MutualFunds
Transcription
MutualFunds
D4 Business | 2R | SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 30, 2014 MutualFunds INDEXING IS HOT, BUT ACTIVE MANAGERS HAVE THEIR PLACE Your Funds Chuck Jaffe Syndicated columnist One of the oldest say ings in the fund busi ness is that you should never con fuse a bull market for brilliance. That saying is usually used as a warning about active managers, where their strategy looks wicked smart even though they mostly have benefitted from watching the tide roll in. Right now, however, it might apply to indexing, where the simplest of strate gies has been crushing the active competition thanks largely to the rising tide. While that has sparked plenty of “active manage ment is dead” discussions, articles and talks, falling for those arguments could be a case of seeing a bull market as providing a bulletproof strategy. That would be a mistake. Jack Bogle — founder of The Vanguard Group, the world’s largest fund compa ny, and with it the first Standard & Poor’s 500 index fund — recently told me that “ ... 2014, so far, happens to be one of the great years for S&P 500 indexing. “I hope nobody thinks it will be that way forever because it won’t be.” Critics of active manage ment always talk about how superior performers eventu ally “regress to the mean,” so that over time their num bers are closer to the aver age than to what investors see when the fund’s jockey is on a roll. That also happens to index funds; at certain times, they crush the com petition, at other times, active managers pickand choose their way to an edge. Over longer stretches, the upsanddowns of the mar ket have made the index return being a lot more average. Over the last three years, 21.5 percent of stock funds have topped the index, and the gap between the annu alized index return (19.7 percent) and the average fund (17.6 percent) is thin ner. Over the last five years, roughly 37 percent of stock funds have surpassed the index, and the average fund is within 0.8 percent of the bench mark’s gain. But over the last 10 years, according to Morningstar, more than half of domestic stock funds (52 percent) topped the S&P, with the average fund returning 8.3 percent annualized, 0.1 points ahead of the index. It’s important to note that the results here lump the various share classes of a fund into one entity; in some studies, each share class is considered a sepa rate fund, overstating the edge for indexing because if the bench mark tops the fictitious Goobersmoocher Fund and its Class A, B, M and Y shares, the index is credited with five victories instead of just one. That goes a long way to explaining why some stud ies — typically done by indexers — show a much higher edge for passive management. That shouldn’t convince anyone to give up on index funds, but rather to pick the fund type they can live with for the long haul. Of late, indexing has been easy; since the financial crisis of 2008, every down turn has proved to be short lived. When there is another real bear market — and they haven’t been repealed de spite the current bull now being one of the longest lived of the last half century — staying put won’t be so easy. Dan Wiener, chief execu tive at Adviser Investments and editor of The Indepen dent Adviser for Vanguard Investors, says the best way to top the index is to find terrific managers, and to “Buy the managers, not the fund,” but then to take the longterm investing ap proach typically espoused to work for indexing. That means investing steadily and consistently in good times and bad. “I don’t care what the fund is called, I don’t care what the fund company says it’s for, I want great managers,” Wiener said. “You put a few of them together and you’ve got a great portfolio.” It just doesn’t feel like it so much at times, like now, when the tide has showcased the benefits of indexing. “It’s right about now when people are saying ‘Why should I buy an active manager? Why not just buy the index and be done with it,’ ” Wiener said. “And my answer is always the same: ‘Are you going to be happy when that index drops 51 or 52 percent like it did in 20082009. ... You can ride the indexes up, but you also will ride them right back down.’ ” If an investor can’t ride out that eventual downturn — or can only do it if they feel an active manager is helping to protect them — then it’s their investment personality, and not which type of fund wins the per formance war on paper, that determines which type of funds should be at the core of their portfolio. Chuck Jaffe is senior columnist for MarketWatch. He can be reached at cjaffe@marketwatch.com or at P.O. Box 70, Cohasset, MA 020250070. Copyright 2014, MarketWatch Weekly spotlight on mutual fund performance Winners and losers: A mutualfund scorecard Fund Wkly % YTD % obj return return Biggest funds American Funds A AmcpA p American Funds A AMutlA p American Funds A BalA p American Funds A BondA p American Funds A CapIBA p American Funds A CapWGA p American Funds A FdInvA p American Funds A GwthA p American Funds A IncoA p American Funds A ICAA p American Funds A N PerA p American Funds A SmCpA p American Funds A WshA p BlackRock Instl StrIncoOpp BlackRock Instl EquityDv BlackRock Instl GlbAlloc r Dimensional Fds EmMCrEq Dimensional Fds EmMktV Dimensional Fds USLgVa Dodge&Cox Balanced Dodge&Cox Income Dodge&Cox IntlStk Dodge&Cox Stock DoubleLine Funds TRBd I FPA Funds FPACres Fidelity Freedom FF2020K Fidelity Freedom FF2030K Fidelity Invest Balanc Fidelity Invest Contra Fidelity Invest GroCo Fidelity Invest LowP r Fidelity Invest Puritn Fidelity Invest TotalBd Fidelity Spart Adv 500IdxAdv Fidelity Spart Adv TotMktAd r Frank/Temp Frnk A IncomA p Frank/Tmp Frnk Adv GlbBdAdv Harbor Funds CapApInst Harbor Funds Intl r Loomis Sayles LSBondI MFS Funds I ValueI Metro West Fds TotRtBdI Oakmark Funds I EqtyInc r Oakmark Funds I Intl Oakmark Funds I Oakmark Oppenheimer Y DevMktY PIMCO Instl PIMS AlAsetAut r PIMCO Instl PIMS AllAsset PIMCO Instl PIMS TotRt PIMCO Funds Instl Income Price Funds BlChip Price Funds CapApp Price Funds EqInc Price Funds EqIndex Price Funds Growth Price Funds MidCap Price Funds N Horiz Price Funds N Inc x Price Funds Ret2020 Price Funds Ret2030 Price Funds Value Schwab Funds S&P Sel Vanguard Admiral 500Adml Vanguard Admiral GNMA Ad Vanguard Admiral HlthCr Vanguard Admiral ITAdml Vanguard Admiral ITGrAdm Vanguard Admiral LtdTrAd Vanguard Admiral MCpAdml Vanguard Admiral PrmCap r Vanguard Admiral STIGrAd Vanguard Admiral SmCAdm Vanguard Admiral TtlBAdml Vanguard Admiral WellslAdm Vanguard Admiral WelltnAdm Vanguard Admiral WdsrIIAd Vanguard Fds TotIntBInv Vanguard Fds DivdGro Vanguard Fds STAR Vanguard Fds TgtRe2015 Vanguard Fds TgRe2020 Vanguard Fds TgtRe2025 Vanguard Fds TgRe2030 Vanguard Fds TgtRe2035 Vanguard Fds TgtRe2040 Vanguard Fds TgtRe2045 Vanguard Idx Fds TotlIntl InstAXfd r AME Fd EmMktI EmMkGrI r EmergAs r Price Funds Price Funds Virtus Funds I WM Blair Fds Inst Fidelity Invest Equity income By NIRMALA GEORGE The Associated Press NEW DELHI — India’s largest stateowned bank will launch an Islamic equi ty fund next month aimed mainly at attracting invest ments from the country’s 170 million Muslims. The Securities and Ex change Board of India, the country’s capital markets regulator, recently allowed the governmentowned State Bank of India and three mutual funds to launch Shariah funds. An official said this past week that the State Bank of India is expecting to attract an initial 1 billion rupees ($16.4 million) to the fund which will launch this com ing Monday. A large section of India’s Muslim population remains outside the banking system, partly because Islamic law known as Shariah prohibits interest. Shares of companies linked to alcohol, tobacco, gambling and casinos and financial institutions that earn interest would be excluded from the fund. “It will be a diversified equity fund, including largecap, midcap and smallcap funds,” said Dinesh Khara, managing director and CEO of the bank’s SBI Mutual Fund. “We will identify stocks that meet the Bombay Stock Exchange Shariah filter,” Khara said. India’s stock exchanges have between 600 and 700 companies that are Shariah compliant. The new fund has not been opposed by All India Muslim Personal Law Board, an authority that oversees the observance of Muslim civil laws in India. India is only the second country outside the Islamic world where a stateowned bank is offering a Shariah compliant fund. The U.K. issued sovereign Islamic bonds in June. Global Islamic banking assets were estimated at around $1.8 trillion in 2013. XC LV BL IB BL GL LC LG BL LC GL GL LC GT EI MP EM EM LV BL IB IL LV MT MP MP MP BL LG XG MC BL IB SP XC BL WB LG IL GT LC IB BL IL LC EM MP MP IB GT LG BL EI SP LG MG SG IB MP MP LV SP SP MT HB IM IB SM MC LC SB SC IB BL BL LV WB EI BL MP MP MP MP MP MP MP IL +0.4 +0.7 +0.7 +0.7 +1.1 +1.3 +0.6 +0.5 +0.6 +0.7 +1.6 +0.6 +0.3 +0.4 +0.4 +0.8 +1.2 +1.0 0.6 +0.8 +0.6 +1.8 +0.9 NA +0.7 +0.7 +0.7 +0.7 +1.3 +1.4 +0.5 +0.9 +0.7 +0.8 +0.7 NA NA +1.2 +1.9 +0.3 +1.2 +0.5 +0.4 +2.7 +0.8 +0.2 NA NA +0.8 NA +1.3 +0.7 0.2 +0.8 +1.4 +0.7 +0.7 +0.6 +0.7 +0.8 +0.8 +0.8 +0.8 +0.4 +2.0 +0.2 +0.8 0.0 +0.8 +1.8 +0.3 +0.3 +0.7 +0.8 +0.8 +0.5 +0.7 +0.8 +1.0 +0.7 +0.8 +0.8 +0.7 +0.8 +0.7 +0.7 +0.8 +12.8 +13.3 +9.3 +5.6 +8.8 +7.4 +9.6 +10.3 +9.6 +14.4 +5.5 +1.6 +11.4 +3.8 +8.7 +3.8 +3.4 +0.2 +9.3 +9.1 +5.8 +5.0 +10.6 NA +6.8 +6.3 +6.9 +10.7 +10.1 +14.2 +7.3 +11.0 +5.9 +13.9 +12.5 NA NA +11.7 2.3 +6.1 +10.1 +5.8 +7.0 2.8 +11.8 +2.4 NA NA +5.2 NA +10.8 +12.4 +6.8 +13.7 +10.5 +12.5 +4.8 +5.8 +6.9 +7.4 +13.1 +13.8 +13.9 +6.5 +29.4 +6.7 +6.1 +2.0 +13.5 +19.2 +2.2 +6.2 +5.8 +8.3 +10.2 +11.9 +7.9 +12.0 +8.3 +7.2 +7.7 +7.9 +8.0 +8.2 +8.2 +8.2 0.6 XC SP XC Vanguard Idx Fds TotStk Vanguard Instl Fds InstIdx Vanguard Instl Fds InsTStPlus 5yr % return +16.2 +14.4 +12.4 +4.4 +9.6 +10.0 +14.1 +14.3 +11.8 +14.3 +11.5 +12.5 +15.3 +6.0 +13.1 +7.1 +4.7 +2.1 +17.6 +13.2 +5.2 +9.5 +16.2 NS +10.8 +9.0 +10.3 +12.2 +15.7 +19.0 +16.5 +12.2 +5.4 +16.0 +16.4 NA NA +15.6 +6.8 +9.1 +14.7 +6.9 +10.2 +10.9 +16.9 +8.0 NA NA +5.1 NA +17.9 +13.6 +13.7 +15.7 +17.1 +18.5 +22.7 +4.3 +11.0 +12.4 +16.6 +15.9 +16.0 +4.0 +20.9 +4.6 +6.1 +2.1 +18.5 +17.3 +3.0 +18.4 +4.0 +9.6 +11.5 +14.7 NS +14.9 +10.6 +9.3 +10.1 +10.8 +11.4 +12.0 +12.3 +12.4 +5.5 Best performers Neubrgr&Berm Fds GtChinEq I ProFunds Inv Cl UltNasd100 Rydex Dynamic NasdStrH Fidelity Selects Air Fidelity Selects Multmd ProFunds Inv Cl BiotechUlt Fidelity Selects Electr Fidelity Selects Biotch AQR Funds MgdFutSt I Vanguard Instl Fds ExDurTreas Fidelity Advisor I Electronic Fidelity Advisor A Biotech A ProFunds Inv Cl USGovPlus Invesco Funds A TechSectA Invesco Funds Tech ProFunds Inv Cl RealEst Rydex Investor ElectInv Rydex Investor Biotech Putnam Funds Y CapSpec Oppenheimer A GlbOppA Kinetics Funds Internet Shelton Funds GrtrChina US Global Investors ChinaReg Wasatch USTryFd JPMorgan Sel Cls ChinaSel Putnam Funds A EqSpec Federated Instl IntlLeaders Fidelity Selects Wireless Henderson Glbl Fds IntOppA p Prudential Fds A HlthSciA Worst performers +0.7 +12.4 +16.3 +0.8 +13.9 +16.0 +0.7 +12.6 +16.5 Fund Wkly % YTD % obj return return PR SQ SQ SE SE SQ TK HB SE LU TK HB GT TK TK SQ TK HB MP GL TK PR PR LU PR MG IL TK IL HB +13.4 +43.4 +43.7 +25.8 +8.0 +50.7 +32.9 +32.0 +6.4 +38.4 +32.4 +31.9 +31.0 +13.9 +13.3 +38.4 +22.0 +33.5 +14.6 1.4 +2.3 +7.4 0.1 +27.5 +6.3 +8.5 0.8 +5.0 +1.3 +30.7 NS +38.9 +39.0 +27.4 +23.4 +44.7 +18.6 +32.8 NS +12.1 +18.0 +32.3 +9.1 +11.7 +14.5 +23.4 +11.3 +29.2 +21.9 +11.0 +17.9 +4.0 +0.6 +9.5 +6.3 +22.9 NS +13.5 +7.5 +28.9 Fund Wkly % YTD % obj return return 5yr % return Direxion Fds NatRBull2X Rydex Investor EnrgySer ProFunds Inv Cl Oil&Gas BlackRock A Eng&ResA Fidelity Selects EngSv Invesco Funds A Energy p Rydex Investor Energy Baron Funds Energy ICON Fds Energy S Waddell&Reed Adv EnergyA t US Global Investors GlbRs Fidelity Selects Enrgy Fidelity Selects NatRes r Fidelity Adv Foc A EnergyA p Ivy Funds EnergyA t Fidelity Selects NtGas Voya Funds Cl A GlbNatRs ProFunds Inv Cl PrecMetal BlackRock A NatRsTA p Frank/Temp Frnk A NatResA p BlackRock A ACEngRsA Ivy Funds GlNatRsA p Vanguard Admiral Energy Integrity Viking WillBasA p Oppenheimer A Gold p Price Funds New Era GAMCO Funds GoldAAA OCM Funds GoldInv t Midas Funds Midas Fd t Invesco Funds A GoldPrec p SE NR SQ NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR SQ NR NR NR NR NR NR AU NR AU AU AU AU +5.2 +4.5 +4.5 +4.2 +4.2 +4.2 +4.0 +3.9 +3.9 +3.9 +3.9 +3.8 +3.7 +3.6 +3.6 +3.6 +3.4 +3.4 +3.4 +3.3 +3.3 +3.2 +3.2 +3.1 +3.1 +3.1 +3.1 +3.0 +2.9 +2.9 5yr % return 17.5 13.4 13.3 12.8 12.1 11.6 11.0 10.9 10.7 10.6 10.6 10.5 10.4 10.4 10.3 10.1 9.9 9.8 9.8 9.7 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.7 7.8 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.1 21.7 +0.1 26.3 +1.9 16.1 +8.4 22.4 1.6 19.0 +4.5 14.3 +2.9 15.8 +4.6 9.7 NS 18.1 +3.8 8.9 +6.2 22.0 0.8 12.0 +6.3 11.4 +4.5 12.1 +6.1 8.7 +6.2 9.4 +3.6 11.6 +1.5 30.2 25.3 11.6 +3.1 17.2 +0.5 11.5 +1.5 10.8 1.6 11.4 +4.1 9.8 +13.6 17.2 15.0 6.0 +3.6 3.4 13.8 7.3 13.5 26.1 23.3 7.7 12.4 Footnotes: e: Ex capitalgains distribution. f: Previous day{rsquo}s quote. n or nl: No upfront sales charge. p: Fund assets are used to pay for distribution costs. r: redemption fee or contingent deferred sales load may apply. s: Stock dividend or split. t: Both p and r. x: Ex cash dividend. NE: Data in question. NS: Fund did not exist at the start date. NA: No information available. Key to abbreviations and footnotes: Fund objectives: AB: Longterm topgrade corporate and govern ment bonds. AU: Gold oriented. BL: Balanced. EI: Equity income. EM: Emerging markets. EU: European region. GL: Global (includes U.S.). GM: General municipal bond. GT: General taxable bond. HB: Health and biotech. HC: Highyield taxable bond. HM: Highyield municipal bond. IB: Intermediateterm investmentgrade corporate bond. IG: Intermediateterm Treasury/government debt. IL: International (outside U.S.). IM: Intermediateterm municipal bond. LC: Largecap core. LG: Largecap growth. LT: Latin American. LU: Longterm Treasury/government debt. LV: Largecap value. MC: Midcap core. MG: Midcap growth. MP: Mixed portfolio (stocks and bonds). MT: Mortgage. MV: Midcap value. NM: Insured municipal bond. NR: Natural resources. PR: Pacific region. SB: Shortterm investmentgrade corporate bond. SC: Smallcap core. SE: Sector (specific industries). SG: Smallcap growth. SM: Shortterm munici pal debt. SP: S&P 500. SQ: Specialty diversified equity. SS: Single state municipal debt. SU: Shortterm Treasury/government debt. SV: Smallcap value. TK: Science and technology. UN: Unclassified. UT: Utility. WB: World bond. XC: Multicap core. XG: Multicap growth. XV: Multicap value 5year % return: Annualized performance over the past five years. Top 5 mutual funds by objective, yeartodate % return Emerging markets India bank launching Islamic stock fund HOW TO BEAT THE INDEX Fund Tracker ValLdrs Utilities p ParnEqty DivInco Y B&GInGr I Paydenfunds Invesco Funds A Parnassus Funds BMO Funds AAM Health | biotech Biotech Health Biotch Biotech A HlthCrA r Rydex Investor Fidelity Selects Fidelity Selects Fidelity Advisor A Fidelity Adv Foc A Global Lazard Instl Vanguard Fds Cohen & Steers USAA Group Price Funds GblInfra I GblMnV Inv GblInfra I CapGr InstGlbGE International Guggenheim Funds Virtus Funds I First Investors A Wasatch Fidelity Invest Largecap core Vanguard Fds Vanguard Admiral JPMorgan Sel Cls PNC Funds BMO Funds WldEqIncA ForOppI IntlA p IntlOppt r Canada YTD % return Midcap core +14.5 +13.7 +11.7 +8.3 +7.9 Davenport Funds Longleaf Partners Dreyfus JPMorgan Sel Cls Vanguard Admiral YTD % return Smallcap core +15.5 +15.4 +14.1 +13.9 +13.8 Hennessy Funds Invesco Funds A Lazard Instl Forum Funds Vanguard Fds YTD % return Natural resources +33.5 +32.4 +32.0 +31.9 +31.9 Invest Managers Invest Managers Oppenheimer A Oppenheimer Y Center Coast YTD % return Pacific region +18.0 +14.1 +13.5 +11.2 +10.6 Matthews Asian Eaton Vance A Neubrgr&Berm Fds Price Funds Invesco Funds A YTD % return Science | technology +7.1 +7.0 +6.2 +5.9 +5.6 YTD % return PrmcpCor +19.7 PrmCap r +19.2 IntrdAmer +16.6 LCCrEqI p +16.4 LowVolEq I +16.3 Fidelity Selects Fidelity Advisor I Price Funds Columbia Class A Columbia Class A EqtyOpps SmCap ActMidA IntpdMCp MCpAdml Sector +15.2 +14.9 +14.9 +14.7 +13.5 Fidelity Selects Fidelity Selects Fidelity Selects ICON Fds Fidelity Selects YTD % return Balanced CorGrow O +12.1 SmallC p +9.9 USSmMid I +9.7 GoldenSCC +8.4 StrSCEqInv +8.3 MLP&Engy MLP&EnI I StlpthAlpha Alpha Y MLPFoc I Electr Electronic GlbTech SelComm A GlobTech SGenGld p Gold t GoldAAA PrecMtlA GoldInv t Wells Fargo Adv A Wells Fargo Adv A Meeder Funds Meeder Funds Price Funds YTD % return Trans Air ConStap ConsStapl CstHo IdxAstAll A DivCapBldr AggGr p DynaGr p CapApp Intermediate bond +16.8 +16.0 +13.7 +11.0 +10.8 Invest Managers CutwSelInc Dimensional Fds ITExQual MorganStanleyInst CorPlsFxI Western Asset CorePlus I BMO Funds CorpInco I YTD % return Longterm bond LTBnd LTGrAdml ExtDrGS4 ExtDurI CorpInc x Vanguard Idx Fds Vanguard Admiral GuideStone Funds Del Inv Instl Price Funds YTD % return Longterm U.S. +32.9 +32.4 +28.1 +24.1 +22.4 VanguardInstlFds Wasatch Vanguard Admiral Fidelity Spartan Price Funds YTD % return Mortgage 3.2 3.3 3.4 7.1 7.3 Managed Acct Srs Legg Mason A AMG Managers Deutsche Trust SEI Portfolios +32.3 +25.8 +17.2 +14.2 +14.1 YTD % return YTD % return IndiaInv r +63.9 GrIndia t +43.5 GtChinEq I +13.4 N Asia +11.6 AsianPac p +9.6 Gold oriented First Eagle Tocqueville Fds GAMCO Funds Wells Fargo Adv A OCM Funds YTD % return ExDurTreas USTryFd LTsyAdml SpLTTrAd r USTLg x +16.7 +13.8 +13.1 +12.9 +12.4 YTD % return +8.8 +8.5 +7.8 +7.6 +7.6 YTD % return +17.8 +16.4 +15.8 +15.2 +8.5 YTD % return +38.4 +27.5 +21.9 +21.8 +20.8 YTD % return US MrtgInst WAMtgBkA IntDurGv GNMA S GNMA A +7.6 +6.5 +6.5 +6.5 +6.5 Investing Scott Burns Syndicated columnist LOS ANGELES — A guard, in suit and tie, asks me to pop the trunk of my rental car. Then I can enter the underground parking lot of a tall build ing in downtown L.A. This is the headquarters of Capital Research and Management (thecapital group.com). It is the third largest fund complex, with $1.25 trillion under man agement. But most people know it as the American Funds group. Upstairs, another guard confirms my appointment. Soon I am admitted to the elevator banks that will take me to the 53rd floor. I’ve come to speak with two researchers from the firm, Thomas Lloyd and Stephen Deschenes. They directed two fascinating research studies. The first demonstrates that the equityfocused funds man aged by Capital Research have beaten their target index most of the time — for decades. Yes, you read that right. Managed funds that beat their comparative index. And they did it often enough, over long periods of time, to be significant. The second study asked a simple question. They confirmed data points on mutualfund manager ownership by going through some 20,000 SEC filings. Here’s their ques tion: How can you screen for superior actively man aged funds? The usual answer is: You can’t — at least not with any reliabili ty. But they found two questions that improved the odds massively. The questions: • Does the fund have expenses lower than 75 percent of other funds? • Do the fund managers have significant ownership of fund shares? They screened a total universe of 2,466 domestic equity funds. In it, they found 509 funds with costs in the lowest quartile for their category. They also found 447 funds with highest manager owner ship. But only 85 funds had both low costs and high manager ownership. Their data included every 10year period from 1994 to the end of 2013. In it, they found that only 27 percent of all active funds beat their index. That’s the kind of figure you’d expect from past fund research. Dozens of studies have shown that managed funds can beat their index only about 30 percent of the time. But the odds were better for lowexpense funds (44 percent) and high manag er ownership funds (71 percent). And if you combine the two measures, a stunning 100 percent of the funds beat their index. Yes, it just so happens that low expenses and high manager ownership char acterize the American Funds group. This makes their funds a good choice if you want to have the advice of a tradi tional broker. I have sug gested this many times in columns. The hard part is whether that traditional broker will suggest American Funds. More likely, the broker will offer many less tested and far more expensive prod ucts. Why? Simple. The other products will deliver more revenue to the broker and to his firm. As investors, you and I face a problem. Thousands of brokers are flogging expensive funds with little management ownership. These funds, most likely, will fail to beat a simple index. Questions: scott@scottburns.com Copyright 2014, Universal Press Syndicate