2. 2016 Investor Days - Lars-Åke Tollemark - Unibail
Transcription
2. 2016 Investor Days - Lars-Åke Tollemark - Unibail
Unibail-Rodamco in the Nordics – Lars-Åke Tollemark, Managing Director Nordics 2016 INVESTOR DAYS DISCLAIMER Unibail-Rodamco S.E., a Société Européenne à Directoire et Conseil de Surveillance incorporated under French law, is a listed closed end property investment company. Unibail-Rodamco is registered with the French Authority of Financial Markets (AMF). The value of your investment may fluctuate. Past performance is no guarantee for the future. The information in this presentation has been included in good faith but is for general informational purposes only. All reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information contained herein is not untrue or misleading. It should not be relied on for any specific purpose and no representation or warranty is given as regards its accuracy or completeness. Certain of the statements contained in this release are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements. These expectations are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. The outlook is based on the current property portfolio and disregards the potential effects of acquisitions and divestments, or significant changes in exchange and interest rates. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, among other things, (i) general economic conditions, in particular economic conditions in Unibail-Rodamco's core markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, (iii) interest rate levels, (iv) currency exchange rates, (v) changes in laws and regulations, and (vi) changes in the policies of governments and/or regulatory authorities. Unibail-Rodamco assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking information contained in this document. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice. The presentation should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this presentation and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realised. It does not constitute an offer to purchase any securities or a solicitation to purchase or subscribe securities neither in the United States nor in any other country where such offer or solicitation is restricted by applicable laws or regulations. Neither Unibail-Rodamco nor any affiliates nor their or their affiliates’ officers or employees shall be liable for any loss, damage or expense arising out of any access to or use of this presentation, including, without limitation, any loss of profit, indirect, incidental or consequential loss. No reproduction of any part of the presentation may be sold or distributed for commercial gain nor shall it be modified or incorporated in any other work, publication or site, whether in hard copy or electronic format. NORDICS MACRO OVERVIEW Population 2015 (Mn) GDP per capita 2014 (€) 9.7 Sweden 5.7 5.5 5.2 Denmark Finland Norway Cities above 500k Inhabitants in the Nordics (Mn) Copenhagen 1.6 Helsinki Denmark Finland Norway 10 fastest growing cities in Europe 2015-2020 10.3% Oslo 5.8% 0.9 5.7% 5.5% 4.3% 3.9% 3.6% 3.3% Gothenburg Unibail-Rodamco present Source: Eurostat (2015) Sweden 37,559 7.9% 1.2 Stockholm 46,178 11.0% 2.2 1.8 44,414 73,494 Unibail-Rodamco not present 3 MACRO OVERVIEW 3.5% GDP Growth (%) 3.3% Private Consumption (%) 2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 2.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 1.8%1.9% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7%0.6% 0.5%0.6% Sweden Denmark 2015 2016 2.0% 1.6% Finland Sweden Norway 2017/FY-2020 CAGR Denmark 2015 Finland FY-2016 Norway 2017-2020 CAGR Unemployment rate 2005-2015 (%) 12% Finland EU-28 10% 8% 6% Sweden Denmark 4% Norway 2% Q3-2015 Q4-2014 Q1-2014 Q2-2013 Q3-2012 Q4-2011 Q1-2011 Q2-2010 Q3-2009 Q4-2008 Q1-2008 Q2-2007 Q3-2006 Q4-2005 Source: Nordic Barometer (March 2016), Eurostat (2015) Q1-2005 0% 4 RETAIL GROWTH AND INCREASED SAVINGS IN SWEDEN Retail growth Sweden 7.4% 6.1% 6.0% 4.9% 6.6% 5.5% 4.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 3.6% 3.7% 3.4% 2.1% 1.9% 2012 2013 2014 15.3% 15.2% 15.3% 2012 2013 2014 0.8% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2015 Savings rate 7.7% 7.5% 2001 Source: HUI, SCB 2002 12.3% 2008 2009 9.2% 6.4% 5.5% 5.2% 2004 2005 3.5% 2000 12.5% 2003 11.1% 16.2% 12.5% 6.7% 2006 2007 2010 2011 2015 5 SWEDEN: THE IMPORTANCE OF STOCKHOLM GRP per capita in cities above 500k inhabitants (€) 172,600 Inner London West 87,600 Luxembourg 81,300 Oslo Inner London East 65,400 100% 90% 80% Brussels 62,900 70% Stockholm 62,200 60% Hamburg 59,000 Copenhagen 58,100 Paris (Île de France) Greater Gothenburg Munich 53,900 50% 40% 52,000 30% 51,200 20% Helsinki 49,200 Amsterdam 48,500 London outer area of greater London 47,900 Vienna 47,300 Source: Nordea, Catella GDP (% of total) Sweden 2009-2013 10% 0% Category 1 Greater Stockholm South Sweden West Sweden Rest of Sweden 6 SWEDISH RETAIL DISTRIBUTION Shopping Centres 21.3% Other retail 56.4% Retail Parks 16.3% E-Commerce 6.0% Source: HUI 7 STOCKHOLM Purchasing power (SEK Bn) Municipality County Source: HUI 2014 2023 66 86 +30% 160 209 +31% 8 THE NORDICS PORTFOLIO 9 Shopping Centres Arninge Centrum Arlanda Örebro 9 UNIBAIL-RODAMCO NORDICS SHOPPING CENTRES PORTFOLIO KPIs €3.3 Bn Total GMV 68.6 Mn Total footfall 447,000 6 80% 3 Total m² GLA Large shopping centres of Nordics GMV in Stockholm Non-core retail assets 4 in Stockholm 1 in Helsinki 1 in Copenhagen 10 UNIBAIL-RODAMCO STRATEGY CARRIED OUT IN THE NORDICS Nordics Shopping Centre Portfolio 2009 2013 2015 16 €112 Mn €1.8 Bn 5.8% 29,285 m² 4.7 67.1% 9 €249 Mn €2.2 Bn 5.0% 41,550 m² 5.9 86.5% 9 €371 Mn €3.3 Bn 4.5% 49,637 m² 7.6 96.4% Retail assets Average GMV GMV NIY Average GLA Average Footfall Large Malls MoS Footfall estimated full year number GMV relating to standing assets only (MoS during development not included) €/SEK: €9.2118 /DKK: 7.46 over the entire comparison period 11 MALL OF SCANDINAVIA GLA retail 101,048 m² The biggest shopping centre in Scandinavia The highest international standards in terms of design and offer TIC €657 Mn 224 stores 3,700 parking spaces 7 minutes from Stockholm city centre 1.7 Mn inhabitants/30 min 2.3 Mn/60 min 35,000 workers, a 50,000-seat national arena and a hotel in the neighborhood 7.3 Mn visitors in 1st 6 months Named best international shopping centre at Retail Leisure Industry 2016 Awards 12 MALL OF SCANDINAVIA: A LEASING SUCCESS Food Anchors Other 7% 5% Fashion Health & Beauty Sports & Leisure Family Interior Design Bags, Shoes & Accessories Retail 62% Restaurants 12% GLA PER SECTOR Leisure 14% 13 TÄBY CENTRUM GLA retail 78,000 m² Footfall 12.3 Mn 260 shops and restaurants 3,000 parking spaces Catchment area 1.42 Mn inhabitants within 30 minutes THE IMPACT OF THE EXTENSION Before After Total TIC: €320 Mn Central Square Refurbishment Delivery: October 2011 Central Square refurbishment South Extension +14,000 m² Delivery: August 2013 North extension South extension North Extension +10,000 m² Delivery: May 2014 Other retail +4,000 m² Delivery: 2011-2015 From 50,000 m² to 78,000 m² retail GLA 15 TÄBY CENTRUM Täby sweet Täby, a home away from home Strong connection to the region “Bringing the world to Täby” (international brands) Opened: 1968 Extended: 1991 Refurbished/extended: 2011-15 Located in one of Sweden’s wealthiest areas Voted best Swedish shopping centre in 2014 and 2015 Voted best Nordics shopping centre in 2015 (NCSC) 4-Star Label Shopping, cinema and dining Highest shopping centre turnover in Sweden in 2015 16 CENTRE FOR MARKET ENTRIES 1st in Nordics 1st in Sweden 1st in Sweden 1st in Sweden 1st in the Nordics 1st in Sweden 1st in Sweden 1st in a SC in Sweden 1st in a SC in Sweden 1st in a SC in Stockholm 17 NACKA FORUM Nacka Eastern part of Stockholm One of the fastest growing municipalities GLA 54,000 m² Footfall 6.3 Mn 148 shops and restaurants 1,900 parking spaces Catchment area 1.6 Mn within 30 min 18 NACKA FORUM Nacka Forum Opens 1989 Rodamco Acquisition Atrium extension Opens 1996 2008 4.2 Mn 28,000 m² Ranked most preferred centre in Stockholm 1st Nordic 4-star shopping centre Nacka Forum today 2012 2016 2011 5.8 Mn 6.1 Mn 6.3 Mn 54,000 m² 1.6 Mn inhabitant catchment area within 30 min drive Excellent motorway connection 19 POSITION: THE NACKA HUB FOR EVERYDAY NEEDS DYNAMIC, JOYFUL, CONVENIENT The Centre of Nacka City local life Located in the heart of Nacka Easy access by car and public transportation 85,000 cars passing by daily Leading international brands with local champions First choice for Nacka families Voted by the consumers 3rd Best Shopping Centre in Stockholm in 2015 after Mall of Scandinavia and Täby Strong focus on families and fun Play area for family interaction Family friendly facilities 20 NACKA: POSITIONED FOR GROWTH 14,000 apartments 10,000 workplaces Extended metro line Nacka population expected to grow from 98,000 to 123,000 inhabitants in 2024 T Metro to be delivered by 2025 Municipality vision 21 SOLNA CENTRUM: THE OBVIOUS CONVENIENCE CHOICE FOR THE PEOPLE OF SOLNA GLA 50,000 m² retail 21,000 m² offices 7 Mn visitors in 2015 120 shops Latest refurbishments in 2011 for TIC of €29.9 Mn 90% of customers coming to Solna Centrum within a 4-min drive 18 restaurants 53% 250 hotel rooms of customers coming by foot and 27% by public transport 1,265 parking spaces 33% are coming for hypermarket 22 SOLNA CENTRUM: CURRENT POSITIONING Position: Local convenience shopping centre Broad offer of stores and variety of services Easy access (subway gates, bus terminal, tram station) Opened: 1965 Acquired: 1985 Outdoor centre until 1989 Refurbishment: 2011 Tenant mix Anchors: library, city hall, hotel BREEAM In-Use certification (“Excellent”) 75,000 people in Solna +65,000 people commuting for work Population to grow by ~+40% until 2025 700 new apartments 19,000 m² offices being built at Råsunda (immediate vicinity of the centre) 23 MALL OF SCANDINAVIA AND SOLNA CENTRUM Solna Centrum re-positioning started long before the opening of Mall of Scandinavia Anticipated impact on footfall and sales (-10% LfL sales YTD as of Mar-16) Primarily on weekends and on non-food products Ongoing re-positioning local convenience New residential construction Mall of Scandinavia Solna Centrum 24 SOLNA CENTRUM – RE-POSITIONING FOR FUTURE GROWTH CITY PULSE CONVENIENCE EVERYDAY LIFE Beating heart of Solna municipality Transformation Inspiration from the city Taking the outside inside Vibrant city streets rather than conventional malls 2010 2011 Refurbishment project (TIC €30 Mn) Full re-positioning strategy New graphic identity 2012 2013 2014 Leasing strategy targeting established convenience concepts Re-design project (TIC €1.3 Mn) 2015 2016 1,000 m² new play concept for children 2,300 m² food anchor re-location/refurbishment 800 m² new gym 25 FISKETORVET – COPENHAGEN MALL GLA 59,600 m² 119 shops 1,600 parking spaces Refurbished: 2012 Footfall 2015: 8.6 Mn Catchment area 1.7 Mn within 30 min 26 FISKETORVET – COPENHAGEN MALL BACKGROUND INFORMATION Denmark’s economy suffered since 2007 After long period of stagnation it started to take off again in 2015 Big refurbishment in 2012 Market rent case strategy in a country with never ending leases 27 POSITION: THE COPENHAGEN MALL The shopping & leisure destination of Copenhagen Leading international brands with local champions Located in the centre of Copenhagen, along the city waterfront A leading weekend destination for locals A great family attraction, with recurring kids activities, services, and animations The 1st IMAX in Scandinavia Featuring Denmark’s leading cinema Regular cooking and entertainment themed events throughout the year Voted Best SC Restaurant Offer in Denmark in 2015 Easy access by car, bike, and public transportation A place for socializing and excitement BAHNE BR GORM’S FØTEX SPORTSMASTER Denmark’s 4-star shopping centre since 2013 MONKI NORMAL LELE TINDERBOX 28 FISKETORVET - COPENHAGEN MALL EXTENSION Background information Retail extension Substantial developments (2015-2023) +15,000 m² new net GLA New metro line with Fisketorvet 1st station after city centre (2023) Upgrading exterior facades, creating green areas and restaurants New IKEA store of 37,000 m² (2019) Potential 30,000 m² new office GLA adjacent to shopping centre 29 JUMBO GLA 85,100 m² 122 shops 4,600 parking spaces Footfall 2015: 10.5 Mn Catchment area 1.2 Mn within 30 min 30 JUMBO – SUMMARY Built 1999 extended 2005 GLA 85,100 m² Number of units 122 Footfall Total Sales 10.5 Mn The centre with the highest total sales in Finland €396 Mn Unibail-Rodamco owned 29,990 m² Unibail-Rodamco share of rental income (excl. hypermarkets) 55% 31 www.unibail-rodamco.com