04 June

An Intensive CPDF I & II Combined Programme
Smart Forecasting and
Planning for the Supply Chain
3rd - 4th June 2015
Concorde Hotel Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Capitalize on the Expert Knowledge to Gain Maximum Value
on These Vital Issues:
COURSE DIRECTOR
Establish the framework for demand forecasting in the industry. Specific methods and
techniques are presented within the context of the overall demand forecasting and
planning process
Introduce a four-step process for streamlining the forecasting cycle. In doing so, we
end up with the PEER process that unifies techniques while simplifying the role of data,
models and forecast presentations in the forecasting cycle
Explore the most practical and useful techniques for analyzing and correcting data
in a corporate setting. The use of visualization techniques in analysis and display
increases the quality of your work while shortening your throughput
Demonstrate the most accurate, reliable and objective techniques for forecasting
with historical data in the industry. The methods discussed, many representing the
current state of the art, are the ones that have proved to be most useful and relevant
to practicing forecasters and planners
Complement traditional methods with new, powerful nonconventional approaches
to improve forecasting performance and forecast model development. The robust/
resistant methods produce results that are less subject to departures from conventional
assumptions and to the distortions caused by a few outlying data values
Refocus the attention of practitioners away from the mechanical execution of software
programs and to a greater understanding of data and the processes generating
data
Demonstrate the most accurate, reliable and objective techniques for forecasting
with historical data in the industry. The field sales input, collaboration with partners
and customers, and the Sales and Operations process helps assure that your forecasts
receive credibility and acceptance among the end-users
Hans Levenbach, Phd
• Founder and President,
Delphus, Inc. U.S.A
• Chairman of CPDF
Certification Committee
• Past President, International
Institute of Forecasters (IIF)
• Member of The
Association for Operations
Management (APICS)
• Member of Institute for
Operations Research and
the Management Sciences
( INFORMS)
• Member of American
Statistical Association
• Co-author: Forecasting:
Practice and Process for
Demand Management
What Makes Long Trends Corporate Training Courses Special?
Interactive training sessions, proactive discussions and opportunities for experiences
and skills sharing
Small groups to ensure an effective learning environment
Real-life case studies which enable the participants to apply what they have learned
during the courses and enhance their understanding of the subject-matter
Comprehensive course material including extensive documentation containing
additional informative material, printout of presentation, case studies complete
with proposed solutions and tools kits
Proudly Produced By
Important: to take
full advantage of this
course, participants
are required to bring
their own laptop to
run the computer
exercises
Endorsed by
Long Trends Pte Ltd
Pioneer Centre, #03-53,1 Soon Lee Street, Singapore, 627605
Tel: (65) 3161 3551 | Mobile: (65) 8500 1685
Email: enquiry@long-trends.com
All participants will receive a certificate issued by Mr Hans Levenbach
WORKSHOP OVERVIEW:
Accurate demand forecasting and planning
across the supply chain can help to improve
productivity, reduce operation cost, increase
revenue and profits, consequently enhance
the competitiveness of the business.
This two-day hands-on intensive CPDF
programme is designed to equip the
attendees’ with comprehensive knowledge
and techniques to do forecasting and
demand planning in a complex business
environment.
Upon completion of this course, participants
can expect to acquire sufficient knowledge
and techniques to independently do demand
forecasting and planning to support critical
business decision making, consequently
enhance the productivity and competitive
edge of their organization.
WHO SHOULD ATTEND THIS WORKSHOP?
Demand Planners/Forecasters
Supply Chain Managers
Inventory Analysts/Controllers
Production
Managers/Operation
Managers
Market Researchers, Market Analysts, Sales
Planners
Procurement Managers/Analysts
Materials controllers/Managers
Day One
Part I – The Demand Forecasting and Planning
Cycle for the Supply Chain
• Workshop A Defining the Target – How To
Quantify Drivers of Demand for Products and
Services
Part II – Improving Data Quality through Data
Exploration and Data Visualization
• Computer Workshop B Exploring Trend and
Seasonal Variation and Outlier Data
• Recap of Workshop A & B
Part III – Big Data: Data Mining, Exploration and
Data Quality
• Computer Workshop C – Data Exploration,
Outlier Correction, and Predictive Visualization
Part IV - Forecasting With State Space Forecasting
Models
• Computer Workshop D – Large Volume, Datadriven Baseline Forecasting with Exponential
Smoothing Models
from
Energy,
Finance,
FMCG,
Telecommunications, Retailing, Travel and
Tourism, Manufacturing, Pharmaceutical/
Healthcare and other Industries who involve
in demand forecasting, predictive analysis
and business planning
PRE-COURSE QUESTIONNAIRE:
To ensure that you gain maximum value from this course,
a detailed questionnaire will be forwarded to you upon
registration to establish your exact training needs and
issues of concerns . Your completed questionnaire will
be analyzed by the course trainer prior to the event
and addressed during the event. You will receive a
comprehensive set of course documentation to enable
you to digest the subject matter in your own time.
In-house Training Solutions
Make use of Long Trends’ expertise in the training
industry and have this course customized to your
company/organization at a time/venue of your
choice and at a cost attractive to you! For more
information, please email: enquiry@long-trends.
com
REGISTER TODAY! Tel: (65) 3161 3551 | Mobile: (65) 8500 1685 | Email: enquiry@long-trends.com
Day Two
Part V – Taming Uncertainty: How to Measure
Forecast Accuracy
• Computer Workshop E – Root Cause Analysis
and Exception Reporting
Part VI – Designing Causal Forecasting Models
• Workshop F - Using Causal Models for
Advertising, Seasonal and Promotion Analysis
• Workshop G – GLOBL_East FMCG Case:
Simulating A Forecasting Cycle
Closing Remark and End of the Workshop
ABOUT THE COURSE DIRECTOR
Dr Hans Levenbach is the founder and president
of Delphus Inc., a company specializes in
predictive-analytic solutions for demand
planning in supply chain organizations.
Hans began his career at AT&T Bell Laboratories
as an applied statistician specializing in
predictive analytics, forecaster training and
developing decision support systems. After the
breakup of the Bell System he founded Delphus,
Inc. He has taught statistics and forecasting
courses at Columbia University as well as MBA
Statistics at New York University.
He is an elected Fellow, Past President, Treasurer
of the International Institute of Forecasters
(IIF). He is also a member of APICS, INFORMS,
American Statistical Association and elected
member of the International Statistics Institute.
Program Schedule
(Day 1 - Day 2)
08:30
Registration
09:00
Session 1
10:40
Refreshments & Networking Break
11:00
Session 2
12:45
Lunch
14:00
Session 3
15:30
Refreshments and Networking Break
15:50
Session 4
17:00
Course Ends
In collaboration with the International Institute
of Forecasters, Hans has been instrumental
in designing and constructing “Certified
Professional in Demand Forecasting” (CPDF)
curriculum for the professional certification of
demand forecasters globally. He is a co-author
(with Jim Cleary) of “Forecasting: Practice and
Process for Demand Management.”
Dr. Hans Levenbach holds a Phd and a MA
degree in mathematics statistics from University
of Toronto, a MSc in electrical engineering
from Queen’s University and a BSc in Physics
and Mathematics from Acadia University.
REGISTER TODAY! Tel: (65) 3161 3551 | Mobile: (65) 8500 1685 | Email: enquiry@long-trends.com
An Intensive CPDF I & II Combined Programme
Smart Forecasting and Planning for the Supply Chain
Concorde Hotel, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
3rd - 4th June, 2015
EASY WAYS to REGISTER
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made
in
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or before due date to enjoy the discounts.
2nd Delegate
For guaranteed seats, full payment is required
to be made before the event.
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3rd Delegate
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CANCELLATION Should you be unable to
attend, a substitute delegate is welcome
at no extra charge. Cancellations must be
received in writing at least 10 business days
before the start of the event, to receive a
refund less 10% processing fee per registration.
The company regrets that no refund will be
made available for cancellation notifications
received less than 10 business days before
the event.
Mobile: ________________________________ Email: _______________________________
DATA PROTECTION: Data entered in this
registration form will be held on a database
and maybe shared with Long Trends’ partners
for marketing purposes. If you do not want to
receive these offers, please email to info@
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REGISTRATION FEES INFORMATION
HOTEL INFORMATION
Job Title: _______________________________ Department: ________________________
PACKAGE FEE
Single Booking
(Per Delegate)
EARLY BIRD RATE
SGD 1795
STANDARD RATE
SGD 1995
REGULAR RATE
SGD 2195
(register and pay before (17/04/2015)
(register and pay before (15/05/2015)
(register and pay after (15/05/2015)
Supplementary E-learning
SGD695/pac
Delegates who register for this course has the option to register for a supplementary six e-learning workshops conducted
by Dr.Levenbach. After successfully finish these six e-learning workshops, attendees will be awarded Certified
Professional in Demand Forecasting Master Designation, which is aligned with International Institute of Forecasters
requirements ( IIF).
Concorde Hotel Resorts
Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
2 Jalan Sultan Ismail,
50250 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Izyan Zulaidi (Ms)
(Assistant Catering Manager)
TEL :
+603 2149 2767
FAX :
+603 2149 2719
Email : izyan.zulaidi@concorde.net