CO2 Kuznets hypothesis: from cross
Transcription
CO2 Kuznets hypothesis: from cross
CO2 Kuznets hypothesis: from cross-section to panel data structure Autores y e-mail de la persona de contacto: Ana Angulo (aangulo@unizar.es), Majed Atwi, Jesús Mur, Ramón Barberán Departamento: Análisis Económico Universidad: Zaragoza Área Temática: Energía, sostenibilidad, recursos naturales y medio ambiente Resumen: (máximo 300 palabras) The Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis conjectures that environmental degradation initially intensifies when a country’s per capita income increases and subsequently subsides after a certain level of income is reached, resulting in an inverted U-shaped relationship between environmental degradation and per capita income. There is abundant literature on this topic, produced especially in the last 20 years, that corroborates the existence of a positive income elasticity for environmental quality. However, results are controversial, because results also depend on the type of pollutant under analysis, the methodology or the data used. In this study, we analyse this last issue, since we compare results obtained for a crosssectional data with the results derived from a panel data set. Furthermore, we may special attention also to the spatial interaction effect inherent to the problem. Main results are that while cross-sectional results show evidence in favor of the EKC hypothesis, when we take into account the unobserved heterogeneity through the consideration of panel data models, the EKC relationship is not supported anymore. Palabras Clave: (máximo 6 palabras) Kuznets Environmental Curve; CO2 emissions; Spatial effects; Nonlinearities; Structural breaks. Clasificación JEL: Q25, L83 1 1. Introduction Pollution induced by human activities is a major threat and serious issue to sustainable growth and development in the world. In this sense, the Fifth Assessment Report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2013-Working Group I; IPCC, 2014)) states that “human influence on the climate system is clear. It is extremely likely that human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century”. We can classify pollutants in terms of the local or global externalities they generate. Local pollutants cause clear local health effect by affecting water or air local conditions. Among local pollutants we can quote sulphur oxides, nitrogen oxides, suspended particulate matter, lead or carbon monoxide, among others. By contrast, the damage of global pollutants is less immediate and less evident to the society since they are locally innocuous, but they impact the global environment over the long term. The main global pollutant is carbon dioxide (C02). The first set of influential empirical studies were conducted by Grossman and Krueger (1991, 1993, 1995), Shafik and Bandyopadhay (1992, 1994), Panayotou (1993, 1995), Selden and Song (1994) and Arrow et al. (1995). Since then, over the last two decades, an explosion of studies concerning the relationship between environmental degradation and economic growth has appeared in the literature. The vast majority of papers have focused on the testing of the hypothesized inverted-U shaped between environmental degradation and economic growth, known as the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) by the analogy with the income-inequality relationship postulated by Kuznets (1965, 1966). Specifically, they have focused on the relationship between per capita income and a variety of environmental indicators: CO2, SO2 and water pollutant, among others. 2 The EKC hypothesis attempts to explain a long term relationship between environmental degradation and economic growth. It describes that environmental degradation tends to increase more rapidly than economic growth in the early stages, thereafter declines after reaching a certain level of economic growth. Panayotou (1993) gives the following explanation concerning the EKC: “At low levels of development, both the quantity and the intensity of environmental degradation are limited to the impacts of subsistence economic activity on the resource base and to limited quantities of biodegradable wastes. As agriculture and resource extraction intensify and industrialization takes off, both resource depletion and waste generation accelerate. At higher levels of development, structural change towards information-based industries and services, more efficient technologies, and increased demand for environmental quality result in levelling-off and a steady decline of environmental degradation”. In the same line, Arrow et al. (1995) gives a similar explanation that the EKC pattern reflects the natural progression of economic development, from clean agrarian economies to polluting industrial economies to clean service economies. Despite the existence of an important theoretical literature analysing the Environmental Kuznets Curve, the theoretical framework is still ambiguous. The inverted-U shaped relationship is mostly considered in the literature as an empirical phenomenon of mostly ad hoc specifications and estimation of a reduced form model relating an environmental impact indicator to income per capita. Thus, the robustness of the EKC relationship is questioned by many in the literature arguing that it is sensitive to the pollutants type, the data and analysing techniques used. Hence, many studies have arrived at different results regarding the form of this relationship. In general terms, EKC relationship has often been confirmed for several local pollutants such as sulphur oxides, nitrogen oxides, suspended particulate matter, lead, carbon monoxide, water, and land use such as Grossman and Krueger (1991, 1995); Shafik and Bandyopadhay (1992); Panayotou (1993, 1995); Shafik (1994); Selden and Song (1994); Holtz-Eakin and Selden (1995); Tucker (1995); Vincent (1997); Cole et al. (1997); Carson et al. (1997); Ansuategi et al. (1998); Kaufman et al. (1998);; List 3 and Gallet (1999); Hill and Magnani (2002); List and Gerking (2000); Millimet et al. (2003); Perrings and Ansuategi (2000); Stern and Common (2001), among others. Nevertheless, the inverted-U relationship (EKC relationship) is less likely for global pollutant as CO2 emissions. In this context, many studies have been identified a monotonically increasing relationship between CO2 emissions and income per capita. These authors emphasized that and in case that relationship shows a declining stage with higher income, the turning points are reached at very high incomes (well outside the range of incomes in the studies’ samples). Hence, most of the countries, especially low income countries, will not be able to reach those levels of incomes, at least, in a reasonable (short) period. In Panayotou (2000)’s woods: “It may take decades for a lowincome country to cross from the upward to the downward sloping part of the curve, the accumulated damages in the meanwhile may far exceed the present value of higher future growth”. Some authors supporting this view are the following: Cole et al. (1997), Roberts and Grimes (1997), de Bruyn et al. (1998), Hill and Magnani (2002), Carlsson and Lundström (2001), Talukdar and Meisner (2001), Dijkgraaf and Vollebergh (2001), Heil and Selden (2001), Roca et al. (2001), Heenrink et al. (2001), Magnani (2001), Azar (2002), Lindmark (2002), Coondoo and Dinda (2002), Bruvoll and Medin (2003), Aldy (2006) or Wagner (2008). Within this framework, for instance, Azar (2002) suggests that CO2 emissions are much more difficult to decouple from income because the impacts of these emissions are distant in time and space and the political pressure to do something about them is weak. Similarly, Aldy (2006) concluded that most environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) theories do not apply to carbon dioxide because it is an unregulated, invisible, odourless gas with no direct human health effects. Finally, it is remarkable the work by Wagner (2008) who argues that “We use the important special case of the relationship between GDP and CO2 (and SO2) emissions to show and discuss in detail that the seemingly strong evidence for an inverted U-shaped relationship between these variables obtained with commonly used methods is entirely spurious and vanishes when resorting to estimation strategies that take the discussed problems into account.” 4 In the line of previous works, in this paper we will try to offer empirical evidence in favour or against the EKC theory in the case of CO2, making use of the recent development in modelling strategies for spatial panel data. More precisely, we propose to study the EKC relationship from the simpler cross-sectional model to a more complete spatial panel model. With this exercise, we will show whether the EKC theory applies in the case of CO2 or it vanishes when we take into account important issues such as the effect of omitted variables, spatial dependence or technological changes, among others. The structure of the paper is as follows. In the next section, a picture of data is offered. Then, the third section is devoted to the methodology applied in the paper. Next, we show the obtained results. Finally, paper concludes with a summary of conclusions and some draws on future research. 2. Data Data per capita C02 emissions and per capita GDP are gathered for a panel of 182 countries over the period 1992-2011. The sources of data are the following: i) the webpage of the United States Energy Information Administration (EIA), (http://www.eia.gov), for per capita C02 emissions data set; and ii) the webpage of the Organization of United Nations (http://www.un.org), for per capita GDP data. The distribution of per capita C02 emissions and per capita GDP in 2011 is shown, in terms of the quantiles of each distribution, in Figures 1 and 2, respectively. As shown in legends, a darker colour indicates a higher value for the respective variable in the corresponding country. (Insert Figures 1 and 2) From both figures, a clear positive correlation between both variables seems to exist. In fact, USA, Canada, Saudi Arabia, central Europe and Australia are some of the countries that are located at the fourth quantile of both distributions. On the opposite side, most of the countries in central Africa locate at the first quantile of both 5 distributions. Finally, the vast majority of the rest of countries are located in similar central position in both distributions. The apparent positive spatial autocorrelation deduced from previous maps is corroborated by means of three global autocorrelation statistics, commonly used in literature: Moran’s I, Geary’s C and Getis and Ord’s G. Results for all of them, calculated considering that one country is mainly affected by its five nearest countries in space, are gathered in Table 1. (Insert Table 1) 3. Methodology As indicated previously, our main objective is to obtain empirical evidence in favour or against the EKC relationship between CO2 emission and per capita income, paying special attention to the robustness of the results as data and/or econometric strategy change. To cope with this objective, we start by the estimation of the simpler model with data referred to the set of countries in 2011 (the last period of the sample): Y X (1) where Y is the (Rx1) vector of the logarithm of CO2 per capita emissions (ln ei for i=1…R); X is an (Rxk) matrix of covariances, together with a vector of ones to account for a constant term ( ln yi ln yi 2 for i=1…R), being ln yi is the logarithm of per capita GDP in country i; the vector of parameter are (, 1 , 2 ) ; and i is the stochastic error term. From (1), an inverted U shape is present if 1 0 and 2 0 and the inflexion point with respect to per capita GDP is in the following point: y exp(1 / 22 ) . 6 However, from previous section, we concluded on the clear spatial dependence inherent in our variables. Hence, the next step in our strategy deals with testing the null of no spatial autocorrelation in the residuals of our OLS regression. If statistics confirm the presence of spatial dependence, we will conclude on the proper specification for our data following the general to specific strategy shown in Figure 3. To cope with this objective, the connectivity matrix W, is defined as the row-standardization of the fivenearest neighbours binary matrix. (Insert Figure 3) As shown in Figure 3, our starting point in model selection strategy is the CliffOrd model, defined as follows: Y WY X WX u u Wu (2) which includes all types of interaction effects: i) the endogenous interaction effect, WY, to consider the possibility that emission in country i could depend on emission in another country j and vice versa; ii) the exogenous interaction effect, WX, to account for the fact that emission in country i could depend on per capita income of its neighbour countries; and iii) interaction effect among the error terms, since the determinant of emissions omitted from the model can be spatially autocorrelated or the unobserved shocks can follow a spatial pattern. From the general Cliff-Ord model, we will test if some simpler model such as the SARAR, the Spatial Durbin model, the SLM or the SEM models could be supported for our data. Finally, from the selected model, the following sequence of derivate will be calculated: E ln e1 E ln e1 ln y1 ln y R E ln e E ln e S ln y ln y 1 R E ln eR E ln eR ln y ln y R 1 (3) 7 Economic meaning of terms in matrix (3) is the following, for instance in relation to a 1% change in per capita income in country j [elements in jth column in matrix defined in (3)]. Firstly, the so-called direct elasticity, which is measured through the jthjth-element of matrix (3), represents the sensitivity of jth-country per capita emissions in response to a change in its own per capita incomes. Secondly, the indirect elasticities are the rest of value in the jth-column and they measure the sensitivity of all other countries’ emission to such a 1% change in jth-country per capita income. A global measures for such indirect effect is the sum of all such cross-elasticities. Finally, total elasticity can be calculated as the sum of the previous two effects, and represents the percentage change in emission all over the world in response to a change of 1% in one country per capita income. Furthermore, following Lesage and Pace (2009), we will calculate, the following summary measures: For the direct elasticities, a summary measure is defined as the mean of the all main diagonal elements in (3): tr S R R Si,i i 1 (4) R For the indirect elasticities, the mean of all the elements outside the main diagonal: 1R S1R tr S R R Si, j i j i R (5) And finally, for total elasticities, the mean of all elements in S: 1R S1R R Si, j i j R (6) 8 The final step of our experiment comes from a higher level of flexibilization through the consideration of all the panel data set referred to the 182 countries over the period 1992-2011. Following, Elhorst (2003), we will start with a Fixed-Effect (FE) general model, which will enable us to take into account unobservable heterogeneity in data through a new set of parameter, . That is, the specification on our general model proposed by Cliff-Ord is the following: y t W y t x t Wx t u t u t W u t t y t1 1 x1t1 y 1 x t2 1t 2 Where y t ;x t y tR 1 x1tR (7) x kt1 t1 1 t2 x kt 2 ; ; 2 t x ktR R tR Analogously to the cross-sectional case, a general-to-specific model selection strategy can also be developed from the general model in (7) towards simple panel model such as panel SARAR, SEM, SLM and Spatial Durbin models. The expression for all nested models as well as the nested structure is shown in Figure 5. Finally, the panel data set enable us to account for possible technological changes occurring during the analysed time period, by introducing the corresponding trend variable into the model. Within this framework, the model selection strategy as well as the EKC testing are carried out as previously explained for a cross-sectional data set. 4. Results Results for Ordinary Least Square (OLS) estimation of model (1) are gathered in the first column of Table 1. As shown in the table, sign and significance of the slope parameters offer empirical evidence in favour of the inverted U relationship between the 9 variables. In other terms, OLS estimation does support the EKC relationship between CO2 emission and per capita income. However, as we expected, results for the Moran’s test indicate that the null of no spatial autocorrelation is rejected by the data. Next, we try to discriminate between the most common spatial autocorrelation patterns, Spatial Lag Model (SLM) or Spatial Error Model (SEM). To cope with this objective, we obtain all specific Lagrange Multiplier (LM) tests, in a non-robust and a robust to misspecification versions. Results show that all respective null hypotheses are rejected. Consequently, we proceed to select the spatial specification that better fits the data, following the general to specific strategy explained in previous section. Results for the described spatial specifications are shown in Table 2. The selection process is carried out through the Likelihood Ratio (LR) tests shown at the bottom of the table. Results indicate that simpler models such as the SARAR, Spatial Durbin, SLM or SEM models are rejected by the data. Hence, all the estimated parameters for the Cliff-Ord model are significant at 5% level of significance. Furthermore, the sign and significance of slope parameters reveals that, after considering all possible spatial dependence, the EKC relationship between CO2 emission and per capita income is also supported by our model. Results for direct, indirect and total effects derived from Cliff-Ord selected model, are shown in Figure 4. As shown in Figure 4a, a 1% increase in a country per capita income always generates a positive increase in own CO2 emissions, but elasticities goes from 0.2 to 1.6. Highest elasticities correspond to the poorest countries (African and Asian countries) and the lowest elasticities correspond to Western Europe, United States and Canada. Nevertheless, from legend of Figure 4b, the indirect elasticities also have a quite range of value from -0.5 to 0.7. That is, for instance, a 1% increase in per capita income in Western Europe or Australia, decreases per capita emissions in the rest of countries by percentages within the interval [0.1; 0.5]. Hence, as deduced from Figure 4c, the total effect of a 1% increase in per capita income in developed countries does generate a decrease in per capita emission. However, this is not the case in the case of less developed countries. The obtained results are in 10 accordance with results previously derived in terms of the empirical evidence in favour of the EKC relationship between CO2 emission and per capita income. Regarding the summary elasticities proposed in Lesage and Pace (2009) defined in (4) to (6) account for the following values: 0.890, for a summary of direct elasticities; 0.119, for the indirect elasticities; and finally, 1.010, as a summary of total elasticities. Next, we develop the highest degree of flexibilization proposed in this work which consists on the estimation of the battery of models in the context of our panel data set referred to the 182 countries over the period 1992-2011. Results for all the possible specifications (pool, FE and FE-spatial models) are shown in Table 2 and Table 3. The only difference between the respective models in both tables comes from the fact that models in Table 3 take into account a possible technological change during the period through the introduction of a trend variable (Trend). (Insert Tables 2 and 3) From results gathered in Tables 2 and 3, we can draw the following conclusions: i) a FE specification outperforms the simple pooling of data; ii) FE model improves by accounting for spatial dependence inherit in the problem; iii) among FE-spatial models, the FE-Cliff-Ord model is best specification for our data; iv) technological change is not significant in the analysed period; v) at the 5% level of significance, the no significance of the quadratic term, (ln yi ) 2 , means that, as a parametric model accounts for possible relevant omitted variables, the empirical evidence doesn’t support the EKC any further. Results for direct, indirect and total effects derived from panel data Cliff-Ord selected model, are shown in Figure 6, while he summary elasticities proposed in Lesage and Pace (2009) defined in (4) to (6) for a panel data models account for the following values: 0.424, for a summary of direct elasticities; -0.171, for the indirect elasticities; and finally, 0.253, as a summary of total elasticities. (Insert Figure 6) As can be deduced, panel data results differ considerable from the crosssectional ones. The most remarkable issues are the following: i) all panel elasticities are considerable lower than for the cross-sectional case; ii) in general, panel elasticities are 11 more homogeneous than cross-sectional ones; iii) quantile distribution for panel data differs considerably from previously obtained, suggesting that the total elasticity of CO2 emission is higher not only in poor countries, but also in rich countries such the United States, Canada or Australia. 5. Concluding remarks The Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis conjectures that environmental degradation initially intensifies when a country’s per capita income increases and subsequently subsides after a certain level of income is reached, resulting in an inverted U-shaped relationship between environmental degradation and per capita income. There is abundant literature on this topic, produced especially in the last 20 years, that corroborates the existence of a positive income elasticity for environmental quality. However, results are controversial, because results also depend on the type of pollutant under analysis, the methodology or the data used. In this study, we analyse this last issue, since we compare results obtained for a cross-sectional data with the results derived from a panel data set. Furthermore, we also pay special attention to the spatial interaction effect inherent to the problem. 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Roca, J., Padilla, E., Farré, M. and Galletto, V. (2001). Economic growth and atmospheric pollution in Spain: discussing the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis, Ecological Economics 39 (1): 85-99. Selden, T. M. and Song, D. (1994). Environmental quality and development: is there a Kuznets curve for air pollution? Journal of Environmental Economics and Environmental Management, 27(2): 147-162. Shafik, N., and Bandhopadhyay, S. (1992). Economic growth and environmental quality: Timeseries and cross-country evidence. World Bank Working Papers, WPS 904, Washington, 52 pp. Shafik, N. (1994). Economic development and environmental quality: an econometric analysis. Oxford Economic Papers, 46: 757-773. Stern, D. I. and Common, M. S. (2001). Is There an Environmental Kuznets Curve for Sulfur?. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 41: 162-178. 14 Talukdar, D. and Meisner, C. M. (2001). Does the private sector help or hurt the environment? Evidence from carbon dioxide pollution in developing countries, World Development, 29(5): 827-840. Tucker, M. (1995). Carbon dioxide emissions and global GDP. Ecological Economics, 15(3): 215-223. Vincent, J. R., 1997. Testing for environmental Kuznets curves within a developing country. Environment and Development Economics 2(4): 417-431. Wagner, M. (2008). The carbon Kuznets curve: a cloudy picture emitted by bad econometrics?. Resource and Energy Economics, 30: 388-408. 15 Figure 1. Distribution of per capita CO2 emissions in 2011 (7.1,44.4] (2.6,7.1] (0.6,2.6] [0.0,0.6] Figure 2. Distribution of per capita GDP in 2011 (13728.3,81853.0] (3738.7,13728.3] (974.2,3738.7] [193.6,974.2] 16 Figure 3. Cross-section models framework Y WY X WX u u Wu General: Cliff-Ord 0 SARAR Modelo Durbin Spatial Y WY X u u Wu 0 0 0 0 Y WY X WX 0 SLM Y WY X SEM 0 Modelo de error Durbin Spatial Y X WX u u Wu 0 Y X u SLX u Wu 0 0 0 Y X WX 0 Estático Y X 17 Figure 4. Direct, indirect and total elasticities of per capita emission with respect to per capita income Figure 4a: Direct elasticities Elasticidades directas emisiones pc. con respecto a renta pc (1.2,1.6] (0.9,1.2] (0.6,0.9] [0.2,0.6] Figure 4b:Indirect elasticities Elasticidades indirectas emisiones pc. con respecto a renta pc (0.3,0.7] (0.1,0.3] (-0.1,0.1] [-0.5,-0.1] Figure 4c: Total elasticities 18 Elasticidades totales emisiones pc. con respecto a renta pc (1.5,2.3] (1.0,1.5] (0.5,1.0] [-0.3,0.5] 19 Figure 5. Panel data models framework General Cliff-Ord y t W y t x t Wx t u t u t W u t t 0 SARAR 0 y t W y t x t u t u t W u t t 0 SAR y t W y t x t t 0 0 SEM y t x t u t u t W u t t 0 SLX y t x t Wx t t 0 Panel y t x t t 20 Figure 6. Direct, indirect and total elasticities of per capita emission with respect to per capita income Figure 6a: Direct elasticities Figure 6b:Indirect elasticities Elasticidades indirectas emisiones pc. con respecto a renta pc (-0.1,0.0] (-0.2,-0.1] (-0.3,-0.2] [-0.5,-0.3] Figure 6c: Total elasticities 21 Elasticidades totales emisiones pc. con respecto a renta pc (0.3,0.5] (0.2,0.3] (0.2,0.2] [0.0,0.2] 22 23 Table 1. Global autocorrelation measure (z values) for 2011. Moran’s I Geary’s C Getis and Ord’s G Per capita CO2 emissions 10.11* -5.54* 9.11* Per capita GDP 12.14* -9.88* 10.43* Table 2. Results for cross-sections models for 2011 Constant OLS 15.981* CLIFFORD -38.364* SARAR -13.497* Spatial Durbin -11.397* SLM -13.672* SEM -13.247* ln yi 3.188* 2.927* 2.620* 2.395* 2.723* 2.550* -0.137* -0.123* -0.107* -0.093* -0.117* -0.101* (ln yi ) 2 W ln yi W (ln yi ) 2 2 5.172* 0.016 -0.265* -0.747* 0.795* 0.365* -187.34 -0.022 0.481* 0.140* 0.386* 0.480* -194.063 Log Ver DIAGNOSTICS ON SPATIAL AUTOCORRELATION H0: no autocorrelation 6.59* Moran's H0: no autocorrelation SEM 37.39* LM test H0: no autocorrelation SEM 19.18* Robust LM test H0: no autocorrelation SLM 23.06* LM test H0: no autocorrelation SLM 4.85* Robust LM test LR:H0: SARAR; HA: Cliff13.45* Ord LR: H0: SLM; HA: SARAR 9.696* LR: H0: SEM; HA: SARAR 3.074 LR: H0: SLM; HA: SDM LR: H0: SEM; HA: SDM 0.464* -192.273 0.250* 0.516* 0.478* -195.6 0.516* -198.911 13.276* 6.654* 24 Table 3. Panel data model results, assuming no technological change. Constant ln yi (ln yi ) 2 FESpatial FE-SLM FE-SEM Durbin FE -3.268* 2.602* 0.557 0.238* 0.272* 0.355 0.484* 0.422* -0.105* -0.009 0.012 0.010 0.005 -0.008 0.000 2 2 Log ver F: H0: No fixed effects Pesaran test: H0: No spatial correlation LR:H0: SARAR; HA: CliffOrd LR: H0: SLM; HA: SARAR LR: H0: SEM; HA: SARAR LR: H0: SLM; HA: SDM LR: H0: SEM; HA: SDM FESARAR POOL -13.246* W ln yi W (ln yi ) FECLIFFORD 0.177 0.405 -0.030* 0.610* -0.566* -0.513* 0.601* -0.035 0.271* 0.061* -213.368 0.063* -221.10 0.252* 0.278* 0.066* -232.49 0.066* -244.39 176.02* 5.947* 15.46* 46.59* 31.56* 23.80* 8.76* 25 0.066* -236.87 Table 4. Panel data model results, considering a possible technological change. FECLIFFORD FESARAR FESpatial Durbin -4.195 0.000 0.001 0.005* 0.002 -0.002 0.000 2.614* 0.557 0.236* 0.277* 0.347 0.481* 0.422* -0.105* -0.010 0.012 0.008 0.005 -0.006 0.000 POOL FE Constant Trend 11.945* -0.013* ln yi (ln yi ) 2 W ln yi W (ln yi ) 2 2 log ver F: H0:No fixed effect Pesaran test: H0: No spatial correlation LR:H0: SARAR; HA: Cliff-Ord LR: H0: SLM; HA: SARAR LR: H0: SEM; HA: SARAR LR: H0: SLM; HA: SDM LR: H0: SEM; HA: SDM 0.152 0.379 -0.030* 0.610* -0.563* -0.545* 0.610* -0.037 0.271* 0.062* -212.12 0.062* -217.42 FE-SLM FE-SEM 0.260* 0.278* 0.066* -231.26 0.066* -242.55 0.066* -236.87 175.98* 5.52* 10.60* 50.25* 38.90* 22.57* 11.22* 26