China Assignment 2
Transcription
China Assignment 2
3/31/15 China Assignment 2 Zachary Laurent & Kathryn Ashbay China Oil Consumption/Production In 2013 according to statistics from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), China consumed approximately 10.7 million barrels of crude oil per day. According to the CIA World Factbook, in 2013 China produced approximately 4.197 million barrels of crude oil per day. China Gas Consumption/Production According to the CIA World Factbook China consumed approximately 150 billion cubic meters of natural gas in 2013. Also according to the CIA World Factbook, in 2013 China produced approximately 117.1 billion cubic meters of natural das. 1 3/31/15 China Oil Imports 1: 2: 3: 4: 5: 6: 7: Saudi Arabia (19%) Angola (14%) Oman (9%) Russia (9%) Iraq (8%) Iran (8%) Venezuela (6%) 8: 9: 10: 11: 12: 14: UAE (4%) Kazakhstan(4%) Kuwait (4%) Brazil(2%) Congo(2%) Others (12%) China Natural Gas Imports Taken from SPE 2014 More than half of China’s total natural gas imports are supplied by Turkmenistan. Taken from US EIA 2012 records 1: Qatar(34%) 2: Australia(24%) 3: Indonesia(16%) 4: Malaysia(13%) 5: Yemen(4%) 6: Russia(3%) 7: Egypt(2%) 8: Nigeria(2%) 9: Trinidad(1%) 10: Others(1%) Important Pipelines 1: Kazakhstan-China Oil Pipeline 2: Central Asia Natural Gas Pipeline 3: East Siberian Oil Pipeline 4: 2 West-East Gas Pipelines 2 3/31/15 Future Pipelines 1: Kazakhstan: A new pipeline is being discussed that would connect the Caspian Sea to China. This pipeline would run parallel to China’s trans-national pipeline developed by the Sino-Kazakh Pipeline Company. 2: Russia: The Power of Siberia pipeline to be constructed by Gazprom under a $400 billion gas supply deal. Future Pipelines Cont. 3: Myanmar: A pipeline through Myanmar is intended to act as an alternative route for Middle Eastern crude oil. The pipeline bypasses the Strait of Malacca through which about 80% of China’s oil imports travel. 4: A third West-East gas pipeline is under construction. Known as WEPP 3 it will connect to the Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline. 3 3/31/15 Import Diversification Oil diversification: Turkmenistan limits their investments from international companies, however, China has a production sharing agreement with Turkmenistan. They have a reserve of 700 million bbl of crude oil. Import Diversification Cont. Gas diversification: ● Russia signed a $400 Billion dollar deal with China to deliver 38 billion cubic meters of gas through Power of Siberia pipeline. Once built, it will account for almost 17% of China’s gas consumption by 2020. ● The South Caucasus Pipeline follows the route of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan crude oil pipeline through Azerbaijan and Georgia to Turkey. There it is linked to the Turkish gas distribution system where will distribute to the European Union. Negotiating Powers Investment: China has the power to aggressively invest in foreign energy sources. This includes the development of oil and gas reserves as well as investment in pipelines. Through a state centered approach China is also able to deepen political and commercial relationships directly, as opposed to interacting through third party private investors. Through investment China can also strike deals. In return for Chinese investment the exporter in question may agree to export a certain percent of their oil to China in the future. 4 3/31/15 Negotiating Powers Cont. Ethical Boundaries: China enjoys a significant advatage as a trading partner to developing countries when compared to the west. While the EU and the US demand democratization and modernization in return for their investment, China applies no such restrictions. This lack of ethical strings makes China a very attractive partner to nondemocratic regimes. Bibliography Daiss, Tim. "Russian Energy Dispute: Could Gazprom's $400Bn Gas Pipeline to China Be Postponed?" Breaking Energy. March 24, 2015. Accessed March 25, 2015. http://breakingenergy.com/2015/03/24/russian-energy-dispute-could-gazproms-400bn-gas-pipeline-to-china-bepostponed/. Henni, Abdelghani. "Gas for Cash: The Future of Turkmenistan." Society of Petroleum Engineers. November 11, 2014. Accessed March 25, 2015. http://www.spe.org/news/article/Turkmenistan-Gas-for-Cash. "PetroChina Lets Compression Continue for WEPP 3 Line." Oil&Gas Journal. January 17, 2013. Accessed March 25, 2015. http://www.ogj.com/articles/2013/01/petrochina-lets-compression-contract-for-wepp-3.html. "The Pipelines Feeding China's Burgeoning Economy." Pipelines International. March 1, 2011. Accessed March 25, 2015. http://pipelinesinternational.com/news/the_pipelines_feeding_chinas_burgeoning_economy/055358/. Smith, Christopher. "China Starts Construction on Third West-East Gas Pipeline." Oil&Gas Journal. October 23, 2012. Accessed March 25, 2015. http://www.ogj.com/articles/2012/10/china-starts-construction-on-third-west-east-gas-pipeline.html. "South Caucasus Pipeline." BP Global. Continually updated. Accessed March 25, 2015. http://www.bp.com/en_az/caspian/operationsprojects/pipelines/SCP.html. "U.S. Energy Information Administration." Independent Statistics & Analysis. February 4, 2014. Accessed March 25, 2015. http://www.eia.gov/countries/cab.cfm?fips=ch#note. The World Factbook. China: Central Intelligence Agency. Continually updated. https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ch.html. 5
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