Suahasil Nazara
Transcription
Suahasil Nazara
POVERTY ALLEVIATION PROGRAM DELIVERY: UNIFIED DATABASE & PROGRAM REFORMS IN INDONESIA SUAHASIL NAZARA Policy Group Coordinator Secretariat of the National Team for the Acceleration of Poverty Reduction Brasilia, December 2012 TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN CONTENTS • INTRODUCTION: INDONESIA IN BRIEF • POVERTY ALLEVIATION: DYNAMICS AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES • UNIFIED DATABASE FOR TARGETING • CASE OF RASKIN: TARGETING & PROGRAM REFORMS TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 2 INDONESIA IN BRIEF Independence 17 August 1945 Area 1.9 million km2 comprising 13,600 islands. Population 236.7 million Currency Rupiah USD 1 = IDR 9500 (2012) GDP USD 0.7 Trillion GDP/cap USD 3,500 (2011) Free political parties. Direct presidential election. President Yudhoyono is the first directly elected President – now in 2nd term with about 60% votes WB (2009): Lower Middle Income Country Investment Grade by S&P, Fitch (2012) Life expectancy 71 yrs. Literacy rate 92% Unemployment 6.8% (2011) TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN INDONESIAN ECONOMY: PROGRESS WITH NEW CHALLENGES 41 36 Gini Ratio(%) 33 Poverty Rate (%) 18.4 18.2 Unemployment Rate (%) Real Economic Growth (% p.a) 8.1 3.6 9.1 4.5 32 32 33 37 35 4.8 9.9 10.26 10.45 9.75 5 5.7 • Improvements in last decade in terms of economic growth, unemployment reduction , and poverty alleviation 33 17.8 17.4 16.7 16.6 16.0 15.4 9.6 38 5.5 6.3 • Great potential to move further 14.2 13.3 8.46 8.14 7.41 6 4.6 6.2 12.5 6.8 6.5 • Increasing inequality • Poverty alleviation and social protection programs 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Per Capita Income (US$) 772 922 1098 1186 1318 1663 1938 2270 2350 3005 3543 TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 4 POVERTY ALLEVIATION: DYNAMICS AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN CHALLENGES FOR POVERTY ALLEVIATION PROGRAM IN INDONESIA Poor living below poverty line Vulnerability easily fall back below the poverty line Inequality interregional differences in the number of poor and poverty rates TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 6 Below Poverty Line: 12% of population (approx 29 million people) but about 40% population lives around Poverty Line 2012 Monthly Household Percapita Consumption Thousands Approx. USD (PPP) 38/capita/mo. (national average) For capital city Jakarta appox. USD (PPP) 57/capita/mo. 1.2xPL: 23% below PL 12000 Poverty Line 1.5xPL: 38% below 10000 High vulnerability around the Poverty Line 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Poverty programs needs to cover the poor and the near poor Monthly Household Per Capita Consumption (IDR 000) Source: 2012 Susenas TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 7 INEQUALITY ACROSS DIFFERENT REGIONS IN INDONESIA Gambar Jumlah Penduduk Miskin menurut Propinsi di Indonesia, 2004 ---------- : A2 Figure Number of Poor People by Province in Indonesia, 2004 High poverty intensity in Eastern Islands (Maluku, Papua, and Nusa N W E S Tenggara) High concentration of poor people in Java Island Jumlah P enduduk Miskin (00 0) ---------- --------------------- -Number of Poor Peop le (000) < 50 0 500 - 1,000 1,000 - 1,500 1,500 - 2,000 > 2,000 TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 8 THREE CLUSTERS OF POVERTY ALLEVIATION PROGRAMS Cluster 1: Family-based integrated social assistance programs Unconditional cash transfer, conditional cash transfer, rice for poor, Scholarship for poor families, Health insurance for the poor Cluster 2: Community empowerment program Program Nasional Pemberdayaan Masyarakat (PNPM Mandiri), or Self Empowerment National Program Cluster 3: Development of micro and small enterprises Kredit Usaha Rakyat (KUR), or People’s Credit Program TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 9 THE UNIFIED DATABASE FOR TARGETING FOR CLUSTER 1 PROGRAMS SINGLE REGISTRY CONTAINING NAMES & ADDRESSES OF 40% OF HOUSEHOLDS AT THE LOWEST DISTRIBUTION TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN TARGETING EFFECTIVENESS SELECTED POVERTY ALLEVIATION PROGRAMS Percent receiving program This is a result of fragmented targeting mechanism TNP2K given mandates to establish the UNIFIED DATABASE to improve targeting Consumption deciles TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 11 11 DATA COLLECTION: PPLS 2011 DATA COLLECTED BY INDONESIAN STATISTICS (BPS) METHODOLOGY (REGISTRATION & PMT) DEVELOPED BY BPS AND TNP2K Pre-listed Names & Addresses Pre-listed Households (Poverty map based on 2010 Pop Census) + Individual data from ongoing Programs + Consultation With the Poor + Sweeping Households to Register By PPLS 2011 As the Unified Database comes in the middle of Program implementation, the question: Will the Program use the new database? TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 12 12 UNIFIED DATA MANAGEMENT: NATIONAL TARGETING UNIT UNDER TNP2K With Three Tasks Program Services • Ensure all relevant programs to use names and addresses from the Unified Data as their data • Technical support to Program & Local Government Research • Ensure validity of different studies to improve program targeting • Monitoring the use of Unified Database Information System • IT-base Unified Database Management • Providing different information from Unified Database publicly TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 13 13 WEBSITE UNIFIED DATABASE TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN www.bdt.tnp2k.go.id 14 NATIONAL TARGETING SYSTEM USING UNIFIED DATABASE Eligibility Criteria Social Protection Program Unified Database For Poverty Allev & Social Protection Beneficiary List ofof Beneficiary List Beneficiary List ofof Social Protection Programs Beneficiary List Social Protection Program Social Protection Social ProtectionProgram Program Set by each program. E.g. for PKH. The criteria set by Minister of Social Affairs: extreme poor households with elementary school age children or pregnant mothers Data by name & address, containing the lowest 40% of population Names and addresses of eligible beneficiaries of the Social Protection Program Program eligibility can be formulated using different criteria: Geographical (e.g. based on indicators of poverty, education, health, etc.) Benefitting unit (e.g. individuals, households, family) Economic status (extreme poor, poor, near poor, vulnerable) Demographic status (sex, age, education status, types of works, etc.) TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 15 THE USE OF UNIFIED DATABASE TNP2K CONTINUOUSLY COORDINATING WITH PROGRAMS ENSURING THE USE OF THE DATA Health Rice CCT Education Jamkesmas Raskin • Fiscal year 2012 and 2013 • Starting July 2012 with new mechanism PKH • 2012 expansion BSM • Starting September 2012 Local Govt • Data requests for local programs ONCE DATA DISTRIBUTED TO PROGRAM, DIFFERENT REACTIONS ABOUT ITS ACCURACY – THE PROTEST IS REALLY ABOUT COMPLACENCY TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 16 16 EXAMPLE: TARGETING FOR RASKIN Raskin distributes monthly 15 kg of rice to 17.5 million households, at subsidized price. • BULOG (Raskin distributor) brings rice to village, and village apparatus distributes (sells) to households. • Practices of equal distribution, rather than targeted, to avoid local conflict complacency resulting in poor targeting (wrong price, amount, and time) Average rice received 4-5kgs (nationally), regional best practices also there TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN RASKIN PROGRAM REFORMS SINCE JULY 2012 1. New provincial/district quota distribution for 17.5 million HHs 2. New names & beneficiaries names from Unified Database 3. Better socialization & information to community & households socialization materials to village, incl. posters of beneficiary list New Raskin Cards to selected 1.3 million households New beneficiary replacement mechanism NEW MONITORING OF RASKIN OPERATION • Media monitoring of Raskin reforms. • Cards monitoring in 3300 households to check effectiveness of Raskin Cards in improving targeting, by TNP2K. • RCT Impact evaluation in 600 villages, by JPAL & TNP2K. • New questions in Susenas 2013 as new national evaluation. TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 18 18 RASKIN CARDS: NEW TARGETING MECHANISM Unified Database Through Coord. Ministry of Social Welfare Quota, names & addresses of Raskin beneficiaries sent to Local Govt New Mechanism Local District Govt PT Pos POST sends cards to households BULOG Local Govt, getting the quota, issue instructions to Village, based on given quota Bulog distributes rice to selling/distribution points Pre-printed cards with names & information Distribution Point Village apparatus distributes rice at distribution points Households buy rice at distribution point, by showing cards Households buying rice at selling points TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 19 19 RASKIN CARDS Logo & name of Local Government - Improving buy in Name, addresses, and Other household info, Including name of the spouse Rights of households Basic terms and conditions TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN 20 NEW COMPLAINT MECHANISM Previously: changes as villagers see fit, not accountability. Village can change beneficiaries by way of Village Meeting. Official forms available to remove and add new households, within the village quotas. Reasons of change: (i) move out, (ii) dead, (iii) name duplication, (iv) rich. This is about respecting local wisdoms. Not every village conducted the Meeting, and much less so filled in the forms TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN CHANGES ARE DIFFICULT QUICK RESULTS SO FAR INSTITUTION: “It’s done? Not really!” • Evidence is a lot, not necessarily picked up by policy • Post Office sending out cards, end up with village heads • Posters sent to village? Are they displayed? Not really LOCAL WISDOM IN REPLACING BENEFICIARIES • It is very important to respect local wisdoms • Village meeting is there, but results are not necessarily socialized • When ‘Folks’ says distribute equally – violating the poor? TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN CHANGES ARE DIFFICULT QUICK RESULTS SO FAR COMPLACENCY: “why change the system, it works so far” • Govt (Central & Local): new regional quota brings in protests • Village: new socialization, risky • On-going village politics between apparatus-beneficiaries-BULOG addressing complacency. • Village blames Central Govt for beneficiary data – despite replacement mechanism – this is actually good. • Continuous socialization at both households, community, and local government important. • Evidences remain important to collect to understand behavior, outputs and impacts of Raskin program. TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN FUTURE CHALLENGES OF INDONESIA’S TARGETING PROGRAM TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN UNIFIED DATA BASE & PROGRAM REFORMS • Unified data alone is not enough, must be accompanied by program reforms. Challenge: complacency • Single ID system would fix a lot of complication. Matching Unified Data and Population Registration Data now. • Program’s grievance system – complaints on beneficiaries & program implementation. • Unified data updating system – national registration & local initiatives • Continuous engagement with line ministries and local governments in unified data & targeting TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN Thank you! SUAHASIL NAZARA suahasilnazara@tnp2k.go.id Policy Group Coordinator National Team for the Acceleration of Poverty Reduction Office of the Vice President of the Republic of Indonesia TIM NASIONAL PERCEPATAN PENANGGULANGAN KEMISKINAN