Open Regional Fund – Energy Efficiency (GIZ)

Transcription

Open Regional Fund – Energy Efficiency (GIZ)
Open Regional Fund – Energy Efficiency (GIZ)
Calculating energy savings in the 2nd NEEAP
How M&V&E project results can help?
Training workshop on the preparation of the 2nd NEEAP
Vienna, 05/10/2012
11.10.2012
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Recommended methods
 Top-down indicators for monitoring trends in
energy efficiency
 Bottom-up formulae for calculating energy
savings
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TD indicators – basic info
 Reflect overall final energy consumption trends rather than savings
resulting from specific energy efficiency improvement measures
 Implicitly reflect all energy savings (not onyl additional)
 Capture savings from horizontal and soft measures otherwise hard
to evaluate
 2009 as a starting year

Savings from early actions to be taken into account by BU methods
and added to TD results (avoiding double counting)
 3 levels recommended by the EC:
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P: subsector level
A: if data for P are missing
M: when P and A cannot be applied
Eurostat data suffice for M indicators!
 24 recommended indicators for 4 sectors: residential, services,
industry and transport
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TD indicators – what do you already
have?
 Excel template developed by EIHP with:
 Input data for calculation of TD indicators and savings according the EC
Manual (for 2009 and 2010)
 Simple end-use model for household (energy consumption for heating,
cooking, appliances) and transport sector (number of cars)
Energy consumption of households for space heating in toe per floor area in m2 adjusted for climatic conditions (P1)
heating
E HSH MDD 25
∗
heating
F
ADD
EHSH
F
MDD heating
ADD heating
P1
Energy consumption of households for space heating in toe per floor area in m2 adjusted for
Serbia
Serbia
Serbia
Serbia
Serbia
toe/m2
2009
2.443,2
232.593.000
2.800
2.227
0,0132
The additional data necessary for calculation of indicator P1 (energy balance, statistical data):
the number of permanently occupied dwellings
the average dwelling size (m2)
Serbia
Serbia
k
m2
2.501,0
93
Final energy consumption in households - base year:
Share of energy consumption in total energy - base year:
Final energy consumption for space heating
Final energy consumption for water heating
Final energy consumption for cooking
Final energy consumption for air conditioning
Final energy consumption for electricity appliances (including lighting)
Serbia
Serbia
Serbia
Serbia
Serbia
Serbia
share
share
share
share
share
share
1,000
0,680
0,068
0,145
0,005
0,102
Serbia
Serbia
share
share
0,072
0,030
Serbia
ktoe
2009
3591
Energy consumption of households for space heating in year t
Total floor area of permanently occupied dwellings in year t
Long-term mean heating degree days over the last 25 years
Actual heating degree days in year t
Final energy consumption for electricity appliances (excluding lighting)
Final energy consumption for lighting
Final energy consumption in households:
ktoe
m2
2010
0,0
0
2.882
#DIV/0!
2010
2011
0,0
0
#DIV/0!
2011
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TD indicators – advanced training
available in November 2012!
 EIHP will update inputs and calculations for 2009 and
2010!
 Extend calculation for 2011!
1 (late start due to planned arrival of participants in the morning):
DayTraining
focusing on how to get data for indicators!
1. Welcome by GIZ representative with overview of M&V&E project achievements and plans for
futureagneda:
 Draft
2. Introduction to the workshop by the Consultant
3. Croatian experiences in top-down calculations within 2nd NEEAP
4. Dinner
Day 2 (morning start – full day):
1. Calculation of top-down indicators for households
2. Calculation of top-down indicators for service sector
3. Lunch
4. Calculation of top-down indicators for industry
Day 3 (morning start – only morning session due to planned departure of participants):
1. Calculation of top-down indicators for transport
2. Lunch
3. Conclusions of the workshop
11.10.2012
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BU methods – basic info
 EC provided:
 Set of formulae, baselines, lifetimes and default
values
 11 methods for building sector
 M&V&E project provided CPs with proposals of
national methodologies
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National methods
EC recommended methods
Refurbishment measures in existing buildings
Insulation refurbishment measures applied to building components
Introduction of building codes
Replacement of heating supply equipment in buildings
Installation or replacement of water heating installations
Installation or replacement of air conditioning split systems (< 12 kW)
Solar water heating
Replacement or new household appliances
Replacement or new lamps in residential buildings
Replacement or new lighting systems in tertiary buildings
Replacement or new office equipment
Replacement or new public lighting systems
Improvement of central air conditioning systems
Installation of heat pump
Replacement or new vehicles
Eco driving
Modal shift
Energy audits
Connection of existing or new building to district heating system
Biomass boilers
Energy efficient electric motors
Variable speed drives
Smart meters
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Ser
Mon
Mac
Kos
Cro
EEI measure
Alb
BU methods – country specific info
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BU methods – data requirements and
possibilities
 Specific final energy consumption before – after
 direct measurement with corrections
 estimate with model
 Program specific final energy consumption
before-after
 baselines available
 National average final energy consumption
before-after
 baselines available
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BU methods - baselines
 Baselines determined for three types of
measures:
 replacement, retrofit without replacement,
acquisition of new equipment/construction of
new building
 National methodologies contain baselines – use
them in the lack of specific data!
 Stock average
 Market inefficient
 Market efficient
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BU methods – what is already
available to you?
 All country methods with baselines available
from M&V&E project
 Summarized in the Final report
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BU methods – data sources
 Direct measurements before-after
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Rarely available, except in case of ESCO projects
Normalization needed
 Bills from distribution companies and retailers before-after
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Normalization needed
 Equipment sales data (e.g. appliances, CFLs)
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Rarely available in CPs
 Engineering estimates (with and without inspections)
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Probably the most important source!
Modeling
Building statistics
Energy certificates databases
Data from implementing bodies (funds, agencies, donors)
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Request data from them!
 Surveys (housing, market)
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BU methods – data collection
 What can you do?
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Define your data needs according to measures and methods to be used
for their evaluation - > national BU methodologies provide you
guidelines about data needs!
Timely send out calls to stakeholders for delivery of data (use this for
other purposes as well, e.g. to find out about activities on the supply
side)
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Define deadlines for data delivery
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Other ministries
Local authorities
Agencies, funds
Energy companies
Donors
You will for sure need to ‘chase’ stakeholders!
No magic recommendation 
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Up to you how to handle this issue
Start now!
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BU method – examples from Croatia
 Public lighting – very easy example 
 Metered data before-after available from the users of the Fund
and from ESCOs
 No need to use formula with default values
 Tips:
 Require data from local authorities (usually there are separate
bills for public lighting)
 Think in advance – how can you improve your methodology and
data collection system (e.g. asking only for road lenght)?
Electricity Electricity
consumptio consumptio
Project no. User
Control strategy Correction
n before
n after
[kWh/year] [kWh/year]
UFES
[kWh/year]
CO2 emission
reduction
[t/year]
Road length
(m)
1
35.478,00
22.338,00
NO
1
13.140,00
4,94
1.350
2
207.320,00 88.330,00
NO
1
118.990,00
44,74
7.315
Data source
Project document, report
Project document,
report
11.10.2012
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BU method – examples from Croatia
 Introduction of LPG for heating in households – not so easy example 
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BU method for heating system replacement
Practically no data, sometimes even for square meters of a house
SHD determined according to year of construction (default value from methodology)
η available for new systems (invoices from installers required), but not for existing
(default value from methodology)
SWD also included (taken from Odyssee, but in general calculated according to
assumed water consumption in households)
 Tips:
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Require data from locals, agencies and especially donors (many donor activities in the
region)
Consider in 2nd NEEAP prescribing minimal requirements in programs (e.g. minimal
efficiency of new heating system)
SHD
CO2 emission
Water
Heated
Year of (kWh/m2/ surface A
Project
Type of
Old
New
UFES
reduction
heating
SWD
no. User construction year)
(kg/year)
(m2) reconstruction efficiency efficiency included (kWh/dw/year) (kWh/dw/year)
YES and
1
1987-2005
180
170
Full
0,69
0,85
unknown
1.555,84
8.886,00
916,01
YES and
2
1987-2005
180
150
Unknown
0,89
0,94
unknown
1.555,84
1.706,66
66,56
11.10.2012
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Thank you for your attention!
Support will be provided within new
MVP project…
Contact details:
armin.teskeredzic@giz.de
vesna.bukarica@fer.hr
11.10.2012
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