Wireless Infrastructure Market Overview
Transcription
Wireless Infrastructure Market Overview
Wireless Infrastructure Overview Wireless Infrastructure Market Update SPRL085C Wireless Makes Communication and Infotainment More Personal & Portable … Receive or send an electronic postcard or video clips Downloading a multi-media traffic report or find the nearest restaurant/bar Play games Download music & multimedia 24/7 “anytime/ anywhere” corporate intranet access Conduct secure transactions Technologies Come Together for a True “Unwired” Experience Bandwidth UWB 50 Mbps 802.11 High Speed Wireless LAN 10 Mbps Fixed Broadband Wireless WCDMA w/With HSDPA Reach 1 Mbps 25 Metres 5 Metres Bluetooth 100 Metres 3G (W-CDMA; IS2000 EDGE, 1x Evolution) 384 Kbps 2.5G (GPRS, EDGE IS2000 1X) 2G (GSM, IS95) 10 Kbps In Km Data Will Drive Global Service Revenues Growth Total growth rate yearly - 14% Mobile data services business expected to grow ~50% yearly Messaging 12 % Transaction Services 1% Advertising 5% Data and Messaging 7% Business Services 6% Infotainment (Games & music) 4% Other Infotainment 4% Voice 93 % 2001 Total 370 BEUR Source: Nokia June 2002 2006 Total 720 BEUR Voice 68 % Data Messaging – Ushering in the Data Era Key Features SMS EMS MMS (short message service) (enhanced message service) (multimedia message service) EMS MMS SMS Format Plain text, black Plain text, simple graphics and sound Freeform text, graphics, photos, audio and video Message length 160 character Upper limit on message size No limit on size Recipients Nearly all GSM phones, other standard mobiles Mobile phones supporting EMS Mobile phones supporting MMS Communication channel SS7 signaling channel SS7 signaling channel Traffic channels; IP signaling standards and internet content standards Terminal/service penetration Nearly all GSM phones and others Very low EMS handset penetration No MMS phone penetration Wireless Migration to 3G 2G 2.5G - Today PDC GSM GSM J-WCDMA TD-SCDMA TD-SCDMA WCDMA/ UMTS GPRS IS136 IS95 3G - Next EDGE IS-2000 1X IS-2000 1XEV Overview of Wireless Network Mobile Switching Center RNC BTS BTS PSTN BTS RNC BTS BTS Service GPRS support node IP Network SGSN GGSN Gateway GPRS support node Core Network Transcoding BTS RNC BTS BTS BTS Radio Access Network Baseband Transceiving Infrastructure Demand Continues to Grow 1,383 1,825 (M) 2,007 ($B) 1400 In Millions 1,149 1200 Subscribers 1149 1,614 Infrastructure Demand Supply Chasm Grows 933 722 933 1000 1,383 80 722 800 205 60 65 479 600 400 100 61 310 $59.5 40 200 52% 29% 22% 22% 17% 13% 10% 2000 2001 2002 2003E 2004E 2005E 2006E 0 Annual Growth Source: EMC-Databases 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003E 20 Projected UMTS Launch Timetable 750 820 In Billions 580 400 250 60% 45% 29% 9% 22% 2001 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E Annual Growth Number of Launches 1,000 Source: CSFB Research 1998 Source: EMC-Databases, Morgan Stanley Research Global Minutes of Use 2000 1997 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Q302 Q402 Q103 Q203 Q303 Q403 Q104 Q204 Q304 Q404 Source: Carrier Forecasts & EMC-Databases Research September 02 Wireless Infrastructure Global Wireless Subscriber Forecast UMTS/W-CDMA Deployment Projections NA Commercial Experimental Prototype China Commercial Experimental Prototype Japan Mass Deployment Commercial Experimental Prototype Mass Deployment Europe Region Mass Deployment Commercial Experimental Prototype 2001 2002 2003 Time 2004 2005 3G Expands Semiconductor Opportunity 70,000 Global Wireless CAPEX & 3G Infrastructure Spending 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 1999A 2000A 2001A Global Wireless CAPEX 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E 3G/W-CDMA Revenues (%) 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 % of Total CAPEX Source: Morgan Stanley Research Nov 02, Other Estimates Global Wireless Infrastructure Hardware Market By Technology Generation ($M) 40,000 WW Wireless Infrastructure SC TAM ($) 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 35,000 500 30,000 25,000 0 20,000 15,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 10,000 Power Amps RF Data Acquisition 5,000 ASIC / FPGA DSP Microprocessor Memory Power Misc 0 2000 2001 2002 Total 2G Source: iSuppli, Q4 02 2003 2004 Total 2.5G 2005 2006 2007 2008 Total 3G and beyond Source: Forward Concepts, 4Q02 Market Requires Specific Wireless Infrastructure Products Carrier Needs Subscriber growth Profitability Reduced churn through compelling applications Future proof networks OEM Needs Lower total cost of ownership Quick deployment of new features Reduced time-to-market Quality and performance Low power systems Flexibility TI Wireless Infrastructure Products Enable high-capacity infrastructure and lower cost per channel Highperformance Single programming platform Flexible hardware/software partitioning TI’s Long Term Investment & Commitment to the Wireless Infrastructure Market Hundreds of Million $ investments Wireless Infrastructure dedicated business unit Unitrode Leverage of Handset knowhow Power Trends 1999 2000 C6203 DSP designed for infrastructure 2001 2003 2002 C6416 DSP designed for wireless infrastructure GC5016 Programmable up/down converter TCI1x DUC/DDC TCI1x Infrastructure Platform TI Offers a Broad Portfolio of Products Analog & Mixed Signal DSP ASIC/ ASSP Software Software Timing/ Interface Digital Baseband Timing/ Interface Back plane/ Uplink Transcoding / VoP Power Management DDC ADC DUC DAC IF LNA IF IF RF IF PA IF DSP Standard Linear and Logic Software Software DSP TMS320C6416 ASIC HighPerformance Analog Interface & Timing Power TCI100: World’s Fastest DSP Designed for Wireless Infrastructure Highest performance DSP TCI100 TCP Utopia 2 or McBSP 2 EMIF 64 EMIF 16 McBSP 0 McBSP 1 Enhanced DMA Controller GPIO8 z Timer 1 z Timer 2 z L1P Cache 16 KBytes L2 Cache/Memory 1M Byte Total PCI or HPI32 VCP Timer 0 Optimized WI features z z z z C64x DSP Core (720 MHz) Increased channel density 720 MHz Leading Edge 90nm Technology Viterbi and Turbo co-processors Higher system integration Lower cost per channel Lower power per channel TM Improved validation tests increase customer satisfaction z L1D Cache 16 KBytes PLL GPIO8 Power Down Logic z Validation throughout design cycle Code and Pin compatible with 600MHz C6416 DSP TI Announces the New TCI Baseband Platform TMS320TCI100 DSP Highest performance DSP tailored for WI TMS320TCI110 Customizable receive chip-rate ASSP customized for UMTS TCI110 TCI120 TMS320TCI120 Customizable transmit chip-rate ASSP customized for UMTS Customizable Solution Maintains OEMs’ Ability to Differentiate Channel gain TCI120 TCI110 Offset Number of users Fingers per user OEM A B Search window sizes Accumulation lengths High-performance, programmable DSP Flexible hardware under DSP software control TI Offers Experienced, Flexible System Level Integration Capability and Services Third-Party Tools SLI Architect Service Time Builder (TM) Modules Time Cell SR40 SR50 Libraries I/Os, Gates Support, Docs, Apps, Training P&R TimePilot (TI + Third-Party Tools) 3rd Party Third party Int Ext TI Covers Full Spectrum: Hardware to Software Competitive Positioning Texas Instruments Competitor 5 Competitor 4 Competitor 3 Competitor1 Competitor 2 SW DSP DSP + ASIC ASIC 5% 80% 15% Customer Distribution HW TI Offers a Broad Portfolio of Analog Products Power Power Management Solution for - Chassis level - Board level Types - Modules - Discretes Digital Up/Down Converters Data Converters - Narrowband - Wideband - Filters - Communication - High resolution - RS232/422/485 - LVDS - 1394/Firewire - SERDES Xmit/Rx - Gigabit ethernet - GTLP Timing - Drivers - Synthesizers - PLL - Timers Timing/ Interface Interface DDC DUC ADC DAC IF IF IF LNA RF IF Amplifiers - High speed - IF amp Standard Linear and Logic PA IF RF Products - IQ modulator - Synthesizers PA Linearization - Crest factor reduction - Digital pre-distortion Standard Logic & Linear - Drivers/ switches - Bus logic - Voltage translators The Complete Solution for Wireless Infrastructure Systems Expertise Strategically focused system development team Silicon DSP Support Software TMS320C6416 ASIC Interface & Timing 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