Jiangnan 1366.HK INITIATION The Fast Growing Cable System Supplier
Transcription
Jiangnan 1366.HK INITIATION The Fast Growing Cable System Supplier
[Table_MainInfo] Equity Research Report 9 Oct 2014 [Table_Author] Research Analyst [Table_Title] Jiangnan 1366.HK Dennis Chien 852 3983 0835 dennischien@china-invs.hk [Table_Target] Target Price (HKD) Potential Upside The Fast Growing Cable System Supplier 2.52 43.2% Company Data (8 Oct 2014 mkt close) Ticker 1366HK Share Price (HK$) Market Cap (HK$ mn) 5,975 Outstanding Shares (mn) 3,395 52wk Low (HK$) 1.00 52wk High P/E (HK$) (x) 2.33 7.13 P/B (x) 1.75 EV/EBITDA (x) 8.41 Div yld (%) 3.33 ROA (%) 8.91 ROE (%) 27.24 Gearing Auditor (%) 177.58 DELOITTE 1.76 Major Shareholders Power Heritage Group [Table_Summary] Bringing Electricity from Northwest to Southeast Regions through UHV Cables. The Chinese government is planned to construct 8 UHV grids by 2017 in order to transmit electricity from northwest areas like Inner Mongolia and Shanxi province, which own various types of power resources, to southeast cities where facing high energy consumptions. The purpose of using UHV overhead cables is to better manage of electricity loss during the transmission process. EHV Cable is an Essential Part of UHV Grid System. EHV cable is used as distribution lines of electricity that is built underground within a city area. It has the same characteristic with UHV cable where it could reduce a significant amount of electricity loss. However a relatively higher technology is needed to prevent damages in underground area, hence an average GPM of 30% is reachable. Currently Jiangnan has the ability to produce 500kV EHV cables. Expanding EHV Cables Capacity. Jiangnan is one of the 12 EHV cables authorized suppliers for SGCC and CSG. The Group is planned to expand their annual production capacity of 500kV EHV cables from 1,000km to 1,900km by the end of 2014. New Application for Rubber Cable. The acquisition of Zhongmei Cable, whom is an expert in rubber cable segment, is a strategic move that could enhance the product portfolio of Jiangnan. While rubber cables are normally been used in marine engineering, ship buildings and wind turbines, it can also be used in electric vehicles (EV) charging systems. Jiangnan has been well-positioned for relevant products to cater this fast growing market, we expect this could become a potential growing driver for the company profitability once the upstream players of EV charging system execute their expansion plan. Jiangnan trades at a 7.1x FY14E, 83.0% discounted from the peers’ average forward P/E of 41.0x. We predict the valuation discount will be narrowed given by its improving GP margin and profitability. We initiate buy on Jiangnan with a target price of HK$2.52, implied a 75% discount on peers’ FY14E PE. 49.98% Chu Hui 4.93% Chen Wei Ping 3.32% Share Price Chart (HKD) Financial Data Revenue RMB (mn) Growth y-o-y Net profit EPS RMB (mn) FY2012 FY2013 4,930 5,356 6,477 8.6% 20.9% 376 504 18.6% 34.0% 0.131 0.164 -1.5% 25.2% 15.7 7.0 15.4 7.78 317 (%) RMB (mn) Growth y-o-y Gross Margin Net Margin FY2011 (%) Growth y-o-y Sources: Bloomberg, CIS(HK) INITIATION 0.133 (%) (%) (%) 14.9 6.4 Source: Bloomberg, CIS(HK) Please read the analysts and company disclosure and the disclaimer in the last page 1H2013 1H2014 2,151 3,343 55.4% 149 248 67.1% 0.486 0.806 65.8% 16.0 6.9 15.8 7.4 Equity Research Report 1. Introduction Company Background Jiangnan Group (1366.HK), based in Jiangsu province, is the third largest high-technology manufacturer of wires and cables for power transmission, distribution systems and electrical equipment in China. Principle products include i) power cables; ii) wires & cables for electrical equipment; iii) rubber cables; iv) bare wires. The end products are widely used in power industry and general industries (oil & gas, construction, transportation, ship buildings). To meet customers specific needs, the company has the ability to provide over 10,000 customized products with various functionalities, including flame retardant, oil resistance, acid resistance, alkali resistance, low smoke low halogen, 150°C heat resistant, LSZH flame retardant, rodent and termite proof, all weather and radiation resistance, etc. Thanks to the strong research & development capabilities which made Jiangnan became more than just a traditional manufacturer of wires and cables. Products are marketed and sold under “五彩” and “三开” which has been used in many reputable infrastructure projects, for example Beijing Capital International Airport, 2010 Shanghai World Expo, 2008 Beijing Olympic Games’ stadiums. In addition, Jiangnan is one of the sizeable players who has extensive sales channel in overseas markets where their products have been exported to more than 50 countries, for example South Africa, Vietnam, Ethiopia, Singapore, UK, etc. Figure 1.1 : Milestones of Jiangnan Year 1997 2000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011 2012 2013 Key Achievements Wuxi Jiangnan established to engage in the manufacturing and sales of wire and cable products Our brand recognized as Jiangsu Province Renowned Trademark XLPE power cables accredited as China Famous Products Our products accredited as National Free of Inspection Products Nuclear power plant cables passed the inspection test Accredited as State Key High Technology Enterprise Entered into five-year master supply agreements with Eskom(a state-owned company in South Africa) Obtained National Laboratory Accreditation Certificate Obtained combined certifications including ISO 9001, ISO 14001, OHSAS 18001 Endorsed as a High and New Technology Enterprise and entitled to a reduced PRC income tax rate of 15% Commenced commercial production of high and ultra-high voltage cables with rated voltage of 220-500kv Secured a key account in Singapore Listed on the Main Board of the HKExInvested in Alurninum-alloy and double capacity wire Established production lines in South Africa Completed our first acquisition - acquired Jiangsu Zhongmei Calle Group Open up new markets in Vietnam and Ethiopia Source: Company data, CIS(HK) Please read the analysts and company disclosure and the disclaimer in the last page 2/13 Equity Research Report Can Power Cable become a High Profit Margin Product? In short, it is possible depending on the application needs and first mover advantage. Power cables are mainly made of copper, aluminum, rubber and various types of plastic. While traditional power cables are relatively easier to manufacture and the market is facing excess of supply, however some of the higher-end products (such as Extra High Voltage (EHV) cables and rubber cables) may achieve a GPM of 20-30% in PRC because 1) customization needed for some special projects and applications; 2) higher tech-know-how needed; 3) supply shortage where the aggregate production capacity cannot catch-up with demand at a short period of time. Figure 1.2 : Principle Products of Jiangnan Power Cables Bare Wires Applications: Power transmission and distribution systems for power grids and infrastructures such as railways, etc Applications: Power transmission in overhead power lines Avg GP margin: 17% Avg GP margin of EHV: 30% Avg GP margin: 11% Avg GP margin of UHV: 13% Wires & Cables for Electrical Equipment Rubber Cables Applications: Power supply system for property and equipment and appliances Applications: Power supply system for marine oil drilling platform, ship building, wind power system, electrical vehicle re-charging and mining, etc. Avg GP margin: 10% Avg GP margin: 23% Source: Company, CIS(HK) Figure 1.3 : Revenue Breakdown of Jiangnan Figure 1.4 : Gross Profit Margin of Jiangnan’s Products Source: Company data, CIS(HK) Source: Company data, CIS(HK) Please read the analysts and company disclosure and the disclaimer in the last page 3/13 Equity Research Report Production Capacity & Utilization Rate Current Capacity Jiangnan’s production base is located in Yixing, Jiangsu Province in China and has employed 2,880 labours where 69% of them are involved in production. Jiangnan has one of the largest production capacities for wires and cables in China with annual capacity of approximately 100,000km for power cables, 833,500km for wires and cables for electrical equipment, 79,500km for bare wires and 42,000km for rubber cables. It is estimated that the target production capacity in 2014 will reach 130,000km for power cables, 1,125,000km for wires and cables for electrical equipment, 138,900km for bare wires and 54,000km for rubber cables. Recent M&A Jiangnan has entered into rubber cables segment through the acquisition of Jiang Zhongmei Cable in 2013. Rubber cable refers to power cables that are insulated by rubber instead of PVC or XLPE, meaning that the products can be applied to more extreme environments. This type of power cables are usually used in mining, wind turbines, marine and offshore oil platforms businesses. Note that the acquisition of Jiang Zhongmei Cable was completed on July 2013, which suggest the revenue from rubber cables segment only accounted for 5 months in FY2013. Worth mentioning is that the company has successfully raised HK$607mn cash from the capital market by issued 318mn of new shares at HK$1.95 on 19 Sept 2014. The company intends to establish new production facilities and production lines in cable related business. We expect Jiangnan have sufficient financial position to fund their expansion plan in short term. Figure 1.5 : Annual Production Capacity & Utilization Rate FY2009 36,000 Utilization rate (%) 79% wires and cables for electrical eqpt (km) 535,000 Utilization rate (%) 54% bare wires (km) 72,230 Utilization rate (%) 49% rubber cables (km) Utilization rate (%) power cables (km) FY2010 36,000 87% 535,000 77% 77,169 73% - FY2011 60,000 77% 540,000 85% 77,169 62% - FY2012 68,000 69% 580,000 95% 79,500 37% - FY2013 100,000 70% 833,500 85% 79,500 51% 42,000 70% FY2014E 130,000 66% 1,125,000 69% 138,900 52% 54,000 80% Source: Company data, CIS(HK) estimate *Annual Production Capacities were calculated on the basis of 3 shifts per day of 8 hrs each and 300 working days per year *Bare wires volume is converted using scale of 1ton=1.54km. Please read the analysts and company disclosure and the disclaimer in the last page 4/13 Equity Research Report Diversified Customer Base Jiangnan’s customer portfolios are well diversify with no single customer contributing over 10% of the total sales due to the fact that power cables and wires can be applied to nearly every industries. In general, the company’s sales can be divided into four categories: energy sector, industrial sector, infrastructure sector and property sector. As shown below, many of these sales are investments from downstream players where government policy and urbanization play a significant role. Geographically over 94% of sales are generated from customers in PRC. It is worth to mentions that Jiangnan is one of the few cables and wires manufacturers who have overseas distribution channels as well as customers that require international standard such as National Grid USA, Power Works (Singapore), Eskom (Africa), EVN NPT (Vietnam). Figure 1.6 : Customer Base of Jiangnan Figure 1.7 : Distribution Channels Source: Company data, CIS(HK) Source: Company data, CIS(HK) Figure 1.8 : Revenue Breakdown of Jiangnan Figure 1.9 : Revenue Contributions Source: Company data, CIS(HK) Source: Company data, CIS(HK) Please read the analysts and company disclosure and the disclaimer in the last page 5/13 Equity Research Report 2. Industry Overview Value Chain The value chain for a power cable manufacturer begins with the upstream metal (mainly copper and aluminum) and petroleum by-products (insulating materials e.g. plastics) suppliers. Power cable manufacturer will usually procure raw materials within a week once contract are signed with customers to avoid price fluctuation of upstream supplies. Power cable manufacturers belong to a capital extensive business model where constant input in R&D, patents & certifications, production capacities are required. In practice, power cable manufacturers usually have to deliver the end-products to customers within 1-2 months. Downstream players mainly are construction companies that require the use of power cables, for example power plants, railway companies, infrastructure constructors, property developers, electric vehicle companies, etc. Larger projects from these players usually go through bidding process while the remaining smaller projects go through direct sales team without any middle agents. The pricing strategy of Jiangnan’s power cable products mainly uses mark-up approach on top of raw materials costs. Hence, increases in raw materials prices may have a positive impact on revenue and vice versa, while the gross profit margin remain stable. Figure 2.1 : Value Chain of Power Cable Industry Source: Company data, CIS(HK) Please read the analysts and company disclosure and the disclaimer in the last page 6/13 Equity Research Report Where is the future demand of Power Cables? i) Large CAPEX invested in Power Grids across China The rapid development of power grids leads to strong demand for power cables and bare wires. According to the latest statistics provided by World Bank, the annual electric power consumption per capita in China was 3,298kWh in 2011, far less than most of the developed countries. With the support by the Chinese government, the two state-owned power grid companies in China, namely State Grid Corporation of China (SGCC) and China Southern Power Grid (CSG), have planned to accelerate their investment on power grids to RMB997bn in 2015. Jiangnan, being one of the few qualified suppliers to SGCC and CSG, could enjoy the booming industry for the upcoming years. Figure 2.2 : Electric power consumption per capita in 2011 Source: World Bank, CIS(HK) Figure 2.3 : Capex of CSG & SGCC Source: SGCC, CSG, CIS(HK) Please read the analysts and company disclosure and the disclaimer in the last page 7/13 Equity Research Report ii) Long Distance Transmission of Renewable Energy The National Air Pollution Prevention Action Plan indicated that renewable energy can be one of the solutions to reduce air pollution and maintain sustainable growth for the Chinese economy. Given by the fact that many of the solar & wind projects are located in northwest areas of China, a long distance transmission is required to deliver electricity to the southeast areas where demand are the highest. The development of UHV and EHY grid is prerequisite for such purpose to reduce electricity loss significantly. Note that with recent M&A for the acquisition of rubber cable segment, we believe Jiangnan has built up an extensive product portfolio in special cables area which is required in the renewable energy industry. We expect Jiangnan will be beneficial from the rapid Capex growth from solar energy sector as well as turnaround of wind energy sector. Figure 2.4 : Solar PV installed in China Source: EPIA, CIS(HK) Figure 2.5 : Wind Energy capacity installed in China Source: China Wind Energy Association, CIS(HK) Please read the analysts and company disclosure and the disclaimer in the last page 8/13 Equity Research Report iii) High-Speed Railway & Urban Transit Systems Jiangnan currently is a qualify supplier of power cables and bare wires to Shenzhen Metro, Shanghai Metro and China Railway Construction Group. Currently the transportation infrastructure in China is still relatively at an nd immature stage against many of the western countries, especially 2 and 3 rd tier cities, yet official local railway authorities in many provinces had already announced/started their construction works to expand their metro lines or high-speed railway across provinces. Figure 2.6 : Investment amount on national railway infrastructure Source: China Railway Yearbook, CIS(HK) iv) Electric Vehicle Cables While rubber cables are normally been used in marine engineering, ship buildings and wind turbines, it can also be used in electric vehicles (EV) charging systems, this include (1) rubber cables that transfer electricity from power stations to charging stations, (2) rubber cables that transfer electricity from the charging stations onto vehicles, and (3) rubber cables that link the electrical battery with vehicle’s engine system. These segments require a relatively higher technologies for example shorten the speed of charging time, voltage differences, etc. In fact, SGCC now has built 400 charging stations and 20,000 charging piles, it is expected that the number of charging stations will reach 20,000 by 2020. Please read the analysts and company disclosure and the disclaimer in the last page 9/13 Equity Research Report 3. Investment Thesis Bringing Electricity from Northwest to Southeast Regions through UHV Cables The Chinese government is planned to construct 8 UHV grids by 2017 in order to transmit electricity from northwest areas like Inner Mongolia and Shanxi province, which own various types of power resources, to southeast cities where facing high energy consumptions. The purpose of using UHV overhead cables is to better manage of electricity loss during the transmission process. Figure 3.1 : Investment amount on national railway infrastructure Projects Inner Mongolia - Shandong Shanxi Yu Heng - Shandong Weifang Huainan - Nanjing West Innfer Mongolia - Tianjin Inner Mongolia - Shandong Xi Meng - Jiangsu Ningxia - Zhejiang Shanxi - Jiangsu Cables required 1000kV UHV AC lines 1000kV UHV AC lines 1000kV UHV AC lines 1000kV UHV AC lines +/-800kV UHV DC lines +/-800kV UHV DC lines +/-800kV UHV DC lines +/-800kV UHV DC lines Source: National Energy Administration, CIS(HK) EHV Cable is an Essential Part of UHV Grid System EHV cable is used as distribution line of electricity that is built underground within a city area. It has the same characteristic with UHV cable where it could reduce a significant amount of electricity loss. However a relatively higher technology is needed to prevent damages in underground areas, hence an average GPM of 30% is reachable. Currently Jiangnan has the ability to produce 500kV EHV cables. Expanding EHV Cables Capacity Jiangnan is one of the 12 EHV cables authorized suppliers for SGCC and CSG. The Group is planned to expand their annual production capacity of 500kV EHV cables from 1,000km to 1,900km by the end of 2014. New Application for Rubber Cable The acquisition of Zhongmei Cable in 2013 is a strategic move that could enhance the product portfolio of Jiangnan. While rubber cables are normally been used in marine engineering, ship buildings and wind turbines, it can also be used in electric vehicles (EV) charging systems. Jiangnan has been well-positioned for relevant products to cater this fast growing market, we expect this could become a potential growing driver for the company profitability once the upstream players of EV charging system execute their expansion plan. Please read the analysts and company disclosure and the disclaimer in the last page 10/1 3 Equity Research Report 4. Valuation Jiangnan currently is trading at 7.1x FY14E, which is 83.0 % discounted from the average 40.1x of the peers (Far East Smarter Energy, Hanhe Cable, Zhongchao Cable, Baosheng Science, Tongguang Electron, Tong-Da Cable). We predict the valuation discount will be narrowed given by its improving GP margin and profitability with excellent prospect on huge investment in national infrastructure spending for the upcoming years. We initiate buy on Jiangnan with a target price of HK$2.52, implied a 75% discount on peers’ FY14E PE. Figure 3.1 : Peers’ Valuation Table Name Ticker FAR EAST SMARTER ENERGY QINGDAO HANHE CABLE JIANGSU ZHONGCHAO CABLE BAOSHENG SCIENCE AND TECH JIANGSU TONGGUANG ELECTRON HENAN TONG-DA CABLE 600869 CH 002498 CH 002471 CH 600973 CH 300265 CH 002560 CH JIANGNAN GROUP 1366 HK Name Ticker FAR EAST SMARTER ENERGY QINGDAO HANHE CABLE JIANGSU ZHONGCHAO CABLE BAOSHENG SCIENCE AND TECH JIANGSU TONGGUANG ELECTRON HENAN TONG-DA CABLE JIANGNAN GROUP 600869 CH 002498 CH 002471 CH 600973 CH 300265 CH 002560 CH Simple Avg. 1366 HK Mkt Cap (HK$ mn) 13,238 12,749 7,378 5,095 4,726 3,558 Last Price (Local Cur) 10.58 9.40 11.51 9.80 27.70 20.14 Simple Avg. 5,975 1.76 Revenue (RMB mn) FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 10,968 9,851 11,538 3,757 3,724 4,790 1,812 1,874 4,439 6,930 8,560 9,796 646 795 765 964 973 966 4,179 4,296 5,382 4,930 5,356 6,477 ttm 33.9 22.1 34.9 40.0 89.4 40.9 43.5 7.1 P/E ratio FY14E 27.1 n.a. 32.9 n.a. 60.2 n.a. 40.1 6.8 FY2011 16.1 16.4 16.2 6.7 28.6 12.9 16.1 14.9 GPM (%) FY2012 16.6 14.8 15.7 8.4 28.0 13.2 16.1 15.7 FY15E 22.0 n.a. 29.5 n.a. 42.0 n.a. 31.2 5.6 P/B ratio LF 3.5 2.5 3.7 2.0 4.9 2.0 3.1 1.7 FY2013 16.4 15.5 15.1 8.0 26.3 17.5 16.4 15.4 ROA FY13 3.2 8.8 3.2 1.6 3.7 3.9 4.1 7.8 ROE FY13 10.2 10.9 10.8 5.1 5.7 6.5 8.2 24.2 Total Debt /Total Equity FY13 3.1 1.3 3.3 3.6 1.5 1.4 2.4 3.3 Net Profit (RMB mn) FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 329 (142) 303 286 258 434 80 54 165 18 101 99 44 64 42 54 56 59 135 65 184 317 376 504 FY2011 3.0 7.6 4.4 0.3 6.9 5.6 4.6 6.4 NPM (%) FY2012 (1.4) 6.9 2.9 1.2 8.0 5.8 3.9 7.0 Source: Bloomberg, CIS(HK) estimate,as of 8 Oct 2014 market close Risks China economy slump Failure to promote UHV cable, EHV cables and rubber cables Political risk in overseas markets expansion Please read the analysts and company disclosure and the disclaimer in the last page 11/1 3 FY2013 2.6 9.1 3.7 1.0 5.5 6.2 4.7 7.8 Equity Research Report Figure 3.2 : Financial Forecast Summary Income Statement (RMB mn) Total Revenue power cables wires and cables for electrical eqpt bare wires rubber cables Cost of sales Gross profit SG&A expense Finance cost Other items Profit before tax Associates Income tax expense Minority interest Others Net Profit Basic EPS (RMB cents) No. of shares outstanding (mn) Growth y-o-y Revenue Net Profit Basic EPS FY2012 5,356 3,701 1,327 328 0 (4,514) 842 (180) (182) (24) 456 (80) 0 376 0.13 2,874 FY2013 6,477 4,240 1,514 348 376 (5,477) 1,000 (243) (195) 43 605 (102) 0 504 0.16 3,077 FY2014E 8,093 5,067 1,610 600 816 (6,802) 1,290 (295) (259) 8 745 (131) 0 614 0.18 3,395 FY2015E 9,303 5,952 1,761 706 884 (7,778) 1,525 (343) (279) 20 923 (159) 0 763 0.22 3,395 FY2016E 10,420 6,661 1,974 803 983 (8,725) 1,696 (383) (302) 18 1,029 (177) 0 852 0.25 3,395 8.7% 18.5% 20.9% 33.9% 25.0% 24.9% 21.9% 10.5% 15.0% 24.3% 24.3% 12.0% 11.6% 11.6% Balance Sheet (RMB mn) PPE Land use rights Others Total Non-Current Assets Inventories Trade and bills receivables Pledged bank deposits Cash at bank and on hand Others Total Current Assets Trade payables Bank borrowings Tax payable Others Total Current Liabilities Long-term bank borrowings Deferred tax liabilities Others Total Non-Current Liabilities Share capital Total reserve Total equity FY2012 473 79 8 560 1,003 1,831 755 1,138 4,727 1,405 1,935 33 1 3,373 28 5 33 25 1,856 1,881 FY2013 633 208 56 896 1,842 2,328 808 1,683 6,661 2,223 2,922 54 4 5,203 64 4 68 25 2,261 2,286 FY2014E 643 209 56 908 2,183 3,082 1,163 1,986 8,413 2,548 3,418 57 6,023 65 6 72 25 3,202 3,227 FY2015E 664 205 57 926 2,420 3,290 1,390 2,925 10,025 2,908 4,097 74 (0) 7,079 66 7 73 25 3,775 3,800 FY2016E 681 201 57 939 2,743 3,676 1,413 3,714 11,547 3,212 4,664 96 0 7,972 68 8 76 25 4,413 4,438 Ratio Analysis Profitability GPM OPM PBT Margin NPM ROA ROE Liquidity & Solvency Current Ratio Quick Ratio Cash Ratio Total debt to equity Net debt to equity Performance AR days Inventories days AP days Cash conversion cycle ROE Net Profit Margin Asset Turnover Leverage Ratio FY2012 FY2013 FY2014E FY2015E FY2016E 15.7% 11.9% 8.5% 7.0% 7.1% 20.0% 15.4% 12.4% 9.3% 7.8% 6.7% 22.0% 15.9% 12.4% 9.2% 7.6% 6.6% 19.0% 16.4% 12.9% 9.9% 8.2% 7.0% 20.1% 16.3% 12.8% 9.9% 8.2% 6.8% 19.2% 1.4 1.1 0.6 1.8 2% 1.3 0.9 0.5 2.3 19% 111 73 119 65 20.0% 7.0% 1.0 2.8 117 76 121 73 22.0% 7.8% 0.9 3.3 122 108 128 102 19.0% 7.6% 0.9 2.9 125 108 128 105 20.1% 8.2% 0.8 2.9 122 108 128 102 19.2% 8.2% 0.8 2.8 FY2012 456 (29) 182 35 25 (403) (68) 198 (93) 0 (273) 29 (51) (388) (194) (47) 533 0 391 Proceeds on issue of shares Others (33) Net financing activities cash flows 650 Net (decrease) / increase in cash 460 Exchange gains/(losses) (0) Cash at beginning of year 678 Cash at end of year 1,138 FY2013 605 (21) 195 48 (30) (20) (78) 700 (22) (387) 104 21 (20) (305) (201) (88) 452 0 0 2 166 560 (16) 1,138 1,683 FY2014E 745 (35) 259 50 15 (815) (100) 119 (60) 0 (355) 35 (0) (380) (259) (153) 496 0 481 0 564 304 0 1,683 1,986 FY2015E 923 (45) 279 58 22 (123) (122) 992 (80) 0 (227) 45 0 (263) (279) (191) 679 0 0 0 209 939 0 1,986 2,925 FY2016E 1,029 (46) 302 63 17 (435) (135) 795 (80) 0 (23) 46 0 (57) (302) (213) 567 0 0 0 52 790 0 2,925 3,714 Cash Flow (RMB mn) Profit before tax Interest income Finance cost Depreciation of PPE Others Changes in working capital Income tax paid Net operating cash flows Purchase of PPE Acquisition of subsidaries Bank deposits pledged - Net Interest received Others Net investing cash flows Interest paid Dividends paid Bank borrwings - Net Repyament of bills payable 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.9 1.9 1.8 8% Net Cash Net Cash Source: Company data, CIS(HK) Please read the analysts and company disclosure and the disclaimer in the last page 12/1 3 Equity Research Report Disclaimer The information, tools and material presented herein are provided for informational purposes only and are not to be used or considered as an offer or a solicitation to sell or an offer or solicitation to buy or subscribe for securities, investment products or other financial instruments, 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