Colombia - Millicom
Transcription
Colombia - Millicom
Colombia Esteban Iriarte, General Manager Colombia Capital Markets Day, 24 September 2014 1 Key Messages 1 Colombia is one of the most attractive emerging markets for investment in Latin America 2 Separately, Millicom and UNE are already very successful in Colombia 3 Together, Tigo and UNE are aiming to become the #2 Telecom player in the market 4 We have a clear strategy to capture growth and build a full digital lifestyle company 2 Colombia is one of the most attractive emerging markets for investment in Latin America 3rd largest Latam country Strong growth economy Population (m, 2013) GDP growth1 (%) World Bank Index2 Historic 198 Brazil Forecast 6.1 Peru 5.2 Regulatory Quality 64 116 Mexico 5.1 Chile 4.3 47 Colombia 42 Argentina Peru Stable political country Govt. Effectiveness 5.0 Colombia 57 4.5 Ease of Doing Business 31 Mexico 3.0 43 3.3 31 Chile 18 Brazil 2.1 2.4 Political Stability 17 1. Forecast Avg. growth ’14 F-’16F, Historic Avg. 2010-13 2. Doing business rank out of 198 countries in 2014; All other parameters out of 207 countries in 2012. Source: Focus Consensus, World Bank, Millicom, DANE 3 Colombia is a vast country with a very regionalized market Some Highlights Barranquilla Pop. 9.8m (21%) 14.8% of national GDP Bucaramanga Pop. 4.8m (11%) 13.0% of national GDP Vast land area (26th in the world) Mostly urban (75% of pop.) Highly regionalized with Medellin Pop. 9.2m (20%) 17.3% of national GDP Cali Pop. 7.4m (16%) 12.2% of national GDP mountainous terrain Bogotá Pop. 14.1m (31%) 41.9% of national GDP Amazon region Pop. ~1% population Source: DANE, Regional Information 2011 4 The telecoms market has grown rapidly and there is potential for future growth The Telecoms market has grown at 7% p.a. for the last 2 years Telecoms market revenue1 ($b) …and there is potential to significantly increase consumer spend Consumer spending on Telecoms (% of income, 2012) +7% 12.2 12.7 5.0% 5.0% 4.9% 11.1 3.8% Potential increase 1.2% 2011 2012 2013 USA 1. Includes 5% revenue assumption for DirecTV, other small fixed players & MVNOs Source: Company Data, Frost and Sullivan, INEGI-Mexico, INE-Chile, DANE-Colombia, INEC- Ecuador 5 Tigo mobile has already been very successful in Colombia Tigo has grown at more than double the market rate for the last 2 years Quarterly mobile revenue growth (%) Gaining mobile market share and strong position in data Tigo mobile revenue market share (%) +3.5pp 28 15.4% 11.8% 20 2012 2014 Mobile data revenue market share (%, Q1 2014) 10 Industry Avg. 49% 24% 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 2012 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2013 Q4 Q1 Q2 2014 Source: Quarterly Reports AMX and TEF; Company quarterly reports; ICT Ministry 6 Claro 23% Driven by innovation and expansion of the digital lifestyle especially music services Our approach differentiates us from the rest of the Industry Tigo is the largest music provider in Colombia, driving the digital lifestyle Colombian music average monthly revenue1 >33k new users per month from Jan to Jun 2014 Top 4 players have ~70% market share Unique experience with live artist & user sessions Deezer Vevo YouTube Music in Tigo’s DNA - music in 90% of data plans Itunes Experienced music experts driving the offer Tigo’s brand is linked to music - 40% see us as brand that lives music 1: Internal estimations 7 UNE is the #2 fixed BB and PayTV operator in Colombia UNE Revenue and EBITDA ($m, 2013) Market share (Q1 14) Business Description 1,335 Pay TV Fixed line, fixed / mobile BB, PayTV 70% urban pop. coverage (~3m HH 22% passed) 314 Medellin region focus BBI Mostly HFC and DSL Revenue EBITDA 7.6% CAGR11-13 23.5% Margin 30% Premium content (HD and bundles) Subsidiaries Fixed (voice, BB, TV) Largest BPO & call center player in CO Fixed (voice, BB, TV) Assumed control of UNE 14 August 2014 Source: Millicom; Market Research 8 Wholesale data / voice, retail calling cards UNE has grown above market average and offers innovative propositions UNE has grown above the industry… …with leading, innovative propositions Fixed revenue growth (%) HD TV Smart Play 30 UNE has around half the households passed of Claro Unique operator offering >60 HD channels 150k clients in one year 20 First operator to offer scheduled and ondemand TV programs in a single package 10 Industry UNE MAS Only fixed operator to 0 offer a loyalty program >500k clients registered within 2 years -10 Q1 Q2 Q3 2012 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2013 Q4 Q1 Q2 2014 Source: Quarterly reports AMX, TEF & ETB and Company data. UNE figures don’t include subsidiaries. 9 UNE Store First operator to expand to a digital store selling its portfolio products Together, UNE and Tigo are aiming to become the second operator Market share by users (Q1 2014) Other 8% 14% 19% 21% 4% 11% 24% 19% 7% 22% 8% 16% 21% 30% 27% 56% 44% 32% 17% PayTV Fixed Telephony Broadband Internet Mobile Telephony #2 #1 #2 #3 Source: Millicom; Company Data; Market Research 10 There is a clear strategy in place for the merged companies to capture growth VISION “Become the leading telecoms digital lifestyle player in Colombia.” 1 Focus on data and digital services, offering tailored and segmented services Mobile Provide excellent customer experience, special focus in Bogotá, Medellín and the Coast Actively look for cost efficiencies to be reinvested in the business 2 Increase homes passed reaching over 5m by 2020 Home Increase penetration outside Medellín, focusing on Bogotá and other major cities Grow the home connected ratio to above 40% by end of 2020 3 Offer segmented products and customer support for SMEs, Large companies and Govt. B2B Increase mobile market share leveraging UNE's positioning in fixed services Increase profitability through operational excellence 11 Develop integrated offer STRATEGY Tigo and UNE have highly complementary footprints and services Comprehensive digital Telco offer matching Claro and Movistar Highly complementary geographic footprints Bogotá Mobile Fixed line B2B Fixed Internet Competitive strength Region Opportunity Medellin High cross-selling mobile potential Barranquilla High cross-selling fixed potential Central Leverage infrastructure & coverage Bogota Expand on data & B2B strengths Other Low (<1.5% population) Key Strong Med Niche Cable TV Satellite TV Weak 12 We will provide an integrated offer to our Customers Bundle offers Mobile Content & Entertainment PayTV Fixed BB & Telephony 13 There is a clear integration plan in place since merger August 14, 2014 Sep – Jan 2015 (5 months) Aug 2014 Integration setup 1 Setup Set-up integration teams From Feb 2015 Implementation Integration planning 2 Mobilizing Mobilize the organization 3 Define future state business plans Develop 4 Implement- ation planning Develop detailed integrated integration Define baseline company plans business plans blueprint Formalize Merger completed August 14, 2014 business plan impact End goal is to enable full scale implementation at the end of the five setup and planning steps 14 5 Implementation Implement strategy The combined business with approximately $2.3b revenue 2013 2013 Synergies Combined1 Includes subsidiaries Revenue in m$ 2,276 >$600m NPV Cross-selling and bundling 1,335 969 Transmission & internet acces for Tigo EBITDA EBITDA margin 237 24.4% 311 23.3% 548 24.1% Improved sales and distribution Capex Capex % 166 17.2% 250 18.7% 416 18.3% Other OPEX and CAPEX savings (E – Cap) / Rev 7.2% 4.6% 5.8% Employees (k) 6.2 18.7 24.9 in m$ 1. UNE 2013 figures in IFRS including intercompany eliminations 15 We have identified and prioritized over 200 projects to explore the synergies Impact Quick wins Prioritized High Medium Long term savings 63 Projects 109 Projects Low Second order savings 18 Projects Low priority savings 0 Projects 12 Projects Low Deprioritized Medium High Complexity 16 We have an experienced Executive team with strong leadership Esteban Iriarte, General Manager • Tigo GM appointed in May-12 • Previously Global CO Home & Corporate for MIC • +5yrs experience with MIC • 17 years in Telecoms Leopoldo Gutierrez CFO Ana Marina Jimenez Legal & Corp Affairs Jaime A Plaza Regulatory César Lopez Operations • Appointed in May-12 • +5yrs experience with MIC • Previously Operational Latam CFO for MIC • Appointed in May-05 • Previously VP Legal & Regulatory Affairs for Avantel • +20yrs in Telecoms • Appointed in Jun-07 • Previously Manager Regulatory Affairs & Inst Rel. at UNE • +20yrs in Telecoms • Appointed in Jun-14 • Previously Corporate VP of Operations for Grupo Orbis Marcelo Cataldo Mobile Jose Miguel Guzman Cable Santiago Londoño B2B Alvaro Sanchez Marketing • Appointed in Jan-13 • +4yrs experience at MIC • Previously Global Chief Officer Solutions for MIC • +6yrs in Telecoms • Appointed Aug 2014 • Previously at Lojack Corp., Arcadia Capital and Booz • +20yrs of business experience incl. TMT • Appointed in Aug-10 • Previously President and CEO of Orbitel • +10yrs in Telecoms • Appointed in May-14 • Previously Director Marketing & Innovation for SAB Miller Latam Marie Claude Joachim Strategic HR DanielTorras Torras Daniel Integration Integration Rodrigo Ferreira Customer Operations Jhon Jairo Vasquez Chief Audit Officer • Appointed in Jun-14 • Previously HR & Communication Manager for FENOCO • Appointed in Aug• Appointed in Aug-14 14 • Previously Associate • Previously Partner at Delta Associate PartnersPartner at Delta Partners • +20yrs in Telecoms • +20 years in Telco 17 • Appointed in Feb-09 • Previously President of Emtelco • +20yrs in Telecoms • Appointed in Sep-14 • Previously Corporate Auditor for ISA Recap: Key Messages 1 Colombia is one of the most attractive emerging markets for investment in Latin America 2 Separately, Millicom and UNE are already very successful in Colombia 3 Together, Tigo and UNE are aiming to become the #2 Telecom player in the market 4 We have a clear strategy to capture growth and build a full digital lifestyle company 18 19