Romania Marketbeat Spring 2010.cdr
Transcription
Romania Marketbeat Spring 2010.cdr
MARKETBEAT ROMANIAN REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT A CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD RESEARCH PUBLICATION SPRING 2010 MARKETBEAT CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD SERVICES IN ROMANIA Cushman & Wakefield (C&W) is the world's largest privately held real estate services firm. With more than 15,000 employees, the group offers coverage through 230 offices in 58 countries across the world. HEADQUARTERS, OPERA CENTER BUCHAREST As a global real estate company, C&W delivers integrated solutions to our clients by actively advising, implementing and managing on behalf of landlords, tenants and investors through every stage of the real estate process. C&W represents multinational corporations, financial institutions, developers, entrepreneurs, government entities and small-to-medium-size companies. C&W IN ROMANIA The office was opened in 2007, following the acquisition of ACTIV Consulting, which had been Cushman & Wakefield's Associate Office in Romania for 11 years. The head office is based in Bucharest and the regional office is based in Timisoara. We have dedicated teams by sector providing a complete range of real estate services, such as investment consultancy, tenant & landlord representation, development consultancy, office agency, retail agency, industrial agency, land agency, asset & facilities management, valuations, research & consultancy. Our main departments include: RETAIL AGENCY Our in-depth knowledge of the local market, combined with international experience, enables us to advise retailers on their expansion programs, as well as landlords and developers looking to attract high performing retail groups. We are involved in all types of retailing, ranging from high street shops to shopping centres, and are also active in the retail park sector. Our services includes research and market surveys, development consultancy, letting, asset management/re-letting and international tenant representation. OFFICE AGENCY Our office team provides both tenant and landlord representation, relying on the experience of the local team and international support from the entire network. We provide a variety of services towards development consultancy, letting activity, relocation projects, property management and strategic planning for tenants. CAPITAL MARKETS The local capital markets department has been involved in several large investment transactions in Romania, offering professional consultancy for major international companies, including the development of real estate premises, sales consultancy, acquisition consultancy, management of the "Due Diligence" process and negotiation of all legal documents relating to the sale and acquisition process. INDUSTRIAL The Industrial Agency team acts as agent and adviser to industrial, distribution and retail clients, both national and international, helping them define and interpret their real estate strategies. LAND AGENCY The land department provides our clients with the best solutions regarding land acquisition all over Romania, finding and selecting sites, as well as negotiating the best financial terms of transaction. VALUATION We are well placed to advise on portfolios and individual properties of all types across the region. We provide valuation services to public and private companies as well as to banks and institutional funds. ASSET MANAGEMENT RESEARCH In Europe, C&W has been appointed as Asset Managers – Design Consultants for over 100 shopping centres, totalling in excess of 3 million sq m, for approximately 1.85 million sq m of office space, as well as for a further 1.4 million sq m of projects under construction. In Romania we have over 10 major projects under management, including shopping centres and retail parks, in some of the largest Romanian cities. 2 We have been involved in research and consultancy services for major real-estate projects in Romania, offering professional services for major companies, whom we assist in reaching the optimal decisions for their business development. Our main services include research data, market overviews, best-use studies, conceptual analysis and feasibility studies. ROMANIA I REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT I SPRING 2010 TABLE OF CONTENTS ABOUT ROMANIA INTRODUCTION MAP OF ROMANIA CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD’S SERVICES IN ROMANIA.......................................... 2 Ukraine Ukraine Baia Mare Suceava Satu Mare Hungary Oradea Iasi Republic of Moldavia ABOUT ROMANIA.......................................................................................................... 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS.................................................................................................. 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.................................................................................................. 4 Cluj-Napoca Tg. Mures Arad Bacau ROMANIA BACKGROUND Timisoara DEMOGRAPHY................................................................................................................. 6 Sibiu Brasov ECONOMY......................................................................................................................... 6 Galati INCOMES AND EXPENDITURES................................................................................ 7 Braila Pitesti Serbia Craiova Ploiesti Bucharest RETAIL MARKET Constanta Black Sea RETAIL................................................................................................................................. 8 SHOPPING CENTRES..................................................................................................... 9 Bulgaria Romania is the second largest country in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and the 12th largest in Europe, covering a total geographical area of 238,391 km2. It is bordered by Bulgaria to the South, Serbia and Hungary to the West, Ukraine to the North and East and the Republic of Moldavia to the East. The Black Sea coastline represents the South-Eastern border. Romania has a total population of 21.5 million inhabitants, with an average population density of 90 persons per km2. The administrative division includes four macro regions, each including two development regions. Romania currently has 42 counties, including the capital Bucharest, 320 municipalities and towns, and 2,855 communes. RETAIL PARKS................................................................................................................... 11 HYPERMARKETS.............................................................................................................. 12 SUPERMARKETS............................................................................................................... 12 DISCOUNTERS................................................................................................................. 12 DIY........................................................................................................................................ 13 FURNITURE....................................................................................................................... 13 OUTLET CENTRES.......................................................................................................... 13 HIGH STREET.................................................................................................................... 14 OFFICE MARKET OFFICE OVERVIEW......................................................................................................... 15 FORECAST......................................................................................................................... 16 BUCHAREST OFFICE MAP........................................................................................... 17 INDUSTRIAL MARKET The capital of the country is Bucharest, the largest city in Romania with a registered population of 1,943,981 inhabitants as of July 2008, and an estimated population of 2.5 million people for the entire metropolitan area. INDUSTRIAL OVERVIEW.............................................................................................. 18 BUCHAREST LOGISTICS MAP.................................................................................... 19 RESIDENTIAL MARKET There are 24 cities with a population of more than 100,000, five of which have a population exceeding 300,000, namely Bucharest, Iasi, Timisoara, Cluj-Napoca and Constanta. RESIDENTIAL OVERVIEW.............................................................................................. 20 INVESTMENT MARKET Romania is a parliamentary republic. The legislative branch is represented by the Parliament, including the Deputy Chamber and Senate, elected for a 4-year term. The last elections were held in 2008. Parliament designates the Prime Minister, currently Emil Boc, who then appoints the Government, the executive power of the country. The President of Romania is elected by popular vote every five years. Currently the President is Mr. Traian Basescu; the next elections are due to be held in 2014. Romania became a member of NATO in 2004 and joined the European Union in January 2007. The adoption of Euro currency is expected in 2014. INVESTMENT OVERVIEW............................................................................................. 21 FORECAST......................................................................................................................... 21 OTHER VALUATION SERVICES................................................................................................... 22 C&W ROMANIA WEB SITES........................................................................................ 22 CONTACTS OUR OFFICE AND CONTACTS................................................................................. 23 3 MARKETBEAT EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ECONOMY DIRECTIONS GDP: The fall is likely to stop in 2010 and to stabilise to a forecast growth placed between -0.5% and +0.5%. INFLATION: A level of 3.7% is announced by the official prognosis, down from the 5.6% registered in 2009. UNEMPLOYMENT: As the economic environment will stabilise, it is expected that unemployment will stop the growth, with potential to decrease during H2 2010. FDI: The volume is expected to register a 15% year-on-year expansion to a level of 5.4 billion Euro. RETAIL MARKET DIRECTIONS SUPPLY: The construction continues for a limited number of schemes, the new stock to be delivered in 2010 being estimated to be 40% lower than in 2009. DEMAND: Continue to maintain a very low level, most of the retailers stopped expansion until the recovery of the sales. A limited number of major international retailers continue expansion, but being more prudent and paying lower rents. RENTS: Are likely to maintain the levels registered in 2009, although further slightly decreases are possible. VACANCY: Increasing vacancy rate especially for decentralized locations and cities with a population of less than 200,000. OFFICE MARKET DIRECTIONS SUPPLY: A volume of 260,000 sq m is estimated to be delivered in 2010 in Bucharest (-38% compared with the record-high of 2009). Most of the new supply continues to be located in the Northern part of the city (Barbu Vacarescu, Pipera, DN1) . DEMAND: Is reduced, most of the companies not having plans of expansion and having a prudent attitude as a consequence of the uncertainty regarding the economic evolution. RENTS: Further decreases could be registered, especially for the decentralized areas. VACANCY: Are likely to increase even further, some of the main buildings to be delivered in 2010 not being able to secure tenants. 4 ECONOMY PERFORMANCE The economic environment was largely affected by crisis during 2009, almost all the main indicators registering a negative evolution. The GDP reached a negative growth of 7.1%, the FDI volume reduced at half, unemployment increased with 77%, while the salaries decreased with 6% (expressed in Euro). The economy is likely to stop the fall during 2010 according with the official forecast, with potential to restart growing during the future years. Despite this, there is still a large uncertainty regarding the economic evolution and the results of 2010. The government is being criticized for the lack of solutions to stimulate the economy and to reduce the budget expenses. RETAIL MARKET A new shopping centre stock of 313,550 sq m GLA was delivered in 2009 (-55% year-on-year), including 10 new schemes and 5 extensions. Half of the new surface is located in Bucharest. The total stock reached a volume of 2,182,000 sqm, corresponding to a density of 101 sq m GLA/1,000 population (45% of the EU-27 average). Retail warehouses are still dominated by stand-alone units or units attached to shopping centre projects, few retail parks being operational. There is a single outlet center in Romania, Fashion House of 16,000 sq m GLA being opened in 2008 in Bucharest. The development program was largely affected by the drop of demand, tough financial conditions and lack of investors. A volume of 417,000 sq m GLA is announced for delivery in 2010-2011, but only 60-70% of this is likely to comply the deadline. The recovery of the retail market is likely to happen only after the growth of retail sales restarts and the confidence of retailers returns. OFFICE MARKET A record-high volume of 420,000 sq m GLA was delivered last year in Bucharest, half of this volume being placed in Dimitrie PompeiuPipera area. Coupled with the decreasing demand, this new stock put a large pressure on the average rental levels, while the vacancy rates increased. The total volume of modern office space in Bucharest reached 1.48 million sq m GLA (765 sq m/1,000 population). Take-up volume, including both new leases and renewals, acounted for a surface of 168,000 sq m GLA, 16% lower than in 2008 and 47% lower than the peak of 2007. The economic crisis has put a stop to the development program, no new projects being started since the end of 2008. The market activity is expected to maintain at a relatively low level in 2010, the demand not being likely to improve. The vacancy rates will increase, while the rental level could register further decreases. ROMANIA I REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT I SPRING 2010 INDUSTRIAL MARKET The new supply delivered in Bucharest in 2009 (excluding the projects developed for owner occupation) reached only 20,750 sq m, corresponding to a 90% drop from the record-high volume in 2008. The total volume reched in Bucharest approx. 678,000 sq m, significantly lower than in the rest of the CEE capitals. Take-up in Bucharest decreased by 67% to a volume of 53,000 sq m. Most of the leases were done with properties located along A1 motorway. The average rents were placed at 4 Euro/sq m/mth. in Bucharest, likely to maintain during 2010. The main projects started in 2009 will be developed according with the demand registered on the market. RESIDENTIAL MARKET The blockage of the market continued during 2009, despite the two programs initiated by the state in order to encourage the residential acquisition. Demand maintained low during the entire year as a consequence of several reasons related to the economic crisis and expectations for further price decreases. The prices continues the downward trend, reaching at the end of the year an average level of 1,300 Euro/built sq m for the new apartments in the semi-central area of Bucharest and 800-1,000 Euro/built sq m for periphery locations. Despite the drop of prices, the sales have not picked up, as the market expectancy is that values will keep dropping, mortgage conditions are oppressive and, most important, the economic climate discourage people from making investments in long-term assets. INVESTMENT MARKET The market was blocked in 2009, a volume of only 129 million Euro being registered. This volume represents only 6.8% of the volume of 2007 (1.9 billion Euro). The largest transaction was the acquisition of European Retail Park Braila for Euro 63 million. During 2009, prime yields continued to soften by another 150 basis points, reflecting investors’ sentiment regarding the country risk, performance and quality of projects put on sale. There are no signs that the market will recover in the short term. It is likely that a few number of transactions will take place in the following months, involving small properties of less than 50 million Euro. The limited number of investors targeting Romania at present are opportunistic, in search of distressed properties, mainly in Bucharest and the largest cities of the country. INDUSTRIAL MARKET DIRECTIONS SUPPLY: A new supply of approx. 80,000 sq m is announced for delivery in 2010. DEMAND: Increasing demand for light industrial and storage space, coming from international companies. RENTS: Likely to maintain the same average levels in Bucharest, with a slight reduction for the ret of the cities. VACANCY: Is expected to maintain at the same levels as seen in 2009. RESIDENTIAL MARKET DIRECTIONS SUPPLY: The new supply in 2010 is likely to be significantly reduced as compared with last year, the construction being put on-hold for most of the projects. DEMAND: There are no signs that demand will return on short-term; mortgage conditions remain restrictive and the economic status is not encouraging. PRICES: The downturn is expected to continue both for new and old residential units; the demand is low, projects close to completion are only partially sold, financing conditions remain restrictive and people expect further decreases. DEVELOPMENT: Construction on new projects has not restarted in the last months, the blockage being likely to maintain throughout 2010. INVESTMENT MARKET DIRECTIONS OUTLOOK: The evolution of the investment market is likely to maintain the same coordinates as in 2009. The market continue to be market by the difference between the developers’ expectations and the price ready to be offered by investors. Investors are seeing opportunities in mature Western markets and are not focusing on the local market. VOLUME: The investment’s volume is likely to maintain very low in 2010.The deals are likely to involve small volumes and generally distressed properties. YIELDS: The softening of yields is likely to be moderate in 2010, the increases not being expected to exceed 25 basis points. 5 MARKETBEAT ROMANIA BACKGROUND DEMOGRAPHY Romania is the second most populated country in Central & Eastern Europe, with a total number of 21,504,442 inhabitants (July 2008). The population evolution started a downward trend after 1990, registering a 7.3% decrease since then. The average population density is 90.2 inhabitants per km2 , the highest levels being found in Bucharest-Ilfov area, Prahova, Iasi and Galati counties. The urban population increased from 54.3% of the total population in 1990 up to 55% in 2008; the gender distribution shows in 2008 a percentage of 51.3% women and 48.7% men. ROMANIA, DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS 2002 Census 2008 21,794,793 21,504,442 90.9 90.2 Urban (%) 53.3% 55.0% Rural (%) 46.7% 45.0% Male (%) 48.8% 48.7% Female (%) 51.2% 51.3% 0-14 years (%) 17% 15% 15-24 years (%) 16% 15% Population Population density (people/km2) Area Distribution Sex Distribution The Romanian population has been showing an ageing trend, with the 0-14 years and 15-24 age groups declining in numbers, while the over 65 year old population is increasing, representing 15% of the total population (July 2008). Age Distribution 25-49 years (%) 36% 37% The life expectancy is on an upward trend, increasing from 69.5 years in 1990 up to the highest level recorded so far of 73.0 years in 2008. This is considered the result of the improvement in the quality of life determined by the increasing incomes and purchasing power. 50-64 years (%) 17% 18% over 65 years (%) 14% 15% Romania has 24 cities that account for more than 100,000 inhabitants, out of which five exceed 300,000 people. The capital Bucharest is the most populated city in Romania and as well in the entire CEE region. The official data for 2008 shows that the city had 1.9 million inhabitants, but including the unregistered population and surrounding areas, the total population of the metropolitan area is estimated at approximately 2.5 million people. A number of 891,098 students were recorded in 2008/2009 in Romania, representing a 44% increase as compared to 5 years ago. Over 43% of the total number of students are registered in Bucharest. ECONOMY After nine years of positive growth, the Romanian economy saw regress in 2009, all the indicators deteriorating. The early effects of the economic crisis recorded in the last quarter of 2008 transformed into a economic recession last year. The negative evolution registered in all sectors of the local economy reversed the GDP evolution from 2008 (+7.1%) into a negative growth of 7.1% in 2009. Some slight signs of improvement have been registered lately, it being expected that the economic environment will stabilise during 2010 with the potential to restart growth in 2011-2012. The official prognosis indicates a GDP result between -0.5% and +0.5% for 2010, followed by +2.4% in 2011 and +3.7% in 2012. The economic restart will depend not only on the international recovery, but especially the government's capacity to adopt the right decisions in order to stimulate production, consumption and financing, and to reduce the budget expenses. 6 Source: National Institute of Statistics POPULATION OF MAJOR CITIES, JULY 2008 No. City Inhabitants No. City Inhabitants 1 Bucharest 1,943,981 13 Pitesti 167,317 2 Iasi 313,994 14 Arad 166,237 3 Timisoara 311,481 15 Sibiu 153,406 4 Cluj-Napoca 308,763 16 Tg.Mures 144,806 5 Constanta 302,242 17 Baia Mare 138,932 6 Craiova 297,539 18 Buzau 132,368 7 Galati 291,608 19 Botosani 114,885 8 Brasov 278,712 20 Satu Mare 112,860 9 Ploiesti 229,258 21 Ramnicu Valcea 110,447 10 Braila 212,981 22 Piatra Neamt 107,126 11 Oradea 204,578 23 Suceava 106,753 12 Bacau 176,743 24 Drobeta-Turnu Severin 106,451 Source: Romanian Statistical Yearbook 2009 ECONOMIC INDICATORS 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010* -7.1% 0.5% GDP Growth (%) 7.9% 6.2% 7.1% GDP/cap. (Euro/year) 4,530 5,788 6,499 n/a n/a Inflation (%) 6.6% 4.8% 7.9% 5.6% 3.7% Unemployment (%) 5.2% 4.0% 4.4% 7.8% 6.2% 8.7 7.0 9.3 4.7 5.4 FDI (Billion Euro) Net Salary (Euro/mth.) 245 312 348 326 330 Cars/1,000 people 149 164 187 n/a n/a Source: National Institute of Statistics, National Commission of Prognosis; National Employment Agency; DRPCIV *Forecast ROMANIA I DEMOGRAPHY AND ECONOMY I SPRING 2010 Inflation was one of the very few indicators to improve during 2009, decreasing from 7.85% (2008) to 5.6%. For 2010 the target is for 3.7% inflation. The Euro adoption proposed for 2014 might be postponed as a consequence of the inflation evolution during the last 3 years and tough criteria that must be achieved. Incomes are also inflated by the supplementary inflow of money sent by Romanians working abroad, estimated to be in the range of 5-7 billion Euro in 2008. Over two million Romanians worked officially abroad during 2009, the majority of them being employed in Italy (968,000 people) and Spain (796,000 people). Unemployment levels continued to increase in 2009, from 4.9% in January up to 7.8% in December. The largest part came from the private sector, while the public sector had a limited impact, the government preferring to postpone the restructuring until after the presidential elections. After three years when retail sales registered average yearly growth rates of 10-25% depending on the sector, the evolution reversed in 2009. The growing unemployment levels, stagnation of incomes, and increasing concern regarding the economic evolution, brought a drop of sales in every sector. The most affected were the sales of longterm use merchandise, the turnover registered in the automotive sector contracting by 36% y-o-y. It is expected that retail sales will stop their decline during the second half of 2010, the rate of decrease reducing during the first three months of the year. Since 2004, Romania has become one of the main destinations for foreign direct investments in CEE. In 2009 Romania attracted 4.7 billion Euro, only half of the FDI volume of 2008. The main investors in Romania come from Austria, Holland, Germany, France, Italy and Greece. The main destination is Bucharest, the Capital accounting for over 60% of the total volume of FDI attracted since 1990. INCOMES AND EXPENDITURES The economic growth determined a rapid increase of income levels during 2004-2008. Over five years the average net monthly salary expressed in Euro increased by 269%, reaching the highest level of 348 Euro/month in 2008. ROMANIA, RETAIL SALES EVOLUTION (%) 2006 2007 2008 Food, beverage and tobacco +27.7% +27.8% +11.4% H1 2009 Non-food +21.1% +8.6% +14.4% -8.4% Automotive sector +18.0% +24.3% +15.7% -36.0% Services +13.6% +3.7% -0.3% -10.6% -1.0% Source: National Institute of Statistics AVERAGE NET MONTHLY SALARY IN ROMANIA 350 300 250 Euro The negative economic growth of 2009 put a stop to the steady salary increase. In 2009 the average net monthly salary reached 1,381 RON (+7.7% year-on-year), but expressed in Euro corresponded to a 6.4% reduction compared with 2008. 200 150 Bucharest has by far the highest level of incomes in Romania. Last year the average gross monthly salary reached 2,614 RON (617 Euro), while the average net monthly salary was 1,883 RON (444 Euro). This level is 36% higher than the country average. Despite the fast growing rate registered in the last years, the income levels and the purchasing power in Romania still remain some of the lowest in EU, especially compared with the Western markets. 100 50 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: National Institute of Statistics ROMANIA, SPENDABLE INCOME PER HOUSEHOLD, Q2 2009 Sector The last official data available for Q2 2009 shows that disposable income increased year-on-year by 13.6%, an average household's disposable income per year being RON 17,655 (Euro 4,211). Food & beverage continues to represent the main destination (41.9%) of the official expenditure, albeit a decreasing share. TOTAL Food and beverage Real incomes are higher than the official statistics suggest as a consequence of the high level of unrecorded earnings. The black market is presently estimated to add a further 20% - 30% to the official salary in Romania (important variations from one source to another), including a wide range of activities varying from cash street retail to unrecorded employment contracts (e.g. companies not declaring employees' real earnings). Health Transportation Alcohol and tobacco Clothing and footwear House service charges Home furnishings Communication Leisure Education Restaurants and dinning out Other services and products Value (Euro/mth.) Share (%) 350.9 147.0 24.5 22.4 50.1 100.0% 41.9% 7.0% 6.4% 14.3% 4.4% 4.5% 5.8% 5.2% 4.4% 1.0% 1.4% 3.7% 15.4 15.8 20.3 18.2 15.4 3.5 4.9 12.9 Source: National Institute of Statistics 7 MARKETBEAT RETAIL The rapid market development started in 2006 was significantly slowed down in 2009 by the effects of the economic crisis. All the main aspects of the retail market such as the development program, demand, retail sales, rents and occupancy rates registered negative performance last year. AFI PALACE COTROCENI, BUCHAREST The increasing concern towards the retail environment in 2009 was confirmed by the retail sales evolution which registered a year-onyear decrease of 9-12%, after years of steady positive movements. The market sentiment got worse and demand dropped, influencing the entire market. The development program reduced considerably during 2009, only part of the schemes already under construction being continued. In 2009, a new shopping centre stock of 313,550 sq m GLA was delivered across the country, corresponding to a reduction of 55% compared with the previous year. Retail warehousing continued to be represented mainly by standalone units, rather than by true retail park schemes. The retail park stock increased last year by only 27,000 sq m, half of the surface delivered in 2008, most of the projects being postponed. RETAIL MARKET DIRECTION 2010 Supply City Demand Rental Levels ROMANIA From the second half of 2008, there were no new projects started, the developers facing the worsening market conditions such as lack of financing, decreasing property values, low levels of demand and almost no interest for the Romanian market coming from foreign investors. For an important number of projects in the pipeline, construction was stopped mainly as a consequence of not having reached a satisfactory pre-lease level. Bucharest >200,000 people 100,000-200,000 people <100,000 people MAJOR RETAILERS IN THE MARKET Despite a relatively large interest to enter the local market, a limited number of international retailers entered Romania during 2009, most of them postponing their entry until the market will restart a positive evolution. Rental levels reversed their growing trend into a significant contraction by up to 30-50% compared with the record-high levels registered in mid 2008. Both the shopping centre and the high street markets were affected, regardless of being located in small, medium or large cities throughout the country. Vacancy rates increased, some of the schemes recently opened or placed in decentralized locations not being able to secure tenants or to keep the existing ones as a consequence of the poor operational results. Of the projects delivered in 2009, only the dominant schemes within prime locations reached an optimal occupancy rate. The recovery of the retail market is likely to happen only after the growth of retail sales restarts and the confidence of retailers returns. The current crisis is likely to make retailers, banks and developers more cautious, influencing the development program for the next years. It is expected that only feasible projects planned according with the local environment, good location and concept will be started. The experience of developers is likely to be of increasing importance in gaining retailers' confidence in any project. 8 Hypermarket Carrefour, Real, Auchan, Cora, Kaufland Cash & Carry Metro, Selgros Supermarket Billa, Carrefour Market, Mega Image, Interex, G’Market Discounters Plus, Profi, Penny Market, MiniMax, Lidl (from 2010) DIY Praktiker, Dedeman, Bricostore, bauMax, OBI, Hornbach, Mr.Bricolage, Interhome, Ambient, Leroy Merlin (soon) Furniture IKEA, KIKA, Mobexpert, Elvila, Staer, JYSK, Mobilia Electrical Goods Altex, Flanco, Domo,Technomarket Fashion Zara, C&A, Marks&Spencer, Peek & Cloppenburg, Debenhams, Sprider, New Yorker, Esprit, Takko, Benneton, Kenvelo, Reserved, Koton, Mango, Cortefiel, Next, Promod, Pimkie, Orsay, Bernardi, Peacocks, GAP, Kiabi Leonardo, Deichmann, Humanic, Bata, Aldo, Nine West, Otter, Ecco Footwear Sport Goods Intersport, Hervis, Decathlon, Nike,Adidas, Puma Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 ROMANIA I RETAIL MARKET I SPRING 2010 SHOPPING CENTRES SHOPPING PER 1,000 INHABITANTS, END 2009 ROMANIA CENTRES SHOPPING CENTRE STOCK - SUPPLY/ YEAR Despite the effects of the crisis affecting the market, a number of projects started in 2007-2008 were completed in 2009. Ten new shopping centres and 5 extensions were delivered, increasing the existing stock by 17% year-on-year. The total new stock completed in 2009 accounted for 313,550 sq m GLA, corresponding to a 55% decrease compared with the peak of 2008 (706,984 sq m GLA). Romania was ranked 8th in Europe in terms of the annual volume of shopping centre space completed, compared with the 5th position occupied in 2008. The total modern shopping centre space in Romania reached, at the end of 2009, a volume of 2,182,000 sq m GLA and a density of 101 sq m GLA/1,000 population. This represents approximately 45% of the EU-27 average density (225 sq m GLA/1,000 pop.) and continues to be placed below other countries of the CEE region, such as Czech Republic (192), Poland (173) and Hungary (119). ROMANIA SHOPPING CENTRE STOCK - SUPPLY/ YEAR 1. Norway 2. Sweden 3. Ireland 4. Luxembourg 5. Netherlands 6. Austria 7. Finland 8. Denmark 9. Estonia 10. Portugal 11. UK 12. France 13. Slovenia 14. Latvia 15. Lithuania EU-27 Average 16. Spain 17. Italy 18. Switzerland 19. Czech 20. Poland 21. Germany 22. Slovakia 23. Hungary 24. Croatia 25. Malta 26. Belgium 27. Romania 28. Russia 29. Turkey 30. Ukraine 31. Greece 32. Bosnia Herz. 33. Bulgaria 34. Serbia 800,000 0 100 700,000 300 400 500 600 700 sq m GLA per 1,000 population Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 600,000 sq m GLA 200 500,000 Almost half of the new stock delivered in 2009 is located in Bucharest. Last year the Capital registered a record-high of shopping centre development with the completion of 152,300 sq m GLA. 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 SHOPPING CENTRE STOCK DELIVERED IN EUROPE IN 2009 - TOP 10 COUNTRIES No Country New Stock (sq m GLA) SC Density (sq m GLA/1,000 pop.) 1 Russia 1,592,202 72.6 2 Turkey 652,622 70.7 Two new shopping centres opened, namely AFI Palace Cotroceni (79,000 sq m GLA) and Grand Arena (44,500), while another three schemes were extended (Plaza Romania, Militari Shopping and Iris Shopping Centre Titan). The total stock in Bucharest increased by 33% year-on-year up to a total of 617,700 sq m GLA, corresponding to a density of 318 sq m GLA/1,000 inhabitants. Bucharest reached almost a similar shopping centre density as in Budapest (340), but continues to represent only half of the levels seen in Prague (631), Warsaw (616) and Bratislava (640). 3 Italy 633,124 215.1 4 Poland 628,400 173.1 5 France 530,401 261.0 6 Netherlands 380,000 365.7 City 2009 GLA (sq m) 7 Germany 371,900 159.3 Warsaw 1,046,360 616 0 616 8 Romania 313,550 101.5 Prague 787,000 631 43,000 666 9 Ukraine 300,000 54.0 Budapest 576,428 340 20,000 352 10 Portugal 280,010 273.2 Bucharest 617,703 318 108,314 373 4,515,989 225.6 Bratislava 274,546 640 167,896 1,032 EU-27 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 SHOPPING CENTRE STOCK IN CEE CAPITALS GLA (sq m per 1,000 pop) Pipeline 2010 End 2010 (sq m (sq m) per1,000 pop) Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 9 MARKETBEAT The existing shopping centre density in the largest cities in Romania includes large variations from one city to another, but as an average is placed presently in the range of 250-400 sq m GLA/1,000 population. This level shows further potential for growth, especially compared with similar markets in Czech Republic and Poland where densities have already reached 400-600 sq m GLA/1,000 population. SHOPPING CENTRE STOCK IN THE LARGEST CITIES, END 2009 No City Population GLA (sq m) GLA (sq m per 1,000 pop) 1 Bucharest 1,943,981 617,703 318 2 Iasi 313,994 87,000 277 4 Timisoara 311,481 127,375 409 3 Cluj-Napoca 308,763 142,819 463 5 Constanta 302,242 109,997 364 6 Craiova 297,539 37,783 127 7 Galati 291,608 20,102 69 8 Brasov 278,712 70,517 253 9 Ploiesti 229,258 47,636 208 10 Braila 212,981 64,079 301 11 Oradea 204,578 132,989 650 SHOPPING CENTRE CENTRE SPACE INSTOCK PIPELINE 2010 - 2011 ROMANIA SHOPPING - SUPPLY/ YEAR 1. Russia 2. Turkey 3. Italy 4. France 5. Bulgaria 6. Spain 7. Poland 8. UK 9. Germany 10. Romania 11. Netherlands 12. Slovakia 13. Portugal 14. Ukraine 15. Austria 16. Croatia 17. Czech Rep 18. Belgium 19. Serbia 20. Greece 21. Ireland 22. Slovenia 23. Hungary 24. Denmark 25. Sweden 26. Switzerland 27. Bosnia & 28. Lithuania 29. Latvia 30. Norway 31. Finland 32. Malta 33. Estonia 34. Luxembourg Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 The largest shopping centre density in Romania is registered in Suceava with 1,149 sq m GLA/1,000 inhabitants. The city includes 4 shopping centres, all of them being completed in 2008-2009 by both international and national developers. It is likely that the general operation of these schemes will suffer, especially as the purchasing power in the area is limited. 0 0.5 1.0 Million sq m 1.5 2.0 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 CITY MALL, BUCHAREST Starting with 2006, Romania became a target for international developers, a large number of companies exploring the local market. Some of these developers such as Sonae Sierra, Plaza Centers, AFI Europe, ECE, TriGranit, Raiffeisen Evolution, GTC, Vinci, Dawnay Day and Redevco opened offices in Romania and announced projects. During 2006-2008 over 100 projects were announced on the market, but few of them were started. The economic crisis has stopped the accelerated shopping centre development in Romania, presently few projects being under construction. Most of the projects were put on-hold for an undetermined period of time, even if for some of them construction had already started. According to the developers' announcements, during 2010-2011 the new shopping centre stock to be completed accounts for approximately 417,700 sq m GLA. Taking into account the tough market environment and the number of schemes for which construction is progressing, it is likely that only approximately 6070% of the planned stock will be delivered by the end of 2011. In 2010 the stock estimated to be delivered accounts for only approx. 10 SHOPPING CENTRES UNDER CONSTRUCTION TO BE COMPLETED IN 2010 Scheme City Sun Plaza 2 GLA (sq m) Opening Bucharest 80,000 Q1 2010 Polus Center Constanta 48,130 Q4 2010 3 Gold Plaza Baia Mare 30,000 Q3 2010 4 Atrium Center Arad 29,500 Q1 2010 5 Estrada Shopping Center Bucharest 25,400 Q2 2010 No 1 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 ROMANIA I RETAIL MARKET I SPRING 2010 160,000-200,000 sq m GLA as part of 4-5 schemes. In the first 4 months of 2010 two schemes were completed, Sun Plaza in Bucharest (80,000 sq m GLA) and Atrium Center in Arad (29,500). The development of new schemes became difficult starting with the second half of 2008 as a consequence of several main reasons such as lack of financing, retailers' demand contraction, softening yields, decreasing rents, etc. Banks have stopped financing retail projects, asking for higher interest rates, over 50-60% pre-lease agreements, 50% equity contribution, etc. Retailers' demand for new shopping units fell to low levels starting with the end of 2008 as the economic crisis started to affect retail sales and market sentiment. Retailers have postponed their expansion plans and started to close some of their unprofitable units, especially outside Bucharest, which had opened during the period of fast expansion in 2007-2008. The national networks and franchise retailers especially have been faced with financial difficulties and lack of financing for further expansion. International discount retailers, such as Takko, Deichmann, C&A, NewYorker, Kiabi and Hervis have kept their expansion plans, although they are more demanding in selecting locations. Following the last months of 2008, rental levels started a downward trend in all the cities of Romania, including Bucharest. The lower sales densities and rising vacancy rates forced landlords to reduce the rents and give different types of incentives in order to attract and maintain tenants. SHOPPING CENTRES PRIME RENTAL LEVEL* (Euro/sq m/mth.) Q4 2007 Q4 2008 Q4 2009 Bucharest 85 85 60 Cluj-Napoca 50 50 27 Timisoara 37 37 27 Constanta 37 37 27 Brasov 37 37 23 City Source: Cushman&Wakefield, April 2010 * for shops of 150 sq m 2010 Trend RETAIL PARKS The retail park segment has been ignored for a long time in Romania, the majority of developers preferring to build shopping centre schemes in order to achieve higher rates of return and to compensate for the increasing price of land. A few retail parks are operational so far, generally these being part of larger retail projects which also include a shopping centre area. Most of the projects announced by developers as retail parks are in fact out-of-town shopping centers anchored by hypermarkets, with one or two retail warehousing units attached, generally DIY and furniture. The existing stock of retail parks accounted for, at the end of 2009, approximately 135,000 sq m, over half of this being delivered in 2008-2009. The main retail parks in Romania are Shopping City Sibiu, Militari Shopping Center in Bucharest, European Retail Park in Braila and Vitantis Shopping Center in Bucharest. All of these schemes include also a shopping centre area represented by a hypermarket with a shopping gallery in front. Despite some ambitious plans, the retail park stock delivered in 2009 was half the new supply completed in 2008. The new stock of 27,000 sq m included only extensions of the existing projects, namely Militari Shopping Center, European Retail Park Braila, Era Shopping Park Iasi and a small scheme in Buzau. The largest new surface completed last year was part of Militari Shopping Center in Bucharest. The existing area that included Praktiker (DIY) and Domo (electrical goods) was extended with well know apparel tenants such as Decathlon, C&A, Hervis, Deichmann, Takko and Kiabi. Despite the fact that there are few projects to comply with the retail park definition, the retail warehousing sector has seen a rapid development in the last years through stand-alone units and units attached to shopping centre schemes. The largest expansion was registered by hypermarkets, discounters and DIY. Retail clusters have been developed on the main exits of the largest cities. The largest one is located on the A1 motorway entry to Bucharest, concentrating over 190,000 sq m GLA of retail space within a distance of 2 km. MILITARI SHOPPING, BUCHAREST sq m ROMANIA RETAIL PARK STOCK - SUPPLY/ YEAR 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2003 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 11 MARKETBEAT RETAIL WAREHOUSE, AVERAGE RENTAL LEVEL (€/sq m/mth.) Bucharest Main Cities Hypermarket 7-9 6-8 DIY 7-9 6-8 Furniture 7-9 6-7 Unit Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 Rental levels registered a slight decrease in 2009, secondary cities being especially affected. Retailers are presently more cautious when entering new locations, looking to pay lower rents. A few international operators entered Romania in the last year, the main names including C&A, Decathlon, Kiabi and Norauto. Despite the fact that the retail market in Romania is considered to have an important potential, only Lidl, Leroy Merlin and Go Sport are known to have certain plans to enter the market in the following months. EUROPEAN RETAIL PARK TG.MURES Last year the Romanian market saw the first closing of a hypermarket unit belonging to an international operator. Carrefour closed its second hypermarket in Braila due to the very low operation registered by Armonia Center, the scheme not being able to attract visitors and to maintain tenants. The expansion is likely to decline even further in 2010, Kaufland being the single operator to open more than 1-2 new units. SUPERMARKETS The international supermarket operators represented in Romania continued their development program during 2009, the largest expansion been registered by Billa (9 new units), Mega Image and Carrefour Market/Express. Some important Romanian owned chains such as Fidelio and the franchise of Spar saw major financial problems during last year, closing units, entering insolvency and planning to sell the business. The largest supermarket chains in Romania are internationally owned: Mega Image (49), Billa (43), Carrefour Express (26) and Interex (13). It is likely that international retailers will continue their expansion and will put additional pressure on the local operators, increasing their market share. DISCOUNTERS Food discount was one of the very few retail sectors to register growth during 2009. The economic crisis has changed the purchasing habits and customers have oriented towards the low-price and valuefor-money products. HYPERMARKETS Hypermarkets reduced by half their expansion in 2009, only 13 units being opened as compared with 26 in 2008. The largest expansion was done by Kaufland (6 new units) and Real (4). Both PIC and Trident, the Romanian owned hypermarket chains, closed their units in 2009 as a consequence of financial problems, the market being now disputed only between international operators. There are 100 hypermarket units in Romania, operated by Kaufland (44 units), Real (24), Carrefour (22), Auchan (7) and Cora (3). The size of these stores ranges from the smaller format of 4,5006,000 sq m operated by Kaufland to an average format of 12,00013,000 sq m operated by Carrefour and Real and the largest formats of 14,000-16,000 sq m by Auchan and Cora. 12 All the players involved in the food discount sectors expanded their networks rapidly in 2009, with the opening of tens of units each. Lidl announced in February 2010 that they have purchased the Plus network in Romania, the largest chain in the country. In addition they have secured a large number of sites for further development. The largest networks are represented by Lidl (96 units), Penny Market (90 units, out of which 6 are large format), Profi (53) and Minimax (30). Red Market, the discount format of Mega Image, opened its first unit in late 2009, the announced target being 200 units. The discount sector is likely to continue its aggressive development, none of the operators having reached yet their proposed target of units. Discounters are targeting mostly all the cities of above 15,000 inhabitants, but in 2009 they entered even cities of 8,000 - 10,000 inhabitants. ROMANIA I RETAIL MARKET I SPRING 2010 DIY did not open new units in 2009 and do not have any other stores under construction. Despite a lower pace of development, 13 new DIY units were completed in 2009, most of the competitors expanding with at least one unit. At the end of 2009, the Romanian market reached a total of 95 DIY units, 16% more than 12 months ago. The market is likely to maintain the same characteristics in 2010, operators being focused on becoming more efficient and limiting the sales decline, rather than expanding. Some of the cities in Romania, such as Pitesti, Suceava and Focsani, have already reached a relatively large concentration of DIY elements, with a ratio of 1 unit for less than 50,000 inhabitants. OUTLET CENTRES The main competitors are Praktiker (26 units), Dedeman (16), Ambient (16), Bricostore (14), bauMax (9), Interhome (5), OBI (4), Hornbach (3) and Mr Bricolage (2). The national operator Dedeman registered the largest expansion in 2009 with 4 new units opened, becoming the second largest DIY network in the country, after Praktiker. The second largest DIY chain in Europe, Leroy Merlin, is announced to enter the local market in the following period as one of the main anchors of Colosseum Project in Bucharest. The outlet centre market in Romania is poorly developed, comprising a single scheme operational to date, Fashion House in Bucharest, developed by Belgium company Liebrecht&wooD. The first phase of Fashion House, with a surface of 16,000 sq m GLA, was opened at the end of 2008, and is to be extended by another 4,500 sq m GLA in 2011. The scheme is located in the Western area of the Capital, on the A1 motorway exit. The outlet centre has an international tenant-mix that includes well-known retailers such as Nike, Puma, Adidas, Timberland, Replay, Benetton, Champion, Mango, Stefanel, Levi's, Ecco etc. The scheme has registered a promising operation during its first year, results such as footfall, conversion rate and sales densities registering a positive evolution. Liebrecht&wooD will develop its second outlet centre East of Bucharest, on the A2 motorway towards Constanta. FURNITURE After years of steady growth, the furniture sector faced a general drop of sales in 2009, even the best performer IKEA reporting a turnover decline (-9%). The market downturn was mainly as a result of the economic uncertainty which discouraged the acquisition of expensive long-term use assets and was also affected by the fall in residential sales. A very limited number of large furniture stores were completed in 2009, retailers preferring to adopt a cautious development program, while most of the retail schemes announced for delivery were put onhold. There were no important international retailers entering the local market in 2009, the market being dominated by the same players as in 2008, including few international names (IKEA, KIKA, JYSK) and national operators (Mobexpert, Staer, Elvila, Mobilia). The construction of Mega Designer Outlet, located adjacent to Fashion House, was stopped in 2009 as a consequence of the poor leasing success registered. The rest of the projects announced outside Bucharest have not been started, their development being uncertain. The main problem facing the development of outlet centres is the poor existing infrastructure. The lack of motorway infrastructure narrows the boundaries of the potential catchment areas. The number of retailers interested to enter outlet projects remains limited due to the fact that the famous international brands have not yet reached a sufficient number of stores opened on the Romanian market. FASHION HOUSE, BUCHAREST The largest surface national network remained that of Mobexpert, despite the fact that the Romanian operator opened only a single superstore last year. The unit, with a surface of 7,000 sq m, is located in Iasi City, as part of Era Shopping Park. Staer was the most aggressive furniture retailer in 2009, opening 4 large stores as part of major retail schemes. The units have areas of 4,000 - 6,000 sq m and are located in Braila, Brasov, Bacau and Tg.Mures. Despite their ambitious development programme, the largest international operators represented in Romania, IKEA and KIKA, 13 MARKETBEAT HIGH STREET The economic crisis, which began in the last few months of 2008 and continued throughout 2009, has severely affected the high street retail market as consumer demand has fallen away. Occupier demand has reduced significantly, resulting in the decrease of the average rental levels and the increase of the vacancy rates. The largest drop was recorded in Bucharest, on Magheru Boulevard where the average rents fell from 150 Euro/sq m/month in Q3 2008 down to 75 Euro/sq m/month at the end of 2009. Among the CEE capitals, Bucharest registered the largest correction in rents and was the most affected city in 2009. The main retail networks that expanded rapidly between 2004 and 2008 have put a stop to their expansion plans and even closed some of their units that were not performing as expected. In 2009, Magheru Boulevard was ranked as the world's 40th most expensive high street location, according to the Main Streets Across The World 2009 Report prepared by Cushman & Wakefield, dropping 14 positions compared with the previous year. Banks, the main players on the high street market, have generated the largest part of market activity over the past few years, however, they too stopped their expansion plans during 2009. CEE CAPITALS HIGH STREET RENTAL LEVEL (€/sq m/mth.) Q4 2006 Q4 2007 Q4 2008 Q4 2009 Bucharest, Magheru Blvd. 110 120 130 75 Prague, Na Prikope 167 175 180 165 Budapest,Vaci Utca 120 120 120 100 Warsaw, Chmielna 75 80 85 83 Bratislava, Downtown 68 75 80 50 Location Existing tenants have, in many cases, successfully renegotiated lease terms in search of decreasing the rents they paid, adding more pressure on the average rental levels seen on the market. In general, the discounts obtained by tenants were in the range of 15-20%, applied for periods of 6-24 months. During 2009, average rental levels decreased by 20-45%, depending on the city and micro location. Compared with the peak reached in Q3 2008, the rental drop is even larger with an average contraction of 30-50% for all the main cities. ROMANIA HIGH STREET RENTAL LEVEL (€/sq m/mth.) Q4 2006 Q4 2007 Q4 2008 Q4 2009 110 120 130 75 Cluj-Napoca 60 65 75 40 Iasi 40 45 50 35 Timisoara 40 45 45 35 Constanta 40 45 55 40 Location Bucharest (Magheru Blvd.) Trend 2010 Trend 2010 Source: Cushman&Wakefield, April 2010 The most developed high street area is located in the central area of Bucharest, along Magheru Boulevard and Calea Victoriei. Other cities with a more developed high street include Cluj-Napoca, Brasov, Sibiu and Oradea. The high street market in Romania continues to be characterized by a low level of development and few proper locations. The high street area is dominated by the service and financial sectors as a consequence of the aggressive expansion of the banks, pharmacies, mobile phone dealers and casinos over the last few years. The fashion sector, the true essence of the high street retail, capable of creating footfall is poorly represented. Source: Cushman&Wakefield, April 2010 CALEA VICTORIEI, BUCHAREST The market lacks large surface units, of over 400 sq m, targeted by the main fashion brands that could anchor the high street area and improve the general merchandise mix. In order to satisfy the demand from the main players and maximize turnover, many landlords have divided the larger units into smaller shops with average surfaces of 50-150 sq m. In addition, a large part of the existing old city centres must be refurbished in order to attract retailers and customers, a possible solution being the redevelopment of parts of the city centres in partnerships with international experienced developers. Bucharest continues to lack a proper pedestrian high street area with optimal access that meets the demands of international retailers. The historical city centre has started to be redeveloped, and a large number of coffee shops and restaurants were opened in 2009 attracting an increasing number of visitors, despite the never-ending rehabilitation works. 14 ROMANIA I OFFICE MARKET I SPRING 2010 OFFICE MARKET The office market in Romania is mainly concentrated in Bucharest, and most major international and domestic companies have their headquarters located here. In addition to Bucharest, the office market is more developed in a few other major cities including Cluj-Napoca, Timisoara, Brasov and Iasi. Across the rest of Romania, including some of the highly populated cities and regions, the office market is underdeveloped and is characterized by limited modern stock and low demand. Market indicators worsened during 2009 in Bucharest; the delivery of a large number of new projects, coupled with a fall in demand resulted in decreased rents and take-up and increasing vacancy levels. OFFICE STOCK IN CEE CAPITALS, END 2009 GLA (sq m) Warsaw 3,248,197 1,913 7% Prague 2,691,036 2,159 12% Budapest 2,400,559 1,416 22% Bucharest 1,486,300 765 17% Almost half of the new stock completed last year is located in the Dimitrie Pompeiu - Pipera area. Some of the major buildings completed here include Upground II (54,000 sq m), Global City (45,000 sq m), Cubic Center (27,000 sq m) and the extension of Novo Park (20,000). This area has seen the highest volume of office development over the last years in Bucharest, despite the insufficient transport infrastructure. Take-up volume, including both new leases and renewals, accounted for a total surface of 168,000 sq m GLA, 16% lower than in 2008 and 47% lower than the peak of 2007 (320,000 sq m). Vacancy Bratislava 1,403,369 3,273 12% Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 OFFICE TAKE-UP IN CEE CAPITALS The large development program started over the last few years in Bucharest resulted in the completion, of a record-high, of 420,400 sq m of new office space, corresponding to a massive 238% growth year-on-year. Approximately 75% of this new stock is represented by A-class buildings. 2007 2008 2009 600,000 500,000 400,000 sq m At the end of 2009 the total modern office space in Bucharest reached 1.48 million sq m GLA, representing a 39.4% growth yearon-year. The supply corresponds to a density of 765 sq m GLA/1,000 inhabitants, which is significantly lower compared to other CEE capitals such as Prague (2,159), Warsaw (1,913) and Budapest (1,416). GLA/1,000 population (sq m) City 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Bucharest Prague Budapest Warsaw Bratislava Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 MAJOR COMPLETIONS IN BUCHAREST, 2009 Project GLA (sq m) Area Developer Upground II Pompeiu Upground 57,000 Global City Pipera Global Finance 45,000 City Gate North GTC 44,000 Floreasca Plaza Vacarescu Portland Trust 34,200 Cubic Center Pipera Expert RoInvest 27,000 Novo Park (extension) Pompeiu Prefabricate Vest 20,000 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 The majority of the leasing deals were concluded in the second half of 2009, the first half of the year was characterised by low activity on the market. Take-up volume continued to be lower than in Budapest (294,415 sq m), Warsaw (280,164) and Prague (245,304), where the activity was also affected by the crisis. SWAN PARK, BUCHAREST Central locations continue to be preferred by most companies as a consequence of the proximity with other business elements, improved accessibility and for the company's image, while northern areas are generally preferred by large surface tenants and back-office facilities. The decreasing demand and the high volume of new stock completed contributed to the rapid growth in vacancy rates from only 2.3% in 2008 to 17% at the end of 2009. The largest part of the unoccupied surface was provided by the new projects finalized last year in Pipera, many unable to secure tenants. 15 MARKETBEAT In 2009 the average rental level decreased across Romania. In Bucharest average rents for central locations decreased by 7.1%, from 21 Euro/sq m/mth. in 2008 to 19.5 Euro/sq m/mth. at the end of 2009. This is below the rents of Warsaw (22), Budapest (22) and Prague (21), but above Bratislava (17), where the office density is the highest in CEE. The largest downward pressure on rents was for the decentralized locations in Bucharest where the average rent reached 12 Euro/sq m/mth. at the end of 2009, a decrease of 20% year-on-year. In the secondary cities, with modern office space, rents decreased from 14-15 Euro/sq m/mth. to approximately 11-12 Euro/sq m/month. OFFICE RENTAL LEVEL (€/sq m/mth.) Location 2006 2007 2008 2009 Bucharest, central area 20 21 21 19.5 Bucharest, decentralized 14 15 15 12 Other cities 15 15 15 11 2010 Trend Convention Center (55,000 sq m) and Swan Park (46,900 sq m) are placed in northern Bucharest, namely on DN1 and Pipera. MAJOR PROJECTS FOR COMPLETION IN 2010 IN BUCHAREST Project Area GLA (sq m) Platinum Business&Convention Center North 55,000 Swan Park Pipera 46,900 LakeView Vacarescu 24,000 Nusco Tower Vacarescu 20,700 Cathedral Plaza Central 20,000 Euro Tower Vacarescu 18,000 Crystal Tower Central 16,000 Castrum Central 14,500 Sun Plaza South 10,000 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 CITY BUSINESS CENTER, TIMISOARA Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 CBD OFFICE RENTS IN CEE CAPITALS (€/sq m/mth.) City End 2007 End 2008 End 2009 Bucharest 21 21 19.5 Prague 20 23 21 Warsaw 30 29 22 Budapest 21 22 22 Bratislava 20 18 17 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 The economic crisis has put a stop to the development program of office space in Bucharest. No new projects have begun since the end of 2008, only those already under construction have been continued. Developers are confronted with market uncertainty, a decline in rents, limited demand and tough conditions for securing loans for development. The new stock to be completed in 2010 in Bucharest is estimated at approximately 260,000 sq m, out of which 39,000 sq m (15%) was delivered during the first three months of the year. These projects were started before the crisis and have continued despite the worsening market environment. The largest new surface to be delivered is located on Barbu Vacarescu Boulevard, where the three major projects close to completion (LakeView, Euro Tower, Nusco Tower) account for 62,700 sq m GLA. Three important projects with a total surface of 50,500 sq m have been announced for delivery in the central area of the city. The largest projects to be completed in 2010, Platinum Business & 16 FORECAST The current market difficulties are likely to change the market environment and the market will mature in the coming years. While in the past, almost all projects have found success, this has been as a consequence of the insufficient supply. Now the market has become much more demanding. Only projects with an optimal location, good accessibility, a good concept and acceptable rental levels are likely to succeed. The marketability of projects located in the periphery, in areas such as Pipera, will improve when the accessibility problems are resolved. In 2010 the rental level in Bucharest may register further decreases, especially in decentralized locations, as a consequence of the increasing volume of available space. The demand is likely to show signs of improvement, with good figures seen in the first three months. ROMANIA I OFFICE MARKET I SPRING 2010 BUCHAREST OFFICE MAP, MAIN DEVELOPMENTS Existing Under Construction 39 Projects 56 76 54 70 6 5 29 36 69 49 33 52 19 84 87 79 42 12 16 24 68 59 86 74 7 18 67 22 38 40 71 41 75 72 32 26 25 89 58 2 11 57 9 8 23 43 81 17 13 15 82 62 61 28 90 35 63 1 47 65 64 45 53 66 44 85 27 83 4 80 55 48 34 50 21 10 73 37 31 14 88 3 60 46 30 77 51 ® Copyright AGC BUSMAN SRL 1. Anchor Plaza 2. America House 3. Platinum Center 4. Avrig 3-5 5. Baneasa BC 6. Baneasa Airport Tower 7. World Trade Center 8. Premium Point 9. Piraeus Bank 10. Maria Rosetti Tower 11. BRD Tower 12. Bucharest Business Park 13. Bucharest Corporate Center 14. Bucharest Financial Plaza 15. Art BC 16. Nusco Tower 17. Cascade OB 18. Charles De Gaulle Plaza 19. Conect I+II+III 20. Construdava 21. Dacia OB 22. Dorobanti 239 23. Europe House 24. Oracle Tower 25. Floreasca BC 26. Banu Antonache BC 27. Forum I+II+III 28. Global BC 29. Grivco Tower 30. Helios BC 31. IBC Modern 32. Eliade BC 33. Iride Business Park 34. Marriott Grand OB 35. Cotroceni BC 36. Metav Business Park 37. Millenium BC 38. Neocity I+II 39. Platinum B&C Center 40. North Center 41. North Gate OB 42. Novo Park 43. Crystal Tower 44. Opera Center 45. Palazzo Italia 46. PGV Tower 47. Anchor Plaza Metropol 48. Orhideea Towers 49. S Park 50. Tati Center 51. Sun Plaza 52. Pipera Business Tower 53. Union I 54. Victoria Park 55. Dacia 121 56. Baneasa B&T Park 57. Premium Plaza 58. Bucharest Tower Center 59. Floreasca Plaza 60. City BC 61. Riverside OB 62. Sema Parc 63. West Gate 64. Excelsior 65. Cathedral Plaza 66. Arena Plaza 67. Neocity III 68. Sky Tower 69. Twin Towers 70. Cubic Center 71. Global City 72. Pipera City 73. UTI BC 74. City Gate 75. Swan Office Park 76. Meteo BC 77. Martifer 78. Euro Tower 79. Multigalaxy 80. Avrig 7 81. Metropolis 82. Victoria Center 83. Cotroceni Park BC 84. Extensa 85. Izvor 80 86. Lake View 87. Upground 88. Olimpia Tower 89. EuroTower 90. Pumac 17 MARKETBEAT INDUSTRIAL MARKET Market activity slowed down in 2009, and the main indicators showed a significant drop in comparison to the good results seen in 20072008. BUCHAREST KEY INDUSTRIAL DATA Annual Supply sq m Until 2007 the market was dominated by built-to-suit developments, many of which had poor characteristics and there was a low volume of transactional activity. However, throughout 2007 and 2008 the development of speculative logistics projects by international developers resulted in a rapid expansion of the industrial market. International developers targeted the Bucharest area first, but have since expanded into other important areas such as Timisoara, Arad, Brasov, Ploiesti, Cluj-Turda, Oradea and Constanta. Stock Vacancy rate 700,000 21% 600,000 18% 500,000 15% 400,000 12% 300,000 9% 200,000 6% 100,000 3% 0% 0 The new supply delivered in Bucharest in 2009 (excluding the projects developed for owner occupation) reached only 20,750 sq m, corresponding to a 90% drop from the record-high volume in 2008. The total stock of speculative logistics space in Bucharest was, at the end of 2009, approximately 678,250 sq m. This level is significantly lower than in the rest of the CEE capitals, namely Warsaw (2.4 million sq m), Prague (1.5 million sq m), Budapest (1.4 million sq m) and Bratislava (1.1 million sq m). 2008 2007 2008 2009 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 The prime average rental level remained at approximately 4 Euro/sq m/month in Bucharest during 2009. For the projects developed by international developers outside the capital, the rents decreased by 5.5% to an average level of 4.25 Euro/sq m/month. These levels are likely to remain stable in 2010. CEE CAPITALS LOGISTICS RENTS - YEAR END (Euro/sq m/mth.) TOTAL LOGISTICS STOCK IN CEE CAPITALS 2007 2006 2009 2,500,000 2,000,000 sq m 1,500,000 1,000,000 City 2008 2009 Bucharest 4.00 4.00 Warsaw 4.50 5.25 Prague 4.00 3.50 Budapest 4.20 3.75 Bratislava 3.50 3.50 Trend 2010 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 500,000 ROMANIA, LOGISTICS RENTS - YEAR END (Euro/sq m/mth.) 0 Bucharest Prague Budapest Warsaw Bratislava Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 Take-up in Bucharest, excluding owner occupied spaces, decreased by 67% year-on-year to a volume of approximately 53,000 sq m. Most of the transactions were concentrated west of Bucharest, along the A1 motorway. The capital represented over 70% of the take-up volume in Romania. TOP 5 LOGISTICS LEASING DEALS IN 2009 Tenant Project City Unilever Ploiesti West Park Ploiesti 30,400 Antalis Bucharest West Bucharest 10,000 Domo Equest Logistic Center Bucharest 8,800 Omega Logistic ProLogis A1 Bucharest 6,600 Tornado Systems Atlas Project Bucharest 5,000 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 18 Area (sq m) City 2007 2008 2009 Bucharest 4.00 4.00 4.00 Main Cities 4.00 4.50 4.25 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 Some major projects were started in 2009, which will be developed in many phases according to the registered demand. These projects include Olympian Park Timisoara, Millennium Logistics Bucharest and Ploiesti West. Approximately 80,000 sq m of new supply has been announced for delivery in 2009. The actual amount delivered will be influenced by the demand evolution. In the first few months of 2010 there has been an increasing demand for light industrial and storage space, the demand coming mainly from international companies active in the automotive and electronics sectors. ROMANIA I INDUSTRIAL MARKET I SPRING 2010 INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS BUCHAREST LOGISTICS MAP Crevedia 2 E60 DN7 Proposed Ring Road International Airport Otopeni 1 A3 Afumati Existing Ring Road 1 E60 Voluntari Dudu 4 9 4 15 Chiajna 14 A1 6 3 7 Ciorogarla 11 10 13 Pantelimon 8 5 12 Domnesti 3 5 A2 Popesti-Leordeni 2 6 Darasti E70 Main Existing Developments Main Projects 1 Karl Heinz Dietrech 7 13 Bucharest West Industrial Park 1 Bucharest Distribution Park 2 Crevedia Logistic Park 8 Faur Industrial Park 14 Prologis Logistic Park 2 Millennium Logistic Park 3 Chemp Alpha DC 9 Chitila Logistic Park 15 Mercury Logistic Park 3 WDP Fundulea 4 NordEst Logistic Park 10 Otter Logistic Park 4 Bucharest Industrial Park 5 Apollo Logistic Park 11 Key Logistic Center 5 Olympian Park Chiajna 6 Mobexpert Logistic Centre 12 Europolis Logistic Park 6 Catalunya Industrial Park A1 Business Park Source: Cushman & Wakefield, May 2010 19 MARKETBEAT RESIDENTIAL The residential market is considered the real-estate sector with the largest potential of development in the medium to long term in Romania. The existing stock of dwellings in the urban area is mainly represented by blocks of flats built during the communist regime, providing a low quality of construction and efficiency, small usable areas and a lack of parking spaces. During the period between 2004 – 2007, the market saw an accelerated development program and a large number of projects were announced. The steady economic growth, rising purchasing power and accessibility to finance increased the demand for both old and new residential units. The limited modern stock delivered after 1990 and the market potential attracted a high number of developers into the market, both foreign and domestic. Almost all the projects launched during this period registered successful sales, anticipating a large market potential, while the prices saw two digit annual growth rates. A large part of the sales were bought by international investors, either private persons or funds, that bought large portfolios for speculative reasons. The second program, named “First House”, was addressed to the people buying their first dwelling. People are encouraged to take loans with the maximum value of Euro 60,000 at a lower interest rate than the market average and with the payment of only Euro 3,000 as advance. These loans are guaranteed by the Romanian state. After the crisis started in the middle of 2008, no new projects were started and a large percentage of those in the pipeline were put on hold. The annual new stock delivered in Romania rose between 2006 and 2008, the volume in 2008 was double that in 2005. Last year a slight decrease of 5.2% was registered in the number of new dwellings completed. In Bucharest the new stock of apartments delivered as part of major projects remained at only 2,000-2,500 units per year in 2007 and 2008. Despite the low number of sales, a relatively large number of projects started in 2007/2008 saw completion during 2009 in Bucharest, and a record-high of approximately 7,200 new apartments were delivered onto the market. NUMBER OF DWELLINGS COMPLETED The number of projects announced between 2006 and H1 2008 rocketed in all the largest cities of Romania, especially in those with a population of over 150,000. Over 100,000 planned residential units were announced for Bucharest and in between 5,000 and 12,000 units for each of the largest secondary markets such as Cluj-Napoca, Timisoara, Ploiesti, Brasov and Iasi. The residential market was the first real estate sector in Romania to be affected by the financial crisis. The first signs were visible at the start of 2008 when demand for older residential apartments fell and as the year progressed this decreasing demand spread to all sectors of the residential market. Prices saw dramatic corrections, the number of sales plummeted and the entire market became blocked in the last few months of 2008. In 2009 the market saw a low activity level despite the fact that the Romanian state launched programs in order to restart demand. International investors, either private investors or investment funds, stopped new acquisitions and even renounced some of the forwardpurchase agreements signed previously. Romanians have also stopped their plans of buying residential units as the economic environment worsened, unemployment rates increased and mortgage conditions deteriorated significantly. In addition there was a general attitude of expecting further decreases in the price level. Two programs were launched by the state during 2009, but their effects were relatively limited and only affected the market for old apartments. The first decision was to reduce the VAT to 5% for the acquisition of a single dwelling with a value of less than ~90,000 Euro and with a maximum usable surface of 120 sq m, limited to one per person. 20 Year Units Completed Urban Share Rural Share Private Financing Public Financing 2005 32,868 47% 53% 83% 17% 2006 38,878 47% 53% 88% 12% 2007 47,299 50% 50% 91% 9% 2008 64,416 48% 52% 93% 7% 2009 61,101 50% 50% 91% 9% Source: National Institute of Statistics From 2003/2004, the price levels for both old and new properties started to increase, and registered annual growth rates of 25-35% (in some cases even higher). The peak was achieved in the first half of 2008, average prices for semi-central locations in Bucharest reaching approximately 1,900 Euro/built sq m in Bucharest. The drop in sales have resulted in a significant decrease in average prices. Over the course of 24 months, since the beginning of the crisis. the prices of new apartments located in semi-central Bucharest have decreased by over 35%, reaching 1,200 Euro/built sq m. For the projects in peripheral locations the prices range between approximately 750-1,000 Euro/built sq m. AVERAGE PRICE OF NEW APARTMENTS (€/built sq m) City Bucharest - semi-central Mid 2007 Mid 2008 Mid 2009 May 2010 1,600 1,900 1,500 1,200 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, May 2010 Despite the reduction, sales have not yet picked up as the market expectancy is that values will keep dropping, mortgage conditions are oppressive and the economic climate discourages people from making investments in long-term assets. ROMANIA I INVESTMENT MARKET I SPRING 2010 INVESTMENT MARKET The first major transactions in Romania began in 2003, but the real boom started in 2006, when the total volume exceeded 1 billion Euro for the first time. In less than five years prime office yields in Bucharest dropped from 12.5% to 6.25%. The record yield was the transaction of America House, in 2007, where the initial yield was 5.55%. Transactional volume reached the highest level in 2007 at Euro 1.9 billion. As happened across the world, the volume of transactions reduced considerably in 2008. In 2008 the volume dropped to approximately 50% of the transactional volume of the peak in 2007, registering a total of 969 million Euro. In reality, for most of the transactions signed in 2008 the negotiations were started in 2007 when the environment was very different and investors were still active. In 2009 the investment market in Romania remained blocked, registering a very low level of activity. The international investors who were active previously paused their acquisition program on the Romanian market. Only 129 million Euro of transactions were recorded in the entire year, corresponding to a massive decrease of 86.7% year-on-year, while it represents only 6.8% of the record volume registered in 2007. INVESTMENT VOLUMES IN ROMANIA - SECTOR BREAKDOWN Retail Office Industrial Other* 2,000 PRIME YIELDS - YEAR END 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 8.50% 8.75% 7.25% 7.75% 6.25% 6.75% 7.50% 8.50% 9.00% 10.00% 8.50% n/a 7.50% 8.25% 6.25% 7.50% 7.50% 8.75% 9.00% 11.00% 10% 10% 8.50% 9.00% 7.50% 7.75% 8.50% 8.75% 9.50% 10.50% Shopping Centres Bucharest Other Cities Office Bucharest Other Cities Industrial / Logistics Bucharest Other Cities Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 PRIME SHOPPING CENTRE YIELDS IN CEE CAPITALS Bucharest Budapest Prague Warsaw 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 million Euro Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 1,500 1,000 FORECAST 500 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 * Other: Hotel and Residential The largest transaction signed in 2009 was the acquisition of European Retail Park in Braila. The scheme, delivered in 2007-2008, has a letting area of approximately 44,400 sq m, and is anchored by Carrefour, Bricostore, Staer, Media Galaxy, New Yorker and Hervis. The scheme was sold for Euro 63 million by the Belgium developer Belrom to New Europe Property Investments, in a deal that involved also Belrom becoming a shareholder of NEPI. In 2009, prime yields in Romania continued to soften by another 150 basis points in all real estate sectors, both for Bucharest and the rest of the country. Given the lack of transactional data and fast moving pace of market sentiment and, indeed, borrowing costs, the year end yield figures are a broad estimation only and do not relate to any specific asset or transaction. Compared with the rest of the capitals in the CEE region, such as Warsaw, Prague and Budapest, the prime yields in Bucharest are generally 150 basis points higher, reflecting investors' sentiment regarding the country risk, performance and quality of projects available on sale. There has been no significant change on the local market in the first three months of 2010. The single, most important, transaction was the acquisition of Auchan and Bricostore units, part of Iris Shopping Center in Pitesti, by NEPI. There are no signs that the investment market will recover in the short term. It is likely that a few number of transactions will take place in the following months, involving small properties of less than 50 million Euro. The limited number of international and domestic investors targeting Romania at present are opportunistic, in search of distressed properties, mainly in Bucharest and the largest cities of the country. The major international investors are likely to be attracted by prime properties put on sale on mature markets in Western Europe at 6-8% yields. These investors are unlikely to return to Romania until the market is stabilized and growth returns. Romania is generally considered to have an important potential for development in the medium to long term in different sectors of the real-estate market, and it is likely that the market size and opportunities will attract significant inflow of capital after the crisis. 21 MARKETBEAT VALUATION SERVICES Cushman & Wakefield is one of the largest real estate valuation organisations in the world. We are the foremost valuation advisor to leading investors and public and private companies, as well as banks, REITs, institutional funds and insurance companies. We provide customised services and solutions in accordance with each clients' needs. Our valuations are based on national, European and international standards (including the International Valuation Standards, the RICS Red Book, ANEVAR and TEGOVA). Our Romanian team includes both RICS qualified Chartered Surveyors and locally trained ANEVAR member professionals, enabling us to deliver to international standards and expectations, whilst fully understanding local language issues and statutory considerations. The past eighteen months have seen property values in Romania fall significantly across all sectors, as the country has been affected by the economic crisis. In some cases, values have fallen more than 50% from their peak. During such times, it is essential that lenders, investors and occupiers obtain the best possible advice on their assets to inform their decision making. Throughout this difficult period, Cushman & Wakefield has continued to provide professional advice to our clients. As the graph below shows, in 2009, we advised on a large number of retail and land assets, two of the sectors which have been particularly affected by the crisis. C&W ROMANIA WEB SITES www.offices-for-rent.ro www.offices-for-rent.ro was released in June 2010 in order to facilitate easy and rapid support for our clients to different subjects related to the local office market. The site includes a selection of office properties available for rent in Bucharest and in the largest cities throughout Romania. In addition, the market analysis section provides our clients with the latest office market reports and statistics. VALUATION BY SECTOR (% OF AGGREGATE MARKET VALUES), 2009 Retail Industrial Hospitality & Leisure Land Residential, Portfolios & Others Office www.industrial-romania.ro 6% 7% 32% 13% 17% 25% Source: Cushman & Wakefield, April 2010 We have the largest Valuation Advisory Services team in the region, ensuring we have the manpower to complete projects professionally and on time, and also ensuring continuity for future valuations. We have access to the largest brokerage teams active in the region, who cover all the main sectors. This ensures we have the most up to date market knowledge. Our services include: valuations for loan security; portfolio valuations; valuations for acquisitions or sales; leasehold valuations; annual or quarterly valuation updates; valuations for accounts purposes; valuations for development projects; market studies; comparable research. 22 www.industrial-romania.ro is, starting with the end of 2009, our web support for the corporate clients activating in the industrial and logistics sector. The site provides a wide selection of properties located as part of the most important industrial areas and logistics hubs in Romania. A dedicated section of market analysis is provided, including the main statistics, reports and trends seen in the local industry. ROMANIA I REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT I SPRING 2010 CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD D in ic u H Bl vd . HILTON itu Sch H INTERCONTINENTAL National Theatre University . lvd National Opera Cismigiu Garden lvd. B ele gur Ma It offers a complete range of services within four primar y disciplines: Transaction Services, including tenant and landlord representation in office, industrial and retail real estate; Capital Markets, including property sales, investment management, valuation services, investment banking, debt and equity financing; Client Solutions, including integrated real estate strategies for large corporations and property owners, and Consulting Services, including business and real estate consulting. Ple vn ei B scu alce d.. B lvN REVOLUTIEI SQUARE et Stre zei razvan.gheorghe@eur.cushwake.com RAILWAY STATION ol es cu Ber Ca lea UNIVERSITATII SQUARE ROSETTI SQUARE M Regina Elisabeta Blvd. M Dambovita Riv er M Izvor Park Natiunile Unite Blvd . Cotroceni Stadium CONSTITUTIEI SQUARE Partner Managing Director Razvan Gheorghe G dr.u B ghlve ruaB heM Mag Cushman & Wakefield is the world's largest privately held commercial real estate services firm. Founded in 1917, it has 230 offices in 58 countries and more than 15,000 employees. The firm represents a diverse customer base ranging from small businesses to Fortune 500 companies. The House of Parliament M Unirii Blvd. H MARRIOTT Calea 13 Septem brie Academy House gin Re ia ar aM Bl UNIRII SQUARE . vd CONTACTS Capital Markets Costel Florea Shopping Centres Andrei Birsan Shopping Centres Cristina Dumitrache Shopping Centres Felicia Vasiu High Street Valentin Manu costel.florea@eur.cushwake.com andrei.birsan@eur.cushwake.com cristina.dumitrache@eur.cushwake.com felicia.vasiu@eur.cushwake.com valentin.manu@eur.cushwake.com Asset Management Silviu Ionici Office Florin Sorea Valuation Andrew Pirie Industrial Gabriel Sfetcu Marketing Doinita Costache silviu.ionici@eur.cushwake.com florin.sorea@eur.cushwake.com andrew.pirie@eur.cushwake.com gabriel.sfetcu@eur.cushwake.com doinita.costache@eur.cushwake.com For further information or additional copies of this or other reports, please contact: Doinita Costache, Marketing Manager doinita.costache@eur.cushwake.com Cushman & Wakefield Opera Center, 2 Dr.Nicolae Staicovici Street 4th Floor, Sector 5, Bucharest, Romania Tel.: +40 21 408 03 00 Fax: +40 21 408 03 01 www.cushmanwakefield.com This document contains general information and it has been used by Cushman & Wakefield on the assumption that it is correct and accurate. Cushman & Wakefield declines all responsibility if this is not the case. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental, or other conditions, and withdrawal without notice or at the request of our clients. For industry-leading intelligence to support your real estate and business decisions, go to Cushman & Wakefield’s Knowledge Center at cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge © 2010 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. © 2010 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved www.cushmanwakefield.com