Indeks Computer Outperform (Maintained)
Transcription
Indeks Computer Outperform (Maintained)
February 5, 2016 Indeks Computer Outperform (Maintained) A multi-pronged growth story Share Price 12M Target Price Potential Return TL6.81 TL10.20 50% Investment Thesis HQ plot to almost quadruple the bottom line in 2017. Indeks, Turkey’s largest IT distributor, is poised to reap the benefits of its revenue sharing project at the site of its headquarters in Ayazaga Istanbul. The agreement was signed back in 2013 and Indeks will collect 40.5% of the revenues from the project by May 2017 at the latest. Half of the proceeds will be distributed as dividends after the tax deductions. The project’s total saleable area is 62,362sqm and almost half of it (116 units out of 204 units) has already been sold. We calculate around TL205mn (USD81mn) in revenues from the project. We calculate a TL196mn consolidated net profit in 2017, almost quadrupling YoY. The real estate project will also boost the dividend yield. Indeks’ average pay-out ratio has been 81% for three years. Management is committed to distributing half of the profits to be collected from the real estate project. We thus calculate a USD30mn additional dividend in 2017, corresponding to a DPS of TL2.67 and a dividend yield of 39%. Management may also increase the dividend payout ratio using its retained earnings starting from FY15 to extend the attractive dividend yields for the coming years, rather than paying out a one-time high dividend in 2017. Datagate’s operational performance brightened by Avea. Datagate (DGATE, Not Rated), an Indeks Group company, signed a distributorship agreement with Avea in July 2014 to provide mobile products and Avea GSM lines in Avea’s centers in the Izmir, Antalya and Konya regions. With the distributorship agreement, DGATE’s revenues tripled and its EBITDA almost quadrupled in 9M15. We expect Indeks’ consolidated revenues and EBITDA to follow a CAGR of 12.2% and 10%, respectively between 20152018. Meanwhile, Datagate is Indeks’ major source of increasing working capital and financial debt, which emanates from Datagate’s distributorship agreement with Avea, related to the financing of contracted mobile devices. However, Datagate started to use factoring tools in October 2015 and its working capital requirement and debt amount started to decrease and will further decrease in the coming quarters. Catalysts: i) Higher than expected revenues from the real estate project, ii) the extension of Datagate’s distributorship agreement with Avea in the new regions might boost Indeks’ revenues, iii) a higher than expected dividend pay-out ratio and iv) strong 4Q15 results and v) liquidity provider agreement. Valuation: We reiterate our Outperform recommendation for Indeks while increasing our 12-month target price from TL8.25 to TL10.20, indicating a 52% upside potential. We have lowered our 30% small cap discount to our target value to 20% on the back of the rising trading volume with the liquidity provider agreement. Risks: The downturn in economic growth and a sharp depreciation of the TL could cause consumers to postpone their IT spending. Mcap EV TL381m n USD131m n TL726m n Stock Market Data (February 04, 2016) Bloomberg/Reuters: INDES.TI / INDES.IS Rel. Performance: 1 mth 3 mth 4% 30% 12M Range (TL): 12mth 48% 4.95 / 6.81 Average Daily Vol (TLmn) 3 mth: 1.2 YTD TL Return: 8% Beta (2year, w eekly) 1.00 Weight in BIST-100 0.001 Shares Outstanding (mn): 56.0 Foreign Ow n. in Free Float : Current 12M ago 17% 30% The Com pany in Brief Established in 1989, Indeks, w ith its w ide range of product lines, is the largest distributor company operating in the computer field in Turkey. The Company distributing all kinds of IT products to IT firms in Turkey. Indeks, being the second distributer of Apple products in Turkey, distributes more than 200 global brands, w ith more than 7,500 business partners. It is the leader in the Turkish IT sector w ith a market share of 19.4%. Shareholders Structure Nevres Erol Bilecik 36.3% Alfanor 24.2% Free Float 39.6% Financials and Ratios 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E Net Sales (TLmn) 2,206 3,352 3,950 4,448 37% 52% 18% 13% 56 93 103 116 YoY 20% 65% 11% 13% 25 46 51 196 YoY 385% 81% 13% 281% EBITDA margin 2.6% 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% Net margin 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 4.4% P/E (x) 15.1 8.3 7.4 1.9 EV/EBITDA (x) 12.9 7.8 7.1 6.3 EV/Sales (x) 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 EPS (TL) 0.45 0.82 0.92 3.50 YoY EBITDA (TLmn) Net Income (TLmn) DPS (TL) 0.38 0.61 0.69 2.67 Div. Yield 5.6% 9.0% 10.1% 39.2% 14.6% 24.9% 26.2% 80.8% ROE Analyst: Halil Kahve Sales Contact: +90 (212) 384 1137 +90 (212) 384 1155-58 hkahve@garanti.com.tr icm@garanti.com.tr Indeks Computer February 5, 2016 RESEARCH SUMMARY FINANCIALS (TLmn) Income Statement Net Sales Cost of Sales Gross Profit (Loss) Operating Expenses Operating Profit Consolidated EBITDA Net Other Income/ Expense Profit (Loss) from Subsidiaries Net financial Income/ Expense Profit (Loss) before Tax Taxation on Continuing Operations Minority Interests Net Income Ratios EBIT Margin EBITDA Margin Net Income Margin 2014 2,206 -2,103 103 -49 54 56 5 1 -22 38 -8 5 25 2015E 3,352 -3,194 158 -67 90 93 -7 -1 -11 71 -14 11 46 2016E 3,950 -3,771 179 -79 100 103 -7 -1 -11 80 -16 13 51 2017E 4,448 -4,245 202 -90 113 116 206 -1 -10 306 -61 49 196 2.4% 2.6% 1% 2.7% 2.8% 1.4% 2.5% 2.6% 1.3% 2.5% 2.6% 4.4% Sales Growth EBITDA Growth Net Income Growth 37% 20% 385% 52% 65% 81% 18% 11% 13% 13% 13% 281% Balance Sheet Current Assets Cash and Cash Equivalents Short-Term Trade Receivables Inventories Other Current Assets Long Term Assets Total Assets Short Term Liabilities Short-Term Financial Loans Short-Term Trade Payables Other Short-Term Liabilities Long Term Liabilities Long-Term Financial Loans Other Long-Term Liabilities Shareholders Equity T. Liabilities & S.holders Equity 2014 962 112 636 170 43 98 1,060 843 92 684 68 45 42 3 172 1,060 2015E 1,272 153 849 225 46 233 1,504 1,249 189 914 147 72 69 3 183 1,504 2016E 1,447 153 988 260 46 235 1,681 1,438 194 1,077 167 47 44 3 196 1,681 2017E 1,622 174 1,109 293 46 237 1,859 1,584 187 1,213 184 32 29 3 243 1,859 56 49 -28 19 -9 -21 55 72 93 36 179 -4 -15 -34 83 -124 103 11 -3 -4 -15 -39 -19 19 116 19 15 -5 -15 -150 -42 22 0.4 0.1 -0.9% 2.2% 11.6% 289.5% 0.0% 1.1 0.6 0.1% 1.1% 17.9% -65.1% 10.5% 0.8 0.4 0.1% 0.3% 21.1% -64.5% 19.6% 0.4 0.2 0.1% 0.4% 71.3% -42.8% 8.5% Cash Flow Summary EBITDA WC Change Operating Cash flow Capex Investing cash flow Dividends paid Change in net debt CF from financing activities Key metrics Net Debt/EBITDA (x) Net Debt/Equity (x) Capex/Sales (%) WC Change/Sales (%) ROCE (%) ROIC (%) FCF yield (%) 2 Please see the last page of this report for important disclosures. RESEARCH Indeks Computer February 5, 2016 INVESTMENT POSITIVES Real estate project is in the spotlight Indeks’ 100% owned subsidiary, Teklos, signed a revenue sharing agreement with the contractor, Seba Insaat, in March 2013 for its 40,000sqm plot at the site of its headquarters in Ayazaga Istanbul. According to the revenue sharing agreement, Teklos will collect 40.5% of the revenues, with Seba Insaat collecting 53.6% and the other landlords collecting the remaining 6%. The contractor, Seba Insaat, received a construction permit in January 2015 and the project is scheduled to be completed in May 2017. The project’s total saleable area is 62,362sqm and 46% of it has already been sold (116 units out of 204 units). The total sales amount was USD90mn and USD42mn has already been collected. Teklos is expected to collect at least USD80mn in revenues from the project and will receive the cash from the project by May 2017 at the latest without taking into account the project’s sales performance. In line with the company guidance, we calculate around TL205mn (USD81mn) in revenues from the project. The contractor guarantees the payment of an estimated amount to Indeks, but if the total revenues from the project exceed the estimates, Indeks will collect further revenues from the project. With the revenue sharing model all the risk of the project is transferred to the contractor. Indeks expects to collect a profit of around USD60mn after the tax deduction. Half of these proceeds will be directed to its operations and another USD30mn will be distributed as a dividend. Therefore, Indeks is set to be one of the most generous dividend players on the BIST. Note that the cash collected from pre-sales is recorded on the balance sheet as a liability under “advances received.” When construction has been completed and all units have been delivered, revenues will be reflected on the income statement and the profits will be recognized. As the delivery of the project will be made in 2017, we expect a substantial increase in the Company’s bottom line emanating from the profits. We expect a TL196mn net profit in 2017, implying a 281% increase over the 2016 net profit estimate of TL51mn. 3 Please see the last page of this report for important disclosures. Indeks Computer February 5, 2016 RESEARCH Higher dividend payments from the real estate project is the major expectation Indeks distributed TL21.2mn in gross cash dividends in May 2015 from its 2014 net earnings. The Company has been a regular dividend distributor since 2007. The average pay-out ratio in the last four years was 71% and the last three years average was 81%. The major expectation is the bulk dividend payment from the proceeds from the real estate project. In line with management’s commitment to distributing half of the profits, we calculated a USD30mn additional dividend to be distributed. As the revenues from the project will be reflected on the income statement with the completion of the deliveries, 2017 will be the year of bulk dividend payments. Dividend Scenario Net Profit (Excl. Real Estate Project) Net Profit (Incl. Real Estate Project) 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 46 51 62 68 46 51 196 68 75% 75% 75% 75% 34 39 47 51 34 39 150 51 Payout Ratio including real estate 75% 75% 76% 75% DPS 0.61 0.69 2.67 0.91 Dividend Yield 9.0% 10.1% 39.2% 13.4% Payout Ratio Gross dividend from the core business Additional 30mn USD dividend Total Dividend Payment 103 Source: The Company, Garanti Securities However, management may choose to start the payment of an additional dividend from its retained earnings starting from 2015 in order to extend the attractive dividend yields for the coming years rather than paying out a one-time very high dividend in 2017. Datagate’s operational performance brightened by Avea Datagate (DGATE, NR), an Indeks Group company, signed a distributorship agreement with Avea, the mobile arm of Turk Telekom, in July 2014 to distribute mobile products and services. Datagate entered the mobile products and services market with this distributorship agreement and began to distribute mobile products and Avea GSM lines in Avea centers as well as products under the Avea brand in the retail channels in the Izmir, Antalya and Konya regions. Datagate-Avea operating regions 4 Please see the last page of this report for important disclosures. Indeks Computer February 5, 2016 RESEARCH Source: The Company The distributorship agreement has been signed for a period of 2+1+1+1 years and covers the Izmir, Antalya and Konya regions, where 175 Avea centers are located. The duration and the region of the agreement could be further extended depending on datagate’s performance. With the distributorship agreement, Datagate’s revenues tripled and the EBITDA almost quadrupled in 9M15. Datagate aims to generate USD1.0bn in revenues by the end of 2017. Management also expects to extend the distributorship agreement in the new regions. The operational performance of DGATE directly impacts Indeks’ financials as it fully consolidates them. 250 256 234 258 300 266 Datagate’s revenue and EBITDA evolution with the Avea agreement 8.0 7.0 200 6.0 5.0 119 150 4.0 3.0 2.0 36 41 100 50 9.0 1.0 0 0.0 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 Sales (LHS) 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 EBITDA Source: The Company, Garanti Securities 5 Please see the last page of this report for important disclosures. Indeks Computer February 5, 2016 RESEARCH DGATE’s working capital and financial debt will decline with the factoring company. Datagate is Indeks’ major source of increasing working capital and financial debt as it fully consolidates them. The increase emanates from Datagate’s distributorship agreement with Avea within the scope of the financing of the contracted mobile devices. Avea sells smartphones to end users via 12-24-36 month instalments (average is 24 months). To close the financial deficit between the customer collection period and vendor payment date, Datagate takes out bank loans. Avea negotiates the loan terms and interest rates with the banks and is the 100% guarantor for these loans. Avea pays these loans and interest expenses to Datagate. Later, Datagate pays loan and interest expenses to the related banks. This is the reason behind the sharp increase in working capital requirements and financial debt. Datagate started to use factoring tools in October 2015 and sell receivables to a factoring company with the same interest expense rates as the loans, which will bring additional financial costs. With the factoring tool, the debt amount in the balance sheet has started to decrease and will further decrease in the coming quarters. Therefore, when adjusting Datagate’s TL291mn net debt as of 9M15 in Indeks’ financials, the EV/ EBITDA multiples will be more attractive. Indeks’ adjusted multiples 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E EV/EBITDA (x) 12.9 7.8 7.1 6.3 Adjusted EV/EBITDA 7.7 4.7 4.2 3.8 Indeks’ distributorship agreement with Apple increases competitiveness and revenues Indeks signed a distributorship agreement with Apple on October 10, 2012 and the company has become Apple’s second distributor of products, such as the IPad, Mac and IPod (but not mobile phones) in Turkey. In November 2013, Indeks signed another agreement with Apple to distribute the Iphone and its accessories. Note that Bilkom Bilisim, which is the 69.94% subsidiary of Koc Holding (KCHOL), was the sole distributor of Apple products before Indeks signed a distributorship agreement with Apple. The prestigious distributorship agreement with Apple strengthens the company’s position in the sector and contributes around USD300350mn to the top line. Indeks with its sound balance sheet is likely to remain Turkey’s dominant IT distribution company going forward and to benefit from the expected growth in the IT sector. 6 Please see the last page of this report for important disclosures. RESEARCH Indeks Computer February 5, 2016 Indeks is the market leader in the IT distribution segment Indeks is principally involved in distributing all kinds of IT products to IT firms in Turkey. The Company distributes more than 200 global brands and operates with more than 7,500 business partners. Indeks commands a 23% market share in Turkey’s IT hardware sector and a 19.4% share in the overall IT sector in Turkey. Other listed companies involved in the same business line are Armada Computer (ARMDA, NR) and Arena computer (ARENA, NR). Indeks’s market share in the overall IT sector (left) and hardware sector Source: The Company, Garanti Securities IT sector with a high growth potential The PC ownership penetration in Turkey was around 50% in 2014 and is forecasted to increase to 55% in 2016. Internet penetration is also expected to increase from 60% to 68% in 2016. The PC penetration almost quadrupled since 2005, while internet penetration almost tripled in the same period. Despite the rapid increase in the penetration levels over last ten years, Turkey’s pc ownership and internet usage are still lower than those of developed countries. Taking into account the young average age of Turkey’s population, increasing GDP per capita with the increasing presence of local and retail stores selling computers, the IT sector offers a substantial growth potential. As the largest distributor, commanding a 23% market share in the hardware segment, we believe Indeks will reap the fruits. 7 Please see the last page of this report for important disclosures. Indeks Computer February 5, 2016 RESEARCH PC and Internet penetration in Turkey 80% 70% 58% 60% 52% 50% 44% 40% 30% 20% 46% 60% 50% 64% 52% 68% 55% 40% 34% 25% 15% 10% 0% 2005 2011 2012 PC Penetration 2013 2014 2015E 2016E Internet Penetration Source: The Company, Garanti Securities Differentiating itself with its logistic and service businesses Due to the nature of the distribution business, the profit margins of the sector’s players are lower when compared to other business lines (while gross margin hovers at the 6%-9% levels and the EBITDA margin is at 3% - 5%). Therefore, creating value with value added businesses is crucial for the distributor companies to increase and maintain their profitability. We like the fact that Indeks differentiates itself with its logistics and services business. Teklos, the whole subsidiary of Indeks, is the logistics company and provides logistics services to group companies as well as third parties, such as Turk Telekom (TTKOM) and Vodafone. Teklos’ contribution to the overall top line was only 1%, but its contribution to the operating profit was 8% in 9M15. The liquidity provider agreement Indeks’ average three-month daily volume stands at approximately TL950,000 corresponding to just 0.025% of the three-month average daily volume of the BIST-100. The low trading volume presents a liquidity risk. Indeks signed a liquidity provider agreement with a brokerage house for 162,402 Indeks shares (corresponding to 0.29% of the total capital) at the end of November 2015. The liquidity provider agreement started supporting the daily trading volume. Subsequently, the three-month average daily volume of Indeks’ shares more than doubled since November 2015. 8 Please see the last page of this report for important disclosures. Indeks Computer February 5, 2016 RESEARCH Indeks’ average daily trading volumes (mn TL) 14.0 Higher trading volumes with liquidity provider agreement 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 Source: The Company, Garanti Securities 4Q15 results are expected to be promising Indeks is expected to disclose its 4Q15 results in the second week of March 2016. We expect strong results on the back of seasonality factors. Indeks’ revenues are subject to seasonality; the Company generates around 30-35% of its annual revenues in final quarter of the year. We expect revenues of TL1,065mn (39% higher QoQ), an EBITDA of TL28mn (up by 38% QoQ) and a net profit of TL18mn (up by 75% QoQ) in 4Q15. Indeks (mn TL) Change 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15E 12M14 Net Sales 853 748 774 766 1,065 2,206 12M15E 4Q15/4Q14 4Q15/3Q15 12M15E/12M14 3,352 25% 39% 52% EBITDA 23 24 21 20 28 56 93 18% 38% 65% Net Income 11 11 7 10 18 25 46 59% 75% 81% EBITDA Margin 2.7% 3.3% 2.7% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% -0.1 pp 0 pp 0.2 pp Net Profit Margin 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 1.4% 0.4 pp 0.3 pp 0.2 pp Source: The Company, Garanti Securities RISKS The increasing geopolitical uncertainties, a possible downturn in GDP growth and a sharp depreciation of the TL against the USD could cause IT consumers to postpone their IT spending, which would put pressure on Indeks’ operational performance. 9 Please see the last page of this report for important disclosures. Indeks Computer February 5, 2016 RESEARCH VALUATION We valued Indeks using a combination of DCF and peer group comparison methods, attaching a 50% weighting to each. We also included the real estate project in our valuation. In our previous valuations, we had applied a 30% small cap discount to our target value due to the lower trading volume as it presents a liquidity risk. As the trading volume is rising with the support of the liquidity provider agreement signed in November 2015, we decided to lower our 30% small cap discount to our target value to 20%. Thus, we determined a target Mcap of TL571mn for Indeks, corresponding to a 12-month target share price of TL10.20, implying a 50% upside potential. Valuation Summary DCF Analysis Peer Comparison Company Value NPV of the real estate project Target Value - Small Cap Discount Target Value after Small Cap Discount Target Share Price (TL) Current Share Price (TL) Upside potential Value (TLmn) Weight 604 424 50% 50% 20% Contribution (TL mn) 302 212 514 200 714 143 571 10.20 6.81 50% DCF Valuation We calculated a target value of TL604mn for Indeks based on DCF analysis. Our valuation assumed a 3% terminal growth rate, a Beta of 1.0, an equity risk premium of 5.5% and a risk free rate of 10.0%. Under our assumptions, the implied WACC for Indeks stands at 13.7%. 2015E 3,352 90 -14 76 2 79 -36 -4 38 2016E 3,950 100 -16 84 3 87 -11 -4 71 2017E 4,448 113 -61 51 3 55 -19 -5 31 2018E 4,915 124 -21 102 4 106 -20 -5 81 2019E 5,431 136 -24 112 4 117 -22 -5 89 2020E 6,001 150 -27 123 4 128 -24 -6 98 2021E 6,631 165 -30 135 5 140 -27 -6 107 2022E 7,327 182 -33 149 5 154 -30 -6 118 2023E 8,097 201 -37 164 6 170 -33 -6 131 EBITDA EBITDA Margin 93 2.8% 103 2.6% 116 2.6% 128 2.6% 140 2.6% 154 2.6% 170 2.6% 187 2.6% 207 2.6% Assumptions and Results (TL mn) Weight of equity Cost of Equity Beta Risk free rate Market Risk Premium Cost of Debt after tax Tax rate WACC Terminal Value Growth 75% 16% 1.00 10.0% 5.5% 8.4% 20.0% 13.7% 3.0% Net Sales Operating Profit Taxes NOPLAT Depreciation Gross Cash Flow Change in WCR Capex Free Cash Flow PV of FCF PV of Terminal Value Implied Firm Value Net Cash 12M Target Mcap 407 461 868 -345 604 10 Please see the last page of this report for important disclosures. Indeks Computer February 5, 2016 RESEARCH Peer Valuation We compared Indeks with other global players in the IT sector based on the EV/EBITDA multiple of a group of IT companies based on our 2016 and 2017 forecasts. Accordingly, we arrived at a valuation of USD130mn for Indeks based on our peer comparison analysis. MCap Company Name EV/EBITDA P/E US$mn 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E Esprinet Spa 426 7.6 7.1 11.0 10.3 Synnex Thailand Pcl 102 12.5 10.6 12.8 11.3 Ab Sa 129 5.2 5.2 7.4 7.0 Action Sa 100 8.7 8.0 9.1 8.1 Datatec Ltd 564 3.1 2.7 5.7 5.0 Abc Data Sa 97 9.2 8.8 10.9 10.2 Average 236 7.7 7.1 9.5 8.7 7.1 6.3 7.4 1.9 INDES Implied Value (USD mn) 130 Source: Bloomberg, Garanti Securities Real Estate Project We also included the company’s HQ plot which has a total saleable area of 62,362sqm in our valuation. Based on the revenue sharing agreement with the contractor, Indeks will collect 40.5% of the revenues from the project. In our valuation, we assumed there will be no change in the project’s 62,362sqm saleable area to be completed in three years. We assumed an average sales price of USD3,216 per sqm to reach a TL200mn valuation for Indeks. Note that considering the increasing attractiveness of the location, the increase in the project’s average sales price will provide a further upside for our valuation. TL mn 2015E 2016E 2017E Cash Proceeds 260 287 79 Indes's Share 40.5% 105 116 32 Opex 4 4 1 Taxes 21 23 6 Cash Flow 102 89 25 Discount Factor 1.00 0.89 0.78 PV CF 102 79 19 Sum of PV CF (TL) 200 Source: The company, Garanti Securities 11 Please see the last page of this report for important disclosures. Indeks Computer February 5, 2016 RESEARCH Appendix I - 3Q15 Financial Statements Indeks Bilgisayar Summary Financials (mn TL) Change 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 9M14 9M15 3Q15/3Q14 3Q15/2Q15 9M15/9M14 Net Sales 470 853 748 774 766 1,353 2,287 63% -1% Gross Profit 22 37 38 37 34 65 109 57% -6% 67% Operating Profit 10 23 24 20 19 31 63 92% -3% 103% EBITDA 11 23 24 21 20 33 65 86% -3% 98% Net Other Income/Expense 3 -2 -3 2 -5 6 -7 n.m. n.m. n.m. Financial Inc./ Exp. (net) -6 -4 -4 -9 2 -18 -11 n.m. n.m. n.m. Tax -1 -4 -3 -2 -3 -4 -9 n.m. n.m. n.m. Net Income 4 11 11 7 10 14 28 143% 35% 99% 69% Net Cash -45 -21 -271 -355 -345 -45 -345 Working Capital 175 123 380 425 438 175 438 Shareholders Equity 158 172 186 175 188 158 188 Gross Margin 4.7% 4.4% 5.1% 4.8% 4.5% 4.8% 4.8% -0.2 pp -0.3 pp -0.1 pp Operating Margin 2.2% 2.7% 3.2% 2.6% 2.5% 2.3% 2.8% 0.4 pp -0.1 pp 0.5 pp EBITDA Margin 2.3% 2.7% 3.3% 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% 2.9% 0.3 pp -0.1 pp 0.4 pp Net Profit Margin 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.0% 1.2% 0.4 pp 0.4 pp 0.2 pp Ratios Datagate Bilgisayar Summary Financials (mn TL) Change 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 9M14 9M15 119 258 266 234 256 197 756 115% 9% 284% Gross Profit 4 10 8 9 9 8 26 108% -9% 234% Operating Profit 3 8 6 6 6 4 18 134% -3% 387% EBITDA 3 8 6 6 6 4 18 133% -3% 384% Net Other Income/Expense 1 0 1 -1 0 1 0 n.m. n.m. n.m. Profit (Loss) from Subsidiaries 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n.m. n.m. n.m. Financial Inc./ Exp. (net) -1 0 0 0 1 -2 1 n.m. 2728% n.m. Net Sales Tax Net Income Net Cash 3Q15/3Q14 3Q15/2Q15 9M15/9M14 0 -2 -1 -1 -1 -1 -4 n.m. n.m. n.m. 1.8 6.0 5.0 4.6 6 2.5 15.2 201% 22% 498% 1 -56 -155 -244 -291 1 -291 Working Capital -47 -55 -129 -198 -246 -47 -246 Shareholders Equity 34 39 45 49 55 34 55 Gross Margin 3.5% 4.0% 2.9% 4.0% 3.3% 3.9% 3.4% -0.1 pp -0.7 pp -0.5 pp Operating Margin 2.2% 3.2% 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 1.9% 2.4% 0.2 pp -0.3 pp 0.5 pp EBITDA Margin 2.2% 3.2% 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 1.9% 2.4% 0.2 pp -0.3 pp 0.5 pp Net Profit Margin 1.5% 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 2.0% 0.6 pp 0.2 pp 0.7 pp Ratios 12 Please see the last page of this report for important disclosures. RESEARCH Indeks Computer February 5, 2016 Disclaimer Recommendation History Definition of Stock Ratings OUTPERFORM (OP) The stock's return is expected to exceed the return of the BIST100 over the next 12 months. MARKET PERFORM (MP) The stock's return is expected to be in line with the BIST100 over the next 12 months. UNDERPERFORM (UP) The stock's return is expected to fall below the return of the BIST100 over the next 12 months . 13 Please see the last page of this report for important disclosures. RESEARCH Disclaimer This document and the information, opinions, estimates and recommendations expressed herein, have been prepared by Garanti Securities Research Department, to provide its customers with general information regarding the date of issue of the report and are subject to changes without prior notice. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgment as of this date and are subject to change without notice. This document and its contents do not constitute an offer, invitation or solicitation to purchase or subscribe to any securities or other instruments, or to undertake or divest investments. Neither shall this document nor its contents form the basis of any contract, commitment or decision of any kind. 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No information in this report may be copied, modified, republished or exploited in anyway without the prior consent of Garanti Securities. Additionally, with respect to our statements above, all our claims and plea rights are covered in the regulations which apply in the countries that this report has been sent to. Garanti Securities Etiler Mah. Tepecik Yolu Demirkent Sokak No:1 34337 Besiktas, Istanbul / Turkey Phone: +90 (212) 384-1155 Fax: +90 (212) 352-4240