JP Morgan Auto Conference 2012
Transcription
JP Morgan Auto Conference 2012
J.P. Morgan g Auto Conference 2012 Brad Hughes - CFO August 14, 2012 1 Safe Harbor Statement This presentation contains strategic goals and other forward looking statements related to future financial results forward-looking and business operations for Cooper Tire & Rubber Company. Actual results may differ materially from the goals and from current management forecasts and projections as a result of factors over which the Company may have limited or no control. Information on certain of these risk factors and additional information on forward-looking statements are included in the Company’s reports on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission and are set forth at the end of this presentation. presentation Q3 2012 results are scheduled to be released on November 1, 2012 See Coopertire.com for details. 2 Available Information Our internet address is http://www.coopertire.com. We webcast our earnings calls and certain events we participate in or host on the investor relations portion of our website, http://coopertire.com/investors.aspx. We also make available on our website free of charge a variety of information for investors. investors Our goal is to maintain the investor relations portion of the website as a portal through which investors can easily find or navigate to pertinent information about us, including: • our annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K, and any amendments d t to t those th reports, t as soon as reasonably bl practicable ti bl after ft we electronically l t i ll fil file that material with or furnish it to the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”); • information on our business strategies, financial results and selected key performance indicators; • announcements of our p participation p at investor conferences and other events;; • press releases on quarterly earnings, product and service announcements and legal developments; • corporate governance information; and • other th news and d announcements t that th t we may postt ffrom ti time to t time ti that th t investors i t might i ht find fi d useful or interesting. The content of our website is not intended to be incorporated by reference into this presentation or in any report or document we file with or furnish to the SEC, and any references to our website are intended to be inactive textual references only. 3 Agenda g Recent News Company Background Industry Raw Materials Q2 2012 results & other items Q Balance Sheet and Investments Strategic Plan Execution Risks 4 Recent news Jan 2012 – Finalized purchase of tire plant assets in Kruševac, Serbia Jan/Feb 2012 – United Steelworkers Local 752L ratify 4 year labor contract and Local 207L ratify 5 year labor contract Jul 2012 – Awarded $6.9 million grant from USDA to develop guayule technology for commercialization in the tire industry J l 2012 – Serbia Jul S bi operation i awarded d d ISO 9001:2008 9001 2008 quality li standard certification Aug 2012 – Declared 162nd consecutive quarterly dividend Aug 2012 - AR Securitization credit facility extended to June 2015 5 A leader in the tire industryy 2011 Sales by Segment North America 30% 70% 5% 5% Sales by Product* 20% 50% 20% 6 International Passenger Light Truck Commercial Truck Winter Specialty *based on an approximation of recent years net sales, primarily in the replacement market 9th largest global tire manufacturer and 4th largest in the U.S. 2011 revenue of $3.9 billion 13% market share in the U.S. light vehicle replacement tire market Limited O.E. O E presence Rapidly growing international segment 2011 unit sales ≈47 million tires With a global network and presence g p Note: Operations in Rongcheng City, China, and Guadalajara, Mexico are not wholly owned. Assets from the operation in Kruševac, Serbia were acquired in early 2012. 7 A flexible and cost effective manufacturingg network Findlay, y OH ((mfg, g R&D, Corp p HQ)) Texarkana, AR (mfg) Tupelo, MS (mfg) Pearsall, TX (test track) Occidente, Guadalajara, Mexico (mfg) Stow, OH (Mickey Thomson HQ) Clarksdale, MS (rubber mixing) Cooper Chengshan Tire (CCT), Rongcheng g g City, y, China ((mfg) g) Cooper Kunshan Tire (CKT), Kunshan, China (mfg) Asia Technical Center (ATC) and HQ, Sh h i China Shanghai, Chi (R&D), (R&D) Asia A i HQ Melksham, England (mfg, R&D, European HQ) Cooper Tire Serbia (mfg) Kruševac, Serbia (mfg) p g alternatives are used to maximize cost effectiveness using g high g Cooper's sourcing quality, near source operations. Note: Operations in Rongcheng City, China, and Guadalajara, Mexico are not wholly owned. 8 A strong, diverse brand portfolio… House Brands Private Brand Distributors and National Retailers 9 A historically resilient industry in the U.S. Millions 300 of tires Light g vehicle replacement p tire industryy shipments p Passenger 250 208 200 29 217 31 226 34 In four decades only once has there been a period of two consecutive years of decline Light Truck 233 225 228 31 34 34 222 34 235 36 238 36 230 34 238 223 34 29 230 223 220 29 28 201 194 192 2010 29 201 2011 29 194 2012 28 192 218 29 28 150 199 191 191 194 199 196 204 179 192 202 186 1997 Light Truck 29 Passenger 179 1998 31 186 1999 34 192 2000 34 199 2001 31 191 2002 34 191 2003 34 194 2004 36 199 2005 36 202 2006 34 196 2007 34 204 100 194 190 2008 29 194 2009 28 190 50 0 10 2012 is based on RMA estimates released August 2012 A Company p y that can g grow 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 10 1.0 0.5 0.0 North America International Eliminations Total 11 Total Net Sales, USD Billions North America International 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1.7 03 0.3 (0.1) 2.0 1.8 00.33 (0.1) 2.0 2.0 00.77 (0.1) 2.6 2.2 00.99 (0.2) 2.9 2.1 11.00 (0.2) 2.9 2.0 10 1.0 (0.2) 2.8 2.4 11.33 (0.3) 3.4 2.9 11.66 (0.5) 3.9 amounts may not add due to rounding Diversifying y gp profits Total 200 North America International Operating Profit, USD millions 150 100 50 0 -50 -100 -150 2007 12 2008 2009 2010 2011 Successful new product launches support growth Cooper Zeon RS3™ UHP tire and the Cooper Discoverer AT3 ™ recognized by a prominent consumer testing organization as best b t available il bl on th the market. k t Media Recognition 13 Brand Embedment Significant product launches including commercial tires are occurring around the globe. Exciting Products Tire shipments can be impacted by economic factors Passenger Percentage change in United States Shipments Q2 2012 vs Q2 2011 YTD June 2012 vs YTD June 2011 Total RMA Total RMA Industry Members Cooper Industry Members Cooper 0.0% 0.1% 15.2% -2.6% -3.9% 3.8% Light Truck 0.2% -2.3% 18.7% -6.5% -8.4% 6.2% Total Light Vehicle 0 1% 0.1% -0.2% 0 2% 15 9% 15.9% -3.1% 3 1% -4.5% 4 5% 4 3% 4.3% Medium Truck -7.7% -14.3% 4.5% -8.4% -15.4% 9.4% Broadline and value tires continue to be the most impacted by the economic and value tires continue to be the most impacted by the economic environment. Cooper recognizing Q2 growth in Broadline, Light Truck, UHP and TBR July 2012 total industry shipments increased 3.8% for replacement light vehicle and RMA members increased 7.0%. 14 Data Source: RMA and Cooper Tire 421 Tariff Impact p Additional tariff of 25% applied to Light vehicle tires imported into U.S. from China ((currentlyy set to expire p in September p 2012)) Since 2009 companies have increased imports from countries other than China The cost differential of Chinese sourced tires have diminished due to hi h landed higher l d d costs t (labor (l b cost,t ffreight, i ht utilities tiliti andd currency iinflation fl ti iin China) Cooper is well positioned to deal with the tariff expiration Enhanced competiveness at U.S. plants Supply from Mexico Flexibility in China operations 15 15 Tires are a complex p product p Input Raw Materials Labor Other Raw Material Breakdown Natural Rubber Synthetic Rubbers Carbon Black Reinforcing Fabrics Steel Other Raw Materials 16 Note: These costs are historical estimates of typical costs and are based on production in what would traditionally be considered a high cost country. Raw material in Q2, 2012 was approximately 67% of CoGS for the total Company. % of CoGS 50-55% 20-30% 15-30% % of RM 20-25% 25-30% 10-15% 10-15% 10 15% 10-15% 10-15% Raw material cost volatility is a challenge 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Q3, 2012 is an estimate 17 Cooper's Raw Material Index Q2, 2012 = 262 Q2 2012 Related information including an operating profit walk from the prior year is available at Coopertire.com under the Investor Relations page. (millions USD, except EPS) Net Sales by Segment North American Tire International Tire Eliminations Total Company Operating Profit by Segment North American Tire International Tire Eliminations Corporate Total Company Q2 2012 $ $ $ $ Q2 2011 771 419 (131) 1,058 OP % 65 8.4% 43 10.3% (3) (10) 95 9.0% $ $ $ $ 663 396 (140) 919 OP % 4 0.6% 23 5.9% (1) (2) 24 2.6% Change from Prior Year 16 2% 16.2% 5.8% -6.6% 15.2% $ $ 61 20 (2) (8) 71 Earnings Per Share (diluted) from continuing operations attributable to common stockholders $ 0.82 $ 0.18 $ 0.64 Cash and Cash Equivalents q $ 241 $ 138 $ 103 amounts are unaudited and may not add due to rounding 18 6 Months Ended June 30, 2012 (millions USD, except EPS) Net Sales by Segment North American Tire International Tire Eliminations p y Total Company Operating Profit by Segment North American Tire International Tire Eliminations Corporate Total Company 6 Months Ended June 30 2012 30, $ $ 1,468 823 (249) 2,043 , 6 Months Ended June 30, 2011 $ $ $ OP % 88 6.0% 76 9.2% (4) (17) 143 7.0% $ Earnings E i P Per Sh Share (dil (diluted) t d) from f continuing operations available to common stockholders $ 1.17 $ Cash and Cas a d Cash Cas Equivalents qu a e ts $ 241 $ $ amounts are unaudited and may not add due to 19rounding $ 1,307 759 (246) 1,821 , OP % 25 1.9% 43 5.7% (3) (9) 56 3.1% Change from Prior Year 12.3% 8.4% 1.2% 12.2% % $ $ 63 33 (1) (7) 87 0.43 $ 0.74 138 38 $ 103 03 Other Items Products liability charges for the full year of 2012 expected to be higher following the long term trend of expenses and costs associated with an active trial docket. Pension funding and expense in 2012 should be in the range of $40 million to $50 million. UK pension plan frozen effective April 6, 2012 curtailment ggain of approximatelyy $7 million in Q2 2012. Effective tax rates for the full year 2012 in the range of 29% to 34%. Capital expenditures in 2012 in the range of $180 million to $210 million. 20 20 A solid balance sheet and available liquidity q y millions USD Cash & cash equivalents Parent Company Credit Lines 6/30/2012 $241 $275 to $375 $516 to $616 Liquidity Items for Consideration Capital expenditures between $180 and $210 million in 2012 Depreciation approximately $130 million in 2012 Lowest level of cash needed = $75 million Additional $249 million of credit available in China Parent Company 8% unsecured notes due December 2019 7.625% unsecured notes due March 2027 Capitalized leases and other 6/30/2012 12/31/2011 $ $ Subsidiaries Total debt Less current maturities $ 21 174 117 9 300 44 344 7 337 $ 174 117 10 301 50 351 21 330 Corporate Debt Ratings: Moody's B1, Stable S&P BB-, Stable Investment decisions focus on creating shareholder value Funding Considerations Sustaining basic operations Dividends Strategic investments Profitable growth C t reductions Cost d ti Additional pension funding Optimize WACC, long-term capital structure, and credit rating Opportunistic capital structure changes Other shareholder-friendly actions Cash & Cash Equivalents (millions USD) at 12/31 2005 $280 2006 $222 2007 $508 2008 $248 2009 $427 2010 $413 2011 $234 Analysis includes a review of returns and the anticipated future business environment. Priorities can change based on those expectations. 22 22 We have delivered on our long g term strategy gy 23 More details on Cooper's Strategic Plan are available at Coopertire.com. Reinforcing our opportunity to grow and generate value… • Continued investment in our business in China, China Mexico Mexico, Eastern & Central Europe • Investing in high quality well recognized products such as Cooper p Zeon RS3 & Discoverer A/T3 • Continued trend of 162 consecutive quarterly dividends • Total shareholder return of 36% from 2008 thru 2011 (top quartile of the S&P) 24 24 Q Questions? i ? 25 25 Risks It is possible that actual results may differ materially from projections or expectations due to a variety of factors, including It is possible that actual results may differ materially from projections or expectations due to a variety of factors, including but not limited to: but not limited to: • the failure to achieve expected sales levels; • volatility in raw material and energy prices, including those of rubber, steel, petroleum based products and natural gas and the unavailability of such raw materials or energy sources; • the inability to obtain and maintain price increases to offset higher production or material costs; • the failure of the Company’s suppliers to timely deliver products in accordance with contract specifications; • changes in economic and business conditions in the world; g ; • changes in interest or foreign exchange rates; • increased competitive activity including actions by larger competitors or lower‐cost producers; • consolidation among the Company's competitors or customers; • changes in the Company’s customer relationships, including loss of particular business for competitive or other reasons; • litigation brought against the Company, including products liability claims, which could result in material damages against the Company, as well as potential increases in legal fees due to a more active trial docket; • volatility in the capital and financial markets or changes to the credit markets and/or access to those markets; • an adverse change in the Company’s credit ratings, which could increase its borrowing costs and/or hamper its access to the credit markets; • changes in pension expense and/or funding resulting from investment performance of the Company’s pension plan assets and changes in discount rate, salary increase rate, and expected return on plan assets assumptions, or changes to related accounting regulations; • the impact of labor problems, including labor disruptions at the Company or at one or more of its large customers or suppliers; • changes to tariffs on certain tires imported into the United States from the People's Republic of China or the imposition of new tariffs or trade restrictions; • government regulatory and legislative initiatives including environmental and healthcare matters; • failure to implement information technologies or related systems, including failure to successfully implement an ERP system ; • the failure to develop technologies, processes or products needed to support consumer demand; • technology advancements; • the risks associated with doing business outside of the United States; • failure to attract or retain key personnel; • inaccurate assumptions used in developing the Company’s strategic plan or operating plans or the inability or failure to successfully implement such plans; • failure to successfully integrate acquisitions into operations or their related financings may impact liquidity and capital resources; • changes in the Company’s relationship with joint‐venture partners; • the inability to recover the costs to develop and test new products or processes; • inability to adequately protect the Company’s intellectual property rights; • and inability to use deferred tax assets. 26 26