Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base

Transcription

Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
BRADFORD
LOCAL INVESTMENT PLAN
EVIDENCE BASE
2011
Strategic Information & Support Team
Housing, Employment & Skills
Department of Regeneration & Culture
1st Floor, North Wing, Jacobs Well
Bradford, BD1 5RW
Tel: 01274 432591, 434454, 431703
Email: sarah.holmes@bradford.gov.uk
will.ridley-ellis@bradford.gov.uk
katya.coldwell@bradford.gov.uk
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
1 CONTENTS
1 Contents ....................................................................................... 2
2 Introduction .................................................................................. 3
3 Policy Context................................................................................ 4
The Big Plan for the Bradford District 2008-2011 ............................... 4
Sustainable Homes and Neighbourhoods in a Successful District – Joint
Housing Strategy for Bradford 2008-2020 ........................................ 5
Great Places to Grow Old: Bradford District Housing Strategy for the
Over 50s 2011-2021 ...................................................................... 6
Working together for a warmer future – An affordable warmth strategy
for the Bradford District 2007 ......................................................... 7
Bradford District Economic Strategy 2011-2013 ................................ 8
Local Development Framework........................................................ 8
Housing Requirement..................................................................... 8
Affordable Housing Policies ............................................................. 9
West Yorkshire Local Transport Plan ................................................ 9
Leeds City Region Transport Strategy and Connectivity Study ............10
Key messages for the LIP .................................................................11
4 Housing Evidence Base ..................................................................12
5 More Homes .................................................................................13
Demographics ..............................................................................13
Income .......................................................................................14
House Prices ................................................................................15
Overcrowding...............................................................................17
Growth........................................................................................18
Key messages for the LIP .................................................................18
6 Quality.........................................................................................19
Fuel Poverty ................................................................................22
Deprivation..................................................................................23
Key messages for the LIP .................................................................23
7 Inclusion ......................................................................................24
Social Rented Housing...................................................................24
Homelessness ..............................................................................24
Older People ................................................................................24
Vulnerable People .........................................................................27
Key messages for the LIP .................................................................30
8 Geographic Priorities......................................................................31
City Centre ..................................................................................31
Manningham ................................................................................32
Leeds Bradford Corridor (LBC) .......................................................34
Canal Road Corridor (CRC) ............................................................37
Airedale ......................................................................................38
9 Conclusions ..................................................................................45
10References ..................................................................................45
Page 2 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
2 INTRODUCTION
2.1
This document supports the investment priorities explained in Bradford’s
Local Investment Plan 2011-2020. It considers the overarching local policy
context and presents the evidence to justify our priorities.
2.2
Bradford is a big city and District, and an important economic player within
the wider city region and region. Our population of just over 500,000 is growing
rapidly, and is increasingly diverse. Spanning 143 square miles, the District’s
range of landscapes is extraordinary – from open moorland and rural villages to
the densely populated inner-city. This unique combination of features result in a
range of assets and challenges, which demand specific housing and economic
responses in order to deliver lasting regeneration and growth for our
communities.
2.3
The evidence used within this report is generally Ward level based. The
following map shows the location of the Wards across the District.
Figure 2-A Map of district showing Wards
Page 3 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
3 POLICY CONTEXT
3.1
This section introduces the local policy context, from the District’s
Sustainable Community Strategy ‘The Big Plan for the Bradford District’ to our
Joint Housing Strategy 2008-2020. It also considers the interrelated Planning,
Transport and Economic context.
The Big Plan for the Bradford District 2008-2011
3.2
This is Bradford’s Sustainable Community Strategy, produced by the
Council and its partners, who are working together to make the district a decent
place to live, now and for future generations. The Big Plan sets out the district’s
vision for 2020…
“By 2020, the Bradford district will be a vibrant, prosperous, creative, peaceful,
inclusive place where people are proud of their shared values and identity, and
work together to secure this vision for future generations”
3.3
•
The plan is focused around 6 themes:
Prosperity and Regeneration – including the transformational priorities of
regeneration and improving skills, and covering other economic issues such as
business growth and aspects of culture, housing and transport.
•
Children and Young People – including the transformational priority of
improving educational outcomes.
•
Safer Communities – building public confidence, trust and satisfaction by
reducing crime and anti-social behaviour, tackling its causes and increasing
people’s feeling of safety and security in their homes and neighbourhoods.
•
Health and Wellbeing for All – dealing with the causes of major public health
and life-style problems and working together to prevent illness and extend
productive, independent life, especially for those groups experiencing the
worst health or in need of care and support.
•
Improving the Environment – clean, attractive neighbourhoods; reducing and
managing waste sustainably; and reducing our impact on climate change.
•
Strong and Cohesive Communities – working with citizens to help them
become actively involved and self-confident, to make their communities
stronger and invest resources locally in neighbourhood improvement.
3.4
Across the six themes lie the three cross cutting themes of Culture,
Housing and Transport, which make major contributions to our prosperity, to the
lives of younger and older people, to our health and the quality of our
environment, and to strengthening our neighbourhoods.
Page 4 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Sustainable Homes and Neighbourhoods in a Successful
District – Joint Housing Strategy for Bradford 2008-2020
3.5
The joint housing strategy represents the commitment of the Council and
its partners to meet the housing requirements of the District. Its vision is for
“Bradford’s neighbourhoods to have sufficient, high quality, sustainable homes
within an economically prosperous, green, supportive and cohesive district”.
3.6
•
The key objectives of the strategy are:
More homes: To provide new housing, much of it affordable, to meet the
needs of a growing population. To ensure that new housing creates popular
neighbourhoods with high standards of quality and design linked to good
transport networks and with easy access to employment and amenities.
•
Quality: To improve the quality of our existing housing stock both private and
social. Improve the quality of our neighbourhoods including open space for
leisure and recreation, and to provide high quality services within the local
authority and its partner agencies.
•
Inclusion: To ensure that vulnerable sections of our communities are helped
to maintain a home and achieve independent living by preventing
homelessness, providing adaptations for those with a disability, tackling fuel
poverty, increasing the number of homes built to Lifetime Standards and
providing more Extra Care homes.
Bradford Homelessness Strategy 2008
3.7
The Bradford Homelessness Strategy vision is “to provide quality services,
delivered in partnership, to support people who are homeless or threatened with
homelessness, to access appropriate housing, to settle into the community”.
3.8
•
There are eight priorities making up the strategy:
To open up supply and offer choice for people who are homeless or in housing
need
•
To reduce the use of temporary accommodation offering more flexible
alternatives
•
To ensure that services cater for and acknowledge our communities’ diverse
needs
•
To develop new performance and quality standards to track our successes
•
To develop better information networks to reduce homelessness
•
Reduce the incidence of rough sleeping
•
Increase tenancy management and sustainability to prevent homelessness
•
To move all our services towards homelessness prevention and earlier
intervention
Page 5 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Bradford Supporting People 5 Year Strategy 2008-2013
3.9
The Bradford Supporting People Strategy sets out a vision for housing
related support in Bradford.
“We will ensure that housing related support is used as a means to successfully
transform our district into a place where communities thrive and where
vulnerable people are confident and supported to make a full and positive
contribution”
3.10
•
Over the next 5 years, the key aims of the strategy are to:
Increase choice through funding more floating support and introducing
individual budgets.
•
Prevent people from staying in supported accommodation that they no longer
need, by providing solutions to help them move on including a tenancy ready
scheme and move on coordinator.
•
Carrying out a major review of support to older people to provide wider
options to people in non-traditional sheltered housing and increase the
provision of extra care
•
Improve the options for people with learning disabilities and mental health
problems to remain in their own homes through the provision of low level
floating support.
•
Develop support solutions for people with complex needs and substance
misuse problems.
•
Increase the quality of support by driving up standards in the sector and
commissioning services that are a minimum level B in the quality assessment
framework only.
•
Increase service user involvement with a continued commitment to funding
Bradford Alliance on Community Care (BACC), employment of a dedicated
service user involvement officer in the team and looking at options to employ
service users on a voluntary or paid basis within the team.
•
Improve access and information to ensure that housing related support is
widely known as an option for enabling people to live independently.
Great Places to Grow Old: Bradford District Housing Strategy
for the Over 50s 2011-2021
3.11
The Bradford District Housing Strategy for the Over 50s has been
developed to respond to the changing needs and aspirations of a growing
population of older people in the District.
“Our vision is for everyone aged over 50 in Bradford to have a choice of high
quality, accessible and practical housing options, and the care and support
Page 6 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
required to make them possible. This will be delivered through a combination of
private sector development, community collaboration and public sector creativity.
These choices will be within the financial reach of all current and future older
people in the district so they can make and act on informed decisions about
where they would like to live at appropriate times in their lives”
3.12
The strategy takes the three principles from the Joint Housing Strategy for
the District, Growth, Quality & Inclusion, and presents six additional objectives:
•
Increase Choice – Give older people, and those approaching old age,
desirable and affordable options and assistance, so that they choose to move
to more suitable housing.
•
Support Everyone – In addition, support those people who choose to stay
in, or are unable to move from their current home, at a price they can afford.
•
Work Together – Strengthen opportunities for local people, communities,
the private sector, the public sector and other housing and service providers
to work together to provide solutions.
•
Make People Aware – Get the right information to the right people at the
right time.
•
Make it Sustainable – Make sure our stock and associated services are
sustainable in the long run.
•
Manage the Impact of Change – Have clear plans in place to minimise the
disruption caused by getting to where we need to be.
Working together for a warmer future – An affordable
warmth strategy for the Bradford District 2007
3.13
It was estimated that there were 33,464 fuel poor households in the
Bradford district in 2005. This means that Bradford has the worst fuel poverty
problem of all its neighbouring metropolitan districts. West Yorkshire itself has a
higher average fuel poverty rate than the rest of England. In recognition of this,
the affordable warmth strategy sets out four key aims:
•
Ensure that the affordable warmth strategy is implemented
•
Strive to tackle fuel poverty by installing energy efficiency measures to all
types of housing to a level capable of ‘future proofing’ households against fuel
poverty
•
Ensure the provision of energy advice and create links to existing money
advice services and the financial inclusion strategy
•
Raise awareness of affordable warmth to householders and professionals
Page 7 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Bradford District Economic Strategy 2011-2013
3.14
The Bradford District Economic Strategy is focused on transition from
recession to recovery, from public to private employment and towards a more
sustainable economy. The strategy has three goals:
•
Promoting resilient and sustainable economic growth by increasing the
number of successful businesses and raising levels of activity and trade.
•
Increasing the number of quality long term jobs for our growing workforce.
•
Raising the economic wellbeing of residents.
3.15
The strategy identifies two priorities for action. Building entrepreneurship
and innovation and working from the centre outwards. These priorities build on
our strengths in enterprise and entrepreneurship, and recognise that the city
centre is the key economic driver for growth.
Local Development Framework
3.16
Bradford Council is in the process of producing its Local Development
Framework (LDF) which will guide future growth and development for housing,
employment, leisure and retail for the next 10 - 20 years.
3.17
The council is currently working towards producing the Core Strategy
Preferred Approach, which is due to be published for formal consultation in the
summer of 2011.
Housing Requirement
3.18
One of the most significant tasks for the LDF is to determine the future
need for housing in the form of a housing requirement. Up until recently the
Regional Spatial Strategy (RSS) set the housing requirement for each Local
Planning Authority in Yorkshire and the Humber.
3.19
The RSS (The Yorkshire and Humber Plan 2008) forms part of the
statutory development plan for Bradford. The RSS indicates that Bradford needs
to make provision for development which will result in net annual additions to the
dwelling stock of 1560 per year between 2004 and 2008 and 2700 per year
between 2008 and 2026.
3.20
The Government has signalled its intention to abolish Regional Spatial
Strategies. This intention will be given statutory effect in due course through the
Localism Bill. A housing requirement for each Local Planning Authority still has to
be derived but the responsibility for determining that target now rests with the
Local Authority. Local Planning Authorities, unlike in the past, will have to
research, consult on and produce a housing target and then give evidence at a
public inquiry to justify it. The RSS and the Government’s latest published
Page 8 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
household projections will still form key pieces of evidence in deriving any target
that the council will set.
Affordable Housing Policies
3.21
Access to affordable housing is one of the corner stones of the Joint
Housing Strategy (JHS) for Bradford. Affordability remains a major issue despite
house prices in the District being relatively low compared to other parts of the
region. This is because a significant proportion of the population is unable to
afford to rent or buy homes of their choice in the locations they desire due to low
income levels.
3.22
27% of the District’s households are on incomes of less than £15,000
(compared to 22% nationally) and Bradford has higher than average numbers of
people in low skilled occupations. Many of these people are vulnerable and unable
to secure jobs or maintain employment for long periods.
3.23
A new affordable housing policy will be developed in the LDF Core
Strategy. As required under Planning Policy Statement 3: Housing, this will be
based on the analysis of need contained within the Strategic Housing Market
Assessment (SHMA) and the results of the Affordable Housing Economic Viability
Assessment (AHEVA).
3.24
This evidence will inform the setting of developer quotas for affordable
housing provision under the government’s ‘Section 106’ powers granted to local
authorities. To fully reflect the need for affordable housing across Bradford
district, the affordable housing policy will need to outline targets and thresholds
for affordable housing delivery across Bradford district, taking into account the
results of the AHEVA.
3.25
The evidence from the AHEVA is particularly important as it will identify
the areas where there is a gap between the need for affordable housing and the
viability of delivering affordable housing. Grant funding and any other forms of
public subsidy will need to be directed towards the areas identified in the AHEVA
where there are pressures upon development viability.
3.26
The council will be formally consulting on the affordable housing policy in
the LDF Core Strategy and publishing the SHMA and AHEVA as part of the formal
consultation on the Core Strategy Preferred Approach.
West Yorkshire Local Transport Plan
3.27
The transport investment and strategy for the district are set out in West
Yorkshire Local Transport Plan (LTP). The third LTP “MyJourney West Yorkshire:
Local Transport Strategy”, covering the period from 2011 to 2026, includes an
indicative Implementation Plan for 2011 – 2014 which will begin the delivery of
Page 9 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
the Strategy, based on the recently announced Department for Transport funding
for the next three years. LTP3 has been formally approved and is now moving
into implementation phase.
3.28
The Strategy’s 15-year Vision for the West Yorkshire transport system and
its strategic approach are supported by four themes: network asset management,
travel choices, connectivity and enhancements. Each of the themes outlines
specific priorities and challenges, which address immediate issues such as public
spending cuts and reduced government funding for local transport, and also
prepare for future growth in population, employment and housing.
3.29
Despite the challenges, the Plan is committed to finding effective ways to
maintaining the transport system and making improvements that will start to
deliver the 15-year Strategy. Transport’s role in supporting economic activity and
growth and maintaining access to jobs will be particularly important in this first
implementation plan period.
3.30
As well as major strategic improvements, smaller scale Local Integrated
Transport Schemes will continue to be developed to address local community
concerns, improve access to jobs, goods and facilities, tackles issues of illegal and
anti-social behaviour and reduce deaths and injuries on the District’s roads.
3.31
A district-wide Bradford Implementation Plan is currently being developed,
which will interpret the LTP3 priorities in a Bradford-specific context and will
provide detail on how LTP3 will be implemented locally.
Leeds City Region Transport Strategy and Connectivity Study
3.32
“Connecting People to Jobs and Places” is the main theme of the Leeds
City Region (LCR) Connectivity Study, the first phase of which was published in
May 2010. Following the completion of the LCR Transport Strategy in November
2009, the Study looks at the potential to improve productivity levels outside the
Leeds urban area. It also considers issues affecting ‘International Connectivity’ for
the LCR, focusing on trips to Leeds Bradford International Airport, Manchester
Airport and international seaports.
3.33
The Study points out that the scale of housing and employment growth in
the LCR is the greatest for Leeds and Bradford, whilst significant growth is also
proposed for Wakefield, Kirklees and York. The additional housing and
employment will exacerbate existing congestion problems, particularly in the
Bradford-dominated western sector, which is already affected by relatively slow
traffic speeds. Enhancing the complementary roles and functions of Halifax
(Calderdale) and Huddersfield (Kirklees) is also a key priority.
Page 10 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
3.34
In line with the focus of LCR Transport Strategy, summarised in its title
“Delivering low carbon connectivity to promote faster economic growth”, the
Study prioritises the following seven challenges for LCR:
•
contribute towards the reduction in transport-related carbon dioxide
emissions;
•
reduce lost productivity time including maintaining or improving the reliability
and
•
predictability of journey times on main regional and City Region routes for
business, commuting and freight;
•
improve the connectivity and access to labour of main business centres;
•
support the delivery of sustainable housing through the provision of transport;
•
reduce the economic disparity between regions;
•
enhance social inclusion and the regeneration of deprived or remote areas by
enabling disadvantaged people to connect with employment opportunities,
main local services, social networks and goods through improving
accessibility, availability, affordability and acceptability; and
•
reduce risk of death or injury due to transport accidents.
3.35
The recommendations from the study are expected to inform Government
spending decisions from 2014 onwards.
Key messages for the LIP
•
There are a number of key strategies in place, which have been informed by
widespread consultation and are based on robust evidence. These strategies
form an important platform for the LIP to build upon.
•
The Economic, Planning and Transport strategies which are in place clearly
recognize the importance of housing to the economic and social wellbeing of
the district.
Page 11 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
4 HOUSING EVIDENCE BASE
4.1
The structure of this Evidence Base builds on the three objectives of the
Joint Housing Strategy for Bradford district:
1. More homes. This section provides an overview of the district’s demographics,
household income, housing costs and affordability, housing growth – market
housing and affordable housing.
2. Quality. In this section we look at the type and age of Bradford dwelling stock,
the decency standard, energy efficiency in homes, and fuel.
3. Inclusion. This section summarises social housing trends, housing for
vulnerable people including homes for older people, overcrowding, homelessness,
housing issues of new arrivals, as well as gypsy, travellers and show people
needs for accommodation.
4.2
After considering these three broad themes, evidence is presented
geographically to correspond to the identified geographic priorities in the Local
Investment Plan.
Page 12 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
5 MORE HOMES
Demographics
5.1
Bradford’s population was fairly static in the 1990s at around 470,000 but
has been increasing ever since; the population was estimated at just over
500,000 according to ONS in July 2008. The population is expected to increase
over the next 25 years, mainly due to a high birth rate.
Figure 5-A ONS Population Projections (2008 based) SOURCE: ONS
Population, thousands
700.0
600.0
500.0
400.0
640.4
572.7
512.9
626.0
600.5
542.8
300.0
200.0
100.0
0.0
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Source: ONS
5.2
In line with the population growth, household projections from CLG
N o . o f h o u s e h o ld s , t h o u s a n d s
estimate the number of households to increase over the next 25 years.
Figure 5-B Bradford Household Projections (2008 based) SOURCE: ONS
3 00
2 50
1 50
2 34
24 8
26 2
2 43
2 00
20 5
17 8
18 7
1 00
50
0
19 90
5.3
2 20
20 00
20 10
2 02 0
2 03 0
2 04 0
Bradford’s ethnic population is growing too. The white ethnic group
population is projected to reduce by just 1.4% in absolute terms but to reduce its
share of the total Local Authority population from 75% to 56%. The Asian ethnic
group is estimated to increase by approximately 132,000 and to account for 35%
of the total by 2031.
Page 13 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Figure 5-C Ethnic Group Populations 2006, 2011, 2021, 2031 SOURCE: School of Geography Ethnic Projections
Model 2008
5.4
In the light of predicted population and household growth in Bradford and
across the region, the former RSS target was to increase housing supply from
1,390 additional units per year to 2,700 between 2008 and 2026. Around 30% of
these will need to be affordable1 (i.e. offered below market rates). The majority
of the requirement will be for 2 and 3 bed accommodation.
Income
5.5
According to CACI Paycheck data, the median household income for the
Bradford district is £24,792, this compares with £26,402 for West Yorkshire as a
whole and £28,445 for Great Britain as a whole. Incomes vary significantly within
the district.
Figure 5-D Household Income (Median Data) 2010 SOURCE: CACI Paycheck 2010
1
2008 Housing Requirements Study
Page 14 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
House Prices
5.6
The average house price in Bradford is £103,944 (at March 2011). House
prices peaked in February 2008 at £126,594 after seeing month-on-month
sustained growth in the previous eight years. Even after falling back, house
prices are over double what they were 10 years ago. Prices are generally lower
than Yorkshire & Humber as a whole but there are significant variations sub
district with comparable properties being worth significantly more in Wharfedale
than in the inner city.
Figure 5-E House Price Index Comparison Yorkshire & Humber vs Bradford SOURCE: HM Land Registry 2011
5.7
The Bradford Housing Market Tracker compares the weekly cost of housing
through different tenures. Social renting is consistently the most affordable
tenure. However, tight mortgage lending criteria and the requirement for large
deposits has meant the private rented sector remains the easiest sector to access
(if the least secure) for newly forming households.
Figure 5-F Weekly Housing Entry Costs 2011 SOURCE: Bradford Housing Market Tracker
Weekly Housing Entry Costs 2011
£180
£160
£140
£120
LQ Mortgage
£100
LQ PRS Rent
Intermediate
£80
Social Rent
£60
£40
£20
£Bradford
District
Low
Quota
Medium
Quota
High
Quota
Bradford
District
Low
Quota
Flat
Medium
Quota
House
Page 15 of 46
High
Quota
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
5.8
It is important to remember that whilst house prices and private sector
rents are often cheaper in Bradford than neighbouring districts, this has to be
offset by lower household incomes meaning that affordability remains an issue.
5.9
In addition to forming homes, the housing sector plays a significant part in
the local economy, creating employment and driving spending.
5.10
It is no secret that the global economic turmoil over the past couple of
years has had a significant effect on the housing market and Bradford is no
different to other locations in this respect. Even more stark than the falling house
prices is the drop in the number of transactions which are now at one third the
level that was seen at the peak in 2007. This has had significant impact on
developers’ ability to deliver new housing.
Figure 5-G NHBC & CBMDC building control housing completions SOURCE: CBMDC Planning
Number of completions
250
200
150
100
50
Ap
r- 0
Au 2
gDe 02
c0
Ap 2
r- 0
Au 3
gDe 03
c-0
Ap 3
r0
Au 4
g04
De
c0
Ap 4
rAu 05
gDe 05
c0
A 5
pr
-0
Au 6
gDe 06
c-0
Ap 6
r- 0
Au 7
g0
De 7
c-0
Ap 7
rA 08
ug
De 08
c0
Ap 8
r- 0
Au 9
g0
De 9
c-0
Ap 9
r- 1
0
0
Completions
5.11
12 per. Mov. Avg. (Completions)
In light of the economic situation, the Government put the Mortgage Pre
Action Protocol in place to ensure lenders only repossess homes as a last resort.
As such, the steady increase in claims for repossession up to quarter 3 in 2008
dropped significantly from 509 claims in Q3 2008 to 357 in Q4 2008. The
repossession claims have been consistently dropping since, with the exception of
Q2 2009 when the number of claims rose to 390. The latest number of
repossession claims is 265 (for Q1 2011). The repossession orders have fallen by
86 from 351 in Q1 2010.
Page 16 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Figure 5-H Claims and Orders for Repossession SOURCE: Ministry of Justice
600
500
400
Claims
Orders
300
4 per. Mov. Avg. (Orders)
4 per. Mov. Avg. (Claims)
200
100
Q
3
Q
1
20
05
20
05
Q
1
20
06
Q
3
20
06
Q
1
20
07
Q
3
20
07
Q
1
20
08
Q
3
20
08
Q
1
20
09
*
Q
3
20
09
Q
1
20
10
Q
3
20
10
Q
1
20
11
0
Overcrowding
5.12
Overcrowding impacts on the health, wellbeing and educational prospects
of the people affected. Using data from the 2010 Bradford Public Perceptions
Survey of 6,727 households we have calculated that 10% of households in the
Bradford district are technically overcrowded (as measured against the Bedroom
Standard); and 18% of people are living in technically overcrowded
accommodation. This is a big increase up from 4.5% of households calculated to
be overcrowded in 2007. 2% of households are overcrowded by 2 or more
bedrooms. Individuals aged 16-24, or of Pakistani or Bangladeshi origin are most
likely to be effected. 75% of overcrowded households contain at least one adult
in addition to the household head and their spouse/partner.
Figure 5-I Overcrowding by Age SOURCE: Bradford Residents Survey 2010
Overcrowding by Age
Proportion of Age Group
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
0-15
16-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65-74
Age of Individual
Overcrowded by 2 or more bedrooms
Technically Overcrowded
Page 17 of 46
75+
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Growth
5.13
At 1st April 2011 we had 208,670 self-contained dwellings in the district.
That’s a net increase of nearly 15,000 since 2001 (on average a growth of four
new dwellings every day).
Figure 5-J Dwelling Stock in Bradford SOURCE: Housing Strategy Statistical Appendix
21 00 00
20 80 00
20 60 00
20 40 00
20 20 00
20 00 00
19 80 00
19 60 00
19 40 00
19 20 00
19 00 00
20 0 1
5.14
2 00 2
20 0 3
2 00 4
20 05
2 00 6
2 0 07
20 0 8
2 0 09
20 1 0
94% of dwellings in the district are occupied. The number of occupied
properties continues to increase in spite of the economic downturn. At April 2010
there were an extra 4,123 occupied properties than in April 2008.
Figure 5-K Growth in Occupied Properties by Ward 2008-2010
90 0
70 0
60 0
50 0
40 0
30 0
20 0
t
n
as
ill
ey
E
to
Ho
r
at
ig
hl
Ke
se
es
h
cl
Ec
re
W
in
G
le
ro
da
W
rf e
dh
i
ll A
nd
n
s
oy
d
R
ha
W
H
or
to
on
Li
tt le
ea
t
H
Ba
il d
on
t
y
es
se
ib
yW
hl
e
ei
g
W
y
oo
r
al
le
M
V
or
d
ad
f
th
Br
K
en
le
or
W
Il k
ra
v
Th
or
Q
Fa
nd
C
la
yto
n
A
C
gh
am
en
e a sb
t h ur
er y
nt
G
on
re
A
en
nd
Al
ler
to
n
Ke
W
ig
yk
hl
e
ey
Ce
nt
ra
l
ue
n in
ng
To
an
M
T
oll
e
r
al
e
if f
ur
cl
R
y
nd
er
ng
le
U
A
le
n
to
Bo
l
Id
Bi
nd
le
y
re
ac
k
ke
Th
d
An
d
An
li n
g
w
Bo
nd
y
y
ng
le
ar
B
Bi
C
ip
le
Sh
it y
0
- 10 0
y
10 0
irw
G ro w th in n u mber o f oc cup ied pr op ertie s
80 0
Key messages for the LIP
•
The growth in population and households will lead to increased demand for
housing across the district.
•
Low incomes in many parts of the city mean there is a significant need for
more affordable housing.
•
Overcrowding has increased, as pressure on existing housing stock grows.
Page 18 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
6 QUALITY
6.1
Bradford is a diverse city with a diverse housing stock. From inner city
back-to-backs to multi-million pound mansions and almost everything in between
Bradford provides a unique housing offer and a wealth of choice.
6.2
Whilst in many ways this is a strength, it also provides us with complex
challenges which will be covered later in this section. Initially, however we will
present some facts and figures to paint a picture of housing in Bradford today.
6.3
70% of all properties across the district are owner occupied, 15% are
rented through Registered Social Landlords, and 14% are rented through private
landlords2.
6.4
Semi-detached and terraced housing are the dominant housing forms in
the district, each representing around 37% of the total stock. Sub-district the
proportions vary with the inner city seeing a higher proportion of terraced stock
with sub-urban areas seeing higher proportions of semi-detached and detached
stock. 13% of the total stock is flats.
A mapping exercise conducted in 2008
counted a total of 10,587 back-to-back properties – a build form almost excusive
to West Yorkshire, where a property shares a party wall with another property to
the rear as well as the sides; outlawed in 1909, the majority were built before
1900.
6.5
The age of the housing stock reflects the historic growth of the district,
with a third of stock being built before 1919.
Figure 6-A Property age by property type and sub area SOURCE: Bradford Household Survey 2007
2
Housing Needs Survey 2007
Page 19 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
6.6
The ageing profile of our housing stock brings with it serious housing
condition problems that continue to be a major challenge. Over 65,000 homes
fail the Decent Homes standard (41% of private sector stock). The problem is
worse in the private rented sector where 59% is non decent. The estimated cost
of achieving the basic Decent Homes Standard in the private sector is £206m, an
average of £3,164 per home.
Figure 6-B Non Decent Homes by Ward SOURCE: Bradford Private Sector Stock Condition Survey 2007
6.7
Whilst a certain amount of short term empty property is healthy, enabling
the housing market to operate, 5% of homes in the district are classed as long
term empty (i.e. empty longer than 6 months); this proportion has remained
relatively steady over the last few years. Bringing empty homes back into use
not only increases the available housing stock in the district, but also reduces the
neighbourhood blight and anti-social behaviour that these properties can cause.
6.8
Clusters of empty properties are symptomatic of localised neighbourhood
abandonment so to enable the empty homes team to work proactively, mapping
analysis is conducted to locate clusters of long term empty homes. Note the
hotspots are often clusters of empty flats that occur in the same block.
Page 20 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Figure 6-C Empty Properties within 100m (Apr 2011) SOURCE: CBMDC Council Tax
6.9
The Standard Assessment Procedure (SAP) is a government rating for
energy efficiency (expressed as a value from 0 to 100, the higher the value, the
more efficient the property is). The average SAP rating for private sector
dwellings in the district is 49; this compares to 47 nationally.
Page 21 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Figure 6-D Energy Efficiency: SAP rating by Ward SOURCE: Bradford Private Sector Stock Condition Survey
2007
6.10
The quality of Houses in Multiple Occupation (HMOs) remains a concern
although the HMO stock at 0.9% is below the national average of 2%.
Fuel Poverty
6.11
A fuel-poor family is defined as one that has to spend more than 10% of
its income on heating its home to a decent standard.
Figure 6-E Fuel Poverty by Region SOURCE: DECC
Page 22 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Deprivation
6.12
Bradford district ranks 26th most deprived Local Authority in England, and
2nd most deprived in the Yorkshire & Humber region. 157,287 people, or 31.4%
of the district population, live in these most deprived areas, whereas 29,537
people, or 5.9% of the district population, live in areas that are among the least
deprived in England. Bradford is also ranked 1st of all local authorities in England
in terms of having the widest gap between the most and least deprived areas.
Figure 6-F Bradford District most and least deprived LSOAs SOURCE: ONS 2010
Key messages for the LIP
•
The quality of private sector housing stock in the district is a major cause
for concern.
•
Deprivation levels in part of the district are contributing to issues of fuel
poverty.
•
Bringing empty homes back into use is a major factor in increasing the
available housing stock and reducing the negative impact on
neighbourhoods.
Page 23 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
7 INCLUSION
Social Rented Housing
7.1
The latest information from the Homes social housing allocations system
shows 13,403 households currently waiting for social housing, of which 6,967
households have reasonable preference. The biggest requirement is for 1
bedroom households, but the largest mismatch between supply and demand is for
2 and 3 bedroom houses (turnover of 1 bedroom properties means there is
relatively good supply).
Figure 7-A Homehunter Average Bids per property advertised SOURCE: Homehunter Export 2010
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Homelessness
7.2
The Bradford Homelessness Strategy 2008 found that we had successfully
shifted the service from ‘housing the homeless’ to ‘homeless prevention’. Over
the last decade people presenting themselves as homeless declined from over
3,000 in 97/98 to just over 2,000 in 07/08. Since then, applications have
reduced to 654 in 09/10. However, in line with the national picture,
homelessness has started to increase in 2010/11.
Older People
7.3
Unlike many parts of the UK, both the younger and older sections of the
population are set to increase between now and 2025. The proportion of the
population made up of each age group remains relatively steady with the over
50s making up 30% of the population in 2007 and 2025. However, as the
population as a whole is expected to increase, there will be an extra 13,600
people aged 50-64, an extra 11,900 people aged 65-84, and an extra 3,600
people aged 85 or over by 2020.
Page 24 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Figure 7-B Bradford population projections by age SOURCE: ONS
7.4
The inner city sees the lowest proportion of older people with Toller,
Manningham, City, Little Horton, Bradford Moor and Bowling & Barkerend wards
having an estimated population of 20,187 people aged over 50. The suburban
and rural areas of the District see higher proportions of older people with Craven,
Ilkley, Wharfedale, Bingley, Bingley Rural and Baildon wards having an estimated
population of 37,174 people aged over 50 (nearly 17,000 more than the inner city
wards).
Figure 7-C Proportion of Population aged 50+ in 2007
Figure 7-D Change in Population of those aged 50+ 2001-2009
7.5
In addition, the inner city has seen a reduction in the number of people
aged over 50 during the last 6 years whilst Craven, Worth Valley and Baildon
have seen big increases.
Page 25 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
7.6
Wibsey ward is interesting as it has experienced a small decrease in older
people over the last 6 years whilst still having a relatively high proportion older
people. Conversely, Queensbury ward has seen a large increase in the number of
older people over the last 6 years yet having a lower than District average
proportion of older people.
7.7
Breaking down the figures further into smaller age bands, it is notable that
even amongst the inner city, there were significant increases in the numbers of
people aged 50-64 over the last 6 years. Whether this would imply a future
increase in the numbers of those aged 65+ would depend largely on life
expectancy.
7.8
Bradford’s BME population has a much younger age profile than the White
British population. The figure below shows that 34% of the White British
population is aged over 50, in comparison just 13% of the Asian population is
aged over 50. In addition, whilst 24% of the population as a whole is of Asian
origin, this proportion reduces by age. 14% of 50-64 year olds, 9% of 65-84 year
olds, and 3% of people aged over 85 are of Asian origin. Assuming converging life
expectancy between BME groups and White British groups we would expect
higher proportions of BME elders in the future.
Figure 7-E Proportion of ethnic group within age band SOURCE: 2007 Housing Needs Survey
7.9
There are some interesting trends in relation to the property type occupied
by different age households. Whilst the likelihood of living in a terraced property
reduces with age, nearly a third of households occupied by people aged over 50
still live in terraced property. The proportion of people living in detached
properties peaks in the 50-64 age group with flats becoming increasingly popular
for the over 65s. The proportion of households living in semi detached properties
remains relatively consistent suggesting that this build form is proving adequate
regardless of the age of the household.
Page 26 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Figure 7-F Property type by age of household head SOURCE: 2007 Housing Needs Survey
7.10
Single person households are more likely the older the occupier. 22% of
single person households are people aged 70-79; in comparison just 8% being
occupied by people aged 20-29. Ninety percent of 70-79 year olds live in
households of two people or fewer.
7.11
Regardless of ethnic origin, the older people get the more likely they are
to live alone, however, people of BME origin aged over 50 are far more likely to
live in larger households than their white counterparts.
7.12
The 2007 Housing Needs Survey asked householders whether they were
wanting to move home and the reasons for this. The survey identified that 13,500
older person households were looking to move home in the District. The main
primary reasons for wanting to move for households aged over 50 are:
•
Home is too large (22%)
•
Home is too small (12%)
•
Dislike the area (11%)
•
Layout of home is unsuitable for health needs (6%)
•
Ethnic composition (6%)
•
To retire somewhere (5%)
•
To live near family (5%)
Vulnerable People
7.13
As already emphasised, Bradford has the pressures of a growing
population, both young and old, with high levels of deprivation and poor health.
There are particular challenges in the growing BME communities. The levels and
type of need change across the District. Services across the District are unevenly
distributed. The majority of services, particularly for Socially Excluded Groups are
concentrated on some of the City areas. There is a general view that services
users therefore have to make choices about moving from their area to seek
support.
Page 27 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
7.14
The Bradford Supporting People Needs Assessment 2008 identified the
following client groups and their needs:
Young
people,
young
offenders,
care
leavers,
teenage
pregnancy
• A rent deposit scheme is being
developed which should help
access stable accommodation.
• There is a critical point, at the
age of 18 when young people
leaving the Looked After
system need help to access
accommodation and support.
• Plans have been developed to
improve move-on including
access to the private sector.
• There are 262 units aimed at Young
people at risk through 14 services.
This is mainly accommodation
based provision with 18 units of
floating support.
• There is also a 70 unit generic
accommodation based service for
young people
• There are 5 schemes for teenage
parents, 14 floating support and 37
accommodation based.
Substance
misuse
and
people
with
alcohol
issues
• Detailed research was
conducted into housing and
support needs. It concluded
that there were very significant
gaps in provision across the
system.
• There are only 3 specialist schemes.
2 focused on drug problems provide
21 units and 1 focused on alcohol
provides 8 units. All 3 are
accommodation based.
• Many other support schemes work
with substance misuse.
Offenders
• Evidence of people leaving
prison to inappropriate settings
• Very little provision for ‘high
risk’ offenders
• There are 202 units of support in 13
services. 17 units are floating
support
• Range of generic services and other
specialist services also support
offenders
Homeless
families
• A review of homeless services
is currently being conducted to
coincide with the production of
a new homelessness strategy
• Growth in mortgage
repossessions
• Growth in numbers from BME
communities
• Small growth in older
homeless people
• Preventative service being
piloted in Keighley
• A review of homeless services
is currently being conducted to
coincide with the production of
a new homelessness strategy
• More preventative services are
• There are 9 specialist services
providing 206 units of support. 61
units are floating support
• There are 2 generic services of 212
units of floating support that will also
provide some support to this
category
Single
homeless
and rough
sleepers
• There are 250 units in 16 services
aimed at this client group. 33 units
are floating support
• There are two generic services of
212 units of floating support that will
Page 28 of 46
• In 2007, 235 people left Looked After system, of
these 30 were over 16
• Of the total 810 currently in the system 22% come
from non-white communities
• 120 young people aged 16+ are in the care of
Bradford Council and it is estimated that about 30
people per year over 18 will need support
• Evidence of small additional needs for teenage
parents despite total number falling
• There are 224 youth offenders over 16
• 33 young people presented as homeless
• Growing numbers with complex needs: larger hostels
not always suitable. Need to develop other options,
eg supported lodgings (currently in development) and
smaller group living schemes.
Estimate 10 additional units teenage parents plus
further 30-50 units for young people including
specialist accommodation.
• Estimate that there are about 6000 people with a
drug or alcohol problem at any one time needing
support, some of who are accessing existing support
services. Survey identified 450 with drug and alcohol
problems.
• Need for range of schemes to include abstinence
based, but also services which can accommodate
people who continue to use substances
• Need for more specialist ‘in reach’ services for hostel
based schemes
• Need for training of hostel based staff and increased
in-reach treatment services
• Major gaps as identified in report commissioned in
2007.
Estimate 100-150 additional units of support
including specialist support rising to 250 units.
• About 3800 offenders are currently in Bradford, 314
identified in the survey of which 212 are alcohol or
substance misusers
• Access to specialist support for mentally disordered
offenders is major issue
• Shortage of provision for people with chaotic
lifestyles
Difficult to place upper limit on estimate of need
because of overlaps with other client groups –
possibly 50-150 units of support needed.
• Numbers approaching as homeless are increasing.
868 families were accepted last year
• A further 1400 sought advice
• More preventative approaches need to be developed
– across all sectors inc. private rented
• Need for improved joint commissioning & ‘spend to
save’ approaches.
Need for floating support and 100-150 units.
• Rough sleeping is major problem – approx 50 people
sleeping rough each night
• Many rough sleepers have complex needs inc
offending behaviour / mental health problems,
personality disorder etc
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
needed
• Many in this client group
overlap with other needs
Domestic
violence
• The issues of domestic abuse
in Bradford are made complex
by issues of forced marriages
• There are small numbers of
people exiting the sex industry
who have special and complex
needs
also provide some support to this
category.
• There are 9 services providing 72
spaces. 10 are floating support.
There is specialist provision for
Asian women
• There is no current provision
HIV /
AIDS
Refugees
Travellers
and
gypsies
Mental
health
3
• There is a wide range of
nationalities and languages,
with no predominant group.
Current estimates include
around 3000 Iraqui Kurds and
3000-4000 Africans (from
many different countries, not
all asylum seekers or refugees
– there are also economic
migrants, students and others).
Communities of Afghans,
Iranians, Kosovans and
Bosnian Muslims (the latter
two dating back to the conflict
in former Yugoslavia) exist but
numbers are not known
• There has been a growth in
numbers moving to Bradford
from Eastern Europe –
although not refugees, they
have increasing pressure on
housing.
• There are 2 authorised sites
and a number of unofficial
sites across the District
• It was estimated that there
were 10470 people with
mental health problems in
2005/63.
• There was a trend over the
previous 5 years for a gradual
• There are two accommodation
based services providing 48 units of
support
• There is a further provider, not
funded through SP, that offers some
spaces to refugees
• There is no current provision
• Current provision is focused upon
traditional group living models of
support
• Service users tend to have enduring
mental health problems
• There are 289 units of
NHS Bradford Health Profile 2007
Page 29 of 46
• Probable undercounting of people sleeping rough. An
unknown number will be ‘sofa-surfing’ and
occasionally sleeping rough
• 199 single people were accepted as homeless in
2006
• Problems of access to stable accommodation
• Need identified for proactive approach to preventing
homelessness across all housing sectors
• Support services needed for those accessing private
rented accommodation
Need for additional floating support 30-50 units in
total and small high needs supported
accommodation 5-10 units.
• Estimated that there were about 8863 incidents of
DV in 2006/7 and 191 cases of forced marriages
• Government estimate 1 DV refuge place per 10000
of the population suggesting 50 places
• There is a need to develop a higher level of support
provision for women with serious drug and alcohol
abuse issues and/or mental health issues as refuge
provision find it difficult to support this
• Another recognised gap is the need for more
preventative/ floating support services
• Gap in any services for men who experience DV
• There is no support for perpetrators of DV who want
help
A significant amount of provision is provided.
Another 20-30 units of support may be required.
• The Yorkshire and Humberside Public Health
Observatory suggest total numbers may be around
230.
Between 10 and 20 may need a support service.
• There is no accurate estimate of total numbers in the
district. Estimates suggest 7000 to 8000
• Up to 10000 people from Eastern Europe have
moved to the city
• There is a cap on asylum seekers for Bradford
District – 960 cases per year, 480 in BCHT
accommodation and 480 in private accommodation.
Numbers are large but needs are complex and
language is a major issue. There is a need for more
floating support 20-30 units.
• Estimated to be 70-80 households in the District at
any one time.
Set up a pilot support service.
• Provision within the City is lacking – some properties
around the University area have been closed
because they were undesirable properties in areas
with high crime rates
• There is a significant need to increase floating
support provision – plans have been submitted to
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
increase in numbers
• In common with many areas,
there are issues regarding
people with dual diagnosis, i.e.
mental health issues together
with substance misuse
problems.
•
•
•
•
Learning
difficulties
• The number of service users
identified in 20074 were just
under 1400 but some
interviewees reported
difficulties with the quality of
data available
• Of these, some 20% live with
older carers (i.e. 65+)
• Transition rates to adulthood
can be predicted and are likely
to be between 44 and 73
individuals each year up to
2013
• There are much higher
incidence rates reported
amongst young people from
South Asian families5
• A retraction of £4.5 million
funding has been agreed for
LD services.
•
•
•
•
•
•
accommodation based provision
through 26 services. Most of the
support provision is provided
through a Care Trust, inheriting 163
properties from SSD under a Sector
31 agreement
Provision is often in older properties.
Access to capital funding isn’t clear
Other properties are provided
through RSLs including BCHT,
Brunel and Accent
Current provision is predominantly in
the South and West of the authority
Support for people with mental
health problems in BME
communities is usually provided in
their own homes
There are 407 units of
accommodation based support
provided through 39 services
Current services are largely based
upon those inherited by SP in 2003
A significant proportion of people
supported through SP are in group
homes
It is likely some individuals are being
held back by the lack of move-on
accommodation or floating support
services
Some current provision is located in
less desirable areas – it was
suggested that service users would
not choose to live in those areas an
did not feel fully safe
Because of the reliance upon group
homes, some individuals may not
receive the support they ideally
need, or have choice about who
they live with.
develop a pilot floating support service but at the time
of the discussion (January 2008) these were still
awaiting approval by the Commissioning Body
Need to increase services in the North and East of
the District, mainly floating support but also some
accommodation based services, 50-100 units.
• Future service development needs to concentrate
upon the needs of individuals and include:
Move-on accommodation
Single provision where individuals are able to
move to greater independence
Floating support services to enable people to
live in general purpose housing
The needs of people with older carers need to
be addressed
Up to a 1000 people with an LD are not receiving a
support service based on current demographic
information. This suggests that at a minimum a
floating support service should be made available to
about 300 people and possibly specialist provision
for BME communities.
Key messages for the LIP
•
There continues to be considerable unmet demand for social rented
housing.
•
There will be an increase in demand for older people housing in some
areas, as the population of older people increases.
•
There are a wide range of needs which need addressing, in relation to
vulnerable people and housing-related support services.
4
Bradford Council: Review of Learning Disability Services 2007
5
Bradford Council: Adult Services Five Year Strategy 2007-12
Page 30 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
8 GEOGRAPHIC PRIORITIES
City Centre
8.1
The City Centre is represented by the City ward which contains Bradford
city centre, including inner city residential properties. It also incorporates
Bradford College and Bradford University, as well as inner city industrial areas.
8.2
The age profile of City ward shows that it has a particularly large
proportion of young people aged 16 to 29 years (43.8% compared to the district
average of 21.1%) and a very small proportion of older people.
Figure 8-A Population age profile for City Ward
8.3
In September 2010 there were 922 people claiming Jobseekers Allowance
in City ward. This represents a claimant rate of 5.8% of the working age
population, higher than the district’s claimant rate of 4.7%.
8.4
At £20,200 the average gross household income in City ward is
significantly lower than the district average (£31,400). This may reflect the fact
that there is a large proportion of students living in this ward. 44.4% of
households have an average income of less than £15K compared to 26.8% of
Bradford District households.
8.5
According to the Index of Multiple Deprivation 2010, City ward has very
high levels of deprivation. Nearly three quarters (73.3%) of its population live in
neighbourhoods that fall within the 20% most deprived in England.
8.6
There are 7,912 self-contained dwellings (3.79% of the District’s total) in
the City ward, of which 7,098 are occupied and 538 are empty. The current trend
Page 31 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
shows a steady increase in the number of occupied dwellings, notwithstanding a
slight fall in occupancy in August-October 2010. The number of empty properties
has shown a slight increase recently, as is evident from the chart below.
Figure 8-B Trends in occupied dwellings and long term empty homes SOURCE: CBMDC Council Tax
Total Long-Term Empty Dwellings (Trend)
Total Occupied Dwellings (Trend)
14.00%
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
7000
6900
6800
6700
6600
6500
6400
6300
Ap
r -0
8
Ju
l- 0
8
O
ct08
Ja
n09
Ap
r -0
9
Ju
l- 0
9
O
ct09
Ja
n1
Ap 0
r -1
0
Ju
l- 1
0
O
ct10
Ja
n1
Ap 1
r -1
1
6200
6100
6000
This Area
8.7
District
The percentage of social housing in the area is considerably higher than
that of the District – 23% to 15% respectively; private housing accounts for 77%
of the stock.
8.8
City Centre properties are mainly rated at Council Tax Band A (65.2%),
with mean house price at £103,000 against mean district house price at
£139,000. Non-decent stock accounts for 55% of the City Centre properties,
which is 15% more than the district’s average6.
Manningham
8.9
The ward of Manningham lies to the north of Bradford city centre. This
inner city ward is a mixture of quite densely populated residential and commercial
areas.
8.10
Similar to the City ward, the age profile of Manningham is significantly
younger than the district average, with a larger proportion of children and young
people and a considerably smaller proportion of its population aged above 45
years.
6
Housing Needs Survey 2007
Page 32 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Figure 8-C Population age profile for Little Horton Ward
8.11
In September 2010 there were 920 people claiming Jobseekers Allowance
in the area. This represents a claimant rate of 8.2% of the working age
population, significantly higher than the claimant rate for Bradford district
(4.7%).
8.12
At £19,300 the average gross household income in Manningham is
considerably lower than the district average (£31,400). 45.0% of households
have an average household income of less than £15,000, compared with 26.8%
of Bradford district households.
8.13
According to the Index of Multiple Deprivation 2010, Manningham ward
has very high levels of deprivation. All the neighbourhoods in this ward fall within
the 20% most deprived in England.
8.14
There are 5,974 self-contained dwellings in Manningham, 5,281 are
occupied and 499 are empty. The number of occupied properties has recently
shown a slight increase, however, the empty properties trend is also increasing
(see charts below).
Figure 8-D Trends in occupied dwellings and long term empty homes SOURCE: CBMDC Council Tax
Homes Long-Term Empty (Trend)
Total Occupied Dwellings (Trend)
6000
9. 00%
5900
8. 00%
7. 00%
5800
6. 00%
5700
5. 00%
5600
4. 00%
5500
3. 00%
5400
2. 00%
5300
1. 00%
5200
0. 00%
5100
5000
T hi s A r ea
8.15
Di s t r i ct
The percentage of social housing in the area is twice as high as the
district’s average (30% and 15% respectively) with 70% of the stock supplied by
private housing.
Page 33 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
8.16
Nearly 70% of Manningham properties are in Council Tax Band A. The
mean house price as low as £96,600 is significantly below that for the district at
£139,000; the low quartile house price in Manningham at £61,000 is one of the
lowest in the district.
8.17
62% of the area’s stock is in non-decent condition, that’s 16% more non-
decent properties than on average in the district.
Leeds Bradford Corridor (LBC)
8.18
LBC is comprised of parts of four wards: Tong, Bowling & Barkerend,
Bradford Moor and Bolton & Undercliffe.
8.19
Although these four wards are not represented within LBC in their entirety,
their economic profiles provide an overview of this Local Investment Plan area.
The population statistics by ward (below) are followed by a comparative table of
key economic characteristics of all four wards against the District’s performance.
8.20
Tong ward lies to the south east of the District. It stretches from the M606
motorway in the west to the boundary with Leeds in the east. It is a ward of
many contrasts. It includes the village of Tong; the communities of Holme Wood,
Dudley Hill and Bierley; areas of open countryside and also industrial areas such
as the Euroway industrial estate.
8.21
The age profile of Tong is very similar to that of the district although the
ward has a slightly higher proportion of children than the district average.
Figure 8-E Population age profile for Tong Ward
8.22
The ward of Bolton and Undercliffe includes most of the old Bolton ward
together with a large part of the Undercliffe ward. This largely residential area
stretches from Undercliffe Cemetery in the south to Five Lane Ends in the north.
Page 34 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
8.23
Bolton & Undercliffe has a slightly younger age profile than the district
average, with a grater proportion of children and young people than the district
average.
Figure 8-F Population age profile for Bolton & Undercliffe Ward
8.24
The ward of Bowling and Barkerend covers the area to the south east of
Bradford city centre. It contains a mixture of housing and industrial areas.
8.25
The age profile of Bowling & Barkerend shows that it has a larger
proportion of children and young people and a smaller proportion of people aged
above 45 years than the district average.
Figure 8-G Population age profile for Bowling & Barkerend Ward
8.26
Bradford Moor is the third smallest ward in the District. It lies on the
District’s border with Leeds.
Page 35 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
8.27
It is largely a built up area with both residential and commercial
development. The A647 Leeds Road, the main transport corridor between Leeds
and Bradford, passes through the ward.
8.28
The age profile of Bradford Moor is much younger than the district
average, with a larger proportion of children and a considerably smaller
proportion of its population aged above 45.
Figure 8-H Population age profile for Bradford Moor Ward
Unemployment
% claiming
Jobseekers
Allowance
Income
Average gross
per household
Less than
£15K
Deprivation
% of n’hoods
within 20%
most deprived
in England7
Housing
Total selfcontained
dwellings
Occupied
7
Tong
Bowling &
Barkerend
Bradford
Moor
Bolton &
Undercliffe
District
7.4%
8.6%
6.9%
4.4%
4.7%
£26,700
£22,800
£21,300
£30,900
£31,400
34.3%
38.7%
40.4%
24.6%
26.8%
80.4%
100%
100%
31.8%
8,412
8,040
6,037
6,609
208,670
7,975
7,427
5,548
6,270
196,292
Index of Multiple Deprivation 2010
Page 36 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Empty
Social
Private
% properties
in Council Tax
Band A
Stock
condition: %
non-decency
170
39%
61%
61.7%
324
19%
81%
70.8%
326
17%
83%
76.2%
168
9%
91%
36.4%
6,443
15%
85%
42.8%
36%
52%
58%
37%
46%
Canal Road Corridor (CRC)
8.29
CRC is made up of parts of two wards: Bolton & Undercliffe and Windhill &
Wrose.
8.30
Although these two wards are not represented within CRC in their entirety,
their economic profiles provide an overview of this Local Investment Plan area.
The population statistics by ward (below) are followed by a comparative table of
key economic characteristics of both wards against the District’s performance.
8.31
Bolton & Undercliffe – see Leeds Bradford Corridor.
8.32
The ward of Windhill & Wrose stretches from the outskirts of Shipley town
centre in the west to Five Lane Ends in the east. It is a predominantly residential
area, and includes the communities of West Royd, Windhill, Wrose, Owlet and
Bolton Woods.
8.33
Windhill & Wrose has an older age profile than the district average, with a
smaller proportion of children and young people but a higher proportion of its
population aged above 45 years.
Figure 8-I Population age profile for Windhill & Wrose ward
Page 37 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Windhill &
Wrose
Bolton &
Undercliffe
District
5.4%
4.4%
4.7%
£29,400
27.4%
£30,900
24.6%
£31,400
26.8%
57.5%
31.8%
6,813
6,516
124
21%
79%
43.5%
6,609
6,270
168
9%
91%
36.4%
208,670
196,292
6,443
15%
85%
42.8%
38%
37%
46%
Unemployment
% claiming Jobseekers
Allowance
Income
Average gross per household
Less than £15K
Deprivation
% of n’hoods within 20% most
deprived in England8
Housing
Total self-contained dwellings
Occupied
Empty
Social
Private
% properties in Council Tax
Band A
Stock condition: % nondecency
Airedale
8.34
Eight wards form Airedale: Shipley, Baildon, Bingley, Bingley Rural,
Keighley Central, Keighley East, Keighley West and Craven.
8.35
Although these wards are not represented within Airedale in their entirety,
their economic profiles provide an overview of this Local Investment Plan area.
The population statistics by ward (below) are followed by a comparative table of
key economic characteristics of all eight wards against the District’s performance.
8.36
Shipley ward includes Shipley town centre and the village of Saltaire. Also
included are the residential areas of Nab Wood and Moorhead, parts of lower
Baildon, and the industrial zone between the river Aire and the railway. Saltaire, a
Victorian model village built by Sir Titus Salt for the workers in Salts Mill, is a
UNESCO World Heritage Site and conservation area. The town is served by a train
station which connects Shipley with Bradford Forster Square and Leeds. A second
station is located at Saltaire.
8
Index of Multiple Deprivation 2010
Page 38 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
8.37
The ward age profile shows that there are more older people living in
Shipley than the district average, with a smaller proportion of children and young
people.
Figure 8-J Population age profile for Shipley Ward
8.38
Baildon ward is part of the Shipley area in the centre of the District. It
contains the village of Baildon and the adjacent moorland. It also includes the
industrial zone along Otley Road. The eastern ward boundary follows the river
Aire and encompasses the village of Esholt and surrounding countryside.
8.39
The age profile of Baildon shows that it has a greater proportion of over
45s than the district average, with a smaller proportion of children.
Figure 8-K Population age profile for Baildon Ward
8.40
Bingley ward contains the small town of Bingley, which has grown up at
this historic crossing point of the river Aire. It also includes Gilstead, Crossflatts,
Eldwick and Micklethwaite, and the area of moorland to the north known as
Bingley Moor.
Page 39 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
8.41
Bingley has an older age profile than the district average, with a smaller
proportion of children and a higher proportion of its population aged above 45
years.
Figure 8-L Population age profile for Bingley Ward
8.42
Bingley Rural stretches from the village of Harden in the north to the
District’s border with Calderdale in the south. It also includes the villages of
Cottingley, Cullingworth, Denholme and Wilsden, and the surrounding farmland.
These communities were once based on the agricultural and the textile industries,
but are now largely commuter settlements.
8.43
The age profile of Bingley Rural shows that more older age people live
there, compared to the district average, with a smaller proportion of children.
Page 40 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
Figure 8-M Population age profile for Bingley Rural Ward
8.44
The ward of Keighley Central covers Keighley town centre and stretches as
far north as Utley to include the commercial and residential areas in the northern
part of the town.
8.45
Keighley Central has a younger age profile than the district average, with
a larger proportion of children and a smaller proportion of its population aged
above 45 years.
Figure 8-N Population age profile for Keighley Central Ward
8.46
The ward of Keighley East is a diverse area, containing industrial and
residential areas on the outskirts of Keighley, as well as moorland and villages to
the north and east of the town.
Page 41 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
8.47
The age profile of Keighley East is older than the district average.
Figure 8-O Population age profile for Keighley East Ward
8.48
The ward of Keighley West stretches from the town centre southwards and
westwards where it borders onto Worth Valley Ward. It contains the areas of
Braithwaite, Guardhouse, Laycock, Fell Lane, Exley Head, Bogthorn, Ingrow and
Bracken Bank.
8.49
Keighley West has a slightly older age profile than the district average,
with a slightly smaller proportion of children and a slightly higher proportion of its
population aged above 45 years.
Figure 8-P Population age profile Keighley West Ward
8.50
The largely rural ward of Craven lies to the north west of the District. It
consists of the communities of Silsden and Steeton with Eastburn in Airedale, and
Addingham in Wharfedale.
Page 42 of 46
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
8.51
The age profile of Craven ward shows that there are more older people
than the district average, with a smaller proportion of children and a higher
proportion of its population aged above 45.
Figure 8-Q Population age profile Craven Ward
Page 43 of 46
Shipley
Baildon
Bingley
Bingley
Rural
Keighley
Central
Keighley
East
Keighley
West
Craven
District
4.4
2.3
3.3
2.3
7.4
3.7
4.7
1.5
4.7
34,600
38,400
39,400
39,100
26,000
33,100
27,900
36,500
31,400
21.8
17.9
18.6
16.4
34.7
24.2
30.6
18.4
26.8
23.2
6.0
4.2
0
80.7
19.1
48.8
0
7,124
6,977
8,495
8,078
6,420
7,315
7,145
7,498
208,670
6,750
169
11
89
33.8
6,700
133
9
91
17.6
8,069
141
11
89
18.9
7,715
187
9
91
22.3
5,899
293
12
88
70.6
6,894
207
11
89
34.6
6,833
150
21
79
52.3
7,147
137
7
93
20.0
196,292
6,443
15
85
42.8
40
29
30
32
49
37
36
31
46
Unemployment
% claiming
Jobseekers Allowance
Income
Average gross per
household, £
% less than £15K
Deprivation
% of n’hoods within
20% most deprived in
England9
Housing
Total self-contained
dwellings
Occupied
Empty
% social
% private
% properties in
Council Tax Band A
Stock condition: %
non-decency
9
Index of Multiple Deprivation 2010
9 CONCLUSIONS
9.1
The evidence presented in this document is drawn from a wide range of
sources, which are listed below.
9.2
Key messages for the LIP are summarised at the end of sections 5, 6 and
7 of this document as they relate directly to the Housing Strategy objectives of
growth, quality and inclusion.
9.3
In addition to these, a comprehensive body of evidence to underpin the
geographic priorities within the LIP can be accessed in the background material
relating to the City Centre, Manningham, Leeds Bradford Corridor, Canal Road
Corridor and Airedale.
9.4
All relevant evidence material will be reviewed as appropriate in line with
the monitoring and review process agreed for the LIP and its delivery plan. A
regular update of housing market data and intelligence is produced by the
Council’s Housing, Employment & Skills service, which will inform this process.
10 REFERENCES
Affordable Housing Economic Viability Assessment (AHEVA)
Bradford Council: Adult Services Five Year Strategy 2007-12
Bradford Council: Review of Learning Disability Services 2007
Bradford Council: Strategic Housing Market Assessment
Bradford District Economic Strategy 2011-2013
Bradford Homelessness Strategy 2008
Bradford Household Survey 2007
Bradford Housing Market Tracker (database)
Bradford Housing Requirement Study 2007-08
Bradford New Arrivals Strategy 2009 (draft)
Bradford Observatory
Bradford Private Sector Stock Condition Survey 2007
Bradford Residents’ Perceptions Survey 2010
Bradford Supporting People 5 Year Strategy 2008-2013
Bradford Supporting People Needs Assessment 2008
Bradford Local Investment Plan Evidence Base
CACI Paycheck 2010: Household Income data
CBMDC Council Tax
Department of Climate Change (DECC): Fuel Poverty data
Department of Communities and Local Government (DCLG): Housing Strategy
Statistical Appendix
Great Places to Grow Old: Bradford District Housing Strategy for the Over 50s
2011-2021
HM Land Registry
Invest in Bradford: Ward Profiles
Leeds City Region Transport Strategy and Connectivity Study: “Connecting People
to Jobs and Places” 2010
Local Development Framework
Ministry of Justice: Repossessions Statistics
NHS Bradford Health Profile 2007
ONS Population Projections
School of Geography Ethnic Projections Model 2008
Sustainable Homes and Neighbourhoods in a Successful District – Joint Housing
Strategy for Bradford 2008-2020
The Big Plan for the Bradford District 2008-2011
The Regional Spatial Strategy (The Yorkshire and Humber Plan 2008)
Vulnerable Persons’ Housing Strategy 2011
West Yorkshire Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment 2008
West Yorkshire Local Transport Plan: “MyJourney West Yorkshire: Local Transport
Strategy” 2011-2026
Working together for a warmer future – An affordable warmth strategy for the
Bradford District 2007
Page 46 of 46