Energy conversion reinvented - combining

Transcription

Energy conversion reinvented - combining
Energy conversion reinvented - combining
electricity, heat and fuel generation
Uwe Lenk, Head of Innovations & External Relations, Power & Gas
Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved.
siemens.at/future-of-energy
Innovation and Technology Progress –
Fulfilling Increasing Requirements on Power Generation and Energy Storage
Design of Power Generation Portfolio according to Regional
Requirements
Economic
Growth
Energy
Consumption
€
Biomass
Technology Trends
Digitalization
DIG
Additive
Manufacturing
ADM
Aero- &
Structural Mechanics
ASM
Heat Transfer &
Cooling
HTC
Onshore wind
Combined cycle/
Simple cycle
Steam
power plant
Offshore
technology
Photovoltaics
Simple cycle
power plant
Hydropower
Environmental
Protection
Nuclear power
Resources
Availability
New Materials
Fuel Treatment &
Flue Gas Cleaning
Energy Storage
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MAT
FFT
EST
Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER
Digitalization is Essential for Future Energy Systems –
from Customer Requirements to Fleet Performance
DIG
Fleet Management
Overall control systems
From single plant area to production farm, from plant to
detail
Digitalization
Design & Manufacturing
Generative manufacturing
Components & Devices
"Embedded" intelligence
e.g. Selective
Laser Melting
Vertical software
Computer-aided development (CAx)
Massive computation
incl. simulation, e.g. of aerodynamics
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Feedback from operation
e.g. autonomous components
Real time logistics monitoring
Smart local grids
Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER
Advanced Sensor Technologies –
Essential Component of Digitalization
Components & Devices
Embedded Intelligence
Smart Sensors for Condition
Monitoring
Example: GT Optimization
Data Logging
Example: Real-time Logistics
Humidity
Sensors
Temperature
g-force
GPS
Data
Control
Turbine
Alerts
...
Automated tuning
Continuous fuel fraction control
by off-the-shelf technologies
Performance degradation
Model based TIT control
Part load behavior
Control of VGV/IGV
Data Logger
Sensors
Transmission
Embedded intelligence
Real time data logging for
Autarkic long-time operation
Peak firing optimization
Sensor networks
Control for extreme operation
Wireless transmission
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Management incl. Alerts
Cost-effectiveness,
high availability
Location
Shipments and goods conditions
Implementation for gas and wind
turbine logistics
Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER
Advanced Aero- & Structural Mechanics –
Enabler for Performance Increase and Longer Lifetime
Design & Manufacturing
3D Blading in
Steam Turbines
3D Blading in
Wind Turbines
Increase stage reaction
Higher yield rate in low-wind regions
Reduce blade loading near end wall
Longer blade lengths
Reduce radial pressure gradient
Reduce noise emissions
Reduce secondary flow losses
Reduce turbulences
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Airbus A380
Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER
Energy Systems Throughout the World –
Undergoing Profound Changes
Unconventional
Fuels
Energy
Reform
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Renewable
Energy
Rising Power
Demand
Oil & Gas
Exporters
Up-coming
Markets
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Energy Conversion reinvented –
Combining Electricity, Heat and Fuel Production
Hydro power
Wind power
Electricity grid
Solar power
Electricity to grid
Electricity to process
Carbon-based energy conversion
Coal
Biomass
Heat, fuels and
chemicals
Waste
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Source: Xu Shisen, GreenGen Demonstration Project in China, Thermal Power Research Institute (TPRI)
Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER
Germany – Technology Roadmap
Reduction of energy consumption, de-carbonization of electricity sector and transformation of heat and
mobility sectors by high penetration of renewable energy in focus of further actions
Efficiency…
improvement
2,500 TWh, total final energy consumption in Germany
Thermal
Electrical
Mechanical
Shift from thermal
to electrical
- 42%
1,450 TWh processes
Conventional
fossil fuels
Synthetic fuels
Heat…
Recovery & use
Power to heat
District heating and cooling networks
De-carbonization
CAPEX vs. OPEX
Sun fuel to power
2010
Electricity
Synthetic fuels: CtG, CtL, …
Conventional
fossil fuels
Economics vs. Ecology
2014
2020
Monovalent
Energy value
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2030
Bivalent
Insulation
CHP (biogas)
Heat pumps
Mobility…
fragmentation
Sun fuels: PtG, PtL, ...
2040
Multivalent
Energy and capacity value (full costs)
2050
Renewable H2,
synth. bio-fuels
New drives
Supply patterns
Market design
Source: AEE, BMWi, Leitstudie BMU-FKZ 03MAP146 2012, Scenario 1B, own calculation and assessment
Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER
Picture of the Future –
Future Energy Landscape will significantly Change
Increasing share of renewable electricity production
Today
Grid and power generation
separated
Mid-term
Long term
Decentralization and storing
of electricity
Full use of digitization and linking
supply systems
Smart Energy System
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Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER
Contact Page
Uwe Lenk
Innovations & External Relations
Power & Gas Division / Germany / PG TI IER
Freyeslebenstraße 1
91058 Erlangen
Phone: +49 (9131) 18 77 90
Mobile: +49 (174) 15 36 08 4
E-mail: uwe.lenk@siemens.com
siemens.at/future-of-energy
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Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER
Turbo Machineries are Essential for Future
Power Supply - for Conventional and for Renewable Sources
Back-up
Global Installed Power Plant Capacity in 2030
>9,500 GW
8,800 GW
8,500 GW
6,000 GW
• e
661
Direct
Conversion
Fuel Cells
Solar (PV)
• •+ -
247
Engines
<5%
~25%
1.044 Wind
"Cold" Turbines
1.526 Hydro
Generator Driving
Turbine Driven
8.782
8.534
19Solar (CSP)
Geothermic,
198
Biomass,
Others
2.389
2.807 SPP
~60%
"Hot" Turbines
5.965
combined
with STs
Thermal Power Plants
509
SCPP
1.880 CCPP
551
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Gas
Turbines
3.575
Steam
Turbines
NPP
Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER
Future Development of Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Technology
Back-up
85%
Increasing share of renewable electricity production
65%
35%
Mid-term
Today
Decentralization and storing
of electricity
Grid and power generation
separated
Improved gas turbine
Use of aircraft engine technology, development
of gas turbine platform and modularization
Improved plant flexibility
Highly flexible power plants with integrated storage
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Long term
Full use of digitization and linking
supply systems
Launch of new hybrid gas turbines
Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER
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Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER