“TIME IS MONEY”: A STUDY ON THE PRICE
Transcription
“TIME IS MONEY”: A STUDY ON THE PRICE
“TIME IS MONEY”: A STUDY ON THE PRICE-SETTING OF MECHANICAL WRISTWATCHES Author: Tom Cronvall Supervisor: Joakim Westerlund Bachelor’s thesis, 15 hp Bachelor of Science in Economics University of Gothenburg: School of Business, Economics and Law Department of Economics Spring 2011 “TIME IS MONEY”: A STUDY ON THE PRICESETTING OF MECHANICAL WRISTWATCHES* TOM CRONVALL Mechanical watches are a multibillion-dollar industry. Single watches are seen selling for millions of dollars in auction houses and retail stores. Still there is not much information on how the price-setting is conducted. In this bachelor’s thesis a price explanation model of mechanical Patek Philippe watches is developed using official description cards to identify factors. To see what has the largest impact on the price, factors are divided into two groups; functional and aesthetic. The model indicates that customers are more likely to pay for the latter. I. INTRODUCTION Time keeping has been an industry for many decades. Today, despite the revolution of battery driven clocks, mechanical watches are a multibillion-dollar industry still growing. With technical solutions being more advanced than ever before, single complicated watches are seen selling for millions of dollars in auction houses and retail stores. What also define these watches are precious metals like gold and platinum or even diamonds, used to increase the aesthetic aspects. Customers may wonder what really explains the high price tag, what the additional cost of the aesthetic aspects is or the alternative cost of various functions. Still, there is not much information on how the price-setting is conducted, at least not publicly available. In fact, no prior studies on the topic could be found. The purpose of this study is to analyze which factors affect the price of highquality mechanical wristwatches. The hypothesis is that price is a function of watch specifications. Special attention will be devoted to the interaction between plain aesthetic features and functionality of the watch mechanism. Quality is hard to compare between watchmakers. There are brands that produce low-quality watches with advanced features for $20,000, while most high-quality brands would charge over $100,000 for the same features. The only way I can make sure that one feature is of the same quality for all watches is to just include data from one specific company. One manufacturer who certainly is associated with quality is Patek Philippe. Patek Philippe was founded in the year 1839 in Geneva, Switzerland and has been making watches ever since (Patek Philippe, 2011). Quality has always been one of the company’s main values. Each watch is assembled and polished by hand. Over 1200 operations are required to finish a watch and 600 hours of quality control are undertaken before shipping it off to retail sellers (Patek Philippe, 2011). In New York, December 1999, a gold pocket watch made by Patek Philippe was sold for $11,003,500 at Sotheby’s auction house. The watch took three years to design and five years to make, had a total of 24 complicated features and was ordered by the American banker Henry * I thank my supervisor Joakim Westerlund for his helpful comments and advice on the calibration of the model. 1 2 UNIVERSITY OF GOTHENBURG Graves Jr. To this day, this is the most expensive watch ever sold (Sotheby’s, 1999). Because Patek Philippe is known for quality, this will be the business analyzed. Patek Philippe is based in Switzerland that is the leading producer of watches. A large attribution to this market position is a long tradition of watchmaking and their own well-respected seal of quality; Swiss made (Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry (FH), 2011). Timepieces are Switzerland’s third largest export good. Nearly 95 % of all watches produced are exported. In 2010, exports valued a total of $15.5 billion. That’s more than twice as much as the world’s next largest exporter, Hong Kong, valued at $7.4 billion. In units, Swiss exports were 26,100,000 compared to Hong Kong’s 419,100,000 (FH, 2011). Overall, it seems like there is a high level of competition in the industry limiting the ability to set prices. Let alone in Switzerland there is about 200 watch brands (FH, 2011). Even high-end Swiss producers like Patek Philippe face competition from watchmakers in Germany, France and the United Kingdom. This paper begins with a description of the regression model used to analyze the price. Subsequently, the collected data is outlined. Next, the estimation results are presented. The paper concludes with a short discussion about the validity of the created price explanation model. Results suggest that the aesthetic aspects make up the major part of the price. II. THEORY AND MODEL In Microeconomics, hedonic regression is a useful tool for estimating how the price-setting of composite goods are conducted. According to this demand theory, the market price is explained by the characteristics of the product. There are no studies on mechanical watches but the method is often used to examine the price of apartments (Kryvobokov, 2007; Zang, 2001) and wine (Angulo, Gil, Gracia, Sánchez, 2001; Oczkowski, 1994). The price of high-end mechanical wristwatches can be influenced by several possible factors. Manufacturers often explain their prices by using description cards. In these cards there is a resume of the watch design and a list of technical data (Patek Philippe, 2011). By creating variables that correspond to the information in the description cards, a multiple linear regression model can be used to see what the price is dependent on. The equation will look like this: (1) 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 = 𝛽! + 𝛽! 𝐴𝑒𝑠𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑐 + 𝛽! 𝐹𝑢𝑛𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑙 + ⋯ + 𝛽! 𝑥! + 𝜀 The term Aesthetic equals the factors related to design and Functional the factors related to the technical data of the watch mechanism. The variables used in the model are acquired by including most differences listed in the description cards on Patek Philippe’s official website (Patek Philippe, 2011). Focus will be on features that most quality watchmakers list. These general specifications include movement, functions, water resistance, case and strap materials, diamonds, case size, form, dial color, gender (design), jewels, bridges and number of parts. Factors that are unique for Patek Philippe watches will not be included. The knowledge for comparing e.g. balance wheels between manufacturers goes beyond the knowledge of an average enthusiast. ”TIME IS MONEY” 3 Some exclusive watches have engraved case details to give them a more unique look. This could indicate higher design related costs. Therefore, a variable for case details will be included. The hypothesis is that the price is a function of watch specifications. This is required, otherwise a price explanation model of this relationship cannot be created or used to estimate which specifications have the largest impact. The sample is not that large and there are a few watches that are very high-priced compared to most other watches included in the sample. These watches have a great deal of complications; because of this it is expected that they will also consist of many moving parts, bridges and jewels. A high correlation between what gender a watch is made for and the size of the case is also expected; this is because women’s wrists are generally smaller than those of men. Overall, size should have a significant impact on price as larger size implies more inputs. A larger case should also be able to fit more functions. A perfect explanatory model of the price cannot be expected. This is mainly because of costs that vary between watches. Such costs are largely associated with: i. Research and development Mechanical watches are built with advanced mechanical and technical solutions that require patenting to maintain private. Also, it is possible that Patek Philippe is paying premiers to be able to use other companies’ solutions. These costs of researching and patenting are a known part of the price equation that cannot be included because of company privacy. ii. Design Every watch is designed in detail. The cost for this is probably a large amount of the total. Some variables included should be able to compensate for a part of this, e.g. case details. However, design related costs most certainly vary between complicated and less complicated watches. iii. Profit margins As in the case with design related costs we do not know how the profit margins are structured. Depending on what price-setting strategy Patek Philippe is using, the profit margin could be either higher or lower for a complicated watch than that of a less complicated one. III. EMPIRICAL RESULTS 3.1 Data The data set is composed of 116 observations derived from the manufacturer’s suggested retail price list (US), February 15th 2011. The dependent variable in the model is price measured in US dollars. There are nine variables that account for the functionality of the watch and nine that account for the aesthetic aspects. 4 UNIVERSITY OF GOTHENBURG The functional variables are made to account for the number of bridges that support the wheels that make the watch function, whether the watch has a chronograph mechanism which allows measuring of time intervals, how many jewels that are used to reduce friction in the watch movement, whether the watch has an indicator showing the phases of the moon, the number of separate parts used in the watch mechanism, the water resistance of the watch, the type of winding mechanism, whether the watch has a tourbillon and the number of extra watch functions. The variable for extra functions is partly made to account for minor functions that are not included as individual variables. The aesthetic variables are made to account for how many carats of diamonds that are used to decorate the watch, if the watch has engraved case details, what material the watch case is made of, what material the strap is made of, what color tone the dial is in, what form the case is in, if the watch has a sapphire glass-back, how large the watch case is and what gender the watch is designed for. By including the gender variable we can see if there is any price discrimination between men and women. Functional Bridges (bridges) Chronograph (chronogr) Jewels (jewels) Moon phase indicator (moonph) Number of extra functions (efuncts) Parts (parts) Tourbillon (tourbill) Water resistance (waterres) Winding Mechanism (selfwind) Aesthetic Case details (casedets) Dial color (dialcol) Diamonds (diamnds) Form (form) Gender (gender) Case in stainless steel (steel) Case in yellow gold (yellgold) Case in red gold (redgold) Case in white gold (whitegold) Case in platinum (platinum) No metal link (nolink) Metal link of stainless steel (lsteel) Metal link of yellow gold (lygold) Metal link of red gold (lrgold) Metal link of white gold (lwhgold) Sapphire glass-back (crystback) Size (area) Table 1. List of explanatory variables, abbreviation in parenthesis In Table 1, we can see that case and strap materials are dummy variables with multiple levels. The first level of case materials is stainless steel, the first level of strap materials is non-metal strap. Because of degrees of freedom, these first levels (steel and nolink) are not included as variables in the regression model. The other dummy variables are chronogr (1 = watch with chronograph, 0 otherwise), moonph (1 = watch with moon phase indicator, 0 otherwise), tourbill (1 = watch with tourbillon, 0 otherwise), waterres (1 = water resistance of >30 m, 0 otherwise), selfwind (1 = watch with automatic winding, 0 otherwise), casedets (1 = watch with case details, 0 otherwise), dialcol (1 = light dial color, 0 otherwise), form (1 = circular, 0 otherwise), gender (1 = watch designed for men, 0 otherwise) and crystback (1 = watch with crystal glass-back, 0 otherwise). ”TIME IS MONEY” 5 Variable price efuncts parts jewels bridges diamnds area Obs 116 116 116 116 116 116 116 Mean 59231.9 3.206897 227.6897 27.15517 7.689655 .5151724 1091.538 Std. Dev. 58894.41 2.177023 92.32668 7.247912 2.875424 1.648573 207.452 Min 18000 0 101 18 4 0 578.6 Max 371000 7 456 45 14 8.82 1530.32 Table 2. Summary table of all numerical variables The number of extra functions (efuncts) is based on self-winding movement, seconds subdial (or hand), day, date, month, AM/PM indicator, water resistance (>30 m), annual calendar, perpetual calendar, world time indicator, moon phase indicator, power reserve indicator, chronograph, split-second chronograph, sky chart, minute repeater and tourbillon. Basic functions are considered as minute and hour dial, manually wound movement and water resistance of ≤30 m. Watches come in different forms and only diameter or height and width are available, size is therefore calculated to mm2 using equation (2) and (3). (2) Circular: 𝐴 = 𝜋 ∗ 𝑟𝑎𝑑𝑖𝑢𝑠 ! (3) Rectangular (and similar): 𝐴 = ℎ𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡 ∗ 𝑤𝑖𝑑𝑡ℎ Price information is from the US manufacturer’s suggested retail price list (MSRP), February 15th 2011. The list was found in a thread on watchtalkforums.info created just for the purpose of listing Patek Philippe MSRP lists (Watch Talk Forums, 2011). The same prices appear to be used by online retail sellers finestwatches.com (Finest Watches, 2011) and luxurybazaar.com (Luxury Bazaar, 2011). Information about watch specifications was found in the Illustrated Professional Dictionary of Horology (FH, 2011). All specifications were found on Patek Philippe’s official website. However, some watches on the MSRP list was not on the website. Because I did not find all information for these watches they are not included in the sample. 3.2 Results parts parts 1.0000 jewels 0.8826 bridges 0.8910 efuncts 0.9104 jewels bridges efuncts 1.0000 0.8364 1.0000 0.7370 0.7619 1.0000 Table 3. Correlation matrix of Parts, Jewels, Bridges and Number of extra functions The correlation between parts, jewels, bridges and number of extra functions in the watch is high. Because of collinearity, only one of these could be included. After running a lot of tests for efficiency, jewels was the variable chosen to be included in the final model. The number of extra functions is also somewhat correlated with watch size (ρ=0.4846). This makes sense as a larger watch should be able to fit more functions. The correlation between the size of the watch and what gender the watch is designed for is high (ρ=0.7284). The gender variable was not even close to being 6 UNIVERSITY OF GOTHENBURG significantly different from zero at a 5 % significance level. Area on the other hand, was. Therefore, area is included instead of gender. The final model was acquired by maximizing adjusted R-squared and at the same time making sure that all model assumptions were fulfilled. All variables except diamnds and the dummy variables are in logarithmic form to make the model more linear. The reason diamnds is not, is because most watches do not have any diamonds; the natural logarithm of zero is undefined and therefore values went missing when it was included. To make sure that there is no problem with collinearity in the final model I created a correlation matrix for all variables included. The correlation between lnarea and lnjewels is high (ρ=0.7215) but they are not perfect substitutes and both variables are significantly different from zero at a 5 % significance level. No other variables are highly correlated with each other and so there is no problem with collinearity in the model. All model assumptions are fulfilled if the residuals behave in a normal way. That is when: i. The error terms are not serially correlated To test for this, the Ramsey RESET test is used. The RESET test (Regression Specification Error Test) is a test for misspecification. A model can get misspecified by omitting important variables, including irrelevant ones and by other means not fulfilling the required assumptions for multiple regression models. In a Ramsey RESET test the null hypothesis is, H0: model has no omitted variables. If the null hypothesis can be rejected the model is misspecified and the parameters not reliable (Hill, Griffith, Lim, 2008, s. 151152). Observed P-value = 0.0661. H0: model has no omitted variables cannot be rejected at a 5 % significance level since 0.05 < 0.0661. In other words, the error terms are not serially correlated and the model is not misspecified. ii. The variance of the error term is constant To test for constant variance of the error term, the Breusch-Pagan / CookWeisberg test is used. The null hypothesis in a Breusch-Pagan / Cook-Weisberg test is, H0: constant variance. If the null hypothesis can be rejected there is likely a problem with heteroskedasticity in the model and data, causing errors (Hill, Griffith, Lim, 2008, s. 214). Observed P-value = 0.7822. H0: constant variance cannot be rejected at a 5 % significance level since 0.05 < 0.7822. There is no problem with heteroskedasticity in the model. iii. Error terms are normally distributed around their mean, which is zero The probability distribution of the error terms is important for the efficiency of the parameters. On average, the value is assumed to be zero because of model accuracy. ”TIME IS MONEY” 7 Figure 1. Histogram: Residuals The error terms seem to be approximately normally distributed around zero. All model assumptions are fulfilled and there are no signs of endogeneity. lnprice lnjewels lnarea diamnds crystback casedets chronogr moonph tourbill yellgold redgold whitegold platinum lsteel lygold lrgold lwhgold _cons Coef. .4712466 .4793662 .1898135 .210943 1.198679 .3620158 .4212362 2.158188 .3619803 .3968561 .35382 .7987953 .0403523 .302519 .3647951 .415456 4.866499 Std. Err. .1577567 .2142563 .0191006 .1097057 .1648288 .1000679 .0655271 .2936337 .161516 .1529541 .1512708 .1730601 .2002215 .1354561 .3438866 .1056271 1.259804 t 2.99 2.24 9.94 1.92 7.27 3.62 6.43 7.35 2.24 2.59 2.34 4.62 0.20 2.23 1.06 3.93 3.86 P>t 0.004 0.028 0.000 0.057 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.027 0.011 0.021 0.000 0.841 0.028 0.291 0.000 0.000 [95 % Conf. Interval] .1582232 .7842701 .0542351 .9044973 .1519138 .2277132 -.0067368 .4286229 .871623 1.525735 .1634594 .5605723 .2912162 .5512561 1.575555 2.74082 .0414975 .6824632 .093362 .7003503 .053666 .653974 .4554064 1.142184 -.3569306 .4376353 .0337447 .5712933 -.3175506 1.047141 .2058688 .6250431 2.366775 7.366223 Table 4. The final model Adj. R-squared = 0.8228. This implies that 82.28 % of the total variation around the mean of log price is explained by the regression model. Some parameters are not significantly different from zero at a 5 % significance level. Still, they are included because they belong in a group of dummy variables with multiple levels. The exception is crystback, which needs to be included for the model not to be misspecified. Nevertheless, 0.05 > F = 0.0000, which means that jointly all parameters are significantly different from zero at a 5 % significance level. 8 UNIVERSITY OF GOTHENBURG Price increase as the amount of jewels increases. The number of jewels depends on the number of watch functions. Because jewels are used to reduce friction in the watch mechanism, this is a sign that price depends on functionality. Price also increases with the size of the watch. This can be explained by a larger watch requiring more inputs, which importantly implies a larger amount of metal. Recall the high correlation coefficient between area and gender, saying that watch size and what gender the watch is designed for measures much of the same things. The gender variable was not even close to being significantly different from zero at a 5 % significance level, and was dropped from the equation. Therefore, no price discrimination between men and women could be established. I discovered that many of the watches in the sample made for women were not mechanical and could therefore not be included in the model. The price of these nonmechanical watches (ref. 4907/1J, 4908/50G-012, 4908/50R-012, 4910/10A, 4910/11R, 4910/49G, 4910/52G, 4910G, 4910R, 4914G, 4920G, 4920R) ranges from $11,500 to $249,500. Characteristics of the most expensive ones are precious metals and many carats of diamonds, indicating that this is what brings the prices up. Let us take a look at the extremes. The watch 4910/52G with a total of 12.70 carats of diamonds and both case and metal link in white gold has a price tag of $249,500. The watch 4910/10A with a total of 0.45 carats of diamonds and both case and metal link in stainless steel has a price tag of $11,500. Even though these watches have the exact same movement the price difference is $238,000 ($249,500 – $11,500). As the price is set by the same company this may also apply to the mechanical watches. The statistics tell us that each carat of diamonds increases the price with on average 18.98 % (all other factors held constant). Though this does not yield the same dramatic increase as in the case with non-mechanical watches, it is a large price difference not depending on any functional use of the watch mechanism. Even though the variable for sapphire glass-back was not significantly different from zero at a 5 % significance level, its presence was needed for the model not to be misspecified. This indicates that it has an impact on price. Case details are only for the most expensive watches. The statistics show us that these watches are generally more complicated. It is probably not the case details themselves that make the large price increase. However, they could indicate higher design related costs. This would make sense as these watches are usually produced in smaller quantities and more individually formed. We can see that price depends on advanced features. The most advanced feature in the sample, tourbillon, is also the most costly. (4) ! ! ! ! ! ! !! (!! !!) ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! = 100 𝑒 ! − 1 % If we interpret the coefficients corresponding to case materials using equation (4) we find that a watch with a case in yellow gold costs on average 43.62 % (48.71 % for red gold, 42.45 % for white gold and 122.29 % for platinum, respectively) more than a watch with a case in stainless steel, all other factors held constant. This shows us that a watch with a case in white gold on average costs less than a watch with a case in yellow gold. Because white gold is more costly to produce this is not expected. At the same ”TIME IS MONEY” 9 time, the difference is small and the 95 % confidence intervals for these parameters are quite wide. By the same method interpreting strap materials, we get that a watch with a metal link in yellow gold costs on average 35.33 % (respectively 51.51 % for white gold) more than a watch with no metal link, all other factors held constant. The argument about yellow and white gold makes more sense in this aspect. Overall, materials have a very large impact on price. On average, a case in yellow gold equals a price increase of a chronograph mechanism, a case in red gold equals an increase as much as a moon phase indicator and the additional cost of a case in platinum is more than twice of that. No price difference for what color tone the dial is in, what shape the watch has, water resistance or what winding mechanism the watch uses could be established at a 5 % significance level. These factors probably do not affect the price. IV. CONCLUSION In this report a multiple linear regression model has been developed to analyze factors affecting the price of mechanical Patek Philippe watches. The model explains 82.28 % of the total variation around the mean of log price. The error term could be explained by minor differences or absence of exact cost structure in design, profit margin and expenses related to research and development. All model assumptions are fulfilled and most parameters seem reliable. The hypothesis that price is a function of watch specifications is therefore accepted. The use of this model can be to estimate and compare prices of the wide variety of watches offered by Patek Philippe. Depending on preferences, a customer may find it easier to estimate the value for money. From this price explanation model, we can conclude that price depends mainly on advanced features, e.g. tourbillon, and what materials the case and link are made of. Aesthetic add-ons like precious metals and diamonds are most likely to make up the largest part of the price. However, no watch in the sample had a minute repeater (a mechanism that strikes the minutes, quarters and hours) or a split-second chronograph (a mechanism that allows measuring of two time intervals simultaneously), two very advanced features that should presumably have a significant impact on price. To get a more general idea of the price-setting of high-end mechanical wristwatches, further research can be focused on other manufacturers competing in the same market as Patek Philippe. For example, do we get similar results for JaegerLeCoultre, Vacheron Constantin and Breguet? UNIVERSITY OF GOTHENBURG: SCHOOL OF BUSINESS, ECONOMICS AND LAW REFERENCES Angulo, A., Gil, J., Gracia, A., Sánchez, M. (2000). “Hedonic prices for Spanish red quality wine”, British Food Journal, Vol. 102(7), 481-493. 10 UNIVERSITY OF GOTHENBURG Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry, FH (2011). Dictionary. Bienne, FH. Available (Online): <http://www.fhs.ch/berner/?l=en>[2011-04-03] Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry, FH (2011). Links. Bienne, FH. Available (Online): <http://www.fhs.ch/en/links.php>[2011-04-23] Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry, FH (2011). Swiss made. Bienne, FH. Available (Online): <http://www.fhs.ch/en/swissm.php>[2011-04-23] Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry, FH (2011). The Swiss and world watch industries in 2010. [Electronic] report. Bienne, FH. Available (Online): <http://www.fhs.ch/statistics/watchmaking_2010.pdf>[2011-04-23] Finest Watches (2011). Patek Philippe. Available <http://www.finestwatches.com/patek-philippe.html>[2011-04-01] (Online): Hill, R. Carter, Griffith, William E., Lim, Guay C. (2008). Principles of Econometrics: Third Edition, John Wiley & Sons, Inc, Hoboken. Kryvobokov, M. (2007). “What location attributes are the most important for market value?: Extraction of attributes from regression models”, Property Management, Vol. 25(3), 257-286. Luxury Bazaar (2011). Patek Philippe. Available (Online): <http://www.luxurybazaar.com/categories/catid_22_Patek_Philippe.html>[2011-04-01] Oczkowski, E. (1994). “A hedonic price function for Australian premium table wine”, Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 38(1), 93-110. Patek Philippe (2011). Description card ref. 6000G. Geneva, Patek Philippe. Available (Online): <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_6000G_010.html>[2011-04-01] Patek Philippe (2011). History. Geneva, Patek Philippe. Available (Online): <http://patek.com/html/en/history.html>[2011-04-23] Patek Philippe (2011). Values. Geneva, Patek Philippe. Available (Online): <http://patek.com/html/en/values.html>[2011-04-23] Sotheby’s (1999). Masterpieces from the time museum including watches, clocks and scientific instruments. New York, Sotheby’s. Available (Online): <http://www.sothebys.com/app/live/lot/LotDetail.jsp?lot_id=VMJC>[2011-04-23] Watch Talk Forums (2011). The Patek Philippe Forum. Available (Online): <http://www.watchtalkforums.info/forums/patek-philippe-reference-page-picture-galleryreviews/8630.htm>[2011-03-30] Yang, Z. (2001) “An application of the hedonic price model with uncertain attribute – The case of the People’s Republic of China”, Property Management, Vol. 19(1), 50-63. APPENDIX APPENDIX I: List of variables Bridges (Functional) Bridges support the wheels that make the watch function. Numerical variable. Chronograph (Functional) A mechanism that allows measuring of time intervals by operating push-pieces mounted on the watch. Dummy variable: Watch has a chronograph mechanism: 1 Watch has no chronograph mechanism: 0 Jewels (Functional) Jewels are used to reduce friction in the movement of the watch. They are long lasting and do not tear down easily. The jewels used in mechanical watches are often of synthetic ruby. Numerical variable. Moon phase indicator (Functional) An indicator that shows the phases of the moon. Dummy variable: Watch has a moon phase indicator: 1 Watch has no moon phase indicator: 0 Number of extra functions (Functional) Basic functions are considered as minute and hour dial, manually wound movement and water resistance of ≤30 m. The number of extra functions variable is then based on: Self-winding movement, Seconds subdial or hand, Day, Date, Month, AM/PM indicator, Water resistance (>30 m), Annual calendar, Perpetual calendar, World Time indicator, Moon phase indicator, Power reserve indicator, Chronograph, Split-second chronograph, Minute repeater and Tourbillon. Numerical variable. Parts (Functional) The number of separate parts that are used in the watch mechanism. Numerical variable. Tourbillon (Functional) A tourbillon is a very advanced watch mechanism made to eliminate timing errors caused by gravity. There is an ongoing dispute about its functionality in today’s watchmaking. As this is a report about price explanation, I will try not getting too technical about this matter. Dummy variable: Watch with tourbillon mechanism: 1 Watch without tourbillon mechanism: 0 Water resistance (Functional) The watch-movement must be protected from at least humidity and dust. Most watches are protected up to 30 meters of water pressure. Some watches are made for diving and as so they withstand more pressure. Dummy variable: Water resistance of >30m: 1 Water resistance of ≤30m: 0 A APPENDIX Winding mechanism (Functional) In this sample there are two types of winding mechanisms, manual and automatic (selfwinding). If a watch uses manual winding it is required to wind up the mainspring by hand. Self-winding is made by a rotor on the watch which winds up by movement automatically. Dummy variable: Automatic (Self-winding): 1 Manual: 0 Case details (Aesthetic) Engraved details on the sides of the case to give the watch a more unique look, exclusively seen on high-priced watches. Dummy variable: Watch has engraved case details: 1 Watch has no engraved case details: 0 Case material (Aesthetic) This is to account for what the watchcase is made of. Dummy variable with multiple levels, grouped as followed: Stainless steel: 1 Yellow gold: 2 Red/Rose gold (alloy of gold and copper): 3 White gold (alloy of gold and white metal): 4 Platinum: 5 Dial color (Aesthetic) The color the dial is in. Dummy variable: Light dial: 1 Dark dial: 0 Diamonds (Aesthetic) This variable is used to show how many carats of diamonds are used to decorate the watch. Numerical variable. Form (Aesthetic) This is a dummy variable to indicate what form the case is in. Circular: 1 Rectangular (and similar): 0 Gender (Aesthetic) Watches are divided into two groups, watches made for women and watches made for men. Dummy variable: Watches made for men: 1 Watches made for women: 0 Sapphire glass-back (Aesthetic) Some watches have a sapphire glass-back that allows you to see through the back and into the watch mechanism. Dummy variable: B APPENDIX Watch has sapphire glass-back: 1 Watch has no sapphire glass-back: 0 Size (Aesthetic) To be able to account for the size of both circular and rectangular watches in a unitary measure, size is calculated to mm2 using formulas: Circular: 𝐴 = 𝜋 ∗ 𝑟𝑎𝑑𝑖𝑢𝑠 ! Rectangular (and similar): 𝐴 = ℎ𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡 ∗ 𝑤𝑖𝑑𝑡ℎ Numerical variable. Strap material (Aesthetic) Material of the strap used to hold the wristwatch in place. It is usually made of leather or metal but can also be made of special rubber on watches made for diving. Dummy variable with multiple levels, grouped as followed: Watch has no metal link: 1 Watch has a metal link of stainless steel: 2 Watch has a metal link of yellow gold: 3 Watch has a metal link of red/rose gold: 4 Watch has a metal link of white gold: 5 C APPENDIX APPENDIX II: Patek Philippe US MSRP, Feb 15th 2011 Available (Online): <http://i229.photobucket.com/albums/ee69/FL_Investor/WTF_PP_Database/Patek_Philipe_Price_List_2011.jpg > [2011-03-30] D APPENDIX Available (Online): <http://i229.photobucket.com/albums/ee69/FL_Investor/WTF_PP_Database/Patek_Philipe_Price_List_2011_a.j pg> [2011-03-30] E APPENDIX APPENDIX III: List of included watches Ref. Description card (Online) 5116G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5116G_001.html> 5119J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5119J_001.html> 5119G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5119G_001.html> 5119R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5119R_001.html> 5120G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5120G_001.html> 5120J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5120J_001.html> 5120/1G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5120_1G_001.html> 5120/1J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5120_1J_001.html> 5127G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5127G_001.html> 5127J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5127J_001.html> 5127R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5127R_001.html> 5153J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5153J_001.html> 5196J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5196J_001.html> 5196P 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5196P_001.html> 5196G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5196G_001.html> 5196R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5196R_001.html> 5296G 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5296G_010.html> 5296G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5296G_001.html> 5296R 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5296R_010.html> 5296R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5296R_001.html> 5297G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5297G_001.html> 6000G 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_6000G_010.html> 3738/100G 012 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_3738_100G_012.html> 3738/100R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_3738_100R_001.html> 3738/100J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_3738_100J_012.html> 5738P 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5738P_001.html> 5098P 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5098P_001.html> 5098R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5098R_001.html> 5124G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5124G_001.html> 5124J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5124J_001.html> 5167A 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5167A_001.html> 5167R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5167R_001.html> 5167/1A 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5167_1A_001.html> 5711/1A 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5711_1A_010.html> 5712G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5712G_001.html> 5712R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5712R_001.html> 5713/1G 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5713_1G_010.html> 5719/1G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5719_1G_001.html> 5722G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5722G_001.html> 5724R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5724R_001.html> F APPENDIX 5980R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5980R_001.html> 5980/1A 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5980_1A_001.html> 5980/1A 014 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5980_1A_014.html> 5130G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5130G_001.html> 5130P 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5130P_001.html> 5130R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5130R_001.html> 5131G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5131G_001.html> 5131J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5131J_001.html> 5146J 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5146J_010.html> 5146J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5146J_001.html> 5146/1G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5146_1G_001.html> 5146/1G 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5146_1G_010.html> 5146G 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5146G_010.html> 5146G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5146G_001.html> 5146P 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5146P_001.html> 5146R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5146R_001.html> 5146/1J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5146_1J_001.html> 5147G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5147G_001.html> 5170J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5170J_001.html> 5180/1G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5180_1G_001.html> 5205G 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5205G_010.html> 5205G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5205G_001.html> 5396G 011 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5396G_011.html> 5396R 011 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5396R_011.html> 5960P 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5960P_001.html> 5960P 015 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5960P_015.html> 5960R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5960R_001.html> 5101G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5101G_001.html> 5102PR 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5102PR_001.html> 5139G 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5139G_010.html> 5140G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5140G_001.html> 5140J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5140J_001.html> 5140P 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5140P_001.html> 5140R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5140R_001.html> 5159J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5159J_001.html> 5159G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5159G_001.html> 5159R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5159R_001.html> 5160J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5160J_001.html> 5160G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5160G_001.html> 6104G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_6104G_001.html> 4909/50G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4909_50G_001.html> 4909/50R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4909_50R_001.html> 4897G 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4897G_010.html> 4897G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4897G_001.html> 4897R 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4897R_010.html> 4897R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4897R_001.html> G APPENDIX 7119G 012 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_7119G_012.html> 7119G 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_7119G_010.html> 7119J 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_7119J_010.html> 7119J 012 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_7119J_012.html> 7119/1G 012 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_7119_1G_012.html> 7119/1G 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_7119_1G_010.html> 7119/1J 012 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_7119_1J_012.html> 7119/1J 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_7119_1J_010.html> 7120G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_7120G_001.html> 7120R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_7120R_001.html> 5069G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_5069G_001.html> 4934G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4934G_001.html> 4934R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4934R_001.html> 4936G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4936G_001.html> 4936J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4936J_001.html> 4936R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4936R_001.html> 4937G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4937G_001.html> 4937R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4937R_001.html> 4958G 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4958G_010.html> 4958G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4958G_001.html> 4958J 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4958J_010.html> 4958J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4958J_001.html> 4958/1G 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4958_1G_010.html> 4958/1G 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4958_1G_001.html> 4958/1J 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4958_1J_010.html> 4958/1J 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_4958_1J_001.html> 7071R 010 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_7071R_010.html> 7071R 001 <http://patek.com/html/en/descriptionCards/ref_7071R_001.html> [2011-04-01] H
Similar documents
0 - Singapore Management University
value to drop rapidly. Opt for automatic or mechanical watches which do not require a battery instead - some of these are also appreciated for their artisanal value.
More information