ESG Sustainable Investing
Transcription
ESG Sustainable Investing
ESG Sustainable Investing Frank Klein Managing Director July 2010 Agenda DB Advisors What is social responsible investing? DB Advisors ESG concept at a glance Why social responsible investments? Global growth of sustainable investments Trends and drivers in the ESG market ESG – The next steps Conclusion 1 UniHH0710 DB Advisors Deutsche Bank: Global firm, extensive resources A global organization Established in over 70 countries worldwide A+ rated by Standard & Poor's Tier 1 capital ratio of 11.2%* Private Clients and Asset Management Businesses that serve a broad range of clients Asset Management Private & Business Clients Corporate and Investment Bank Private Wealth Management Global Banking Global Markets Deutsche Asset Management EUR 540 billion AuM A full range of asset management capabilities Institutional DB Advisors EUR 176 bn Insurance Alternatives Retail EUR 142 bn EUR 45 bn EUR 177 bn Management of EUR 363 billion for institutional clients worldwide As of April 30, 2010 Source: DB Advisors, Deutsche Bank AG Due to rounding, numbers may not add up to total * As of March 31, 2010 3 UniHH0710 Corporate Investments Corporate Investments EUR 537 billion assets under management Business lines DWS 32.4% Asset classes RREEF¹ 8.3% Fixed Income (incl. Cash) 66.5% Hedge Funds 0.8% Real Estate 7.7% Insurance 25.8% DB Advisors 33.5% Quantitative Strategies 2.3% Infrastructure 1.2% As of March 31, 2010 ¹ Rosenberg Real Estate Equity Funds Source: DB Advisors Retail and institutional 4 UniHH0710 Equity 21.5% DB Advisors Germany: Our clients EUR 96 billion assets under management Insurances 39.9% Charities 4.8% Banks 5.9% Other Non-Profit Organizations 2.7% Supranationals 0.4% Governments** 1.4% Central Banks 7.5% Corporates* 16.0% Pension funds 21.4% As of March 31, 2010 * Incl. Pooled Funds ** Incl. Local Authorities Source: DB Advisors 5 UniHH0710 Our global fixed income platform 274 investment professionals Frankfurt Luxembourg London Warsaw Seoul Tokyo Louisville Taipei New York Manila Boston Hong Kong Singapore Mumbai Melbourne Madrid Zurich As of March 2010 Source: DB Advisors Retail and institutional 6 UniHH0710 Americas: 101 Europe: 148 Asia: 25 We offer the complete asset management value chain Risk management Strategic asset allocation ALM Portfolio optimization 7 Research UniHH0710 Risk overlay Structuring Asset management Active management (Stock selection, corporates, ...) Tactical overlay Hedge funds Indexed Fund administration Master-KAG Fund administration Reporting Reporting What is social responsible investing? Four dimensions of an investment Source: DB Research 9 UniHH0710 Evolution of the term ESG SRI Socially Responsible Investment Sustainability Ethical Exclusions SEE Social, Ethical, Environmental Responsible Investing CG Corporate Governance ESG Environment, Social, Governance CSR Corporate Social Responsibility Responsible investing for DB Advisors combines environmental, ethical, social and governance considerations with investors' financial objectives, this means responsible investing without compromising investment performance opportunities 10 UniHH0710 History of social responsible investments Source: Evaluation Associates, Janet Kalwat, Ph.D. Oct 08 11 UniHH0710 Classification of ESG investment approaches External versus internal External Internal ESG ratings from external rating agencies Sustainability indices Negative approach (exclusion of investments which are non-compliant with ESG factors) Positive approach (selection of investments which actively apply ESG criteria determined by the investment company) Best-in-class approach (selection of best performing companies in each sector) Broad versus core Broad Core Simple screening (up to 2 negative criteria) Engagement Integration 12 UniHH0710 Negative screening / ethical exclusions (more than 2 negative criteria) Positive screening (including best-in-class and SRI theme funds) Combination of ethical exclusion and positive screening Use of different ESG concepts Clients Asset Managers ESG already implemented Negative screening Negative screening Weighted screening Weighted screening Engaged Engaged approach Integrated Integrated approach Focused asset Focused asset approach Others Other RI approaches Do not invest Do not currently invest 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% ESG not yet implemented Negative screening Continental European clients focus on exclusion criteria, integration and bestin-class, UK clients on engagement, and US clients on exclusion, shareholder advocacy and community investing Weighted screening Engaged Integrated Focused asset Others 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% As of June 2008 Source: Responsible Investment Landscape 2008, Asset Owners / Asset Managers 13 UniHH0710 60% DB Advisors ESG concept at a glance Responsible investing DB Advisors/DWS concept at a glance 15 Responsible investing on prudent basis – Guiding principle: ESG (Environment, Social, Governance) – Clear "best-in-class" approach – Positive theme overlay – Selective product-related exclusion criteria and UN global compact assessment External ESG expertise combined with internal investment competence – Dedicated ESG research provider for measurable ESG performance (Sustainalytics company) – Independent ESG advisory panel – DB Advisors/DWS investment expertise Good performance since change of fund management and concept UniHH0710 DB Advisors/DWS' understanding of responsible investing Responsible investing for DB Advisors/DWS combines environmental, ethical, social and governance considerations with investors' financial objectives, thus means responsible investing without compromising the chance of investment performance 16 UniHH0710 External know-how combined with internal expertise DB Advisors/DWS Sustainalytics company Independent ESG research network in Europe, North America, Asia and Middle East 160 analysts are combining global coverage with local know-how Actually provides ESG raw data and detailed company/sector reports for more than 1,800 stocks (MSCI World + DB Advisors / DWS theme basket) Source: DB Advisors For illustrative purposes only 17 UniHH0710 ESG advisory panel Well regarded ESG experts from foundations, clergy, academia and industry Independent, regular review and counsel of customized screening methodology and selection criteria (best-in-class, premia) Forum for further exchange and promotion in the field of ESG Research provider Sustainalytics company Detailed company/sector reports Worlds' largest independent ESG/SRI research provider Independent Swiss-based company acting as a holding and combining the ESG expertise of its 12 network partners in North America, Europe and Asia The network offers a global coverage, but based on local knowledge, contacts and insights Sustainalytics employs within their network roughly 160 employees and perform coverage of more than 5,000 companies based on the same research standard and framework Sustainalytics research is reviewed continuously and uploaded to "G-Cube"* on a monthly basis The decision for Sustainalytics company as independent ESG research provider has been made after an extensive due diligence process and worldwide comparison of all well regarded ESG research houses Sustainalytics offers to DB Advisors/DWS a sufficient breadth and depth of coverage, a high degree of transparency and customization opportunities as well as a wide set of ESG criteria for every company analyzed * G-Cube is DB Advisors' innovative proprietary web-based global research and relative-value platform. This centralized database is accessible from anywhere in the world by any of our investment professionals, giving them a secured on-demand access to both internal and external research, as well as relative value investment recommendations. 18 UniHH0710 Members of our independent ESG advisory panel Review and counsel of customized screening methodology and selection criteria Member Background Prof. Dr. Alexander Bassen Chair for finance and investments, University of Hamburg, scientific advisor for (among others) carbon disclosure project, DVFA, DSW and Germany's corporate governance commission Prof. Rob Bauer Part-time Professor of Finance (Maastricht University), Faculty of Economics and Business administration, Director of the European Centre of Corporate Engagement (ECCE), Director of the Netspar-UMBS Academy (postgraduate education for professionals and Board members of pension funds and insurance companies Christopher Burnham Vice chairman of DeAM Ex under secretary general of UN with reporting to Kofi Annan (until 2006), co-design of UN's first ethics office and UN global compact Michael Dittrich Head of Administration, Bundesstiftung Umwelt, responsible for asset management, organization, finance, HR and IT; attorney at law; lecturer at University of Osnabrück Peter J. Hadasch Director of pension and insurance services of Nestlé Group Germany Jörg-Eduard Krumsiek Managing Director of Deutsche Bank Foundation Dr. Claus Meier Director of finance of Evangelic Lutheran Church Bavaria, member of financial expert committee Evangelic Lutheran Church Germany Christian Strenger Member of DWS supervisory board Member of Germany's corporate governance commission, World Bank/OECD corporate governance forum, former chairman of International Corporate Governance Network (ICGN) Source: DB Advisors For illustrative purposes only 19 UniHH0710 ESG solutions of DB Advisors/DWS Global equity products: DWS Invest Responsibility, DWS Klimawandel, DWS Invest Climate Change, DWS Zukunftsressourcen, DWS Invest New Resources, DWS GO Green Certificates Product Suite European multi asset and fixed income products: DVG Stiftungsfonds, GKD-Fonds, DWS Bildungsfonds 20 Institutional mandates (equity, fixed income, dynamic asset allocation) with consideration of individual client's restrictions UniHH0710 ESG Investment process – equity Investment performance ESG investment portfolio (80 - 100 stocks) Portfolio building Idea pool (350 stocks) DB Advisors proprietary ESG investment universe (700 stocks) ESG analyzed global universe MSCI World + DB Advisors themes (1,800 stocks worldwide) 21 UniHH0710 G-Cube Sustainalytics ESG analysis DB Advisors ESG performance Advisory panel Fundamental analysis ESG best-in-class at DB Advisors DB Advisors rating process Final ESG company rating Positive ESG momentum + Rating (A - F) Exemplary behavior + Premia Preliminary ESG score (0 - 100) 40%* 30%* Environment Social Governance 10% Reporting 8 35% Employees 21 33% Corporate ethics 11 40% Goals and initiative 27 25% Contractual partners 16 67% Corporate govern. 14 50% Implementation 29 20% Customers 22 20% Society 26 Weighting Number of indicators * Current weighting, recommended band with of the DB Advisors ESG advisory panels between 30% - 40% 22 30%* UniHH0710 DWS invest responsibility: ESG investment process DB Advisors/DWS rating process details Step I - processing of Sustainalytics raw data Sustainalytics provides DB Advisors/DWS with nearly 200 ESG indicators for each company within the ESG researched global universe (MSCI World companies + proprietary DB Advisors/DWS theme pool, ~ 1,800 stocks) Taking sector specific ESG issues into account, DB Advisors/DWS uses a sophisticated, customized ESG methodology for each (sub)sector to weight the three main themes (Environment, Social Interests, Governance) and the respective indicators Aggregation of indicator scores with their relevant weightings lead to a preliminary ESG company score 23 UniHH0710 DWS invest responsibility: ESG investment process DB Advisors/DWS rating process details Step II - awarding ESG company ratings Application of additional premia for exemplary conduct and positive momentum to reward company achievements (proprietary DB Advisors/DWS process) Calculation of final ESG company score, overall universe and sector ESG median scores Company ranking within the overall ESG-researched global universe and within the industry sectors ESG company ratings are awarded based on the universe median score and application of standard deviations A B C D E F Excellent ESG performance Very good ESG performance Good ESG performance Below average ESG performance Questionable ESG performance Poor ESG performance ESG score 1.5 standard deviation (SD) ESG score range: (0.5; 1.5) SD ESG score range: (0.0; 0.5) SD ESG score range: (-0.5; 0.0) SD ESG score range: (-1.5; -0.5) SD ESG score < -1.5 SD ESG company ratings are feed into DB Advisors/DWS global research database G-Cube* for all in-house analysts and portfolio managers * G-Cube is DB Advisors' innovative proprietary web-based global research and relative-value platform. This centralized database is accessible from anywhere in the world by any of our investment professionals, giving them a secured on-demand access to both internal and external research, as well as relative value investment recommendations. 24 UniHH0710 DWS invest responsibility: ESG investment process DB Advisors/DWS rating process details Step III - construction of proprietary ESG investment universe (~700 companies) "Universe-best-in-class" - inclusion of all companies with a rating from A - C "Sector-best-in-class" - exclusion of all companies in the "universe-best-in-class" basket below the relevant sector median ESG score to prevent sector bias Monthly tracking of ESG company ratings and trends to ensure constant best-in-class companies longer than 6 months below C rating and with negative ESG momentum will be excluded from the ESG investment universe The portfolio management can to a minor extent also include "D" rated companies, especially if 25 – Possible shareholder activism will be pursued – Noticeably positive ESG momentum is recognized – Companies fluctuating between C/D and are from fundamental aspects not replaceable by companies with higher ESG scores UniHH0710 DWS invest responsibility: ESG investment process Fundamental analysis Narrowing the investment universe (~350 companies) Strong, independent proprietary research base globally – Fundamental equity research by DB advisors and DWS alpha specialists and third party research – Key investment themes identified by DB advisors and DWS alpha specialists and third party research Company meetings Qualitative screening and valuation tools – 26 Custom tailored to region and sector Internal sector/country allocation signals UniHH0710 DWS invest responsibility: ESG investment process Portfolio construction Benchmark aware but not benchmark-driven Portfolio manager is responsible for implementing all the investment decisions pertaining to regional, sector, and currency allocation, single stock decisions and weightings and implementation of style and size factors Final ESG portfolio contains 70 - 100 stocks Single stock weights usually vary between 0.75 to 5.0% Typically the underweight of a certain sector within the portfolio will not exceed 15% of the benchmark (on GICS 10 level) 27 UniHH0710 Portfolio: DWS Invest Responsibility ESG rating allocation ESG rating allocation Fund MSCI World A B C D E F 39.6 32.4 7.4 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.2 22.8 18.0 18.6 27.3 4.1 Total 80.4 100.0 A C/D Weighted average rating (for Sustainalytics-rated companies) Number of shares: Rating coverage: Not yet rated by ESG (DB Advisors/DWS Themes/Innovaters) 80 1.800 90% 100% 10.2 1.4 0.0 4.9 1.1 2.9 Cash (excl. Derivatives) 9.4 Source: DB Advisors For illustrative purposes only 28 UniHH0710 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% A B C Fund D E MSCI (R) Excl. not ESG-rated companies and cash (scaled to 100%) Clear ESG strategy within traditional sectors Renewable energies and clean technologies Personal health, development and balance Emission control, reduction and avoidance Waste avoidance, disposal and reprocessing As of May 31, 2010 60% Pers onal health, developm ent and balance 48% Clear ESG s trategy within traditional s ectors 14% Em is s ion control, reduction and avoidance 10% Was te avoidance, dis pos al and reproces s ing 28% F ESG investment process – fixed income Rating process ESG investment portfolio Investment performance 80 - 100 10 15 15 DB Advisors Portfolio building Idea pool 350 30 20 20 DB Advisors proprietary ESG investment universe 400 50 60 30 ESG analysis G-Cube** ESG analyzed universe * ** 1.825 50 100 30 Corporates* Covered bond issuers* Sovereigns* Agencies / Subsovereign* Sustainalytics ESG performance Advisory panel Fundamental and relative value analysis Number of issuers G-Cube is DB Advisors' innovative proprietary web-based global research and relative-value platform. This centralized database is accessible from anywhere in the world by any of our investment professionals, giving them a secured on-demand access to both internal and external research, as well as relative value investment recommendations. Source: DB Advisors; for illustrative purposes only 29 UniHH0710 ESG investment process fixed income Rating process corporates, covered bond issuers*, agencies ESG company rating Rating (A - F) ESG score (0 - 100) 40%** 30%** Environment Social concern Governance 10% Reporting 8 35% Employees 21 33% Corporate ethics 11 40% Goals and initiatives 27 25% Contractual partners 16 67% Corporate govern. 14 50% Implementation 29 20% Customers 22 20% Society 26 Weighting Number of indicators * Mortgage bonds ** Current weighting, recommended bandwidth of the DB Advisors ESG advisory panel between 30% - 40% Source: DB Advisors; for illustrative purposes only 30 30%** UniHH0710 One transparent, global process Our process is designed to achieve consistent excess returns with risk management and accountability at every step of the process Research and decision-making Alpha specialists Portfolio design and construction Conduct both research and alpha decision-making Implementation Portfolio construction team Dedicated portfolio manager Communicate signals in consistent framework Creates a model portfolio based on alpha signals and blueprint Implement client portfolio Minimize time decay of research Process management Process managers Actively and continuously evaluate signal quality and risk exposures 31 UniHH0710 ESG investment process fixed income Rating process sovereigns (I) Evaluation of the 100 largest countries in the world (as per GDP) with Sustainalytics country compliance assessment Avoid investments in countries, which are documented to not sufficiently follow well-established international norms Systematic screening on the basis of selected conventions and treaties (UN); assessment of a country's factual governance (World Bank) ESG Country Rating Rating (red, yellow, green) Exclusion criteria Country Compliance Assessment Score Standards (treaties, conventions, UN) Major international Human Rights Instruments ILO Core Conventions Core Climate Convention Conventions and agreements on nuclear, biological and chemical weapons Governance (World Bank) Source: DB Advisors For illustrative purposes only 32 UniHH0710 Voice and accountability Political stability Government effectiveness Regulatory quality Rule of law Control of corruption ESG investment process fixed income Rating process sovereigns (II) Exclusion of those countries with a country compliance assessment score which is clearly below the average of all countries assessed ESG country rating: "Red" 33 Investment in bonds of those countries with an ESG country rating "green"; to a minor extend selective investments in "yellow" rated countries are possible UniHH0710 Country compliance assessment Scores 2009 - selected results GDP Rank Country Total Score CCA Rank Denmark Finland Austria Iceland Ireland Netherlands Norway Sweden Switzerland Germany Luxembourg United Kingdom Australia 28 33 25 98 31 16 24 22 21 4 67 6 14 47 47 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 45 45 45 44 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 10 10 10 13 Brazil El Salvador Jordan Serbia Argentina United States 8 92 95 70 29 1 35 35 35 35 34 32 44 44 44 44 48 61 Algeria Azerbaijan Bahrain Belarus Lebanon Russian Federation Kazakhstan United Arab Emirates Venezuela, RB Bangladesh Cameroon Oman Thailand 45 73 99 63 83 9 52 49 30 61 89 78 34 31 31 31 31 31 31 29 29 29 28 28 28 28 68 68 68 68 68 68 79 79 79 84 84 84 84 Date of research: August 2009 Source: Systainalytics; for illustrative purposes only Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 34 UniHH0710 CCA Recommendation CCA details: Germany Germany Human Development Index - Rank Investment Recommendation Ratified Score 10 Source Yes 2 OHCHR Yes 2 OHCHR Yes 2 OHCHR Yes 2 OHCHR Yes 2 OHCHR Yes 2 OHCHR Yes Yes 1 1 HDR HDR Yes Yes 1 1 HDR HDR Yes Yes 1 1 HDR HDR Yes Yes 1 1 HDR HDR Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 UNFCCC UNEP UNFCCC CBD UNDDA CTBTO OPWC UNDDA 9 WB 45 Total CCA Rank HDR 22 International Agreement Signed Major international Human Rights Instruments International Convention on the Elimination of All Yes Forms of Racial Discrimination (1965) International Convention on Civil and Political Rights Yes (1966) International Covenant on Economic, Social and Yes Cultural Rights (1966) Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Yes Discrimination Against Women (1979) Convention against Torture and Other Cruel, Yes Inhuman or Degrading Treatment or Punishment (1984) Convention on the Rights of the Child (1989) Yes Fundamental Labour Right Conventions Freedom of association and collective bargaining Convention 87 NR Convention 98 NR Elimination of forced and compulsory labour Convention 29 NR Convention 105 NR Elimination of discrimination in respect of employment and occupation Convention 100 NR Convention 111 NR Abolition of child labour Convention 138 NR Convention 182 NR International Treaties Framework Convention on Climate Change Yes Montreal Protocol (Ozone Layer) Yes Kyoto Protocol Yes Convention on Biological Diversity Yes Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Treaty Yes Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty Yes Chemical Weapons Convention Yes Biological Weapons Convention Yes Governance Voice and Accountability, Political Stability, Government Effectiveness, Regulatory Quality, Rule of Law, Control of Corruption Credit research methodology Original and timely credit analysis is the foundation for possibly generating alpha Company analysis Quantitative Balance sheet analysis Profit and loss Cashflow Ratios Qualitative Management Regulatory environment Specific industry and company risks Instrument-specific Prospectus Structure Liquidity Documentation Results Long-term view current internal rating G-Cube* Short-term view relative value + absolute return * G-Cube is DB Advisors' innovative proprietary web-based global research and relative-value platform. This centralized database is accessible from anywhere in the world by any of our investment professionals, giving them a secured on-demand access to both internal and external research, as well as relative value investment recommendations. 35 UniHH0710 Company and credit investment criteria Understanding the quality and risk of the company and the issue in equal depth is essential to investment success Qualitative and quantitative research Good or bad business – Industrial background – Company specific – Capital management Instrument-specific analysis SWOT – Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats What has changed / is changing? Capital holders 36 UniHH0710 Guarantee – Holding company/operating company/SPV – Subordination – Collateral Covenants – Restrictions on corporate activity/ownership – Triggering events Optional – Principal payments – Coupon payments Documentation Quantitative internal rating model Application of own discriminant analyses (see E. Altman) Selection of sectors, companies and relevant ratios Construction and testing of sector models; analysis of incorrectly classified companies (inclusive qualitative analysis) Internal rating Credit quality forecast Christoph Klein: "Analysis and Evaluation of Corporate Bonds", in: the Handbook of Finance, F. J. Fabozzi, Wiley & Sons, Hoboken 2008, volume 2, pp. 447- 454. Source: DB Advisors, for illustrative purposes only 37 UniHH0710 Investment process ESG credit 1. Sector analysis 8. Sell discipline 2. Independent and proprietary analysis of directional and fundamental credit drivers of individual issuers 7. Permanent risk management and monitoring 3. ESG analysis II 6. Portfolio construction incl. validation of the ESG profile 5. Long-term and short-term view on individual credit instruments 38 UniHH0710 4. Instrument specific analysis Why social responsible investments? Increased relevance for companies and investors Climate risks affect profitability "There will be a large creation and re-distribution of shareholder value in the transition to a low carbon economy – there will be winners and losers at sector level, and within sectors at company level. The winners are more likely to be those businesses that take the time to understand and address this complex area." Tom Delay, Chief Executive, The Carbon Trust The correlation between climate risks and opportunities and financial performance is quantifiable. Litigation, regulation, reputation and investments will affect. CAPEX, Cash Flow, Operating Costs and Cost of Capital 40 UniHH0710 Increased relevance for companies and investors Scandals and climate change with first financial impact, e.g. for re-insurance companies Media coverage faster and more immediate, e.g. internet Discussion on values Trust and reputation Increased number of CSR and sustainability reports Recruit and retain employees Consistent strategy of companies for production and investment side Reasons to invest in SRI/ESG strategies, in % of clients who follow SRI/ESG approaches Beliefs of ow ners and Board 42% 38% Social & environmental values 36% 13% 27% Corporate culture 25% 21% Performance Company valuation including sustainability performance Legal and regulatory requirements, e.g. for pension funds 41 Lobby and special interest groups, e.g. UN PRI, UNEP FI, Global Compact Increase / extension of ESG product offering at Asset Management companies UniHH0710 13% 6% Other 75% 12% 2007 2006 Source: IPE, European Institutional Asset Management Survey 2008 Global growth of sustainable investments Observable trends in the asset management industry Competitive pressures show that asset managers need to be differentiated either in solutions, expensive alpha or cheap beta 70 Solution AuM growth 2003 - 06, Europe, percent ETFs 60 Life cycle funds Beta 50 Index funds 40 Higher alpha Structured funds Hedge funds Private equity SRI funds 30 Certificates 20 Active equity Active bonds 10 Balanced funds 0 Traditional alpha -10 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 Revenue margin in basis points Source: McKinsey CEO Conference Book, 2008 43 UniHH0710 175 200 225 Core – Satellite trend Competitive pressures show that asset managers need to be differentiated either in innovative products, expensive alpha or cheap beta CAGR, 2008 – 2012 (%) Passive products/ETFs ETFs Innovative products Passive fixed income Infrastructure funds Passive equity LDI Fixed Structured products income core and specialties Equity core and specialties Money market Commodities Real estate (incl. REITs) Absolute return Short-extension funds Hedge funds Quantitative products Private equity Active products Active Passive Innovative Estimated size, 2008 (USD trn) Scale = USD 1 trn Source: BCG, Conquering the crisis: Global asset management, 2009 44 UniHH0710 Net revenue margin (basis points) Strong growth in global ESG market 2005 EUR 2.6 trillion 2003 EUR 1.9 trillion NordNorth amerika America 64% 64% NordNorth America amerika 84% 84% 2007 EUR 5 trillion Australien/ Australia/ Asien Asia 1% NordNorth amerika America 39% 39% Australien/ Australia/ Asien Asia 8% 8% Europa Europe 16% 16% Europa Europe 35% 35% ESG account for 7% of total global industry AuM; 17% in Europe and 11% in the US* As of October 2008 Source: Eurosif; *based on 2007 data, Europe per EuroSIF, US per USSif, global per BSR 2009 45 UniHH0710 Europa Europe 53% 53% Europe as largest ESG market dominated by institutional investors Core and broad SRI in Europe, 2002 - 2007 EUR billion Core 511.7 Broad 2,153.7 Core 105 Core 34 Broad* 302 Broad* 928 2002 (EU-8) 2005 (EU-9) Broad SRI Institutional vs. retail SRI investors by country 2007 (EU-13) Core SRI Type of institutional investors EU Universities NL NO Insurance & Mutuals UK DK Publ. authorities & govts. BE SE Corporate PFs FR NGOs & Foundations AT DE Publ. PFs or Reserve Funds ES** CH Religious inst. & Charities IT** 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% % of AuM Institutional Retail As of October 2008 Source: Eurosif, * Recalculated according to new Broard definition, ** Based on Core SRI only 46 UniHH0710 % of respondents 30% 35% Trends and drivers in the ESG place Increased demand from investors Institutional investors – – Large pension funds leading, e.g. in sector specific investments and EM funds, driving demand despite economic downturn (in continental Europe) Expectation that pension funds and endowments increase ESG allocation to 75% of assets by 2010 – Increased interest from corporate pension plans – UN PRI signatories with total volume of more than USD 20 trn and more than 700 institutions*** – Investors more concerned with ESG topics than analysts while researching companies** Main demand drivers for ESG strategies over the next 3 years* Demand from institutional investors External pressure (NGOs, media etc.) Retail investors increase allocation to ESG products Due to sizable resources large institutions (asset owners) have highest potential to establish innovative policies on ESG investments and dictate topics/values => standard setting also to the benefit of smaller institutional investors*** UniHH0710 35% Demand from retail investors High Net Worth Individuals: increase from 8% (2007) to 12% / > EUR 1 trn (2012) of total AuM expected* 48 47% Legislative * As of October 2008, Source: Eurosif ** Source: University Maastricht/ECCE Survey *** Source: ASR Research April 2010, EA, DB Advisors Competitive Analysis 53% 34% International initiatives (PRI etc.) 27% 22% Materiality % of respondents Main driver for ESG strategies: Institutional investors Climate change and ESG investments remain firmly on the agenda Global institutional asset distribution* Global pension asset allocation** 100% 7% 9% 7% 100.00 53% 40.20% 1.80% 16.50% 24% Banks Non-profits and governments Corporations Pension funds Insurance 41.50% Equity Bonds Others Cash A report by the UN has found that attitudes to responsible investing have "turn[ed] a corner," becoming a mainstream rather than a niche practice. It found that the financial crisis has strengthened institutional investors' resolve to consider ESG issues**** In November 09, a new petition, organized by CERES and signed by some of the largest US institutional investors, called on the SEC to require US companies to disclose climate-related risks in filings**** Source: * Global Asset Management 2008, Boston Consulting Group; ** Watson Wyatt, 2009 Global Pension Assets Study, January 2009; *** Eurosif, as of October 2008; **** DB Advisors Competitor Trend Book Nov 09 49 UniHH0710 External pressure from various sources Regulation and legislation in Europe with less influence Public and media reflect company image and reputation Increased transparency requirements International / supranational initiatives (e.g. UN PRI) Lobby and special interest groups (NGOs, trade unions) with increased influence Factors driving responsible investment in domestic market during the next three to five years Legislation (domestic) Regulation (domestic and international) Supranational initiatives External pressures Climate change concerns Internal pressures Financial returns Others 0% Source: RI Landscape AO 08, DB Advisors Competitive Analysis 50 UniHH0710 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% New field of activity for consultants 60% of investors make use of consultants for SRI manager selection Almost two-thirds of US consultants have reported increased client interest in ESG investments over the past year and 88% believe that interest will rise over the next three years Acceleration of activities: buildup of global resources, integration in RfPs, studies Positioning for market leadership – Mercer has topped its team by several ESG specialists; cooperation with International Finance Corporation to develop a sustainability rating for Emerging Markets fund managers – Watson Wyatt hired former Goldman Sachs Head of Consultant Relations to lead global sustainability initiative – Russell develops new ESG strategies Source: RI Landscape 2008, Asset Owners; DB Advisors Competitive Analysis Group; DB ADvisors Competitor trend book Nov 09 51 UniHH0710 New investment solutions support market growth Increased allocation to Money Market funds Fixed income allocation on the rise; bonds issued by corporates, governments, supranationals and covered bonds Real estate: "Green buildings" promise higher market value** Micro finance Alternatives: Hedge funds, Private equity, Venture capital mainly driven by individual large pension funds; diversification at initial stage Percentage of AuM invested using responsible investment criteria allocated to different asset classes* Publicity listed equities Fixed income Real estate and infrastructure Private equity Hedge funds Emerging Markets Other * ** 52 Index funds, ETFs Source: RI Landscape AO 08 As of November 2008, Source: P. Eichholz, / N. Kok / J. M. Quigley, Maastricht University, Netherlands UniHH0710 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Shift in focus from equity to fixed income necessary Global institutional asset allocation* European institutional asset allocation** 100% 100% 27% 25% European ESG asset allocation*** 100% 50% 38% 54% 39% 11% 10% 16% 5% 6% 3% 5% Alternative Hybrid/balanced Fixed Income Structured products Money market Equity Other alternatives Real estate Cash Fixed Income Equity Source: * Global Asset Management 2009, BCG, July 2009 ** IPE European Institutional Asset Management Survey 2009 *** European SRI Study 2008, Eurosif 53 UniHH0710 1.4% 3.5% 4% Alternative/HF PE/VC Others Equity 0.8% 1.3% Property Commodities Bonds ESG integration is low relative to global market UN PRI signatories' assets Source: BSR, ESG in the Mainstream, 2009 54 UniHH0710 Performance debate and fiduciary duty Extra-financial performance Is financial performance alone a sufficient indicator? – Added Value / Extra-Financial Mindset / Sources of financial added value – Long-term vs. short-term orientation: economic benefits or avoided liabilities by ESG materialize slowly – Credible and transparent extra-financial reporting G-factor important for rating agencies analysis as measure of stability Double return: e.g. Microfinance fighting poverty and investment performance Fiduciary duty Past: Sacrificing performance in favor of sustainable investing contradicts fiduciary duty; exclusion of companies/sectors increases volatility Today: 70% of European institutional investors believe that it is "a trustees' fiduciary duty to include ESG in their decision-making process and during manager selection processes," rather than just focusing on returns** Today “(…) it is necessary for investment management agreements (…) to use ESG language (…); it is important that it is made absolutely clear (…) that ESG is regarded as a mainstream investment consideration”* Source: University Maastricht 2008, Eurosif European SRI Study 2008, EA October 2008, Derwall, Koedijk, September 2, 2008, * UNEP FI Fiduciary Responsibility II, July 2009; ** DB Advisors Competitor Trend Book Nov 09 55 UniHH0710 Evolution of ESG equity perception (Mercer) Negative …the SRI US funds underperformed the conventional benchmark. The results of the German SRI funds are also negative compared to the chosen benchmark index. 1995 White ... although the SRI funds have a slightly worse performance the difference is not significant. But a cross-sectional analysis reveals further signs of an under-performance of the SRI funds. 1997 Gregory, Matatko, Luther …discovered a negative relationship between CSR and financial performance. 1997 Wright & Ferris …investors who allocate their wealth to socially responsible equity mutual funds pay a price, i.e. they receive a lower risk-adjusted return for their investment. 2003 Geczy, Stambaugh, Levin Neutral Positive ...socially screened portfolios do not differ from unscreened portfolios in regard to performance. 1997 Guerard …a positive relationship between CR performance and financial performance exists. 2003 Orlitzky et al. ...well diversified socially screened portfolio has no worse performance than conventional indices that comprise a broader investment universe. 1997 Sauer …a relation between social and financial measures exists by chance 2000 McWilliams, Siegel ...environmentally efficient stocks produce superior returns vs. low-ranked environmental stocks. 2005 Derwall et al. …no difference in risk-adjusted performance (Jensen's alpha) between screened and unscreened funds. 2002 Bauer, Koedijk, Otten …socially screened assets have no clear disadvantage concerning their performance compared to conventional assets. 2005 Schröder ... a trading strategy going long in the portfolio of high social responsibility and short in the portfolio of low social responsibility, yields an abnormal performance. 2006 Kempf, Osthoff ...a company with good CR performance has a lower risk exposure. Assuming that risk is a major cost driver, companies with a good CR performance can reduce their cost of capital. 2006 Bassen, Hölz, Schlange …there is a slight tendency that ESG funds perform better than the relevant benchmarks. 2007 DWS/DB Advisors Global Head of Equity Research Various academic research underpin a change in perception for performance of ESG investments: from negative to neutral / slightly positive 56 UniHH0710 ESG Fixed Income performance equals conventional Theoretical considerations Passive management: restricted universe unproblematic due to efficient market assumption Active management: constraints on investment opportunity set investment decisions Government and high quality bonds: market timing / duration positioning most important Corporate bonds: ideosyncratic risk exploited by active management or eliminated through diversification ESG investment constraints may have impact on performance sub-optimal Empirical evidence Limited research; Attribution to factors E, S, G not proven; factor G in particular relevant for fixed income; Analytical pitfalls Scientific study ESG fixed income performance matches that of conventional funds Descriptive statistics Performance 2008 ESG Conventional fixed income funds fixed income funds Investor perception 6.8% 43.2% 41.3% Strong advantage ESG -2% -6.3% Advantage ESG Similar Advantage conventional Strong advantage conventional Source: Derwall/Koedijk, 2 September 2008 (data sample based on bond mutual funds labelled by the US Social Investment Forum as socially responsible in investing; 09/87 - 03/03); Sarasin/Uni Zurich November 2008; Cerulli in Euromoney Institutional Investor, April 2009; Feri Studie 2009 Nachhaltige Investments 57 UniHH0710 7.9% Mainstreaming of ESG – in the long run Existing ESG approaches refined – Growth of theme funds dominating especially in Europe** – Factors E and G in focus so far; S can be a decisive factor for credit spreads* – Approx. 34% of investors have no active proxy voting policy – international companies increasingly in focus; more engagement expected from investors and easy to implement** Mainstreaming still to come – UN PRI may provide external pressure – Global pension funds can be standard setters for smaller institutions – Inclusion of ESG topics in company analysis reflects importance of risks/chances resulting from ESG factors for long-term financial stability of companies*** – Financial aspects of ESG investments decisive for mainstreaming* – Expertise and implementation stage varies widely at investors**** – Resarch: sell-side research cutting staff, incorporation in mainstream analysis, ESG KPI, new ESG manual of CFA institute Source: *University Maastricht 2008, **Eurosif 2008, ***RI Landscape 2008 AO, **** Rimetrics 2008 58 UniHH0710 ESG – The next steps DB Advisors ESG commitment 60 Research – ESG ratings embedded in DB Advisors proprietary research platform (G-Cube) – ESG framework implemented in equity, fixed income multi asset portfolios – Support of research projects on analysis of extra-financial risks and climate change with selected universities and institutes – DB Advisors Climate Change research group Collaborations/Initiatives – Signatory of the UN Principles of Responsible Investing (UN PRI) – Members of Eurosif and forum "Nachhaltige Geldanlagen" – Member of the DVFA non-financials working group (ESG key performance indicators) – World Bank / OECD Global Corporate Governance Forum, International Corporate Governance Network (ICGN), German Corporate Governance Commission – Member of Investor Network on ClimateRisk (INCR) – Member of Institutional Investors Group on Climate Change (IIGCC) – Since 2009, holder of the ISO 14001 certificate; an environmental management standard focused on Total Quality Management UniHH0710 External know-how combined with internal expertise DB Advisors Sustainalytics company Independent ESG research network in Europe, North America, Asia and Middle East 160 analysts are combining global coverage with local know-how Actually provides e-raw data and detailed company/sector reports for more than 1,800 stocks (MSCI World + DB Advisors theme basket) Source: DB Advisors, for illustrative purposes only 61 Carbon footprint UniHH0710 Construct carbon footprint analysis using carbon emissions data provided by Bloomberg ESG advisory panel Well regarded e-experts from foundations, clergy, academia and industry Independent, regular review and counsel of customized screening methodology and selection criteria (best-inclass, premia) Forum for further exchange and promotion in the field of ESG Weighting carbon data by index weight to adjust for sector over/underweights Carbon footprint analysis DWS/DB Advisors have recently secured two leading sources for CO2 data: Truecost and RiskMetrics/Innovest RiskMetrics/Innovest concept to integrate also a carbon risk score and a carbon improvement vector is the more promising concept Global coverage ~ 2500 stocks Step-by-step rolled out to make all PMs aware of their portfolios Carbon footprint Data is feed into internal databases (G-Cube, Portfolio Viewer) and is accessible for all portfolio managers and analysts 62 UniHH0710 DWS equity fund Carbon Footprint Performance (CO2 emission in t / USD mn sales) 377.7 394.4 120.6 27.1 33.5 22.6 0.8 23.7 28.1 499.3 414.2 642.1 159.2 49.5 57.6 29.2 8.9 23.2 16.9 2,876.3 Sector adjusted average 117.7 248.0 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% -60% -80% -100% at er ia ls En er gy In du st ria C on ls .S ta pl es In f. Te ch H . ea lth ca re C on .D is . Te le co m . Fi na nc ia ls Energy Materials Insutrials Consumer discretionary Consumer staples Healthcare Financials Information technology Telecommunication services Utilities CO2-Deviation Fund vs. MSCI World M MSCI World til itie s Fund U Sector Fund Overall carbon intensity 53% lower than benchmark As of April 30, 2010 63 UniHH0710 MSCI (RI) Issues in ESG fixed income Number of covered companies by Sustainalytics Sector over/underweights due to Sustainalytics ratings New issues not yet rated, especially smaller non-listed firms No ratings for subsidiaries (i.e. GE vs. GECC) Climate change product innovations 64 UniHH0710 Credit research methodology Original and timely credit analysis is the foundation for generating alpha. Company analysis Quantitative Balance sheet analysis Profit and loss Cash Flow Ratios Qualitative Management Regulatory environment Specific industry and company risks Instrument-specific Prospectus Structure Liquidity Documentation Results Long-term view Current internal rating G-Cube Short-term view Relative value + absolute return Environmental Analysis G-Cube is DB Advisors’ innovative proprietary web-based global research and relative-value platform. This centralized database is accessible from anywhere in the world by any of our investment professionals, giving them a secured on-demand access to both internal and external research, as well as relative value investment recommendations 65 UniHH0710 Company and credit investment criteria Understanding the quality and risk of the company and the issue in equal depth is essential to investment success Qualitative and quantitative research Good or bad business – Industrial background – Company specific – Capital management Instrument-specific analysis SWOT – Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats What has changed / is changing? Capital holders 66 UniHH0710 Guarantee Environmental Analysis Carbon footprint – Holding company/operating company/SPV Sustainalytics environmental rating – Subordination Thematic analysis – Collateral Covenants – Restrictions on corporate activity/ownership – Triggering events Optional – Principal payments – Coupon payments Documentation ESG fixed income fund: E-portfolio analysis E-Fund Carbon Footprint Performance (CO2 emission in t / USD mln sales) 170.6 5.9 6.5 250.0 Carbon_Risk_Score IBOXX EUR Corp Carbon_Performance_Im 0 228.0 4.0 5.6 6.0 -10 996.1 8.6 6.8 5.3 41.3 8.6 -20 7.8 8.0 25.0 7.2 6.3 5.4 -30 48.7 4.3 4.4 7.1 28.1 6.6 -40 5.9 6.0 4.0 4.7 4.7 7.0 -50 8.3 n/a 4.9 n/a 14.7 6.7 -60 6.5 7.6 1152.6 6.8 6.4 4.2 -70 215.3 5.7 6.3 7.0 7.0 6.0 6.0 200.0 50.0 00.0 Fund 170.6 IBOXX EUR Corp 215.3 5.0 4.0 Fund 5.9 6.7 5.7 7.1 6.2 6.6 5.8 6.3 7.9 7.6 4.7 er gy at er ia ls In du st ria C ls on s. D is C on cr . s. St ap le H s ea lth C ar e Fi na nc ia ls In f. Te ch . Te le co m . U til iti es Sector Adjusted Average: Fund 206.0 875.4 16.8 12.3 27.7 12.8 3.0 n/a 13.8 888.8 M 0.04 0.05 0.10 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.41 0.00 0.10 0.13 En Energy Energy Energy Materials Industrials Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Health Care Financials Information Technology Telecommunication Services Utilities CO2-Deviation Fund vs. IBOXX (in %) 5.0 IBOXX EUR Corp 5.7 4.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 Fund 6.5 IBOXX EUR Corp 6.3 50.0 0.0 Overall Carbon Intensity (in t CO2/USD mln Sales) (*) Higher values rank better Source: DB Advisors, for illustrative purposes only , April 2010 67 UniHH0710 Carbon Performance Improvement Vector (*) Carbon data coverage: Carbon Risk Score (*) Fund: 90% IBOXX EUR Corp: 84% Fixed income - climate change product innovations Building on mega trend Leveraging DB global leadership in climate change Leveraging DB Advisors successful fixed income process Proven expertise in launching environmentally driven credit fund 68 UniHH0710 Rising environmental awareness will ultimately lead to a changing regulatory environment. Pollution costs expected to increase substantially putting pressure on corporate earnings (i.e., launch of phase III of the EU cap & trade system) Coping with changing environmental framework affects credit quality while offering alpha opportunities Market leader in listed climate change funds with ~ EUR 6 billion in AuM Proven commitment to cleantech and resource conservation Dedicated climate change research and strategy function Fundamental bottom-up credit analysis of ~ 700 investment-grade issuers across all sectors Further selection criteria are quantitative carbon emissions data and over 50 environmental key performance indicators provided by an outside research firm (Sustainalytics) Sector allocation is driven by thematic analysis Currently managing two mandates with total AuM of EUR 175 million (AuM at launch in April 2009: EUR 10 million) Strong inflows in current mandates underline strategy's success and client satisfaction 35bp average fees Distinctions between ESG, Environmental and Carbon products Environmental, Social, Governance (ESG) Environmental (E) Carbon (C) 69 Composition: 40% environmental-, 30% social, 30% governance criteria (data from Sustainalytics) Carbon tilt included in environmental criteria but overall not a dominating factor (portfolio carbon intensity deviation around 5% of Benchmark) Carbon rule of >20% less carbon intensity compared to benchmark index Other environmental issues taken into consideration (Sustainalytics environmental KPIs, thematic analysis) Carbon intensity as the sole factor (>20% less carbon intensity compared to benchmark index) No further environmental constraints The difference between ESG, E, C is that carbon intensity is the only factor for C, the most important one for E, and just one of many for ESG UniHH0710 Economic arguments for environmental fund Environmental awareness increasing and stricter regulation to be expected favoring companies already adhering to tighter environmental guidelines. Emissions prices are forecast to rise which will put pressure on earnings of affected companies low carbon emitting firms potentially outperform. CO2 emission markets phase III limits are likely to be even tighter than phase II. The EU is aiming for a 20% reduction in emissions between 1990 and 2020. This will involve a cut of approx. 220 million tones from current phase II scheme. Internal climate change research team (Mark Fulton and team). DB Advisors analysts are able to address environmental issues/costs in one-onone meetings with company management. 70 UniHH0710 Environmental Criteria Extensive environmental analysis used for issuer selection Carbon footprint – 71 CO2 Emission in t / USD million sales (overall CO2 emissions per USD revenue target of 20% below Benchmark (sector adjusted)) Sustainalytics rating – Using data provided by an external research firm Sustainalytics – The company provides environmental, social and governance research and analysis, sustainability consulting and responsible investment services. – Turning over 50 environmental key performance indicators (i.e., formal environmental policy, contractors and supply chain related controversies) into grades on a scale of A to F, we aim to achieve a portfolio with an average environmental score of B. Thematic analysis – opportunistic investments in environmentally friendly issuers such as – I.e., water/wind power company – Manufacturer of solar panels – Waste avoidance and management UniHH0710 Conclusion Conclusion Responsible investments (ESG) are increasingly attracting the attention of institutional and private investors The ESG market has grown stongly in recent years and product spectrum will become broader and therefore spur future asset growth Going forward, corporates and sovereigns will be increasingly judged on sustainabliltiy issues Need for action remains in particular with respect to the development of reliable standards and uniform definitions Climate change product innovations 73 UniHH0710 Contact DB Advisors Deutsche Asset Management Investmentgesellschaft mbH Mainzer Landstrasse 178 - 190 60327 Frankfurt am Main www.dbadvisors.com Frank Klein Tel. +49 (69) 71 706 - 3499 Fax +49 (69) 71 706 - 3107 frank.klein@db.com 74 UniHH0710 Disclosure DB Advisors is the brand name for the institutional asset management division of Deutsche Asset Management, the asset management arm of Deutsche Bank AG. In the US, Deutsche Asset Management relates to the asset management activities of Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, Deutsche Investment Management Americas Inc. and DWS Trust Company; in Canada, Deutsche Asset Management Canada Limited (Deutsche Asset Management Canada Limited is a wholly owned subsidiary of Deutsche Investment Management Americas Inc); in Germany and Luxembourg: DWS Investment GmbH, DWS Investment S.A., DWS Finanz-Service GmbH, Deutsche Asset Management Investmentgesellschaft mbH, and Deutsche Asset Management International GmbH; in Australia, Deutsche Asset Management (Australia) Limited (ABN 63 116 232 154); in Hong Kong, Deutsche Asset Management (Hong Kong) Limited; in Japan, Deutsche Asset Management Limited (Japan); in Singapore, Deutsche Asset Management (Asia) Limited (Company Reg. No. 198701485N) and in the United Kingdom, RREEF Limited, RREEF Global Advisers Limited, and Deutsche Asset Management (UK) Limited; in addition to other regional entities in the Deutsche Bank Group. This material was prepared without regard to the specific objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person who may receive it. It is intended for informational purposes only and it is not intended that it be relied on to make any investment decision. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation or an offer or solicitation and is not the basis for any contract to purchase or sell any security or other instrument, or for Deutsche Bank AG and its affiliates to enter into or arrange any type of transaction as a consequence of any information contained herein. Neither Deutsche Bank AG nor any of its affiliates, gives any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information which is contained in this document. 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Any forecasts provided herein are based upon our opinion of the market as at this date and are subject to change, dependent on future changes in the market. Any prediction, projection or forecast on the economy, stock market, bond market or the economic trends of the markets is not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance. Investments are subject to risks, including possible loss of principal amount invested. Certain Deutsche Asset Management investment strategies may not be available in every region or country for legal or other reasons, and information about these strategies is not directed to those investors residing or located in any such region or country. 75 UniHH0710