- International Leasing Securities Limited
Transcription
- International Leasing Securities Limited
AFC AGRO BIOTECH LIMITED Company Overview AFC Agro Biotech Limited (AFCABL) was incorporated on 31 August, 2010 and started its commercial operation on 7 October, 2012. The principal activity of AFCABL is to manufacture antibiotics, proteins, vaccines, enzymes etc. from agricultural ingredients like molasses, glucose, potato starch & other nutrients and to sell those products to local markets. The Production facility of the Company is situated at Batiaghata, Khulna on 3 acres of land. The company is producing industrial raw materials from its Biological Assets. The Company’s products are Macrolide Protein (Raw materials of Eryhtromycin), Acetic Acid, L-Lysine, Mono Soium Glumate and Methonione. Pharmaceutical industries, Poultry feed manufacturers, Fish/Cattle feed manufacturers, Textiles and various food manufacturing industries are the major customers of the firm’s products. In particular, the Company’s product is used as raw materials for Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient (API). The Company currently uses 20 items as raw materials which are mostly sourced from the local market. Moreover, raw materials i.e., molasses, glucose, potato starch etc., are generally available throughout the year as most of these are agricultural products. DSE: AFCAGRO BLOOMBERG: AFCAB:BD Meanwhile, construction of 200-acre API Park is in progress. A total of 42 industries would be set up under the project; expected total cost is BDT 331.86 crore. Once the park is up and running (extended deadline is June 2015) the raw material imports for pharmaceuticals industry is expected to come down to 30%. Company Fundamentals 2,447.5 0.1% 55.0 60.1% 550.0 5.9 -6.9% 44.5 37.8-61.2 22.8 Market Cap (BDT mn) Market weight No. of Share Outstanding (in mn) Free-float Shares Paid-up Capital (BDT mn) 3-month Average Turnover (BDT mn) 3-month Return Current Price (BDT) 52-week price range (BDT) Sector Forward P/E 2011++ Financial Information (BDT mn): Sales 2014 2012* 2013 45.1 359.8 466.2 (9m Ann) Operating Profit - 11.8 79.1 162.8 Profit After Tax - 11.6 77.2 144.1 Assets - 402.2 7,157.3 818.1 Long Term Debt - - - - The company enlisted in the DSE and the CSE on 11 February, 2014. Around 39.85% shares of the company are held by the Sponsors whereas 56.87% and 3.28% are held by General and Institutional Investors respectively. Equity - 391.6 468.8 691.6 Dividend (C/B)% - N/A -/10 -/- Margin: Gross Profit - 34.1% 31.2% 40.1% Industry Overview Operating Profit - 26.3% 22.0% 34.9% Pretax Profit - 26.2% 22.4% 31.5% Pharmaceutical Industry in Bangladesh, currently valued at BDT 150 billion, primarily produces generics drugs of around 8,000 different brands which can furnish up to 98% of the domestic demand. Besides that, the Country has been exporting medicines to 110 countries around the world. However, supply side of this industry mostly depends on import. Around 90% of required raw materials are imported from China and India whereas some local companies – Beximco Pharmaceuticals Ltd., Square Pharmaceuticals Ltd., Opsonin Chemicals Ltd. etc. – produce certain APIs on smaller scale for mainly in-house use. Net Profit - 25.7% 21.5% 30.9% Growth: Sales - N/A 698.3% 29.6% Gross Profit - N/A 632.2% 66.1% Operating Profit - N/A 567.5% 105.9% Net Profit - N/A 565.2% 86.7% ROA - 3.7% 2.0% 3.6% ROE - 3.8% 17.9% 24.8% All the required factors for producing API and laboratory reagents are locally available. Hence local producers are more likely to compete successfully against their international competitors as Bangladesh has significant competitive advantage in terms of cheap human resource and lower energy cost. The Country’s estimated market size for biotech products are around BDT 50 billion. Debt Ratio - 0.0% 1.3% 11.3% Debt-Equity - 0.0% - 19.8% 11.1 13.4% 11.2 Price/Earnings - N/A N/A 16.9 Price/BV - N/A N/A 3.5 EPS (BDT) - 0.2 1.4 2.6 NAVPS (BDT) - 10.2 10.7 12.6 Active Fine Chemicals Ltd. is the holding company of AFCABL and a major buyer of Macrolide Protein. In 2013 around 13% of revenue is generated from Active Fine Chemicals Ltd. Profitability: Leverage: Int. Coverage Valuation: ++ The Company has started its operation on 7 October, 2012. * 3 Month’s Data 1 23 April, 2015 Investment Positives Investment Negatives 70 60 50 40 30 Feb-14 Apr-14 Jun-14 Restated EPS (BDT) 2.62 1.40 0.21 2013 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Source: DSE Website & ILSL Research Pricing Based on Relative Valuation: Sector Forward P/E The Company has only around 2.5 years of operational track record. Therefore, more time is needed to find out whether its performance is sustainable or not. Currently, the Company is producing on a small scale which is insignificant in comparison with the Country’s total demand for biotech products. 2012 Price (BDT) Movement Since Listing 80 At present, AFCABL is the Country’s lone manufacturer of biotech products. Since the demand for these import substitute biotech products are increasing at different industries, the Company will enjoy sustainable growth in its revenue stream in the upcoming years. The company is enjoying Tax Holiday Benefit for 7 years up to 10 October, 2019. Particularly, for the year 2014 and 2015, the Company will enjoy 100% tax benefit. According to the Company’s strategic plan for expanding its product range, it has signed an agreement with Department of Microbiology, University of Dhaka on February 12, 2015 for commercial production of Industrial Enzymes. Market Forward P/E Sector P/B Multiple Value (BDT) 22.8 15.3 3.5 59.8 40.1 44.0 Concluding Remark AFC Agro Biotech Limited is the Country’s only manufacturer of biotech products. It collected BDT 120 million from capital market on October 2013 to make capital investment. As on 30 September 2014, the company reported around 53% increase in its Plant, Property & Equipment compared to that of 31 December 2013. So far, 9 (nine) months performance showed that, the Company has registered 33% and 97% growth in sales and operating profit respectively compared to the same period of the last year. Drop of COGS as a percentage of sales from 71.2% (Jan-Sep ’13) to 59.9% (Jan-Sep ’14) mainly constituted the growth of operating profit. 2014 (9M Ann) Source: Annual Reports and ILSL Research Source: Annual Report, Prospectus, the Financial Express, the Daily Star & ILSL Research ILSL Research Team: Name Rezwana Nasreen Md. Tanvir Islam Towhidul Islam Mohammad Asrarul Haque Designation Head of Research Sr. Research Analyst Research Analyst Jr. Research Analyst For any Queries: research@ilslbd.com Disclaimer: This document has been prepared by International Leasing Securities Limited (ILSL) for information only of its clients on the basis of the publicly available information in the market and own research. This document has been prepared for information purpose only and does not solicit any action based on the material contained herein and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell or subscribe to any security. Neither ILSL nor any of its directors, shareholders, member of the management or employee represents or warrants expressly or impliedly that the information or data of the sources used in the documents are genuine, accurate, complete, authentic and correct. However all reasonable care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of the contents of this document. ILSL will not take any responsibility for any decisions made by investors based on the information herein. 2 23 April, 2015