Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Transcription
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
BRADFORD LOCAL INVESTMENT PLAN EVIDENCE BASE 2011 Strategic Information & Support Team Housing, Employment & Skills Department of Regeneration & Culture 1st Floor, North Wing, Jacobs Well Bradford, BD1 5RW Tel: 01274 432591, 434454, 431703 Email: sarah.holmes@bradford.gov.uk will.ridley-ellis@bradford.gov.uk katya.coldwell@bradford.gov.uk Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 1 CONTENTS 1 Contents ....................................................................................... 2 2 Introduction .................................................................................. 3 3 Policy Context................................................................................ 4 The Big Plan for the Bradford District 2008-2011 ............................... 4 Sustainable Homes and Neighbourhoods in a Successful District – Joint Housing Strategy for Bradford 2008-2020 ........................................ 5 Great Places to Grow Old: Bradford District Housing Strategy for the Over 50s 2011-2021 ...................................................................... 6 Working together for a warmer future – An affordable warmth strategy for the Bradford District 2007 ......................................................... 7 Bradford District Economic Strategy 2011-2013 ................................ 8 Local Development Framework........................................................ 8 Housing Requirement..................................................................... 8 Affordable Housing Policies ............................................................. 9 West Yorkshire Local Transport Plan ................................................ 9 Leeds City Region Transport Strategy and Connectivity Study ............10 Key messages for the LIP .................................................................11 4 Housing Evidence Base ..................................................................12 5 More Homes .................................................................................13 Demographics ..............................................................................13 Income .......................................................................................14 House Prices ................................................................................15 Overcrowding...............................................................................17 Growth........................................................................................18 Key messages for the LIP .................................................................18 6 Quality.........................................................................................19 Fuel Poverty ................................................................................22 Deprivation..................................................................................23 Key messages for the LIP .................................................................23 7 Inclusion ......................................................................................24 Social Rented Housing...................................................................24 Homelessness ..............................................................................24 Older People ................................................................................24 Vulnerable People .........................................................................27 Key messages for the LIP .................................................................30 8 Geographic Priorities......................................................................31 City Centre ..................................................................................31 Manningham ................................................................................32 Leeds Bradford Corridor (LBC) .......................................................34 Canal Road Corridor (CRC) ............................................................37 Airedale ......................................................................................38 9 Conclusions ..................................................................................45 10References ..................................................................................45 Page 2 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 2 INTRODUCTION 2.1 This document supports the investment priorities explained in Bradford’s Local Investment Plan 2011-2020. It considers the overarching local policy context and presents the evidence to justify our priorities. 2.2 Bradford is a big city and District, and an important economic player within the wider city region and region. Our population of just over 500,000 is growing rapidly, and is increasingly diverse. Spanning 143 square miles, the District’s range of landscapes is extraordinary – from open moorland and rural villages to the densely populated inner-city. This unique combination of features result in a range of assets and challenges, which demand specific housing and economic responses in order to deliver lasting regeneration and growth for our communities. 2.3 The evidence used within this report is generally Ward level based. The following map shows the location of the Wards across the District. Figure 2-A Map of district showing Wards Page 3 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 3 POLICY CONTEXT 3.1 This section introduces the local policy context, from the District’s Sustainable Community Strategy ‘The Big Plan for the Bradford District’ to our Joint Housing Strategy 2008-2020. It also considers the interrelated Planning, Transport and Economic context. The Big Plan for the Bradford District 2008-2011 3.2 This is Bradford’s Sustainable Community Strategy, produced by the Council and its partners, who are working together to make the district a decent place to live, now and for future generations. The Big Plan sets out the district’s vision for 2020… “By 2020, the Bradford district will be a vibrant, prosperous, creative, peaceful, inclusive place where people are proud of their shared values and identity, and work together to secure this vision for future generations” 3.3 • The plan is focused around 6 themes: Prosperity and Regeneration – including the transformational priorities of regeneration and improving skills, and covering other economic issues such as business growth and aspects of culture, housing and transport. • Children and Young People – including the transformational priority of improving educational outcomes. • Safer Communities – building public confidence, trust and satisfaction by reducing crime and anti-social behaviour, tackling its causes and increasing people’s feeling of safety and security in their homes and neighbourhoods. • Health and Wellbeing for All – dealing with the causes of major public health and life-style problems and working together to prevent illness and extend productive, independent life, especially for those groups experiencing the worst health or in need of care and support. • Improving the Environment – clean, attractive neighbourhoods; reducing and managing waste sustainably; and reducing our impact on climate change. • Strong and Cohesive Communities – working with citizens to help them become actively involved and self-confident, to make their communities stronger and invest resources locally in neighbourhood improvement. 3.4 Across the six themes lie the three cross cutting themes of Culture, Housing and Transport, which make major contributions to our prosperity, to the lives of younger and older people, to our health and the quality of our environment, and to strengthening our neighbourhoods. Page 4 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Sustainable Homes and Neighbourhoods in a Successful District – Joint Housing Strategy for Bradford 2008-2020 3.5 The joint housing strategy represents the commitment of the Council and its partners to meet the housing requirements of the District. Its vision is for “Bradford’s neighbourhoods to have sufficient, high quality, sustainable homes within an economically prosperous, green, supportive and cohesive district”. 3.6 • The key objectives of the strategy are: More homes: To provide new housing, much of it affordable, to meet the needs of a growing population. To ensure that new housing creates popular neighbourhoods with high standards of quality and design linked to good transport networks and with easy access to employment and amenities. • Quality: To improve the quality of our existing housing stock both private and social. Improve the quality of our neighbourhoods including open space for leisure and recreation, and to provide high quality services within the local authority and its partner agencies. • Inclusion: To ensure that vulnerable sections of our communities are helped to maintain a home and achieve independent living by preventing homelessness, providing adaptations for those with a disability, tackling fuel poverty, increasing the number of homes built to Lifetime Standards and providing more Extra Care homes. Bradford Homelessness Strategy 2008 3.7 The Bradford Homelessness Strategy vision is “to provide quality services, delivered in partnership, to support people who are homeless or threatened with homelessness, to access appropriate housing, to settle into the community”. 3.8 • There are eight priorities making up the strategy: To open up supply and offer choice for people who are homeless or in housing need • To reduce the use of temporary accommodation offering more flexible alternatives • To ensure that services cater for and acknowledge our communities’ diverse needs • To develop new performance and quality standards to track our successes • To develop better information networks to reduce homelessness • Reduce the incidence of rough sleeping • Increase tenancy management and sustainability to prevent homelessness • To move all our services towards homelessness prevention and earlier intervention Page 5 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Bradford Supporting People 5 Year Strategy 2008-2013 3.9 The Bradford Supporting People Strategy sets out a vision for housing related support in Bradford. “We will ensure that housing related support is used as a means to successfully transform our district into a place where communities thrive and where vulnerable people are confident and supported to make a full and positive contribution” 3.10 • Over the next 5 years, the key aims of the strategy are to: Increase choice through funding more floating support and introducing individual budgets. • Prevent people from staying in supported accommodation that they no longer need, by providing solutions to help them move on including a tenancy ready scheme and move on coordinator. • Carrying out a major review of support to older people to provide wider options to people in non-traditional sheltered housing and increase the provision of extra care • Improve the options for people with learning disabilities and mental health problems to remain in their own homes through the provision of low level floating support. • Develop support solutions for people with complex needs and substance misuse problems. • Increase the quality of support by driving up standards in the sector and commissioning services that are a minimum level B in the quality assessment framework only. • Increase service user involvement with a continued commitment to funding Bradford Alliance on Community Care (BACC), employment of a dedicated service user involvement officer in the team and looking at options to employ service users on a voluntary or paid basis within the team. • Improve access and information to ensure that housing related support is widely known as an option for enabling people to live independently. Great Places to Grow Old: Bradford District Housing Strategy for the Over 50s 2011-2021 3.11 The Bradford District Housing Strategy for the Over 50s has been developed to respond to the changing needs and aspirations of a growing population of older people in the District. “Our vision is for everyone aged over 50 in Bradford to have a choice of high quality, accessible and practical housing options, and the care and support Page 6 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base required to make them possible. This will be delivered through a combination of private sector development, community collaboration and public sector creativity. These choices will be within the financial reach of all current and future older people in the district so they can make and act on informed decisions about where they would like to live at appropriate times in their lives” 3.12 The strategy takes the three principles from the Joint Housing Strategy for the District, Growth, Quality & Inclusion, and presents six additional objectives: • Increase Choice – Give older people, and those approaching old age, desirable and affordable options and assistance, so that they choose to move to more suitable housing. • Support Everyone – In addition, support those people who choose to stay in, or are unable to move from their current home, at a price they can afford. • Work Together – Strengthen opportunities for local people, communities, the private sector, the public sector and other housing and service providers to work together to provide solutions. • Make People Aware – Get the right information to the right people at the right time. • Make it Sustainable – Make sure our stock and associated services are sustainable in the long run. • Manage the Impact of Change – Have clear plans in place to minimise the disruption caused by getting to where we need to be. Working together for a warmer future – An affordable warmth strategy for the Bradford District 2007 3.13 It was estimated that there were 33,464 fuel poor households in the Bradford district in 2005. This means that Bradford has the worst fuel poverty problem of all its neighbouring metropolitan districts. West Yorkshire itself has a higher average fuel poverty rate than the rest of England. In recognition of this, the affordable warmth strategy sets out four key aims: • Ensure that the affordable warmth strategy is implemented • Strive to tackle fuel poverty by installing energy efficiency measures to all types of housing to a level capable of ‘future proofing’ households against fuel poverty • Ensure the provision of energy advice and create links to existing money advice services and the financial inclusion strategy • Raise awareness of affordable warmth to householders and professionals Page 7 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Bradford District Economic Strategy 2011-2013 3.14 The Bradford District Economic Strategy is focused on transition from recession to recovery, from public to private employment and towards a more sustainable economy. The strategy has three goals: • Promoting resilient and sustainable economic growth by increasing the number of successful businesses and raising levels of activity and trade. • Increasing the number of quality long term jobs for our growing workforce. • Raising the economic wellbeing of residents. 3.15 The strategy identifies two priorities for action. Building entrepreneurship and innovation and working from the centre outwards. These priorities build on our strengths in enterprise and entrepreneurship, and recognise that the city centre is the key economic driver for growth. Local Development Framework 3.16 Bradford Council is in the process of producing its Local Development Framework (LDF) which will guide future growth and development for housing, employment, leisure and retail for the next 10 - 20 years. 3.17 The council is currently working towards producing the Core Strategy Preferred Approach, which is due to be published for formal consultation in the summer of 2011. Housing Requirement 3.18 One of the most significant tasks for the LDF is to determine the future need for housing in the form of a housing requirement. Up until recently the Regional Spatial Strategy (RSS) set the housing requirement for each Local Planning Authority in Yorkshire and the Humber. 3.19 The RSS (The Yorkshire and Humber Plan 2008) forms part of the statutory development plan for Bradford. The RSS indicates that Bradford needs to make provision for development which will result in net annual additions to the dwelling stock of 1560 per year between 2004 and 2008 and 2700 per year between 2008 and 2026. 3.20 The Government has signalled its intention to abolish Regional Spatial Strategies. This intention will be given statutory effect in due course through the Localism Bill. A housing requirement for each Local Planning Authority still has to be derived but the responsibility for determining that target now rests with the Local Authority. Local Planning Authorities, unlike in the past, will have to research, consult on and produce a housing target and then give evidence at a public inquiry to justify it. The RSS and the Government’s latest published Page 8 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base household projections will still form key pieces of evidence in deriving any target that the council will set. Affordable Housing Policies 3.21 Access to affordable housing is one of the corner stones of the Joint Housing Strategy (JHS) for Bradford. Affordability remains a major issue despite house prices in the District being relatively low compared to other parts of the region. This is because a significant proportion of the population is unable to afford to rent or buy homes of their choice in the locations they desire due to low income levels. 3.22 27% of the District’s households are on incomes of less than £15,000 (compared to 22% nationally) and Bradford has higher than average numbers of people in low skilled occupations. Many of these people are vulnerable and unable to secure jobs or maintain employment for long periods. 3.23 A new affordable housing policy will be developed in the LDF Core Strategy. As required under Planning Policy Statement 3: Housing, this will be based on the analysis of need contained within the Strategic Housing Market Assessment (SHMA) and the results of the Affordable Housing Economic Viability Assessment (AHEVA). 3.24 This evidence will inform the setting of developer quotas for affordable housing provision under the government’s ‘Section 106’ powers granted to local authorities. To fully reflect the need for affordable housing across Bradford district, the affordable housing policy will need to outline targets and thresholds for affordable housing delivery across Bradford district, taking into account the results of the AHEVA. 3.25 The evidence from the AHEVA is particularly important as it will identify the areas where there is a gap between the need for affordable housing and the viability of delivering affordable housing. Grant funding and any other forms of public subsidy will need to be directed towards the areas identified in the AHEVA where there are pressures upon development viability. 3.26 The council will be formally consulting on the affordable housing policy in the LDF Core Strategy and publishing the SHMA and AHEVA as part of the formal consultation on the Core Strategy Preferred Approach. West Yorkshire Local Transport Plan 3.27 The transport investment and strategy for the district are set out in West Yorkshire Local Transport Plan (LTP). The third LTP “MyJourney West Yorkshire: Local Transport Strategy”, covering the period from 2011 to 2026, includes an indicative Implementation Plan for 2011 – 2014 which will begin the delivery of Page 9 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base the Strategy, based on the recently announced Department for Transport funding for the next three years. LTP3 has been formally approved and is now moving into implementation phase. 3.28 The Strategy’s 15-year Vision for the West Yorkshire transport system and its strategic approach are supported by four themes: network asset management, travel choices, connectivity and enhancements. Each of the themes outlines specific priorities and challenges, which address immediate issues such as public spending cuts and reduced government funding for local transport, and also prepare for future growth in population, employment and housing. 3.29 Despite the challenges, the Plan is committed to finding effective ways to maintaining the transport system and making improvements that will start to deliver the 15-year Strategy. Transport’s role in supporting economic activity and growth and maintaining access to jobs will be particularly important in this first implementation plan period. 3.30 As well as major strategic improvements, smaller scale Local Integrated Transport Schemes will continue to be developed to address local community concerns, improve access to jobs, goods and facilities, tackles issues of illegal and anti-social behaviour and reduce deaths and injuries on the District’s roads. 3.31 A district-wide Bradford Implementation Plan is currently being developed, which will interpret the LTP3 priorities in a Bradford-specific context and will provide detail on how LTP3 will be implemented locally. Leeds City Region Transport Strategy and Connectivity Study 3.32 “Connecting People to Jobs and Places” is the main theme of the Leeds City Region (LCR) Connectivity Study, the first phase of which was published in May 2010. Following the completion of the LCR Transport Strategy in November 2009, the Study looks at the potential to improve productivity levels outside the Leeds urban area. It also considers issues affecting ‘International Connectivity’ for the LCR, focusing on trips to Leeds Bradford International Airport, Manchester Airport and international seaports. 3.33 The Study points out that the scale of housing and employment growth in the LCR is the greatest for Leeds and Bradford, whilst significant growth is also proposed for Wakefield, Kirklees and York. The additional housing and employment will exacerbate existing congestion problems, particularly in the Bradford-dominated western sector, which is already affected by relatively slow traffic speeds. Enhancing the complementary roles and functions of Halifax (Calderdale) and Huddersfield (Kirklees) is also a key priority. Page 10 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 3.34 In line with the focus of LCR Transport Strategy, summarised in its title “Delivering low carbon connectivity to promote faster economic growth”, the Study prioritises the following seven challenges for LCR: • contribute towards the reduction in transport-related carbon dioxide emissions; • reduce lost productivity time including maintaining or improving the reliability and • predictability of journey times on main regional and City Region routes for business, commuting and freight; • improve the connectivity and access to labour of main business centres; • support the delivery of sustainable housing through the provision of transport; • reduce the economic disparity between regions; • enhance social inclusion and the regeneration of deprived or remote areas by enabling disadvantaged people to connect with employment opportunities, main local services, social networks and goods through improving accessibility, availability, affordability and acceptability; and • reduce risk of death or injury due to transport accidents. 3.35 The recommendations from the study are expected to inform Government spending decisions from 2014 onwards. Key messages for the LIP • There are a number of key strategies in place, which have been informed by widespread consultation and are based on robust evidence. These strategies form an important platform for the LIP to build upon. • The Economic, Planning and Transport strategies which are in place clearly recognize the importance of housing to the economic and social wellbeing of the district. Page 11 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 4 HOUSING EVIDENCE BASE 4.1 The structure of this Evidence Base builds on the three objectives of the Joint Housing Strategy for Bradford district: 1. More homes. This section provides an overview of the district’s demographics, household income, housing costs and affordability, housing growth – market housing and affordable housing. 2. Quality. In this section we look at the type and age of Bradford dwelling stock, the decency standard, energy efficiency in homes, and fuel. 3. Inclusion. This section summarises social housing trends, housing for vulnerable people including homes for older people, overcrowding, homelessness, housing issues of new arrivals, as well as gypsy, travellers and show people needs for accommodation. 4.2 After considering these three broad themes, evidence is presented geographically to correspond to the identified geographic priorities in the Local Investment Plan. Page 12 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 5 MORE HOMES Demographics 5.1 Bradford’s population was fairly static in the 1990s at around 470,000 but has been increasing ever since; the population was estimated at just over 500,000 according to ONS in July 2008. The population is expected to increase over the next 25 years, mainly due to a high birth rate. Figure 5-A ONS Population Projections (2008 based) SOURCE: ONS Population, thousands 700.0 600.0 500.0 400.0 640.4 572.7 512.9 626.0 600.5 542.8 300.0 200.0 100.0 0.0 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Source: ONS 5.2 In line with the population growth, household projections from CLG N o . o f h o u s e h o ld s , t h o u s a n d s estimate the number of households to increase over the next 25 years. Figure 5-B Bradford Household Projections (2008 based) SOURCE: ONS 3 00 2 50 1 50 2 34 24 8 26 2 2 43 2 00 20 5 17 8 18 7 1 00 50 0 19 90 5.3 2 20 20 00 20 10 2 02 0 2 03 0 2 04 0 Bradford’s ethnic population is growing too. The white ethnic group population is projected to reduce by just 1.4% in absolute terms but to reduce its share of the total Local Authority population from 75% to 56%. The Asian ethnic group is estimated to increase by approximately 132,000 and to account for 35% of the total by 2031. Page 13 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Figure 5-C Ethnic Group Populations 2006, 2011, 2021, 2031 SOURCE: School of Geography Ethnic Projections Model 2008 5.4 In the light of predicted population and household growth in Bradford and across the region, the former RSS target was to increase housing supply from 1,390 additional units per year to 2,700 between 2008 and 2026. Around 30% of these will need to be affordable1 (i.e. offered below market rates). The majority of the requirement will be for 2 and 3 bed accommodation. Income 5.5 According to CACI Paycheck data, the median household income for the Bradford district is £24,792, this compares with £26,402 for West Yorkshire as a whole and £28,445 for Great Britain as a whole. Incomes vary significantly within the district. Figure 5-D Household Income (Median Data) 2010 SOURCE: CACI Paycheck 2010 1 2008 Housing Requirements Study Page 14 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base House Prices 5.6 The average house price in Bradford is £103,944 (at March 2011). House prices peaked in February 2008 at £126,594 after seeing month-on-month sustained growth in the previous eight years. Even after falling back, house prices are over double what they were 10 years ago. Prices are generally lower than Yorkshire & Humber as a whole but there are significant variations sub district with comparable properties being worth significantly more in Wharfedale than in the inner city. Figure 5-E House Price Index Comparison Yorkshire & Humber vs Bradford SOURCE: HM Land Registry 2011 5.7 The Bradford Housing Market Tracker compares the weekly cost of housing through different tenures. Social renting is consistently the most affordable tenure. However, tight mortgage lending criteria and the requirement for large deposits has meant the private rented sector remains the easiest sector to access (if the least secure) for newly forming households. Figure 5-F Weekly Housing Entry Costs 2011 SOURCE: Bradford Housing Market Tracker Weekly Housing Entry Costs 2011 £180 £160 £140 £120 LQ Mortgage £100 LQ PRS Rent Intermediate £80 Social Rent £60 £40 £20 £Bradford District Low Quota Medium Quota High Quota Bradford District Low Quota Flat Medium Quota House Page 15 of 46 High Quota Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 5.8 It is important to remember that whilst house prices and private sector rents are often cheaper in Bradford than neighbouring districts, this has to be offset by lower household incomes meaning that affordability remains an issue. 5.9 In addition to forming homes, the housing sector plays a significant part in the local economy, creating employment and driving spending. 5.10 It is no secret that the global economic turmoil over the past couple of years has had a significant effect on the housing market and Bradford is no different to other locations in this respect. Even more stark than the falling house prices is the drop in the number of transactions which are now at one third the level that was seen at the peak in 2007. This has had significant impact on developers’ ability to deliver new housing. Figure 5-G NHBC & CBMDC building control housing completions SOURCE: CBMDC Planning Number of completions 250 200 150 100 50 Ap r- 0 Au 2 gDe 02 c0 Ap 2 r- 0 Au 3 gDe 03 c-0 Ap 3 r0 Au 4 g04 De c0 Ap 4 rAu 05 gDe 05 c0 A 5 pr -0 Au 6 gDe 06 c-0 Ap 6 r- 0 Au 7 g0 De 7 c-0 Ap 7 rA 08 ug De 08 c0 Ap 8 r- 0 Au 9 g0 De 9 c-0 Ap 9 r- 1 0 0 Completions 5.11 12 per. Mov. Avg. (Completions) In light of the economic situation, the Government put the Mortgage Pre Action Protocol in place to ensure lenders only repossess homes as a last resort. As such, the steady increase in claims for repossession up to quarter 3 in 2008 dropped significantly from 509 claims in Q3 2008 to 357 in Q4 2008. The repossession claims have been consistently dropping since, with the exception of Q2 2009 when the number of claims rose to 390. The latest number of repossession claims is 265 (for Q1 2011). The repossession orders have fallen by 86 from 351 in Q1 2010. Page 16 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Figure 5-H Claims and Orders for Repossession SOURCE: Ministry of Justice 600 500 400 Claims Orders 300 4 per. Mov. Avg. (Orders) 4 per. Mov. Avg. (Claims) 200 100 Q 3 Q 1 20 05 20 05 Q 1 20 06 Q 3 20 06 Q 1 20 07 Q 3 20 07 Q 1 20 08 Q 3 20 08 Q 1 20 09 * Q 3 20 09 Q 1 20 10 Q 3 20 10 Q 1 20 11 0 Overcrowding 5.12 Overcrowding impacts on the health, wellbeing and educational prospects of the people affected. Using data from the 2010 Bradford Public Perceptions Survey of 6,727 households we have calculated that 10% of households in the Bradford district are technically overcrowded (as measured against the Bedroom Standard); and 18% of people are living in technically overcrowded accommodation. This is a big increase up from 4.5% of households calculated to be overcrowded in 2007. 2% of households are overcrowded by 2 or more bedrooms. Individuals aged 16-24, or of Pakistani or Bangladeshi origin are most likely to be effected. 75% of overcrowded households contain at least one adult in addition to the household head and their spouse/partner. Figure 5-I Overcrowding by Age SOURCE: Bradford Residents Survey 2010 Overcrowding by Age Proportion of Age Group 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 0-15 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 Age of Individual Overcrowded by 2 or more bedrooms Technically Overcrowded Page 17 of 46 75+ Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Growth 5.13 At 1st April 2011 we had 208,670 self-contained dwellings in the district. That’s a net increase of nearly 15,000 since 2001 (on average a growth of four new dwellings every day). Figure 5-J Dwelling Stock in Bradford SOURCE: Housing Strategy Statistical Appendix 21 00 00 20 80 00 20 60 00 20 40 00 20 20 00 20 00 00 19 80 00 19 60 00 19 40 00 19 20 00 19 00 00 20 0 1 5.14 2 00 2 20 0 3 2 00 4 20 05 2 00 6 2 0 07 20 0 8 2 0 09 20 1 0 94% of dwellings in the district are occupied. The number of occupied properties continues to increase in spite of the economic downturn. At April 2010 there were an extra 4,123 occupied properties than in April 2008. Figure 5-K Growth in Occupied Properties by Ward 2008-2010 90 0 70 0 60 0 50 0 40 0 30 0 20 0 t n as ill ey E to Ho r at ig hl Ke se es h cl Ec re W in G le ro da W rf e dh i ll A nd n s oy d R ha W H or to on Li tt le ea t H Ba il d on t y es se ib yW hl e ei g W y oo r al le M V or d ad f th Br K en le or W Il k ra v Th or Q Fa nd C la yto n A C gh am en e a sb t h ur er y nt G on re A en nd Al ler to n Ke W ig yk hl e ey Ce nt ra l ue n in ng To an M T oll e r al e if f ur cl R y nd er ng le U A le n to Bo l Id Bi nd le y re ac k ke Th d An d An li n g w Bo nd y y ng le ar B Bi C ip le Sh it y 0 - 10 0 y 10 0 irw G ro w th in n u mber o f oc cup ied pr op ertie s 80 0 Key messages for the LIP • The growth in population and households will lead to increased demand for housing across the district. • Low incomes in many parts of the city mean there is a significant need for more affordable housing. • Overcrowding has increased, as pressure on existing housing stock grows. Page 18 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 6 QUALITY 6.1 Bradford is a diverse city with a diverse housing stock. From inner city back-to-backs to multi-million pound mansions and almost everything in between Bradford provides a unique housing offer and a wealth of choice. 6.2 Whilst in many ways this is a strength, it also provides us with complex challenges which will be covered later in this section. Initially, however we will present some facts and figures to paint a picture of housing in Bradford today. 6.3 70% of all properties across the district are owner occupied, 15% are rented through Registered Social Landlords, and 14% are rented through private landlords2. 6.4 Semi-detached and terraced housing are the dominant housing forms in the district, each representing around 37% of the total stock. Sub-district the proportions vary with the inner city seeing a higher proportion of terraced stock with sub-urban areas seeing higher proportions of semi-detached and detached stock. 13% of the total stock is flats. A mapping exercise conducted in 2008 counted a total of 10,587 back-to-back properties – a build form almost excusive to West Yorkshire, where a property shares a party wall with another property to the rear as well as the sides; outlawed in 1909, the majority were built before 1900. 6.5 The age of the housing stock reflects the historic growth of the district, with a third of stock being built before 1919. Figure 6-A Property age by property type and sub area SOURCE: Bradford Household Survey 2007 2 Housing Needs Survey 2007 Page 19 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 6.6 The ageing profile of our housing stock brings with it serious housing condition problems that continue to be a major challenge. Over 65,000 homes fail the Decent Homes standard (41% of private sector stock). The problem is worse in the private rented sector where 59% is non decent. The estimated cost of achieving the basic Decent Homes Standard in the private sector is £206m, an average of £3,164 per home. Figure 6-B Non Decent Homes by Ward SOURCE: Bradford Private Sector Stock Condition Survey 2007 6.7 Whilst a certain amount of short term empty property is healthy, enabling the housing market to operate, 5% of homes in the district are classed as long term empty (i.e. empty longer than 6 months); this proportion has remained relatively steady over the last few years. Bringing empty homes back into use not only increases the available housing stock in the district, but also reduces the neighbourhood blight and anti-social behaviour that these properties can cause. 6.8 Clusters of empty properties are symptomatic of localised neighbourhood abandonment so to enable the empty homes team to work proactively, mapping analysis is conducted to locate clusters of long term empty homes. Note the hotspots are often clusters of empty flats that occur in the same block. Page 20 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Figure 6-C Empty Properties within 100m (Apr 2011) SOURCE: CBMDC Council Tax 6.9 The Standard Assessment Procedure (SAP) is a government rating for energy efficiency (expressed as a value from 0 to 100, the higher the value, the more efficient the property is). The average SAP rating for private sector dwellings in the district is 49; this compares to 47 nationally. Page 21 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Figure 6-D Energy Efficiency: SAP rating by Ward SOURCE: Bradford Private Sector Stock Condition Survey 2007 6.10 The quality of Houses in Multiple Occupation (HMOs) remains a concern although the HMO stock at 0.9% is below the national average of 2%. Fuel Poverty 6.11 A fuel-poor family is defined as one that has to spend more than 10% of its income on heating its home to a decent standard. Figure 6-E Fuel Poverty by Region SOURCE: DECC Page 22 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Deprivation 6.12 Bradford district ranks 26th most deprived Local Authority in England, and 2nd most deprived in the Yorkshire & Humber region. 157,287 people, or 31.4% of the district population, live in these most deprived areas, whereas 29,537 people, or 5.9% of the district population, live in areas that are among the least deprived in England. Bradford is also ranked 1st of all local authorities in England in terms of having the widest gap between the most and least deprived areas. Figure 6-F Bradford District most and least deprived LSOAs SOURCE: ONS 2010 Key messages for the LIP • The quality of private sector housing stock in the district is a major cause for concern. • Deprivation levels in part of the district are contributing to issues of fuel poverty. • Bringing empty homes back into use is a major factor in increasing the available housing stock and reducing the negative impact on neighbourhoods. Page 23 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 7 INCLUSION Social Rented Housing 7.1 The latest information from the Homes social housing allocations system shows 13,403 households currently waiting for social housing, of which 6,967 households have reasonable preference. The biggest requirement is for 1 bedroom households, but the largest mismatch between supply and demand is for 2 and 3 bedroom houses (turnover of 1 bedroom properties means there is relatively good supply). Figure 7-A Homehunter Average Bids per property advertised SOURCE: Homehunter Export 2010 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Homelessness 7.2 The Bradford Homelessness Strategy 2008 found that we had successfully shifted the service from ‘housing the homeless’ to ‘homeless prevention’. Over the last decade people presenting themselves as homeless declined from over 3,000 in 97/98 to just over 2,000 in 07/08. Since then, applications have reduced to 654 in 09/10. However, in line with the national picture, homelessness has started to increase in 2010/11. Older People 7.3 Unlike many parts of the UK, both the younger and older sections of the population are set to increase between now and 2025. The proportion of the population made up of each age group remains relatively steady with the over 50s making up 30% of the population in 2007 and 2025. However, as the population as a whole is expected to increase, there will be an extra 13,600 people aged 50-64, an extra 11,900 people aged 65-84, and an extra 3,600 people aged 85 or over by 2020. Page 24 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Figure 7-B Bradford population projections by age SOURCE: ONS 7.4 The inner city sees the lowest proportion of older people with Toller, Manningham, City, Little Horton, Bradford Moor and Bowling & Barkerend wards having an estimated population of 20,187 people aged over 50. The suburban and rural areas of the District see higher proportions of older people with Craven, Ilkley, Wharfedale, Bingley, Bingley Rural and Baildon wards having an estimated population of 37,174 people aged over 50 (nearly 17,000 more than the inner city wards). Figure 7-C Proportion of Population aged 50+ in 2007 Figure 7-D Change in Population of those aged 50+ 2001-2009 7.5 In addition, the inner city has seen a reduction in the number of people aged over 50 during the last 6 years whilst Craven, Worth Valley and Baildon have seen big increases. Page 25 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 7.6 Wibsey ward is interesting as it has experienced a small decrease in older people over the last 6 years whilst still having a relatively high proportion older people. Conversely, Queensbury ward has seen a large increase in the number of older people over the last 6 years yet having a lower than District average proportion of older people. 7.7 Breaking down the figures further into smaller age bands, it is notable that even amongst the inner city, there were significant increases in the numbers of people aged 50-64 over the last 6 years. Whether this would imply a future increase in the numbers of those aged 65+ would depend largely on life expectancy. 7.8 Bradford’s BME population has a much younger age profile than the White British population. The figure below shows that 34% of the White British population is aged over 50, in comparison just 13% of the Asian population is aged over 50. In addition, whilst 24% of the population as a whole is of Asian origin, this proportion reduces by age. 14% of 50-64 year olds, 9% of 65-84 year olds, and 3% of people aged over 85 are of Asian origin. Assuming converging life expectancy between BME groups and White British groups we would expect higher proportions of BME elders in the future. Figure 7-E Proportion of ethnic group within age band SOURCE: 2007 Housing Needs Survey 7.9 There are some interesting trends in relation to the property type occupied by different age households. Whilst the likelihood of living in a terraced property reduces with age, nearly a third of households occupied by people aged over 50 still live in terraced property. The proportion of people living in detached properties peaks in the 50-64 age group with flats becoming increasingly popular for the over 65s. The proportion of households living in semi detached properties remains relatively consistent suggesting that this build form is proving adequate regardless of the age of the household. Page 26 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Figure 7-F Property type by age of household head SOURCE: 2007 Housing Needs Survey 7.10 Single person households are more likely the older the occupier. 22% of single person households are people aged 70-79; in comparison just 8% being occupied by people aged 20-29. Ninety percent of 70-79 year olds live in households of two people or fewer. 7.11 Regardless of ethnic origin, the older people get the more likely they are to live alone, however, people of BME origin aged over 50 are far more likely to live in larger households than their white counterparts. 7.12 The 2007 Housing Needs Survey asked householders whether they were wanting to move home and the reasons for this. The survey identified that 13,500 older person households were looking to move home in the District. The main primary reasons for wanting to move for households aged over 50 are: • Home is too large (22%) • Home is too small (12%) • Dislike the area (11%) • Layout of home is unsuitable for health needs (6%) • Ethnic composition (6%) • To retire somewhere (5%) • To live near family (5%) Vulnerable People 7.13 As already emphasised, Bradford has the pressures of a growing population, both young and old, with high levels of deprivation and poor health. There are particular challenges in the growing BME communities. The levels and type of need change across the District. Services across the District are unevenly distributed. The majority of services, particularly for Socially Excluded Groups are concentrated on some of the City areas. There is a general view that services users therefore have to make choices about moving from their area to seek support. Page 27 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 7.14 The Bradford Supporting People Needs Assessment 2008 identified the following client groups and their needs: Young people, young offenders, care leavers, teenage pregnancy • A rent deposit scheme is being developed which should help access stable accommodation. • There is a critical point, at the age of 18 when young people leaving the Looked After system need help to access accommodation and support. • Plans have been developed to improve move-on including access to the private sector. • There are 262 units aimed at Young people at risk through 14 services. This is mainly accommodation based provision with 18 units of floating support. • There is also a 70 unit generic accommodation based service for young people • There are 5 schemes for teenage parents, 14 floating support and 37 accommodation based. Substance misuse and people with alcohol issues • Detailed research was conducted into housing and support needs. It concluded that there were very significant gaps in provision across the system. • There are only 3 specialist schemes. 2 focused on drug problems provide 21 units and 1 focused on alcohol provides 8 units. All 3 are accommodation based. • Many other support schemes work with substance misuse. Offenders • Evidence of people leaving prison to inappropriate settings • Very little provision for ‘high risk’ offenders • There are 202 units of support in 13 services. 17 units are floating support • Range of generic services and other specialist services also support offenders Homeless families • A review of homeless services is currently being conducted to coincide with the production of a new homelessness strategy • Growth in mortgage repossessions • Growth in numbers from BME communities • Small growth in older homeless people • Preventative service being piloted in Keighley • A review of homeless services is currently being conducted to coincide with the production of a new homelessness strategy • More preventative services are • There are 9 specialist services providing 206 units of support. 61 units are floating support • There are 2 generic services of 212 units of floating support that will also provide some support to this category Single homeless and rough sleepers • There are 250 units in 16 services aimed at this client group. 33 units are floating support • There are two generic services of 212 units of floating support that will Page 28 of 46 • In 2007, 235 people left Looked After system, of these 30 were over 16 • Of the total 810 currently in the system 22% come from non-white communities • 120 young people aged 16+ are in the care of Bradford Council and it is estimated that about 30 people per year over 18 will need support • Evidence of small additional needs for teenage parents despite total number falling • There are 224 youth offenders over 16 • 33 young people presented as homeless • Growing numbers with complex needs: larger hostels not always suitable. Need to develop other options, eg supported lodgings (currently in development) and smaller group living schemes. Estimate 10 additional units teenage parents plus further 30-50 units for young people including specialist accommodation. • Estimate that there are about 6000 people with a drug or alcohol problem at any one time needing support, some of who are accessing existing support services. Survey identified 450 with drug and alcohol problems. • Need for range of schemes to include abstinence based, but also services which can accommodate people who continue to use substances • Need for more specialist ‘in reach’ services for hostel based schemes • Need for training of hostel based staff and increased in-reach treatment services • Major gaps as identified in report commissioned in 2007. Estimate 100-150 additional units of support including specialist support rising to 250 units. • About 3800 offenders are currently in Bradford, 314 identified in the survey of which 212 are alcohol or substance misusers • Access to specialist support for mentally disordered offenders is major issue • Shortage of provision for people with chaotic lifestyles Difficult to place upper limit on estimate of need because of overlaps with other client groups – possibly 50-150 units of support needed. • Numbers approaching as homeless are increasing. 868 families were accepted last year • A further 1400 sought advice • More preventative approaches need to be developed – across all sectors inc. private rented • Need for improved joint commissioning & ‘spend to save’ approaches. Need for floating support and 100-150 units. • Rough sleeping is major problem – approx 50 people sleeping rough each night • Many rough sleepers have complex needs inc offending behaviour / mental health problems, personality disorder etc Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base needed • Many in this client group overlap with other needs Domestic violence • The issues of domestic abuse in Bradford are made complex by issues of forced marriages • There are small numbers of people exiting the sex industry who have special and complex needs also provide some support to this category. • There are 9 services providing 72 spaces. 10 are floating support. There is specialist provision for Asian women • There is no current provision HIV / AIDS Refugees Travellers and gypsies Mental health 3 • There is a wide range of nationalities and languages, with no predominant group. Current estimates include around 3000 Iraqui Kurds and 3000-4000 Africans (from many different countries, not all asylum seekers or refugees – there are also economic migrants, students and others). Communities of Afghans, Iranians, Kosovans and Bosnian Muslims (the latter two dating back to the conflict in former Yugoslavia) exist but numbers are not known • There has been a growth in numbers moving to Bradford from Eastern Europe – although not refugees, they have increasing pressure on housing. • There are 2 authorised sites and a number of unofficial sites across the District • It was estimated that there were 10470 people with mental health problems in 2005/63. • There was a trend over the previous 5 years for a gradual • There are two accommodation based services providing 48 units of support • There is a further provider, not funded through SP, that offers some spaces to refugees • There is no current provision • Current provision is focused upon traditional group living models of support • Service users tend to have enduring mental health problems • There are 289 units of NHS Bradford Health Profile 2007 Page 29 of 46 • Probable undercounting of people sleeping rough. An unknown number will be ‘sofa-surfing’ and occasionally sleeping rough • 199 single people were accepted as homeless in 2006 • Problems of access to stable accommodation • Need identified for proactive approach to preventing homelessness across all housing sectors • Support services needed for those accessing private rented accommodation Need for additional floating support 30-50 units in total and small high needs supported accommodation 5-10 units. • Estimated that there were about 8863 incidents of DV in 2006/7 and 191 cases of forced marriages • Government estimate 1 DV refuge place per 10000 of the population suggesting 50 places • There is a need to develop a higher level of support provision for women with serious drug and alcohol abuse issues and/or mental health issues as refuge provision find it difficult to support this • Another recognised gap is the need for more preventative/ floating support services • Gap in any services for men who experience DV • There is no support for perpetrators of DV who want help A significant amount of provision is provided. Another 20-30 units of support may be required. • The Yorkshire and Humberside Public Health Observatory suggest total numbers may be around 230. Between 10 and 20 may need a support service. • There is no accurate estimate of total numbers in the district. Estimates suggest 7000 to 8000 • Up to 10000 people from Eastern Europe have moved to the city • There is a cap on asylum seekers for Bradford District – 960 cases per year, 480 in BCHT accommodation and 480 in private accommodation. Numbers are large but needs are complex and language is a major issue. There is a need for more floating support 20-30 units. • Estimated to be 70-80 households in the District at any one time. Set up a pilot support service. • Provision within the City is lacking – some properties around the University area have been closed because they were undesirable properties in areas with high crime rates • There is a significant need to increase floating support provision – plans have been submitted to Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base increase in numbers • In common with many areas, there are issues regarding people with dual diagnosis, i.e. mental health issues together with substance misuse problems. • • • • Learning difficulties • The number of service users identified in 20074 were just under 1400 but some interviewees reported difficulties with the quality of data available • Of these, some 20% live with older carers (i.e. 65+) • Transition rates to adulthood can be predicted and are likely to be between 44 and 73 individuals each year up to 2013 • There are much higher incidence rates reported amongst young people from South Asian families5 • A retraction of £4.5 million funding has been agreed for LD services. • • • • • • accommodation based provision through 26 services. Most of the support provision is provided through a Care Trust, inheriting 163 properties from SSD under a Sector 31 agreement Provision is often in older properties. Access to capital funding isn’t clear Other properties are provided through RSLs including BCHT, Brunel and Accent Current provision is predominantly in the South and West of the authority Support for people with mental health problems in BME communities is usually provided in their own homes There are 407 units of accommodation based support provided through 39 services Current services are largely based upon those inherited by SP in 2003 A significant proportion of people supported through SP are in group homes It is likely some individuals are being held back by the lack of move-on accommodation or floating support services Some current provision is located in less desirable areas – it was suggested that service users would not choose to live in those areas an did not feel fully safe Because of the reliance upon group homes, some individuals may not receive the support they ideally need, or have choice about who they live with. develop a pilot floating support service but at the time of the discussion (January 2008) these were still awaiting approval by the Commissioning Body Need to increase services in the North and East of the District, mainly floating support but also some accommodation based services, 50-100 units. • Future service development needs to concentrate upon the needs of individuals and include: Move-on accommodation Single provision where individuals are able to move to greater independence Floating support services to enable people to live in general purpose housing The needs of people with older carers need to be addressed Up to a 1000 people with an LD are not receiving a support service based on current demographic information. This suggests that at a minimum a floating support service should be made available to about 300 people and possibly specialist provision for BME communities. Key messages for the LIP • There continues to be considerable unmet demand for social rented housing. • There will be an increase in demand for older people housing in some areas, as the population of older people increases. • There are a wide range of needs which need addressing, in relation to vulnerable people and housing-related support services. 4 Bradford Council: Review of Learning Disability Services 2007 5 Bradford Council: Adult Services Five Year Strategy 2007-12 Page 30 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 8 GEOGRAPHIC PRIORITIES City Centre 8.1 The City Centre is represented by the City ward which contains Bradford city centre, including inner city residential properties. It also incorporates Bradford College and Bradford University, as well as inner city industrial areas. 8.2 The age profile of City ward shows that it has a particularly large proportion of young people aged 16 to 29 years (43.8% compared to the district average of 21.1%) and a very small proportion of older people. Figure 8-A Population age profile for City Ward 8.3 In September 2010 there were 922 people claiming Jobseekers Allowance in City ward. This represents a claimant rate of 5.8% of the working age population, higher than the district’s claimant rate of 4.7%. 8.4 At £20,200 the average gross household income in City ward is significantly lower than the district average (£31,400). This may reflect the fact that there is a large proportion of students living in this ward. 44.4% of households have an average income of less than £15K compared to 26.8% of Bradford District households. 8.5 According to the Index of Multiple Deprivation 2010, City ward has very high levels of deprivation. Nearly three quarters (73.3%) of its population live in neighbourhoods that fall within the 20% most deprived in England. 8.6 There are 7,912 self-contained dwellings (3.79% of the District’s total) in the City ward, of which 7,098 are occupied and 538 are empty. The current trend Page 31 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base shows a steady increase in the number of occupied dwellings, notwithstanding a slight fall in occupancy in August-October 2010. The number of empty properties has shown a slight increase recently, as is evident from the chart below. Figure 8-B Trends in occupied dwellings and long term empty homes SOURCE: CBMDC Council Tax Total Long-Term Empty Dwellings (Trend) Total Occupied Dwellings (Trend) 14.00% 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 7000 6900 6800 6700 6600 6500 6400 6300 Ap r -0 8 Ju l- 0 8 O ct08 Ja n09 Ap r -0 9 Ju l- 0 9 O ct09 Ja n1 Ap 0 r -1 0 Ju l- 1 0 O ct10 Ja n1 Ap 1 r -1 1 6200 6100 6000 This Area 8.7 District The percentage of social housing in the area is considerably higher than that of the District – 23% to 15% respectively; private housing accounts for 77% of the stock. 8.8 City Centre properties are mainly rated at Council Tax Band A (65.2%), with mean house price at £103,000 against mean district house price at £139,000. Non-decent stock accounts for 55% of the City Centre properties, which is 15% more than the district’s average6. Manningham 8.9 The ward of Manningham lies to the north of Bradford city centre. This inner city ward is a mixture of quite densely populated residential and commercial areas. 8.10 Similar to the City ward, the age profile of Manningham is significantly younger than the district average, with a larger proportion of children and young people and a considerably smaller proportion of its population aged above 45 years. 6 Housing Needs Survey 2007 Page 32 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Figure 8-C Population age profile for Little Horton Ward 8.11 In September 2010 there were 920 people claiming Jobseekers Allowance in the area. This represents a claimant rate of 8.2% of the working age population, significantly higher than the claimant rate for Bradford district (4.7%). 8.12 At £19,300 the average gross household income in Manningham is considerably lower than the district average (£31,400). 45.0% of households have an average household income of less than £15,000, compared with 26.8% of Bradford district households. 8.13 According to the Index of Multiple Deprivation 2010, Manningham ward has very high levels of deprivation. All the neighbourhoods in this ward fall within the 20% most deprived in England. 8.14 There are 5,974 self-contained dwellings in Manningham, 5,281 are occupied and 499 are empty. The number of occupied properties has recently shown a slight increase, however, the empty properties trend is also increasing (see charts below). Figure 8-D Trends in occupied dwellings and long term empty homes SOURCE: CBMDC Council Tax Homes Long-Term Empty (Trend) Total Occupied Dwellings (Trend) 6000 9. 00% 5900 8. 00% 7. 00% 5800 6. 00% 5700 5. 00% 5600 4. 00% 5500 3. 00% 5400 2. 00% 5300 1. 00% 5200 0. 00% 5100 5000 T hi s A r ea 8.15 Di s t r i ct The percentage of social housing in the area is twice as high as the district’s average (30% and 15% respectively) with 70% of the stock supplied by private housing. Page 33 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 8.16 Nearly 70% of Manningham properties are in Council Tax Band A. The mean house price as low as £96,600 is significantly below that for the district at £139,000; the low quartile house price in Manningham at £61,000 is one of the lowest in the district. 8.17 62% of the area’s stock is in non-decent condition, that’s 16% more non- decent properties than on average in the district. Leeds Bradford Corridor (LBC) 8.18 LBC is comprised of parts of four wards: Tong, Bowling & Barkerend, Bradford Moor and Bolton & Undercliffe. 8.19 Although these four wards are not represented within LBC in their entirety, their economic profiles provide an overview of this Local Investment Plan area. The population statistics by ward (below) are followed by a comparative table of key economic characteristics of all four wards against the District’s performance. 8.20 Tong ward lies to the south east of the District. It stretches from the M606 motorway in the west to the boundary with Leeds in the east. It is a ward of many contrasts. It includes the village of Tong; the communities of Holme Wood, Dudley Hill and Bierley; areas of open countryside and also industrial areas such as the Euroway industrial estate. 8.21 The age profile of Tong is very similar to that of the district although the ward has a slightly higher proportion of children than the district average. Figure 8-E Population age profile for Tong Ward 8.22 The ward of Bolton and Undercliffe includes most of the old Bolton ward together with a large part of the Undercliffe ward. This largely residential area stretches from Undercliffe Cemetery in the south to Five Lane Ends in the north. Page 34 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 8.23 Bolton & Undercliffe has a slightly younger age profile than the district average, with a grater proportion of children and young people than the district average. Figure 8-F Population age profile for Bolton & Undercliffe Ward 8.24 The ward of Bowling and Barkerend covers the area to the south east of Bradford city centre. It contains a mixture of housing and industrial areas. 8.25 The age profile of Bowling & Barkerend shows that it has a larger proportion of children and young people and a smaller proportion of people aged above 45 years than the district average. Figure 8-G Population age profile for Bowling & Barkerend Ward 8.26 Bradford Moor is the third smallest ward in the District. It lies on the District’s border with Leeds. Page 35 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 8.27 It is largely a built up area with both residential and commercial development. The A647 Leeds Road, the main transport corridor between Leeds and Bradford, passes through the ward. 8.28 The age profile of Bradford Moor is much younger than the district average, with a larger proportion of children and a considerably smaller proportion of its population aged above 45. Figure 8-H Population age profile for Bradford Moor Ward Unemployment % claiming Jobseekers Allowance Income Average gross per household Less than £15K Deprivation % of n’hoods within 20% most deprived in England7 Housing Total selfcontained dwellings Occupied 7 Tong Bowling & Barkerend Bradford Moor Bolton & Undercliffe District 7.4% 8.6% 6.9% 4.4% 4.7% £26,700 £22,800 £21,300 £30,900 £31,400 34.3% 38.7% 40.4% 24.6% 26.8% 80.4% 100% 100% 31.8% 8,412 8,040 6,037 6,609 208,670 7,975 7,427 5,548 6,270 196,292 Index of Multiple Deprivation 2010 Page 36 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Empty Social Private % properties in Council Tax Band A Stock condition: % non-decency 170 39% 61% 61.7% 324 19% 81% 70.8% 326 17% 83% 76.2% 168 9% 91% 36.4% 6,443 15% 85% 42.8% 36% 52% 58% 37% 46% Canal Road Corridor (CRC) 8.29 CRC is made up of parts of two wards: Bolton & Undercliffe and Windhill & Wrose. 8.30 Although these two wards are not represented within CRC in their entirety, their economic profiles provide an overview of this Local Investment Plan area. The population statistics by ward (below) are followed by a comparative table of key economic characteristics of both wards against the District’s performance. 8.31 Bolton & Undercliffe – see Leeds Bradford Corridor. 8.32 The ward of Windhill & Wrose stretches from the outskirts of Shipley town centre in the west to Five Lane Ends in the east. It is a predominantly residential area, and includes the communities of West Royd, Windhill, Wrose, Owlet and Bolton Woods. 8.33 Windhill & Wrose has an older age profile than the district average, with a smaller proportion of children and young people but a higher proportion of its population aged above 45 years. Figure 8-I Population age profile for Windhill & Wrose ward Page 37 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Windhill & Wrose Bolton & Undercliffe District 5.4% 4.4% 4.7% £29,400 27.4% £30,900 24.6% £31,400 26.8% 57.5% 31.8% 6,813 6,516 124 21% 79% 43.5% 6,609 6,270 168 9% 91% 36.4% 208,670 196,292 6,443 15% 85% 42.8% 38% 37% 46% Unemployment % claiming Jobseekers Allowance Income Average gross per household Less than £15K Deprivation % of n’hoods within 20% most deprived in England8 Housing Total self-contained dwellings Occupied Empty Social Private % properties in Council Tax Band A Stock condition: % nondecency Airedale 8.34 Eight wards form Airedale: Shipley, Baildon, Bingley, Bingley Rural, Keighley Central, Keighley East, Keighley West and Craven. 8.35 Although these wards are not represented within Airedale in their entirety, their economic profiles provide an overview of this Local Investment Plan area. The population statistics by ward (below) are followed by a comparative table of key economic characteristics of all eight wards against the District’s performance. 8.36 Shipley ward includes Shipley town centre and the village of Saltaire. Also included are the residential areas of Nab Wood and Moorhead, parts of lower Baildon, and the industrial zone between the river Aire and the railway. Saltaire, a Victorian model village built by Sir Titus Salt for the workers in Salts Mill, is a UNESCO World Heritage Site and conservation area. The town is served by a train station which connects Shipley with Bradford Forster Square and Leeds. A second station is located at Saltaire. 8 Index of Multiple Deprivation 2010 Page 38 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 8.37 The ward age profile shows that there are more older people living in Shipley than the district average, with a smaller proportion of children and young people. Figure 8-J Population age profile for Shipley Ward 8.38 Baildon ward is part of the Shipley area in the centre of the District. It contains the village of Baildon and the adjacent moorland. It also includes the industrial zone along Otley Road. The eastern ward boundary follows the river Aire and encompasses the village of Esholt and surrounding countryside. 8.39 The age profile of Baildon shows that it has a greater proportion of over 45s than the district average, with a smaller proportion of children. Figure 8-K Population age profile for Baildon Ward 8.40 Bingley ward contains the small town of Bingley, which has grown up at this historic crossing point of the river Aire. It also includes Gilstead, Crossflatts, Eldwick and Micklethwaite, and the area of moorland to the north known as Bingley Moor. Page 39 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 8.41 Bingley has an older age profile than the district average, with a smaller proportion of children and a higher proportion of its population aged above 45 years. Figure 8-L Population age profile for Bingley Ward 8.42 Bingley Rural stretches from the village of Harden in the north to the District’s border with Calderdale in the south. It also includes the villages of Cottingley, Cullingworth, Denholme and Wilsden, and the surrounding farmland. These communities were once based on the agricultural and the textile industries, but are now largely commuter settlements. 8.43 The age profile of Bingley Rural shows that more older age people live there, compared to the district average, with a smaller proportion of children. Page 40 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base Figure 8-M Population age profile for Bingley Rural Ward 8.44 The ward of Keighley Central covers Keighley town centre and stretches as far north as Utley to include the commercial and residential areas in the northern part of the town. 8.45 Keighley Central has a younger age profile than the district average, with a larger proportion of children and a smaller proportion of its population aged above 45 years. Figure 8-N Population age profile for Keighley Central Ward 8.46 The ward of Keighley East is a diverse area, containing industrial and residential areas on the outskirts of Keighley, as well as moorland and villages to the north and east of the town. Page 41 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 8.47 The age profile of Keighley East is older than the district average. Figure 8-O Population age profile for Keighley East Ward 8.48 The ward of Keighley West stretches from the town centre southwards and westwards where it borders onto Worth Valley Ward. It contains the areas of Braithwaite, Guardhouse, Laycock, Fell Lane, Exley Head, Bogthorn, Ingrow and Bracken Bank. 8.49 Keighley West has a slightly older age profile than the district average, with a slightly smaller proportion of children and a slightly higher proportion of its population aged above 45 years. Figure 8-P Population age profile Keighley West Ward 8.50 The largely rural ward of Craven lies to the north west of the District. It consists of the communities of Silsden and Steeton with Eastburn in Airedale, and Addingham in Wharfedale. Page 42 of 46 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base 8.51 The age profile of Craven ward shows that there are more older people than the district average, with a smaller proportion of children and a higher proportion of its population aged above 45. Figure 8-Q Population age profile Craven Ward Page 43 of 46 Shipley Baildon Bingley Bingley Rural Keighley Central Keighley East Keighley West Craven District 4.4 2.3 3.3 2.3 7.4 3.7 4.7 1.5 4.7 34,600 38,400 39,400 39,100 26,000 33,100 27,900 36,500 31,400 21.8 17.9 18.6 16.4 34.7 24.2 30.6 18.4 26.8 23.2 6.0 4.2 0 80.7 19.1 48.8 0 7,124 6,977 8,495 8,078 6,420 7,315 7,145 7,498 208,670 6,750 169 11 89 33.8 6,700 133 9 91 17.6 8,069 141 11 89 18.9 7,715 187 9 91 22.3 5,899 293 12 88 70.6 6,894 207 11 89 34.6 6,833 150 21 79 52.3 7,147 137 7 93 20.0 196,292 6,443 15 85 42.8 40 29 30 32 49 37 36 31 46 Unemployment % claiming Jobseekers Allowance Income Average gross per household, £ % less than £15K Deprivation % of n’hoods within 20% most deprived in England9 Housing Total self-contained dwellings Occupied Empty % social % private % properties in Council Tax Band A Stock condition: % non-decency 9 Index of Multiple Deprivation 2010 9 CONCLUSIONS 9.1 The evidence presented in this document is drawn from a wide range of sources, which are listed below. 9.2 Key messages for the LIP are summarised at the end of sections 5, 6 and 7 of this document as they relate directly to the Housing Strategy objectives of growth, quality and inclusion. 9.3 In addition to these, a comprehensive body of evidence to underpin the geographic priorities within the LIP can be accessed in the background material relating to the City Centre, Manningham, Leeds Bradford Corridor, Canal Road Corridor and Airedale. 9.4 All relevant evidence material will be reviewed as appropriate in line with the monitoring and review process agreed for the LIP and its delivery plan. A regular update of housing market data and intelligence is produced by the Council’s Housing, Employment & Skills service, which will inform this process. 10 REFERENCES Affordable Housing Economic Viability Assessment (AHEVA) Bradford Council: Adult Services Five Year Strategy 2007-12 Bradford Council: Review of Learning Disability Services 2007 Bradford Council: Strategic Housing Market Assessment Bradford District Economic Strategy 2011-2013 Bradford Homelessness Strategy 2008 Bradford Household Survey 2007 Bradford Housing Market Tracker (database) Bradford Housing Requirement Study 2007-08 Bradford New Arrivals Strategy 2009 (draft) Bradford Observatory Bradford Private Sector Stock Condition Survey 2007 Bradford Residents’ Perceptions Survey 2010 Bradford Supporting People 5 Year Strategy 2008-2013 Bradford Supporting People Needs Assessment 2008 Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base CACI Paycheck 2010: Household Income data CBMDC Council Tax Department of Climate Change (DECC): Fuel Poverty data Department of Communities and Local Government (DCLG): Housing Strategy Statistical Appendix Great Places to Grow Old: Bradford District Housing Strategy for the Over 50s 2011-2021 HM Land Registry Invest in Bradford: Ward Profiles Leeds City Region Transport Strategy and Connectivity Study: “Connecting People to Jobs and Places” 2010 Local Development Framework Ministry of Justice: Repossessions Statistics NHS Bradford Health Profile 2007 ONS Population Projections School of Geography Ethnic Projections Model 2008 Sustainable Homes and Neighbourhoods in a Successful District – Joint Housing Strategy for Bradford 2008-2020 The Big Plan for the Bradford District 2008-2011 The Regional Spatial Strategy (The Yorkshire and Humber Plan 2008) Vulnerable Persons’ Housing Strategy 2011 West Yorkshire Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment 2008 West Yorkshire Local Transport Plan: “MyJourney West Yorkshire: Local Transport Strategy” 2011-2026 Working together for a warmer future – An affordable warmth strategy for the Bradford District 2007 Page 46 of 46