 2000s there were about 200 Communes in Côte d'Ivoire, a certain number of which were also the administrative centers of sous-préfectures; the municipal sector included 40% of the territory and 52% of the population. The Data from the Africapolis Database Used for the Study The data was gathered at the most disaggregate level shown in the censuses, i.e. the “locality” or “village”. The population of agglomerations in the Africapolis database comes from the directories of localities of 1975, 1988 (floppy disc provided by the Institut National de la Statistique [National Statistical Institute]) and 1998, and a directory of villages published in 1955, which shows the population over a period stretching from 1949 to 1955 depending on the village. The statistical services of Côte d’Ivoire have indeed produced exhaustive directories of localities since the beginning of the 1960s. The first was constructed for the smallpox eradication campaign of 1962-1963 (published in 1965). The village is therefore regarded as a unit consisting of a “core village” and its “camps”. The term “camps”, which originally designated the seasonal or temporary residences of farmers in the plantation areas of the South of the country, now seems to be applied to all the camps and hamlets of Côte d’Ivoire. These camps and hamlets vary in size, including tens to hundreds of residents, but the regional weight of population they represent is far from negligible: in some sous-préfectures, the camps have a larger population than the core village. While the population of the camps represented 38% of the total population registered in the core villages during the last census, this proportion was clearly higher in the South East of the country. In 1988, half the population considered as rural lived in villages of 1,000 inhabitants or less (which represented 76% of the total of villages in Côte d’Ivoire). 24 The census documents consulted do not provide a formal definition of the village, any more than of the core village. The core villages are probably recorded geographically (they have a territory), but the camps and hamlets officially attached to them are under the political or customary authority of their core village. In both cases, there is no legal territorial demarcation of the localities or their camps (DUREAU, 1991, p.105). Furthermore the creation of several hundreds of Communes has created increasing confusion between the village or locality and the municipality because the Communes sometimes include several localities, the area boundaries of which have not been defined (DUREAU, 1991, p. 111). Table CIV3. Change in the Number of Localities/Villages (1975 -1998) 1975 1988 8,200 8,482 (and 83,549 camps) 1998 8,540 localities (and 35,217 camps) 25 URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban” Urban measurement in Côte d’Ivoire reveals an increasing indecision over different approaches. The approach used over time has proven more and more complex, sometimes becoming a blend of demographic threshold, administrative and functional criteria. In 1955, the administrative centers were de facto considered as urban. From 1975, the minimum demographic threshold of 4,000 inhabitants for a locality to be classified as urban referred back to the work carried out in 1966-67 for the creation of the Côte d’Ivoire Atlas (DUREAU, 1991, p. 106). The dual classification adopted in 1975 showed the problems of defining “urban” while respecting a functional rationale: all the localities with a population of more than 10,000 inhabitants were urban whereas those with a size varying from 4,000 to 10,000 inhabitants had to have less than half their population classified in the agricultural sector. Whatever the criteria adopted – administrative in 1955, demographic and administrative in 1960, demographic, administrative and functional in 1975 and 1988 – the PC analysts corrected the initial list of urban localities, either because these did not seem to be urban (a group of villages) or because the rural localities had to be de facto urban because they were the department’s administrative centers. The administrative status of localities contributed to increased confusion since the analysis report of the 1988 PC noted that “out of 184 administrative centers of sous-préfectures, only 66 are classified as towns in 1988. This contributed to an increase in the average size of villages, which is 764 inhabitants.” (1988 PHC, volume 2, September 1992, p.10) Table CIV4. Urbanization in Côte d’Ivoire according to the Official Definition (1955-1998) Number Definition of Urban of Urbanization Average Size Urban Population Localities Rate Urban Centers 1955 Administrative centers (1) 48 1960 1975 1988 1998 + 5000 + 10.000 and 400010.000 with agri. pop. < 50% see 1975 def. and (3) see 1975 def. 21 65 67* - 62,993 - 4,220,535 6,529,138 38.5% 46% Source: DUREAU, 1991; 1988, 1998 PHCs. (1) except Touba and Toulepleu. (2) + 2 administrative centers, - 1 village group. The 2 administrative centers are Dabakala and Grand-Lahou since 1985, which had less than 4,000 inhabitants. The village group, the population of which was higher than 10,000 inhabitants, is Bonon. (3) plus Bangolo and Sakassou. * number provisionally given by the 1988 PHC based on the 1975 town classification. Urbanization according to the Geopolis Definition Map CIV1. Agglomerations of Côte d’Ivoire in 2000 The spread of agglomerations is, as in Ghana and Nigeria, quite dense, although most of the urban centers identified are located in the South-Eastern quadrant of the country. In 2000, there were 109 agglomerations of between 10,000 and 100,000 inhabitants. The main agglomerations of Côte d’Ivoire, those of more than 100,000 inhabitants in 2000, are also regional economic centers: these are Bouake, Daloa, Yamoussoukro, Korhogo, San-Pedro, Man and Gagnoa. Between 1975 and 1988, the number of departments doubled and the number of secondary agglomerations doubled, going from 52 to 108 agglomerations of more than 10,000 inhabitants. This phenomenon confirms the “administrative center effect” described in the second part of the report and shows the importance of administrative status in urban growth. (map: Africapolis/SEDET) Table CIV5. Urbanization Indicators in Côte d’Ivoire (1960-2020) Geopolis Urbanization Rate Number of agglomerations of 10,000 inhabitants and over Primacy Index % of the population residing in the metropolitan area of Abidjan Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and over Number Average Size % of the resident population 1960 9.7 1980 34.3 2000 42.6 2020e 46.8 8 53 109 190 3.86 5.79 6.48 6.87 5.6 16.0 19.3 19.6 8 21,027 4.1 52 28,305 18.3 106 35,930 23.3 195 36,089 27.2 Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa. Table CIV6. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe Abidjan 2 89,423 228,915 598,079 1,286,719 2,182,307 3,147,499 4,112,691 5,077,883 Bouaké 1 28,893 59,321 122,386 222,411 359,150 485,969 612,787 739,606 Daloa 1 4,051 17,058 47,137 81,371 133,069 182,689 232,309 281,929 San-Pedro 1 0 0 0 40,646 81,577 145,408 209,240 273,071 Yamoussoukro 1 671 3,503 17,819 56,638 119,101 163,604 208,107 252,611 Korhogo 1 11,153 18,589 34,679 67,165 116,424 147,944 179,464 210,984 Man 1 6,502 18,021 39,594 63,426 94,175 121,886 149,597 177,308 Gagnoa 1 12,677 17,748 30,602 56,456 89,752 111,077 132,403 153,728 Divo 1 2,445 9,423 27,182 49,498 75,529 88,992 102,456 115,920 Soubré 1 1,181 3,091 5,609 12,361 37,764 63,507 89,250 114,993 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. 28 REFERENCES Répertoire des localités de Côte d'Ivoire et population 1975. [Directory of localities in Côte d’Ivoire and population, 1975] National Census Bureau, Statistical Directorate, Republic of Côte d'Ivoire (n.d). Recensement Général de la Population et de l'Habitat année 1988. Résultats provisoires par localités, ensemble Côte d'Ivoire, 3ème Edition [Population and rd Housing Census, 1988. Provisional Results by Locality, all of Côte d’Ivoire, 3 Edition] Direction de la Statistique/ DCGTx, July 1991. Recensement Général de la Population et de l'Habitat année 1988. Tome 2 : Répartition spatiale de la population et migrations.[Population and Housing Census, 1988. Volume 2: Spacial Spread of Population and Migrations] INS, Abidjan September 1992. Recensement Général de la Population et de l'Habitat année 1988. Tome 3 : Analyse des résultats définitifs. [ Population and Housing Census, 1988. Volume 3: Analysis of Final Results] INS, Abidjan septembre 1992. DUREAU Françoise (1991). « D’une approche non fonctionnaliste du milieu urbain africain » in Croissance démographique et urbanisation. Séminaire International de Rabat (15-17 mai 1990). Numéro 5, AIDELF. [“On a Non Functional Approach to the African Urban Environment” in “Demographic Growth and Urbanization. International Seminar of Rabat – May 15-17 1990 – Number 5, AIDELF] SATO Akira (ed) (2003). « L'administration locale en Cote d'Ivoire » [“Local Administration in Côte d’Ivoire”] in Africa Research Series. No. 10 / 2003, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization (IDE-JETRO).URL : http://www.ide.go.jp/English/Publish/Ars/10.html 29 REPUBLIC OF THE GAMBIA Table GMB1. National Demographic Indicators 1963 Population 315,486 1983 Population 687,817 2020s Population 2,062,110 2000 Population Density 1950-2000 Multiplication 119 X 5.2 Sources: 1975 and 1998 PCs, Africapolis Database. DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data The first national census took place in 1963. However, the population of Bathurst1 and Kombo StMary Division had already been recorded in 1951. Census of Bathurst and Kombo StMary Division 1951 Population Census April 17 1963 Population Census April 21 1973 Population and Housing Census 1983 Population and Housing Census April 15 1993 Population and Housing Census 2003 The presentation of the PCs follows the current administrative partitioning at the time of the census, although in 1963, the term “Division” was used instead of “LGA”. The Gambia is divided into Local Government Areas (LGA), districts and villages. In 2003, Banjul Municipality and Kanifing Municipal Council (KMC) each had the status of LGA (for the census). Banjul is divided into 3 wards or constituencies (South, Central and North). 1 The town of Banjul bore the name of its founder, the Earl of Bathurst, until 1965. 30 1963 Table GMB2. PC Territorial Divisions 1973 1993 5 Divisions (or LGAs) + Bathurst (Island of St.Mary) Districts 8 LGAs 46 Districts LGA Districts 2003 8 LGA 39 Districts 1883 Settlements Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database The data presented in the sources used by the Africapolis database are far from homogeneous from the perspective of the size of the “settlements”. The settlement is a generic term describing any kind of center and inhabited place whatever its demographic size and administrative status. Only the population of Banjul is available for 1951. For 1963, only data on towns of more than 2,000 inhabitants are available. The data come from the settlement directories for the 1973, 1983 and 1993 PCs. Finally, the directory of settlements of the 2003 PC has still not been published. The available data used dealt with towns of more than 5,000 inhabitants. URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban” « To be accurate, there is no town in the Gambia except that of Bathurst », wrote the 1963 census director in his report (Oliver, 1965, p. 25). The list of the 43 (or 48 according to the documents consulted) places or towns recorded by the census services correspond in fact to the largest settlements, the size of which varies from 6,500 to 700 inhabitants. If the same criterion is used for 1973, there would be 66 “towns”. The statistical services of the Gambia did not raise the question of “urban” in the published documents of the 1973 and 1983 PCs. They simply noted that probably the only urban centers in the country were in the most densely populated regions of Banjul and Kombo St Mary (Population Census 1973 Provisional Report, 1973, p.7). In 2006, the provisional report of the PGC results provided an overall urbanization rate by LGA without stating the criteria used. Only the Banjul and Kanifing LGAs were considered completely urban. The Brikama LGA, located just South of Banjul and Kanifing, of which 60% of the population is considered urban, makes up the third urban area. As a result, more than 80% of the official urban population resides in the two LGAs of Kanifing and Brikima. 31 Table GMB3. Urban Population of The Gambia according to the Official Definition 1963 1973 1993 2003 Number of Urban Centers Bathurst 2 LGAs 2 LGAs 100% urban Average Size NA - Urban Population Urbanization Rate 27,809 130,417 - 8.9% 15.9% - 26.4% 37% NA - 51% Source: PCs for the corresponding dates, and no calculations Urbanization in the Gambia according to the Geopolis Definition The population of The Gambia is very highly concentrated into the Greater Banjul Area, which groups the morphologically distinct agglomerations of Banjul and Kanifing Municipal Council (or Kombo St. Mary Division), a tiny area representing only 1% of the total area of the country, but where more than a third of the total population lives. Constrained by the layout of Banjul, the population has spread out into Kanifing, which became the foremost agglomeration of the Gambia between 1970 and 1980. Kanifing expansion meant that the primacy rate leaped ahead in 2,000 and projections show that this trend should increase further in the future. As for the population of Banjul, it began to decrease in 1983. At the start of the 2000s, there were still fewer than 10 agglomerations of more than 10,000 inhabitants in The Gambia. Table GMB4. Urbanization Indicators in The Gambia, 1960-2020 1960 Geopolis Urbanization Rate 1980 2000 2020e 8.6 25.7 43.7 47.4 - 2.38 7.7 8.31 8.6 23.1 35.3 37.6 Number 0 1 5 8 Average Size - 16,067 21,183 25,268 % of resident population - 10.0 19.2 20.7 Primacy Index % of the population residing in the metropolitan areas (Banjul, Kanifing) Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and over Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa. 32 Map GMB1. Agglomerations of The Gambia in 2000 (map: Africapolis/SEDET) 33 Table GMB5. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe Kanifing 5 5 000 8 845 28 549 102 037 236 344 407 567 578 788 750 011 Brikama 1 0 3 352 7 578 16 067 33 929 52 696 71 463 90 229 Farafenni & Jigimarr 1 0 0 0 7 844 17 260 19 943 22 626 25 309 Banjul 1 26 038 25 520 35 850 42 839 42 889 36 766 30 195 24 799 Gunjur 1 0 3 304 4 339 6 285 9 065 12 713 16 361 20 009 Soma 1 0 0 0 3 322 6 940 10 107 13 274 16 441 Basse Santo Su 1 0 1 468 2 503 4 533 7 975 10 457 12 939 15 421 Busumbala 1 0 0 0 1 350 2 926 6 159 9 393 12 627 Sanyang 1 0 0 0 1 919 3 484 6 110 8 737 11 364 Essau 1 0 0 0 1 653 3 617 5 993 8 369 10 745 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. REFERENCES th OLIVER H.A. Report on the Census of Population of The Gambia Taken on April 18 , 1963. Sessional Paper no 13 of 1965, Printed by the Government Printer, Bathurst, Gambia 1965. Gambia Population census 1973 – Vol III General Report. Central Statistics Division, Ministry of Economic Planning and Industrial development, July 1976. Gambia Population Census 1983 – Vol I General Report. Central Statistics Division, Ministry of Economic Planning and Industrial development, October 1987. The 2003 provisional census report is available electronically: http://columbia.edu/~msj42/pdfs/Chapter1_Introduction.pdf and Chapter 1 34 REPUBLIC OF GHANA Ghana was created from the combining of the territories of the Gold Coast, a British colony, and part of Togoland, a former German colony that had been placed under a joint type “B” Franco-British protectorate in 1920, after World War I. In December 1956, the Gold Coast annexed the British section of the former German colony of Togoland, called Transvolta Togoland. The remainder of the Togoland territory became the future Togo. Ghana became independent in 1957. Table GHA1. National Demographic Indicators (1960-2020) 1960 Population 6,726,800 2000 Population 18,412,256 2020e Population 26,836,282 2000 Population Density 1950-2000 Multiplication 77 X 4.1 Sources: 1975 and 1998 PCs, Africapolis Database DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data Population counts were carried out by the British administration every ten years between 1891 and 1948 (except 1941). The first population census was carried out by the Ghanaian statistical services in 1960. Population and Housing Census of Ghana* February 1 1948 Population and Housing Census of Ghana March 20 1960 Population and Housing Census of Ghana March 1 1970 Population and Housing Census of Ghana March 11 1984 Population and Housing Census of Ghana March 26 2000 * The 1948 census excluded the non-African population. 35 1948 3 Administrative Areas (The Colony, Ashanti, Northern Territories) 19 Districts 88 Native Authorities (states or traditional areas headed by paramount chiefs) Table GHA2. PC Territorial Divisions (1948-2000) 1960 1970 1984 6 Regions + Accra Capital District (entity legally part of the Eastern Region, but created as an independent region for the census). 93 Local Authorities 2000 10 Administrative Regions 10 Administrative Regions 10 Administrative Regions 140 Local Authorities (or Council Areas) 140 Local Authorities (or Council Areas) Local Authorities (or Council Areas) City Councils, Municipal City Councils, Municipal Councils, Urban Councils, Urban Councils, Local Councils Councils, Local Councils Territorial Partitioning Colonial Inheritances As with a variety of English possessions (India, Sudan, Nigeria), the British regime distinguished the “colonies” directly under the control of its administration and the “protectorates”, where traditional law prevailed and where local particularities were carefully cultivated. In 1874, Ghana’s coastal area became a British colony. In 1900, the Ashanti region, already a protectorate, was annexed whereas the protectorate was extended to the Northern Territory in 1902. From then on, the Gold Coast became by far the largest producer of cocoa in the world2. In Ghana, this process was transcribed by a North-South development gradient, i.e. from the coast to the interior, the interior being considered as a hinterland. 2 Richard R. BRAND (1972). « The Role of Cocoa in the Growth and Spatial Organization of Accra (Ghana) Prior to 1921 » in African studies review. Vol. 15, n°2, Sep., 1972, pp. 271-282. 36 Table GHA3. Population Changes in the Colonial Era (1871-1948) Territories Ashanti Gold Coast Colony Northern Territory Total (1920-1956) British Togoland Present Territory 1871 1891 408,000 765,000 1,473,900 1901 364,000 1911 346,000 1921 448,000 1931 585,000 1948 962,000 1,095,000 1,227,000 1,396,000 1,715,000 2,637,000 435,000 1,894,000 144,000 2,038,000 531,000 2,104,000 166,000 2,270,000 694,000 2,538,000 207,000 2,745,000 861,000 3,161,000 294,000 3,568,000 1,277,000 4,876,000 458,000 5,334,000 Source: Population Censuses. This system led to considerable uneven development during the colonial era. Whereas development and infrastructure projects took place in the “colonies”, the British Empire was usually content to keep watch on the protectorates from afar. The graph thus shows that transforming a protectorate into a colony brought with it acceleration in demographic growth. The administrative subdivisions: Regions and Districts The regions were created following independence. Their boundaries were in large part inherited from the colonial era: reminiscent of the British colonization process and of past imperatives. - the Gold Coast colony was subdivided into Eastern, Central and Greater Accra; - the former protectorate, later the Ashanti colony, corresponds to the two regions of Ashanti and Brong Ahafo; - the Transvolta became the Volta region; - the Northern protectorate was subdivided into two, the Northern region and the Upper region. their shape is The inheritance of a territory that was colonized in stages explains the fact that the Northern region is not the country’s most Northern area and that the Central region is located in the South. For the purposes of studying the changes in population, this partitioning has the advantage of having remained stable, apart from the reorganization of Greater Accra and the partitioning of the Upper region into Upper West and Upper East. 37 Graph GHA1. Demographic Growth in the territories of the Gold Coast (1900-1940) 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% Ashanti Gold Coast Colony 1.5% Northern Territory 1.0% British Togoland 0.5% 0.0% -0.5% -1.0% 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 The regions were divided into 141 Local Government Councils, but this division was abolished on January 1, 2000 and replaced by 110 districts, the number of which increased to 167 in 2004. The district then became the favored level in the decentralization, guaranteed, according to the general objectives presupposed by any decentralization policy, “good governance” and democratic participation. Although the districts represent large geographical areas (the average area in 2000 was 1,324 km2), their importance in the communal government system corresponds to that of the new large “municipalities” of Benin, Mali or Niger. The districts are the subject of an unparalleled policy of promotion through the media in order to impose them in the face of other levels representing an old administrative landscape and to compensate for their lack of historical consistency and for the heterogeneity of their content. The districts are extremely varied, hence the problems in identifying this level. Many of them are characterized by considerable lack of polarization: the districts either group together several agglomerations of equal size or they do not include any urban center. 38 Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database The Gazetter is one of the publications of population censuses in Ghana. It lists all the country’s localities alphabetically, with their population and the number of houses. Since 1960, the census bureau has defined the locality as any built-up unit (house, hamlet, village or town) at least 200 yards away from the nearest built-up unit (Paragraph 5.3 of the 1960 Gazetter). As a result, the Gazetter includes a large number of hamlets that might have very few inhabitants. In 1960, two thirds of the localities had a population of less than a 100. In contrast, in 1948, there was no definition for the locality and, as a result, some of the hamlets were grouped together under the name of a single locality. This partly explains why the number of localities doubled between the two censuses. The locality is not a territorial division in Ghana. Table GHA4. Change in the Total Number of Localities (1948-1984) 1948 1960 1970 1984 15,121 30,397 47,769 56,170 For the purpose of this study, only the localities of more than 5,000 inhabitants were considered over the whole period. The geo-referenced data available to us at the moment do not make it possible to map the localities with a population below this threshold. URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban” There are two superimposed approaches for defining “urban”: functional and statistical criteria are used, together with a demographic threshold. The old partitioning system distinguished Local Councils (LCs) from Municipal or Urban Councils (MCs or UCs). These categories became obsolete with the new partitioning into districts, but some districts are defined as “metropolitan districts”. An official definition of “urban” was adopted by an independent Ghana during the preparatory work for the first census in 1960. The threshold of 5,000 inhabitants was chosen based on the theory that, beyond that size, the population of localities was no longer generally rural. And the national statistical services confirmed this hypothesis by publishing a table showing that only 41% of the population in the localities with between 5,000 and 10,000 inhabitants was involved in the agricultural and forest sector. The urban localities were then called “towns”. This definition remained valid in 1984. It should also be noted that the Ghanaian statistical services have been publishing, since 1960, in the Special Report series, a special volume on the localities of more than 10,000 inhabitants. There is no statistical definition of the agglomeration. Nevertheless, due to the sprawl of built-up areas, some agglomerations group together several localities, either urban or rural, then escaping 39 the existing official definitions of urban. The official urbanization rates were respectively 36%, 39% and 41% in 1960, 1970 and 1984. (Gazetteers) Urbanization in Ghana according to the Geopolis Definition The number of agglomerations of 10,000 inhabitants and over is the highest in the region – excluding Nigeria – although it is only slightly higher than that of Côte d’Ivoire. This density of urban networks together with a hierarchy in secondary centers makes the configuration of the urban system in Ghana the most complete in West Africa, together with that of Nigeria (see page 75 in the report). The large commercial city of Kumasi is one of the region’s rare second ranked agglomerations to pass the million inhabitant threshold. In contrast, the 3rd rank agglomerations, Sekondi/Takoradi and Tamale, are clearly smaller as their population was 200,000 inhabitants in 2000. Ghana is also one of the countries with large secondary towns and, although the metropolitan area of Accra should reach almost 4.5 million inhabitants in 2020, only 15% of the total population will live there. Unsurprisingly, given the number of localities of more than 5,000 inhabitants considered de facto as urban in Ghana, the official urbanization rate is greater than that calculated using the Géopolis definition. Table GHA6. Urbanization Indicators in Ghana (1960-2020) 1960 Geopolis Urbanization Rate Number of agglomerations inhabitants and above of 10,000 Primacy Index % of the population residing metropolitan area of Accra in the Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and above Number Average Size % of resident population 1980 2000 2020e 17.4 27.2 39.1 48.4 31 58 118 200 1.98 2.15 1.95 1.84 5.4 9.4 13.7 16.4 30 57 117 199 26 840 34 252 40 045 4 3257 12.0 17.7 25.4 32.1 Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa 40 Map GH1. Agglomerations of Ghana in 2000 (Map: Africapolis/SEDET) 41 Table GHA7. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe Accra 36 162 401 365 800 737 427 1 041 032 1 504 012 2 515 556 3 452 100 4 388 642 Kumasi 16 93 413 184 806 371 648 483 267 744 894 1 291 472 1 838 050 2 384 626 Sekondi 2 47 842 75 400 143 982 173 986 221 166 289 595 358 024 426 454 Tamale 2 18 768 40 400 84 088 118 917 159 461 210 195 260 929 311 663 Obuasi 3 16 796 22 800 32 182 52 018 82 222 132 431 182 640 232 849 Sunyani 5 7 460 20 800 35 634 50 437 70 561 99 060 127 559 156 058 Koforidua 3 24 171 41 500 56 648 67 429 83 851 107 446 131 041 154 637 Cape Coast 3 30 993 48 900 70 573 79 501 91 377 106 456 121 535 136 615 Techiman 2 3 183 8 755 12 333 21 054 36 248 66 786 97 324 127 862 Wa 1 6 449 14 300 21 400 31 070 45 405 66 644 87 883 109 122 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. REFERENCES 1960 Population Census of Ghana. Volume I : The Gazetteer alphabetical list of localities. Census Office Accra 1962. 1960 Population Census of Ghana. Volume III : Demographic characteristics. Census Office Accra 1964. 1984 Population Census of Ghana. The Gazetteer I (AA-KU). Statistical Service, Accra, Ghana. 1984 Population Census of Ghana. The Gazetteer II (KW-WU). Statistical Service, Accra, Ghana. 1984 Population Census of Ghana.). Demographic and economic characteristics. Total country. Statistical Service, Accra, Ghana, 1987. 42 REPUBLIC OF GUINEA Table GIN1. National Demographic Indicators of Guinea (1960-2020) 1954-55 Population 2,435,720 1996 Population 7,164,893 2020s Population 2000 Population Density 10,221,657 1950-2000 Multiplication 31 X 2.9 Sources: 1954-55 Demographic Survey and 1996 PC, Africapolis Database. DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY The population data gathered remain incomplete and not very homogeneous, which limits comparisons between urban trends over the period of the study. Urban dynamics in Guinea might still have been influenced by political events such as the return of exiles after the death of President Touré and the influx of refugees from Liberia between 1989 and 1996. The United Nations program has announced a new census in 2007, which does not appear to have been carried out. Demographic Data The results of the first PC carried out in 1960 do not appear to have been published and the data from the second PC of 1967 remain lost. Although not exhaustive, the demographic survey by sample of 1954-1955 by the Demographic Mission of Guinea is therefore the only historical reference for the period. Population Census Population Census Population Census Population Census August 10 1960* 1967* 1983 January 12 1996 * Data lost, never published 43 Table GIN2. Territorial Divisions during 1954-55 Survey and PCs 1996 PC (administrative 1954-55 Survey 1983 PC presentation) 4 ecological Regions: Maritime 7 Regions 4 Sectors Guinea, Mid-Guinea or Fouta 20 Circles (‘Cercles) Djallon, Upper-Guinea and Forested Guinea Préfectures* 33 Préfectures 340 Sous-préfectures, of which 38 urban Communes city neighborhoodSector/locality * the results of the 1983 PC were published according to the division into préfectures in force since 1984. In 1983, the census analysts preferred to present the census results according to Guinea’s four large natural regions, which, according to them, were much more homogeneous ecological and socio-cultural entities than the seven Commissariats Généraux de la Révolution (Revolutionary General Commissariats) or Provinces of the current administrative partitioning. A dual presentation by administrative region and natural region was adopted in 1996. Territorial Partitioning Before independence in 1958, Guinea was divided into four sectors, which corresponded to the country’s large ecological regions, and into 20 circles (‘Cercles’) or subdivisions. President Sékou Touré’s regime established a territorial division into 7 Commissariats Généraux de la Révolution (CGRs). This partitioning was modified to make way for the various levels represented by the provinces, the administrative regions and the arrondissements. In 1984, the new government divided the territory into 8 provinces and changed the arrondissements into souspréfectures. It seems that the prefectures established in 1984 were called administrative regions again in 1996. A series of legislative documents structured a first decentralization phase between 1986 and 1990. The towns were divided into official neighborhoods and rural areas into districts, which led to the progressive establishment of urban Communes and ‘rural Communes’ (Communautés Rurales de Développement), numbering 38 and 303 respectively in 2006. The préfecture was also a municipality between 1990 and 2001. The legislative framework states that the Communautés Rurales de Dévelopment result from of a grouping of more than 5,000 inhabitants from one or more localities or of rural districts organized around an urban center recognized as such by the population. In fact, they were substituted 44 for the sous-préfectures, which, in the initial plan of the decentralization program, should have disappeared. The urban Communes were created for each administrative center of the 33 préfectures of the country, and all municipalities were defined according to the boundaries of the administrative subdivisions they were replacing. The former province of Conakry had special status as it had a dual status: it s both an administrative district and a municipality. Five Communes (Kaloum, Dixinn, Ratoma, Matam and Matoto) replaced the former prefectoral administrative division, and were grouped into a metropolitan municipality, an inter-communal structure with full municipal status. Finally the urban Communes were divided into city neighborhoods. Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database The data do not provide the same level of disaggregation as that reached for the other countries of West Africa. Indeed, the directory of villages of 1958 has not been found, while the list of villages established for the 1983 census has not been available from the statistical services of Guinea. For 1996, a list of localities has been reconstructed based on two files provided by the statistical services of Guinea: a file with a list of names of localities and a file with raw data from the population census on all individuals counted to whom a code was given according to the locality in which they were registered. A comparison of the two files leaves 683 observations, which cannot be given a locality, or a little less than 1% of the total population counted in 1996. In the reconstituted table, the localities have been reclassified according to the official administrative partitioning of the 1996 census. URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban” The official definition is essentially based for the whole period on the administrative criterion. In 1954-55, the demographic survey alluded to the “urban stratum”, which included most of the administrative centers of the circles and subdivisions, among which were excluded four centers “the urban characteristics of which were too poorly indicated”. The survey also distinguishes the agglomerated population of the “bush” stratum. In 1983, the functional criterion was used. The town was a “locality of at least 1,000 inhabitants, easily accessible and with services such as a post office, police, a dispensary (or hospital), an educational center at high school level at least, a market, shops, a cinema and with the possibility of water and electricity distribution. However, a locality of fewer than 1,000 inhabitants with constant water and electricity distribution and with such services as a dispensary (or hospital) a market, shops and a cinema, will also be considered a town.” (PC 1983 volume 1, 1987). During the 1996 PC, the definition becomes administrative again and “urban” was related to the administrative centers of préfectures, and therefore implicitly to urban municipalities. As a result, in 1996, two official villages have more than 10,000 inhabitants (Kamsar with 61,233 45 inhabitants and Sangarédi with 19,360 habitants), whereas four “towns” have fewer than 4,000 inhabitants. The official definition cannot in fact take account of the agglomeration of coastal populations over almost 15 kilometers in the Kamsar area. Table GIN3. Urbanization in Guinea according to the Official definition (1954-1996) 1954-55 1983 1996* Number of Urban Centers 23 n.d 36 Average Size 7,530 61,468 Urban Population Urbanization Rate 173 204 n.d 2,212,871 7.11% 26.0% 30.88% Source: 1954-55 Survey and PCs of corresponding years Urbanization in Guinea according to the Geopolis Definition After the very considerable growth of Conakry before 1980, the secondary towns have since taken over. The number of agglomerations of more than 10,000 inhabitants increased between 1980 and 2000, but in particular, their average size doubled between 1980 and 2000 and should double again toward 2020. Table GIN4 - Urbanization Indicators in Guinea (1960-2020) 1960 1980 2000 2020e Geopolis Urbanization Rate 6.2 24.3 31.0 36.0 Primacy Index 3.5 11.6 9.7 8.1 3.6 14.6 16.2 18.6 4 18 26 25 17,653 24,706 49,956 70,906 2.6 9.7 14.8 17.3 % the population residing in the metropolitan area of Conakry Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and above Number Average Size % of resident population Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa 46 Map GIN1. Agglomerations of Guinea in 2000 47 Table GIN5. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe Conakry 3 38,500 97,747 359,519 668,714 922,500 1,249,209 1,575,918 1,902,628 Nzérékoré 1 10,800 8,836 17,124 37,230 74,889 128,260 181,631 235,002 Guéckédou 1 0 1,696 2,421 15,034 47,561 102,902 158,242 213,583 Kindia 1 1,000 19,954 38,786 41,890 71,869 110,649 149,429 188,209 Kénéma 2 5,007 10,582 22,639 40,818 65,075 104,222 143,369 182,516 Kankan 1 24,600 28,242 48,338 57,640 86,794 108,694 130,595 152,495 Kissidougou 1 0 4,327 14,997 31,527 52,098 75,258 98,418 121,578 Macenta 1 4,500 9,822 22,827 23,952 34,876 55,909 76,941 97,973 Labé 1 11,800 11,833 19,086 24,458 40,618 55,226 69,834 84,442 Mamou 1 3,500 9,769 16,613 25,000 41,650 54,520 67,390 80,260 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. REFERENCES Jean-Etienne Bidou and Julien Gbéré Toure, “La population de la Guinée – dynamiques spatiales”, [“Guinea’s population – special trends”] Cahiers d'outremer, 217, Guinea, 2002, [On line], put on line February 13, 2008. URL : http://com.revues.org/document1049.html. ère Etude démographique par sondage, Guinée, 1954-55, 1 of Study] Cahiers INED, 1956. st partie Technique d’Enquête. [Demographic Study by Sample, Guinea, 1954-55, 1 Technical Part “La décentralisation en République de Guinée” [“Decentralization in the Republic of Guinea”] not dated; document available on the site of the Online Information Network of the United Nations on government and public finances. http://UNPAN010828Guinee.pdf RGPH 1983. Volume 1 Notes méthodologiques sur le recensement de la population et de l’Habitat. [PC 1983. Volume 1. Methodological Notes on the Population and Housing Census] Direction Générale de la Statistique et de l’informatique, Conakry May 1987. Recensement Général de la Population et de l’Habitation de 1996. Résultats provisoires. [Population and Housing Census of 1996. Provisional Results] Bureau National du Recensement, Conakry 1997 Mamadou Lamine Bah. Capitalisation des projets d’appui en développement local et décentralisation en Afrique de l’Ouest : Le cas de la Guinée [Capitalization of Local Development Aid Projects and Decentralization in West Africa: The Case of Guinea], in collaboration with Carlos Hernandez Barry – United Nations Capital Development Fund (UNCDF) June 2006. URL : http://www.uncdf.org/francais/local_development/docs/technical_review/capitalisation/FENU_Guinee.pdf 48 REPUBLIC OF GUINEA BISSAU Table GNB1. National Demographic Indicators (1960-2020) 1960 Population 525,437 1991 Population 954,492 2020E Population 1,803,288 2000 Population Density 1950-2000 Multiplication 35 X 2.3 Sources: 1960 and 1991 PCs, Africapolis Database. DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data Between 1950 and 1991, Guinea Bissau carried out a census every ten years. Recenseamento Geral da Populacao e da habitacao June 15 1950 Recenseamento Geral da Populacao e da habitacao December 30 1960 Recenseamento Geral da Populacao e da habitacao December 15 1970 Recenseamento Geral da Populacao e da habitacao April 16 1979 Recenseamento Geral da Populacao e da Habitacao December 1 1991 Table GNB2. PC Territorial Divisions (1979-1991) 1979 1991 8 Regions (Bafata, Bissau, Boloma, 9 régioes Buba, Cacheu, Gabu, Farim et 37 setores Catio) Number of villages unknown Sectors Villages 49 Territorial Partitioning In the 1979 PC, the partitioning of Guinea Bissau defined nine administrative divisions at the regional level: eight regions and the autonomous sector of the city of Bissau. The regions were subdivided into sectors and villages, the tabancas. The city of Bissau was itself divided into bairros, of which 28 are urban and suburban and nine constitute rural divisoes. Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database The directories of villages published with the PCs have not been found. The list of agglomerations in the study is based on the population of the cidades and lugares of more than 5,000 inhabitants for all dates. An estimate was done for 2001. URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Urbanization in Guinea Bissau according to the Geopolis Definition Table GNB4- Urban Indicators in Guinea Bissau, 1960-1970 Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa 1960 Geopolis Urbanization Rate Primacy Index % of the population residing in the Bissau metropolitan area Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and above Number Average Size % of resident population 1980 2000 2020e 9.5 16.5 27.7 42.2 - 8.4 15.6 20.7 9.5 14.8 25.1 34.1 0 - 1 13,760 1.8 2 15,587 2.6 9 16,179 8.1 The most notable fact based on these indicators is the preponderance of the capital city. A quarter of the country’s population was concentrated in Bissau in 2000. It weighed on the other towns since only two towns had more than 10,000 inhabitants in 2000 and the primacy index remains particularly high. 15% of the population lived in 9 small agglomerations of 5,000 to 10,000 inhabitants. 50 Map GNB1. The agglomerations of Guinea Bissau, 2000 (Map: Africapolis/SEDET) Table GNB5. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration Bissau NLU 1 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe 46,163 49,844 118,572 115,636 182,832 298,818 456,828 614,837 Bafatá Gabú Bissorã 1 1 1 0 0 0 3,570 0 0 7,717 0 0 13,760 8,127 0 16,721 11,256 4,635 19,158 12,016 9,070 24,421 15,369 14,500 29,684 18,723 18,000 Catió Cacheu Bolama Bubaque Mansôa Farim 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,100 0 0 0 0 0 2,551 0 0 0 5,311 7,688 9,138 8,438 5,466 4,530 6,586 8,426 9,451 8,751 6,116 5,061 8,167 9,236 9,775 9,075 6,842 5,653 11,896 11,978 11,980 10,992 8,972 8,157 15,624 14,719 14,185 12,909 11,102 10,661 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. 0 means lack of data. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. REFERENCES Republica da Guine-Bissau, Recenseamento Geral da Populacao e da habitacao, 16 de Abril de 1979. Republica da Guine-Bissau, Recenseamento Geral da Populacao da Populacao e da Habitacao, Resultadao Preliminares, 1991. Guinée Bissau. Dossier d’information économique. Ministère de la Coopération, Service des études et questions internationales, Paris (n.d), June 1979. 52 REPUBLIC OF LIBERIA Table LBR1. National Demographic Indicators (1962-2020) 1962 Population 1,016,443 1974 Population 1,563,400 1984 Population 2,101,700 2008 Population 3,489,072 2000 Population Density 29 2020e Population 3,760,207 1950-2000 Multiplication X 3.4 Sources: 1975 and 1998 PCs, Africapolis Database DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data The first reliable estimate of the country’s total population dates from 1956. Thereafter, three censuses were carried out in 1962, 1974 and 1984. From 1989 onwards, two civil wars (1989-1996 and 1999-2003) plunged the country into chaos. The latest population census has just been completed (March 21 to 27, 2008). Population Census Population and Housing Census Population and Housing Census 1962 3 Provinces + 1 Territory 5 Counties April 2 1962 February 1 1974 February 1 1984 Table LBR2. PC Territorial Divisions 1974 14 Counties 54 Districts (369 Clans and 46 Townships) 16.000 Localities 1984 Counties 66 Districts Clans and Townships 16.000 Localities 53 Territorial Partitioning : Counties, Districts and Localities Liberia became independent in 1847, or more than a century before its neighbors. Yet, some customs in territorial management have lasted. Liberia was then divided into territories with various status: 5 Counties, 1 Territory and 3 Provinces. During the colonial era and until 1963, the coast (Counties: coastal regions) and the interior (Provinces) were covered by different systems; for example, customary law remained in effect in the interior. In 1964, the administrative grid was simplified: the territory was divided into 9 counties and 6 territories. In 2001, all the administrative entities became counties. The boundaries of the former administrative divisions were revived, with the exception of the amalgamation of certain territories and the subdivision of some counties. From 1962 to 2005, therefore, the changes in population can be reconstructed at the regional level of the county over a stable grid (Table LBR3), consisting of 14 geographical entities and taking account of ad hoc modifications. In contrast, the partitioning of districts has been more unstable. There were 66 districts in 1984 and 102 in 2005. Table LBR3. Changes in Population in Liberia according to the 14 Counties of 1962 N County 1 LOFA (obsolete) 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 13 14 Modification Subdivided into: LOFA GBARPOLU 1962 PC 1974 PC 1984 PC 1999e 2005e 131,600 180,800 247,641 351,492 231,307 183,821 47,486 162,900 249,700 313,050 338,887 401,453 NIMBA 32,200 56,700 79,322 120,141 78,762 GRAND CAPE MOUNT 130,500 182,200 255,783 299,825 308,782 BONG 39,400 62,200 66,420 114,316 81,286 BOMI 168,600 321,900 491,078 843,783 998,439 MONTSERRADO 99,600 123,400 159,648 215,338 212,268 GRAND BASSA 48,300 71,900 102,810 94,497 113,368 GRAND GEDEH (obsolete) Subdivided into: RIVER GEE (obsolete) 46,420 GRAND GEDEH (obsolete) 66,948 RIVER CESS 28,800 27,800 37,849 38,167 39,687 MARGIBI Fusion of: 32,000 47,300 151,792 219,417 207,369 MARSHALL (obsolete) 12,700 20,800 31,200 GIBI (obsolete) 32,000 47,300 66,900 SINOE 44,700 57,700 64,147 79,241 59,242 MARYLAND 34,900 64,500 69,267 71,977 82,298 GRAND KRU In the Past: 21,300 27,200 62,791 39,062 39,634 SASSTOWN (obsolete) 9,600 10,000 11,600 KRU COAST (obsolete) 21,300 27,200 35,300 The localities, as in the other Englishspeaking countries of the CEAO, were defined for the requirements of the censuses: they are the most disaggregated spatial units. In Liberia, this includes any population center formed around a core and bearing a name. In 1962, there were some exceptions (localities near Monrovia, plantations, and temporary agricultural camps in rice fields). Nevertheless, the rigorous application of this definition during the 1974 census brought the number of localities to 16,000, a number of which in fact turned out to be urban neighborhoods with a separate name from that of the main locality. Also, in the Northern mining areas (County of Nimba), some localities were in fact administrative districts grouping various dispersed settlements (villages, hamlets, compounds). Saniquellie or de Bahn, with populations of 12,500 and 9,589 inhabitants respectively, in fact 54 assemble together different inhabited places spread out over several tens of square miles. Some plantations (Firestone) and “farms” of the Liberia Agricultural Company (LAC) reproduce this pattern. In 2005, 1,135 localities were identified when an electoral map was created; 97 were located in the agglomeration of Monrovia, which does not however cover the entirety of the County of Montserrado. Graph LBR1. Rank/Size Distribution of Localities in 2005 Source: National Electoral Commission (http://www.necliberia.org/). NB: The localities included in Monrovia were considered a single entity. 1000000 100000 10000 1000 100 10 1 1 10 100 1000 10000 55 Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database Since there has been no population census since 1984, the National Electoral Commission database represents a valuable source of information. In September 2005, it provided the first report on the geographical distribution of registered voters for each polling station, accompanied by a detailed map. When the localities had several polling stations, the number of registered voters was added up in order to reconstitute the total number of registered voters by locality. These numbers, when multiplied by a ratio (2.233), make it possible to estimate the total population (including minors). While an estimate of the population of the main agglomerations before 1989 and then in 2005 can be made, it is not possible to calculate the number of inhabitants between 1990 and 2000 by simple interpolation. The population was unevenly affected by the civil wars in time and space. Some localities were almost emptied of their population, but at different times depending on the area. Some towns were sometimes places of refuge and saw their numbers inflate before themselves being destroyed. Apart from the death of 200,000 people, population shifts were considerable. Refugees were grouped into camps: some returned to their original locality, others emigrated abroad or toward other towns, especially Monrovia. URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban” No official definition of “urban” was established during the 1962 PC, but the statistical services indicated that the size of localities could be a criterion and that therefore those of 2,000 inhabitants and above could be considered urban. The definition of urban appears to have raised more questions during the next census. While the threshold of 2,000 inhabitants was generally maintained for a locality to go from rural to urban, a few amendments were made to include smaller localities with amenities such water and electricity services and schools and hospitals. Inversely, some localities of more than 2,000 inhabitants were excluded; those under clan rule, for example, were considered rural by definition. The statistical services also provided an official list of urban centers. In 1984, the urban demographic threshold rose to 3,000 inhabitants, but some less populated localities were still included. The list of urban centers became more and more incomplete around the 3,000 inhabitant threshold because the government was trying to take account of the fact that some localities were in reality only administrative districts grouping various villages and hamlets spread over large territories, so that the number of inhabitants they included was all the greater the more widespread the territory. In 2005, this list became partly obsolete because of the disasters caused by the civil wars. For example, the country’s second town, Camp IV, had 49,400 inhabitants in 1984. Located in the extreme North of the country, it corresponded with the main location of the iron mine and was 56 completely destroyed in 2003, the population falling to 1,078 inhabitants in 2005. Many towns experienced a similar decline although in different proportions and different times. However, this instability in settlements was not unknown in Liberia before the civil wars. In the past, a few localities had experienced intense growth, like mushroom towns, only later to become ghost towns. Such was the case of “Firestone (Division 10,44,45)”, which had 31,800 inhabitants in 1974, 17,400 in 1984 and which today is abandoned. This locality must not be confused with the same company’s site of “Harbel, Division 45” (12,300 inhabitants in 1984), which today has close to 20,000 inhabitants. In the 1962, 1974 and 1984 censuses, the agglomeration of Monrovia officially had four localities: Paynesville, Congotown, Gardnersville and Monrovia. That partitioning is no longer current. On the one hand, the localities have been dismembered. On the other, the agglomeration has spread considerably. In 2005 the agglomeration identified by the “Geopolis” methodology included 97 localities. Table LBR3. Urban Population of Liberia according to the Official Definition (1962-1984) Number of Average Urbanization Urban Population Urban Size Rate Centers 1962 8,730 23 199,076 19.6% inhabitants 1974 8,114 438,171 29.1% 54 inhabitants Source: Population Censuses of corresponding years. Urbanization in Liberia according to the Geopolis Definition The threshold of 2,000 inhabitants used in the official calculation of the urbanization rate explains the difference with the one obtained when considering the Geopolis urban agglomerations. As in the small countries (Cape Verde, Guinea Bissau and The Gambia), the section of the population living in the only metropolitan area in the country is clearly higher than the average in West Africa and will continue to increase greatly in 2020. The growth of the primacy index can be explained in part by the effects of the war on population movements toward the capital. The urban network is not very hierarchized: outside of Monrovia, most of the urban population lives in 13 agglomerations of between 20,000 and 50,000 inhabitants. 57 Map LBR1. The Agglomerations of Liberia in 2000 (Map: Africapolis/SEDET) Table LBR4. Urbanization Indicators (1960-2020) Geopolis Urbanization Rate Primacy Index % of the population residing in the metropolitan area of Monrovia Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and above Number Average Size % of resident population 1960 1980 2000 2020e 7.1 26.7 36.5 53.5 - 10.2 16.5 23.0 7.1 17.4 27.4 42.2 0 - 11 15 343 9.3 13 19 666 9.1 16 26 743 11.3 Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa Table LBR5. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe Monrovia 1 22,900 64,861 150,086 315,311 529,941 763,323 1,068,901 1,374,479 Ganta 1 0 0 5,426 10,411 18,965 29,360 43,701 58,043 Gbarnga 1 0 0 5,327 14,318 25,166 29,852 35,172 40,493 Kakata 1 0 3,862 7,826 16,262 25,065 29,749 35,071 40,394 Voinjama 1 0 0 5,049 10,716 17,604 22,225 27,719 33,213 Buchanan 1 0 9,042 18,560 30,813 35,828 34,939 34,067 33,195 Harbel (Division 45) 1 0 0 10,676 11,974 14,562 19,038 24,498 29,959 Pleebo 1 0 0 5,234 9,379 14,316 18,696 24,036 29,375 Foya 1 0 0 1,321 4,159 8,178 13,370 20,821 28,271 Zwedru 1 0 0 3,336 11,037 18,105 21,182 24,641 28,099 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. REFERENCES 1962. Population Census of Liberia. Population Characteristics of Major areas. Office of National Planning, Bureau of Statistics, Monrovia 1965. 1974. Population and Housing Census of Liberia. Population Characteristics of Major areas. Office of National Planning, Bureau of Statistics, Monrovia 1977. 59 REPUBLIC OF MALI Table MLI1. National Demographic Indicators (1976 -2020) 1976 Population 6,394,916 2000 Population Density 1998 Population 9,810,910 8 2020e Population 16,139,716 1950-2000 Multiplication X3 Sources: 1979 and 2002 PCs, Africapolis Database DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data Before 1976, date of the first PC, the available demographic data came from partial surveys or surveys carried out for economic reasons: the administrative surveys of 1955 and 1966, the demographic section of a regional survey in the central delta of the Niger (1957 to 1958), two population censuses in Bamako (1958 and 1965), a 1960 national demographic survey by sample, which led to the publication of the “Perspectives démographiques du Mali Novembre, 1963” (Demographic Perspectives in Mali, 1963), a Niger-Mali survey (1962) and, finally, a census of the city of Bamako (1974). The fourth Population and Housing Census is expected in April 2009. Population and Housing Census * Population and Housing Census Population and Housing Census March 20 1976 April 1 to 14 1987 April 1 to 14 1998 * The 1976 census is shown pursuant to the new administrative division of 1977. 60 Table MLI2. PC Territorial Divisions (1976-1998) 1976* 1987 6 Regions + District of Bamako 46 Circles (‘Cercles’) 281 Arrondissements and 18 Communes, including 6 in Bamako 7 Regions + District of Bamako 46 Circles + 18 Communes, including 6 in Bamako 1998 9 Regions 48 Circles 301 Arrondissements or Communes (including 6 in Bamako) 701 Communes (including 6 in Bamako) * the PC is shown according to the partitioning in force during the publication of results in 1985. Territorial Partitioning The present administrative districts were created by a modification of the territorial partitioning carried out in July 1977, which was followed by the partition of existing districts, the creation of two new regions and the creation of arrondissments. The arrondissements were abolished in 1996. The decentralization program established by the 1993 Decentralization Mission inherited about twenty urban Communes, the oldest of which had been created by the colonial administration. Decentralization was especially directed at the rural areas where no local municipality had been created before 1993. Law number 96-059 of November 4, 1996 creating the Communes led to 701 new Communes. These were explicitly given a territory; the creation of Communes based on a voluntary grouping of villages and of sections of municipalities (not a simple transformation of arrondissements into Communes) was thus accompanied by a territorial reorganization at the lower local level3. The village is not an administrative unit: as the incorporating element of the Commune, it is placed under the latter’s authority. The regions, the district of Bamako, the circles, the urban and rural Communes all became municipalities. The arrondissment was abolished. 3 The creation of Communes was supposed to take place according to socio-cultural and demographic criteria, as well as criteria of distance and accessibility to administrative centers and economic viability. Failure to respect these criteria led to the creation of very small Communes: “the circles of Sikasso and Koutiala led to the process of micro- Communes or, on the other hand and depending on the region, of very large Communes.” (Kassibo, 1998). 61 Table MLI3. Territorial Reorganizations in Mali (1977-1996) 1977 1996 Regions* 46 Circles 281 Arrondissements Regions** and district of Bamako Circles Urban or Rural Communes city neighborhood or Villages/Sections Special Status of Bamako: the former region became a district divided into 6 Communes 18 Communes (instead of 13) *Kayes, Koulikoro, Sikasso, Ségou, Mopti, Gao and Tombouctou ** plus Kidal Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database The data were compiled at the village level based on the village directories published with the general results of the PCs. The directory of villages of 1976, for example, showed the population distribution by villages and city neighborhoods and by assembly point for the nomadic population (6.7% of the total population), as well as the village infrastructure. The village was defined as “an assembly of compounds grouped over a given geographical space and sheltering households dependent upon the same local authority or chiefdom;” the village had at least 100 inhabitants. The 1998 definition was the same. Table MLI4. Number of Villages in Mali (1976-1998) 1976 1998 10,242-10,557 11,525 Source: 1976 and 1998 PCs 62 URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban” The statistical services of Mali chose a demographic and administrative approach to the definition of urban. The report of the 1976 PC described the problems of defining urban centers, except for the “administrative centers of a region or municipality, which satisfy the economic, social, dimensional and administrative criteria” (1976 and 1985 PCs, p.13). A first definition was adopted in 1976 following a meeting of the administrators in charge: “all the administrative centers of a region, municipality and circle, as well as any locality with 5,000 inhabitants or more are considered urban centers.” (1976 and 1985 PCs, p.16). The district of Bamako is completely urban. According to this definition with dual criteria, 19 urban centers (administrative centers of administrative divisions) had fewer than 5,000 inhabitants in 1976. The census reports of 1987 had no official definition of urban centers, but did have a list of “towns considered urban” (1987 and 1987 PCs, pages 3 to 13). In 1998, the size of the urban population could be extracted from the detailed table of administrative divisions, where the whole population is divided into “rural population” and “urban population” (1998 PC, Table 2). The number of urban centers remained unchanged between 1976 and 1987. Thus, in 1998, two villages had more than 10,000 inhabitants: Kalaban-Coro (23,718 inhabitants) and Dyalakorodji (12,230 inhabitants). Inversely, several urban centers had fewer than 10,000 inhabitants, with 7 having fewer than 5,000 inhabitants. Table MLI4. Urban Population according to Official Definitions (1976-1987) 1976 1987 1998 Number Urban Centers 58 58 of Average Size 18,566 26,712 Urban Population Urbanization Rate 1,076,829 1,549,289 2,645,416 16.84 18.85 26.96 Sources:1976, 1987 and 1998 PC, and our calculations. 63 Urbanization in Mali according to the Geopolis Definition The number of urban agglomerations identified by the study is less than half (32 agglomerations of 10,000 inhabitants and above) that of the official urban centers. The number and average size of secondary towns has nevertheless grown over the period. The urbanization rate according to Geopolis is less than the one shown in the census results. Map ML1. The agglomerations of Mali in 2000 64 Table MLI5. Urban Indicators in Mali (1960-2020) 1960 1980 2000 2020e Geopolis Urbanization Rate 4.4 14.3 20.9 25.5 Primacy Index 4.3 6.7 9.5 9.8 2.3 7.0 11.2 12.1 5 17,594 2.1 18 27,904 7.3 29 34,306 9.7 60 30,648 11.4 % of the population residing in the metropolitan area of Bamako Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and above Number Average Size % of resident population Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa Table MLI6. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe Bamako 9 56,525 99,049 230,772 478,625 754,467 1,153,522 1,550,581 1,947,637 Sikasso 1 13,421 16,206 28,029 52,757 82,827 121,360 159,892 198,424 Ségou 1 16,390 20,950 37,608 70,964 91,533 103,833 116,133 128,433 Koutiala 1 0 6,232 15,179 31,845 53,941 75,851 97,760 119,669 Mopti 1 9,300 17,589 34,653 56,815 70,655 83,133 95,611 108,089 Kayes 1 20,381 23,050 35,148 49,852 55,029 70,937 86,844 102,751 Kati 1 0 8,991 14,815 27,121 38,577 56,993 75,409 93,826 San 1 7,242 10,176 17,187 25,197 33,309 43,375 53,442 63,508 Dyalakorodjitoumou 1 0 0 0 490 1,429 20,917 40,405 59,893 Niono 1 0 0 0 11,816 20,365 31,112 41,859 52,606 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. 65 REFERENCES Analyse du recensement de 1976. Tome 2 : rapport administratif et technique. [Analysis of 1976 Census. Volume 2: Administrative and Technical Report] Direction nationale de la Statistique de l’informatique, République du Mali, August 1983. Analyse du recensement de 1976. Tome 3 : caractéristiques démographiques. [Analysis of 1976 Census. Volume 3: Demographic Characteristics] Direction nationale de la Statistique de l’informatique, République du Mali, April 1985. Répertoire des villages de 1976. [1976 Directory of Villages] Volume III of overall results of the 1976 census. Répertoire des villages 1987. [1987 Directory of Villages] Volume II 1987 PC, January 1990. er Recensement général de la population et de l’habitat (du 1 au 14 avril 1987), Population Urbaine (résultats provisoires). [Population and Housing Census (from April 1 to 14, 1987), Urban Population (Provisional Results)] Direction nationale de la Statistique de l’informatique, République du Mali, July 1987. Analyse du recensement de 1998. Tome 1 : série démographique. [Analysis of 1998 Census. Volume 1: Demographic Series] Direction nationale de la Statistique de l’informatique, République du Mali KASSIBO Bréhima. «La Décentralisation au Mali : État des Lieux» [Decentralization in Mali: Location Report], APAD Bulletin, n° 14, 1998, put on line on January 26, 2007. URL : http://apad.revues.org/document579.html. SYLL Ousmane. La décentralisation en Afrique Sub-saharienne. Mali. [Decentralization in Sub-Saharan Africa. Mali] Memo written within the framework of a Cerpood internship, October 2005. URL : www.cercoop.org/fiches/Fiche_decentr_MALI.pdf 66 THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF MAURITANIA Table MRT1. National Demographic Indicators (1976-2020) 1976 Population 1,338,830 2000 Population 2,548,157 2020s Population 3,703,731 2000 Population Density 1950-2000 Multiplication 2.4 5.4 Sources: 1977 and 2000 PCs, Africapolis Database DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data The 1976 PC took place in two phases: the sedentary population was recorded first, followed by a survey of the nomadic population. This method was due to the large spread of the nomadic population over a wide territory of more than a million square kilometers. The nomadic population was usually counted at watering places, as it was in Niger. A similar procedure was used for the 2000 PC, although the very severe drought of the mid-1970s to the mid-1980s led to the relative settling of nomadic populations, especially around the existing urban centers Population Census December 1976/January 1 1977* Population Census 1988 Population Census November 2000 and April 2001 *the census documents refer to it as the 1977 PC Table MRT2. PC Territorial Divisions (1977-2000) 1977 1988 2000 13 Administrative 12 Regions + the 12 Regions + the Regions District of Nouakchott. District of Nouakchott. 67 Territorial Partitioning During the 1977 PC, the administrative hierarchy was laid out into regions or “wilayas” (13), departments or “Moughataa” and villages (2,341). The former region of Nouakchott is now a District. In 2000, there were 53 departments. Decentralization did not start until the early 1990s and led to the creation of 216 Communes throughout the territory. In 2001, the District of Nouakchott became a metropolitan municipality (Communauté Urbaine) comprising 9 Communes. Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database The Mauritanian statistical services have produced village directories for each census, and these constitute the spatial units of the Africapolis database. According to the 1977 PC directory, the village designated “any settlement with at least one permanent house.” This definition included villages inhabited for less than six months of the year. The majority of Mauritanian villages are small population centers: in 1976, 38% had fewer than 100 inhabitants. For some of these villages, this smaller size is explained by the recent settling of formerly nomadic families. The 15 localities passing the 5,000 inhabitant threshold are regional administrative centers. URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban” In 1976, the definition of urban was based on demographic and administrative criteria, since “urban areas [are] any locality which is the administrative center of a region (even if the population falls below 5,000 inhabitants) and any locality with 5,000 [inhabitants] or above” (1977 PC, p.23). Table MRT3. Urban Population according to the Official Definition (1976-1988) Urban Urbanization Population Rate 1976 303,189 22.7% 1988 807,852 41%* Source : PCs for the corresponding years and our calculations* UN Database 68 Urbanization in Mauritania according to the Geopolis Definition Nouakchott, born of a military camp at the end of the 1950s, soon became the country’s main locality, but its relative importance should tend to decline in 2010/2020. The configuration of the urban network is unusual, divided between the same number of towns in the 10,000 to 20,000 and 20,000 to 50,000 inhabitant classifications. Map MT1. Agglomerations of Mauritania in 2000 (Map: Africapolis/SEDET) 69 Table MRT4. Urbanization Indicators(1960-2020) 1960 1980 2000 2020e Geopolis Urbanization Rate 0 19.2 31.4 30.9 Primacy Index - 6.3 7.7 8.9 0 12.1 21.9 22.7 Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and above Number 0 5 9 10 Average Size - 21,242 26,759 30,426 - 7.1 9.5 8.2 % of the population residing metropolitan area of Nouakchott in the % of resident population Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa Table MRT5. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration Nouakchott NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe 4,812 37,134 184,139 416,956 558,195 699,434 840,672 1 0 Nouadhibou 1 0 685 15,018 29,165 61,209 72,337 83,465 94,593 Zoueiratt 1 0 0 0 19,834 26,995 33,255 39,515 45,775 Rosso- Mauritanie 1 0 2,016 7,002 18,504 28,122 29,882 31,642 33,401 Kaédi 1 0 7,969 14,216 22,732 30,646 31,310 31,974 32,638 Atar 1 0 3,683 10,062 17,622 21,624 22,960 24,296 25,632 Bassiknou 1 0 0 0 2,241 4,081 7,433 12,625 17,817 Sélibabi 1 0 0 3,539 6,687 11,802 13,259 14,716 16,174 Boghe 1 0 0 0 8,957 12,672 13,262 13,852 14,442 Maghama 1 0 0 0 4,648 5,180 7,874 10,568 13,262 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. REFERENCES Recensement Général de la Population 1977. Répertoire des villages. [1977 Population Census. Village Directory] Office national de la Statistique, Nouakchott n.d. Recensement Général de la Population 1977. Volume I : résultats prioritaires.[1977 Population Census. Volume 1: Priority Results] Office national de la Statistique, Nouakchott, n.d. Recensement Général de la Population 1988. Répertoire des villages.[1988 Population Census. Village Directory] Office national de la Statistique, Nouakchott n.d. Recensement Général de la Population 1988. [1988 Population Census] Office national de la Statistique, Nouakchott, n.d. Recensement Général de la Population et de l’Habitat 2000. Répertoire des villages. [2000 Population and Housing Census. Village Directory] Office national de la Statistique, Nouakchott n.d. Recensement Général de la Population et de l’Habitat 2000. [2000 Population and Housing Cenus] Office national de la Statistique, Nouakchott, n.d. 71 REPUBLIC OF NIGER Table NGR1. National Demographic Indicators of Niger (1977-2020) 1977 Population 5,102,990 2001 Population 10,790,352 2020s Population 15,978,250 2000 Population Density 1950-2000 Multiplication 9 X 4.6 Sources: 1975 and 1998 PCs, Africapolis Database DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data Before the first population census carried out in 1977, demographic data had to be taken from administrative surveys of 1938, 1956 and 1962. Population Census Population Census Population Census June 12 to November 21 1977 1988 May 20 to June 18 2001 Table NGR2. PC Territorial Divisions (1977-2001) 1977 7 Departments 42 Arrondissements 1988 7 Departments 35 Arrondissements 2001 8 Departments 38 Arrondissements Cantons/Communes Territorial Partitioning Territorial partitioning terminology was established in 1964 when the existing circles and administrative districts were replaced by departments (7), arrondissements, and administrative posts (Postes Administratifs) (GIRAUT, 1993, p.181). Just before the 1988 census, the former department of Niamey became the department of Tillaberi, then in November 1988 the city of Niamey became a department and assumed the status of metropolitan municipality (Commune Urbaine) (1988 and 1992 PCs). A municipalization movement began in 1969 in some departments, but the decentralization program did not start until the middle of the 1990s. Following the law of February 6, 1996, and within the framework of the new constitution of 1999, Niger reorganized its territorial partitioning and created regions (which replaced the departments), divided into departments (the old arrondissements) and arrondissements. The region, the department, and the commune were, according to law, Local Governments, whereas the arrondissement remained an administrative division. The so-called traditional entities (sultanates, provinces and cantons) are also administrative divisions. The Commune thus became the basic territorial unit according to the provisions of the Law of September 14, 1998, which created urban and rural. Communes and fixed their geographical boundaries. The Communes were made up of groups of villages, boroughs or tribes. Following Law 35 of October 27, 2003 providing a definition and demarcation of the Communes, the old departments were turned into regions and the old arrondissements became departments; whereas the arrondissements had most often been subdivided into cantons in their rural sections, the new departments were systematically subdivided into urban and rural Communes. The urban Commune is a territorial sub-division that includes an urban locality and several rural localities. Niamey is now a metropolitan municipality. A 2004 law raised the number of Communes to 265, 213 of which were rural. The municipal grid will eventually cover the whole territory. The Communes thus created sometimes spread over enormous physical territory. “Fourteen Communes in the regions of Agadez, Diffa and Tillaberi over an area of more than 10,000 km². The rural Commune of N’Gourty, with its 96,000 km², its population of 23,000 inhabitants and its 265 villages and tribes is part of these huge districts.” (HALIDOU, 2006; 2001 PC, Final Results - Introduction, 2005). Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database Data from the Africapolis database come from the village directories established during the 1988 and 1998 PCs. The village directory for the 1977 PC has not been found; perhaps it was never published. The results of the census located 8,615 villages with an average size of 516 inhabitants, but the largest villages come close to a thousand inhabitants in the departments of Tahoua and Agadez. A large increase in the average size of villages can be noted since 1960, when it was 273 inhabitants. A national directory of villages was established based on the processing of results of the 1988 census. The administrative village was thus defined: “it is a village administered by a village head, recognized as such by the territorial administrative government. Very often, hamlets, 73 camps or isolated compounds are attached to it.” (1988 and 1990 PC, p.10). The 2001 village directory was published in 2006 under the title of “Répertoire des localités” (“Directory of Localities”). URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban” The definition of urban, which initially combined the two criteria of administrative status and demographic threshold, grew progressively simpler and eventually only used one criterion: the administrative criterion in 1988 and the demographic criterion after 2001. In 1977, all the administrative centers of departments and arrondissements were considered urban centers, as well as localities with at least 2,500 inhabitants and with an administrative post. This definition automatically excluded some large localities without administrative services and the new mining agglomerations that emerged at the time of the census. Among the 42 urban centers of 1976, 2 had more than 50,000 inhabitants and 12 had between 2,000 and 5,000 inhabitants4. During the 1988 PC, the urban centers were the administrative centers of the departments and arrondissements with no minimum size restrictions (1988 and 1988 PC, p.10). But another official document specified that the municipalities were also considered urban centers (1988 and, 1992 PCs, p. 24). The census report introduced a classification designating small towns (less than 10,000 inhabitants), mid-sized towns (between 10,000 and 100,000 inhabitants) and large towns (more than 100,000 inhabitants). Out of the 39 official towns, half fell within the category of small towns. At the same time, about twenty villages had more than 5,000 inhabitants, including Arlit (13,783 inhabitants) and Tibiti (10,295 inhabitants), while the smallest town, Bouza, had 6,825 inhabitants. The terminology of towns became fuller during the 2001 PC, since Niamey is the only one in the category of “national metropolitan area” with more than 500,000 inhabitants. The upper limit of “large towns” hangs to 500,000 inhabitants. A demographic criterion for defining urban may have been in use de facto as the small town category was defined as between 2,000 and 5,000 inhabitants. The report highlights the “spectacular” increase in number and population of mid-sized towns: this increase was not due to the spontaneous emergence of towns but to the stability of categories. In fact, there was a slide from one category to the next between the two censuses, with the small towns (5% of the urban population in 2001 as opposed to 11% in 1988) moving into the mid-sized town classification5. 4 The census documentation sets out the adjustments made to individual data, which considerably overestimated the urban population of some localities. In 2003, a new definition of the concept of “urban” altered the list of localities classified as urban localities. The documentation presenting the results of the 2001 PC published in 2005 did not take account of the new definition. 5 74 Table NGR3. Urban Population of Niger according to the Official Definition (1977-2001) 1977 1988 2001 Number Urban Centers 42 39 40 of Average Size Urban Population Urbanization Rate 28,000 28,132 43,727 656,203 1,097,137 1,749,095 13% 15.2% 16.2% Sources: PCs of corresponding years Urbanization in Niger according to the Geopolis Definition Among the 34 agglomerations of more than 10,000 inhabitants in 2000, three of the four largest (more than 50,000 inhabitants), Zinder, Maradi and Tahoua, are located on the borders with Nigeria and Burkina Faso. Niger’s urbanization rate, the weakest in West Africa, is increasingly becoming relatively more stable. Settlements in the country are mainly found in the spread of rural agglomerations and small agglomerations of 2,000 to 5,000 inhabitants (56 identified in 2000). 1960 1980 2000 2020e Geopolis Urbanization Rate 2.8 9.3 16.1 18.3 Primacy Index 1.7 3.7 3.9 4.4 % of the population residing in the metropolitan area of Niamey 1.1 4.7 6.2 6.8 3 16,958 1.7 9 28,771 4.6 34 30,428 9.9 49 37,361 11.4 Table NGR4. Urbanization Indicators in Niger (1960-2020) Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa. Secondary Agglomerations of inhabitants and above Number Average Size % of resident population 10,000 75 Map NGR1. The Agglomerations of Niger Map: Africapolis/SEDET. Table NGR5. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration Niamey NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe 1 13,830 33,373 100,820 260,227 426,334 647,341 868,348 1,089,356 Niamey 1 13,830 33,373 100,820 260,227 426,334 647,341 868,348 1,089,356 Zinder 1 13,103 19,574 37,764 70,462 126,527 166,004 205,482 244,959 Maradi 1 9,900 15,170 29,267 57,499 114,479 143,730 172,981 202,232 Arlit 1 0 0 0 12,945 36,146 63,687 91,227 118,767 Agadès 1 5,414 6,028 12,333 25,749 52,851 74,373 95,894 117,415 Tahoua 1 12,828 16,131 24,115 35,334 52,883 70,402 87,922 105,442 Dosso 1 0 3,069 6,044 12,863 28,477 41,675 54,873 68,072 Birni N'Konni 1 0 7,588 11,239 18,058 30,786 41,623 52,459 63,296 Tessaoua 1 0 5,445 8,585 13,721 21,102 30,177 39,252 48,327 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. REFERENCES Recensement Général de la Population 1977. Résultats définitifs. Rapport d’Analyse. [Population Census, 1977. Final Results. Analysis Report] Bureau Central du Recensement, Republique du Niger, Niamey, December 1985. ème 2 Recensement Général de la Population 1988. Rapport méthodologique et administratif. [2 Report] Niamey, May 1990. nd Population Census, 1988. Methodological and Administrative RGP 1988. Analyse des données définitives. L’état de la population. [1988 PC. Final Data Analysis. State of the Population] Niamey, February 1992. Recensement Général de la Population 1988. Répertoire National des Villages du Niger. [Population Census, 1988. National Directory of Villages in Niger] Bureau Central du Recensement, Ministère du Plan, Niamey, March 1991. Rapport provisoire des résultats du RGP 2001. [Provisional Report on 2001 PC Results] Document put on line by the Census Bureau of Niger. URL : https://customer.stone-env.com Recensement Général de la Population 2001 - Résultats définitifs : répartition par sexe et par groupe d’âge, selon la situation matrimoniale de la population du Niger en 2001 [Population Census, 2001 – Final Results: spread by sex and by age group according to the matrimonial situation of the population of Niger in 2001]; Ministère de l’Economie et des Finances, Bureau central du recensement, 2005 OUEDRAOGO Hubert (2000). « Dispositifs juridiques et cadres politiques actuels » in Atelier Développement local et gestion décentralisée des ressources naturelles. [Current Legal Mechanisms and Politcal Frameworks” in Atelier Local Development and Decentralized Management of Natural Resources] General Report, UNCDF, United Nations Capital Development Fund, Cotonou (Benin), December 10-16, 2000. URL:www.uncdf.org/francais/local_development/documents_and_reports/thematic_papers/cotonou/ap_ii.php – GIRAUT Frédéric (1993). « Les petites villes entre émancipation et implosion des pouvoirs (Ghana, Togo, Niger) » [The Small Towns between Emancipation and the Implosion of Government] in JAGLIN Sylvie, DUBRESSON Alain (dir.). Pouvoirs et cités en Afrique Noire. Décentralisations en questions. Karthala Paris. HALIDOU Saïdou, GLORIEUX Henry, FOURNIER Christian (2006). Capitalisation des expériences des projets d’appui en développement local et décentralisation en Afrique de l’Ouest : Le cas du Niger.[Capitalization of Experiences on Local Development Assistance Projects amd Decentralization in West Africa : the Case of Niger. UNCDF, United Nations Capital Development Fund, June 2006. URL : http://www.uncdf.org/francais/local_development/docs/technical_review/capitalisation/FENU_Niger.pdf 78 FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA Nigeria, a former British colony that has been independent since 1960, adopted a federal system in 1954. There is a substantial difference between the identification of agglomerations according to the Geopolis definition as compared to information on the urban population provided by the Nigerian Government. A special methodology has had to be established for Nigeria – described in a Chapter in the General Report – in order to estimate the population and make reliable data available to complete the study. Table NGA1. National Demographic Indicators 1991 Population 88,514,501 2000 Population Density 2020s Population 193,099,000 1950-2000 Multiplication 209 5.7 Sources: 1991 Population Census, Africapolis Database DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Controversies Surrounding the Population Censuses Since the progressive establishment of independent institutions after World War II, the PCs carried out in Nigeria have been the subject of political battles and multiple pressures, which explains the recognized manipulation of the figures produced. Demographic importance has determined the proportion of resources, of military and political posts allocated to each State in the Federation of Nigeria, as well as representation in terms of seats in Parliament. The dispute over the 1961 PC numbers by the States thus led to the official cancellation of these results by the Federal Government. Another PC hastily carried out the following year was ratified by the Federal Government. Despite the creation of a National Census Bureau and better technical preparation, the 1973 PC provoked the same tensions. The States denounced the overestimations at the enumeration stage so that the results were officially cancelled and as a result were never published. In 1991, the Nigerian Government tried to prevent controversy by withdrawing questions relating to ethnicity and religion from the questionnaire, and by presenting the results according to the partitioning of the country into seven large natural areas in order to partially short-circuit partitioning according to States. The census results were again called into question in 2006. The State of Lagos, especially, disputed the results, according to which there had been a population decrease of a million in relation to previous census, and claimed the right to make its own count. 79 Demographic Data Before the 1951-53 PC, which was to be the first modern and exhaustive census of the Nigerian population, there were only partial demographic data from a geographical coverage point of view. The 1866 census only dealt with the colony of Lagos. The censuses planned every ten years by the colonial government between 1881 and 1931 could not be carried out in their entirety and under good conditions. Although the 1951-53 PC covered the whole territory, it was carried out in stages between 1950 and 19536 and resorted in part to group counting and not to individual counting of the population. Because of the cancellation of the 1961 and 1973 censuses, the available national demographic data are limited to the 4 censuses that were carried out effectively. Population Census of Nigeria 1951 to 1953 Population Census of Nigeria November 5 to 8 1963 Population Census of Nigeria November 1991 National Population and Housing Census March 21 to 27 2006 Excluding the States making up the Federation of Nigeria, the results were provided following the other hierarchical levels. The boundaries of the Census Districts were those of the enumeration areas defined for the technical operation of each census. Table NGA2. PC Territorial Partitioning 1963 1991 2006 Region 31 States 36 States Province 550 Local 774 LGA Government Areas Census District (LGA) Source: 1963, 1991 and 2006 PCs; Geopolis data. 6 The population of Lagos counted between 1950 and 1951, Northern Nigeria between May and July 1952, the Western and Mid-Western sections in December 1952 and January 1953 and finally the East between May and August 1953. 80 Territorial Partitioning In 2007, Nigeria was a Federal State composed of 36 States to which was added the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) of Abuja, which was also divided into LGAs. As regards the State of Lagos, 16 out of its 20 LGAs covered the agglomeration of Lagos. The total number of Local Government Areas (LGAs) was 774. During the colonial era, the country was divided into three large regions (Northern-Hausa, Western-Yoruba and Eastern-Ibo) according to an ethnically based partitioning. The regions were themselves divided into provinces. Three years after independence, in 1963, two Western provinces formed a new region (Mid-Western). The division of the country into States took place in 1967, when General Yakubu Gowon took power. He abolished the portioning inherited from the colonial era and created 12 States. The LGA constituted the other level of administrative hierarchy. Later, the territory’s administrative grid was constantly reworked. The number of States increased: 19 States in 1976, 21 in 1987, 30 in 1991 and 36 in 1996. The multiplication of LGAs accompanied the repartitioning at the Federal level. Between the 1991 and 2006 censuses, 219 LGAs were thus created, or close to a third of all the present LGAs. Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database The agglomerations of the Africapolis database were defined based on data available at the level of the locality. The locality, according to the 2006 census “is a distinct inhabited place in which the inhabitants live in neighboring buildings and which has a name or a locally recognized status”. (National Population Commission, 2005, p.7) However, access to the full data by locality is restricted, either because the censuses were cancelled or because the results remain unpublished. The last chapter of the main report details the method used to make a reliable estimate of the urban population of Nigeria and the nature of the collected data. These data are incomplete for the years before 2006 and the results of 2006 are provisional. URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban”: Demographic The principle remained relatively stable. In 1962, 1963, 1973 and 1991, the urban centers were localities of more than 20,000 inhabitants. In 1951-52 the threshold had been fixed at 5,000 inhabitants. 81 Table NGA3. The Urban Population in Nigeria according to the Official Definition Number Average Urbanization of Urban Urban Population Size Rate Centers 1952-53 329 1963 182 59,038 10,745,000 19.3% 1991 359 88,600 31,807,000 36.3% Source: 1991 Population Census and our calculations Urbanization in Nigeria according to the Geopolis Definition The case of urbanization in Nigeria is discussed in the final chapter of the main report. Table NGA4. Urbanization Indicators in Nigeria (1960-1970) 1960 1980 2000 2020e Geopolis Urbanization Rate 15.3 23.5 30.0 30.9 Primacy Index 1.1 2.0 3.2 3.1 4.4 7.4 9.9 9.5 133 253 438 574 34,918 45,241 57,090 71,918 10.9 16.1 20.4 21.3 % of the population residing in the metropolitan areas (Lagos, Ibadan and Kano) Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and above Number Average Size % of resident population Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa. 82 Map NGA1. The Agglomerations of Nigeria, 2000 83 Table NGA5. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe Lagos 1 290,539 659,504 1,266,015 2,778,913 6,100,000 8,052,958 10,005,916 11,958,874 Ibadan 1 521,342 728,849 997,646 1,353,264 1,835,645 2,489,974 3,144,304 3,798,633 Kano 1 92,394 458,733 882,365 1,130,421 1,448,211 1,855,340 2,262,469 2,669,598 Kaduna 1 27,739 148,524 322,225 474,650 699,178 1,029,918 1,360,658 1,691,397 Benin City 1 49,081 77,670 136,510 250,959 461,361 848,162 1,234,963 1,621,764 Port Harcourt 1 78,061 145,388 237,975 368,546 570,758 883,919 1,197,080 1,510,241 Jos 1 101,862 193,416 293,364 404,112 556,671 766,821 976,974 1,187,124 Ilorin 1 31,604 116,127 221,779 319,972 461,640 666,031 870,422 1,074,813 Uyo 1 3,928 41,677 117,884 189,342 304,150 488,318 672,485 856,793 Maiduguri 1 45,128 110,708 183,629 257,548 361,223 506,632 652,041 797,450 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. REFERENCES 1991. Population Census of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. Analytical Report at the National Level. National Population Commission, n.d. Legal notice on publication of the details of the breakdown of the national and state provisional totals 2006 Census. Federal Republic of Nigeria Official Gazette Lagos, vol 94, 15th May 2007. Training Reference Manual for Census 2005. National Population Commission, Federal Republic of Nigeria, Abuja, July 2004. AKINYELE R. T. (1996). « States Creation in Nigeria: The Willink Report in Retrospect» In African Studies Review. Vol. 39, No. 2 (Sep., 1996), pp. 71-94. The Population Association of Nigeria (1990). Everybody’s Guide to the Nigerian Census. Ibadan, Nigeria, 117 p. 84 REPUBLIC OF SENEGAL Table SEN1. National Demographic Indicators (1976-2020) 2002 Population 9,456,220 2000 Population Density 2020S Population 14,933,227 1950-2000 Multiplication 47 X 4.7 Sources: 1975 and 1998 PCs, Africapolis Database. DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data National data are available based on the 1976 PHC. For the period before the country’s independence in 1960, demographic sources come from administrative counts carried out regularly between 1878 and 1945, administrative (1936) and urban surveys, such as the one of Dakar in 1955, then those carried out in the agricultural areas, which the colonial Government was interested in (1951 -1953, towns in the groundnut basin and 1957-1959). Senegal also carried out national demographic surveys in 1960-61, 1986 and 1992, as well as an administrative survey in 1964 and a repeated survey in 1970-71 presenting data on population. Population and Housing Census April 16 1976 Population and Housing Census May 27 1988 Third Population and Housing Census December 19 2002 85 1976 8 Regions Departments Arrondissements Rural Communities Villages Table SEN2. PC Territorial Divisions 1988 1996 10 Regions 10 Regions 30 Departments 30 Departments Arrondissements or Urban 91 Arrondissements Area Rural Community; no terminology for the Rural smallest grid of urban Communities/Municipality areas except for the name of the locality Villages 2002* 11 Regions 34 Departments 92 Arrondissements Villages * Eleven regions, the administrative centers of which are the main towns: Dakar, Diourbel, Fatick, Kaolack, Kolda, Louga, Matam, Saint Louis, Tambacounda, Thiès and Ziguinchor. Territorial Partitioning Successive territorial partitionings have gradually brought the administrative categories together with those resulting from the decentralization policy initiated in 1966. In 1962, the new Government created arrondissements and, in 1964, the circles (‘Cercles’) inherited from the colonial administrative grid became departments. About ten years later, soon after the 1976 PC, Law No. 76-61 of June 26, 1976 completely reorganized the administrative hierarchy into regions, departments and arrondissements. Without altering the categories or the terminology, the government of Senegal then divided a certain number of departments, before deciding in 1984 (Law No 84-22 of March 24, 1984) to limit the number of departments to three per region. Four new regions were thus created (Kolda, Ziguinchor, Fatick and Kaolack). Finally, in 2002, Matan, a former department of the St. Louis region, was given the status of region. Senegal already had about thirty Communes with full municipal status in 1960. Indeed, a decree of 1957 granted traditional territorial chiefs the power to create rural communities (‘Communautés Rurales’) with a degree of financial independence and representing a corporate body. As an experiment, decentralization was initiated with Law No. 72-02 of February 1, 1972 relative to the organization of territorial government in the region of Thies. It was extended to the whole territory over the years. Finally, in 1996, Law 96-06 of March 22, 1996 transformed the regions into Local Governements. From then on, Senegal has had three kinds of Local Governments: regions, Rural Communities (‘Communautés Rurales) and Communes (arrondissement Communes and town Communes). This law, finalized by Law No. 96-10 dealing with the organization of territorial government, divided Senegal into 10 regions, 30 departments, 91 arrondissements, 60 Communes, 43 arrondissements Communes and 320 Rural Communities. 86 For Dakar, a decree of October 29, 1983 created a Metropolitan Municipality, a coordination institution, in the Dakar area divided into three Communes. Then in 1997, the Communes of Dakar were divided into arrondissement, Communes, with the exception of the two Rural Communities of Yen and Sangalkam. Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database The agglomerations were defined based on data from village directories published by the Bureau National du Recensement de la Direction de la Prévision et de la Statistique (National Census Bureau of the Forecast and Statistics Department) and the results of the 1988 and 2002 censuses. A numerical file of the 2002 data was provided by the Direction de la Prévision et de la Statistique. A directory of villages for 1976 exists, but does not seem available; no copy has yet been located. The 1988 directory shows, on its first page, the number of compounds, households, the distribution of population by sex, and the total population. The smallest unit was the locality: it was made up of hamlets and villages dependent on the Rural Community. The subdivisions of urban areas were treated as villages. URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban” Several official definitions of urban are used in Senegal. For town planning services, a locality of more than 5,000 inhabitants is urban, whereas for the DAT (Direction de l’Aménagement du Territoire) [Land Use Department], 2,500 habitants confer the status of urban. Comparisons made between the urban population according to official definitions and the population of agglomerations defined according to Geopolis criteria are confined to the definition used in the published volumes of census results for the corresponding years7. In 2002, the definition of urban implicitly referred to the Commune. “Thus, the urban environment is constituted by all the localities made into, Communes whatever the number of inhabitants” (2002 and 2006 PHCs, p. 42). However, the definition had an automatic demographic criterion since, according to the 1996 Code for Local Governments (Article 79), “only localities developed enough to have their own resources for balancing the budget can be constituted as Communes. No Communes can be constituted if it does not have an agglomerated population of at least 1,000 inhabitants” (quoted by THIAM, 2008, p. 132)8. As a result of this definition of urban, the country’s second agglomeration (Touba with 450,000 inhabitants in 2002), which morphed out of a cluster of villages, is therefore officially considered rural. 7 The Direction de la Statistique sometimes also uses a higher demographic threshold (10,000 inhabitants) than the one quoted in the census reports. Territorial definition of Communes: “In 1964, the State enacted Law No. 64-46 of June 17, 1964 relative to the creation and the functions of the Rural Communities, but without specifying their geographical boundaries. As of 1969, the first experimental phase relative to the boundaries of the Rural Communities took place at the level of certain ‘terroirs’.” 8 87 Table SEN3. Urban Population of Senegal according to the Official Definition 1976 1988 2002 Number of Urban Centers 58 58 - Urbanization Rate 36% 39% 41% Urbanization in Senegal according to the Geopolis Definition The application of the Geopolis definition to the definition of urban reveals that some of the largest Senegalese agglomerations are in reality formed out of a group of localities. In this sense, Touba is exemplary. The Touba agglomeration had more than 300,000 residents in 2000, spread over 26 villages and the urban center of MBaké. Dakar-Rufisque, with more than 2 million inhabitants stretches over 5 localities and Thies, the country’s third largest agglomeration with more than 200,000 inhabitants, over 4. This extensive morphology can also be seen in the case of much smaller agglomerations such as Darou Musty, whose 20,000 inhabitants are spread over 12 localities. 88 Map SN1. Agglomerations of Senegal in 2000 89 Table SEN4. Urbanization Indicators (1960-2020) 1960 1980 2000 2020e Geopolis Urbanization Rate 26.1 38.8 45.8 43.9 Primacy Index 6.9 9.4 6.7 4.5 16.1 22.6 24.2 21.7 8 31,338 10 23 39,215 16.1 42 48,067 21.6 59 56,256 22.3 % of the population residing in the metropolitan area of Dakar Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and above Number Average Size % of resident population Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa. Table SEN5. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe Dakar 5 253,306 403,557 730,766 1,265,384 1,767,531 2,257,317 2,747,104 3,236,889 Touba 26 7,000 14,355 27,681 79,682 157,395 343,401 530,132 716,930 Thiès 4 32,417 55,720 90,134 134,973 184,438 223,693 262,948 302,205 Mbour 2 0 12,267 24,560 48,251 86,098 138,749 191,401 244,052 Kaolack 2 37,290 58,234 86,257 120,505 156,168 171,102 186,036 200,970 Ziguinchor 1 0 26,298 46,655 87,651 128,422 150,106 171,789 193,472 Saint-Louis 1 34,531 44,273 65,785 96,606 117,204 134,203 151,202 168,202 Diourbel 1 0 24,719 38,079 58,494 78,766 90,245 101,724 113,202 Tambacounda 2 0 7,346 16,267 30,060 44,965 62,684 80,404 98,123 Louga 2 0 14,841 23,919 40,246 54,956 69,198 83,442 97,684 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. 90 REFERENCES RGPH 2002. Rapport national de présentation des résultats. [PHC, 2002. National Results Presentation Report] ANSD, December 2006. BOUTINOT Laurence (2007). «La décentralisation de la gestion des ressources forestières au Sénégal : un processus contraint par le marché ?» in Le bulletin de l'APAD, n° 26, Gestion des ressources naturelles. Partici pations et mediations [“The Decentralization of Forest Resources Management in Senegal: a process constrained by the market?” in the APAD’s Le bulletin, No. 26, Natural Resources Management. Participations and Meditations], [On line], put on line on December 15, 2007. URL : http://apad.revues.org/document65.html. Ministère de l’urbanisme et de l’aménagement du territoire du Sénégal. Organisation administrative et territoriale du Sénégal de 1960 à nos jours. [Senegalese Ministry for Town Planning and Land Use. Administrative and Territorial Organizaiton of Senegal from 1960 to the present] URL : http://www.muat.gouv.sn/1960.htm SYLL Ousmane (oct 2005). La décentralisation en Afrique de l’Ouest – Sénégal. [Decentalization in West Africa] Master’s Thesis, Université de FrancheComté, within the framework of a Cercoop internship. www.cercoop.org/fiches/Fiche_decentr_Sénégal.pdf THIAM Ousmane (2008). L'axe Dakar-Touba (Sénégal) : analyse spatiale d'un corridor urbain émergent. [The Dakar-Touba axis (Senegal): a spatial analysis of an emerging urban corridor.] Doctorate Thesis, Université d’Avignon et des Pays de Vaucluse. 91 REPUBLIC OF SIERRA LEONE Sierra Leone became a British colony in 1792 and gained independence in 1961. The main objective of the civil war that raged throughout the ten years between 1992 and 2002 was control over the diamond areas. Table SLE1. National Demographic Indicators (1963-2020) 1963 Population 2,180,355 1985 Population 3,515,812 2020s Population 6,384,939 2000 Population Density 1950-2000 Multiplication 64 2.4 Sources: 1975 and 1998 PCs, Geopolis Database. DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data Demographic counts were carried out at the beginning of the 19th Century, but these colonial era censuses were sometimes done by sample, were spread out over several months, or were too incomplete to provide reliable statistical sources. The first census was carried out under UN directives in 1963. Population Census April 1 1963 Population Census December 8 1974 Population Census December 15 1985 Population Census December 4 2004 92 Table SLE2. PC Territorial Divisions (1963-2004) 1963 PC 3 Provinces (Southern Province, Eastern Province, Northern province) + Western Area 1974 PC 3 Provinces + Western Area 12 Districts 150 Chiefdoms 257 Census Enumeration Areas 1985 PC 4 Provinces 15 Provincial Districts 149 Chiefdoms 2004 PC 4 Provinces 14 Districts 161 Chiefdoms Territorial Partitioning The administrative hierarchy has remained stable since 1961, but the grid saw some changes in 1974 because of the changes in the geographical boundaries of districts and fusions or divisions of chiefdoms. The size of provinces is very uneven; thus, in 1985, the Northern Province covered almost half the area of Sierra Leone. The chiefdoms were administrative entities under customary law practiced by the old families in power by electing one of their own to administer the chiefdom. Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database The settlement is the basic spatial unit for censuses in Sierra Leone. The concept, as explained in the census report of 1985, refers to morphological criteria: the settlement can be compact, dispersed or on a grid. But it also refers to the notion of community for, although it can be used to describe an isolated house, the term usually refers to a group of houses and buildings, corresponding to a hamlet as well as a group of adjoining urban centers. In Sierra Leone, most of the settlements consist of a large village and satellite hamlets. The Africapolis database is based on the settlements of more than 2,500 inhabitants for 1963, 1974 and 1985. URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban” From 1963 onwards, the Sierra Leonean Government opted for a definition of urban based on a demographic criterion alone. The urban threshold was 1,000 inhabitants. The 1963 PC counted 29,000 settlements, and distinguished 160 agglomerations that included large villages and developed towns (Clarke, 1966, p.20). The formation of already large agglomerations at this time can be explained principally by the 93 development of mechanized rice cultivation and road construction. Indeed, a large number of these towns are located in the South Eastern part of the country. The demographic threshold rose to 2,000 inhabitants in 19859. This reassessment of urban complicates any long term perspective and comparisons in time. In 1963, only 60 towns had more than 2,000 inhabitants. When considering the urban threshold at 2,000 inhabitants, the urbanization rate increased by 5 points between 1974 and 1985. The census analysts highlighted the increase in the number of urban centers of less than 20,000 inhabitants and especially 21 new settlements into the 2,000-5,000 inhabitants category. In contrast, only one town was in the 20,000-50,000 inhabitant category as opposed to 3 in 1974 (1985 PC, p.14). However, an implicit threshold of 20,000 inhabitants for the “truly” urban was expressed by the analysts when they noted that “Urbanization is still low in the country. By 1974, only 5 towns had 20,000 or more inhabitants. These urban centers constituted the center of social, economic and administrative activities. The situation was not different in 1985” (KANDEH & RAMACHANDRAN, n.d). Table SLE3. Urban Population of Sierra Leone according to the Official Definition Number of Urban Urbanization Average Size Urban Centers Population Rate 1963 2/3 between 160 1,000 and 2,000 524,694 25.3% inhabitants 1974* 75 10,082 756,126 27.6% 1985 98 11,569 1,133,773 32.2% 2004 Source: PCs of corresponding years, Kandeh and Ramachandran (n.d) * according to the urban threshold of 2,000 inhabitants used by Kandeh and Ramachandran 9 According to Kandeh and Ramachandran (n.d), the usual urban threshold was always 2,000 inhabitants, in 1985 as in 1974. The authors present the number of towns and the urbanization rate of 1974 taking this into account and these are presented here. 94 Urbanization in Sierra Leone according to the Geopolis Definition Apart from Freetown, there are about ten agglomerations of 10,000 inhabitants corresponding to the country’s regional administrative centers, although they vary in size. The primacy index remains stable. A significant part of the growth in urban population is absorbed by the second and third ranked towns, the size of which will exceed the 100,000 and 200,000 inhabitant marks in 2020. Table SLE4. Urbanization Indicators in Sierra Leone (1960-2020) 1960 1980 2000 2020e 7 18.7 24.7 27.6 Primacy Index 4.7 4.6 5.3 4.3 % of the population residing in metropolitan areas (Freetown) 5.3 11.8 15.5 16.7 2 7 11 17 17,661 30,963 38,285 40,811 1.7 6.9 9.1 10.9 Geopolis Urbanization Rate Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and above Number Average Size % of resident population Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa. 95 Map SL1. Agglomerations of Sierra Leone in 2000 (Map: Africapolis/SEDET) 96 Table SLE5. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe Freetown 3 73,428 114,289 214,538 376,775 552,620 736,045 919,469 1,102,893 Bo 1 17,333 24,106 33,922 48,693 74,569 121,010 167,451 213,891 Makeni 1 8,230 11,215 19,924 36,439 55,303 71,946 88,590 105,233 Koidu-New Sembehun 1 0 7,545 37 263 79,151 82,576 82,800 83,023 83,247 Waterloo 2 3,000 3,100 3,836 6,549 16,118 32,168 48,219 64,270 Mile 91 1 0 0 0 5,794 8,666 12,961 20,127 27,294 Port Loko 1 4,290 5,416 8,383 12,696 16,646 20,170 23,694 27,218 Daru 1 0 0 3,123 3,241 5,550 12,494 19,438 26,383 Kamakwie 1 0 3,326 4,310 5,528 7,857 12,798 17,738 22,679 Magburaka 1 4,803 5,969 8,604 10,677 12,099 14,883 17,667 20,451 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. REFERENCES CLARKE J.I. Sierra Leone in Maps. University of London Press LTD, 1966. 1985. Census of Population and Housing. Sierra Leone. The Analytical Report, edited by H.B.S. KANDEH, RAMACHANDRAN K.V (1995). 1985. Population Census Project. Central Statistic Office Tower Hill, Freetown. 97 REPUBLIC OF TOGO Table TGO1. National Demographic Indicators of Togo 1970 Population 1,998,280 1981 Population 2,719,567 2020s Population 7,253,951 2000 Population Density 1950-2000 Multiplication 79.8 4 Sources: 1970 and 1981 PCs, Africapolis Database DEMOGRAPHIC SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Demographic Data Comphrehensive data from the national censuses only cover the period from 1960 to 1980. Before 1960, the colonial administration carried out an administrative census in 1936 for tax purposes. The last PC was carried out in 1981 and, since then, demographic data have come from estimates done in 1989 and the administrative census of 1992. Political upheaval and changes in regime prevented the PC planned for 1992. Population Census Population Census Population Census 1959-1960 (census of urban centers from November 1958 to July 1959 and of rural centers from November 1959 to December 1960) March 1 to April 30 1970 November 9 to 22 1981 98 Table TGO2. PC Territorial Divisions 1958-60 1970 1981 4 Regions 17 Administrative Districts bearing the name of their administrative center 7 Urban Municipalities (Lomé, Ameche, Tsévié, Atakpamé, Palimé, Bassari and Sokodé) 5 "Economic Regions” 19 Canton Districts (grouping several villages or population centers) 7 Municipalities (including Lomé) in the eponymous districts 5 Regions 21 Communes including Lomé divided into boroughs 21 Préfectures Cantons Villages Hamlets and Farms Note: The 1981 PC distinguished equally between urban and rural centers without defining them explicitly. Territorial Partitioning The administrative divisions were changed between 1958-1960 and 1981. In February 1960, the colonial administrative hierarchy was abolished and, at this time, districts replaced the circles (‘Cercles’). Five regions were created over the following years with their capitals acting as the seat of ministerial regional departments. The changes made during the 1960s and 1970s were limited to the creation of new entities. In July 1981, préfectures replaced the districts. Administrative posts became sous-préfectures. This new terminology was accompanied by a change of name for some entities, even a change of status as there was an attempt to reorganize the territory, particularly by reallocating administrative functions. Thus, the sous-préfecture of Tchamba became a préfecture; the former district of Akposso was divided to create the préfectures of Amou and Wawa; the préfectures of Assoli and Bassar were no longer attached to the Central Region but to that of Kara. The number of préfectures went from 19 to 21 (PHC, October 1985, page II). The 1981 reforms also involved the local municipalities. In 1970, there were only 7 Communes. The decentralization policy was launched with a decree of June 1982. By an ordinance of September 1984, the country’s 30 administrative centers (‘Chefs-lieux’) became Communes, without restriction, and neither the criterion of demographic size nor functional criteria were taken into consideration. The final list of Communes also included three centers which were not administrative centers at the time. 99 Data used in the Study from the Africapolis Database The agglomerations database was composed from the village directories associated to the 1959-1960, 1970 and 1981 PCs. In 1970, the village, also called “population center”, was the smallest geographical unit of the census; it designated “a territorial entity inhabited by households usually dependent on the same traditional authority commonly called the head of the village” (1970 PC, June 1974, p. 4). From 1960, the editors of the census highlighted the problems of measurement linked to the definition of the village proposed in Togo; this led to confusion on the ground between a “village-agglomeration” and a “village-customary”. According to the “village-customary” approach in use during the previous administrative censuses, people were registered in their village even though they did not live there. Those in charge of running the census therefore introduced the concept of the “village agglomeration” and tried to draw up a list of villages and their satellite hamlets on a geographical basis and no longer on a customary one. The editors’ conclusion was to prefer the term “population center” to that of “village” (1958-1960 PC, n.d. p. 2). According to the 1958-1960 census, half the population centers (3,216 villages) had fewer than 200 inhabitants, more than 8/10 of the whole population lived in centers, the size of which varied between 200 to 5,000 inhabitants, and only 15 “localities” (an undefined term) had more than 5,000 inhabitants (1958-1960 PC, not dated, p. 11 and 21-24). In 1981, the central census bureau of Togo maintained this concept and stressed this time the distortions resulting from the difficulties inherent in applying a single definition of the village/population center. In 1970, a certain number of hamlets and boroughs were counted as villages. In contrast, villages were recorded as hamlets dependent on a parent village. The corrections carried out in 1981 led necessarily to consider trends that could not make sense within a changing perspective between 1960 and 1981 (Bureau Central du Recensement, 1986, page II). URBAN POPULATION AND URBANIZATION Official Definition of “Urban” In 1958-1959, the first phase of the PC was only carried out in the urban centers, of which there were then 8 (Lomé, Tokoin, Anécho, Akakpé, Sokodé, Tsévié, Palimé and Bassari). The census documents did not provide a formal definition of urban center, but it appears that all the urban Communes, as well as Tokoin, were on the list. A definition of urban center was given for the 1970 and 1981 PCs, confirming the primacy given to the administrative status criterion. The 21 administrative centers of the préfectures, including the Commune of Lomé, where more than half the total urban population lived in 1981, were considered urban. When the administrative centers of sous-préfectures became Communes, the population of Communes automatically became urban. This concept of urban kept those population centers that did not attain the status of Local Government in the village category. Other distortions linked to the official definition of urban were highlighted by the editors of the 1981 PC results: for example, the Communes’ 100 boundaries did not include some of the large towns’ neighborhoods. The agglomeration of Atakpamé did not include the population of Hihéatro, which was located in the neighboring préfecture; the administrative grid was then questioned (1981 and 1986 PHCs, page 16). In 1981, the size of urban centers thus varied between 48,000 inhabitants (Sokode in the Central Region) and 3,800 (Amlame in the Plateaux Region). Table TGO3. Changes in the Official Urban Population Urban Population Number of Urban Centers Urbanization Rate PC 1958-1959 145,719 8 9.83% 1970 413,697 21 21.2% 1981 679,766 22 25.2% Source : 1958-1959, 1970 and 1981 PCs. Urbanization in Togo according to the Geopolis Definition Since the 1970s, Togo’s urbanization rate has been one of the highest in West Africa, as has been the share of the population living in the national metropolitan area. However, in 2020, most of the country’s urban network will be formed by 62 agglomerations of between 10,000 and 50,000 inhabitants (9/10 of the total of all the agglomerations), in which almost a third of the country’s population will live. Table TGO4. Urbanization Indicators (1960-2020) 1960 1980 2000 2020e Geopolis Urbanization Rate 8.8 28.5 42.9 49.8 Primacy Index 5.0 9.0 11.7 11.7 5.4 15.9 22.7 24.6 4 12,462 3.4 19 17,472 12.7 38 24,103 20.2 70 26,125 25.2 % of the population residing in the metropolitan area of Lomé Secondary Towns of 10,000 inhabitants and above Number Average Size % of resident population Source: Geopolis Database, Agglomerations of West Africa. 101 Map TG1. Agglomerations of Togo in 2000 (Map: Africapolis/SEDET) Table TGO5. Top 10 Agglomerations 2020 Agglomeration Lomé/Aflao [Tgo] NLU 1950 TP 1960 TP 1970 TP 1980 TP 1990 TP 2000 TP 2010 TPe 2020 TPe 2 38,904 80,187 228,179 416,272 652,177 1,030,000 1,407,823 1,785,646 Kara 1 0 3,266 11,674 26,262 46,999 82,000 117,001 152,002 Sokode 1 7,900 15,988 32,356 46,395 64,033 88,000 111,967 135,934 Atakpame 2 6,076 10,554 18,196 27,329 42,826 67,450 92,074 116,698 Kpalime 1 6,857 12,770 23,780 27,291 40,237 61,000 81,763 102,526 Dapaong 1 0 5,196 10,134 16,631 27,064 44,000 60,936 77,872 Notse 2 0 4,069 9,612 12,930 21,840 38,140 54,440 70,740 Tsevie 1 6,926 9,495 13,016 19,450 27,953 40,000 52,047 64,094 Anie 1 0 3,682 5,037 9,535 17,828 24,420 31,012 37,604 Niamtougou 1 0 2,991 12,208 12,533 16,384 22,000 27,616 33,232 TP: Total Population on July 1 of the relevant year. NLU: Number of Local Units constituting an agglomeration in 2000. The population figures are given at a constant expansion of the 2000 agglomeration. 0 means lack of data. REFERENCES Recensement Général de la Population (mars-avril 1970), volume Méthodologie et premiers résultats. [Population Census (March-April 1970) Methodological Volume and Initital Results] Direction de la Statistique, Republic of Togo, June4. Aperçu des résultats d'ensemble du Recensement Général de la Population et de l'Habitat du Togo de novembre 1981 - Caractéristiques de la population. [Overview of Overall Results of Population and Housing Census of Togo of November 1981 – Population Characteristics] Bureau Central du Recensement, Republic of Togo, February 1986. Recensement Général de la Population et de l'Habitat (9-22 novembre 1981), Résultats provisoires. [Population and Housing Census (November 9-22, 1981), Provisional Results] Direction de la Statistique, Republic of Togo. th Recensement Général de Population du Togo 1958-1960. 4ème fascicule, [Population Census of Togo, 1958-1960. 4 Part] Lomé. GIRAUT Frédéric (1993). « Les petites villes entre émancipation et implosion des pouvoirs (Ghana, Togo, Niger) » [“Small Towns between Emancipation and Implosion of Power (Ghana, Togo and Niger)” in JAGLIN Sylvie, DUBRESSON Alain (dir.). Pouvoirs et cités en Afrique Noire. Décentralisations en questions. [Power and Cities in Black Africa. Decentralizations in Question] Karthala, Paris.