Container Market – Weekly Report October 17 – October 24, 2014
Transcription
Container Market – Weekly Report October 17 – October 24, 2014
October 17 – October 24, 2014 Container Market – Weekly Report Chartering Market Fixtures Reported This Week The charter market continues to be active with additional tonnage being taken in short term to cater for congestion issues in Africa and in Asia. This has in general helped a number of spot vessels to finally secure employment albeit at reduced charter rates. DS National - Flag LIB - BLT 2001 - 80,494 DWT 6,479 TEU - 5,071/HOM - 700 Plugs - Hyundai 6000 - Cellular - Gearless - 26.40/240 6 Mnths - Period - Feast - MSC - USD 12,500.00 /Day With the winter programme on the main east/west routes being implemented, employment for post panamax tonnage appears difficult and 8,000 TEU tonnage remain in spot positions. MSC was linked to a fixture of the 6,500 TEU ‘DS NATIONAL’ for 6 months and one 5,500 TEU was reported fixed on private terms. Panamax activity and charter rates remain stable. Cosco concluded two 4,250 TEU for 5 months at USD 10,000 daily and China Shipping extended the 4,600 TEU ‘NORTHERN PROMOTION’ at USD 10,500 for 35-45 days. The availability of panamax tonnage is however increasing and a softening trend in charter rates appears inevitable. We noticed a rather high activity level between 2,000 and 3,000 TEU with PIL, ML and CMA CGM in particular being active in the market. The majority of fixtures concluded remain in Asia. Gearless tonnage around 2,700-2,800 remains in high demand but failed to secure further lifts in charter rates as tonnage in competing segments reduced their expectations and thus low USD 8's remains the prevailing rate level. Geared tonnage was stable around USD 7,000 for periods passing the CNY. Despite improved activity for craned 2,500 TEU tonnage some owners were acting aggressively to secure the limited employment opportunities and accepted numbers which are essentially lower than their OPEX costs. If this continues it could be a rather cold winter. There was a feeling that rates for tonnage between 1,000-2,000 TEU began to soften slightly, we noticed new market low's being fixed in both the Med and Asia for certain sizes. The Caribbean however was still holding firm with rates increases for particular types. In the Mediterranean we saw Wenchong types fixed as low as USD 6,100 for short and flexible periods. Maersk Line took the ‘HANSE CLOPPENBURG’ for 1 to 4 months at this level. In Asia, whilst rates were stable for 1,700 TEU types, the rates for CV1100 tonnage has fallen by approx USD 100 to flat USD 6,000 for periods around 6 months, these levels are now being bettered in the Mediterranean which is interesting. As eluded to above, in the Caribbean certain types saw firming rates, the 1,341 TEU ‘RANJAN’ achieved USD 8,200 with Evergreen for 6 months charter, last done for this type was USD 8,000 for a similar period. In Asia a couple of Daesun types were fixed/extended for a rates of USD 8,300. This is actually a tick down on last done but more or less the market level. With the softening of oil prices of late, it could perhaps be argued that not so much emphasis will be placed on eco types, thus a slight easing of rates is to be expected?? Elsewhere the feeders below 1,000 TEU remained quiet; Sea Consortium extended a Sietas 168 type for 4 to 7 months at USD 5,800. Northern Promotion - Flag LIB - BLT 2010 - 59,483 DWT 4,616 TEU - 3,080/HOM - 470 Plugs - Daewoo 4600 - Cellular - Gearless - 23.0/144 35-45 Days - Extension - Feast / WCNA - CSCL - USD 10,500.00 /Day Viktoria Wulff - Flag LIB - BLT 2006 - 58,260 DWT 4,542 TEU - 3,150/HOM - 700 Plugs - Cellular - Gearless - 24.8/152 20-40 Days - Period - Intra Asia - OOCL - USD 10,000.00 /Day Aglaia - Flag LIB - BLT 2011 - 52,788 DWT 4,178 TEU - 2,882/HOM - 879 Plugs - CSBC 4200 - Cellular - Gearless - 24.5/155.0 mt 3-5 Mnths - Extension - Feast / NZ - COSCO - USD 10,000.00 /Day Guenther Schulte - Flag HKG - BLT 2008 - 42,045 DWT 3,534 TEU - 2,353/HOM - 500 Plugs - Shanghai 3500 - Cellular - Gearless - 23.5/122.0 6-10 Mnths - Extension - Aussi / WCNA - Hapag-Lloyd - USD 8,500.00 /Day Hedda Schulte - Flag CYP - BLT 2013 - 46,000 DWT 3,421 TEU - 2,450/HOM - 539 Plugs - MaxBox - Cellular - Geared - 22kn/99mt 9-10 Mnths - Extension - Feast / E Africa - CMA CGM - USD 8,500.00 /Day Hammonia Antofagasta - Flag LIB - BLT 2008 - 35,534 DWT 2,872 TEU - 2,150/HOM - 746 Plugs - Zhejiang 2500 - Cellular - Gearless - 21.3/89.5 17-24 Days - Period - Continent - Evergreen - USD 8,000.00 /Day Angeles - Flag LIB - BLT 2010 - 35,376 DWT 2,872 TEU - 2,116/HOM - 746 Plugs - Zhejiang 2500 - Cellular - Gearless - 21.3/89.5 8-10 Mnths - Period - Intra Asia - CMA CGM - USD 8,300.00 /Day Cape Madrid - Flag MAI - BLT 2011 - 41,636 DWT 2,758 TEU - 2,269/HOM - 500 Plugs - Wenchong 2800 - Cellular - Gearless - 22.3/93.5 2-3 Mnths - Extension - Feast / E Africa - COSCO - USD 8,000.00 /Day Anna-S - Flag ABB - BLT 2008 - 34,362 DWT 2,546 TEU - 1,900/HOM - 400 Plugs - Jiangsu 2500 - Cellular - Geared 3-6 Mnths - Extension - Feast / W Africa - PIL - USD 7,000.00 /Day Saint Nikolaos - Flag MAI - BLT 2004 - 34,415 DWT 2,490 TEU - 1,868/HOM - 566 Plugs - SSW 25 - Cellular - Geared - 22.0/87.9 3-6 Mnths - Extension - Mediterranean / USEC - CMA CGM - USD 6,500.00 /Day Santa Giannina - Flag LIB - BLT 1997 - 29,700 DWT 2,061 TEU - 1,585/HOM - 150 Plugs - FW 2000-T - Cellular - Geared - 19.5/50.7 3-6 Mnths - Extension - West Med / W Africa - CMA CGM - USD 6,900.00 /Day Hansa Cloppenburg - Flag LIB - BLT 2007 - 23,396 DWT 1,740 TEU - 1,295/HOM - 300 Plugs - Wenchong 1700 - Cellular - Geared - 20.0/55 1-4 Mnths - Period - Intra Med - Maersk Line - USD 6,100.00 /Day Viking Merlin - Flag LIB - BLT 2014 - 23,560 DWT 1,740 TEU - 1,295/HOM - 300 Plugs - Wenchong 1700 - Cellular - Geared - 19.5 1-3 Mnths - Extension - Intra Med - UFS - USD 6,250.00 /Day Continued on page 3 Maersk Broker Time Charter Rate Index, Week 43 Average Container T/C Rates 1,800 Maersk Broker Container Index 1,600 Size 2013 2014YTD 4 Weeks MA 1,400 1,200 400-649 $4,792 $4,637 $4,478 1,000 650-899 $5,252 $5,260 $4,927 800 900-1,299 $6,706 $6,874 $6,851 600 1,300-1,999 $7,342 $7,791 $8,164 400 2,000-2,999 $7,199 $7,270 $7,146 200 3,000-3,949 $7,794 $8,185 $8,236 0 3,950-5,199 $9,069 $8,987 $10,888 September: 404 October: 462* (*4 weeks Moving Average –The index is calculated on October 24rd) Trend (short term) October 17 – October 24, 2014 Sale & Purchase Newbuilding Although the container further trading market remained at a high level of activity, only one transaction was completed over the course of the week. German owners Schulte received USD 11.5 mill for their 2007 built 3,534 TEU ‘GABRIEL SCHULTE’: the Shanghai 3,500 design takes the number of vessels bought in 2014 by UK based Borealis, to eleven. The deal revealed further pressure on the 3,500 TEU segment when similar vessels was committed at USD 13 mill a few months back. Elsewhere in the market, we understand that two mid 2000’s Chinese built Panamax units are currently under negotiation, and that a pair of smaller 600 TEU vessels are committed via a bank deal. Finally, the 2,500 TEU segment remained interesting with a number of buyers committing themselves to attractive deals. There were no new orders concluded this week in the container newbuilding market. Since the beginning of October, a mere total of 11,600 TEU has been added to the orderbook. These are seven feeder vessels, ranging from 1,400 to 1,800 TEU, to be built at Chinese and Korean yards for delivery end 2015 and 2016. Meanwhile, the large and mid-size container vessel segments have recently been experiencing a lack of orders. However, a series of projects for +14,000 TEU vessels are still likely to be concluded within 2014. The cheap import of Chinese steel continued to suppress the activity level in the demolition market. Similar to last week, no deals were concluded this week, and it is believed to be due to the fact that end buyers continue to hold back on their offers because of the cheaper alternatives currently existing on the market. In India, the market has seen a complete change from the bullish sentiment that characterized the third quarter. The commencement of the Diwali holidays, along with a sudden depreciation of the Indian Rupee and falling scrap steel prices, has resulted in a very quiet week on the Subcontinent. Estimated Second Hand Prices - 10 yrs old (USD Million) Estimated Newbuilding Prices (USD Million) 1,100 1,700 2,700 4,500 1,800 2,800 4,800 6,600 9,200 14,000 6-7 9-10 12-13 14-15 28-30* 35-37* 51-53* 64-66* 88-90* 115-120* 26-28** 33-35** 49-51** 57-59** 84-86** Price Development Since Last Week Source: Maersk Broker * ** Price Development Since Last Week * * * * ** ** ** ** n.a. * n.a. Source: Maersk Broker *based on Korean built vessel for 2016 delivery **based on Chinese built vessel for 2016 delivery Market Developments and Drivers US: U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI, an index to measure economic activity) slipped to 56.2 from the reading of 57.5 in September (a reading above 50 signals expansion in economic activity). Thus, it is still at a very high level. EU: The Eurozone saw a marginal upturn in the growth of business activity in October. PMI rose from September’s tenmonth low of 52.0 to 52.2. However, the index remained below the average seen in the third quarter, and was the second-weakest reading seen so far this year. China: The overall picture for the Chinese economy remains that growth is slowing. This is mainly driven by weaker investment demand in the wake of slower credit growth. China’s GDP growth slowed in Q3 to 7.3% y/y from 7.5% y/y in Q2. The HSBC PMI declined marginally to 51.4 from 51.5 with both declined “domestic new orders” and “export orders”. This indicates that there will still be moderate downward pressure on the manufacturing PMI in the coming months. Japan: Japanese manufacturing activity expanded in October at the fastest pace in seven months as domestic and overseas orders increased. It suggests that growth in Japan is again picking up pace after disappointing growth in Q2 and Q3 in the wake of the consumption tax hike in April. October 17 – October 24, 2014 Clipper - Flag ABB - BLT 2008 - 23,831 DWT 1,702 TEU - 1,240/HOM - 330 Plugs - Aker cs 1700 - Cellular - Gearless 20.5/67 4-6 Mnths - Extension - Intra Med - Italia Marittima - USD 7,500.00/Day Sanya - Flag SNG - BLT 1999 - 24,327 DWT 1,560 TEU - 1,218/HOM - 200 Plugs - Imabari 1500 - Cellular - Gearless 18.5/45.0 5-6 Mnths - Period - Intra Asia - COSCO - USD 7,300.00 /Day Kuo Hung - Flag PAN - BLT 1997 - 18,595 DWT 1,405 TEU - 1,120/HOM - 42 Plugs - CSBC 1100 - Cellular - Gearless 18.2/35.0 5-8 Mnths - Period - Intra Asia - OOCL - USD 8,700.00 /Day Ranjan - Flag ABB - BLT 2008 - 17,215 DWT 1,341 TEU - 925/HOM - 470 Plugs - MRC 1100-II - Cellular - Geared - 20.0/52 6 Mnths - Extension - Caribbean Sea / WCSA - Evergreen - USD 8,200.00 /Day Warnow Vaquita - Flag ABB - BLT 2008 - 18,343 DWT 1,284 TEU - 975/HOM - 390 Plugs - Cellular - Gearless - 19.6/45 6-8 Mnths - Period - Continent Trade - CMA CGM - Private Rate Asiatic Wind - Flag SNG - BLT 2008 - 12,500 DWT 1,147 TEU - 717/HOM - 232 Plugs - Orskov Mark XI - Cellular - Geared 19.0/43.0 6-8 Mnths - Extension - Intra Caribs - Tropical Shipping - Private Rate Maren S - Flag ABB - BLT 2005 - 13,839 DWT 1,118 TEU - 700/HOM - 220 Plugs - CV 1100 Plus - Cellular - Geared 19.6/38.5 if 380 4-6 Mnths - Period - Intra Asia - Hanjin Shipping - USD 6,000.00 /Day Paola - Flag ABB - BLT 2005 - 13,879 DWT 1,118 TEU - 700/HOM - 220 Plugs - CV 1100 Plus - Cellular - Gearless 19.2/44.0 3-5 Mnths - Period - Intra Asia - TS Lines - USD 6,000.00 /Day El Toro - Flag HKG - BLT 2006 - 13,633 DWT 1,114 TEU - 700/HOM - 220 Plugs - CV 1100 Plus - Cellular - Geared - 19.5/36 6-8 Mnths - Extension - Intra Med - CMA CGM - USD 6,100.00 /Day Halcyon - Flag BAH - BLT 2007 - 12,480 DWT 1,102 TEU - 700/HOM - 180 Plugs - Murakami 1100 - Cellular - Gearless - 19 / 38 3-6 Mnths - Period - Intra Asia - Puhai - USD 8,150.00 /Day Alice - Flag ABB - BLT 2005 - 12,827 DWT 1,043 TEU - 655/HOM - 180 Plugs - Dae Sun 1000 - Cellular - Gearless 18.0/33.0 12 Mnths - Period - Intra Asia - Hanjin Shipping - USD 8,325.00 /Day Reecon Whale - Flag MTA - BLT 2011 - 12,513 DWT 1,022 TEU - 607/HOM - 314 Plugs - Cellular - Geared - 19.0/33.5 3-5 Mnths -Period - Intra Med - Naviera - USD 6,400.00 /Day Annika - Flag LIB - BLT 2008 - 11,814 DWT 982 TEU - 603/HOM - 180 Plugs - Dae Sun 1000 - Cellular - Gearless - 18.0/33 3-5 Mnths - Extension - Intra Asia - KMTC - USD 8,300.00 /Day Heinrich Sibum - Flag ABB - BLT 2007 - 11,821 DWT 957 TEU - 604/HOM - 252 Plugs - Zhejiang 950 - Cellular - Geared - 18.8/37 4-6 Mnths - Extension - Intra Caribs - Sea Consortium - USD 6,750.00 /Day Allegro - Flag ABB - BLT 2004 - 11,388 DWT 868 TEU - 600/HOM - 150 Plugs - Sietas 168b - Cellular - Gearless 18.0/33.0 4-7 Mnths - Extension - Intra Med - Sea Consortium - USD 5,800.00 /Day Sophia - Flag ABB - BLT 2008 - 8,166 DWT 698 TEU - 425/HOM - 120 Plugs - Cellular - Gearless - 17,5 / 32 4-6 Mnths - Extension - Continent Trade - MacAndrews - USD 4,500.00 /Day Ice Star - Flag ABB - BLT 2008 - 8,143 DWT 698 TEU - 441/HOM - 120 Plugs - Mawei 437 II - Cellular - Gearless - 17/26 7 Days - Period - Intra Asia - Asean Seas Line - USD 4,900.00 /Day Fortunia - Flag ABB - BLT 1996 - 6,871 DWT The above -report our -best knowledge 543 TEU - 330/HOM 87 Plugsis- based B-184 - on Cellular Geared - 17.0/26.0 of relevant market conditions and all fixtures reported are without guarantee 4-6 Mnths - Extension - Intra Med - Sea Consortium - USD 5,350.00 /Daybut stated in good faith. This report is based on our knowledge of relevant market conditions. Our estimates are made on the basis of this knowledge, but other circumstances, or new circumstances, as well as general uncertainty could cause the market to develop differently. We take general reservation for misprints. © All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any material form (including photocopying or storing it in any medium by electronic means) without the written permission of the copyright owner. Likewise, any quoting is prohibited without the written permission of the copyright owner.