The Delphic Sibyl was a legendary figure who made prophecies in

The Delphic Sibyl
was a legendary figure
who made prophecies
in the sacred precinct of Apollo
at Delphi, on the slopes
of Mount Parnassus
TO TELL THE FUTURE YOU NEED AN ORACLE
?
TO CALCULATE EMISSIONS IN THE FUTURE
YOU NEED SIBYL
!
SIBYL IS THE MOST ADVANCED
POLICY MAKING AND EVALUATION TOOL
IN ROAD TRANSPORT EMISSIONS
SIBYL WAS BORN IN EUROPE IN 2012.
IT IS THE OFFSPRING OF POLICIES AIMING AT
SERIOUSLY CUTTING DOWN EMISSIONS
BY 2020 AND BEYOND.
THIS IS HOW SIBYL CAME ABOUT
145
FACT1
EU ON ITS WAY TO REDUCE GHG EMISSIONS
OF NEW PASSENGER CARS TO 120 g/km BY 2015
AND 95 g/km BY 2020.
FACT2
THIS MAY BE ACHIEVED IN A MULTITUDE OF WAYS:
SMALLER CARS, NEW TECHNOLOGIES, HYBRIDIZATION
AND ELECTRIFICATION, OR EVEN WITH NON TECHNOLOGICAL
MEASURES, SUCH AS TAXATION AND INCENTIVES.
120
≥
‰
£
%

95
€
FACT3
POLICY MAKERS, THE INDUSTRY, AND CONSULTANTS
- ALL INVOLVED IN DESIGNING THE FUTURE NEED DATA, PROJECTIONS, AND SCENARIOS
ON HOW TO TEST THEIR ASSUMPTIONS AND MONITOR
THE POLICY IMPLEMENTATION.
FACT4
SIBYL IS HERE TO ASSIST!
HOW IT WORKS
SIBYL ENCOMPASSES UP-TO-DATE
STOCK DATASETS OF ALL VEHICLES
IN EACH EU MEMBER-STATE
AND EU27 AS A WHOLE
HOW IT WORKS
BASED ON HISTORICAL DATA
AND BASELINE PROJECTIONS, THE USER CAN BUILD
A CUSTOM SCENARIO BY ADJUSTING
THE MODEL PARAMETERS
HOW IT WORKS
SUCH FUTURE SCENARIOS MAY INVOLVE NEW TECHNOLOGY OR
FUEL PENETRATION, MEASURES AFFECTING THE STOCK GROWTH
AND REPLACEMENT RATES, AND EXPECTED EVOLUTION OF THE
MARKET SIZE.
SIBYL’S OUTPUT MAY FEED
IMPACT ASSESSMENTS
OF NEW POLICIES
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
AND EMISSION PROJECTION STUDIES
RESEARCH ON STOCK
AND ACTIVITY DYNAMICS
FEASIBILITY STUDIES OF NEW TECHNOLOGIES
ALREADY A NUMBER OF INSTITUTES
TRUST SIBYL IN THEIR WORKFIELD:
THE EU JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE (UNITS
IN ISPRA AND PETTEN) USE SIBYL FOR
BACKING UP EU POLICY
UNIVERSITIES FOR SUPPORTING THEIR
RESEARCH
CONSULTANCY FIRMS TO PROMOTE
THEIR BUSINESS
EXPLORING SIBYL
EXPLORE THE SOFTWARE
A] SCENARIO FORMULATION STARTING WITH A BASELINE
Modify the stock growth potential
Change the new/second-hand market evolution
Alter the vehicle lifetime function
Test alternative activity and trip patterns
Adjust the efficiency of vehicles through time
Calibrate or infer the technology mix
Incorporate details on electrified vehicles (electric, HEV, PHEV)
Add bi-fuelled vehicles as an option to conventional ones
EXPLORE THE SOFTWARE
B] POLICY ASSESSMENT
Execute scenario variations based on reasonable
assumptions or expert judgment
Introduce and evaluate accelerated scrappage schemes
Estimate how realistic CO2 limits can be and alter policies accordingly
Examine the impact of a variety of strategies
(electrification, downsizing, speed limits etc.)
EXPLORE THE SOFTWARE
C] TARGET SETTING
Focus on specific goals and equivalent metrics
Add constraints based on estimations from higher-tier models
Set CO2 targets and apply variations in order to reach them
Specify technology penetration and study the impacts
Design a combination of targets
(e.g. lower GHG by limiting trade-offs to NOx and PM)
SCENARIO DESIGN
MARKET STOCK SIZE AND GROWTH
BY ALTERING BASELINE ACTIVITY SPECIFICATIONS
USER DRIVEN CUSTOM VEHICLE TECHNOLOGY DESIGN
CONVENTIONAL AND STATE-OF-THE-ART ELECTRIFIED VEHICLES
FUEL CUSTOMIZATION (BIOFUEL, FLEXIFUEL, CNG, LPG)
TECHNOLOGY EFFICIENCY AND CARBON INTENSITY
KEY BENEFITS
BASELINE PROJECTION CALIBRATED
TO AGREED TARGETS IN EUROPE
DETAILED HISTORICAL DATA FOR ALL EU-27
READY-TO-USE TECHNOLOGIES FOR THE FUTURE
(HEV, PHEV, E-REV, BEV, BI-FUEL, BIOFUEL, …)
FUEL CONSUMPTION AND EMISSIONS USING
THE LATEST COPERT VERSION
CUSTOMIZED OUTPUT PER SCENARIO
SOFTWARE CAPABILITIES
TRADITIONAL TYPING OR GRAPHICAL DATA INPUT
EASY TO USE AND INTUITIVE INTERFACES
FULLY INTERACTIVE GRAPHS FOR DATA HANDLING
ENHANCED IMPORT/ EXPORT CAPABILITIES
MINIMAL USER EFFORT DURING SCENARIO DESIGN
AND EXECUTION
SIBYL IS AN IMPORTANT ASSET
TO POLICY MAKERS, RESEARCHERS,
AND INDUSTRIAL STAKEHOLDERS
(OIL, AUTOMOTIVE, ELECTRICITY)
SIBYL IS AN IMPORTANT ASSET
TO POLICY MAKERS, RESEARCHERS,
AND INDUSTRIAL STAKEHOLDERS
(OIL, AUTOMOTIVE, ELECTRICITY)
ASSESS THE PRESENT
AND MAKE THE RIGHT CHOICES
FOR THE FUTURE
SIBYL IS YOUR GUIDE
TO THE RIGHT PROJECTIONS
AND POLICIES
SIBYL IS DESIGNED BY
SIBYL IS DESIGNED BY
THE INNOVATIVE COMPANY IN ENGINEERING SOFTWARE
FOR ESTIMATING ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND EMISSIONS
NOW AND IN THE FUTURE
CREATED COPERT, THE MOST POPULAR
EMISSIONS CALCULATOR
But that is another oracle...
THE VEHICLE STOCK PROJECTION
AND SCENARIO EVALUATION SOFTWARE
developed and engineered by