CBS NEWS POLL For release Sunday, March 29

Transcription

CBS NEWS POLL For release Sunday, March 29
CBS NEWS POLL For release Sunday, March 29, 2015 10:30 AM EDT CBS NEWS POLL
2016: A Wide Open Republican Field, While Clinton Leads the Pack for the Democrats
March 21-24, 2015
Q15. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the US? (They should be allowed to
stay in the US and eventually apply for citizenship), they should be allowed to stay in the US legally, but not be
allowed to apply for citizenship or (they should be required to leave the US).
Stay and apply for citizenship
Stay in the US legally, but not apply
Required to leave the US
Don't know/No answer
** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
56
41
73
53
11
9
9
14
29
44
16
29
5
7
2
5
Jan15b
%
54
15
27
4
Q16. Which of these comes closest to your view? 1. Abortion should be generally available to those who want it. 2.
Abortion should be available but under stricter limits than it is now. 3. Abortion should not be permitted.
Generally available
Available but limits
Should not be permitted
Don't know/No answer
38
34
25
3
22
39
36
3
54
28
18
1
37
35
25
4
Oct14f
39
34
25
3
Q17. As you may know, Common Core refers to new education standards for teaching reading, writing and math in
grades K through 12. From what you know, do you think Common Core is a good idea, a bad idea, or don’t you know
enough to say?
Good idea
Bad idea
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer
19
27
54
1
10
38
50
2
27
19
54
1
18
25
55
1
Q19. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign--a lot, some, not much, or no
attention so far?
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Don't know/No answer
22
35
24
18
1
26
43
20
11
1
24
31
27
19
-
19
34
25
21
1
Feb15b
15
30
26
28
1
Q24. Thinking about your vote for president in 2016, how important is it that a candidate shares your religious
beliefs--is it very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important?
Very important
Somewhat important
Not very important
Not at all important
Don't know/No answer
** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
22
27
19
22
23
38
16
20
21
17
24
20
33
18
40
37
1
*
1
1
Q100a. I’m going to read you a list of names. For each, please tell me if you would consider voting for this candidate if
he or she ran for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, would you not consider voting for this candidate,
or don’t you know enough to say?
a. Jeb Bush
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
Rep
%
51
27
21
1
Ind
%
24
44
30
2
REPS
Feb15b
%
49
26
25
*
b. Ben Carson
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
26
15
58
1
13
22
63
2
34
10
56
*
c. Chris Christie
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
27
42
30
1
20
41
37
2
28
43
29
*
37
22
41
1
17
33
48
2
23
21
56
*
42
25
31
1
20
38
40
2
46
24
30
*
d. Ted Cruz
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
e. Mike Huckabee
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
2
Q100a. I’m going to read you a list of names. For each, please tell me if you would consider voting for this candidate if
he or she ran for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, would you not consider voting for this candidate,
or don’t you know enough to say?
f. Bobby Jindal
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **
Rep
Ind
%
%
21
13
17
25
62
60
1
2
REPS
Feb15b
%
18
15
67
*
h. Rand Paul
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
39
23
36
2
26
30
41
2
30
31
38
*
i. Rick Perry
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
30
26
43
1
16
36
46
2
34
26
40
*
k. Marco Rubio
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
39
14
46
1
19
28
51
2
37
19
43
2
l. Rick Santorum
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
28
26
46
1
13
35
50
2
28
25
46
2
35
8
56
1
16
23
59
2
30
10
59
*
10
33
57
1
8
31
59
2
m. Scott Walker
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
n. Lindsey Graham
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
3
Q50. Do you think the Tea Party movement has too much influence, too little influence, or the right amount of
influence in the Republican Party?
Too much
Too little
Right amount
Don't know/No answer
** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **
Rep
Ind
%
%
20
34
29
20
39
25
11
20
REPS
Jun14d
%
17
34
32
17
Q100b. I’m going to read you a list of names. For each, please tell me if you would consider voting for this candidate if
he or she ran for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, would you not consider voting for this candidate,
or don’t you know enough to say?
a. Joe Biden
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
Dem
%
48
26
24
1
Ind
%
21
52
26
2
DEMS
Feb15b
%
47
35
16
1
c. Hillary Clinton
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
81
10
7
1
39
41
17
2
81
12
7
1
d. Martin O'Malley
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
12
15
73
1
6
18
75
2
3
16
80
2
e. Bernie Sanders
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
14
18
68
1
8
24
66
1
14
17
68
1
f. Jim Webb
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
9
12
77
2
6
20
72
2
7
15
76
2
4
Q100b. I’m going to read you a list of names. For each, please tell me if you would consider voting for this candidate if
he or she ran for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, would you not consider voting for this candidate,
or don’t you know enough to say?
g. Elizabeth Warren
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Refused
** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **
Dem Ind
%
%
31
20
16
27
53
51
1
2
DEMS
Feb15b
%
32
14
53
1
Q51. Which of these possibilities would you prefer to see next year: 1. Hillary Clinton running for the Democratic
presidential nomination along with strong competition from other Democrats, OR 2. Hillary Clinton running for the
Democratic nomination without much competition from other Democrats; OR 3. Hillary Clinton not running for the
Democratic nomination at all.
Clinton running with competition
Clinton running without competition
Hillary not running at all
Don't know/No answer
66
21
3
49
13
11
10
28
Q42. For each of the following, please tell me if it is possible you would ever vote for a candidate for the Republican
nomination for president who does NOT share you views on that issue or if the issue is so important that you could
not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you on it.
a. Dealing with the militant group ISIS?
Rep
%
Yes, would vote
No, would not vote
Depends
Don't know/No answer
61
2
3
c. Dealing with illegal immigration
Yes, would vote
No, would not vote
Depends
Don't know/No answer
47
2
3
d. Education policy?
Yes, would vote
No, would not vote
Depends
Don't know/No answer
Ind
%
34
37
52
3
8
47
41
51
3
5
56
37
3
4
44
49
2
5
5
e. The federal budget?
** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **
Rep
Ind
%
%
48
46
48
3
3
3
5
Yes, would vote
No, would not vote
Depends
Don't know/No answer
f. Abortion?
Yes, would vote
No, would not vote
Depends
Don't know/No answer
45
51
3
2
44
38
53
4
4
Q49. Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate for the Republican nomination for president who is willing to
compromise with Democrats to pass legislation, or do you feel so strongly that you would not vote for a candidate
who is willing to compromise with Democrats?
Yes, would vote
No, would not vote
Depends
Don't know/No answer
77
17
3
3
74
18
3
5
Weighted
Total Respondents
Unweighted
1023
Total Republicans
Total Democrats
Total independents
270
293
460
240
297
486
(23%)
(29%)
(48%)
6