How falling euro can affect Singapore
Transcription
How falling euro can affect Singapore
A2 TOP OF THE NEWS WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 7, 2015 UOB sues Lippo Group subsidiary and 7 others COURT CORRESPONDENT UNITED Overseas Bank (UOB) has launched a $181-million suit against a subsidiary of Indonesia’s Lippo Group and seven individuals, claiming they conspired to get inflated housing loans. The loans were for the purchases of 38 condominium units at the high-end Marina Collection in Sentosa – developed by Lippo Marina Collection (LMC). Launched for sale in 2007, each apartment at the 124-unit development costs an average of $6 million. UOB, in its statement of claim, alleges that while the development enjoyed “fairly strong” sales at the start, property cooling measures in 2009 and the additional buyers’ stamp duty introduced in 2011 saw interest dip. From late 2011 to July 2013, UOB was approached to provide housing loans for the purchase of 38 units. Of these, 37 have defaulted. The bank alleges that LMC and the other defendants failed to inform it of “very substantial” discounts of between 22 per cent and 34 per cent given to the buyers. That meant the buyers paid a lot less for the units than what was indicated on the loan forms. The loans were therefore not just in breach of Monetary Authority of Singapore rules, but were even in excess of what the buyers actually had to pay for the 99-year leasehold units. UOB says it gave out the loans after Lippo’s lawyers confirmed that the buyers had paid the remainder of the purchase price – but this was untrue. The remainder was instead set off against discounts or “furniture rebates”. In addition, UOB alleges that many buyers were fronts and did not have the financial means to service the housing loans. Instead, the real buyers were five people who had links with the two property agents involved in the alleged scam – ERA housing agent Goh Buck Lim and freelance housing agent Aurellia Adrianus Ho. UOB alleges that sums ranging from $200,000 to $1.2 million were transferred between bank accounts of the “buyers” and several defendants. This was to give the bank the impression that whoever was applying for a loan had at least $200,000 in their UOB accounts – one of the criteria for the loan to be granted. According to UOB, one of the so-called buyers admitted being paid $100,000 to act as a proxy. LMC denies being part of any conspiracy to cause loss to UOB and will vigorously defend the claims made against it. In its de- By MARISSA LEE THE euro plunged to a nine-year low against the greenback on Monday, on the back of political instability in Greece, deflationary fears and the continued fall in oil prices. The currency hit US$1.1869 on Monday, before recovering to US$1.1913 late yesterday. Go back a year, and it was US$1.3724. There is a similar tale unfolding with the Singapore currency. A year ago, €1 could buy S$1.73. That fell to $1.69 six months ago, $1.60 last week and about $1.59 yesterday. To put it another away: That €80-a-night hotel room in Paris that would have cost you $138 a year ago would now cost you $127. This trend will cheer any Singaporean visiting Europe this year, but the economy here is linked to the euro zone in more ways than one. The European Union (EU) is Singapore’s second largest trading partner after China, accounting for 11 per cent of the global trade last year. It was also the largest contributor of foreign direct investment (FDI) in 2012, accounting for UOB alleges LMC and other defendants failed to inform it of “very substantial” discounts given to buyers of units at Marina Collection in Sentosa. PHOTO: LIPPO fence, LMC says the loans were a matter solely between the buyers and UOB, and that it had no knowledge of any alleged misrepresentation of the purchase price. It added that the bank should have done its own independent checks. The developer also said it dealt with the buyers only through Mr Goh. It was the agent who asked if LMC could give a discount in the form of furniture rebates. LMC agreed to give rebates of between 25 per cent and 34 per cent to promote the sale of units, adding that this was a “fairly common sales and marketing strategy”. The bank is represented by Tan Kok Quan Partnership and LMC by Premier Law. The other defendants are defended by Straits Law. elena@sph.com.sg A DOCTOR has been fined $5,000 and reprimanded for breaching ethical guidelines that bar physicians from noting their medical qualifications in their non-medical businesses. The case – believed to be the first of its kind here – centres on a company called Avenza that sells weight-loss supplement Reduze. It is regarded as a non-medical product and is not licensed by the Health Sciences Authority. Dr Tan Yew Weng called himself the firm’s medical director in an advertisement for Reduze, and said he was impressed by results of clinical studies on the product. But Dr Tan, 43, who runs David Tan Medical Aesthetics in Orchard Road, was Avenza’s director, not medical director, according to Accounting and Corporate Regulatory Authority records. Singapore Medical Council (SMC) rules bar doctors from referring to their qualifications and services in their non-medical businesses. The rule is meant to prevent the public from being misled into thinking that a non-medical product is medically beneficial or endorsed by a doctor. A three-member SMC disciplinary tribunal said in its grounds of decision yesterday that Dr Tan had not referred to his academic qualifications and the details of his clinic in the ad for Reduze. But it said his decision to call himself Avenza’s “medical director” in the ad was calculated to leverage his professional qualification as a medical practitioner. It added: “We are of the view How falling euro can affect S’pore almost $190 billion, or 26 per cent, of FDI in 2012, according to the Ministry of Trade and Industry. Economists see three ways a falling euro could affect Singapore: L Limited impact on exports A weaker euro could hurt Singapore’s export competitiveness, but CIMB economist Song Seng Wun said the currency’s weakness “has been clear for some time now, and most businesses would have hedged their positions”. Moreover, most firms have their goods priced in US dollars rather than euros, he added. OCBC economist Selena Ling noted that Singapore’s non-oil domestic exports to the EU were in negative growth territory last year: “It is just a matter of adjusting expectations lower – (exports) were not high to start with.” L Weaker euro will help euro zone economies in the long run, and Singapore will benefit Bank of America Merrill Lynch economist Chua Hak Bin sees benefits in the sliding euro: “A lot of people have been suggesting that the euro should be weaker to help revive the euro zone economy, so this readjustment to a stronger US dollar is consistent with their divergent growth paths.” Economists also observed that the European Central Bank is now more prepared to embark on quantitative easing in the form of massive bond buying to lower borrowing costs, which would help the euro zone’s growth and, with it, its trading partners like Singapore. L Plunging euro signals fear and uncertainty over global economy The euro’s slide is creating unease about whether the region is on the verge of a new economic and financial crisis. As Mr Song points out, the euro did not fall in a vacuum and signals broader shifts in the world economy. The key Singapore Interbank Offered Rate and the Swap Offer Rate have spiked in recent months on expectations of a US interest rate hike and stronger greenback. Mr Song noted: “All this links to a single thing – fear for the global economy outside of the US, and a preference for US dollar assets. The moving around of assets will create a lot more volatility.” marilee@sph.com.sg L SEE OPINION A22 Mortgage payment hike likely as key rate rises Doc fined for alluding to medical qualifications in ad By FENG ZENGKUN A3 Economists believe the plunging euro will have only limited impact on Singapore’s exports, while major benefits are possible once the currency correction starts to lift European economies Bank alleges in $181m suit that they conspired to get inflated home loans By ELENA CHONG TOP OF THE NEWS WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 7, 2015 that (Dr Tan) took a pre-meditated and calculated move to draw attention to the fact that he was a medical practitioner... There was clearly an intention to use his medical qualification to benefit himself by swaying potential consumers to purchase the product.” In deciding Dr Tan’s punishment, it looked at previous cases, including one in which a doctor used an ad to mislead people into thinking a therapy centre was a licensed medical clinic. It also noted that it was Dr Tan’s first offence in about 16 years of medical practice, and accepted he had been relatively new to the non-medical product business when the ad was published. Dr Tan told The Straits Times the guidelines are “not entirely clear-cut and well-defined, and subject to broad interpretations”. He said there should be a faster way for the SMC to resolve such issues. If it had contacted him soon after the ad was published in 2010, he said, he would have quickly rectified the problem, avoiding the legal process. zengkun@sph.com.sg OUT AND ABOUT IN TOWN... THEN THE RAIN CAME DOWN Pedestrians across Singapore were caught unprepared in the sudden downpour yesterday afternoon. Many areas, including neighbourhoods in the north and central parts of the island, such as this stretch of Upper Cross Street, experienced thundery showers between 4pm and 5pm. Based on the three-day outlook by the National Environment Agency’s Meteorological Services, thundery showers are again expected this afternoon, and in the mornings over the next two days. Singapore is in the midst of the north-east monsoon. ST PHOTO: LIM SIN THAI By MOK FEI FEI HOME owners face the prospect of bigger mortgage payments, as a benchmark interest rate continues its relentless rise. Many home loans here are pegged to the three-month Singapore Interbank Offered Rate (Sibor), which rose 7.4 per cent yesterday to 0.62052 per cent, a level not seen since April 2010. The rise in Sibor followed Monday’s 26.3 per cent jump to 0.57762 per cent from last Friday’s 0.45738 per cent. Rates have taken a sudden upturn this week, though they have been climbing since August as the US dollar gained value. Sibor stayed near 0.4 per cent from last January till August. At the end of August, it crept up to around the 0.41 per cent to 0.42 per cent level, before picking up speed last month to hit the 0.44 per cent to 0.45 per cent mark, after the US Federal Reserve’s policy statement. The Fed said last month that it would be patient in keeping monetary policy loose, though interest rate hikes would come eventually. Another factor putting pressure on Sibor is that the Singdollar has been declining against the greenback, falling to 1.3217 last month. Bank of America Merrill Lynch economist Chua Hak Bin said the “very sharp rise” in Sibor could be driven by factors such as an expected hike in the Fed funds rate, which is closely linked to Sibor. Also, since the start of this year, lo- cal banks have had to set aside more funds as a buffer, under the Basel III global banking rules. Sibor, the rate at which financial institutions borrow from one another, could rise further. Bank of America Merrill Lynch forecasts that the three-month Sibor will reach 0.7 per cent by the end of the year; Citi predicts it to be 0.8 per cent, while United Overseas Bank has it at 1 per cent. “While an increase of 30 to 40 basis points is still manageable, it is a warning sign that households should be prepared for higher rates,” said Dr Chua. Mr Alfred Chia, chief executive of financial advisory firm SingCapital, which specialises in mortgage refinancing, said about 60 per cent of his clients are on floating mortgage rates; these are mostly pegged to Sibor, with a premium tacked on by banks. Based on industry estimates of a premium of around 0.9 per cent for the first year, a 30-year $500,000 loan would see the monthly instalment rise $52.51 to $1,730.53, with Sibor up from 0.4 per cent to 0.62052 per cent. “I don’t think we have reached any panic level yet as those on floating rates are still seeing Sibor below 1 per cent, but this is a good time to relook options on refinancing,” said Mr Chia. New home owner Huang Sijia, 26, who took out a Sibor floating loan last year, is sticking to her package for now. “I am not too worried because the interest rates have been quite stable for the past three years,” said the consultant. feimok@sph.com.sg