Document 6566160
Transcription
Document 6566160
KENYA METHODIST UNIVERSITY BUSINESS STATISTICS:STAT 113 COURSE OUTLINE Venue: RM 2 Credit hours: 45 Lecturer: Mr. Egondi Patrick Course background In the current scenario the manager are having large amount of information and data pool available to them. But to make adequate decisions relying upon these data sets is creating hurdles in the overall development as business manager. With regard to this the business statistics course outline will help them in making quality decisions and thereby minimizing the risk factor. Specific objective: • Use statistical technique in business decision making • Develop skills in structuring and analyzing business problem statistically • Formulate answers to common business decision problems through statistical analysis • Develop competence in interpreting and evaluating economic and financial problems posed both in quantitative and qualitative. Chapter 1 Title of work Introduction of Statistics : Growth of Statistics, Definition, Scope, Uses, Misuses andLimitation of Statistics, Collection of Primary & Secondary Data, Approximation and Accuracy, Statistical Errors Statistics and Decision Making Process Nature, Source and Method of Data Collection Summarizing Data Graphical Presentation of Data Classification and Tabulation of Data : Meaning Weeks Activity 1 1 Assessment (end of Unit) 2 3 4 5. 6 and Characteristics, Frequency Distribution, Simple and Manifold Tabulation. Measuring of Central Tendency : Arithmetic Mean (Simple and Weighted), Median (including quartiles, decides and percentiles), Mode, Geometric and Harmonic Mean – Simple and Weighted, Uses and Limitations of Measures of Central Tendency. Measures of Dispersion : Absolute and Relative Measures of Dispersion; Quartile Deviation, Mean Deviation, Standard Deviation and their Coefficients; Uses and Interpretation of Measures of Dispersion. 5. Skewness : Measures of Skewness, Kurtosis Index Numbers : Meaning and Uses of Index Numbers, Simple and Weighted Price Index Numbers, Methods of Construction of Index Numbers, Average of Relatives and Aggregative Methods, Problems in Construction of Index Numbers, Selection of Variables, Base, Weight, Average and Formula; Fishers Ideal Index Number, Base Shifting, Splicing and Deflating. 1 Assignment 1 1 1 1 1 1 Assignment 2 1 1 7. 8 9 Correlation : Meaning and Significance, Scatter Diagram, Correlation Graph, Karl Pearson’s Coefficient of Linear Correlation between two Variables in Grouped and Ungrouped Data by Direct and Shortcut Methods, Coefficient of Correlation by Spearman’s, Rank Differences Method and Concurrent Deviation Method. Linear Regression. Presentation of Data, Diagrammes/Graphs of Frequency Distribution and Histograms Ratio Scale Graph. 1 1 1 10 Probability concept Set theory Permutations and Combinations Some Elementary Probability Concepts Probability Rules, Events and Bayes' Theorem Probability Distribution of A Discrete Random Variable. Binomial Distribution Poisson Distribution Normal Distribution. Total 1 Assignment 3 1 15wks Course Assessment: Assessment is based on assignment at the end of each session Details of the Grading are as follows: • Continuous Assessment Test • End of Trimester Examinations 30% 70% Core Reading Materials for the Course: • Ken, B.: Business Statistics: Contemporary Decision Making, Wiley Higher Education, 2007. • Devore J. L.: Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences; Brooks/ Cole,2008 Recommended Reference Materials: • Mendenhall, W., Scheaffer, R. L. and Wackerly, D. D.: Mathematical Statistics with Applications; Dexbury Press, 2007. • Sheldon, M. R.: Introduction to Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists; Elsevier Academic Press, 2009. • Murray R. S., Schiller, J., Srinivasan, R. A.: Schaum's Outline of Probability and Statistics; McGraw-Hill Companies, 2000. • Gupta, S. P. : Statistical Methods, Sultan chand and Sons, New Delhi • Hooda, R. P.: Statistics for Business and Economics, Macmillan, New Delhi. • Hein, L. W. Quantitative Approach to Managerial Decisions, Prentice Hall, NJ. • Levin, Richard I. and David S. Rubin: Statistics for Management, PrenticeHall, New Delhi. • Lawrance B. Moore: Statistics for Business & Economics, Harper Collins, • Watsman Terry J. and Keith Parramor: Quantitative Methods in Finance International, Thompson Business Press, London. AS MOMBASA CAMPUS SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS COURSE CODE: STAT 113 BUSINESS STATISTICS I INSTRUCTOR: PATRICK EGONDI PHONE: PHONE: 0715651505 DUE DATE: FRIDAY, OCTOBER 17, 2014 E-MAIL: egondipato@yahoo.com SIGNMENT 1. The following are the bonus paid to workers in a given company. 173 179 160 175 181 164 183 189 179 172 177 163 173 178 170 175 181 181 183 166 168 180 174 177 179 164 170 175 182 182 173 168 184 162 173 180 177 186 165 186 182 188 163 176 170 174 185 166 180 181 176 167 188 181 169 165 173 177 171 178 179 183 176 188 164 174 171 179 173 178 173 187 169 183 176 179 165 169 174 187 a) Prepare a frequency distribution table using exclusive method taking the first class to be equal to 160-under 165. (4 marks) b) Draw a histogram and frequency polygon on the same axis. (7 marks) c) State FOUR basic principles for forming a grouped frequency distribution.(4 marks) 2. a) State the advantages and disadvantages of presenting statistical data by diagrams and graphs. (4 marks) b) i) For the data below, plot a Lorenz curve. (9 marks) Wage group (£) Upto -80 80-120 120-160 160-200 200-240 240-280 Number of People 205 200 35 30 20 10 Total Wages 10,250 22,000 4,900 5,700 4,400 2,500 ii) What is the purpose of a Lorenze curve? (2 marks) 3. The advertising expenditure and sales revenue for ten business firms is shown (in Kshs Millions) Firm A B C D E F G H I J Advertising Exp.(x) 57 54 49 42 38 32 30 24 20 18 Sales revenue(y) 113 111 107 103 100 96 94 84 74 76 Required: a) Find the regression equation of sales revenue on advertising expenditure.(7 marks) b) If the advertising expenditure is Kshs. 26 million, estimate the sales revenue of the business. (2 marks) c) Compute the coefficient of correlation between sales revenue and advertising expenditure of the firms. (6 marks) 4. a) Explain FOUR criteria for a good index. (4 marks) b) Given below is a table of four commodities with the corresponding prices and quantities over two years (1982 and 1984) Product Quantity (kg) Price (shs) Quantity (kg) Price (shs) Bread 5 5 7 6.5 Eggs 6 7.75 10 8.8 Soap 4 9.63 6 10.75 Sugar 9 12.5 9 12.75 Calculate: i. Laspeyre’s price index (3 marks) ii. Paasche price index (3 marks) iii. Fisher’s price index (3 marks) iv. Simple average of the price index. (3 marks) 5.a) There are 100 students in a first year college. 36 are male and are studying Business math’s, 9 are male and are not studying business math’s, 42 are female and are studying business math’s, 13 are female and are not studying businessmaths. Using the data above, find the probability that a student drawn at random: i. Is studying business maths given he is male. (3 marks) ii. Is studying business maths given she is female. (3 marks) b.