Reeg - Case of India - Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik
Transcription
Reeg - Case of India - Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik
What determines MSE upgrading? Evidence from India Caroline Reeg Presented at the DIE Workshop on Micro and Small Enterprise Upgrading Bonn, 28 November 2012 Outline 1. Introduction 2. The Indian case study 4. Main Results 5. Example: ICT 6. Conclusions and Policy Recommendations © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 2 1. Introduction © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 3 MSMEs in India India Population (billion inhabitants) 1.224 GDP per capita (in constant PPP$ 2005) – lower middle income country 3039 MSMEs (% of all companies) 95-99 Informal MSMEs (% of all) 95 Informal employment outside agriculture (% of total workforce outside agriculture) 83 Source: Ministry of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 4 India – Importance of MSMEs Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) provide employment to 60 million people through 28.5 million enterprises. The sector contributes 8 per cent to the country’s GDP, 45 per cent to the manufactured output and 40 per cent to the country’s exports. Today, the sector produces a wide range of products, from simple consumer goods to high-precision, sophisticated finished products. It has emerged as a major supplier of mass consumption goods as well as a producer of electronic and electrical equipment and drugs and pharmaceuticals. An shock to this sector is likely to have a multiplier impact on the whole economy and employment. Data has to be interpreted with caution: In 2006 the Small-ScaleIndustry (SSI) sector was „rebranded“ into the MSME sector by the MSME Act. This covered more enterprises than before. This was the first and so far only MSME Census in India. 28.5 million MSMES 7.7 MSMEs in manufacturing 18.5 MSMES in services Only 1,5 million MSMEs are formal MSME sector employs 60 million people © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 5 2. The Indian Case Study © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 6 India – Research Question, Methodology RQ: What factors matter for upgrading & How does upgrading unfold? Aim: learn from succesful cases; allow for variety in factors & upgrading trajectories, systematically exclude factors that do not matter Tools: Quantitative: Closed questionnaire and ranking of factors (using the „Onion-Model“. Qualitative: In-depth interview with open-ended questions regarding success factors, constraints & interrelationships (evolution of upgrading). © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 7 India - Using the ‚onion model‘ Business Environment Business Networks Social Networks The Enterprise The Entrepreneur © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 8 India - Definition of MSME 1. EMPLOYMENT Micro 1-9 regular/ permanent employees Small 10-19 regular/ permanent employees Medium 20-99 regular/ permanent employees 1. INVESTMENT IN PLANT & MACHINERY/ EQUIPMENT (Indian MSME Act 2006) © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) India – Identification of an Upgrader Quantitative: 1. Passed threshold of 20 permanent, regular employees & 2. Grown at least 10% annually over a period of 10 years Qualitative: 3. has reported to innovate in a product, technology, organisational process, marketing/ sales & entered new market & 4. grown faster than competitors (innovation rent) © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 10 India - Method: Tracing Back Success Stories Number of permanent/ regular employees 69 41 26 Threshold 20 17 15 15 6 3 1997 7 2000 © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 10 2012 Time 11 India – Fieldwork 14 weeks of fieldwork 1 Researcher + 2 Interpreter Partners: KfW India Small Industries Development Bank of India (SIDBI) Local collaboration: Foundation for MSME Clusters UNDP Office Chennai/ Cluster Programme © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 12 India - Sample Composition Identification of Enterprises TOTAL Interviews Company registries and other representative lists: Near-to representative lists: Recommendation by experts, business associations or lead firms in sector: ‚Walking the street‘ (especially in geographic clusters): India Sample India Upgraders: Non-upgraders: 42 51 10 Garment & textile : Leather & footwear: ICT: 29 37 27 34 Formal at start: Informal at start: 28 65 Female entrepreneurs: Male entrepreneurs: 4 89 93 - 49 © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 13 India - Size of Enterprises & Upgrading In 2012 In 2012 Medium 9% Micro 55% Medium 21% At start Small 9% U P G R A D I N G INVESTMENT EMPLOYMENT Large 24% Micro 91% © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) Large 3% Small 31% Micro 57% At start: Small 5% U P G R A D I N G Micro 95% 14 India - Regional & Sectoral Coverage Sectors Regions Rajasthan 8% Leather & Footwear 40% Location Others 3% Semi-urban 8% ICT 29% Textiles & Garments 31% NCR 27% Rural 39% Tamil Nadu 62% © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) Urban 53% 15 3. Main Results © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 16 Entry barriers for women entrepreneurs* Access and reliability of electricity, particularly in Tamil Nadu Low education and training of shop floor workers Access to affordable land, in Tamil Nadu and NCR Availability of workers/ high degree of fluctuation Delay in payments by clients/ buyers Difficulties in access to bank finance Difficulties in understanding/ predicting laws and regulations SECTOR SPECIFIC ACROSS SECTORS India – Structural Constraints Corruption & “Inspectors/ official visits” (to a certain extend) © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 17 Human capital Family Background and Mindset Availability of alternative finance & Role of Social Networks The entrepreneur’s decisionmaking power within enterprise Employee welfare Benefiting from outsourcing and political vacuum in (global) value chains Strategic “Growth Intelligence” Access to markets (both national & international) Integration into GVCs & embedded BDS Benefiting from booms in certain products & “quality “ associations SECTOR SPECIFIC ACROSS SECTORS India – (Major) Success factors Cluster dynamics in fostering the dissemination of environmental and social standards Location and Access to land …. © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 18 Access to markets at enterprise start-up – local markets vs. national & international exposure Frequencies Number of enterprises 60 50 40 30 NonUpgrader 48 2 20 10 Upgrader 20 11 9 0 local & regional national 2 national & international © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) international 19 Access to markets in 2012 – Strong outward focus, but with one feet in the domestic market Frequencies Number of enterprises 40 35 30 25 20 NonUpgrader 37 15 10 12 21 Upgrader 16 5 1 0 local & regional 4 national national & international © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) international 20 Enterprise Finance at start-up – Similar patterns, but different strategies Frequencies cash advance, in-kind credit, others 31 18 3 bank loan 11 informal finance 5 6 friends/ investors 12 8 family savings 33 29 personal savings 28 0 5 Non-Upgrader 10 15 Upgrader © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 20 25 30 31 35 Number of enterprises 21 Enterprise Finance in 2012 – Consolidation of funding sources Frequencies cash advance, in-kind credit, others 25 6 bank loan 29 25 9 informal finance friends/ investors family savings 2 4 5 7 4 4 personal savings enterprise returns 49 32 0 10 Non-Upgrader 20 30 Upgrader © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 40 50 60 Number of enterprises 22 ..... So how are constraints and success factors interrelated? ... And which combinations of success have worked for entrepreneurs in India? © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 23 4. Example: ICT © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 24 India - The ICT sector Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) in India: Role in job creation: industry directly employs around 2.24 million professionals India is the leading global economic actor in the offshore services industry. The country’s gross revenue in the industry was US$ 58.8 billion (2008) with US$ 46.3 billion in exports, over 5% of India’s GDP and US$ 12.5 billion in domestic sales In 2000: IT service sector was highly developed ; Activities within the BPO and higher value added activities were just beginning to emerge By 2006: Broadening and deepening of IT activities was combined with greater emphasis on higher value-added services, esp. in the financial and health care industries. © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 25 India - Major challenges for ICT entrepreneurs Access to Markets - The market is becoming increasingly consolidated on the supply side Access To Finance – Bank finance is still a massive issue for service industries as banks are traditionally structured to support manufacturing (e.g. collateral) Access to Labour- High pressure on human capital to serve the software sector’s needs and attrition rates are high Access to Technology/ Creative Learning – Entry barriers to developing value-added services/ products in the standard range are increasing Reliable protection of Intellectual Property Rights – Enterprises that face high upfornt investment costs in R&D fear losing their future returns due to unethical practices/ competition © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 26 ICT-Upgraders © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 27 ICT-Upgraders Software Service , HRM and BPO companies Mainly R&D, KPO, Software Product Companies © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 28 © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 29 ICT Challenges – How do Entrepreneurs overcome them? Most ICT Upgraders had a business partner & shared responsibilities Most ICT Upgraders had a client/ market channel BEFORE starting their business!!! University+ Work Experience Human Capital + Work Expereince Use of alumni & work networks to attract talent/ partners Use of strategic advice from current/former colleagues/ potential partner Strategies of employee welfare + bottom-up personal development + shareholding to keep attrition low ACCESS TO LABOUR Acquisition of clients via established position in former employer (e.g. Adobe) ACCESS TO MARKETS © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 30 ICT in India - Combinations of success The Entrepreneur The Enterprise The Social Network The Business Networks The Business Environment Finance Labour Security Markets SECTOR -SPECIFITY ENTREPRENEUR Challenges Technology and creativity © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 31 Challenges The Entrepreneur The Enterprise The Social Network The Business Networks The Business Environment Finance personal savings Partners/ employees as shareholders family savings / Friends cashadvance/ bootstrap bank loan SECTOR -SPECIFITY ENTREPRENEUR ICT in India - Combinations of success © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 32 Challenges The Entrepreneur The Enterprise The Social Network The Business Networks The Business Environment Finance personal savings Partners/ employees as shareholders family savings / Friends cashadvance/ bootstrap bank loan personal labour Exciting work atmosphere Hire friends & excolleagues pooling outsourcing availability of (skilled) workers Labour SECTOR -SPECIFITY ENTREPRENEUR ICT in India - Combinations of success © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 33 Challenges The Entrepreneur The Enterprise The Social Network The Business Networks The Business Environment Finance personal savings Partners/ employees as shareholders family savings / Friends cashadvance/ bootstrap bank loan personal labour Exciting work atmosphere Hire friends & excolleagues pooling outsourcing availability of (skilled) workers readiness to accept risk Portfolio specialisatio n Readiness to accept risk insurance economic stability, rule of law Labour Security SECTOR -SPECIFITY ENTREPRENEUR ICT in India - Combinations of success © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 34 Challenges The Entrepreneur The Enterprise The Social Network The Business Networks The Business Environment Finance personal savings Partners/ employees as shareholders family savings / Friends cashadvance/ bootstrap bank loan personal labour Exciting work atmosphere Hire friends & excolleagues pooling outsourcing availability of (skilled) workers readiness to accept risk Portfolio specialisatio n Readiness to accept risk insurance economic stability, rule of law International work exposure Marketing strategy/ domain personal outreach Access to international clients Booming Market for ICT Labour Security Markets SECTOR -SPECIFITY ENTREPRENEUR ICT in India - Combinations of success © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 35 Challenges The Entrepreneur The Enterprise The Social Network The Business Networks The Business Environment Finance personal savings Partners/ employees as shareholders family savings / Friends cashadvance/ bootstrap bank loan personal labour Exciting work atmosphere Hire friends & excolleagues pooling outsourcing availability of (skilled) workers readiness to accept risk Portfolio specialisatio n Readiness to accept risk insurance economic stability, rule of law International work exposure Marketing strategy/ domain personal outreach Access to international clients Booming Market for ICT quality education In house R&D Exchange of ideas Exchange of Info Availability of external training Labour Security Markets Technology and creativity SECTOR -SPECIFITY ENTREPRENEUR ICT in India - Combinations of success © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 36 Everything should be made as simple as possible but not simpler -Albert Einstein- © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 37 5. Conclusion & some policy recommendations © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 38 India - Conclusions 1. There are huge entry barriers for women entrepreneurs. These are historically and culturally rooted, but there are exceptions! 2. There is little social mobility across socio-economic groups. 3. The Entrepreneur & his social network (matter…a lot) 4. Work Experience & Business Linkages with Clients/ Buyers can compensate for the lack of finance. © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 39 ACCESS FINANCE ACCESS MARKETS Policy Recommendations 1 Market is segmented; strong entry barriers like brand equity, interface skills & high marketing costs for standard products Upgraders: used their personal and work networks to attract business linkages (in & outside India). Also exposure to international markets to access mentorship, business intelligence. Policy recommendation: Use the potential of the domestic market for “home-grown” ICT enterprises by recognising ICT enterprises as MSEs when operating from home/ technology incubators. Development banks have a bias against service-based businesses as they fall under the category of risk finance (due to missing collateral) Upgraders have mainly used personal savings and strategic in-kind credits/ advance from clients Policy recommendation: Replace collateral base financing with riskfinancing, at least for a small group. Assessment requires use of ITdomain know-how inside our outside of development banks. © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 40 ACCESSLABOUR ACCESS TECHNOLOGY Policy Recommendations 2 There is quality technical knowledge in Indian IT companies, but they are way behind in domain knowledge when it comes to develop higher value-added products (software). Upgaders have specialized in one domain, got appreciated and a brand and then diversified later on! Policy Recommendation: Platforms for linking Indian domain enterprises (e.g pharmaceuticals; financial) and ICT enterprises could be mutually fruitful. If India is to evolve to higher value-added activities and other areas such as engineering services, the offshore and ICT services industry will need more qualified staff with superior technical and management skills Upgraders have used their social networks as leverage point for recruiting scarce talent. Policy Recommendation: The country must reinforce its education system and strengthen the interaction and communication channels between education institutions and the offshore industry sector. © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 41 Thank you very much for your attention! caroline.reeg@die-gdi.de http://www.die-gdi.de © 2012 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) 42