here - Media Factbook
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here - Media Factbook
ROMANIA 2015 ROMANIA 2015 www.mediafactbook.com This document is a product of In putting together the Media Fact Book we have used data and information supplied by: The Romanian Association for Audience Measurement (ARMA), The Romanian Audit Bureau of Circulation (BRAT), The Romanian Association for Radio Audience Measurement (ARA), Kantar Media, International Advertising Association (IAA), Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB), PriceWaterhouseCoopers, Business Monitor International, ANRCTI, alexa.com, The National Institute of Statistics (INSSE), EuroStat, IMF (International Monetary Fund), ANCOM (The National Authority for Management and Regulation in Communications), Ziarul Financiar. Acknowledgements to the following members of the INITIATIVE team who Octavian Popescu, Alexandra Olteanu, Ruxandra Stefan, Mirela Vasiloiu, Daniel Popescu, Catalina Ghita, Alexandru Miu, Cristina Chinde, Sorin Popa, Razvan Simionescu, Cosmin Otel, Adriana Ciobanu. Special contributors: • Cristian Hostiuc - Director Editorial Ziarul Financiar • Andreea Daniel - Account Manager Mobile Works • Raluca Mateescu - Integrated&Digital Media Director Brand Programming Network, Contents EDITOR’S FOREWORD 06. MEDIABRANDS 08. CEE COUNTRY PULSE 10. ROMANIAN ECONOMIC OUTLOOK 16. CONSUMER TRENDS 18. MEDIA MARKET 24. TELEVISION 28. DIGITAL MEDIA 36. MOBILE 42. RADIO 46. © INITIATIVE MEDIA S.A, Bucharest, 2015 All rights reserved This publication is protected by copyright. No parts of this book may be reproduced without the prior written consent of the copyright owner. Readers should understand that the data contained in the Media Fact Book is as actual and accurate as the sources could provide at the moment the book was written. Your comments and suggestions are welcome as a valuable input for the future editions of this book. PRINT 50. OOH 56. MEDIA RESEARCH 60. Editor's foreword The predictable Mobile future of an unpredictable Romanian Media Market Worldwide, in January 2015, from a global population of 7.2 billion – over 3 billion have internet access via fixed & mobile connections, meaning that almost 42% of the world ‘s population has internet access. (vs. 35% a year before). The mobile statistics worldwide are even more interesting: the total number of global mobile connections is 7.1 billion, out of which 38% are smartphone connections (2.7 billion), unique mobile users – 3.65 billion ( 51% penetration of mobile worldwide). We can count an average of 2 mobile connections per individual. disruptive or even ignored by the consumer) . But why we are choosing the easier one… when we have lots of smarter and more efficient formats on mobile? In-app advertising – one of the advantages is that advertisers have more control over where these ads show up and over the experience between consumer and brand as being integrated in their play. Mobile video - the advantage that video advertising has over other formats is that it is more engaging and focused toward storytelling. In many parts of the world the smartphone already replaced the computer as the most popular device for web access - as around 80% of the global internet users own a smartphone. Social Networks - Google and Facebook are nicely positioned to take advantage of the shift to mobile (by the way …the two companies account for around two-thirds of mobile ad spending). We can benefit of the advanced targeting on Facebook where advertisers can literally reach the consumers very effective based on the large amount of info available (interests, sex, age, location) Mobile is The Internet – over 33% of the global web traffic is Mobile, a lot of users being mobile-only or are using mobile as the primary source for accessing the internet. Text SMS / Location-based – may look as old-fashioned but still offers a lot of discrete targeting; is one of the most powerful mobile formats when it comes to steer customers toward a particular venue or service. What about Romania? Mobile should not be treated as a “more likely” traditional digital advertising – the mobile device is considered by consumers the most personal digital device – so, all the disruptions are more intimate than any other traditional “advertising breaks”. With 12 million of mobile broadband internet connections at the end of 2014 (meaning 12% increase versus 2013), the number of subscription users recorded a steady growth year over year. The penetration of smartphones had reached in 2014 a level of 34% within the population (in the range of global penetration of 34%-40%), increasing with over 20% vs 2013 due to the competitive offers of the local telecom operators. A few years ago, the most used feature of the handset with internet access was “searching for info”. After 2-3 years beyond “searching for info”, we discovered that the smartphone is the intersection of a lot of types of connections and ways to communicate in real-time and one-to-one: Social Networks, Instant messaging, e-mails … but also a lot of users are using it for video streaming – with the mobile consumption habits evolving as long as mobile technology improves (3G, 4G). On another hand all the benefits of mobile: advanced targeting, an unique understanding of where and when someone has the availability for two way communication - should give marketers opportunities to reach audiences in a meaningful way unlike ever before. All these reasons fuel our strong belief that the market will soon narrow the substantial gap between mobile consumption and advertising spending by investing more in Mobile advertising. There is a big discrepancy between the amount of time that people actually spend on their smartphones and tablets (both growing very fast), and the size of advertising budgets spent by advertisers on the Mobile (still tiny). Is well known that: Where the consumers go, Advertisers will follow! Over the last couple of years the brands in Romania have been focused increasingly on innovation especially in the digital area. Now that the users are shifting from desktops & laptops towards mobile& tablets we would like to see more attention and focus to ensure a stabile & quality mobile experience with the brand: either by developing a mobile website (with a speedy loading and easy navigation), either by creating mobile apps … or simply by using the mobile advertising inventory at its capacities. Today one of the most used mobile ad format and easiest to serve is Mobile banner … but over the time is most likely to decrease in effectiveness - similar to classical desktop web banners (end up by being 6 www.mediafactbook.com ROMANIA 2015 7 Mediabrands About Mediabrands Disruption towards action Mediabrands was created by Interpublic Group (NYSE: IPG) in 2007 to manage all of its global media related assets. Today Mediabrands manages and invests $37 billion in global media, employs over 8,500 diverse and daring marketing communication specialists and operates in over 130 countries. “A passion for disruption. A bias for action. That’s what we look for in media, in people, technology and ideas in general. We are simply too curious and too easily bored to settle for the status quo. Our clients look to us for our ambition and our fearlessness to imagine what’s possible. At IPG Mediabrands, fresh ideas are stirred up, perspectives are shifted, and innovations abound in our offices every day around the world. We are catalysts for our clients’ growth.” Henry Tajer, Global Chief Operating Officer & Executive Chairman, Australia, IPG Mediabrands A proven entity in helping clients maximize business results through integrated, intelligence-driven marketing strategies, IPG Mediabrands is committed to driving programmatic buying, pay-forperformance and digital innovation solutions through its network of media agencies Initiative, Brand Programming Network and Universal Media. Its roster of specialist service agencies include MAGNA GLOBAL, Ansible, Mediabrands Publishing, IPG Media Lab, Ensemble, Identity and offer technologies and industry moving partnerships that are recognized for delivering unprecedented bottom line results for clients corroborated with creative accolades at the most prestigious Festivals in the World. In Romania IPG Mediabrands consolidates over 25% market share being the most powerful international media group. With over 100 media specialists, IPG Mediabrands Romania manages the media activities of a wide array of ‘blue-chip’ clients in most categories: telecom, finance, automotive, soft drinks, food, retail, DIY, beer, alcoholic drinks, IT & technology, cosmetics, etc. Fast, Brave, Decisive, Simple “Today’s marketing environment can often be overwhelming for brands as the race to keep pace with the changing consumer environment never rests. And so it’s my belief that the modern agency needs to not only work faster and smarter, but we must be more courageous and brave in challenging clients, be willing to be decisive on their behalf and most of all we MUST make it all simpler. Otherwise, we’re adding more complexity when in fact we’re hired to do the opposite. At Initiative live this ethos everyday allowing clients to see succinctly the impact we have on their business. We achieve this with an elegant international approach but one that continues to reflect the strong regional cultures Initiative’s teams have become known for across the globe.” Jim Elms, Worldwide CEO, Initiative In 2014, Mediabrands was awarded the Holding Company of the Year distinction by MediaPost, for actively managing its vision for the future and researching, testing and developing ways to leverage that vision through the IPG Lab. 8 www.mediafactbook.com ROMANIA 2015 9 CEE COUNTRY PULSE Net Market Spend per Capita Evolution (%) vs. 2008 Overview The continuous dynamics between TV and Digital remained the common denominator of the media landscapes throughout the whole region. Yet, with the continuously shifting audiences and consumption habits, media planning is more and more based on a systemic approach in which every medium has a specific value and contribution to the final result. The Analysis The rankings by total population are not the same as the ones by gross domestic products. The more western-localized countries like Czech Republic, Slovakia or Slovenia have a higher economic output, than the eastern-localized ones. Also, Poland, the highest populated CEE country, capitalized its historical and social heritage and delivered the 2nd highest GDP per capita in the region, while Romania, despite being the 2nd highest populated in the region, continues to have low GDP growth rate. Total Population (mil) €20,160 €10,129 €4,775 2.8 Albania Bulgaria Croatia Czech Republic FYR Macedonia Hungary Montenegro Poland Romania Serbia Slovakia Slovenia 50% 25% 14% 0% -7% -4% 0% -9% -25% -23% -32% -40% -50% -7% -10% -42% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Albania and the Czech Republic make up the first cluster of countries where, during the analysed period, both the GDP/capita and media spend/capita evolutions are positive, meaning that both the economic output and the media expenditures had a strong correlation and a positive trend. 4.3 Bosnia & Bulgaria Herzegovina Croatia 10.5 2.1 9.0 €17,676 €7,519 €5,383 €4,132 7.2 €19,761 €9,185 €5,400 3.8 Bosnia & Herzegovina GDP per capita (EUR) €27,907 €3,723 Albania €4,617 0.6 38.5 Czech FYR Hungary Montenegro Poland Republic Macedonia 19.9 7.2 5.4 2.1 Romania Serbia Slovakia Slovenia Regarding the economic impact of the recession (indicated by the GDP / capita) and the media market’s response to it (indicated by the media spend / capita) the CEE countries display different patterns. This analysis spans the 2008-2014 period and uses the GDP/capita and media spend/capita evolution vs. the reference year 2008. Also a strong correlation but on a negative trend is reflected in Croatia and Hungary, showing a media market response in line with the economic trend, but with an over-reactive media investment response to the economic context. Serbia falls within the same cluster, albeit with an apparent economic recovery, but with the same significant decrease in media spend / capita. Bulgaria, Bosnia & Herzegovina, FYR Macedonia, Montenegro, Romania and Slovakia make up the largest cluster of what appears to be the central tendency in the region: timid or marginal increase in terms of GDP/capita year over year, with a significantly negative answer concerning the media spend. Poland represents an exception – despite the very good GDP per capita evolution, the advertising market still reflects a negative correlation. 2,500 Net Market Size Evolution (mil. EUR) 2,000 1,728 GDP per Capita (EUR, PPP method) Evolution (%) vs. 2008 Albania Bosnia & Herzegovina Bulgaria Croatia Czech Republic FYR Macedonia Hungary Montenegro Romania Serbia Slovakia Slovenia 1,000 26% 16% 1,434 1,500 53% 50% 22% Poland 10% 8% 17% 15% 453 500 4% 0% -2% -6% -1% -4% 0 32 Albania -50% 2009 10 www.mediafactbook.com 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 197 312 186 36 33 Bosnia & Herzegovina Bulgaria Croatia Czech Republic FYR Macedonia 154 8 Hungary Montenegro Poland Romania 2009 Serbia 2010 2011 279 Slovakia 2012 140 Slovenia 2013 ROMANIA 2015 2014 11 71% 6% 10% 5% 8% 1% 63% 13% 9% 5% 10% Bulgaria 50% 10% 22% 8% 9% 1% Croatia 42% 20% 24% 8% 6% Czech Republic 71% FYR Macedonia 6% 46% 9% 9% 52% 3% 11% 11% 0% 1% 18% 10% 16% 53% 10% 12% 2% 22% 63% Romania 5% 28% 59% Montenegro 7% 0% 8% 6% 20% 6% 1% 6% 5% 9% 11% 0% Serbia 48% 25% 53% 12% 14% 5% 9% Slovakia 14% 4% 18% Slovenia TV Digital Print Radio OOH Other Generally speaking, with the notable exception of Albania, the share of TV in the media mix tends to correlate with the ATS (average time spent viewing) throughout the region. FYR Macedonia and Romania have the highest level or ATS on commercial targets while Albania, the lowest. And this may be added to the obvious fact that in this digital era, content viewing on multiple devices is already a well-established habit. In Hungary, for example, multiscreen phenomenon is in place: 31% of the 16-44 years old Hungarians are using devices simultaneously. Print retains over 20% of media market share in Hungary (the highest share of Print in the region), Czech Republic and Croatia. 2014 Average TV Viewing Time (hours/day) 7.6 Radio generally has a low share throughout the region, with the notable exceptions of Czech Republic, Poland and Croatia, where it reaches 8%. Overall, with the exception of Poland, Radio shares are either stagnating or decreasing. 6.5 3.1 3.6 3.1 4.1 4.0 5.1 2.1 2.0 2.8 2.8 3.7 4.0 4.7 3.5 3.9 5.5 5.8 6.2 5.5 It should also be noted that Albania is the country where TV and OOH gather 88% of the net media market and Montenegro and Slovenia are the countries with the highest OOH share in the region. 6.7 In general, TV retains shares of spending between 50% and 60% in most countries with significant outliers being Albania, FYR Macedonia and Bosnia & Herzegovina where the share of TV exceeds 70%, while at the opposite point there is Czech Republic with below 45%. In Hungary, the fragmentation remained a significant phenomenon: viewers continue to watch more and more cable channels, focusing on thematic, while the share of main TV channels is decreasing. 13% 4.9 The continuous increase of the share of Digital in the overall media mix is most visible in countries like Slovakia, Poland and Czech Republic, where it exceeds 20% of the whole media volumes. The driver for the Digital growth is mainly the increasing interest for visual content (as is Poland, for example). 1% Bosnia & Herzegovina Poland 2014 brought few changes in CEE countries, regarding media market: in August 2014, Serbia aligned with the EU regulatory framework in terms of the Electronic Media law. In Albania, digital out-of-home supports are becoming more popular, especially after the reduction of highway billboards since 2013 law restrictions. Montenegro started in December 2014 the measurement of IPTV, while Slovenia and Bulgaria now have alternative sources for audience data, providing more than one measurement system. 5% Albania Hungary The third cluster consists of countries with a decrease rate of over 10% vs. 2008, which is the case of Croatia, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Serbia which indicates over-cautious advertiser reactions. 6% 3.7 The large majority of countries had a negative evolution. For countries like Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, FYR Macedonia, Montenegro, Slovakia and Slovenia, the overall yearly decrease for the analysed period was of below 10% and they make the second cluster. 100% 75% 5.2 In terms of the media markets size evolution for 2008-2014, we can identify three clusters: Albania and the Czech Republic are the only countries with a positive evolution, being a minority in the region. Media Mix‐ 2014 Shares 0% 4.9 The CEE media market size map is also very heterogeneous, consisting on large markets like Poland and Czech Republic with over 1 billion EUR in net value, medium markets like Hungary, Romania and Slovakia with markets of over 250 million EUR and the rest of the countries, below 250 million EUR in net worth. Albania Bosnia & Bulgaria Herzegovina Croatia Czech FYR Hungary Montenegro Poland Republic Macedonia Romania Serbia Slovakia 18+, Urban 12 www.mediafactbook.com Slovenia 18‐49,Urban ROMANIA 2015 13 All the CEE countries have an urban Internet penetration of over 60%. However, the usage picture is quite heterogeneous with countries like Slovakia and Slovenia having a daily usage level in the urban population of over 65%, while Albania and Hungary register below 50%. 82% 2014 General Smartphone Statistics Romania Serbia Slovakia Urban Reach Bosnia & Bulgaria Herzegovina Urban Daily Usage Croatia Czech FYR Hungary Montenegro Poland Republic Macedonia Romania % of Population 73% 2,2 Serbia 0,9 69% 2,3 63% 41% 8,0 43% 85% 52% 73% 53% 51% 62% 40% 17,5 32% 0,3 66% 4,8 40% 1,1 81% 4,4 63% 46% 42% 42% 61% 72% 83% 50% Albania 1,8 58% 3,0 92% 1,6 Slovakia % of Internet Users 41% 49% 32% 28% 30% 61% 38% 44% 36% 30% 31% 45% 50% 54% 47% 49% Serbia Slovakia Slovenia In everyday life, the need for connection and self-expression is still growing, making social media the new normal. With the exception of Serbia (32%), throughout the region, the number of Facebook users amount to over 40% of the general population of each country. Poland has the highest Facebook penetration (58%) referenced to the general population. Also, in the CEE region, Facebook users amount to more than 60% of the Internet users. It should be noted that Poland itself gathers 36% of all the Facebook users for the whole region. 2014 General Facebook Statistics 1,4 32% 40% Czech FYR Hungary Montenegro Poland Republic Macedonia 30% 35% Albania 28% 27% 42% 79% 66% 76% 66% 68% 62% 71% 58% 51% 64% 50% 51% 44% 59% 76% 72% 78% Croatia 57% 61% 78% 60% Bosnia & Bulgaria Herzegovina 55% 64% 74% 79% 2014 General Internet Statistics Montenegro is leading the region in terms of urban coverage with over 60% of urban residents owning at least one device. Poland, Czech Republic, Romania and Serbia are still lagging behind with only a third of the urban population owning a smartphone. There are usually discrepancies between the national and urban penetration due to the lower rural figures, with the exception of FYR Macedonia and Hungary where both figures are (almost) equal. Albania Bosnia & Bulgaria Herzegovina Croatia Czech FYR Hungary Montenegro Poland Republic Macedonia Romania Nationwide Reach Slovenia Urban Reach Perspectives for 2015 In real terms, per capita disposable income in the whole region expanded by 11% vs. 2008, while it is forecast to grow by 3.3% in real terms in 2015, according to International Monetary Fund estimates. The increasing consumer income and expenditures across the CEE countries, supported by the region’s better economic performance, don’t necessarily translate into media markets growth – most of the countries in the CEE region expect a flat evolution or a marginal increase in 2015. TV will continue to have leadership in the region, as it still provides a cheap source of entertainment to the consumers, and is also affordable to the advertisers. Digital media is expected to remain the most active ad revenue driver, as Internet coverage will continue to grow in all CEE countries. Tablets and smartphones are more and more available for reasonable prices. Additionally, more solutions for mobile devices and peer-to-peer services are available (like Blablacar in Poland, or the controversial Uber, which is active in many European countries, including Romania, where the Parliament is still debating on the subject). Also, TV is expected to get closer to digital media due to increasing role of online video and the growing usage of portable devices. Content convergence and digitization is expected to emerge in more and more integrated communication platforms. Slovenia FB Users (mil.) As primary communication and connectivity tools, the smartphones coverage and usage is continuously increasing and diversifying, becoming more affordable and incorporating more and more advanced technologies. 14 www.mediafactbook.com ROMANIA 2015 15 Romanian Economic Outlook Cristian Hostiuc Editorial Director - Ziarul Financiar Romania will have a more than 3% economic growth in 2015, higher than estimated, as a result of the rise in domestic demand, steady recovery of the construction market, especially in the private sector, and an increase in investments because of the tax incentives introduced in the fall of 2014 and the decline in borrowing costs, that is bank interests. Further increases of the minimum wage in addition to the wage raises in the private sector, especially in IT, industry and construction, will drive domestic demand. The ‘dramatic’ decline of leu interests has a positive impact on the economy and domestic demand for two reasons: the market, which, in the next few years, will help avoid a new real estate crisis with prices rising exponentially beyond the purchasing power. Inflation and exchange rate, Romania’s main problems last year, are now behind it, with the country seeing better figures than it did during Ceausescu’s times of controlled prices. Inflation will remain under 2%, maybe under 1% even, and the leu/euro exchange rate will move between 4.4 to 4.45 lei/euro, an extremely stable interval. Considering the improvement of Romania’s position in foreign trade – the export growth pace is higher than the import growth pace, the balance of payments and the current account are no longer a problem for the country. 1) People will start spending their money saved in the bank because of the low deposit interests. If the National Bank did not step in to buy, foreign currency inflows would allow the exchange rate to drop towards 4 lei to the euro. 2) Leu loans have become extremely profitable because of the interest decline. The three-month Robor index stands at around 1.5% per annum now, compared with 5.5-6.5% three years ago. Romania’s public finances are balanced, maybe ‘too’ stable, even. Romania has a budget deficit of less than 2% of GDP, which is extremely low and unfortunately does not help the economy in any way. The National Bank has changed its monetary policy slightly in that it is putting pressure for lower interests on leu loans in order to change the share of loans in the economy. Euro loans used to account for 60% of the total, and are now down to 45%. This means foreign exchange risk on consumers’ wallets is lessening. The tax cuts the government promised, the VAT cut on foods from 24% to 9% and for all products from 24% to 20%, will give consumer spending and implicitly the economy a boost in 2015 and 2016, but there is the question of how sustainable these cuts are, whether they can remain in place beyond election years. The leu interest decline is freeing up spending money and making people more confident in the future. The problem is that in the absence of governmental investments in the economy (highways), where the government is seriously lagging behind, tax cuts cannot do much to help the economy. Romania needs more economic and tax incentives to be able to achieve an over 5% economic growth per year over the next decade, keep up with Poland and come close to Western Europe. The improvement of the economy in Europe and the growth in Germany, Romania’s main export market, will help exporting companies a lot, because they get orders, even though most of them are foreign companies. Although the export growth pace is slowing down, the trend will not be reversed, because Romania remains a good manufacturing base, with an increasingly skilled workforce over which many companies are beginning to compete. This is why a low wage will no longer be a competitive edge in Romania, the skill will. The crisis years led to a decline in the governmental investments and in those of the private sector, which became much more reluctant, weighing a new investment much more carefully. Industry will continue to grow and the IT sector is seeing a real leap. The contribution of the IT sector to the economy has doubled to 6% of the GDP in the last four years, beating agriculture and being close to overtaking the construction sector. Foreign investments, on which Romania relied in 2000-2008, have not recovered yet, which is quite a serious hindrance for the Romanian economy. From 8-9 billion euros a year, foreign investment dropped to 2-3 billion euros a year, which is very little for the Romanian economy and for new job creation. Romania lost more than 500,000 jobs and 10 billion euros of the total annual wage amount (from 62 billion euros to 52 billion euros) during the crisis, recovering only 170,000 in the past three years. The trend of the IT sector is expected to continue over the coming years, while salaries in the sector should keep increasing, which will drive domestic demand. The banking sector, badly hurt by non-performing loans, is recovering rather slowly, which is not helping the economy in any way. Bankers are no longer lending money to entrepreneurs that easily, for which reason many companies are suffering from the lack of funding, which does not allow them to develop. This IT competency of Romania cannot be easily replaced, because it is not a low-cost area where investment decision is only based on price. Agriculture will continue to support the economy with both production and investment. Since margins in the sector are much higher, many investors are beginning to allocate significant financial resources to it. There are areas in Romania where equipment and yield per hectare are now at the same level as in Western Europe. Construction sector, especially the residential area, is making a spectacular recovery after the steep decline in 2009-2012. Developers are back on the market and the government-backed ‘First Home’ scheme is helping sales of homes. A correlation of the home prices with the level people are willing to pay has created balance on 16 www.mediafactbook.com Overall, Romania is in a good economic and financial position, its economic growth is higher than the European average and the risk of default is at an all-time low, yet it is not doing that well on a micro level, where companies, especially the Romanian ones, have a hard time recovering, are not out of the hospital yet. The people, quite significantly affected by the crisis – the wage decline, the loss of jobs, are still reluctant to open their wallets for additional consumer spending, beyond the bare necessities. However, a consumer spending rebound is visible, and the trend will continue. The growth of the auto market, the recovery of the home appliances market, the tourism industry growth, the increase in investments in clothing show that Romanians are more confident in the future. ROMANIA 2015 17 Consumer trends THE ROMANIAN CONSUMER: SHOPPING TRENDS, AND PROFILES The Trends The worldwide economic depression originated at the end of 2007 in the United States of America by the housing bubble, which led the American economy to slip into recession. This, in turn, generated the failure of many prominent financial institutions throughout 2008, leading to the loss of millions of jobs around the world. The bailouts made by many governments to save banks also led to an increase on the national deficits. Romania felt the brunt at its high peek long after the western societies – the effect on the economy was delayed up to two years. Thus, the consumption of goods was among the first indicators of the economic depression, as we can see from the general consumption trend of the last seven years – it seems that the real impact can be placed somewhere around 2009-2010, as depicted in the graph below: The first category revived was food, non-alcoholic drinks and household cleaners, in the first half of 2012. Coffee, cocoa, tea, self-care products and pet food categories came back on a positive uphill trend at the end of 2012. Beer had an almost flat evolution, after the decrease of 2010, showing the first signs of positive trend in 2014, while alcoholic drinks consumption is now at the same levels as 2008, after three years of decreasing trend. The fact that only the alcoholic beverages consumption remained on a slight decreasing trend could indicate a more realistic approach from consumers, focusing on day-to-day basic needs, and leaving aside ‘luxury’ or nonnecessary goods, like spirits or champagne, switching to more affordable products, e.g. in-house traditional production. This finding is consistent with the latest data available, which shows that beer and alcoholic beverages are the categories with higher reach amongst non-main shoppers, along with special food for pets. Weekly General Supply by FMCG Category Fresh Vegetable/Fruits Weighted Average of General Supply of FMCG products 50% Food (Meat/Milk/Eggs/ Etc) OCT07-OCT08 OCT08-OCT09 OCT09-OCT10 MAY11-JAN12 OCT11-NOV12 JAN12-DEC13 Market / Booth 57% 48% 54% 53% Supermarket Store 3-10 Counters) 40% 36% Hypermarket (Store >10 Counters) Beer 23% 26% Cash&Carry 6% 5% DIY Stores 4% 3% Romanian Internet Sites (Www.Adress.Ro) 4% 5% source: Initiative estimates, based on SNA Focus / BRAT, weighted sample Percent from Urban 14-64, urban area>50k inhabitants Household Cleaners 3% 77% 67% 67% 26% 26% Self Care Products General Supply by FMCG Categories - absolute differences vs. Oct07-Oct08 Small Neighbourhood Stores Coffee/Cocoa/Tea NOV12-NOV14 The decreasing trend of consumption has been maintained up to the end of 2011, and possibly to the beginning of 2012 –according to the FOCUS survey, carried out by BRAT – one can see the slight revival of the consuming trend in 2012. Since then, general consuming trend seems to be uphill. 82% 72% 67% Non Alcoholic Beverages 45% Weekly General Supply by the Point of Sale 12% 13% 11% 11% 24% 23% Special Food For Pets 7% 8% Foreign Internet Sites 3% (Www.Adress.Com) 4% Alcoholic Beverages 7% 9% Electronics / Appliances 2% Stores 2% Special Food For <3 Yrs. old Children 6% 5% Specialized Stores For 2% Mobile Phones & Accessories 2% Furniture / Sanitary 2% Installation Shops 1% 2% main shopper non-main shopper source: SNA Focus CAPI NOV12-NOV14/ BRAT 1% 0% -1% Food Non Alcoholic Drinks Beer Oct 08 - Oct09 Alcoholic Drinks Oct 09 - Oct10 Coffee/ Cocoa/Tea May 11- Jan12 Household Cleaners Self Care Products Oct11- Nov12 Special Food For <3 Yrs Old Children Jan12- Dec13 Special Food For For Pets Nov12- Nov14 Keeping in mind the weekly shopping habit split by the point of sale, one can see that the traditional trade (market / booth and the small neighbourhood stores) prevails as the main sources for purchasing FMCG products, especially for non-alcoholic beverages, coffee and beer (see the graph below). The main FMCG products bought (at least once per week) remained Food and Fresh vegetables / fruits. Yet, it may be stated that the people which are not main shoppers of the household, are more inclined to shop online. source: Initiative estimates, based on SNA Focus / BRAT, weighted sample Percent from Urban 14-64, urban area>50k inhabitants 18 www.mediafactbook.com ROMANIA 2015 19 At the same time, consumers are becoming more demanding and choose private label products if they can get a similar quality. The highest preference is reflected for food, home care and personal care private label products. Weekly General Supply by Point of Sale & Category Special Food For Pets 7% Gender Special Food For <3 Yrs. old Children Profile -Yes source: SNA Focus CAPI NOV12-‐NOV14/ BRAT (urban 14-64) Although initially regarded as low quality products, Romanians’ preference for private label products is on the increase. The main driver of consumers’ preference is represented by the prices, which are up to 15% - 25% below other brands of similar quality. MAY11-JAN12 OCT11-NOV12 JAN12-DEC13 Profile - No Index -Yes No Children With Children 5+ Persons 3 Persons 4 Persons 1 Person 2 Persons Category C Category DE Category AB Esomar Social Household No. of Persons (Gr) Household Grade (3 Grades) No. of Children <14 Years Index -No source: Focus CAPI OCT13-NOV14/ BRAT Socio-Demographics - Online Shopping Frequency 90% 119106 83 95 138 124145 108 70 64 87 50 39 10 30 69 94 145108 109 10590 87133 101126 95112 97 95 10682 102119 89 98 11083 91 87 79 88 108112 116115 133102 10594 85117 65 NOV12-NOV14 30% Gender Food Non Alcoholic Drinks Coffee / Cocoa / Tea Beer Self Care Products Age (6 Gr) Civil Status source: Initiative estimates, based on SNA Focus / BRAT, weighted sample Profile-Weekly Profile-Rarely Index -Weekly Index -Rarely City Size Esomar Social Grade (3 Grades) Household No. of Persons (Gr) With Children No Children 4 Persons 5+ Persons 2 Persons 3 Persons 1 Person Category DE Category C Category AB <50K Inhabitants Over 200K Inhabitants 50K - 200K Inhabitants High Level Of Education Household Special Food For Alcoholic Drinks Cleaners / Care Pets Bucharest Low Middle Single (Divorced / Separated / Widowed) 65-74 Years Married / Concubinage 10% 55-64 Years 45-54 Years 35-44 Years 25-34 Years Women 14-24 Years Men 0% 20% 0% City Size Online shopping, although gaining more and more importance in urban Romanians lives, is still underdeveloped in our country. Only 11% of internet users shopped online, much lower than the European average of 60%, according to Eurostat figures. Although the country benefits from high infrastructure performance, ranking in top 10 in terms of internet connection speed, only 4.5% of Urban population aged between 14 and 74 years old made a habit from shopping weekly on websites (local, or foreign). The more frequent online buyer are rather single young men, while the profile of the less frequent online buyer shows more probably a highly educated person aged below 45 years old, having one child or more. General Supply by Categories - Private Brands Consumption 40% Civil Status Level Of Education Market/Booth 6% 50% Age (6 Gr) <50K Inhabitants 7% Over 200K Inhabitants Alcoholic Beverages 50K - 200K Inhabitants 11% Small Neighbourhood Stores High 12% Household Cleaners 0% Bucharest Self Care Products Supermarket (Store 3-10 Counters) Low 24% Middle Beer 10490 90125 83143 79153 10198 97107 83142 11561 67185 10490 10587 11073 10879 11173 10490 94115 87134 98104 10879 99101 10489 10296 96110 10588 98105 97107 134 13 Single (Divorced / Separated / Widowed) 26% 90% Married / Concubinage Coffee / Cocoa / Tea Hypermarket (Store >10 Counters) 55-64 Years 53% 65-74 Years Non Alcoholic Beverages Cash&Carry 45-54 Years 74% 25-34 Years Food (Meat / Milk / Eggs etc.) The Profiles Analysis The socio-demographic profile of the respondents based on their shopping role in the household shows that main shoppers are rather persons aged 25+, having mid-high education, living in the big cities, while the persons who are not main shoppers in their household are more likely to be mostly single young men resident in smaller cities and living in extended family households. Socio-Demographics - Main Shopper? 35-44 Years 79% 60% Women Fresh Vegetable / Fruits 40% 14-24 Years 20% Men 0% Household No. of Children <14 Years source: Focus CAPI OCT13-NOV14/ BRAT Percent from Urban 14-64, urban area>50k inhabitants 20 www.mediafactbook.com ROMANIA 2015 21 The main challenge for the online shopping in Romania continues to be the reluctance to buy products without seeing them first, and the low level of confidence regarding online payments. This can be seen in the Eurostat data presented below, where Romania is ranked last in Europe, by the percentage of individuals who used internet for buying products or services in the last year. Constantly, Bucharest area figures were much higher than the country average. Individuals who ordered goods or services over the internet for private use Last online purchase: in the 12 months Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland FYR Macedonia France Greece Hrvatska Hungary Iceland Ireland Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Norway Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 42 38 5 14 18 27 68 17 59 4 54 12 14 18 45 36 17 11 60 38 67 71 29 15 4 33 27 24 66 : 5 67 44 43 7 17 21 30 70 20 62 : 53 18 17 22 49 43 20 16 65 45 69 73 30 18 6 37 31 27 71 : : 71 48 45 9 23 21 32 73 23 65 5 57 20 23 25 54 46 27 20 68 44 65 76 30 22 5 45 34 30 74 : 9 73 54 48 12 26 25 36 77 23 65 6 59 25 26 28 56 46 32 26 70 46 69 73 32 25 8 44 36 32 73 : 10 77 53 54 17 28 27 43 78 49 68 11 62 26 28 32 66 50 34 26 74 47 71 77 34 26 10 48 37 37 75 67 14 79 Last online purchase: in the 12 months Romania Bucuresti - Ilfov North-West Center North-East South-East South - Muntenia South-West - Oltenia West 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 4 8 2 5 3 3 2 3 4 6 14 4 8 5 3 4 6 3 5 10 5 6 7 4 5 1 3 8 20 9 7 7 4 6 10 7 10 25 9 7 7 8 7 8 11 In this context, major retailers and banks have been joining forces in their attempt to make consumers shift from the cash payment habit towards online shopping, by creating more shopping cards or simply by offering additional benefits for online payments. source: EUROSTAT; unit: percentage of individuals Perspectives for 2015 Urban Romanian consumers tend to be more active, therefore the location of shops is an important factor for consumers with higher income who are willing to give up better prices in exchange for more convenient shopping in small neighborhood stores. For consumers with low – mid income, private labels are expected to grow in variety, given the increasing preference for more affordable products. Online shopping expected to be on the rise, as besides the time saving facility it offers the consumers the option of returning or exchanging the purchased products, without having to justify for it. More and more online shops are expected to be launched in modern retail, mainly with coverage in Bucharest and major cities. Mobile technology will continue to get an increasing role in consumers, path to purchase, in terms of researching the offers and comparing prices, as well as in finalizing the purchases online. 22 www.mediafactbook.com ROMANIA 2015 ROMANIA 2015 23 Media Market Analysis Overview 2014 reflected a total market slight increase (+3% vs. 2013), after several years of continuous decrease and is expected to have the same trend in 2015. Total net Ad‐spend by medium (Million €) ‐ Estimation 600 In 2014 the TV market ended in an average of 3.5% vs. 2% deflation in 2013 and a higher level of loading during All Day (07:00-26:00) from 66% in 2013 to 72% in 2014. The CPM (cost per thousand) dropped to an average of 2 EUR for All urban 18-49 and 0.9 EUR for All urban 4+. The total GRP30” inventory sell out increased by 6.7% in 2014 and the TV market net budget reached 198 Mio EUR (+3% vs. 2013) for the first time since 2009. Despite all the changes which raised the competition between main groups, CME remained leader with 50% share of investemts, followed by INTACT with 27%, Kanal D 8%, Prima TV 4% and SRTV (TVR1 & TVR2) with 2%. 500 400 300 200 100 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 est Total (Mil €) TV Print Radio OOH Internet 540 345 316 309 303 305 313 322 337 222 209 200 193 193 198 205 82 37 26 24 22 19 17 16 35 25 21 20 19 19 18 18 70 42 33 31 29 28 28 27 16 19 26 34 41 46 51 56 Source: Initiative In 2014 TV increased by 3% vs. 2013, OOH remained stable, radio kept the investment levels (0% vs. 2013), online was the only medium with major growth (+10% vs. 2013), while print dropped massively (-10% vs. 2013). Internet 15,2% Radio 6,1% Print 6,3% 2013 Internet 17,4% Internet 16,3% OOH 8,9% TV 63,3% Radio 5,9% Print 5,6% OOH 8,4% 2014 TV 63,5% Radio 5,7% Print 4,9% EST 2015 TV 63,6% Source: Initiative database More precisely, in 2014 TV gathered the highest share of advertising revenue, with 63% share of investment (198 Mio EUR net), Online followed on 2nd place with 16% (51 Mio EUR net) and OOH on 3rd with 9% (28 Mio EUR net). Radio and Print had similar shares (6%), with comparable budgets: 18 Mio EUR & 17 Mio EUR. 24 www.mediafactbook.com In terms of ratings evolution, 2014 reflected the same top 3 ranking as in 2013: Pro TV leader, followed by Antena 1 and Kanal D. Antena 3 ranked 4th, showing a better performance compared to Prima TV and Acasa TV. Talent shows continued to dominate TV programming in 2014, given the high preference Romanians have shown constantly for this type of productions. Internet maintained in 2014 its growing trend of digital penetration, spend time and frequency of usage. Romania was still bellow CE average level in terms of penetration, but is on 6th place (worldwide) in terms of internet speed. In 2014 Online Market reached 51 Mio EUR net, reflecting an increase by 10% vs 2013 (46 Mio EUR). SNA Focus revealed there were more than 68% of people aged 14-64 y.o. (10.3 million people) using internet, of which 56% daily, while Ancom registered the split between urban & rural to be 63% vs. 37%, showing a growing potential for the rural areas. Online stores, travel or real estate websites are growing in users’ preferences, while job offers or selling / buying 2nd hand cars registered a small decrease. The impact of digital on other media is also an interesting topic reflected by the growing trend of “listen to radio online” or “watch TV online”, according to SNA – FOCUS. Facebook continued to grow in 2014, reaching more than 7.8 million accounts, with high penetration on both desktop and mobile. YouTube Romania users growth was up to +6.9 million and LinkedIn grew from 1.25 million in 2013 to +1.5 million, which can be considered a significant increase considering its more niche use. Market share in 2013‐2015 (net ad‐spend by medium) OOH 9,1% Television remained the leading media channel used by marketers despite the major changes of main groups: CME management changed, Intact Group imported a large part of the reality shows and VIP’s from Pro TV, Prima TV changed owners, from Pro Sieben to Prima Broadcasting Group. The number of total monitored channels remained stable (59) and the reception via Cable (Digital and Analogue) increased in 2014. Programmatic certainly grew in 2014, but is expected to have a significant boost next years, fuelled by very high expectations from all parts, from brands to agencies, and last but not least from local publishers. Agora launch in 2014 was one of the major events of the year, its presence having an important contribution to the programmatic “buzz”, especially on the local publishers’ side. Mobile marketing is still ruled by SMS in Romania, even though the use of mobile services is growing. There were 12 million mobile broadband connections in Romania at the end of 2014, out of which 89% for 3G and 3G+. This results in a 12% YOY increase of mobile internet penetration from the end of 2013. It is estimated that 1 out of 3 Romanians now owns a smartphone, this increasing the overall smartphone penetration by +21% in 2014, to 34% of the population owning such device. Romanians were also drawn to the multiple functionalities offered by tablets, with an estimated penetration within the population of almost 13% tablet ownership in 2014.However, despite the dynamic growth, budgets allocated for mobile still represent a small share of the total online budgets. ROMANIA 2015 25 2014 main categories are similar to 2013, with “Mobile telecommunications”, “Cosmetics, hygienic, hair care & cleaners” and Medical products & services” having the highest level of investment. “Retailers” continued the ascending trend, while “Beer” kept stable. “Electronics & domestic appliances” used the online commerce & Black Friday events to increase sales, leading towards bigger advertising budgets, “Chocolate products” and “Confectionaries” also registered a slight increase vs. 2013, while “Banking services” and “Milk products” continued to drop. 26 www.mediafactbook.com liances ng s se & in surance , h o n ey 8 mil € rie s 12 mil € ar ,c e onfection a p ro cialities 6 mil € pe pp a o m estic Beer rvi ce Retailers &d at Chocol Top Investors Medical & optical products & services 20 mil € s g Print industry continued to be affected by the collapse of the distribution networks, their insolvency leaving the publishers with large amounts of account receivables. Insolvency was requested by several media houses, some of them very big, such as Editura Evenimentul Zilei & Capital, Mediafax Group and Intact Publishing. Readership continues to decrease among all print types, independent of the periodicity. However, readers preference for specific editorial content remained stable: women continued to show a high preference for monthly glossy magazines and weekly titles where they are more likely to find advice and practical info about cooking, personal care, household maintenance & decoration, health & nutrition. Men main interest remained general interest newspapers and sports. In terms of gross (rate card) ad revenues, Ringier was ranked 1st, with a major increase to 21% market share (vs. 14% in 2013), followed by Adevarul Holding (19% market share vs. 15% in 2013) and Burda International – Sanoma Hearst, with 10% market share. Releasing online versions and creating complementary content between print and digital publications editions continues to represent a solution for the publishers to reduce costs, consolidate readers’ loyalty and make their businesses profitable. 36 mil € 9 mil € Other su At urban level, Kiss FM (14.5%), although dropping from 15.8% in 2013, remains leader at a comfortable distance from Radio Romania Actualitati (12.4%) and Radio ZU (12%), both on a positive trend. Europa FM (10.4%) remained 4th with stable performance, while Pro FM (9.8%) follows on 5th place at a very small difference. Mobile telecommunications services Cosmetics, hygienic, hair care & cleaners ki B an Radio market was stable in terms of advertising investments, while Radio networks strived to consolidate market shares through marketing campaigns, events and integrated media packages with social media. MGSI strengthened its leadership regaining 2 pp of market share to 38%, followed on 2nd place by Media Camina Group with a marginal growth (from 21% to 22%), while Regie Radio Music keeps 3rd place despite the drop in market share from 19% to 16%. Pro FM ranked 4th, with 16% and RRA, ranked last with 8% market share. In 2014, the daily Radio audience increased significantly in Bucharest and also at urban level. The trend was registered during weekdays as well as during weekend, with a performance increase between 1.2% (in Bucharest during weekdays) to 2.6% (weekdays at urban level). In 2014 Radio ZU (14.9%) consolidated its leading position in terms of average rating in Bucharest, followed by Radio Romania Actualitati (12.3%) and Kiss FM (11.4%) which increased its performance and reduced the gap vs. the 2nd place. Magic FM (8.9%) followed at a significant distance, while Pro FM (7.4%) and Europa FM (7.2%) remained on tight positions on 5th and 6th places, although both increased in rating in 2014. 50 mil € 19 mil € c Top 3 vendors are: EpaMedia – 28% share of market, Affichage Romania – 17%, Getica – 10%. Backlight remained the predominant format in Romanian OOH Industry, with a 45% share, followed by billboards with a 19% share and city lights/buss-shelters with 14%. The remaining 22% are composed by rollovers, meshes, prisms, unipoles, flags and other special projects. 32 mil € Electroni OOH market kept stable vs. 2013. The approval of new legislation is closer than never before and 2014 was the first in many years to have only Romanian Owners, as the most important suppliers (Euromedia and Affichage) were taken over from foreign Shareholders. ducts & s 6 mil € Mi lk Products Source: Initiative database The rebranding process of Telekom and Romtelecom entering into the mobile segment were the main events in “Mobile telecommunications” category.. FMCG big companies such like P&G, L’Oreal, Reckitt Benckiser and Unilever had comparable investments to 2013 or slightly smaller, which resulted in the slight drop of “Cosmetics, hygienic, hair care & cleaners” category. E-Mag & Altex were the main investors in “Electronics & domestic appliances” but also smaller investors emerged, such as Cel.ro which started to be active on TV. Lidl kept the leading position with growing investment in the Retailers category. Some other smaller categories dropped in 2014: “Cars & 4x4 vehicles”, “Coffee & coffee specialties”, “Carbonated & Non-carbonated drinks”, “Laundry products”. Perspectives for 2015 According to Initiative’s estimates, in 2015 the total net media market will continue 2014 actions, reaching 322 mil EUR (+3.1% vs 2014) with very small variations for TV (+3,5%), slight decrease for OOH (-2%), flat evolution for Radio (0%), cutting budgets for Print (-10%) and the same positive trend for Online (+10%). TV market is estimated to reach 205 Mio EUR, and also a slight price increase of 1% - 2%. Pro TV will set another trend, an expensive one this time, by launching new formats, new reality shows and cooking shows. Some of them are already on TV: “I’m a celebrity, get me out of here” from South Africa and “The Farm”, both with very good audience results. Antena 1 is expected to try to keep the 2nd position, as long as Kanal D steadily gains audience and brings successful Turkish series on the market. Online: Programmatic expected to grow significantly, Facebook and Google will play an important role, offering efficient platforms and great targeting capabilities to run video ads. An important player of top ten is Olx.ro which was responsible for the major acquisition of 2015 by buying its main competitor, Tocmai.ro, after a tough fight on the Romanian classifieds market. Mobile advertising expected to grow - available reach, traffic & time spent increase. OOH The deadline of 15th of October for the implementation of the new OOH law will set a new start for OOH market and it will be followed by 2016, another election year. As mentioned before, most of the vendors keep on expanding their networks. Radio stations will grow their presence in social networks (especially Facebook) and will continue to be flexible and open to special projects in 2015 keeping a flexible policy and a big opening to special projects (creative contests, shows relocations in unconventional locations, branded programs). Print will face the polarization of the glossy magazines in two media trusts, Ringier and Burda which is expected to determine a fight for budget share, most probably supported with aggressive package offers and exclusivity deals. ROMANIA 2015 27 Television 2013 - 2014 Sold GRP30” (‘000) by month (buying target) 250 Overview 172.9 149.1 156.2 154.4 164.4 191.3 155.01 186.0 159.2 148.8 140.3 127.0 143.0 182.3 171.1 161.2 153.9 150 154.4 139.3 139.4 122.6 116.8 100 101.6 97.7 50 De c14 No v14 Oc t-1 4 Se p14 Ju l-1 4 Au g14 Ju n14 M ay -1 4 Ap r-1 4 M ar14 Fe b14 Ja n14 De c13 No v13 Oc t-1 3 Se p13 Au g13 Ju l-1 3 Ju n13 M ay -1 3 Ap r-1 3 M ar13 0 Fe b13 Reception via Cable (Digital and Analogue) continued to increase in 2014, while Direct-to-home (DTH) slightly decreased vs. 2013. 200 Ja n13 In 2014, Television remained the leading media channel used by marketers, being highly preferred not only by big advertisers but also by smaller inverstors. The TV market went through some major changes, marked by CME management change and new Intact Group programs grid , which imported a large part of the shows and VIP’s from Pro TV. Prima TV also changed owners, from Pro Sieben to Cristian Burci, who also owns Adevarul Holding. The fact that TV is still the most important media channel can also be seen by the high number of monitored channels: 59 in 2014 (same in 2013), with minor changes such as GSP TV becoming ZU TV, Antena 2 being re-named Antena Stars, Diva Universal named simply Diva, PV TV named Fishing & Hunting Channel. Two channels entered the monitoring system, Digi 24 and Look TV, while Sport1 and VH1 dropped out. GRP30" buying target Source: Kantar Media & Initiative Media Estimation Reception Type 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Analogue cable Digital cable with receiver Direct To Home (DTH) Terrestrial 66.7 4.1 26.2 5.8 59.9 9.8 26.1 6.2 56.6 14.1 24.9 4.4 63.7 15.9 24.4 3.8 64.1 17.3 23.3 3.9 Source: Kantar Media Romania Even the ratings evolution was in favor of most of the TV channels, last year main stations changed their approach in terms of sales: the demand in clutter months outchead the stations posibilities to deliver and created an inflationist expectation for 2015. In 2014 the TV market ended in a slight deflation of 3.5% vs. 2% deflation in 2013 and a higher level of loading during All Day (07:00-26:00) from 66% in 2013 to 72% in 2014. The CPM (cost per thousand) dropped to an average of 2 EUR for urban population All 18-49 and 0.9 EUR for urban population All 4+ Despite the whole changing process that raised competition between main groups, CME kept the leading position with 50% share of investments, followed by INTACT with 27%, Kanal D 8%, Prima TV 4% and SRTV (TVR1 & TVR2) with 2%, so the situation looks pretty much the same with 2013. 2013 – 2014 Average Inventory sold % Min (07:00-‐26:00) and prime time vs. legal limit 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% The total GRP30” inventory sell out increased by 6.7% in 2014 and the TV market net budget reached 198 Mio (+3% vs. 2013), for the first time since 2009. 20% Years 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Buying target GRP30" (000) sold Share% of TV monitored (all 18-49 urban) Inventory sold % minutes 1745 88% 76% 1774 92% 76% 1703 85% 68% 1736 85% 66% 1852 86% 72% Source: Kantar Media Romania,, Initiative estimates The total GRP30” sold in 2014 by the TV channels was 1.85 Mio GRP30” of which 35% were sold by CME, 29% by INTACT, 10% by Kanal D, 5% by Prima TV, 4% by SRTV (TVR) . 28 www.mediafactbook.com AVG all day De c14 No v14 Oc t-1 4 Se p14 Ju l-1 4 Au g14 Ju n14 M ay -1 4 Ap r-1 4 M ar14 Fe b14 Ja n14 De c13 No v13 Oc t-1 3 Se p13 Au g13 Ju l-1 3 Ju n13 M ay -1 3 Ap r-1 3 M ar13 Fe b13 Ja n13 0% AVG PT Source: Kantar Media & Initiative Media Estimation Channels Performance and Profile 2014 reflected the same top 3 TV stations ranking as in 2013: Pro TV kept the leading position (Rtg. 4.5%, Shr. 19.4% / All 18-49 urban), followed by Antena 1 (Rtg. 3.4%, Shr. 14.7%) and Kanal D (Rtg. 1.4%, Shr. 6.2%). Antena 3 has placed 4th with Rtg. 0.9%, Shr. 3.9%, showing a better performance compared to Prima TV (Rtg. 0.9%, Shr. 3.7%), and Acasa TV (Rtg. 0.8%, Shr. 3.2%). ROMANIA 2015 29 Comparable performance was noted for National TV (Rtg. 0.6%, Shr. 2.6%) and TVR1 (Rtg. 0.6%, Shr. 2.5%) and also for Romania TV (Rtg. 0.5%, Shr. 2.1%) and Antena Stars (Rtg. 0.5%, Shr. 1.9%). Overall, News stations achieved a higher audience vs. 2013, due to the viewers’ high interest for elections (talkshows, debates, interviews), while TVR1 kept the audience attention with FIFA World Championship, Olympic Games and UCL transmissions. Talent and cooking shows continued to dominate the TV programming in 2014, given the high preference Romanians have shown constantly for this type of productions. During 2012 - 2014 “Romanii au talent” was the most appreciated talent show, followed by “Vocea Romaniei”, both keeping high performance as in previous years. “X-Factor” remained the most performing show on Antena 1. Other formats (local sitcoms, series, telenovelas) almost disappeared from Prime Time, with one exception - Las Fierbinti. In 2014, top 10 TV stations gathered 60.2% of the total audience share of All 18-49 urban population, basically the same as in 2013, although the players performed slightly different: Pro TV, Antena1, Antena 3, TVR 1, Antena Stars and Romania TV increased audience, while Prima TV, Kanal D and Acasa TV dropped vs. 2013. Overall the average break audience decreased by 2% in 2014 vs 2013 due to sell out rate increase (longer advertising breaks). The audience profile analysis reveals that PRO TV and Prima TV audience is balanced between genders, while Antena 1 and Kanal D had a higher affinity for women audiences. Antena 1 and Kanal D are preferred mostly by viewers from small and medium urban, compared to Pro TV and Prima TV which are watched more in large urban. Pro TV and Prima TV had a younger audience profile than the rest of generalist channels. Pro TV Profile (Affinity Index) 2013 – 2014 Monthly Dynamic – Time Bands Analysis (Rtg%, All 18-49 urban – top channels, 07:00-26:00) Bucharest 7 Urban 200 K+ 6 5 Pro TV 4 Antena 1 Kanal D 3 Antena 3 Acasa 2 Men 150 Antena 1 Profile (Affinity Index) Women Bucharest Social grade AB 100 Urban 100 K-200K Social grade C Urban 200 K+ Women Social grade AB 100 Social grade C Urban 100 K-200K 50 Urban 30 K-100K Men 150 50 Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Urban 30 K-100K Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Prima TV 1 TVR 1 Age 65+ Age 12-17 Age 65+ Age 12-17 Realitatea TV 0 De c14 No v14 Oc t-1 4 Se p14 Ju l-1 4 Au g14 Ju n14 Ap r-1 4 M ay -1 4 M ar14 Ja n14 Fe b14 De c13 No v13 Oc t-1 3 Au g13 Se p13 Ju l-1 3 Ju n13 Ap r-1 3 M ay -1 3 M ar13 Ja n13 Fe b13 Age 55 - 64 Source: Kantar Media Age 45 - 54 Age 18 - 24 Age 35 - 44 Kanal D Profile (Affinity Index) Bucharest 2012 – 2014 Talent Shows Performance (Rtg%, All 18‐49 urban) 21.5 21.3 20.8 Urban 200 K+ 15 10 5 12 13.5 4.9 6.1 8.7 4.9 8.7 7.7 6.8 7.7 Urban 30 K-100K 10.8 9.7 5.3 6.9 6.8 6.5 5.4 5.5 0 2012 Romanii au talent (Pro TV) Te cunosc de undeva (Ant 1) X Factor (Ant 1) Romania Danseaza (Ant 1) 30 2012 Vocea Romaniei (Pro TV) Next Star (Ant 1) Masterchef (Pro TV) Junior Chef (Ant1) www.mediafactbook.com Women Bucharest Social grade AB 150 Social grade C Urban 200 K+ Top Chef (Ant 1) Hell’s Kitchen (Ant 1) Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Age 12-17 Age 55 - 64 Age 45 - 54 Source: Kantar Media Source: Kantar Media Age 18 - 24 Age 35 - 44 Men 150 Women Social grade AB 100 Social grade C Urban 100 K-200K 50 Age 65+ 2014 Age 35 - 44 Prima TV Profile (Affinity Index) 50 13.2 13.1 8.1 200 100 Urban 100 K-200K 20 Age 18 - 24 Age 25 - 34 Source: Kantar Media Men 25 Age 45 - 54 Source: Kantar Media Everybody’s eyes were on the tough competition between Pro TV and Antena 1, both stations improving their programming, launching new shows (“O saptamana nebuna, nebuna!”, “Junior Chef”) or continued the existing successful ones (“Masterchef”, “Las Fierbinti”, “Romanii au Talent”, “Te cunosc de undeva,” “X Factor”). Age 55 - 64 Age 25 - 34 Age 25 - 34 Urban 30 K-100K Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Age 65+ Age 12-17 Age 55 - 64 Age 45 - 54 Age 18 - 24 Age 35 - 44 Age 25 - 34 Source: Kantar Media ROMANIA 2015 31 TVR1 Profile (Affinity Index) Men 200 Bucharest Urban 200 K+ Women 100 Urban 100 K-200K Social grade C Urban 200 K+ Social grade C Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Urban 30 K Age 65+ Age 12-17 Age 55 - 64 Age 35 - 44 Age 55 - 64 Age 18 - 24 Age 45 - 54 Source: Kantar Media Age 25 - 34 Age 35 - 44 Source: Kantar Media 300 Bucharest Men Men 300 Bucharest 250 Urban 200 K+ Social grade AB 100 Urban 30 K-100K 50 Social grade DE Urban 30 K-100K Age 4-11 Urban 30 K 0 Urban 30 K Urban 100 K-200K Men 200 Age 12-17 Age 55 - 64 Age 45 - 54 Age 35 - 44 Age 25 - 34 Social grade C 150 100 Social grade DE 50 0 Realitatea TV Profile (Affinity Index) Bucharest 250 Urban 200 K+ Men 200 Urban 100 K-200K Bucharest Social grade AB 150 Social grade C 100 50 Urban 30 K-100K Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Social grade AB Social grade C 100 50 Urban 30 K-100K Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Age 65+ Age 12-17 Age 55 - 64 Age 45 - 54 32 Age 18 - 24 Age 35 - 44 Age 35 - 44 Age 25 - 34 Source: Kantar Media www.mediafactbook.com Age 25 - 34 Age 45 - 54 Source: Kantar Media Romania TV Profile (Affinity Index) Urban 200 K+ Men 250 200 Urban 200 K+ Urban 100 K-200K Men 200 Women Social grade AB 150 Social grade C 100 50 Urban 30 K-100K Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Bucharest Social grade AB Social grade C 100 50 Urban 30 K-100K Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Age 65+ Age 12-17 Age 55 - 64 Age 45 - 54 Age 18 - 24 Age 35 - 44 Age 25 - 34 Source: Kantar Media Age 18 - 24 Age 35 - 44 Age 25 - 34 Age 65+ Urban 200 K+ Urban 100 K-200K Men 200 150 Age 45 - 54 Source: Kantar Media Bucharest Social grade AB Social grade C 50 Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Age 65+ Age 12-17 Age 55 - 64 Age 45 - 54 Age 18 - 24 Age 35 - 44 Age 25 - 34 Source: Kantar Media Age 18 - 24 Age 35 - 44 Age 25 - 34 Source: Kantar Media TLC Profile (Affinity Index) Women 100 Urban 30 K-100K Age 12-17 Age 55 - 64 Euforia Profile (Affinity Index) Women 150 Urban 100 K-200K Age 12-17 Age 55 - 64 Age 18 - 24 Bucharest 150 Urban 100 K-200K Age 12-17 Age 45 - 54 Women Acasa TV Profile (Affinity Index) Age 4-11 Age 65+ Source: Kantar Media Source: Kantar Media Social grade AB Age 55 - 64 Age 18 - 24 Age 25 - 34 Women Age 65+ Age 65+ Age 18 - 24 Age 35 - 44 Diva Profile (Affinity Index) Urban 200 K+ 200 Social grade C 150 Age 12-17 Diva and TLC, women lifestyle thematic channels, reached more young women audiences (20+ y.o.), while the rest of women thematic are preferred by more mature women - Euforia and Antena Stars (45+ y.o.) and Acasa TV and TV Paprika (35+ y.o.). Bucharest Women 250 Urban 200 K+ 200 Urban 100 K-200K Age 4-11 Age 45 - 54 Antena 3 Profile (Affinity Index) Women Social grade DE 0 Age 55 - 64 Almost all news channels had a balanced gender viewers, except Digi 24 which was mostly watched by men. B1 TV had a larger audience in small urban, all the rest covered larger cities B1 TV Profile (Affinity Index) 50 Age 12-17 Age 25 - 34 Social grade C Age 65+ Age 4-11 Age 65+ Age 18 - 24 Social grade AB Urban 30 K Social grade DE 0 Women 100 Urban 30 K-100K 50 Urban 30 K-100K 150 Urban 100 K-200K Social grade AB Urban 100 K-200K Social grade DE 0 Age 45 - 54 Women Urban 200 K+ 100 50 Urban 30 K-100K Men 200 Bucharest Men 150 Bucharest Social grade AB 150 Digi 24 Profile (Affinity Index) National TV Profile (Affinity Index) Urban 200 K+ Urban 100 K-200K Men 200 150 Women Social grade AB Social grade C 100 50 Urban 30 K-100K Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Age 65+ Age 12-17 Age 55 - 64 Age 45 - 54 Age 18 - 24 Age 35 - 44 Age 25 - 34 Source: Kantar Media ROMANIA 2015 33 AXN Profile (Affinity Index) Men 200 Bucharest Urban 200 K+ Women Social grade AB Social grade C 100 50 Urban 30 K-100K Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Age 65+ Age 12-17 Age 55 - 64 Age 35 - 44 Age 25 - 34 Bucharest Urban 200 K+ Urban 100 K-200K 150 Social grade C 50 Urban 30 K-100K Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Age 65+ Age 12-17 Age 55 - 64 Age 45 - 54 Age 18 - 24 Age 35 - 44 Age 25 - 34 Social grade C 50 Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Age 65+ Age 12-17 Age 18 - 24 Age 45 - 54 Age 35 - 44 Source: Kantar Media Age 25 - 34 Source: Kantar Media TV Paprika Profile (Affinity Index) Bucharest 100 Social grade AB 100 Urban 30 K-100K Women Social grade AB Women 150 Urban 100 K-200K Source: Kantar Media Antena Stars Profile (Affinity Index) Men 200 Urban 200 K+ Age 55 - 64 Age 18 - 24 Age 45 - 54 Men 200 Bucharest 150 Urban 100 K-200K Pro Cinema Profile (Affinity Index) Urban 200 K+ Urban 100 K-200K Men 200 150 Women Social grade AB Social grade C 100 50 Urban 30 K-100K Social grade DE 0 Urban 30 K Age 4-11 Age 65+ Age 12-17 Age 55 - 64 Age 45 - 54 Age 18 - 24 Age 35 - 44 Age 25 - 34 Source: Kantar Media Perspectives for 2015 The beginning of 2015 reveals the same growing trend in the TV market size +3.5% revenue increase, and also an average of 1-2% price increase. The significant growing rates from Q1 (in audience and loading for all top TV players) cannot be maintained throughout the year, as April figures already have shown. The news and the public channels are expected to decrease audience in 2015 since there are no major highlights compared to last year. All TV stations target cost inflation for 2015, based on last year loading with long clutter periods (April - July and September - December). Pro TV made a risky bet and a huge investment with “I’m a celebrity, get me out of here” from South Africa, and continued with another daily reality show – “The Farm”, both with very good audience results Rtg 14.7% & Shr. 30% for Celebrity and Rtg. 23%, Shr. 10% for The Farm. Antena1 launched Hell Kitchen 2, better than first season (Rtg. 7%), but still far from the international success and Temptation Island – a well-received new format. ROMANIA 2015 Cooking shows will be very present in 2015 TV schedule – both Pro TV and Antena1 have announced new seasons for the fall and Prima TV keeps up with two formats airing in 2015. 34 www.mediafactbook.com ROMANIA 2015 35 DIGITAL MEDIA Internet penetration in Romania 70% The main strengths of digital are related to its reach and efficiency. More than this, as none of us can imagine the future without internet, it also has an aura of “the present and the next thing”, that contributes to its continous growth. In a nutshell, 2014 had a similar dynamic. From a global perspective, the big players all try to keep up with the fast changes pace and test different approaches, no matter the needed investments. We saw it in 2014 through Facebook’s WhatsApp acquisition, or Google’s purchasing of Nest Labs with $3.2 billion –which from a media perspective can mean a better understanding of people’s behavior for Google by expanding its reach into areas not dependable on a PC or mobile device, but in the physical world as well. Discussing strictly about advertising, 2014 meant for Facebook a big focus on video (November 2014 being the first month when Facebook’s uploaded videos surpassed Youtube), launch of website custom audiences, decreasing (once more..) pages’ organic reach or closing the like (fan’s) gate, all of them playing important roles on day to day digital advertising work and also on the overall digital strategy. Same 2014 brought to Romanian advertisers the option to use Gmail Sponsored Promotion – which proved to deliver great results in test campaigns. 2014 was a special year for digital in Romania. And not only for the numbers we already know are generally growing (such as internet penetration, time spend, mobile growth etc), but also for some unique moments which helped marketers to better understand the real potential of digital. One of these moments were the presidential elections, where online media showed an unprecedented influence level, with unprecedented power to move masses. This is a very important stage because, from the marketers’ point of view, digital is becoming reliable as a channel capable to deliver results at the highest level, not only for some special niches. E-commerce evolution is also important in the overall digital landscape, because it’s so strictly related with the digital lucky coin – complete the entire funnel, from prospect to buy. And 2014 was a great year also for the online commerce, as we’ll see further. From the major local moves of the media players we mention Adevolution takeover by Thinkdigital and Goldbach retirement from Romania (with the local team continuing the business). 60% 58% 52% 50% 50% 43% 40% 30% 61% 36% 38% 2008 2009 46% 31% 26% 20% 10% 10% 0% 2006 2007 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 There are almost 10.3 million Romanians online, 88.2% of them being frequent users. 64% live in urban areas and 36% in rural – this split becoming more interesting for the market, with rural areas showing a great potential. In 2015, SNA Focus presented at “Ziua cercetarii media” preliminary data of a 2014 rural research, offering interesting insights such as (real) metaphor “rural internet penetration being higher than current water supply”. From the same source, there were more than 68% of people between 14-64 y.o. (10.3 million people) using internet, of which 56% are daily users. Urban smartphones penetration is higher (59% vs 45%), but we expect mobile to increase significantly in rural areas due to ease of purchase and telecom players’ special offers (mobile internet estimated growth is +25% compared to 2013). Romanian online users - demographic & behaviour If we look for a pattern regarding the age vs penetration in online, this should be “younger the age, higher the penetration”, with 65-74 segment at 15%, but 16-54 at more than 50%. Age Groups internet usage Digital Landscape There are more than 3 billion people online, meaning 42% of the total global population, all on a growing trend. North America is the leader with 87% penetration, followed by Europe with 70%, but big growth is expected from others as well (for ex. Asia still with only 34%). Romania maintained in 2014 a growing trend of digital penetration, spend time and frequency of usage, even if the rate is slowly decreasing from 6% YOY (in 2012 and 2013) to 3% (in 2014). At the end of 2014 we find Romania still bellow CE average in terms of penetration, but still in front in terms of internet speed, maintaining an unbelievable 6th worldwide place. 25-34 55-64 66% 63% 50% 35% 36 www.mediafactbook.com 65-74 35-44 16-24 89% 45-54 15% ROMANIA 2015 37 The most impressive internet penetration is still represented by 16-24 demographic segment, with more than 89% being active online in 2014. Regarding the most frequent online activities, searching for information (84%) is still on top, while emailing continues to slowly decrease (76%) and social networks (74%) to increase. The shift to social networks (+8.2% more usage), joining chat rooms or forums (+7.3%) are topped only by video consumption, which becomes the star of category with +31.8% growth / increase. Social Media networks / Romanian users 2014 78% 60% 78% 79% 80% 76% Frequent online activities 100% 40% 20% 0% Search for info Email Social networks Read news Instant messaging Watch video Online games Audio stream 2012 Join chat /forum 2013 7,000,000 Source: Focus CAPI / BRAT, urban 2014 population 14-74 2014 also showed an increasing trend regarding Romanian online users trust in online info they find on internet, with more than 35% being positive. A decreasing trend is seen in the impact of intrusive online advertising, with more than 57% considering “ads bother them”. Online stores, travel or real estate websites have a growing trend in user’s preferences, and job offers or selling/ buying 2nd hand cars a small decreasing one. The impact of digital on other media is also an interesting topic, and a growing trend of “listen to radio online” or “watch TV online”, confirms our expectations. Especially regarding TV content, there is a big opportunity for the major producers to shift important part of the content distribution through digital. E-commerce market (helped also by “Black Friday” concept which produced +75 million sales) is estimated to to exceed1 billion EUR in 2014, which means almost double vs 2013 (600 million) - excluding utilities, planes/ travel tickets (so exclusively on goods sold online). The average age of Romanian most active online shopper remains 25 and 35 years, with over 80% of them living in urban areas. Top categories of 2014 were IT&C, Fashion and Home&Deco. We can still see the reluctance of Romanian users to pay online, with more than 90% of the online shoppers choosing to pay cash on delivery. Alexa.com confirms Romanian favourite web destinations top, with Google.ro as no.1 choice, followed by Facebook, YouTube and Yahoo. An important player of ten is Olx.ro which was responsible for the major acquisition of 2015 by buying its main competitor, Tocmai.ro, after a tough fight on the Romanian classifieds market. Social media in Romania www.mediafactbook.com 107,000 89,600 79,300 71,000 Source: Gemius Research, Zelist Market The only question for the digital market is how fast it will grow. Programmatic made last years a lot of buzz, which should be continued over the next years, because there are high expectations from all parties, from brands to agencies, and not least from local publishers - (Agora launch in 2014 being one of the major events of the year). We estimate a total digital market in 2014 of 51 million EUR, which represents a YOY increase with almost 10% vs 2013 (evaluated at 46.2 million EUR). Main increases are attributed to the international players, which benefited from the general market focus on direct response campaigns. Classic display keeps close to 2013, even if part of the local inventory shifted to other sales channels, such as Google Display Network. 30.000 25.000 20.000 22,103 21,000 18,250 22,050 22,950 22,160 19,125 15,300 15.000 10,200 10.000 5.000 Facebook continued to grow in 2014, reaching more than 7,8 million visitors, with great penetration on both desktop and mobile. We used Gemius research for data regarding Youtube Romanian users (number which has been also mentioned by Google officials), and we have +6.9 million users. The top is completed by Linkedin which grew to +1,5 million user accounts (via Zelist), local TPU (with +1.5 million visitors via Gemius), and Skype. Twitter and Instagram have 0,28, respectively 0,18 million user accounts, but only a part of them were active in 2014 (28,000 on Twitter and 45,000 on Instagram). 38 1,250,000 2014 6,000 750 1,250 2010 1,500 1,438 2011 2,250 1,653 2012 2,812 1,818 2013 Display 3,515 2,000 2014 Google AdWords Facebook Yahoo Source: Focus CAPI / BRAT, urban 2014 population 14-74 (budgets in '000 EUR) ROMANIA 2015 39 Perspectives for 2015 For 2015, we estimate an overall market growth of 10%, reason to celebrate up to 56 million EUR. Mobile Users’ shift to mobile can’t be anymore ignored by marketers, so 2015 should be the year of mobile, with more dedicated campaigns, special creative, and higher overall budgets. Also, smart and useful applications development can be considered as an important asset of almost any brand, with 46% of worldwide online shoppers being less likely to look for other options when they use a company’s mobile app. – comScore Video Same as on mobile, Facebook and Google will continue to play an important role, offering efficient platforms and great targeting capabilities to run video ads. Also, we expect marketers already noticed the great results of video advertising from previous campaigns will put more emphasize on video formats. By the end of 2018 mobile video is estimated to represent 69% of global mobile traffic, so if mobile is a known star, mobile video should be the next. Programmatic After much buzz in 2014, we expect to see in 2015 more campaigns, better targeted, with better results for both brands (with higher ROI) and publishers (with more revenue per used inventory). Also, the market is becoming more educated and aware of the main strengths of programmatic, so passing the most important barrier – of understanding how the technology works, should help. In the programmatic context, the major word of 2015 will be “data”, even if we refer to 1st, 2nd, or 3rd party. The main platforms have much similarities in terms of buying, so custom targeting (powered by data) will be the one able to make the difference. ROMANIA 2015 40 www.mediafactbook.com ROMANIA 2015 41 Mobile Overview of the mobile landscape in Romania. Year of the mobile in 2014? Again? We have been hearing this affirmation since 2012. Somehow we are all under the feeling that this is the year we have all been waiting for, not being able to pinpoint exactly what is that everybody is waiting for. But shouldn’t we be talking about the “time of the mobile” instead? While we work on making mobile marketing mainstream, new words already make it to the urban dictionary: “Nomophobia” - the fear of being out of mobile phone contact. It is estimated that in January 2015 the number of global smartphones internet connections reached over 2.7 billion. Mobile devices continue to demand their rightful place in our lives and shape our everyday behaviors. While the marketers and advertising agencies as well are still taking their first shy steps into this new territory, the average Romanian has figured out his way into the land of mobile. According to ANCOM, the Romanians are wasting no time into getting the latest and the best. There were 12 million mobile broadband connections in Romania at the end of 2014, out of which 89% for 3G and 3G+. This results in a 12% YOY increase of mobile internet penetration from the end of 2013.t Romanians were also drawn to the multiple functionalities offered by tablets, with an estimated penetration within the population of almost 13% tablet ownership in 2014. Apple rules the tablet segment in Romania, with 41.3% online traffic accounted in Romania at the end of 2014 from such devices, while Samsung owns the smartphone segment with 36.9% traffic and on a rising trend. As expected, the younger demographics are highly mobile, with age group <25 yrs. owning the smartphone segment (63% penetration) while the more expensive tablet devices have a higher penetration among 3544 demographic (22%). Encouraging to notice that older demographics get online as well, with 55+ age groups reaching a 9% smartphone ownership and 3% tablet. Mobile devices penetration by age groups 80% 3% 55+ 9% 94% 14% 45-54 22% Penetration (Urban, 2014) 91% 22% 35-44 38% 96% 18% 25-34 Smartphones 34% Mobile Phones 114.9% 56% 95% 18% >25 63% Tablets 13% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Mobile 100% Tablet Smartphone Source: Google & ANCOM And how many mobile phones is the average Romanian carrying with him? Most of them, more than 1. At the end of 2014, the total number of active SIM cards in Romania was 22.9 million, almost equal to the numbers registered in 2013. To be mentioned an increase in subscriptions with 4.9% compared to the previous year, while prepaid users have dropped by 3.4%. The use of mobile services is growing on a yearly basis. Voice traffic on mobile networks in 2014 was 5.3% higher than the registered traffic in the same period of 2013, up to 67 billion minutes. Consumer connected devices habits in Romania According to Ancom, for 2014 the average mobile internet user consumed an average of 260 MB of data traffic monthly (that’s a 65% data traffic increase vs .2013). This means that the emergence of the 4G networks and more attractive data subscription packages are slowly shifting the mobile traffic from Wi-Fi to more on the go solutions. Multiscreening is the new norm today, with 30% of the Romanians being online while watching TV, 26% when going out and 15% when shopping. (Google Internet in Everyday Life) Moreover, Romanians now have unprecedented access to acquiring a smartphone due to the sustained efforts and competitive offers from the local telecom operators. It is estimated that 1 out of 3 Romanians now owns a smartphone, this increasing the overall smartphone penetration by +21% in 2014, to a level of 34% of the population now owning such device. 42 www.mediafactbook.com ROMANIA 2015 43 Perspectives for 2015 30% TV Multiscreening Online while watching TV 26% Going Out Online when going Out 15% With more access to various content and multimedia features, the mobile consumption habits are ever evolving. In terms of activities taken on their connected devices, Searching for Info (78%) and accessing Social Networks (72%) are the most prominent ones, both on smartphones and tablets. The usage patterns denote a higher involvement for the activities undertaken on tablet devices, which was expected mainly due to the larger screen size that allows for a more immersive experience. Streaming 57% Instant 56% Video Streaming 68% Email Email Networks While it is the era of the mobile consumers, mobile advertising still lags behind. The new involvement of the consumers with their connected devices affects the way they spend their leisure time, the frequency of internet browsing and increased usage of mobile apps. Still, it is estimated that only under 5% of planned ad impressions in local campaigns are allocated for mobile advertising, while the rest of 95% go for desktop. Even if these shares are higher for Google and Facebook, due to their platforms facilities, we still must address the specificity of mobile devices and the new obstacles, as well as the opportunities they offer. Let’s all focus our efforts to where the consumers are! 58% Instant 67% 70% Social In 2015, Google itself made “mobile-friendliness” a ranking signal. This change will affect mobile searches in all languages worldwide and will have a significant impact in our search results. Consequently, users will find it easier to get relevant, high quality search results that are optimized for their devices. “As more people use mobile devices to access the internet, our algorithms have to adapt to these usage patterns”, explained Google in its announcement. Investments in mobile or at least responsive versions of websites are a must for 2015 for all marketers. Messaging Messaging 78% Search Info On the other hand, the new wave of innovation in technology and the increased competition for best offers and solutions, both from mobile operators and from handset producers are creating the means for invention in numerous other areas, as consumers embrace new behaviors and marketers need to find ways to improve efficiency, develop new products and services, and expand their market reach. Online when going Shopping Shopping 52% Video Around the world, smartphones (alongside tablets and a whole new wave of other smart devices, like wearables) design a whole new way of how people connect, interact and live their lives. 78% Search Info 74% Social Networks 44 www.mediafactbook.com ROMANIA 2015 45 Radio Overview In 2014, the Radio market was stable in terms of advertising investments, while Radio networks strived to consolidate market shares through marketing campaigns, events and integrated media packages with social media. The Radio market structure covered a wide range of audience profiles and preferences, with the highest market share on Contemporary Hit Radio (41% / urban 11+), followed by Adult Contemporary (33.2% / urban 11+). FORMAT RADIO STATION CORE TARGET EXTENDED TARGET Contemporary Hit Radio Radio Pro FM Radio ZU Radio 21 Radio Sport Total FM Radio Kiss FM Radio Europa FM Radio National FM Radio Romania Actualitati Radio Romania Cultural Radio France International Radio Magic FM Radio Smart FM Radio Rock FM Radio Vibe FM 15 - 25 y.o. 15 - 49 y.o. 18 - 29 y.o. 25 - 40 y.o. 18 - 32 y.o. 30 - 49 y.o. 35 - 45 y.o. 30 - 65 y.o. 18 - 60 y.o. 35 - 44 y.o. 30 - 45 y.o. 35 - 44 y.o. 30 - 45 y.o. 18 - 24 y.o. 15 - 49 y.o 15 - 55 y.o. 15 - 35 y.o. 18 - 47 y.o. 15 - 49 y.o. 30+ y.o. 30 - 55 y.o. 30 - 65 y.o. 18 - 60 y.o. 25 - 54 y.o. 25 - 50 y.o. Adult Contemporary Soft Adult Contemporary Classic Rock Dance Kiss FM: Summer Kiss Bass (one artist and 30 listeners, 300 km of fun) – Kiss Bass passengers took part in a 24h fun trip on Saturday and Sunday from Bucharest to the seaside and back Magic FM: Santa’s Radio (the most beautiful Christmas songs were aired by the station in December) Radio ZU: organized in March, on Cluj Arena, “Forza ZU”, the biggest karaoke live show where 33 artists entertained 60,000 participants and 1st edition of ZUMA (Zu Music Awards) on the launch day of ZU TV airing day. Europa FM: capitalized on marketing campaigns with high engaging potential such as “Money Hit Contest”, “Double or Nothing Contest”. “Live in the Garage” managed to become by itself a brand with high awareness, while “Live on the Beach” was an event which managed to gather around 60,000 participants at a show sustained by the most popular pop-rock bands in Romania. Radio 21: “Move to Apartment 21”& “Wheel of Luck” were the two campaigns with promotional mechanism organized by Radio 21, while “Liberty Parade” the already traditional summer event held on the largest scene in the country, managed to gather 70,000 people. Pro FM: most important campaigns were “Pro FM Topeste inimi” on Valentine’s Day in AFI Cotroceni, where a ring was placed in an ice heart and the winner guessed what time will take the ice to melt, “Pro FM Super Girl” concert supported by the most popular Romanian bands was held on 8th March held in AFI Cotroceni and “Cisterna Pro FM”, the campaign where five full tanks of gasoline and a road assistance voucher were offered daily to the 100th “Listen Pro FM” SMS. Market Analysis MGSI strengthened its leadership regaining 2 pp of market share to 38%, albeit it is still below the 40% owned in 2013. On 2nd place follows Media Camina Group with a marginal growth (from 21% to 22%), while Regie Radio Music keeps 3rd place despite the drop in market share from 19% to 16%. Pro FM remains 4th, with 16% (vs. 17% in 2013), while Societatea Romana de Radiodifuziune (RRA), despite the 2 pp growth from 2013, ranks last with 8% market share. Advertisement Revenues Share by Sales House RRA,8% 25 - 50 y.o. 16 - 29 y.o. Source: Radio stations statements MGSI, 38% PRO TV, 16% Note: In 2015 Radio Vibe FM will change his format in soft music with core target 35-45 y.o. and extended target 25-55 y.o. Several changes marked the Radio market in 2014 right from the start, the most significant ones were: In January Serban Huidu left Kiss FM morning show “Carcotasii” and in the same month Gold FM’s morning program became “Dobrovolski Show” and was on air from Monday to Friday every morning between 07:00 and 10:00 and can also be listened live online, on www.radioguerrilla.ro. In March, the sports journalist Catalin Tolontan started a weekly show on Europa FM, every Tuesday during the morning program, bringing into discussion a wide variety of topics from all domains. At the end of July, Mihai Gainusa and his team left Kiss FM to start a new broadcast “Cusurgii” on Radio 21, from the 1st of September. In August, Monica Anghel left the Europa FM morning program after seven years, while in September, Andrei Gheorghe returned to Pro FM morning show. From September, Kiss FM brought a new team to host the morning show, the stand-up comedians Sergiu Floroaia and Andrei Ciobanu. Pro FM and Info Pro became generalist radio stations in September, and in December were acquired by RCS -RDS, transaction concluded in 2015. As in previous years, the main Radio stations continued to develop marketing campaigns and events for listeners’ engagement and as a loyalty trigger. The most popular were: 46 www.mediafactbook.com MGSI = Kiss FM, Magic FM, Rock FM Grupul Media Camina = Radio ZU Regie Radio Music = Europa FM, Radio 21 PRO TV = Pro FM RRA = Radio Romania Actualitati Regie Radio Music, 16% Grupul Media Camina, 22% Source: MediaMonitor BRAT, RC figures, barters excluded If in 2013 the Radio investors top was led by Retailers, last year the first place was claimed by a very dynamic “Medical & optical products and service” category with 10 pp increase vs. 2013, driven mostly by Zdrovit. Although the retail category “Retailers” gained 25% in RC spending, it fell on 2nd place due to the due to medical category push. “Domestic appliances, electrical & electronics” category gained importance with 3pp increase compared to 2013. ROMANIA 2015 47 Place of listening Daily Reach (%) Evolution - Urban 11+ Monday to Friday Despite the Cosmote - Romtelecom rebranding campaign in September 2014, the “Mobile telecommunications services” category did not benefit in terms of Radio ad revenue (2 pp drop vs. 2013) as the campaign focus was mostly on TV, out-of-home and special events. “Banking & insurance services” category lost 3 places in the ranking (from the 3rd place in 2013 to 6th place in 2014) and 4pp (from 8% in 2013 to 4% in 2014), as several traditional advertisers reduced their presence on this medium. 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% At home 30% Product Category Spending share Medical & optical products and services Retailers Domestic appliances, electrical & electronics Mobile telecommunications services Building & constructions products and materials Banking & insurance services Cosmetics, Hygienic & Hair Care Cars and 4x4 vehicles Fuels/Oil/Lubricants/Companies & Products Furniture Beer In a car 20% 27% 17% 11% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% At work Other place 10% TOTAL 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: MasoR8 In 2014 Radio ZU (14.9%) consolidated its leading position in terms of average rating in Bucharest, followed by Radio Romania Actualitati (12.3%) and Kiss FM (11.4%) which increased its performance and reduced the gap vs. the 2nd place. Magic FM (8.9%) followed at a significant distance, while Pro FM (7.4%) and Europa FM (7.2%) remained on tight positions on 5th and 6th places, although both increased in rating in 2014. At urban level, Kiss FM (14.5%), although dropping from 15.8% in 2013, remains leader at a comfortable distance from Radio Romania Actualitati (12.4%) and Radio ZU (12%), both on a positive trend. Europa FM (10.4%) remained 4th with stable performance, while Pro FM (9.8%) follows on 5th place at a very small difference. Source: MediaMonitor, BRAT, RC figures, barters excluded Top 10 Stations Urban vs. Bucharest Audience Analysis 14.9 14.5 In 2014, the daily Radio audience increased significantly in Bucharest and also at urban level. The trend was registered during weekdays as well as during weekend, with a performance increase between 1.2% (in Bucharest during weekdays) to 2.6% (weekdays at urban level). 12.8 12.4 11.4 11+ urban 12 Source: MasoR8 10.4 Daily Reach (%) Evolution 9.8 7.2 8.9 7.4 6.1 80 73,4 74,6 73.9 71,3 65 5.4 63.9 65,7 2.3 2.6 65,8 Kiss FM 2013 55 Monday-Friday Saturday-Sunday Urban Monday-Friday Saturday-Sunday Bucharest 2014 Source: MasoR8 As in the previous year, the preferred place of Radio listening during weekdays remains “at home” (45.7%) and “in the car” (37%). On the other hand, while listening over the internet decreased slightly from 10.2% to 9.4%, the usage of the radio mobile phone/media player increased from 7.5% to 10.3%, setting a trend which could be noticed also during weekends. www.mediafactbook.com 3 2.1 2 67,1 60 48 5.8 4.7 75 70 11+Bucharest Actualitati ZU Europa FM Pro FM Magic FM Radio21 Ant. Satelor Rock FM National FM Local Radio In 2014, Goldbach Media continued to be the main local Radio sales house, with 79 local partners in 39 counties, while Midas Media included in its portfolio 13 local Radio stations in 13 counties. Besides the classical ad placement, the local Radio stations have become more open to implement special projects, contests, live interventions, programs branding and guests in Radio programs. Perspectives for 2015 In 2015, the Radio market is expected to remain at the same level as in 2014, or to increase marginally. Radio stations will continue to be flexible and open to special projects in 2015 a flexible policy and the opening to special projects (creative contests, shows relocations in unconventional locations, branded programs). They are also expected to be more present in social media and to generate more media campaigns that will integrate the Radio station with smartphones and the web. ROMANIA 2015 49 Print Coverage (%) evolution Overview In 2014, the Print industry continued to be affected by the collapse of the distribution networks, their insolvency leaving the publishers with large amounts of account receivables. Additionally, the continuous content duplication with the online versions resulted in further reduction of print buyers. Publishers continued their marketing strategy based on frequent inserts of books, DVD’s, cosmetics sachets, but the approach was not successful, as it resulted in very low sold circulation for the issues without insert. As a consequence, more and more clients reduced or cut their media investments in Print. To defend their advertising revenues and market shares, publishers pushed more for integrated media exposure packages (print - online, print – online - event), and released more supplements tailored to specific events: exams for various education levels, elections, National Day, seasonal holidays etc. 40 35 30 25 Monthlies 20 10 Burda Romania & Burda Media: in February, Burda International GmbH finalized the transaction for the acquisition of Sanoma Hearst portfolio. To comply with the Competition Council’s request, Burda had to sell several titles, such as “Bucataria de azi Retete”, “Casa de vacanta”, “Ioana Visul Copiilor” and “Ioana vine barza”. In March, Sanoma Hearst was renamed Burda Media, and continued the transformation process by closing Story magazine in July and deciding not to renew the FHM license from September. 0 Mediafax: April marked the first issue of CSID without Oana Cuzino as Chief Editor and in October the last cover of Glamour was released under Mediafax. The end of 2014 came with additional titles closed – Pro Sport, Pro Motor, Playboy and GQ. Intact Publishing: in December, Jurnalul National daily reduced the format to A4, keeping the same number of pages. Medien Holding: in June, “Academia Catavencu” editorial team was divided once more and in September a new issue of the publication was released, with monthly periodicity. Market Analysis In 2014, readership continues to decrease among all print types, independent of the periodicity. Nevertheless, after the major drop during June12-August14, print audience continued to decrease at a slower pace of approx. 3-6% from one measurement to another, resulting in lower circulation figures and sales decline. 50 www.mediafactbook.com Dailies 15 The decline has triggered major changes which became necessary in order to settle the business in current market condition: Insolvency was requested by several media houses, some of them very big, such as Editura Evenimentul Zilei & Capital, Mediafax Group and Intact Publishing. Ringier Romania: in March, “Unica” glossy magazine was re-positioned upmarket - premium with a new design, while in April two titles were closed, “Bravo” and “Joy”. September came with additional changes, when Libertatea daily tabloid was re-launched with a new editorial structure and Glamour glossy magazine license was taken over from Mediafax. Weeklies 5 Wave Aug11-Feb13 Wave Sep11-Iun13 Wave Ian12-Dec13 Wave Jun12-May14 Wave Aug12-Aug14 Wave Nov12-Nov14 Wave Feb13-Feb15 Source: SNA-CAPI However, readers preference for specific editorial content remained stable throughout the last couple of years - women continued to show a high preference for monthly glossy magazines and weekly titles where they are more likely to find advice and practical info about cooking, personal care, household maintenance & decoration, health & nutrition. Men main interest remained general interest newspapers and sports. Gender Preferences in Print Titles 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Monthlies Source: SNA-CAPI Feb13-Feb15 Affinity versus Urban 14-74 Weeklies Dailies Men Women ROMANIA 2015 51 In terms of gross (rate card) ad revenues, Ringier was ranked 1st, with a major increase to 21% market share (vs. 14% in 2013), despite the fact that two titles were closed and Glamour was added to the portfolio at the end of the year. The performance was driven by the fact that the media house managed to bring together the top titles from very big categories, such as glossy women beauty & fashion, celebrities & lifestyle, cooking, automotive. Despite the slight increase to 19% market share (vs. 15% in 2013), Adevarul Holding lost leading position in favor of the very dynamic Ringier evolution. As Burda International – Sanoma Hearst transaction was finalized at the beginning of 2014, the new media trust went up on 3rd position from 4th in 2013, with 10% cumulated market share. Mediafax dropped on 4rth place losing 5 pp to 9%, as several important publications from the group were closed (Pro Motor, Pro Sport, Playboy, GQ). Share of RC revenues by Media Group (excl. barters) The top 10 advertising categories with significant investments in print (Rate Card) accounted in 2014 for more than 50% of the total gross print spend (media barter excluded). Categories Magazines Newspapers Retailers Medical & optical products and services Cosmetics, Hygienic & Hair Care Mobile telecommunications services Cars and 4x4 vehicles Banking & insurance services Clothing & accessories Domestic appliances, electrical & electronics Building & constructions products and materials Internet services 21.6% 40.0% 98.2% 31.2% 50.9% 37.8% 90.8% 44.8% 40.4% 32.0% 78.5% 60.0% 1.8% 68.8% 49.2% 62.2% 9.2% 55.2% 59.6% 68.0% Source: BRAT Media MONITOR OTHERS, 8% PATETIC MEDIA, 1% SOLPRESS S..L. 1% PEOPLE MAGAZINE, 2% RINGIER ROMANIA, 21% RING MEDIA GROUP, 2% BP PUBLISHING 2% ETA MEDIA PUBLISHERS, 3% INTACT PUBLISHING, 4% With a constant communication especially in newspapers, Retailers dominated the print advertising in 2014, with an important jump from the 5th to the 1st position, with Lidl, Ikea and Carrefour being the most active investors. Despite the major re-branding in the “Mobile telecommunications services”, the category place in the ranking was not influenced, as the investment share towards print was marginal, compared to other media used in the campaign. Sustained by the “Rabla” program and special offers, “Cars and 4x4 vehicles” category switched places with “Banking & insurance services”, while aggressive promos such as Black Friday brought “Domestic appliances, electrical & electronics” on the 8th position in 2014 (vs. 10th in 2013). “Beer” had an interesting evolution in 2014, as the category was active in Print throughout the year, not only during summer, and achieved a gross spending close to number 10 category. Regional Press MEDIA SUD MANAGMENT, 5% In 2014, the descending trend continued in local print also, with additional titles being closed and some of them going online. EDITURA EVENIMENTUL ZILEI SI CAPITAL, 6% ADEVARUL HOLDING, 19% CONVERGENT MEDIA, 7% MEDIAFAX GROUP, 9% BURDA MEDIA + BURDA ROMANIA, 10% Source: BRAT Media MONITOR 52 www.mediafactbook.com The most important 2014 event in regional press was marked in August by Goldbach Group decision to withdraw from several SE European countries, including Romania. In our country, by the end of the year, the executive management took control of the operation through an MBO and the company is expected to change name in 2015. Despite the general negative trend of the print market, some local titles managed to keep high readership and implicitly, circulation, due to the high interest of their local readers - some examples are Gazeta de Sud, Ring, Informatia zilei de Satu Mare, Ziarul de Iasi, Jurnalul Aradean, Monitorul de Suceava, Viata Libera Galati. As in the previous years, the most important local titles were polarized in two important sales houses: Goldbach Romania and Midas Media. ROMANIA 2015 53 Online Titles The general trend for online titles shows a significant growth for major websites, confirming once again the high business potential online versions have in publishers’ portfolio. Releasing online versions and creating complementary content between print and digital publications editions continues to represent a solution for the publishers to reduce costs, consolidate readers’ loyalty and make their businesses profitable. Site Corresponding Pub www.cancan.ro Genre 2014 Monthly Avg. Hits CanCan Tabloids Tabloids 41,706,387 2013 Monthly Avg. Evolution Visits Hits Visits Hits Visits 15,336,811 39,069,915 12,974,618 7% 18% www.libertatea.ro Libertatea 41,242,629 13,545,330 33,364,635 10,617,306 24% 28% www.gsp.ro Gazeta Sporturilor Sport 36,322,742 11,193,064 31,551,136 9,055,964 15% 24% www.playboy.ro Playboy Men Lifestyle 32,220,197 3,475,074 10,788,754 976,163 199% 256% www.gandul.info Gandul News 30,884,227 13,806,620 21,533,882 10,395,733 43% 33% www.prosport.ro Pro Sport Sport 28,022,462 11,595,666 25,395,438 9,799,705 10% 18% www.evz.ro Evenimentul Zilei News 23,478,131 6,781,502 14,676,191 5,033,265 60% 35% www.adevarul.ro Adevarul News 20,638,764 9,046,984 12,923,303 5,633,341 60% 61% www.click.ro Click Tabloids 15,005,281 4,462,781 17,751,017 4,860,889 -15% -8% Source: SATI BRAT Perspectives for 2015 For 2015, it is expected that more and more publishers will develop their standard sales offers based on integrated media packages (print – supplements – online – mobile), to secure annual budgets and generate constant revenue towards all the vehicles in their portfolio. The polarization of the glossy magazines in two media trusts, Ringier and Burda, is expected to determine shortly a challenge for budget share, which will be most probably supported with aggressive package offers and exclusivity deals. In 2015 the print industry will continue its decline, with more titles expected to close or move their editorial content to the online versions. ROMANIA 2015 54 www.mediafactbook.com ROMANIA 2015 55 Out-of-Home Media Overview Unlike the previous years, 2014 didn’t bring any significant changes to the OOH market. Depending on the perspective, the market structure seemed to either build continuity, or be gripped in a status quo. For the first time in many years, everyone had a solid certainty: they could rely on the fact that no new legislation is going to be approved. Starting from this real fact, the networks had a steady growth especially in Bucharest, Euromedia being a good example for it with an estimate of 80 new backlit locations. Affichage kept its ground. Unexpectedly, the independent investors were the ones to profit the most of this allowance period / political amnesty. More than ever, the increasing media fragmentation and the pressure of smaller available budgets on the market, have determined an unprecedented push for additional discounts. Distinct from the last years evolution, 2014 didn’t registered any decrease in the overall financial investments. Although commercial clients had a few percent less than 2013, the European and Presidential Elections, as well as the rebranding of Cosmote into Telekom, succeeded in filling in the gap and closing the year with a flat growth as for 2013 budgets. Also, as well as last year, Retail players kept growing their networks. As a conclusion, the OOH market registered a flat growth in 2014, with a total spent of 28 million euro. As mentioned before, the independent players kept on building-up their Bucharest and national networks. The most dynamic ones are: Universal Solutions, Imperial Media, New Age, Way Media. Spectacular Group of Companies, seem to go through another conflict with Metrorex, lately threatening to open a law process against them. As for type of formats, the networks development was, as usual, concentrated on backlight which is the predominant format in Romanian OOH Industry, with a 45% share, followed by billboards with a 19% share and city lights/buss-shelters with 14%. The remaining 22% are composed by : roll-overs, meshes, prisms, unipoles, flags and other special projects Share of Market ‐ Formats billboard 19% city light / bus-shelter 14% The OOH monitoring system, heavily endorsed the idea of a Frequency Study on Outdoor and got approval on most of the needed procedures, including an estimated budget, for starting the selection process of the audit company. Other format 22% Outdoor The only significant street furniture auction has been won by Communications in Oradea. The Bucharest Transit media contracts are still being signed, as in past years, directly by RATB. In regard to market configuration, 2014 was the first in many years to have only Romanian Owners, as the most important suppliers (Euromedia and Affichage) were taken over from foreign Shareholders. As a quick history reminder : starting with the 1st August 2013, APG SGA SA, the main owner for Affichage sold its shares to its CEO, Rene Rosenberg who further sold 60% of the company to several Romanian investors. Epa Media was sold by JoJ Media House to a Romanian Investors Group. As a reminder, in 2012 JoJ Media House bought the entire Epa Media network from Raiffeisen. They sold the Bulgarian branch to a local player and in Hungary to JC Decaux. The Romanian subsidiary followed in 2013. The 2015 ranking for the top 3 vendors is : - Euromedia – 28% - Affichage Romania – 17% - Getica – 10% - Others – 45% 56 www.mediafactbook.com roll-over mesh prism unipole flag special project backlight 45% Share of Market - Vendors Others 45% Euromedia 28% Affichage Romania Getica 17% 10% Indoor The main players are Brand Management and Sugar Media. There were no changes in the investors top in indoor advertising – the largest budgets continued to be sustained by the Banking and Financial sector, followed closely by FCMG, Automotive, Entertainment, Airlines and Fashion industries. Indoor ads in office buildings represent the only segment that managed to increase revenues mainly through innovative special projects. Elevate is leading with 70% market share followed by Invent Media. The largest budgets were sustained by the Banking and Financial sectors closely tracked by FCMG, Automotive, Airlines and Pharma. Digital OOH On Digital Outdoor, Phoenix Media entered in a third year on a roll expansion of their Tv-Screen network with 5 new locations in Bucharest, thus maintaining by far the leadership in this segment. They also kept on replacing some of the old screens with new modern digital supports, and announced another 10 ROMANIA 2015 57 more brand-new locations for 2015. Media Advertising and Vision Media Plus continue to operate in the segment, maintaining their existing classical networks. Phoenix Media remained the only supplier to sell advertising space based on four time slots: prime, basic, inter and night time. The company also remains the owner of the exclusive contract for the 20 LCDs placed in Bucharest Old Town. Digital Indoor refers to plasma screens distributed across networks in crowded places. Blitz TV maintained its’ contract with Metrorex for the subway LCD network. Cross-media Special Projects: the main trend in the industry is represented by transformed classical supports enhanced with modern digital high tech devices. Given the previous year successful experience with “Orange Orchestra”, Orange implemented a new advanced technology cross media project in 2014: combining 4G with Kinect technology, Orange succeeded to enable a live interaction between Bucharest and Mamaia. In the Universitate passage in Bucharest a special soccer ball throwing machine was installed in front of a big screen with live streaming, via 4 G network. In this way people from the two different locations could play soccer in real time, taking advantage of the high speed technology. In autumn, the launch of the 4G services everywhere in the subway was communicated through a very innovative presence throughout the entire Bucharest subway network. The passengers were offered the opportunity to test the performance of the 4G network via a dedicated app - Orange 4G subway – that offered various types of content : movies, music, games, audiobooks. The service launch was promoted with the extended usage, for the first time, of the Metrorex official signage (information boards, lighning boxes), full - branded trains, a huge board at Piata Victoriei, floor graphics and Universitate stairs railing. 58 www.mediafactbook.com Perspectives for 2015 As usual, 2015 had a very slow start, but things improved since March. The expected term of 15th of October for the implementation of the new outdoor law is coming closer, and all suppliers should have already started to normalize their networks, although until now, there is no sign of such actions, as if the market waits to see if the law will be implemented, or postponed once again. As 2016 is going to be another election year, it is expected that most vendors will keep expanding their networks. Indoor is expected to maintain a steady evolution and maintain current status. Although there is hope, more than ever, to maintain thelast year’s investments, and there are some positive perspectives regarding an increase of the outdoor budgets – continuous Retailers expansion and high competition in the Mobile telecommunications category, the figures are until now, moderate. The general estimation for 2015 is foreseeing a desecending trend, with a 2% deficit. ROMANIA 2015 59 MEDIA RESEARCH Internet Measurement Overview 2014 was a relatively eventless year regarding media audience measurement and monitoring. The cost efficiency pressure of syndicated research, although present, has not led to sacrificing methodological rigorousness for the purpose of cost reductions. The most important event of 2014 refers to the selection process for the TV audience measurement (TAM service) provider starting with January 1, 2016 until December 31, 2019, which was won by Kantar Media, the incumbent research company. Also very important was the optimization of the SNA Focus syndicated survey for 2014-2017, supervised by BRAT, and aimed to improve the quality and performance for measuring the consumer trends linked with Print readership. TV Measurement Audience measurement for TV is available on daily basis since August 2001, while access to detailed audience data is available only through membership to ARMA (Romanian Association for Audience Measurement), the organization that also represents the beneficiaries interest in relationship with the data provider. Kantar Media Audiences is the provider of audience data for the TV Audience Measurement (TAM) survey as of January 2012. At the beginning of 2015, ARMA decided to continue the collaboration with KMA for 2016-2019, also. TAM system is a quantitative research, which measures the TV usage among Romanian population – minute by minute viewing, 24/7 – using tele-control people-meters. The universe contains all private households in Romania with a working television, and all individuals aged 4+ in those households. People who have spent last year more than 3 consecutive months outside the country are classified as ‘migrants’, and are not included in the research universe. The gross installed panel is 1,320 households, the reporting panel of households being 1,200. Viewing by guests in a panel member’s home is measured as a surrogate for the viewing by panel members who take place in other homes. The exact age and gender of guest viewers are collected. Consolidated viewing is also available as a metric, and is defined as live viewing plus any time-shift viewing taking place within seven days of the original transmission. At the end of 2014 there were 59 monitored and reported TV stations. Monitoring data is available from a relatively wide range of providers, although only the TAM service provides performance data for TV spots alongside with correction factors for spots with length different from 30”. The working software tool for both audience and monitoring data is InfoSysTV+. In 2014 ARMA has generated a process of increasing transparency by attracting more players from the market into the association, as paying members. This initiative will result in 2016 in a more affordable cost for smaller agencies. 60 www.mediafactbook.com BRAT (a non for profit, independent, tripartite organization for the media and advertising industry, whose members are publishers, media owners, media agencies and advertisers) is presently the only industry recognized provider of performance data concerning Internet traffic and audience structure, through the SATI survey. The hybrid method used for traffic measurement, audience and profiles of the websites is compliant with the IFABC guidelines regarding traffic measurement. SATI presently measures a number of 194 websites and 43 mobisites, together with streaming measurement for 3 websites. Since 2014, and for the first time in Romania, the SATI system presents data regarding the unique visitors accessing the websites through their mobile phones. The provider of SATI remained Kantar Media Spring. Traffic measurement is delivered through two main access points: the Scores on-line application for the complete data (for traffic splitting on various sections, comparison between websites, daily and hourly resolution for data analysis, top entry / exit pages, geographical location and technical data, real time viewing of traffic data) and the BRAT website for 3 general main metrics. Traffic data started being delivered by SATI since October 2007. Audience measurement is available since June 2008. The standard delivery for the internet audience data is spanned on a period of 3 months, with weekly averages being given. SATI measures the audience (number of visitors per week) of the websites, for the people, 14-74 years old, living in urban areas. Basic demographics along with general Internet usage and some consumption variables are available. Since 2015, the survey extended the coverage, delivering the first audience data for rural areas. The software for the Internet audience data is SESAME, the same as in the case of SNA-Focus. Besides the simple table listing, crosstab generation and media ranking facilities, it also contains a media planning module and optimization engine. Monitoring data for online campaigns is delivered by BRAT since August 2011, through the MIPO project. Currently, the survey tracks the campaigns of its members on a number of al least 2,000 websites belonging to both BRAT members and non-members. Starting 2013, BRAT implemented a spider technology in the MIPO project and now monitors the presence of all online campaigns, with no restriction regarding the whether or not the campaign belongs to a BRAT member. Another industry recognized source of digital expenditures figure is the RoAds survey, published by IAB in collaboration with PriceWaterhouseCooper. The data collection is audit-based. Radio Measurement Audience measurement is available through the Radio Audience Measurement Survey (SAR), a syndicated research program in co-operation with the industry JIC, Radio Audience Association (ARA). Currently, IMAS Marketing & Polls and GfK Romania are responsible with the data collection and reporting. The service is available since June 2004. “Day after recall” method is used – the remembrance is aided by recalling the activities conducted during the day before the interview. The frequency of the survey was of two waves per year during 2004-2007. Starting 2008, SAR delivers audience data in three waves per year. The universe covers urban and rural population, living in private households in urban and rural areas, aged 11+ years old, in accordance with ROMANIA 2015 61 official statistics. Data collection is currently done through CATI (computer assisted web interview). The audience data is reported for 19 radio stations (nationwide), and separately for 16 stations in Bucharest area. Monitoring data is also delivered by BRAT, through the MIPPS project. The project started delivering data in January 2011, and is currently monitoring more than 200 publications. The software for data analysis is MasoR8. The audience segmentation considers all the variables in the questionnaire on the basis of which the user can build specific target groups. The software also has a planning module that can be used for gross planning of radio campaigns. OOH Measurement Monitoring data is delivered by BRAT, through the MIPR project, since July 2011 and is currently monitoring 8 main radio stations networks. Print Measurement BRAT is presently the only provider of performance data concerning print-run audit and audience measurement for press. Print-run and circulation audit is being offered through third party auditing companies appointed through offer selection. Audit data is public and comprises total print-run, distributed print-run, circulation (through kiosk sales, paid subscription, free copies, block sales etc.) and returns. For the free press, the audit data comprises different categories of circulation: beside the print-run, the distributed copies are detailed by the way they are distributed: list of subscribers, public places, events, etc. BRAT also offers audit services for electronically distributed publications. Starting 2009, BRAT increased the level of security regarding the audit figures, verifying the print-run by its own personnel, in the field. Starting 2009, the circulation statements are issued on a fix date, every trimester: 3rd of March / June / September / December. Presently BRAT audits an approximate number of 104 publications, both national and local. Audience measurement is offered through the SNA-Focus survey, which – besides readership measurement – offers a wide range of demographic variables and data regarding the consumption of goods and services. Presently, the survey includes an approximate number of 66 publications, all of them being BRAT members. The main metric offered by SNA-Focus is the AIR (Average Issue Readership), which measure the number of people reading an average issue of a given title, using the ‘recent reading method’ – the only method used and accepted across the world for the print measurement. Monitoring data is available as of May 2012, carried out by BRAT, and the results are integrated in the same on-line platform used for the Print, Radio and Internet monitoring. The department responsible with overseeing MIPOOH consists of both media agencies and 13 OOH agencies, covering the large majority of available locations and faces. The most important market representatives, main OOH vendors and media agencies, have initiated a new project regarding OOH audience survey development, meant to complete the existing monitoring system. General guidelines of the measurement system and methodology are still under discussion, still the survey it is expected to begin at the end of 2015. Cinema Measurement Presently there is no syndicated study to measure traffic data or the demographic structure of cinema goers, although main cinema chains do conduct ad-hoc client research projects in order to measure those indicators. Reports from those studies are available, in variable amounts, to media agencies. Demographic profiles and data concerning the consumption of brands and services by cinema goers are indirectly available from the SNA-Focus. Starting 2012 the results are available for the main Cinema chains, for the big cities, and for type of cinema in the rest of the cases. Perspectives for 2015 It is very likely that 2015 will by as uneventful ad the previous year. The syndicated surveys seem to consolidate their structure, with less and less need for adaptation and reconfiguration. Although there is no general consensus, and some cost pressures still remain, the probability for survey crash or major methodological change is quite low. The main event will be the integration of the 2012 nationwide Census data into BRAT surveys, leading to changes in the universe structure. In order to satisfy the continuous need for data integration, reliability and performance measurement, the specific methodological fine-tuning of syndicated surveys remained an on-going project. Also, this year will continue the trend of major media agencies developing and fine-tuning their proprietary strategic planning tools The working software is SESAME, which offers possibilities of target definition, simple tables listing, crosstab generation, cluster analysis, duplication analysis, media ranking and media planning. The DSA-BRAT General Assembly of March 2014 has decided regarding the methodology for the next study cycle. The universe will remain the same (urban residents aged 14 to 74 years) and a total yearly sample of 14,000 individuals for the SNA component and 7,000 individuals for the Focus component, with the difference being covered through data fusion. Data collection is done through a hybrid methodology consisting in CAPI (for SNA), and PAPI or CAWI (for Focus). Furthermore, at the beginning of 2015, BRAT decided to expand the survey universe to rural areas. 62 www.mediafactbook.com ROMANIA 2015 63 Metropolis Bravo, Str. Grigore Alexandrescu 89-97, Bucharest 1, Romania T+ 4021 301 01 00 F +4021 301 01 99 www.initiative.ro www.initiativeblog.ro www.linkedin.com/company/initiative