Quatrain™ Presentation - Strategic Capital Allocation Group
Transcription
Quatrain™ Presentation - Strategic Capital Allocation Group
Translating Instinct Into Action - A Practical Framework - Dynamic Allocation with Embedded Risk Management - “Rethinking Risk” Quatrain No Prophecy, Just Vision This presentation may not be duplicated, copied, distributed or used as a template electronically or in print format without contacting the author and obtaining explicit written permission detailing the conditions of use. Strategic Capital Network LLC US Patent US-7653449 B2 This presentation is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security or a recommendation of the services supplied by any investment adviser or money management organization. No client or prospective client should assume that any information presented herein serves as the receipt of, or a substitute for, personalized individual advice from the adviser or any other investment professional. Our current disclosure statement is set forth on Part II of Form ADV and is available for your review upon request. ©2012 SCA Group LLC Strategic Capital Allocation Group LLC Contact: Brian Hunter (bhunter@scagrp.com) Ashish Kulkarni (akulkarni@scagrp.com) 800 Boylston St., 24th Floor, Boston MA 02199 Tel: 617-450-9300 Fax: 617-450-9399 Web: www.scagrp.com ©2012 SCA Group LLC The 14-Year Road-Tested Quatrain Mandate - Dynamic Allocation With Embedded Risk Management and Containment - Increased cross correlations have made efficient diversification tougher to achieve. What was once perceived as the only free lunch in investing has proven to be one of the toughest challenges in asset management. In order to materially improve upside potential while containing downside beyond what can be achieved by diversification, an embedded risk management discipline must be actively integrated into a dynamic asset allocation framework. Then, one can nimbly target opportunities and hedge risks across the entire portfolio - well in advance of severe market stress. Herein we impart a practical next step beyond conventional wisdom. ©2012 SCA Group LLC 3 What Factors Into Ongoing Risk-Intelligent Dynamic Asset Allocation ? To what extent should asset allocation lead expectations (relative future value vs. relative value)? How can we navigate the risks of moving too soon or too late? Where do we have the most conviction? What information or signal would we need that would increase our conviction level? If we decide to change allocation, how should we size up exposures? And over what period of time? What structures would be appropriate for further allocation? ©2012 SCA Group LLC 4 Quatrain: No Prophecy, Just Vision Tangible Insights That Have Driven Billions of Prestigious Institutional Assets… Investments do not follow convenient bell-shaped return curves. In fact, extreme outcomes occur much more often than theorized, assumed or can be tolerated. A Reliable Indicator of Relative Value versus Relative Risk Volatility is not risk. It has two personalities – the good of upside potential and the bad of downside peril. Correlations are not static. They can increase materially beyond historical ranges and erode diversification benefits, especially when needed most. Quatrain’s uniquely practical, dynamic framework assimilates this asymmetric reality and prescribes a reliable portfolio of uncorrelated, yet compatible investments. The Enduring Results A continuous risk-managed asset allocation generating persistent upside and dispersed downside. * Quatrain - Resource Allocation Technique, US Patent #7653449 ©2012 SCA Group LLC Navigating Risk - Releasing Upside Optionality while Mitigating Correlated Downside Building portfolios as reliable as commercial airplanes using the science of Reliability… Equity Fixed Income Hedge Funds Real Assets Lift Cash Embedded Risk Management (Upside Optionality) Capture the “good cholesterol” of Uncertainty over Time via incremental positive skew with low kurtosis Reliability • • • Investments with Durable, Uncorrelated Downside Stretching Mean Time Between Failure across all Portfolio Components (Asset Classes/Strategies) Ensure dynamic correlations among investments are stable over time especially during “turbulence” The Allocator should simultaneously address: Gradual reallocation across dynamically evolving asymmetries in relative value vs. absolute risk with an objective to capture as much upside optionality (incremental positive skew) from the risk budget. While accounting for potential downside correlations and evolving plausible downside. ©2012 SCA Group LLC * Quatrain - Resource Allocation Technique, US Patent #7653449 6 Quatrain Embraces Reality As a Practical Guide - Seeing the full spectrum of possibilities as they are forming new opportunities Embrace Reality of Asset Returns – Not “Normality” Fiction of MPT Correlations are Dynamic and Non-Linear Downside Correlation Envelope Risk Asset Return Distribution Actual Return Distribution Normal Distribution Fat-tails and skewed returns distributions are the reality. Risk is Downside – Not Volatility Rolling Correlation Correlation Band Evolving correlation trends within the context of dynamic historical correlations should be accounted for in the risk allocation. Possibility of negative co-skew and co-kurtosis (“joint” negative returns and volatility clustering) under extreme conditions is material in joint return distributions. Strategy Returns Exhibit Serial Correlation Risk Asset Return Distribution RISK OPPORTUNITY Decoupling Uncertainty from Risk Upside opportunity is the good cholesterol while potential absolute downside is the bad cholesterol. ©2012 SCA Group LLC Returns over time are not independent and identically distributed. Material serial correlation can exist (esp. in less liquid strategies) causing under-estimation of risk & over-estimation of risk-adjusted returns. Autocorrelation trends and their effect on evolving risk-return tradeoffs should be identified. 7 The Quatrain Risk-On/Risk-Off Signal Map Quatrain Delivers: •Conviction in strategy and investment selection, sizing and timing decisions •Results that can reinforce ongoing decision-making and conviction •Sufficiently long lead times for reallocation to support good governance Downside Correlation Diverging Decelerating Volatilities Decreasing Positive Asymmetry Add to Positive Asymmetry Changes in Quatrain Allocations/Sizing Quiet Downside Correlation Volatilities © SCA Group LLC Risk On Intense Converging Accelerating Increasing Negative Asymmetry Note: Changes in Quatrain recommended allocations may be non-linear – the linear nature of the above chart is for illustrative purposes only Risk Off Ensure Downside Correlation Remains Curtailed 8 The Counterintuitive Quatrain Vision - Understanding the Pace, Character and Impact of Quatrain Reallocations Quatrain targets beneficial asymmetry through a portfolio allocation that maximizes upside optionality while preserving capital by curtailing correlated downside. • • Quatrain extracts more useful information from periodic returns by analyzing them in a higher dimension The path of returns as well as the rate of change and pattern of returns across strategies/assets contain a richer array of insights than the naive returns alone. Quatrain forensically recognizes and contains the impact of uncharacteristic losses and correlation breakdown. • What affects the pace of Quatrain reallocations? Investment Horizon Strategic Signals: Longer time horizon Tactical Signals: Shorter time horizon True diversification A more realistically diversified investment mix reflects more stable correlations and gradual, controlled reallocations. Impact Strategic and Tactical signals with comfortable lead times that encourage and reward a prudent governance process ©2012 SCA Group LLC less frequent reallocations. higher reallocation frequency 9 Quatrain Focuses on Attenuating Losses Rather than Minimizing Volatility Incremental reallocation that simultaneously enhances “true” diversification and releases upside return potential… Quatrain Returns Distribution Mitigate potential downside tail risk by capturing dynamic correlation trends Manage downside correlation signaled by co-skew, co-kurtosis, volatility autocorrelation and cross-volatility under extreme conditions Release Upside Potential of the Portfolio By capturing positive optionality from asymmetric risk-return trade-offs - not shying away from investments with “positive tails”, Dynamic perception of potential downside correlations allows the risk allocator to actively dictate the relative attractiveness of assets Active tail risk management enhances portfolio reliability not just over but also within the investment horizon Integrating liquidity, leverage, factor, sector and other policy-dictated constraints within the optimization process allows for a holistic asset allocation discipline – in keeping with policies and objectives. ©2012 SCA Group LLC 10 Correlations Matter - Especially Covariance Patterns at Times When Diversification is Needed Most - Stage 1 ©2012 SCA Group LLC Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Stage 1 Correlations bottoming. Autocorrelations decay materially. Gradual Reallocation towards Risk-Off environment Stage 2 Markets enter stress period, correlations start to rise sharply. Reconcile risk budgets and pinpoint attractiveness of evolving risk-return tradeoffs Stage 3 Correlations peaking. Stand ready to “re-risk” towards attractive asymmetric Stage 4 Markets recover, assets decouple and overall correlations relax. Manage autocorrelation and cross volatilities. 11 Multiple Long Lead Time Strategic Signals Enable Sound Governance - The Fate of 2H’2008 Was Pre-determined Many Quarters in Advance - The Benefits of Sufficiently Long Lead Times to Support Good Decision-Making Managers Quatrain Allocation – Bold Black Box shows a manager allocated by Quatrain in that investment period Allocated Managers fared better and proved more diversified in 2H’2008 under Market Stress Lead Times Liquidity 1H' 05 2H' 05 1H' 06 1 Yr 6m < 6m 2H' 06 1H' 07 2H' 07 1H' 08 2H' 08 2H' 09 1H' 10 -38.41% 14.38% 30.53% -10.95% -21.43% -17.33% 38.25% 10.58% 16.76% -60.45% 24.55% 23.89% -4.75% 1.49% 2.77% -1.65% -1.71% 4.40% 3.14% 14.85% -1.67% 1.77% 1.70% 4.75% 0.78% 1.67% -0.86% 15.58% -1.98% -4.30% -4.14% -25.38% 8.95% 13.19% 6.49% 7.93% -9.36% 14.23% 11.77% 5.23% -5.24% -22.06% 21.07% 11.76% -1.38% -14.96% 16.47% 12.54% 5.14% 5.50% 9.92% 13.08% 11.77% -4.38% Private Equity Emg Mkts Mgr 1 A+ 18.49% 248.47% 59.12% -11.13% 17.79% 41.65% 11.92% S 15.48% 20.42% 12.40% 2.71% 14.39% 4.78% A+ 10.70% -0.55% 5.14% 8.02% 15.38% S 3.10% 10.99% 4.67% 7.96% 5.22% Long/Short Manager 2 M 0.99% 4.34% 1.35% 10.03% 9.93% 2.23% Multi-Strategy Manager 1 M 6.54% 10.90% 9.32% 7.32% 6.61% -0.65% Multi-Strategy Manager 2 S 4.51% 7.90% 9.66% 6.60% 15.35% 14.40% Multi-Strategy Manager 3 S 5.56% 7.08% 7.27% 15.33% 10.01% -0.20% Multi-Strategy Manager 4 A 5.75% 5.57% 9.40% 12.14% 11.05% 39.92% 0.72% Energy Manager 1 Private Equity Commodity Mgr 1 Long/Short Manager 1 Investment Period 1H' 09 S Event-Driven Manager 1 Q 4.45% 4.89% 8.99% 8.85% 8.51% -0.51% -0.36% -8.93% 8.28% 9.96% 4.32% Multi-Strategy Manager 5 A 6.67% 9.63% 8.73% 16.93% 11.43% -7.04% -7.92% -29.63% 13.13% 29.63% 4.40% Long/Short Manager 3 Q 4.00% 2.85% 1.36% 4.23% 6.20% 11.69% 5.05% 12.73% -12.28% -1.31% -4.22% Long/Short Manager 4 A 2.33% 10.33% 5.32% 4.97% 21.37% 14.99% -0.52% -6.71% 0.80% 4.38% 2.90% International Fixed Income Mgr 1 D -1.98% -0.61% 3.21% 2.95% 1.49% 9.34% 2.50% -7.99% 6.87% 10.02% 2.71% A 2.61% 2.84% 3.75% 5.31% 7.50% 2.69% 5.60% -11.79% 14.13% 11.22% 1.97% A+ 0.09% 6.79% 3.41% 5.80% 3.85% 5.83% 2.88% -8.10% -9.23% 21.40% 5.73% Private Equity Credit Manager 1 Q 0.43% 5.28% 5.82% 5.20% 6.77% -10.61% -8.93% -58.50% 4.98% 41.76% 6.76% Event-Driven Manager 2 Q 4.01% 6.15% 6.16% 10.56% 11.00% 5.71% 3.08% -0.69% 8.99% 11.05% 1.77% Money Market 1 D 2.09% 1.90% 2.38% 3.04% 2.88% 2.82% 1.65% 1.14% 0.36% 0.13% 0.07% Domestic Equity Growth Mgr 1 Domestic Equity Growth Mgr 2 Domestic Equity Growth Mgr 3 Domestic Equity Manager 1 Domestic Equity Manager 2 Domestic Equity Manager 3 International Equity Manager 1 International Equity Manager 2 International Equity Manager 3 International Equity Manager 4 International Long/Short Mgr 2 Emerging Markets Equity Mgr 1 Emerging Markets Equity Mgr 2 Emerging Markets Equity Mgr 3 Emerging Markets Equity Mgr 4 Emerging Markets Equity Mgr 5 Private Equity Domestic Mgr 1 Private Equity Fgn Dev Mgr 1 Small Cap Energy Manager 1 Energy Manager 2 Natural Resources Manager 1 Natural Resources Manager 2 Gold ETF 1 Commodities Manager 1 Agriculture Manager 1 Private Equity Energy Manager 1 Long/Short Manager 5 Equity Long-Only Manager 1 Multi-Strategy Manager 6 Long-Hold Long/Short Eq Mgr 1 Credit Manager 2 D D D D D Q M M M D M D D Q A A A+ A+ Q A D A D D A+ A+ M Q A A+ Q -2.06% -6.40% -0.50% 8.94% 14.33% -0.02% -1.14% 8.38% 0.99% 0.99% 1.07% 3.17% 7.75% 3.38% 9.60% 6.49% 18.64% 20.79% 9.20% 7.88% 8.28% 29.33% 24.40% 0.22% 1.32% 4.52% 3.66% 15.32% 4.93% 8.57% 5.66% 10.00% 7.75% -1.06% 7.24% 7.17% 12.52% 13.70% 3.99% -2.40% -0.34% 14.78% 10.45% 12.37% 14.06% 14.63% -4.29% 21.84% 21.96% 8.30% -6.39% 21.31% 3.72% 16.98% 37.46% 18.52% 4.75% -24.65% 31.34% 23.72% 25.46% 10.54% 0.76% 2.49% 395.53% 12.20% -1.46% 15.91% 18.14% 34.44% 6.10% -31.78% -7.27% -5.24% 5.02% 4.50% 3.21% 9.65% 12.89% 23.32% 8.92% 6.43% 14.08% 9.59% 12.73% -0.32% 20.15% 20.71% 9.36% -7.02% 23.04% 19.24% 4.11% 13.93% 16.46% 21.88% 1.54% 0.70% 4.79% 23.02% 45.52% 2.55% 5.17% -2.91% 0.07% 2.93% 17.20% 13.79% 10.96% 19.89% 10.40% 55.78% 11.62% -7.74% 17.84% -0.06% 16.01% -11.81% -11.06% -15.54% -1.53% 17.09% -12.30% -5.56% -9.97% -8.52% -14.32% 21.36% -12.16% -9.18% 7.78% -4.33% -44.74% 6.46% -1.68% 48.88% 16.84% 14.17% -13.86% -14.68% -25.41% -46.34% -48.23% -28.80% -27.66% -36.58% -17.15% -34.80% -21.60% -48.89% -52.20% -46.45% -78.54% -25.84% -3.92% -19.67% -70.58% -74.30% -56.50% 0.58% 0.82% 14.67% -3.99% -6.41% 13.68% 11.57% 19.92% 7.29% 17.60% 2.93% 29.48% 47.27% -0.34% 51.96% 20.50% -14.59% -23.40% 11.51% 25.64% 23.58% 19.21% 21.67% 22.39% 24.96% 17.98% 24.30% 17.93% 16.41% 17.42% 27.87% 28.90% 31.90% 36.86% 15.72% 37.96% 16.16% -0.48% 8.86% 41.67% 40.96% 29.48% -0.82% 1.62% 18.74% 17.72% 18.71% 19.19% 3.23% 2.16% 1.68% 7.46% 28.30% 8.70% -8.57% 3.40% -3.28% 7.88% -1.32% 5.37% -9.59% 2.31% 3.34% 20.66% 0.15% 16.05% -0.64% 10.84% 20.61% -4.48% 11.63% -1.81% -3.74% 0.65% 0.28% 2.86% -5.34% -49.72% -1.29% 8.63% -25.37% -11.31% 3.69% -7.41% -24.21% 5.38% 13.16% -4.07% -16.57% 17.69% 15.96% 0.38% 13.70% 30.11% 17.69% 19.39% -2.96% -2.54% 17.22% 7.14% 4.83% 39.89% 23.50% -11.43% -6.92% 3.43% -10.49% -16.79% -6.52% -5.60% -6.70% -2.86% -7.25% -5.49% -7.52% -9.61% -9.64% 5.02% 0.51% 6.92% 5.99% -15.33% -21.41% -14.13% -8.04% 13.39% -3.65% -2.88% 8.66% 6.74% -5.08% 1.43% 6.50% 10.34% Private Equity Debt Manager 1 ©2012 SCA Group LLC 2 Yrs International Long/Short Mgr 1 Credit Manager 1 Un-allocated Managers suffered higher downside and were much more correlated on the downside in 2H’2008 under Market Stress 3.5 Yrs 8.05% 3.40% 7.50% -5.21% Performance Heat Map For Cumulative Subsequent 6-Month Performance Following Each “ex-ante” Reallocation 100% < -10% 0% -10% ~ -5% 123456789 11 -5% ~ 5% 10 -100% 5% ~ 10% > 10% In 2H’2008, Anchor Managers (Violet Box) fared better than other allocated managers Liquidity Legend D Daily M Monthly Q Quarterly S Semi-Annual A Annual A+ Longer Term 12 Quatrain Perceived and Captured Reliable Correlation Patterns of Allocated Managers As They were Evolving in Advance of Market Stress Manager Correlations - Inception to December 2008 More Reliable Correlations among Allocated Managers even under Market Stress Correlations of Anchor Managers were More Robust than correlations of other Allocated Managers in 2H’2008 Substantial Degeneration in Correlations among Unallocated Managers during Market Stress ©2012 SCA Group LLC Disclaimer : Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. All the risk-return figures are targeted and not the actual figures for the managed portfolio in this report. The risk-return metrics are computed from historic information deemed to be reliable but not guaranteed. 13 Integrating Macroeconomic Themes into the Governance and Investment Discipline To Support Meaningful Discussion of Goals and Risks The confluence of US-EU pressures, the RDE Information Gap, and the Imperative Pursuit for Resources lays the foundation for SCA’s Macroeconomic Tradewind Themes. US-EU Pressures RDE Information Gap Imperative Pursuit for Resources Financial Repression EM is More than 40% of Global GDP BRIC/EM Consumption Continues Tepid Recovery / EU Concerns Resilient Fundamentals China/Asia Inflationary Impact US Export Competitiveness Overlooked Enterprises New Inroads in Energy Volatility Middle Class Effect Aging Infrastructure M3 Issue Stronger LCD Human Capital Concerns Persist Around US-EU Growth and Long-Term Inflation, and Pressure on the Dollar-Euro RDE (Rapidly Developing Economies) and Emerging Market Fundamentals remain Selectively Strong and Investor Advantage Derives from the Information Gap Globally, Companies/Countries will Compete for Scarcer Resources towards “Sustainable Financial Productivity” SCA’s strategic perspectives distill from pertinent macroeconomic themes and associated inflection points/tactical drivers. 14 © 2012 SCA Group, LLC Strategic Capital Allocation Group LLC, www.scagrp.com Email: bhunter@scagrp.com Tel: 617-450-9300 Dynamic Allocation Roadmap - Tactical Deployment of Cash as a Strategic Asset Class Catalysts High Volatility Of Volatility Definitive Guidance from Washington Strong Trends Clearly Defined Macro Themes Credit Spreads Earnings Multiples & Revenues Housing Stabilizes Deleveraging Subsides Increasing M&A Inflation Natural Resources Demand Asset Classes Macro Managed Futures Volatility Corporate Bonds Municipal Bonds Mortgages Sovereign Debt Local Currency Debt After a tepid 2012, market conditions for Macro are favorable in 2013 Volatility itself is volatile and at times mispriced – smart volatility positioning and arbitrage could benefit. Fed Tapering Raises the Yield Curve Financial Repression Potential Growth Scare Duration management will be paramount Inv. Grade and High Yield spreads are relatively tight; Floating Rate Bank loans, mortgages and munis remain relatively attractive. Target spread-widening points of entry on a duration and risk-controlled basis Select Sovereign EM Bonds Might Offer Attractive Entry Points In the Coming Quarters Select EM Local Currency Corporate Debt Still Offers Yield Opportunities EU situation deteriorates again US Stocks International Stocks Credit Spreads Widen Earnings Hit Ceiling Emerging Market Long/Short Equity Absolute Return Inflation Protection © 2012 SCA Group, LLC EM Growth Recedes Volatility and Dispersion Shifts Continue to Pose Challenges Select long/short hedge funds with productive leverage, longer term track record of relative consistency & emphasis on absolute return Renewed Recession Concerns Equities Attractive as Credit Spreads Narrow Emphasis on Dividend Growth and Secular Growth European Equities with int’l exposure attractive Japanese Equities will benefit from Abenomics Emerging Markets that do not have twin deficits and emphasize domestic consumption will continue to benefit from increased middle class consumer demand. Select Directional Managers with rigorous risk management, consistent with broad economic recovery patterns Prospects for renewed inflation are more prescient. Sustainable US growth will likely result in an upward bias in breakeven inflation Potential Catalyst-Driven Horizon 15 A Practical Guide for Tactical Allocation Adjustments Around An Evolving Strategic Vision - Enabling Decisions with Conviction “Peeling the Onion” - Crafting Quatrain Scenarios toward Decisions and Actions Update Portfolio Vision Overlay of Constraints Recommendations Identify Clarify relative risk and relative value Impact of Constraints and Policy Conviction in risk-on, risk-off or neutral positioning Size Allocation preferences for each risk budget Adjustments necessary to meet constraints Sizing of specific allocation actions Preview Propensity for risk-on, risk-off and neutral positioning Cost/benefit details of risk-on, risk-off and neutral positioning Policy recommendations Quatrain enables you to: Incorporate tactical views, information asymmetries and management directives into a holistic asset and manager allocation risk palette over the short, intermediate and long term Explicitly size risk in real time, taking into account policy, risk budgets, liquidity and leverage constraints Quantify alpha of dynamic reallocation at both the asset class and manager level Build a risk management autopilot, keeping tail risk hedging to an efficient minimum Incorporate sizing and structuring of tail risk hedges into the asset allocation 16 © 2012 SCA Group, LLC The Tangible Quatrain Edge Dynamic Asset Allocation and Risk Management To Confront An Increasingly Complex World Maximize Upside Optionality Timely Strategic and Tactical Risk-On/Risk-Off Signals Embedded Risk Management Managing in Real Time the Reality Linking… Investment Selection, Dynamic Asset Allocation and Embedded Risk Management A Continuous Strategic Process • Target Absolute Return Benchmark and Ensure Portfolio Reliability to Achieve Absolute Risk-Attenuated Target • Robust Asset Allocation and Selection of a Diversified Portfolio of investments over Strategic and Tactical Investment Horizons • Dynamic Portfolio Construction With Embedded Risk Management ©2012 SCA Group LLC 17 Professional Profiles ©2012 SCA Group LLC 18 Professional Profiles Brian Hunter Managing Director Mr. Hunter is currently the Managing Director of Strategic Capital Allocation Group LLC (“SCA”), a firm he founded on October 1, 2001. Previously, Mr. Hunter was with Prudential Securities, Morgan Stanley and Smith Barney. Throughout these affiliations, he has built a unique corporate and institutional consulting practice that concentrates on achieving maximum capability for risk-controlled assets. Mr. Hunter has consulted on over $11 billion in SCA client assets with a goal of enhancing those assets towards improved levels of efficiency. His clients have included a renowned hospital system encompassing endowment, ERISA pension plan and funded depreciation account portfolios, foundations, trusts, and ultra high net worth individuals. Prior to his tenure at Smith Barney, Mr. Hunter's experience includes his own consulting firms for derivative portfolio management and international relocation policies and systems on behalf of multinational companies and professional service firms. Clients included McKinsey & Company and Northrop. Mr. Hunter’s initial consulting experience was in competitive strategy assignments while at the Boston Consulting Group and Bain & Company. He focused on market segmentation and merger and acquisition issues for maximizing shareholder value. Mr. Hunter holds a B.S.E. degree in Aerospace and Mechanical Sciences from Princeton University. At Princeton, Mr. Hunter designed and initiated the Program for Science, Technology and Environment that combined curricula from the Woodrow Wilson School for Public and International Affairs and the Engineering School. Mr. Hunter received his M.S. in Urban and Policy Sciences from the State University of New York at Stony Brook where he was instrumental in developing and implementing systems solutions to complex public policy problems for New York City and the Nassau/Suffolk County Planning Commissions. Mr. Hunter serves as a Patron Councillor to The Atlantic Council of the United States. He is also actively involved with alumni affairs for Princeton University. Mr. Hunter is also a CIMA-designated member of the Investment Management Consultants Association. ©2012 SCA Group LLC 19 Professional Profiles Ashish S. Kulkarni, CFA Director Mr. Kulkarni focuses on global investment strategy as well as development of investment analysis and risk management systems for SCA. In his current role at SCA, his primary responsibility is that of providing global investment strategy, as well as directing the development of SCA’s investment analysis and risk management platform. Mr. Kulkarni also assists in evaluation of alternative investments and oversees related investment analysis. Mr. Kulkarni joined SCA in August 2003. His prior experience includes consulting for Hoffmann-La Roche. Mr. Kulkarni received a Master of Engineering degree in Information Systems from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology with graduate research in Engineering Systems, Dept. of Technology Policy at the MIT-Sloan School of Management. He has been an active contributor to the ‘Industry Systems Study Group’ at MIT-Sloan, developing information solutions for socio-economic optimization of the automobile industry value chain, as a part of the MIT-Ford alliance. Mr. Kulkarni also holds an M.S. from Pennsylvania State University with research in Statistical Molecular Physics. He completed undergraduate work in Chemical Engineering at the Indian Institute of Technology, Madras, India with concentration in Control Systems. Mr. Kulkarni is a CFA charter holder, a member of the Boston Security Analysts Society and holds the FRM designation. ©2012 SCA Group LLC 20 Professional Profiles Laurent Laskowski, CFA Vice President Mr. Laskowski joined Strategic Capital Allocation Group full-time in 2007 as Senior Associate. He primarily focuses on investment strategy, risk management and investment analytics for SCA Group. Mr. Laskowski received his M.S. in Engineering Management Systems at Columbia University in 2007 with graduate research in dynamic pricing and revenue optimization at Columbia Business School. He holds a Diplôme d'ingénieur in Applied Mathematics from Ecole Centrale de Paris. Mr. Laskowski is a CFA charter holder. ©2012 SCA Group LLC 21 Professional Profiles Ryan W. Spagnolo Consulting Associate Mr. Spagnolo joined Strategic Capital Allocation Group June 2013. His primary role involves Alternative Investment allocation assessment and implementation strategy analysis as well as fund performance reporting and due diligence. Mr. Spagnolo received his B.S. in Business Management with a concentration in Global Business Strategy from Babson College in 2009 while also attending Sophia University in Tokyo, Japan. His experience encompasses 3 years of cross asset class investment analysis and Alternative Investment business consulting for Bloomberg L.P. in New York City. Mr. Spagnolo is also actively progressing through the CFA curriculum and is a CFA Level II candidate. ©2012 SCA Group LLC 22 Professional Profiles Dr. Soulaymane Kachani Chief Strategy Advisor Dr. Kachani focuses on strategy and risk management for SCA. Dr. Kachani is the Vice Dean for Academic Programs at the Fu Foundation School of Engineering and Applied Sciences at Columbia University, a faculty member in the Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, Center for Financial Engineering and the Computational Optimization Research Center. Dr. Kachani is the current Chairman of the Financial Services Demand Optimization Council, a non-profit consortium of financial industry professionals, consultants, academics, and technology providers dedicated to advancing research, insights, and use of optimization science to improve the competitiveness of financial services companies. He is also the current President of the Revenue Management & Pricing (RM&P) Society of Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS). Dr. Kachani is Editor of the Journal of Pricing and Revenue Management and of the International Journal of Services Operations and Informatics. He is also an Associate Editor of the Networks and Spatial Economics Journal and of the Production and Operations Management Journal. Dr. Kachani holds a Master of Science and a Ph.D. in Operations Research from MIT’s Sloan School of Management, and a Diplôme d'Ingénieur in Applied Mathematics from Ecole Centrale Paris. Prior to joining Columbia, he served as senior consultant in the Boston office of McKinsey & Co. He continues to consult to McKinsey & Co. on issues revolving around pricing, corporate finance and operations management. ©2012 SCA Group LLC 23