Pettis County - Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission
Transcription
Pettis County - Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission
Pettis County Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan 2011 Update Created by Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission 12/11/2011 Authors 5/2010 – 5/2011 Drew Weisberg 6/2011- Current Rich Buford Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Table of Contents Introduction Assurance statements of compliance with FEMA Basis for planning authority Adoption by local governing bodies Planning process Participants and Jurisdictions represented Time frame for preparation Review of previously approved 2005 plan 5 8 8 8 9 10 10 11 Section 1 13 Community Profiles Geography, geology, and climate Form of government Community partnership Significant cultural/social issues Public awareness Media Relations Demographic information Economy, employment, and industry Primary Industries Labor Force, average wage rate and unemployment Access to employment: in-commuting and out-commuting Codes and regulations Existing community plans Land use information Development Trends Floodplain Management NFIP participation Wetland issues Environmental concerns Endangered species, historic properties/districts, archeological sites Identified Assets Inventory of infrastructure Roadways Railways Airports Public Transportation Telecommunications Sewer and water facilities Electric/Natural gas Solid waste disposal Law enforcement 13 14 19 19 19 19 20 21 26 26 27 28 29 29 29 31 31 31 32 32 32 33 33 33 33 33 34 34 34 35 35 35 2 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Emergency Medical services Fire Protection Underground infrastructure Inventory of critical/key/essential facilities Medical facilities Schools Longer term care facilities Day care centers Government facilities Inventory of large employment, commercial, recreational centers Recreational facilities 35 36 36 37 37 38 39 39 40 41 41 City/Town Profiles Green Ridge Houstonia Hughesville La Monte Sedalia Smithton 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 Section 2 55 Risk Assessment Hazard identification and elimination process Community wide hazard profile and list of hazards identified Hazards not included and reasons for elimination Tornadoes and Thunderstorms Floods Severe Winter Weather Drought Heat Wave Dam Failure Earthquake Wild land fires Multi-jurisdictional risk assessment in the county and municipalities Hazard Profile worksheets 55 55 55 56 57 74 88 95 103 108 120 128 136 137 Section 3 146 City/County capability Assessment Mitigation Management policies Existing Plans Mitigation programs County Capabilities (Organization, Staffing, Training) Emergency Operations Centers Communications & Warning Systems Communications 146 146 146 147 147 147 147 3 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 EMA Mobile Command Center (MCC) capabilities MCC support capabilities: Public Warning Hazardous Materials Response Team (HAZMAT) SKYWARN program Pettis County Cares Program Critical Utilities Protection Plan (CUPP) Damage Assessment Technicians Responsibilities and Authorities Vulnerability Assessment of County Policies and Development Trends Commitments to a Comprehensive Mitigation Program Laws, Regulations and Policies Related to Development in Hazard-Prone Areas County Laws, Regulations and Policies Related to Hazard Mitigation in General How Local Risk Assessments are Incorporated and Prioritized into Local Planning Integration of Hazard Mitigation with the City/County Department’s Plans How the County Determines Cost-Effectiveness of Mitigation Programs How Governments Meet Requirements for Hazard Mitigation Funding Programs Areas Where Improvement is Needed County and Municipal Policies and Development Trends Pettis County Community Capability Assessment Funding Sources Section 4 Introduction to Mitigation Definition of Mitigation Categories of Mitigation Mitigation versus Preparedness Mitigation versus Response and Recovery Mitigation Plan Benefits County Hazard Mitigation Goals, Objectives, Strategy and Coordination Ensure implementation through inclusion in adoption resolutions Analysis and prioritization of mitigation actions Monitoring, evaluating and updating the plan 148 148 148 149 149 149 150 150 150 167 167 150 151 151 151 151 151 151 152 154 155 160 160 160 160 161 162 162 163 171 171 177 Appendix A: Signed Adoption Resolutions Appendix B: Government Building/Facility Repetitive Loss Listings Appendix C: Maps Appendix D: Definitions Appendix E: Updates made to the 2004 Hazard Mitigation Plan Appendix F: Multi-Hazard Mitigation Resource Directory, Bibliography, and Acronyms Appendix G: Documentation of Public Input (Meeting Notices, Agendas, Newspaper Articles, Meeting Summaries, Sign-in Sheets) 4 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 INTRODUCTION Every year in the United States, natural disasters take the lives of hundreds of people and injure thousands more. Nationwide, taxpayers pay billions of dollars annually to help communities recover from hazard events. Most disasters that occur are predictable and much of the damage caused by these events can be alleviated or even eliminated with proper planning. The Pettis County Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan Update is an effort to reduce the impact of natural hazards on citizens and property. This will be done by outlining actions that will mitigate the hazards’ effects and break the cycle of repetitive disaster losses. The Plan Update will build on the previously approved Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan of 2005. Hazard mitigation as defined by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) is any action taken to eliminate or reduce the long-term risk to human life and property from natural and technological hazards. Because Missouri is prone to several types of natural disasters, mitigation planning becomes imperative in preventing human and economic loss. Hazard mitigation planning is the process through which hazards that threaten communities are identified, likely impacts of those hazards are determined, mitigation goals are set and appropriate strategies to lessen impacts are determined, prioritized and implemented. The Pettis County Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan Update documents the County’s hazard mitigation planning process, identifies relevant hazards and risks and outlines the strategy the County and participating jurisdictions will use to decrease hazard vulnerability and increase resiliency and sustainability. The Pettis County Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan Update was prepared by the staff of the Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission. The Commission serves Lafayette, Johnson, Saline and Pettis Counties as well as the 44 communities contained within those counties. Formed under Chapter 251 of the Revised Statues of the State of Missouri, all regional councils in Missouri operate as “quasi-governmental” entities. Regional Planning Commissions serve communities on an advisory basis and county and municipal governments hold membership on a voluntary basis. The primary role of the regional planning commission is to provide a technical staff capable of sound advice to its membership. The commission coordinates various planning and infrastructure needs among the counties and municipalities, as appropriate. Information in this plan update will be used to help guide and coordinate mitigation activities and decisions for local land use policy and future development plans. Proactive mitigation planning will help reduce the cost of disaster response and recovery to the community and its property owners. It will protect critical facilities, reduce liability exposure, and minimize overall community impacts and disruption. This plan update is designed to provide a general blueprint for hazard mitigation activities and is structured to serve as the basis for specific hazard mitigation efforts. This city and county mitigation plan complies with the State Emergency Management Agency and FEMA planning guidance; FEMA regulations, rules, guidelines and checklists; Code of Federal Regulations; and existing Federal and State laws; and such other reasonable criterion as the President/Governor, Federal/State congresses and SEMA/FEMA may establish in consultation with City/County 5 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 governments while the plan is being developed. In reading the 2011 Plan Update, refer to Appendix D for definitions of terms, and the end of Appenix G for definitions of acronyms. This plan update also meets the minimum planning requirements for all FEMA mitigation programs such as the: Flood Mitigation Assistance Program (FMA) Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program (PDM) Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP) National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP) National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) Community Rating System (CRS) Participating jurisdictions in the planning update process included: Pettis County City of Green Ridge City of Houstonia City of Hughesville City of LaMonte City of Sedalia City of Smithton These are the same communities that participated in the previously approved 2005 Plan. Representatives of each of the participating communities, along with planners from the PTRPC comprised the body that developed the Hazard Mitigation Plan Update. This group will be called the Planning Committee throughout the remainder of this document. The plan update was prepared pursuant to the requirements of the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 (Public Law 106-390) and the implementing regulations set forth by the Interim Final Rule published in the Federal Register on February 26, 2002 and finalized on October 31, 2007. (Hereafter, these requirements and regulations will be referred to collectively as the Disaster Mitigation Act, or “DMA”.) While the act emphasized the need for mitigation plans and more coordinated mitigation planning and implementation efforts, the regulations established the requirements that local hazard mitigation plans must meet in order for a local jurisdiction to be eligible for certain federal disaster assistance and hazard mitigation funding under the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Act (Public Law 93-288). Because Pettis County is subject to many hazards, access to these programs is vital. The DMA also provides specific criteria for the preparation and adoption of multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans by local governments to meet these requirements. The Pettis County Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan and Update were prepared to support the requirements of a mitigation plan for all participating local governments in the County. The DMA specifies that the following elements must be included in the plan: 6 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 The plan must document how the mitigation plan was prepared and who was involved in the planning process A risk assessment section should include: > Identification of the hazards likely to affect the area, noting data limitations and providing explanations for eliminating hazards from further consideration. > A discussion of past events and description of the severity and resulting effects > A description of the local vulnerability to the described hazards in terms of the types and numbers of buildings, infrastructure and critical facilities located in the jurisdiction. > A description of the potential dollar losses to the vulnerable structures identified and a description o the methods used to calculate the estimate > A description of the vulnerability in terms of land use and development so that mitigation options can be considered in future land-use decisions The plan must include a hazard mitigation strategy describing: > Goals to reduce or avoid long-term vulnerability to the identified hazards > A range of specific mitigation actions and projects to be considered, with particular emphasis on new and existing buildings and infrastructure > An action plan identifying how the actions will be prioritized, implemented and administered by the local jurisdiction. > For multi-jurisdictional plans Identifiable action items specific to the jurisdiction requesting FEMA approval of the plan All local units of government included in the plan must participate in the planning process. The plan must provide for reviewing, monitoring and evaluating the progress of the plan’s implementation, and must be updated every five years and re-approved. The plan must include documentation that the local governing bodies have formally adopted the plan. In a multi-jurisdictional plan, all participation local units of government seeking plan approval must individually adopt the plan, with the exception of unincorporated units of government. 7 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Assurance statements of compliance with FEMA This city/county mitigation plan update complies with SEMA’s and FEMA’s planning guidance; FEMA regulations, rules, guidelines, and checklists; Code of Federal Regulations; and existing Federal and State laws; and such other reasonable criterion as the President/Governor, Federal/State congresses and SEMA/FEMA may establish in consultation with City/County governments while the plan is being develop. This plan update also meets the minimum planning requirements for all FEMA mitigation programs, such as the Flood Mitigation Assistance (FMA) Program, the Pre-Disaster Mitigation (PDM) Program, and the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP), and where appropriate, other FEMA mitigation related programs such as the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP), the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) and the Community Rating System (CRS). Basis for planning authority The basis for authority to create a natural hazard mitigation plan lies in Section 322 of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act (Stafford Act), 42 U.S.C. 5165. This act was enacted under Section 104 of the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 (DMA 2000), P.L. 106-390. Section 104 is the legal basis for FEMA’s Interim Final Rule for 44 CFR Parts 201 and 206, published in the Federal Register on February 26, 2002. Adoption by local governing bodies Participation of local governing bodies as stakeholders is critical to successful mitigation implementation. Therefore, Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission (PTRPC) has collaborated with each local government to assure participation and sense of ownership among local government officials. The Planning Process The planning update process began in October of 2009. Initial planning work began with utilizing modern technology to encourage maximum participation. The previously approved Pettis County 2005 Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan was posted on the Pioneer Trails Website (trailsrpc.org). This was done for public review. A point of contact was established for comments and questions about the 2005 plan and the update process. A virtual calendar was also provided on the webpage under the Hazard Mitigation section. This calendar provided details of public meeting dates, times and locations for the Planning Committee. In order to comply with the Sunshine Law, all Planning Committee public meeting notices were posted in the Main Entrance to the PTRPC website and press releases were issued in the most widely distributed newspapers in the County. Notifications were also sent to Emergency Managers of Pettis County and neighboring counties, Mayor’s offices, Emergency Responders, Area Hospitals, School District Superintendents and Safety Directors of Higher Education Institutions. Mailings and press releases were distributed on a schedule that allowed officials sufficient time to review 8 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 the draft prior to the next hazard mitigation update public meeting. Cities that were not represented at Planning Committee public meetings were contacted during the planning process to provide data and input on the plan update. Two public Planning Committee meetings were held in December and January. Public Meeting #1 Friday, December 18, 2009 First United Methodist Church 1702 W. 32nd St. Sedalia, MO The first public meeting introduced the public to the Hazard Mitigation update process. The four phase process was described and outline and a timeframe for the update was discussed. The initial public meeting was an overview of the first two phases of hazard mitigation planning, resource allocation and identifying hazards. Utilizing FEMA guidelines, specifically FEMA386, worksheet packets were generated and provided to attendees. The worksheets outlined: Hazard Rankings Hazard Information Infrastructure Inventory Hazard Issues Regulatory Tools Financial Resources Planning Committee public meeting attendees were asked to fill out the worksheets and respond back to provide input into the update. The worksheets are included in this plan on [pages ___, Appendix ___] Public Meeting #2 Wednesday, January 19th, 2010 Sedalia-Pettis County EMD Office 319 S. Lamine Rd. Sedalia, MO The second Planning Committee public meeting reviewed the resources available in Pettis County and the process of hazard identification began. The third phase of the hazard mitigation process was also introduced and discussed. Attendees reviewed goals, objectives and strategies from the 2005 plan to discuss actions that were accomplished. In addition, goals, objectives, and actions that needed to be introduced or revised were discussed. The initial draft of the 2010 Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan Update was posted online to allow the public to review the plan and provide input. 9 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Key participants in the planning process and the roles that they played on the Planning Committee are included in the following table. Participating Jurisdiction Pettis County City of Green Ridge City of Houstonia City of Hughesville City of La Monte City of Sedalia City of Smithton Hazard Mitigation Participation by Jurisdiction Formal Public Participant Telephone Email Plan Meeting Adoption x x x Allan Rohrbach x x x x x x Dave Clippers x x x x Meetings with PTRPC Staff x Letter of Authorization x x x x x Representatives from communities without the resources and manpower to attend public meetings were kept apprised of the plan developments by less formal communication, such as emails, phone calls, and one-on-one meetings. In addition, every effort was made during the plan development phase to gather data and ideas from all participants. Key Planning Committee participants included the following individuals. David Clippert, Sedalia-Pettis County Emergency Management Director James Tyson, Pettis County Floodplain Manager Allan Rohrbach, Green Ridge Mayor The following table sets forth the timeline for public participation and development of the 2011 Plan Update. Timeline for preparation 10 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Review of previously approved 2005 plan The Planning Committee reviewed each section of the previously approved 2005 plan, and determined that all sections of the original plan needed to be updated to some extent. The basic outline of the original 2005 was retained. The original plan was written early in FEMA’s interpretation of the requirements for Hazard Mitigation Plans. The current guidance, Local Multi-Hazard Mitigation Planning Guidance, was published in July 2008, and was used in the development of the Plan Update. Based on feedback from FEMA planners and new guidance developed late in 2001, a restructuring of the plan seemed appropriate to fulfill the current interpretation of FEMA requirements in a clear and cohesive manner. A general description of changes and updates made to the plan are shown below. Introduction: Most of this section was unchanged except for the dates and the timeframe. Dated material was deleted. Review of changes in the planning area, including disaster declarations, was performed. Section 1: The Community Profiles were updated with information from the 2010 census and other more current databases. All charts and graphs were updated to reflect more recent data. The NFIP information was double checked in insure accuracy. All participating jurisdictions reviewed the information in the Identified Assets sub-section for accuracy. The City/Town Profiles were made current. Maps showing identified SFHAs were inserted into the plan. Section 2 Risk Assessment: The same hazards that were in the previously approved 2005 Plan were carried forward into the 2010 Plan. However, the information in each of the hazard profiles was rearranged under the four headings required by FEMA Guidelines: location, severity/ magnitude, previous events of the hazard, and probability of future hazard events. In addition, the vulnerability assessment incorporated new information from the 2010 State of Missouri Hazard Mitigation Plan Update. Data limitations were cited, along with pledges to try to obtain better information for the next plan update. The Plan Update does not include information concerning the 2011 presidentially declared flooding disasters. Section 3: City/County Capability Assessment: The capabilities of all participating jurisdictions were reviewed to insure that all were current. Changes were made where necessary. Section 4: Introduction to Mitigation section was shortened by elimination of dated materials. Information in the Goals, Objectives, and Actions was rearranged to more closely align with current FEMA guidelines. A thorough review of the strategy set forth in the previously approved 2005 Plan was performed. New strategies were developed and put into the Update. A review of the effectiveness of previous monitoring, evaluating, and updating efforts of the 2005 Plan was performed. A more comprehensive monitoring methodology was developed. Appendices: Replaced appendices with appropriate ones for update. 11 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 The process of reviewing the 2005 Plan included evaluating the changes that have occurred in the planning area since 2005, and the impact of those changes on the hazard mitigation plan. The general consensus was that some land development had occurred in the largest city, Sedalia, but the general picture in terms of hazard mitigation remained stable. Part of this process of review involved information from the federal disaster declarations that included Pettis County. Out of the twelve disaster declarations (not including the 2011 flooding and tornado declarations) since the beginning of the Pettis County plan development in 2004, only three involved the planning area. Those three were as follows. March 16, 2006 - DR # 1631 was declared for Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding – Pettis County was approved for both Individual Assistance (IA) and Public Assistance (PA). April 5, 2006 – DR # 1635 was declared for Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding – Pettis County was approved for PA only. June 25, 2008 – DR # 1773 was declared for Severe Storms and Flooding – Pettis was approved for PA only. The declarations resulted in reduced resources both in terms of funding and in terms of manpower for the development of the 2011 Plan Update. Identified natural hazards Tornados and severe thunderstorms as well as severe winter storms, drought and heat wave have affected Pettis County within the last 50 years. Earthquakes, wildfires and dam failures have not occurred within Pettis County in the past 50 years; however, data and expert opinions indicate the possibility of occurrence in the future. Natural hazard risks to Pettis County are ranked in descending order. The tornado/thunderstorm hazard is followed by, severe winter storms, flood, drought, heat wave, earthquake, dam failure, and wildfire hazards. Goals, future planning and plan coordination The overall goals of the Update include: (1) protect the lives and livelihoods of all citizens; (2), manage growth through sustainable principles and practices to limit hazard areas; (3) ensure uninterrupted government and emergency functions in a disaster; and (4) preserve and maintain property, infrastructure, businesses and jurisdiction vitality. These goals, as well as the current objectives and actions will be reviewed every five years under the coordination of the county’s Emergency Management Agency. Numerous citizens and public organizations have participated in this process. Implementation, monitoring and evaluation will be sustainable over the long term because it has grassroots support originating from a sense of county, local and individual ownership 12 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Section I Community Profiles County Profile History Pettis County is one of 115 counties and county equivalent cities in Missouri. Organized in January 26, 1833, it took its name from Spencer Pettis, the third Congressman from Missouri, elected in 1828, when the entire State made but one congressional district. He is remembered for his duel with Major Thomas Biddle, which resulted in the death of both. The Territory of Pettis County was taken from the counties of Cooper and Saline; at one time the southern boundary of Saline County passed through the present city of Sedalia. During the Civil War sentiment was greatly divided and a large number of the arms-bearing people entered one or the other of the contending armies. With the exception of the attack upon Sedalia during the Price raid in 1864, the county saw little of war except the occasional passage of troops. However, the county seat was a large military post and depot. A few of the personal feuds which so greatly marred some other portions of the estate did exist in this County. Pettis County is a strong rural county, but Sedalia was closely tied to the railroad lines passing through it. Those times are almost forgotten, except for the annual Ragtime Festival held to commemorate the partnership in Sedalia of music publisher John Stark and ragtime composer Scott Joplin. The population of the county increased from 32,438 in 1900 until 1940 when the population was 33,336. The years between 1940 and 1950 showed a decline to 31,577 after 1950 there had been a steady increase until 1980 when the population was 36,378. The population for 1990 was 35,437 and by the 2000 census had grown to 39,403 which is an increase of 11.2% over the 1990 figures. In the 2010 Census the county has continued to grow but at a slower rate as the 2010 population is 42,201 which is a 7.1% increase from 2000. Today 37.8% of the population lives in rural areas. However, only 5% of the population lives on farms. 13 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Population Pettis County Population Trend 42,500 42,000 41,500 41,000 40,500 40,000 39,500 39,000 38,500 38,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Years Figure 1: Pettis County Population Trends Source: U.S. Census Bureau Geography, Geology, Climate Pettis County is located in the central part of Missouri. It is bounded on the north by Saline County; east by Cooper and Morgan counties; south by Benton County and west by Lafayette, Johnson and Henry Counties. Pettis County encompasses approximately 685 square miles (16.5 incorporated miles), or 438,400 acres. The Lower Missouri-Blackwater-Lamine River Basin includes those streams in the west-central part of Missouri, which drain into the Missouri River. The Lamine River is formed when Flat and Richland creek meet in Morgan County to form a prominent Missouri River tributary – the Lamine River. From its beginning just south of Highway 50 to its confluence with the Missouri, 59 river miles north, the Lamine meanders through Pettis County. According to the topography relief map below, Pettis County’s topography consists mostly of gently rolling plains and some highly dissected plateaus. The map below shows the overall layout of the planning area, including the county and the incorporated jurisdictions. 14 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Figure 2: Pettis County Climate Like the rest of Missouri, Pettis County has a continental type of climate marked by strong seasonality. In winter months, dry-cold air masses periodically swing south from the northern plains and Canada. The resulting weather includes reasonably humid air, snowfall and rainfall. In summer months, moist, warm air masses swing north from the Gulf of Mexico. The resulting weather produced by this effect includes large amounts of rainfall. However, high pressure 15 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 could stagnate over the County creating extended periods of drought. Spring and fall months are typically transitional seasons. Abrupt changes in temperature and precipitation can occur due to successive, fast moving fronts separating contrasting air masses. The climate is generally moderate. Temperatures range from an average high of 89 degrees in July to an average low of 19 degrees in January. Rainfall averages 4 inches per month from March through July while the average is 3 inches per month during September through December. January and February average only 2 inches, while snowfall averages 3-5 inches in the winter months. Average wind speeds range from 9 miles per hour in July to 13 miles per hour in March. Winter and spring winds are from the west-northwest while summer winds blow primarily from the south Figure 3: Topographic Relief Map Soils There are a total of seven soil associations in Pettis County including the Dockery-Tangle nookLamine Association, Pershing-Green ton-Dockery Association, Hartwell Association, BluelickGoss-Pembroke Association, Maplewood=Paintbrush-Eldon Association, Arispe-MacksburgGreenton Association, Eldon=Paintbrush=Bahner Association. The Dockery-Tanglenook-Lamine Association landscape association consists of flood plains along streams that dissect the county. This association makes up about 3 percent of the county. It is about 48 percent Dockery soidl, 22 percent Tanglenook and similar soils, 18 percent Lamine soils and 12 percent minor soils. Dockery soils are somewhat poorly drained. They are on flood plains adjacent ot stream channels. Thanglenook soil are poorly drained. They are on high stream flood plains few feet higher than the adjacent bottom land. Lamine soils are somewhat 16 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 poorly drained. They are on high stream flood plains a few feet high that the adjacent bottom land. Pershing-Greenton-Dockery Association landscape consists of branching ridge tops with sloping areas between them that form the beginnings of a dissected drainage pattern. This association makes up about 6 percent of the county. It is about 32 percent Pershing and similar soils, 22 percent Greenton and similar soils, 11 percent Dockery soils, and 35 percent minor soils. Pershing soils are gently sloping and moderately sloping. They formed in loess. They are on ridge tops, side slopes and foot slopes. Greenton soils are moderately sloping and strongly sloping. They formed in a thing mantle of loess underlain by shale and limestone residuum. They are on side slopes. Dockery soils are nearly level. They formed in alluvium. They are on flood plains. Hartmwell Association landscape consists of long, brnachning ridge tops and extremely long side slopes that are very gently sloping. Foot slopes below the side slopes are adjacent to small flood plains that converge downward in the landscape toward larger streams. This association makes up about 15 percent of the county. Ti is about 84 percent Hartwell soils and 16 percent minor soils; Hartwell soils are on ridge tops, side slopes and foot slopes. Bluelick-Goss-Pembroke Association landscape consists of long main ridge tops with numerous lateral side ridges sloping areas between the side ridges. The ridge tops begin a branching pattern of drainage that converges to form small drainage ways connecting with larger streams. Strongly sloping to steep areas with prominent drainage patterns border these bottomland areas. This association makes up about 19 percent of the county. It is about 25 percent Bluelick soils, 22 percent Goss and similar soils, 20 percent Pembroke soils, and 33 percent minor soils. Bluelick soils are gently sloping to strongly sloping. They are comprised of loess in the underlying cherty limestone residuum. They are on ridge tops and side slopes. Goss Soils are moderately steep and steep. They formed in cherty limestone or dolomite residuum. They are on side slopes. Pembroke soils are gently sloping to strongly sloping. They formed in loess. They are on ridge tops, side slopes and foot slopes. Maplewood-Paintbrush-Eldon Association landscape consists of long main ridge tops with numerous lateral side ridges separated by long side slopes and narrow banking drainage ways. This association makes up about 18 percent of the county. It is about 28 percent Maplewood and similar soils, 26 percent paintbrush and similar soils, 12 percent Eldon and similar soils, and 34 percent minor soils. Maplewood soils are gently sloping and are somewhat poorly drained. They formed in loess and in the underlying cherty limestone and dolomite residuum. They are one ridge tops and side slopes. Eldon soils are moderately sloping and strongly clopping and are well drained. They formed in cherry limestone and dolomite residuum. They are on side slopes. 17 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Arispe-Macksburg-Greenton Association landscape consists of long, broad, branching main ridges with numerous lateral side ridges. Long, concave side slopes between the main ridges begin a pattern of branching drainage that converges to form small flood plains. This association makes up about 32 percent of the county. It is about 52 percent Arispe soils, 25 percent Macksburg soils, 11 percent Greenton Soils, and 12 percent minor soils. Macksburg soils are gently sloping. They formed in loess. They are on ridge tops. Greenton soils are gently sloping and moderately sloping. They formed in a thing mantle of loess and in the underlying limestone and shale residuum. They are on side slopes. Eldon-Paintbrugh-Bahner Association The landscape of this association consists of long main ridge tops with numerous lateral side ridges. Sloping areas between the side ridges begin a branching pattern of drainage that converges to form small flood plains adjacent to larger streams. Strongly-sloping to steep areas with prominent drainage patterns border these bottomland areas. This association makes up about 7 percent of the county. It is about 48 percent Eldon and similar soils, 20 percent Paintbrush soils, 10 percent Bahner soils, and 22 percent minor soils. Eldon soils are moderately sloping and strongly sloping and are well drained. They are on side slopes. Paintbrush soils are gently sloping and moderately sloping and are moderately well drained. They are on ridge tops and side slopes. Bahner soils are gently sloping and moderately sloping and are moderately well drained. They are on ridge tops and side slopes. Dockery-TanglenookLamine Association Pershing-GreentonDockery Association Hartwell Association Bluelick-Goss-Pembroke Association Maplewood-PaintbrushEldon Association Arispe-MacksburgGreenton Association Eldon-Paintbrush-Bahner Association. Figure 4: Pettis County Soil Types A detailed map of Pettis County soils is located in Appendix C 18 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Form of Government The county government, as related to disaster mitigation, primarily consists of the County Commission, Planning and Zoning, Assessor, County Clerk, Sheriff, Emergency Management, Public Health, Coroner, and Road and Bridge. Pettis County operates as a second-class county. The county government has authority to administer county structures, infrastructure and finances as well as a master plan, zoning code, subdivision regulations, floodplain regulations and storm water regulations. Community Partnerships The County and its cities collaborate on numerous issues such as infrastructure, law enforcement, and emergency services. Missouri Department of Transportation (MoDot) and the county and cities collaborate efforts concerning transportation issues. Missouri Department of Conservation (MDC) and local firefighters work together to safeguard the county’s forested areas. Significant Cultural/Social issues There has been very rapid growth in Hispanic population in Pettis County during the past decade. School enrollment data shows a 545 percent increase in Hispanic students since 1990. The increase was almost 600 percent in the Sedalia district, where Hispanic students now account for 4 percent of total enrollment. Experience has shown that the increase has been even more explosive in the general population due to an influx of many young unmarried males in search of employment. There has also been a sizable influx of Russian/Ukrainian residents to the area as well. This rapid influx has created many issues and concerns around emergency services, housing, banking, education, transportation, and communication. Public Awareness The Pettis County Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan Update kick-off meeting was held December 18, 2009. Representatives from the County and the incorporated areas as well as the general public to learn about the benefits of creating hazard mitigation plans as well as the planning process. The advantages of hazard mitigation were presented to local civic leaders at the meeting. Notifications of public meetings relating to the update planning process were published in the Sedalia Democrat which serves Pettis County. 19 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Media Relations The Sedalia Democrat is the official newspaper of Pettis County. In addition, the Central Missouri news covers news in Sedalia and the surrounding areas. Both provide adequate coverage of planning issues such as natural hazard mitigation. Newspapers: Sedalia Democrat Central Missouri News Knob Noster Item Four Radio Stations are based in Pettis County. These local stations cover local issues in depth. The Kansas City broadcast media provide weather reports and warnings that detail specific cities and counties at risk. Radio Stations: KDRO-AM, Sedalia KPOW-FM, Sedalia KSIS-AM, Sedalia KIX-FM, Sedalia Television Stations: DMOS-6 (PBS) Sedalia WDAF-4 (Fox), Kansas City KCTV-5 (CBS), Kansas City KCPT-19 (PBS), Kansas City KCMI-38 (IND), Kansas City KSHB-41 (NBC), Kansas City The media plan for increasing hazard mitigation awareness will be initiated through the appropriate local agencies as specific hazard seasons occur. At these times, residents are more attuned to receiving prevention information. Various prevention instructions from the FEMA website will be the main source of information to be disseminated through the media. 20 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Demographic information Hazard mitigation programs must consider the population demographics of the communities they are designed to protect. Some population experience greater vulnerability from hazard events because of decreased resources or physical abilities to respond. Studies demonstrate that those people most at-risk (the elderly, physically/mentally disabled, ethnic minorities, people near or below the poverty level) tend to suffer more severe effects from disasters than the general population. Population growth and density play a large role in hazard mitigation. Development trends are important factors to consider if people are locating in areas that are in the path of potential natural hazards. Population More than 40,000 people live in Pettis County. Population growth has been fairly stagnant over the past 30 years. More people have been locating in unincorporated areas of the County and five of the six incorporated areas experienced little to no growth or a decrease in population. Only Hughesville experienced a growth from 1980 to 2008 of nearly 20%. The unincorporated areas of Pettis County, however, saw a 34% increase in population over the last 30 years. More people are beginning to locate to the County in areas outside the six jurisdictions. Table 1 provides an overview of the population trends in Pettis County over the last 30 years. Pettis County Population, 2010 42,201 Population, percent change, 2000 to 2010 7.10% Population, 2000 39,403 Table 1: Pettis County Population Jurisdiction 1980 1990 2000 2010 % Change 2000 - 2010 City of Green Ridge 488 452 445 476 6.97% City of Houstonia 327 283 275 210 -20% City of Hughesville 152 174 174 183 5.17% City of La Monte 1,054 995 1,064 1,140 7.14% City of Sedalia 20,927 19,800 20,339 21,387 5.15% 21 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 City of Smithton 559 532 510 570 11.76% Unincorporated Area 12,871 13,201 16,596 18,235 11% Pettis County 36,378 35,437 39,403 42,201 7.10% Source: MSDC 2010 Census Diversity Although Pettis County’s racial mix remains predominantly white in the 2010 Census, the diversity of the population has increased. Historically, diversity has been scarce. However, the 2010 Census showed the presence of non-white races increased to 3.4% of the total population. The portion of the county’s Hispanic population in particular grew significantly. Between 2000 and 2010, the county’s Hispanic population increased from 268 to 1,542. The county’s increase exceeded the state’s 92.2% increase. Table 3 presents a more detailed look at the county’s diversity. Roughly 78% of Pettis County’s 25–plus years population are high school graduates or higher. Depending upon regional economic conditions, this indicates the workforce should be able to find alternative employment if a disaster were to eliminate jobs. The county’s age bracket in Table 3 shows that 58.5% of the population is of labor force age; 40.1% of the work force is age 25-54. Typical vulnerable populations include those age 65 and over at 16% as well as those age 14 and under at 21.9% of the general population. Table 2 Pettis County Diversity 2010 Census 2000 Census Percent Change White 37,839 36275 4.31% African American 1,264 1197 5.60% Asian 253 154 64.29% American Indian and Alaska Native 177 148 19.59% Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander 31 21 47.62% Other 2,637 1608 63.99% Totals 42201 39403 7.10% Source: 2010 Census 22 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Age Trends The vulnerability of age groups can vary significantly based on health, age and income level. The elderly appear to be one of the more susceptible groups to the effects of a natural disaster due to a lack of physical and economic resources necessary for a response. Figures 5 and 6 demonstrate the population trend of Pettis County from 2000 to 2010. The population has become older with most families remaining in the County and few new, younger families moving in. In 2000, most children were between 5 and 18 while their parents were mostly 35 to 45 years of age. This is compared to 1990 where most children were between 0 and 15 and their parents were aged 25 to 35. The elderly population has remained fairly consistent throughout the past decade other than females aged 85 and over. 2000 Population 80-84 70-74 AGE COHORT 60-64 Years 50-54 Years 40-44 Years Female 30-34 Years Male 20-24 Years 10-14 Years Under 5 Years 2000 1500 1000 500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 POPULATION Figure 5: 2000 Pettis County Population Pyramid Source: 2000 U.S. Census 23 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 1990 Population 80-84 70-74 AGE COHORT 60-64 Years 50-54 Years 40-44 Years Female 30-34 Years Male 20-24 Years 10-14 Years Under 5 Years 2000 1500 1000 500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 POPULATION Figure 6: 1990 Pettis County Population Pyramid Source: 2000 U.S. Census – As of this writing, this is the most current data categorized by sex Housing The housing market in Pettis County is impacted by the presence of State Fair Community College, Whiteman AFB in nearby Knob Noster, MO , and patterns of growth. The 2010 Census noted 70.3% owner occupation versus 19.6% rentals, with an 8.2% vacancy rate. The average dwelling unit in the County is approximately 37 years old. Table 3 24 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Source: 2000 U.S Census *As of this writing this is the most current data available 25 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Economy, employment and history The 2000 U.S. Census (the most current information for most of this breakdown of data) reported the County had a labor force (worker 16 and over) of 18,286, or 46% of the County’s total population. The average wage for the first quarter of 2001 was $468 per week. Nearly 12.6% of the population, or 4,967 persons, were below the federal poverty level. The 2000 unemployment rate for Pettis County was 4.9% compared to Missouri’s 2000 rate of 4.7%. Table 4 Source: 2000 U.S. Census The July 1, 2010 unemployment rate for Pettis County was 8.91%, which was lower than the statewide rate of 9.60% on the same date. Primary Industries Continued automation in the manufacturing process has helped drive up the demand for the higher wages of skilled labor. At the same time, fewer employees are needed to operate the systems. Pettis County’s primary products include: processed poultry food products, steel and metal fabrication, commercial food service products, chemical products, cellular glass insulation, playground equipment, bullets, industrial cleaning tools, compressors and fiberglass tanks. The table below is from the 2010 Census, and presents a picture of the Pettis County economy. 26 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Business QuickFacts Private nonfarm establishments, 2009 Private nonfarm employment, 2009 Private nonfarm employment, percent change 20002009 Non-employer establishments, 2009 Total number of firms, 2007 Black-owned firms, percent, 2007 American Indian- and Alaska Native-owned firms, percent, 2007 Asian-owned firms, percent, 2007 Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander-owned firms, percent, 2007 Hispanic-owned firms, percent, 2007 Women-owned firms, percent, 2007 Manufacturers shipments, 2007 ($1000) Merchant wholesaler sales, 2007 ($1000) Retail sales, 2007 ($1000) Retail sales per capita, 2007 Accommodation and food services sales, 2007 ($1000) Building permits, 2010 Federal spending, 2009 Pettis County Missouri 1 1,056 17,284 -2.2% 150,892 1 2,358,706 1 -1.7% 2,493 375,075 3,399 S F 501,064 4.9% 0.6% S F 1.9% 0.1% F 21.2% 1.2% 26.1% 1,535,848 110,907,604 169,425 81,032,913 547,263 76,575,216 $13,415 $12,957 55,361 11,070,634 28 9,699 1 332,418 67,372,613 Inventory of Commercial/Industrial Facilities Several major manufacturing plants, a mix of both national and local companies, are located within the County (see Table 5). A list of these companies that employ 50 or more people follows. 27 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Table 5 Access to employment: in-commuting and out-commuting The majority of Pettis County’s workforce works inside the county. Pettis County’s commuting patterns show that 2,527 or 14% of the county’s workers work outside of the county . In the event of a natural disaster confined to Pettis County, the county’s out-commuters are likely to retain their access to employment. See out-commuting chart below. Pettis County Johnson County Saline County Jackson County Benton County Henry County Moniteau County Figure 7: Pettis County Outcommuting Patterns 28 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Source: http://mcdc2missouri.du/data/workflow/reports/MissouriRsort. Codes/Regulations such as building, storm water, fire and zoning Missouri state law dictates that powers and structure of county governments. Pettis County operates as a second-class county and administers county structures, infrastructure and floodplain regulations. Zoning codes as well as building and storm water regulations are need to implement mitigation measures such as site plan review of drainage, flood hazard, soil, slop and street connectivity issues. Existing Community Plans Pettis County has developed a County Emergency Operations Plan. The purpose of the Emergency Operations Plan (EOP), published in 1998 and updated in 2003 and 2009 is to “reduce or prevent the loss of lives and damage to property in Pettis County.” The EOP delegates the Presiding County Commissioner with the responsibility for emergency management activities in locations that do not have a local emergency management organization. Pettis County emergency management is set up along the following functional lines: direction and control; communications and warning; emergency public information; damage assessment; law enforcement; fire and rescue; resource and supply; public works; evacuation; in-place shelter; reception and care; health and medical, terrorism/bioterrorism, and civil disorder. The EOP also defines lines of succession for continuity of government during a disaster as well as preservation of records and the logistics of administrative functions such as procedures for preservation of records and the logistics of administrative functions such as procedures for obtaining use of facilities. The EOP is reviewed annually and changed as needed. Land use information Land use in Pettis County is divided into the following categories: residential (35,753 acres) commercial (2,491 acres), industrial (2,379 acres), public (4,137 acres), recreational (2,932 acres), transportation, and undeveloped (farmland with 376,217 acres). According to the most recent Agriculture data, Pettis County agriculture land use is divided into the following: Cropland: harvested (184,121), pastured (60,854), other (70,116), Woodland pasture (27, 319), and other pasture (44,936) (agebb.Missouri.edu). 29 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Figure 8: Pettis County Landcover 30 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Development trends Pettis County has seen some growth in the last ten years growing from a population 39,403 in 2000 to a population of 42,201 in the 2010 census. Within the county 37.8% of the population live in rural areas and 66.2% live in urban housing. These units are located primarily in or near Sedalia, Smithton, and La Monte. Smaller concentrations exist in Green Ridge, Houstonia, and Hughesville. Table 6 Population Trends Cities within Pettis County Jurisdiction 2000 2010 % of Change Green Ridge 445 476 6.97 Houstonia 275 220 -20.0 Hughesville 174 183 5.17 LaMonte 1,064 1,140 7.14 Sedalia 20,339 21,387 5.15 Smithton 510 570 11.76 Pettis County 39,403 42,201 7.10 Source: http://mcdc.missouri.edu Floodplain management & NFIP participation Pettis County has an active floodplain manager who ensures the regulation of construction remodeling, and all types of excavation in designated flood plains. Within floodplain and floodway zones, new construction, and improvements are not allowed without extensive mitigation features in the construction. Any encroachments such as fill, new construction, or other developments within in the floodway must not create any increase in flood levels within the community during a base flood discharge. The table below shows the NFIP status of communities in the planning area. Houstonia is not a participant. Note that “NSFHA” means that the community has no Special Flood Hazard Areas (SFHAs). Community Name County Init FHBM Identified LA MONTE, CITY OF PETTIS COUNTY * SEDALIA, CITY OF SMITHTON, CITY OF PETTIS COUNTY PETTIS COUNTY PETTIS COUNTY PETTIS COUNTY 05/02/75 12/15/83 02/08/74 04/25/75 Init FIRM Identified (NSFHA) 5/01/94(L) 01/05/96 (NSFHA) Curr Eff Map Date 08/24/84 05/01/94 09/18/85 09/10/84 31 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 The county participates in the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). The Floodplain Manager administers the program for Pettis County. As of December 31, 2003, the county had 9 flood insurance policies in force at $716,800. The city of Sedalia has 72 flood insurance policies in force at $5,001,000. Additional NFIP information is found on page 161. Wetlands issues The topography and soil content are not conducive to formation of large wetlands. However, numerous small wetlands exist with varying degrees of quality. Environmental concerns Hazardous material sites, from gas stations to various commercial and industrial sites, exist within the county. Most sites are located within urban areas. Natural disasters could precipitate a release of hazardous materials at any of these sites. No federal Superfund sites lie within the county. See Figure 57 located in Appendix C for a map of all EPA sites. Transportation incidents involving hazardous materials could occur at any time or place in Pettis County. A hazardous material incident is most likely to occur along U.S. Highway 65, U.S. Highway 50, and primary arterial roadways leading to fixed facilities or along the many miles of railways and switching spurs in Pettis County. The Union Pacific Railroads transports hazardous materials in large quantities through Sedalia and Pettis County. The geographic location of Pettis County in relationship to Whiteman Air Force Base makes it a high risk for direct effects of thermonuclear blasts, if the base is attacked with nuclear weapons. Endangered species and threatened species within Pettis County is the Topeka Shiner (Notropis Topeka). Endangered plant species is Mead's milkweed (Asclepias meadii). The National Registry of Historic Places includes numerous sites in Pettis County. The Hughesville area includes Bois d'Arc Cooperative Dairy Farm Historic District, Hillview Cooperative Dairy Farm Historic District, Osage Farms Type 315:13 Government Farmhouse, Osage Farms Unit No. 1 Historic District, Osage Farms Unit No. 25 Historic District, Osage Farms Unit No. 26 Historic District, Osage Farms Unit No. 30 Historic District, Osage Farms Unit No. 31, Osage Farms Unit No. 43 Historic District, General David Thomas House. Sedalia area includes Building at 217 West Main Street, Gentry, William H., House, Harris House, Hotel Bothwell, Hubbard, C.C., High School, McVey School, Missouri State Fairgrounds Historic District, Missouri, Kansas and Texas Railroad Depot, Missouri/Sedalia Trust Company, Sedalia Commercial Historic District, Sedalia Public Library. The Houstonia area includes Osage Farms Unit No. 41 and Osage Farms Units No. 8 and No. 9 Historic District. See Figure 56 located in Appendix C for a map of historic locations in Pettis County. The Archeological Society of Missouri (ASM) has recorded 318 archaeological sites in Pettis County. The exact locations cannot be shown in order to protect the individual resources. 32 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Reference for further information can be made to Missouri Department of Natural Resources, 1800-361-4827 or their website at http://www. dnr.mo.gov /shpo/ homepage.htm. The Missouri Archaeological Society’s website is located at http://coas.missouri.edu/mas/ and provides reference documents on archaeological sites in Missouri. Identified assets This section provides a survey of existing fixed assets such as infrastructure, critical facilities, employment centers and recreation centers as major factors in disaster mitigation. Inventory of infrastructure Infrastructure includes transportation, communications, water/wastewater, electricity and natural gas, solid waste disposal, law enforcement, fire protection, emergency medical services and emergency management. Roadways Roadways continue to be the main source of transportation within the region to support the movement of people and goods along 1,351.97 miles of road. The Missouri Department of Transportation (MoDOT) provides and maintains all federal and state roadways, including 492.67 miles of road within the county. Pettis County maintains more than 859.30 miles of roadway in unincorporated areas. Roughly 75.3% of the county roads are either soil or gravel roads. Within the county’s road network are three major transportation corridors. Pettis County is located just south of Interstate 70. Interstate 70 is the main route across the State of Missouri between St. Louis and Kansas City. US Highway 50 runs east-west across the county and US Highway 65 runs North-South across the county. A detailed map of Pettis County transportation systems is located in Appendix C. Railroads The main line of Union Pacific Railroad links the city of Sedalia to major markets to the east and west. “Piggyback” railroad cars go to both coasts, and are available from the Kansas City terminal. Passenger service is available through Amtrak with stations in Sedalia, Warrensburg and Jefferson City. Airports Sedalia Memorial Airport serves Sedalia and Pettis County and is owned by the City Of Sedalia. The facility is at an elevation of 909 feet at a distance of about 2 miles from Sedalia. Sedalia Memorial Airport handles nearly 20,000 aircraft operations yearly. Its 5,000-foot lighted concrete runway handles aircraft up to 48,000 pounds gross weight. A second crosswind runway is 3,600 feet long. The 500-acre airport is home to more than 20 private and business aircraft. Available services include: jet fuel, transportation, and mechanic. 33 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Corporate Air Express, established in 1996, is an on-demand air carrier service offering charter flights from and returning to Sedalia Memorial Airport. Available services include: flight training and aircraft rental. Public Transportation Public transportation in the county is provided by OATS, Inc. This publicly funded system provides door-to-door transportation service with flexible schedules to meet the needs of those who may have little or no alternative means of travel, regardless of age or disability. Telecommunications New infrastructures and services are enhancing county residents’ quality of life. The following list of communication facilities is not all-inclusive, but represents the major providers of the county’s communications infrastructure. Table 7 Sewer and water facilities The county continues to improve its ability to service residents and businesses with public water and sewer. 34 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Table 8 Electricity and natural gas There are five providers of electric service for Pettis County, Central Missouri Electric Cooperative, UtiliCorp United/Missouri Public Service, Rural Electric CO-OP, ,and Kansas City Power and Light. The natural gas providers of Pettis County are UtiliCorp United/Missouri Public Service, and the KPL Gas Company (Warrensburg). Natural gas service is available along Highway 50 west of Sedalia to Dresden and east of Sedalia to Otterville. Solid waste disposal Steve Hauler Disposal, D & D Trash Service, Heaper Sanitation, E-Z Way Disposal Services and Norris & Sons collect the county’s solid waste disposal. Waste is trucked to a landfill site in Sedalia. Law enforcement The Pettis County Sheriff’s office includes the sheriff and 8 patrol officers. The Pettis County Sheriff has mutual-aid agreements with surrounding counties for augmentation of the department. The towns of Sedalia, Green Ridge, La Monte, and Smithton maintain municipal police departments. Emergency medical services Pettis County emergency medical services are provided by the following two medical response companies: American Medical Response Incorporated and American Paramedical Services Incorporated. 35 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Fire protection The following fire protection departments provide services for the entire county: Pettis County Fire Department Sedalia Fire Department Green Ridge Fire Protection District Houstonia Fire Department Hughesville Fire Department La Monte Fire Protection District Smithton Rural Fire Protection District Lake Creek Fire Department Cole Camp Fire Department The districts that service the county are listed in Table 9 below. Table 9 Pettis County Fire Protection District Fire Protection District Sedalia Green Ridge Houstonia Hughesville La Monte Smithton Lake Creek Pettis County Stations Vehicles 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 35 9 4 1 1 3 3 3 5 Any development within five miles of a station and 1,000 feet of a hydrant is given an ISO rating of 6. Rural areas that are beyond this type of service are given an ISO rating of 9. The ISO rating can be reduced from 9 to 6 with enough water-hauling capacity and sufficient mutual aid response agreements with neighboring jurisdictions. It is the intent of the fire protection districts to provide improvements that will allow most rural areas of the county to be granted the more preferable ISO rating of 6, which would create a savings of 10 to 15 percent on insurance premiums and mitigate the risk of fire damage. Underground Infrastructure Due to homeland security concerns, underground utilities are not mapped in this plan. The Missouri One Call utility location telephone number is 800-344-7483. Listings of utility lines posing a possibly disastrous hazard include a contact telephone number for emergency personnel. The following companies have underground lines running through Pettis County: 36 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Inventory of critical/key/essential facilities Relevant facilities include medical facilities, schools, long-term care facilities, day care centers, and government facilities. These facilities represent resources for care and shelter as well as populations requiring a higher level of care and installations critical to community services. Medical facilities Pettis County is supported by one hospital located in Sedalia (see address below). Residents also rely on hospitals located in Sedalia, Columbia, Boonville and Warrensburg. All of the hospitals have developed emergency plans in accordance with State and Federal regulations. Such plans are tested and exercised regularly. Table 10 37 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Schools More than 6,000 students attend various preschool, elementary, middle, junior high or high schools in the area. The Sedalia Public Schools is the largest school system in the county. It has nine separate schools ranging from Early Childhood through Senior High School. State Fair Community College located in Sedalia enrolls more than 3,000 students per semester. The table below lists education facilities in the planning area. Table 11 38 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Long term care facilities The table below includes a current listing of long-term care facilities located in the planning area. Table 12 Facility name Address Bristol Care Inc Bristol Manor Brooking Park Village The Essex Fair View Nursing Home Four Seasons Living Center Georgeton Country View Est Pleasant View Estates Rest Haven Stoney Ridge Village 121 E. Bdwy Blvd 910 Main 116 Brooking Ave rd 301 E 3 St. th 1714 W. 16 St 2800 Hwy TT 22378 Hwy. H 1401 W. 3rd St.. 1800 Ingram Ave. 25023 Bothwell Pk City Sedalia La Monte Sedalia Sedalia Sedalia Sedalia Sedalia Sedalia Sedalia Sedalia Day Care Centers The table below includes a current listing of recongnized day care facilities located in the planning area. Table 13 Center/operator name Abbey Sheryl Aunt Martha’s Preschool Bobbie’s Home Care Honey Bear Daycare Kid Konnection Daycare Kid Konnection Inc. Lasting Impressions Little Guys & Gals Daycare Little Village Child Center Minniolia Day Nursery Address 23974 Anderson School Rd. 2345 McVey Rd 401 E Olive St 3109 Aaron Ave. 2800 W Main 509 State Fair Blvd nd 1120 W 2 St th 813 W 6 1700 W Main 732 W Cooper City Sedalia Sedalia La Monte Sedalia Sedalia Sedalia Sedalia Sedalia Sedalia Sedalia 39 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Government Facilities County buildings include county and city government centers, police stations, fire stations, and ambulance bases. The following table and map detail these facilities. Table 14 40 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Inventory of large employment, commercial and recreation centers Relevant facilities include those that concentrate large groups of people together in a single location. Recreation facilities Pettis County has a number of recreational facilities including the Katy Trail national park, the Missouri State Fairgrounds which includes 396 acres of exhibit areas and a 2,200-site campground and the Bothwell Lodge State Park City/town/village profiles The tables below provide a comparison of characteristics within Pettis County’s incorporated and unincorporated areas. Note that for the smaller population communities that 2010 information is not available. In the 2010 census, population was counted for zip code areas only. 41 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 42 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Green Ridge Total population 2000 (2010 not available) Classification Leadership structure Median household income, 2000 Total housing units Housing unit, median year built Median gross rent Median owner-occupied housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials 476 (2010 Census) Village-fourth class Chairman/Trustees $36,750 187 1955 $400 $63,672 no yes yes yes no no yes yes yes no yes no no Mo. Hwy. 127, B 43 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 44 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Houstonia Total population Classification Leadership structure Median household income, 2000 Total housing units Housing unit, median year built Median gross rent Median owner-occupied housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials 220 (2010 Census) Village-fourth class Chairman/Trustees $34,219 105 1985 N/A $48,992 no yes no no no no no yes yes yes yes no no no 45 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 46 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Hughesville Total population Classification Leadership structure Median household income, 2000 Total housing units Housing unit, median year built Median gross rent Median owner-occupied housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials 183 (2010 Census) Village-fourth class Chairman/Trustees $30,833 78 1985 $350 $44,167 yes yes no yes yes no no yes yes yes yes - volunteer yes-Sedalia no no 47 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 48 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 La Monte Total population Classification Leadership structure Median household income, 2000 Total housing units Housing unit, median year built Median gross rent Median owner-occupied housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials 1,140 (2010 Census) Village-fourth class Chairman/Trustees $28,688 468 1985 $405 $48,900 yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes - Sedalia no no 49 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 50 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Sedalia Total population Classification Leadership structure Median household income, 2010 Total housing units 2010 Housing unit, median year built Median gross rent (2009) Median owner-occupied housing value (2010) Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials 21,387 (2010 Census) Village-fourth class Chairman/Trustees $37,806 9,979 1959 $574 $78,600 yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes Sedalia Sedalia no US 65 51 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 52 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Smithton Total population Classification Leadership structure Median household income, 2000 Total housing units Housing unit, median year built Median gross rent Median owner-occupied housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Ambulance Service Fire service Rivers, streams Major arterials 570 (2010 Census) Village-fourth class Chairman/Trustees $32,312 212 1953 $418 $53.300 no yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes no yes Lamine River no 53 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 54 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Section II – Risk Assessment Hazard Identification and Elimination Process During the development of this Update, many sources were researched for data relating to hazards threatening the planning area. Primary sources included FEMA, Missouri’s State Emergency Management Agency (SEMA), National Climate Data Center (NCDC) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOM). The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and Center for Earthquake Research and Information (GERI), Central U.S. Earthquake Consortium (CUSEC) were major sources for earthquake information. Missouri Department of Natural Resources’s (MDNR) Dam and Reservoir Safety Program provided major information concerning dams. Additional research was based on data from United States Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), National Park Service, National Forest Service, other departments within Missouri’s Department of Natural Resources, Missouri Department of Conservation, and University of Missouri, Columbia. Other sources included county officials; existing county, regional and state plans, reports on the floods of 1993 and 1995; position papers on transportation issues and information from local officials and residents. Past State and federal disaster designations, current Flood Insurance Rate Maps (FIRMS) and available local mitigation plans were also utilized. M The Planning Committee reviewed the list of hazards profiled in the 2005 Plan, and determined that all still pose risks for the planning area. Current databases were reviewed for incidents of all hazards occurring within the county. Some hazards were found to be regional in scope and impact. Variations in risk from jurisdiction to jurisdiction were noted. Location-specific hazards not found through the information search were further investigated. This was done to determine whether the hazard could occur in the future. Hazard event histories, repetitive loss information, and conversations with local residents were used to identify relevant hazards. Community-Wide Hazard Profile and List of Hazards Identified In developing the 20011 Plan Update, the Planning Committee based the list of natural hazards to be profiled on the 2005 Plan. Those hazards are tornadoes and severe thunderstorms, riverine flooding (including flash flooding), severe winter weather (snow, ice, extreme cold), drought, heat wave, earthquakes, wildfires and dam failures. These disasters can cause what is known as “cascading hazards“ or hazards caused as a result of other hazards. Cascading hazards could include interruption of power supply, water supply, business, and transportation. Disasters also can cause civil unrest, computer failure, and environmental health hazards. Any of these, alone or in combination, could impact emergency response activities. Examples of specific disasters include hazardous materials release, mass transportation accidents, and disease outbreak due to unsanitary conditions. Table 17 below illustrates how the occurrence of one hazard can lead into other hazard events. Table 17 55 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Hazards Not Included and Reasons for Elimination The Missouri State Plan includes several natural hazards that were not included in the Pettis County Plan Update. For example, landslides and land subsidence, according to the United States Geological Survey (USGS) website, are not likely to occur in Pettis County due to the soil and substructure. Therefore, they were not included in the Plan Update. Hail and lightning were not addressed as separate hazards, but were discussed peripherally in the profile on Severe Thunderstorms and Tornadoes. The Planning Committee noted that hail and lightning losses are generally minor and are covered by homeowner/auto insurance. The next plan update may include analysis of these hazards. Also, the risk of coastal storms, hurricanes, tsunamis, avalanche and volcanic activity does not exist due to the county’s location, soil profile and geologic structure. These hazards were not included in the Plan Update. In addition, the Planning Committee tried to obtain information concerning possible levee breach dangers in the county. Although levees probably do exist in the planning area, it is likely that they are agricultural levees presenting little danger to the general population. No Pettis County levees are listed in the National Levee Database (NLD) maintained by the USACE (http://nld.usace.army.mil/egis/f?p=471:1:3352100546410181). However, it should be noted that the USACE, working with FEMA and other agencies, assembled a Regional Interagency Levee Task Force in 2008. The purpose was to provide a uniform approach to gathering levee data across the Midwest. Data is currently being updated and made more readily available through this task force. Some of this data may be available for the next plan update. The following pages include profiles of all of the hazards designated by the Planning Committee as impacting the planning area. The hazards are analyzed in the Plan Update on a county-wide basis. In those instances where impacts vary between jurisdictions (flooding, dam breach, etc.) those differences are noted. Each hazard profile includes an analysis describing the hazard’s severity, location, previous events, and probability of future events. Starting on page 137 are hazard worksheets that show Planning Committee estimates related to these four elements. Each hazard is assigned a rating on each of the four the elements. This information is also included in the hazard profiles that follow. 56 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Tornadoes/Severe Thunderstorms Hazard Profile When severe thunderstorms and tornadoes hit a community, they leave behind a distinctive trail. Toppled trees, damaged buildings and cars, downed power lines, and widespread power outages are signs that a storm has struck. After such events, it can take communities weeks to return to normal. These storms result in costly structural damages, personal injury, property damage and death. Tornado intensity is determined by using the F- Scale (Fujita 1981) and the EF Scale, as explained in the pages that follow. Ostby (1993) found that the occurrence of weak tornadoes (F0-F1) has shown a dramatic increase since 1980, while violent tornado occurrence has remained steady or decreased. Reasons for this include improved verification efforts by local NWS offices and the increase in storm chasing. Tornadoes and other severe windstorms can occur instantly. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency and other agencies have researched the development of these storms. As a result, Doppler Radar was developed in the 1950s. By the 1970's it was clear that Doppler Radar would provide much improved severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings. Hazard Description A tornado is a vortex of rapidly rotating air that is in contact with the ground. This means that to be a tornado, the swirling winds must be at the surface and capable of doing damage. If there is debris in the winds, it is definitely a tornado, even if there is no visible funnel cloud. A funnel cloud without debris might be a tornado but one cannot be certain that it is (or is not). A tornado can move over a surface with few objects to be picked up and swirled about. In addition, one may not be able to see all the way to the surface beneath a funnel cloud because of intervening hills, trees, or buildings. However, to the observer on the ground, all funnel clouds should be treated as if they are tornadoes, unless one can be certain that they will not touch down. See Figure 9 below. 57 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Source: NOAA Figure 9 Severity When thunderstorms occur over a large area, the risk of significant damage increases. The majority of windstorms in a convective system are of marginal severity, with only isolated events reaching high intensity. The most threatening situation would be a very intense convective wind event that also affected a large area. A few times each year in North America, extreme convective wind events of this sort do occur. To date, no such storm has struck a major city during a vulnerable time (e.g., the morning or evening rush hours). However, it is only a matter of time until this occurs. Given that the area affected can approach that of a tropical cyclone's damage swath, and certainly far exceeds that affected during a tornado outbreak (while not being as intense, of course), devastation is possible. When such storms are accompanied by large hail (e.g., > 5 cm in diameter), the damage potential soars to even greater heights than when the wind occurs alone. The occurrence of hail has resulted in some of the costliest storms in United States history; coupling a fall of large hail with winds approaching 50 m s-1 could produce incredible damage in a populated area. Of course, economic losses to agriculture from such storms are already high, but do not attract much public attention, and such losses would be very difficult to mitigate with a 2030 minute warning. Nevertheless, major property losses can result when such storms cover a large area. A timely forecast may not be able to do much to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events accurately. However, further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Convective wind events are a hazard to societies the world over, doing considerable damage and occasionally generating many casualties. Most convection produces some straight-line wind as a result of outflow generated by the convective downdraft, and so anyone living in convectionprone areas of the world has experienced this phenomenon. On rare occasions, the intensity of the wind achieves the potential for doing damage. Whether or not damage actually occurs is dependent on having structures in the path of the wind. Although engineered structures typically are resistant to wind damage, many structures are quite vulnerable to damage from even relatively modest windstorms. In the United States, it is assumed that the potential for wind damage begins at around 50 knots. Of course, damage can occur in situations where there means to measure the wind speed. For this reason wind damage is graded according to its character: e.g., damage to tree limbs is considered non-severe, but uprooted trees are considered to represent a severe event. Refer to Figures 10, 11, and 12 below. Various human activities place people at risk from convective winds, notably aircraft operations and recreation. Most casualties from convective windstorms in the United States arise from such situations. Given the high vulnerability of aircraft operations during takeoff and landing procedures (the aircraft are operating on the margins of their flight "envelope" during such times); it does not take a particularly intense event from a meteorological standpoint to create many casualties. Commercial aircraft are less vulnerable than private aircraft, but their high 58 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 occupancy means that rare events can have a large impact on casualty figures. Recreational boating also can account for many casualties in relatively modest windstorms, whereas most commercial craft are unlikely to be affected by marginal convective wind events. Figure 10, 11, 12 Severe Thunderstorms Severe windstorms range in type from downdrafts to tornadoes. The most frequent surface winds in Missouri originate from the west and southwest. These winds are associated with storms moving into the region from Kansas and Oklahoma. Tornadoes range in size and severity. The dimensions of the storm can be measured by the size of the damage path. It is important to note that the "average" can be misleading, since most tornadoes are small. The typical tornado damage path is about one or two miles, with a width of about 50 yards. The largest tornado path widths can exceed one mile, and the smallest widths can be less than 10 yards. Widths can vary considerably during a single tornado, because the size of the tornado can change considerably during its lifetime. Path lengths can vary from what is basically a single point to more than 100 miles. Note that tornado intensity (the peak wind speeds) is not necessarily related to the tornado size. Detailed statistics about the time a tornado is on the ground are not available. This time can range from an instant to several hours. Typically, ground time is roughly five minutes or so. Detailed statistics about forward speed of tornadoes are not available. Movement can range from virtually stationary to more than 60 miles per hour, typical storms move at roughly 10-20 miles per hour. 59 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 It is generally believed that tornado wind speeds can be as high as 300 mph in the most violent tornadoes. Wind speeds that high can cause automobiles to become airborne, rip ordinary homes to shreds, and turn broken glass and other debris into lethal missiles. The biggest threat to living creatures (including humans) from tornadoes is from flying debris and from being tossed about in the wind. It was once thought that the low pressure in a tornado contributed to the damage by making buildings "explode" but this is no longer believed to be true. Tornadoes are classified according to the F-Scale developed by Theodore Fujita. The F-scale ranks tornadoes according to wind speed, and the severity of damage caused within the wind speed ranges. Table 18 below shows the Fujita Tornado Measurement Scale. 60 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 On February 1, 2007 the Fujita Scale was replaced by the Enhanced Fujita Scale. The table below compares the two, and provides information concerning impacts. 61 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 FUJITA SCALE OPERATIONAL EF SCALE DERIVED EF SCALE F Number Fastest 1/4-mile (mph) 3 Second Gust (mph) EF Number 3 Second Gust (mph) EF Number 3 Second Gust (mph) 0 40-72 45-78 0 65-85 0 65-85 1 73-112 79-117 1 86-109 1 86-110 2 113-157 118-161 2 110-137 2 111-135 3 158-207 162-209 3 138-167 3 136-165 4 208-260 210-261 4 168-199 4 166-200 5 261-318 262-317 5 200-234 5 Over 200 *** IMPORTANT NOTE ABOUT ENHANCED F-SCALE WINDS: The Enhanced F-scale still is a set of wind estimates (not measurements) based on damage. Its uses three-second gusts estimated at the point of damage based on a judgment of 8 levels of damage to the 28 indicators listed below. These estimates vary with height and exposure. Important: The 3 second gust is not the same wind as in standard surface observations. Standard measurements are taken by weather stations in open exposures, using a directly measured, "one minute mile" speed. Tornadoes in Pettis County historically have ranged in intensity from F0 to F3. There have been no recorded F4 or F5 storms. Refer to Table 21 and Figure 19 below. Table 22 Storm Intensity for Pettis County Location F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 Total Pettis 4 10 2 3 0 0 19 La Monte 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 Smithton 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 Sedalia 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 Houstonia 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 62 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Green Ridge 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 Hughesville 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 11 14 5 3 0 0 33 Total Even though only about 10% of tornadoes are significant, these tornadoes are responsible for the majority of deaths caused by tornadoes in the country. Violent tornadoes have claimed 67% of the total casualties. Furthermore, the US suffers millions of dollars in damage costs in the aftermath of such events- an important consideration for the insurance industry. Pettis County has reported 33 tornadoes between the years 1950 and 1994, seven of which have resulted in 77 injuries and one death. The estimated damage from these storms cost approximately $81 million dollars. Missouri is considered to be in the top ten lists for total number of tornadoes and number of killer tornadoes (ranking number seven). Based on the previous thirty-three events in the Pettis County, the future probable severity is shown below. Figure 20 Tornadoes occur mostly during the spring and summer; the tornado season comes early in the south and later in the north because spring comes later in the year as one moves northward. Tornadoes and storms usually occur during the late afternoon and early evening, but they have been known to occur in every state in the United States, on any day of the year, and at any hour. In Pettis County, most of the storms occurred in the months of March and May with 6 or more tornadoes per month. June and November each had a total of 3 tornadoes, and July, August, September and December had 2 or less per month. Refer to Figures 14 through 17 for images of tornado destruction by Fujita scale rating. 63 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Figure 14, 15, 16, and 17 The level of tornado impacts is fairly predictable in regard to F-scale and distance from the path of the storm as shown in the illustration below. 64 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Severe Thunderstorms/Tornadoes. They rated the hazard to be of ”Limited” severity, or impacting 10 percent to 25 percent of the jurisdiction. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location A tornado or severe thunderstorm could happen anywhere in the planning area. No location is more likely than any other to experience a tornado or severe thunderstorm. Whenever and wherever conditions are right, tornadoes and thunderstorms are possible. However, they are most common in the central plains of North America, east of the Rocky Mountains and west of the Appalachian Mountains. The map in Figure 18 shows historic tornado paths in Pettis County. 65 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 66 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Previous Events According to the NCDC, there have been 36 tornadoes reported in Pettis County. There have been 71 reported tornado related injuries and one death in Pettis County since 1950. The estimated damages reported from these storms was approximately 78M. Pettis County has had three F3 tornadoes in 1973, 1977, and 1980. Tornado occurrences reported to the NCDC are found in Table 19. Table 19 TORNADO(s) were reported in Pettis County, Missouri between 04/30/1950 and 11/30/2011. Location Date Time Type Mag: Dth: Inj: PrD: CrD: Mag Magnitude Deaths Injuries Property Damage Crop Damage Dth Inj PrD CrD 1 PETTIS 08/21/1952 0020 Tornado F2 1 13 25.0M 0 2 PETTIS 07/22/1961 1815 Tornado F1 0 0 250K 0 3 PETTIS 06/12/1970 1855 Tornado F1 0 1 25K 0 4 PETTIS 04/30/1972 1416 Tornado F0 0 0 0K 0 5 PETTIS 04/20/1973 1430 Tornado F3 0 0 3K 0 6 PETTIS 04/20/1973 1925 Tornado F2 0 8 2.5M 0 7 PETTIS 05/04/1977 1345 Tornado F3 0 24 25.0M 0 8 PETTIS 05/12/1980 1612 Tornado F3 0 23 25.0M 0 9 PETTIS 06/15/1981 1810 Tornado F1 0 0 250K 0 10 PETTIS 06/20/1981 2230 Tornado F1 0 0 3K 0 11 PETTIS 04/02/1982 1515 Tornado F0 0 0 0K 0 12 PETTIS 04/02/1982 1735 Tornado F1 0 0 25K 0 13 PETTIS 12/01/1982 2155 Tornado F1 0 0 3K 0 14 PETTIS 05/01/1983 1355 Tornado F0 0 0 0K 0 15 PETTIS 11/15/1988 1710 Tornado F1 0 0 25K 0 16 PETTIS 11/15/1988 1720 Tornado F1 0 0 25K 0 17 PETTIS 11/15/1988 1730 Tornado F0 0 0 0K 0 18 PETTIS 09/20/1992 1830 Tornado F1 0 0 25K 0 19 La Monte 04/10/2001 04:45 PM Tornado F1 0 0 50K 0 20 Smithton 05/30/2001 06:38 PM Tornado F1 0 0 0 0 21 La Monte 05/04/2003 06:35 PM Tornado F0 0 0 5K 0 22 Sedalia 05/06/2003 01:55 PM Tornado F0 0 2 2K 0 23 Houstonia 10/29/2004 06:16 PM Tornado F1 0 0 300K 0 24 Sedalia 03/09/2006 12:19 AM Tornado F0 0 0 5K 0 67 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 25 La Monte 03/12/2006 03:49 PM Tornado F0 0 0 0 0 26 Manila 03/12/2006 03:57 PM Tornado F1 0 0 0 0 27 Green Ridge 03/12/2006 04:12 PM Tornado F2 1 6 2.5M 0 28 Houstonia 03/12/2006 08:02 PM Tornado F0 0 0 0 0 29 Houstonia 03/12/2006 08:07 PM Tornado F2 0 0 0 0 30 La Monte 03/12/2006 08:57 PM Tornado F2 0 0 0 0 31 Green Ridge 03/30/2006 08:24 PM Tornado F0 0 0 0 0 32 Green Ridge 03/30/2006 08:28 PM Tornado F1 1 0 450K 0 33 Hughesville 09/12/2008 16:44 PM Tornado F0 0 0 5K 0K 34 Sedalia 05/20/2010 17:46 PM Tornado F0 0 0 8K 0K 35 Sedalia 05/25/2011 11:22 AM Tornado F2 0 20 4.0M 0K 36 Beaman 05/25/2011 11:52 AM Tornado F0 0 0 0K 0K 97 85.458M 0 TOTALS: 3 Information from the NCDC on severe thunderstorms and high winds is included in summary form in Table 20 below. Mag: Dth: Inj: PrD: CrD: THUNDERSTORM WINDS event(s) were reported in Pettis County, Missouri Location Date Time Type Magnitude Deaths Injuries Property Damage Crop Damage Mag Dth Inj PrD CrD 1 PETTIS 07/10/1958 1430 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 2 PETTIS 07/10/1958 1430 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 3 PETTIS 08/15/1959 1830 Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 4 PETTIS 04/20/1961 2055 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 5 PETTIS 05/24/1962 2230 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 6 PETTIS 04/06/1964 1640 Tstm Wind 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 7 PETTIS 07/01/1964 1400 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 8 PETTIS 05/26/1965 1530 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 9 PETTIS 09/15/1965 1955 Tstm Wind 62 kts. 0 0 0 0 10 PETTIS 06/11/1968 0100 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 11 PETTIS 07/17/1968 1630 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 12 PETTIS 07/09/1969 1811 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 13 PETTIS 04/20/1973 1215 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 14 PETTIS 05/01/1973 1925 Tstm Wind 50 kts. 0 0 0 0 15 PETTIS 06/04/1973 2100 Tstm Wind 51 kts. 0 0 0 0 16 PETTIS 07/18/1973 1730 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 68 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 17 PETTIS 10/03/1973 1758 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 18 PETTIS 07/14/1978 1815 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 19 PETTIS 08/11/1978 1545 Tstm Wind 56 kts. 0 0 0 0 20 PETTIS 07/30/1979 1545 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 21 PETTIS 08/21/1979 1730 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 22 PETTIS 08/22/1979 1745 Tstm Wind 50 kts. 0 0 0 0 23 PETTIS 08/04/1980 1733 Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 24 PETTIS 08/05/1980 1950 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 25 PETTIS 08/20/1980 2000 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 26 PETTIS 09/01/1980 1917 Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 27 PETTIS 09/02/1980 1950 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 28 PETTIS 09/02/1980 2015 Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 29 PETTIS 04/03/1981 1837 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 30 PETTIS 04/03/1981 1837 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 31 PETTIS 04/03/1981 1917 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 32 PETTIS 04/13/1981 2035 Tstm Wind 65 kts. 0 0 0 0 33 PETTIS 06/21/1981 0915 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 34 PETTIS 07/15/1981 1915 Tstm Wind 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 35 PETTIS 07/18/1981 2300 Tstm Wind 56 kts. 0 0 0 0 36 PETTIS 07/24/1981 2308 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 37 PETTIS 07/24/1981 2320 Tstm Wind 71 kts. 0 0 0 0 38 PETTIS 03/12/1982 1840 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 39 PETTIS 05/14/1982 2135 Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 40 PETTIS 06/09/1982 0130 Tstm Wind 65 kts. 0 0 0 0 41 PETTIS 06/09/1982 0143 Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 42 PETTIS 07/01/1982 1645 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 43 PETTIS 08/26/1982 1955 Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 44 PETTIS 08/26/1982 2043 Tstm Wind 66 kts. 0 0 0 0 45 PETTIS 04/27/1983 1400 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 46 PETTIS 05/18/1983 1800 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 47 PETTIS 06/15/1984 1610 Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 48 PETTIS 09/13/1984 1750 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 49 PETTIS 10/18/1984 1700 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 50 PETTIS 06/21/1985 2045 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 51 PETTIS 07/12/1986 1825 Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 52 PETTIS 05/21/1987 1827 Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 69 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 53 PETTIS 07/05/1987 0915 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 54 PETTIS 09/14/1987 1358 Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 55 PETTIS 09/14/1987 1402 Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 56 PETTIS 07/25/1988 1015 Tstm Wind 56 kts. 0 0 0 0 57 PETTIS 08/09/1988 1625 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 58 PETTIS 06/08/1990 1343 Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 59 PETTIS 05/26/1991 1400 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 60 PETTIS 07/03/1991 1130 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 61 PETTIS 07/11/1991 1645 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 62 PETTIS 10/03/1991 1610 Tstm Wind 55 kts. 0 0 0 0 63 PETTIS 04/15/1992 1543 Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 64 PETTIS 05/16/1992 1715 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 65 PETTIS 07/02/1992 1705 Tstm Wind 74 kts. 0 0 0 0 66 Sedalia 03/30/1993 1610 Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 5K 0 67 Sedalia 03/30/1993 1625 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 5K 0 68 Sedalia 09/22/1993 1835 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 50K 0 69 Sedalia 04/16/1995 1052 Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 30K 0 70 La Monte 05/16/1995 1737 Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 25K 0 71 Sedalia 05/16/1995 1740 Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 5K 0 72 PETTIS 07/04/1995 0425 Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 3K 0 73 Hughesville 05/17/1997 09:15 PM Tstm Wind 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 74 Sedalia 06/18/1998 04:10 PM Tstm Wind 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 75 Sedalia 06/18/1998 06:56 AM Tstm Wind 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 76 Bryson 04/05/1999 01:15 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 77 Sedalia 04/08/1999 04:15 PM Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 75K 0 78 La Monte 06/06/1999 04:50 PM Tstm Wind 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 79 La Monte 06/20/1999 09:00 PM Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 15K 0 80 Sedalia 08/07/1999 09:32 PM Tstm Wind 57 kts. 0 0 0 0 81 Sedalia 08/07/1999 09:44 PM Tstm Wind 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 82 La Monte 11/22/1999 11:45 PM Tstm Wind 70 kts. 0 0 100K 0 83 Dresden 02/25/2000 10:10 AM Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 0 5K 84 Houstonia 02/25/2000 10:25 AM Tstm Wind 0 kts. 0 0 5K 0 85 Longwood 05/26/2000 09:35 PM Tstm Wind 70 kts. 0 0 10K 5K 86 Sedalia 06/25/2000 08:39 PM Tstm Wind 57 kts. 0 0 0 0 87 Sedalia 06/25/2000 08:55 PM Tstm Wind 60 kts. 0 0 10K 10K 88 Sedalia 07/11/2000 05:36 PM Tstm Wind 57 kts. 0 0 0 0 70 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 89 Sedalia Arpt 07/11/2000 06:14 PM Tstm Wind 53 kts. 0 0 0 0 90 Hughesville 07/11/2000 06:45 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 91 La Monte 08/07/2000 05:13 PM Tstm Wind 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 92 Sedalia 08/07/2000 05:20 PM Tstm Wind 65 kts. 0 0 0 0 93 Sedalia 04/10/2001 05:15 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 94 Sedalia 06/01/2001 06:38 PM Tstm Wind 70 kts. 0 0 0 0 95 Sedalia 08/29/2001 06:00 PM Tstm Wind 57 kts. 0 0 0 0 96 Sedalia 03/09/2002 12:55 AM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 97 Sedalia 05/07/2002 12:07 AM Tstm Wind 50 kts. 0 0 0 0 98 La Monte 10/02/2002 03:02 PM Tstm Wind 57 kts. 0 0 0 0 99 Sedalia 10/02/2002 03:10 PM Tstm Wind 57 kts. 0 0 0 0 100 Sedalia 05/06/2003 02:11 PM Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 101 Sedalia 05/08/2003 09:15 PM Tstm Wind 70 kts. 0 0 0 0 102 Sedalia 05/10/2003 05:45 AM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 103 Longwood 06/10/2003 04:30 AM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 104 Sedalia 08/21/2003 08:10 PM Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 105 Sedalia 08/21/2003 08:20 PM Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 106 Bahner 08/21/2003 08:35 PM Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 107 Dresden 06/12/2004 10:23 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 108 Hughesville 06/12/2004 10:25 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 109 Sedalia 07/05/2004 05:55 AM Tstm Wind 65 kts. 0 0 5K 0 110 Sedalia 07/05/2004 06:05 AM Tstm Wind 65 kts. 0 0 25K 0 111 Smithton 07/05/2004 06:12 AM Tstm Wind 65 kts. 0 0 5K 0 112 Hughesville 08/17/2004 06:42 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 113 Hughesville 06/07/2005 03:20 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 114 Hughesville 06/10/2005 01:00 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 115 La Monte 06/10/2005 01:08 PM Tstm Wind 63 kts. 0 0 0 0 116 Lamonte 06/10/2005 12:50 PM Tstm Wind 57 kts. 0 0 0 0 117 Sedalia 06/30/2005 02:55 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 1K 0 118 Sedalia 07/03/2005 08:13 PM Tstm Wind 57 kts. 0 0 10K 0 119 Hughesville 07/21/2005 04:30 PM Tstm Wind 57 kts. 0 0 0 0 120 Sedalia 07/21/2005 04:39 PM Tstm Wind 51 kts. 0 0 0 0 121 Smithton 07/21/2005 04:44 PM Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 122 Sedalia 06/19/2008 16:55 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 2K 0K 123 La Monte 08/28/2008 18:45 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K 124 La Monte 06/15/2009 23:01 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K 71 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 125 Sedalia 06/15/2009 23:10 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K 126 Sedalia 06/27/2009 19:15 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K 127 Stokey 07/20/2010 17:50 PM Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 0K 0K 128 Sedalia 07/20/2010 18:02 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K 129 Sedalia 07/20/2010 18:02 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K 130 Green Ridge 07/20/2010 18:04 PM Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 1K 0K 131 Sedalia 07/24/2010 17:30 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K 132 Lamonte 08/13/2010 19:50 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 3 1K 0K 133 Sedalia 06/18/2011 02:24 AM Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 20K 0K 134 Sedalia 08/07/2011 15:25 PM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K 135 La Monte 08/18/2011 23:45 PM Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 1K 0K 136 Sedalia 08/18/2011 23:57 PM Tstm Wind 54 kts. 0 0 0K 0K 137 Sedalia 08/18/2011 23:58 PM Tstm Wind 61 kts. 0 0 3K 0K 138 Dresden 08/19/2011 00:15 AM Tstm Wind 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K TOTALS: 0 3 411K 20K An example of the severity of storms reported in the NCDC table above is the June 19, 2008 storm which blew over a tree destroying a car, a June 30, 2008 storm which toppled metal street light poles, and the August 18, 2011 storm which had winds of up to 60 miles per hour with golfball sized hail. Probability The probability of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes was difficult to predict for the Planning Committee. Storms usually occur during the late afternoon and early evening, but they have been known to occur in every state in the United States, on any day of the year, and at any hour. Historically, tornadoes occur in most frequently in the spring and summer months, but can occur anytime. Based on prior events, the planning area could experience at least one severe thunderstorm every year, and a tornado at least once every two years. Table 21 0 0 9 6 6 3 1 1 2 1 3 December November October September August July June May April March February January Occurrences of Tornadoes in Pettis County 1950-2003 1 Source: NOAA 72 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Severe Thunderstorms/Tornadoes. They rated it ”Likely” or having a 10 percent to 100 percent probability of occurrence in the next twelve months. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Recommendations New-home builders and builders of public facilities should be provided with information concerning safe-room construction and cost (e.g., FEMA Publication 320) and should be encouraged to build new structures with safe rooms. Safe rooms would likely be desirable features for new-home buyers in high tornado risk areas. Homeowners and owners of public facilities should be provided with information concerning safe-room construction and cost, and should be encouraged to retrofit existing structures with safe rooms. All communities should be encouraged to adopt and enforce building codes with wind load design for new construction and substantial improvements. 73 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Flood/Flash Flood Hazard Profile Flooding poses a threat to lives and safety and can cause severe damage to public and private property. Floods are the most common and widespread of all disasters in Pettis County. Most communities in the United States have experienced some kind of flooding, after spring rains, heavy thunderstorms, or winter snow thaws. Refer to Figures 22 and 23 below and the floodplain map in Appendix C. The National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) Repetitive Loss properties for the county are in a table located in Appendix B of the Plan Update. Figures 22 and 23 The Flood Control Act of 1928 authorized the United States Corps of Engineers (USAGE) to control the Mississippi River with dams, levees and diversion channels. This Act authorized the USAGE to undertake a structural approach to reducing flood damages (thus keeping water from people). After numerous floods, and having spent billions of dollars on floods and disasters, Congress looked at another approach to reduce flood losses, adding a nonstructural approach in the National Flood Insurance Act of 1968. This act, called the National Flood Insurance program (NFIP), required local governments to adopt regulations governing new development activities in identified flood plains. These regulations were a prerequisite to be eligible for the sale of flood insurance within their jurisdictions. Description of Hazard Flooding is a natural event and has been characteristic of rivers and waterways throughout history. It becomes a disaster when it is of such magnitude that both man-made and natural landforms and human lives are destroyed or seriously damaged (Gaffney). A variety of factors affect the type and severity of flooding throughout the planning region, including urban development and infrastructure and topography. A flood is defined as an overflow or inundation that comes from a river or other body of water (Barrows, 1948) and causes or threatens damage or any relatively high stream flow overtopping the natural or artificial banks in any reach of a stream (Leopold and Maddock, 1954). A flood is defined by the NFIP as: A general and 74 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 temporary condition of partial or complete inundation of two or more acres of normally dry land area or of two or more properties from: Overflow of inland or tidal waters, Unusual and rapid accumulation or runoff of surface waters from any source, or A mudflow River flooding includes headwater, backwater, and interior drainage. Floods can be slowor fast-rising, depending on rainstorm intensity and length of time, or from rapid snowmelt or ice melt. Floods generally develop over a period of days. During heavy rains from storm systems (including severe thunderstorms), water flows down the watershed, collecting in, and then overtopping, valley streams and rivers. Flash flooding is characterized by rapid accumulation or runoff of surface waters from any source. This type of flooding can occur within six hours of a rain event, after a dam or levee failure, or by the sudden release of water held by an ice or debris dam. Because flash flooding can develop in just a matter of hours, they catch people unprepared. Most flood- related deaths result from this type of flooding. Most flash flooding is caused by slow-moving thunderstorms or heavy rains. Several factors contribute to both river and flash flooding. Two key elements are rainfall intensity (the rate of rainfall) and duration (length of time that the rainfall lasts). In addition the type of ground cover, soil type, and topography all play important roles in flooding. Flooding potential is further exacerbated in urban areas by the increased runoff. Runoff can be from two to six times over what would occur on undisturbed terrain. Soils lose their ability to absorb rain as land is converted from fields or woodlands to buildings and pavement. During periods of urban flooding, streets become rivers, and basements and viaducts become death traps as they fill with water. Floodplains are located in relatively flat lowland areas and adjoin rivers and streams. These lowland areas adjacent to rivers and stream banks serve to carry excess floodwater during rapid runoff. The term "base flood" or 100-year flood is the area in the floodplain that is subject to a one percent or greater chance of flooding in any given year, based on historical records. A 500-year flood is defined as the area in the floodplain that has a .2% probability of occurring in any given year. While unlikely, it is possible to have two 100 or even 500 year floods within years or months of each other. The primary use for these terms is for the determination of flood insurance rates in flood hazard areas. Using historic weather and hydrograph data experts derive the estimated rate of flow or discharge of a river or creek. After extensive study and coordination with Federal and State agencies, this group recommended that the 1 percent annual-chance flood (also referred to as the 100-year or "Base Flood") be used as the standard for the NFIP. The 1-percent-annual-chance flood was chosen on the basis that it provides a higher level of protection while not imposing overly stringent requirements or the burden of excessive costs on property owners. The 1-percent-annual-chance flood (or 100-year flood) represents a magnitude and frequency that has a statistical probability of being equaled or exceeded in any 75 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 given year, or the 100-year flood has a 26 percent (or 1 in 4) chance of occurring over the life of a 30-year mortgage. Floodplains are a vital part of a larger entity called a watershed basin. A watershed basin is defined as all the land drained by a river and its branches. In some cases, flooding may not be attributed to a river, stream or lake. It may be the combination of excessive rainfall, snowmelt, saturated ground and inadequate drainage. Severity Damage resulting from flooding includes the inundation of residences, outbuildings, businesses, churches, and storm water structures. Flooding leaves behind mud, rock, debris, braches, trash, and chemical pollutants. Prolonged inundation destroys trees, Depending upon the depth of the flood and the volume and rate of flow of the water, floodwaters may be capable of carrying vehicles, as well as whole or parts of buildings, etc. Wherever they reach, floodwaters leave behind layers of thick muddy ooze. Note that at the time of the development of the 2011 Update, the serious flooding of the summer of 2011 had not yet occurred. Information concerning this event will be helpful in the next plan update in five years. During the spring and summer of 1993, record flooding inundated much of the upper Mississippi River Basin, which includes the planning area. The magnitude of the damages -- in terms of property, disrupted business, and personal trauma -- was unmatched by any other flood disaster in United States history. Property damage alone was over $20 billion. Damaged highways and submerged roads disrupted overland transportation throughout the flooded region. The Mississippi and the Missouri Rivers were closed to navigation before, during, and after the flooding. Millions of acres of productive farmland remained under water for weeks during the growing season. Rills and gullies in many tilled fields and large holes (exceeding 100 feet in depth) were the result of the severe erosion that occurred throughout the Midwestern United States farm belt. The hydrologic effects of extended rainfall throughout the upper Midwestern United States were severe and widespread. The banks and channels of many rivers were severely eroded, and sediment was deposited over large areas of the basin's flood plain. Record flows submerged many areas that had not been affected by previous floods. Industrial and agricultural areas were inundated, which caused concern about the transport and fate of industrial chemicals, sewage effluent and numerous levees to fail. One failed levee on the Raccoon River in Des Moines, Iowa, led to flooding of the city's water treatment plant. As a result, the city was without drinking water for 19 days. The map below illustrates the extent of flooding in 1993. 76 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Figure 24 The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers produced a set of maps showing damage estimates for the 1993 flood. According to the maps, Pettis County damages included: Greater than $10 million In commercial properties damages Between $1 and $5 million in public facilities damages Between $1 and $5 million in residential damages Greater than $10 million in transportation system damage Between $500,000 and $10 million in utilities damages Greater than $1 million is emergency expenses The Pettis County data above were collected for seven specific areas of damage s and costs and for one general area. The specific areas collected were residential, commercial/industrial, public facilities, transportation, utilities, agriculture and emergency services. The general area was an attempt to cover “secondary costs” of the flooding. These were the costs of buyout, mitigation, mission, unemployment assistance and crisis counseling. For all categories of damages that included structures, the attempt was made to get numbers of structures damaged, extent of that damage, and the extent of damage to any contents. For revenue-generating activities, an attempt was made to find the extent of revenues lost. Within agriculture, the acres damaged for various crops were sought. For the transportation sector, miles of roads and railroads damaged were sought. 77 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Although buyout and relocation costs were typically allotted by local officials, very few counties in any District had this variable reported. These costs were typically included in the mitigation costs rather than presented separately. Mitigation costs were derived from the FEMA, from SBA reports and from Housing and Urban Development (HUD) officials. In most cases, the mitigation costs were well-reported and include monies that went for buyouts. Unemployment costs, including both unemployment and food aid assistance costs, were derived from FEMA and USDA reports. As can be seen in the map below, Pettis County fell into the second lowest category of damages of between $50,000 and $999,999 Figure 25 The commercial variable for the 2003 flooding damage reports included all commercial and industrial damages for the particular area. The figures for all parts of the commercial/industrial damages were derived from FEMA, SBA, and state and local sources. Refer to Figure 25 above. The equipment damages for both commercial and industrial are found in the commercial equipment damages variable. These estimates come from FEMA, SBA and local sources. Commercial and industrial revenues lost were grouped under the commercial variable. These estimates come from SBA and local sources. 78 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Figure 26 FEMA Damage Survey Reports (DSRs) and local sources were used for the various categories of damage to public facilities. The variables included under this category were number of and damages to public structures, public equipment damage, costs of public restoration and debris clearance, damages to parks and recreation facilities, and damages to water control facilities. The latter variable was drawn from U.S. Department of Agriculture and Corps sources as well as those sources used for the other public variables. As can be seen in the map above, Pettis County again fell into the second lowest category of damages: of between $25,000 to $99,000. Refer to Figure 26 above. 79 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Figure 27 The residential data gathered were numbers of residences damaged, structure damage, and content damage. This category included residential damage figures for both structure and content not separated. As can be seen in the map above, Pettis County again fell into the second lowest category of damages, between $50,000 to $99,000. Refer to Figure 27 above. 80 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Figure 28 Variables for railroad damages were miles of lines flooded, amount of damages, and revenues lost. These were determined by contacting the private railroad companies, local officials, and the Federal Railroad Administration. The revenues lost depended upon the cooperation of the railroad companies, information that was not always forthcoming. Refer to Figure 28 above. Variables for trucking damages were the number of trucking companies experiencing damage, the amount of damages, and revenues lost. Damages were determined by contact with the companies involved. Only in Kansas City and St. Louis Districts were damages in this category reported. Damages to airports included numbers of airports damaged, amounts of that damage, and revenues lost by airports. These variables were acquired from the Federal Aviation Administration and local officials. Transportation damages were also acquired on miles of roads flooded, traffic rerouting costs, and damages to roads and bridges. Information was gathered from local and state officials and from the FEMA DSRs. As can be seen in the map above, Pettis County fell into the third lowest category of damages, between $100,000 to $499,999. 81 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Figure 29 The utilities damages covered water, sewer, electric and general utilities. Data regarding utilities damage was sought from state departments of natural resources or environmental protection, the FEMA DSRs and local officials. Very few answers were obtained as to numbers of water facilities damaged. Names of some water facilities, evidently those that suffered some damage, are included in the records. Numbers of water customers affected and dollar amounts of water facilities damage were more frequently reported. Very few areas reported lost water revenues. As can be seen in the map above, Pettis County had no damages. Refer to Figure 29 above. 82 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Figure 30 The two emergency cost variables are the emergency preparedness and response costs and the evacuation costs. The former was primarily derived from the FEMA DSR's, with supplemental data coming from some local and regional officials. The latter variable came from these same sources, as well as the Red Cross and FEMA Disaster Field Offices. The final variable, crisis counseling, was derived from FEMA reports and state sources. Refer to Figure 29 above. Infrastructure problems included contaminated wells, collapsed wells, destroyed pumping equipment, failed sewage treatment facilities or private septic systems, contaminated ground and drinking water, sewage backups and treatment facilities seriously purged by the floodwaters. As can be seen in the map above, Pettis County fell into the lowest category of damages, less than $25,000. According to the NCDC weather database, there has been one death since 1950 in Pettis County due to floods. However, the Sedalia-Pettis County Emergency Management Agency Director, reports 21 deaths due to flash flooding in Pettis County since 1950. Pettis County has also suffered $7.839 million in property damage and $7.002 million in crop damage due to floods since 1950. Pettis County typically has most of its wet weather in the spring months (April, May, June, July and August). Seasonal patterns are depicted on the Table 25 below. 83 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Table 25 2 0 0 3 7 7 4 3 2 0 December November October September August July June May April March January February Occurrences of Flood in Pettis County 1994-2003 0 0 Depending upon the weather forecasts, the onset of a flash flood can be almost instantaneous. Warnings can be issued by the National Weather Service and the local media. USACE and USGS river stage warnings are given that enable communities to plan for flood events. The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts in collaboration with agencies like the U.S. Geological Survey, U.S Bureau of Reclamation, U. S. Army Corps of engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the County. The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Flooding (river and flash). They rated the hazard as being of ”Limited” impact, or one that impacts 10 percent to 25 percent of the jurisdiction. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location In certain areas of Pettis County, steep slopes of the region induce high velocities as the water flows downhill and downstream, in many cases producing flash flooding conditions. Some areas in Pettis County are located in low areas, and therefore, often in the floodplain. Floodwaters have the potential to affect or even severely harm portions of the community, especially if the floodwalls or levees fail. Boundaries for areas prone to flooding are shown in the map below, as well as in the maps in Appendix C. Flood risk in individual communities is illustrated in the maps included in the City/Town profiles beginning on page 43. As can be seen in these community maps, little of the developed land in the planning area is located in SFHAs. The communities of Smithton, LaMonte, and Green Ridge have virtually no SFHA within the corporate city limits. “Fingers” of SFHAs extend into some southeastern portions of Sedalia, with some structures located in them. Note that as listed in Appendix B, Sedalia has four properties identified as “Repetitive Loss Properties” by the NFIP, so flooding is a problem in that community. Houstonia may have several structures in the flood plain in a small area of the southeastern portion of the community. As can be seen in the county-wide map on the next page, many areas in the unincorporated county are in SFHAs. However, as these areas are not as densely populated, so that fewer structures will be located there. The number of structures located in the identified SFHAs in the planning area is not known at this time. However, the Planning Committee will try to obtain this information for the next plan update. 84 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 85 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Flash flooding can occur in areas other than in SFHAs. Location information for flash flooding outside of SFHAs can be determined by a review of some of the most recent reported flash flooding events in the planning area. Some of the areas reported in the past 20 years include the following. Two to three feet of water was reported over the road at US Highway 50 and Center, with several cars stranded. One and a half feet of water over Highway 127 Two to three feet of water was reported over the road at US Highway 50 and Center. Several roads were closed due to high water. They included the following: Oak Grove Lane, Yeater, Gottschalk, Butterbaugh Ford, and Pinhook. Flooding was reported across the intersection of HWY 65 and State Route BB. Highway 127 flooded. Water over road on US Highway 50 west of Sedalia due to heavy rains. US Highways 50 and 65 were under as much as 2 to 3 feet of water US 50 Highway near Sedalia was under 2 feet of water. Highway 50 was closed in both directions out of Sedalia because of high water. As can be seen in the listing above, repeated flash flooding events involving U.S Highway 50 have been reported. Previous Events The table below illustrates previous events of flooding, both river and flash, in Pettis County. Note that the table represents only reported events, and that damage figures are area-wide and do not always represent what was reported for the planning area. Mag: Dth: Inj: PrD: CrD: FLOOD event(s) were reported in Pettis County, Missouri Location or County Date Time Type Magnitude Deaths Injuries Property Damage Crop Damage Mag Dth Inj PrD CrD 1 Sedalia 09/13/1993 1200 Urban Flood N/A 0 0 0 0 2 Central And 04/11/1994 0000 River Flood N/A 0 0 5.0M 5.0M 3 Sedalia 04/11/1994 0300 Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0 0 4 Northern Central And 05/07/1995 1800 River Flood N/A 0 0 2.8M 2.0M 5 All Over County 05/17/1995 0400 Flash Flood N/A 0 0 20K 0 6 Sedalia 05/17/1995 0400 Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0 0 7 Kansas City 05/17/1995 0700 Flood N/A 0 0 10K 0 8 All Around 05/17/1995 2030 Flash Flood N/A 0 0 7K 2K 9 PETTIS 08/04/1995 0800 Flood N/A 1 0 0 0 86 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 10 Sedalia 08/06/1995 0200 Flood N/A 0 0 2K 0 11 Lamont 07/20/1996 11:30 PM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0 0 12 Green Ridge 06/28/1997 05:00 PM Urban/sml Stream Fl N/A 0 0 0 0 13 Sedalia 06/20/1998 09:55 AM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0 0 14 Sedalia 07/26/1998 05:58 AM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0 0 15 Sedalia 07/30/1998 03:00 AM Urban/sml Stream Fl N/A 0 0 0 0 16 Sedalia 08/07/1999 10:00 PM Urban/sml Stream Fl N/A 0 0 0 0 17 East Portion 05/26/2000 10:50 PM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0 0 18 Sedalia 07/11/2000 06:30 PM Urban/sml Stream Fl N/A 0 0 0 0 19 Houstonia 04/10/2001 06:00 PM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0 0 20 Sedalia 06/04/2001 04:29 AM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0 0 21 Sedalia 06/04/2001 04:36 AM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0 0 22 Postal 05/10/2003 06:50 AM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0 0 23 Sedalia 01/04/2005 07:16 PM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0 0 24 Green Ridge 01/12/2005 07:20 PM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0 0 25 Longwood 06/10/2007 07:00 AM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0K 0K 26 Sedalia 06/29/2007 08:30 AM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0K 0K 27 Sedalia 09/12/2008 05:13 AM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0K 0K 28 Sedalia 06/15/2009 23:45 PM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0K 0K 29 Green Ridge 07/11/2010 12:30 PM Flash Flood N/A 0 0 0K 0K TOTALS: 1 0 7.839M 7.002M Table 24 A review of the reported flooding events above reveals that virtually all of them involve flooded roadways. Only one event specific to the planning area reported damages to buildings, and that was the August 6, 1995 event where flooded basements are reported. Probability Table 24 above reveals that it is likely that a flooding event of some degree occurs almost annually in Pettis County. The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Flooding. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. 87 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Severe Winter Weather Hazard (Snow, Ice and Extreme Cold) Profile Winter weather is different than other hazards such as dam failure or tornadoes in that the hazard tends to occur over a much larger area, often times affecting areas from several counties to multiple states. Winter weather includes heavy snow, ice, freezing rain/sleet and extreme cold temperatures. Severe winter storm hazards include heavy snow, blizzards, sleet, freezing rain, ice storms and can be accompanied by extreme cold. Winter events or conditions are further defined below. Heavy Snow: According to the National Weather Service (NWS), heavy snow is generally snowfall accumulation to 4 inches or more in depth in 12 hours or less; or snowfall accumulating to 6 inches or more in depth in 24 hours or less. A snow squall is an intense, but limited duration, period of moderate to heavy snowfall (e.g. snowstorm), accompanied by strong, gusty surface winds and possibly lightning (generally moderate to heavy snow showers) (NWS, 2005). Snowstorms are complex phenomena involving heavy snow and winds, whose impact can be affected by a great many factors, including a region’s climatologically susceptibility to snowstorms, snowfall amounts, snow fall rates, wind speeds, temperatures, visibility, storm duration, topography, and occurrence during the course of the day, weekday versus weekend, and time of season (Kocin and Uccellini, 2004). Blizzard: Blizzards are characterized by low temperatures, wind gusts of 35 miles per hour (mph) or more and falling and/or blowing snow that reduces visibility to 0.25 miles or less for an extended period of time (three or more hours( (NWS,2005). Sleet or Freezing Rain Storm: Sleet is defined as pellets of ice composed of frozen or mostly frozen raindrops or refrozen partially melted snowflakes. These pellets of ice usually bounce after hitting the ground or other hard surfaces. Freezing rain is rain that falls as liquid but freezes into glaze upon contact with the ground. Both types of precipitation, even in small accumulations, can cause significant hazards to a community (NWS, 2005). Ice Storm: An ice storm is used to describe occasions when damaging accumulations of ice are expected during freezing rain situations. Significant accumulations of ice pull down trees and utility line resulting in loss of power and communication. These accumulations of ice make walking and driving extremely dangerous, and can create extreme hazards to motorist and pedestrians (NWS, 2005). Extreme Cold: Extreme cold events are when temperatures drop well below normal in an area. Extremely cold temperatures often accompany a winter storm, so individuals may have to cope with power failures and icy roads. Although staying indoors as much as possible can help reduce the risk of car crashes and falls on the ice, individuals may also face indoor hazards. Many homes will be too cold—either due to a power failure or because the heating system is not adequate for the weather. When people use space heaters and fireplaces to stay warm the risk of household fires and carbon monoxide poisoning increases. What constitutes extreme cold and its effects can vary across different areas of the country. In regions relatively unaccustomed to winter weather, near freezing 88 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 temperatures are considered “extreme cold.” Exposure to cold temperatures, whether indoors or outside, can lead to serious or life-threatening health problems such as hypothermia, cold stress, frostbite or freezing of the exposed extremities such as fingers, toes, nose and ear lobes (Centers of Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), 2005). Severity Snow can range from blizzard conditions to snow flurries and can accumulate to several inches, resulting in dangerous driving conditions. Ice conditions including sleet and freezing rain can result in roadways being covered in sheets of ice and ice jams resulting in flooding. Sleet usually bounces when hitting a surface and does not stick to objects; however, it can accumulate like snow and cause a hazard to motorists. Freezing rain is rain that falls onto a surface with a temperature below freezing; this causes it to freeze to surfaces, such as trees, cars, and roads, forming a glaze of ice. Even small accumulations of ice can cause a significant hazard. An ice storm occurs when freezing rain falls and freezes immediately on impact. Heavy accumulations of ice can bring down trees, electrical wires, telephone poles and lines, and communication towers. Communications and power can be disrupted for days while utility companies work to repair the extensive damage. Sometimes winter storms are accompanied by strong winds creating blizzard conditions with blinding wind-driven snow, severe drifting and dangerous wind chill. Strong winds with these intense storms and cold fronts can knock down trees, utility poles and power lines. Extreme cold often accompanies a winter storm or is left in its wake. Prolonged exposure to the cold can cause frostbite or hypothermia and become life-threatening. Infants and elderly people are most susceptible to extremely cold weather conditions. What constitutes extreme cold and its effect varies across different areas of the United States. In areas unaccustomed to winter weather, near freezing temperatures are considered "extreme cold." Freezing temperatures can cause severe damage to citrus fruit crops and other vegetation. Pipes may freeze and burst in homes that are poorly insulated or without heat. In the north, below zero temperatures may be considered as "extreme cold." Long cold spells can cause rivers to freeze, disrupting shipping, and Ice jams may form and lead to flooding. Heavy snow can immobilize a region and paralyze a city, stranding commuters, stopping the flow of supplies, and disrupting emergency and medical services. Accumulations of snow can collapse buildings and knock down trees and power lines. In rural areas, homes and farms may be isolated for days, and unprotected livestock may be lost. The cost of snow removal, repairing damages, and loss of business can have large economic impacts on cities and towns. Extreme cold temperatures are ranked based upon a wind chill chart that figures the temperature on how the wind and cold feel on exposed skin. As the wind increases, heat is carried away from the body at a faster rate, driving down the body temperature. Frostbite, hypothermia and death can result from winter weather. Seventy percent of snow injuries result from vehicle accidents, 25% occur in people getting caught in the weather. Cold injuries occur to 50% of people over 60 years old, 75% happen to males and 20% occur in the home. Types of damage that could occur in Pettis County include property damage, as well as injury and death to individuals. Each year dozens of people die due to exposure to cold in the U.S. In addition, vehicle accidents and fatalities, fires due to dangerous use of heaters and other winter 89 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 weather fatalities (heart attacks from shoveling snow, for example) result in a threat. Threats such as hypothermia and frostbite can lead to the loss of fingers and toes or cause permanent kidney, pancreas, liver damage and death. People can become trapped in their homes and cars without utilities or assistance. Other damage can include rooftop collapse (as a result of the inability of the roofs to withstand the weight of a heavy snowfall event), automobile accidents and downed power lines/power outages from ice storms. Heavy snow can strand commuters, close airports, stop the flow of supplies and disrupt emergency and medical services. Livestock may be lost on farms. The cost of snow and debris removal, repairing damages and the loss of business can have a severe impact on the region. Winter storms in Pettis County, as compared to winter storms to the north and west, are relatively mild. Severe winter weather is rare. Based on records maintained from 1900 through 2009, the region has experienced total annual snowfall over the average of 15.4 inches per year. Of these years, only six years experienced annual snowfall of over 40 inches. In the queries requested from NOM, storm magnitudes were not reported - Extreme is the greatest daily snow depth recorded for the day of the year. - Average is the average of all daily snow depth recorded for the day of the year. Figure 31: Daily Snow Depth Average and Extreme Source: www.hprcc.unl.edu Based on queries from NOAA, no deaths or injuries were reported in Pettis County due to winter storms. No other information was available from NOAA. Winter storms are considered deceptive killers because most deaths are indirectly related to the storm. People die in traffic accidents on icy roads and of hypothermia from prolonged exposure to cold. Everyone is potentially at risk during winter storms. The actual threat depends on the specific situation. 90 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Related to ice and snow injuries and deaths: About 70% occur in automobiles. About 25% are people caught out in the storm. Related to exposure to cold: 50% are people over 60 years old. Over 75% are males. About 20% occur in the home. There are a variety of transportation impacts due to cold weather. Diesel engines are stressed and often fuel gels in extreme cold weather impacting trucking and rail traffic. Rivers and lakes freeze, stopping barge and ship traffic. Subsequent ice jams threaten bridges and can close major highways. Cold temperatures take their toll on vehicle batteries. Shear cold temperatures stress metal bridge structures. Transportation losses for the winter of 1976 -77 came to $6.5 billion (in 1980 dollars) (NOAA, 1982). Cold temperature impacts on agriculture are frequently discussed in terms of frost and freeze impacts early or late in growing seasons. Absolute temperature and duration of extreme cold can have devastating effects on trees and winter crops as well. Prolonged cold snaps can impact livestock not protected from the frigid temperatures. In the winter of 1983-84, a single cold snap around Christmas destroyed over $1 billion of the citrus crop in Florida. Louisiana lost 80% of its citrus crop. Tennessee estimated $15 million in agriculture losses. Texas experienced hundreds of millions of dollars in crop damage (NOM, 1983). Energy consumption rises significantly during extreme cold weather. In the winter of 1976-77 additional energy consumption cost $3.8 billion (1980 dollars). This includes increase costs of electricity, fuel oil, and coal. Extreme cold temperatures can cause significant ground freezing problems, especially if there is little snow cover. Buried water pipes can burst causing massive ice problems and loss of water pressure in metropolitan areas. This poses a variety of public health and public safety problems. One case of a broken water main in Denver, Colorado forced the entire evacuation in sub-zero temperatures of the medically fragile patients of the Veteran's Hospital. Other cases of broken water mains have shut down subway systems and financial centers. Schools often close during extreme cold snaps to protect the safety of children who wait for school buses. 91 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Severe Winter Weather. They rated it “Limited” or damaging 10 percent to 25 percent of the jurisdiction. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location Severe winter weather could occur in any portion of the planning area. Late winter storms that have a tendency to be intense tend to generate in the southwest portion of the United States and move northeast, dependent upon the meteorology and the storm track. Winter weather is different than other hazards such as tornadoes in that the hazard tends to occur over a much larger area, often times affecting from several counties to multiple states. Previous Events Data from Table 26 was provided by the NCDC. As previously stated, the data provided in Table 26 below represents only reported events, related injuries and property damage. The winter storms listed include snow and ice events. According to NOAA winter weather is not tracked to the same degree it has for severe Midwest spring storms. This is mainly due to the fact that winter weather and winter storms are more "subjective." 92 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Table 26 Mag: Dth: Inj: PrD: CrD: SNOW & ICE event(s) were reported in Pettis County, Missouri Location or County Date Time Magnitude Deaths Injuries Property Damage Crop Damage Type Dth Inj PrD CrD 1 Central And Eastern M 04/05/1994 1500 Winter Storm 0 0 500K 0 2 MOZ031>033 - 038>040 01/18/1995 1800 Heavy Snow 0 0 200K 0 3 Northwest, Central An 11/11/1995 0100 Snow/ice 0 0 0 0 4 MOZ001>008 - 011>017 - 12/08/1995 0400 Snow 0 0 0 0 5 MOZ045>046 - 053>054 01/09/1997 12:00 AM Heavy Snow 0 0 0 0 6 MOZ023 - 031>033 - 03 01/11/1998 10:00 PM Ice Storm 0 0 0 0 7 MOZ045>046 - 054 03/11/2000 04:00 AM Heavy Snow 0 0 0 0 8 MOZ030>031 - 037>039 11/08/2000 12:00 PM Ice Storm 0 0 0 0 9 MOZ039>040 - 045>046 12/11/2000 01:00 AM Ice Storm 0 0 0 0 10 MOZ028 - 033 - 037>040 - 12/13/2000 09:00 AM Heavy Snow 0 0 0 0 11 MOZ001>008 - 011>017 01/28/2001 02:00 AM Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 12 MOZ005>008 - 013>017 02/09/2001 02:00 AM Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 13 MOZ025 - 028>033 01/30/2002 04:00 AM Ice Storm 0 0 32.0M 0 14 MOZ045>046 01/02/2003 05:20 AM Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 15 MOZ039 - 045>046 12/10/2003 04:00 AM Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 16 MOZ039 - 045 12/12/2003 02:00 PM Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 17 MOZ037 - 039>040 01/25/2004 05:30 AM Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 18 MOZ006 - 032 - 039 - 045 01/05/2005 07:00 AM Ice Storm 0 0 0 0 19 MOZ005>008 - 013>017 11/29/2006 06:00 AM Ice Storm 0 0 0K 0K 20 MOZ031 - 045 - 046 11/30/2006 17:00 PM Heavy Snow 0 0 0K 0K 21 MOZ017 - 023>025 12/01/2006 00:00 AM Heavy Snow 0 0 0K 0K 22 MOZ017 - 022 - 028 - 045 01/12/2007 10:00 AM Winter Storm 0 0 0K 0K 23 MOZ032 - 039>040 12/09/2007 01:00 AM Ice Storm 0 0 0K 0K 24 MOZ045 02/28/2009 05:40 AM Heavy Snow 0 0 0K 0K 25 MOZ045 12/24/2009 18:00 PM Winter Storm 0 0 0K 0K 26 MOZ001>003 - 006>008 01/06/2010 10:00 AM Winter Storm 0 0 0K 0K 27 MOZ032 - 037 - 043 - 045 02/04/2010 15:00 PM Winter Weather 0 0 0K 0K 28 MOZ045 - 053 - 054 03/20/2010 04:00 AM Winter Storm 0 0 0K 0K 29 MOZ006 - 016 - 023>024 01/10/2011 03:00 AM Winter Weather 0 0 0K 0K 30 MOZ031 - 045 01/19/2011 15:00 PM Winter Storm 0 0 0K 0K 32.65M 0 TOTALS: 0 0 Source: NCDC 93 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Mag: Dth: Inj: PrD: CrD: EXTREME COLD event(s) reported in Pettis County, Missouri Location or County Date Time Magnitude Deaths Injuries Property Damage Crop Damage Type Mag Dth Inj PrD CrD 1 Northwest Missouri 09/22/1995 0600 Freeze N/A 0 0 0 0 2 MOZ001>008 - 01/10/1997 12:00 AM Extreme Cold N/A 0 0 0 0 7 MOZ001>008 -028 05 10/06/2000 12:00 AM Extreme Cold N/A 0 0 0 0 55 0 50K TOTALS: 49 Probability With 39 reported events of snow and ice over the past 17 years, it is likely that at least one or two events will occur every year in the planning area. Weather data shows that winter weather most commonly occurs in January (38% of storms occurred in this month), followed by December (29%). Records show that temperatures drop to zero or below an average of two or three days per year, and temperatures as cold as 32 degrees or lower occur less than 25 days in most years. Snowfall has averaged a little over 18 inches per winter season, and snowfall of an inch or less is received on five to ten days in most years. The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Severe Winter Weather. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Figure 32 Recommendation Mitigation activities for Pettis County should include the education of its workers and residents about prevention of injuries and deaths from severe winter weather. Communities should become aware of the warning systems in place and identify shelter locations and phone numbers of emergency services. 94 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Drought Hazard Profile Drought is defined as the deficiency of precipitation over an extended period of time, usually a season or more. This deficiency results in a water shortage for some activity, group or environmental sector. Drought should be considered relative to some long-term average condition of balance between precipitation and evapotranspiration (i.e., evaporation + transpiration) in a particular area, a condition often perceived as "normal". It is also related to the timing (i.e., principal season of occurrence, delays in the start of the rainy season, occurrence of rains in relation to principal crop growth stages) and the effectiveness (i.e., rainfall intensity, number of rainfall events) of the rains. Other climatic factors such as high temperature, high wind, and low relative humidity are often associated with drought in many regions of the world and can significantly aggravate its severity. Description Drought should not be viewed as merely a physical phenomenon or natural event. Its impacts on society result from the interplay between a natural event (less precipitation than expected resulting from natural climatic variability) and the demand people place on water supply. Human beings often exacerbate the impact of drought. Recent droughts in both developing and developed countries and the resulting economic and environmental impacts and personal hardships have underscored the vulnerability of all societies to this hazard. There are two main kinds of drought definitions: conceptual and operational. Conceptual definitions, formulated in general terms, help people understand the concept of drought. Drought is a protracted period of deficient precipitation resulting in extensive damage to crops, resulting in loss of yield. Conceptual definitions may also be important in establishing drought policy. For example, Australian drought policy incorporates an understanding of normal climate variability into its definition of drought. The country provides financial assistance to farmers only under "exceptional drought circumstances," when drought conditions are beyond those that could be considered part of normal risk management. Declarations of exceptional drought are based on science-driven assessments. Previously, when drought was less well defined from a policy standpoint and less well understood by farmers, some farmers in the semiarid Australian climate claimed drought assistance every few years. Severity Operational definitions help define the onset, severity, and end of droughts. No single operational definition of drought works in all circumstances, and this is a big part of why policy makers, resource planners, and others have more trouble recognizing and planning for drought than they do for other disasters. In fact, most drought planners now rely on mathematic indices to decide when to start implementing water conservation or drought response measures. In the early 1980s, research by Donald A. Wilhite, director of the National Drought Mitigation Center, and Michael H. Glantz, of the National Center for Atmospheric Research, uncovered more than 150 published definitions of drought. The definitions reflect differences in regions, needs, and disciplinary approaches. Wilhite and Glantz categorized the definitions in 95 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 terms of four basic approaches to measuring drought: meteorological, hydrological, agricultural, and socioeconomic. The first three approaches deal with ways to measure drought as a physical phenomenon. The last approach to measuring drought deals with drought in terms of supply and demand, tracking the effects of water shortfall as it ripples through socioeconomic systems. Meteorological drought is usually an expression of precipitation's departure from normal over some period of time. These definitions are usually region-specific, and presumably based on a thorough understanding of regional climatology. Meteorological measurements are the first indicators of drought. Agricultural drought occurs when there is not enough soil moisture to meet the needs of a particular crop at a particular time. Agricultural drought happens after meteorological drought but before hydrological drought. Agriculture is usually the first economic sector to be affected by drought. Agricultural drought links various characteristics of meteorological (or hydrological) drought to agricultural impacts, focusing on precipitation shortages, differences between actual and potential evapotranspiration, soil water deficits, reduced ground water or reservoir levels, and so forth. Plant water demand depends on prevailing weather conditions, biological characteristics of the specific plant, its stage of growth, and the physical and biological properties of the soil. A good definition of agricultural drought should be able to account for the variable susceptibility of crops during different stages of crop development, from emergence to maturity. Deficient topsoil moisture at planting may hinder germination, leading to low plant populations per hectare and a reduction of final yield. However, if topsoil moisture is sufficient for early growth requirements, deficiencies in subsoil moisture at this early stage may not affect final yield if subsoil moisture is replenished as the growing season progresses or if rainfall meets plant water needs. Hydrological drought refers to deficiencies in surface and subsurface water supplies. It is measured as stream flow and as lake, reservoir, and groundwater levels. There is a time lag between lack of rain and less water in streams, rivers, lakes, and reservoirs, so hydrological measurements are not the earliest indicators of drought. When precipitation is reduced or deficient over an extended period of time, this shortage will be reflected in declining surface and subsurface water levels. Hydrological drought is associated with the effects of periods of precipitation (including snowfall) shortfalls on surface or subsurface water supply (i.e., stream flow, reservoir and lake levels, ground water). The frequency and severity of hydrological drought is often defined on a watershed or river basin scale. Although all droughts originate with a deficiency of precipitation, hydrologists are more concerned with how this deficiency plays out through the hydrologic system. Hydrological droughts are usually out of phase with or lag the occurrence of meteorological and agricultural droughts. It takes longer for precipitation deficiencies to show up in components of the hydrological system such as soil moisture, stream flow, and ground water and reservoir levels. As a result, these impacts are out of phase with impacts in other economic sectors. For example, a precipitation deficiency may result in a rapid depletion of soil moisture that is almost immediately discernible to agriculturalists, but the impact of this deficiency on reservoir levels may not affect hydroelectric power production or recreational uses for many months. Also, water in hydrologic storage systems (e.g., reservoirs, rivers) is often used for multiple and competing purposes (e.g., flood control, irrigation, recreation, navigation, hydropower, wildlife habitat), further complicating the sequence and quantification of impacts. 96 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Competition for water in these storage systems escalates during drought and conflicts between water users increase significantly. Although climate is a primary contributor to hydrological drought, other factors such as changes in land use (e.g„ deforestation), land degradation, and the construction of dams all affect the hydrological characteristics of the basin. Because regions are interconnected by hydrologic systems, the impact of meteorological drought may extend well beyond the borders of the precipitation-deficient area. For example, meteorological drought may severely affect portions of the northern Rocky Mountains and northern Great Plains region of the United States. However, since the Missouri River and its tributaries drain this region to the south, there may be significant hydrologic Impacts downstream. Similarly, changes in land use upstream may alter hydrologic characteristics such as infiltration and runoff rates, resulting in more variable stream flow and a higher incidence of hydrologic drought downstream. Bangladesh, for example, has shown an increased frequency of water shortages in recent years because land use changes have occurred within the country and in neighboring countries. Land use change is one of the ways human actions alter the frequency of water shortage even when no change in the frequency of meteorological drought has been observed. For the purposes of drought response planning, all three categories (meteorologic, hydrologic and agriculture) can be regarded as equivalent, since each one relates to the occurrence of drought to water shortfalls in some component of the hydrologic cycle The most commonly used drought severity indicators are the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) and the Crop Moisture Index. These are published by NOM and the USDA. The PDSI is more widely used than any other single indicator. It provides a standardized means of depicting drought severity throughout the US. It measures the departure of water supply (in terms of precipitation and stored soil moisture) from demand (the amount of water required to recharge soil and keep rivers, lakes and reservoirs at normal levels). By relating these figures to the previous regional index a continuous stream of data is created reflecting long-term wet or dry tendencies. The severity of drought is most commonly measured by the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). It is is a measurement of dryness based on recent precipitation and temperature. It was developed by meteorologist Wayne Palmer, who first published his method in the 1965 paper Meteorological Drought[1] for the Office of Climatology of the U.S. Weather Bureau. The table below defines each numeric classification. Table 28 Palmer Classifications 4.0 or more Extremely wet 3.0 to 3.99 Very wet 2.0 to 2.99 Moderately wet 1.0 to 1.99 Slightly wet 97 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 0.5 to 0.99 Incipient wet spell 0.49 to –0.49 Near normal -0.5 to 0.99 Incipient dry spell -1.9 to –1.99 Mild drought -2.0 to –2.99 Moderate drought -3.0 to –3.99 Severe drought -4.0 or less Extreme drought Drought characteristics include economic, social and environmental. This Plan Update will describe some of the economic and environmental impacts that could occur. The “Dust Bowl” of the1930s is most often remembered as impacting agriculture. Deficient rainfall, high temperatures, and high winds, as well as insect infestations and dust storms occurred at that time, and damaged many crop. Although records focus on other problems, the lack of precipitation would also have affected wildlife and plant life, and would have created water shortages for domestic needs. The severity and aerial coverage of the event played a part in making the 1930s drought widely recognized drought of record for the United States. The State of Missouri’s Drought Plan was most recently revised in 2002. Missouri's plan divides the state into three regions according to their susceptibility to drought, see the map on the following page. Susceptibility is measured by the characteristics of surface and ground water supplies. Regions were judged to have slight, moderate or high susceptibility to drought. Pettis County was included in Region B, which is considered moderate surface and groundwater supply drought susceptibility. Groundwater resources are adequate to meet domestic and municipal water needs, but due to required well depths, irrigation wells are very expensive. 98 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Missouri’s drought plan complements and supports the State Consolidated Plan and the State Emergency Operations Plan. Actions within the drought plan are triggered when the Palmer Drought Index reaches certain levels. The Drought Assessment Committee (DAC), chaired by the Director of the Department of Natural Resources, is activated in the Drought Alert Stage. The DAC then activates the Impact Task Forces, which cover the following topics: agriculture, natural resources and environmental recreation, water supplies, wastewater, health, social, economic and post drought evaluation. The social and economic costs of drought are substantial. Given the extent to which the U. S. relies on acceptable water supply for health and well- being, the need for advanced drought planning is obvious. Types of damage can include the increasing incidence of range fires, causing injuries and devastation to properties, depletion of groundwater supplies (residents being requested to cut water usage), poor crop growth, and a decrease in hay for cattle (overgrazing) conditions. A shortage of hay forces ranchers to sell cattle at low prices and food prices increase due to lower production levels for milk, meat, produce, and other foodstuffs. Drought also results in reduced revenues from recreational areas, environmental damages (endangered species were affected, erosion of landscapes), contaminant levels in surface and groundwater rise due to decrease in volume of stream flow, loss in revenues from agriculturally related industries such as harvesting, trucking, and food processing (reduced 99 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 irrigation water led to a reduction in vegetable production, with concomitant losses in jobs and income). Drought in Pettis County is primarily a problem with rural water supply and agricultural water supply, especially those supplied by small water structures. When good water becomes scarce and people must compete for the available supply, the importance of drought severity increases dramatically. According to the Climate Prediction Center, average annual precipitation for the Pettis County area is approximately 41 inches. The state rates Pettis County for moderate drought susceptibility. Precipitation-related impacts on time scales ranging from a few days to a few months can include impacts on wildfire danger, non-irrigated agriculture, topsoil moisture, range and pasture conditions, and unregulated stream flows. Lack of precipitation over a period of several months or years adversely affects reservoir stores, irrigated agriculture, groundwater levels, and well water depth. Groundwater resources in the county seem to be adequate to meet domestic and municipal water needs, but due to required well depths, irrigation wells are very expensive. The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Drought. They rated it based on agricultural lands only since urban structures are not usually impacted by this hazard. The Committee assigned a “Catastrophic” rating, meaning that it would impact 50 percent or more of the jurisdiction’s agricultural lands. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location All locations in the planning area are equally susceptible to drought. Previous Events The only drought event reported for Pettis County in the NCDC database was in the years 1999 2000. This event involved most of the state. April 2000 was the driest on record in the state of Missouri, according to the Midwestern Climate Center. The lowest rainfall totals occurred in parts of west-central Missouri, which includes the planning area. The weather station WFO Pleasant Hill received only 0.30 inches of precipitation for the entire month, and Sweet Springs picked up only 0.47 inches. At Kansas City International Airport, 0.65 inches of rain fell during the month, making it the driest April recorded in Kansas City. April's dry weather represented a continuation of long-term drought dating back to July 1999, as rainfall deficits in most locations exceeded 10 inches and the U.S. Drought Monitor showed most of northern and western Missouri in a severe drought. According to the Missouri State Climatologist, 1999-2000 was the 5th driest July-through-April period on record. During the 1999-2000 droughts, the entire state was placed under a Phase 1 Drought Advisory 100 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 level by DNR and the Governor declared an Agricultural Emergency. In October the U.S. Agriculture Secretary declared a federal disaster, making low-interest loans available to farmers in Missouri and neighboring states. By June of 2000, the entire state was under a Phase 2 Alert for drought conditions. Other recent drought events are shown in the table below. Table 29 Recent Drought Events in Pettis County Date Phase Palmer Scale Description 19-Sep-06 Phase III -2.0 to -4.0 Conservation 16-Aug-06 Phase III -2.0 to -4.0 Conservation 4-May-06 Phase II -1.0 to -2.0 Drought Alert 15-Apr-06 Phase II -1.0 to -2.0 Drought Alert 17-Feb-06 Phase II -1.0 to -2.0 Drought Alert 13-Jan-04 Phase I ≥ -1.0 Advisory phase 13-Nov-03 Phase II -1.0 to -2.0 Drought alert 9-Oct-03 Phase I ≥ -1.0 Advisory phase 5-Sep-03 Phase I ≥ -1.0 Advisory phase 12-Aug-03 Phase II -1.0 to -2.0 Drought alert 29-Jul-03 Phase II -1.0 to -2.0 Drought alert 20-May-03 Phase I ≥ -1.0 Advisory phase 4-Mar-03 Phase III -2.0 to -4.0 Conservation phase 22-Jan-03 Phase III -2.0 to -4.0 Conservation phase 8-Oct-02 Phase I ≥ -1.0 Advisory phase 11-Sep-02 Phase I ≥ -1.0 Advisory phase 101 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Probability Drought history in Pettis County indicates that it could happen once every ten years. However, the past number and severity of events is not necessarily a predictor of future occurrences. Therefore, it is possible for Pettis County to experience drought in any given year. The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Drought. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Recommendation Initiate a mitigation activity to discern and promote a set of best practices for drought-resistant farming. Initiate a cooperative effort to reduce the number of small water structures and educate city residents on watering restrictions of lawns. 102 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Heat Wave Hazard Profile Heat wave is defined as a prolonged period of excessive heat and humidity: more than 48 hours of high heat (90 degrees F or higher) and high humidity (80 percent relative humidity or higher) are expected. Although heat waves are not often taken as seriously as other forms of severe weather, the mortality from these weather events in the U. S. from 1979 to 1998 is greater than the number of lives claimed by lightning, hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, and earthquakes combined (National Center for Environmental Health). Hazard Description Even during a normal year without a catastrophic heat wave, the National Weather Service claims that an average of about 175 people succumb to summer heat. This number does not include the number of excess deaths of people already in poor health, whose deaths may have been advanced by exposure to extreme heat. In contrast to the visible nature of "deadly weather," like floods, hurricanes, and tornadoes, a heat wave is a "silent disaster." Unlike violent weather events, the impact of extreme heat is dramatically less apparent. Extreme heat is a hazard that could rapidly increase in magnitude in the 21st century. The increasing urbanization of the world's population results in larger numbers of vulnerable people. Global warming also dictates a need to improve heat wave mitigation and response systems. In a normal year, about 175 Americans succumb to summer heat. Among the large continental family of hazards, only the cold of winter--not lightning, hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, or earthquakes-- takes a greater toll. In the 40-year period from 1936 through 1975, nearly 20,000 people were killed in the United States by the effects of heat and solar radiation. In the disastrous heat wave of 1980, more than 1,250 people died. These are just the direct casualties of heat waves. No one can know how many more deaths are advanced by heat wave weather-how many diseased or aging hearts cannot survive the added stress of extreme heat. Severity Based on the latest research findings, the NWS has devised the "Heat Index"(HI), (sometimes referred to as the "apparent temperature") to measure the severity of extreme heat. The HI, given in degrees F, is an accurate measure of how hot it really feels when the relative humidity (RH) is added to the actual air temperature. To find the HI, look at the Heat Index Chart in Figure 37 below. As an example, if the air temperature is 95 degrees F (found on the left side of the chart) and the RH is 55% (found at the top of the chart), the HI -- or how hot it really feels -- is 110 degrees F. This is at the intersection of the 95-degree row and the 55% column. 103 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Figure 38: Heat Severity Index Source: National Weather Service In addition, the NWS recently has devised a method to warn of advancing heat waves up to seven days in advance: Mean Heat Index. It is a measure of how hot the temperatures actually feel to a person over the course of a full 24 hours. It differs from the traditional Heat Index in that it is an average of the Heat Index from the hottest and coldest times of each day. Heat kills by taxing the human body beyond its abilities. Normally, the body has ways of keeping itself cool, by letting heat escape through the skin, and by evaporating sweat (perspiration). If the body does not cool properly, the victim may suffer a heat-related illness. Anyone can be susceptible although the very young and very old are at greater risk. Heat-related illnesses can become serious or deadly if unattended. Damage to the body ranges from heat cramps to death. Heat Cramps: Heat cramps are muscular pains and spasms due to heavy exertion. They usually involve the abdominal muscles or the legs. It is generally thought that the loss of water and salt from heavy sweating causes the cramps. Heat Exhaustion: Heat exhaustion is less dangerous than heat stroke. It typically occurs when people exercise heavily or work in a warm, humid place where body fluids are lost through heavy sweating. Fluid loss causes blood flow to decrease in the vital organs, resulting in a form of shock. With heat exhaustion, sweat does not evaporate as it should, possibly because of high humidity or too many layers of clothing. As a result, the body is not cooled properly. Signals include cool, moist, pale, flushed or red skin; heavy sweating; headache; nausea or vomiting; dizziness; and exhaustion. Body temperature will be near normal. Heat Stroke: Also known as sunstroke, heat stroke is life-threatening. The victim's temperature control system, which produces sweating to cool the body, stops working. The body temperature can rise so high that brain damage and death may result if the 104 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 body is not cooled quickly. Signals include hot, red and dry skin; changes in consciousness; rapid, weak pulse; and rapid, shallow breathing. Body temperature can be very high--sometimes as high as 105F. Compared to other meteorological hazards that pose threats to property and human health (e.g„ floods, hurricanes, and tornadoes), heat waves rank first as the cause of death. Extremes of heat have a broad and far-reaching set of impacts. These include loss of life and illness, as well as economic costs in transportation, agriculture, production, energy, and infrastructure. There are several impacts on transportation documented in case studies. Aircraft lose lift at high temperatures. Some airports have closed due to periods of extreme heat that made aircraft operations unsafe. Highways and roads are damaged by excessive heat. Asphalt roads soften. Concrete roads have been known to "explode" lifting three to four foot pieces of concrete. During the 1980 heat wave hundreds of miles of highway buckled (NOM, 1980). Stress is placed on automobile cooling systems, diesel trucks and railroad locomotives. This leads to an increase in mechanical failures. Train rails develop sun kinks and distort. Various sectors of the agriculture community are affected by extreme heat. Livestock, such as rabbits and poultry, are severely impacted by heat waves. Millions of birds have been lost during heat waves. Milk production and cattle reproduction also decreases during heat waves. Pigs are also adversely impacted by extreme heat. In terms of crop impacts in the summer of 1980, it is unclear what the impacts are of very high temperatures for a few days, versus the above average summer temperatures or the drought. We do know that high temperatures at the wrong time inhibit crop yields. Wheat, rice, corn, potato, and soybean crop yields can all be significantly reduced by extreme high temperatures at key development stages. The electric transmission system is impacted when power lines sag in high temperatures. In 2002 a major west coast power outage impacting 4 states was blamed in part on extreme high temperatures causing sagging transmission lines to short out. The combination of extreme heat and the added demand for electricity to run air conditioning causes transmission line temperatures to rise The demand for electric power during heat waves is well documented. In 1980, consumers paid $1.3 billion more for electric power during the summer than the previous year. The demand for electricity, 5.5% above normal, outstripped the supply, causing electric companies to have rolling black outs. The demand for water increases during periods of hot weather. In extreme heat waves, water is used to cool bridges and other metal structures susceptible to heat failure. This causes a reduced water supply and pressure in many areas. This can significantly contribute to fire suppression problems for both urban and rural fire departments. The rise in water temperature during heat waves contributes to the degradation of water quality and negatively impacts fish populations. It can also lead to the death of many other organisms in the water ecosystem. High temperatures are also linked to rampant algae growth, causing fish kills in rivers and lakes. 105 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Although most heat-related deaths occur in cities, residents of rural areas are at risk due to factors that can include age, outdoor activities, or lack of air conditioning. While heat-related illness and death can occur due to exposure to intense heat in just one afternoon, heat stress on the body has a cumulative effect. The persistence of a heat wave increases the danger. Excessive heat can lead to illnesses and other stresses on people with prolonged exposure to these conditions. The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Heat Wave. They rated it “Catastrophic” or impacting more than 50 percent of the jurisdiction in one degree or another. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location Heat waves in Pettis County will be planning-area wide. Heat wave weather is different than other hazards such as tornadoes in that the hazard tends to occur over a much larger area, often times affecting from several counties to multiple states. Prior Events Of the 15 reported heat waves to hit the Pettis County region between 1994 and 2009, fourteen produced heat indices within the "Danger" range. The most intense heat waves occurred across the Pettis County region in summers of 1994, 1999, and 2001. The effects of these heat waves are compiled in the table below. Note that the deaths listed are area-wide, and not confined to Pettis County. Table 30 106 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 The 1999 heat wave was the most devastating of all the heat waves combined with a total of 22 deaths, 55 injuries and 50K of crop damage in the state. Northwest Missouri suffered through two weeks of oppressive heat and humidity in late July as temperatures topped the 90 degree mark for 14 consecutive days. Dew points in the lower to middle 70s pushed afternoon heat indices above 100 degrees each day. The heat wave was most intense from July 23rd through the 30th, as temperatures reached the upper 90s or topped 100 degrees for 8 consecutive days, with afternoon heat indices between 110 and 115 degrees. Probability Based on previous events, it is likely that the planning area will experience extreme heat every two to three years. Heat waves are sporadic phenomena that occur throughout the United States. Frequency, intensity, and duration of heat Waves, however, vary drastically from year to year. As seen in the table below, extreme heat in Pettis County is most likely to occur in July. Table 31 The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Heat Wave. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Recommendation Initiate a mitigation activity to provide cooling centers or portable fans for the elderly during sustained high temperatures. Also initiate an education program to teach outdoor workers, students, and the general public on the dangers of extended exposure to high temperatures and simple measures to avoid harmful consequences 107 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Dam Failure Hazard Profile The purpose of a dam is to impound (store) water, wastewater or liquid borne materials for any of several reasons, including flood control, human water supply, irrigation, livestock water supply, energy generation, containment of mine tailings, and recreation or pollution control. Many dams fulfill a combination of the above functions. Manmade dams may be classified according to the type of construction material used, the methods used in construction, the slope or cross-section of the dam, the way the dam resists the forces of the water pressure behind it, the means used for controlling seepage and, occasionally, according to the purpose of the dam. The materials used for construction of dams include earth, rock, tailings from mining or milling, concrete, masonry, steel, timber, miscellaneous materials (such as plastic or rubber) and any combination of these materials. Dams are owned and operated by individuals, private and public organizations and the government. Associated works include spillways, water supply facilities, and lake drain structures. Most dams have an earth embankment and one or two spillways . Embankment dams are the most common type of dam in use today in Missouri. Ninety-nine percent of all Missouri are made of earthen materials, and 1% are constructed of concrete. Materials used for embankment dams include natural soil or rock, or waste materials obtained from mining or milling operations. An embankment dam is termed an "earth fill" or "rock fill" dam depending on whether it is comprised of compacted earth, or mostly compacted/dumped rock. The ability of an embankment dam to resist the reservoir water pressure is primarily a result of the mass weight, type, and strength of the construction materials. Concrete dams may be categorized into gravity and arch dams according to the designs used to resist the stress of reservoir water pressure. Typical concrete gravity dams are the most common form of concrete dam. Description of the Hazard Because the purpose of a dam is to retain water effectively and safely, the water retention ability of a dam is of prime importance. Water may pass from the reservoir to the downstream side of a dam by: Passing through the main spillway or outlet works Passing over an auxiliary spillway Overtopping the dam Seepage through the abutments Seepage under the dam Overtopping of an embankment dam is very undesirable because the embankment materials may be eroded away. Additionally, only a small number of concrete dams have been designed to be overtopped. Water normally passes through the main spillway or outlet works; it should pass 108 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 over an auxiliary spillway only during periods of high reservoir levels and high water inflow. All embankment and most concrete dams have some seepage. However, it is important to control the seepage to prevent internal erosion and instability. Proper dam construction, and maintenance and monitoring of seepage provide this control. Thousands of people have been injured, some killed, and billions of dollars of property damaged by dam failures in the United States. The catastrophic dam failure upstream from Johnstown, Pennsylvania killed 2,209 people in May 31, 1889. It resulted from inappropriate maintenance of a poorly constructed dam. The problem of unsafe dams in Missouri was underscored by the 1968 dam failure at Lawrenceton south of Jefferson City, one in Washington County in 1975, and a near failure in Franklin County in 1978. Driving every other issue and all activities within the dam safety community is the risk of dam failure. Although the majority of dams in the U.S. have responsible owners and are properly maintained, dams fail every year. In the past several years, there have been hundreds of documented failures across the nation (this includes 250 after the Georgia Flood of 1994). A life was recently lost in New Hampshire as a result of a dam failure. Dam and downstream repair costs resulting from failures in 23 states reporting in one recent year totaled $54.3 million. In Missouri, the first state legislation aimed at regulating dams was passed in 1889 and was called the Dam Mills and Electric Power Law. The law concerned damage caused by construction and lake formation. It did not address the engineering aspects of design or downstream safety of dams. In 1972, Congress passed the National Dam Safety Act (Pt. 92 -367) that called for an inventory of dams in the U.S. In 1986, Congress enacted the Water Resources Development Act (P.L. 99-662). The Title XII-Dam Safety Act authorized the formation of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) to maintain and periodically update the inventory of dams. In 1988 funds were appropriated for this effort. FEMA and USACE developed a Memorandum of Agreement wherein FEMA assumed responsibility for maintaining and updating the inventory using the funds authorized. The Water Resources Development Act of 1996 (P.L. 104-303) Section 215 reauthorized periodic update of the National Inventory of Dams (NID) by USACE and continued a funding mechanism. For the 1998 update, the USACE resumed the lead responsibility and worked with FEMA and other agencies. There are about 77,000 dams in the inventory. Federal law and the Association of Dam Safety Officials (ASDSO) Model State Dam Safety program define a dam as "any artificial barrier, including appurtenant works, which impounds or diverts water and which is: (1) is 25 feet or more in height from the natural bed of the stream or watercourse measured at the downstream toe of the barrier, or from the lowest elevation of the outside limit of the barrier, if it is not across a stream channel or watercourse to the maximum water storage elevation; or (2) has an impounding capacity at the maximum water storage elevation of fifty acre-feet or more. This Act does not apply to any such barrier which is not in excess of six feet in height, regardless of storage capacity, or which has a storage capacity at a maximum water storage elevation not in excess of fifteen acre-feet, regardless of height (P.L. 92-367; Dam Safety 109 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Act of 1972) unless such barrier, due to its location or other physical characteristic, is likely to pose a significant threat to human life or property in the event of its failure." (P.L. 99662, Water Resources Development Act of 1986). Criteria for dams in the NID are as follows: 1) All high hazard potential classification dams 2) All significant hazard potential classification dams 3) Low hazard or undetermined potential classification dams which: Equal or exceed 25 feet in height and which exceed 15 acre-feet in storage Equal or exceed 50 acre-feet storage and exceed 6 feet in height. The NID has definitions for downstream hazard potential. These definitions are different from the Missouri Department of Natural Resources, Geological Survey and Resource Assessment, Dam and Reservoir Safety Program. The NID definitions, as accepted by the Interagency Committee on Dam Safety are as follows: Low Hazard Potential: Dams assigned the low hazard potential classification are those where failure or disoperation results in no probable loss of human life and low economic and/or environmental losses. Losses are principally limited to the property owners. Significant Hazard Potential: Dams assigned the significant hazard potential classification are those dams where failure or disoperation results in no probable loss of human life but can cause economic loss, environmental change, disruption of lifeline facilities, or impact other concerns. Significant hazard potential classification dams are often located in predominantly rural or agricultural areas but could be located in areas with population and significant infrastructure. High Hazard Potential: Dams assigned the high hazard potential classification are those where failure or disoperation will probably cause loss of human life. In September 1979, ninety years after the first state legislation was passed, the Missouri House Bill 603 (called the Dam Safety Law) was passed. The USACE had determined that Missouri led the country in total number of unsafe dams. The law requires a construction permit for construction of new dams or to modify, remove, or alter existing dams. Owners of existing dams 35 feet or more in height must obtain a registration permit and owners of new dams 35 feet or more in height must obtain a safety permit after construction to operate the structures. All regulated dams must be inspected periodically to assure that their continued operation does not constitute a hazard to public safety, life and property. The Missouri Dam and Reservoir Safety Program is responsible for ensuring that all new and existing non-agricultural, non-federal dams 35 feet or more in height meet minimum safety standards. The program reviews engineering plans and specifications; conducts hydrologic, hydraulic and structural analysis of dams; monitors construction of new dams and modification of existing dams; performs safety inspections of existing dams; responds to dam safety emergencies so that public safety, life and property are protected. Basic functions of the program include inspections, permit issuance (construction, registration and safety permits), compliance and review, data management (around 4000 dams in Missouri, of which only about 600 are 110 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 regulated under Missouri law), inundation mapping (provided to recorder of deeds for each county showing areas impacted by dam failure). Missouri dam owners are solely responsible for the safety and the liability of the dam and for financing its upkeep, upgrade and repair. While most infrastructure facilities (roads, bridges, sewer systems, etc.) are owned by public entities, the majority of dams in the United States are privately owned. Many different types of people and entities own and operate dams. About 58 percent are privately owned. Local governments own and operate the next largest number of dams, about 16 percent. State ownership is next with about four percent; the federal government, public utilities and undetermined interests each own smaller numbers of dams (5%). In 2009, the number of Missouri state-regulated dams was 680. The number of Missouri dams in National Inventory of Dams (NID) was 5,242. Severity The International Commission of Large Dams (ICOLD) identified three major categories of dam failure: (1) overtopping by flood; (2) foundation defects; and (3) piping. For earthen dams, the major reason for failure is piping or seepage. For concrete dams, the major reasons for failure are associated with foundations. Overtopping has been a significant cause of dam failure primarily in cases where there was an inadequate spillway. Dam failures are most likely to happen for one of five reasons: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Overtopping caused by water spilling over the top of a dam Structural failure of materials used in dam construction Cracking caused by movements like the natural settling of a dam Inadequate maintenance and upkeep Piping—when seepage through a dam is not properly filtered and soil particles continue to progress and form sink holes in the dam When dams fail, the results can be catastrophic. Dams are innately hazardous structures. Failure or disoperation can result in the release of the reservoir contents—this includes water, mine wastes or agricultural refuse—causing negative impacts upstream or downstream or at locations remote from the dam. Negative impacts of primary concern are loss of human life, economic loss including property damage, lifeline disruption and environmental damage. While the definition varies from place to place, it generally means that failure of a high-hazard dam will be loss of life. It must be emphasized that this determination does not mean that these dams are in need of repair. These dams could be in excellent condition or they could be in poor condition. "High-hazard" simply reflects the dam's potential for doing damage downstream should it fail. High-hazard potential dams exist in every state and affect the lives of thousands downstream. The current issue and debate is over the increasing number of these high hazard structures -- not because more high-hazard dams are being built, but that more development is occurring downstream. Dam and reservoir safety regulators generally have no control over local zoning 111 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 issues or developers' property rights. So this issue continues to worry regulators as the trend persists. The cost of a dam failure is difficult to assess because flooding can affect large areas. Local communities may be directly impacted due to building damage, injuries fatalities, lost water supply, damaged transportation and infrastructure and lost recreational assets. The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Dam Failure. They rated it ”Negligible” or impacting less than 10 percent of the jurisdiction. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location The National Inventory of Dams, the State of Missouri, and FEMA have summarized the status of dams in Missouri by hazard classification. Table 32 lists Pettis County dams and their Missouri DNR classifications. The table categorizes the dams as Class I, Class II, or Class III. A dam in the Class I category has a downstream zone that contains 10 or more permanent dwellings or any public building. Class I dams are inspected every two years. A Class II dam’s downstream zone contains one to nine permanent dwellings or one or more industrial buildings, or one or more campgrounds with permanent water, sewer and electrical services. Class II dams are inspected every three years (Class II). A Class III includes Low-Hazard Potential dams. Their zones contain 'everything else' not defined as the structures in Class I or Class II. These dams are inspected every five years. There are two Class I dams in the planning area, which are the Spring Fork Lake Dam and the Windsor Farrington Park Lake Dam. The following information is from the National Inventory of Dams (NID) maintained by the UDACE. Windsor Farrington Park Lake Dam Owner: City of Windsor Location: On the eastern edge of the City of Windsor Height: 26 feet Purpose: Recreation Inspection Authority: not regulated by the state Year Completed: 1902 Construction Materials: earth and rock fill EAP: not required Spring Fork Lake Dam Lake Dam Owner: City of Sedalia Water Department Location: 5 miles south of Sedalia Height: 43 feet 112 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Purpose: Water Supply Inspection Authority: regulated by the state Year Completed: 1925, modified 1988 Construction Materials: compacted earth of clay soils EAP: required by the state As of this writing it is not know the amount of structures in the dam breach inundation areas, however looking at the maps we can clearly see that the damage to structures would be limited. It is in the interest of the planning committee to obtain this information to be put into the next plan update. The NID lists the two dams above and four additional dams as being within the NID classification of a “high hazard” dam. A high hazard dam is one “where failure or misoperation will probably cause loss of human life.” Those four additional dams are the Hermora Lake Dam located six miles from Otterville, the Rubydo Lake Dam located 14 miles from Redbird, the Daum’s Lake Dam located 12 miles from Clinton City, and the Hayes Lake Dam, located in rural Pettis County. The 2011 Plan Update will not include additional information on these four dams, but their risk will be re-examined at the next plan update. The Pettis County Planning Committee determined that because of data limitations and limited resources, that only the Missouri Class I dams located within the boundaries of the county would be profiled for the 2011 Update. The next plan update will include an analysis of dams located out of the county but which could still impact the county should they fail. In addition, risk profiles of NID Significant Hazard dams will considered. The table beginning on the next page includes the Missouri DNR listing of the dams located in the county. The map following the table shows the physical location of the dams within the planning area. 113 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 114 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 115 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 116 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 117 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Locations affected by dam failure will be low-lying areas that are below dams, near a creek, stream or river valley. Residents, businesses and infrastructure in the path of the dam waters can become quickly inundated and destroyed. Refer to Figure 59, located in the Appendix C, for downstream areas that could be potentially affected. Probability Table 33 below summarizes the frequency of dam failures in Missouri. Only four dams have failed in over 40 years. None were located in the planning area. Table 33 Recent Dam Failures in Missouri Community Date Lawrenceton 1968 Washington County 1975 Frederickton 1977 Franklin County (near failure) 1978 Taum Sauk 2005 Various climatic conditions and other situations may result in dam failure natural phenomena such as floods and landslides during wet weather seasons. These hazards threaten dam structures and their surroundings. Floods that exceed the capacity of a dam's spillway and then erode the dam or abutments are particularly hazardous, as is seismic activity that may cause cracking or seepage. Similarly, debris from landslides may block a dam's spillway and cause an overflow wave that erodes the abutments and ultimately weakens the structure. For a map of dams in Pettis County see Appendix C. According to the Dam and Reservoir Safety Program within the Missouri DNR, a future occurrence of dam failure in the state is high. The opinion is based on the age and conditions of dams in Missouri. Failure of a Class I (MDNR) or a high-hazard dam (NID) will result in loss of life. It must be emphasized that this determination does not mean that these dams are in need of repair -- these dams could be in excellent condition or they could be in poor condition. "Highhazard" just reflects the dam's potential for doing damage downstream should it fail. The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Dam Failure. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent 118 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. The table below includes MDNR information on Pettis County dams. Table 34 High-hazard potential dams exist in every state and affect the lives of thousands downstream. The current issue and debate is over the increasing number of these high hazard structures--not because more high-hazard dams are being built, but that more development is occurring downstream. Dam and reservoir safety regulators generally have no control over local zoning issues or developers' property rights. So this issue continues to worry regulators as the trend persists. Recommendations The County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee should institute a dam permitting, inspection and enforcement program for the county. This would require working with the DNR Dam Safety Program to identify appropriate mitigation measures. Intersecting almost all the issues above is the issue of public education about dams. The ordinary citizen is unaware that the beautiful lakes on which he or she boats, skis, or fishes are only there because of manmade dams. Developers building homes in dam breach inundation areas could know nothing about potential upstream dams. In fact, some developers and zoning officials are completely unaware of dams within their community. Even if citizens understand and are aware of dams, they still can be overly confident in the infallibility of these manmade structures. Living in dam breach areas is a risk. Many dam owners do not realize their responsibility and liability toward the downstream public and environment. 119 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Earthquake Hazard Profile The state of Missouri established the Missouri Seismic Safety Commission (MSSC) through the authority of the Seismic Safety Commission Act (RSMo Sections 44.225 through 44.237). The purpose of MSSC is to review Missouri's current preparedness for major earthquakes and to make recommendations to mitigate their impact. MSSC developed a 1997 plan titled A Strategic Plan for Earthquake Safety that documented successes, opportunities, and concerns. It included the following recommendations: 1) educational efforts should continue to be developed and expanded with the MSSC taking the lead; 2) continued and increased cooperation of State agencies with nationally funded programs (National Science Foundation funding the MidAmerica Earthquake Center) should occur; 3) stable State funding should be provided for the Missouri earthquake mitigation and preparedness program; 4) SEMA should hire a person to train and track the Community Emergency Response Teams [CERT]; and 5) assessment of the impact of National Hazard Earthquake Reduction Program maps should occur. The MSSC prepared A Strategic Plan for Earthquake Safety as the result of a legislative mandate, Senate Bill No. 142 in 1993. This plan will establish goals, initiatives and priorities. Key issues identified by MSSC are: 1) earthquake threat is real – addressing the problem now will yield significant long-term benefits; 2) reduction of earthquake risk requires combined efforts of individuals, businesses, industry, professional and volunteer organizations, and all levels of government to promote adoption and enforcement of appropriate building codes; 3) strategies identified in the report for reducing earthquake risk can be implemented through community participation; and 4) MSSC accepts responsibility for advancing earthquake planning and mitigation in state at outlined in plan. Description An earthquake is sudden slip on a fault line, and the resulting ground shaking and radiated seismic energy caused by the slip. It can also be caused by volcanic or magmatic activity, or other sudden stress changes in the earth. The Earth's crust is made up of large plates, also known as tectonic plates. These plates are the large, thin, relatively rigid plates that move relative to one another on the outer surface of the Earth. Plate tectonics involves the formation, lateral movement, interaction, and destruction of the lithospheric plates (lithosphere is the outer solid part of the earth, including the crust and uppermost mantle. The lithosphere below the crust is brittle enough at some locations to produce earthquakes by faulting, such as within a subducted oceanic plate. Much of the earth's internal heat is relieved through this process and many large structural and topographic features are consequently formed. Continental rift valleys (the nearby New Madrid Fault Zone in Missouri is considered a buried rift valley). Vast plateaus of basalt are created at plate break up when magma ascends from the mantle to the ocean floor, forming new crust and separating mid-ocean ridges. Plates collide and are destroyed as they descend at subduction zones to produce deep ocean trenches, strings of volcanoes, extensive transform faults, broad linear rises, and folded mountain belts. Earthquake induced landslides and dam failure/levee failure are secondary earthquake hazards that occur from ground shaking. Damage resulting from landslides is similar to that from earthquakes. Damage resulting from dam failure/levee failure is similar to flash flooding. 120 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Severity The characteristics of earthquakes include the rolling or shaking of the surface of the ground, landslides, liquefaction and amplification. The severity of these hazards depends on several factors, including soil and slope conditions, proximity to the fault, earthquake magnitude and type of earthquake. Buildings on poorly consolidated and thick soils will typically have more damage than buildings located on consolidated soils and bedrock. Soils and soft sedimentary rocks near the earth's surface and landfills can modify ground shaking caused by earthquakes. One of these modifications is amplification. Amplification increases the magnitude of the seismic waves generated by the earthquake. The amount of amplification is influenced by the thickness of geologic materials and their physical properties. Buildings and structures built on soft and unconsolidated soils can face greater risk. Damage on buildings can range from minor foundation cracks to complete leveling of the structure. Refer to Figures 41 and 42 below. Building contents can be broken from being knocked onto the floor or being crushed by the ceiling, walls and floor failing. Dams and levees have the potential to fail, resulting in the flooding of downstream regions including residentially populated areas. Liquefaction occurs when ground shaking causes wet granular soils to change from a solid state to a liquid state. This results in the loss of soil strength and the soil's ability to support weight. Buildings and their occupants are at risk when the ground can no longer support these structures. Damage from liquefaction can destroy the buildings and the foundations the buildings rest on. Liquefaction has been documented from the New Madrid Fault Zone earthquake activity. Earthquakes and the resulting landslides have the potential to destroy roads, bridges, buildings (especially older buildings constructed of masonry or those buildings that are not designed to seismic standards), utilities (including those that are not designed to seismic standards) and other critical facilities (including those that are not designed to seismic standards). Earthquake induced landslides are secondary earthquake hazards that occur from ground shaking. Damage resulting from landslides is similar to that from earthquakes. Figure 41 Figure 42 Earthquakes can be measured by intensity or by magnitude. The Richter magnitude scale was developed in 1935 by Charles F. Richter of the California Institute of Technology as a 121 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 mathematical device to compare the size of earthquakes. The magnitude of an earthquake is determined from the logarithm of the amplitude of waves recorded by seismographs. Adjustments are included for the variation in the distance between the various seismographs and the epicenter of the earthquakes. On the Richter Scale, magnitude is expressed in whole numbers and decimal fractions. For example, a magnitude 5.3 might be computed for a moderate earthquake, and a strong earthquake might be rated as magnitude 6.3. Because of the logarithmic basis of the scale, each whole number increase in magnitude represents a tenfold increase in measured amplitude. As an estimate of energy, each whole number step in the magnitude scale corresponds to the release of about 31 times more energy than the amount associated with the preceding whole number value. The Richter Scale is not used to express damage. An earthquake in a densely populated area which results in many deaths and considerable damage may have the same magnitude as a shock in a remote area that does nothing more than frighten the wildlife. Large-magnitude earthquakes that occur beneath the oceans may not even be felt by humans. The Mercalli Scale is based on observable earthquake damage. From a scientific standpoint, the Richter scale is based on seismic records while the Mercalli is based on observable data that can be subjective. Thus, the Richter scale is considered scientifically more objective and therefore more accurate. For example a level I-V on the Mercalli scale would represent a small amount of observable damage. At this level doors would rattle, dishes break and weak or poor plaster would crack. As the level rises toward the larger numbers, the amount of damage increases considerably. The higher number represents total damage. Refer to Figure 43. Intensity scales, like the Modified Mercalli Scale measure the amount of shaking at a particular location. So the intensity of an earthquake will vary depending on where you are. Sometimes earthquakes are referred to by the maximum intensity they produce. Magnitude scales, like the Richter magnitude, measure the size of the earthquake at its source. They do not depend on where the measurement was made. 122 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 According to the SEMA map above, Pettis County is at risk for a Level VI impact on the Modified Mercalli Intensity Scale from a 7.6 earthquake (see map on page 122). According to the Mercalli Scale, all in Pettis County would feel a Level VI impact. People could have difficulty walking due to motion. Objects could fall off walls. Furniture could move or be overturned. Weak plaster and masonry could crack. Slight damage could occur in poorly constructed buildings. Trees and bushes could shake visibly or be heard rustling. A full description of the severity of a Level VI earthquake appears of page 123 of the Plan Update. 123 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 124 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 125 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Figure 43 The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Earthquake. The rating was “Critical” or causing damage to 25 - 50 percent of the jurisdiction, with varying degrees of damage depending on geographical characteristics. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location An earthquake is no more likely to happen in one location in the planning area than in another. All participating communities are likely to be impacted. Earthquakes occur all the time all over the world, both along plate edges and along faults. However, it is unlikely that an earthquake of high intensity will affect Pettis County. Likely locations of earthquakes in Missouri are located near the New Madrid Fault Zone, the Wabash Valley Fault and the fault zones in the vicinity of Farmington (including Big River Fault and the St. Genevieve Fault Zone). Previous Events According to the USGS Website, Pettis County historical earthquake activity is significantly below the Missouri state average. It is 95% smaller than the overall U.S. average. The following minor ground shaking events have been recorded for the planning area. On 7/31/2005 at 07:07:07, a magnitude 3.3 (3.3 LG, Depth: 3.1 mi, Class: Light, Intensity: II - III) earthquake occurred 29.1 miles away from the county center On 5/18/2005 at 19:59:42, a magnitude 3.3 (3.3 LG, Depth: 3.1 mi) earthquake occurred 41.8 miles away from the county center On 3/30/2001 at 17:13:55, a magnitude 3.1 (3.1 LG, Depth: 3.1 mi) earthquake occurred 53.9 miles away from the county center On 1/21/1992 at 11:36:21, a magnitude 3.1 (2.3 LG, 3.1 MD, Depth: 3.1 mi) earthquake occurred 58.8 miles away from Pettis County center On 5/13/1999 at 14:18:22, a magnitude 3.0 (3.0 LG, Depth: 3.1 mi) earthquake occurred 81.8 miles away from the county center Magnitude types: regional Lg-wave magnitude (LG), duration magnitude (MD) There have been no significant earthquakes in Pettis County. Probability Based on the previous events of earthquakes, it is unlikely that an earthquake resulting in significant damages will occur in the planning area. See also Figure 44 above that shows the Peak Acceleration (%g) with a 10% probability of exceedance within 50 years for the occurrence of an earthquake along the New Madrid Fault. As can be seen, Pettis County lies in four peak acceleration zones running northeast to southwest ranging from a low of 7 in the northwestern corner to almost 15 %g of severity in the southeastern corner of the county. Many Midwestern communities are located near the New Madrid fault, an area with a high 126 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 seismic risk. Estimates of the recurrence intervals of the large 1811-1812 earthquakes are about 500 to 100 years. Most residents are not aware of this risk because the last significant earthquake occurred in the early 19th century when population density was extremely low. However, small quakes along this fault continue to occur in Missouri about every 8 days. Based on the history of the New Madrid Fault and the MDNE January 2003 estimates, there is a 25-40% chance of a New Madrid earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater within the next 50 years. Since Pettis County is distant from the New Madrid Fault, small earthquakes along the fault usually are not noticeable. The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Earthquake based on an earthquake of any intensity. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Recommendation Increased education, concern and subsequent action can reduce the potential effects of earthquakes can be done in conjunction with preparations for other hazards. A program that recognizes the risk of flooding, landslides and other dangers that incorporate earthquake issues will be of most benefit to citizens. Individuals and government have roles in reducing earthquake hazards. Individuals can reduce their own vulnerability by taking actions in their own households. Local government can take action to lower the threat through the proper use of poor sites, assuring that vital or important structures (police, fire, school buildings) resist hazards and developing infrastructures in a way that decreases risk. State agencies and legislature can assist the other levels of action and provide incentives for minimizing hazards. Communities and developers coordinate with NRCS, Division of Geology and Resource Assessment regarding appropriate sittings of subdivisions and other structures 127 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 WildFire Hazard Profile The term wildfire is defined as "a highly destructive, uncontrollable fire." It is an unplanned, unwanted wildland fire caused by unauthorized human-caused fires, escaped wildland fire use events, escaped prescribed fire projects, and all other wildland fires where the objective is to put the fire out. It is an uncontrolled fire which threatens to destroy life, property, or natural resources, and (a) is not burning within the confines of firebreaks, or (b) is burning with such intensity that it could not be readily extinguished with ordinary tools commonly available. Description During a wildfire, the fire produces energy in an amount which is 10 times that of a nuclear bomb. Fires that burn forest plants can be classified in three ways: ground fires, surface fires, and crown fires. Ground fires burn the humus layer of the forest floor, surface fires burn forest undergrowth and surface litter, and crown fires advance through the tops of trees. Atmospheric factors such as temperature, humidity, and rainfall are important in determining the combustibility of a given forest. Humans, either through negligence, accident, or intention, have caused approximately 90% of all wildfires in the last decade. In the United States, accidental and negligent acts include unattended campfires, sparks, burning debris, and irresponsibly discarded cigarettes. The remaining 10% of fires are mostly caused by lightning, but may also be caused by other acts-of-nature such as volcanic eruptions or earthquakes. The Missouri Division of Fire Safety urges fire service agencies and local governments to begin planning for wildfires. The Division advocates adoption of local ordinances to prohibit open burning during a high fire hazard time period. However, Missouri statutes do not allow the state to issue a MANDATORY burn ban at the state level. One responsibility of the Forestry Division is protecting state and private land from the destructive effects of wildfires. The Forestry Division works closely with rural fire departments to assist with fire suppression activities. Nearly 900 rural fire departments have mutual aide agreements with the division. Forestry personnel provide training, equipment and grants to rural fire departments to help them become a more effective firefighting team. Statutory authority is given to fire protection districts via RSMo 321.220 (12) to "adopt and amend bylaws, fire protection and fire prevention ordinances," However, coordination with the county prosecuting attorney's office is strongly recommended before implementing such an ordinance to ensure enforcement ability. Voluntary fire service associations should also coordinate similar efforts at the local level to adopt open burning laws. Severity Missouri does not have large conflagrations and crown fires. During these fires, embers from the fire are thrown a long way from the fire and results in ignition of other dry areas. Damage may 128 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 result in the burning of outbuildings, homes, and nearby grassy areas. Missouri fires usually involve only grassy areas, leaves, ground litter, plants, shrubs, and trees. However, as new housing development occurs in forested rural areas, the likelihood of fires will increase. Missouri Department of Conservation (MDC) and Public Safety officials recommend that homes in low density areas of brush and forests not be built with cedar shake shingles. Typically homes catch on fire when dry brush, bushes and trees are very close to the house. Figure 47 below is a photograph of forested land involved in a wildfire. Figure 47 In accordance with Missouri Statue 254.230 and 321.220(12), the state is currently setting up a central fire reporting system. In the past, it was the responsibility of volunteer, local and district fire departments are supposed to report wild land fires to the state. However this is rarely done. MDC is preparing an online central reporting system that will keep track of fires. As a result, a historical summary of fires was impossible due to the way in which MDC currently has their records stored. No Missouri fires are listed among the significant wildfires in the U.S. since 1825. Fires covering more than 300 acres are considered large in Missouri. Based on limited MDC data, it was reported that during March and April 2000 all of Missouri sustained devastating fire damage to thousands of acres resulting from wild land fires. Each year, about 3,700 wildfires burn more than 55,000 acres of forest and grassland. Missouri’s wildfire season is in the spring and fall, unlike the Western states that have a summer fire season. Dead vegetation, combined with the low humidity’s and high wind typical of these season, makes wildfire risk greater at these times. For the most part the rural fire departments fight their own fires. Some areas of land are not covered even by volunteer fire departments. In this event, the MDC will cover fires in these 129 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 areas. Missouri has very few fires that occur as a result from lightning. Most fires result from arson, campers and from resident that burn trash. As can be seen in the map below, Pettis County is located in the lowest Fire Danger Class in the nation, in a nationwide evaluation by the National Interagency Fire Center. Figure 48 Fire danger is based upon the burning index (81). The burning index takes into account the fuel moisture, relative humidity, wind speed, temperature and recent precipitation. The burning index is the basis for fire suppression crew staffing levels. The vegetative types and fuel types are different than in the western U.S. As compared to the western U.S., with the humid climate of the Midwest, fuel decomposes much faster. As a result of this, the wildfires in Missouri are rare and are not as severe as the fires that the western states experiences. The MDC relies upon the news media to help warn citizens of high fire danger. A set of standardized fire danger adjectives has been developed for fire warnings. These adjectives include a brief description of burning conditions, open burning suggestions for homeowners and fire crew staffing levels. Residents should always check with their local fire department or District Forester for local burning conditions. 130 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Wildfire fuel includes combustible material in the form of vegetation such as grass, leaves, ground litter, plants, shrubs and trees The forested areas, combined with dry weather conditions and/or human error, represent the potential for a disastrous wildfire within the county. Based on the county's ample supply of wildfire fuel and continuing new development near forest and grasslands, the future probable severity is shown below. The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Wildfires. They rated it “Limited” or impacting from 10 percent to 25% of the jurisdiction. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location Fires typically occur in highway medians and shoulders, near homes and outbuildings. People who live at the edge of the woods and vegetative debris are at a higher risk of having a fire affect their homes and property. These areas are called the “Wildland/Urban Interface” (WUI). Additional information concerning WUIs in the planning area will be obtained for the next plan update. The maps on the following pages show the areas in Pettis County that are more at risk to wildfires. Only the two largest communities are included in the analysis. 131 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 132 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 133 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Characteristics 134 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Previous Events There is no central resource for information concerning previous wildfire events in the planning area. No Pettis County forest fires were reported to the Missouri Department of Conservation. However, the 2010 State Plan includes information by county on wild fires, which includes both forest fires and grass fires. It states that between the years 2004 and 2008, there were 64 wild fires in the planning area, averaging 12.8 fires annually. A total of 991.6 acres burned, averaging 198 acres annually. Two buildings burned during this period. The State Plan assigned a numeric probability rating of from one to five to each county, with “one” being the lowest. Pettis County received a rating of “one.” Other research was conducted in efforts to obtain information about previous wildfire events in Pettis County. A review of local newspapers revealed an article about the drought of 2003 resulting in a number of fires in Pettis County. Over 30 grass fires occurred during the month of August. It was so dry, and vegetation became so combustible, that one damaging fire was caused by sparks from furniture falling off the back of a truck. The Planning Committee will continue to research new data sources before the next plan update. Probability Pettis County has had relatively few wildfires compared to rest of Missouri and other states. In addition, as previously discussed, a conflagration similar to those out West is unlikely. Fires will possibly occur, but on a much smaller scale. These will consist of grass fires along side roads and railroad tracks and fires near homes in rural areas. The Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Wildfire. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Recommendation Missouri Department of Conservation and County Fire Districts should develop an education outreach program for communities. MDC has an ongoing educational effort in certain at-risk areas. This effort includes visiting schools, local fairs and other events to educate and pass out fire prevention pamphlets in terms of seasonal or broad fire prevention approach. Establishing local ordinances to prohibit open burning during hazardous conditions is a proactive approach to reduce the number of wild land fires in the future. 135 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Vulnerability Analysis Vulnerability is defined by FEMA as the extent to which people will experience harm and/or property will be damaged from a hazard. Vulnerability is closely linked to the probability that the hazard event will occur and to the severity which is expected. Vulnerability analyses usually include damage estimates for each hazard and each participating jurisdiction. For some hazards, damage estimates can be developed on a planning area-wide basis without doing estimates for each individual jurisdiction. This is the case with hazards that are generally planning area-wide when they occur, such as severe thunderstorms. Other hazards will impact participating jurisdictions differently. An example is flooding, which generally will impact communities with assets located in SFHAs more often and more severely than communities without SFHAs. For these hazards, a county-wide vulnerability analysis does not reflect varying risks. The 2011 Plan Update does not include damage estimates based on data for each hazard because the limited availability of hazard damage information that is specific to Pettis County. However, earthquake and flooding damage estimates using a FEMA-developed software program are included in the 2010 State Plan. These estimates are county-wide, and do not reflect variations between the participating jurisdictions. Nonetheless, this information has been incorporated into the Pettis 2011 Update. The remainder of the hazards have been analyzed on a county-wide basis, for the most part. They reflect assets that are exposed to damage from a hazard, rather than an estimate of the damage that would occur. In developing these estimates, the Planning Committee used GIS data and combined it with HAZUS building count data from the HAZUS Data DVD #2. It was found that by joining the tables based on census blocks, areas affected by a given hazard were separated by Incorporated Lands and Unincorporated Lands. Resulting numbers of buildings and population (2010 census data) figures were categorized by the type of building, and compared to the total number of buildings and population. Then a percentage of people and structures exposed to a given hazard was then postulated based on historical event information. The approximate value was based on average building dimensions and pricing. It was estimated that all residential buildings are 1,500 sq/ft at $92 sq/ft = $140,000. Commercial buildings were all 2,200 sq/ft at $165 sq/ft = $360,000. Industrial buildings were all 3,500 sq/ft at $165 sq/ft = $500,000. Agricultural structures were all 3,200 sq/ft at $20 sq/ft =$60,000. Finally, public buildings were all 25,000 sq/ft at $165 sq/ft = $2,250,000. The “at risk population” was estimated by taking the total number of people affected and dividing that by the county wide population, resulting in a percentage. Exposure to each hazard was calculated by the Planning Committee by using the following worksheets. Vulnerability figures were obtained by applying a percentage representing the number of people and buildings exposed. That percentage was developed by the Planning Committee based on a review of previous events, damage information, subject matter expertise of the committee members, and personal knowledge of what has occurred in the planning area. 136 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Tornado/Thunderstorm Worksheet POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE/SEVERITY (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be damaged): Catastrophic: More than 50% Critical: 25 to 50% Limited: 10 to 25% x Negligible: Less than 10 FREQUENCY OF OCCURRENCE: Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year. Likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. X Possible: Between 1 and 10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years. Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years. SEASONAL PATTERN: All Lafayette County tornadoes since 1958 have occurred between April and September. AREAS LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED MOST (BY SECTOR): Any location in Lafayette County could be susceptible to a tornado. PROBABLE DURATION: Pettis County’s tornadoes have ranged from F0-F2, with one F3. At this level, most are only on the ground for a few minutes. The F3 and higher could have longer durations. POTENTIAL SPEED OF ONSET (Probable amount of warning time): Minimal (or no) warning. X 6 to 12 hours warning. 12 to 24 hours warning. More than 24 hours warning. EXISTING WARNING SYSTEMS: Weather radios, sirens. COMPLETE VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS: Note that community-specific analyses are not necessary for thunderstorms/tornadoes, as the risk does not vary from community to community. The Planning Committee, based on information from prior events, estimated that 20% of the county would be exposed to the hazard, or 8,448 people, 4,155 buildings, and $708,520,000. Incorporated Land Residential Commercial Industrial Agricultural Public Bulidings # of People # of Buildings Approx. Value 3749 1844 $258,160,000 242 119 $42,840,000 30 15 $7,500,000 10 5 $300,000 28 14 $31,500,000 Un-Incorporated Land Residential Commercial Industrial Agricultural Public Bulidings # of People# of Buildings Approx. Value 3985 1960 $274,400,000 207 102 $36,720,000 96 47 $23,500,000 71 35 $2,100,000 28 14 $31,500,000 137 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Flooding Worksheet POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE/SEVERITY (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be damaged): Catastrophic: More than 50% Critical: 25 to 50% Limited: 10 to 25% Negligible: Less than 10 x FREQUENCY OF OCCURRENCE: Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year. Likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Possible: Between 1 and 10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years. * Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years. SEASONAL PATTERN: Flooding occurs most often in the county during the months of April-June and August. x AREAS LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED MOST (BY SECTOR): Areas near rivers and streams, SFHAs, low lying areas. PROBABLE DURATION: Flash flooding can occur within a few hours, and usually recedes within a few hours, but can last longer. Sustained river flooding can last over several days, weeks, or months. POTENTIAL SPEED OF ONSET (Probable amount of warning time): Minimal (or no) warning. * 6 to 12 hours warning. 12 to 24 hours warning. More than 24 hours warning. EXISTING WARNING SYSTEMS: National Weather Service Watches/Warnings via TV/radio, patrol car sirens. COMPLETE VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS: Note that the risk of flooding varies from community to community, depending on structures and infrastructure located in SFHAs. Boundaries for areas prone to flooding are shown in the in the maps in Appendix C. In addition, flood risk in individual communities is illustrated in the maps included in the City/Town profiles beginning on page 43. Smithton, LaMonte, and Green Ridge have virtually no SFHAs within their corporate city limits. “Fingers” of SFHAs extend into some southeastern portions of Sedalia, and there are some structures located in them. Houstonia may have several structures in the flood plain in a small area of the southeastern portion of the community. Many areas in the unincorporated county are in SFHAs. However, as these areas are not as densely populated, fewer structures will be located there. State Plan information states that 14 structures are at risk of flooding in Pettis County. Information was taken from the State Plan for Pettis County’s vulnerability analysis of flooding. The State Plan included information from a software program developed by FEMA, called HAZUS-MH. The State Plan analysis provided the number of buildings impacted, estimates of the building repair costs, and the associated loss of building contents and business inventory. Building damage can also cause additional losses to a community as a whole by restricting a building‘s ability to function properly. Income loss data in the HAZUS analysis accounts for losses such as business interruption and rental income losses as well as the resources associated with damage repair and job and housing losses. These losses are calculated by HAZUS-MH using a methodology based on the building damage estimates. HAZUS flood damage estimates were calculated based on the depth of flooding. For example, a two-foot-deep flood generally results in about 20 percent damage to the structure (which translates to 20 percent of the structure‘s replacement value). HAZUS-MH takes into account flood depth when modeling damage (based on FEMA‘s depth-damage functions). The HAZUS-MH reports capture damage by occupancy class (in terms of square footage impacted) and by damage percent classes. Occupancy classes in HAZUS-MH include agriculture, commercial, education, government, industrial, 138 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 religious, and residential. Damage percent classes are grouped by 10 percent increments: 1-10 percent, 11-20 percent, etc., up to 50 percent. Buildings that sustain more than 50 percent damage are considered to be “substantially damaged.” The HAZUS displaced population was based on the inundation area. Individuals and households will be displaced from their homes even when the home has suffered little or no damage either because they have beeb evacuated (i.e., a warning was issued) or there was no physical access to the property because of flooded roadways. Displaced people using shelters will most likely be individuals with lower incomes and those who do not have family or friends within the immediate area. Age plays a secondary role in shelter use in that there are some individuals who will go to a public shelter even if they have the financial means to go elsewhere. These will usually be younger, less established families and elderly families (HAZUS-MH Users Manual). HAZUS-MH does not model flood casualties given that flood-related deaths and injuries typically do not have the same significant impact on the medical infrastructure as those associated with earthquakes. The State Plan included the following HAZUS results for Pettis County. Structural damages:$ 5,805,000 Damage to Contents: $ 6,304,000 Inventory Loss: $ 333,000 Total Direct Loss: $ 12,442,000 Total Income Loss: $ 3,032,000 Total direct and Income Loss: $ 15,474,000 Calculated Loss Ratio (Loss ratio of the direct building losses compared to overall building inventory): 0.27% # of buildings at risk: 14 # of substantially damaged buildings: 1 139 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Severe Winter Weather Worksheet POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE/SEVERITY (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): Catastrophic: More than 50% Critical: 25 to 50% Limited: 10 to 25% Negligible: Less than 10% FREQUENCY OF OCCURRENCE: Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year. Likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Possible: Between 1 and 10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years. * Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years. SEASONAL PATTERN: x Severe winter weather occurs most often in the county during December and January. AREAS LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED MOST (BY SECTOR): Severe winter weather events tend to occur on a regional scale, thus likely to affect the entire county. PROBABLE DURATION: Dangerous conditions can occur within a few hours. Ice and/or snow can last over several days. Cascading effects (utility outages, for example) also can last several days. POTENTIAL SPEED OF ONSET (Probable amount of warning time): Minimal (or no) warning. 6 to 12 hours warning. * 12 to 24 hours warning. More than 24 hours warning. EXISTING WARNING SYSTEMS: National Weather Service Watches and Warnings via TV and radio. COMPLETE VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS: This analysis does not include structural damage estimates, as structures are not customarily impacted to a significant degree by severe winter weather, other than infrastructure such as roads and utility/communication structures. The Planning Committee plans to try to obtain information about these kinds of damages for the next plan update. 140 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Drought Worksheet POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE/SEVERITY (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): Catastrophic: More than 50% * Critical: 25 to 50% Limited: 10 to 25% Negligible: Less than 10% FREQUENCY OF OCCURRENCE: Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year. Likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Possible: Between 1 and 10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years. * Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years. SEASONAL PATTERN: x Drought alerts usually are issued in the summer months. However, economic impacts can extend year-round. AREAS LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED MOST (BY SECTOR): Severe droughts tend to occur on a regional scale, thus likely to affect the entire county. PROBABLE DURATION: Drought conditions can last several months to several years. POTENTIAL SPEED OF ONSET (Probable amount of warning time): Minimal (or no) warning. 6 to 12 hours warning. 12 to 24 hours warning. More than 24 hours warning. Drought conditions can develop within just three months or several months. * EXISTING WARNING SYSTEMS: The DNR uses several indices to monitor precipitation and other drought factors. The PSDI is the main indicator. COMPLETE VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS: Drought losses generally do not include damage to structures. The planning area would sustain agricultural losses. The Planning Committee will try to obtain damage estimates for drought for the next plan update. 141 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Wildfire Worksheet POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE/SEVERITY (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): Catastrophic: More than 50% Critical: 25 to 50% Limited: 10 to 25% Negligible: Less than 10% * FREQUENCY OF OCCURRENCE: Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year. Likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Possible: Between 1 and 10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years. * Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years. SEASONAL PATTERN: Wildfires are more likely between February and May. x AREAS LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED MOST (BY SECTOR): In forested areas and grasslands along the transition area between urban and rural development. PROBABLE DURATION: Wildfires can last a few minutes to several weeks. POTENTIAL SPEED OF ONSET (Probable amount of warning time): Minimal (or no) warning. * 6 to 12 hours warning. 12 to 24 hours warning. More than 24 hours warning. EXISTING WARNING SYSTEMS: The Conservation Department relies on air surveillance and calls from the general public. COMPLETE VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS: The Planning Committee reviewed previous event data and combined it with the personal knowledge of committee members. They determined that 75% of the county was exposed to the risk of wildfires. Currently at risk (75% of the county): 31,989 people, 5,875 buildings, and $904,690,000 potential loss. The Planning Committee will try to obtain more fact-based damage estimates for the next plan update in five years. Incorporated Land Residential Commercial Industrial Agricultural Public Bulidings # of People # of Buildings Approx. Value 11026 5004 $700,560,000 6128 141 $50,760,000 4483 29 $14,500,000 2232 11 $660,000 4751 17 $38,250,000 Un-Incorporated Land Residential Commercial Industrial Agricultural Public Bulidings # of People # of Buildings Approx. Value 1432 650 $91,000,000 652 15 $5,400,000 1082 7 $3,500,000 203 1 $60,000 0 0 $0 142 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Heat Wave Worksheet POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE/SEVERITY (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): Catastrophic: More than 50% * Critical: 25 to 50% Limited: 10 to 25% Negligible: Less than 10% FREQUENCY OF OCCURRENCE: Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year. Likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Possible: Between 1 and 10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years. * Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years. SEASONAL PATTERN: Heat waves occur June-August, also sometimes in September. x AREAS LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED MOST (BY SECTOR): Heat waves tend to occur on a regional scale, thus likely to affect the entire county. PROBABLE DURATION: Extreme heat conditions can last several days. POTENTIAL SPEED OF ONSET (Probable amount of warning time): Minimal (or no) warning. 6 to 12 hours warning. 12 to 24 hours warning. More than 24 hours warning. Extreme heat conditions can develop within just two or three days of high temperatures. * EXISTING WARNING SYSTEMS: The National Weather Service uses the Heat Index to alert the public via TV and radio. COMPLETE VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS: There is no central location for information on damages caused by extreme heat. The NCDC information includes reported deaths, injuries, and losses for the events. However, the information is not location-specific, instead it is episode-specific, and therefore cannot be the basis for county estimates. The Planning Committee will look for additional sources of drought damage information for the next plan update. 143 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Earthquake Worksheet POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE/SEVERITY (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): Catastrophic: More than 50% Critical: 25 to 50% * Limited: 10 to 25% Negligible: Less than 10% FREQUENCY OF OCCURRENCE: Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year. Likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Possible: Between 1 and 10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years. * Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years. SEASONAL PATTERN: Earthquakes are not affected by climatic conditions. x AREAS LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED MOST (BY SECTOR): The impacts of an earthquake are felt on a regional scale, thus likely to affect the entire county. PROBABLE DURATION: Earthquakes usually last from a few to several minutes, after-shocks can follow sometimes as severe as the original earthquake for several days or weeks. POTENTIAL SPEED OF ONSET (Probable amount of warning time): Minimal (or no) warning. * 6 to 12 hours warning. 12 to 24 hours warning. More than 24 hours warning. EXISTING WARNING SYSTEMS: Earthquake prediction is far from accurate. There are no warning systems in place. COMPLETE VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS: In the Missouri State Plan, HAZUS-MH MR4 (August 2009) was used to analyze earthquake vulnerability and estimate losses by county. HAZUS is a loss estimation software package developed by FEMA that uses inventory data based on the 2000 census adjusted to 2006 numbers. It uses the Dun & Bradstreet Business Population Report. Inventory values reflect 2006 valuations, based on RSMeans (a supplier of construction cost information) replacement costs. Population counts are 2008 estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau. All HAZUS-MH analyses used the default inventory data associated with the August 2009 release of HAZUS-MH MR4, which includes 2006 building valuations. An annualized loss scenario that enabled an “apples to apples” comparison of earthquake risk for each county was run. The following vulnerability analyses pertained to Pettis County as a whole. Note that the county ranked 71 out of 105 counties in the state for the percentage of damage that would occur. Source: HAZUS-MH MR4 County Building Loss Total ($) Loss Ratio %* Income Loss Total ($) Total Loss ($)* Loss Ratio Rank in Missouri Pettis County $87,000 0.003% $41,000 $127,000 71 *Loss ratio is the sum of structural and nonstructural damage divided by the entire building inventory value within a county 144 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Dam Failure Worksheet POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE/SEVERITY (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): Catastrophic: More than 50% Critical: 25 to 50% Limited: 10 to 25% Negligible: Less than 10% X FREQUENCY OF OCCURRENCE: Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year. Likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Possible: Between 1 and 10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years. * Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years. SEASONAL PATTERN: Dam failure would most likely be caused by heavy rains or extended periods of drought. Therefore, x the most risk might be April-August. AREAS LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED MOST (BY SECTOR): Larger, older dams (high hazard) pose significant risk to downstream populations. See Dam map. PROBABLE DURATION: Dam failure duration depends on the severity of the failure and the acre-feet of water. POTENTIAL SPEED OF ONSET (Probable amount of warning time): Minimal (or no) warning. * 6 to 12 hours warning. 12 to 24 hours warning. More than 24 hours warning. EXISTING WARNING SYSTEMS: A few dams are regulated by DNR. All other dams are not regulated nor inspected. Generally, a dam could fail without warning. COMPLETE VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS: The Planning Committee calculated the people and structures at risk to damage from dam failure. This was done by estimating the structures located in dam breach inundation areas at 2% of the total in the county. These figures do not represent damages, but instead represent exposure to loss. Dam and Levee Failure # of Pe opl e # of Bui l di ngs Approx. Va l ue Re s i de nti a l 1017 500 Comme rci a l 26 13 $70,000,000 $4,680,000 I ndus tri a l 12 6 $3,000,000 Agri cul tura l 8 4 $240,000 Publ i c Bul i di ngs 6 3 $6,750,000 145 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Section 3 County Capability Assessment Mitigation Management Policies To better serve the community, Pettis County, and the City of Sedalia, Missouri merged emergency management responsibilities in 1969. Pursuant to Pettis County commission order, Sedalia municipal ordinance (chapter 9), and RSMo chapter 44, the agency is responsible for: Developing and maintaining a Emergency Operations Plan (EOP) Perform duties outside the jurisdiction in accordance to Memorandums of Understanding (MOU), the Missouri State Emergency Management Agency, and reciprocal mutual aid agreements Coordinate homeland security initiative Coordinate local emergency plans, exercises, and disaster readiness preparations Public warning systems Maintaining the Sedalia-Pettis County Emergency Operations Center (EOC) Additional responsibilities include: Damage Assessment Maintain the Mobile Command Center (MCC) Floodplain management for Pettis County and Coordination of the Pettis County Geospatial Information Systems is the responsibility of the Pettis County Technology Department Director. These responsibilities, and additional unforeseeable duties, are intended to prepare Sedalia and Pettis County emergency responders to plan for, mitigate, respond to, and recover from natural and manmade disasters and acts of terrorism. Furthermore, the EMA is responsible for conducting community emergency preparedness education and all-hazards sheltering. Existing Plans Principles from the Pettis County Multi-Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Update will be incorporated into existing local planning documents. Incorporation of the 2005 Plan did not occur because none of the existing plans were updated between 2005 and 2011. Pettis County and the City of Sedalia currently have two comprehensive plans: watershed and storm water runoff. Sedalia water supplies are drawn from the Spring Fork Lake reservoir, and numerous deep-wells. The Sedalia Water Department, in cooperation with state and federal agencies, has identified a watershed problem that adversely affects Spring Fork Lake. A joint city/county task force has been formed to address and correct the watershed problem. The City of Sedalia has been taking action to correct an undesirable combined storm water runoff/sewage problem. The City of Sedalia utilizes two separate underground storm water runoff and sanitary sewage systems. When built over 100 years ago, the systems worked as planned. However, as the city grew, the volume of storm water runoff increased and now— during periods of heavy rain—mixes with sewage in an isolated region in the north- central 146 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 region. The city is actively pursuing corrective measures to illuminate storm water runoff from mixing with sewage in the problem area. Activity to correct this problem has been based on principles contained in the Hazard Mitigation Plan. The Sedalia-Pettis County Emergency Operations Plan (EOP) is a broad all-hazards guideline, which was updated in August 2009. The 2009 Update included review of the previously approved 2005 Hazard Mitigation Plan. The EOP is divided into annexes and appendixes that outline mitigation and response techniques for use during times of crisis or emergency. Legislation at the county and city level requires the Emergency Management Director (EMD) to annually brief chief elected officials’ emergency response and public warning capabilities. In addition, the ordinances require the elected chief to review the EOP in July of each year. Mitigation Programs County Capabilities (Organization, Staffing, Training) The capabilities of emergency management, fire protection, law enforcement, and emergency medical services are detailed at the end of Section I. Emergency Operations Centers The Sedalia-Pettis County primary EOC is located at 319 South Lamine, Sedalia, Missouri. Located in the basement of the sheriff’s department, the EOC has the following capabilities: Operate 24-7 for extended periods of time External emergency electrical power unit ADA accessible restrooms Hot and cold running water Galley Executive staff conference room Message center Radio center Internet, facsimile, and telephone services In the event the primary EOC is unusable then the mobile command post would serve as the emergency EOC. Communications & Warning Systems Communications The Sedalia-Pettis County Emergency Management Agency utilizes redundant communications systems, which are available to all emergency response agencies within the county and City of Sedalia. The EMA operates a variety of communications listed below: VHF two-way radio (includes all agencies operating in the city and county, as well as select state agencies e.g., Missouri State Emergency Management Agency-SEMA) VHF Ham or Amateur two-way radio (ARES, PACKET, MARS) Networked high-speed Internet capable computers with email and SEMA E-TEAM 147 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 capabilities Public service facsimile EMA Mobile Command Center (MCC) capabilities are as follows: Satellite telephone, Internet, and facsimile Cellular telephone, Internet, and facsimile Programmable VHF radio JPS ACU-T (interoperable radio patch working device) Interoperable communications: JPS ACU-T patch-working device MCC support capabilities: Two (onboard) 8 KW Diesel powered electrical generators KVH satellite tracking unit Computerized leveling system Complete galley Conference room Full, on-board restroom facility Propane and electric heating systems Forward and aft air conditioning systems Shower facility Pneumatic 25' main antenna tower system Multiple ground-plane antenna system Full 360 degree scene lights Pneumatic flood light system Network (telephone-computer) jack system through the unit Full emergency light and siren system Television-DVD system Quick-Raise telescoping light system On-board fax and copier Public Warning The EMA operates and maintains twenty-six outdoor warning sirens that are strategically located within the cities of Sedalia, Smithton, La Monte, Green Ridge, Houstonia, Hughesville, and outlying subdivisions. All sirens are activated by radio from the county warning point (Sedalia Police Department) and, as a backup, the EMA EOC. Sirens are tested on the first Wednesday of each month. Additionally, the Sedalia Police Department and the EMA EOC have the capability to set off toneactivated monitors, which are placed in all schools, major industries, retirement homes and Bothwell Regional Health Center. These monitors emit a loud tone followed by an audio message explaining the emergency situation. The tone activated monitor system is also tested on the first Wednesday of each month 148 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Sedalia and Pettis County's primary Emergency Alert System (EAS) radio station is KDRO (AM) and WOW (FM). Other radio and print medias support EAS activities. However; KDRO and KPOW have live 24-hour broadcasters; KSIS (AM) and KSDL (FM) radio station does not. The Pettis County community is in effective range of two NOAA Weather Radio transmitters, one located in the Clinton area and the other in the Carrolton area. The signal for these transmitters operates on 162.500 MHZ. NOAA Weather Radios are installed in all public buildings in Pettis County, to include the Missouri State Fair. The EMD has the authority to contact the National Weather Service Forecast Office, Pleasant Hill, Missouri, to request broadcast of emergency information when necessary. Hazardous Materials Response Team (HAZMAT) The Sedalia Fire Department Hazardous Material (HAZMAT) team is comprised of 16 team members, and is recognized as a fully qualified response unit. SKYWARN program Sedalia and Pettis County is geographically in a region of the United States that is prone to severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. Since 1950, more than 22 tornadoes have struck the area resulting in heavy damage, hundreds of injuries, and one death. Severe thunderstorms have caused millions in damage and flash flooding has killed 12 persons during the period. About 15 volunteers have participated in the SKYWARN severe weather spotter program. All have been radio equipped and received annual training by the National Weather Service and in-house programs. These spotters have been accredited by the Missouri Senate and House of Representatives for saving untold numbers of lives over the last 30 years. The EMA communications and operations center is fully staffed when SKYWARN spotters deploy across the county (678 square miles). Radio repeater systems provide a stable communications platform for spotter and community safety. Pettis County Cares Program The Pettis County Cares Program was developed in 2002. The primary focus of this program is to address emergency situations and our community's homebound, isolated senior and special needs persons. The EMA maintains a database of approximately 50 senior or special needs participants who live alone without the assistance of nearby relatives or friends who can check on them. The database also includes unique information about the participants, e.g., dependant on external oxygen source. In addition, the participant receives a packet that includes instructions and colored cardstock, each card contains large print text: Bright Red Yellow Green White Need help immediately Need help, but not an emergency No help needed No electrical power 149 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 During or after an emergency event, participants are instructed to place the cardstock in a window that is visible from the nearest roadway. In addition, during or following an emergency, Citizen Corps volunteers attempt to make telephone contact with the participants (if service is available) and if the participant has a telephone. If not, Citizen Corps volunteers travel to participant's homes to physically insure their well-being. Critical Utilities Protection Plan (CUPP) After the terrorist attacks in September 2001, each community established Citizen Corps. These volunteers are trained to observe thirty key public and private utilities sites on 24-hour bases. These sites include public water reservoirs, pipelines (connects east and west coasts), electrical substations (some supply Whiteman Air Force Base), natural gas lines, and telephone switching facilities. They are trained to relieve emergency service personnel. Damage Assessment Technicians All Citizen Corps volunteers are qualified American Red Cross Damage Assessment Technicians. They are trained annually by the Red Cross to retain their proficiency. From time to time during the year, in-house instruction is provided to fine-tune their damage assessment skills. This is especially critical due to the region's high vulnerability to severe weather events, and need for rapid damage assessment for appropriate assistance from state and federal agencies. Responsibilities and Authorities City and county governments have the following: the legal basis for authorization to order an evacuation, redirect funds for emergency use, order a curfew, and commandeer facilities and/or equipment and materials; authorized lines of succession for the chief elected officials with power to initiate necessary emergency activities; substantially safeguarded vital records, although limited for records needed to reconstitute local government; a substantial analysis of the possible impacts of potential disasters; a multi-hazard emergency operations plan; limited completion of mutual aid agreements with neighboring jurisdictions; and substantial protection of people with special needs. Laws, Regulations and Policies Related to Development in Hazard-Prone Areas Pettis County and the city of Sedalia have city and county codes and regulations that prohibit construction in the flood plain. The ordinance is designed to safeguard health, safety and property in times of flood; restrict avoidable increases in flood height or velocity; mitigate losses at the time of construction of public facilities; and protect individuals from buying land unsuited for the intended use due to flood hazards. 150 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 County Laws, Regulations and Policies Related to Hazard Mitigation in General Current hazard mitigation policies in effect include building codes in the City of Sedalia under Sedalia Municipal Ordinance 31-1 and the Flood Plain Management Program under Sedalia Municipal Ordinance 6-166. How Local Risk Assessments are Incorporated and Prioritized into Local Planning Risk assessments from the approved Hazard Mitigation Plan are also used in local planning. The county has recognized the danger and economic impact of severe winter storms. Clearing snow and ice from roadways is the main priority during winter storms. The County Road and Bridge Department clears all county-maintained roads to reduce accidents and to ensure access to employment. Additional warning capabilities are being studied to mitigate the impacts of flash flooding, tornadoes, and severe thunderstorms. Integration of Hazard Mitigation with the City/County Department’s Plans City or county EOPs incorporate information from the Hazard Mitigation Plan in updating local zoning, subdivision, and building code ordinances. They are integrated to mitigate damages, prevent avoidable disasters, and reduce vulnerability of people and property to the effects of disasters is reduced. How the County Determines Cost-Effectiveness of Mitigation Programs The cost-effectiveness of proposed mitigation actions is considered on a case-by-case basis. It is dependent upon the scope of damages, estimated savings in future hazard events, the type of mitigation project, and the probable hazard to human life in future events. A FEMA cost/benefit analysis analysis is required for FEMA funded projects. How Governments Meet Requirements for Hazard Mitigation Funding Programs Governments will meet the requirements for hazard mitigation funding programs if the project conforms to Missouri’s Hazard Mitigation Plan. Any project must provide a beneficial impact on the disaster area, it must meet environmental requirements, solve the problem independently, and must be cost-effective. Adoption of the Resolution of Intent to Participate in All-Hazard Mitigation will insure that a county or municipality meets the requirements for hazard mitigation program funding. Areas Where Improvement is Needed Sedalia and Pettis County have long histories of severe weather related events. Since 1950, at least thirty-six (36) tornadoes have struck the community, two (2) of which were federally declared disasters. The tornadoes resulted in millions in damage, hundreds of injuries, and three (3) deaths. In addition, twelve (12) persons died as a result from flash flooding during or after severe thunderstorms, which also caused millions in property damage. During the middle 1960s, 151 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 public schools, churches, and private organizations opened their basements to the public when tornado conditions existed. However, since that time, liability issues forced this practice to cease. Further aggravating the circumstances, Sedalia hosts the Missouri State Fair each year during the month of August. For the most part, the fair is an outdoors event, which exposes fair patrons and employees to possible severe weather. On busy weekends, more than 50,000 people visit the 300-plus acre exposition. No public underground shelters are available. Severe thunderstorms have caused numerous injuries and property damage in the past, and, in August 1952, a tornado all but destroyed the fairgrounds and killed one person. The Sedalia-Pettis County Emergency Management Agency maintains twenty-six (26) outdoor sirens, which are strategically positioned in the cities of Sedalia, Smithton, Green Ridge, La Monte, Hughesville, and Houstonia, as well as selected unincorporated subdivisions. All sirens are activated by radio signals originating from the Sedalia Police Department (Pettis County Warning Point) and the EMA Emergency Operations Center (EOC). Local chief elected officials approved a plan to replace the aging sirens. The plan commenced in 2000, however, due to budget restraints, the plan has been suspended. Three (3) sirens were replaced under that program with new, advanced technology sirens, which are equipped with a battery backup system. The newer model sirens double the range of the older units. During the spring of 2003, a violent outbreak of tornadoes slashed across a multi-state area killing more than forty people. A weak tornado and numerous severe thunderstorms struck Pettis County. No deaths occurred, but the severe weather caused considerable property damage. Pettis County was included in a federal declaration of disaster. Pettis County became eligible for federal disaster assistance. The EMA presented a mitigation project to Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) that included replacing the remainder of the outdoor sirens and the construction of twelve (12) public shelters. The shelters were to be constructed on the fairgrounds and all municipalities in the county. FEMA declined to approve the siren project, but approved the shelter plan. However, the funds were a 75% federal and 25% local match. Regretfully, state fair, city, and county budgets could not support the 25% match. Although, the projects did not get off the ground, the need is clear. Local officials continue to explore ways and means of fund the projects. County and Municipal Policies and Development Trends The table below shows the jurisdictions that have zoning, building regulations, storm water regulations, earthquake regulations, and floodplain regulations. 152 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Table 48 Table 49 153 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 154 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Funding Sources There are several sources of funding for both pre- and post-disaster hazard mitigation policies and projects. All mitigation techniques will likely save money by avoiding losses. However, the cost of implementing mitigation efforts can be substantial and well beyond the local government’s capacity to fund. There are federal and state funding programs that can be utilized for funding assistance. Following is a list of some sources of funding presently available. This list is not comprehensive. New programs will be developed, and existing programs will be eliminated or modified. Federal Sources PRE-DISASTER MITIGATION PROGRAM Through the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000, Congress approved the creation of a national program to provide a funding mechanism that is not dependent on a Presidential disaster declaration. The Pre-Disaster Mitigation (PDM) Program, overseen by FEMA, provides funding to states and communities for cost-effective hazard mitigation activities that complement a comprehensive mitigation program, and reduce injuries, loss of life, and damage and destruction of property. FLOOD MITIGATION ASSISTANCE PROGRAM FEMA’S Flood Mitigation Assistance Program (FMA) provides funding to assist states and communities in implementing measures to reduce or eliminate the long-term risk of flood damage to buildings, manufactured homes, and other structures insurable under the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). FMA was created as part of the National Flood Insurance Reform Act of 1994 (42 U.S.C. 4101) with the goal of reducing or eliminating claims under the NFIP. FMA is a pre-disaster grant program, and is made available to states on an annual basis. This funding is exclusively available for mitigation planning and implementation of mitigation measures. Criteria: Community must be a participant in NFIP; the project must be cost effective, beneficial to the NFIP fund, and technically feasible. The project must conform to the minimum standards of the NFIP Floodplain Management Regulations, the applicant’s Flood Mitigation Plan, and all applicable laws and regulations. HAZARD MITIGATION GRANT PROGRAM FEMA’s Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP) was created in November 1988 through Section 404 of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act. The HMGP assists states and local communities in implementing long-term mitigation measures following a Presidential disaster declaration. 155 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Criteria: Project must conform to State’s Hazard Mitigation Plan, provide a beneficial impact on the disaster area, meet environmental requirements, solve a problem independently, and be costeffective. MITIGATION TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS (MTAP) There are three major mitigation technical assistance programs (MTAPs) that provide technical support to state/local communities through FEMA Regional and Headquarters Mitigation staff in support of mitigation initiatives. These programs include the Hazard Mitigation Technical Assistance Program (HMTAP), the National Earthquake Technical Assistance Program (NETAP), and the Wind and Water Technical Assistance Program (WAWTAP). They provide the technical support that is necessary to mitigate against potential loss of lives and minimize the amount of damage as a result of a disaster. The HMTAP provides assistance to FEMA’s Headquarters and Regional Mitigation Staff. This multi-hazards program was designed to provide architectural, engineering, and other mitigation related technical assistance in support of post disaster mitigation initiatives. The NETAP is a technical assistance program created to provide ad hoc short-term architectural and engineering support to state/local communities as they are related to earthquake mitigation. The program was designed to enhance the state/local communities’ ability to become more resistant to seismic hazards. This assistance cannot be used for actions that are covered under the State’s/Territories Performance Partnership Agreement (PPA). This program assists in carrying out the statutory authorities of the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act of 1977, as amended. The WAWTAP is a technical assistance program created to provide ad hoc short-term assistance in support of the hurricane and flood programs. The program was designed to enhance the state/local communities’ ability to become more resistant to hazards related to flooding and hurricanes. This assistance cannot be used for actions that are covered under the State’s/Territories Performance Partnership Agreement (PPA). This program assists in carrying out the statutory authorities of the National Flood Insurance Act of 1968 and the Flood Disaster Protection Act of 1973. Criteria: State participation in the Flood Program SBA DISASTER ASSISTANCE PROGRAM The purpose of the Pre-Disaster Mitigation Loan Program is to make low-interest, fixed rate loans to eligible small businesses for the purpose of implementing mitigation measures to protect business property from damage that may be caused by future disasters. The program is a pilot program, which supports FEMA’s Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program. SBA’s Pre -Disaster Mitigation Program is available to businesses whose proposed mitigation measure conforms to the priorities and goals of the mitigation plan for the community, as defined by FEMA, in which the business is located. Because the program has been approved only for limited funding, 156 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 approved loan requests will be funded on a first-come, first-served basis up to the limit of the program funds. Criteria: A Presidential disaster declaration or an SBA administrative declaration must be made. COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT BLOCK GRANTS HUD’s Community Development Block Grant (CDBG) program provides grants to local governments for community and economic development projects that primarily benefit low-and moderate-income people. The CDBG program also provides grants for post disaster hazard mitigation and recovery following a Presidential disaster declaration. Criteria: CBDG eligible communities (generally communities with under 50,000 population and counties under 200,000 population) located within a Presidential disaster declaration area. DISASTER MITIGATION PLANNING AND TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE Administered by the Department of commerce, Economic Development, these grants are primarily designed for economic development initiatives, but are applicable to hazard mitigation when the focus is on creating disaster resistant jobs and workplaces. Also, these monies are applicable because often projects related to developing infrastructure are also making the community more disaster resistant. EMERGENCY WATERSHED PROTECTION The Department of Agriculture’s National Resources Conservation Service administers this program. Emergency Watershed Protection Program (EWP) provides financial assistance to sponsors and individuals in implementing emergency measures to relieve imminent hazards to life and property created by a natural disaster. Activities include providing financial and technical assistance to remove debris from streams, protect destabilized stream banks, and the purchase of flood plain easements. The program is designed for installation of recovery measures. It is not necessary for a national emergency to be declared to be eligible for assistance. WATERSHED SURVEYS AND PLANNING PROGRAM The Department of Agriculture’s Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) heads this program. It provides financial assistance for watershed planning activities and cooperative river basin surveys and investigations. Types of plans include flood hazard analyses, and flood plain management assistance, with a focus on identifying solutions that use conservation practice and nonstructural measures to solve resource problems. 157 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 State Sources WATER AND SEWER GRANT PROGRAMS MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF ECONMIC DEVELOPMENT The Department of Economic Development offers grants to enhance infrastructure such as water and sewer lines. These grants might be particularly helpful in protecting against drought by connecting disparate water sources and thereby providing multiple water sources to isolated communities. These monies might also be helpful in providing adequate protection of sewage treatment plants from the risk of flood or separation of storm water from combined sewer lines. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT/MITIGATION TRAINING STATE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY The State Emergency Management Agency (SEMA) offers grants for training jurisdictions in hazard mitigation, preparedness, and planning. These funds are used for training appropriate staff in identifying projects best suited for mitigation. PRE-DISASTER MITIGATION PROJECT IMPACT STATE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY SEMA funds are provided to assist communities with technical assistance in the development of a sustained pre-disaster mitigation program. Funds can be used for planning mitigation initiatives and providing technical “know-how” in the construction of mitigation projects. HAZARD MITIGATION GRANT PROGRAM STATE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY SEMA funds are available to communities for implementing long-term hazard mitigation measures following a disaster declaration. It is thought that after a major disaster, communities will be able to identify where things can be done to prevent losses in the future. PUBLIC ASSISTANCE PROGRAM STATE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY These SEMA grants are designed to provide funds to repair damaged infrastructure and public facilities. Funds can also be used to reinstate government services impacted by a natural hazard event. This program can fund the repair of damaged components of a structure. DISASTER RECOVERY INITIATIVE MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT The Missouri Department of Economic Development (DED) provides this grant program to bridge funding gaps in recovery assistance after a disaster. These funds can also be used to fund gaps in a mitigation development program. 158 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION PROGRAM MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES The Missouri Department of Natural Resources (DNR), through the Soil and Water Conservation Program, offer grants, cost share programs, and low interest loans to agencies and property owners to plan and implement best practices to reduce soil erosion and improve water quality. Practices that facilitate slower release of water upstream mitigate downstream flood hazards. The programs are generally applicable to rural and agricultural environments. Local Sources Municipal and county governments can provide funds for projects through their general revenue fund and through a dedicated capital improvement and/or transportation sales/use tax. Special taxing districts, such as a Neighborhood Improvement District (NID), can be formed if practical, to assess property owners for a portion of the cost of improvements. Non-governmental Other potential sources of revenue for implementing local mitigation projects are monetary contributions from nonprofit organizations such as the American Red Cross, community relief funds, churches, charitable trusts, and land trusts. Conclusion There are many sources of funding available for hazard mitigation projects. Those identified here, while they are significant, do not comprise all potential sources. It should be noted that new programs can become available, and existing programs can be modified or dropped. Many funds available are leveraged with “local” matching funds at various contribution percentages. Diligence in keeping abreast of changes in funding opportunities will be necessary to institute hazard mitigation projects that take advantage of non-local funds. 159 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Section 4 This section is organized with general goals that are to be met by accomplishing the accompanying objectives, actions and subsequent strategies. An action matrix has been included for Pettis County. It provides a reference for the jurisdiction during the implementation process. It identifies each goal, objective and strategy, identifies the hazards addressed by each strategy, type of strategy, target completion date, responsible party/organization for implementation, potential funding source, prioritization, as well as monitoring and evaluation indicators. Specific information on potential funding sources is found in Section 3 of the Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update. Introduction to Mitigation Pettis County is subject to many types of hazards: flooding, tornado/severe windstorm, winter storm, earthquake/landslide, dam failure, drought, heat wave, and an occasional wildfire. Allhazard mitigation planning is the process associated with devising strategies needed to mitigate the damages associated with these disasters. Definition of Mitigation Mitigation is defined as “sustained action that reduces or eliminates long-term risk to people and property from hazards and their effects.” It describes the ongoing efforts at the Federal, State, local and individual levels to lessen the impact of disasters upon family homes, jurisdictions and the economy. Mitigation includes not only avoiding the development of hazard prone sections of the jurisdiction, but also making existing development in hazard prove areas safer. Certain areas in some jurisdictions are susceptible to damage from hazards. As such, steps are taken to make these areas less vulnerable through flood buyouts. Jurisdictions can steer growth to less risky areas, through non-structural measures such as avoiding construction in flood-prone areas. Keeping buildings and people out of harm’s way is the essence of mitigation. Incorporating mitigation into decisions relating to a jurisdiction’s growth can result in a safer, more resilient jurisdiction, and one that is more attractive to families and businesses. Categories of Mitigation Mitigation categories are grouped into six categories. Prevention Prevention measures are intended to keep a hazard risk problem from getting worse; it ensures future development does not increase losses. Some examples include: planning 160 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 and zoning, open space preservation, land development regulations, and storm water management. Property Protection These measures are used to modify buildings and other surroundings subject to hazard risk or their surroundings, rather than prevent the hazard from occurring. These measures protect people and property at risk. Some examples include: acquisition/public procurement and management of lands that are vulnerable to damage from hazards; relocation/permanent evacuation of hazard prone areas to safer areas; rebuilding and modifying structures to reduce damage by future hazard events; flood proofing or protection of flood prone buildings, using various methods. Natural Resource Protection These measures are intended to reduce the intensity of hazard effects and to improve the quality of the environment and wildlife. Parks, recreation, conservation agencies and similar organizations implement these activities. Some examples of this mitigation measure include: erosion and sediment control, and wetlands protection. Structural Projects These measures directly protect people and property at risk. They are called structural because they involve construction of manmade structures to control hazards. Structural projects for flood control include reservoirs, levees/floodwalls, diversions, channel modifications, and storm sewers. Public Information Public information activities inform and remind citizens about hazardous areas and measures needed to avoid damage and injury. This information is directed to present and future property owners, present and future business owners, and visitors. Some examples of public information activities include providing hazard maps and other information; outreach hazard mitigation programs through newspapers, radio/TV/videotape, mass mailings, notices/displays, property owner handbook, presentations; real estate disclosure, public library, technical assistance, and school age and adult education classes. Mitigation Versus Preparedness Mitigation differs from preparedness in that mitigation is designed to address long-term activities that reduce or eliminate a hazard and/or a hazard’s damages. Examples include development and implementation of a hazard mitigation plan, promoting/developing tornado safe rooms, promoting/developing business continuity plans, rerouting transportation of HAZMAT materials, development/enforcement of building/fire seismic and flood codes, and promoting flood buyouts or retrofit projects. Preparedness activities occur at the pre-disaster stage and addresses response and recovery activities. These activities include an inventory of local resources, 161 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 development/implementation of training citizens, design/conduct and evaluate responder exercises; development of resource lists and procurement resources; development of unified incident command agreements and development of mutual aid agreements Mitigation Versus Response and Recovery Mitigation differs from response/recovery in that mitigation addresses long-term activities that reduce or eliminate a hazard and/or a hazard’s damages, such as explained in the above paragraph. Response and recovery activities occur at the disaster’s onset and during the postdisaster time frame. Response activities include immediate actions that save lives, protect property and stabilize the situation. They include alerting, securing and aiding the public, mobilizing emergency personnel and equipment, implementing plans and protective actions, assessment of the disaster, activating the incident command system and response and react to the disaster’s effects. Recovery activities occur after the disaster has occurred. Activities ensure that all systems return to normal. Such activities include damage assessment, removal of debris, and development of after action reports and disaster assistance grants. Mitigation Plan Benefits Hazard mitigation planning offers many benefits. These include saving lives and property; meeting the needs/policies of each specific jurisdiction; educating officials, public and partners; reducing vulnerability to future hazards; guiding and speeding post disaster recovery; enhancing funding opportunities (HMGP, flood mitigation plan credit for FMA and CRS programs, NOAA/NWS Storm Ready credit, NRCS/DNR/COE/CDBG grants); promoting public participation; placing mitigation projects in the budget; helping keep projects and spending on track; focusing jurisdiction disaster mitigation efforts; guiding post disaster recovery; employing pro-active approaches to minimize adverse effects of disasters; evaluating hazards and risks; and determining mitigation needs and capabilities, solutions, activities and projects. National Flood Plain Insurance Program The following communities participate in the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP): NFIP – Table 50 CID 290823 290701 290823 290526 290575 Jurisdiction Pettis County La Monte Sedalia Smithton Houstonia Map Date 1984 1994 1996 1984 1976 Ordinance Compliance w/NFIP Update Needed No No No No No CRS Member Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No No No No No Table 50 162 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 None of the jurisdictions that participate in the NFIP are currently in the Community Rating System. Green Ridge and Hughesville do not participate in the NFIP because they do not have any designated SFHAs. In order to continue compliance with the NFIP, participating jurisdictions in Pettis County take the following actions: Continued enforcement of floodplain ordinance Regulation of development in the floodplain Encouragement of public awareness Encourage local government to buy out Repetitive Loss Properties (Mainly in Sedalia) Floodplain identification and mapping (integration of floodplain management and GIS departments) Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Goals, Objectives, Strategies The development of the updated goals, objectives, and actions for the 2011 Plan Update began with review of the previously approved plan’s goals, objectives, and actions. These strategies promoted hazard mitigation, impact reduction, and other hazard mitigation goals. The 2011 Update will address mitigation strategies for flooding, tornado/severe windstorm, winter storm, earthquake, dam failure, drought, heat wave and wildfire, which were the same hazards addressed in the previously approved plan. Pettis County’s mitigation goals in the 2005 plan were derived from conferences with emergency managers, jurisdiction stakeholders as well as the key planning documents (i.e. Emergency Operations Plan, Official Master Plan, floodplain and building ordinances and the meetings and workshops conducted on June 13 and October 17, 2003 during the development of the Regional All-Hazard Mitigation Plan. It was determined that the three 2005 plan goals remained valid for inclusion in the 2011 Plan Update, with addition of a fourth goal with objectives and actions. The mitigation goals in the 2005 Plan included the following: o Protect the lives and livelihood of all citizens. o Manage growth through sustainable principles and practices. o Ensure continued operation of government and emergency functions in a disaster. The goal that was added to the Plan Update was to “preserve and maintain property, infrastructure, businesses and jurisdiction vitality.” It was added in order to preserve and maintain property, infrastructure, businesses and jurisdiction vitality. Several objectives and actions were added to the new goal to ensure accomplishment of the goal. These were property protection education, encouragement of additional underground power lines, utilization of GIS in future planning, updated codes to be developed around hazard mitigation, and coordination of emergency communication plans. The goals, objectives, and actions from the 2005 Plan were as follows: GOAL 1: Protect the lives and livelihoods of all citizens. Objective 1.1: Provide sufficient warning systems. 163 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Action 1.1.1: Identify geographic areas in need of additional warning systems and acquire needed equipment. Action 1.1.2: Improve flood alerting system capabilities. Objective 1.2: Decrease the occurrence and impact of flooding. Action 1.2.1: Encourage property owners and occupants in hazard areas to participate in mitigation policy formulation. Action 1.2.2: Target any remaining repetitive flood loss properties for buyout. Action 1.2.3: Promote environmentally-sound watershed and storm water practices to decrease flash flooding. Action 1.2.4: Strengthen floodplain regulations. Objective 1.3: Increase knowledge of safety measures among employers and the general public. Action 1.3.1: Promote the use of hazard area maps by the public. Action 1.3.2: Identify ways to promote FEMA safety tips and mitigation techniques. Objective 1.4: Increase and maintain appropriate emergency equipment. Action 1.4.1: Review and upgrade, as needed, policies for identifying and budgeting additional emergency equipment. Action 1.4.2: Execute and maintain mutual aid agreements with all relevant agencies. Action 1.4.3: Review and upgrade redundancies for the 911 Center/EOC. Objective 1.5: Protect residential structures. Action 1.5.1: Decrease wildfire risk in areas where development is adjacent to forests or grasslands by incorporating buffer zones into subdivision regulations. Action 1.5.2: Promote the use of environmentally-sound, fire-resistant materials. Action 1.5.3: Identify existing mechanisms to promote NFIP policies and earthquake/ seismic insurance. Objective 1.6: Protect employment and commercial facilities: Action 1.6.1: Encourage construction of tornado safe rooms. Action 1.6.2: Encourage up-to-date commercial and industrial disaster plans that are coordinated with community disaster plans. Action 1.6.3: Encourage operation and infrastructure backup systems for commercial and industrial businesses. GOAL 2: Manage growth through sustainable principles and practices. Objective 2.1: Reduce and prevent degradation of, or conflicts with, natural resources. Action 2.1.1: To reduce the effects of flash flooding and drought, promote construction and use practices that facilitate rainwater percolation into local water tables. Action 2.1.2: Encourage best practices for drought-resistant farming. Action 2.1.3: Implement measures to increase the county’s CRS status. Action 2.1.4: Resolve any existing environmental conflicts and take steps to prevent future conflicts. Action 2.1.5: Work with DNR to identify primary maintenance techniques for earthen dams and encourage their use. GOAL #3: Ensure continued operation of government and emergency functions in a disaster. Objective 3.1: Strengthen critical structures and infrastructures. Action 3.1.1: Review, prioritize, institute and monitor needed upgrades or retrofits for critical buildings and infrastructures. Action 3.1.2: Review emergency access routes and evacuation routes and mitigate any problem areas. 164 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Objective 3.2: Strengthen multi-jurisdictional cooperation among emergency agencies. Action 3.2.1: Identify, review, and implement mechanisms to foster collaboration among jurisdictions, agencies and special districts. The Planning Committee reviewed the above strategy for progress since the approval of the 2005 Plan. Overall, there were a number of successful mitigation actions that were accomplished from 2004 to 2010. A tornado warning siren was installed in the City of Houstonia to provide adequate notification for residents to seek shelter (Action 1.1.1). The County also participated in the “Ready in 3” program with the Missouri Department of Health and Human Services (Objective 1.3). The program encourages residents to (1) develop a plan for hazard preparedness, (2) preparation of a hazard kit, and (3) listening for broadcasted information relating to hazard events. The program ensures that residents are ready for potential hazards that have been identified in this plan. Several community tornado safe rooms have also been constructed in the County, as indicated in Table 51 below (Objective 1.6). Table 51 Shelter Sq. Ft Capacity La Monte Address City 300 W. Front St. La Monte 5,000 1,000 Houstonia 305 W. Tuck Houstonia 3,000 800 Maplewood 3174 Hwy TT Sedalia 5,000 1,000 Hughesville 16215 Hwy H Hughesville 3,000 800 Smithton 105 E Marvin Smithton 5,000 1,000 Greenridge 401 W. Pettis Greenridge 2505 W 32nd St. Sedalia 3,000 800 7,500 1,800 200 E Clay 7,500 1,800 Skyline North Sedalia Sedalia Several additional mitigation actions were proposed for the Update, and discussed by all participants. Certain mitigation goals, objectives, and actions were added to or removed from the previously approved 2005 plan. In order to determine the status of implementation of the 2005 mitigation strategy, discussion was held during public meetings and conversations with local officials were conducted. The 2005 goals, objectives, and actions were reviewed individually. It was determined that the mitigation strategy would include one new goal, and several new objectives, while eliminating a few actions from the 2005 Plan. Items changed from the previously approved 2005 mitigation action plan include: Action 1.1.2 was changed from “Improve flood alerting system capabilities” to “Acquire flood alerting system capabilities.” This was done because the county needs to acquire a 165 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 new flood alerting system. Action 1.1.3 was added to the plan to reflect local activity in the “Ready in 3” program. Action 3.1.3 was added in order to encourage-up-to-date mapping of critical facilities. Action 1.5.1 was in the previously approved plan was as follows: “Decrease wildfire risk in areas where development is adjacent to forests or grasslands by incorporating buffer zones into subdivision regulations.” That action was deleted from plan due to the small risk of wildfire in the planning area and the fact that development trends are occurring mainly east of Sedalia. Action 1.5.3 was stated in the previously approved plan as “Identify existing mechanisms to promote NFIP policies and earthquake/seismic insurance.” This was changed to eliminate “earthquake/seismic insurance” because of the limited risk of earthquakes in the County. All other goals and objectives from the 2005 Plan were deemed viable to continue mitigation of natural hazards. Most goals, objectives, and actions are continuing and ongoing, and were carried over to the updated plan. The goals, objectives, and actions identified in the previously approved plan and the 2011 Update were developed through a multi-step process. o Hazard identification and analysis (identification of the hazards most prevalent of the area and following the area). o Area vulnerability assessment (identification the areas of the jurisdiction most vulnerable to the previously identified hazards). o Jurisdictional capability assessment questionnaire (assessment identified the steps the jurisdiction had taken toward reducing their vulnerability to hazards by reviewing the jurisdiction’s legal, institutional, political, technical and fiscal capability. This step identified the jurisdiction’s capability to implement future mitigation measures.) The Planning Committee established a final list of goals, objectives, and actions for participants of the 2011 Plan Update. They are listed as follows. GOAL 1: Protect the lives and livelihoods of all citizens. Objective 1.1: Provide sufficient warning systems. Action 1.1.1: Identify geographic areas in need of additional warning systems and acquire needed equipment. Action 1.1.2: Acquire flood alerting system capabilities. Objective 1.2: Decrease the occurrence and impact of flooding. Action 1.2.1: Encourage property owners and occupants in hazard areas to participate in mitigation policy formulation. Action 1.2.2: Target any remaining repetitive flood loss properties for buyout. Action 1.2.3: Promote environmentally-sound watershed and storm water practices to decrease flash flooding. 166 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Action 1.2.4: Strengthen floodplain regulations. Objective 1.3: Increase knowledge of safety measures among employers and the general public. Action 1.3.1: Promote the use of hazard area maps by the public. Action 1.3.2: Identify ways to promote FEMA safety tips and mitigation techniques. Action 1.3.3: Utilize the “Ready in 3” program to ensure enhanced public awareness of disaster situations Objective 1.4: Increase and maintain appropriate emergency equipment. Action 1.4.1: Review and upgrade, as needed, policies for identifying and budgeting additional emergency equipment. Action 1.4.2: Execute and maintain mutual aid agreements with all relevant agencies. Action 1.4.3: Review and upgrade redundancies for the 911 Center/EOC. Objective 1.5: Protect residential structures. Action 1.5.1: Promote the use of environmentally-sound, fire-resistant materials. Action 1.5.2: Identify existing mechanisms to promote NFIP policies and earthquake/seismic insurance. Objective 1.6: Protect employment and commercial facilities: Action 1.6.1: Encourage construction of tornado safe rooms. Action 1.6.2: Encourage up-to-date commercial and industrial disaster plans that are coordinated with community disaster plans. Action 1.6.3: Encourage operation and infrastructure backup systems for commercial and industrial businesses. GOAL 2: Manage growth through sustainable principles and practices. Objective 2.1: Reduce and prevent degradation of, or conflicts with, natural resources. Action 2.1.1: To reduce the effects of flash flooding and drought, promote construction and use practices that facilitate rainwater percolation into local water tables. Action 2.1.2: Encourage best practices for drought-resistant farming. Action 2.1.3: Implement measures to increase the county’s CRS status. Action 2.1.4: Resolve any existing environmental conflicts and take steps to prevent future conflicts. Action 2.1.5: Work with DNR to identify primary maintenance techniques for earthen dams and encourage their use. GOAL 3: disaster. Ensure continued operation of government and emergency functions in a Objective 3.1: Strengthen critical structures and infrastructures. Action 3.1.1: Review, prioritize, institute and monitor needed upgrades or retrofits for critical buildings and infrastructures. 167 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Action 3.1.2: Review emergency access routes and evacuation routes and mitigate any problem areas. Action 3.1.3: Encourage up to date mapping of critical facilities for official and public review Objective 3.2: Strengthen multi-jurisdictional cooperation among emergency agencies. Action 3.2.1: Identify, review, and implement mechanisms to foster collaboration among jurisdictions, agencies and special districts. Goal #4: Preserve and maintain property, infrastructure, businesses and jurisdiction vitality. Objective 4.1 Reduce or prevent impacts from hazards on private properties Action 4.1.1: Educate residents on property protection from hazards Action 4.1.2: Encourage utilities, communications developers to construct undergrounds lines Action 4.1.3: Jurisdiction planning departments encouraged to use hazard maps with developers, home buyers, construction and engineers Objective 4.2 Action 4.2.1: Encourage jurisdictions to adopt new codes and enforce current codes and ordinances for all hazards Action 4.2.2: Encourage emergency response agencies and districts to relocate facilities away from geographically redundant areas Action 4.2.3: Encourage jurisdiction agencies to coordinate communications plans The following table provides an analysis of the County’s proposed 2011 Plan mitigation actions. Each action was reviewed according to the STAPLEE criteria. STAPLEE criteria include: Social, Technical, Administrative, Political, Legal, Economic and Environmental considerations. The asterisks in the columns on the right indicate the action would have a positive effect. Note that the Planning Committee that all actions positively impacted each element of the STAPLEE criteria. The next plan update will include a more detailed prioritization of actions that will be specific to each participating jurisdiction. Table 51 168 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 169 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Strategic implementation The goals, objectives, and actions steer the plan toward group involvement of individual communities, chambers of commerce, large employers, etc. All actions shown above were found to be cost-effective, environmentally sound, and technically feasible. An economic evaluation was also performed in order to select higher priority actions from among the many competing ones. The Planning Committee assessed the economic impact of one action compared to another, compared varying costs, examined possible available funding to achieve the actions, and examined the actions for adherence to local economic goals for each community. The results of this activity and the STAPLEE analysis are illustrated in the tables beginning on page 171. The following set of underlying operating principles will improve fiscal and operational efficiency, help maintain a focus on the greater goal of overall community well-being, and help ensure implementation. Local government will be responsible for reviewing on at least an annual basis the natural hazard mitigation plan during city council meetings. The annual review will ensure that development and ordinance revision occurs with incorporation of mitigation actions when appropriate. The public will have the opportunity to review the Plan Update on the Pioneer Trails Regional Planning website and at their local emergency management office. Public input into plan maintenance will be encouraged at city council meetings during the course of the plan update cycle. Each action will be implemented according to the following strategies. Incorporate mitigation objectives into existing and future plans, regulations, programs and projects. Promote and encourage collaboration between disparate agencies and departments to create a synergism that results in benefits that would not be possible through a single agency. Employ sustainable principles and techniques in the implementation of each objective to attain maximum benefits. For example, watershed protection decreases the incidence and severity of flood. Create and implement an action prioritization process that includes monetary, environmental, and sociological considerations in the event of a disaster. 170 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Ensure implementation through inclusion in adoption resolution The county’s Hazard Mitigation Plan will be implemented by the Pettis County Commission and its delegates. The implementation process will include coordination among county departments. It will be coordinated with other relevant agencies or districts through the county’s Emergency Management Agency. The county will set up a system to monitor progress and evaluate the effectiveness of implemented actions with revisions as needed. Every five years, the county will review the plan and include any needed updates. The updated plan will be submitted for SEMA/FEMA approval. In addition, the plan will continually be reviewed for any necessary updates following any major disasters that occur within the county. Analysis and prioritization of mitigation actions Pettis County’s mitigation actions promote and/or support the development of local hazard mitigation plans, projects and activities. Examples include encouraging inclusion of hazard mitigation principles in local building codes, emergency operation plans, master plans, planning and zoning ordinances, floodplain ordinances, local disaster plans, local mitigation plans, and commercial/industrial disaster plans. The following matrix provides an analysis and prioritization of the county’s natural hazard mitigation goals, objectives, and actions. The matrix also illustrates the relationship between the state’s identified hazards and the county’s mitigation actions. All actions will be coordinated, where applicable, with Missouri’s mitigation actions. Criteria for prioritization, in addition to the previously stated elements of the STAPLEE analysis, areas follow: Historically, Pettis County has been most affected by tornado/thunderstorms followed in severity by flooding, severe winter storm, drought, and heat wave. The risk of earthquake, dam failure, and wildfire must be addressed even though the county has not yet experienced these hazards; and Some actions may be high priorities, but will require a lengthy process of preparatory steps (for example, researching alternative techniques or education for community acceptance). Therefore, these types of actions will show up as a “high” priority with a somewhat distance future target date for completion. NOTE: All actions affect the county jurisdiction in some way. Therefore, county involvement is assumed for all of the items on the following Action Matrix. Following are definitions for some of the terms used in the tables beginning on page 171. Priority: High – to be completed within the next 2 years Medium – to be completed within the next 5 years Low – to be started within the next 5 years 171 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 One of the last columns in the tables beginning on page 171 is labeled “Evaluation.” This column sets forth how progress in action implementation will be evaluated. Certain hazards can impact individual participating jurisdictions more than the county as a whole. In the table below, the column on the far left designated “Community” lists the communities that have chosen to accept the listed action. They are coded as follows: Sd = Sedalia Gr = Green Ridge Ho = Houstonia Hu = Hughesville Sm = Smithton Lm = La Monte A = Every incorporated area could be affected or involved 172 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Warning coverage maps Emergency Services Revised from the 2005 Plan Low; Continuing EMA Director; County Flood Plain Manager govt. program funds/private funding Warning coverage maps X Public Information Same action from 2005 Plan High; Continuing EMA Director; County Flood Plain Manager Attendance records X Same action from 2005 Plan Same action from 2005 Plan X X X Wildfire govt. program funds/private funding Dam Failure EMA Director Evaluation Earthquake Medium; Continuing Potential Funding Sources Heat Wave Same action from 2005 Plan Probable Lead Organizer Drought Emergency Services Priority Rank and Current Status Winter Type of Strategy Flood Action Natural Hazards New to the Update, Revised from the 2005 Plan, Same as 2005 Plan Tornado Community Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Update Actions Matrix Goal 1: Protect the lives and livelihoods of all citizens Objective 1.1: Provide sufficient warning systems HO Action 1.1.1: Identify geographic areas in need of additional warning systems and acquire needed equipment A Action 1.1.2: Acquire flood alerting system capabilities Objective 1.2 Decrease the occurrence and impact of flooding Action 1.2.1: Encourage property owners and occupants in hazard areas to participate in mitigation policy formulation Action 1.2.2: Promote environmentally-sound watershed and storm water practices to decrease flash flooding A Action 1.2.3: Strengthen floodplain regulations Public Information Property Protection A Objective 1.3 Increase knowledge of safety measures among employers and the general public Action 1.3.1: Promote the use of hazard area maps and community shelter area maps by the public Natural Resource Protection A A Low County Floodplain Manager County Floodplain Manager Govt. program funds govt. program funds/private funding Flooding reports Updates completed/revisions adopted Same action from 2005 Plan Low EMA Director Internal Funds Data Collection and publication X X X X X X X X Public Information Same action from 2005 Plan Low EMA Director Internal Funds Seasonal information distributed X X X X X X X X Public Information New Medium; Continuing EMA Director Internal Funds Installation and training with program X X X X X X X X Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan High; Continuing EMA Director Govt. program funds Policy drafted and approved X X X X X X X X High; Continuing EMA Director Internal Funds Agreements in place and/or removed X X X X X X X X Internal Funds Backups have been installed X X X X X X X X High; Continuing A Action 1.3.2: Identify ways to promote FEMA safety tips and mitigation techniques Action 1.3.3: Utilize the Ready in 3 program to ensure enhanced public awareness of disaster situations Objective 1.4 Increase and maintain appropriate emergency equipment 1.4.1: Review and upgrade, as needed, policies for identifying and budgeting additional emergency equipment A 1.4.2: Execute and maintain mutual aid agreements with all relevant agencies Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan SD 1.4.3: Review and upgrade redundancies for the 911 Center/EOC Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan High; Continuing EMA Director; 9-1-1 Director Property Protection Same action from 2005 Plan Low; Continuing EMA Director; Jurisdiction Building Enforcement Internal Funds Added to building regulations Property Protection Revised from 2005 Plan Low; Continuing County Floodplain Manager; Jurisdiction Floodplain Managers Internal Funds Added to floodplain regulations A A A A Objective 1.5 Protect residential structures Action 1.5.1: Promote the use of environmentallysound, fire-resistant materials Action 1.5.2: Identify existing mechanisms to promote NFIP policies and continue to participate in the NFIP if currently a participant [this is a requirement for all HM Plans]. X X X X 173 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Objective 1.6 Protect employment and commercial facilities Structural Projects Same action from 2005 Plan Medium; 2011 EMA Director Govt. program funds Completed construction and operation X Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan Low; Continuing EMA Director; City EMA Director Internal Funds All facilities contacted and procedure set in place X X X X X X X X Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan Low; Continuing EMA Director; City EMA Director Internal Funds All facilities contacted and procedure set in place X X X X X X X X Objective 2.1 Reduce and prevent degradation of, or conflicts with, natural resources Action 2.1.1: Reduce the effects of flash flooding and drought by promoting construction and use practices that facilitate rainwater percolation into local water tables Natural Resource Protection Same action from 2005 Plan Low; Continuing EMA Director; County Floodplain Manager Govt. program funds/private funding Practices incorporated into subdivision regulations Action 2.1.2: Encourage best practices for droughtresistant farming. Natural Resource Protection Same action from 2005 Plan Medium; Continuing EMA Director Govt. program funds/private funding Workshops held and practices publicized Action 2.1.3: Implement measure to increase the County's Community Rating System Status Property Protection Same action from 2005 Plan Medium; 2012 EMA Director Internal funds CRS status improved X Natural Resource Protection Same action from 2005 Plan Medium; 2012 Floodplain Manager Internal funds Reduction in Existing Conflict X X X A Action 2.1.4: Resolve any existing environmental conflicts and take steps to prevent future conflicts Action 2.1.5: Work with MO DNR to identify primary maintenance techniques for earthen dams and encourage their use Natural Resource Protection Ongoing Medium; 2011 EMA Director Govt. program funds/private funding Priorities set in place and Dam owners contacted A Goal 3: Ensure continued operation of government and emergency functions in a disaster Objective 3.1 Strengthen critical structures and infrastructures Action 3.1.1: Review, prioritize and monitor needed upgrades or retrofits for critical buildings and infrastructures Same action from 2005 Plan High; Continuing EMA Director Govt. program funds/ private funding Annual review/upgrade A Action 3.1.2: Review emergency access routes and evacuation routes and mitigate any problem areas Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan High; Continuing EMA Director Internal funds Annual review/upgrade A Action 3.1.3: Encourage up to date mapping of critical facilities for official and public review Public Education New Medium; Continuing EMA Director Internal funds Annual review/upgrade/publication Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan High; 2013 EMA Director Internal funds Public Education New Medium EMA Director Internal Funds A A A Action 1.6.1: Encourage construction of tornado safe rooms Action 1.6.2: Encourage up to date commercial and industrial disaster plans that are coordinated with community disaster plans Action 1.6.3: Encourage operation and infrastructure backup systems for commercial and industrial businesses Goal 2: Manage growth through sustainable principles and practices SD, LM, GR HU, SM, GR A A X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X Increase in agreements X X X X X X Workshops held and practices publicized X X X X X X X Objective 3.2 Strengthen multi-jurisdictional cooperation among emergency agencies A Action 3.2.1: Identify, review and implement mechanisms to foster collaboration among jurisdictions agencies and special districts Goal 4: Preserve and maintain property, infrastructure, businesses and jurisdiction vitality Objective 4.1 Reduce or prevent impacts from hazards on private properties A Action 4.1.1: Educate residents on property protection from hazards X X 174 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 A Action 4.1.2: Encourage utilities, communications developers to construct underground lines Prevention New Medium EMA Director Govt. program funds/private funding Coordinate with utility compnaies X A Action 4.1.3: Jurisdiction planning departments encouraged to use hazard maps with developers, home buyers, construction and engineers Property Protection New Low County Commissioners and Planners Internal Funds Coordinate planning departments and publish maps X Property Protection New Medium City Commissioners Internal funds Policy drafted and approved X A Objective 4.2 Reduce or prevent impacts from hazards on public properties Action 4.2.1: Encourage jurisdictions to adopt new codes and enforce current codes and ordinances for all hazards Action 4.2.2: Encourage emergency response agencies and districts to relocate facilities away from geographically redundant areas Prevention New High EMA Director Internal Funds Policy drafted and approved A Action 4.2.3: Encourage jurisdiction agencies to coordinate communications plans Emergency Services Internal Funds Communication plan updated/completed A New High EMA Director X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 175 Some of the sources of federal funding for hazard mitigation projects are listed on the following pages. Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP) The Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP) was created in November 1988 through Section 404 of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act. The HMGP assists states and communities in implementing long-term mitigation measures following a Presidential disaster declaration. After a major disaster, communities may be able to identify additional areas where mitigation can help prevent losses in the future. HMGP funding is allocated using a “sliding scale” formula based on the percentage of the funds spent on Public and Individual Assistance programs for each Declaration. The HMGP can be used to fund projects to protect public or private property; the proposed projects must fit within the state and local government's overall mitigation strategy for the disaster area, and comply with program guidelines. Eligibility for funding under the HMGP is limited to state and local governments, certain private nonprofit organizations or institutions that serve a public function, Indian tribes, and authorized tribal organizations. Applicants work through their state which is responsible for setting priorities for funding and administering the program. More information on this program is available at: www.fema.gov/government/grant/hmgp/ Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program (PDM) With the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000, Congress approved the creation of a national program to provide a funding mechanism that is not dependent on a Presidential Disaster Declaration. The Pre-Disaster Mitigation (PDM) Program provides funding for cost-effective hazard mitigation activities that complement a comprehensive mitigation program, and reduce injuries, loss of life, and damage and destruction of property. The PDM grant funds are provided to the state which then provides sub-grants to local governments for eligible mitigation activities. More information on this program is available at: www.fema.gov/government/grant/pdm/ Flood Mitigation Assistance Program (FMA) FMA was created as part of the National Flood Insurance Reform Act of 1994 (42 U.S.C. 4101) with the goal of reducing or eliminating claims under the NFIP. Applicants must be participants in good standing in the NFIP and properties to be mitigated must have flood insurance. States administer the FMA program and are responsible for selecting projects for funding from the applicants submitted. The state then forwards selected applications to FEMA for an eligibility determination. Although individuals cannot apply directly for FMA funds, their local government may submit an application on their behalf. FMA funding for the state depends on the number of repetitive losses in the state. The frequency of flooding in Missouri in recent years, coupled with the losses incurred, has caused Missouri’s funding to rise. This is a good program for smaller projects like low water crossings, according to Sheila Huddleston, Missouri State Hazard Mitigation Officer. For FMA, not more than one half of the non-Federal funding may be provided from in-kind contributions. More information on this program is available at: www.fema.gov/government/grant/fma/ Repetitive Flood Claims Grant Program (RFC) The Repetitive Flood Claims (RFC) grant program was authorized in 1968 to assist States and communities in reducing flood damages to insured properties that have had one or more claims Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 to the NFIP. In order to apply for funding through this 100% Federal share program, a community must show that it can’t meet FMA requirements due to lack of cost share match or capacity to manage the activities. This doesn’t necessarily mean it needs to be a low-income community. A St. Louis area community was awarded a RFC grant on the basis that it couldn’t meet FMA requirements because it was in the middle of the budget cycle. More information on this program is available at: www.fema.gov/government/grant/rfc/ Severe Repetitive Loss Grant Program (SRL) The Severe Repetitive Loss (SRL) grant program was authorized in 2004 to provide funding to reduce or eliminate the long-term risk of flood damage to NFIP severe repetitive loss (SRL) properties. A SRL property is defined as a residential property that is covered under an NFIP flood insurance policy and: (a) has at least four NFIP claim payments (including building and contents) over $5,000 each, and the cumulative amount of such claims payments exceeds $20,000; or (b) for which at least two separate claims payments (building payments only) have been made with the cumulative amount of the building portion of such claims exceeding the market value of the building. For both (a) and (b) above, at least two of the referenced claims must have occurred within any ten-year period, and must be greater than 10 days apart. There are very specific requirements for this grant program; requirements need to be studied carefully before making application. For buyouts under SRL, a property must be on FEMA’s validated SRL list to be eligible. Property owner consultations are required before submitting an application. More information is available at: www.fema.gov/government/grant/srl/ COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT BLOCK GRANT (CDBG) The objective of the CDBG program is to assist communities in rehabilitating substandard dwelling structures and to expand economic opportunities, primarily for low-to-moderate-income families. After a Presidential Disaster Declaration CDBG funds may be used for long-term needs such as acquisition, reconstruction, and redevelopment of disaster-affected areas. There is no low-to-moderate income requirement after a Presidential Disaster Declaration. Monitoring, Evaluating, and Updating the Plan For the 2011 Plan Update, Pettis County has developed a method to ensure regular review and update of the Hazard Mitigation Plan. The Sedalia/Pettis County Emergency Management Director (EMD) will include discussion of hazard mitigation objectives in the weekly meeting with the County Commission as needed. If there is a need for a new Planning Committee to work on the plan, the County Commission will appoint such. As planning and implementation begins for each proposed action, the public will be encouraged to participate. The county will publicize the various objectives and actions at hand by way of media coverage and published reminders. The County Commission and the EMD was responsible for monitoring and evaluating the progress of the mitigation strategies in the previously approved 2005 plan. Regularly scheduled monitoring activities were difficult to accomplish during the years after the 2005 plan. This was because of limited resources, and the occurrence of presidentially declared disasters involving 177 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 the planning area. It is hoped that regularly scheduled monitoring activity will be possible after approval of the Update. The County Commission will continue to be responsible for monitoring and evaluation of the 2011 Update. They will review each goal, objective, and action to determine the relevance to changing situations in the county. They will also be responsible for monitoring changes in State or Federal policy, and to ensure that the plan is addressing current and expected conditions. The Commission will review the risk assessment portion of the plan as warranted to determine if this information should be updated or modified. The parties responsible for the various implementation actions will report on the status of their projects and will include the implementation processes that worked well, any difficulties encountered, how coordination efforts were proceeding, and which strategies should be revised. All meetings of the County Commission, City Councils, and Boards of Aldermen are public and posted per the Sunshine Law of the State of Missouri. Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission will continue to host any hazard mitigation announcements or information, as well as posting a copy of the latest plan on the PTRPC website (http://www.trailsrpc.org). It is planned that activities for updating the 2011 Plan will begin a year in advance of the expiration of that plan. The ongoing yearly maintenance and evaluation of the plan, as described previously, will be of great value when undertaking the five year update. Continuity of personnel on the Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee throughout the five year process would be highly beneficial in taking mitigation planning to the next level. 178 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Appendix A: Signed Adoption Resolutions 179 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Appendix B: Government Building/Facility Repetitive Loss Listings 180 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Appendix C: Maps 181 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Appendix D – Definitions Building Regulations – These can be ordinances or codes that include four categories: zoning, property maintenance, building rehabilitation and building construction. These codes govern the use and maintenance of existing buildings (housing and fire codes). They also address health, safety and welfare in existing buildings that are undergoing improvements. They also address construction codes (building, mechanical, plumbing, and electrical standards) to ensure health, safety and welfare. Building regulations are designed to ensure that buildings withstand natural disasters including certain wind speeds as well as fire, flood and seismic hazards. Emergency Operations Plan - A document prepared by the emergency management director of a jurisdiction. The plan sets forth roles and responsibilities of all emergency responders in the event of an emergency or disaster that may affect the area. The plan establishes a coordinated approach to best utilize available resources and to incorporate State and Federal assistance, if necessary. Five hundred-year flood - A flood that has a 0.2 percent chance of occurring in any given year. If a person lived for a thousand years, one might expect to see two floods of this magnitude. Flood – Over bank flows of river water, when too much water is present to be confined to the normal channel of the river. This may occur from headwater flows, heavy rains, snow melt or backwater, as when a larger river, downstream is flooding. Lakes can flood, as when too much water accumulates to drain off in the usual amount of time, so that shorelines are inundated. The FEMA definition goes further and includes “inundation of normally dry land areas by water from any source.” This would include stormwater puddling/ponding and rise of groundwater. Floodplain - The area on either side of a river bed or channel, subject to inundation. Floodplain Regulations - Regulations designed to protect human lives and property by restricting the construction of buildings within the floodplain. The most important responsibility of local governments that participate in the National Flood Insurance Program is that of adopting and enforcing local floodplain management regulations Enactment of a floodplain management ordinance is essential for participation in the program. It is the sine qua non for federal disaster relief after a devastating flood. Accordingly, most jurisdictions within the United States that have any sizable watercourse or water body, have a floodplain ordinance that severely restricts what property owners can do in the floodplain. The minimum standards that a local community must adopt are set out as very specific criteria, and contained in Title 44 Code of Federal Regulations, (CFR) Chapter 1, Section 60.3, Parts (a), (b), (c), (d), and (e). These required standards are cumulative and mandatory. They provide the basis for the ordinance that is adopted by each community participating in the National Flood Insurance Program, throughout the country. The local floodplain ordinance is usually (but not always) incorporated into the zoning ordinance. It may be modeled on a canned version published by the Federal Emergency 182 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Management Agency as a mock-up for use by localities needing to adopt a floodplain management ordinance in order to comply with the requirements of Title 44. Gage - Spelling used for river or stream gauges, either staff gages, that measure stage; flow gages, that measure discharge (volume) or water quality gages. Levee - An earthen embankment constructed to keep or control water out of a given area. Levee is a French word and means the same as dike. Master Plan – A document prepared by a jurisdiction by which policy regarding the needs, priorities, social, governmental, economic and physical development of the city is laid out and defined. The plan contains statements of the jurisdiction’s objectives, standards and principles. The plan is prepared to promote general welfare and prosperity of the residents and to be utilized as a point of reference guidance document in making effective, long term strategic planning recommendations. One-hundred year flood - A flood that has a one percent statistical chance of occurring in any year. Statistically, it is assumed that floods are entirely random events. This is also termed the “base flood” for flood insurance purposes. Regulatory floodway - The area either side of a stream channel which must be kept clear for the passage of flood flows without increasing 100-year flood stages more than one foot (insurance definition). As an administrative tool, the delineation of a floodway on a map helps local permitgranting authorities determine if a development proposal will increase flood stages more than the FEMA maximum limit, without having to do a study. It is presumed that the floodway fringe, the part of the flood plain beyond the floodway will eventually be filled in or protected by a levee. The floodway is intended to carry deep and fast moving water; hence, it is usually the part of the flood plain that is most dangerous for any kind of development. Stage - The elevation of the surface of a river or a lake or reservoir or of floodwater at a given location; the height reached by a flood at a given point in time. It may be measured by a staff gage or a recording gage, usually in feet above an historic “zero point” (known as the datum). Zero on the gage usually is at or near the bottom of the channel and is given in feet above mean sea level (MSL). Storm water Regulations – Polluted storm water runoff is a leading cause of impairment to the nearly 40 percent of surveyed U.S. water bodies which do not meet water quality standards. Over land or via storm sewer systems, polluted runoff is discharged, often untreated, directly into local water bodies. When left uncontrolled, this water pollution can result in the destruction of fish, wildlife, and aquatic life habitats; a loss in aesthetic value; and threats to public health due to contaminated food, drinking water supplies, and recreational waterways. Mandated by Congress under the Clean Water Act, the NPDES Storm water Program is a comprehensive two-phased national program for addressing the nonagricultural sources of storm water discharges that adversely affect the quality of our nation's waters. The Program uses the National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) permitting regulation mechanism to 183 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 require the implementation of controls designed to prevent harmful pollutants from being washed by storm water runoff into local water bodies. Subdivision Regulations - A subdivision is a tract of land divided by the owner, known as the subdivider, into blocks, building lots and streets according to a recorded subdivision plat, which must comply with local ordinances and regulations (a.k.a. subdivision regulations). These regulations provide for design standards including lots, streets, blocks, utilities, sidewalks, water access, buffer areas, and access easements. These regulations are designed to promote the orderly development of a local street system that provides interconnection between developed or developing properties, as well as standards for recreation and open space. Watershed - A drainage area, extended from high ground at the edges to a valley and stream along a central axis. Also called a basin, it may have a sub watershed or sub basin. Rain or snow falling within a watershed drains to the central drainage way, brook, creek, stream or river. Smaller watersheds are parts of larger watersheds. The largest watershed in the United States is the Mississippi River basin. Sub watersheds of the Mississippi River include the Missouri and Meramec River basins. Zoning Regulations - it continues to be at the heart of today's land-use issues. A simple definition of a zoning regulation is a locally enacted law that regulates and controls the use of private property. It divides the jurisdiction into districts, or zones, for different uses and determines which uses are allowed. It regulates lot sizes, building heights, impacts on adjacent land uses, and other specifics. 184 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Appendix E: 2010 Plan Update Changes 185 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Appendix F – Directory, Bibliography, and Acronyms 2000 Missouri Drought Plan Archaeological Survey of Missouri Center for Earthquake Research and Information at the University of Memphis (CERI), Central U.S. Seismic Map, November 1996, http://www2.semo.edu/ces/CES2.HTML, http://folkworm.ceri.memphis.edu/recenteqs/Quakes/nmhwb0219a.html, http://www.sws.uiuc.edu/html/WxFAQ5.htm East Central Missouri Transportation Study, final report, prepared for MODOT District 3 by Wilbur Smith Associates Federal Emergency Management Agency, http://www.fema.gov/hazards/ FEMA District V newsletter, November 14, 2001, article by Pat Glithero Midwestern Climate Center Missouri Works! Labor Market Information, Department of Economic Development, Covered Employment and Wages Program (ES-202) Data Missouri Department of Conservation, http://www.conservation.state.mo.us/conmag/1999/03/1.html, http://www.conservation.state.mo.us/news/out/1996/out07056.html#New%20Tactics, http://www.conservation.state.mo.us/forest/fire/, http://www.conservation.state.mo.us/forest/fire/adject.htm Missouri Department of Natural Resources, http://www.dnr.state.mo.us/geology/wrp/WR69.pdf, http://www.dnr.state.mo.us/geology/dir_ltr.htm Missouri Department of Natural Resources, Dam Safety Program, Rolla, Mo., http://www.dnr.state.mo.us/geology/damsft/bkgrd.htm Missouri Department of Transportation National Climate Data Center, http://www4.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgiwin/wwcgi.dll?wwEvent~Storms National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/windchill NRCS Natural Resources Conservation Service, http://www.nrcs.usda.gov/programs/ws_reinvent/dams_in_danger/20_DAMS/Missouri.pdf Missouri Press Association: www.mopress.com National Register of Historic Places, http://www.nationalregisterofhistoricplaces.com NOAA National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lsx/event.php Stemming the Tide of Flood Losses, Missouri State Emergency Management Agency United States Army Corps of Engineers, http://www.mvs.usace.army.mil/ United States Department of Agriculture, http://www.nass.usda.gov/census/census92/atlas92/datafile/moc109.txt, acres of farmland by county (plus average market values per farm) United States Fish and Wildlife Service, http://midwest.fws.gov/endangered/lists/missourispp.html, http://midwest.fws.gov/endangered/lists/missouri-spp.html Anonymous (1888). History of southeast Missouri, Goodspeed Publishing Co., Chicago. 186 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Bolt, B. A. (1972). San Fernando Rupture Mechanism and the Pacoima Strong-Motion Record, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 62, 1039-1047. Braatz, D.T. (1994). "Hydrologic Forecasting for the Great Flood of 1993," Water International, Volume 19, No.4, pp. 190-198. Crandell, F. (1949). Ground Vibration Due to Blasting and its Effects Upon Structures, J Boston Soc. Civil Eng. 36, 222-245. Dam and Reservoir Guidelines for Community and County Emergency Action Planning,Missouri Department of Natural Resources, Division of Geology and Land Survey, Dam andReservoir Safety, 1989 Davison, C. (1936). Great Earthquakes, Thomas Murby and Co., London. Draft, USCOE, Flood Plain Management Assessment of the Upper Mississippi and LowerMissouri Rivers and their Tributaries (FPMA). Drew, John D. and DuCharme, Charles B., The Record Flood of 1993, an Open File Report(OFR-93-95-WR) of the Division of Geology and Land Survey (DGLS), Missouri Department of Natural Resources Faber, Scott, The Real Choices Report: America’s Flood Control Policy Failures, American Rivers, 1994. Fujita, T., 1981: Tornadoes and Downbursts in the context of generalized planetary scales. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 1511-1534. Fuller, M. L. (1912). The New Madrid Earthquake, U. S. Geol. Surv., Bull. 494, Washington,D.C. Galway, J. G., 1977: Some Climatological Aspects of Tornado Outbreaks. Mon. Wea. Rev., 105, 477-484. Gordon, D. W., T. J. Bennett, R. B. Herrmann, and A. M. Rogers (1970). The South Central Illinois Earthquake of November 9, 1968; Macroseismic studies, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 60, 953-971. Grazulis, T. P., 1993: Significant Tornadoes 1680-1991. A Chronology and Analysis of Events. Environmental Films, Tornado Project, St. Johsnbury, VT. Guidelines for Determining Flood Flow Frequency, Bulletin 17B, March 1982, Office of Water Coordination, U.S. Department of the Interior. 187 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Gutenberg, B. and C. F. Richter (1956). Earthquake magnitude, intensity, energy, and acceleration (second paper), Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 46, 105-143. Hales, J.E., 1993: Biases in the severe thunderstorm database: Ramifications and solutions. Preprints, 13th Conf. Weather. Forecasting and Analysis, Vienna, VA, AMS (Boston), 504507. Hart, J.A., 1993: SVRPLOT: A New Method of Accessing and Manipulating the NSSFC Severe Weather Data Base. Preprints, 17th Conf. On Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, AMS (Boston), 40-41. Humphreys, A. A. and Abbot, H. L. (1861). Report upon the Physics and Hydraulics of the Mississippi River by the Corps of Topographical Engineers, U.S. Army, J. B. Lippincott and Co., Philadelphia. Johnston, Larry R, and Monday, Jacquelyn L., Floodplain Management in the United States: An Assessment Report, The Federal Interagency Flood plain Management Task Force, 1992. Josephson, D.H. (1994). "The Great Midwest Flood of 1993," Natural Disaster Survey Report, Department of Commerce, NOAA, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, Maryland. Kelly, D.L., J.T. Schaefer, and C.A. Doswell, III, 1985: Climatology of Nontornadic Severe Thunderstorm Events in the United States. Mon. Wea. Rev. 113, 1997-2014. Kisslinger, C. and 0. W. Nuttli (1965). The earthquake of October 21, 1965 and Precambrian structure in Missouri, Earthquake Notes 36, 32-36. Kusler, Jon, and Larson, Larry, Beyond the Ark, A New Approach to U.S. Floodplain Management, In Environment, June 1993. Larson, L.W. (1993). "The Great Midwest Flood of 1993," Natural Disaster Survey Report, National Weather Service, Kansas City, Missouri. Lawson, A. C. (1908). Atlas of maps and seismograms accompanying the Report of the State Earthquake Commission upon the California Earthquake of April 18, 1906, Washington, D.C. (Reprinted by the Carnegie Institution of Washington, 1970). Mal, A. K. (1972). Rayleigh waves from a moving thrust fault, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 62, 741752. Mateker, E. J. (1968). Earthquakes in Missouri, Wash. Univ. Mag. (St. Louis, Mo.) 39, 46-51. McDermott, J. F. (1949). Old Cahokia, St. Louis Historical Documents Foundations, St. Louis. 188 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Missouri Department of Natural Resources, Division of Geology and Land Survey, Dam and Reservoir Safety, Maintenance, Inspection and Operations of Dams in Missouri, 1991. Myers, Mary Fran and White, Gilbert F., The Challenge of the Mississippi Flood, in Environment, December 1993. Meteorological Drought, Weather Bureau Paper No. 45, National Weather Service, NOAA, Silver Spring, 1965 Missouri Department of Natural Resources, DGLS, Water Resources Report #54, Flood Report Analysis, 1996, Dick Gaffney Missouri Drought Response Plan, Water Resources Report No 44. Missouri Department of Natural Resources, 1995; Don Miller and Charlie Hays Mitchell, B. J. (1972). Radiation and attenuation of Rayleigh waves from the southeastern Missouri earthquake of October 21, 1965 (submitted to J. Geophys. Res.). National Climatic Data Center Technical Report No 2000-02; A Climatology of Recent Extreme Weather and Climate Events, Tom Ross and Neal Ott (October, 2000). National Flood Policy in Review-1994 by Association of State Floodplain Managers (ASFPM) National Inventory of Dams Methodology, State and Federal Agency Manual, Version 2.0, November, 2001, Headquarters, USACE, Civil Works Engineering Division, Association of State Dam Safety Officials, U.S. Army Topographic Engineering Center. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 1959-1995: Storm Data. Vols. 1-37, Nos. 1-12, National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC. Neumann, F. (1959). Seismological aspects of the earthquake engineering problem, Proc. Northwest Conif. Structural Engrs., 3rd, State College of Washington, Pullman, Wash., 9 23. Nicholls, R. R., C. J. Johnson, and W. I. Duvall (1971). Blasting vibrations and their effectson structures, U.S. Bur. Mines, Bull. 656, Washington, D.C. Nuttli, 0. W. (1973). Seismic wave attenuation and magnitude relations for eastern North America J. Geophys. Res. 78, (in press). Nuttli, O. W. (1973). The Mississippi Valley Earthquakes of 1811 and 1812 Intensities, Ground Motion and Magnitudes, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. Vol. 63, No. 1, pp. 227-248 February 1973. 189 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Ostby, F. P., 1993: The Changing Nature of Tornado Climatology. Preprints, 17th Conf. On Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, AMS (Boston), 1-5. Parrett, Charles; Melcher, Nick B and James, Robert W, Flood Discharges in the Upper Mississippi River Basin, 1993, U.S. Geological Survey Circular 1120-A, 1993. Rasch, Kenneth M, Editorial on Flooding and Flood Plain Management in Land and Water, July/August, 1994 Richter, C. F. (1958). Elementary Seismology, W. H. Freeman and Co., San Francisco. Schaefer, J. T. and R. Edwards, 1999: The SPC Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Database. Preprints, 11th Conf. On Applied Climatology, Dallas, AMS (Boston), 215-220. State Emergency Management Agency, The Response, Recovery and Lessons Learned from the Missouri Floods of 1993 and 1994, the Missouri Section 409 Plan etc.; January 1995. Sharing the Challenge: Floodplain Management into 21st Century-the Report of the Interagency Floodplain Management Review Committee to the Administration (Whitehouse) Floodplain Management Task Force; A Blueprint for Change, June 1994. Simich, Frederick, The Great Mississippi of 1927” in the National Geographic Magazine, September 1927, Vol. 52, No. 3 Stauder, W. and 0. W. Nuttli (1970). Seismic studies: south central Illinois earthquake of November 9, 1968, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 60, 973-981. Swenty, Brian, 1989, Engineering Analysis of Dams, Missouri Department of Natural Resources, Division of Geology and Land Survey, Dam and Reservoir Safety. Technical Procedures Bulletin, Series No. 358, Drought Severity (Palmer) Index, National Weather Service, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD, 1985. Tibbetts, John, “Waterproofing the Midwest”, in Planning, American Planning Association, April, 1994. The 1993 Mississippi River Floods, World Wildlife Fund, 1994. The Floods of ’93, State of Missouri-the federal Interagency Hazard Mitigation Team, Report for the three Presidential Disaster Declarations in Missouri, April, 1994, as set up by FEMA under 1988 Stafford Act. The Report and Recommendations of the Governor’s Task Force on Flood Plain Management on behalf of Governor Carnahan, July, 1994. 190 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, The Great Flood of 1993 Post-Flood Report, North Central Division, September, 1994. Missouri Highway and Transportation Department, Water Over Road,1994. Wiggins, J. H., Jr. (1964). Construction of strong motion response spectra from magnitude and distance data, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 54, 1257-1269. Williams, Ted, The River Always Wins, Audubon, July/August, 1994. The Great Flood of 1993, a Natural Disaster Survey Report of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the U.S. Department of Commerce, 1994. Wyss, M. and J. N. Brune (1968). Seismic moment, stress and source dimensions for earthquakes in the California-Nevada region, J. Geophys. Res. 73, 4681-4694. Acronyms County and Regional PTRPC Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission EMA Emergency Management Agency Missouri GSRAD Geological Survey and Resource Assessment Division MACOG Missouri Association of Councils of Government MCC Midwestern Climate Center MDC Missouri Department of Conservation MDNR Missouri Department of Natural Resources MoDOT Missouri Department of Transportation SEMA Missouri State Emergency Management Agency SHPO State Historic Preservation Office UMC University of Missouri-Columbia Federal BLM Bureau of Land Management CDBG Community Development Block Grant CERI Center for Earthquake Research and Information CFR Code of Federal Regulations CPD Climate Prediction Center CRS Community Rating System CUSEC Central United States Earthquake Consortium DOI Department of the Interior 191 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 DMA 2000 Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 EPA Environmental Protection Agency HAZUS Hazards U.S. software program HMGP Hazard Mitigation Grant Program FEMA Federal Emergency Management Agency NCDC National Climate Data Center NOAA National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency NWS National Weather Service NEHRP National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program NRHP National Register of Historic Places NRCS National Resource and Conservation Service PDM Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program SBA Small Business Administration USACE United States Army Corps of Engineers St. Louis County Hazard Mitigation Plan xii USDA United States Department of Agriculture USFS United States Forest Service USFWS United States Fish and Wildlife Service USGS United States Geological Survey Technical ASFPM Association of State Floodplain Managers A-zone Flood map area showing 100-year flood inundation BFE Base Flood (100-year Flood) Elevation (stage) EO Executive Order FIA Federal Insurance Administration (part of FEMA) FIRM Flood Insurance Rate Map FPM Flood Plain Management GIS Geographic Information System LOMA Letter of Map Amendment from FIA/FEMA LOMR Letter of Map Revision, from FIA/FEMA MHTD Missouri Highways and Transportation Department MSL Mean Sea Level (May be NGVD or NAVD) NAVD North American Vertical Datum, 1988 NGVD National Geodetic Vertical Datum, 1929 192 Pettis County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2011 Appendix G: Documentation of Public Input (Meeting Notices, Agendas, Newspaper Articles, Meeting Summaries, Sign-in Sheets) 193