Severe Weather Report
Transcription
Severe Weather Report
Entergy Storm Season Update LPSC B&ESession May 13, 2015 Dennis Dawsey VP Customer Service - LA • April 27th Storm • Storm Preparedness April 27, 2015 6 am 9 am Timeli ne 11:55 am 1 April 27, 2015 Extreme Weather Event Summary “ Derecho” April 27, 2015 6 am 2 9 am Timeline 11:55 am 2 April 27, 2015 Extreme Weather Event Summary WBRZ Baton Rouge, April 28, 2015: “Recent storm possibly in rare company” A case could be made that the Monday Morning storm complex which tore across the Gulf Coast was what's known as a derecho. Somewhat uncommon, a derecho (pronounced deh-REY-cho) is a long-lived, widespread wind storm associated with a fast-moving line of thunderstorms. Although damage produced by a derecho can appear similar to that of a tornado, it is often observed in a straight path, hence the term "straight-line" wind damage. Picture of train that was derailed from atop the Huey P Long bridge in Metairie, LA by this storm. The railcars fell through Entergy’s distribution system causing extensive damages. 3 3 No Early Warning of this Weather Event – Only Slight to Moderate Risk April 27-28 - Severe Thunderstorms - Southern Plains/ Lower Mississippi Valley Issued: Monday, April 27th 2015 3:08am CDT StormWatch Threat Report As of: Monday, April 27th 2015 7:43am CDT Listing 2 threats affecting your configured locations. Forecast Confidence: Moderate to high Changes From Previous Forecast: Trimmed the western portion of the risk area. Added a moderate risk across southern Louisiana. Our Forecast: A line of showers and thunderstorms is currently ongoing across the eastern portions of Texas this morning in association with a potent upper-level disturbance. Look for this activity to continue to spread eastward into the Lower Mississippi Valley throughout the day with some redevelopment possible back across east Texas this afternoon in the wake of this morning's activity. A moist and quite unstable environment combined with the disturbance and daytime heating will support a risk for strong to severe thunderstorms with strong damaging wind gusts, large hail, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, and isolated tornadoes being the primary threats. The latest guidance indicates that the most favorable area for strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening will be located across southern Louisiana where moisture and instability is forecast to be maximized. Activity will likely continue into the overnight hours, although a gradual decrease in thunderstorm intensity is expected by late in the evening due to the loss of daytime heating. 4 Main Impacts: A localized and generally brief threat of power outages, property damage and travel delays can be expected where the strongest thunderstorm activity occurs. April 27, 2015 6 am 9 am Timeline 11:55 am Event is approx 80-100+ miles wide by approx 350+ miles long. Fast moving – covered that area in ~6 hours. Many Weather Services did not anticipate the intensity of this event. Powerful Leading Edge of Storm caused extreme damages 5 5 April 27, 2015 6 am 9 am Timeline 11:55 am FIVE TORNADOES CONFIRMED by NWS NWS recorded Extreme Winds for Baton Rouge at 70-80mph between 9:00-9:30am (next slide) TORNADO 1: KENNER ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 90 MPH TORNADO 2: PIERRE PART ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 100 MPH TORNADO 3: NAPOLEONVILLE ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 85 MPH TORNADO 4: THIBODAUX ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 90 MPH TORNADO 5: BAYOU GAUCHE ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 75 MPH 6 6 NWS Cited Extreme Winds in Baton Rouge Area on April 27th A National Weather Service Damage Assessment Team has surveyed the storm damage in Baton Rouge, LA Metro Area. It has been determined the damage was the result of strong straight line winds that formed along the leading edge of a squall line. Damage estimates were consistent with winds of 70-80 mph. A broad area of wind damage was noted extending across Iberville, West Baton Rouge, East Baton Rouge, Ascension, and Livingston Parishes. Several power poles were either snapped or pushed over by these strong winds. http:/ / www.srh.noaa.gov/ lix/ ?n=27apr15batonrougewind Peak Outage Summary with Restoration Resources by Day PEAK 176,354 ~50% Restored in ~12 hrs ~80% Restored ~94% Restored 99% Restored 8 8 Damages and Restoration Resources Highlights 4/30/15 Damage Assessment Report 4PM – Louisiana Damage Assessment St ar t Time % Assessed EGSL West 4/ 27/ 15 @ 11:00AM 100% EGSL East 4/ 27/ 15 @ Noon 100% ENOI 4/ 27/ 15 @ Noon 100% ELL Sout h 4/ 27/ 15 @ 2:30PM 100% ELL Sout heast 4/ 27/ 15 @ Noon 100% Operating Company LA TOTAL 100% EGL-East EGL-West ELL-North ELL-South ELL-SouthEast ENO-Metro LA Damage Assessment Durat ion Poles 30 hours Transformers Spans of wire % of Tot al 43 31 116 9% 58 hours 157 99 342 29% 24 hours 40 18 86 7% 49.5 hours 92 123 293 25% 58 hours 199 60 332 29% Avg: 43.9 h 531 331 1169 100% Damages Summary: 531 Poles broken or damaged 331 transformers damaged 1,169 spans of wire down (@ 300’ each, or 66.4 miles) 19 Substations & 82 Transmission Line Segments affected Total Crews Assigned 4/ 30/ 2015 6:14 Region Est . Time for 100% Damage Assessment Compl ete 4/ 28/ 15 @ 5pm Compl ete 4/ 29/ 15 @ 10pm Compl ete – 4/ 28/ 15@ Noon Compl ete 4/ 29/ 15 @ 4PM Compl ete 4/ 29/ 15 @ 10PM Compl ete 4/ 29/ 15 @ 10pm Dist Trans Dist Trans Sub Total % Line Vegetation Scouts Safety Total Support Resources Resources 382 16 165 0 83 5 651 265 916 40% 40 15 25 0 5 0 85 27 112 5% 0 2 110 0 0 0 112 17 129 6% 286 0 50 0 58 3 397 125 522 23% 226 6 61 0 44 3 340 142 482 21% 50 0 7 0 14 1 72 32 104 5% 984 39 418 0 204 12 1,657 608 2,265 100% Resources: • Entergy marshalled ~2,300 restoration resources to work as safely and quickly as possible to restore power during this extreme weather event. • Restoration workers came from 25 different companies and 11 different states. 9 • We procured all of the resources that we could, yet had to remain cautious not to flood the system with too9 many resources in tight zones in order to maintain a safe work environment. Challenges and Outreach - April 27, 2015 Extreme Weather Event and Response Summary Challenges: • Widespread damage occurred across South Louisiana from Lake Charles to New Orleans. The most severe damages occurred in the Baton Rouge area , Assumption and Northern Lafourche parishes and in Jefferson parish. • Unlike a Hurricane there was no advanced warning to identify and secure resources prior to the storm. • Accessibility issues became a critical factor for restoration, requiring an increased need for specialized equipment. Mostly due to waterways and rear lot construction. Damages in the bayou areas of Assumption, Lafourche and St James Parishes were difficult to access….. Required special equipment like swamp buggies and airboats 10 10 Challenges of Restoration in Rear Servitudes • In urban areas, rear lot construction is difficult to restore, due to the limited access to facilities with line trucks. o o Key examples include Baton Rouge, Metairie, Algiers and others. Specialized equipment or climbing is needed • Urban Baton Rouge areas have high tree density of mature trees with large canopy. These factors and the age of the neighborhoods cause more intensive damages, which complicates and slows storm restoration efforts. This is especially true where rear lot overhead construction is involved. • Baton Rouge has approximately 25% of its distribution infrastructure in rear lot servitude • We have adequate special equipment for day to day needs, yet have to request contractors and mutual assistance teams to bring in additional specialized equipment to meet the excessive demands of storm damage. o For example, in Baton Rouge we had companies bring in extra rear lot specialized units, for a total of 13. Damages in East Baton Rouge Parish, New Orleans and Hammond areas were heavy due to tree canopy. These required rear lot equipment and physically climbing. Proactive Communications April 27, 2015 Extreme Weather Event and Response Summary • Provided Customers with Proactive Outage Restoration Updates During the Event. • Online Alert Messages were published on View Outage page of the Entergy Storm Center. In addition to restoration information general safety and generator safety messages were posted. • 168,151 Proactive calls and 149,008 texts were made to customers experiencing an outage, giving restoration update information. • Published daily press releases on the restoration effort. • Radio ads on safety and on where to get restoration status updates ran almost hourly in the affected areas. • Posted information on Social Media on where to get restoration information. • Provided updates to local elected officials and key account customers on the status of the restoration. 12 Storm Event Call Handling 13 • Entergy received 81,048 calls from Louisiana customers between April 27thMay 1st . • Outage calls during that period totaled 44,903 • 85% of the outages calls were answered in 30 seconds or less by a Contact Center Agent • The average time to answer outage calls was 32 seconds • Entergy Contact Centers had an average of 242 agents available answering calls April 27th - May 1st . And have expanded contracted call center operations during the restoration event. • Entergy recently expanded call center operations, with increased staffing levels by 9% from last year. 13 APPENDIX 12:15pm 4/ 27/ 2105 14 Pictures 15 15 Pictures 16 16 April 27, 2015 Extreme Weather TimeLine Summary By 2:00 AM Power Restored to approx 90,000 Customers ~50% restored in 12 hrs ~7:00 AM Severe Weather Effects Reach LA 11:00 PM Power Restored to approx 142,000 Customers 80% restored 2:30PM Entergy LA Customer Outages Peak @ 176,354 ~7:00 PM Gov Jindal issues State of Emergency Declaration April 27 April 28 12:00 noon Entergy System Incident Command Call Add’l Workers Requested ~11:00 AM Entergy LA holds State Call for Storm Response ~7:00 AM Entergy LA begins marshalling all LA Resources into Storm Response 9 17 11:00 PM Damage Assessment ~90% Complete Power Restored to the last 200 customers in Labadieville area April 30 May 1 May 2 2,220 Retoration Workers assigned 2,316 Retoration Workers assigned 2:00 PM Entergy LA State Command Center is Activcated ----1,900 Restoration Workers in place and assigned 10:00 PM Power Restored to all but ~275 Customers 100% 10:00 PM Damage Assessment 100% Complete April 29 2,330 Retoration Workers assigned 7:00 PM Power Restored to approx 159,000 Customers 90% restored 2,029 Retoration Workers assigned 1,552 Retoration Workers assigned 17 Was This Storm a “ Derecho” ? WBRZ Baton Rouge, April 28, 2015: “Recent storm possibly in rare company” A case could be made that the Monday Morning storm complex which tore across the Gulf Coast was what's known as a derecho. 1. Produce a swath of wind damage exceeding 240 miles 2. Include wind gusts of 58mph along most of its length 3. Include well separated wind gusts of 75mph or higher 18 18 Derecho Facts from NOAA Storm Prediction Center • Derecho damage to overhead electric lines sometimes results in massive, longlasting power outages. • Hundreds of thousands of people may be affected; in the worst events, power may not be restored for many days. • It is the complex and dense concentration of overhead distribution feeders in urban areas --- and their frequent proximity to large trees --- that make cities especially vulnerable to electrical outages following wind storms. • The density and mileage of overhead electric distribution lines in urban areas far exceeds that of any rural or exurban area. • Pole lines often carry multiple circuits and voltages, as well as lines for street lighting and customer service connections that further add to the vulnerability. • Because of this, and because urban electrical feeders typically serve smaller territories relative to their rural counterparts, significantly greater manpower is necessary to restore service after major storms. • Derecho damage may be widespread. As a result, repairs often require greater effort, with additional delays related to shortages in supplies. 19 19 Historical Derecho Events from NOAA Storm Prediction Center June 2012 North American Derecho • Minimal warning. Weather services indicated moderate risk. • 22 deaths – mostly due to fallen trees • Widespread power outages State OH WV NJ PN VA DC Power Outages 1 million 677,000 206,000 32,500 1 million 68,000 Damage was widespread and extensive along the entire path of the derecho, especially in northern Indiana and the Fort Wayne metro area, central and western Ohio, northeastern Kentucky, southwestern Pennsylvania, West Virginia, northern, central, and southwestern Virginia,[17] Maryland, Washington, D.C., Delaware and southern New Jersey. In all the mentioned areas, many trees uprooted or snapped, roofs became damaged, tents deployed to sell fireworks leading up to the 4th of July Holiday collapsed, and power outages were extensive, with over 4.2 million customers losing power as a result.[18] [19] An Appalachian Power representative described the power outage as the worst the company had ever seen.[17] In total, 22 people were killed across seven states and the District of Columbia.[20] At least six and possibly seven of those deaths were in Virginia, all of them due to fallen trees 20 20 Historical Derecho Events from NOAA Storm Prediction Center JULY 22, 2003 DERECHO "The Mid-South / Memphis Derecho of 2003“ • 80-102 mph gusts • 2 deaths and 11 injuries – mostly due to fallen trees • ~750,000 power outages across 5 states. Significant in Memphis, TN. During the early morning of Tuesday, July 22, 2003, a derecho formed over north central Arkansas and moved rapidly east-southeast, reaching northern Alabama by mid-morning (Figure 1). Although the storm weakened over northern Alabama, it re-intensfied over northwest Georgia and moved across northern and central Georgia into South Carolina before ending by late afternoon. Many thousands of trees were damaged or blown down. Two people were killed and 11 others were injured, mostly due to trees falling on homes or vehicles. Between 6 and 7 a.m. CDT Tuesday, the derecho passed through the Memphis, Tennessee metropolitan area ("M" in Figure 1), producing some of the most intense winds during its existence. Numerous homes and buildings were damaged, and at least 20 were destroyed. Power outages in the Memphis metropolitan area were extensive. About 750,000 people (over 60 percent of the population) lost power, and three-quarters of the regions's traffic signals ceased operation, causing chaotic traffic flow. Also, the Memphis airport, an important hub for travelers and freight, had to be closed. It would take two weeks for the entire metropolitan area to have power restored (Figure 2). Figures 3-10 (below) were courteously provided by The Commercial Appeal (a Memphis newspaper) and Scott McNeil. Given the amount of damage and extensive loss of electricity, Shelby County, Tennessee (the county in which Memphis is located) was declared a Federal Disaster Area. 21 Other Historical Derecho Events from NOAA Storm Prediction Center • Other Recent Derecho Events – June 30, 2014 Impacted 6 Midwest States, approximately 4 million without power – June 29 2012, Impacted 18 states across Midwest and mid Atlantic regions more than 1 million, without power. – July 11, 2011 Impacted 14 States, more than 1 million without power, 860,000 Con Ed customer‘s alone. 22 22 Operation: Storm Ready Prepare for the worst, hope for the best 23 Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. • We think about how to restore power long before a storm threatens. • We follow a very detailed, rehearsed plan that has worked well for us during storm recovery and helps keep everyone safe. 24 Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. Pre-Landfall Estimated Restoration Time Target = 90% of Customers Restored • • • • • Category 1 – 7 days Category 2 – 10 days Category 3 – 2 weeks Category 4 – 3 weeks Category 5 – beyond 3 weeks 25 Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. 26 Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. • When a storm hits, the affected area can’t always accommodate an influx of thousands of restoration workers. • Hotels, restaurants and fuel for vehicles may not be available. • Local infrastructure may not be intact. • To support a large number of workers we set up base camps, known as staging sites. 27 Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. • Customers: – Having a plan beforehand is key. – Customers should have personal plans for themselves and their families before a storm threatens. 28 Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. • Stay Informed with Entergy app for smartphones: – Outage information – View Outages. – Used for everything Entergy. – Offers something for anyone who likes to stay on top of issues. 29 Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. • Entergystormcenter.com is a onestop shop for storm safety, preparation and restoration information. • Gives you updates and information about outages in your area. • Compatible with all mobile devices and tablets. • Information delivered by phone or text. 30 Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. • With View Outages you can click on the map to find the status of restoration in your area. • Designed to deliver information: – Alert boxes that provide restoration information for counties/ parishes and specific neighborhoods. – Push Pin feature to check specific street addresses. 31 Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. Entergy is on social media. • Follow us on Twitter. • Find us on Facebook. • Entergy’s YouTube channels. • Entergy's Flickr Photostreams. 32 Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. Daily updates for local government officials: • Via email/ phone provided by Regulatory Affairs. • Daily press briefings provided by President/ Customer Service. • Will embed with EOC’s during major storm events. • Will follow up for Lessons Learned after 100 percent restoration for post-storm feedback. 33 Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. Daily press briefings: • Status of damage assessments/amount of damage. • Outage information by neighborhood/ ZIP code. • Status of critical facilities. • Number of restoration workers on hand. • Areas we are working in each day. • Percent restored by area. • Restoration projections. 34 Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. • After the storm, stay safe and STAY AWAY. • The most dangerous part of a storm is often just after it has passed. • Do not become careless after a storm and let your “safety guard” down. • Call 1-800-9OUTAGEto report the downed line. 35 Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. • Entergy Storm Center at entergy.com. • Download the 27page booklet. • Prepare for hurricanes, ice storms, tornadoes and other types of storms. • Safety information. 36 Questions?