Voltamp IPO Note - Gulf Baader Capital Markets SAOC
Transcription
Voltamp IPO Note - Gulf Baader Capital Markets SAOC
Rohit Kumar Mangla VP- Research Rohit@gbcmoman.net ++ 968 2479 0614 - 108 Ajeev Gopinathan Sr. Research Analyst ajeev@gbcmoman.net ++ 968 2479 0614 -112 Hunaina Banatwala Research Associate Hunaina@gbcmoman.net ++968 2479 0614 - 111 21st May 2008 IPO Note: Voltamp Energy SAOG GBCM Research Issue Highlights 540 baiza + 2 baiza Issue expenses = 542 baiza 5th May 2008 3rd June 2008 RO 13.550 Million RO 5 Million 1,000 Shares & then multiples of 100 upto a maximum of 10,000 shares 10,100 Shares & then multiples of 100 upto a maximum of 2.5 Million shares 17.50 million shares (70%) 6.25 million shares (20%) 1.25 million shares (5%) for employees 70% post listing. End of June 2008 Offer price Issue Open Issue Close Issue Size Post Issue Capital Minimum Application - Category -I Minimum Application - Category -II Allocation- Category -I Allocation- Category -II Allocation- Category -III Maximum limit for Non Omani Holding Listing on MSM Source: Prospectus Shareholding Pattern Shareholding Structure In Million No. Shares Al Anwar Holdings SAOG Pre Issue 20.097 SABCO LLC 7.452 Offer for Sale 5.742 2.129 % Holding Post Issue 14.355 Pre Issue 57.4% Post Issue 28.7% 5.323 21.3% 10.6% Mr. Mushtaq bin Abdullah bin Jaffer 3.161 0.903 2.258 9.0% 4.5% H.H. Seyyid Shihab bin Tariq Al Said 2.597 0.742 1.855 7.4% 3.7% Mr. Mohammed bin Abdul Rasool Al Jamali 1.131 0.323 0.808 3.2% 1.6% Dr. Ali bin Jaffar bin Mohammed 0.564 0.161 0.403 1.6% 0.8% Total Promoters 35.000 10.000 25.000 100.0% Offer for Sale+ Fresh Issue+ Employees 25.000 Total O/S Post Issue 50.000 Source: Prospectus Issue Proceeds Amount (RO Million) To be utilized (yrs) Capex 6.0 2008-09 Working Capital 2.1 2008 Total Issue Proceeds 8.1 Source: Prospectus 2 50.0% 50.0% IPO Note: Voltamp Energy SAOG GBCM Research Voltamp Energy: Opportunity to participate in a capex driven growth story Voltamp energy along with its subsidiaries is into manufacturing of transformers, switchgears and related products. The product range primarily caters to power transmission & distribution, oil & gas and other heavy industry segment in MENA region. These sectors are witnessing rampant capacity additions propelled by healthy fiscal spending and capacities build up from private sector investments. The company intends to list itself on Muscat Securities Market, through a mix of offer for sale and fresh offer of shares. The fresh offer of RO 8.1 million (30% of capital through issue of 15 million shares of 100 baiza par value along with a premium of 440 baiza) is to be utilized for company’s capex plans and working capital requirements. Meanwhile, the promoters are diluting their stake through offer for sale of 10 million shares, with post issue control of 50%, in the company under transformation. We believe that listing of Voltamp Energy provides opportunity for investors to participate in a growth story driven by new capacities. The company is set to commence its production by July 2008, at its new capacity in Qatar (51% JV). This in addition to its proposed Power Transformer capacity at Sohar, expected to be operational by early 2010. These would enhance company’s overall capacity from 2100 MVA as of now to over 8200 MVA. These capacities would cater to a market wherein demand is expected to rise at a healthy rate (Power Transformer demand estimated to grow by 15% - 6 Yr CAGR 2006-2012). Also, as per the company 90% of requirements in these markets as of now are met through imports. After management meeting, we believe that forecasts provided in the prospectus could be on conservative basis. However for valuation (discounted cash flow model) purpose, we have considered the forecasts provided in the prospectus. For earnings multiple there is lack of sufficient listed comparables with similar business model in the region. We have arrived at Fair Value Price based on weighted basis (Discounted cash Flow Model -80% and Earnings Multiple Model 20%). Discounted cash flow model provides a fair value of RO 0.835, which 54.1% higher to offer price of RO 0.542, while a target PE of 13.5X on FY08E earnings draws a price of RO 0.649. On a weighted basis, (80%(80%- Discounted Cash Flow; 20% PE multiple), the fair value works out to RO 0.798, 0.798, which is 47.2% higher to its offer price of RO 0.542. 0.542. Hence we recommend investors to subscribe for the issue. 3 IPO Note: Voltamp Energy SAOG Transformer Basics § Transformers are one of the most critical equipments in the power transmission and distribution process, accounting for around 10-15% of the total investments. § A power transformer is a device used to transform power voltage from the generation point to the transmission point. Mainly, there are step-up power transformers or stepdown power transformers. § A distribution transformer is used to transform power voltage from the transmission point to distribution of power to the end user. § Step-up transformers are used to convert low voltage current to high voltage AC and a step-down transformer is used to convert high voltage current to low voltage AC. § There are different types of transformers like Dry Type transformer, specialty transformer and various other classifications depending on their use. § Transformers work on the principle of electromagnetic induction-energy can be efficiently transferred by magnetic induction from one winding to another winding in the presence of a varying magnetic field produced by an alternating current. Source: EIA 4 GBCM Research IPO Note: Voltamp Energy SAOG GBCM Research Transformer demand demand seen healthy Power Generation & Distribution Government Initiatives Captive Power Plants Setting up Transmission Line Replacement demand Industrial Capex Major Capacity expansions in the region Average Life of a Transformer Oil & Gas and Petrochemicals Sector Replacement of the Transformers installed around 2020-25 yrs Heavy Industry Sector Outlook on transformer demand is strongly positive. Huge investments lined up in Oil & Gas, Petrochemicals, other industries and Power sector is expected to keep healthy demand for all types of transformers. Also given the lack of manufacturing facilities in the region, the market demand is highly depended on imports. This favours local manufacturers with better margins due to proximity factors. Huge capex line up in power sector would drive in demand for transformerstransformers- Both Both distribution and power segment. Region Arab Region MENA Region Capacity 2003 GW Avg. Capacity Utilization 2003 (%) Estimated CapacityCapacity2006 GW Estimated 2011 Capacity -GW Capacity Increment - GW Resulting Capital Investment-- US$ Bn Investment 111 143 52% 52% 129.8 166.8 172.8 221.1 39.5 49.7 46.9 61.2 Source: APICORP Research 5 Energy Investment Requirement MENA Region Arab World US$ Bn Increase US$ Bn Increase 2004-08 180 150 2005-09 210 17% 175 17% 2006-10 260 24% 220 26% 2007-11 395 52% 345 57% Source: APICORP Research Capital Investment in Energy Sector Total Power In US$ Billion Hydrocarbons Sector Arab region 298.2 46.9 MENA Region 333.5 61.2 Source: APICORP Research Total Energy 345.1 394.7 IPO Note: Voltamp Energy SAOG GBCM Research Voltamp EnergyEnergy- Corporate Structure Current Structure Proposed Structure - Post IPO Al Anwar Holding SAOG SABCO LLC Other Shareholders Pre IPO Al Anwar Hold. SAOG Other Shareholders Post IPO Other Shareholders SABCO LLC 57.4% 21.3% 21.3% Voltamp Energy LLC 21.3% 50.0% 50.0% 10.7% 10.7% 0.01% 99.9% Voltamp Transformers Oman LLC 51.0% Voltamp Manufacturing Co. Qatar 28.7% 28.7% § Voltamp Energy SAOG (Under Transformation) § Manufactures low voltage switchgear panels through a franchisee agreement with SchneiderFrance. Aims to step up its operations during the year. 51.0% 0.01% Voltamp Manufacturing Co. Qatar 99.9% 99.9% after 5 years of operation) § To manufacture power transformers up to 150 MVA/132 kV class § To be set up in Sohar Industrial Estate. 0.01% 6 § § 51% JV - VMCQ will manufacture (Capacity 1600 MVA) Oil filled transformers up to 10 MVA / 33 kV class, Dry type transformers up to 1.6 MVA / 11kV class & LV switchgear. Expected to be operational by July ’08 Current year capacity utilization estd at 40% & 90% for following years. § New capacity of 4500 MVA proposed to be added by Jan 2010 (Phase – I) (Phase –II to upgrade capacity to 6500 MVA Voltamp Power Oman LLC (Proposed) Voltamp Transformers Oman LLC § § § § § Manufacturer’s transformers with capacity ranging from 50 kVA to 15 MVA, (33 kV class). Plant capacity of 2100 MVA Capacity utilization of 56% in 2007. Company expects to improve the utilization levels in current year 69% in FY08 & 82% in FY09 IPO Note: Voltamp Energy SAOG GBCM Research Planned capacity addition augments topline growth As of now, the company operates switchgear panels and 33kV class transformers along with providing technical and maintenance services in the value chain. Meanwhile, its new capacity (JV(JV- VMCQ) is expected to be operational by July of 2008. This along with improvement in current utilization levels would augment revenue growth during FY08 & FY09. Capacity Additions – Voltamp Power Oman Oman to add incremental capacity in 2010 Capacities - MVA 2007 2008 E 2009 E 2010 E Voltamp Energy Voltamp Transformer Oman (VTO) Voltamp Manufacturing Qatar (VMCQ) (VMCQ) Voltamp Power Oman (VPO) Source: Company 2,100 - 2,100 1,600 - 2,100 1,600 - 2011 E 2012 E Switchgear Panels 2,100 2,100 1,600 1,600 4,500 4,500 2,100 1,600 4,500 2013 E 2,100 1,600 4,500 2014 E 2,100 1,600 4,500 Projected Capacity Utilization levels Capacity Utilization - % Voltamp Volta mp Energy 2007 90% 2008 E 90% 2009 E 90% 2010 E 90% 2011 E 90% 2012 E 90% 2013 E 90% 2014 E 90% Voltamp Transformer Oman 56% 69% 82% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Voltamp Manufacturing Qatar Voltamp Power Oman NIL 40% 90% NIL 90% 90% 90% 90% 90% 12% 39% 65% 87% 100% Source: Company Prospectus Projected Revenue Revenue Share 2008 E 2009 E 2012 E 2013 E 2014 E 10.2% 9.8% 9.9% 10.5% 74.6% 63.9% 59.0% 47.7% 41.0% 37.4% 35.7% Voltamp Manufacturing Qatar 10.2% 23.3% 19.0% 15.9% 14.1% 13.3% 13.0% 10.8% 26.3% 35.0% 39.5% 40.8% NIL 11.2% 2011 E 15.2% Voltamp Power Oman Source: Company Prospectus 12.8% 2010 E Voltamp Energy Voltamp Transformer Oman Voltamp Power Oman – VPO, VPO capacity of 4500 MVA is significant in the longer term with projected revenue share of 40.8% by year 2010. Meanwhile, current capacity of Voltamp Energy Energy and VTO would contribute to significant revenue share. After our management meet, we strongly believe that the company has been conservative in its projections. VMCQ is expected to benefit from healthy orders from Qatar and lack of competition in the local market. 7 IPO Note: Voltamp Energy SAOG GBCM Research Projected Margin Analysis The major cost of any transformer is the raw material cost. This includes CRGO (Cold-Rolled Grain Oriented silicon steel), Copper, Transformer Oil, and Steel – Radiators & Tanks. Outlook on CRGO prices is quite stable for the short to medium term while copper prices witnesses’ high volatility. The company has proper hedging practices through positions in forwards which aim to protect margins on order basis. The exact cost structure interpretation is not possible from the detail statements, meanwhile, for FY07 the gross profit margins works out to 34.5%. VTO enjoys the highest margins, as this caters to Historical margins services related to erection, commissioning, servicing and testing of transformers and related equipments. This business contributes to estd. 5% to topline and estd. 10% to the bottomline. Moving forward, margin is projected to contract with addition of Qatar and upcoming Oman Facility. Qatar facility is expected to cater to utility while, Power transformer facility in Oman would improve its margins post 2011. 8 Source: Prospectus IPO Note: Voltamp Energy SAOG GBCM Research Large capacity addition in 2010 affects earnings growth Capex goes towards proposed Power Transformer Plant in Oman FY08, will see addition of its Qatar’s facility which, as per the forecast would marginally affect earnings growth in FY08. Meanwhile, Major In RO 000’s Projected Capex Source: Prospectus 2008 E 2,794 capacity addition in FY2010 will have an impact on its overall earnings growth in 2010. For FY09, the net profit is forecasted to grow by 27.6% to RO 3.065 Million, while same for FY2010 decelerates to RO 2.446 Million. Further for the following years, improvement in capacity utilization would generate incremental cash flows, thus bolstering the valuation. Earnings growth – YoY Trend 2008 E 2,402 Net Profit - RO 000's -0.8% Net Proft Growth Source: Prospectus 2009 E 3,065 27.6% 2010 E 2,446 -20.2% 2011 E 4,795 96.1% 2012 E 7,045 46.9% Multiples at offer price seen lower than its comparable peer There is lack of listed comparables with similar business models in the region. The only listed company from Egypt is El Nasr Transformers and electrical products. On trailing basis, the stock is trading at PE 22.8X and PBV of 6.6X. Meanwhile, Voltamp Energy at offer price of RO 0.542, is at PE of 11.3X and PBV of 1.8X on FY08E. Considering for higher margins and profitability that the company enjoys, the multiples are lower to its global peers. While, Chinese peers commands a PE avg of 11.9X, Indian peers are trading at an avg PE of 13.5X. 9 2013 E 9,158 30.0% 2014 E 10,630 16.1% El Nasr Transformers & Elect. Prod. 2007 2006 2005 High P/E 55.1 38.5 53.6 Low P/E 12.0 12.7 16.9 High PBV 14.6 7.9 5.2 Low PBV 3.2 2.6 1.6 High Div-Yield 2.8 3.9 5.0 Low Div-Yield 0.7 1.1 1.1 Source: Bloomberg 2009 E 6,331 2010 E 1,115 2011 E 135 2012 E 199 2013 E 160 2014 E 415 IPO Note: Voltamp Energy SAOG GBCM Research Valuation We have taken cash flows as projected in the prospectus, which we believe presents a conservative scenario, once capacity is added as per schedule. Near term cash flows remains affected by major capacity additions. New capacities and higher capacity utilization builds up cash flows post 2010. GBCM GBCM Weighted Beta Factor Model No of factors Description Risk free return Market return Beta estimation estimation weighting factors (a) A- Company Financial Risk Factors 10 - - - 2.0 - 2.0 2.0 B- Industry Risk Factors 5 - - - 1.0 1.0 - C- Economic Risk Factors 5 - - - - 4.0 - D- Small Company Factor 1 1.34 16.2% Cost of debt- Post Tax WACC 5.7% 14.3% Terminal growth rate 2% 0.5 1.0 2.0 High Risk 2.5 2.8 3.0 4.0 - - - - 3.0 - - - - - - 1.0 - - - - - - - - - - - 1.0 - - - - Number of observations (b) - - - 3.0 5.0 2.0 5.0 6.0 - - - - Weighted Beta components (c=a*b) - - - 2.6 5.0 2.5 7.5 10.5 - - - - Total of Beta components (Sum of c) 28.1 Number of factors (d) 21.0 Estimated BETA ((Sum of c)/d) 1.34 Discounted Cash Flow Model In RO 000’s Avg. Risk 1.3 1.5 1.8 13.5% Beta Cost of Equity Low Risk 0.6 0.8 0.9 5.5% Sensitivity Analysis Terminal Growth/WaCC 13.0% 13.5% 14.0% 14.3% 14.5% 15.0% 1.5% 0.949 0.942 0.935 0.811 0.928 0.922 2.0% 0.928 0.921 0.914 0.835 0.907 0.901 2.5% 0.908 0.900 0.894 0.863 0.887 0.880 3.0% 0.888 0.881 0.874 0.892 0.867 0.861 3.5% 0.869 0.862 0.855 0.924 0.848 0.842 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2,415 (2,794) 2,435 (6,331) 2,383 (1,115) 5,978 (135) 7,020 (199) 9,101 (160) 10,622 (415) FCFF (379) (3,896) 1,268 5,843 6,821 8,941 9,440 PV (Cash Flow) (349) (3,141) 895 3,606 3,682 4,224 3,902 Terminal Value 76,858 PV (Terminal Value) 31,767 Enterprise Value 41,766 We have arrived at Cost of Equity of 16.2% with Risk Free rate of 5.5% and Market return of 13.5%. The CAPM builds in Fair Value Offer Price 0.835 0.542 a higher beta of 1.34 derived from GBCM - Beta factor model. Operating Cash Flows Less Capex Upside Potential 54.1% On a terminal growth of 2%, discounted cash flow model derives fair value of RO 0.835, which 54.1% higher to offer price of RO 0.542. 10 IPO Note: Voltamp Energy SAOG GBCM Research Weighted Fair Value On a weighted basis, (80%(80%- Discounted Cash Flow; 20% PE multiple), the fair value works out to RO 0.798, which is 47.2% higher to its offer price of RO 0.542. 0.542. Weighted Fair Value Model Discounted Cash Flow PE Multiple – 13.5X Weightage 80% 20% Weighted Fair Value Offer Price Upside Potential Fair Value - RO 0.835 0.649 0.798 0.542 47.2% Outlook With ongoing capacity additions in power, Oil & Gas, Petrochemicals and Heavy Industry segment, the demand for transformers and switchgears is expected to be healthy in MENA region. Voltamp Energy, one among few manufacturers in proximity to the market is expected to benefit for its current and upcoming capacities. We strongly believe that the company would benefit from its experience in these markets. Hence we are positive on company’s expansion initiatives which will propel its earnings growth in future. Although capacity addition for Power Transformer will have an impact on its earnings during 2010, this will build its cash flows moving forward. Thus it derives a higher valuation for the stock on discounted basis. For the near term, the offer is made at a PE of 11.3X FY08E and 8.8X FY09E earnings. Post listing the momentum is expected to be driven by earnings growth in near term. On a weighted basis, the fair value works out to RO 0.798 which is 54.1% higher to the offer price. Hence we recommend investors to subscribe for the issue. 11 IPO Note: Voltamp Energy SAOG GBCM Research Consolidated Income Statement IN RO 000's Revenue Cost of sales Gross profit Other income Other Expenses EBIT Finance charges PBT Taxation Net profit for the year Source: Prospectus Consolidated Balance Sheet Statement IN RO 000's Property, plant and equipment Total nonnon-current assets Inventories Trade and other receivables Cash in hand and at banks Current assets Total Assets Share capital Legal reserve General reserve Retained earnings Total equity Long term loan Trade and other payables Bank borrowings Current portion of long term loan Total current liabilities Source: Prospectus 12 In RO 000’s 2005 5,472 (4,282) 1,190 52 (579) 663 (126) 538 (42) 496 2006 7,993 (6,248) 1,745 29 (696) 1,078 (190) 887 (100) 787 2007 10,694 (7,003) 3,691 159 (878) 2,972 (202) 2,771 (348) 2,422 2008 E 14,334 (10,185) 4,149 160 (1,345) 2,965 (226) 2,739 (337) 2,402 2009 E 20,398 (14,716) 5,681 95 (2,086) 3,690 (220) 3,470 (405) 3,065 2010 E 27,847 (20,944) 6,902 107 (3,373) 3,636 (678) 2,958 (513) 2,446 2011 E 36,925 (27,089) 9,836 112 (3,927) 6,022 (665) 5,357 (562) 4,795 2012 E 46,138 (33,344) 12,794 118 (4,511) 8,401 (726) 7,675 (630) 7,045 2013 E 54,724 (39,022) 15,702 124 (5,257) 10,569 (705) 9,864 (706) 9,158 2005 596 609 1,125 2,018 4 3,147 3,756 2006 565 576 2,411 3,066 3 5,481 6,057 2007 521 1,203 2,564 3,453 87 6,104 7,307 2008 E 2,418 3,415 2,931 3,767 8,502 15,200 18,615 2009 E 9,470 10,271 3,694 4,872 7,244 15,809 26,080 2010 E 9,393 10,000 4,837 6,636 7,404 18,878 28,877 2011 2011 E 8,314 8,725 6,036 8,411 9,506 23,953 32,678 2012 E 7,347 7,563 7,160 10,154 13,549 30,863 38,426 2013 E 6,194 6,410 8,299 11,829 19,602 39,730 39,730 46,139 500 167 50 636 1,353 1,193 1,197 13 2,403 1,100 369 50 421 2,140 1,398 2,519 3,917 3,500 848 14 4,362 21 1,550 1,249 125 2,924 5,000 6,400 1,059 455 14,664 401 1,878 1,650 21 3,549 5,000 6,400 1,312 1,517 15,979 5,859 2,542 1,650 50 4,242 5,000 6,400 1,605 1,920 16,675 5,809 3,323 3,020 50 6,393 5,000 6,400 1,977 4,593 19,720 4,608 4,254 2,895 1,201 8,350 5,000 6,400 2,424 9,440 25,014 3,456 5,007 3,746 1,202 9,956 5,000 6,400 2,816 16,456 32,422 2,303 5,747 4,464 1,202 11,414 2014 E 62,074 (44,155) 17,919 131 (5,952) 12,099 (668) 11,431 (801) 10,630 In RO 000’s 2014 E 5,359 5,575 9,333 13,345 26,727 49,405 54,980 5,000 6,400 3,286 24,866 41,302 1,151 6,372 4,953 1,202 12,527 IPO Note: Voltamp Energy SAOG GBCM Research Key Ratios GrowthGrowth- YoY (%) Revenue Net Profit Total Assets Margins (%) GMP NPM Per Share Ratio - RO EPS BVPS EV per Share DPS Return Ratios - (%) RoA RoE RoAA RoAE Leverage Ratios -(X) Current Ratio Quick Ratio Total debt to Equity Long Term Debt to Equity Short Term Debt to Equity Working Capital Ratios (Days) Inventory-Days Debtors-Days Creditors-Days Cash Cycle Multiples (X) at Offer Price PE PBV Dividend Yield Source: Prospectus; GBCM Research 13 2005 2006 2007 2008 E 2009 E 2010 E 2011 E 2012 E 2013 E 2014 E - 46.1% 58.7% 61.3% 33.8% 207.7% 20.6% 34.0% -0.8% 154.7% 42.3% 27.6% 40.1% 36.5% -20.2% 10.7% 32.6% 96.1% 13.2% 24.9% 46.9% 17.6% 18.6% 30.0% 20.1% 13.4% 16.1% 19.2% 21.8% 9.1% 21.8% 9.8% 34.5% 22.7% 28.9% 16.8% 27.9% 15.0% 24.8% 8.8% 26.6% 13.0% 27.7% 15.3% 28.7% 16.7% 28.9% 17.1% 0.099 0.271 0.783 0.072 0.195 0.771 0.069 0.125 0.579 0.048 0.293 0.413 0.035 0.061 0.320 0.548 0.035 0.049 0.333 0.572 0.035 0.096 0.394 0.526 0.035 0.141 0.500 0.439 0.035 0.183 0.648 0.309 0.035 0.213 0.826 0.154 0.035 13.2% 36.7% - 13.0% 36.8% 16.0% 45.1% 33.1% 55.5% 36.2% 74.5% 12.9% 16.4% 18.5% 25.3% 11.8% 19.2% 13.7% 20.0% 8.5% 14.7% 8.9% 15.0% 14.7% 24.3% 15.6% 26.4% 18.3% 28.2% 19.8% 31.5% 19.8% 28.2% 21.7% 31.9% 19.3% 25.7% 21.0% 28.8% 1.3 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.4 0.8 1.2 1.2 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 4.3 3.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 3.7 2.9 0.5 0.4 0.1 3.0 2.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 2.9 2.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 3.1 2.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 3.5 2.8 0.2 0.1 0.2 3.9 3.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 96 135 102 128.8 141 140 82 199.2 134 118 81 170.7 105 96 67 133.7 92 87 63 115.7 84 87 58 113.4 81 83 57 107.2 78 80 55 103.9 78 79 54 102.8 77 78 53 103.0 - - - 11.3 1.8 6.5% 8.8 1.7 6.5% 11.1 1.6 6.5% 5.7 1.4 6.5% 3.8 1.1 6.5% 3.0 0.8 6.5% 2.5 0.7 6.5% IPO Note: Voltamp Energy SAOG GBCM Research Disclaimer: This document has been prepared and issued by Gulf Baader Capital Markets SAOC ("the Company") on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data and other sources believed to be reliable. While all care has been taken to ensure that the facts stated are accurate and the opinions given are reasonable, neither Gulf Baader Capital Markets SAOC nor any employee shall be in anyway responsible for the contents of this report. The Company may have a position and may perform buying/selling for itself or its clients in any security mentioned in this report. This is not an offer to buy or sell the investments referred therein. 14