Sector Costing Training Manual Introduction
Transcription
Sector Costing Training Manual Introduction
Sector Costing Training Manual Introduction Why Training Manuals? This Sector Costing Training Manual accompanies, and follows on from the MTEF Training Manual. Both manuals have been adapted from Rwanda’s MTEF Budget Processes and Procedures Guide (2008) and the National Planning, Budgeting and MTEF Guidelines (2008). Rwanda has taken great strides in public financial management over the past 10 years, implementing fast-paced reforms which have had significant impact on the budget processes and procedures at the national and district level. The Budget Processes and Procedures Guide serves as a comprehensive reference manual, documenting all the processes and procedures that are required in preparing, executing and monitoring the government budget at the national and district levels. The MTEF National Planning and Budgeting Guidelines is a more user-friendly, practical tool that outlines the common principles, guidelines and terminologies used in strategic planning and MTEF budgeting. Its aim is to clarify and show the links between strategic planning and 3-year budgeting so that the consistency and quality of plans and budget improve over time. This will help to strengthen and enhance credibility of MTEF budgeting in Rwanda over the medium term. The MTEF Training Manual and the Sector Costing Training Manual complete the set of guides, providing the basic background information, presentations and interactive learning activities on MTEF strategic planning and budgeting in Rwanda, as well as a detailed guide on the importance of and steps involved in costing sector strategic plans and budget agency action plans as part of training sessions to budget agencies in December 2009 and a core group of ‘trainers’ drawn from the Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning (MINECOFIN) and key sectors in June 2010. The target audience for the training manual spans the planning and budget officers of budget agencies that are responsible for preparing agency (and sector) strategic plans and 3-year budgets. The core group of ‘trainers’ were invited to participate in a ‘training of trainers’ session in June 2010, after which they will be tasked to facilitate similar such training for a wider audience of planning and budgeting officers across the Rwandan public sector. The aim is to ensure comprehensive training on MTEF strategic planning and 3-year budgeting as well as sector strategy costing within 2010 as part of a key reform to strengthen and revitalise the MTEF budgeting process in Rwanda. 1 The training manuals therefore present the information and presentations that will be used in the initial training sessions in December 2009 and June 2010 in a format that may be adapted and further developed to suit the specific needs of budget agencies for ongoing training over the next few years. Budget agencies may expand the basic structure in the training manual and customise for future training by: • Adding information, examples and case studies as well as resource materials that are specific to their agency and/or sector; and • Developing supplementary modules that focus in greater detail on particular concepts or issues that are relevant to the budget agency or set of agencies concerned. The basic structure of the Sector Costing Training Manual is presented on page 3, with the MTEFr Training Manual being a separate stand-alone manual. The training manual is aligned to a 1- to 2-day training period covering four sessions. Each session includes a presentation and interactive group activities. The recommended time period for each session is merely a guide and may be lengthened if more time is allocated to the interactive group activities. The table on page 3 sets out the primary learning objective to be achieved in each session. This is complemented by a set of training/ presentation slides that summarise the information provided to the training group. The training manual, including the set of presentation slides and training programme is available on the website of the MINECOFIN at http://www.minecofin.gov.rw. For more information contact: Christophe Nsengiyaremye National Budget Unit MINECOFIN Tel: +250 xxx Fax: +250 Email: christophe.nsengiyaremye@minecofin.gov.rw Website: http://www.minecofin.gov.rw 2 Structure of the Training Session Day 1-2 Sector Costing Training Session Learning Objective 1 What is sector strategic planning? To locate sector strategic planning as a key step in the annual planning and budgeting cycle 2 Linking sector strategies to MTEF budget programme structures To clarify the links between sector strategies and MTEF budget programme structures 3 Costing sector plan and budget programme outputs To enhance understanding of the importance of and steps required in costing sector outputs 4 Sector and agency MTEF budget prioritisation To accentuate the role that sector costing plays in enhancing MTEF credibility 3 Session 1 What is sector strategic planning? Presenter: _________________________________________________________________ Broad purpose of the session To locate sector strategic planning as a key step in the annual planning and budgeting cycle Proposed duration 1 - 2 hours Learning objectives To understand the role that sector strategic planning plays in the broader national planning framework To develop a clear understanding of components of, and benefits that result from sector strategic planning To highlight the benefits of sector wide approach ( SWAPs) 1. Part of strategic planning more broadly... In sessions 1 and 2 of the MTEF Training Manual we introduced the concept of strategic planning as “the overall planning or the ‘how’ government decides to prioritise, implement and achieve its policy priorities. Strategic planning charts a direction for government to follow; guides the budget process; and sets key areas, objectives, targets and strategies for the stated period.” We talked about the importance of linking planning and budgeting in a 3-year or mediumterm expenditure framework (MTEF), so that government is better able to align or match its planning for service delivery to its spending plan, costing and prioritising its plans to fit within an agreed and affordable expenditure envelope. We now focus our attention more specifically on sector strategic planning – how sector strategic planning fits into the broader national planning framework; understanding sector strategic planning in greater detail; and the benefits of introducing a sector-wide approach or SWAp. 4 2. The national planning framework Rwanda has made considerable progress in developing a robust national planning framework comprising Vision 2020; the Long Term Investment Framework (LTIF); the Economic Development and Poverty Reduction Strategy (EDPRS); sector strategic plans, District development plans; the Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF); and the Annual Actions Plans and District Performance Contracts. The relationships between these planning instruments are depicted in figure 1 below. Figure 1 The Rwandan national planning framework Vision 2020 LTIF EDPRS District development plan Sector strategies MTEFs Annual action plans Annual action plans Annual Budget Monitoring and Evaluation (PRS APR, Budget Execution report) Source: MINECOFIN, 2008 Vision 2020 sets the longer term perspective and objectives for Rwanda, and therefore represents the overarching framework for all government activities. As such Vision 2020 is used as a basis for the elaboration of national and sectoral development plans for the medium and long term. It is not a blueprint for sector activities. Rather, it establishes the national priorities within which sector plans should be developed. 5 The Long Term Investment Framework (LTIF) projects Rwanda’s economic output or gross domestic product (GDP) and government resources and expenditures over the longer term to provide a context in which to embed the medium term plans. The LTIF provides an indication of the investments required to achieve Vision 2020 objectives. The Economic Development and Poverty Reduction Strategy (EDPRS), adopted by Government in 2007, covers a 5-year period (2008-2012) and provides the national priorities within which the sector strategic plans should be developed. Updated annually through the EDPRS annual report, it is based on in-depth participatory poverty assessments and broad consultation of Rwandese society and development partners, and covers aspects related to the actual management of public expenditures as well as sectoral development objectives. A sector policy is a statement of government’s objectives within a sector and a summary of how they will be achieved within a specific sector. A sector policy usually emerges from a wide range of consultative processes between government branches and national stakeholders. Often, it includes a set of objectives to the intended level of access to government services in that sector. A sector strategy describes how the government intends to implement the sector policy over the medium term (3-5 years). The strategy sets out intermediate targets and objectives. It should be recognized that some policy objectives are not achievable over a short period. The sector strategy provides a high level action plan for implementing the sector policy which is then reflected in the annual sector budgets In conclusion, the EDPRS and the sector strategies define the medium term (often 5 years) objectives and priorities of the Government, respectively at national and sector level. They also define performance indicators to measure the results achieved. They cover both recurrent and development expenditures, and should in theory cover all sources of revenue: donor projects, agencies’ own revenues and resources from the national treasury. The EDPRS and the sector strategic plans set the framework for the district development plans or the 5-year plans of the districts. The district development plans make the link between local priorities and national priorities as outlined in the EDPRS and sector strategies, and are updated annually. The district development plans are elaborated with the involvement of grassroots communities, civil society (associations), faith-based organisations and other development players operating in the district and look at problems and constraints experienced in the district and their causes, as well as available opportunities. These problems are then prioritised (at the district level) and strategies are elaborated to solve the problems. Annual action plans are prepared each year by all budget agencies. They identify activities to be carried out each year by the budget agencies. They are finalised and adopted at the end of the fiscal year so that they are aligned to the MTEF and annual budget, adopted by Parliament. 6 Lastly, each year each ministry and district defines a performance contract or imihigo signed with the President of Rwanda, outlining key performance objectives and targets that the Ministry or district is contracted to achieve over the year to come. 3. Sector strategic planning Sector strategic planning is a key step forward in strengthening planning and budgeting as well as the monitoring and evaluation of service delivery towards Government’s socioeconomic goals and objectives set out in the EDPRS. A sector strategic plan differs from most planning documents in ministries since it is a single strategy covering an entire sector, designed and implemented by a partnership of all relevant actors (government, donors, non-governmental organisations and other stakeholders) within the sector. As such, a sector strategic plan sets the goals and objectives of the sector as a whole, ensuring all stakeholders have a common vision for the sector’s development. It clarifies the roles and responsibilities of stakeholders, creating a clear direction and action plan that guides all spending in the sector (government, donor, private and non-governmental), and helping to formalise institutional and coordinating relationships between MINECOFIN, line ministries and donors. As such a sector strategic plan plays a key coordinating role, promoting greater coordination and efficiency between stakeholders so that partners can pool resources (such as knowledge and skills, financial, logistical) to reduce duplication and promote synergy in planning and budgeting, in particular. It also promotes donor co-ordination, harmonisation and alignment. Lastly, and perhaps most importantly, a sector strategic plans attempts to ensure continuity, so that institutional or staffing changes do not cause suspension of policies and the strategic and implementation processes, as the sector strategy is jointly ‘owned’ by all partners. Each sector strategic plan should provide the following components: • Overview of the sector: including the vision for the overall development of the sector, an institutional overview, review of progress and policy context. • Strategic framework: the focus areas in which policy interventions are planned, together with proposed targets, strategies and priorities that will underpin sector development. • Implementation: discussing the institutional framework through which the sector plan is implemented and the budget structure. • Costs and MTEF budget: the estimated costs (both recurrent and developmental) of the strategy and the available resources set out in a 3-year or MTEF sector budget. 7 • Monitoring and evaluation: the targets for measuring performance over the same 3-year period as the MTEF budget, together with the precise definitions of the indicators (meta-data), and the agreed EDPRS actions for the sector to reach its targets. 4. A sector wide approach Given extensive international donor involvement in Rwanda, the government encourages all budget agencies to follow a sector wide approach or SWAp. SWAps bring together government, donors and other stakeholders in each sector. Under government leadership, the SWAp involve broadening policy dialogue, developing a single sector policy that address public and private sector issues; ensuring a credible common and credibility costed spending programme; common monitoring arrangements; and more coordinated procedures for funding and procurement. A key feature of a SWAp is that there is joint responsibility between government, donor partners and other stakeholders in the development of a sector strategic plan, during the implementation and any future adjustments of the plan. Rwanda has 14 sector groups of which the first five (5) are prioritised for sector costing: Priority sectors for costing • Health, nutrition, population and HIV/AIDS (the ‘health’ sector); • Education, research and development (the ‘education’ sector); • Agriculture & animal husbandry (the ‘agriculture’ sector); • Infrastructure; • Justice, reconciliation, law and order (the ‘justice’ sector) ; Remaining sectors • Economic growth, and financial sector development; • Private sector development; • Employment promotion and capacity building; • Environment and land use management; • Water and sanitation; • Social protection; • Security; • Decentralisation, citizen participation, transparency and accountability; and • Environment, gender, HIV/AIDS, social inclusion, and youth (cross cutting issues). In four of the priority sectors (health, education, agriculture and infrastructure), there is a single lead ministry, lead donor and budget agency, supported by its semi-autonomous public agencies, donor partners and other stakeholders. 8 The remaining priority sector, that is justice, is slightly different incorporating a number of ministries and budget agencies. The ministries include justice; internal affairs; the Supreme Court; the ministry of defence; the National Public Prosecution Authority; and the President’s Office, because of the Reconciliation Commission. The sector also includes a range of semiautonomous public agencies and development, donor partners and other stakeholders. Sector strategic planning and budgeting therefore draw on the lead or constituent line ministry and budget agency strategic planning and budgeting processes, broadening such out to a sector wide policy dialogue and the development of a sector strategic plan and consolidated 3-year MTEF budget proposal. Following a SWAp therefore means that the sector strategic plans discuss the institutional arrangements through which the SWAp is implemented, listing the various bodies, their constituent members and responsibilities. The sector strategic plan should clarify responsibilities for monitoring and reporting on the plan’s implementation, and should also take into account aspects of decentralisation and district involvement in implementation. SWAPs should also include a consolidated 3-year MTEF budget that is appropriately costed and reflects an overarching programme and sub-programme structure which includes all the budget lines of the line ministries, districts and semi-autonomous agencies. This facilitates analysis of how funds are spent to achieve the outputs and service delivery targets that are set out in the sector strategic plan. Sectors are coordinated at the national level through sector working groups which include the government and development partner representatives, co-chaired by the lead ministry and the lead donor of a sector. They provide a forum to bring together all the relevant stakeholders of a particular sector to share information, jointly review progress and raise any key issues that are pertinent to the particular sector. Table 1 Sector working groups Theme / Sector Working Group Lead Government Institution (Chair) Lead Donor (Co-chair) Other participating institutions* Theme 1: Economic Growth, Private Sector Development and Infrastructure 1.1 Economic Growth & Financial Sector Development MINECOFIN World Bank BNR, RRA, SFB, MINICOM, MINAGRI, HIMO, ILO, CESTRAR 1.2 Private Sector Development MINICOM USAID RIEPA, BRD, OCIR The/Café, ORTPN, CAPMER, RPSF 1.3 Infrastructure: MININFRA EC MINITERE, Electrogaz, RITA, KIST, TIG, CDF, MVK & 4 Provinces Energy World Bank 9 Theme / Sector Working Group Lead Government Institution (Chair) Lead Donor (Co-chair) Transport EC ICT UNDP Habitat and urbanisation German Cooperation 1.4 Employment Promotion & Capacity Building Other participating institutions* MIFOTRA World Bank HIDA, HIMO, MINICOM, RIAM 2.1 Agriculture and Animal Husbandry MINAGRI World Bank MINITERE, MINALOC (CDF), MININFRA, MINICOM, HIMO, TIG, OCIR The/Café, MIFOTRA 2.2 Environment and Land Use Management MINITERE UNDP REMA, MINAGRI, MVK 3.1 Education, Research & Development MINEDUC DFID RITA, MIJESPOC, KIST, NUR, Universities 3.2 Health, Nutrition, Population & HIV/AIDS MINISANTE Belgium CNLS, RAMA, Mutuelles de Sante, PNLP, NISR 3.3 Water & Sanitation MINITERE ADB MININFRA, MINISANTE, MINAGRI, Electrogaz, REMA, MINEDUC 3.4 Social Protection MINALOC DFID HIMO, MIGEPROF, FARG, MINEDUC, MINISANTE 3.5 Science, Technology & Innovation MINISTR DFID 3.6 Youth, Culture & Sports MIJESPOC Theme 2: Rural Development Theme 3: Human Development Theme 4: Good Governance 4.1 Justice, Reconciliation, Law & Order MINIJUST 4.2 Security MINADEF 4.3 Decentralisation, Citizen Participation, Empowerment, Transparency & Accountability MINALOC UNDP MININTER, MINAFFET, MINADEF, Supreme Court, gacaca, NURC, NHRC, RDRC, Ombudsman, Prosecutor, TIG MINIJUST, MININTER, MINAFFET, NSS Netherlands 10 MININFOR, RALGA, MVK & 4 Provinces Theme / Sector Working Group Lead Government Institution (Chair) Lead Donor (Co-chair) Other participating institutions* Multi-disciplinary Group on Cross-Cutting Issues Environment, Gender, HIV/AIDS, Social Inclusion, Youth MINECOFIN DFID & UNDP HIDA, RIAM, MINEDUC, MIJESPOC, National Women's Council, CNLS, MINALOC, MIGEPROF, MIFOTRA Note: * Districts, Civil Society, Private Sector, Parliament, Primature and MINECOFIN are represented in every Sector Working Group. Source: EDPRS At the district level, the corresponding coordination structure is the Joint Action Forum. (JAF) The district JAF is a mechanism through which development activities at districts and sector levels which promotes cooperation among people or community acting in development and social welfare of the population. It brings together all actors in districts including districts authorities, stakeholders, the community beneficiaries and the district government to discuss and coordinate development planning, monitoring and evaluation. It is important to recognise that the forum aims at coordinating activities at all levels so as to combine all efforts instead of scattering them and also avoiding colliding between donors’ activities. However, the JAF is not a forum for decision making or negotiation of external aid. 5. Activity 1 In small groups or pairs, participants are asked to select a sector strategy from among the five that are prioritised for costing and review whether it adequately covers the main components as follows: • Overview of the sector: including the vision for the overall development of the sector, an institutional overview, review of progress and policy context. • Strategic framework: the focus areas in which policy interventions are planned, together with proposed targets, strategies and priorities that will underpin sector development. • Implementation: discussing the institutional framework through which the sector plan is implemented and the budget structure. • Costs and MTEF budget: the estimated costs (both recurrent and developmental) of the strategy and the available resources set out in a 3-year or MTEF sector budget. • Monitoring and evaluation: the targets for measuring performance over the same 3-year period as the MTEF budget, together with the precise definitions of the indicators (meta-data), and the agreed EDPRS actions for the sector to reach its targets. 11 Session 2 Linking sector strategies to MTEF budget programme structures Presenter: _________________________________________________________________ Broad purpose of the session To clarify the links between sector strategies and MTEF budget programme structures Proposed duration 1 - 2 hours Learning objectives To clarify the practical steps and links between: • the sector plan logical framework • the budget agency annual action plan • the budget agency budget programme structure • the consolidated sector MTEF 1. Why link sector planning to sector budgeting? In sessions 1 and 2 of the MTEF Training Manual, we drew attention to the importance of integrating planning and budgeting in a medium-term budgeting or MTEF approach, as this helps to align or match planning for service delivery to a 3-year budget or spending plan. It also leads to greater certainty as budget agencies (and sectors) are able to plan and budget for service delivery in line with governments’ overarching policy priorities and within affordability constraints. Part of integrated planning and budgeting is undertaking a costing of outputs and services that are to be delivered. Accurate costing of outputs and service helps to provide robust information on which sectors are able to make the requisite budget trade-offs and choices in budgetary reprioritisation. This introduces efficiencies and contributes to greater effectiveness or impact in the use of public money. 12 Lastly, feedback on actual spending and service delivery performance are critical to improving the quality and credibility of integrated planning and budgeting in the next annual planning and budget cycle. The above said; the practice of linking sector planning to sector budgeting and MTEF preparation is not an easy task. This session focuses on the first step; that is aligning the sector strategy to the budget programme structure. 2. Sector strategies – the logical framework approach Under the 2007 EDPRS process, all sectors worked on developing sector strategies based on sector-specific logical frameworks. These frameworks, as set out in the matrix in table 2, are clearly structured, leading from a sector goal or developmental vision to measurable objectives or purpose, outputs and activities that need to be undertaken. Performance indicators at the various levels track progress on delivery of target outputs, and potential risks that may impede delivery are identified. Table 2 The sector (logical) framework matrix Hierarchy of Objectives Key Performance Indicators Means of Verification Goal Impact indicators The broader development impact to which the sector interventions contribute – at a national and sectoral level. Measures of the extent to which a sustainable contribution to the goal has been made, for example improving children’s nutritional status, reducing child morbidity and mortality, improved youth literacy rate, increase income of rural poor. Purpose Purpose indicators The specific and immediate impact of the strategic plan. Conditions achieved indicating that the purpose- level objectives have been achieved, generally referring to access to or satisfaction with services provided. Outputs Output indicators The direct physical results of the plan, usually within the direct control of the implementing agency. All sub-programmes will contribute to this. Conditions achieved indicating that the output objectives have been achieved, for example, teachers employed, fertiliser provided, health workers trained. Critical Assumptions Sources of information and methods used to collect and report it. From Purpose to Goal Sources of information and methods used to collect and report it. Assumptions concerning the purpose/goal linkage. From Programme to Purpose 13 Sources of information and methods used to collect and report it. Assumptions concerning the programme/purpose linkage. Activities Input indicators The tasks carried out to These refer to the implement the project human & financial and deliver the identified resources, physical outputs. facilities, equipment, etc, that are needed to implement a strategy. Source: MINECOFIN, 2008 Implementation time-frame Indication of when activities will be undertaken. Responsibility Assumptions Who is responsible for Assumptions concerning undertaking the the activity/output linkage. activity? Sectors were encouraged to update the sector (logical) frameworks in their strategy review and update processes that followed the 2007 EDPRS process. As a result, the sector (logical) framework still informs the structure of most of the sector strategies at present. 3. Agency action and cash plans Article 16 of the Financial Regulations provides that as soon as the annual budget is approved, the Permanent Secretary and Secretary to Treasury/ MINECOFIN shall prepare for the Minister of Finance a letter informing each budget agency to send its annual work plan, annual cash flow plan and annual procurement plan based on the approved national budget for the next fiscal year. Within this context, each budget agency is mandated to identify outputs and activities to be carried out in that respective year which are in line with the appropriations/vote of the budget agency. The outputs are then costed and a timeline for implementation during the course of the year indicated. Subsequently, budget agency are required to prepare cash plan based on the annual work plans and represents a monthly breakdown of planned income and expenditure over the course of the year based on the approved budget and most importantly the annual cash plans are based also on the economic classification used in the annual budget. 4. Budget classification and structure Moving to the structure of the budget, the 2006 Organic Budget Law on State Finances and Property (OBL) provides that expenditure estimates for each budget agency may include functional, economic and programmatic classifications in line with international classification standards. These are defined in the Government Financial Statistics (GFS) manual developed by the IMF. What is the difference between functional, economic and programmatic classification of information in the budget? Functional or sector classification identifies the broad purpose of government expenditures. This allows a strategic overview as to which functions or sectors government has allocated its money in the budget, and is involved in directly, through providing outputs or services, as well as indirectly, through regulation. 14 Examples of functional or sector classification include health services, education, housing and community amenities, and the like. Some functions may be implemented by more than one budget agency for political, administrative and technical reasons. Economic classification identifies the source, legal base, and nature of inputs to be purchased as well as the nature of budgetary transfers within a given budget agency and government as a whole. It creates a basis for classifying all expenditures for the purposes of budget preparation and review, accounting reporting, auditing, and finally for the economic analysis of government transactions. Examples of economic classification include wages and salaries, office furniture, purchase of building, spending on utilities and maintenance, to name a few. Programme classification extends functional or sector classification by classifying government expenditure according to the purpose or objective to which it contributes. In general, a programme may refer to any suitable and meaningful group of recurrent and investment activities and projects that contribute towards achieving a common result. Since 2000, the Government of Rwanda has prepared the budget using functional, economic and programmatic classification. To this end, in the 2000/01 budget agencies were asked to prepare their budgets using programmatic and economic classification, in line with the 1986 GFS classification. Eight years on there is still not a common understanding across government as to what programmatic classification actually entails, and as yet MINECOFIN has not issued clear guidelines on such. This has led to considerable variation in how programmes across government are defined, in turn reducing transparency in budget formats and the budget overall. 5. More on budget programmes... 5.1. Definitions A budget programme is a main division within a budget agency’s budget that funds a clearly defined set of outputs or services within the agency’s legislative and other mandates. Importantly, for accountability purposes, a budget programme should resource a specific management unit or section within the agency that is responsible for delivering on the defined set of outputs or services. A sub-programme is a constituent part of a budget programme that is used to deliver clearly defined outputs or services that contribute towards achieving the objectives of the programme of which it forms part. Outputs are the final goods or services that budget agencies either plan for or actually produce or deliver to the public. Key output examples include the number of students educated, patients treated, childcare places provided, kilometre of road tarred, and the megawatt of electricity provided, to name a few. 15 Activities are the internal processes and activities that go into producing one or more outputs, whereas inputs are the specific requirements to undertake an activity, such as the labour, personnel, materials, capital and financial resources that are combined to produce outputs. 5.2. Why use budget programmes? The main purpose of a budget programme structure is one of accountability as it helps Parliament and ordinary citizens relate the allocation in the annual budget to the target level of outputs that sectors and budget agencies plan to deliver as set out in their respective medium-term sector strategies and agency annual plans, and the actual monies spent and outputs delivered as reported in annual joint sector reviews and agency budget execution reports. A focus on outputs provides an appropriate basis for costing strategic plans as costs are allocated to the delivery of outputs. It also provides a clear and rationale basis for allocating resources to programmes and sub-programmes in the annual budgeting and MTEF process. Lastly, using a budget programme structure helps to improve accountability, financial management, monitoring and control as it establishes clearly defined management sections in budget agencies within which managers are held accountability for managing financial and other resources in the delivery of a defined set of outputs or services and targets for these outputs. 6. Creating and amending budget programme structures A budget agency’s budget programme structure should be created in the context of preparing the sector strategic plan and the agency annual action plan. This ensures that there are clear links between the strategic plan and annual action plan (logical) frameworks and the budget programme structure. In general, there are three types of budget programmes. Support services or administrative programmes group activities that provide transversal and centralised internal support services to the entire budget agency, such as human resources, financial management and information technical service, as well as provision for the ministerial and Director-General offices. Usually these services are grouped into an administrative programme that is standardised as programme 1 in the budget programme structures of all budget agencies. Enabling programmes perform specific functions that help other programmes to deliver services. These may typically include policy, strategy and regulatory functions. Lastly, service delivery programmes deliver outputs or final goods and services to the public in line with budget agency mandates. Amendments to a budget agency’s budget programme structure should only be considered within the context of reviewing a sector strategic plan or updating the agency annual action plan. This does not mean that the budget agency’s budget programme structure should be changed each time the sector strategic plan is reviewed or the agency annual action plan is prepared. 16 Rather, changes to a budget agency’s budget programme structure should be limited and unless there exceptional circumstances, a budget programme structure should remain fixed for at least five years, changing only when the mandate of the budget agency changes. Situations which may require a change in an agency’s budget programme structure include: • An expansion of an existing programme or the delivery of new services due to changes in the legal or policy mandate of a budget agency that cannot be accommodated within the agency’s current budget programme structure. • Changes of a technical nature where there is a merging or segregation of budget agencies due to a policy decision; a transfer of functions between budget agencies or between programmes within a single budget agency; or an existing programme is no longer required. • Following a strategic review process where there are changes to the organisational structure that should be mapped into a revised budget programme structure for the purpose of accountability. Any proposed changes to a budget agency’s budget programme structure should be submitted to the MINECOFIN national budget unit in November each year following the outcome of the joint sector reviews. 7. Moving to a sector budget and MTEF Moving to a sector budget and 3-year MTEF is the next step in the process. This is an easy task in the instance where a sector involves only one budget agency as well as the donor, private sector and non-governmental partners, and the sector strategy and target frameworks are aligned to the budget agency budget programme structure. However, a sector may represent more than one budget agency, as well as involving other donor, private sector and non-governmental agencies, and the sector strategy may or may not include all the budget programmes in each constituent budget agency. In these instances, developing a sector budget and MTEF is more complex. Where entire agency budget programme structures are mapped to the outputs in a sector strategy, the sector budget and MTEF may be drawn through a consolidation of all the budget agencies’ budgets and MTEFs. Where a sector strategy is selective in including some but not all the target outputs of its constituent budget agencies, developing a sector budget and MTEF involves costing and mapping the outputs in the sector strategy to their related budget sub-programmes, the level at which outputs are costed in the budget programme structure, and consolidating theses into a sector budget and MTEF. It is only when these processes are complete that an appropriately costed sector budget and MTEF will emerge. 17 6. Activity 2 In small groups or pairs, participants are asked to work with the same sector strategy selected for activity 1 and the relevant budget agencies’ latest available annual action plans and budgets, examining the link between the sector strategies and the agency budget programme structures. More specifically, participants are asked to: • Examine the sector strategy logical framework and discuss whether it appropriately reflects recent engagements in the sector and whether the (logical) framework approach is clearly reflected in the strategy. • Examine the constituent budget agencies’ budget programme structures, asking whether the design appropriately reflects the sector strategy framework and the relevant budget agency’s annual action plan, and corresponds to best practice in respect of the design of a programmatic and performance approach to budgeting. • Discuss how the outputs in the sector strategies link to the outputs aligned to subprogrammes in the budget agencies’ budget programme structures. 18 Session 3 Costing sector plan and budget programme outputs Presenter: _________________________________________________________________ Broad purpose of the session To enhance understanding of the importance of and steps required in costing sector outputs Proposed duration 1 – 2 hours Learning objectives To clarify key costing concepts To develop a better understanding of the stepped approach to costing outputs To work towards costing sector strategies and developing accurate sector and budget agency MTEF baseline estimates 1. Why cost sector strategic plans and outputs in particular? The MTEF budgeting approach relies on accurate and reliable ‘bottom-up’ costing of sector strategic plans and budget agency annual action plans that are aligned to the government’s over-arching strategic policy priorities, which for Rwanda are set out in the updated EDPRS for 2008 - 2012. Without accurate costing, budget agency and consolidated sector expenditure and MTEF estimates are not reliable or credible, reducing credibility in the MTEF system as a whole. Accurate costing of outputs and services also help sectors and budget agencies to phase spending plans more appropriately over a MTEF period, aligning their 3-year spending plans to their output or service delivery plans, set out in the sector strategies and budget agency annual action plans. Lastly, accurate costing of outputs and services helps to provide robust information on which sectors and budget agencies are able to make the requisite budget trade-offs and choices in the face of hard budget constraints during the annual budget process. Some activities may need to be discontinued, scaled down or not undertaken at all in order that new priority activities may be undertaken or that priority programmes may be stepped up within the available expenditure ceiling. This process of making budgetary choices and trade-offs is 19 called budgetary reprioritisation, allocating funds to government’s strategic policy priorities and to programmes and interventions which will have the greatest socio-economic impact. 2. Key costing concepts A key challenge in costing in the public sector is allocation and apportioning costs to specific outputs and activities. This allows managers to calculate the costs of delivering the same output level in future years, taking into account increased input costs in particular, or the cost of increasing or the savings generated from decreasing the level of output in future years. There are two main approaches to costing. Incremental costing starts from the existing budget for the programme or activity, and asks whether this is best increased, reduced or left the same in order to achieve the programme’s objectives and target output levels subject to the available budget ceiling. It is most often used when estimating the costs of existing policies and programmes for the new MTEF period, given reasonable accuracy and credibility in the baseline estimates. Zero-based costing takes an in-depth look at a programme or activity, evaluating the type and quantity of outputs produced and the processes or activities that produce those outputs. It involves questioning the amount and type of inputs that are used in producing the outputs for the programme, and re-assessing these as if starting from a blank sheet of paper – from ‘zero’. Costing of new policies, legislation and programmes most often relies on zero-based costing techniques. The starting point for costing is the definition of the unit of output or activity to which costs should be attached. These are called unit costs, and may be a single measure, such as the cost per learner in a schools, the cost per occupied hospital bed or outpatient, to name a few. Costing process must take account of the cost drivers or the factor or activities that drive the costs of a budget agency. In the education sector, the number of learners in schools determines personnel costs, particularly if pupil: teacher ratios are enforced. Other cost drivers include learner support materials, utilities or operating costs of school buildings, and transport. The units to which costs will be attributed or the unit costs reflect an important choice in any costing exercise. They should be the main and most important cost drivers within a programme. It is also important to take account of different cost behaviours. Variable (or direct) costs vary directly with an increase or a decrease in output. For instance, variable costs in health service provision include drugs, X-rays and meals that vary directly with number of patients treated. In public works, construction material is a variable cost that relates to square meters constructed. Fixed (indirect or overhead) costs remained unchanged as an output or activity increases or decreases. Fixed costs in hospitals and in schools are the maintenance of the building and the cost of cleaning services. 20 Semi-variable costs contain a fixed as well as a variable element. Examples are the rental of capital goods, where a fixed rental may be combined with a service charge for each unit of use, and hospital laundry costs, were the fixed component relates to infrastructure and personnel costs and the variable costs include water, power, and cleaning agents, to name a few. Lastly, step costs are not pure fixed or variable costs. Whereas they may not increase for several or many units of output, they also do not remain constant no matter what the level of output. For instance, personnel costs in education do not increase with every additional learner but only with every 30 or so learners that join the system. Hospital administration services would only increase when an additional set parameter of beds have been added to the system. Step costs are important when the level of an output or activity is expected to increase or decrease. 3. Output costing – step by step Output costing is the process of determining the total cost of each output or final good and service that a budget agency produces. It assigns the total costs that a budget agency incurs in a financial year to the different outputs that the agency produces. There are seven main steps in the process. Step 1: Specify the outputs to be costed Starting from the sector strategic plan and the budget agency annual action plan, specify the outputs and the output target levels – that is the quantity and quality of outputs that are required to meet the sector and agency strategic objectives over the MTEF. Here it is important to identify the level or quantity output that was serviced or produced for the base year, as well as for a number of years prior to the base year. This will help to determine a robust unit cost for the output. In instances where it is not possible to track information on the number of beneficiaries, outputs produced or activities undertaken, budget agency’s should try to identify proxy indicators that may be used to approximate the number of units. Step 2: Determine inputs required The second step is to determine the inputs that are required to produce one unit of output and the price of each input. The unit cost of an output is then simply the quantity of inputs that are required multiplied by their respective prices or costs. Allocating direct inputs used in producing or delivering an output is straight forward. Direct inputs are those inputs which are traced or assigned to a specific output. Depending on the nature of the output, direct inputs can be operational personnel, travel, and materials, to name a few. Allocating indirect inputs is slightly more complex. Indirect inputs are those inputs which contribute towards producing an output, but unlike direct inputs, are not incurred exclusively 21 for one output. Indirect inputs often include overhead or administrative costs and can be allocated using traditional costing methods or activity based costing. Traditional costing methods consider the extent to which the indirect cost contributes to, or was caused or driven by the output. As noted above, cost drivers are those activities, events or factors that trigger or have a strong correlation to the cost being allocated. For instance, if the office spaced used in delivering an output is 20 per cent of the rented accommodation area, than the indirect rental cost incurred in delivering the output would be 20 per cent of the total rental cost. Activity based costing or ABC is a little more difficult, in that it examines the activities undertaken within a spending agency, and then assigns costs to outputs according to the consumption of the activity. Each activity is costed on the basis of the resources consumed. ABC requires a more in-depth understanding of processes and cost behaviour than traditional costing methods, and may therefore be more expensive to undertake than traditional costing methods. For these reasons, we suggest that traditional costing be used in allocating indirect costs to outputs. Step 3: Determine the price or cost of the inputs required The next step is to determine the price or cost of the direct and indirect inputs that are required to produce the output. Input prices or costs may be obtained from historical accounting information, past purchase invoices, suppliers and retailers, employee time sheets and pay roll records. In compiling input prices or costs, it is important to check that the prices or costs are ‘current prices’ and where necessary to adjust for inflation to reflect the current price in the baseline year. Step 4: Establishing the baseline cost The baseline unit cost for the output is then the summation of the prices or costs for the direct inputs and those for the indirect inputs that are used in producing a unit of the output. The estimated unit cost may be checked against historical unit costs by dividing actual spending for the base year by the number of units or quantity of outputs serviced or produced. The baseline (total) cost of the output is then the unit cost of the output multiplied by the quantity of output that was produced or delivered in the baseline year. Step 5: Projecting the number of units of output into the MTEF period Step five projects the number of units of output that are to be delivered in the MTEF period, taking account of the underlying structural cost drivers and the output targets that are set out in the sector strategic plan and the budget agency annual action plan. For instance, the number of learners that are eligible for school enrolment is determined by demographic cost drivers such as population growth and migration rates, amongst others. 22 Policy decisions that may affect output targets include those related to learner drop out and repetition, to name a few. Step 6: Adjusting forward unit costs with price information Before projecting baseline spending using unit cost, the baseline unit cost must be adjusted in future years with known price information. Common factors that should be taken into account are inflation, or known additional adjustments, such as negotiated wage increase, and changes in policies that govern the condition of public sector employment, such as an increase in teacher pay progression. Step 7: Multiplying the projected number of units by projected unit costs The last step is to multiply the projected number of units by the project unit cost for each year of the MTEF projection period to get a projected MTEF baseline cost or expenditure estimate for the target level of output. An accurately costed baseline estimate underpins the credibility of budget consultations in respect of MTEF allocations to existing or approved policies, and facilitates the ‘rolling’ of the MTEF outer year estimates forward with each annual budget process, enhancing consistency and credibility in the budget process overall. 7. Activity 3 Working in the same groups, participants are asked to select one or two outputs in the sector strategy examined in activities 1 and 2 and cost each using the following seven steps and the supporting information provided: • Step 1: Specify the outputs and output target levels to be costed • Step 2: Determine inputs required • Step 3: Determine the price or cost of the inputs required • Step 4: Establishing the baseline cost • Step 5: Projecting the number of units of output into the MTEF period • Step 6: Adjusting forward unit costs with price information • Step 7: Multiplying the projected number of units by projected unit costs 23 Session 4 Sector and budget agency MTEF and budget prioritisation Presenter: _________________________________________________________________ Broad purpose of the session To accentuate the role that sector costing plays in enhancing MTEF credibility Proposed duration 1 - 2 hours Learning objectives To emphasise the importance of sector and budget agency costing of outputs in budgetary prioritisation To highlight the role that reliable budget and MTEF baseline allocations and estimates play in strengthening the overall MTEF system 1. Budgetary prioritisation Costing outputs in sector strategic plans and budget agency annual action plans is an integral part of sector and agency planning and MTEF preparation (steps 3 and 4) in the annual planning and budgeting process. This takes place from September to December each year following the annual budget call circular to sectors in September and the same to budget agencies in December each year. By making costing of outputs a key part of these processes, and ensuring that the costing is reflected in the MTEF forward estimates, the resultant sector and budget agency MTEF baseline expenditure proposals hold a greater degree of accuracy and credibility ahead of the budget consultations that take place between the MINECOFIN national budget unit and budget agencies each year. The annual budget circulars and the budget consultations are the steps in the annual planning and budget cycle where the top down macroeconomic and fiscal estimation process meet the bottom up sector and budget agency expenditure estimate process. The annual budget circulars contain indicative sector and budget agency MTEF ceilings or hard budget constraints that when applied to sector and budget agency MTEF expenditure 24 estimates and MTEF budget proposals force budgetary prioritisation or choices and tradeoffs. Budgetary prioritisation ensures that sector and budget agency MTEF estimates ‘fit’ within the available resource envelope set by the indicative ceilings and the budget consultations. 2. Reliable MTEF baseline allocations The budget consultations feed into the finalisation of sector and agency budget allocations for the next financial year and expenditure estimates for the second and third year of the MTEF. The sector and agency budget allocations and MTEF forward estimates present a greater degree of reliability as they are based on accurate output costing. Reliable MTEF forward estimates allow the sector and budget agency expenditure estimates to be ‘rolled forward’ in the next annual planning and budget cycle, deepening and enhancing credibility in the overall MTEF system. 3. Activity 4 The last activity requires participants in their small groups to work through the budgetary choices and trade-offs or prioritisation in respect of the 2010 sector and agency budget and MTEF estimates and the indicative budget ceilings that were set out in the latest available September and December BCCs. 25 Sector Costing Case Studies Tracking the experiences of sectors in costing of strategic plans Presenter: _________________________________________________________________ Broad purpose of the session To track the experiences of four priority sectors in costing of their strategic plans Proposed duration 1 days Learning objectives To understand the different approaches that the four priority sectors – health, agriculture, education and justice – used in costing of their strategic plans, highlighting best practice To highlight the main challenges as well as successes that the sectors experienced in costing of their strategic plans To develop greater awareness of the standardised simplified costing approach and how such may be applied across sectors in costing of sector strategies 1. Sector costing experiences Sector costing is not a completely new concept in the Rwandan MTEF. Sector costing has been undertaken in the health, education and agriculture sectors for a number of years, but to differing levels of sophistication and quality; whereas costing in the justice sector is still at early stages. This session tracks the costing experiences in four of the five priority sectors – health, education, agriculture and the justice sectors – showcasing best practice and highlighting the main challenges as well as successes that the sectors experienced. Presentation and discussion of the different sector experiences aims to develop greater awareness of the standardised simplified costing approach and how such may be applied across sectors in the costing of sector strategies taking into account appropriate skills transfer 26 and levels of absorptive capacity and capabilities in the sector secretariat teams and/ or technical staff involved in planning and budgeting. 2. Costing in the Health sector The Health Sector Strategic Plan for July 2009 to June 2012 (HSSP-II) was finalised and published in July 2009. The HSSP-II was costed using an input-based costing approach that is similar to the costing approach recommended in this training manual. The input costing of the HSSP-II was undertaken by a team of consultants from the Clinton Health Access Initiative (CHAI), the Belgium Technical Cooperation (BTC) and the Ministry of Health (MoH), The costing exercise took into account the three different levels of the health sector: • District level (primary and secondary levels of care; and district management systems) • Tertiary care (the national referral hospitals); and • National programmes (national programmes that are centrally managed, including preservice training institutions). The district level costing was undertaken through a detail bottom-up and needs-based costing, completed in 2008 as part of implementing Rwanda’s District Health System Strengthening Framework. The framework was developed to show-case best practices in district health management and service delivery across Rwanda and to set out current national norms and policies. Standards were set as to what key features were needed to deliver quality care to the Rwandan people with a view to achieving the MDG targets and other national objectives such as Vision 2020 and the medium term EDPRS health targets. Each district was assessed in detail, including all health facilities, and strategies were developed in a participatory manner to address health system constraints, such as the need for a larger and better performance motivated health workforce, efficient drugs and commodities distribution systems, decent infrastructure and functioning equipment, to name a few. Assumptions made about the input costs for the activities such as salaries, drugs, equipment, maintenance were based on the current known costs in Rwanda. Assumptions based on MoH norms and standards were used to determine number of personnel required per health facility, standard equipment numbers, and so on, as per the preliminary approach to classifying health facilities set out in the table below. The tertiary level costing was undertaken based on the available strategic plans of the referral hospitals. As these reflected additional costs, they were added to the current on-going budgets of these institutions. National level costs were estimated using current budgets and complementing these with key cost drivers for each programme. These include the national need for drugs and commodities such as ARVs and insecticide treated net or ITNs, and medical equipment and human resource needs to be managed centrally at the national level. 27 Costs from the three different levels of health care were then grouped and categorised within the HSSP objectives and programmes. It was assumed that each cost contributes to one of the three strategic objectives and one of the seven strategic programmes. Using the input-based costing methodology, it was estimated that full implementation of HSSP-II would require a total of USD 453 million in year 1 or fiscal year 2009/10, increasing to USD 516 million in the third and final year of implementation (2011/12). Across the three years, the consolidated total funding requirement is USD 1,4 billion. The input-based costing and the estimated total resource requirements for implementation of the HSSP-II were then assessed against available resources. At present, just under two thirds (62%) of the HSSP-II is funded through external resources. Government resources amount to about 29 per cent, whilst facility-based revenue (user fees) makes up the remaining 9 per cent. The 2009 baseline of available resources from GoR and development partners was determined using the Joint Annual Work Plan1 (JAWP 2009), which captures the majority of resources dedicated to health services in Rwanda for the 2009 calendar year. JAWP’s extension to, and comprehensive coverage of, off-budget project aid is critical in the health sector context as it is estimated that RWF 148,5 billion or 66 per cent of the estimated 2009 total budgeted allocation in the health sector is financed off-budget by development partners and multi-lateral agencies, mainly USAID (RWF 54,8 billion) and the Global Fund (Rwf 20,9 billion), the latter which are not recorded in the GoR’s databases, partly due to the US’s decision to utilise its own public finance systems and procedures rather than those of aid recipient countries. The JAWP and the HSSP-costing have been discussed in both the Joint Health Sector Review and health sector cluster group meetings, and is a critical tool in planning and budgetary reprioritisation in the health sector. The experience in the sector is that strengthening the link between planning and budgeting requires strong coordination between the MoH and its partners that underpins a joint discussion of health sector priorities given limited resources. This facilitates an accurate assessment of financing gaps. In particular the activity-by-activity view of available resources and spending in the JAWP helps to identify programmes, districts and facilities that may need additional financing in order to meet their performance targets, and considers how these funds may be sourced given overall financing constraints. The MoH is planning to undertake a mid-term evaluation of the HSSP-II in late 2010 and the costing exercise will be updated at this point. The Joint Annual Work Plan (JAWP) was initiated in 2008 as a country wide plan for the health sector in Rwanda, capturing all planned and budgeted activities for all stakeholders at the central and district level for a year. The HSSP-II costing feeds into the JAWP, which is then used as the main budgetary analysis tool in the health sector 1 28 3. Costing in the Agriculture sector Costing of the latest available strategic plan for Rwanda’s agriculture sector – Strategic Plan for the Transformation of Agriculture – Phase II (PSTA-II) – builds on the costing exercise that was undertaken for the first strategic plan for the agriculture sector, which formed part of the initial inputs into the 2007 EDPRS process. Lead by a DFID consultant, the EDPRS costing for PSTA-I was completed using input-based costing approach for a limited number (10 of 160) activities or actions at the sub-programme level that were linked to clearly defined output indicators and targets for four main programmes in the PSTA-I. Unit costs, where possible, were sourced from the Ministry of Agriculture (MINAGRI) departments, but in many cases, the credibility or robustness of the unit costs sourced was of concern. The total cost for the 10 costed activities amounted to USD148,5 million or 99 per cent of committed available funding in the agriculture sector. The final costing spreadsheet is set out as a working document for the consultant costing team rather than a user-friendly output that may be read by a third party at a later date. ‘Reading’ of the costing model requires a fair deal of interpretation, and is not easily intuitive. In 2007, MINAGRI contracted a further consultant team, lead by Roger Norton, who is an independent consultant with specialist expertise in the agriculture sector, to revise the PSTAII and draft the PSTA-II, which covers the four-year period 2009 – 2012, terminating at the same time as the EDPRS at the end of 2012. Norton utilised the EDPRS costing spreadsheet as a basis for the PSTA-II costing. Introducing the revised model, Norton included a detailed definitions and data sheet that sets out the base assumptions and aggregate data for the costing model; projecting the data from the base year of 2006 through to 2020. The inclusion of the definitions and data sheet as well as the assumptions and the standardised input and calculation sheets show a methodological approach to the costing. The costing uses the same input costs that were used in both the EDPRS and the PSTA-I costing. That said, in a number of instances Norton over-rode the detailed EDPRS costing information, and on the basis of other country agriculture sector costing experiences, simply inserted the total cost for an activity that seemed approximately correct. The consolidated costing summary sheet highlights a total cost requirement of Rwf 196 889 million for MINAGRI in order to attain full implementation of PSTA-II and reach the stated output targets by the end of the EDPRS period (2012). However, the summary indicative financing requirement table in the PSTA-II itself sets out the strategy’s required financing in USD, and is not disaggregated by source of financing. This means that it is difficult to compare the costing exercise results with the indicative financing requirement set out in PSTA-II The PSTA-II costing is carried forward into the 2008 Agriculture Sector Investment Plan or ASIP for 2009 to 2012. The ASIP lays out the investment requires of the PSTA-II, showing a 29 total investment gap of 41 per cent or approximately USD 346 million over three years (2009 – 2012). The gap is largest in programme 1 where the financing shortfall amounts to USD 250 million. Part of the difficulty in reconciling the ASIP financing gap to the Norton costing is the presentation of the ASIP and PSTA-II indicative financing requirement in USD and the Norton costing in Rwf, without clear explanation as to the exchange rate used in currency conversion. In March 2007 Rwanda became the first country to sign a Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) Compact. CAADP is the agricultural programme of the New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD), which in turn is a programme of the African Union (AU). In February 2010, the GoR requested a United Nations (UN) Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) technical support mission to review the costing of the ASIP and assist MINAGRI in clarifying the costing process to the development partners and the agriculture sector working group, given the move to work within a sector wide approach (SWAp) modality. The final recommendations of the FAO team noted that despite various inconsistencies, overestimations, under-estimations and misalignments noted in their review, the PSTA-II costing did appear to provide a reasonable basis for the GoR and development partners to commit their funds to the agricultural sector for the period 2010 to 2012. It was recommended, however, that the GoR confirm its increase of spending to agriculture by an additional USD 80 million as compared to the current MTEF allocations. Lastly, the FAO team noted that lessons learnt in the process of PSTA-II should be taken into account in the preparation of PSTA-III, which should start in 2011. In particular, enough time should be set aside to discuss targets and costing, ensuring sufficient time for discussion with MINAGRI technical and decentralised staff so that there is greater buy-in, ownership and credibility in the resultant content of the programme. Looking ahead to preparation for the PSTA-III in 2011, and given that the PSTA-I and PSTA-II costing processes were based on 2006 unit cost prices, it may be worthwhile for the agriculture sector to commission a specialist consultant team to undertake a rigorous unitbased costing exercise, using 2010 unit cost prices as an input for the new programme. However, a key outcome of the assignment should be the institutionalisation of the costing process through the development of a user-friendly costing and financial model and associated guideline for PSTA-III and that the exercise should involve, and ensure knowledge transfer to and capacity building within the MINAGRI planning and budgeting unit and relevant development partners. 30 4. Costing in the Education sector Costing for the latest draft of Rwanda’s Education Sector Strategic Plan (ESSP) 2010 – 2015 that is contained within the updated Long Term Strategic Financing Framework (LTSFF) 2010 – 2020 builds on earlier costing and financial modelling exercises undertaken from 2003 onwards. Rwanda’s first ESSP for the period 2003 – 2008, completed in 2003 aimed at developing a strategic road map for education over the medium term, ensuring that all new financing would be in broad agreement with clearly identified education priorities. The ESSP 2003 – 2008 was launched in the same year (2003) as the World Bank Education Country Status Report for Rwanda, which reviewed key features and characteristics of the education system. The results identified some of the main constraints on the sector’s performance and provided a basis for discussing policy options to accelerate progress in future years. The same year (2003) the Ministry of Education (MINEDUC) collaborated with the World Bank to develop a long-term financing framework (LTFF) for the education sector, shaping a generic education costing and financial model that the World Bank developed in 2001 as part of its support to countries the Fast Track Initiative (FTI) education programme. The main aim of LTFF was for MINEDUC to define its long-term targets for the education sector in line with the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), to see if these targets were realistic, and to then put in place a long-term financial framework outlining the likely cost of moving towards achieving the long-term targets. The generic model template and the resultant 2003 Rwandan LTFF was focused on basic education and the FTI benchmarks for primary education, and was designed to outline a financing gap which external FTI resources might target in a financially sustainable manner. As such, the model did not include higher education and had a basic generic capital cost structure that only allowed for classrooms rather than other development or non-personnel, non-capital spending such as textbooks, capacity development, and policy and strategy development, to name a few. These limitations were due to the fact that the model had not been conceptualised as a fully developed sector-wide model. The ESSP 2008 – 2012 was the fifth update of the sector’s 5-year rolling strategic plan, and included priorities of 9-years of free basic education and the promotion of science and technology in education with special attention on information and communication technology (ICT). Rwanda’s 9-year programme of free basic education has three levels: pre-primary, primary and lower secondary education. The programme concentrates on early childhood development, six years of primary education, three years of lower secondary education (commonly known as tronc commun), and adult literacy. In 2005 in preparation for the ESSP 2008 – 2012, MINEDUC and its development partners agreed that there were limitations to the existing education costing and financial models and that it would be important to develop a comprehensive model that could be used for budgeting and MTEF purposes as well as being useful for projecting education enrolment targets. This decision led to the development of user-friendly education sector costing and 31 financial model by Oxford Policy Management (OPM) for use by the MINEDUC research and planning unit. The resultant model is a 10-year Long Term Strategic Financing Framework (LTSFF) that takes international commitments and Rwandan education policies as the starting point and provides a framework under which policy choices are costed and their financial implications compared to likely domestic resources and donor commitments. The costing exercise and development of the LTSFF 2006 – 2015 uses a similar ‘bottom-up’ unit-based costing approach to that recommended in this training manual. The model is an extremely well presented and user-friendly tool. Excel-based, the model consists of 12 sheets, the first of which is a user guide that explains the layout of the model. All narrations to the user are coded in red text in the sheets. The first step of the costing exercise involves identification of data sources. The well defined structure, presentation and layout of the education sector financial model and LTSFF 2006 – 2015 is clear when viewing the model’s data sources which are tabulated in respect of data description, data type, sources used, and potential source for validation. The next step sees the selection of input and output indicators, and collating data on their historical trends as well as future projections. The sheet “stud-tch-crm” considers input requirements in respect of teachers and classrooms that are driven by enrolment rates which in turn are driven by population, repetition and drop-out. Part A sets out population projections for children of school going age and the total population from 2005 through to 2015, using 2004 as a base year. Part B projects 2004 base data on new entrants and repeaters, allowing for calculation and projection of gross entry, repetition, promotion, and drop-out per schooling year, and by education sub-sector (primary, secondary, tronc comm., teacher education, technical education, higher education and non-formal education) against desired target rates for 2009, 2014, and 2019. Part C then projects teacher requirements by education sub-sector taking into account enrolment, classes, head teachers and non-head teachers, as well as base student: class, teacher: class, student: teacher ratios and the annual attrition rates of teachers. This then allows projection of changes in total numbers of teachers, attrition (in numbers of teachers) and numbers of new teachers required each year. A summary table shows a projection of the demand and supply of newly qualified teachers, together with the requirement gap. Lastly, the sheet projects enrolment numbers against the numbers of existing classrooms, showing new classroom requirements by year given targets for student: class ratio, % of double shift rooms, and the student: room ratio. Sheet “costs” then assigns unit costs to the input requirements. These include the average salary of a teacher per education sub-sector and non-salary expenditure as a % of total expenditure. The latter includes a capitation grant, p6 examinations, support to activities, textbooks and curriculum, in-service training, special-needs, girls’ education, inspection requirements, heath/environment/HIV/Aids, school sports, catch-up (termed rattrapage), ICT and solar panels, and classroom rehabilitation. 32 Sheet “resources” examines and projects resources directed towards education financing. Projections of aggregate revenue consider total domestic revenue growth as a proportion of GDP, external resources through general budget support, and external resources through project support (capital). A more focused look at education resources then considers resources for recurrent education expenditure from the budget and external resources for recurrent education expenditure through sector budget support (SBS), arising at total recurrent expenditure for education. Development resources are projected from external resources from project support (capital) and development resources from the GoR budget. This allows for calculation and projection of the financing gap, that is expenditure greater than available resources, both for recurrent and capital (development) expenditure. The ESSP 2010 – 2015 marks the update of the ESSP 2008 – 2012, aiming to improve how education, particularly skills development, meets labour market needs by increasing both the coverage and quality of 9-years basic education and strengthening PBE, which includes technical and vocational education and training (TVET) as well as upper secondary education and teacher education. The structure and development of the LTSFF 2010 – 2020 is based on the LTSFF 2006 – 2015, using the same unit-based costing approach that is similar in approach to that recommended in this training manual. The LTSFF 2010 – 2020 is a notably sophisticated and extremely well presented user-friendly costing and financial modelling tool. The user-guide sheet that is the introduction into the model clarifies that instructions are set out in red text, inserted data are coded blue, and target data are coded green. The colour-coding helps to ‘walk’ the reader through the model, improving usability. The model has been simplified to contain six excel sheets. The data sources sheet uses the same structure of the data sources sheet developed for the earlier LTSFF, revising the data sources, comments and potential source for validation. The sheet “stud-tch-crm” considers input requirements in respect of teachers and classrooms that are driven by enrolment rates which in turn are driven by population, repetition, and drop-out. Part A sets out population projections for children of school going age and the total population from 2010 through to 2020, using 2009 as a base year. Part B projects 2009 base data on new entrants and repeaters, allowing for calculation and projection of gross entry, repetition, promotion, and drop-out per schooling year against desired target rates for 2012, 2015, 2020 and 2025. This is done for each sub-sector in the education system at a more detailed level than was completed for the LTSFF 2006 – 2015. More specifically, the primary and lower secondary sub-sectors are further disaggregated into each learner year for government schools, government aided schools and private schools, respectively. Vocational training is disaggregated into public vocational training (in Centres de Formation des Jeunes (CFJs), Ecoles Techniques Officielles (ETOs), and Integrated Polytechnic Regional Centres (IPRCs)). Adult literacy is included. Post-basic education is disaggregated into the different streams. For the academic stream, it consists of three learner years for government schools, government-aided schools and private schools. The technical or TVET stream is disaggregated into enrolment at public ETOs and 33 private ETOs, public IPRCs, and private TVET institutions. The Open and distance elearning stream is included, disaggregated by year 1 and year 2, supporting expansion of learning at the upper secondary level. Teacher education is expanded into the existing 3-year programme in teacher training colleges for primary pre-service, disaggregated by each of the three learning years; the new primary pre-service programme that is disaggregated by each of the 2 learning years (with 2 years being school based years probation); and lower secondary pre-service disaggregated by year (2-year programme). Higher education is expanded into enrolment in upper secondary pre-service disaggregated by year (a 4-year programme); open and distance learning; and degree awarding higher learning institutions disaggregated by public and private enrolment in the BA/BSc/BEd stream, the medicine stream, the arts, humanities & social sciences stream and the education stream. Overseas student enrolment is included separately. Higher TVET institutions are included separated into enrolment in private and public colleges of technology, and IPRCs. Part C then projects teacher requirements by each of these disaggregated sub-sectors taking into account enrolment, classes, head teachers and non-head teachers, as well as base student: class, teacher: class, student: teacher ratios and annual attrition rates of teachers. This then allows projection of changes in total numbers of teachers, attrition (in numbers of teachers) and numbers of new teachers required each year. A summary table shows a projection of the demand and supply of newly qualified teachers, together with the requirement gap. Lastly, the sheet projects enrolment numbers against the numbers of existing classrooms, showing new classroom requirements by year given targets for student: class ratio, % of double shift rooms, and the student: room ratio. Sheet “costs” then assigns unit costs to the input requirements. These include the average salary of a teacher per education sub-sector and non-salary expenditure as a % of total expenditure. These costs are revised from the earlier LTSFF model to include a capitation grant, teacher training, curriculum and textbooks, ICT and solar panels, special-needs education, heath/environment/HIV/Aids & sports, p6 examinations, STI and other (miscellaneous) costs (as a proportion of total costs). Sheet “resources” examines and projects resources directed towards education financing. Streamlined in comparison to the LTSFF 2006 – 2010, projections of aggregate revenue consider total domestic revenue growth as a proportion of GDP and external resources through budget support. A more focused look at education resources then considers domestic resources for education, budget support resources for education, and project support resources for education. This allows for calculation and projection of the financing gap (that is expenditure greater than available resources). Over the past nine years, the development and update of a robust education sector strategic plan (ESSP) and a costed long term financing framework (LTSFF) have been critical in directing domestic resources to their most effective and efficient use as well as providing key instruments for leveraging additional resources from both private sector and bilateral or multi-lateral development partners. 34 Notably, sector budget support (SBS) has increased as the main form of external funding and now represents over 90 per cent of external support earmarked to the education sector and just under half (48%) of the total education budget. Donor dialogue and conditions associated with SBS have helped establish a strong budgeting, reporting and monitoring process in the sector. SBS provided since 2006 has underpinned increases in sector budget allocations, and dialogue has had a clear influence on intra sector allocations, in particular increases in key primary education budget lines, such as the capitation grant. The use of government systems by sector budget support and the wholesale shift to SBS by donors, combined with improvements in public finance management (PFM) across government (supported by general budget support (GBS)), led to a strengthening of overall PFM in the sector and increasingly reliable funding. The past five years have seen increasing use of the ESSP and LTSFF in the annual planning and budgeting discussions as the LTSFF model as become more robust and in line with the education sector’s medium term expenditure framework (MTEF allocations). However, there is still considerable progress to be made. Key obstacles to further integration include limited MINEDUC capacity in the planning and budgeting sections able to engage at a technical level with the LTSFF model. Engagement is limited to ODI fellows, seconded to MINEDUC for a 2-year period. Limited institutionalisation has meant that the LTSFF is used only be external consultants or ODI fellows, with limited use by MINEDUC staff. A key reason for such is the level of complexity of the model as successive iterations have increased the model’s sophistication and coverage of the education sector. MINEDUC is currently working to address such constraint, simplifying the model with the support of MINECOFIN, DFID and the World Bank. One possibility is to create a 2-speed model, where one level uses a simpler interface than excel provides, and which hides (and protects) the formulae. Thus the user would simply be inputting data, and setting the model’s targets. The second level should allow the user to change formulae as necessary. It is the setting of formulae that is notably complex, requiring high level modelling skills. Hiding such formulae for some users would undoubtedly improve the usability of the model. The second reason for limited use of the LTSFF model in the annual planning and budgeting process is that the direction of the model goes from inputs to costs. However, the reality of annual budget consultation discussions is that MINECOFIN issues an indicative budget ceiling to sectors (and budget agencies), and the sectors (and budget agencies) have to adjusted their planned target outputs and associated inputs accordingly. This means that a more suitable financial and costing model would be one where the availability of resources determines target outputs which in turn determine required inputs. MINEDUC is currently investigating the feasibility of reshaping the LTSFF for such purpose. 35 5. Costing in the Justice sector The Justice, Reconciliation, Law and Order (JRLO) sector strategy is a key component of the Government of Rwanda’s (GoR) Economic Development and Poverty Reduction Strategy (EDPRS) governance flagship programme. The twin pillars of the JRLO sector strategy are to strengthen Rwanda’s commercial justice system, and to strengthen the delivery of justice at the community level. The JRLO sector is extremely complex consisting of 14 institutions, of which four are line ministries (budget agencies). These are the Ministry of Justice (MINIJUST), the National Public Prosecution Agency, the Ministry of the Interior (MININTER), and the Supreme Court. The remaining 10 are semi-autonomous agencies that supervised by six budget agencies – namely the four aforementioned and The President’s Office and the Ministry of Defence. The agencies are: • The National Service of Gacaca Courts; • The National Human Rights Commission; • Travaux d’Intérêt Général Secretariat (TIG) or Community Service Secretariat; • The Institute of Legal practice and Development under MINIJUST, • The National Prisons Service (NPS), • Rwanda National Police (RNP) under MININTER, • The National Unity and Reconciliation Commission and the Ombudsman under the President’s Office; and • The Military Courts and Military Prosecution under the Ministry of Defence. Given the sector’s multi-institution composition, the GoR has established a JRLO steering committee, comprising the secretary generals and/or permanent secretaries and heads of the 14 institutions, to facilitate institutional collaboration all policy, budgeting, operational, and monitoring and evaluation matters that affect the JRLO sector. The JRLO sector coordination secretariat provides operational and coordination support to the sector. It is staffed by a small number of sector technical specialists, with access to short term technical assistance and other technical inputs as needed to support implementation of the strategy. The JRLO sector finalized a sector strategy in November 2008. The Justice, Reconciliation, Law and Order Sector Strategy and Budgeting Framework January 2009 – June 2012 is premised on four main programmes (outputs) that are underpinned by 4 key outputs and 12 targets. The programmes include the universal access to justice; genocide ideology eradicated and reconciliation mechanisms reinforced; rule of law, accountability and human rights promoted; and safety, law and order maintained and enhanced. The complexity of the sector is exacerbated by the finalization of institutional or budget agency strategic plans for 2009 to 2013 which are not aligned with the JRLO sector strategy 2009 – 2012. Furthermore, the individual institution or budget agency strategic plans are 36 based on programmes which are not aligned to or do not translate into their own respective budget programme structure, that is programmes and sub-programmes. This means that it is virtually impossible to align a costed sector or budget agency plan with the relevant sector or agency budget MTEF. As a first step, the JLRO sector secretariat worked with three institutions or budget agencies (RNP, the Supreme Court, the NURC) to develop an addendum to their strategic plan for 2009 – 2013 that aligns the relevant institutions MTEF budget programme structure to its strategic programme structure, so that there is coherence in the planning and budgeting system. However, while there is a common understanding among the sector secretariat and the relevant planning and budgeting officials in the line ministries, at this stage, the response to this exercise is rather hesitant. It requires indeed a fundamental change of the routine budget preparation approach and methodology and the sector secretariat is of the opinion that such will not happen without clear and compelling instructions from MINECOFIN and strong support from the institutional leaders and the effort of the institutional staff. The JRLO sector strategy includes a sector budgeting and funding framework which is an aggregation of the institutional budget previsions. It is likely that the underlying costing of the sector plan’s strategic objectives and target outputs draws on the detailed costing exercise undertaken for the 2007 EDPRS. However, the sector secretariat team was not present during the 2007 exercise, and there is insufficient institutionalization of the detailed EDPRS costing exercise in the sector’s line ministries and budget agencies. This means that the costing in the revised sector plan was most probably drawn together in a more ad hoc manner, rather than reflecting a robust, rationale update of the EDPRS costing. At the time of the MINECOFIN sector costing exercise, the JRLO secretariat noted that the sector lagged behind the other priority sectors in respect of costing of the sector strategic plan, and towards the end of 2009, in consultation with the MINECOFIN consultant team, initiated a process to undertake a simplified costing of key outputs in pilot institutions within the sector. This exercise was recommended as part of the secretariat’s technical support to the JRLO institutions to develop action plans and budgets for the 2010/11 budget cycle. The JRLO secretariat drew on the budget programme structure and costing experience of the South African justice sector in recent years, given the MINEOCFIN consultant team’s links with the South African treasury. In comparison, weaknesses in the Rwandan JRLO sector include: • Poorly defined programmes and sub programmes (too detailed, too many therefore difficult or impossible to monitor) • The aggregation of employee costs in one sub programme. The analytical work above provided an insight for the sector to plan a training workshop that aims to build capacity in the 14 JRLO institutions on budget programming and costing, addressing planning and budgeting weaknesses in the sector. 37 The intention was that the secretariat would prepare a working document on methods to improve the current programming and costing practises in the sector that would form the basis the workshop (planned initially for January 2010). Given 2010/11 budget preparations, the workshop was postponed to enable the sector to focus on 2010/11 budget preparation for each of the 14 institutions and the sector itself. The secretariat finalised, with sector approval, the 2010/11 JRLO strategic issues paper which formed the basis for sector budget consultations with the MINECOFIN national budget unit in March 2010. At last sight, the JRLO budget preparation work for 2010/11 now behind the sector, the secretariat has started engaging institutions on a programme based costing exercise aimed at reviewing and improving institutional budget programme structures. The JRLO sector secretariat planned to review of the programme structure of each institution and select key activities for which costing needs improvement in discussion with the budget and planning officers of the sector institutions during May 2010. The secretariat noted that this is a first step forward in the process and will not immediately result in a costed JRLO sector strategy but will hopefully contribute to an improved programme based budgeting and costing practice of its member institutions. 38 Conclusion So far, where to next? The four sessions in the Sector Costing Training Manual take participants through a rigorous 1- to 2-day interactive training on sector strategic plan costing as part of the Government’s key reforms to strengthen and revitalise MTEF budgeting in Rwanda. After active participation and engagement in the 1- to 2-day training workshop, it is expected that participants will: • Appreciate sector strategic planning as a key step in the annual planning and budgeting cycle. • Draw the links between sector strategies and MTEF budget programme structures. • Understand the importance of and the steps involved in costing outputs in sector strategies and budget agency annual action plans • Recognise the role that sector costing plays in enhancing credibility of MTEF budgeting overall. But training for the benefit of improved knowledge and awareness is only the first objective. More important is that each participant assimilates the knowledge and training experience and applies these in his or her work and operational business every day. It is only when this step happens, that real improvement in the consistency and quality of plans, budgeting, spending and reporting will take place, and over time strengthen and revitalise MTEF budgeting across Rwanda. Not the last word ... The Sector Costing Training Manual and the accompanying MTEF Training Manual are not the last words on linking planning and budgeting and in respect of sector costing in an MTEF approach. The training manuals represent concise and easy-to-read summaries of information that are drawn from more comprehensive guidelines and manuals or source documents. Every participant is encouraged to read and make use of the base or source documents for more detailed information and guidance. The materials used in compiling this manual include: • The MTEF and Budget Manual: Guide of Processes and Procedures, available at http://www.minecofin.gov.rw/xxxx • The MTEF National Planning http://www.minecofin.gov.rw/xxxx and 39 Budgeting Guidelines, available at Other important documents are: • Manual of Government policies and procedures: Financial Management and Accounting – Volume 4: Financial reporting, available at http://www.minecofin.gov.rw/xxxx • South African National Treasury MTEF Guidelines 2002 to 2010, available at http://www.treasury.gov.za/publications/guidelines/ • Dirk-Jan Kraan, 2007. Programme budgeting in OECD countries. OECD Journal on Budgeting. Volume 7. Number 4. Available at the OECD Development Cooperation Directorate http://www.oecd.org/department/0,3355,en_2649_33721_1_1_1_1_1,00.html • Kim, John. M. (ed). From line-item to program budgeting: Global lessons and the Korean case. Korean Institute of Finance and the World Bank. • Victoria Department of Treasury and Finance. 1997. Output costing guide. Further, there is a long list of documents used in reference of the sector costing case studies. Given the length of the list, these are available on request from the MINECOFIN national budget unit. Beyond these documents, the debate and learning still continue and drive ongoing reform and improvement. To this end, please direct any further queries, comments or suggestions to strengthen and revitalise the MTEF process to Christophe Nsengiyaremye at the MINECOFIN national budget unit, telephone: +250 xxx, and email: christophe.nsengiyaremye@minecofin.gov.rw 40